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Forex Forum Archive for 01/27/2010

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


GVI Forex Blog 23:47 GMT January 27, 2010 Reply   

Stocks Rally on Upbeat Fed News; Optimistic Obama Speech

GVI Forex Blog 23:46 GMT January 27, 2010 Reply   

Dollar Rallies to New High Following Upbeat Fed Announcement

san diego bobl 23:23 GMT January 27, 2010
eur/usd hourly
Reply   


Here is the hourly per our linear regression model.

gl/gt

san diego bobl 23:18 GMT January 27, 2010
eur/usd daily
Reply   


fwiw..........

Here's a chart of our view of eur/usd is..........still short.

gl/gt

London SFH 23:18 GMT January 27, 2010
speech

it looks as though stocks have taken into conderation anything positive..sell stocks!

Tonbridge AL 23:13 GMT January 27, 2010
speech

in 2hours and 45 minutes time

Hong Kong CG 23:10 GMT January 27, 2010
speech
Reply   
What time does Obama speak?

GVI Forex Blog 22:40 GMT January 27, 2010 Reply   

Stocks Feeling Downside Pressure Ahead of Fed Announcement

GVI Forex Blog 22:34 GMT January 27, 2010 Reply   

Little Movement in Forex Markets Ahead of Fed Announcement

GVI Forex Jay 22:34 GMT January 27, 2010
eurusd

Daily pivot is 1.4036 on Thursday

Ath. Xarian 22:32 GMT January 27, 2010
eurusd

Ath. Xarian 13:04 GMT January 22, 2010
euro/usd: Reply
I am starting to like the euro/usd today..Too many buy recommendations for it around the 1,4050/30 with stops just under the 1,3950..It reminds me the buy recommendation some weeks ago from Goldman Sachs when Euro/usd was trying to break the 1,4300 and they gave buy when it was at ,14450 with stops of course just under 1,4300..And after two days then...OWNED!!! lol So, we have in range the weekly 55 MA which comes at around 1,3980 and pretty nice stops under 1,3950...and big ones..I'll keep shorting it everytime it makes a rally and waiting for a nice break under 1,4000..and then....many targets will feel pressure is coming on them! GT
_____________________________________________________

I am looking to short it.. Everytime it goes up it's a sell for me..I'll keep it shorting every 25 pips it goes up even if reaches to 1,4190 which is the weekly pivot
Good luck

Phoenix MI 22:20 GMT January 27, 2010
eurusd

Good question.

Richland QC Mailman 22:11 GMT January 27, 2010
1st Trade of the Month and the Year
Reply   
Hi folks. bought some new usd/yen 90... we could be witnessing the beginning of a new bullish wave from 89.xx.

GVI Forex Blog 21:55 GMT January 27, 2010 Reply   
The Canadian dollar softened against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday as the greenback gained after the U.S. Federal Reserve kept interest rates near zero and was slightly more optimistic about the U.S.

Forex Market News - CANADA FX DEBT-C$ sags as greenback gains after Fed

San Diego bobl 21:43 GMT January 27, 2010
trade update
Reply   
Since my posts and charts were displayed, I have just a third on in 3 remaining pairs........still short eur/usd, eur/jpy, nzd/usd.........was stopped at b/e on last of gbp/usd on the spike.

gl/gt

LA LA 21:39 GMT January 27, 2010
eurusd

Which comes first, 1.39 or 1.41?

GVI Forex Blog 21:21 GMT January 27, 2010 Reply   
The dollar hit a six-month high against the euro on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve said it intends to end some emergency lending and asset-buying programs and sounded slightly more upbeat on the U.S. economy.

FOREX NEWS - Dollar hits 6-mo peak vs euro on Fed, Greece woes

GVI Forex Blog 21:09 GMT January 27, 2010 Reply   
21:00 GMT- Jan 27 (global-view.com) President Obama's State of the Union address tonight is the major focus for the markets. Keep in mind that this is only a political speech that contains only a wish list for future legislation...

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- FOMC Gives USD a Boost

GVI Forex john 21:06 GMT January 27, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support


The Daily Forex View

FOMC Gives USD a Boost

21:00 GMT- Jan 27 (global-view.com) President Obama's State of the Union address tonight is the major focus for the markets. Keep in mind that this is only a political speech that contains only a  wish list for future legislation...

MORE...

GVI Forex john 20:52 GMT January 27, 2010 Reply   
Nuts and Bolts: Trading Rooms Forum

Reserve Bank Governor Alan Bollard said: “The outlook for the New Zealand economy remains consistent with the...

THREAD: AUD, NZD, ZAR in depth thread UPDATED

Tallinn viies 20:40 GMT January 27, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
I do,
was stopped out at 95.
went long again at 1,4012.strop at 1,3990

LA LA 20:37 GMT January 27, 2010
eurusd

Is anybody trading this "take no prisoners" market after the fomc?

GVI Forex Blog 20:35 GMT January 27, 2010 Reply   
Sentiment remained negative around the globe, the cumulative effect of recent China tightening, US bank curbs, sovereign credit risks, and stretched optimism around US equities.

