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Forex Forum Archive for 01/21/2010

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Sydney CG 23:55 GMT January 21, 2010
joy
Reply   
Rumours???

SF wm 23:41 GMT January 21, 2010
After Hours Trade

1/2 out at 90.15, same stop, free trade

USA ZEUS 23:29 GMT January 21, 2010
After Hours Trade

Wall Street 23:16 GMT January 21, 2010

Which contracts are you looking at?
Mine have not fallen sharply since the close.

SF WM 23:27 GMT January 21, 2010
After Hours Trade

Buy usdjpy
Entry: 89.90 Target: open Stop: 89.75

Leaving bid with tight stop and hope the boj is watching. This is all about jpy crosses.

GVI Forex john 23:20 GMT January 21, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

U.K. Data @ 09:30 GMT
Retail Sales


Retail Sales are usually a broad measure of the retail sale of consumer durable and non-durables. It is used by analysts to gauge the strength of consumer consumption.

IMPACT: In most economies, the consumer sector is the largest sector of the economy. Central banks watch retail sales to measure the strength of the economy.

Wall Street 23:16 GMT January 21, 2010
After Hours Trade
Reply   
S&P futures have fallen sharply since the close of floor equity trading several hour ago. Lower S&P levels have been dragging EURUSD lower.

GVI Forex john 23:11 GMT January 21, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Click for Complete Chart Points

 

1/21/2010

EURUSD

USDJPY

USDCHF

GBPUSD

USDCAD

Close

1.4098

90.36

1.0416

1.6208

1.0502

High

1.4143

91.87

1.0495

1.6311

1.0524

Low

1.4028

90.12

1.0405

1.6126

1.0440

Mov avgs

EURUSD

USDJPY

USDCHF

GBPUSD

USDCAD

5 day

1.4253

90.85

1.0336

1.6290

1.0365

10 day

1.4369

91.24

1.0262

1.6236

1.0339

20 day

1.4367

91.78

1.0299

1.6134

1.0386

50 day

1.4602

90.11

1.0245

1.6303

1.0494

100 day

1.4675

90.38

1.0254

1.6306

1.0573

200 day

1.4301

93.05

1.0576

1.6174

1.0944

Pivots

1.4090

90.78

1.0439

1.6215

1.0489

 

GVI Forex Chart Gallery. Printable FX Charts

 

NYC JM 23:09 GMT January 21, 2010
CFTC 10:1 Leverage Proposal

His article is not accurate and shows a lack of knowledge about the cash forex market. An example is the "rollover" fee. If you are long a higher yielding currency, for example, you should earn on the rollover.

While futures do not have a spread, you often have to pay the offer or sell at the bid, which is essentially the same as paying the spread.

Futures are also affected by interest rate differentials as well as spot rates but that is for a different discussion.

I am not defending broker practices but the article is simplistic and a bit naive. The 10:1 leverage is the issue and worth you sending in your comments to oppose it.

Lahore FM 22:57 GMT January 21, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy audusd
Entry: 0.9017 Target: Stop: 0.8950

long once more after taking a hit of 42 minus yesterday albiet this once in 100 pips lower almost.

Livingston nh 22:33 GMT January 21, 2010
CFTC 10:1 Leverage Proposal

in my experience it is a waste of time to deal with the agency/bureacrats - much better to spend time and MONEY with the legislative side, Congress, state Assembly or municipality -- the agencies have already decided the answer your input is just supporting the "public input" BS

GO OUT and get a hundred signatures and ask signatories to get a hundred more - money motivates the agencies but votes motivates the politicos

GVI Forex john 22:32 GMT January 21, 2010
CFTC 10:1 Leverage Proposal

Among several other things, Mr. Denniger seems not to know that rollover "costs" are priced into futures. We post the IMM swaps every day and that is the main reason why they gradually move to zero at maturity.

dc CB 22:10 GMT January 21, 2010
CFTC 10:1 Leverage Proposal

Karl Denniger's thoughts

CFTC "Reform" To Kill Retail FX?

GVI Forex john 21:59 GMT January 21, 2010
CFTC 10:1 Leverage Proposal
Reply   
Comment file regarding CFTC proposal to lower retail forex leverage to 10:1
Here is link: Comments file


If you want to make your feelings felt to the CFTC

SEND TO: [email protected]

CC TO : [email protected], [email protected], [email protected], [email protected], [email protected], [email protected]


You must use this in the subject box

SUBJECT: Regulation of Retail Forex

GVI Forex john 21:42 GMT January 21, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Click for Complete Chart Points

1/21/2010

EUR/USD

USD/JPY

USD/CHF

GBP/USD

USD/CAD

Res 3

1.4266

93.20

1.0562

1.6489

1.0621

Res 2

1.4205

92.53

1.0529

1.6400

1.0573

Res 1

1.4151

91.45

1.0472

1.6304

1.0537

P=(H+L+C)/3

1.4090

90.78

1.0439

1.6215

1.0489

Sup 1

1.4036

89.70

1.0382

1.6119

1.0453

Sup 2

1.3975

89.03

1.0349

1.6030

1.0405

Sup 3

1.3921

87.95

1.0292

1.5934

1.0369

 

EUR/GBP

EUR/JPY

EUR/CHF

AUD/USD

GBP/JPY

Res 3

0.8797

131.37

1.4823

0.9244

151.28

Res 2

0.8761

130.44

1.4791

0.9195

150.18

Res 1

0.8728

128.92

1.4740

0.9115

148.31

P=(H+L+C)/3

0.8692

127.99

1.4708

0.9066

147.21

Sup 1

0.8659

126.47

1.4657

0.8986

145.34

Sup 2

0.8623

125.54

1.4625

0.8937

144.24

Sup 3

0.8590

124.02

1.4574

0.8857

142.37

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hillegom Purk 21:39 GMT January 21, 2010
Dick?

hehehehehe, nice one big guy. Had the patience to keep it from 91.74 till 91.00, but than again i am a daytrader....
But i will keep in mind that 86 level.

GVI Forex Blog 21:35 GMT January 21, 2010 Reply   
The Canadian dollar retreated against the U.S. currency on Thursday as commodity prices dropped and North American stock markets slid after U.S. President Barack Obama proposed new risk rules for

Forex News - CANADA FX DEBT-C$ falls as oil price sags, stocks tumble

Tokyo Yumi 21:25 GMT January 21, 2010
Dick?

To put it more forum friendly .."Richard works in mysterious ways purky"...

Hillegom Purk 20:58 GMT January 21, 2010
Dick?

Tokyo Yumi 11:41 GMT January 21, 2010
Dick?: Reply
No.... Now short usd/jpy until 8620sh and then reverse into a buy for 105 target,,,

tokyo ginko 11:38 GMT January 21, 2010
Dick?: Reply
Yumi, are u long usd/jpy?

________________________________

This was the trade of the day.

sofia kaprikorn 20:22 GMT January 21, 2010
weekly low 1.3971
Reply   
short EUR/USD 1.4091 / SL 1.4151

PAR 20:20 GMT January 21, 2010
Buffett: Big Banks Likely To Split If Obama Rules Take Effect

What you say depends on where you sit . Buffett just talking up his own investment in GS .

