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Forex Forum Archive for 01/10/2010

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Syd 23:51 GMT January 10, 2010
Article below contributed by Richmond Dennis GV1 many thanks
Reply   
Richmond Dennis 21:03 GMT January 10, 2010
Change of theme in 2010?: Reply
Reuters on Yen the 2010 choice of carry trade players:
NEW YORK (Reuters) - The yen, which had been toppled by the dollar last year as investors' top choice to fund carry trades, looks set to reclaim the throne in 2010.

The recent spike in U.S. bond yields, coinciding with a rally in the dollar against the yen, is flagging a return to the yen to fund carry trades -- the risky strategy of using a low-yielding currency to purchase assets in higher-yielding currencies in the search for better returns.


http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE6074X820100108

Syd 23:46 GMT January 10, 2010
AUD/USD Support Will Be Solid - NAB
Reply   
AUD/USD facing big week ahead on broad array of U.S. economic data and company earnings due, while rising risk sentiment and iron ore prices bodes well for commodity unit, says NAB FX strategist John Kyriakopoulos. "An environment of rising investor risk-appetite but no expected Fed rate hikes over the next six months or so should be supportive of AUD/USD. Pegs good support at 0.9090, resistance 0.9323. "It may take another strong jobs report on Thursday to trigger a break to a fresh high above 0.9406."
AUD/USD looks set for a positive week, likely trading as high as 0.9400 given robust China trade data and expected strong Australian employment numbers, says CBA FX Strategist Joseph Capurso. Notes rise in China imports bodes well for AUD. "Chinese imports are a good proxy for Aussie exports." "It looks like Aussie is going to have a pretty good week."
NZD/USD may push toward 0.7450-0.7500 in coming sessions if "risk appetite remains buoyant and optimism about the 2010 global outlook continues," says Bank of NZ strategist Mike Jones. On day says NZD/USD likely to face initial headwinds around 0.7420 with solid support on dips toward 0.7310.

Portugal has been warned it faces the possibility of a credit ratings downgrade unless measures are taken to reduce its budget deficit, The Financial Times reports on its Web site Sunday. Anthony Thomas, a senior sovereign risk analyst with Moody's credit rating agency, said Portugal must take "meaningful, credible steps," to reduce its deficit in order to avoid being downgraded, the FT reported.

Lahore FM 23:44 GMT January 10, 2010
Trade Ideas

USD,going forward more obviosuly a sell now!

San Diego LC 23:36 GMT January 10, 2010
XAU
Reply   
Pretty good opening gap up on gold...any news out?

Syd 22:31 GMT January 10, 2010
DJ Aussie Jobs May Give Reason To Buy AUD - RBC
Reply   
Australian December employment data due Thursday could be stronger than market expected gain of +10,000 jobs, giving AUD bulls another reason to buy, say RBC FX strategists. RBC expects 30,000 jobs added in month. "RBC sees upside risk to the market call and instead of a hindrance, employment data might well turn out to be another reason to buy AUD." AUD/USD last 0.9290

GVI Forex Futures 21:56 GMT January 10, 2010
Futures Building USD Shorts vs.SD?
Reply   
Missed the change in Euro FX futures on Thursday. My feed doesn't have it, but from th Wednesday close to Friday close, it increased by 5164 contracts. Looking only at the moving averages, it looks like momentum traders might have building longs in EURUSD.

GVI Forex Blog 21:41 GMT January 10, 2010 Reply   
A disappointing US payrolls report (85,000 jobs were shed in December compared to consensus of no change) dampened speculation the Fed would start raising the policy rate by June 2010

Forex Research - Morning Report

lkwd jj 21:20 GMT January 10, 2010
banking trouble
Reply   
FDIC said Horizon Bank in Washington state was closed over the weekend and Washington Federal Savings &nd Loan Assoc. will assume all of the failed bank's deposits of $1.1 bln. The FDIC pegged the cost to its deposit insurance fund at $513 mln. This marked the first bank failure in 2010 and now 162 banks have failed since the recession that began end-2007. There are 552 banks on FDIC "problem list". FDIC expects $100 bln in deposit related charges thru-2011. During S&L crisis from 1988-1992, 818 banks were shut down.

lkwd jj 21:05 GMT January 10, 2010
usdjpy
Reply   
usdjpy
Entry: 9225 Target: Stop:

sell on stop if we move below fridays post nfp lows. can open door to big gains. both 4hr and 8hr charts looking awful. nfp damage cant be cured so easy.maybe we test metal of new minister in japan on his "weak yen " policy with a move toward 90. figure.

dc CB 20:36 GMT January 10, 2010
Plunge Protection Team

PAR, you'll like this one.