Forex Research - Morning Report

nyc ws 20:14 GMT January 27, 2010
eurusd

Got the 1.3995-00 stops

Medan Ardent 20:10 GMT January 27, 2010
gbp/usd

IMHO I think we can 1.59 or lower in coming days.
Disclaimer ON.

London SFH 20:02 GMT January 27, 2010
gbp/usd

Good call wkfak, I covered my short from this morning at 1.6160,havent gone long here will wait and see how the land lies tomorrow morning.

gl/gt

Amman wfakhoury 19:44 GMT January 27, 2010
gbp/usd
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 18:52 GMT January 27, 2010
gbpusd : Reply
it is in uptrend with possiblity to decline till 16150-40 then rise
till 16300.

-------
Exactly as I said , and now is heading twd 16300 during asia and europe.

GVI Forex Jay 19:38 GMT January 27, 2010
eurusd

As posted on GVI Forex:

GVI Forex Jay 19:30 GMT January 27, 2010
FOMC Reply:
Hoenig dissent being cited for positive dollar reaction but as noted, he is a known hawk. Market was looking for a reason to buy dollars. Someone defended eur/usd 1.40.

Miami JN 19:37 GMT January 27, 2010
eurusd

Is anyone esle betting eurusd 1.40 will hold?

Tallinn viies 19:19 GMT January 27, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
went long euros at 1.4021 stop at 13995

Mtl JP 19:06 GMT January 27, 2010
FOMC decision

dollaryen has upside potential especially IF the FED hikes 100% to 0.5%

Livingston nh 19:04 GMT January 27, 2010
FOMC decision

Does "extended period" today mean the same as it meant last Summer? - the end is nigh

nyc ws 19:02 GMT January 27, 2010
FOMC decision

BB will not upset the markets with a hatchet swinging over his head (confirmation vote).

nyc wc 18:58 GMT January 27, 2010
FOMC decision
Reply   
Anyone expecting the FOMC to be a market moving event?

Amman wfakhoury 18:52 GMT January 27, 2010
gbpusd
Reply   
it is in uptrend with possiblity to decline till 16150-40 then rise
till 16300.

lkwd jj 17:59 GMT January 27, 2010
gbp
Reply   
16169 pivot .

PAR 17:49 GMT January 27, 2010
Paulson - AIG
Reply   
Paulson - AIG , I do know nothing . I was to busy to be involved with AIG . Why not stop the testimony ?

nyc ws 17:46 GMT January 27, 2010
EURUSD

eurusd has essentially traded 1.4030-55 after the early dip from a firmer open.

GVI Forex Blog 17:37 GMT January 27, 2010 Reply   
In currency trading, rumors about pending sovereign downgrades in Portugal and Greece are weighing down the euro this morning.

Forex Blog - US Market Update (Trade the News)

GVI Forex Blog 17:01 GMT January 27, 2010 Reply   
Koreas trade fire Fed to adopt new benchmark EUR off on Greece rumours GBP up on Sentance talk

Forex Market Commentary and Analysis (27 January 2010)

GVI Forex Blog 16:46 GMT January 27, 2010 Reply   
Price action on USD/JPY, a daily chart of which is shown, has recently displayed a clear continuation of the overall downtrend that has been in place since April 2009.

Chart of the Day - 1/27/2010 – USD/JPY

GVI Forex john 16:46 GMT January 27, 2010
EURUSD

M- yes equity to EURUSD correlation has been working well again. Seems to be the preferred trade when we are in ranging markets.

GVI Forex Blog 16:37 GMT January 27, 2010 Reply   
The latest adjustment for GBP/USD was to turn the short-term outlook from bearish to ranging. The EUR/USD had a stronger bearish indication through yesterday’s price action. The range is roughly...

Daily Technical Update GBP/USD in Short-term Range; EUR/USD Continues Decline

London M 16:28 GMT January 27, 2010
EURUSD

oops!

forgot to mention about eur/gbp as well

once the recent low 0.8650 goes, eur can go lower, in my opinion

London M 16:24 GMT January 27, 2010
EURUSD

hi John

I am watching S&P500 price movement together with Eur/USD's. Dow Jones broke the Dubai Low of 10179.33 already.
S&P500 Dubai Low is at 1083.74
today's low so far is 1085.32

if S&P500 clearly breaks below the Dubai low, the price can go as low as 1030-29 area

if that comes true, gold comes lower together with Eur/USd, I believe

GT and GL!

GVI Forex Blog 16:16 GMT January 27, 2010 Reply   
Jan 27 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: Early Thursday in the Far East will see the Reserve Bank of New Zealand policy decision. No rate change is seen. Japanese retail sales data are important as well. In the U.S., major highlights will be Durable Goods and weekly jobless claims. Also, the afternoon will see a 7-yr note auction.

