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Forex Forum Archive for 02/1/2010

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


GVI Forex Blog 23:53 GMT February 1, 2010 Reply   

Equity Markets Finish Higher on Friendly U.S. Economic Data

GVI Forex Blog 23:53 GMT February 1, 2010 Reply   

Increased Demand for Risk Pressures Dollar

GVI Forex Blog 22:57 GMT February 1, 2010 Reply   
The Canadian dollar strengthened on Monday, rising off a six-week low against the U.S. currency in the overnight session, as data showing a jump in U.S. manufacturing fueled investor appetite for ri

Forex Market News - CANADA FX DEBT-Canada dollar gains as U.S. data lifts confidence

GVI Forex Blog 21:41 GMT February 1, 2010 Reply   
The dollar rose against the yen on Monday, and higher-yielding currencies such as the Australian and New Zealand dollars also gained as data showing manufacturing growth worldwide strengthened optimism about a global economic recovery.

FOREX NEWS-Dollar climbs vs yen; euro gains after 4-day fall

GVI Forex Blog 21:15 GMT February 1, 2010 Reply   
21:00 GMT- Feb 1 (global-view.com) The start of the new month saw buying of shares as new funds were deployed. Forex markets followed the lead of the equity markets. Stock prices were also lifted by a much stronger than expected ISM manufacturing PMI reading for the U.S.

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- Forex Back Following Shares

GVI Forex john 21:11 GMT February 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support


The Daily Forex View

Forex Back Following Shares

21:00 GMT- Feb 1 (global-view.com)  The start of the new month saw buying of shares as new funds were deployed. Forex markets followed the lead of the equity markets. Stock prices were also lifted by a much stronger than expected ISM manufacturing PMI reading for the U.S.

MORE...

Syd 20:32 GMT February 1, 2010
Data Might Show Record Short Euro Bets - BBH
Reply   
The Commitment of Traders at the International Monetary Market shows a jump in long-dollar exposure among speculators, says Marc Chandler, global head of foreign exchange at Brown Brothers Harriman. "Through last Tuesday (Jan 26), the net short euro position had been extended to almost 40k contracts from 25.3k the previous week," he writes in a note to clients. Given that, "it would not be surprising if this week's data showed a record net short euro positions."

Wall Street 20:21 GMT February 1, 2010
hi

Shaun- sorry so slow to reply. but thanks for the info! very helpful...

GVI Forex Blog 20:02 GMT February 1, 2010 Reply   
EUR follows U.S. equities higher Strong U.S. PMI data China experiencing "boom time" BoE to pause on bond buys?

Forex Market Commentary and Analysis (1 February 2010)

GVI Forex Blog 19:48 GMT February 1, 2010 Reply   
US equities rebounded yesterday, after a two-week battering, helping commodities and risky currencies do the same.

Forex Research - Morning Report

Gen dk 19:18 GMT February 1, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

tokyo rana 19:13 GMT February 1, 2010
see this
Reply   
JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:


Fundamental Forecast for Japanese Yen: Bullish


Japan’s Merchandise Trade Balance surplus expanded to 545.3 billion yen in December, up from a revised 371.3 billion in the previous month as exports grew at an annual pace of 12.1%, the first gain in 15 months and the largest one since October 2007. Cross-border sales have steadily improved since bottoming at a decade low in January 2009 as the world’s governments spent close to $2 trillion on fiscal stimulus, boosting overseas demand for Japanese goods. However, it is important to consider that year-on-year comparisons were invariably going to turn sharply positive assuming anything less severe than continued freefall in exports when sized up against the record-setting collapse in late 2008. Indeed, looking past the headline figure reveals that shipments have actually recovered less than half of the drop from the peak in March 2008.

tokyo rana 18:50 GMT February 1, 2010
hi

gbpjpy
Entry: Target: Stop:

thanx for message again...so you mean tomorrow come down possible?regards...

tokyo rana 18:48 GMT February 1, 2010
hi

thanx for message again...so you tomorrow come down possible?regards...

nyc ws 18:40 GMT February 1, 2010
hi

Rana. If you tell me where stocks will close today and trade tomorrow I will give you an idea about gbpjpy. It is simple as that today. It may be different tomorrow but today the fx mkt and stocks are closely linked.

tokyo rana 18:30 GMT February 1, 2010
hi

gbpjpy
Entry: Target: Stop:

thanx for message....but i sold at 144.222yen...very bad shot u mean?idonot know much fx...but ifeel again come back to support...im wrong?regards

Lahore FM 18:27 GMT February 1, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell gbpusd
Entry: 1.5946 Target: 1.5500/1.500 Stop: 1.6030

sold gbpusd now at 1.5946.

San Diego bobl 18:23 GMT February 1, 2010
hi

rana,

The daily looks very neutral, rangebound here. However, for the near term it appears to be at a resistance level. Pretty good rally today but now faces some opposition.

gl/gt

Tok JT 17:51 GMT February 1, 2010
hi

I assumed "£s" meant "Doesnt matter, just sell it" to him....

NYC JM 17:41 GMT February 1, 2010
hi

I assumed that was it but was hard to read.

London Shaun 17:36 GMT February 1, 2010
hi

Stg GBP etc

NYC JM 17:30 GMT February 1, 2010
hi

Shaun, what does "£s" stand for?

