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Forex Forum Archive for 01/25/2010

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Syd 22:47 GMT January 25, 2010
DJ FOMC Meeting Key Event For USD This Week-BNZ
Reply   
Key event for USD this week is FOMC meeting, says Bank of NZ Forex Strategist Danica Hampton. Says Fed widely expected to leave both policy unchanged and maintain "extended period" line in describing how long they will keep rates at accommodative levels. But, given labor market remains weak, inflation pressures benign "we suspect those looking for hints as to when the Fed will start to tighten policy will be disappointed." Says market also watching to see if Bernanke re-elected for second term as Fed chairman; State of Union speech from Obama; "we're also slap bang in the middle of the US corporate earnings season." USD Index last 78.18, says headwinds expected ahead of 78.50, initial support 77.90 "but I suspect we'll see some further weakness as the week unfolds."

GVI Forex Blog 22:22 GMT January 25, 2010 Reply   
The week started with some retracements from last week’s Greenback-strength moves. If indeed these are retracements, there are continuations to follow.

http://www.fxtimes.com/video/daily-video-technical-update-1-25-2010/

GVI Forex Blog 20:49 GMT January 25, 2010 Reply   
Jan 25 (global-view.com) Markets definitely calmed down a lot from their worries from late last week. Both political parties appear to have realized that it would be a disaster for the markets and

Daily GVI Forex Forex View-Waiting for Developments Later this Week

GVI Forex john 20:46 GMT January 25, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support


The Daily Forex View

Waiting for Developments Later this Week

21:00 GMT- Jan 25 (global-view.com) Markets definitely calmed down a lot from their worries from late last week. Both political parties appear to have realized that it would be a disaster for the markets and

MORE...

Mtl JP 19:57 GMT January 25, 2010
Saving America's banking system
Reply   
PAR - how it is done: a brief describing how the FDIC causes a bank to cease.

Saving America's banking system

... 'I wondered if they might come swinging down on ropes from the roof, but they all came in through the front door,' recalls Mike Granda, Riverview Community Bank's 35-year-old chief financial officer. 'It was kind of emotional for employees and customers. Their old bank, as they knew it, was not going be.' ...

GVI Forex Blog 19:47 GMT January 25, 2010 Reply   

Demand for Higher Risk Helping Equity Prices

GVI Forex Blog 19:39 GMT January 25, 2010 Reply   

Dollar Trading Mixed at Mid-Session

Tallinn viies 18:34 GMT January 25, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
nyc ws 18:06 GMT- I see 27 low.
under 3o is not correct, AROUND should work I hope

nyc ws 18:06 GMT January 25, 2010
eurusd

Tallinn, where did you see that? eurusd has not been below 1.4130 (I show low at 1.4129)

PAR 18:04 GMT January 25, 2010
Geithner Warnings - Bernanke is indispensable leader

The cemeteries are full of indispensable men .

Livingston nh 18:00 GMT January 25, 2010
Geithner Warnings - Bernanke is indispensable leader

Confidence is nice but until Harry Reid says we vote on X day there is no deal - he won't schedule until he has the votes - he still has to make some deals and the price went up last week

GVI Forex Blog 18:00 GMT January 25, 2010 Reply   

Initial Jobless Claims and Long Term Unemployment

Tallinn viies 18:00 GMT January 25, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
took smll euro long at 1,4146. stop at 1,4116,
rumours one european central bank has been buying euros all day under 1,4130 fwiw

PAR 17:55 GMT January 25, 2010
Geithner Warnings - Bernanke is indispensable leader
Reply   
Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner, in a recent interview with Mike Allen of Politico warned that the financial markets could react negatively if Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke isn't confirmed for a second term. (READ Politico's full story here.)

Geithner suggested that the market would see a failed Bernanke confirmation as "very troubling," but claimed that he was "very confident" Bernanke would receive enough Senate votes to win a second term.