GVI Forex- Data Outlook for January 27, 2010

GVI Forex john 16:09 GMT January 27, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Jan 27 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: Early Thursday in the Far East will see the Reserve Bank of New Zealand policy decision. No rate change is seen. Japanese retail sales data are important as well. In the U.S., major highlights will be Durable Goods and weekly jobless claims. Also, the afternoon will see a 7-yr note auction.

20:00

NZ

RBNZ 2.50%

unch

unch

23:50

JA

Nov Retail Sales

0.20%

-0.90%

 

 

THURSDAY

 

 

2:00

US

Obama

n/a

n/a

13:30

US

Dec Dur Goods

2.00%

0.20%

13:30

US

Wk Initial Claims k

450

480

13:30

US

WK Cont Claims mn

4600

4599

15:30

US

DOE Nat Gas bcf

-116

-245

18:00

US

TRY 7-yr

n/a

n/a

23:15

JA

Oct Mfg PMI

n/a

54.3

23:30

JA

Dec Hhld Spend yy

1.50%

2.20%

23:30

JA

Dec Core CPI yy

-1.30%

-1.70%

23:30

JA

Dec CPI yy

n/a

-1.90%

23:30

JA

Dec Unemploy

5.30%

5.20%

23:30

JA

Decp Ind Out

5.30%

2.20%

23:30

JA

BOJ Minutes

n/a

n/a

 

 

FRIDAY

 

 

9:00

EZ

Dec Private Loans

-0.03%

-0.70%

9:00

EZ

Dec M3 3mo-avg

n/a

0.60%

9:00

EZ

Dec M3 yy

-0.50%

-0.20%

10:00

EZ

JanHICP (flash) yy

1.20%

0.90%

10:00

EZ

Dec Unemploy

10.10%

10.00%

10:30

CH

Jan KOF Ind

1.7

1.68

13:30

CA

Nov PPI mm

0.40%

1.00%

13:30

CA

Nov PPI yy

n/a

-2.80%

13:30

CA

Nov GDP mm

n/a

0.20%

13:30

US

4Q10 GDP

4.50%

2.20%

14:45

US

Jan Chicago PMI

57.4

58.7

14:55

US

Janf U Mich Sent

73

72.8

 

Viet Nam Forex Begin 16:04 GMT January 27, 2010
Forex Signal : 30 pips Daily !
Reply   
Sell GBP/USD
Entry: 1.6179 Target: 1.6139 Stop: 1.6209

Wednesday, 27 January 2010 16:04 GMT

Free Signals for afternoon today

PAR 15:57 GMT January 27, 2010
Geithner
Reply   
Geithner a brilliant man but with a bad memory. Reminds me of Clinton not remembering certain activities.

NYC ET 15:38 GMT January 27, 2010
risk aevrsion
Reply   
Risk aversion day. Trading accordingly.

GVI Forex john 15:16 GMT January 27, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



Not a pretty picture...
New Homes Sales (red line), Starts and Permits

sofia kaprikorn 15:04 GMT January 27, 2010
buy USD St trades

sofia kaprikorn 14:12 GMT January 27, 2010
gbp/usd 1.6232 / sl 1.6247
... sorry didn't post as I added at 32 and 25..
______________________________
now closed 2/3 at 1.6199 - rest is with SL at Entry.
______________________________
covered remaining 1/3 at 1.6193.

GVI Forex john 14:53 GMT January 27, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Data Call @ 15:00 GMT
New Home Sales, Starts/Permits


New Home Sales record sales of U.S. newly constructed residences. The U.S. Census Bureau publishes New Home Sales statistics monthly.

New Homes Sales, Starts and Permits

dc CB 14:49 GMT January 27, 2010
Bernanke

“I was not involved in any of the decisions made with respect to those payments, nor was I involved in any of the decisions about A.I.G.’s public disclosure of those payments,” Mr. Paulson said in his prepared testimony for a hearing of the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee on Wednesday. “Those matters were handled by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and the Federal Reserve Board. They sought to make appropriate decisions on those matters.”

****Later today on CSpan radio and TV CSpan3 10:00EST*****

Paulson Distances Himself From A.I.G. Payments

PAR 14:39 GMT January 27, 2010
Bernanke
Reply   
Imho too much power is concentrated in the hand of Bernanke . The chairmans power is becoming a " too big to fail" situation. In the unlikely event he should not be reappointed would the whole world financial system collaps ?
I dont think so .

If a football team plays bad you have to change the coach .

If " Yes We Can " Obama " wants change, he will have to replace some of the official who were involved in this big financial mess. America has plenty of brilliant economists.

GVI Forex Blog 14:22 GMT January 27, 2010 Reply   

Stocks Trading Slightly Better Ahead of Fed Announcement

GVI Forex Blog 14:21 GMT January 27, 2010 Reply   

Dollar Flat Overnight as Traders await Fed Decision

sofia kaprikorn 14:16 GMT January 27, 2010
buy USD St trades

JM. thx for the attention!
yes I had the stop above the daily pivot and that would be a good stop as now hindsight on the price action tell me..

as I like to lengthen the trading timeframes I had to give it space to breathe. seem it is a never ending learning process..

sofia kaprikorn 14:12 GMT January 27, 2010
buy USD St trades

sofia kaprikorn 12:30 GMT January 27, 2010
trying again shorts:
gbp/usd 1.6232 / sl 1.6247
... sorry didn't post as I added at 32 and 25..
______________________________
now closed 2/3 at 1.6199 - rest is with SL at Entry.