London Shaun 17:28 GMT February 1, 2010
hi

I'm no professional but I'm told that a lot of £s have to be reptariated this month to pay corp tax in March. I was also told that the 5 and 2yr charts indicate a major reversal of the 5yr down trend on USD/Y. GL

GVI Forex Jay 17:00 GMT February 1, 2010
hi



See the daily chart and notice how the 20/50/100 day mvas are clustered above the market.

tokyo rana 16:48 GMT February 1, 2010
hi
Reply   
GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

I am asking anybody know GBPJPY

GVI Forex Blog 16:47 GMT February 1, 2010 Reply   
2/1/2010 USD/JPY established a reverse head and shoulder in the 4H time-frame, and may be developing a kilroy in the Daily time-frame as well.

FXTimes: Daily Technical Update USD/JPY Kilroy – Reverse Head and Shoulder

nyc ws 16:44 GMT February 1, 2010
Hello

Rana what about it? You can't force an opinion.

tokyo rana 16:43 GMT February 1, 2010
Hello
Reply   
GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

What about GBPJPY?

GVI Forex Blog 16:39 GMT February 1, 2010 Reply   
The greenback continues to consolidate its gains as the dollar rises hand in hand with equity markets. EUR/USD hovered around the 1.3900 level as dealers took the US deficit in stride and surmised that the ECB was not concerned over recent weakness in euro currency

Forex Blog - US Market Update (Trade the News)

GVI Forex Blog 16:23 GMT February 1, 2010 Reply   
Feb 1 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: Early Tuesday in the Far East will see the Reserve Bank of Australia policy decision, a +25bp rate hike is seen. In the EZ the December PPI is seen. In the U.S., major highlights include

GVI Forex- Data Outlook for February 2, 2010

GVI Forex john 16:19 GMT February 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Feb 1 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: Early Tuesday in the Far East will see the Reserve Bank of Australia policy decision, a +25bp rate hike is seen. In the EZ the December PPI is seen. In the U.S., major highlights include December Pending Homes Sales, which are a reliable predictor of existing homes sales later in the month and the weekly API inventory forecast, which are a useful predictor of the EIA data on Wednesday.

 

 

TUESDAY

 

 

3:30

AU

RBA RBA (3.75%)

+25bp

+25bp

10:00

EZ

Dec PPI mm

0.00%

0.10%

10:00

EZ

Dec PPI yy

-3.00%

-4.40%

15:00

US

Dec Pnd-Home

n/a

-16.00%

21:30

US

API Energy

n/a

n/a

 

 

WEDNESDAY

 

 

0:30

AU

Dec Trade A$bln

-2.4

-1.7

0:30

AU

4Q Retail Trade

1.00%

-0.40%

8:58

EZ

Jan SVC PMI

52.3

53.6

9:30

UK

Dec SVC PMI

56.5

58.8

10:00

EZ

Dec Retail Sls mm

0.40%

-1.20%

10:00

EZ

Dec Retail Sls yy

-2.50%

-4.00%

12:00

US

WK Mtg Stats

n/a

n/a

13:15

US

Jan ADP Jobs k

-40

-84

15:00

US

Dec SVC PMI

51

50.1

15:30

US

EIA Crude mn

n/a

-3.9

15:30

US

EIA Gasoline mn

n/a

2

15:30

US

EIA Distillate mn

n/a

0.4

15:30

US

EIA Cap Util

n/a

78.50%

tokyo rana 16:09 GMT February 1, 2010
Hi
Reply   
GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

Buy or Sell GBPJPY?

Iasi 16:08 GMT February 1, 2010
Eur-Jpy
Reply   
Buy or sell ?

Gen dk 15:54 GMT February 1, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

sofia kaprikorn 15:36 GMT February 1, 2010
enjoy falling knives

sofia kaprikorn 13:25 GMT February 1, 2010
long GBP/USD 1.5862 / no stop for now
--------------
added1/2 at 1.5901
--------------
added1/3 at 1.5907 // avg. 1.5890

Gen dk 15:33 GMT February 1, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

warsaw TOMi 15:25 GMT February 1, 2010
cable

Sell gbpusd
Entry: 5931 Target: 5777 Stop: 5959

sell

tokyo rana 15:17 GMT February 1, 2010
hello
Reply   

Entry: 143.59 Target: 144.40 Stop: 142.95 can u tellme meaning of that please?

tokyo rana 15:15 GMT February 1, 2010
thanx for reply
Reply   
GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

I sold at 144.222..no good shot?thanx for reply

Malaga (Spain) JgrB 15:13 GMT February 1, 2010
hi

Buy GBP.JPY
Entry: 143.59 Target: 144.40 Stop: 142.95


BUY

GVI Forex john 15:10 GMT February 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



Remarkable ISM PMI manufacturing number...

tokyo rana 15:08 GMT February 1, 2010
hi
Reply   
GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

buy or sale?

warsaw TOMi 14:57 GMT February 1, 2010
hello

no idea, as I am long usdjpy 9015 for 9090 stop 8989

tokyo rana 14:53 GMT February 1, 2010
hello
Reply   
GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

what about GBPJPY?

warsaw TOMi 14:50 GMT February 1, 2010
cable

Sell gbpusd
Entry: 5943 Target: 5818 Stop: 5989

again

warsaw TOMi 14:39 GMT February 1, 2010
cable
Reply   
Sell gbpusd
Entry: 5942 Target: 5838 Stop: 5989

u may want to take profit here from long cable.. tia

GVI Forex Blog 14:38 GMT February 1, 2010 Reply   

Overbought Conditions Likely to Support Stock Indices Today

GVI Forex Blog 14:34 GMT February 1, 2010 Reply   

Dollar under Little Pressure Following Uneventful Night

jkt-aye 14:11 GMT February 1, 2010
GBP/USD

1.5923 is better than 1.5830 for me :)
cheers

Belgrade AS 14:08 GMT February 1, 2010
audusd

Belgrade AS 18:35 GMT January 29, 2010
audusd: Reply
Sell audusd
Entry: 0,8930 Target: Stop: 0,8985
looking at crude and gold charts....i just had to do it!...it was stronger then me....
targets-later
------------------------
target=0,8600...stops to entry
nice weekend to all!
--------------------------------
i chickenned out of this one just a pip or two above +100pip mark....crude and gold are firming/usd is consolidating...so out for 101/102 pips profit per fired short unit!
btw,RBA's rate hike date is getting closer!
cheers

