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Forex Forum Archive for 01/13/2010

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


GVI Forex Blog 23:37 GMT January 13, 2010 Reply   

Stocks Rally after Delayed Reaction to Friendly Beige Book Data

Syd 23:21 GMT January 13, 2010
Sell U.S. Dollar Against Euro, Japanese Yen, Standard Bank Says
Reply   
Jan. 13 (Bloomberg) -- Investors should sell the dollar against the euro and the yen, according to Standard Bank Plc.
“Our indicators have been positive of euro-dollar since January 5th,” Steven Barrow, head of Group of 10 currency strategy at Standard Bank in London, wrote in a note to clients today. “Our dollar-yen recommendation has turned short from long.” A short position is a bet that a security will fall.Investors should buy the euro targeting $1.4910 and end the trade at $1.4260, the bank said, and sell the dollar targeting 89.70 yen and end that trade if it reaches 93.30 yen.

The Bulls Are Naked

Citigroup Says Pound to Gain Versus Dollar: Technical Analysis

DJ Fed's Dudley: Rates To Stay Low For "Considerable" Period
DJ Fed's Dudley: "Extended Period" Means "At Least 6 Mos"-PBS
Fed's Dudley: Rate Hike Will Depend On How Econ Develops-PBS
Fed's Dudley: Sees Little Evidence Of Asset Bubbles - PBS

LJ BK 22:57 GMT January 13, 2010
Info
Reply   
San Diego bobl,

I read you constantly mention huge commercial obligations due this year as a possible catalyst for the next panic in the markets. Can you point me to some data... how much and when these obligations are due? TIA.

lkwd jj 22:48 GMT January 13, 2010
djpy

closed last sale from 50 at 35.

Syd 21:55 GMT January 13, 2010
DJ NZ Nov Dwelling Consents Excluding Apartments +3.1% Vs Oct
Reply   
he number of residential building permits issued in New Zealand continued to rise in November, data released Thursday showed, providing further evidence the country's emergence from recession is gaining momentum.
NZ's Adj Nov Dwelling Consents +1.2% Vs Oct
NZ's Adj Nov Dwelling Consents +21.3% Vs Yr Ago

San Diego bobl 21:33 GMT January 13, 2010
usd/jpy
Reply   
Sofia,

If you reference the daily charts and weekly charts, here at this level, it's a pretty clear picture. Your talents have grown a lot since your beginning of this forum.........with talents like Quindex, FM, ZEUS et al, however it is firm belief that the longer ranges of history, and direction, are the guiding lights until proven otherwise. jr and Jay keep us well informed of levels to keep an eye on...........bottom line, most experienced traders will advise you to look at the big picture, which I see you are doing more and more........it's how you trade the big picture that changes account balances, imho.

gl/gt

sofia kaprikorn 21:23 GMT January 13, 2010
USDJPY

thnx Purk!

USD/YEN - with 'normal' 110-130 range one would have thought that after yesterday yen moved in 170 range - today it needed a rest.. that's the psychological anchoring to the last emotional experience - once you have big range day one thinks next will be the same but market needs to gather strength..
thus only 60 in Yen today and it was just pivotal oscillation.
.....
GBP/USD made 170 so far with 155 'normal' avg range for the last 5-30 days and 190 for the last 200. that doesn't guarantee anything but just levers the odds of shorting the higher end..

btw the Tools&Data / FXChartPoins here in GV have all the relevant info in quite a handy format.

http://www.global-view.com/forex-trading-tools/chartpts.html

GVI Forex Blog 21:23 GMT January 13, 2010 Reply   
High-yielding currencies rallied on Wednesday, reversing losses in the prior session, as investors concluded China's unexpected monetary policy tightening would not derail the world's third-largest economy.

FOREX NEWS - High yield commodity bloc units rally; yen falls

GVI Forex Blog 21:10 GMT January 13, 2010 Reply   
21:00 GMT- Jan 13 (global-view.com) One of the most difficult thing about forex trading can be judging WHEN AND IF the markets are going to react to news. Wednesday was one of those sessions.

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- Its All in the Crosses

GVI Forex john 21:05 GMT January 13, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support


The Daily Forex View

Its All in the Crosses

21:00 GMT- Jan 13 (global-view.com)  One of the most difficult thing about forex trading can be judging WHEN AND IF  the markets are going to react to news. Wednesday was one of those sessions. Early in the day thee was a run higher in the EURUSD for reasons we never determined. 

MORE...

Hillegom Purk 21:04 GMT January 13, 2010
USDJPY

Adrian Mole?

Well today was the day of the 14585 e/u of UK J.B. i guess.
Me myself and i where looking again at a range of 100-120 sharp, longed and shorted whatever side.
Of course i can not hold longer than 1 hour because of my habit....
usd/jpy had no range to watch. Kaprikorn did a neat job to short some and gain some.
Sleep well, or have a nice evening or morning when you are in Ozmond or N-Z...

NYC va 20:45 GMT January 13, 2010
on board
Reply   
Buy USD/CAD
Entry: 1.0306 Target: open Stop: 1.0250ish

executed

PAR 20:45 GMT January 13, 2010
PPT
Reply   
Another profitable day for PPT and the FED . This year Bernanke s hedge fund will make more than $ 100 billion if jobless rate rises to 20 % .l

GVI Forex Blog 20:42 GMT January 13, 2010 Reply   
The effects of China's reserve requirement increase wore off after the Asian session (Shanghai equities closed down 3.1%), European indices closing slightly firmer and the S&P500 up 0.6% as we write.

Forex Research - Morning Report

lkwd jj 20:00 GMT January 13, 2010
djpy
Reply   
lkwd jj 19:47 GMT January 13, 2010
usdjpy: Reply
lkwd jj 16:24 GMT January 13, 2010
usdjpy: Reply
pivot 9137 50ma at 52. sold at 44.
----------------------
covered at 34 resold at 52.
-----------------------------
covered 38. resold 50. was away but orders hit . cats away , mice at play.

moscow mike 19:55 GMT January 13, 2010
USDCAD
Reply   
Buy USDCAD
Entry: 1.0413 Target: Stop:

According to structure view buy stop at 1.0413 should pay out good with a stop at last low.

This will work if current 1.0250 will hold before above level is hit.

Setting according orders now.

lkwd jj 19:47 GMT January 13, 2010
usdjpy
Reply   
lkwd jj 16:24 GMT January 13, 2010
usdjpy: Reply
pivot 9137 50ma at 52. sold at 44.
----------------------
covered at 34 resold at 52.

GVI Forex Blog 19:39 GMT January 13, 2010 Reply   
Fed's Beige Book paints mixed picture Obama to tax banks? MPC's Sentance puts bid in GBP

Forex Market Commentary and Analysis (13 January 2010)

sofia kaprikorn 19:36 GMT January 13, 2010
cable

well it would be nice to see with the Dynamic range tool which should be in your FT package but anyway..

to me cable is capped by 89dma/1.6311/ & 55dma/1.6367/ and 200dma - 1.6117 - that's why I assume we will test again the 1.6135 - 1.62 Support area

your charting and the lines drawn on the chart make sense but that is imho always up to the person how to interpret and what scenario to develop and trade. gl/gt!

USA ZEUS 19:36 GMT January 13, 2010
GBPUSD

BOY. GLGT

Medan Ardent 19:23 GMT January 13, 2010
cable

sofia, what do u think the neckline?

