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Forex Forum Archive for 01/26/2010

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Syd 23:37 GMT January 26, 2010
DJ Aussie Leading Index Gives RBA Reason To Hike
Reply   
Westpac-Melbourne Institute's November leading index rose at highest annualized growth rate in two years, up 7.6%; gives RBA one more reason to raise rates at next week's meeting. "The evidence from the Leading Index; the Westpac Melbourne Institute Index of Consumer Sentiment; the labour market; and recent trends in retail sales indicate that the Bank will be keen to move monetary settings back to a level where interest rates are no longer stimulatory for the economy," says Westpac Chief Economist Bill Evans; expects 25-basis-point rise Feb. 2 with two further increases of 25 bps by June.

GVI Forex Blog 23:21 GMT January 26, 2010 Reply   
Fed to adopt new benchmark? Obama speech tomorrow? Kan eyes more Fed action U.K. to follow Obama on bank reform?

Forex Market Commentary and Analysis (26 January 2010)

USA ZEUS 23:02 GMT January 26, 2010
usd/cad 1 hour

san diego bobl 22:35 GMT January 26, 2010

Nice charts bobbl. Thank you for sharing some trading methods with the group here. Am fond of some regression concepts. Personally know the originator of "Standard Error Bands" LOL
GT! :-)

Cheers!

lkwd jj 23:01 GMT January 26, 2010
gbp
Reply   
mkt hasent closed below 1.61. tested but no close. if not for risk aversion , the uk numbers support a higher sterling for the time being.

Syd 22:42 GMT January 26, 2010
Obama's Bank War Will Wound The Greenback Dennis Gartman says the greenback will be the first of cas
Reply   
Dennis Gartman Goes Ape On Obama's Banker War, Accuses President Of Being Anti-Capitalist
http://wallstreetpit.com/index.php?s=Dennis+Gartman+

san diego bobl 22:35 GMT January 26, 2010
usd/cad 1 hour
Reply   


Chris..........
I hour chart.

gl/gt

san diego bobl 22:33 GMT January 26, 2010
usd/cad
Reply   


Chris...

Here is usd/cad daily.........hourly to follow.

gl/gt

GVI Forex john 22:19 GMT January 26, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Later Data Call @ 00:30 GMT
Australia Quarterly Consumer Price Index


The CPI is an index designed to measure the change in price of a fixed market basket of goods and services. The market basket of goods and services is representative of the purchases of a typical consumer. Most countries have an alternate measure of inflation where they exclude volatile items, such as food and energy, to arrive at a measure of underlying inflation. Colloquially, this is usually referred to as “core” inflation. Core inflation can be a useful analytical tool.

Many Central banks explicitly target inflation levels. An acceleration or deceleration of inflation may signal that a change in monetary policy might be appropriate.

GVI Forex john 22:14 GMT January 26, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Data Call @ 23:50 GMT
Japanese Trade


Broad Definition: Merchandise trade is trade in goods only, not services, and excludes capital transfers and foreign investments. Exports are total exports; they include both domestically-produced goods and re-exports, which constitute imports of goods which are warehoused here, then re-exported. Imports are general imports, which measure total arrivals of goods. The. Balance of trade is defined as total exports minus general imports.

IMPACT: Trade figures used to be viewed as the most important statistic for the forex market. It goes to proper valuation of the exchange rate, but can also reflect relative demand for goods. A trade deficit is a net deduction from GDP, while a surplus is an addition.

GVI Forex john 22:08 GMT January 26, 2010
eurusd

Yes I believe a build was expected in crude.

Tallinn viies 22:02 GMT January 26, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
thnks.
total number is5 mio worser than EIA numbers expected. is it so?

USA ZEUS 21:58 GMT January 26, 2010
eurusd

Margins are razor thin at the refinery.

GVI Forex Jay 21:51 GMT January 26, 2010
eurusd

From GVI:

GVI Forex john 21:39 GMT January 26, 2010
Headlines and Discussion: Reply
API
crude -2.22m
Gasoline +916K
Distillates-1.98 m
C/U 77.6%

Tallinn viies 21:50 GMT January 26, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
guys can you help API oil stocks pls?