GVI Forex john 13:59 GMT February 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Data Call @ 15:00 GMT

Purchasing Managers Index – Manufacturing

Most major economies have purchasing managers indices (PMI) released monthly. They are compiled by various organizations. Some focus on the manufacturing sector while others measure the service sector. They are a very current measure of the economic health of the manufacturing or services sector. The PMI indices are usually based on five major indicators: new orders, inventory levels, production, supplier deliveries and the employment environment.

A PMI of greater than 50 represents expansion, compared to the previous month. A reading under 50 represents a contraction, while a reading at 50 indicates no change.

We find the PMI indices to be useful predictors of future economic activity.


Construction Spending
The Construction Spending data is a monthly report that report on the amount of construction spending for home building, which is the major component of the report. In addition to residential spending, the data also tracks spending on government projects and office buildings.


nyc ws 13:58 GMT February 1, 2010
eurusd

Held first test of 1.3934 fibo

Amsterdam Purk 13:54 GMT February 1, 2010
GBP/USD

Hips, thanks for the pips...

Wall Street 13:53 GMT February 1, 2010
EURUSD Trading
Reply   
For our short-term system, neutrality in the EURUSD is at 1.3908 at the moment. Maximum divergence from neutrality has been running at 20-30 pips so far today.

USA ZEUS 13:52 GMT February 1, 2010
GBP/USD

All out @ 1.5929

Cheers

USA ZEUS 13:49 GMT February 1, 2010
GBP/USD

More gains taken @ 1.5927.

I love trading.

GVI Forex john 13:48 GMT February 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



Earlier UK mfg PMIs

GVI Forex john 13:47 GMT February 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



Earlier EZ mfg PMIs

nyc ws 13:43 GMT February 1, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
1.3934 is 23.6% of 1.4197 - 1.3853

GVI Forex john 13:43 GMT February 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



Core PCE and CPI

USA ZEUS 13:41 GMT February 1, 2010
GBP/USD

More gains taken @ 1.5920.
Remaining now @ b/e.

sofia kaprikorn 13:25 GMT February 1, 2010
enjoy falling knives

sofia kaprikorn 10:33 GMT February 1, 2010
long GBP/USD 1.5862 / no stop for now
--------------
added1/2 at 1.5901

USA ZEUS 13:25 GMT February 1, 2010
GBP/USD

USA ZEUS 10:27 GMT February 1, 2010
GBP/USD
Cable will bounce 100% for sure no doubt. All in for a lazy trade. Will return later to see booked gains or to book them manually.
______________________________________________________
Just woke up from makling money in my sleep to take some lazy gains @ 1.5907.

Cheers!

Toronto yv 13:24 GMT February 1, 2010
Videos
Reply   
How to get access to Als video ? Thanks.

GVI Forex Futures 13:23 GMT February 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Total Open Interest in the EURO FX futures closed last week at 186,178 up 693 on Friday. We are a little surprised at the modest increase presumably in shorts. Our COT analysis published on Sunday showed that there are still significant numbers of short EURO FX (long USD) positions remaining.

GVI Forex john 13:00 GMT February 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Data Call @ 13:30 GMT
Personal Income


Personal income is defined as the income that is received by persons from participation in production, from both government and business transfer payments, and from government interest (which is treated like a transfer payment). It is calculated as the sum of wage and salary disbursements, other labor income, proprietors'' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments, rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment, personal dividend income, personal interest income, and transfer payments to persons, less personal contributions for social insurance.



U.S. Core PCE price index

The Core PCE price index is defined as personal consumption expenditures (PCE) prices excluding food and energy.

IMPACT: Core PCE is said to be the preferred inflation measure of the Fed and therefore is a very significant release in that it can influence policy. It is thought the Fed targets core PCE loosely between 2.0% and 3.0%.



GVI Forex Jay 12:53 GMT February 1, 2010 Reply   
Nuts and Bolts: Trading Rooms Forum

EUR/USD 1 hour chart has been a good guide to the downtrend, now nearly 3 weeks on this time frame. Note the trendline...

THREAD: EUR/USD UPDATED

Hong Kong Qindex 12:48 GMT February 1, 2010
QIndex Trading System

S&P 500 : Heading Towards 1021.7



As shown in the distribution profile of the monthly cycle probability chart the market is pulling towards 1021.7. A resistant point is positioning at 1100.3. Sell on rallies is the preferred trading strategy.



S&P 500 : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/sp500-future.html

GVI Forex Blog 12:25 GMT February 1, 2010 Reply   

FX Thoughts for the day : 01-Feb-2010 - 1222 GMT

GVI Forex Blog 11:34 GMT February 1, 2010 Reply   
Stronger-than-expected euro zone PMI data pushed the euro higher on Monday, but it hovered close to seven-month lows on concerns over the indebtedness of some euro zone countries.

FOREX NEWS-Euro gains on PMI data; sentiment still shaky

Mtl JP 11:11 GMT February 1, 2010
How to solve budget deficits ?