Medan Ardent 19:21 GMT January 13, 2010
cable

thanks, Sofia. Just add it at the chart.

sofia kaprikorn 19:09 GMT January 13, 2010
cable

ardent,
I see you use FibTrader - why don't you put the Dynamic Range + pivot tools - they add better perspective..

Medan Ardent 19:04 GMT January 13, 2010
cable
Reply   


cable daily chart
please comment these lines.

Lahore FM 18:19 GMT January 13, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy usdcad
Entry: Target: Stop:

long again on usdcad now at 1.0316 with ginko!

earlier stopped for some 50 pips.

tokyo ginko 18:00 GMT January 13, 2010
Long USD/CAD
Reply   
Buy USD/CAD
Entry: 1.0307 Target: 1.0850/60 Stop:

First Resistance 10460

lkwd jj 17:45 GMT January 13, 2010
cable

12/16/2009 high 164.10 next chart resistance.

Tokyo JT 17:40 GMT January 13, 2010
YEN

RF Only my Black Cat is Bearish on DlrYen.

lkwd jj 17:39 GMT January 13, 2010
cable
Reply   
150 ma and 20 ma converging at 16360ish. likely next target zone. cheers!

HK [email protected] 17:37 GMT January 13, 2010
YEN
Reply   
So many bearish views about the yen, so maybe that one will go back to 85 or lower?

Tokyo JT 17:24 GMT January 13, 2010
cable

EuroSterling would be pushed below previous trend line when this happened I guess..

I'll keep an eye on this coz I still have some longs in Sterling Yen hoping it'll get pushed up to 149.50-150ish.

HK Kevin 17:19 GMT January 13, 2010
cable

Cable may rise 100 pips more if 1.6310 broken.

Tokyo JT 17:12 GMT January 13, 2010
USDJPY

Dollar Yen looks more to me like a "Whac-A-Mole" Game.
Got hammered everytime it tries to rally above 40.



GENEVA JFO 17:08 GMT January 13, 2010
BACK IN THE MARKET

Sell eurusd
Entry: Target: Stop:

EXECUTED

=============================================
GENEVA JFO 16:32 GMT January 13, 2010
BACK IN THE MARKET: Reply
Sell eurusd
Entry: 1.4500 Target: later Stop: 1.4520

Take a chance on downside with 20 pips risk

Order in to sell at 1.4500

moscow mike 17:05 GMT January 13, 2010
GBPUSD
Reply   
Sell
Entry: Target: Stop:

Going short at 1.6295, stops at 1.6370.

Some serious resistance comes at 1.6300/70 zone.

Have MM room to fade higher before stop hits.

GT

lkwd jj 17:02 GMT January 13, 2010
USDJPY

fx turning into a game of cat and mouse !

sofia kaprikorn 17:01 GMT January 13, 2010
range extension trade

sorry - stops * 1.6344

sofia kaprikorn 17:00 GMT January 13, 2010
range extension trade

sofia kaprikorn 16:24 GMT January 13, 2010
...
went short GBP/USD 1.6268 with 1.6299 stop
--------------
added 1/2 at 1.6284 / avg 1.6276 - stops 1.6244

Tokyo JT 17:00 GMT January 13, 2010
USDJPY

Nothing to do with others....

It all happened accidentally...
But maybe my Black Cat telling me that would be the high for the day in DollarYen??? hehehe....

London SFH 16:44 GMT January 13, 2010
USDJPY

what is it with cats? Few people commented on that problem the other day....thankfully I have a dog..........

Tokyo JT 16:39 GMT January 13, 2010
USDJPY

Just got out of my long dollar yen @40 area...

No specific reasons...

My black cat running around my computer and push the button accidentally....

GENEVA JFO 16:32 GMT January 13, 2010
BACK IN THE MARKET
Reply   
Sell eurusd
Entry: 1.4500 Target: later Stop: 1.4520

Take a chance on downside with 20 pips risk

Order in to sell at 1.4500

lkwd jj 16:27 GMT January 13, 2010
cable
Reply   

Entry: 16296stop Target: 16340 Stop:

looks like eurgbp selling lifting this pair. gbp vs usd strong on its own for today.

tokyo ginko 16:27 GMT January 13, 2010
USDJPY

1.0460

lkwd jj 16:24 GMT January 13, 2010
usdjpy
Reply   
pivot 9137 50ma at 52. sold at 44.

sofia kaprikorn 16:24 GMT January 13, 2010
range extension trade

sofia kaprikorn 13:33 GMT January 13, 2010
placed GBP/USD sell orders at 1.6316 / 1.6336
global stop will be at 1.6376
---------------------------
removed limit orders
went short GBP/USD 1.6268 with 1.6299 stop

nyc ws 16:22 GMT January 13, 2010
EUR/USD

I had the early resistance trade right but did not expect this type of move.

GVI Forex Blog 16:20 GMT January 13, 2010 Reply   
Jan 13 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: In the Far East, Japan will see several closely followed releases. Australian employment data will be a major release. In Europe, the ECB decision is always a major event.

GVI Forex- Data Outlook for January 14, 2010

GVI Forex Blog 16:19 GMT January 13, 2010 Reply   
In currency trading, several factors helped the dollar to recover from session lows against European pairs.

Forex Blog - US Market Update (Trade the News)

Hong Kong Qindex 16:18 GMT January 13, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Buy EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : The market is stable when it is above the daily cycle matrix system of 1.4438 - 1.4464 - 1.4476. It is basically trapped between two ranges of 1.4438 - 1.4464 - 1.4476 and 1.4578 - 1.4648 - 1.4853. The neutral zone is 1.4476 - 1.4578.


EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/euro.html

GVI Forex john 16:16 GMT January 13, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Jan 13 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: In the Far East, Japan will see several closely followed releases. Australian employment data will be a major release. In Europe, the ECB decision is always a major event. In North America, top-tier data will be retail sales and weekly jobless claims. The $13.0 bln 30-yr bond auction will be a closely watched event.

23:50

JA

Nov Mach Ords

0.20%

-4.50%

23:50

JA

Dec CGPI mm

0.00%

0.10%

23:50

JA

Dec CGPI yy

-3.90%

-4.90%

 

 

THURSDAY

 

 

0:30

AU

Dec Employment

10000

30800

0:30

AU

Dec Unemploy

5.70%

5.70%

12:45

EZ

ECB Rates (1.00%)

unch

unch

13:30

EZ

ECB Trichet

n/a

n/a

13:30

US

Dec Imp Prices

-0.10%

1.70%

13:30

US

Dec Retail Sls

0.40%

1.30%

13:30

US

Dec R-S x-auto

0.30%

1.20%

13:30

US

Wk Initial Claims

435K

424K

13:30

US

WK Cont Claims

4.750M

4.802M

15:00

US

Nov Bus Inv

0.20%

0.20%

15:30

US

DOE Nat Gas bcf

424K

424K

18:00

US

TRY 30-yr

n/a

n/a

 

 

FRIDAY

 

 

10:00

EZ

Dec HICP yy

0.90%

0.50%

10:00

EZ

Dec HICP x-f&e yy

0.90%

1.00%

10:00

EZ

Nov Trade EURb

4.5

8.8

13:30

US

Jan Empire PMI

12

2.6

13:30

US

Dec CPI mm

0.20%

0.40%

13:30

US

Dec core CPI

0.10%

0.00%

14:15

US

Dec Ind Prod

0.60%

0.80%

14:15

US

Dec Cap Util

71.70%

71.30%

14:55

US

Janp U Mich Sent

74

72.5

 

GVI Forex Jay 15:55 GMT January 13, 2010
EUR/USD
Reply   
Greece concerns were behind the sharp eur/usd retreat. As posted on GVI Forex:

GVI Forex john 15:22 GMT January 13, 2010
Headlines and Discussion: Reply
Greece's Sovereign CDS Spreads 20 Bps Wider At 298 Bps

HK [email protected] 15:54 GMT January 13, 2010
Premature idea
Reply   
Sometimes during the course of price action, we may revise a target.