Wall Street 21:43 GMT January 26, 2010
EURUSD
Reply   
Neutrality (short term) for my system in EURUSD is now 1.4086. Took note of the G-V 1.4100 pivot heading into Wednesday. Tough markets to trade.

GVI Forex Blog 21:42 GMT January 26, 2010 Reply   
The Canadian dollar stumbled versus the U.S. currency on Tuesday as investors shunned risky assets, sparked by China's clampdown on lending and as Japan's credit rating was put in the spotlight.

Forex Market News - CANADA FX DEBT-C$ loses more ground on investor caution

Syd 21:33 GMT January 26, 2010
Trichet backs U.S. bank plan
Reply   
FRANKFURT—European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet offered qualified support for a U.S. plan to rein in the size and activities of large banks, though he stressed such proposals should be coordinated globally.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB100014240
52748704905604575027073699704584.html?mod=googlenews_wsj

Syd 21:31 GMT January 26, 2010
Inflation fears tipped to trigger four rate rises
Reply   


Inflation fears tipped to trigger four rate rises
INFLATION is expected to remain stubbornly high in Australia, forcing the Reserve Bank to raise interest rates four consecutive times, an unprecedented move for the central bank. LINK
MF expects bumper Australian growth
LINK

San Diego bobl 21:25 GMT January 26, 2010
yesterday's posts and charts
Reply   
fwiw.......
Still hold a third of all charts/positions posted yesterday with some decend gains. The one trade that didn't follow-through is the eur/chf, which we got out a b/e per post. I will probably post charts/system after FOMC again.

gl/gt

GVI Forex john 21:20 GMT January 26, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Pivot Points basis Tuesday ranges

Click for Complete Chart Points

1/26/2010

EUR/USD

USD/JPY

USD/CHF

GBP/USD

USD/CAD

Res 3

1.4293

91.54

1.0616

1.6418

1.0835

Res 2

1.4236

91.05

1.0553

1.6343

1.0764

Res 1

1.4157

90.34

1.0505

1.6244

1.0690

P=(H+L+C)/3

1.4100

89.85

1.0442

1.6169

1.0619

Sup 1

1.4021

89.14

1.0394

1.6070

1.0545

Sup 2

1.3964

88.65

1.0331

1.5995

1.0474

Sup 3

1.3885

87.94

1.0283

1.5896

1.0400

 

EUR/GBP

EUR/JPY

EUR/CHF

AUD/USD

GBP/JPY

Res 3

0.8844

130.49

1.4784

0.9213

149.82

Res 2

0.8799

129.43

1.4763

0.9148

148.56

Res 1

0.8759

127.82

1.4744

0.9068

146.64

P=(H+L+C)/3

0.8714

126.76

1.4723

0.9003

145.38

Sup 1

0.8674

125.15

1.4704

0.8923

143.46

Sup 2

0.8629

124.09

1.4683

0.8858

142.20

Sup 3

0.8589

122.48

1.4664

0.8778

140.28

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tallinn viies 21:17 GMT January 26, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
yesterday somebody mentioned there is big expiry ca 1,5 yrds on friday at 1.4000.

fwiw

GVI Forex Blog 21:17 GMT January 26, 2010 Reply   
The dollar rose on Tuesday after China told certain banks to raise reserve requirements, dulling investor demand for high-yield assets and currencies on fears the lending restrictions may slow a global recovery.

FOREX NEWS-Dollar, yen rise as China restricts bank lending

NYC ET 21:04 GMT January 26, 2010
stocks

Stocks market yo-yo ends in the red. 2nd day where it could not hold gains.

Tallinn viies 20:50 GMT January 26, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
sold euros at 1,4078 with stop at 1,4118.
target 1,3875

GVI Forex Blog 20:09 GMT January 26, 2010 Reply   
21:00 GMT- Jan 26 (global-view.com) The focus of activity early Tuesday was back on risk aversion trades. That means traders were unloading European currencies, commodities, commodity currencies, equities etc. On the other side they purchased carry trade financing currencies

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- Markets Reassess Risk Trades Daily

GVI Forex john 20:06 GMT January 26, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support


The Daily Forex View

Markets Reassess Risk Trades Daily

21:00 GMT- Jan 26 (global-view.com) The focus of activity early Tuesday was back on risk aversion trades. That means traders were unloading European currencies, commodities, commodity currencies, equities etc. On the other side they purchased carry trade financing currencies

MORE...