PAR 11:03 - god' s work ... costs money didn' t you know

GVI Forex Blog 11:08 GMT February 1, 2010 Reply   
11:00 GMT- Feb 1 (global-view.com) The trading focus heading into the new month might have shifted. There is no clear position on the risk trade at the moment. Gold and oil are now mixed, as are equities and activity in the commodity currencies.

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- Mixed Morning Start

GVI Forex john 11:04 GMT February 1, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support
Reply   


The Daily Forex View

Mixed Monday Start

11:00 GMT- Feb 1 (global-view.com)  The trading focus heading into the new month might have shifted. There is no clear position on the risk trade at the moment. Gold and oil are now mixed, as are  equities and activity in the commodity currencies.

MORE...

PAR 11:03 GMT February 1, 2010
How to solve budget deficits ?
Reply   
Goldman Sachs, the world’s richest investment bank, could be about to pay its chief executive a bumper bonus of up to $100 million in defiance of moves by President Obama to take action against such payouts.

Bankers in Davos for the World Economic Forum (WEF) told The Times yesterday they understood that Lloyd Blankfein and other top Goldman bankers outside Britain were set to receive some of the bank’s biggest-ever payouts. “This is Lloyd thumbing his nose at Obama,” said a banker at one of Goldman’s rivals.

Belgrade AS 10:57 GMT February 1, 2010
GBP/USD

1 Feb 11:46:20 GBP: The slide continues as flows dominate the movement today with as much as 3-5bn Eur/Gbp needing to be bought today.
------------------------------
...from my news stream...

GVI Forex Blog 10:53 GMT February 1, 2010 Reply   
Currencies: The GBP exhibited weakness in the session with dealers attributing its initial soft tone to fixing-related flows.

European market Update: European Manufacturing data readings improve; US FY11 budget details to be focus later today

Gen dk 10:50 GMT February 1, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Richland QC Mailman 10:45 GMT February 1, 2010
GBP/USD

cable down by 150 pips since Friday again with no significant bounce. Strong bear trending market since the break of 1.6100... 1.5860/50 is S2 vicinity... Last buying possies situated at 1.5800.

jkt-aye 10:35 GMT February 1, 2010
GBP/USD

long it at 1.5863 ... hoping to meet Zeus at 1.5935 before i got swept out at 1.5830.

Richland QC Mailman 10:35 GMT February 1, 2010
GBP/USD

With you mighty Zeus and kaprikorn. got some 1.5860's. May the force be with us.

USA ZEUS 10:35 GMT February 1, 2010
GBP/USD

Squared EUR/USD longs from the bottom area late last week and now doubled GBP/USD @ 1.5862 for the final allocation. Out to let this one marinate like a nice steak before it hits the grille.

sofia kaprikorn 10:33 GMT February 1, 2010
enjoy falling knives
Reply   
long GBP/USD 1.5862 / no stop for now

weekly 55-MA at 1.5757 provides support

warsaw TOMi 10:32 GMT February 1, 2010
cable

cable should bounce 100% off the positive divergence forming on m15, although picking a bottom is always a challenging task..

USA ZEUS 10:27 GMT February 1, 2010
GBP/USD

Cable will bounce 100% for sure no doubt. All in for a lazy trade. Will return later to see booked gains or to book them manually.

warsaw TOMi 10:24 GMT February 1, 2010
cable
Reply   
target 5835 for 2day.

USA ZEUS 10:19 GMT February 1, 2010
GBP/USD

All in add @ 1.5875

USA ZEUS 10:17 GMT February 1, 2010
GBP/USD
Reply   
Long GBP/USD @ 1.5879

Belgrade AS 10:09 GMT February 1, 2010
uk data

Hi SHF.spent quality time with my family at our winter house...
went short in eurusd and audusd on friday...waited for daily close below 1,61 for confirmation in cable so never got involved in that pair(seems too late to jump moving trains now)
gl+gt

London SFH 10:02 GMT February 1, 2010
uk data


Hi AS good to see you back....I am short cable too, not sure on how far we go but I would be looking to cover at 1.5850 today if seen


gl/gt

GVI Forex Blog 10:01 GMT February 1, 2010 Reply   
Traders of the UK await the publication of the Halifax House Price Index.

Forexpros Daily Analysis - 01/02/2010

London Misha 09:58 GMT February 1, 2010
Observations
Reply   
EURUSD - Daily Closing Black Marubozo. Dec-Jan Bear Flag formation.
USDJPY - Key Reversal Up on the Daily Chart!
GBPUSD - Opening Bear Gap on the Daily Chart.
USDCHF - First close over the Long MA!
EURGBP - Opening Bull Gap & a Bull Doji on the Daily Chart!
USDCAD - Closing White Marubozo on the Daily Chart!
AUDUSD - Possibel Double or even Triple Top on the Daily Chart!
NZDUSD - Closing Black Marubozo on the Daily Chart!

Belgrade AS 09:55 GMT February 1, 2010
uk data

i see cable @ 1.5730 by the end of the day...could be wrong...too busy saying prayers with my hand out in an atempt to catch eursek-falling knife(bidding @ 10.1600,10.1550 and 10.1500)
....will jump on eurnok (longterm) also.

Singapore PW 09:51 GMT February 1, 2010
uk data

Thank you

GVI Forex Blog 09:50 GMT February 1, 2010 Reply   
In the period since March 2009, the Bank of England’s Asset Purchase Facility (APF) has bought £200bn of UK fixed income securities, £198 of gilts and £2bn of corporate bonds.