"The markets would view this as very troubling thing for the economy as the whole," Geithner said. "I don't think they should be uncertain. I think they can be confident because we're very confident."

lkwd jj 17:34 GMT January 25, 2010
usdjpy

need to make new highs on the day to get some lift into this pair. above 36 and it will run to 80. check hourly p & f charts. 2 levels of probable stops. 36 and 56.

lkwd jj 17:29 GMT January 25, 2010
non event

cant go fishing, jets lost, might as well try to make a few bucks for lunch and a beer. gotta make a livin.....

nyc ws 17:27 GMT January 25, 2010
non event

It doesn't make sense to waste time trying to figure out a day like today. The market went with the order flow and is following equities.

GVI Forex Blog 17:26 GMT January 25, 2010 Reply   
Greek bond deal helps market Bernanke expected to be reconfirmed this week All eyes on Obama speech GBP up large

Forex Market Commentary and Analysis (25 January 2010)

San Diego bobl 17:12 GMT January 25, 2010
gbp/usd

jj.......

No, not at all. Price objectives are based on any particular crosses structure. For instance........say, if long gbp/usd, a target level could be R1, and then b/e on the rest. We have encoded risk parameters, depending on the offsets........but also have found that the market has a lot of noise, so can't be too tight, but also must be able to show more reward than the stop loss. Using a FIX protocal, you don't have to "show" stops.......they can be elected in fractions of a second.

gl/gt

lkwd jj 17:08 GMT January 25, 2010
non event

actually gbp was easy today as it went above pivot 16158 and never looked back. had good buying at 70-75 level with 58 as a stop on way to 16236.

lkwd jj 17:02 GMT January 25, 2010
gbp/usd

do you use the reverse of the atr (meaning 1/3 of atr of 30 period ) as profit target? i know you use different levels for exiting winners as well.

San Diego bobl 16:55 GMT January 25, 2010
gbp/usd

jj.......
We encorporate several features in our trading model......e.g. long one timeframe, short one or two others type of thing. This allows us an inherent "hedge". However, a rule of thumb is to allow 1/3rd of 30 period average true range as a stop.

gl/gt

GVI Forex Blog 16:55 GMT January 25, 2010 Reply   
Price action on spot silver, a daily chart of which is shown, took a steep dive for most of last week after reaching resistance around the 18.80 price region.

Chart of the Day - 1/25/2010 – SILVER

lkwd jj 16:50 GMT January 25, 2010
gbp/usd

so the price would have to exceed the range by "x" before you would call it a loss.

nyc ws 16:50 GMT January 25, 2010
non event
Reply   
This day has been a non event unless you were on the gbp train and odds are you do not see a move this way when traders get it right. 30 pip eurusd range in NY is no fun. I hope it is the calm before the next storm. The only storm I see today is the pouring rain outside.

San Diego bobl 16:47 GMT January 25, 2010
gbp/usd
Reply   
jj......

In my experience the more convolution at a particular point, the stronger that area is ......... it is commonly used in differential equations, which is one way we apply it to price structure. In trading, you have to facture in variable......e.g. "X" amount of pips outside the linear and convolution points. Again, never an exact science in trading....rather a case of probability. One of the reasons we have utilized linear regression channels is that the standard deviations from the mean (like Bollinger Bands) limits risk. In trading we all have losing trades........it's a function of mathematics to limit risk and give the winners, at least in part, to mature.

gl/gt

lkwd jj 16:38 GMT January 25, 2010
usdjpy
Reply   
watching 90.07 level here as it is pivot. havent closed below there in last 14 hours. even though traded down to 89.98. maybe short term trade buy above with stop if close hourly bar below. upside is 90.36(r1) and 90.83(r2).

GVI Forex Blog 16:36 GMT January 25, 2010 Reply   
(global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: Tuesday in the Far East will see the latest Bank of Japan policy decision. In Europe, the German IFO survey outcome is awaited, along with EZ Current Account and U.K. GDP data. U.S. data are the Case Shiller

GVI Forex- Data Outlook for January 26, 2010

lkwd jj 16:34 GMT January 25, 2010
linear regression

bobbl one more thing i forgot. r1 on pivot chart shows 16236as a level. pretty close to the chart double line convergence.

lkwd jj 16:32 GMT January 25, 2010 Reply   
Nuts and Bolts: Trading Strategies Forum

bc had a question. the "rules" you posted for yen on education forum. do they still apply or should it be updated...