GVI Forex Jay 20:03 GMT January 26, 2010 Reply   
Nuts and Bolts: Trading Rooms Forum

I have been using the one hour chart and as can be seen by the chart posted above, there is a downtrend that has...

THREAD: EUR/USD UPDATED

GVI Forex Blog 19:19 GMT January 26, 2010 Reply   
Equity markets shrugged off yesterday afternoon's rehashed news on Chinese bank lending curbs, which had hurt Asian equities, focussing instead on data showing US consumer confidence continues to improve and some positive US earnings surprises.

Forex Research - Morning Report

NYC WS 19:08 GMT January 26, 2010
stocks

Sort of a relief day but not many chasing the market here. It is really quiet.

NYC ET 18:18 GMT January 26, 2010
stocks

Low volume stock rally

GVI Forex 18:07 GMT January 26, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

From GVI Forex:

GVI Forex john 18:02 GMT January 26, 2010
Headlines and Discussion: Reply
2-yr auction $44bln
rate 0.880%
bid/cvr 3.13
indir 41.3%

Mtl JP 18:06 GMT January 26, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

john earlier today CBO annonced that in 2010 US gov't will be in deficit by $1.3 trillion (trillion = one thousand billion, which intself is a thousand million). I expect that # does not include any roll-overs of debt coming due.

re "stumble could reverberate through the marketplace"
can u expand in some detail what types of investment play opportunities those revirberations could represent ?

tia!

GVI Forex john 17:13 GMT January 26, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Data Call @ 18:00 GMT-

U.S. 2-yr NOTE AUCTION RESULT


Markets are highly sensitive to the results of periodic U.S. debt auctions. This is because of the sheer magnitude of the paper that is continuously being offered to the marketplace. Any stumble could reverberate through the marketplace.

GVI Forex Blog 16:44 GMT January 26, 2010 Reply   
(global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: Wednesday in the Far East will see Japanese trade data. Key Australian CPI data are due as well. In the U.S., major highlights are new Homes Sales and weekly energy data.

GVI Forex- Data Outlook for January 27, 2010

NYC ET 16:42 GMT January 26, 2010
stocks
Reply   
US equities are not cooperating with overnight trends. eurusd 1.4100 is 38.2% of this week's range.

GVI Forex john 16:42 GMT January 26, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Jan 26 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: Wednesday in the Far East will see Japanese trade data. Key Australian CPI data are due as well. In the U.S., major highlights are new Homes Sales and weekly energy data. The afternoon will see a 5-yr note auction and the latest Fed decision.

23:50

JA

Dec Trade JPYb

590

373.9

 

 

WEDNESDAY

 

 

0:30

AU

4Q CPI q/q

0.40%

1.00%

0:30

AU

4Q CPI y/y

2.00%

1.30%

12:00

US

WK Mtg Stats

n/a

n/a

15:00

US

Dec New Homes k

370

355

15:30

US

EIA Crude mn

1.7

-0.4

15:30

US

EIA Gasoline mn

1.4

-3.55

15:30

US

EIA Distillate mn

-1.4

3.9

15:30

US

EIA Cap Util

79.30%

78.40%

18:00

US

TRY 5-yr

n/a

n/a

19:15

US

Fed Rates

unch

unch

20:00

NZ

RBNZ 2.50%

unch

unch

23:50

JA

Nov Retail Sales

0.20%

-0.90%

 

 

THURSDAY

 

 

13:30

US

Dec Dur Goods

2.00%

0.20%

13:30

US

Wk Initial Claims k

450

480

13:30

US

WK Cont Claims mn

4600

4599

15:30

US

DOE Nat Gas bcf

-116

-245

18:00

US

TRY 7-yr

n/a

n/a

 

GVI Forex Blog 16:33 GMT January 26, 2010 Reply   
The US Greenback has again benefited from some overall risk aversion coming out of the Asian and European trading sessions.