Economics Weekly - Will the Bank of England extend Quantitative Easing? Weekly economic data preview - Knife-edge MPC decision to take centre stage

Richland QC Mailman 09:43 GMT February 1, 2010
uk data

good for the cable guy. Have some possies above 1.5910 with stops under 1.5890

Lahore FM 09:41 GMT February 1, 2010
Trade Ideas

01/29/2010 17:02:09 FM Lahore 2

Buy eurusd
Entry: 1.3871 Target: open Stop: 1.3828
long here now.
--
half out now 1.3908,stops stay on rest 1/2.

Belgrade AS 09:38 GMT February 1, 2010
uk data

1 Feb 10:30:54 U.K.: PMI MANUFACTURING ROSE TO 56.7 IN JANUARY FROM A REVISED 54.6 THE PREVIOUS MONTH, WITH ECONOMISTS EXPECTATIONS OF 53.9.

tokyo rana 09:37 GMT February 1, 2010
news
Reply   
gbp
Entry: Target: Stop:

Category: Europe and America exchange market general condition
【 market response 】Britain and manufacturing PMI in January

Britain and manufacturing PMI swung on against the expectation in January. Pound dollar rose from about 1.5905-10 to about 1.5950 after it had announced. The dollar and yen change in the vicinity at 90.40 yen.
【 economic indicator 】
Britain and manufacturing PMI:56.7 in January (expectation 53.9 and 54.6←54.1

Singapore PW 09:35 GMT February 1, 2010
uk data
Reply   
UK data? tia

Juffair KaL 09:21 GMT February 1, 2010
this weeks' recommendations

buing
GBPCHF 1.7060 1.6860

to
GBPCHF 1.7209 1.6709

tgt 1.7120

Viet Nam Forex Begin 09:18 GMT February 1, 2010
Forex Signal : 30 pips Daily !
Reply   
Buy GBP/USD
Entry: 1.5905 Target: 1.5935 Stop: 1.5875

Monday, 01 February 2010 09:20 GMT

GBP/USD had been moving down longly from last week.

Paid signals for GBP/USD hit SL.

However, I still vote them up back.

Free Signals for morning today

Juffair KaL 09:18 GMT February 1, 2010
this weeks' recommendations

gbpsek
bought 3 lots

adding till 11.5937
tgt
11.9353

tokyo rana 09:07 GMT February 1, 2010
news
Reply   
GBP
Entry: Target: Stop:

Category: Economic indicator
61,800=18:30 schedules of the housing loan approval number and the expectation of British December.

The housing loan approval number is announced at Japan standard time 18:30 in December of Britain.
The expectation is 61,800, and 60,500 in November.

Juffair KaL 09:07 GMT February 1, 2010
this weeks' recommendations

eurusd shorts
placing

EURUSD 1.3927 1.3780
to
EURUSD 1.4027 1.3659

gl

sofia kaprikorn 09:04 GMT February 1, 2010
daily trend

sofia kaprikorn 08:51 GMT February 1, 2010
short EUR/USD 1.3881 / SL 1.3911
____________________________
out at 1.3905 for -24

haven't done such a stupid series of mistakes for a long time now.

sofia kaprikorn 08:51 GMT February 1, 2010
daily trend
Reply   
going against the trend never works well.
it's not easy to hop on the trend when it's in its extended phase but I will try:
short EUR/USD 1.3881 / SL 1.3911

sofia kaprikorn 08:49 GMT February 1, 2010
reversal test 2

sofia kaprikorn 08:18 GMT February 1, 2010
long EUR/USD 1.3895 / SL 1.3868
____________________________
closed at 1.3878 for -17.

sofia kaprikorn 08:44 GMT February 1, 2010
GBP/USD

sofia kaprikorn 08:23 GMT February 1, 2010
long 1.5938 / sl 1.5918
_____________________
stopped for -20

Hong Kong Qindex 08:41 GMT February 1, 2010
QIndex Trading System

EUR/JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/JPY : Basically the market is going to trade within the following ranges for the time being :


... 123.36 // 124.59 - 125.15 - 125.58 // 126.15 ...

sofia kaprikorn 08:23 GMT February 1, 2010
GBP/USD
Reply   
eur/gbp indeed rallied and I'd bet small on a reversal to boost the pound higher - just test an assumption.
long 1.5938 / sl 1.5918

sofia kaprikorn 08:18 GMT February 1, 2010
reversal test 2
Reply   
trying again:
long EUR/USD 1.3895 / SL 1.3868

tokyo rana 08:18 GMT February 1, 2010
this weeks' recommendations

no im just asking my dear...wat happen?markeet changed?

Juffair KaL 08:18 GMT February 1, 2010
this weeks' recommendations

EURAUD 1.5781 1.5596
EURCAD 1.4902 1.4738

to
EURAUD 1.5927 1.5465
EURCAD 1.5032 1.4624

selling


gbpusd is a buy + USDJPY is a buy too
gbpjpy---> a buy
check the general trend column Rana

moscow mike 08:17 GMT February 1, 2010
this weeks' recommendations

Rana, with all respect... can you answer yourself a simple question: what are you for on financial markets and do you have any other plan than making blns of yen asap?

moscow mike 08:13 GMT February 1, 2010
GBPUSD

moscow mike 05:34 GMT January 29, 2010
GBPUSD: Reply
See massive contraction on gbpusd daily chart. Anticipating blasting moves to come out soon.
....Looking for sub 1.6 levels.

...moscow mike 05:48 GMT January 29, 2010
GBPUSD: Reply
Also see EURGBP to get a relief soon, and again likely through gbpusd slide.

==============
Looks like implication was right. Watching now if USDJPY theme posted hours ago will work out coming week.

Profitable week to all here.

tokyo rana 08:12 GMT February 1, 2010
this weeks' recommendations

Buy GBPJPY 146.7631 141.1409

why is that?yen is going down?