THREAD: A suggestion UPDATED

lkwd jj 16:30 GMT January 25, 2010
linear regression

thanks for the explanation. now i look in my dictionary for algorythm !!(lol) as far as cable is concerned i see both lines lining up for a sell.near 16220-30. based on your chart. other charts had conflicting pictures. looks like you need a large hopper to get all that data in there.

GVI Forex john 16:30 GMT January 25, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Jan 25 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: Tuesday in the Far East will see the latest Bank of Japan policy decision. In Europe, the German IFO survey outcome is awaited, along with EZ Current Account and U.K. GDP data. U.S. data are the Case Shiller index and the Conference Board Customer Confidence figure. Later a two year note auction is due. The API energy report is a good predictor of the EIA data on Wednesday.

 

 

TUESDAY

 

 

4:30

JA

BOJ Rates (0.10%)

n/a

n/a

9:00

DE

Jan IFO Climate

95.2

94.7

9:00

DE

Jan IFO Cond

91.7

90.5

9:00

DE

Jan IFO Expect

99

99.1

9:00

EZ

Nov Cur/Acct Eurb

-3.5

-4.6

9:00

EZ

Nov Inv Flows Eur

n/a

17.7b

9:30

UK

4Qp GDP qq

0.40%

n/a

9:30

UK

4Qp GDP yy

-3.00%

n/a

14:00

US

Nov Case-Shiller20

0.30%

0.40%

15:00

US

Jan CB Confidence

53.5

52.9

18:00

US

TRY 2-yr

n/a

n/a

21:30

US

API Energy

n/a

n/a

23:50

JA

Dec Trade JPYb

590

373.9

 

 

WEDNESDAY

 

 

0:30

AU

4Q CPI q/q

0.40%

1.00%

0:30

AU

4Q CPI y/y

2.00%

1.30%

12:00

US

WK Mtg Stats

n/a

n/a

15:00

US

Dec New Homes k

370

355

15:30

US

EIA Crude mn

n/a

-0.4

15:30

US

EIA Gasoline mn

n/a

-3.55

15:30

US

EIA Distillate mn

n/a

3.9

15:30

US

EIA Cap Util

n/a

78.40%

18:00

US

TRY 5-yr

n/a

n/a

19:15

US

Fed Rates

unch

unch

20:00

NZ

RBNZ 2.50%

unch

unch

23:50

JA

Nov Retail Sales

0.20%

-0.90%

GVI Forex Blog 16:24 GMT January 25, 2010 Reply   
Equities began the week with a bounce in the wake of last week's dramatic sell-off, as a sustained weekend PR effort involving both sides of the aisle reassured that Bernanke would eventually be reconfirmed as Fed chairman.

Forex Blog - US Market Update (Trade the News)

San Diego bobl 16:18 GMT January 25, 2010
linear regression
Reply   
jj......

Linear regression is structurally organized to pattern a relationship by coordinates (in trading)....e.g. An X and Y mathematical relationship. Our linear regression model is designed mathematically to take many points of price reference, then have a deviation from that mean, to capture, or envelope, most probable fields of motion. Their are "squares" to the application, further promoting the algo. By choosing two separate LRM (linear regression models), using our own parameter set seen in these charts, and as described Friday, we have found what we consider the best of both worlds..........long and short term channels. When both line up, then we have the best chance of success..........much like taking two sma's, like the 20 and 50. We focus much on slope, like the typical application of moving averages. It is certainly not a perfect science, but that is nature of trading. We look to put the odds in our favor, while limiting risk.

gl/gt

Hong Kong Qindex 16:01 GMT January 25, 2010
QIndex Trading System

EUR/AUD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/AUD : The market is going to tackle the daily cycle matrix system at 1.5651 - 1.5634 - 1.5708.


EUR/AUD : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/eur-aud.html

Lahore FM 15:55 GMT January 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy eurusd
Entry: 1.4153 Target: Stop: 1.4060

2nd long added to earlier 1/2 at 1.4042.