Forex Blog - US Market Update (Trade the News)

lkwd jj 16:09 GMT January 26, 2010
usdjpy
Reply   
same strategy available buying with stops near s3.

lkwd jj 16:06 GMT January 26, 2010
gbpusd
Reply   
long gbpusd 16148 with target of 16195. stops below 161.29. pivots like yesterday, with 16129 holding so far . mkt retraced to 16144.

lkwd jj 16:02 GMT January 26, 2010
2nd Profit targets, posts, charts

nice trades!!!!

GVI Forex Blog 15:49 GMT January 26, 2010 Reply   
The set up from last session materialized into a decline in the Asian session, see above chart with original risk assessment. The anticipation was on point as the momentum was showing...

FXTimes: Daily Technical Update EUR/USD Bearish Scenario Triggered @ 1.4120

Wall Street 15:36 GMT January 26, 2010
EURUSD

My EURUSD sentiment index price has been drifting lower all morning. Now its running at about 1.4104 down 20 pis from earlier. We are figuring buy stops are now accumulating above the 1,4100 line. We are not chasing the break today. TOO RISKY.

HK Kevin 15:15 GMT January 26, 2010
2nd Profit targets, posts, charts

San Diego bobl 15:05 GMT, cheers.

GVI Forex Blog 15:14 GMT January 26, 2010 Reply   
Last week when I touched upon the US dollar’s technical pattern, and the near-term potential for it to roll over a bit, I made mention of the lingering debt problem in the US...

Dollar, Debt and Dominance

San Diego bobl 15:05 GMT January 26, 2010
2nd Profit targets, posts, charts
Reply   
fwiw.......
I posted 5 charts and posts yesterday.........short
eur/usd; gbp/usd; eur/jpy; nzd/usd; and eur/chf.........
Last night I posted a third out, except for eur/chf........
Suggest taking another third off here, most over 100 pips profit, and only one I took b/e was eur/chf. Net gain for all over 600 pips, with 1/3 rd remaining @ b/e for first 4 pairs.

Doing this in front of numbers.........

gl/gt

GVI Forex john 14:37 GMT January 26, 2010 Reply   
Nuts and Bolts: Trading Strategies Forum

Here are many words of wisdom from Shanghai bc ...

THREAD: A suggestion UPDATED

GVI Forex john 14:32 GMT January 26, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Data Call @ 15:00 GMT

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Survey


Consumer Confidence Survey is a monthly report detailing consumer attitudes and buying intentions. The Index is calculated on the basis of a 5,000 household survey of consumer opinions on current conditions and future expectations of the economy.


London Chris 14:29 GMT January 26, 2010
GBP

gbpusd survived inside day by 2 pips

Mtl JP 14:29 GMT January 26, 2010
Question period on the state of the economy
Reply   
Live, Tuesday at 2 p.m. (ET)
Question period on the state of the economy

Don Drummond, senior vice-president and chief economist at TD Bank, and ROB reporters will take your questions

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/prorogation/prorogation-archive/question-period-on-the-state-of-the-economy/article1441093/

London HC 14:00 GMT January 26, 2010
GBP
Reply   
A low below 1.6092 would be an outside day

GVI Forex Blog 13:49 GMT January 26, 2010 Reply   
The yen rose sharply on Tuesday after China's implementation of rises in some banks' reserve ratios cut risk appetite and underlined concerns that monetary tightening may slow the country's economic growth.

FOREX NEWS-Yen gains as China implements reserve ratio hike

Lahore FM 13:45 GMT January 26, 2010
Euro

CS,i ahve a stop at 1.4060 for longs at 1.4150.also a 1/2 long from 1.4042 with stops below 1.40.the partial close covers the stop for that.

right now just looking at this nervous market.

