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Forex Forum Archive for 01/28/2010

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


GVI Forex Blog 23:57 GMT January 28, 2010 Reply   

Yen Benefits as Investors Shift Assets from Troubled Euro Zone

sofia kaprikorn 23:34 GMT January 28, 2010
overnight trades

sofia kaprikorn 22:26 GMT January 28, 2010
short USD/CAD 1.0666 / SL 1.0699
long GBP/USD 1.6138 / SL 1.6102
_____________________________
closed 1.0681 for -15
closed 1.6113 for -25

GVI Forex Blog 23:12 GMT January 28, 2010 Reply   
The Canadian dollar limped to a lower close against the U.S. dollar on Thursday, pressured by a drop in risk appetite that manifested itself in a stronger greenback and sliding equity markets.

CANADA FX DEBT-C$ sags as appetite for risk fades

GVI Forex Blog 23:10 GMT January 28, 2010 Reply   
A U.S. Senate vote confirming Ben Bernanke for a second term as Federal Reserve chairman had little impact on exchange rates, as analysts said his confirmation was widely expected.

FOREX NEWS-Dollar hits 6-1/2-month high vs euro on Greece woes

GVI Forex john 23:06 GMT January 28, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Data Call
A slew of Japanese data are due starting in about 15 mins.
See Calendar for details...

GVI Forex john 23:01 GMT January 28, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Click for Complete Chart Points

1/28/2010

EUR/USD

USD/JPY

USD/CHF

GBP/USD

USD/CAD

Res 3

1.4150

91.28

1.0629

1.6393

1.0805

Res 2

1.4101

90.92

1.0592

1.6335

1.0736

Res 1

1.4036

90.38

1.0553

1.6231

1.0696

P=(H+L+C)/3

1.3987

90.02

1.0516

1.6173

1.0627

Sup 1

1.3922

89.48

1.0477

1.6069

1.0587

Sup 2

1.3873

89.12

1.0440

1.6011

1.0518

Sup 3

1.3808

88.58

1.0401

1.5907

1.0478

 

EUR/GBP

EUR/JPY

EUR/CHF

AUD/USD

GBP/JPY

Res 3

0.8766

128.67

1.4779

0.9134

149.08

Res 2

0.8721

127.88

1.4761

0.9090

148.14

Res 1

0.8692

126.71

1.4727

0.9018

146.54

P=(H+L+C)/3

0.8647

125.92

1.4709

0.8974

145.60

Sup 1

0.8618

124.75

1.4675

0.8902

144.00

Sup 2

0.8573

123.96

1.4657

0.8858

143.06

Sup 3

0.8544

122.79

1.4623

0.8786

141.46

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

sofia kaprikorn 22:26 GMT January 28, 2010
overnight trades
Reply   
short USD/CAD 1.0666 / SL 1.0699

long GBP/USD 1.6138 / SL 1.6102

GVI Forex Blog 21:37 GMT January 28, 2010 Reply   

Financial Market Fears Drive Stocks Lower

GVI Forex Blog 20:47 GMT January 28, 2010 Reply   
21:00 GMT- Jan 28 (global-view.com) Forex markets are currently subject to strong cross-currents. Greek fiscal problems and what they imply for other weak Eurozone economies have been a persistent weight on the EUR in recent sessions.

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- Strong Cross-Currents

GVI Forex john 20:44 GMT January 28, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support


The Daily Forex View

Strong Cross-Currents

21:00 GMT- Jan 28 (global-view.com)  Forex markets are currently subject to strong cross-currents. Greek fiscal problems and what they imply for other weak Eurozone economies have been a persistent weight on the EUR in recent sessions. A story appeared in Le Monde today

MORE...

GVI Forex Blog 19:25 GMT January 28, 2010 Reply   

Dollar Strengthens as Sentiment Shifts Toward Safety

GVI Forex Blog 19:21 GMT January 28, 2010 Reply   
European credit-related woes dominated market news last night, hurting risk markets in Europe and the US. Moody's weighed in to the Portugal discussion with its own warning shots regarding a sovereign credit rating downgrade, following Fitch's comments a few days ago.

Forex Research - Morning Report

Miami JN 19:18 GMT January 28, 2010
Bernanke

That may have been all the book squaring this market ciould muster.

nyc ws 18:50 GMT January 28, 2010
Bernanke

I am more interested to see what happens after the vote since result is discounted

Miami JN 18:31 GMT January 28, 2010
Bernanke

jj, just a feeling so I threw out the question for discussion

GVI Forex Jay 18:27 GMT January 28, 2010
Bernanke

From GVI Forex:

GVI Forex john 17:46 GMT January 28, 2010
Headlines and Discussion: Reply
SENATE TO HOLD PROCEDURAL VOTE ON BERNANKE AT 3:20 P.M. (2020 GMT), FINAL VOTE TO FOLLOW--SENATE MAJORITY LEADER REID

lkwd jj 18:20 GMT January 28, 2010
Bernanke

why would you do that if its in the black? are you expecting anything short of a confirmation? no risk on the outcome.

