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Forex Forum Archive for 11/1/2010

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tokyo rana 23:50 GMT November 1, 2010
jpy
Reply   
Sell OTHER
Entry: cadjpy79.507 Target: open Stop: 79.907

donot know it will work or not...lowest weekly monthly close....anyways happy trade,

to dr unken katt 23:45 GMT November 1, 2010
aus
Reply   
ausie looks good short

isr jweb 23:43 GMT November 1, 2010
Trade Ideas

keeping discipline is taming a beast.

FM thats the best trade tip ive heard from you for long..

not that the others are so bad...

Syd 23:33 GMT November 1, 2010
Economists don't expect rates hike
Reply   
LINK

sofia kaprikorn 22:46 GMT November 1, 2010
USD/JPY hourly chart
Reply   
Buy USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

Long USD/JPY 80.55 / sl 80.38

technical trade for test of 81 res.

Lahore FM 22:29 GMT November 1, 2010
Trade Ideas

RN,appreciate your kind remarks.keeping discipline is taming a beast.

wish you good trades!

TORONTO RN 22:20 GMT November 1, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Hi FM.
I joined you on this one. Sold AUDUSD at 0.9872 stop 20pips higher. I have been following your trades closely and acknowledge how great a trader you are. However, I have been losing money on my trades (following you) because I wasn't disciplined. I tend to move my stop loss orders as soon as the market moves 20 or 30 pips in my favour. I need to control my nerves and a good smack of confidence. Thanks for your market insights. We really appreciate it.

Syd 22:16 GMT November 1, 2010
DJ USD Could Gain If Republicans Win Big - UBS
Reply   
USD could push higher if Republicans emerge with strong gains in U.S. elections as this would raise investor expectations of reduced fiscal spending, says UBS FX strategist Brian Kim. But before then, Kim expects little EUR/USD action until FOMC spells out plans for QE.
DJ Speculative Traders Not Quite As Negative On DollarBarclays Capital said the market has priced a larger quantitative easing program than is realistic. Barclays is predicting an incremental easing program, with the eventual size of asset-purchases being dependent on economic data.
The market, Barclays said, "will likely be disappointed by the actual announcement," scheduled for Wednesday.

Greenberg: Chinese IPO Bubble Brewing in U.S.?
Why care?
Because as was the case with Chinese reverse mergers, which I’ve written about in the past, you may own them.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/39912572

A Closer Look at the Markets
Chris Watling, managing director at Longview Economics joined CNBC for a closer look at the markets on Monday.LINK

SEC Probing Deal Between JPMorgan and Hedge Fund
The Securities and Exchange Commission is investigating whether JPMorgan Chase allowed a hedge fund to improperly select assets for a $1.1 billion deal backed by subprime mortgages, according to people familiar with the probe.LINK

GVI Forex john 21:41 GMT November 1, 2010
yen

BOJ Minutes 19:50 EDT (NY) don't expect much. Much bigger event is meeting end this Friday. They moved it ahead by a couple of weeks to just after the Fed.

jerusalem kb 21:30 GMT November 1, 2010
aus

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

to hike or not to hike ?
last week data = not to hike.
i am bearish on audusd( holding rate)

to dr unken katt 21:26 GMT November 1, 2010
yen
Reply   
BOJ is tonite?
what NYork time?

tokyo rana 21:19 GMT November 1, 2010
aus

ithink FM brother on right side imean short side...icannot take much risk other wise iwill short audusd...happy trade,

tokyo rana 21:16 GMT November 1, 2010
aus

tomorrow chfjpy is buy or possible today some rise....happy trade,

tokyo rana 21:15 GMT November 1, 2010
aus

1500gmt BOJ 0330gmt RBA...jpy pairs looks toppish so they tell wat is next coming...happy trade,

to dr unken katt 21:11 GMT November 1, 2010
aus
Reply   
what time

tokyo rana 21:08 GMT November 1, 2010
aus

AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

to dr unken katt 20:55 GMT November 1, 2010
dear friend,audusd eurusd gbpusd looks neutral....today RBA will tell short or long today maybe .975/0.969 or 1.00/1.005 anything posible up or down........happy trade,

Mombasa nsm 21:08 GMT November 1, 2010
urgent

didn't c that coming, thnx Dr

Lahore FM 20:59 GMT November 1, 2010
aus

thanx doc i will follow my method and take the risk!

to dr unken katt 20:55 GMT November 1, 2010
aus
Reply   
ausies stochastics on both dayly and 1hr shaped W , its still long

GVI Forex john 20:51 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Global-View Market Tracker updated. Twice daily survey of a broad range of markets.

Lahore FM 20:50 GMT November 1, 2010
Trade Ideas

target 0.9790.

Lahore FM 20:50 GMT November 1, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 0.9865 Target: Stop: 0.9885 bid

sold.

GVI Forex john 20:49 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

From: Westpac-NZ Daily to appear in G-V Blog

AUD/USD and NZD/USD outlook next 24 hours:

Today’s RBA meeting will dominate the session for both currencies.

AUD support is at 0.9820 for a move above 0.9915, although an RBA pause today (consensus) would be an obstacle.

NZD needs a rest before continuing its impressive run, a correction today to the 0.7600 area possible. It will follow the AUD after the RBA, but also take note of NZ wage cost data this morning, our economists expecting modest gains there.


Lahore FM 20:29 GMT November 1, 2010
long

no view for gold nor a position nsm...fed news tomm important for direction on everything.

GVI Forex john 20:27 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Trading Resources...

GVI Forex john 20:26 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

DATA
Entry: Target: Stop:

Global-View Chart Gallery updated. A large selection of updated forex, interest rate and equity charts.

Mombasa nsm 20:15 GMT November 1, 2010
long
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

@Mr. FM, did you long gold to, @1352

to dr unken katt 20:13 GMT November 1, 2010
urgent

i ve idea for a bussines

how about providing hot support for traders who fell into bad trades
pay-pal accepted

GVI Forex john 20:13 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

LATEST PIVOT POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Pivots	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD
Res 3	1.4120	82.32	1.0153	1.6157	1.0283
Res 2	1.4066	81.84	1.0063	1.6123	1.0242
Res 1	1.3972	81.21	0.9994	1.6077	1.0209
					
Pivot	1.3918	80.73	0.9904	1.6043	1.0168
					
Sup 1	1.3824	80.10	0.9835	1.5997	1.0135
Sup 2	1.3770	79.62	0.9745	1.5963	1.0094
Sup 3	1.3676	78.99	0.9676	1.5917	1.0061

GVI Forex john 20:11 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

MOVING AVERAGES
Entry: Target: Stop:

MVA	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD
TREND					
s/t 5-20  Down	Down	Up	Up	Up
m/t 20-50  Up	Down	Down	Up	Down
l/t 50-200 Up	Down	Down	Up	Down

5 day	1.3866	81.03	0.9869	1.5921	1.0218
10 day	1.3884	81.13	0.9783	1.5826	1.0236
20 day	1.3912	81.58	0.9695	1.5867	1.0177
50 day	1.3397	83.26	0.9907	1.5690	1.0299
100 day	1.3063	85.46	1.0275	1.5507	1.0339
200 day	1.3152	88.44	1.0578	1.5336	1.0340

GVI Forex john 19:52 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

FX DATABASE
Entry: Target: Stop:

UPDATED . Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in spreadsheet format.

Lahore FM 19:40 GMT November 1, 2010
urgent

Mombasa nsm 18:04 GMT November 1, 2010

--
you are welcome nsm...hope you got out now ,,unscathed!

its not Mr Lahore but FM.

Saar KaL 19:40 GMT November 1, 2010
KaL's Trend and Level

Thank You,
I Longed EURUSD here and will with dips for 1.3990
but very happy with sp 500 and DJI Longs

few small longs on GBPJPY and EURJPY

Lahore FM 19:34 GMT November 1, 2010
sell usd big time

Medallion,place an sl at 1.4020 or therabouts.1.4070 is not mentioned in my original post.

my stops so far are still tentative non rgid and yes the trade is still on unless market rejects it.