GVI Forex Blog 15:50 GMT January 25, 2010 Reply   
I was thinking about the comments on gold and the dollar by the speakers at the conference while travelling back home yesterday...

Solid consensus still on the yellow metal and the buck

GVI Forex Blog 15:38 GMT January 25, 2010 Reply   
The EUR/USD is possibly in a correction rally. It surely can be anticipated as one because the general mode in the intermediate term is bearish. The 4H time-frame shows stochastic...

Daily Technical Update EUR/USD Stalking Correction Rally; Risk Assessment

san diego bobl 15:26 GMT January 25, 2010
eur/chf
Reply   


Last chart from last night's calls short........

gl/gt

san diego bobl 15:25 GMT January 25, 2010
nzd/usd
Reply   


Another chart......

gl/gt

san diego bobl 15:24 GMT January 25, 2010
eur/jpy
Reply   


Another chart.......

gl/gt

san diego bobl 15:21 GMT January 25, 2010
gbp/usd
Reply   


Charts from last night's call

gl/gt

lkwd jj 15:19 GMT January 25, 2010
eur/usd

bobbl can you explain what a linear regression is ? not a math person.

GVI Forex john 15:19 GMT January 25, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



Housing number almost perfectly predicted by lagged pending homes sales. The fit is so close you can barely see (green) line.

san diego bobl 15:12 GMT January 25, 2010
eur/usd
Reply   


fwiw.......

chart posted from last nights call

gl/gt

Hong Kong Qindex 14:50 GMT January 25, 2010
QIndex Trading System

EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : In the mean time the market is going to consolidate within the following ranges :


... 1.4085 - 1.4106 // 1.4113 - 1.4128 - 1.4148 - 1.4163 - 1.4189 - 1.4191 // 1.4209 - 1.4222 ...



=========================================

01/24/2010 16:39:15 Qindex Hong Kong 8

EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:
EUR/USD : The market is going to consolidate within the weekly cycle pivot centers at 1.4021 - 1.4072 - 1.4226. The market is positive when it is able to trade above the daily cycle matrix system at 1.4202 - 1.4250 - 1.4263.


EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/euro.html


================================================

01/24/2010 10:23:06 Qindex Hong Kong 4

EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:
EUR/USD : The market is going to consolidate within 1.3744 - 1.4416 - 1.4606. The mid-point reference between 1.3744 and 1.4416 is 1.4080.

Wall Street 14:47 GMT January 25, 2010
EURUSD
Reply   
Looks like mixed momentum in the EURUSD today. I'm watching the 200 period average on the 5 min chart as a barometer of market sentiment (1.4157 current level). Above, I see EURUSD sentiment improving and maybe a day-trading bottom being put in.

Juffair KaL 14:32 GMT January 25, 2010
US Mkt

Yes Jay
I just did that...I should have recalled
Thanks

GVI Forex Jay 14:27 GMT January 25, 2010
US Mkt

Kal, we have a Futures Forum where you can post stock market calls. This is the Forex Forum.

Juffair KaL 14:24 GMT January 25, 2010
US Mkt

sp500
$COMPX*30 Sell 2,225.15 2,180.66

HK REVDAX 14:12 GMT January 25, 2010
Indicators

IMO...this is going to be a luke warm day in Euro today with a slight downside bias only.

GVI Forex john 14:06 GMT January 25, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

If we are going to trade on stocks today...