London Colin 18:18 GMT January 28, 2010
Bernanke

Is there any change in the time of the vote?

Miami JN 17:58 GMT January 28, 2010
Bernanke
Reply   
May see some book squaring ahead of the Bernanke vote?

GVI Forex Blog 17:18 GMT January 28, 2010 Reply   
Price action on EUR/USD, a daily chart of which is shown, has finally made a tentative breakdown below the 1.4000 support/resistance and psychological barrier, establishing a new 6-month low

Chart of the Day - 1/28/2010 – EUR/USD

GVI Forex Blog 17:16 GMT January 28, 2010 Reply   
Currency traders remain fixated on the European peripherals this morning as commentary and rumors wreck havoc on intra-European bond spreads (and feed risk aversion).

Forex Blog - US Market Update (Trade the News)

lkwd jj 17:13 GMT January 28, 2010
GBP/USD day trade

sell stops below 16120 looking for break below 161

lkwd jj 16:53 GMT January 28, 2010
usdjpy
Reply   
testing 8950 from the topside ....

NYC JM 16:39 GMT January 28, 2010
Trade Ideas

Kevin, yesterday's low was 8658 - also the NY session high just now, intra-day high .8676

Lahore FM 16:37 GMT January 28, 2010
Trade Ideas

Kevin,its open target.agree with your projections!

HK Kevin 16:34 GMT January 28, 2010
Trade Ideas

Lahore FM 15:23 GMT, what's your target. Intraday resistance at 0.8677, then daily at 0.8702 and last week high 0.8833. Above 8877 it will fly.

lkwd jj 16:30 GMT January 28, 2010
GBP/USD day trade

16140 in cable is no mans land. s1 is 16097 with pivot at 16170.expecting more declines before day is out with benanke confirmation likely to give usd a boost and gdp figs out tomorow.

lkwd jj 16:19 GMT January 28, 2010
GBP/USD day trade

kapricorn i see you are getting good results in cable. keep posting !! gl and gt

GVI Forex Jay 16:11 GMT January 28, 2010
Bernanke

As posted on GVI Forex:

GVI Forex Jay 16:11 GMT January 28, 2010
Bernanke: Reply
Cloture vote will be 3:20 EST today and if it passes, the vote to confirm will follow immediately.

GVI Forex Blog 16:07 GMT January 28, 2010 Reply   
Jan 28 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: Early Friday in the Far East will see the usual slew of Japanese data (see calendar). In Europe, EZ money supply and lending data, which are closely followed will be released. EZ flash HICP data are due as well.

GVI Forex- Data Outlook for January 28, 2010

GVI Forex john 16:03 GMT January 28, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Jan 28 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: Early Friday in the Far East will see the usual slew of Japanese data (see calendar). In Europe, EZ money supply and lending data, which are closely followed will be released. EZ flash HICP data are due as well. In North America, Canadian PPI and GDP are slated. In. the U.S., major highlights will be the 4Q09 GDP estimate, Chicago PMI and the University of Michigan Survey.

23:15

JA

Oct Mfg PMI

n/a

54.3

23:30

JA

Dec Hhld Spend yy

1.50%

2.20%

23:30

JA

Dec Core CPI yy

-1.30%

-1.70%

23:30

JA

Dec CPI yy

n/a

-1.90%

23:30

JA

Dec Unemploy

5.30%

5.20%

23:50

JA

Decp Ind Out

5.30%

2.20%

23:50

JA

BOJ Minutes

n/a

n/a

 

 

FRIDAY

 

 

9:00

EZ

Dec Private Loans

-0.03%

-0.70%

9:00

EZ

Dec M3 3mo-avg

n/a

0.60%

9:00

EZ

Dec M3 yy

-0.50%

-0.20%

10:00

EZ

JanHICP (flash) yy

1.20%

0.90%

10:00

EZ

Dec Unemploy

10.10%

10.00%

10:30

CH

Jan KOF Ind

1.7

1.68

13:30

CA

Nov PPI mm

0.40%

1.00%

13:30

CA

Nov PPI yy

n/a

-2.80%

13:30

CA

Nov GDP mm

0.20%

0.20%

13:30

US

4Q10 GDP

4.50%

2.20%

14:45

US

Jan Chicago PMI

57.4

58.7

14:55

US

Janf U Mich Sent

73

72.8

 

 

MONDAY

 

 

8:30

CH

Jan Mfg PMI

n/a

54.6

8:58

EZ

Jan MFG PMI

52

51.6

13:30

US

Dec Per Inc

0.30%

0.40%

13:30

US

Dec Core PCE mm

0.10%

0.20%

15:00

US

Jan MFG PMI

56.5

55.9

15:00

US

Dec Construction

-0.20%

-0.60%

 

sofia kaprikorn 16:01 GMT January 28, 2010
Bonds during Deflation

JP. tnx for the answer.
I'm actually puzzled and more looking for suggestions from more experienced traders as I see the rise in monetary base that fueled the reflation of commodity prices to pre-crisis levels.