--

11/01/2010 01:02:18 FM Lahore 19

Buy EURCAD
Entry: 1.4225 Target: 1.4700 Stop: 1.4025 tentative non rigid
trade of the month for november

long now.



dc CB 19:29 GMT November 1, 2010
JPM SEC
Reply   
this broke stocks. Sound familiar?

The Securities and Exchange Commission is investigating whether JPMorgan Chase allowed a hedge fund to improperly select assets for a $1.1 billion deal backed by subprime mortgages, according to people familiar with the probe.

http://www.propublica.org/article/sec-investigating-deal-between-jpmorgan-and-hedge-fund-magnetar

Lebanon 19:29 GMT November 1, 2010
KaL's Trend and Level

Dear ,
I Think it will be great call..

I am long Gold and DJ too ..

Goodluck

GVI Forex john 19:27 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

CALENDAR ITEM PREVIEW
Entry: Target: Stop:

Federal Reserve Bank

3-Nov-10 @ 18:15 GMT

U.S. in Charts

Notes on Charts

  • Core PCE (preferred Fed measure) below 1.0% target. disinflation. ISM manufacturing and Service PMI's mixed. 

  • Improvement in U.S. employment data has clearly leveled out. Full employment is a Fed mandate. 

  • Benchmark 10-yr yield has fallen to 2.60% from about 4.00% in March 2010. The 2-yr yield has declined to 0.35% from 1.20% in the same time frame. 

  • USD moves are highly correlated to movements in the key rates. Quantitative Easing (QE2) implies lower term yields.
    .

A new round of FOMC quantitative ease (QE2) has been priced in by the markets. Fed Chairman Bernanke recently tried to diminish expectations. 

Saar KaL 19:25 GMT November 1, 2010
KaL's Trend and Level

Long Nasdaq100
DJI Gold
here for 12 hrs

to dr unken katt 19:18 GMT November 1, 2010
euro
Reply   
your tp is 9810-15 , wash ur hands and close it

Saar KaL 19:17 GMT November 1, 2010
KaL's Trend and Level

closed all eurusd Short
Now Long small will add more in asian

to dr unken katt 19:15 GMT November 1, 2010
euro
Reply   
guy with memory problem ... are you makin any profits now?

RIYADH RUH-DMM-RUH 19:08 GMT November 1, 2010
GBP//USD
Reply   
Buy GBPUSD
Entry: 1.6034/21 Target: 1.6435 Stop: 1.5900

nice trade.

Surabaya Medallion 18:04 GMT November 1, 2010
sell usd big time

Buy EURCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Dear dr

Yes it is indeed inexcusable to forget the stop loss. I just put my Meta Trader 4 on my new Viliv N5 Netbook and made the mistake since my screen & keyboard is quite small but then it is pocketable... Cheers ^__^

Mombasa nsm 18:04 GMT November 1, 2010
urgent

Thanks Mr. Lahore. I really appreciate the fact that you took a part of your time to look into my problem. Wish i had a way to repay. gl

Kaunas DP 18:02 GMT November 1, 2010
urgent

Valdez, wise thoughts... GL... GT

to dr unken katt 17:51 GMT November 1, 2010
sell usd big time

try to think of another career where memory isnt a proeblem

Surabaya Medallion 17:47 GMT November 1, 2010
sell usd big time

Buy EURCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Dear Lahore FM Sir

Is it still good to Long Eur/CAD? I enter it around 1.4109. The reason I ask is because I forgot to put stop loss at 1.4070 and have put it now. But since it has touched 1.4068, I wonder if this trade still valid? Also for USD/CHF, I also forgot to put my 0.9910 stop loss on my Meta4 but then I will just keep it. Thanks. ^__^

>>Lahore FM 14:25 GMT November 1, 2010
>>i am though bullish gbpusd.not that bullish on eurusd but still >>favour long eurusd for now.

GVI Forex Blog 17:31 GMT November 1, 2010 Reply   
EUR/USD (a 4-hour chart of which is shown) as of Monday (11/01/2010) has been entrenched within a converging consolidation for several weeks now. This consolidation has taken the form of a triangle

EUR/USD Respects 1.4000, Forms Triangle

Lahore FM 17:29 GMT November 1, 2010
urgent

snm your audusd exit is near.don't miss chance.and second time on size it in a way that you can see it whip about a bit and also keep tp a good size if your sl is large.

Lebanon 17:08 GMT November 1, 2010
Buy Gold
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1352 Target: 1390 Stop: 1345

Greetings,

I am long .. any other view ?

Goodluck

Mombasa nsm 17:04 GMT November 1, 2010
urgent

thanks alot guys, your my heroes, guess demo a/c and live a/c are to seperate entities. my 1yr demo experiance seems not upto per.
A bad trading day again i guess for me.

You guys are the best. gt

GVI Forex john 17:03 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

CALENDAR ITEM PREVIEW
Entry: Target: Stop:

Weekly Data Preview by Lloyds TSB

Tuesday


2-Nov-10 3:30 GMT AU RBA Decision Following last week’s tepid Q3 inflation data in Australia, we now expect the RBA to keep its cash policy rate unchanged at 4.5% at Tuesday’s meeting. Nonetheless, the arguments still hold for a 25bp hike and we have pushed our forecast for an interest rate hike from November to December, when the RBA will be in possession of the latest wage data.

Wednesday


3-Nov-10 14:00 GMT U.S. Service PMI The ISM survey should hold up with price pressures remaining low.

3-Nov-10 18:15 GMT U.S. FOMC Decision FOMC meeting on Wednesday. Markets are expecting the Fed to announce upwards of $750bn of additional QE. Failure to do so will lead to unfavourable market shifts. Additionally, QE may not do a huge amount to help the economy in our view; as savers want to save and interest rates are already at rock bottom. But it should help to improve sentiment in the markets and keep down long term rates. Watch out for any changes in the Fed’s language around inflation and whether it thinks it has now done enough and how any QE will be implemented this time round.

Thursday


4-Nov-10 11:00 GMT U.K. Bank of England Policy Decision This week’s UK highlight is Thursday’s Bank of England’s policy decision, when it is widely expected that both Bank Rate and the size of the QE programme will remain unchanged. As in October, however, it is likely that opinions on the MPC remain polarised with Andrew Sentance and Adam Posen again poised to vote in entirely different directions. The policy decision will be consistent with the latest Inflation Report forecasts (due on 11 November) and if the Bank’s outlook for growth has worsened significantly relative to August, the outcome may yet surprise. Our own view is that the BoE will ultimately expand the size of its asset purchase programme, but not before growth shows clearer signs of losing momentum - which may take several months. PMI surveys will provide some guidance on this. October data are set for release early this week and we look for a continuing picture of weaker growth, albeit with manufacturing still outperforming the services sector.

4-Nov-10 11:45 GMT E-Z. European Central Bank Policy Decision In the euro-zone, as in other major economic regions, the focus this week will be on the latest central bank policy meeting. We look for the ECB to keep its main refinancing rate on hold at 1%. An uneventful press conference seems in prospect although questions about an eventual ‘exit strategy’ seem likely with 3-month Euribor now having risen above 1%. In practice, while the ECB will have an eye on a reversal from its current accommodative policy stance, the generous liquidity facilities still in place for banks are a reminder of the fragility associated with the euro-zone economic recovery. Indeed, Mr. Trichet could make reference to a prospective weaker pace of activity in Q3 compared with the healthy 1% quarter-on-quarter pace seen in Q2. Preliminary Q3 GDP figures for the euro area are released on 12 November.

Friday


5-Nov-10 12:30 GMT US Employment Data this week will focus on Friday’s employment numbers, where we look for a rise of nearly 90k in October, as the census-worker driven decline wears off.