GVI Forex Blog 13:44 GMT January 26, 2010 Reply   

Equity Market’s called lower after Volatile Asian Trade

GVI Forex Blog 13:43 GMT January 26, 2010 Reply   

Bearish News Boosts Dollar’s Appeal as Safe Haven

FW CS 13:42 GMT January 26, 2010
Euro
Reply   
Lahore FM 13:16 GMT January 26, 2010
01/21/2010 22:57:08 FM Lahore 8
FM
Are you buying Euro here as well? Looks like there is some support around these levels. Though the easier money lately has been long $.

GVI Forex john 13:23 GMT January 26, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Data Call @ 14:00 GMT

The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices


The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices measures the residential housing market. This index family consists of 20 regional indices and two composite indices as aggregates of the regions. The S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index is a broader composite of single-family home price indices for the nine U.S. Census divisions and is calculated quarterly.

This is yet another measure of the housing industry in the U.S. It is watched because of its accuracy, but the data tend to be too old to impact the markets much.

Lahore FM 13:16 GMT January 26, 2010
Trade Ideas

01/21/2010 22:57:08 FM Lahore 8

Buy audusd
Entry: 0.9017 Target: Stop: 0.8950
long once more after taking a hit of 42 minus yesterday albiet this once in 100 pips lower almost.

--
stopped for minus 67.

GVI Forex Futures 13:12 GMT January 26, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Total open interest in the EURO FX contract increased by a scant 100 contracts on Monday. This lack of interest was reflected in the intra-day trading range yesterday. Open Interest is still a healthy 173,493 contracts.

We were able to confirm via the weekly Commitment of Traders report on Friday that the market still holds significant EURO shorts (USD longs).

GVI Forex john 12:59 GMT January 26, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



Earlier U.K. GDP weaker than expected. Focus in on quarterly figures (red bars) which are showing steady improvement. Note also that the quarterly (3 months) figures are not annualized. The yr/yr figures cover 12 months...

GVI Forex john 12:54 GMT January 26, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



Earlier IFO Survey. Looking strong. Note slope of lines.

Hong Kong Qindex 12:43 GMT January 26, 2010
QIndex Trading System

EUR/GBP
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/GBP : As shown in the monthly cycle charts the market has a tendency to trade within 0.8455 and 0.8827. The mid-point reference of 0.8455 - 0.8827 is 0.8641. The bias is on the downside when the market is below 0.8792 (see monthly cycle reference normal lower limits in my webpage).



EUR/GBP : Monthly Cycle Charts
http;//www.qindex.com/eur-gbp.html

Juffair KaL 12:35 GMT January 26, 2010
QIndex Trading System

I just shorted eurgb
Longed USDJPY
Long HKDJPY and
Long GBPAUD

Hong Kong Qindex 12:05 GMT January 26, 2010
QIndex Trading System

EUR/GBP
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/GBP : the market is going to challenge the daily cycle matrix system at 0.8622 - 0.8624 - 0.8644.

Gen dk 11:49 GMT January 26, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GVI Forex Blog 11:17 GMT January 26, 2010 Reply   
Fixed Income/FX: Heading into the London open an all too familiar picture of risk aversion had developed thanks a number of themes emanating from the Asian session.

European Market Update: UK unconvincingly moves out of recession, S&P turns up the pressure on Japan while China continues to lead equities lower

Wall Street 11:03 GMT January 26, 2010
EURUSD
Reply   
Tough day yesterday. My sentiment focus indicator was 1.4157 in EURUSD. Above positive fr the pair and below negative. It comes in at 1.4126 at the moment. I'm wondering if the area around this line becomes resistance again today?

The market is a risk reduction frame of mind today.

GVI Forex Blog 10:54 GMT January 26, 2010 Reply   
11:00 GMT- Jan 26 (global-view.com) There have been mixed developments so far today in the financial markets. China persists in monetary tightening as fears about bubbles in the economy continue. A more direct solution might be to allow the CNY exchange rate to gain...

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- Risk Trade Off Today

GVI Forex john 10:51 GMT January 26, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support


The Daily Forex View

Risk Trade Off Today

11:00 GMT- Jan 26 (global-view.com) There have been mixed developments so far today in the financial markets. China persists in monetary tightening as fears about bubbles in the economy continue. A more direct solution might be to allow the CNY exchange rate to gain...