 From twice daily:  Market Tracker

MOV AVG

NIKKEI

DAX

FTSE

S&P

DJIA

LAST

10513

5682

5324

1092

10173

20 DAY

10723

5938

5458

1131

10552

50 DAY

10256

5857

5362

1117

10472

100 DAY

10160

5755

5258

1092

10176

200 DAY

9949

5393

4862

1017

9458

 

Note: Due to database limitations, averages are approximate

 

Juffair KaL 14:02 GMT January 25, 2010
US Mkt

^DJI*30 Sell 10,281.17 10,020.11
^NDX*30 Sell 1,822.79 1,760.17

maybe around these levels

some are buys

CEPH*30 Buy 66.87 63.70
EBAY*30 Buy 24.81 22.56
EXPD*30 Buy 35.88 33.67
ISRG*30 Buy 363.40 324.91
JAVA*30 Buy 9.53 9.40
STX*30 Buy 19.92 17.16

gl

GVI Forex Blog 13:59 GMT January 25, 2010 Reply   

Equity Markets Rebounding after Last Week’s Sell-off

GVI Forex Blog 13:58 GMT January 25, 2010 Reply   

Dollar Likely to Get Direction from This Week’s Central Bank Meeting

Juffair KaL 13:36 GMT January 25, 2010
US Mkt
Reply   
a sell IMO for a few days

oil
gold
goog
all sells

Toronto yv 13:24 GMT January 25, 2010
Meta 4 Trader update

Revdax , for your issue with MT4 try Tools-> History Center to download missed data , for detailed info go to MT4 help Tools , History Center . .

GVI Forex john 13:17 GMT January 25, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Data Call @ 15:00 GMT

Existing Homes Sales


The most closely followed housing statistic by the markets is Existing Homes sales compiled by the NAR (National Association of Realtors). Existing-Home Sales data come out On or about the 25th of each month. The report contains statistics on sales and prices of existing single-family homes for the nation and the four regions. These figures include condos and co-ops, in addition to single-family homes.

A chart of the data is posted following the data release.

Lahore FM 13:09 GMT January 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

01/22/2010 13:05:27 FM Lahore 4

Buy audcad Correction**
Entry: 0.9516* Target: 0.9820* Stop: 0.9420
long now.
--
stops raised to 0.9480 from 0.9420 earlier.

GVI Forex futures 12:53 GMT January 25, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Total open interest in the EURO FX futures gained 3,687 to
173,393 on Friday. Our best guess, based on the moving averages, was that the markets at the margin were adding to shorts, but not overwhelmingly so. As for the COT report released by the CFTC on Friday, traders remained as they have been for many weeks, overwhelmingly short the EURUSD.

GVI Forex Blog 12:00 GMT January 25, 2010 Reply   

FX Thoughts for the day : 25-Jan-2010 - 1158 GMT

GVI Forex Jay 11:43 GMT January 25, 2010
Meta 4 Trader update

Revdax. Please use the Open (formerly the Help) Forum to discuss your MT4 issues. The Forex Forum is for market flow and discussion. TIA

GVI Forex Blog 11:39 GMT January 25, 2010 Reply   
A notable feature of the global economic downturn over the past two years has been the marked weakening in money supply growth. Despite unprecedented policy stimulus, the deposits held by the private sector and the amount of bank borrowing undertaken have both slowed sharply.

Economics Weekly - Weak money supply growth argues for continued stimulus; Weekly economic data preview -UK poised to exit recession in Q4, while US recovery gathers further momentum

HK REVDAX 11:26 GMT January 25, 2010
Meta 4 Trader update

JgrB 10:08//Tks. Managed to revive one only.

GVI Forex Blog 11:22 GMT January 25, 2010 Reply   
The euro rose against the dollar on Monday as demand for an offer of five-year Greek sovereign bonds appeared to be stronger than expected.

FOREX NEWS -Euro rises as demand for Greek bond looks strong

GVI Forex Blog 11:14 GMT January 25, 2010 Reply   
11:00 GMT- Jan 25 (global-view.com) Markets appears to have calmed down a lot from their worries from late last week. Despite a lot of empty political posturing, both political parties seem to have realized that it would be a disaster for the markets...

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- The Dust Has Started to Settle

GVI Forex john 11:11 GMT January 25, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support
Reply   


The Daily Forex View

The Dust Has Started to Settle

11:00 GMT- Jan 25 (global-view.com) Markets appear to have calmed down a lot from their worries from late last week. Despite a lot of empty political posturing, both political parties seem to have realized that it would be a disaster for the markets...

MORE...