Quito Valdez 16:53 GMT November 1, 2010
QE2
Reply   
Lots of QE speculation on the street
Here's some links I've gathered to pass the time til the announcement. If QE fizzles and there is no big economic advantage/benefit resulting say in 3 months, logic would say USD tanks. Another opinion is the failure of QE to do anything has partly been priced in (for wise economists/traders know there's no magic bullet and have not bought USD on that basis).
range of opinions pro & con QE2
Reuters: not optimum: "Quantitative easing is often thought of as reducing the rate risk for the private sector, but it actually only shifts risk, from bondholders to taxpayers": Fed chief Kocherlakota.
FX dealers expetc 500bln-1Trillion in 6month period
Says QE priced in, question is how much $ & time frame/duration

Generally the concensus is basically QE2 will be a fizzle and a huge burden on tax payers to pay off the thing.

I would think that above $500bln and for 6 months as concensus states, means USD support slightly but not much. It USD does rebound north due to mkt euphoria, I personally think it would be for 2-3 months at most as new data comes in that pronounces the thing as a fizzle, then back to reality to USD tanking, AU, Ag rising...likely GBP and EUR stronger vs USD. At that point I would be very careful how you interpret government data for there is a propensity to misrepresent things/stats when the game turns against them.

BERN DS 16:33 GMT November 1, 2010
EURCHF
Reply   
Had a pretty good run for once in this cross... now we went short at 13815, with stops 13865 for an eventual little dip down to 13400 ish again... gl gt to all...

GVI Forex john 16:28 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

CALENDAR ITEM PREVIEW
Entry: Target: Stop:

Reserve Bank of Australia

Meeting: 2-Nov-10- 03:30 GMT

Australia in Graphs

Notes on Charts:

  • CPI pressures appear to be easing.

  • AUD seen as proxy for CNY and China.

  •  Australian manufacturing PMI has broken below 50 (contraction). 

  • Jobs data remain constructive on the economy. 

  • 10-yr up from 4.75% in August to just below 4.25%.

    The RBA in close call between a 25bp hike and not in the 4.50% Cash Rate target. Insiders say they tighten. Our best guess is no move.



Dubai SAS 16:26 GMT November 1, 2010
urgent

That is your decision to make, but too much risk for very little profit is what i can see ... sorry about the terrible use of English in my last post (doing too many things at the time)

Lahore FM 16:26 GMT November 1, 2010
urgent

5 m audusd minor top 0.9885 so look it does not go up and you may get it near your entry to exit.

Lahore FM 16:25 GMT November 1, 2010
urgent

too large a stop nsm and small tp and where i bought for scalp some mins ago.


there can eb a lot of whipping and market might drive higher and stay above your entry till RBA decision tomm and when its RBA time your risk increases manifold as it can go anywhere at all including your stop.so cut it for a few and keep account safe for trading.

to dr unken katt 16:23 GMT November 1, 2010
urgent

relax , the 1macd are still pointing down , u hav time , next time when u enter make sure stochastix on 1hr and 5 min are at 80 % , u enetered when they were at 20 % its its goin up , no more steam

Mombasa nsm 16:17 GMT November 1, 2010
urgent

the trade is as follows
sell: 0.9849
limit: 0.9828
stop: 0.9970

just one last favor dear friends, should i let it run or close it at -250
Thanks

Dubai SAS 16:13 GMT November 1, 2010
urgent

One thing one learns trading over the years is never to over leverage. Don't put on revenge trades and always give yourself more than one chance ... risk management is one of the most important components of trading ... GL

Mombasa nsm 16:08 GMT November 1, 2010
urgent

ol ma previous trades for the last week were in loss, i just wanted to get an opportunity to trade hard and cover my loss hence the current position. Thanks a million guys, any more comments please on the current position. i guess i learnt my lesson the hard way

London SFH 16:05 GMT November 1, 2010
urgent


Sounds like you should cut it down to a size that you are comfortable with....GL/GT

to dr unken katt 16:01 GMT November 1, 2010
urgent

technically loox short , just bounced off the tunnels upper bound

Mombasa nsm 16:01 GMT November 1, 2010
urgent

what of my current short position, should i close it

Quito Valdez 16:00 GMT November 1, 2010
urgent

msm, NEVER jeopardize all your account. Adjust your trade way down. Best to stay flat in everything IMHO til Fed QE2 announcement for that may change a lot of things. And mkt might whip N & S wildly at Fed announcement as scalpers itching to play casino FX try to outguess the real mkt. Only trade what you are really confident in...let the noise & hype just pass by for fools to bite the bait.

Dubai SAS 15:59 GMT November 1, 2010
urgent

Mombasa nsm 15:53 GMT November 1, 2010

Just giving you a heads up on the RBA meeting tom morning .. that can be a big mover for this pair ...

Quito Valdez 15:53 GMT November 1, 2010
my last post was ref iGVI Forex Blog 15:36 GMT November 1, 2010 post below..sorry.

Mombasa nsm 15:53 GMT November 1, 2010
urgent
Reply   
Sell AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

guys i really need your help nw, i just entered a large sell with my tp at 0.9828 above the 50emv. is it viable coz i might lose all my equity,

Quito Valdez 15:50 GMT November 1, 2010
John, betcha that's another reason money could be slipping out of CHF's safehouse - if indications globally are better, more risk appetite, less safehousing. But prec metals are still supported. If SNB "adjusts" as said below, do you think that'll support prec metals yet more?

Is FX now becoming more fundamental & less technical?

to dr unken katt 15:48 GMT November 1, 2010
Long Euro

the diagonal at 3860 is better entr y, owever if it crax then euro may fall down to 3766 old supp line

GVI Forex Blog 15:36 GMT November 1, 2010 Reply   
Strong manufacturing data from around the globe sent equities higher this morning. In the Asia session, October PMI data from India and China was very strong, and a raft of European PMI readings were also better than expected.

Forex Blog - US Market Update (TTN)

GVI Forex john 15:33 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

AS- good point. I'm not sure when the inflation will hit. Somehow I think the Fed may be behind the curve.

Quito Valdez 15:33 GMT November 1, 2010
Why is CHF so weak?

Tks, I wondered when SNB would finally resolce the safehouse delima...actually I figured it would happen before this for Frank can't be allowed to gain forever in the ongoing cncy wars...afterall, eveyone else is doing it why not SNB? Otherwise who'd visit Zermat for ski season or go buy a Mont Blanc write stick or Rolex, LOL

Dubai SAS 15:24 GMT November 1, 2010
Long Euro
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.3880 Target: Open Stop: 50-70 pips

Long & mind stops for now

London Mick 15:24 GMT November 1, 2010
eurusd

Long eurusd not working out and I won"t be one to post some of what I had to do to limit the damage and recover some of the loss by trading on US data. My instincts said this was a foolish day to trade and it proved to be right. Trust your instincts.

PAR 15:18 GMT November 1, 2010
Why is CHF so weak?

Switzerland thinking about currency controls to stop the unbearable strength of the Swiss Franc. Remember Switserland is one of the few countries that actually applied negative interest rates.

Chicago TT 15:07 GMT November 1, 2010
eur
Reply   
For 1.3735 to 1.4011

1.3873 is 50%
1.3840 is 61.8%

Saar KaL 15:06 GMT November 1, 2010
Short Oil Long USDCAD
Reply   
Oil Seems on dive way
USDCAD Long till 1.0330

Quito Valdez 14:54 GMT November 1, 2010
Why is CHF so weak?
Reply   
Why is CHF so weak lately? Cncy war? Has SNB done something I don't know about? If I was SNB I WOULD devalue a bit vs majors.

Belgrade AS 14:54 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

not sure what it's worth John... let's assume corporate america completely hedged the surge of commodity prices(not even sure it can be done!),but that would only postpone the transfer of raw material and energy costs into final(consumer)products....now,i'm no expert on business cycles,but 6-9 months seem reasonable for energy or raw material bought today to hit supermarket shelves...at the same time that same period is way too short to turn such a big boat around(us economy)...while printing at least 100 Bil/month of new money at the same time.