MORE...

Syd 09:33 GMT January 26, 2010
DJ UK Economy Contracts 4.8% In 2009, Biggest Fall On Record
Reply   
UK 4Q GDP Was Forecast +0.4% On Qtr, -2.9% On Yr
UK Preliminary 4Q GDP +0.1% On Quarter; -3.2% On Year
UK Dec Lending To Non-Fincl Firms -GBP1.5B Vs Nov +GBP0.1B
UK Dec Gross Mortgage Lending +GBP10.2B Vs Nov +GBP9.6B -BBA
UK Dec Mortgage Approvals 45,897 Vs Nov 44,965 - BBA
UK Dec Net Mortgage Lending Highest Since Oct 2008 - BBA
UK Dec Net Mortgage Lending +GBP3.5B Vs Nov +GBP3.4B -BBA

Hong Kong Qindex 09:07 GMT January 26, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Hang Seng Index
Entry: Target: Stop:

Hang Seng Index : The market low for today is 20046.6. Apparently 20045 is a significant level. We have to wait and see how the market behaves when it is trading below the 20000 mark.


========================================

01/23/2010 11:04:21 Qindex Hong Kong 21

Sell Hang Seng Index
Entry: Target: Stop:
Hang Seng Index : Critical Support 20045


A negative signal will be hoisted in my system when the market closes below 20045. Speculative selling pressure will increase next week when Hang Seng Index is trading below the weekly cycle matrix system at 21228 - 21286 - 21387. The possibility of heading towards the extreme levels at 9929 - 10070 - 10522 within a time frame of 6 months will increase when Hand Seng Indnex fails to close above the 20000 mark at the end of this week.



Hang Seng Index : Monthly Cycle Charts
http;//www.qindex.com/hsi.html

Syd 09:03 GMT January 26, 2010
euro
Reply   
DJ German Jan Ifo 95.8; Forecast 95.1

Syd 08:53 GMT January 26, 2010
S&P warns it may downgrade Japan sovereign ratings
Reply   
LOS ANGELES (MarketWatch) -- Standard & Poor's Ratings Services said Tuesday that it's placed a negative outlook on Japan's AA sovereign long-term credit rating, saying it would issue a downgrade to AA- "if economic data remain weak and measures to boost medium-term growth are not forthcoming, given the country's high government debt burden and its weak demographic profile." The agency said it was concerned about Japan's diminishing economic policy flexibility to deal with its growing debt levels and deflationary pressures. It said "the policies of the new Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) government point to a slower pace of fiscal consolidation than we had previously expected," but added that if "we conclude that government policies, either on the fiscal side or structural reform side, will moderate the government's debt trajectory, the ratings could stabilize at the current levels." It said that even if a downgrade does occur, however, Japan will likely remain "in the AA category."

Juffair KaL 08:43 GMT January 26, 2010
upgrade for the file
Reply   
http://www.censored/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=2711598#post2711598

upgrades
did very well so far

Hong Kong Qindex 08:41 GMT January 26, 2010
QIndex Trading System

EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : As shown in the distribution profile of the monthly cycle charts the market is pulling towards 1.3846. The market has a tendency to trade between 1.3846 and 1.4353 and the mid-point reference of 1.3846 - 1.4353 is 1.4099. Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market downward trending momentum is strong enough to penetrate through the weekly cycle pivot centers at 1.4021 - 1.4072 - 1.4415.


EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts
http;//www.qindex.com/euro.html

Hong Kong Qindex 08:26 GMT January 26, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Sell EUR/CAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/CAD : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/eur-cad.html

Hong Kong Qindex 08:24 GMT January 26, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Sell EUR/CAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/CAD : As shown in the monthly cycle charts the bias is on the downside when the market is below 1.5062. The mid-point reference between 1,4463 and 1.5062 is 1.4912.



========================================


01/26/2010 06:38:48 Qindex Hong Kong 2

EUR/CAD
Entry: Target: Stop:
EUR/CAD : Speculative selling pressure will incraese when the market is trading below 1.4902.