NYC JM 14:03 GMT January 27, 2010
buy USD St trades

Kaprikorn, the original trade was okay with the stop above 1.41. The last one got stopped within the day's range so you did not give it leeway to work.

Lahore FM 13:43 GMT January 27, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy EurChf
Entry: 1.4723 Target: 1/2 at 1.4790,order in Stop: 1.4680

long here.

Wall Street 13:40 GMT January 27, 2010
EURUSD
Reply   
We currently see 1.4070 as neutrality in EURUSD. This line has gradually been working its way lower over the week. I notice the GV pivot from yesterday was 1.4100. Plenty of potential buying (short-covering) on top and only lukewarm interest in adding to already significant shorts at current levels.

So the momentum is down, but potential buying demand is significant. I see shorts getting nervous above 1.4100.

hk ooozmeeh 13:28 GMT January 27, 2010
GBPUSD
Reply   
Amman...i am reading the last hour chart formation and it suggest weakening momentum for gbp...a good short term signal maybe, fwiw
Amman wfakhoury 10:22 GMT January 27, 2010
gbpusd: Reply
hk ooozmeeh 10:02 GMT January 27, 2010
GBPUSD: Reply
GBPUSD, last hourly bar was too strong to read!! does it have enough momentum?, fwiw

--------
yes as I said breaking 16180 will increase momentum , mostly
we are now in strong uptrend.

Juffair KaL 13:26 GMT January 27, 2010
usdjpy a buy

forgot to include tgt
USD/JPY Buy 90.892
GBP/USD Sell 1.6041
NZD/USD Sell 0.6993
GBP/JPY Sell 142.515
GBP/CHF Sell 1.6811
AUD/CAD Buy 0.9678
GBP/AUD Buy 1.81
AUD/NZD Buy 1.2842
EUR/NZD Buy 2.0092
EUR/NOK Buy 8.2716
USD/MXN Buy 13.0146
AUD/CHF Sell 0.9304
USD/TRY Buy 1.5088
HKD/JPY Buy 11.623

HK REVDAX 13:24 GMT January 27, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Futures 13:15 // My cycles suggest that Euro is recovering today into tomorrow (Feb 28) before topping out again.

Juffair KaL 13:24 GMT January 27, 2010
usdjpy a buy

my pos now

USD/JPY Buy
GBP/USD Sell
NZD/USD Sell
GBP/JPY Sell
GBP/CHF Sell
AUD/CAD Buy
GBP/AUD Buy
AUD/NZD Buy
EUR/NZD Buy
EUR/NOK Buy
USD/MXN Buy
AUD/CHF Sell
USD/TRY Buy
HKD/JPY Buy

GVI Forex Futures 13:15 GMT January 27, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Total EURO FX futures open interest increased by 6488 contracts on Tuesday. We have to assume that traders added to their shorts based on the price action. Tuesday is always an important day as it is the basis for the Commitment of Traders report that comes out on Friday's close.

FWIW there are significant EUR USD shorts to be covered on a EURUSD rally. Perhaps someone could suggest to us where those stops WOULD be clustered. So far EURUSD still looking heavy.

GVI Forex john 13:06 GMT January 27, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



Earlier Australian quarterly CPI. Yr/Yr up.

Juffair KaL 12:50 GMT January 27, 2010
usdjpy a buy

audnzd Major long

Juffair KaL 12:45 GMT January 27, 2010
usdjpy a buy

added much more cable shorts here
tgt 1.6043

sofia kaprikorn 12:42 GMT January 27, 2010
buy USD St trades

eur/usd short was stopped at 1.4089 for -12.

that was plain stupid. I had a good seat from the range low but wanted more action and got it...

London SFH 12:32 GMT January 27, 2010
buy USD St trades


I am with you Kapricorn on the cable trade, shorted at 1.6230...no stop for now...gl

sofia kaprikorn 12:30 GMT January 27, 2010
buy USD St trades
Reply   
trying again shorts:
eur/usd 1.4077 / sl 1.4089
gbp/usd 1.6232 / sl 1.6247

Juffair KaL 12:29 GMT January 27, 2010
usdjpy a buy

NZDUSD shorts
.7109 to .7131

GVI Forex Blog 12:22 GMT January 27, 2010 Reply   

FX Thoughts for the day : 27-Jan-2010 - 1220 GMT

Medan Ardent 12:08 GMT January 27, 2010
cable @ 86.2 %
Reply   
Sell gbp
Entry: 1.6239 Target: open Stop: 1.6276

..