GVI Forex Blog 14:45 GMT November 1, 2010 Reply   

Silver Touches New High Ahead of Eventful Week

GVI Forex Blog 14:44 GMT November 1, 2010 Reply   

Chinese Manufacturing Data Pressures Greenback

jkt-aye 14:42 GMT November 1, 2010
sell usd big time

FM ... as always i highly appreciated your insight.

btw at this occasion i wanna thanks to all the prayer for indonesia. i do believe helping others will bring us more happiness. GBU

GVI Forex john 14:36 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

CALENDAR
Entry: Target: Stop:

Nov 1 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS:
On Tuesday:

  • Far East: Japan will see the latest BOJ minutes. Also its a close call on whether the RBA hikes rates or not.
  • Europe: EZ mfg PMI, Swiss Retail Sales.
  • North America: no major data.
Updated: Trading Events Calendar


Lahore FM 14:29 GMT November 1, 2010
sell usd big time

fs,that's very kind words..thank you!

to dr unken katt 14:29 GMT November 1, 2010
euro
Reply   
another opportunity to buy cheaper euro

kl fs 14:27 GMT November 1, 2010
sell usd big time

you deserve our respects Sir, yes we know that no one is perfect but your call is mostly 90% right, for the 10% there is a stop loss and that is good enough :)

Lahore FM 14:25 GMT November 1, 2010
sell usd big time

aye,my view carries no significance.what market does is the real thing.

i am though bullish gbpusd.not that bullish on eurusd but still favour long eurusd for now.

Lahore FM 14:23 GMT November 1, 2010
Trade Ideas

interesting ISM data,looks the ship is turning.hopefully there would be no iceburgs ahead.

jkt-aye 14:22 GMT November 1, 2010
sell usd big time

jkt-aye 04:35 GMT November 1, 2010
confused: Reply
short cable 1.6060 sl 1.6110 tp 1.5860, will it works ?
i'm on it
----------

as FS mention abt FM view's, i've to lower my sl at b/e.
so i can leave it to the market now. gtgl

Lahore FM 14:21 GMT November 1, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell USDCHF
Entry: 0.9840 Target: 0.9650 Stop: 0.9910

11/01/2010 06:30:55 FM Lahore 13

Sell USDCHF
Entry: 0.9840 bid short order Target: 0.9650 Stop: 0.9910**
double mistake.hopefully the post and trade will work this time.
--
stopped out for minus 70.

GVI Forex Blog 14:19 GMT November 1, 2010 Reply   
Major central bank week Fed and BoJ expanded to ease policy China warns on "currency war" U.S. political drama

Forex Market Commentary and Analysis (1 November 2010)

GVI Forex john 14:09 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



ECONOMIC DATA CHART
Entry: Target: Stop:

U.S. economy turning?

GVI Forex john 14:04 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

AS- fwiw its the core-PCE (personal consumption expenditures) index, not the CPI.

GVI Forex john 14:02 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

ISM Mfg PMI 56.9 vs 54.0 expected.

GVI Forex john 13:59 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Consensus forecast for ISM PMI should be 54.0 not what we have on the calendar

GVI Forex john 13:52 GMT November 1, 2010
Japanese Yen / Currency Controls

Par - Interesting possibility, but i think the G7/G20 would raise quite a stink if Tokyo tries.

kl fs 13:46 GMT November 1, 2010
Japanese Yen / Currency Controls

LOL, blame the chinese

PAR 13:44 GMT November 1, 2010
Japanese Yen / Currency Controls
Reply   
Japan may consider currency controls to stop the unbearable strength of the japanese yen. Just following the examples of Brasil , South Africa and Korea.

Belgrade AS 13:35 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



cpi=1% ??????!!!!!!!!?????? yeah,right
note:It is calculated by taking the average of changes in price to a basket of goods and services compiled by the U.S. Department of Labor. The goods and services in the basket are weighted according to their perceived importance.

jerusalem kb 13:35 GMT November 1, 2010
buy gbpusd above1.6090
Reply   
Buy GBPUSD
Entry: 1.6095 Target: 1.6173/1.6471 Stop: 1.6040

based on h4(1.6173) daily(1.6471) and weekly charts(1.6845) >
risk is medium & a break below 1.5970 will cancel this order

Perth WTR 13:29 GMT November 1, 2010
buy euro
Reply   
waiting for wave 5 unveiling; daily chart

GVI Forex john 13:03 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Event @ 14:00 GMT
U.S.Purchasing Managers Index – Manufacturing and Service
IMPACT = HIGH

Most major economies have purchasing managers indices (PMI) released monthly. They are compiled by various organizations. Some focus on the manufacturing sector while others measure the service sector. They are a very current measure of the economic health of the manufacturing or services sector. The PMI indices are usually based on five major indicators: new orders, inventory levels, production, supplier deliveries and the employment environment.

A PMI of greater than 50 represents expansion, compared to the previous month. A reading under 50 represents a contraction, while a reading at 50 indicates no change.

We find the PMI indices to be useful predictors of future economic activity.

Construction Spending
IMPACT = MEDIUM

The Construction Spending data is a monthly report that report on the amount of construction spending for home building, which is the major component of the report. In addition to residential spending, the data also tracks spending on government projects and office buildings.

Nazareth Gorj 12:55 GMT November 1, 2010
Another way more safe
Reply   

Entry: same Target: 1.6250 Stop: same

For the fast one

Nazareth Gorj 12:43 GMT November 1, 2010
Gbp is still strong for the big pocket
Reply   
Buy GBPUSD
Entry: 1.6050 Target: 1.6350 Stop: 1.5980

You need time for this one

GVI Forex john 12:40 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



ECONOMIC DATA CHART
Entry: Target: Stop:

Core CPI is the Fed's preferred inflation measure. Note that it continues to slip lower (red bar)1.2% yy in Sep...

Mombasa nsm 12:29 GMT November 1, 2010
eurusd

Hi amaan, is the sell position valid to open havn broke the 1.3934,

GVI Forex Blog 12:22 GMT November 1, 2010 Reply   
Manufacturing numbers have been in line with estimates.

FX Thoughts for the day : 01-Nov10-2010 - 1220 GMT

GVI Forex john 12:22 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

UPDATED Global-View Trading Events Calendar. Scheduled market-moving items.

GVI Forex john 12:21 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Event @ 12:30 GMT-
U.S. Core PCE price index
Impact = Medium

The Core PCE price index is defined as personal consumption expenditures (PCE) prices excluding food and energy.

IMPACT: Core PCE is said to be the preferred inflation measure of the Fed and therefore is a very significant release in that it can influence policy. It is thought the Fed targets core PCE loosely between 2.0% and 3.0%.


Personal Income
Impact = Medium to High


Personal income is defined as the income that is received by persons from participation in production, from both government and business transfer payments, and from government interest (which is treated like a transfer payment). It is calculated as the sum of wage and salary disbursements, other labor income, proprietors'' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments, rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment, personal dividend income, personal interest income, and transfer payments to persons, less personal contributions for social insurance.

kl fs 12:18 GMT November 1, 2010
eurusd

choose audusd instead, parity is around the corner

GVI Forex john 12:07 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

UPDATED Global-View IMM Futures Points. G-V Forex Spot to Futures Calculator (and back).

Bahrain BAH1 11:54 GMT November 1, 2010
Why is the Japanese Yen Still Rising?
Reply   
Porto Cubriclas 11:46 GMT November 1, 2010
Why is the Japanese Yen Still Rising? : Reply
bAH1 yen keeps rising because BOJ has its biggest intervention prepared at 79.77/79.82
gt & gl

Yeh every one is waiting for that lvl to c what will happened there. GL

Surabaya Medallion 11:47 GMT November 1, 2010
sell usd big time

100% agree! Cheers... "__^

>>kl fs 11:44 GMT November 1, 2010
>>sell usd big time: Reply
>>when we have traders such as Lahore FM expressed a clear >>view re. selling usd, you don't think twice, pick your spot and >>ride with them

Porto Cubriclas 11:46 GMT November 1, 2010
Why is the Japanese Yen Still Rising?

bAH1 yen keeps rising because BOJ has its biggest intervention prepared at 79.77/79.82
gt & gl

kl fs 11:44 GMT November 1, 2010
sell usd big time
Reply   
when we have traders such as Lahore FM expressed a clear view re. selling usd, you don't think twice, pick your spot and ride with them

GVI Forex Jay 11:43 GMT November 1, 2010
What's the Buzz

Due to clock changes, this week sees an extra hour of trading between US-Europe/London. This takes the market out of its normal time rhythm and should be accounted for in your trading.