Juffair KaL 08:11 GMT February 1, 2010
confused

I am Buying
NZDUSD 0.7061 0.6942
to
NZDUSD 0.7145 0.6848

sofia kaprikorn 08:02 GMT February 1, 2010
reversal test

sofia kaprikorn 07:08 GMT February 1, 2010
long EUR/USD 1.3890 / SL 1.3848
____________________________
got out of this trade at 1.3879 for -11.

sofia kaprikorn 08:00 GMT February 1, 2010
Gap fill

sofia kaprikorn 07:23 GMT February 1, 2010
long GBP/USD 1.5970 / SL 1.5933
________________
stopped for -37
gap was already filled and I shouldn't have taken this trade but?

jkt-aye 07:53 GMT February 1, 2010
confused
Reply   
long usdnzd .6980 for .7090 with sl .6930
could it works ?

Juffair KaL 07:48 GMT February 1, 2010
this weeks' recommendations
Reply   
placing short orders for this pair
EURGBP 0.8717 0.8627
EURGBP 0.8790 0.8565

thi week in general
General Trend Pair Short Level Long Level
EURUSD 1.3994 1.3699
Buy USDJPY 91.4768 88.7645
Buy GBPUSD 1.6156 1.5788
USDCHF 1.0746 1.0504
EURCHF 1.4810 1.4635
Buy AUDUSD 0.8966 0.8680
Sell USDCAD 1.0839 1.0577
Buy NZDUSD 0.7117 0.6879
Sell EURGBP 0.8766 0.8585
Buy EURJPY 127.1617 122.6076
Buy GBPJPY 146.7631 141.1409
CHFJPY 86.4459 83.4038
Buy GBPCHF 1.7159 1.6759
Sell EURAUD 1.5878 1.5508
Sell EURCAD 1.4989 1.4662
AUDCAD 0.9567 0.9326
Buy AUDJPY 81.5265 77.5431
Buy CADJPY 85.9242 82.4866
Buy NZDJPY 64.6725 61.4815
Buy GBPAUD 1.8365 1.7838
Sell GBPNZD 2.3188 2.2506
Sell AUDNZD 1.2736 1.2487
Sell USDSEK 7.5155 7.2883
USDDKK 5.4357 5.3204
Sell EURSEK 10.3422 10.1563
Sell EURNOK 8.2945 8.1517
Sell USDNOK 6.0276 5.8511
Sell USDMXN 13.2435 12.8602
Buy AUDCHF 0.9500 0.9247
Sell EURNZD 2.0061 1.9539
Sell USDZAR 7.7668 7.4477
Sell USDSGD 1.4172 1.3982
Sell USDHKD 7.7716 7.7562
Buy GBPSEK 11.9780 11.6647
Buy NOKJPY 15.5552 14.5004
SEKJPY 13.2191 11.5518
Buy SGDJPY 65.0456 62.9093
HKDJPY 11.7839 11.4301
Buy ZARJPY 12.1820 11.5161
Sell USDTRY 1.5144 1.4707


gl

PAR 07:45 GMT February 1, 2010
US BUDGET DEFICIT
Reply   
Deficit to Hit All-Time High
Obama's $3.8 Trillion Budget Forecasts a $1.6 Trillion Shortfall for 2010 Before It Drops

By JONATHAN WEISMAN
WASHINGTON—President Barack Obama will propose on Monday a $3.8 trillion budget for fiscal 2011 that projects the deficit will shoot up to a record $1.6 trillion this year, but would push the red ink down to about $700 billion, or 4% of the gross domestic product, by 2013, according to congressional aides.

The deficit for the current fiscal year, which ends on Sept. 30, would eclipse last year's $1.4 trillion deficit, in part due to new spending on a proposed jobs package. The president also wants $25 billion for cash-strapped state governments, mainly to offset their funding of the Medicaid health program for the poor.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704722304575037470
289762694.html?mod=WSJEUROPE_hpp_MIDDLETopStories

Syd 07:33 GMT February 1, 2010
English Please
Reply   
Tokyo Joe and we already have a Tokyo Joe, unless you are he ??

Hong Kong Qindex 07:31 GMT February 1, 2010
QIndex Trading System

EUR/JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/JPY : The market is going to consolidate between 124.95 and 125.62 for the time being.

Juffair KaL 07:24 GMT February 1, 2010
reversal test

sofia/
Maybe a reversal...but i still have to be a sell
maybe another 45 pips north ...then south again

NZDUSD Might be correcting from here

sofia kaprikorn 07:23 GMT February 1, 2010
Gap fill
Reply   
long GBP/USD 1.5970 / SL 1.5933

Amman wfakhoury 07:16 GMT February 1, 2010
Needs to be in English
Reply   
Tokyo Joe
---
[OK]を..しゃぶりを楽しむ

sofia kaprikorn 07:08 GMT February 1, 2010
reversal test
Reply   
long EUR/USD 1.3890 / SL 1.3848

Hong Kong 06:57 GMT February 1, 2010
USD/JPY Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader
Reply   
INTRADAY TRADING SIGNAL BY ACETRADER.COM: USD/JPY


USD/JPY : 90.21

Last Update At 01 Feb 2010 06:31 GMT

Current recovery fm 89.99 suggests choppy side-ways trading abv 89.76 (Aust.) wud continue, how-ever, as long as Asian res at 90.39 holds, another decline is still likely but below said sup needed to extend last Friday's fall fm 90.93 twd 89.57.

Trade fm short side n only abv res at 90.56/67 wud risk stronger gain twd 90.93.