That H$S if materializes, may destroy the bullish pattern which has developed over some period and.....Watch for the possibility of AUSSIE retracing all the way down to where it began...87.xx.

Anyway forgive my premature imagination :]

London SEB 15:52 GMT January 13, 2010
UK/JB
Reply   
U.K J.B 07:46 GMT January 12, 2010
euro: Reply
I think after that little shake out in early trading to 1.4450 area we will see a slightly higher euro today towards 1.4585 area before another sell off. GT

JB, if you are around i would really appreciate any view. Do you think we are in any particular trend here ?? i bought the dip and shorted earlier today so running short at the moment but was thinking of taking back ...

USA ZEUS 15:45 GMT January 13, 2010
EUR futures Delta
Reply   


EUR/USD 8 min futures market delta. Pretty easy to see the one way flow. LOL

Viet Nam Forex Begin 15:45 GMT January 13, 2010
Forex Signal : 30 pips Daily !
Reply   
Buy USD/CHF
Entry: 1.0189 Target: 1.0219 Stop: 1.0159

Wednesday, 13 January 2010 15:44 GMT

Fee Signals for afternoon today

HK [email protected] 15:44 GMT January 13, 2010
FOR THE TIME BEING....
Reply   
It was not a bad idea.....>

HK [email protected] 05:45 GMT January 13, 2010
God may forbid but...: Reply
I think 92.50 may be a price where Aus may be shorted.

----------------------------------------------------------------

Now that Aussie have charted a H&S the bold trader may take the risk of waiting the break of the neckline for big spoils.l

USA ZEUS 15:43 GMT January 13, 2010
SP500 8 min Delta
Reply   


SP 500 futures 8 min market delta.

lkwd jj 15:37 GMT January 13, 2010
USDJPY


Entry: 9112stop Target: 8990 Stop: 9056

below 91.12 opens doors for fresh dive to new lows for move.

Juffair KaL 15:32 GMT January 13, 2010
24 hrs
Reply   
going with gbpchf shorts for new lows
@1.63 area
eurchf short new lows

Amman wfakhoury 15:25 GMT January 13, 2010
gbpusd series
Reply   
London GB 12:12 GMT January 13, 2010
------
thks for your comment , and this type of short term signal is done within 24-72 hours ;and its manouvers
in range of 200 pips maximum then it will touch the
said point again , if you use 1/20 of your equity and keep
your postion ,you will make good profit.

GVI Forex john 15:25 GMT January 13, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

We honestly felt earlier that our EURUSD "psychological" pivot point. 1.4500 was out of play. I guess I was wrong...

NYC ET 15:18 GMT January 13, 2010
equities/fx
Reply   
FX market (dollar higher) and equities (lower) seem to be in correlation here today

moscow mike 15:16 GMT January 13, 2010
USDJPY
Reply   
moscow mike 14:35 GMT January 12, 2010
USDJPY: Reply
USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

Uptrend supporting zone comes at 90.60/91.00
Below 90.00 view is somewhat negative for another leg higher in nearest term.
=========

Buy USDJPY
Entry: 90.80 Target: 95+ Stop: 90.30

longing u/j here as planned before
=============

Stop set to 90.88, target same

lkwd jj 15:11 GMT January 13, 2010
USD/JPY

50 ma on hourly is 9154. high? 52. need a break above to change short term direction.

nj jf 15:09 GMT January 13, 2010
USD/JPY

fair point - my choice of word wasn't the best - but the meaning remains - people with other views don't have to agree with you nor you with them... gt.

USA ZEUS 15:02 GMT January 13, 2010
USD/JPY

nj jf 14:56 GMT January 13, 2010

Nice to hear from you jf.
However, I respectfully disagree with your tone. Not sure what you mean by that. For one, I am not looking for "respect". That is what street gangs and thugs are seeking. I am simply in hot pursuit of elite success in my trading. I am always willing to share thoughts and trades in real time. I am oft criticized for my market views. Oddly, those who attack and criticize rarely if ever contend in real time to take an opposite market stance. If I reply to someone who attacks me and my trades then perhaps you might say it is "fair and balanced"

Cheers!

nj jf 14:56 GMT January 13, 2010
USD/JPY

Z .. models/results/trades speak for themselves - anyone who has been here for some time knows the good trades and the bad - but if you would step back slightly and not engage in sniping people everytime they say something you don't like - you would get a little more respect.

USA ZEUS 14:43 GMT January 13, 2010
USD/JPY

91.50 locked for some one-way Dennis style gains.

Cheers!

GENEVA JFO 14:38 GMT January 13, 2010
Off for two hours
Reply   
Will come back in about 2 hours for some scalp...

nyc ws 14:37 GMT January 13, 2010
Took profit at 1.4575

This worked:

nyc ws 12:58 GMT January 13, 2010
Took profit at 1.4575: Reply
There appears to be selling interest at 1.4580

USA ZEUS 14:24 GMT January 13, 2010
USD/JPY

USA ZEUS 17:40 GMT January 12, 2010
USD/JPY: Reply
The Zeus serial dependence non-linear auto-regreesive heteroskedasticly optimized quadratic polynomial stochastic calculus index will allow USD/JPY to rise.
Buy now and on any dip is the low risk trade.
______________________________________________________

Looking back on forward ideas.
Guess what works, works.

GVI Forex Blog 14:12 GMT January 13, 2010 Reply   

Equities Poised to Open Steady to Better

GVI Forex Blog 14:09 GMT January 13, 2010 Reply   

U.S. Dollar Trading Weaker after Volatile Overnight Session

Hong Kong Qindex 14:04 GMT January 13, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Buy EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : Critical Resistance 1.4885


As shown in the monthly cycle charts the odds are in favor of taking a long position when the market is above 1.4353. The current expected trading range is 1.4353 and 1.4860. The mid-point reference between 1.4353 - 1.4860 is 1.4606. It is likely that the market will tackle the daily cycle matrix system at 1.4777 - 1.4824 - 1.4844. In the mean time the market is going to consolidate within the weekly cycle matrix system at 1.4578 - 1.4648 - 1.4853.



EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/euro.html

sofia kaprikorn 13:33 GMT January 13, 2010
range extension trade
Reply   
placed GBP/USD sell orders at 1.6316 / 1.6336
global stop will be at 1.6376

GVI Forex Blog 13:28 GMT January 13, 2010 Reply   
Martin Wolf of the Financial Times has brought back the common comparison to Japan’s lost decade ... in hopes of conveying the similarities between Japan then and the US now.