GVI Forex john 11:29 GMT November 1, 2010
What's the Buzz?

Partial Holiday today (All Saints Day) in several European centers and elsewhere. U.S. is fully open.

Bahrain BAH1 11:20 GMT November 1, 2010
Why is the Japanese Yen Still Rising?
Reply   
USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

Why is the Japanese Yen Still Rising?

http://www.forexblog.org/2010/10/why-is-the-japanese-yen-still-rising.html

London SFH 11:14 GMT November 1, 2010
What's the Buzz?

JP

My best guestimate would be 100bln per month with initial target amt of 500-600bln

Mtl JP 10:57 GMT November 1, 2010
What's the Buzz?

re FOMC: what is the latest discounted consensus expectation for QE II ?

London Mick 10:54 GMT November 1, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.3945-50 Target: 1.3980-00 Stop: 1.3928

Day trade order

Gen dk 10:37 GMT November 1, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

London HC 10:37 GMT November 1, 2010
Not a day for larrge wagers
Reply   
This day is more about holiday liquidity and late position adjusting ahead of tomorrow's US elections and Wednesday's Fed decision. Large players will not be making large wagers today.

GVI Forex john 10:29 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



ECONOMIC DATA CHART
Entry: Target: Stop:

Earlier Australian PMI improved but still sub-50...

GVI Forex Blog 10:24 GMT November 1, 2010 Reply   
The week will be dominated by the Mid-term elections and the FOMC meeting on Wednesday. Markets are expecting the Fed to announce upwards of $750bn of additional QE. Failure to do so will lead to unfavourable market shifts. Additionally

Economics Weekly - Markets poised for action from the Fed...

Mombasa nsm 10:20 GMT November 1, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Hello again, do you think a cls above 1.4020 will signify an resumnig the upward trend with first target at 1.4250?

Thanks for the posts till nw, i'm actually new to forex n you guys are really helping us out.

GVI Forex Blog 10:04 GMT November 1, 2010 Reply   
The USD initially recovered from its soft tone in Asian and was briefly in positive territory against the major European pairs but the rising risk appetite sentiment continued to be a headwind for any significant dollar momentum. Nonetheless the USD was

European Market Update: Peripheral price action diverges in session; GBP benefits from better PMI Manufacturing reading (TTN)

GVI Forex Blog 10:01 GMT November 1, 2010 Reply   
The dollar fell against a basket of currencies on Monday ahead of expected further U.S. monetary easing, slipping back towards a 15-year low versus the yen after an apparently erroneous spike triggered intervention jitters.

FOREX NEWS - Dollar falls as market prepares for Fed easing

Hong Kong 09:56 GMT November 1, 2010
Support, Resistance and Range Forecast - AceTrader
Reply   
INTRA-DAY USD/JPY:

Last Update At 01 Nov 2010 08:07 GMT

Range Forecast
80.40 / 80.80

Resistance/Support
R: 80.87 / 81.08 / 81.60
S: 80.21 / 80.00 / 79.75

-------------------------

INTRA-DAY EUR/USD:

Last Update At 01 Nov 2010 09:24 GMT

Range Forecast
1.3980 / 1.4010

Resistance/Support
R: 1.4012/1.4051/1.4080
S: 1.3946/1.3910/1.3894

--------------------------

INTRA-DAY USD/CHF:

Last Update At 01 Nov 2010 09:34 GMT

Range Forecast
0.9830 / 0.9860


Resistance/Support
R: 0.9890/0.9911/0.9930
S: 0.9838/0.9813/0.9804

---------------------------

INTRA-DAY GBP/USD:

Last Update At 01 Nov 2010 09:29 GMT

Range Forecast
1.6060 / 1.6100


Resistance/Support
R: 1.6094/1.6108/1.6125
S: 1.6021/1.5995/1.5979

http://www.acetraderfx.com

tokyo rana 09:47 GMT November 1, 2010
Trade Ideas

Lahore FM 09:43 GMT November 1, 2010
dear brother,you know better ofcourse...ilike short gbp im comfortable at this level shorting gbp...good luck,happy trade,

GVI Forex john 09:45 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



ECONOMIC DATA CHART
Entry: Target: Stop:

Earlier: Chinese PMI improved..

Lahore FM 09:43 GMT November 1, 2010
Trade Ideas

i am long 1.5712 and am looking for 1.66 Rana.small ups and downs are not my main concern in any case but just the daily trend which is renewed recently.

GVI Forex john 09:43 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



ECONOMIC DATA CHART
Entry: Target: Stop:

UK PMIs turning up?

tokyo rana 09:41 GMT November 1, 2010
Trade Ideas

Lahore FM 09:38 GMT November 1, 2010
dear brother,sorry imiss take it is not 61%....but ithink its hard for gbpusd sustain trading above 1.61....happy trade,

Lahore FM 09:40 GMT November 1, 2010
Trade Ideas

the blast eurusd and gbpusd started having friday,continues.

there is a hint that qe2 will be taken in stride and the two pairs will keep doing what they have been doing before....rise!

Lahore FM 09:38 GMT November 1, 2010
Trade Ideas

nsm it is intact,


Cheers bro Rana!

GVI Forex john 09:33 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Global-View Market Tracker updated. Twice daily survey of a broad range of markets.

GVI Forex john 09:33 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Global-View Chart Gallery updated. A large selection of updated forex, interest rate and equity charts.

tokyo rana 09:32 GMT November 1, 2010
jpy

Lahore FM 09:26 GMT November 1, 2010
dear friend,im sorry about my poor view...but im iwill remain short untill daily close 1.613...ithink gbpusd will go down 1.61 is 61% fib of 1.00/2.10 and ithink best area for short....happy trade,

Mombasa nsm 09:31 GMT November 1, 2010
GBP

i let it pass, thanks pal.

GVI Forex john 09:30 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

UK mfg PMI 54.9 stronger than forecast

Dubai SAS 09:30 GMT November 1, 2010
GBP

Hope u dint short it ...

Mombasa nsm 09:28 GMT November 1, 2010
Trade Ideas

@ lahore Fm Hi pal, thanks for the updates. is the usd/chf sell position intact?

Lahore FM 09:26 GMT November 1, 2010
jpy

Rana dear,one such advice about gbpusd i have seen rot badly two days back elsewhere.

also there are no rules of thumb...that's the main rule of thumb!

GVI Forex john 09:24 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

DAILY FOREX VIEW
Entry: Target: Stop:


The Daily Forex View

Active Week in Store

10:00 GMT (Global-View.com) Nov 1- The is week is shaping up to be a major period for market moving events. The week ahead is shaping up to be a major 

MORE



tokyo rana 09:24 GMT November 1, 2010
jpy

when ever see gbp cad and usd at high donot wait to press short button....

Mombasa nsm 09:21 GMT November 1, 2010
GBP

confused: stochastic pop n macd show a sell entry at current position with a stop at 1.6081, tp 1.5971 (new resistance). is it a safe trade?

PAR 09:09 GMT November 1, 2010
USDJPY - Mizuho
Reply   
Comment: As if nerves weren’t frayed enough already, a systems problem today in Tokyo sent dollar/yen soaring from 80.44 to 81.60 within a minutes, having hit a new multi-year low at 80.21 when the market opened in Asia. This has created another potential ‘spike high’ against immediate trendline resistance, which in theory ought to help set up for a test of the all-time low at 79.75. With opinion turning towards accepting that a weak dollar would be in the US’s best interest, we remind: be careful what you wish for. The lowest ever monthly close suggest a slide is almost inevitable.
Strategy: Attempt small shorts at 80.55/80.80; stop above 81.15. First target 80.00/79.75.