London SFH 12:08 GMT January 27, 2010
Old equity correlation


fwiw NYAM.... S&Ps a bull/bear tug-of-war finds a recovery off 1081.0 (Jan 26/Dec 09/Nov 30 lows) to make a move towards 1103.0 (Jan 25 high) only to uncover recycled weakness that again risks 1081.0 for an extension towards 1073.0. (Nov 27 low). Over 1103.0 (Jan 25 high) would target 1115.7 (Jan 22 high). ..GL

sofia kaprikorn 12:06 GMT January 27, 2010
daily trend trade

ofia kaprikorn 11:06 GMT January 27, 2010
short EUR/USD 1.4065 / SL 1.4104
_____________________________
closed at 1.4082 for -23

wrong assumption - should have stayed with the long.

sofia kaprikorn 12:04 GMT January 27, 2010
GBP/USD pivot 1.6166

stopped out for -21

London NYAM 11:58 GMT January 27, 2010
Old equity correlation
Reply   
Looking for S&P to have a possible w4 rally today. targeting 1105-1109-1112-1117 then down w1 swing low 1131 breaks count above and break below targets 1073-1064.
As such staying long side of EURUSD and GBPUSD.

BA mades 11:57 GMT January 27, 2010
daily trend trade

With all respect sir, what makes you think the price goes below 1.4 (considering you use at least 1:2 ratio) ? Divergence is all over the place across all timeframes, talks about 1.4 barriers too, price action confirms at least temporary reversal. FOMC day also. Just would like to know.

GVI Forex john 11:54 GMT January 27, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Data Call @ 12:00 GMT
Weekly Mortgage Statistics


Weekly Mortgage Statistics are released by the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). Total mortgage applications are the headline figure. They are then broken down into (1) new mortgage applications and (2) refinance applications. Both items by themselves are more revealing than the total number. The latest 30-year mortgage interest rate is released as well.

IMPACT: These data provide an early read on the state of the housing market.

sofia kaprikorn 11:43 GMT January 27, 2010
GBP/USD pivot 1.6166
Reply   
sold 1.6215 / SL 1.6236

sofia kaprikorn 11:06 GMT January 27, 2010
daily trend trade
Reply   
short EUR/USD 1.4065 / SL 1.4104

GVI Forex Blog 11:02 GMT January 27, 2010 Reply   
The dollar rose and the yen gained broadly on Wednesday as investors shied away from riskier assets on concerns about China tightening lending and U.S. monetary and political wrangling.

FOREX NEWS - Dollar, yen up as investors shun risky assets

GVI Forex Blog 10:59 GMT January 27, 2010 Reply   
Currencies: Risk aversion flow continued to aid the dollar and JPY pairs into the European session but comments from European central bankers stymied the upward momentum for the time being.

European market Update: World Economic Forum begins in Davos; BOE's Sentance and ECB's Weber comments stymie dollar upward momentum for the time being

GVI Forex Blog 10:56 GMT January 27, 2010 Reply   
11:00 GMT- Jan 27 (global-view.com) Once again Asian bourses have fallen, led by concerns about policy tightening in China. The Nikkei also fell on worry about reduced demand for exports from that region...

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- Active U.S. Calendar

GVI Forex john 10:53 GMT January 27, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support


The Daily Forex View

Active U.S. Calendar

11:00 GMT- Jan 27 (global-view.com) Once again Asian bourses have fallen, led by concerns about policy tightening in China. The Nikkei also fell on worry about reduced demand for exports from that region...

MORE...

sofia kaprikorn 10:47 GMT January 27, 2010
usd/cad pivot 1.0619

sofia kaprikorn 09:15 GMT January 27, 2010
sold 1.0666 / sl 1.0696
________________________
out at 1.0633 for +33

London SFH 10:47 GMT January 27, 2010
fx


From Reuters....Another bout of quarterly dividend payment-related buying by a UK oil company is being flagged as a prime factor in cable"s rise to an intra-day high of 1.6227, after hawkish comments from BoE MPC member Andrew Sentance. The same
name-in-the-frame was also a touted buyer of sterling circa 1.6110 earlier this morning.

A Middle Eastern sovereign was a touted seller of GBP/USD ahead of 1.6200, en route to 1.6210. The same name was a rumoured buyer of sterling ahead of 1.6100 late in the London morning yesterday (post-UK Q4 GDP data). 1.6197 was a 61.8% Fibo retracement point of the fall from 1.6262 (yesterday"s European session high, pre-UK Q4 GDP data) to 1.6093 (yesterday"s intra-day low)Sterling was trading circa 1.6210 into the 09:30GMT UK GDP data release.1.6222, a 76.4% Fibo retracement point of the fall from 1.6262 to 1.6093, is a resistance level beyond 1.6210. RTRS

sofia kaprikorn 10:46 GMT January 27, 2010
testing range low

sofia kaprikorn 09:09 GMT January 27, 2010
long EUR/USD 1.4038 / SL 1.4018
__________________________
out at 1.4062 for +24

Syd 10:29 GMT January 27, 2010
fx
Reply   
London Chris 10:21 GMT hi Chris , yes these markets are barmy at the moment :-))

Juffair KaL 10:26 GMT January 27, 2010
usdjpy a buy

gbpjpy south again
145.20 to 145.70
146.2 is possible

Amman wfakhoury 10:22 GMT January 27, 2010
gbpusd
Reply   
hk ooozmeeh 10:02 GMT January 27, 2010
GBPUSD: Reply
GBPUSD, last hourly bar was too strong to read!! does it have enough momentum?, fwiw

--------
yes as I said breaking 16180 will increase momentum , mostly
we are now in strong uptrend.