He negotiated for himself much better deals than Paulson and Geithner negotiated for the Us taxpayers.

GVI Forex Blog 20:11 GMT January 21, 2010 Reply   
21:00 GMT- Jan 21 (global-view.com) The USD was in a positive frame of mind heading into trading in the U.S., but a populist gimmick by the administration to limit the business activities of large banks triggered a lot of uncertainty in the markets...

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- Obama Stalls USD Run

GVI Forex john 20:08 GMT January 21, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support


The Daily Forex View

Obama Stalls USD Run 

21:00 GMT- Jan 21 (global-view.com) The USD was in a positive frame of mind heading into trading in the U.S., but a populist gimmick by the administration to limit the business activities of large banks triggered a lot of uncertainty in the markets...

MORE...

London SFH 20:06 GMT January 21, 2010
Buffett: Big Banks Likely To Split If Obama Rules Take Effect

Thanks for that Syd,he is no fool..

GVI Forex Blog 19:59 GMT January 21, 2010 Reply   

Fear of Economic Slowdown Weakens Equities

Syd 19:59 GMT January 21, 2010
Buffett: Big Banks Likely To Split If Obama Rules Take Effect
Reply   
Warren Buffett told Fox Business Network Thursday that big investment banks such as Goldman Sachs Group are likely to split off government-chartered banking operations if regulations proposed by President Barack Obama take effect. "It would be logical that they would do so," said Buffett, Buffett said he never had any problems with the old Glass-Steagall rules which largely kept commerical banks out of investment operations.
Buffett also told Fox Business that he doesn't plan to sell off his holdings in Goldman Sachs, and that he foresees holding the shares at least five years.
Buffett said chief executives of big banks should be held accountable for excessive risk and for losses, instead of taxpayers and shareholders bearing all the burden.
He said Berkshire Hathaway, whose class B shares just underwent a 50-to-one split, will continue using stock and cash to buy companies.
www.foxbusiness.com

GVI Forex Blog 19:51 GMT January 21, 2010 Reply   

Dollar Weakens on Profit-taking and High Volatility

London SFH 19:51 GMT January 21, 2010
eurusd

How do you define benefiiting? Its hurting the respective authorities..imo

nyc ws 19:49 GMT January 21, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
currently unchanged on the day. chf and jpy benefiting the most

GVI Forex Blog 19:24 GMT January 21, 2010 Reply   
A second consecutive day of risk aversion saw US equities tumble, clearly breaking below trend support lines which had held for 10 months.

Forex Research - Morning Report

Tok JT 19:04 GMT January 21, 2010
Yen Crosses...
Reply   
Have their pants on the ground..........

Said Todd

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BqBw5HWQybQ

BA mades 18:56 GMT January 21, 2010
eur/usd
Reply   
On a technical note i would like to point out that major oscillators on daily chart show bullish divergence and today's candle is a typical reversal pattern (pinbar, similar to hammer), sofar. If it can stay and close at current level above 1.41 i think we might see a stronger pullback tomorrow.

PAR 18:43 GMT January 21, 2010
Obama speech

Paroles, paroles ,paroles, rien que des mots .

Speeches , speeches , speeches , nothing but speeches.

Tok JT 18:38 GMT January 21, 2010
Obama speech

Maybe one-year President???

lkwd jj 18:09 GMT January 21, 2010
Obama speech

one term , if he doesnt get kicked out.

GVI Forex Jay 18:07 GMT January 21, 2010
OBAMA

jv, can you send us a screenshot as we can't duplicate it.

GVI Forex john 18:06 GMT January 21, 2010
Norton interference

jv.. Not having that problem myself and running three computers simultaneously with Norton. Then normally give you the option to tell them that this is a safe site.

USA ZEUS 18:06 GMT January 21, 2010
Obama speech

London M 17:55 GMT January 21, 2010

You are right. 1 term. Empty rheoric, empty (broken) promises, ignoring contract law, big government, socialism, elitist, etc etc...

Should be no surprise that the guy had no specific answers to direct questions about the economy etc. I was in awe at how the world fell in love with the guy during his campaign. I guess being an orator of nothing with a fashionable wife is all the world needs to have a hero these days- deary me.

Americans are learning that to vote for one guy because you hate the exiting 2- term other guy is nothing less than "Chains you can believe in!"
To all those opposed I ask "How's that whole hopey changey thing working for ya?"

lkwd jj 17:56 GMT January 21, 2010
OBAMA

maybe they should cut spending in the govt so the usd doesnt lose its value and we wouldnt need to take such risks to generate a profit. oil was a hedge against the falling usd. with rates so low how else should a bank make money? economy isnt generating jobs which increase demand for goods and services and housing. lend money to who? if they wouldve let the banks fall we would be better off. no, had to save the same guys they are trying to kill now. how stupid can one be? if the tarp would be distributed amongst the taxpayers , things would be a lot different today. maybe inflationary, but we would be in better shape overall.

London M 17:55 GMT January 21, 2010
Obama speech

Zeus

I won;t start the political debate here
however I'm surprised you guys haven't had the free marketeers there yet, with their dire warnings about these dangerous socialist measures

He will be a one-term President!

van jv 17:55 GMT January 21, 2010
Norton interference
Reply   
GVI John
Norton Symantex keep interfering opening Global View-
--claims site deceiving..............

van jv 17:48 GMT January 21, 2010
OBAMA
Reply   
NOTE -involvement of top peple
President Obama joined Paul Volcker, former chairman of the Federal Reserve; Bill Donaldson, former chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission; Congressman Barney Frank, House Financial Services Chairman; Senator Chris Dodd, Chairman of the Banking Committee and the President’s economic team to call for new restrictions on the size and scope of banks and other financial institutions to rein in excessive risk taking and to protect taxpayers.

The President’s proposal would strengthen the comprehensive financial reform package that is already moving through Congress

Juffair KaL 17:47 GMT January 21, 2010
crash
Reply   
EURSEK 10.1776 9.9643

EURNZD 1.9723 1.9193

these two

nyc ws 17:37 GMT January 21, 2010
EUR/USD

Zeus. I was not referring to you but talking in general

USA ZEUS 17:34 GMT January 21, 2010
Obama speech

London M 17:09 GMT January 21, 2010

Obama has been out of order the whole time. I remember when he was trying to win easy votes during record crude prices by suggesting to the poor folks that evil speculators have caused the pain at the pump and that they should be prosecuted (persecuted?) for it.
Appeal to the ignoramuses and win the White House.

USA ZEUS 17:24 GMT January 21, 2010
EUR/USD

nyc ws 15:22 GMT January 21, 2010
EUR/USD
Before everyone gets excited eurusd is still down on the day and almost 300 pips lower on the week.
_______________________________________________________

Thanks for the recap. Archives will show that we were short for most of the downward pressure and now are long.
That makes me excited.

Cheers

Gen dk 17:19 GMT January 21, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

tallinn viies 17:13 GMT January 21, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
closed long euro at 1,4136.