however with high unemployment and low int rates I don't see how consumption can fill the supply side of the equation and thus I project deflation and low GDP growth - a view I borrowed from latest Bill Gross outlook. Would appreciate any views on this! TIA!

lkwd jj 16:00 GMT January 28, 2010
cable
Reply   
hourly chart had wedge forming with a breakout above in early am. experience in cable says beware. you heard about golden cross in euro ,right? 50 ma crosses below 100? happened in cable as well but no big headlines. todays high was at 50ma. besides one has to be wary of false breakouts. george soros said in davos that usd will not falter as there is no better alternate. he then said that uk is worse off than the us financially. etc etc... sell the @#$% out of it!!!

tokyo ginko 15:58 GMT January 28, 2010
good to see more Tokyo contributors
Reply   
happy to see more of tokyo time contributors!

GT to you!

Medan Ardent 15:42 GMT January 28, 2010
GBP/USD day trade

Sofia, what indicator u use enter the trade?

TIA

tokyo rana 15:39 GMT January 28, 2010
gbp/jpy
Reply   
Buy
Entry: Target: Stop:

now its look like break major supports so im relax now..could not break 147.3.....pound is going down great chance for sell look like it will break maybe 139 around 130 135 come...

sofia kaprikorn 15:36 GMT January 28, 2010
GBP/USD day trade

sofia kaprikorn 10:45 GMT January 28, 2010
short 1.6260 / stop 1.6288
-------------------------
1/2 out at 1.6237
___________________
added 1/2 at 1.6244 just before NYSE open and just covered at 1.6148 for +102 in total.

Medan Ardent 15:35 GMT January 28, 2010
short cable

Cable Still looks like short is a better idea
closed my position short cable at 1.6140 .... happy today .....135 pips

GVI Forex Blog 15:29 GMT January 28, 2010 Reply   
USD/CAD Stalking Possible Reversal Setup 1/28/2010

FXTimes: Daily Technical Update USD/CAD Stalking Possible Reversal Setup

Lahore FM 15:28 GMT January 28, 2010
Trade Ideas

correction*

bought eurgbp 0.8641*

Lahore FM 15:23 GMT January 28, 2010
Trade Ideas

eurgbp
Entry: 0.8641 Target: Stop: 0.8600

bought eurgbp 0.8641,clearing 0.8710 makes the break upwards!

London HC 15:21 GMT January 28, 2010
cable

jj not quite a downgrade but having the same reaction

Gen dk 15:16 GMT January 28, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

lkwd jj 15:13 GMT January 28, 2010
cable
Reply   
s&p downgrade of uk banks. freefall !!!

Mtl JP 15:11 GMT January 28, 2010
GVI Forex Blog 14:55 - stronger US dollar’s value is gonna run counter to 0' s goal of doubling exports.

Unless one adds more expensive tanks, missiles and bombs into trade calculation.

Toronto yv 14:58 GMT January 28, 2010
Bernanke

Jay , thank You .

GVI Forex Blog 14:55 GMT January 28, 2010 Reply   
There exists the potential that this tighter-money posturing, maneuvering, squirming or strategizing by the Fed will ultimately support the US dollar’s value.

The STATE of the DOLLAR and the Black Swan Response

GVI Forex Jay 14:55 GMT January 28, 2010
Bernanke

As posted on GVI Forex:

GVI Forex john 14:14 GMT January 28, 2010
Headlines and Discussion: Reply
Timing for cloture vote slipping to 1:30 to 2:00 today. Senate moves very slow as all these guys love to hear themselves speak.

Toronto yv 14:51 GMT January 28, 2010
Bernanke
Reply   
What time is voting for Bernanke today ?

NYC ET 14:51 GMT January 28, 2010
stocks
Reply   
Weaker stock market open is leading to some risk aversion - simple as that

GVI Forex Blog 14:44 GMT January 28, 2010 Reply   

Technical Factors Could Trigger Stock Market Rally

GVI Forex Blog 14:40 GMT January 28, 2010 Reply   

Technical Factors Could Trigger Stock Market Rally

tokyo rana 14:39 GMT January 28, 2010
gbp
Reply   
Buy
Entry: Target: Stop:

idonot know why gbp is very strong nowdays it was so weak in past few months...

GVI Forex Blog 14:17 GMT January 28, 2010 Reply   

Upbeat Fed Statement, Obama Speech Fuels Demand for Higher Risk

GVI Forex Jay 14:09 GMT January 28, 2010 Reply   
Nuts and Bolts: Trading Rooms Forum

As a follow-up to the chart I posted on Tuesday, continue to keep an eye on the one hour eur/usd chart as its...