GVI Forex Blog 11:02 GMT January 25, 2010 Reply   
With few macro themes for markets to grab hold of, Monday morning has been quiet in bonds and fx. The greenback was broadly weaker throughout the morning with dealers pointing to renewed expectations that Bernanke will be confirmed in the Senate this week.

European Market Update: Greece opens books on 5 year bond offering; European bourses seek to shake Asian sentiment

Hong Kong Qindex 10:43 GMT January 25, 2010
QIndex Trading System

USD/CAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/CAD : The market is under pressure when it is below the monthly cycle matrix system at 1.0721 - 1.0849 - 1.1047. The weekly cycle matrix system at 1.667 - 1.0760 - 1.0860 would serve as upside targeting points. In the mean time the market is consolidating within the daily cycle matrix system at 1.0474- 1.0535 - 1.0644.



USD/CAD : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/cad.html

Gen dk 10:26 GMT January 25, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Malaga (Spain) JgrB 10:08 GMT January 25, 2010
Meta 4 Trader update



RevDax,

Hope this helps.

Data Updating
Data must be updated if any errors or "holes" occur in the price chart. In order to update the price data, one has to execute the "Charts — Refresh" menu command or the chart context menu command of the same name. After all these actions have been performed, the missing bars will be downloaded from the server automatically and drawn in the chart.

Malaga (Spain) JgrB 10:01 GMT January 25, 2010
Meta 4 Trader update




RevDax,

I'm sorry but I really don't know. I posted the Panda Security solution as it worked for me but haven't got a clue about how to fix your problem.

GL

HK REVDAX 09:56 GMT January 25, 2010
Meta 4 Trader update
Reply   
JgrB//Please tell me how to fix a funny problem in my meta 4.
For some currencies, the tradestation shows only the daily bars for the latest 2 months. The hourly or the 4 hourly are OK.

GVI Forex Blog 09:56 GMT January 25, 2010 Reply   
Traders look forward to the publication of the German Information and Foschung (Ifo) Business Climate Index tomorrow (January 26).

Forexpros Daily Analysis - 25/01/2010

Malaga (Spain) JgrB 09:42 GMT January 25, 2010
MT4 Infected by virus! Help!


Try http://www.pandasecurity.com/activescan/index/?lang=en-US&track=91287&IdPais=62

GL

delhi 09:35 GMT January 25, 2010
MT4 Infected by virus! Help!
Reply   
So I have been downloading decompiled EA's from another trading robot forum (which shall remain nameless) and it looks like karma has come back to bite me as I seem to have a virus on my computer. I tried bitdefender and Kapersky but they have not seemed to get rid of it. My MT4 keeps crashing and freezing up and I cant trade.
Has anyone had a similar problem? What can I do?

HK REVDAX 09:02 GMT January 25, 2010
Indicators

Euro closes above my low-tech 20 sma and I just closed out the bulk of my shorts, leaving behind a couple for a second confirmation. There seems to be a lot of boyance beneath to give shorts a hard time.

HK REVDAX 08:11 GMT January 25, 2010
Indicators

bobl//Being a 'low-tech' trader, i am very much looking forward to euro spot closing below the 20 sma at the end of this hour...gt

Juffair KaL 06:33 GMT January 25, 2010
sort of control rrom
Reply   
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=188963

not bad so far

hk nt 05:07 GMT January 25, 2010
The $700 Billion U.S. Funding Hole; Desperately Seeking A Very Indiscriminate Treasury Buyer
Reply   

A month ago we observed that in 2010, the supply/demand picture for US fixed income would be very problematic, as there was no immediate apparent substitute to fill the void resulting from the departure of the constant bid provided by the Federal Reserve's Quantitative Easing in both the UST and the MBS markets. The conclusion was that there would need to be a dramatic increase in demand for debt securities across the board, with an emphasis of Treasuries and MBS.

Today, we focus on the most critical segment of debt issuance for 2010 - those ever critical US Treasuries, without whose weekly uptake by various investors, the multitrillion budget deficit will become unfundable. Using estimates from Morgan Stanley for 2010 Treasury supply and demand, the conclusion is that there will be a demand shortfall of at least half a trillion, and realistically $700 billion, to satisfy the roughly $1.7 trillion in net ($2.4 trillion gross) coupon issuance in the upcoming year............