London M 17:09 GMT January 21, 2010
Obama speech

blimey..... Obama is getting out of order

from WSJ

U.S. President Barack Obama is proposing limits on proprietary trading at large financial institutions

Goldman Sachs Group Inc.'s (GS) pure "walled off" proprietary trading desk, in which employees are taking positions on behalf of the firm with no client involvement, is "a very, very small piece of what we do," said David Viniar, chief financial officer at Goldman Sachs.
Viniar said it is about 10% of the firm's total revenues, plus or minus a few percentage points.

Viniar, speaking on the fourth quarter earnings conference call Thursday, said those businesses have been "at the firm for decades and have been very successful. He added, "if people are focused on things that caused or were real contributors to the crisis, it wasn't trading."

The majority of what Goldman does is focused on helping clients' hedge positions and that results in the firm taking risk, he said. If the bank manages the principal risk well, it results in the firm making money, he said.

tallinn viies 17:03 GMT January 21, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
basically Obama said party over for banks...
so far market is taking it dollar negative but as stocks are falling like stone from sky euro hasnt been able to clear out stop over 1,4140. if taken out then next level 1,4175-80 quickly

Lahore FM 17:02 GMT January 21, 2010
Trade Ideas

Lahore FM 15:55 GMT January 21, 2010
Trade Ideas: Reply
Buy eurusd
Entry: 1.4042 Target: 1.60 Stop: later today

bought now.
--
half out at 1.4114 now,stops to 1.3980.

London M 17:01 GMT January 21, 2010
Obama speech

President Obama again took on big banks today, proposing new regulations that would restrict their size and their ability to make what he called the kinds of risky investments that led to the financial crisis.

"My resolve to reform the system is only strengthened when I see a return to old practices at some of the very (banking) firms fighting reform," Obama said at a White House event.


After the Democratic loss in the Massachusetts Senate race, Obama aides such as David Axelrod said they would emphasize fighting for "everyday Americans" against "the special interests," including banks and insurance companies.

Banking consultant Bert Ely blasted the proposal, saying the proposed rules would make it harder for U.S. firms to create the kinds of markets that can benefit all kinds of borrowers. He also noted that major firms rarely use depositor money for these kinds of trades.

"It's just the latest example of an increasingly desperate, politically failing Administration thrashing about trying to do something to rebuild voter support," Ely said.

The proposal to cut the size of banks will be added to the proposed set of new financial regulations that is already making its way through Congress.

According to a White House statement, the plan has two objectives:


1.Limit the scope of risk taking: The President and his economic team will work with Congress to ensure that no bank or financial institution that contains a bank will own, invest in or sponsor a hedge fund or a private equity fund, or proprietary trading operations unrelated to serving customers for its own profit.

2.Limit the size of banks: The President also announced a new proposal to limit the consolidation of our financial sector. The President's proposal will place broader limits on the excessive growth of the market share of liabilities at the largest financial firms, to supplement existing caps on the market share of deposits.

tokyo ginko 16:58 GMT January 21, 2010
Obama speech

interesting volatility within daily range, except for usd/jpy, hunting stops triggered below 90.60

London HC 16:53 GMT January 21, 2010
Obama speech
Reply   
What spin is being put on his speech to generate this type of reaction?

Medan Ardent 16:49 GMT January 21, 2010
chart of the day
Reply   


Broken Triangle

Tokyo JT 16:47 GMT January 21, 2010
usdjpy

OK Cool! Thanks. That would be given soon!!
This is a falling knife my friend.
Take a look @ Yen Crosses for your clue.
Especially Sterling/Yen...Looks like we gonna re-visit 140ish in 1~2 days.


GVI Forex Blog 16:39 GMT January 21, 2010 Reply   
Jan 21 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: No major data are due from the Far East Friday. In Europe, U.K. Retail Sales and EZ Industrial orders are due. Belgian Leading indicators are a good predictor of Monday’s German IFO survey. Canadian retail sales are also important.

GVI Forex- Data Outlook for January 22, 2010

GVI Forex john 16:36 GMT January 21, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Jan 21 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: No major data are due from the Far East Friday. In Europe, U.K. Retail Sales and EZ Industrial orders are due. Belgian Leading indicators are a good predictor of Monday’s German IFO survey. Canadian retail sales are also important.

 

 

FRIDAY

 

 

9:30

UK

Dec Ret Sls mm

1.10%

-0.30%

9:30

UK

Dec Ret Sls yy

3.00%

3.10%

10:00

EZ

Nov New Ind Ord mm

0.50%

-2.20%

10:00

EZ

Nov New Ind Ord yy

-6.20%

-14.50%

13:30

CA

Nov Retail Sales

-0.20%

0.80%

13:30

CA

Nov RS x-auto

0.50%

0.20%

14:00

BE

Jan Lead Ind

n/a

-7.9

 

 

MONDAY

 

 

1:30

AU

4Q PPI qq

n/a

0.10%

1:30

AU

4Q PPI yy

n/a

0.20%

15:00

US

DecExist Homes M

6.07

6.54

DUBAI Tony 16:36 GMT January 21, 2010
EUR/SEK
Reply   
May I please have the outlook for EUR/SEK pair.Thankyou

GVI Forex Blog 16:32 GMT January 21, 2010 Reply   
After consolidating its earlier gains from the European, the risk aversion sentiment picked up some momentum over concerns the US might pass a bank tax.

Forex Blog - US Market Update (Trade the News)

GVI Forex Blog 16:29 GMT January 21, 2010 Reply   
After rebounding off support in the 1.0200 price region late last week, USD/CAD (a daily chart of which is shown) has reflected strong dollar-strengthening in the past couple of days by breaking out

Chart of the Day - 1/21/2010 – USD/CAD

nyc ws 16:26 GMT January 21, 2010
Obama
Reply   
Everyone is waiting for Obama to speak at 1140 est on bank regs.

Mtl JP 16:21 GMT January 21, 2010
usdjpy

JT some price levels to concider: 100dma @ 90.40, 2std lower boolinger @ 90.32

Tokyo JT 16:14 GMT January 21, 2010
usdjpy

Where's the next stop??
Below 70?? Matter of time I guess...

tallinn viies 16:08 GMT January 21, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
bought euros at 1,4040. stop at 1,3990. target 1,4210-15

Lahore FM 15:55 GMT January 21, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy eurusd
Entry: 1.4042 Target: 1.60 Stop: later today

bought now.

GVI Forex john 15:54 GMT January 21, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Data Call @ 16:00 GMT (delayed due to holiday)

EIA- The Department of Energy (DOE survey)

EIA Survey comes out Wednesday morning. The DOE survey is more closely watched and generally seen as more accurate than the API data on Tuesday.

Juffair KaL 15:46 GMT January 21, 2010
---

CADJPY 88.9094 87.2029

Longing with dips

NYC ET 15:43 GMT January 21, 2010
EUR/USD

NYC ET 15:28 GMT January 21, 2010
EUR/USD: Reply

Forex market following (weaker) stocks

London M 15:41 GMT January 21, 2010
EUR/USD

I was out ofr 2 hours and came back about 10 mins ago

was there any news I have missed out? this Yen and Gold movement is not just because of the equity movement. there must be something

tia

Juffair KaL 15:40 GMT January 21, 2010
---

Longing with dips

GBPJPY 149.6546 147.8975

next day SMA 20 PI

GBPJPY 149.7866 148.0295

lkwd jj 15:40 GMT January 21, 2010
obama
Reply   
isnt this suppose to be a capitalistic country? what happened to free enterprise? why all the restictions? what a commy this guy is.