THREAD: EUR/USD UPDATED

Wall Street 14:00 GMT January 28, 2010
EURUSD
Reply   
Looking at our short term indicators. We find neutrality at the moment at 1.4006 to 1.4014. Above changes the market tone; below (also below 1.4000) keeps the tone on the EURUSD pair negative.

Mtl JP 13:43 GMT January 28, 2010
Bonds during Deflation

kaprikorn 06:55 / assuming that you mean price-deflation and not money supply in/deflation. (not all prices necessarily rise in a money supply inflationary environment, for example)

you may want to concider that price-deflation and price-inflation are and will continue to be present at the same time for a while still. That means identifying those sectors of economy which are subject to either.

PAR 13:42 GMT January 28, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Holisay season is over ?

GVI Forex john 13:39 GMT January 28, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Improvement in weekly jobless bottoming out?


Click on chart for seven-year history

tokyo rana 13:36 GMT January 28, 2010
gbp/jpy


GBP/JPY: Some inter-day rising trend-line support has been broken which could now suggest that the market is prepping for a more significant drop towards 140.00 over the coming sessions. However, we retain no strong bias at current levels, with the market just as easily seen racing higher towards 150.00. Daily studies confirm neutral outlook. Key short-term levels to watch above and below come in by 147.30 and 143.65 respectively.



Written by Joel Kruger, Technical Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com




tokyo rana 13:35 GMT January 28, 2010
gbp/jpy

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
GBPJPY Outlook - Written by ActionForex.com - Jan 28 10 06:56 GMT -
GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.19; (P) 144.94; (R1) 146.24; More

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment and some more sideway trading might be seen above 143.62. But after all, upside is expected to be limited by 147.25 resistance and bring resumption of fall from 150.68. Below 143.62 will target 141.99 support. Break there will further affirm the bearish case that whole decline from 163.05 is resuming and should bring retest of 139.26 support next. However, note that break of 147.25 will dampen this bearish view and turn focus back to 149.49/150.68 resistance zone instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 118.18, which is a correction to the long term down trend from 07 high of 251.90, has completed at 163.05 already. Fall from 163.05 is possibly resuming as consolidation pattern from 139.69 has likely finished at 150.68 already. Break of 139.26 will confirm this bearish case and target 61.8% retracement of 118.81 to 163.05 at 135.70 next. Break will further affirm the case that whole down trend from 2007 high of 251.90 is resuming for another low below 118.81. This will remain the preferred view as long as 150.68 resistance holds.

tokyo rana 13:33 GMT January 28, 2010
gbp/jpy

my dear,,hat kind of plan ?

PAR 13:30 GMT January 28, 2010
Greece

As Turkey , Greece should turn to the IMF for help . If the IMF gives $ billions and billions of loans to Turkey , the IMF can surely help a little country as Greece .

GVI Forex Jay 13:27 GMT January 28, 2010
gbp/jpy

So does everyone else but if you are trading, you need a plan - entry, stop, target so you know your risk vs reward

tokyo rana 13:26 GMT January 28, 2010
gbp/jpy

idonot have any target...iwant buy lowest and sale highest...thats all i know

tokyo rana 13:24 GMT January 28, 2010
gbp/jpy

ilost lots of many in this pair....so iwant cover from this pair other pair need long time...which pair is best?thanx for reply..kind regards

GVI Forex Jay 13:23 GMT January 28, 2010
gbp/jpy

If you are new, perhaps you should consider trading a less volatile pair than gbp/jpy. Do you have a target and stop for your trade?

All I did was point out the current chart formation, which shows a down channel. Maybe someone who is trading this pair can comment.

tokyo rana 13:21 GMT January 28, 2010
gbp/jpy

mva mean please tellme?

tokyo rana 13:19 GMT January 28, 2010
gbp/jpy

Buy
Entry: Target: Stop:

idid not understand what you said im new comer to forex idonot know much..

GVI Forex Jay 13:17 GMT January 28, 2010
gbp/jpy



Nil, see the daily gbp/jpy chart. Feel free to comment. Note 100 day mva (147.07) about held on top today (high 147.24

tokyo rana 13:17 GMT January 28, 2010
gbp/jpy
Reply   
Buy gbp
Entry: Target: Stop:

hello,any body tellme gbp/jpy will break 139support or not?i sold at 145.75...everybody just saying if break 147.3yen than go up...

tokyo nil 13:14 GMT January 28, 2010
gbp/jpy
Reply   
Buy
Entry: Target: Stop:

hello,any body tellme gbp/jpy will break 139support or not?i sold at 145.75...