01/26/2010 04:35:20 Qindex Hong Kong 3

EUR/CAD
Entry: Target: Stop:
EUR/CAD : The market is pulling towards 1.4797 - 1.4833.

tokyo ginko 08:22 GMT January 26, 2010
Dick?

close out hsi 20018

next 50% out aud/usd @ 0.8762

HK REVDAX 08:04 GMT January 26, 2010
euro mkt buoyance
Reply   
If my gut feeling of euro market 'buoyance' had any relevance, this would seem to be the time to long euro with a stop placed at today's low...imo

PAR 07:48 GMT January 26, 2010
Japan
Reply   
Jan. 26 (Bloomberg) -- Japan’s sovereign credit rating outlook was lowered by Standard and Poor’s because of diminishing “flexibility” to cope with the nation’s swelling debt load.

The credit-rating company said the Democratic Party of Japan’s policies “point to a slower pace of fiscal consolidation than we had previously expected,” adding that the rating could be cut if the government fails to come up with measures to spur growth and economic data remains weak.

Syd 07:45 GMT January 26, 2010
PBOC Vice Gov: To Prevent Large Fluctuations In Lending - Report
Reply   
-People's Bank of China Vice Gov. Su Ning has called on banks to maintain "balanced" lending, and to prevent large fluctuations of bank loans from month-to-month or quarter-to-quarter, the central bank-backed Financial News reported Tuesday. Su also said banks should prevent large concentrations of loans to certain sectors to limit credit risk, the newspaper reported.
Su's comments in the paper largely reiterated past comments by the PBOC.

GVI Forex Blog 07:42 GMT January 26, 2010 Reply   

Stocks Produce Modest Gains in Lackluster Trade

GVI Forex Blog 07:42 GMT January 26, 2010 Reply   

Dollar Falters as Traders Put a Little More “Risk On”

Haifa ac 07:29 GMT January 26, 2010
what just happened to the yen?

sh hl 07:07 GMT January 26, 2010
what just happened to the yen?: Reply
S&P cut Japan rating to negative//
THanks.

Juffair KaL 07:28 GMT January 26, 2010
LRC Indicator

that's right
cause all Technical indictors are relative

PAR 07:24 GMT January 26, 2010
Japan Downgrade - Yen
Reply   
JGB futures slip after S&P cuts Japan outlook

TOKYO, Jan 26 (Reuters) - Lead 10-year Japanese government bond futures slipped in after-hours trade on Tuesday after rating agency Standard and Poor's cut its outlook on Japan to negative from stable, citing the country's diminished fiscal flexibility.

Syd 07:19 GMT January 26, 2010
ECB’s Nowotny: ECB could raise rates earlier than Fed
Reply   
ECB’s Nowotny asked in an FT Deutschland interview whether ECB would wait to tighten monetary policy until the US Fed had started raising rates has said, “There is certainly no law that says the ECB won’t act before the Fed does.”

Juffair KaL 07:07 GMT January 26, 2010
selling gbpjpy
Reply   
GBPJPY 146.4844 145.2241 Sell
GBPJPY 147.0592 144.5396
GBPJPY 147.6363 143.8583

sh hl 07:07 GMT January 26, 2010
what just happened to the yen?

S&P cut Japan rating to negative

Amman wfakhoury 07:01 GMT January 26, 2010
LRC Indicator
Reply   
The problem of LRC is the widening of its bands when price
rises or declines and reach them , it is same as all indicators gives you 50/50 trade decision.

Haifa ac 06:59 GMT January 26, 2010
what just happened to the yen?
Reply   
Noise or something real?

HK REVDAX 06:43 GMT January 26, 2010
market charts/posts/ positions

BOBL//yesterday i made use of the LRC you showed me and combined it with the other low-tech indicators I have been using. i went short on euro but chickened out when 'my guts'
produced an imprecise feeling of excessive buoyance in euro.

my question: what are the indicator or indicators that can be used to find out how long a trend can go? is there such a science around given the fact the man has already gone to the moon?