Juffair KaL 15:33 GMT January 21, 2010
---"stop hunt"----EURUSD
Reply   
EURUSD 1.4045 1.3900
these are the levels for next day
forums will use the title all over

lkwd jj 15:32 GMT January 21, 2010
usdjpy
Reply   

Entry: 9127 Target: 9205 Stop: 9095

hourly chart 50ma support at 27 after 20ma crossed positive.

NYC ET 15:28 GMT January 21, 2010
EUR/USD

Forex market following (weaker) stocks

Juffair KaL 15:26 GMT January 21, 2010
24 hhrs
Reply   
EURGBP Sell
CHFJPY Sell
GBPCHF Buy
EURCAD Sell
AUDCAD Sell

added more
for 24 hrs position

nyc ws 15:22 GMT January 21, 2010
EUR/USD

Before everyone gets excited eurusd is still down on the day and almost 300 pips lower on the week.

USA ZEUS 15:17 GMT January 21, 2010
GBP/USD

Medan Ardent 09:10 GMT January 21, 2010

Thanks Ardent. Keep pitching that fork!

GT & Cheers!

USA ZEUS 15:13 GMT January 21, 2010
USD

Amsterdam Purk 11:12 GMT January 21, 2010

Great call Mr. Purkson. Market appears to have been Dick'd.

USA ZEUS 15:08 GMT January 21, 2010
EUR/USD

London Chris 14:29 GMT January 21, 2010

Peeled them all off on the first rally then re-loaded on the deep dip. Not planning to peel any off yet. Perhaps we'll see 1.42 first.

GVI Forex john 14:59 GMT January 21, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Calendar error.. Previous Philly Fed was 22.5

GVI Forex john 14:43 GMT January 21, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Data Call @ 15:00 GMT

Purchasing Managers Index – Philly Fed Regional PMI


Most major economies have purchasing managers indices (PMI) released monthly. They are compiled by various organizations. Some focus on the manufacturing sector while others measure the service sector. They are a very current measure of the economic health of the manufacturing or services sector. The PMI indies are usually based on five major indicators: new orders, inventory levels, production, supplier deliveries and the employment environment.

A PMI of greater than 50 represents expansion, compared to the previous month. A reading under 50 represents a contraction, while a reading at 50 indicates no change.

We find the PMI indices to be useful predictors of future economic activity.

Hong Kong Qindex 14:38 GMT January 21, 2010
QIndex Trading System

S&P 500
Entry: Target: Stop:

S&P 500 : Heading Towards 1118.5


The market is heading towards the weekly cycle matrix system at 1117.0 - 1118.5 - 1119.1. As shown in the monthly cycle charts the bias is on the downside when the market is below 1141.0.


S&P 500 : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/sp500-future.html

GVI Forex Blog 14:33 GMT January 21, 2010 Reply   

Stock Market Refuses to Yield to Stronger Dollar

GVI Forex Blog 14:33 GMT January 21, 2010 Reply   

Fear that China may Overheat Triggers Surge in U.S. Dollar.

GVI Forex Jay 14:32 GMT January 21, 2010 Reply   
Nuts and Bolts: Trading Rooms Forum

Different feel to the market since the eur/usd made its low ...

THREAD: EUR/USD UPDATED

London Chris 14:29 GMT January 21, 2010
EUR/USD

Zeus. Do you have a target for your eurusd longs or will you peel them off to improve your average?

Juffair KaL 13:57 GMT January 21, 2010
Longer term
Reply   
gbpusd on average for longer term
heading to < 1.51 from 1.63 area
i think this week + next..it's fixing itself to get ready
IMO the opposite with eurusd fixing it's self from 1.38
to head back to 1.48 +
which explains eurgbp wants new highs
above .96

usually when they head to thier low side...they go there fast
ie...euro into 1.38 from around 1.420

GVI Forex Blog 13:53 GMT January 21, 2010 Reply   
The Heritage Foundation convened again and published their most recent annual report that ranks the economic freedom of 183 countries around the globe.

Too Much Fun for Just One Government

GVI Forex john 13:44 GMT January 21, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Labor Department says increase in claims administrative not economic, whatever that means...


Click on chart for seven-year history

Hong Kong Qindex 13:40 GMT January 21, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Crude Oil
Entry: Target: Stop:

Crude Oil : Critical Support 75.15


The market is under pressure when it is below the weekly cycle pivot centers at 78.80 - 80.51 - 80.76. A critical supporting range is located at 75.15 - 75.80. Speculative selling pressure will increase when 75.15 fails to hold.


Crude Oil : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/crude-oil.html

sofia kaprikorn 13:28 GMT January 21, 2010
Goldman

what would you expect in a 0 sum game?

PAR 13:09 GMT January 21, 2010
Goldman
Reply   
Goldman again made an indecent amount of money .

Goldmans profits are someone elses losses or costs ?


Goldman Sachs numbers blew past expectations, posting earnings of $8.20 a share that were a full $3 higher than analyst estimates. Shares rose about 1 percent immediately after the announcement

GVI Forex john 13:08 GMT January 21, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



CHART: earlier EZ flash service PMI

GVI Forex john 13:07 GMT January 21, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



CHART: earlier EZ flash mfg PMI

Juffair KaL 12:43 GMT January 21, 2010
eurjpy shorts
Reply   
placed some short orders
at 129.55
another at 130.03 and another at 130.34
easily see 128.8 as top next day
127 is not impossible

GVI Forex john 12:27 GMT January 21, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Data Call @ 13:30 GMT
Weekly jobless data


Weekly jobless data are the most current read on employment and also the economy.

Initial Jobless claims can be very volatile so many also watch the 4-week moving average to get a better handle on trends.

Continuing claims are used by economists to predict the unemployment rate. These data are not as consistent as they once were as statutory benefit rules have been changing. Changes in the rules can affect the number of individuals eligible for claims.

Updated and revised charts to follow after the report.

sofia kaprikorn 12:26 GMT January 21, 2010
testing waters

sofia kaprikorn 11:55 GMT January 21, 2010
long GBP/USD 1.6135 / SL 1.6096
-------------------------------
added 1/2 at 1.6141 // avg 1.6138
_____________________________
covered at 1.6168 for +30

Juffair KaL 12:20 GMT January 21, 2010
adding more
Reply   
eurgbp short
gbpchf long
eurcad short
audcad short

London NYAM 12:10 GMT January 21, 2010
Banks in the line-of-fire?

JP: I think its a pretty safe bet we will see citi around <2.8 before too long (that's been on the cards on my tech charts anyway).

Mtl JP 12:07 GMT January 21, 2010
Banks in the line-of-fire?

NYAM think 0bama's yak on that issue later this am is playable -- short C perhaps ? - tia for light

London NYAM 11:59 GMT January 21, 2010
Banks in the line-of-fire?
Reply   
After the loss of the MassSenate seat, Obama needs a popular win (HCR is toast). He can't do much better than actually following through on proposals bank (re)-regulation.