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/700-billion-us-funding-hole-desperately-seeking-very-indiscriminate-treasury-buyer





dc CB 04:15 GMT January 25, 2010
Pavlov Principle
Reply   
As noted friday by ZeroHedge: 9 months of don't be short over the weekend.

Combined with...stocks rally on Monday.

Needless to say, 9:30-10:00ET will be tense as the 'bon mot(s)' are tested, when cash trades.

Syd 04:15 GMT January 25, 2010
Finance Minister Vows Greece To Stay In Euro Zone - Report
Reply   
Greece intends to remain a member of the Euro zone, the Die Welt said Monday, citing Finance Minister Giorgos Papakonstantinou. "Speculation about an exit from the monetary union is absurd," he said, according to the newspaper. He "categorically ruled out" such an exit, the newspaper said.
The minister expressed optimism that Greece will manage a decrease in its state debts, the newspaper said. "We will handle the budget problems on our own," he said, adding Greece doesn't expect any outside help with this task, according to the newspaper.
http://www.welt.de

GVI Forex Blog 04:13 GMT January 25, 2010 Reply   

Morning Briefing : 25-Jan-2010 - 0334 GMT

san diego bobl 04:06 GMT January 25, 2010
Indicators
Reply   
Hi Revdax,

Acually, my linear regression channel works best in trends.......albeit with some proprietary attributes. My intend is to assist traders in "framing" the market. One of the best attributles imho is that when it is proven wrong, the drawdown is very small. At some point I'll add some charts of the full package. Our work can be long one timeframe, short another, so as to hedge all risk, and occassionally catch the big play when they are all sumed up. Right now the 4 hour, with our other applications, is diametrically opposed. What we are showing now is meant to be an aid in the decision process. And, as mentioned, this is secondary application.....the whole of our work considers quite a bit more.

gl/gt

HK REVDAX 03:39 GMT January 25, 2010
EUR/USD triggered

bobl//Thank you for having introduced the linear regression channel indicator to me. I am combining this new indicator with the old fashioned RSI I used and see how it works out.
I have a turning point signal today also to sell Euro. Thus 3 indicators are pointing to a sell of Euro at this time. What I am feeling uncomfortable is that this signal may not be that 'trendy' or it pops up when the Euro mkt is very oversold.

Will see...

Hong Kong Qindex 03:37 GMT January 25, 2010
QIndex Trading System

AUD/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

AUD/USD : The market is stable when it is consolidating within the monthly cycle matrix system at 0.8881 - 0.9044 - 0.9073. The weekly cycle matrix system is located at 0.8890 - 0.9008 - 0.9051. The bias is on the upside when the market is trading above the weekly cycle pivot centers at 0.8865 - 0.8904 - 0.8973.


AUD/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/aud.html

Syd 03:01 GMT January 25, 2010
Australian economy expected to grow
Reply   
The Australian economy is tipped to post better than expected growth in 2010.
http://au.truveo.com/australian-ec
onomy-expected-to-grow/id/72057655900788442

Syd 02:06 GMT January 25, 2010
WSJ(1/25) UPDATE: Backers Rally To Bernanke
Reply   
WASHINGTON—The political winds appear to be shifting in Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's favor, as the White House escalated efforts to win the 60 votes needed in the Senate to confirm him for a second term and Senate Republican and Democratic leaders predicted those efforts would succeed.LINK

Hong Kong 00:50 GMT January 25, 2010
Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader
Reply   
Market Review - 22/01/2010 22:20 All times in GMT

Yen gains on broad-based risk aversion


The greenback fell against the yen and euro on Friday as investors continued to move out of risky assets, unnerved by U.S. President Barack Obama's proposals on Thursday to limit proprietary trading activities by U.S. banks and financial institutions.