Lessons to be learned.

GVI Forex Jay 13:28 GMT January 13, 2010
Zeus trades

Zeus, you should start a thread in our Nuts and Bolts section to discuss that. In that way there is more space and time to carry on a longer and more in depth discussion.

USA ZEUS 13:26 GMT January 13, 2010
Zeus trades

Dennis- What good does "in the rears" analysis i.e. "one-way market" do for current and future positions? Seems akin to driving down the street while focused in the rear view mirror no?

Gen dk 13:25 GMT January 13, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

USA ZEUS 13:24 GMT January 13, 2010
Zeus trades

What does "catch a falling knife" mean if each price is not serially dependent on the prior?

LDN, SF, NYC, PAR 13:12 GMT January 13, 2010
Zeus trades

nyc 13:03 GMT January 13, 2010
no

nyc 13:03 GMT January 13, 2010
Zeus trades

Zeus, taking paranoia pills this morning?

USA ZEUS 12:59 GMT January 13, 2010
Zeus trades
Reply   
Everyone going to bash Zeus today for his forward looking trades? Dennis?

nyc ws 12:58 GMT January 13, 2010
Took profit at 1.4575

There appears to be selling interest at 1.4580

London SFH 12:51 GMT January 13, 2010
Trade Ideas

Gotchya...gold these days is like swimming in the sea with sharks..anyway has been for these these past dew sessions....gl/gt

Lahore FM 12:50 GMT January 13, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy usdcad
Entry: 1.0338 Target: Stop: 1.0290

long now.

Lahore FM 12:48 GMT January 13, 2010
Trade Ideas

thanx SFH!

neither oil nor gold.last oil short was stopped for a dollar and some cents above 80 a week ago.

London SFH 12:46 GMT January 13, 2010
Trade Ideas

nice trade fm, are you in oil or gold at the mom?

Lahore FM 12:44 GMT January 13, 2010
Trade Ideas

01/08/2010 17:08:21 FM Lahore 20
Lahore FM 15:11 GMT January 8, 2010
Trade Ideas: Reply
Buy eurusd
Entry: Target: Stop:

added to previous long 1.43210 at 1.4318 now.

stop 1.4290.
--
half outed now at 1.4370 for 52+.stops raised to entry.
--
long 1.4318 closed remainder 1/2 now at 1.4563 for 245+ in all.

GVI Forex 12:43 GMT January 13, 2010
Took profit at 1.4575

We publish a full set of chart points and indicators daily at:

Forex Chart Points

For example:
Using the daily pivot point (1.4496) for the eur/usd:

Res 2 = 1.4590
Res 3 = 1.4633

tokyo ginko 12:41 GMT January 13, 2010
Took profit at 1.4575

yes agreed.

time to build shorts from slowly from 1.4570 - 1.4650

GT all

sofia kaprikorn 12:40 GMT January 13, 2010
91.37 central pivot trade

sofia kaprikorn 09:21 GMT January 13, 2010
91.37 central pivot trade: Reply
went short USD/YEN 91.42 - SL 91.76
____________________
closed here at 91.20 for +22

London SFH 12:35 GMT January 13, 2010
cable

Hi Kapricorn..I dont mind at all..

The premise I was using was resistance at
1.6235 (38.2% of 1.6880/1.5830)...no big deal i thought I would try it out plus I thought cable looked abit overbought...

sofia kaprikorn 12:31 GMT January 13, 2010
cable

Steve (if you allow me addressing you like this),

GV data shows R1: 1.6270 / R3: 1.6346 (I'd short it around 1.6315-35 as 89-DMA will cap at 1.6311)

I believe you had Jan 04 1.6240 High in mind as Res level for the short?
gl/gt!

USA ZEUS 12:30 GMT January 13, 2010
Wonderful Wednesday
Reply   
Looks like some great flow pattern trades today for the octaves.

GENEVA JFO 12:29 GMT January 13, 2010
Took profit at 1.4575

tokyo ginko 12:23 GMT January 13, 2010

Thank you ginko.

I think that a lot of shorts will start to run from now!

tokyo ginko 12:23 GMT January 13, 2010
Took profit at 1.4575

Good Trade!

GENEVA JFO 12:20 GMT January 13, 2010
Took profit at 1.4575
Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

I took the profit from 1.4301 at 1.4575 for 274 pips.

I wait to re-enter later.

GVI Forex john 12:19 GMT January 13, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

EURUSD based on pivot points vs. Tuesday close: Resistance 1.4539 (breached), 1.4590, then 1.4633.

Click on link below for table of chart trading points...

Click for Complete Chart Points

GVI Forex john 12:16 GMT January 13, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Click for Complete Chart Points

 

1/12/2010

EURUSD

USDJPY

USDCHF

GBPUSD

USDCAD

Close

1.4487

90.95

1.0182

1.6162

1.0400

High

1.4548

92.43

1.0209

1.6194

1.0414

Low

1.4454

90.74

1.0145

1.6064

1.0314

Mov avgs

EURUSD

USDJPY

USDCHF

GBPUSD

USDCAD

5 day

1.4431

92.24

1.0236

1.6052

1.0339

10 day

1.4390

92.40

1.0287

1.6075

1.0401

20 day

1.4375

91.75

1.0346

1.6059

1.0474

50 day

1.4684

90.00

1.0222

1.6349

1.0529

100 day

1.4672

90.53

1.0277

1.6304

1.0617

200 day

1.4262

93.35

1.0617

1.6122

1.1009

Pivots

1.4496

91.37

1.0179

1.6140

1.0376

 

GVI Forex Chart Gallery. Printable FX Charts

 

Singapore PW 12:13 GMT January 13, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
Stops! Nice setup.

London SFH 12:12 GMT January 13, 2010
cable

Stopped myself out of that one, so much for resistence at 1.6240 level...

London GB 12:12 GMT January 13, 2010
gbpusd series

Amman, the problem traders like SFH have with your calls is the lack of a stop and rarely admitting a losing trade (which we all have). For example, what happened to this trade. Are you still short? Are you still looking for 1.6100?

Amman wfakhoury 18:23 GMT January 12, 2010
gbpusd series: Reply
we are in sell since 16185 according my previous call. tp 16100

If there was an accounting or some hint of money management, there would be no problem as many of your calls turn out to be good ones.

It would be different if you were trading your own money rather than giving advice.

Take this constructively.

GVI Forex Futures 12:11 GMT January 13, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Total EURO FX futures Open Interest increased 7,629 on Tuesday. We assume traders were accumulating more longs. Its hard to imagine anything else based on the moving averages.

1.4500 is a pretty obvious psychological pivot point. The "official" calculated pivot point today was 1.4496 based on yesterday's range. We were trading around that level early in N.Y., but the upward momentum has driven us a lot higher.

GVI Forex Blog 11:57 GMT January 13, 2010 Reply   

FX Thoughts for the day : 13-Jan-2010 - 1155 GMT

GVI Forex Blog 11:45 GMT January 13, 2010 Reply   
The dollar steadied on Wednesday while the yen fell broadly as investors concluded China's surprise monetary tightening the previous day would not derail growth, supporting higher-yielding currencies.