London Chris 10:21 GMT January 27, 2010
Don't invest in Britain: The UK economy sits 'on a bed of nitroglycerine', investors warned

Syd, interesting timing of that article as gbpusd has done the opposite and just shot higher.

Syd 10:13 GMT January 27, 2010
Don't invest in Britain: The UK economy sits 'on a bed of nitroglycerine', investors warned
Reply   
Gordon Brown's election strategy was dealt a further blow today after the boss of the world's biggest bond house warned investors to avoid the UK economy.
Bill Gross, who runs Pacific Investment Management Co mutual fund, said the British economy was lying on 'a bed of nitroglycerine'.
In his monthly newsletter, Mr Gross said: 'The UK is a must to avoid. Its gilts are resting on a bed of nitroglycerine.
'High debt with the potential to devalue its currency present high risks for bond investors.

'In addition, its interest rates are already artificially influenced by accounting standards that at one point last year produced long-term real interest rates of 0.5 per cent and lower.'
The most vulnerable countries in 2010 are shown in PIMCO¿s chart 'The Ring of Fire'. These red zone countries are ones with the potential for public debt to exceed 90% of GDP within a few years¿ time, which would slow GDP by 1 per cent or more. The yellow and green areas are considered to be the most conservative and potentially most solvent, with the potential for higher growth

LINK

GVI Forex Blog 10:07 GMT January 27, 2010 Reply   

Forexpros Daily Analysis - 27/01/2010

Juffair KaL 10:07 GMT January 27, 2010
usdjpy a buy

gbpchf shorts
GBPCHF 1.6936 1.6851
GBPCHF 1.6980 1.6811


eurusd shorts
EURUSD 1.4105 1.4032
EURUSD 1.4138 1.3992

hk ooozmeeh 10:02 GMT January 27, 2010
GBPUSD
Reply   
GBPUSD, last hourly bar was too strong to read!! does it have enough momentum?, fwiw

London Misha 10:02 GMT January 27, 2010
Observations
Reply   
EURUSD - Dec-Jan Bear Flag formation!
USDJPY - Key Reversal Down on the Daily Chart!
GBPUSD - First close (again!) under the Long MA!
USDCHF - Nearing previous (Dec 09) highs resistance & also long MA resistance.
EURGBP - Big Long Legged Doji on the Daily Chart!
EURJPY - Key Reversal Down on the Daily Chart!
AUDUSD - Bearish Engulfing pattern on the Daily Chart.
NZDUSD - Key Reversal Down (just!) on the Daily Chart.

Juffair KaL 09:46 GMT January 27, 2010
usdjpy a buy

cable short and tgts
GBPUSD 1.6211 1.6037
GBPUSD 1.6168 1.6082

GBPUSD 1.6253 1.5993

Hong Kong Qindex 09:33 GMT January 27, 2010
QIndex Trading System

HSBC
Entry: Target: Stop:

HSBC (HK$ 84.05) : Downside Targeting Point 45.6



As shown in the monthly cycle directional indicator the market is under pressure when it is below 79.2. The long term reference for position traders shows that the downside targeting point is HK$ 45.6. The time frame is 6 months



HSBC : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/hk5.html

sofia kaprikorn 09:15 GMT January 27, 2010
usd/cad pivot 1.0619
Reply   
sold 1.0666 / sl 1.0696

sofia kaprikorn 09:09 GMT January 27, 2010
testing range low
Reply   
long EUR/USD 1.4038 / SL 1.4018

Viet Nam Forex Begin 09:07 GMT January 27, 2010
Forex Signal : 30 pips Daily !
Reply   
Sell GBP/USD
Entry: 1.6126 Target: 1.6096 Stop: 1.6156

Wednesday, 27 January 2010 09:06 GMT

H1 and H4 Chart show the indicators of up trend for GBP, EUR, AUD.

However, i still believe that they will die more on the next time.

Free Signals for morning today

NYC 09:01 GMT January 27, 2010 Reply   
Nuts and Bolts: Trading Strategies Forum

...

THREAD: Forex Never Lose Trade system UPDATED

Madrid Hose A and Hose b 08:55 GMT January 27, 2010
eurusd

Quasi Official is Quasimodo's cousin..

HK REVDAX 08:50 GMT January 27, 2010
eurusd

viis//so called, as in quasi-intellectual, etc.

tallinn viies 08:36 GMT January 27, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
Im wondering what is quasi-official???

IFR
EUR/USD: Quasi-Official Sales Force Pop Lower] London, January 27. Sales
from a quasi-official name are cited behind the latest pop lower in EUR/USD, with
trading hitting a 1.4027 low amid the initial drop below 1.4040. However, bids
are still tipped to trail back to the 1.4000 option barrier level, with
protection likely to increase the closer spot gets to the figure.