Dubai SAS 09:06 GMT November 1, 2010
GBP

Dubai SAS 15:24 GMT October 29, 2010
Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.6008 Target: Open Stop: 1.6035
Short small here ....
Stopped on this earlier @ 1.6045 for - 37 ...

Lahore FM 09:05 GMT November 1, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy OTHER
Entry: 8.1384 Target: Stop: 8.0300 non rigid for all

loaded back eurnok longs that had been cut in 1/3rd portion at 8.22.

tokyo rana 09:04 GMT November 1, 2010
jpy

ithink aud and eur will rise still in usa session....happy trade,

hillegom purk 08:55 GMT November 1, 2010
KaL's Trend and Level

You take what back Kal? I just see that a big correction is not in for this year, but would relly be a nice surprise, because the ranges will get fabulous and good for many pips. Me think Richard is pakyed out, and leaves it to the other ghosts... Cheers mate!

Hong Kong 08:53 GMT November 1, 2010
AUD/USD Intra-day signal by AceTrader
Reply   
AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

INTRADAY TRADING SIGNAL BY ACETRADER.COM: AUD/USD

AUD/USD : 0.9890

Last Update At 01 Nov 2010 07:00 GMT

Although aussie has eased after intra-day rally
fm 0.09814 to 0.9908 n sideawys trading wud be seen
pullback wud be ltd to 0.9860/65 n yield resumption
of upmove fm last week's low of 0.9651 twds 0.9927
later b4 correction due to loss of momentum.

Buy on dips for this move n only below 0.9814
wud signal aforesaid rise has made a top.


Range Forecast
0.9870 / 0.9908

Resistance/Support
R: 0.9908/0.9927/0.9975
S: 0.9840/0.9814/0.9789

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Saar KaL 08:49 GMT November 1, 2010
KaL's Trend and Level

I take it Back Purk
This level for the eurusd is bad
==========

Will Long USDJPY Intraday at 80.17
Now short

hillegom purk 08:45 GMT November 1, 2010
KaL's Trend and Level

KaL, a few weeks ago i thought that we where going to see a rally towards the high of the year. At the moment i just think that we will see a Yo Yo for the rest of the year. Cheers, and play that guitar man...!

Saar KaL 08:43 GMT November 1, 2010
KaL's Trend and Level

Longer Term
IMO The Long Term Traders are closing EURUSD
Maybe a big correction is near
when they start...they start
maybe 123 is possible
Very dangerous levels here 1.40ish

jkt-aye 08:41 GMT November 1, 2010
confused

Kal and George ... many thanks for the insight. gtgl

Saar KaL 08:38 GMT November 1, 2010
KaL's Trend and Level

small short Dax and FTSE here
against the trend...heheheh

Saar KaL 08:26 GMT November 1, 2010
KaL's Trend and Level

added more SP500
gold silver and EURUSD and AUDUSD short here

Amman wfakhoury 08:23 GMT November 1, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
Taro
-----
eurusd magnatic level 13934 magnatic field 13984.
eurusd need to touch again 13902.
also if breaks 13934 will go down 100 pips.

Montréal Taro 07:49 GMT November 1, 2010
euro
Reply   
wfakhoury
Would you share your opinion about euro direction for the coming hours ?

TIA

Syd 07:41 GMT November 1, 2010
Krispy Kreme Australia Enters Voluntary Administration; Cites Poor Performing Stores
Reply   
Dow Jones)--Krispy Kreme Australia, owner of the iconic American donut chain in Australia and New Zealand, has entered voluntary administration after a number of underperforming stores left the Australian business at risk of insolvency.
DJ China: Yuan Appreciation Pressure As 'Currency Wars' WorsenChina's Ministry of Commerce said Monday the yuan is facing great appreciation pressures, and that foreign trade will be affected as countries around the world seek to weaken their currencies to stimulate exports.
RBA likely to keep cash rate on hold at 4.50% as expectations of hike still low after hike-camp took hit last week following weaker-than-expected 3Q inflation data; 30-day interbank futures now pricing in just 25% chance of hike, down from above 50% week ago. In a survey of 18 economists by Dow Jones, 12 forecast RBA will keep rates steady Tuesday, rest tip 25 bp hike.

Saar KaL 07:25 GMT November 1, 2010
shorts
Reply   
audusd SHORT
tgt .9867

audcad short
dji and sp 500 short
gold silver as well
for 12 to 15 hrs

Lebanon 07:23 GMT November 1, 2010
EURUSD ---> 1.3880

Thank you ..
Goodluck

Saar KaL 07:21 GMT November 1, 2010
EURUSD ---> 1.3880

day's high 1.4012 for s/l

Lebanon 07:20 GMT November 1, 2010
EURUSD ---> 1.3880

Dear Kal , you use SL for this trade?

Saar KaL 07:17 GMT November 1, 2010
EURUSD ---> 1.3880
Reply   
stright into 1.3880 from here

Hong Kong 06:59 GMT November 1, 2010
USD/JPY Intra-day signal by AceTrader
Reply   
USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

INTRADAY TRADING SIGNAL BY ACETRADER.COM: USD/JPY

USD/JPY : 80.46

Last Update At 01 Nov 2010 05:59 GMT

Dlr has fallen after intra-day brief but strg
rebound fm 80.21 (AUS) to 81.60, suggesting the cor
rection has possibly ended n downside bias is seen
for a re-test of said sup, below wud confirm MT
downtrend has once again resumed, 80.00 n 79.75.


Sell on recovery with stop as indicated, break
wud prolong choppy trading n risk 81.10/20 b4 down.

Range Forecast
80.40 / 80.80

Resistance/Support
R: 81.60 / 81.99 / 82.38
S: 80.21 / 80.00 / 79.75

http://www.acetraderfx.com

tokyo rana 06:57 GMT November 1, 2010
sell usdjpy

out look from some other site not my words...

The 12 month forecast for the Japanese Yen is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting that the exchange rate for the Japanese Yen will be
roughly 80.03 Japanese Yens to the USD. The table shows a HDTFA of 8.04
which suggests that the October, 2011 currency exchange rate could easily fall
between 88.06 and 71.99 JPY/USD. Links to Forecasts for fourteen other
currencies may be found on the left side of this page.

All data and calculations on this page are based on the average daily rate per
calendar month for JPY/USD

HISTORICAL EXCHANGE RATE SUMMARY: JPY/USD
Average (Last 12 Months) 89.00
Average (Last 10 Years) 110.46
High (Last 12 Months) 93.45 (March, 2010)
Low (Last 12 Months) 83.36 (September, 2010)
High (Since January, 1971) 358.02 (December, 1970)
Low (Since January, 1971) 83.36 (September,

The Japanese Yen exchange rate for September, 2010 averaged 83.36 JPY to
USD. That's 99.7 basis points lower than the August, 2010 rate of 84.36, and
701 basis points lower than the September, 2009 rate of 90.37. The fall in the
JPY/USD exchange rate from August to September provides evidence that the
short term trend in JPY/USD is down. In other words, a weakening of the US
Dollar against the Japanese Yen in the short term. If that trend continues in the
currency market, we should see an average daily rate in October, 2010 that is
close to 82.36.

The average Japanese Yen conversion rate over the last 12 months was 89.00.
The average rate over the last 10 years was 110.46. A lower Japanese Yens to
US Dollars exchange rate over the last 12 months compared to the average
currency rates over the last 10 years serve as an indicator that the long term
rate trend in JPY/USD is down (weakening US Dollar against the Japanese Yen).

The highest currency rate for JPY/USD over the last 12 months was 93.45. The
lowest was 83.36. The market high was attained in March, 2010. The market
low was achieved in September, 2010.

ForecastChart.com's historical research covers Japanese Yen data back to
January, 1971. The average exchange value during that period of history was
172.64 JPY/USD. The highest rate was 358.02. The lowest was 83.36. The
market high was attained in December, of 1970. The market low was achieved
in September of 2010. Recent rates experienced in September of 2010 are low
relative to the historical 172.64 average.