FOREX NEWS - Dollar steadies, yen falls after China moves

GVI Forex john 11:40 GMT January 13, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

U.S. Data @ 12:00 GMT

Weekly Mortgage Statistics


Weekly Mortgage Statistics are released by the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). Total mortgage applications are the headline figure. They are then broken down into (1) new mortgage applications and (2) refinance applications. Both items by themselves are more revealing than the total number. The latest 30-year mortgage interest rate is released as well.

IMPACT: These data provide an early read on the state of the housing market.

London 11:40 GMT January 13, 2010
cable

Please dont tell me you followed the scam master by selling stg ?? .Mind you his strict risk management should help. Oh i forgot he does not have one as he never puts in any stop. I think the professionals on this site appreciate my words.

London Misha 11:39 GMT January 13, 2010
Observations
Reply   
EURUSD - Bearish Harami or possibly a Doji on the Daily Chart!
USDJPY - Three Black Crows on the Daily Chart!
GBPUSD - First close over the Long MA!
USDCHF - Possible bull Harami on the Daily Chart.
EURGBP - Approaching Long MA support!
EURJPY - Open long Black Marubozo on the Daily Chart. First close under the Long MA!
USDCAD - Two White Soldiers on the Daily Chart!
AUDUSD - Open long Black Marubozo on the Daily Chart!
NZDUSD - Golden Cross of the Short MA over the Medium MA. Market may be forming a Bow Tie formation with three MA's!

GENEVA JFO 11:34 GMT January 13, 2010
1.4550 broken soon
Reply   
Buy eurusd
Entry: Target: Stop:

Expect 1.4575 and 1.4630 reached during NY session...

Juffair KaL 11:18 GMT January 13, 2010
24 hrs
Reply   
EURGBP Sell 0.8912 0.8928 0.8944 0.8960

selling

GENEVA JFO 11:07 GMT January 13, 2010
range trading

DONE

==============================================
GENEVA JFO 10:25 GMT January 13, 2010
range trading: Reply
Buy eurusd
Entry: 1.4506 Target: 1.4525 Stop: 1.4490

Still long at 1.4301 and wait the end of the week to see it higher above 1.4575

Just bought more at 1.4506 for 20 pips with a close stop 1.4490

London SFH 11:05 GMT January 13, 2010
gbpusd series

London 10:59 GMT January 13, 2010
gbpusd series: Reply

Odd that you feel that strongly yet fail to identify yourself...

Roma dirk 11:04 GMT January 13, 2010
GBPUSD
Reply   
i am long on this market and remain long untill 08.00 NY time of Jan 14....

Amman wfakhoury 11:04 GMT January 13, 2010
gbpusd series
Reply   
London 10:59 GMT January 13, 2010
---------------
we are in the mid of my call , and we did good profit till now
the accuracy in my call will proof whom is scam here.

Just come and apologize at the end of the call ,dont melt in sh-t as usual.

GVI Forex Blog 11:02 GMT January 13, 2010 Reply   
Currencies: The GBP was firmer against the majors with dealers attributing the strength to press comments from BOE's Sentence. The central banker commented that the BOE had done enough to stimulate the UK economy and prompted a string of GBP short-covering.

European Market Update: Recent Chinese reserve hike being blamed for global, price movements

London 10:59 GMT January 13, 2010
gbpusd series

As i clearly stated you dont risk your own money because you are a scam. I am clearing warning people against you. I dont offer or charge for a service , unlike you.

GVI Forex Blog 10:56 GMT January 13, 2010 Reply   
11:00 GMT- Jan 13 (global-view.com) Based on the shorter-term moving averages, the USD remains heavy. Data due for release from the U.S. this morning are not likely to be decisive for trading, but the TONE of the Fed Beige Book this afternoon could certainly be influential...

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- USD Performance Has Been Disappointing

GVI Forex Blog 10:53 GMT January 13, 2010 Reply   
Traders anticipate the publication of the Initial Jobless Claims report tomorrow, January 14.

Forexpros Daily Analysis - 13/01/2010

GVI Forex john 10:53 GMT January 13, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support


The Daily Forex View

USD Performance Has Been Disappointing

11:00 GMT- Jan 13 (global-view.com) Based on the shorter-term moving averages, the USD remains heavy. Data due for release from the U.S. this morning are not likely to be decisive for trading, but the TONE of the Fed Beige Book this afternoon could certainly be influential...

MORE...

Amman wfakhoury 10:52 GMT January 13, 2010
gbpusd series
Reply   
London 10:40 GMT January 13, 2010
=======
Yes it is posibble to rise again ,but this rise will not be big
as you think ,using enough money and good risk managment
will overcome this problem.
It will be more useful if you show us your proven strategy
iso of mine.

Roma dirk 10:50 GMT January 13, 2010
USDCHF
Reply   
just to have a confort.....here the forecast of USDCHF...short untill 12.00 NY time of Jan 15....the vertical green line....



http://clip2net.com/page/m0/3391920

London SFH 10:48 GMT January 13, 2010
cable
Reply   
Sell Cable
Entry: 1.6240 Target: 1,6120 Stop: 1.6290

Gone short here to test resistance level..

London 10:40 GMT January 13, 2010
gbp/usd series.

WFAK , never worries if the position goes against him in a big way with big losses because he does not risk his own capital...

Good luck anyone who follows him you will need it..

Roma dirk 10:36 GMT January 13, 2010
Hi to all
Reply   
this is my first post here....I trade using my forecast in conjuction with some other tool.....for example now i am long on EURUSD from 1.4443 and remain long untill 12.00 NY time of 15 of Jan......there is a good chance to reenter long today at 0800 NY time of today.....in my charts there are 2 future lines....the green is the future of our universe and the red is the future of multiverse.......the market follow one of this lines and when they cross ,the market can change future line....so' here the chart...teh vertical red line is when i'll close the long and is the date that i wrote......in any case be carefull...are only forecast....hehheehehe.....

http://clip2net.com/page/m0/3391777

Syd 10:31 GMT January 13, 2010
Rate rise likely in Feb, egged on by lending finance
Reply   
CommSec economist Savanth Sebastian said the central bank board would be encouraged by the figures ahead of its first meeting for 2010 on February 2.
"Annual lending is tracking higher," Mr Sebastian said.
"The pick up in borrowing (shown in) the latest result is due to an improvement in economic conditions and... it's clear that the improvements in job security are giving people more confidence.
http://www.smh.com.au/business/rate-rise-likely-in-feb-egged-on-by-lending-finance-20100113-m64g.html

GENEVA JFO 10:25 GMT January 13, 2010
range trading
Reply   
Buy eurusd
Entry: 1.4506 Target: 1.4525 Stop: 1.4490

Still long at 1.4301 and wait the end of the week to see it higher above 1.4575

Just bought more at 1.4506 for 20 pips with a close stop 1.4490

Amman wfakhoury 10:18 GMT January 13, 2010
gbp/usd series.
Reply   
London hmk 10:13 GMT January 13, 2010
-------
Dont worry , price will touch today 16185 at least , our entry point.

London hmk 10:13 GMT January 13, 2010
gbpusd series

yes sold at 1.6248 1/3 portion of the position thnks for care

Amman wfakhoury 10:11 GMT January 13, 2010
gbpusd series
Reply   
London hmk 08:30 GMT January 13, 2010
======
pls adv if you sold around 16250 as my call inorder to follow
your trade.