tokyo nil 13:14 GMT January 28, 2010
gbp/jpy
Reply   
some times seems break 147.3 some times seems break 139 very difficult to handle gbp/jpy very risky..best regards

tokyo nil 13:12 GMT January 28, 2010
gbp/jpy
Reply   
Buy
Entry: Target: Stop:

some times seems break 147.3 some times seems break 139 very difficult to handle gbp/jpy very risky..best regards

tokyo nil 13:10 GMT January 28, 2010
gbp/jpy
Reply   
Buy
Entry: Target: Stop:

which way is going gbp?down or up?no body ihave any idea i check several sites

GVI Forex Jay 13:09 GMT January 28, 2010
Greece

More on Greece, as posted on GVI Forex

GVI Forex john 13:06 GMT January 28, 2010
greece: Reply
*DJ German MOF Rejects Germany, France Studying Help For Greece

tokyo nil 13:09 GMT January 28, 2010
gbp/jpy
Reply   
Buy
Entry: Target: Stop:

hello,any body tellme gbp/jpy will break 139support or not?i sold at 145.75...

GVI Forex Jay 12:58 GMT January 28, 2010
Greece
Reply   
This was posted on GVI Forex about half an hour ago and appears to be behind the eur/usd bounce a short while ago.

Market talk of a pending french press article that suggests France & Germany to step in over Greece (Le Monde)

http://www.lemonde.fr/europe/article/2010/01/28/les-etats-de-la-zone-euro-prets-a-se-porter-au-secours-de-la-grece_1297786_3214.html

GVI Forex Blog 12:14 GMT January 28, 2010 Reply   

FX Thoughts for the day : 28-Jan-2010 - 1212 GMT

GVI Forex john 12:03 GMT January 28, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Data Call @ 13:30 GMT-
Advance Durable Goods/Factory Orders


Durable good new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for immediate and future delivery. The advance report is an early estimate of durable goods orders. Two weeks later, more complete and revised data are available in the Factory Orders report. Department of Commerce; BEA.

The report provides information on the strength of demand, from both domestic and foreign sources, for U.S. manufactured durable goods.


Weekly jobless data

Weekly jobless data are the most current read on employment and also the economy.

Initial Jobless claims can be very volatile so many also watch the 4-week moving average to get a better handle on trends.

Continuing claims are used by economists to predict the unemployment rate. These data are not as consistent as they once were as statutory benefit rules have been changing. Changes in the rules can affect the number of individuals eligible for claims.

Updated and revised charts to follow after the report.


GVI Forex john 11:56 GMT January 28, 2010
chart points

Re the FX Chart Points table. Check out the bottom section which highlights average daily pip ranges for various time spans. Using the 24 hour ranges. EURUSD has been averaging 125-133 pips on a 24 hour basis for the last 3 months. However the N.Y. range has been running about 40-50 points.

Any ideas on how to use this? I'm thinking this info could help with stops or take profit goals? Obviously you can't count on these patterns holding on any given day.

warsaw TOMi 11:46 GMT January 28, 2010
eur
Reply   
EURUSD met overnight target within 12 pips range, positive divergence forming on daily, with no sign of recovery yet, we keep selling to further targets as 3850 and 3795-15 area. bounce from there should be significant.

GVI Forex Futures 11:46 GMT January 28, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Total Open Interest in the EURO FX futures increased by 2,821 contracts yesterday to 182,801. We know from the COT report that the markets are already heavily short EURUSD. It is interesting that on what was a decisively negative session for EURUSD yesterday that only a modest number of positions were added.

Its been our experience, maybe its a carry over from equity trading, that the futures market can be uncomfortable about taking short positions in currencies.

GVI Forex Blog 11:38 GMT January 28, 2010 Reply   
The euro slipped on Thursday, hovering near a 6 1/2-month low against the dollar as investors remained wary on concerns over heavily indebted smaller euro zone countries such as Greece and Portugal.

FOREX NEWS - Euro pressured vs dollar on Greek debt woes

GVI Forex 11:24 GMT January 28, 2010
chart points
Reply   
We provide one of the most complete table of fx chart points and indicators that you will find on the web.

Note the daily pivot points and that the eur/usd low was dead on with Support #2 at 1.3934.

See FX Chart Points

Richland QC Mailman 11:16 GMT January 28, 2010
Medium term rebound

HI JFO. Quite a brave soul mate.

GVI Forex Blog 10:57 GMT January 28, 2010 Reply   
Currencies: The USD reversed earlier strength as European traders reacted positively to President Obama's State of the union address, which focused on job creation and exporters.