Juffair KaL 08:34 GMT January 27, 2010
usdjpy a buy

AUDNZD Longs and tgt

AUDNZD 1.2813 1.2699
and
AUDNZD 1.2842 1.2671

gl

Amman wfakhoury 07:37 GMT January 27, 2010
gbpusd and announcement
Reply   
Montreal Taro 01:36 GMT January 27, 2010
-----------
price will move in normal sideways between 16180-16100
breaking this two levels will change the momentum either after
or before data.

Juffair KaL 07:10 GMT January 27, 2010
usdjpy a buy
Reply   
recommendations
General Trend Pair Short Level Buy Level Decision Now
Sell EURUSD 1.4201 1.4055
Buy USDJPY 90.6309 89.4275 Buy
Sell GBPUSD 1.6303 1.6129
Buy USDCHF 1.0499 1.0390
Sell EURCHF 1.4743 1.4681
Sell AUDUSD 0.9098 0.8964
Buy USDCAD 1.0675 1.0561
Sell NZDUSD 0.7174 0.7065
Sell EURGBP 0.8716 0.8631 Sell
Sell EURJPY 128.2099 126.2122
Sell GBPJPY 147.1269 144.6061
Sell CHFJPY 86.8860 85.5711
GBPCHF 1.7046 1.6876
Buy EURAUD 1.5708 1.5540
Buy EURCAD 1.5039 1.4884
Buy AUDCAD 0.9574 0.9456
Sell AUDJPY 81.5837 79.8309
Sell CADJPY 85.5415 84.1014
Sell NZDJPY 64.4430 63.0582
Buy GBPAUD 1.8035 1.7800
Buy GBPNZD 2.2878 2.2568
Buy AUDNZD 1.2719 1.2606
Buy USDSEK 7.3453 7.2418
Buy USDDKK 5.3129 5.2576
Buy EURSEK 10.3139 10.2278
Buy EURNOK 8.2716 8.2115
Buy USDNOK 5.8923 5.8126
Buy USDMXN 13.0023 12.8342
Sell AUDCHF 0.9415 0.9304 Sell
Buy EURNZD 2.0023 1.9786
Buy USDZAR 7.6688 7.5255
Buy USDSGD 1.4101 1.4017
Buy USDHKD 7.7751 7.7703
Buy GBPSEK 11.9172 11.7663 Buy
Sell NOKJPY 15.5627 15.0705
Sell SEKJPY 12.5008 12.0431
Sell SGDJPY 64.4835 63.5660
Buy HKDJPY 11.6608 11.5043 Buy
Sell ZARJPY 11.9873 11.7076
Buy USDTRY 1.5092 1.4878

Hong Kong 07:09 GMT January 27, 2010
EUR/USD Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader
Reply   
INTRADAY TRADING SIGNAL BY ACETRADER.COM: EUR/USD
EUR/USD: 1.4070

Last Update At 27 Jan 2010 06:29 GMT


Euro's retreat after meeting renewed selling at
1.4106 suggests recovery fm 1.4042 has possibly end
ed there n consolidation with downside bias wud be
seen but below said lvl needed to confirm recent
downtrend has resumed for re-test of 1.4029 low.


Sell on pullback with stop as indicated n only
a firm breach of 1.4128 wud signal low is in place.


Range Forecast
1.4060 / 1.4095


Resistance/Support
R: 1.4128/1.4150/1.4180
S: 1.4042/1.4029/1.4007

[url]www.acetraderfx.com[/url]

Hamb 98ccm 06:28 GMT January 27, 2010
buy US Dollar ?
Reply   
Time to be a US$ bull?

Syd 04:56 GMT January 27, 2010
China’s ICBC: lending surge has eased in last 10 days
Reply   
China’s largest bank, the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, has said that it will not cease with new lending and that lending has already eased after a surge at the start of the year. The volume of lending in the first 20 days of 2010 was lower than in the same period 2009.
Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd. (1398.HK) said Wednesday it "won't rush to lend, or stop lending," but will maintain a balanced pace of lending growth based on real demand.

GVI Forex Blog 03:50 GMT January 27, 2010 Reply   

Morning Briefing : 27-Jan-2010 - 0340 GMT

GVI Forex Blog 02:35 GMT January 27, 2010 Reply   

Stock Rally Fizzles as Investors Square up Ahead of Fed Announcement

GVI Forex Blog 02:35 GMT January 27, 2010 Reply   

Dollar Holds on to Gains during Lackluster Session

Syd 01:47 GMT January 27, 2010
RBNZ On Hold Thu, To Hike By 50 BPs In June - ANZ
Reply   
RBNZ to keep Official Cash Rate on hold at a record low 2.5% tomorrow, but 50bp hike likely in June, says ANZ Bank; "with the OCR at very low levels and the economic outlook improving, policy will eventually need to be tightened." Adds OCR neutral level now around 5% down from 6% previously, "implies that the RBNZ will have less tightening to get back to neutral." Says journey back to neutral will likely be in 2 stages; initial cycle will take OCR from 2.5% to 4% followed by subsequent rises 6 months later. Expects tomorrow's OCR review to leave the market broadly where it sits.