This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Japanese Yen. For
links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart (above).
One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term graph on the
Japanese Yen. Just one glance at our long term charts can provide tremendous
insight into the historical trends of the financial markets. The table above
presents additional historical information on the Japanese Yen. Rate data is
presented on an annual basis.

tokyo rana 06:47 GMT November 1, 2010
sell usdjpy

NG Cfanfx 06:39 GMT November 1, 2010
dear friend,look this mizho bank this Q out look...

Comment: Repeated testing of key support for dollar/yen around 85.00, including intervention at 83.00 that we had warned of, but nevertheless it looks set to re-test the record low of 79.75 (April 1995) in the final quarter of 2010. Against generalised US dollar weakness the Japanese authorities have little room for manoeuvre and little sympathy in the race to the bottom of the FX pile. Bearish momentum is strong, though much less so than 1999 and 2009’s extremes, and the greenback is only just oversold. With 87.00 being the current very long term mean regression level, the yen is not ‘expensive’ at this historically low exchange rate. More problematic is its level against other Asian currencies where yes, it is at or over one standard deviation below the long term means, at the lower edge of broad trading bands. Over the next six weeks or so we favour a sharp drop to 80.00, followed by some consolidation between here and 85.00 until year-end. As always though a massive wipe-out, with a drop as low as 73.50 cannot be ruled out. Interestingly consensus opinion is for a weaker dollar/yen – as it has been doing for three years.
A weekly close above 86.00 postpones all of the above, hinting that an interim low is in place.

Lahore FM 06:39 GMT November 1, 2010
Trade Ideas

cheers Medallion!

NG Cfanfx 06:39 GMT November 1, 2010
sell usdjpy

USDJPY @ 73 IS DISASTROUS TO MY RECENT POSITION. PLEASE STP THIS JOKE.

Surabaya Medallion 06:36 GMT November 1, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell USDCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

Dear Lahore FM Sir

It is okay now. Thanks for the correction... ^__^

Surabaya Medallion 06:35 GMT November 1, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell USDCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

Dear Lahore FM Sir

The stop, should not it be like 0.9910 since we want to short USD and buy CHF? Thanks. ^__^

>>Lahore FM 06:29 GMT November 1, 2010
>>Trade Ideas: Reply
>>Sell USDCHF
>>Entry: 0.9840 bid short order Target: 0.9650* Stop: 0.9710*
>>
>>correction*

Lahore FM 06:30 GMT November 1, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell USDCHF
Entry: 0.9840 bid short order Target: 0.9650 Stop: 0.9910**

double mistake.hopefully the post and trade will work this time.

Lahore FM 06:29 GMT November 1, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell USDCHF
Entry: 0.9840 bid short order Target: 0.9650* Stop: 0.9710*

correction*

Lahore FM 06:28 GMT November 1, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell USDCHF
Entry: 0.9840 bid short order Target: 0.9710 Stop: 0.9650

placed orders.

tokyo rana 06:21 GMT November 1, 2010
jpy
Reply   
Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 1.003pending if seen Target: 0.9785 Stop: 1.007

happy trade,

tokyo rana 05:55 GMT November 1, 2010
sell usdjpy

iwill buy usdjpy 73 if seen iwill buy as much i can....happy trade,

tokyo rana 05:53 GMT November 1, 2010
sell usdjpy

kl fs 05:50 GMT November 1, 2010
dear friend,idonot think go below 73 yen 73 very very strong area wat ever.....happy trade,

kl fs 05:50 GMT November 1, 2010
sell usdjpy

nah, nothing to worry about it, once below 1995 then it will just keep going lower 73 and then 65, BOJ/MOF is not going to be successful

dallas 05:39 GMT November 1, 2010
Arbitrage trading tool
Reply   
I am designing software which will act as a trading tool for traders, trading on any platform and any instrument (stocks, forex, commodities). Some of the features are listed below. I would like to gauge a sense of its demand before I launch it publicly and any input anyone may have. I am doing an early launch with basic functionality so I can fund the additional enhancement on the system (some listed below)

1) can read data of the screen and compare between two platforms and place trades automatically to capture arbitrage and spread trading opportunities. NO API NEEDED (finished)
2) NO API connection or back end software integration needed to read data of your broker’s platform and then place trade on their system (finished)
3) automates traders movement on the screen to place trades automatically when trader defined basic parameters are met (finished) (advanced algorithm based parameters still in progress awaiting additional funding)
4) ability to setup invisible stops limits, place stops in the tool instead of brokers platform, and when price is met, the software will place trade on the brokers platform (finished)
5) communicate data of your actions (buy/sell signals) to multiple traders (using this platform) simultaneously so they can follow your actions on their platform. (work in progress-awaiting additional funding)
6) if you are a recipient of another traders buy/sell signals, you can automate the action to place trade on your platform as simultaneously as you receive the signal and reduce reaction time. (work in progress-awaiting additional funding)
7) Advanced algorithm in simple language (work in progress-awaiting additional funding)

I can post a video of the system in action (comparing rates between two forex brokers and then placing a trade between them to capture arbitrage opportunities). System is ready enough to place trades on arbitrage opportunities (I will post vdo shortly), trader defined stops limits. System will work on any platform and any instruments, including stocks, commodities futures (and capture spreads and arbitrage between them, faster than any human can)

tokyo rana 05:38 GMT November 1, 2010
sell usdjpy

kl fs 05:35 GMT November 1, 2010
dear friend,so far yes every time coming down very very hard but once go below 1995 than careful...happy trade,

kl fs 05:35 GMT November 1, 2010
sell usdjpy
Reply   
keep it simple, whenever you see a jump or spike in usdjpy, just press the sell button, it will come down to the starting line and even lower within a few hours, this pair has no chance of meaningful recovery, that's the game plan, it is like a continuous money slot machine for sellers, enjoy the game

tokyo rana 05:26 GMT November 1, 2010
jpy!
Reply   
Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.606 Target: open Stop: 1.6130now

short more............happy trade,

Syd 05:12 GMT November 1, 2010
China: Inflation Pressures On The Rise In Emerging Markets
Reply   
China: Yuan Pressures Partly From Competitive Depreciation Of Other Currencies
Australia’s house price growth slowed to a crawl in the three months to September, amid higher interest rates and worsening affordability.The weighted average of eight capital cities rose just 0.1 per cent in the third quarter, following a downwardly revised 2 per cent increase in the second quarter, the weakest since the March 2009 quarter.

Retailers call for GST on overseas sales
STRUGGLING retailers want to spoil consumers' post-GFC party and put a tax on overseas spending.
With new research showing half of all Australians now shop online overseas, retailers have approached the Federal Government to wind back the GST threshold on overseas goods from $1000 to $400 or even abolish the limit altogether.
Hardest hit by the online shopping boom have been sporting goods, books and music retailers who compete against sites that operate on low margins and provide free worldwide delivery.A spokesman for the Assistant Treasurer, Bill Shorten, said the Board of Taxation had reviewed the application of GST to cross-border transactions after a request.
The board found that it is not administratively feasible to apply the GST to low value goods - that is, goods worth less than $1000 - that are imported from overseas," the spokesman said. "However . . . it deserves serious examination.news.com.au




Nazareth GEORGE 05:05 GMT November 1, 2010
confused

If a trader want to short pound better from 1.6090 and it is better to be satisfied with 50pips, because the price movment this morning is very $ bearish. I see 1.6250 coming after 1.6090 and a short pull down then after expect 1.6250. If you invest for longer time expect 1.6350 chance will come . At 1.6250 will be a price drop maybe down until 1.6090. Later up maybe 1.6350.