TIA

Hong Kong Qindex 06:38 GMT January 26, 2010
QIndex Trading System

EUR/CAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/CAD : Speculative selling pressure will incraese when the market is trading below 1.4902.

Medan Ardent 05:55 GMT January 26, 2010
short cable
Reply   
Sell gbp
Entry: 1.6205 Target: Stop:

..

san diego bobl 05:26 GMT January 26, 2010
market charts/posts/ positions
Reply   
fwiw......

I posted all my short interests today with charts. I have taken first profits from all positions minus eur/chf. All remaining positions have a b/e stop. Not a bad day.........hope some of you got on the bandwagon.

gl/gt

Hong Kong Qindex 04:35 GMT January 26, 2010
QIndex Trading System

EUR/CAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/CAD : The market is pulling towards 1.4797 - 1.4833.

tokyo ginko 04:11 GMT January 26, 2010
Dick?

close out simsci 3302

HSI still open at cost at day high today.

GT all

GVI Forex Jay 03:07 GMT January 26, 2010
China
Reply   
As posted on GVI Forex (reason why usd/jpy and jpy crosses reversed course)

SELECTED CHINESE BANKS ORDERED TO RAISE THEIR RESERVE RATIOS, EFFECTIVE TUES -SOURCES+

Hong Kong 00:49 GMT January 26, 2010
Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader
Reply   
Market Review - 25/01/2010 21:58 All times in GMT

Dollar rises as Bernanke edges closer to second term


The greenback, which rose late last week as nervous investors cut holdings of higher-yield, higher-risk currencies and assets, turned lower against most major currencies on Monday as Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke edged closer to winning support for a second term, which helped ease anxiety among investors.

Although cable has traded sideways in Asia, it began to display strength after Europe has opened. Britain's Prime Minister Gordon Brown said 'we will recoup money' that the banks have been given and even turn a profit on it. Brown also said his call for international financial levy gaining ground and danger of banks seeking to return to 'bad old ways' on bonuses. The news lifted the sterling higher and price rose to 1.6262 in NY afternoon before retreating.

Despite euro's brief dip to 1.4112 in Australia, the single currency rebounded on short-covering. Price reached intra-day high of 1.4195 in European mid-day after German Economy Minister Rainer Bruederle said German government is prepared to act if financing problems grow and news of higher-than-expected orders for Greek bond (orders for Greece's 5-year benchmark have topped 9.0 billion euros) came out. However, the single currency retreated from there and reached as low as 1.4129 after U.S. existing home sales fell by 16.7% to 5.45 million unit annual rate versus economists' forecast of a decrease of 10.0% to 5.90 million. Euro eventually ended the day down less than 0.01%.

Data to be released on Tuesday include Japan BOJ rate decision, Germany Ifo index, EU current account, U.K. GDP, U.S. consumer confidence. Monday is a public holiday in Australia.

san diego bobl 00:37 GMT January 26, 2010
Markets
Reply   
Markets are assuming a state of flux once again........re: crude, gold, stox, bonds.........
Not a time for tight stops imho, with so much on the plate this week.

Note.........linear regression charts update per time frame, and now getting some mixed reactions.

gl/gt

LA LA 00:30 GMT January 26, 2010
Terrific Tuesday

Zeus, breakout on what side and what currencies?

USA ZEUS 00:27 GMT January 26, 2010
Terrific Tuesday
Reply   
On Terrific Tuesday-
The market has prepared the path for a nice breakout pattern trade for the majors.

GVI Forex Blog 00:08 GMT January 26, 2010 Reply   
The Canadian dollar wasunchanged against the U.S. currency on Monday, held up by steady stock markets and oil prices even though buyers were hesitant to make major bets ahead of key events this week

Forex Market News - CANADA FX DEBT-C$ ends flat after touching 5-week low

GVI Forex Blog 00:07 GMT January 26, 2010 Reply   
The dollar rose against the yen on Monday as Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke edged closer to winning support for a second term, which helped ease anxiety among investors.

FOREX NEWS-Dollar rises versus yen on Bernanke, BoJ speculation

 




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