European Market Update: German Labor minister cautious on employment outlook; Obama's State of the Union focus on jobs and Exports saps some dollar upside momentum for the time being

Medan Ardent 10:52 GMT January 28, 2010
GBP/USD day trade

if 1 hour chart, if the candle closed under the triangle line, hmmmm >>>> its "false break triangle" IMHO

GVI Forex Blog 10:47 GMT January 28, 2010 Reply   
11:00 GMT- Jan 28 (global-view.com) The markets are still trying to sift through the mixed agenda of President Obama. It seems now that they feel that good rhetoric is no longer enough. The Congress and administration already frittered away a year

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- Risk Trade on -- Partially

Medan Ardent 10:46 GMT January 28, 2010
Medium term rebound

eur false break trend line 1 hour chart, so 75 % posibility make new low.

sofia kaprikorn 10:45 GMT January 28, 2010
GBP/USD day trade

sofia kaprikorn 10:19 GMT January 28, 2010
short 1.6260 / stop 1.6288
-------------------------
1/2 out at 1.6237

GVI Forex john 10:43 GMT January 28, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support


The Daily Forex View

Risk Trade on -- Partially

11:00 GMT- Jan 28 (global-view.com) The markets are still trying to sift through the mixed agenda of President Obama. It seems now that they feel that good rhetoric is no longer enough. The Congress and administration already frittered away a year

MORE...

Varna GV 10:41 GMT January 28, 2010
USD
Reply   
Buy USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Geneva, sir this is not a good idea, to be long Eur/Usd, this is my opinion, in short term we have a full moon and important aspect Saturn/Pluto on 31-st of January and on medium term the pressure for EUR will increase!!!
Good luck and good trades for all !!!

Richland QC Mailman 10:29 GMT January 28, 2010
GBP/USD day trade

shorted some gpb/yen 147

GENEVA JFO 10:26 GMT January 28, 2010
Medium term rebound
Reply   
Buy eurusd
Entry: 1.4017 Target: 1.4540 Stop: no

Still long at 1.4391 ; 1.4193 ; 1.4120

=============================================

Today bought more at 1.4017

Oversold conditions shows panic selling at mom.

eurusd will be able to recover soon.

Happy friday!!

sofia kaprikorn 10:19 GMT January 28, 2010
GBP/USD day trade
Reply   
short 1.6260 / stop 1.6288

sofia kaprikorn 10:16 GMT January 28, 2010
USD/CAD day trade

sofia kaprikorn 07:36 GMT January 28, 2010
short 1.0602 / sl 1.0636
______________________
closed at 1.0571 for +31

sofia kaprikorn 10:15 GMT January 28, 2010
testing waters

sofia kaprikorn 07:33 GMT January 28, 2010
long EUR/USD 1.4022 / SL 1.3998
-----------------------
added 1/2 at 1.4028 /avg 1.4025 / sl -> 1.4004
_______________________
closed at 1.4027 - seems the 1.4035 pivot is a problem so far.

London Misha 09:41 GMT January 28, 2010
Observations
Reply   
EURUSD - Two Black Crows on the Daily Chart. Dec-Jan Bear Flag formation.
USDJPY - Bullish Hammer on the Daily Chart!
GBPUSD - Second close under Long MA. However, possibility of a Daily Bull Harami Cross!
USDCHF - Testing long MA resistance!
EURGBP - Dead Cross of the Short MA down through the Long MA!
EURJPY - Dragonfly Doji on the Daily Chart!
USDCAD - Possible Bearish Advance Block on the Daily Chart.
NZDUSD - Inside Day on the Daily Chart.

Richland QC Mailman 09:34 GMT January 28, 2010
usd/yen on resistance level
Reply   
closed all usd/yen longs 90.35 (opened at 90). Pair tentative to break the 90.45 band of resistance.

Medan Ardent 09:32 GMT January 28, 2010
short cable
Reply   


Sell gbp
Entry: 1.6275 Target: open Stop: 1.6295

short at the channel line as show at the chart

Hong Kong Qindex 09:31 GMT January 28, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Sell GBP/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/USD : One should consider a stop and reverse action if and only if the market can trade above 1.6324. Otherwise sell on rallies is the preferred trading strategy.

GVI Forex Blog 09:22 GMT January 28, 2010 Reply   
Traders anticipate the publication of the the Gross Domestic Product measure tomorrow (January 29). The GDP is the broadest measure of economic activity and is a key indicator for the economy's health

Forexpros Daily Analysis - 28/01/2010

Amman wfakhoury 09:20 GMT January 28, 2010
gbpusd
Reply   
Mailman
thks alot ...it is good to sell around 16300..or to scalp in selling around 16270

Hong Kong Qindex 09:16 GMT January 28, 2010
QIndex Trading System

EUR/GBP
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/GBP : The following is still valid :



=======================================

01/26/2010 12:43:04 Qindex Hong Kong 11

EUR/GBP
Entry: Target: Stop:
EUR/GBP : As shown in the monthly cycle charts the market has a tendency to trade within 0.8455 and 0.8827. The mid-point reference of 0.8455 - 0.8827 is 0.8641. The bias is on the downside when the market is below 0.8792 (see monthly cycle reference normal lower limits in my webpage).