Range Forecast
89.90 / 90.27


Resistance/Support
R: 90.39/90.56/90.93
S: 89.76/89.57/89.14

www.acetraderfx.com

Syd 06:33 GMT February 1, 2010
Top 8 Themes For FX In February
Reply   
As we head into the second month of the year it's fairly safe to say things are getting better, but the global economic improvement will bring its own complications for markets (which have felt some risk aversion in recent weeks) and policymakers; those complications are likely to be amplified into 2010, leading to greater FX volatility. All eyes are on the Middle Kingdom as it carefully starts the process of mopping up liquidity, selectively tightening lending from some banks and lifting RRRs; the balance is a fine one - China does not want to stall economy, but it wants to better manage growth. Goldilocks didn't have it this tough. For markets, China is potentially a large risk on/off trade. See =MONEY TALKS: The Top Eight Themes For Currencies In February.

tokyo rana 06:10 GMT February 1, 2010
News
Reply   
GBPYJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

カテゴリ:経済指標
英1月CIPS製造業PMI、予想は53.9=18:30予定

英国の1月CIPS製造業PMI(購買担当者指数)が日本時間18:30に発表される。
予想は53.9、12月は54.1。

GBP/JPY

tokyo rana 06:07 GMT February 1, 2010
Hello
Reply   
GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

Please talk about fx or shut up

Tokyo JT 06:06 GMT February 1, 2010
Needs to be in English

Like Mrs Watanabe??? You mean?

Me no....

Me is Mr Sakakibara...hehe

tokyo ginko 06:05 GMT February 1, 2010
Needs to be in English

lol @ Tokyo Joe

a sudden influx of Tokyo players?

GT!

sh hl 06:02 GMT February 1, 2010
Needs to be in English

jt, rana..are you those housewives who participate in the carry trade market??

Tokyo Joe 06:00 GMT February 1, 2010
Needs to be in English

Fakhouri San,,,を私の陰茎を吸うように今言うことができる。.IN APANESE

tokyo rana 05:59 GMT February 1, 2010
Needs to be in English

oh yeah im very male...

tokyo rana 05:51 GMT February 1, 2010
Needs to be in English

gbpjpy
Entry: Target: Stop:

i understand im sorry abouted your rigt so lets see...ican read japanese no problem..

Tokyo JT 05:45 GMT February 1, 2010
Needs to be in English

I was telling the guy that he/she needs to give a reason why.... and that Stgyen 103 Yen target is kind of unrealistic.. and I feel the most we could go is brief touch below 140ish in near term..

Tokyo JT 05:30 GMT February 1, 2010
Hello

That's cool...

Sometimes we don't need to know what we're doing but just give it a shot, place the bet and forget about it!?? hahaha....

tokyo rana 05:22 GMT February 1, 2010
Hello
Reply   
GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

i donot know about forex much but ifeel we will have big surpise...Regards

Tonbridge AL 05:20 GMT February 1, 2010
Needs to be in English

I think it says Gbp/Jpy 140 seems very far away and noone seems to have rationale argument why it should go to this level

tokyo rana 05:19 GMT February 1, 2010
hello

GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

Honto ni?lets see...
In the longer term picture, fall from 251.09 is treated as resumption of multi decade down trend. Note that the fall from 215.87 is not treated as the fifth wave, but the third wave inside the third wave that started at 241.35. On resumption, the down trend will extend to 61.8% projection of 215.87 to 118.81 from 163.05 at 103.03 next, which is close to 100 psychological support.

Syd 05:16 GMT February 1, 2010
Needs to be in English
Reply   
Tokyo JT

Tokyo JT 05:09 GMT February 1, 2010
hello

方向はあってますが ターゲットは遠すぎますね。 
140チョイ割れがいいところかと、  


誰もコメントつけない理由の一つにはこのターゲットレベル と 根拠をはっきり述べた方がいいかもしれませんね。

ま、頑張ってください!


GVI Forex Blog 03:41 GMT February 1, 2010 Reply   

Morning Briefing : 01-Feb-2010 - 0339 GMT

Syd 03:39 GMT February 1, 2010
Swiss Justice Minister Warns UBS Bank Could Collapse
Reply   
GENEVA (AFP)--Switzerland's justice minister warned in an interview Sunday that top bank UBS AG (UBS) could collapse if sensitive talks with the U.S. over a high-profile tax fraud investigation fall through.
"The actions of UBS in the United States are very problematic. Not just because they are punishable but also because they threaten all of the bank's activities," Eveline Widmer-Schlumpf told Le Matin Dimanche newspaper.

"The Swiss economy and the job market would suffer on a major scale if UBS fails as a result of its license being revoked in the United States," she said.

Switzerland and the U.S. have negotiated an agreement under which UBS would hand over information on some 4,500 account holders to U.S. tax police.

However, a Swiss court ruling earlier this month put the deal in doubt.

Many in Switzerland, where banking secrecy is a source of pride and a key part of the economy, have accused the government of failing to protect UBS.

"We have nothing to blame ourselves for. I don't think anyone could prove that we acted badly," Widmer-Schlumpf said in the interview......................

"Australian fundamentals support medium-term AUD outperformance," says Societe Generale strategist Patrick Bennett. Expects further volatile price action around RBA decision Tuesday, which will likely be 25 bps hike, but AUD should gain in coming months. "While crosses may appear to lead the way lower due to liquidity, we are comfortable to expect other G7 currencies, excluding USD, to under perform."