Saar KaL 04:57 GMT November 1, 2010
confused

Looks like 1.5950 in 12 hrs
gl

jkt-aye 04:35 GMT November 1, 2010
confused
Reply   
short cable 1.6060 sl 1.6110 tp 1.5860, will it works ?
i'm on it

Saar KaL 03:44 GMT November 1, 2010
KaL's Trend and Level

sold usdjpy here
adding with every 10 pips

tokyo rana 03:42 GMT November 1, 2010
yen

sorry correction....s&p going up so usd pairs again north in north america session careful short audusd and eurusd....happy trade,

tokyo rana 03:39 GMT November 1, 2010
yen

s&p going up so usd again north in north america session careful short audusd and eurusd....happy trade,

GVI Forex Blog 03:37 GMT November 1, 2010 Reply   
On friday US market closed flat with Dow at 11,118 and S&P 500 at 1,183.

Morning Briefing : 01-Nov-2010 -0345 GMT

Syd 02:48 GMT November 1, 2010
China May Raise Mortgage Rates For Second-Home Buyers - Report
Reply   
China may raise the minimum mortgage rate for second-home purchases to 1.7 times benchmark interest rates as part of efforts to cool the overheating property market, the 21st Century Business Herald reported Monday, citing unnamed sources.

In April, the government set a minimum mortgage rate on second-home purchases of 1.1 times benchmark rates.

Separately, the China Business News cited an unnamed source at the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development as saying the government will tighten scrutiny of middlemen in property transactions in a crackdown on under-reporting of deals by agents to evade taxes.

In other moves to stabilize the property market, Beijing ordered in late September a nationwide halt to lending for third mortgages, raised the minimum down payment for all first-time home buyers, and penalized developers who hoard land.
http://www.21cbh.com, www.yicai.com

Syd 01:52 GMT November 1, 2010
DJ Strong China PMI Leaves Room For Tightening -BOAML
Reply   
The strong reading on China's official October PMI, up at 54.7 from 53.8 in September, "suggests that domestic demand is quite robust," says Bank of America-Merrill Lynch economist Lu Ting. Overall output increased even as new export orders fell slightly, Lu says, suggesting that domestic orders saw a big boost. Lu says the strong reading gives policymakers "more room" to allow yuan appreciation; notes still small chance of rate hike this year

to dr unken katt 01:19 GMT November 1, 2010
yen
Reply   
USD/JPY was pressured down to 80.60 after a very brief peak at 81.54. EUR/JPY retreated towards 112.50 following a jump to 113.28, GBP/JPY trades at 129.30 after giving up 130.00 area. AUD/JPY trekked above 80.00 but replicated other pair's behavior by retracing to 79.30.

Either it was an error, a spoof by a big fund or varies factors that subsided the move, brokers and institutional banks have so far not given any clue, nor the BoJ has stated any official note on a possible intervention

Hong Kong 01:17 GMT November 1, 2010
Daily FX Market Outlook by AceTrader-1-11-2010
Reply   
Market Review - 29/10/2010 21:11 GMT

Dollar falls to a fresh 15-year low against yen on Fed easing expectations


The greenback weakened to a fresh 15-year low against yen on Friday as lackluster U.S. GDP data reinforced market's speculation that U.S. Fed would ease monetary policy further to support the economic recovery at next week's FOMC meeting on Wednesday.

Dlr/yen fell from 81.08 to 80.53 in Asia on risk aversion together with cross-buying in yen (eur/jpy, gbp/jpy and aud/jpy tumbled from 112.99 to 111.53, 129.29 to 128.01 and 79.32 to 78.20 respectively). Later, the pair fell again after a minor recovery and extended its intra-day decline after the release of U.S. GDP data for Q3 (which expanded by a 2.0% annual rate as expected). Dollar eventually penetrated Monday's low of 80.41 to a fresh 15-year low of 80.37 ahead of NY closing.

The single currency initially extended Wednesday's rise fm 1.3734 to 1.3952 in Australia, however, price quickly fell at Asian opening on profit-taking as well as heavy cross selling versus yen, euro then tanked to an intra-day low of 1.3807 in Europe after the release of weaker-than-expected German retail sales (which fell by 2.3% in September versus the forecast of an increase of 0.5%). However, the pair rebounded strongly on renewed risk appetite (the 3 commodity currencies - aud, nzd and cad and gold also rallied) in U.S. session and climbed back to 1.3947 near NY closing.

Euro was also supported by U.S. GDP for Q3 (GDP deflator was 2.2% vs forecast of 1.9%) and stronger-than-expected U.S. Chicago PMI data which came in at 60.6 versus expectation of 58.0.

Although the British pound dropped to 1.5877 in tandem with euro in London morning trading following Thursday's rally to 1.5979, sterling rebounded strongly and later penetrated 1.6000 level to as high as 1.6047 ahead of NY closing on dollar's weakness together with cross buying in sterling versus euro (eur/gbp fell sharply from 0.8740 to 0.8670)

Economic data to be released next week include:

Australia House price index, Swiss PM, U.K. Hometrack Housing, PMI manufacturing , U.S. PCE core, PCE index , Personal income, Personal spending, ISM manufacturing, Construction spending on Monday, Australia RBA rate decision, Swiss Retail sales, Germany Manufacturing PMI, EU Manufacturing PMI, PMI construction on Tuesday, U.K. BRC Shop Price Index , PMI service, U.S. ADP employment, FOMC meets on rates, eco, Durable goods (rev.), ex. Defense (rev.), ex. Transport (rev.), Factory orders, ISM non-manufacturing, Fed rate decision on Wednesday, Swiss CPI, Germany Services PMI, EU Services PMI, PPI, ECB rate decision, U.K. BOE rate decision, U.S. Jobless claims, Labour cost, Productivity, Canada Ivey PMI on Thursday, U.K. PPI core, PPI input, PPI output, EU Retail sales, Germany Industrial prod'n, U.S. Avg. hourly earnings, Non-farm payrolls, Unemployment rate, Pending home sales, Canada Building permits, Employment change, Unemployment rate on Friday.

http://www.acetraderfx.com

tokyo rana 01:14 GMT November 1, 2010
Trade Ideas

Lahore FM 01:02 GMT November 1, 2010
dear brother,good morning,how ru?yes agree cad looks very weak...happy trade,

Lahore FM 01:02 GMT November 1, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy EURCAD
Entry: 1.4225 Target: 1.4700 Stop: 1.4025 tentative non rigid

trade of the month for november

long now.

to dr unken katt 00:58 GMT November 1, 2010
yen
Reply   
LOS ANGELES (MarketWatch) -- The Japanese yen fell sharply against the U.S. dollar as the stock market opened Monday. The U.S. dollar had bought about 80.35 yen earlier in the morning, but jumped briefly above ¥81 following the start of equities trading, easing in later minutes to ¥80.77. The pair had changed hands at ¥80.48 late Friday in North American trading, but remained above the all-time low of ¥79.75 of April 1995

to dr unken katt 00:52 GMT November 1, 2010
yen

boj

GVI Forex Jay 00:47 GMT November 1, 2010
yen

As posted on GVI Forex

Singapore Sfx 00:17 GMT November 1, 2010
ranges: Reply
no confirmations yet - the MOF guy says "no comment" - and there's chatter that it was a mishit ............

tokyo rana 00:45 GMT November 1, 2010
yen

problem is that they can defend or not...

Mtl JP 00:44 GMT November 1, 2010
yen

nothing like rout in USD...
who has to defend 80: Noda or Geithner ?

to dr unken katt 00:38 GMT November 1, 2010
yen
Reply   
not at all , i dont think its over ,
80 level is crucial , they have to defend it

Philadelphia caba 00:28 GMT November 1, 2010
boj

well, maybe just a fat finger? I doubt the timing for boj and other cb's to step in before fomc

to dr unken katt 00:27 GMT November 1, 2010
yen
Reply   
quite lame intervention

dc CB 00:21 GMT November 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Scary-ist of them all.

This Halloween...not the youngsters
It's the oldsters.
Happy Halloween...hope the bedbugs don't bite!

Money Woes Can Be Early Clue to Alzheimer’s

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/10/31/health/healthspecial/31finances.html?pagewanted=1&ref=todayspaper

Philadelphia caba 00:05 GMT November 1, 2010
boj

looks like coordinated..

tokyo ginko 00:02 GMT November 1, 2010
boj
Reply   
can boj win this time?

 




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