EUR/GBP : Monthly Cycle Charts
http;//www.qindex.com/eur-gbp.html




01/26/2010 12:05:23 Qindex Hong Kong 13

EUR/GBP
Entry: Target: Stop:
EUR/GBP : the market is going to challenge the daily cycle matrix system at 0.8622 - 0.8624 - 0.8644.

Richland QC Mailman 09:11 GMT January 28, 2010
gbp/usd

Great call wfak. sold some gbp's at 1.6270.

Amman wfakhoury 09:06 GMT January 28, 2010
gbp/usd
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 19:44 GMT January 27, 2010
gbp/usd: Reply
Amman wfakhoury 18:52 GMT January 27, 2010
gbpusd : Reply
it is in uptrend with possiblity to decline till 16150-40 then rise
till 16300.

-------
Exactly as I said , and now is heading twd 16300 during asia and europe.

--------
still in uptrend 16300 is coming ...caution advise to take profit
around 16280.

Texas 08:46 GMT January 28, 2010 Reply   
Nuts and Bolts: Trading Strategies Forum

Traders from all over the world who are bent on taking their trades to the next level are on queue at censored...

THREAD: censored.com storms the market UPDATED

Hong Kong Qindex 08:44 GMT January 28, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Juffair KaL 05:31 GMT - I am not tracking Hong Kong Dollar.

Hong Kong Qindex 08:42 GMT January 28, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Sell GBP/USD
Entry: 1.626o Target: 1.6080 Stop: 1.6324

GBP/USD : The current expected trading trading is 1.6077 - 1.6275. It is likely that we have seen the daily high already. Projected resistant levels are located at 1.6308 and 1.6319. Allow 5 pips above 1.6319 is good enough.


GBP/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/gbp.html

tokyo ginko 08:41 GMT January 28, 2010
QIndex Trading System

USD/HKD 7.76 85/90 here

sofia kaprikorn 08:12 GMT January 28, 2010
Bonds during Deflation

tnx for suggestions!

here I got this from Bill Gross' Feb outlook:

The Reinhart/Rogoff book ("This Time It]s Different") speaks primarily to public debt that balloons in response to financial crises. It is a voluminous, somewhat academic production but it has numerous critical conclusions gleaned from an analysis of centuries of creditor/sovereign debt cycles. It states:

The true legacy of banking crises is greater public indebtedness, far beyond the direct headline costs of bailout packages. On average a country’s outstanding debt nearly doubles within three years following the crisis.

The aftermath of banking crises is associated with an average increase of seven percentage points in the unemployment rate, which remains elevated for five years.

Once a country’s public debt exceeds 90% of GDP, its economic growth rate slows by 1%.

Haifa ac 07:42 GMT January 28, 2010
Bonds during Deflation

The short term instrument- the eurodollar is telling you that big banks are NOT hedging against inflation. But the bonds behave very strange. Perhaps it has to do with the Chinese owning most of them-- and thus have the power to toy with the market. I just know that trading the correlation with inflation will kill you in the bonds market right now!

sofia kaprikorn 07:36 GMT January 28, 2010
USD/CAD day trade
Reply   
looking at CAD as USD strength indicator..
short 1.0602 / sl 1.0636

sofia kaprikorn 07:33 GMT January 28, 2010
testing waters

sofia kaprikorn 07:02 GMT January 28, 2010
long EUR/USD 1.4022 / SL 1.3998
-----------------------
added 1/2 at 1.4028 /avg 1.4025 / sl -> 1.4004

sofia kaprikorn 07:18 GMT January 28, 2010
Bonds during Deflation

hi,
I was thinking in this simple frame - most commodities like copper, crude oil and so on are on the price levels before the GFC - however because of the tight credit people are not able to consume at the same rate as they have to repay loans (..repair their balance sheets..lol..) so you have the same price but the consumer power is twice lower. so in nominal terms you have 100% inflation but in real terms the nominal rise in prices doesn't help to produce consumption since money is sucked into a debt repayment spiral which is only exacerbated by the rising yields as most of the debt was created in the low interest rates period..
so it turns out we are in deflation as the fast increase in monetary base doesn't keep up with the rise of prices?

Haifa ac 07:10 GMT January 28, 2010
Bonds during Deflation

sofia kaprikorn 06:55 GMT January 28, 2010
Bonds during Deflation: Reply //

In recent years the correlation between bonds and inflation deflation has disappeared. So is the significance of Money supply. It is strange- but that is the market.
The roll of the market is not go give you good tools to make money, but to TAKE your money. Sad but true.

sofia kaprikorn 07:02 GMT January 28, 2010
testing waters
Reply   
long EUR/USD 1.4022 / SL 1.3998

sofia kaprikorn 06:55 GMT January 28, 2010
Bonds during Deflation
Reply   
hello,

I'd like to request any kind of advice or suggestion as I try to understand how should an investment portfolio be constructed in times of deflation?

what are the implications to the bond market in times of prolonged deflation?
tia!