Look out for this as some of the big players could get stuffed:

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704320104575015910
344117800.html?mod=WSJ_hps_LEFTWhatsNews

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/01/21/business/21volcker.html?hp

It remains to be seen, if Obama can uncharacteristically take a stand against special interests however.

GVI Forex Blog 11:59 GMT January 21, 2010 Reply   

FX Thoughts for the day : 21-Jan-2010 - 1157 GMT

sofia kaprikorn 11:55 GMT January 21, 2010
testing waters

sofia kaprikorn 11:32 GMT January 21, 2010
long GBP/USD 1.6135 / SL 1.6096
-------------------------------
added 1/2 at 1.6141 // avg 1.6138

Gen dk 11:50 GMT January 21, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GVI Forex Futures 11:49 GMT January 21, 2010
Technical Notes

Open Interest (OI) in the EURO FX contract increased a respectable 2556 contracts to 162,547 on Wednesday. Momentum traders clearly are jumping into the long USD trade. That increase in OI presumably is net of legacy long futures contract liquidation.

In the past. we have noted that futures markets tend to trade bull currency (bearish USD) markets better than bear currency (bullish USD) trends.

tokyo ginko 11:43 GMT January 21, 2010
Dick?

ok good luck and good trade to you.

Tokyo Yumi 11:41 GMT January 21, 2010
Dick?

No.... Now short usd/jpy until 8620sh and then reverse into a buy for 105 target,,,

USA ZEUS 11:39 GMT January 21, 2010
EUR/USD

Final allocation @ 1.4042. Market is now permissioned to rally

tokyo ginko 11:38 GMT January 21, 2010
Dick?

Yumi, are u long usd/jpy?

GENEVA JFO 11:36 GMT January 21, 2010
Aussie psychological support
Reply   
aussie
Entry: Target: Stop:

Located at 9030

If broken , would give door open for 8740 medium term

Amsterdam Purk 11:35 GMT January 21, 2010
Dick?

Yumi? hehehehehe.
Dick is the person who was one of the buyers move e/u 1,16 to 1,60. He has less money to spend that is why we have the moves we had last months.

sofia kaprikorn 11:32 GMT January 21, 2010
testing waters
Reply   
long GBP/USD 1.6135 / SL 1.6096

left buy limit at 1.6116.

GENEVA JFO 11:31 GMT January 21, 2010
Dick?

Could be a genius man.....

tokyo ginko 11:29 GMT January 21, 2010
Dick?

I think fictitious character

Tokyo Yumi 11:22 GMT January 21, 2010
Dick?
Reply   
Amsterdam Purk 11:12 GMT January 21, 2010
Who is this Dick purky and what does he do?

Hong Kong Qindex 11:21 GMT January 21, 2010
QIndex Trading System

EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : Projected barriers are located at 1.4009 and 1.4018.

GVI Forex Blog 11:18 GMT January 21, 2010 Reply   
The euro hit a five-month low against the dollar on Thursday, weighed down by concerns over Greece and other peripheral euro zone countries, and by data which pointed to possible slower growth in the currency bloc.

FOREX NEWS-Euro hits 5-month low, hit by Greece, soft data

GVI Forex Blog 11:16 GMT January 21, 2010 Reply   
Currencies: Chinese data provided additional risk aversion flows that again benefited the USD against the major pairs.

European Market Update: Greece debt concerns continue to weigh of European sentiment

Amsterdam Purk 11:12 GMT January 21, 2010
USD

I see this as Dick positioning for worse to come for usd...

moscow mike 11:10 GMT January 21, 2010
USDJPY

Out 1/3 USDJPY +80 pips at 91,70... keeping rest for rest.

Juffair KaL 10:51 GMT January 21, 2010
which is better?
Reply   
I would buy GBPUSD over EURUSD at current levels
i think eurusd will side till next day

GENEVA JFO 10:46 GMT January 21, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
eurusd
Entry: Target: Stop:

GENEVA JFO 07:15 GMT January 20, 2010
time for buy on dips: Reply
Buy eurusd
Entry: 1.4193 Target: later Stop: no

Still long at 1.4391

Today buy more at 1.4193

==============================================

Placed one more order to buy 1.4010

Will keep all positions till end of the week evening and decide
to close or not.

GVI Forex Blog 10:42 GMT January 21, 2010 Reply   
11:00 GMT- Jan 21 (global-view.com) The USD remains in a positive frame of mind heading into Thursday trading in the U.S. Positive momentum has been enhanced by expectations for a move to the center for U.S...

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- Positive USD Momentum

Juffair KaL 10:41 GMT January 21, 2010
friday close for sma 20 hourly

added more eurgbp shorts
and gbpchf Longs

GVI Forex john 10:39 GMT January 21, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support
Reply   


The Daily Forex View

Positive USD Momentum 

11:00 GMT- Jan 21 (global-view.com) The USD remains in a positive frame of mind heading into Thursday trading in the U.S. Positive momentum has been enhanced by expectations for a move to the center for U.S...

MORE...

GVI Forex Blog 10:05 GMT January 21, 2010 Reply   
Traders anticipate the publication of the UK Retail Sales on Friday (January 22).

Forexpros Daily Analysis - 21/01/2010

moscow mike 09:58 GMT January 21, 2010
USDJPY

moscow mike 07:20 GMT January 20, 2010
GBPUSD: Reply
...Fresh shorts 1.6405, stops later.

=============

Out 1/3 at 1.6295 for +110 pips. Stops at 1.6380 for rest.
=============
another 1/3 out at 1.6155 for +250 pips profits.

Juffair KaL 09:50 GMT January 21, 2010
friday close for sma 20 hourly

EURSEK 10.1414 10.0128 Sell
good sell i think

Hong Kong Qindex 09:43 GMT January 21, 2010
QIndex Trading System

EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : the market is going to tackle the supporting strength of 1.3979 - 1.4049.


01/20/2010 16:27:30 Qindex Hong Kong 3

EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:
EUR/USD : The market is now approaching the monthly cycle reference normal lower limits. It is going to test the supporting strength of 1.3957. The weekly cycle normal lower limits are positioning at 1.3739 - 1.3962 - 1.4049.


EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/euro.html

Juffair KaL 09:32 GMT January 21, 2010
friday close for sma 20 hourly
Reply   

this is where i expect the close of sma 20 hrs
Selling more eurusd tll then sounds like a good idea
EURUSD 1.4018 1.3873
USDJPY 91.9538 91.1817
GBPUSD 1.6333 1.6202
USDCHF 1.0607 1.0500
EURCHF 1.4749 1.4707
AUDUSD 0.9146 0.9025
USDCAD 1.0471 1.0298
NZDUSD 0.7229 0.7124
EURGBP 0.8618 0.8527
EURJPY 128.6252 126.8269
GBPJPY 149.8212 148.0641
CHFJPY 87.3030 86.1015
GBPCHF 1.7268 1.7069
EURAUD 1.5422 1.5267
EURCAD 1.4605 1.4358
AUDCAD 0.9486 0.9385
AUDJPY 83.9620 82.4274
CADJPY 88.9708 87.2643
NZDJPY 66.2634 65.1731
GBPAUD 1.7988 1.7786
GBPNZD 2.2813 2.2520
AUDNZD 1.2721 1.2606
USDSEK 7.2508 7.1572
USDDKK 5.3602 5.3063
EURSEK 10.0808 10.0165
EURNOK 8.1171 8.0669
USDNOK 5.8367 5.7626
USDMXN 12.7159 12.5687
AUDCHF 0.9640 0.9542
EURNZD 1.9525 1.9366
USDZAR 7.5277 7.4018
USDSGD 1.4057 1.3989
USDHKD 7.7731 7.7705
GBPSEK 11.7727 11.6474
NOKJPY 15.9021 15.6280
SEKJPY 12.7858 12.5778
SGDJPY 65.6656 65.0107
HKDJPY 11.8331 11.7350
ZARJPY 12.3710 12.1219
USDTRY 1.4830 1.4697

tokyo ginko 09:29 GMT January 21, 2010
Long USD/CAD

close out all usd/cad position 1.0512

will reload 50% position @ today day low - 5/10 pips

GT all

London Misha 09:25 GMT January 21, 2010
Observations
Reply   
EURUSD - First proper close under the Long MA! Dec - Jan Bear Flag formation!
USDJPY - Possible Advance Block forming on the Daily Chart.
GBPUSD - Testing Long MA support!
USDCHF - Approaching Long MA resistance.
EURGBP - Third close under the Long MA!
AUDUSD - Golden Cross of the Short MA up through the Short/Medium MA.

empoli ab 09:15 GMT January 21, 2010
DXY
Reply   
Good day to everybody, here another comment by Nomura Intl which cud be interesting (last abt break of 200 dma in eur usd was effectively good it seems to me so....)
"Just a heads up that we failed just ahead of the 200-day MA in the DXY overnight. According to BBG, it currently comes in around 78.545 with the high overnight being 78.532.

The only two breaks of the 200-day MA in the last 3 years have been clean and significant. The first of those was in 8th June 2008 when we broke above: the USD subsequently rallied over 8% in the next 3 months and was over 19% higher by November – pretty powerful stuff.
The only other time we’ve crossed since Jan 2007 was the fall below in May this year. The USD subsequently fell nearly 6% in under a month and went on to fall nearly 11% to its low in November."

ZEUS by the way compliment for cable, i m still short eurgbp confident to see a break of 0,8620 wall......

cheers

Medan Ardent 09:10 GMT January 21, 2010
GBP/USD

Weldone ...ZEUS.
Cheers

USA ZEUS 09:07 GMT January 21, 2010
EUR/USD

Added longs @ 1.4060 for a nice reactionary rally.

USA ZEUS 09:04 GMT January 21, 2010
GBP/USD

All out now on GBP/USD short @ 1.6175 from 1.6419

Medan Ardent 08:55 GMT January 21, 2010
EUR/GBP update

LOL. Thanks

sometimes I want comment the Technical and my systems but I m poor in English language.

USA ZEUS 08:52 GMT January 21, 2010
USD

Nice Power slide call Mike! Just took more off the table myself @ 1.6191 from 1.6419 and leaving the remaining @ b/e.
GT!!!

USA ZEUS 08:47 GMT January 21, 2010
EUR/GBP update

Ardent's Pitchfork!

Medan Ardent 08:37 GMT January 21, 2010
EUR/GBP update
Reply   


the chart

USA ZEUS 08:36 GMT January 21, 2010
EUR/USD

Ok- All set for the contra rally to gain traction.

Juffair KaL 08:33 GMT January 21, 2010
again

thanks
they are good

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3iKkYD-uaAc
some blues here
i think i missed up a little

Juffair KaL 08:30 GMT January 21, 2010
Thanks
Reply   
Thanks guys
I appreciate it lots
makes my day too

if traders wish to stay longer then 12 hrs
i recommend these for at least next day
try to long lower then these levels
and short above too
will be rewarding and a piece of mind trades
EURUSD 1.4176 1.4031 Sell
USDJPY 91.5924 90.8202
GBPUSD 1.6374 1.6243
USDCHF 1.0501 1.0393 Buy
EURCHF 1.4759 1.4717
AUDUSD 0.9202 0.9081
USDCAD 1.0439 1.0266 Sell
NZDUSD 0.7301 0.7196
EURGBP 0.8692 0.8601 Sell
EURJPY 129.5478 127.7495 Sell
GBPJPY 149.6182 147.8612
CHFJPY 87.8678 86.6663 Sell
GBPCHF 1.7137 1.6938 Buy
EURAUD 1.5501 1.5346
EURCAD 1.4725 1.4478 Sell
AUDCAD 0.9515 0.9414 Sell
AUDJPY 84.1445 82.6099
CADJPY 88.9005 87.1940
NZDJPY 66.6597 65.5693
GBPAUD 1.7932 1.7730
GBPNZD 2.2644 2.2351
AUDNZD 1.2670 1.2554
USDSEK 7.1925 7.0989
USDDKK 5.3028 5.2489 Buy
EURSEK 10.1103 10.0460 Sell
EURNOK 8.1391 8.0889 Sell
USDNOK 5.7894 5.7154
USDMXN 12.7334 12.5862 Sell
AUDCHF 0.9600 0.9501
EURNZD 1.9542 1.9382 Sell
USDZAR 7.5150 7.3891
USDSGD 1.4009 1.3940
USDHKD 7.7692 7.7666
GBPSEK 11.7118 11.5865
NOKJPY 15.9667 15.6926
SEKJPY 12.8412 12.6332
SGDJPY 65.5976 64.9427
HKDJPY 11.7860 11.6878
ZARJPY 12.3365 12.0874
USDTRY 1.4747 1.4614

Ath. Xarian 08:25 GMT January 21, 2010
USD

Hello there mate...You are right..I am waiting for the gold to wake up and get the direction for today..Prefer to long of course $ in micro-rallies but patience is above all.. GT

Hamburg 98ccm 08:23 GMT January 21, 2010
again

KaL, absolutely great, watching this was the perfect start of this day. Wishing you GL + GT

Ath. Xarian 08:21 GMT January 21, 2010
again

You are playing very good man!And the singer has a good voice!Keep up!!!

moscow mike 08:18 GMT January 21, 2010
USD
Reply   
See signs of short term ease in pressure on single currency. However dollar is strong and may become even stronger. Issue with overstretched eurgbp should be resolved and likely through gbpusd drop which is already seems to be started.

Still holding on my gbpusd shorts from 1.6410 and usdjpy longs from 90.90.

GT!

Juffair KaL 07:11 GMT January 21, 2010
again
Reply   
me again on accoustic guitar
wont like that either
http://www.youtube.com/user/rhythmnationband#p/a/0/bMHSPdlNVSQ

added short usdjpy

Medan Ardent 06:57 GMT January 21, 2010
sell eur
Reply   
Sell eur
Entry: 1.4115 Target: Stop:

at the 0ne hour channel

Juffair KaL 06:23 GMT January 21, 2010
major buys and sell
Reply   
usdchf
gbpchf and gbpaud
are major buys

major sells
eurjpy eurgbp

into friday

Hong Kong 06:21 GMT January 21, 2010
AUD/USD Market Outlook by AceTrader
Reply   
INTRADAY TRADING SIGNAL BY ACETRADER.COM :
AUD/USD: 0.9127

Last Update At 21 Jan 2010 04:28 GMT


As A$ has edged higher after early brief retreat
fm 0.9138 to 0.9101, suggesting as long as 0.9097/
00 holds, recovery fm y'day's 0.9073 low (NY) wud
extend marginal gain, reckon 0.9170/74 (prev. sup)
wud cap upside n yield subsequent decline.