Hong Kong Qindex 10:09 GMT January 13, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Hang Seng Index
Entry: Target: Stop:

Hang Seng Index : Critical Support 21099


As shown in the monthly cycle directional indicator the market is heading towards the significant level at 21031. The market is under pressure when it is below the weekly cycle pivot centers at 22782 - 22882 - 23042. Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market is trading below the daily cycle matrix system at 21500 - 21770 - 21998. The monthly cycle charts also indicates that the bias is on the downside when the market is below 22586. The current value is 21748.6.


Hang Seng Index : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/hsi.html

Amman wfakhoury 10:04 GMT January 13, 2010
gbpusd series
Reply   
London hmk 08:30 GMT January 13, 2010
gbpusd series: Reply
yes still short as yesterday target was 1.61 , pls what to do now , shall we reverse buy or keep short

======
yes , price will touch again 16080 , so keep on your sell.

Tokyo JT 09:27 GMT January 13, 2010
91.37 central pivot trade

Hmmmm....
Maybe sell higher...a few pips above your SL...

sofia kaprikorn 09:21 GMT January 13, 2010
91.37 central pivot trade
Reply   
went short USD/YEN 91.42 - SL 91.76

hk ooozmeeh 09:20 GMT January 13, 2010
GBPUSD
Reply   


GBPUSD Chart behavior (daily chart)
Cable enters the middle consolidation range of its 8-month consolidation period since HJune 2009, the question is will it hold and target the 1.66 level again?, fwiw

Syd 09:04 GMT January 13, 2010
Risk Aversion Hits JPY This Time Around? Citigroup
Reply   
The JPY appears to be taking the knock to risk appetite this time around. As Citigroup notes, poor initial earnings results, Chinese monetary tightening and a renewed deterioration in the US trade balance have put a forceful dampener on risk. "But it was the JPY, rather than the USD, that took the brunt of the risk retrenchment this time," the bank says.

Viet Nam Forex Begin 08:49 GMT January 13, 2010
Forex Signal : 30 pips Daily !
Reply   
Sell EUR/USD
Entry: 1.4486 Target: 1.4456 Stop: 1.4516

Wednesday, 13 January 2010 08:50 GMT

The average lines of GBP/USD, EUR/USD, AUD/USD on 1 hour and 4 hour time frame are moving up.

But I believe that they will move down on the next time. Happy trading!

Free Signals for morning today

London hmk 08:30 GMT January 13, 2010
gbpusd series

yes still short as yesterday target was 1.61 , pls what to do now , shall we reverse buy or keep short

Juffair KaL 08:21 GMT January 13, 2010
nzdusd

nzdusd new output
i am selling around the highs
Today Sell
High Low
0.7394 0.7316
0.7413 0.7297
0.7433 0.7277
0.7453 0.7258
Next day
0.7328 0.7251
0.7348 0.7232
0.7367 0.7212
0.7387 0.7193

Juffair KaL 08:18 GMT January 13, 2010
24 hrs

this is the output
GBPUSD Buy 1.6258 1.6304 1.6351 1.6397
from a 5 hrs ago
I am using 15 mintues data

this new out put
seems like a buy

maybe the usdjpy is about to do something crazy..I do not know
Today Buy
High Low
1.6329 1.6156
1.6373 1.6113
1.6416 1.6070
1.6460 1.6027
Next day
1.6465 1.6291
1.6509 1.6248
1.6553 1.6205
1.6597 1.6162

Juffair KaL 08:13 GMT January 13, 2010
nzdusd
Reply   
placing these for us session

NZDUSD Sell 0.7420 0.7444 0.7467 0.7491

Nairobi Ken 08:12 GMT January 13, 2010
24 hrs

Sell GBP/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

The gbp/usd might dive back down after a rally up

Juffair KaL 08:06 GMT January 13, 2010
24 hrs

eurjpy
and gbpjpy might dive bad folks

Juffair KaL 07:55 GMT January 13, 2010
24 hrs

gbpjpy daily
a sell Longer term
this is the same as gven before 2 3 4 5 sigma
Useless here but good to keep in mind i guess

Today Sell
High Low
148.5531 124.7451
154.9075 119.3833
161.3941 114.2564
168.0129 109.3492
Next 30 days
141.0421 117.9065
147.2245 112.6978
153.5390 107.7174
159.9857 102.9504

I guess EURUSD Longer term is a buy
eurusd
Today Buy
High Low
1.5556 1.4261
1.5891 1.3956
1.6230 1.3661
1.6571 1.3373
Next 30 day
1.5562 1.4266
1.5897 1.3961
1.6235 1.3665
1.6576 1.3378

HK SEC 07:40 GMT January 13, 2010
gbpusd series

Why would anyone follow you. You are unreliable and inconsistant.

Lahore FM 07:37 GMT January 13, 2010
Trade Ideas

01/12/2010 17:38:06 FM Lahore 6

Buy eurgbp
Entry: 0.8973 Target: Stop: 0.8940
long now.
--
did not work for me.minus 33 here.

Amman wfakhoury 07:35 GMT January 13, 2010
gbpusd series
Reply   
we were in sell at 16185 , pls adv if anyone still in sell or exited with some profit as price declined till around 16140.

Hong Kong Qindex 06:42 GMT January 13, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Sell Crude Oil
Entry: Target: Stop:

Crude Oil : Critical Resistance 83.41


As shown in the monthly cycle charts the bias is on the downside when the market is below 83.41. The market is under pressure when it is trading below the weekly cycle pivot centers at 82.48 - 83.70 - 83.81. Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market is able to penetrate through the supporting range at 78.04 - 79.86. The current expected trading range from the monthly cycle is 72.68 - 83.41.



Crude Oil : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/crude-oil.html

Portland 06:42 GMT January 13, 2010 Reply   
Nuts and Bolts: Trading Strategies Forum

I will post my trades here after new year...just want to proof it that Trading Forex possible & profitable...I...

THREAD: NO NEGATIVE MONTH PERFORMANCE! UPDATED

Hillegom Purk 06:39 GMT January 13, 2010
USD/JPY

forgot: range 100-120.

Hillegom Purk 06:37 GMT January 13, 2010
USD/JPY

All usd/jpy longs where targeted last night. Waiting for new range. Dick was not too late...

HK [email protected] 05:45 GMT January 13, 2010
God may forbid but...

I think 92.50 may be a price where Aus may be shorted.

Syd 05:30 GMT January 13, 2010
Australia Skilled Labor Shortage Looms As Headache For Policy Makers
Reply   
The Housing Industry Association, which represents Australia's major home builders, said Wednesday the shortage of skilled workers in residential construction is set to blow out to almost 65,000 nationally by 2012-13. There will be a shortfall of 59,400 construction workers in 2009-10 year alone, it added.The comments could be a harbinger of a broader problem for the economy over coming years with Australia's unemployment rate looking as if it has already peaked below 6.0%. With the economy forecast to return to average rates of growth in 2010, unemployment could be falling by year end, according to economists.The problems facing policy makers over the next year to 18 months are set to be vastly different from those in 2008-09 when the financial crisis hobbled the world economy.