The yen went through a very hectic and choppy session in Australia & Tokyo morning following Thursday's selloff in the Dow. Usd/yen resumed previous session's decline in Australia due to stoploss selling in eur/jpy when this cross pair briefly dropped to a 9-month low of 126.55 after penetrating key sup at 126.95. Dollar fell to a 4-week high of 89.78 in Asian morning session before rebounding on short-covering, the pair later rose to 90.57 in Europe. However, weakness in European & U.S. stocks markets (DJI closed down 217 points) triggered another wave of yen buying due on risk aversion (the 3-commodity currencies fell across the board), forcing dollar to retreat to 89.81 in NY afternoon. The pair ended the day down over 0.5% and posted a third straight weekly decline.

Euro traded with a biddish tone in Asian session on Friday as pre-weekend short-covering lifted price from intra-day low of 1.4065 (Australia). The single currency picked up more upward momentum after eurozone released its industrial production. Eurozone industrial new orders rose by 1.6% in November, much higher than economists' forecast of 0.5% increase n the upwardly revised 1.9% decrease in October. Euro later reached an intra-day high of 1.4182 in NY afternoon before retreating.

Despite rising to 1.6285 in European morning, cable tumbled from there and the decline accelerated after the U.K.’s retail sales grew less than market's forecast in December. U.K's December retail sales rose 0.3 % from November, below the 1.1% gain forecast by economists. The intra-day unwinding of euro/sterling which had fallen to a 5-month low of 0.8650 on Wednesday exacerbated sterling's decline, price eventually tumbled to as low as 1.6077 in NY mid-day session before staging a minor recovery.

Data to be released next week include Australia PPI, Germany Gfk index, U.S. existing home sales on Monday, Japan BOJ rate decision, Germany Ifo index, EU current account, U.K. GDP, U.S. consumer confidence on Tuesday, Australia Westpac leading economic index, Japan trade balance, Australia CPI, Japan BOJ report, U.K. CBI distribution trade, U.S. new home sales, U.S. Fed rate decision on Wednesday, New Zealand RBNZ rate decision, Japan retail sales, Germany unemployment rate, U.S. durable goods, jobless claims on Thursday, New Zealand trade balance, Japan manufacturing PMI, National CPI, unemployment rate, household spending, industrial production, housing starts, construction orders, U.K. Gfk survey, EU HICP flash, Unemployment rate, Swiss KOF indicator, U.S. building permits, PCE core, GDP, Chicago PMI, U. Michigan survey, Canada GDP, PPI on Friday.


san diego bobl 00:45 GMT January 25, 2010
eur/usd
Reply   
Sorry.......
have to use different program to post on this computer.....I'll get it done.

gl/gt

san diego bobl 00:37 GMT January 25, 2010
eur/usd
Reply   


This is eur/usd chart............this is secondary signal........currently ideal is 1.4200, with stop 10 pips above.

gl/gt

Hong Kong Qindex 00:17 GMT January 25, 2010
QIndex Trading System

USD/CHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/CHF : The market is stable when it is above the weekly cycle matrix system at 1.0268 - 1.0293 - 1.0313. The daily cycle matrix system at 1.0057 - 1.0135 - 1.0147 would serve as a supporting range.


USD/CHF : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/chf.html


================================================


01/24/2010 23:39:07 Qindex Hong Kong 2

USD/CHF
Entry: Target: Stop:
USD/CHF : The current expected trading range is 1.0325 - 1.0720.

san diego bobl 00:09 GMT January 25, 2010
EUR/USD triggered
Reply   
EUR/USD.......sold @ 1.4145

gl/gt

Syd 00:04 GMT January 25, 2010
Fears of public outcry as UK banks prepare to announce 25bn profits
Reply   
Britain's biggest banks are to announce profits of up to £25bn raising fresh fears of a public backlash against the sector that was propped up by billions of pounds of taxpayer money less than two years ago.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/70
63119/Fears-of-public-outcry-as-UK-banks-prepare-to-announce-25bn-profits.html

san diego bobl 00:01 GMT January 25, 2010
EUR/USD
Reply   
fwiw......
EUR/USD close to potential sell signal via the Linear Regression Channel Parameters mentioned last week.
Will post chart if it goes into effect.

gl/gt

 




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