Sell on further rise but below 0.9097 needed to
bring re-test of 0.9073.



Range Forecast
0.9115 / 0.9138


Resistance/Support
R: 0.9138/0.9151/0.9170
S: 0.9097/0.9073/0.9054

Juffair KaL 05:40 GMT January 21, 2010
USDJPY selling today
Reply   
Still short usdcad fro the day before
will sell usdjpy today

near 20 hrs sma P.I
iwould do anything unless actual prices are above or below these
gl

EURUSD 1.4187 1.4042
USDJPY 91.5698 90.7976 Sell
GBPUSD 1.6377 1.6245
USDCHF 1.0493 1.0386
EURCHF 1.4760 1.4718
AUDUSD 0.9206 0.9085
USDCAD 1.0437 1.0264 Sell
NZDUSD 0.7306 0.7201
EURGBP 0.8698 0.8606
EURJPY 129.6162 127.8179
GBPJPY 149.6043 147.8472
CHFJPY 87.9100 86.7085
GBPCHF 1.7128 1.6928
EURAUD 1.5507 1.5351
EURCAD 1.4733 1.4486 Sell
AUDCAD 0.9517 0.9416 Sell
AUDJPY 84.1595 82.6249
CADJPY 88.8976 87.1911
NZDJPY 66.6890 65.5986
GBPAUD 1.7935 1.7726

Jogjakarta August 04:15 GMT January 21, 2010 Reply   
Nuts and Bolts: Open Forum

thanks for ur answer Jay and Global -View teams,i'm really sorry I'm haven't say greeting to co founder of Global...

THREAD: Qusetion to GVI or Mr Jay UPDATED

bluff am 03:48 GMT January 21, 2010
EURUSD

Sell
Entry: Target: Stop:

I hate the euro, so don't take my advice. But my reading of the daily and weeky charts are that we are a->b->c correction, and c should be well shy of the 140 handle. (bulls beware).

There is also the big figureitis to consider - 140 should be tested sooner or later.

The fly in the ointment is the huge double bottom on say EUR/AUD, so go figure. take care out there. btw. I'm short, but not having a great run since week - all chop and uncertainty.

USA ZEUS 03:42 GMT January 21, 2010
EURUSD

So you have a bearish formation from the chart. 50 down and 100-200 up sounds good.

Cheers

hk ooozmeeh 03:42 GMT January 21, 2010
EURUSD
Reply   
**for a 50 pts below the current level******

hk ooozmeeh 03:40 GMT January 21, 2010
EURUSD
Reply   
i maybe wrong, but in my opinion, eur has enough (little) momentum left for a 50 pts from the current level , afterwhich a 100-200 pts upswing, gt

GVI Forex Blog 03:38 GMT January 21, 2010 Reply   

Morning Briefing : 21-Jan-2010 - 0335 GMT

USA ZEUS 03:32 GMT January 21, 2010
EURUSD

hk ooozmeeh 03:29 GMT January 21, 2010

Thanks ooozmeeh. Is the pattern a candle pattern on the chart shown or a combo of the averages?

hk ooozmeeh 03:29 GMT January 21, 2010
EURUSD
Reply   


eurusd 5m

USA ZEUS 03:23 GMT January 21, 2010
EUR/USD

Not sure if the triangle pattern supports or is opposite of what I am seeing. My system is indicating that it is very low risk high reward in buying here for an imminent counter rally of sorts.

USA ZEUS 03:20 GMT January 21, 2010
EUR/USD

hk oozmeeh 03:18 GMT January 21, 2010

Would you please be so kind as to posting a chart of this? Have no idea what it is but would enjoy the opportunity to learn about it.

GT :-)

hk oozmeeh 03:18 GMT January 21, 2010
EUR/USD


Entry: EURUSD Target: Stop:

.. i see a small descending triangle on the 5 minutes chart..fwiw

USA ZEUS 03:11 GMT January 21, 2010
EUR/USD

Here comes a nice little rally.

Syd 03:08 GMT January 21, 2010
DJ China Govt: Economy Can Maintain Steady, Fast Growth In 2010
Reply   
China Govt: See World Economy Recovering Further In 2010
China: Consumption, Investment Momentum To Continue 2010
China Govt: To Keep Moderately Loose Monetary Policy
China Govt: To Keep Active Fiscal Policy
PBOC May Hold On Big Policy Moves Till March -SYWG
PBOC may hold on major policy moves (such as rate hikes, hikes in bank reserve ratio for banks) till March as it watches impact of measures already taken, says SWYG Research & Consulting analyst Li Huiyong, after 4Q GDP data, December CPI data show inflation, growth picking up in China. PBOC's already hiked reserve ratio, guided up money-market interest rates and government's pressuring banks to balance out lending through year. "Policy adjustments can only have a positive impact and no negative impact, because they'll prevent the economy from overheating too soon," says Li. Also, Standard Chartered research note says "we don't expect Beijing to slam on the brakes in the near term."

China Inflation Anxiety May Be Overplayed -Samsung
While equity investors' anxiety reignited by China's rising inflation, "we believe that the market may be overlooking the fact that the transition from deflation to early stage inflation is actually a very positive development for equity markets and especially for commodity producers like China," says Samsung Securities. Advises investors should take advantage of this anxiety by adding to positions in cyclical Chinese industry groups such as metals & mining, coal, shipping which have consistently outperformed in past periods of transition from deflation to early stage inflation.

Syd 02:47 GMT January 21, 2010
China Govt: 2010 CPI Rise Seen Mild, Controllable
Reply   
World Bank: China Stimulus Is Increasing Production Capacity
World Bank: China Increasingly Main Factor For Econ Bounce
World Bank: China Authorities Well Aware Of Bubble Dangers
World Bank: Asset Inflation A Big Danger In Global Econ
China Econ Data Bolster Policy Tweak Calls
China Govt: To Prevent Overly Fast Rise In Consumer Prices China Govt: Need To Pay Attention To Inflation Trend
China Govt: 2010 CPI Rise Seen Mild, Controllable
China Govt: Should Promote Economic Growth, Combat Inflation
China Govt: Grain Supply Seen Good, To Help Curb CPI Rise

USA ZEUS 02:35 GMT January 21, 2010
EUR/USD

Profits taken earlier and now re-loaded @ 1.4077

Syd 02:27 GMT January 21, 2010
DJ MARKET TALK: Aussie Inflation Risk Growing - RBA Kraehe
Reply   
Risk of an acceleration in Australian inflation is growing as unemployment has clearly peaked, putting pressure on wages and as housing remains in short supply, the classic hallmarks of a bubble, says RBA Board Member Graham Kraehe. Comments indicate policy makers are worried about rising prices, which could in turn prompt more rate hikes. Kraehe says if housing shortage issue is not dealt with, Australia is heading for a price outbreak. "Unless we can do more on the supply side in housing, I think we have a real problem with asset prices." RBA board meets Feb. 2.

sofia kaprikorn 02:20 GMT January 21, 2010
life/trading similarities
Reply   
No matter how extreme a situation is, it will change. It cannot continue forever. Thus, a great forest fire is always destined to burn itself out; a turbulent sea will become calmer. Natural events balance themselves out by seeking their opposites, and this process of balance is at the heart of all healing.