Montreal Taro 01:36 GMT January 27, 2010
14:15 announcement
Reply   
What do you expect for January 27th for movement during european and US session considering the 14:15 ET announcement ? Will it be in narrow range all day ? Or the daily range will be as usual ?

Thank you

HK REVDAX 01:03 GMT January 27, 2010
Euro today
Reply   
BOBL//Would appreciate your view on Euro today (Feb 27) in reference to how you would apply the LRC analysis. My 'low-tech' indicator suggests it is going up into tomorrow.

Syd 00:36 GMT January 27, 2010
aud
Reply   
"AUD is our favourite G-10 currency this year," say HSBC FX strategists. Pins a lot of AUD's fortunes on outlook for China, its expansion will continue to fuel Australia's. "As China grows and pushes up the price of commodities, there will be an improvement in the Australian terms of trade, as export prices rise relative to import prices. All things being equal, this should then lead to an improvement in the Australian current account and a strengthening of the AUD." Betting on AUD/USD parity by year end. RBA's thinking won't be much impacted by China's justified efforts to tighten credit, and whilst AUD may be impacted by near term upsets to risk appetite, currency remains a buy, says RBS Strategist Greg Gibbs. "From a medium-term perspective the recent slide in the AUD still appears to be a buying opportunity. If Chinese demand for commodities proves resilient this year, then AUD should return to the highs in the mid-0.9000s and possibly higher. In the near term, AUD may struggle along with all commodity currencies reacting to weaker equities and broader declines in risk appetite." AUD moves will continue to be dictated by news from China, especially on credit tightening measures, but reaction is overdone, says NAB FX Strategist John Kyriakopoulos. "Our take is that investors have over-reacted to China's pre-emptive tightening, which is really designed to prevent the economy from overheating and inflation climbing, rather than likely to bring the economy tumbling down." Pegs AUD/USD support at 0.8905, then 0.8735, resistance 0.9090,

RBA watcher and Daily Telegraph columnist Terry McCrann. Says if quarterly change comes in at 1.0% or more, a hike would be certain, possibly by 50 bps. Says RBA clearly has a bias to pause, but needs to be read against what's happens with inflation and U.S., China economies.

Hong Kong 00:33 GMT January 27, 2010
Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader
Reply   
Market Review - 26/01/2010 21:16 All times in GMT

Dollar gains as China curbs lending, deterring risk demand

The greenback and yen rose against most of their major counterparts on Tuesday on speculation China will take further steps to slow down its economy, discouraging demand for higher-yielding assets.

Versus the yen, the greenback fell as people familiar with Chinese monetary policy said that China’s banks have begun restricting new loans. As China may be tightening faster than expected, risk aversion become the theme of the day. The pair fell to 89.35 (the lowest level since Dec. 18) in NY afternoon from Asian high of 90.56 before stabilizing.

In other news, the Bank of Japan left its target lending rate unchanged and said it remains committed to fighting deflation.
Federal Reserve policy makers are widely expected to keep their target lending rate unchanged and maintain the ‘extended period’ line in describing how long they will keep rates at accommodative levels.

The single currency declined against the dollar as the ECB’s Stark said in a speech in Frankfurt on Tuesday that the central bank is 'seriously concerned about the sharp rise forecast for public deficits and debt in euro member countries.' Euro hit intra-day low of 1.4042 in NY afternoon before rebound.

Data to be released on Wednesday include Australia Westpac leading economic index, Japan trade balance, Australia CPI, Japan BOJ report, U.K. CBI distribution trade, U.S. new home sales and U.S. Fed rate decision.

www.acetraderfx.com

Syd 00:32 GMT January 27, 2010
US Senate To Hold Procedural Vote On Bernanke Renomination Thursday
Reply   
Bernanke Could Be Confirmed For 2nd Term As Fed Chief On Thursday - Source

Syd 00:31 GMT January 27, 2010
aud
Reply   
*DJ Australia 4Q RBA Weighted Median CPI +0.7% On Qtr Australia 4Q RBA Trimmed Mean CPI +0.6% On Qtr
Australia 4Q CPI +2.1% On Yr; Consensus +2.0%
Australia 4Q CPI +0.5% On Qtr; Consensus +0.4%

Tokyo Yumi 00:28 GMT January 27, 2010
Japanese Point of View

One word answer "China"....

Provo John 00:26 GMT January 27, 2010
Japanese Point of View
Reply   
I would appreciate a point of view from those who live in or have people they know (and have discussed the following) in Japan respond to the following question.

Given that the EZ, Great Britain, US AND Japanese economies are all in some sort of trouble and confidence is low for each from the investment community, where do you feel the Japanese will put their hard earned jpy once this liquidation cycle has run its course?

TIA

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
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Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
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