Michael Blythe, chief economist at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia, said with a construction upswing getting underway in 2010, and a surge in infrastructure spending also anticipated, the prospect of an "inflationary impulse" in the economy is high.The risk is that the skills crunch also feeds into higher house prices, an outcome the Reserve Bank of Australia said in late 2009 would be disappointing. The RBA raised interest rates three times in the final months of 2009, with financial markets expecting it to continue the trend in the first quarter of 2010.Andrew Hanlan, senior economist at Westpac, said the potential for the emergence of an inflation problem in 2011 is real and the RBA will be mindful of that as it tightens monetary policy in 2010.

For policy makers, the laundry list of problems emerging over the medium term will resemble closely those of the first half of the last decade, when the economy ran at full capacity.Hanlan said strong population growth could ease some of the concerns about limited skilled labor but it will not take long for spare capacity to be used up in the economy bringing inflation onto the radar in 2011. The RBA has already highlighted its concerns in this regard.

hk nt 05:27 GMT January 13, 2010
God may forbid but...

can you suggest entry and exit levels? thanks

HK [email protected] 05:23 GMT January 13, 2010
God may forbid but...
Reply   


.....Aussie (AUS/USD) looks like on the way to chart a bearish H&S
formation.

Seems like the job report may have been already discounted.

Juffair KaL 05:22 GMT January 13, 2010
24 hrs

lows for it today
144.4082 143.8560 143.3064 142.7592

these are the highs
GBPJPY Sell 146.6392 147.2003 147.7625 148.3256

@ 2 3 4 & 5 sigma
better short it

Juffair KaL 05:17 GMT January 13, 2010
24 hrs

adding a few more
AUDJPY Sell 83.2094 83.6951 84.1821 84.6706
CADJPY Sell 86.8703 87.2946 87.7199 88.1462

chennai neo 05:14 GMT January 13, 2010
24 hrs

u mean to say gbp jpy wil go to 146.** in few more hrs.. or b4 day ends??? awaiting ur reply..thanks..

Juffair KaL 05:06 GMT January 13, 2010
24 hrs

last posts was the highs
these are the lows

EURUSD 1.4379 1.4348 1.4317 1.4285
USDJPY 89.3242 88.9808 88.6388 88.2982
GBPUSD 1.6075 1.6030 1.5984 1.5939
USDCHF 1.0171 1.0150 1.0129 1.0108
EURCHF 1.4727 1.4714 1.4701 1.4689
AUDUSD 0.9061 0.9030 0.8999 0.8968
USDCAD 1.0414 1.0384 1.0354 1.0323
NZDUSD 0.7326 0.7303 0.7280 0.7257
EURGBP 0.8900 0.8884 0.8869 0.8854
EURJPY 129.0559 128.5888 128.1236 127.6605
GBPJPY 144.4082 143.8560 143.3064 142.7592
CHFJPY 87.4804 87.1738 86.8686 86.5646
GBPCHF 1.6439 1.6402 1.6366 1.6329
EURAUD 1.5741 1.5697 1.5654 1.5610
EURCAD 1.5054 1.5013 1.4972 1.4930
AUDCAD 0.9499 0.9469 0.9439 0.9409
AUDJPY 81.2841 80.8097 80.3384 79.8701
CADJPY 85.1859 84.7696 84.3555 83.9436
NZDJPY 65.7543 65.3985 65.0450 64.6936
GBPAUD 1.7583 1.7520 1.7458 1.7396

Juffair KaL 05:04 GMT January 13, 2010
24 hrs

for the next few hours...if you want to enter

EURUSD Sell 1.4506 1.4538 1.4569 1.4601
USDJPY Sell 90.7107 91.0593 91.4087 91.7587
GBPUSD Buy 1.6258 1.6304 1.6351 1.6397
USDCHF Buy 1.0255 1.0277 1.0298 1.0319
EURCHF Sell 1.4777 1.4790 1.4803 1.4816
AUDUSD Sell 0.9187 0.9219 0.9250 0.9282
USDCAD Buy 1.0537 1.0568 1.0599 1.0630
NZDUSD Sell 0.7420 0.7444 0.7467 0.7491
EURGBP Sell 0.8962 0.8978 0.8994 0.9009
EURJPY Sell 130.9422 131.4164 131.8915 132.3674
GBPJPY Sell 146.6392 147.2003 147.7625 148.3256
CHFJPY Sell 88.7184 89.0296 89.3413 89.6535
GBPCHF Buy 1.6586 1.6622 1.6659 1.6696
EURAUD Buy 1.5917 1.5961 1.6005 1.6050
EURCAD Buy 1.5220 1.5262 1.5304 1.5346
AUDCAD Sell 0.9621 0.9651 0.9682 0.9712
AUDJPY Sell 83.2094 83.6951 84.1821 84.6706
CADJPY Sell 86.8703 87.2946 87.7199 88.1462
NZDJPY Sell 67.1967 67.5603 67.9249 68.2905
GBPAUD Buy 1.7835 1.7898 1.7962 1.8025

Juffair KaL 05:00 GMT January 13, 2010
24 hrs

EURJPY Sell 130.9422 131.4164 131.8915 132.3674
GBPJPY Sell 146.6392 147.2003 147.7625 148.3256

doing more of these

lkwd jj 04:24 GMT January 13, 2010
Trade Ideas

fm was thinking about rebuying usdchf as i got out @84.need to see highs break before i commit.

lkwd jj 04:22 GMT January 13, 2010
cable
Reply   
gbpusd jumping 40+ in 2 hours. any news?

hk nt 04:13 GMT January 13, 2010
QIndex Trading System

QINDEX -- Is it a pretty bearish signal if 1104.7 is broken? thanks

Syd 04:08 GMT January 13, 2010
DJ Australian Leading Employment Indicator Rose In January
Reply   
Australia's Department of Employment and Workplace Relations said Wednesday that its leading indicator of employment rose to a negative 0.716 in January from a negative 0.743 in December.
The monthly indicator rose for the seventh consecutive month in January, confirming that employment is likely to grow more quickly than its long term trend rate of 1.8%, according to the department.The Australian Bureau of Statistics will issue December employment data on Thursday. The jobless rate was 5.7% in November, down from 5.8% in October.

Juffair KaL 03:39 GMT January 13, 2010
24 hrs
Reply   
Hi Guys
woke up early
did a run on 20 pairs
the general trend is included now
so i did a lot of each of the below
not into longing usdjpy in general for a day or 2


EURUSD Sell
USDJPY Sell
GBPUSD
USDCHF Buy
EURCHF
AUDUSD Sell
USDCAD Buy
NZDUSD Sell
EURGBP Sell
EURJPY Sell
GBPJPY Sell
CHFJPY Sell
GBPCHF Buy
EURAUD Buy
EURCAD Buy
AUDCAD
AUDJPY Sell
CADJPY Sell
NZDJPY Sell
GBPAUD Buy

GVI Forex Blog 03:34 GMT January 13, 2010 Reply   

Morning Briefing : 13-Jan-2010 - 0332 GMT

Syd 02:53 GMT January 13, 2010
NZ Commodity Price Gains Show No Letup - ANZ
Reply   
ANZ Bank's NZ Commodity Price Index powered ahead in December, jumping 2.6% on month for 30.0% gain in 2009, providing further evidence economy mending, says ANZ Bank economist Steve Edwards. Index driven higher over the year by dairy, aluminum, sawn timber (up 50%, 47%, 40% respectively);in December, aluminum prices jump 12%, wood pulp +4.1%, dairy +3.0%. Says index now only 6% below peaks recorded in July 2008 before global crisis; rise of aluminum, sawn timber prices indicative of global improvement. "These two commodities are closely linked to industrial production. As such, they provide a timely gauge of the pulse of the global economy." Even in NZ dollar terms, index has turned positive, with 4.3% on-month gain in December for 1.7% annual gain vs 8.4% fall in 12 months to November 30.