This process takes time. If an event is not great, the balancing required is slight. If it is momentous, then it may take days, years, even lifetimes for things to return to an even keel. Actually, without these slight imbalances, there could be no movement in life. It is being off balance that keeps life changing. Total centering, total balance would be only stasis. All life is continual destruction and healing, over and over again.

That is why, even in the midst of an extreme situation, the wise are patient. Whether the situation is illness, calamity, or their own anger, they know that healing will follow upheaval.

Healing/365 Tao

sofia kaprikorn 02:09 GMT January 21, 2010
range end test

sofia kaprikorn 18:28 GMT January 20, 2010
range end test: Reply
long EUR/USD 1.4107 / SL 1.4066
__________________________
stop hit for -41

just bought double on the drop at 84 & 78 / avg 1.4081
closed on the spike at 1.4106 for +25 to cover the previous loss.

Syd 02:02 GMT January 21, 2010
China 4Q GDP Up 10.7% On Year; Market Expected Up 10.8%
Reply   
China December CPI Up 1.9% On Year; Market Expected Up 1.7%
China's economy grew 10.7% in the fourth quarter from the same period a year earlier, bringing gross domestic product growth for 2009 to 8.7%, government data showed Thursday.

The GDP growth rate for the three months ended Dec. 31 accelerated from the third quarter's 8.9% rise, but was slightly lower than the median 10.8% forecast of 12 economists surveyed earlier by Dow Jones Newswires.

The 2009 GDP figure slowed from growth of 9.6% a year earlier but was above the government's target of 8%. GDP was expected to grow 8.5% last year, according to the survey.

Syd 01:55 GMT January 21, 2010
INTERVIEW: RBA Kraehe: Inflation Risk From Labor Shortage, Wage Pressures
Reply   
SYDNEY (Dow Jones)--Australia's economy is at risk of an acceleration in inflation as a labor shortage and resources boom combine to push up costs, Reserve Bank of Australia Board Member Graham Kraehe said Thursday. The remarks are a clear signal policy makers are worried about a possible bubble forming in the housing and labor markets in Australia.

His comments come ahead of quarterly inflation data next week, which some economists say will make or break the case for another interest rate hike in February, and follow robust jobs numbers. The major issue for Australia in coming months is a shortage of infrastructure and housing, and a peak in the jobless rate means Australia could face wage pressures in the near term, the policy maker said.
China's rapid pace of growth will likely run into speed bumps from time to time, but overall it will remain a major boost for Australia. "There's not much doubt China will grow pretty strongly and will have strong demand for the products we supply," he said. "I'm very confident about the China story and the positive impact for Australia, provided we can get our infrastructure in place and take pressure off the supply side of the economy," he said.

Syd 01:20 GMT January 21, 2010
China May Buy Less U.S. Debt, CASS Researcher Says
Reply   
China, which cut Treasury holdings by the most in five months in November, may scale back purchases of U.S. debt on concern the dollar will decline, said Liu Yuhui, an economist at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.

The Asian nation’s investors, the biggest foreign holders of U.S. government debt, trimmed holdings by $9.3 billion in November to $789.6 billion, a Treasury Department report showed yesterday. The decline came even as Chinese foreign-exchange reserves swelled $61 billion in the month. http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601083&sid=aCbMn3vSkuGI

tokyo ginko 01:04 GMT January 21, 2010
Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader

yen gain??

USA ZEUS 00:51 GMT January 21, 2010
Unfunded Benefits $3 Trillion Hole
Reply   
...In looking at the pension problem, I would draw three broad inferences.
First, there is a correlation in government between the creation of long-term liabilities and the propensity to rely on fantasy math.
Second, the parties to the arrangement suffer to the extent they fail to understand the math.
Third, there is an inverse correlation between the magnitude of a shortfall and the visibility of the issue. Precisely because the size of the problem precludes easy answers, it lies beneath the surface of the public dialogue.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601039&sid=aKQk6SUcSr3A

Hong Kong 00:40 GMT January 21, 2010
Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader
Reply   
Market Review - 20/01/2010 21:15 All times in GMT

Dollar and yen continue to gain on broad-based risk aversion


The single currency continued its recent descent and tumbled again yesterday in early Asian trading, despite initial sideways move at Tokyo opening after Tuesday's selloff to 1.4252, some big players managed sold euro aggressively in order to trigger stops below said low and more stops below recent major sup at 1.4218. After falling briefly to a five-month low of 1.4080 in NY afternoon, euro remained under pressure for the rest of the day amid worries about Greece ability to finance its deficit.

Commodity currencies fell broadly on Wednesday after Chinese media said banks were being told to curb lending. Australian dollar fell over 1.8%, New Zealand dollar shed 2.8% and weaker-than-forecast Canadian inflation data knocked the Canadian dollar over 1.5% down against the greenback to a two-week low of 1.0490. Spot gold also tumbled by over $30 an ounce, price hit an intra-day low of $ 1107.00 before staging a recovery.

The U.S. dollar rose broadly on increased risk aversion due to selloff in global stock markets and hopes that the Republican upset victory for the vacant U.S. Senate seat from Massachusetts will force Congress to rein in the fiscal deficit, the DJI closed down by 122 points. In other news, U.S. housing starts dropped by 4.0% to 0.557 million units whilst building permits rose by 10.9% to 0.653 million units. U.S. PPI came in at 0.2% m/m n 4.4% in December.

Data to be released on Thursday include New Zealand retail sales, Australia Westpac leading economic index, Swiss ZEW index, U.K. CBI industrial trend, U.S. jobless claims, leading indicators.

Hong Kong Qindex 00:31 GMT January 21, 2010
QIndex Trading System

EUR/GBP
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/GBP : Critical Support 0.8423


The market is going to consolidate within the weekly cycle matrix system at 0.8437 - 0.8552 - 0.8719 for the time being. As shown in the monthly cycle charts the market is now trading within the monthly cycle reference normal lower limits. The market is under pressure when it is below 0.8792 which is the first member of the series. Significant levels are positioning at 0.7738 - 0.8315 - 0.8446 - 0.8468.


EUR/GBP : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/eur-gbp.html

GVI Forex Blog 00:23 GMT January 21, 2010 Reply   

Stocks Finish Weaker but Investors Continue to Support the Dips

GVI Forex Blog 00:23 GMT January 21, 2010 Reply   

Dollar Advances as China Reigns in Bank Loans

Sydney ACC 00:10 GMT January 21, 2010
Reuters report that senior PBOC official Zhang Tao

First rate economy - second rate management of news.

 




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