Hong Kong 06:35 GMT January 28, 2010
EUR/USD Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader
Reply   
INTRADAY TRADING SIGNAL BY ACETRADER.COM: EUR/USD
EUR/USD: 1.4012

Last Update At 28 Jan 2010 06:29 GMT


Although euro's rebound after early selloff to
fresh 6-month low of 1.3930 suggests consolidation
wud be seen n gain twds 1.4040 (Aust.) cannot be
ruled out, reckon 1.4054 shud cap upside n yield
retreat later.


Still favour selling again on further rise n
take profit on decline as 1.3955/60 wud hold.

Range Forecast
1.4000 / 1.4030


Resistance/Support
R: 1.4029/1.4040/1.4064
S: 1.3984/1.3957/1.3930

www.acetraderfx.com

Juffair KaL 05:49 GMT January 28, 2010
audusd a sell

doing some these today
and adding

AUDUSD 0.9010 0.8878 Sell
EURAUD 1.5760 1.5592 Buy

EURNZD 1.9998 1.9761 Buy
USDZAR 7.7145 7.5704 Buy

USDHKD 7.7787 7.7738 Buy

Juffair KaL 05:31 GMT January 28, 2010
QIndex Trading System

DR. Q
Getting this on USDHKD?
Sound right to you?

USDHKD 7.7799 7.7727 Buy

Juffair KaL 05:29 GMT January 28, 2010
audusd a sell
Reply   
Now will sell this pair
.9010 to .9041
tgt .8843

GVI Forex Blog 04:13 GMT January 28, 2010 Reply   

Morning Briefing : 28-Jan-2010 - 0340 GMT

Hong Kong Qindex 03:35 GMT January 28, 2010
QIndex Trading System

GBP/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/USD : The market is consolidating within the weekly cycle matrix system at 1.5993 - 1.6075 - 1.6333. A barrier is positioning at 1.6205.



GBP/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/gbp.html

SF WM 02:03 GMT January 28, 2010
eur/usd

eurusd target?

Hong Kong Qindex 01:57 GMT January 28, 2010
QIndex Trading System

EUR/USD : The following is still valid :



01/24/2010 10:23:06 Qindex Hong Kong 4

EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:
EUR/USD : The market is going to consolidate within 1.3744 - 1.4416 - 1.4606. The mid-point reference between 1.3744 and 1.4416 is 1.4080.

Ath. Xarian 01:50 GMT January 28, 2010
eur/usd
Reply   
Ath. Xarian 22:32 GMT January 27, 2010

As I said earlier...It's a short... Happy gains and happy day to the rest... out for relaxing...

Hong Kong Qindex 01:49 GMT January 28, 2010
QIndex Trading System

EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : The short term downside targeting point is 1.3826.

Hong Kong Qindex 01:46 GMT January 28, 2010
QIndex Trading System

EUR/USD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : Critical Support 1.3744


Anything below 1.3744 is negative EUR/USD.

Hong Kong 01:11 GMT January 28, 2010
Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader
Reply   
Market Review - 27/01/2010 21:25 All times in GMT

Dollar climbs to a six-month high versus euro on Fed’s statement



The greenback rose on Wednesday to a six-month high against the single currency and strengthened versus the yen after the Federal Reserve kept target rates unchanged at 0.25% and restated its intention to cease buying mortgage-backed securities in March, making U.S. assets more attractive. Also, the Fed reiterated that interest rates will stay low for an 'extended period'.

Worries about Greece kept the euro under pressure on Wednesday with the spread of the 10-year Greek bond yield over benchmark German Bonds hitting its widest since Greece adopted the euro currency in 2001. Despite a brief pullback to 1.4087 after European Central Bank Governing Council member Axel Weber said ECB will not set eurozone interest rates to suit the bloc's few troubled members and indicated Greece has promised to reduce deficit to 3%, price tumbled from there. Euro reached a 6-month low of 1.3993 after the Fed kept rates unchanged.

Despite early drop to a 6-week low of 89.14 in Asia on concerns about China curbing lending together with early comments by Geithner that 'U.S. government still exposed to substantial risk of losses on AIG investment', the greenback rebounded strongly against the yen in European morning on short-covering. The rally picked up more momentum and reached an intra-day high of 90.09 after the Fed kept rates unchanged.

RBNZ announced its decision to keep Cash Rate unchanged at 2.5%, and Governor Allan Bollard stated its intention to remove monetary stimulus measures around mid-year as he observed that New Zealand's Economy is recovering despite a higher level of uncertainty. New Zealand dollar initially fell to 0.7030 after the news but staged a rebound above 0.7067 afterwards.

Data to be released on Thursday include Japan retail sales, Germany unemployment rate, U.S. durable goods and jobless claims.

www.acetraderfx.com

Tallinn viies 00:13 GMT January 28, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
left take profit to 1.4083.
going to sleep now.
move over 1,4100 should take some pressure off from euro
gl

 




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