Hong Kong Qindex 02:42 GMT January 13, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Buy Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

Gold : The market is stable as long as it is above the daily cycle matrix system at 1119.0 - 1122.2 - 1124.4. The weekly cycle matrix system at 1104.7 - 1109.8 - 1127.7 would serve as a short term supporting range. Speculative buying interest will increase when the market is able to trade above 1188.5. 1152.6 is a critical level.



Gold : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/gc.html

Hong Kong 01:40 GMT January 13, 2010
Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader
Reply   
Market Review - 12/01/2010 21:29 All times in GMT
Dollar and yen gain on China's reserve rate hike


The dollar and yen gained on Tuesday as risk appetite fell after China announced that it would tighten bank's reserve requirements after the Shanghai stock market closed. Reserve ration requirements for China’s banks will increase by 0.5% point starting Jan. 18, much sooner than market's expectation in April or May.

Spot gold ended 2% lower on China's reserve rate hike (gold fell from intra-day high of $1157.70 to below $1128.00). All commodity currencies declined against the greenback as the pre-emptive move by the Chinese central bank to curb excessive bank lending raised concern that Chinese demand could fall. Australian dollar was the biggest victim on Tuesday, falling over 1%, the Canadian dollar and New Zealand fell over 0.6% and 0.25% respectively.

Versus the yen, the greenback continued its weakness which had started since last Friday. Although the pair staged a brief bounce to 92.43 in Asia after official Peng of China International Corp. (CIC which manages the country's $300 bln sovereign wealth fund) said that 'dollar has hit bottom, limited room to fall further', price later tumbled from there in Europe and it reached an intra-day low of 90.73 in NY afternoon before stabilizing. It is the first time since Dec. 21 for the pair to fall below 91.00.

U.S. trade deficit was 36.40 billion in November, worse than the expectation of 34.80 billion deficit with upwardly revised 33.19 billion in October. Despite euro's intra-day rebound from Asian low of 1.4453 to 1.4546 (11 ticks below Monday's high of 1.4557), the single currency retreated after the data and closed the day down over 0.15%.

U.K. trade balance came in better-than-expected at 6.784 billion deficit versus consensus of 7.0 billion deficit. DCLG U.K. house prices rose by 0.6%, much higher than the expectation of 0.1% increase. Despite early brief drop to 1.6063 in Asia, the British pound rebounded after the data and price reached intra-day high of 1.6195 in NY mid-session before retreat.

Data to be released on Wednesday include Japan machine tools orders, Australia Westpac consumer confidence, Germany GDP, U.K. industrial production, manufacturing production, EU industrial production, U.S. Fed budget.

Syd 01:38 GMT January 13, 2010
UN Having Trouble Communicating With Its Mission In Haiti
Reply   
*DJ Hundreds Feared Dead In Haiti Quake - Local Doctor Peacekeeping HQ In Haiti Destroyed By Quake - Staff

USA ZEUS 01:34 GMT January 13, 2010
Richmond Dennis 15:54 GMT January 12, 2010 Reply
Risk denial - in the form of one-way shorts or one-way longs - is the antithesis or risk aversion, and as is pointed out in this piece, ignorance of risk can be lethal to one's financial health.
_________________________________________________________

Couldn't agree more. Trade one way then take profits. Such is phenomenal to one's financial health and lethal to the counterparty.

Happy Day!

Gen dk 01:13 GMT January 13, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Syd 01:03 GMT January 13, 2010
Personal lending commitments rise
Reply   
Total personal finance commitments rose 1.1 per cent in November, seasonally adjusted, to $7.053 billion, from $6.959 billion in October, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said today. Total commercial finance was up 4.0 per cent in November, seasonally adjusted, to $26.677 billion, up from $25.662 billion in October.

Syd 00:56 GMT January 13, 2010
PBOC: Move Shows Targeted Method In Monetary Credit Policy - Xinhua
Reply   
PBOC: Reserve Requirement Ratio Hike Aimed At Managing Liquidity - Xinhua
PBOC: Tuesday Move Shows Flexibility In Monetary Credit Policy -Xinhua

Syd 00:54 GMT January 13, 2010
Fears Of Major Catastrophe As Major Quake Hits Haiti
Reply   
PORT-AU-PRINCE (AFP)--A major magnitude 7 earthquake hit the impoverished Caribbean nation of Haiti on Tuesday, toppling buildings and causing widespread damage and panic, officials and witnesses said.

"I think it's really a catastrophe of major proportions," Haiti's ambassador to the U.S., Raymond Alcide Joseph, told CNN television.

Lahore FM 00:48 GMT January 13, 2010
Trade Ideas

neo,can't say much about targets for eurgbp long.also don't know if 0.8940 will be touched or not.naturally since its my stop i assumed it won't be touched.

--
jj sorry cud not reply sooner on usdchf,i really do not have a real target for it on mind.would like 200 pips or more though if market gives those.

Lahore FM 00:46 GMT January 13, 2010
Trade Ideas

01/11/2010 17:34:11 FM Lahore 5

Buy usdchf 1
Entry: 1.0152 Target: Stop: 1.0105
long here.
-
half out now at 1.0195 for 42+ pips,stops stay as before for rest 1/2.target remains open.

USA ZEUS 00:42 GMT January 13, 2010
USD/JPY

Some profits taken on the one way trade for Dennis @ 91.34

sofia kaprikorn 00:39 GMT January 13, 2010
21-DMA pull

sofia kaprikorn 21:06 GMT January 12, 2010
21-DMA pull: Reply
long USD/YEN 90.99 / SL 90.57
----------------------------
added 1/2 at 91.01
---------------------------
added last 1/3 at 91.00 -
looking for a close around 91.34 /21-DMA/
___________________________________
closed position at 91.33 for +33

91.37 now Daily pivot so expect some resistance there.

USA ZEUS 00:27 GMT January 13, 2010
USD/JPY

USA ZEUS 21:01 GMT January 12, 2010
USD/JPY:
Looks like a nice pop higher is imminent here.

______________________________________________________

Ok- Profit lock mechanism in place.

Cheers

Syd 00:08 GMT January 13, 2010
China RRR Hike Positive But May Not Do Much - GS
Reply   
China's RRR hike is positive step given increasing price pressures, says Goldman Sachs; shows "the government is well aware of the inflationary pressures in the economy and is very flexible in changing its policy stance to control inflation." But is a small step in sense that 50bp hike is not directly binding on commercial banks' ability to lend given level of excess reserves (commercial banks' voluntary deposits at the central bank) is probably at 3% or above, house says; "in 2006-2007 the government hiked the RRR frequently by 50-100 basis points but inflation continued to climb until February 2008, which highlights the fact that while hikes to the RRR are positive moves, they may not be sufficient to control inflation." Thinks further tightening will come, including "direct credit controls via window guidance and further hikes to the RRR. While we believe the benchmark interest rate is likely to be utilized only at a later stage, the probability of such adjustments certainly has risen significantly.

 




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