Cerberus Capital

PAR 20:04 GMT January 10, 2010
Plunge Protection Team
Reply   
Transparency. Yes We Can.

Forbes: Why do you think the Federal Reserve needs to be audited?

Dr. Ron Paul: For lots of reasons. I don't believe in secrecy. I don't think anyone should have so much power that they can create money out of thin air and spend it and interfere in the markets and do central economic planning without any oversight. Congress has a responsibility to know what they're doing because they created the Fed, they're very, very important, and people benefit from their actions. And I'd like to know who benefits and who suffers the consequence. I just think that it would be in the interest of the people to know exactly what the Fed is doing.

sofia kaprikorn 14:07 GMT January 10, 2010
K.I.S Euro/usd

RF - I concur - you are definitely right both about this unconvinced price action after the NFP and the need for a clear Break..

Medan Ardent 13:49 GMT January 10, 2010
ArdFx System

I mean long usd chf. Bought usd sold Chf.

BTW: ArdFx is the system I create use my name "Ardent".

Juffair KaL 12:06 GMT January 10, 2010
MKT Opening

Might want to look at these for this week
or early Monday
gl
Pair
GBPUSD_h Sell
USDCAD_h Sell
EURAUD_h Sell
EURCAD_h Sell
GBPAUD_h Sell
EURNOK_h Sell
USDMXN_h Sell
CADJPY_h Buy
AUDNZD_h Buy
USDSEK_h Buy
EURSEK_h Buy
AUDCHF_h Buy

Juffair KaL 08:16 GMT January 10, 2010
MKT Opening

http://sites.google.com/site/sp500free/

all 50 pairs here

Juffair KaL 08:13 GMT January 10, 2010
MKT Opening

yes...
I think these would be efficiant entries
2-3 days
i do 4 for slower entires to get better avg

More here
gl
AUDUSD_h
Today Buy
High Low
0.9360 0.9145
0.9369 0.9136
0.9384 0.9122
0.9389 0.9117
Next day
0.9385 0.9199
0.9395 0.9193
0.9410 0.9183
0.9415 0.9179
USDCAD_h
Today Sell
High Low
1.0339 1.0130
1.0349 1.0121
1.0363 1.0107
1.0368 1.0103
Next day
1.0295 1.0112
1.0305 1.0106
1.0319 1.0096
1.0324 1.0093
NZDUSD_h
Today Sell
High Low
0.7415 0.7209
0.7424 0.7200
0.7438 0.7186
0.7443 0.7182
Next day
0.7397 0.7218
0.7406 0.7211
0.7420 0.7202
0.7425 0.7198
EURGBP_h
Today Buy
High Low
0.9152 0.8944
0.9161 0.8935
0.9176 0.8920
0.9180 0.8915
Next day
0.9183 0.9003
0.9192 0.8996
0.9207 0.8985
0.9211 0.8981

HK [email protected] 02:15 GMT January 10, 2010
K.I.S Euro/usd

sofia kaprikorn 22:49 GMT January 9, 2010

It is worth noting that the last upswing of Eur/Usd within the flag didn't even reach the upper flag trendline after the "good-bad" US data release.

For last Friday, seems as Euro bulls were not that convinced.

Some analysts even find some positives in the data, so fundamentals views are confused, then one has to wait for a convincing breakout of the flag pattern(up or down).

Porto Cubriclas 01:01 GMT January 10, 2010
ArdFx System

Medan Ardent you mean sell chf and not buy as you write.
GT & GL

USA ZEUS 00:53 GMT January 10, 2010
MKT Opening

Juffair KaL 14:18 GMT January 9, 2010

So you predict EUR/USD to trade between 1.4502 and 1.4202 during the next session? Otherwise not really sure how valuable levels every 20 pips in between are. I mean, how are they meant to be traded?

 




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