Syd 03:04 GMT February 1, 2010
Britain faces first hung parliament in 36 years after Tory lead slips
Reply   
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1247259/Poll-shows-Tory-lead-win-Commons-majority-veteran-Labour-backbencher-steps-down.html#ixzz0eFXhRWEh

Hong Kong Qindex 02:56 GMT February 1, 2010
QIndex Trading System

EUR/JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/JPY : Speculative selling pressure will increase when the supporting range at 124.86 - 124.90 fails to hold. The next downside targeting range is 122.87 - 123.81.

Ormond beach AG 02:32 GMT February 1, 2010
ignore feature?
Reply   
Anyone know if this forum has a ignore function? Thanks, GL, GT

tokyo rana 02:26 GMT February 1, 2010
hello
Reply   
gbp
Entry: Target: Stop:

idonot know much about forex technicaly but ihave strong feeling pound is just going down...103 to 135yen....idonot think so pound soon up to 153level...

tokyo rana 02:22 GMT February 1, 2010
hi
Reply   
gbp
Entry: Target: Stop:

idonot know but i sold 350000pound today..idonot know what will be happpen but iwill wait until 130 to 135level...i sold at 144.125

tokyo rana 02:21 GMT February 1, 2010
hello
Reply   
GBP
Entry: Target: Stop:

idonot know but i sold 350000pound today..idonot know what will be happpen but iwill wait until 130 to 135level...

tokyo rana 02:20 GMT February 1, 2010
hello
Reply   
JPy
Entry: Target: Stop:

idonot know much about forex but ithink today good chance of selling aud gbp nz and cad

tokyo rana 02:18 GMT February 1, 2010
hello
Reply   
Sell GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

yen in strong tone today...yen buuying is superior...pound and other currencies so weak against yen...

Hong Kong Qindex 02:09 GMT February 1, 2010
QIndex Trading System


01/29/2010 08:48:27 Qindex Hong Kong 17

GBP/JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:
GBP/JPY : The market is under pressure when it is rejected from the barrier at 145.61 // 146.96. Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market is trading below 145.07.



GBP/JPY : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/gbp-yen.html


01/30/2010 08:08:53 Qindex Hong Kong 7

Sell GBP/JPY
Entry: Target: Stop:
GBP/JPY : The market is going to tackle the weekly cycle matrix system at 138.73 - 140.09 - 144.16.



Syd 00:56 GMT February 1, 2010
DJ Aussie House Price Strength To Worry RBA
Reply   
Australian house prices rose 5.2% in 4Q09 versus 3Q09, taking annual pace of increase to 13.6%. House price strength was recorded evenly across the country's major capital cities. Gain is enough to keep the housing market on the RBA's policy radar, especially after RBA Governor Glenn Stevens said last year it would be "disappointing" if supply-side constraints resulted in a house price spiral. Stevens in December also refused to rule out directing monetary policy to lean against asset price bubbles. Data is evidence that monetary conditions remain loose, and support the strongly held view of economists that the RBA will raise rates at a policy meeting Tuesday, taking the cash rate target from 3.75% to 4.00%.


Australia job ads -8% MoM
The ANZ survey showed that job ads declined by 8% in January - January is the main holiday month for Austarlians many businesses and industries shut down for the majority of the month.

Syd 00:52 GMT February 1, 2010
Australia's eight capital cities was up 13.6% from the year earlier quarter of 2008.
Reply   
The weighted average price of established houses in Australian capital cities rose 5.2% in the fourth quarter of 2009 from the third quarter, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said Monday.

The bureau's house price index also showed the weighted average price of established houses in Australia's eight capital cities was up 13.6% from the year earlier quarter of 2008.

The house price index for Sydney rose 5.0% in the fourth quarter, and rose 12.8% from a year earlier.

Melbourne city had the largest quarterly increase of 6.8%.

The yuan's exchange rate will remain at a reasonable and balanced level, Xinhua News Agency reported late Sunday, citing Chinese Vice Premier Li Keqiang. "China's yuan exchange rate policy is consistent and responsible. We will continue to...improve the yuan exchange-rate mechanism," Xinhua quoted Li as saying while answering questions from entrepreneurs Thursday at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.
China Vice Premier: Wider Domestic Demand Related To Stable Yuan - Xinhua
A stable yuan contributes positively to the world economy and is related to wider domestic demand in China, the report cited him as saying.
China Vice Premier: Yuan Policy Is Responsible

Hong Kong 00:45 GMT February 1, 2010
Market Outlook by AceTrader
Reply   
Market Review - 29/01/2010 22:18 All times in GMT

Dollar rallies on stronger-than-expected U.S. data



The dollar rose against major currencies on Friday as U.S. gross domestic product exceeded forecasts, growing at the fastest pace since 2003, reinforced the view that the United States was recovering faster than other developed countries. U.S. GDP data which came in at 5.7% in the 4th quarter of 2009 versus the economists expectation of 4.5%. Chicago PMI was 61.5 compared to the consensus forecast of 57.5 and University of Michigan consumer sentiment was 74.4 in January against the expectation of 73.0 and well above 72.5 in December.

Euro continued Thursday's downward momentum versus the greenback in Australia as investors remained concerned about the fiscal health of some of the smaller eurozone countries like Greece and Portugal. The single currency rebounded briefly to 1.3988 in European morning on short-covering due to renewed risk appetites as Greek/German 10-year government bond yield spread narrowed by 15 basis points to 382 basis points. However, price tumbled from there and fell to a six-month low of 1.3862 in NY afternoon before stabilising.

Versus the swiss franc, the dollar rose to as high as 1.0644 (eur/chf rose from 1.4635 to 1.4770 in an hour) in NY afternoon despite a brief fall to 1.0483 in European mid-day. Traders said the Bank of International Settlements was buying the eur/chf, though the BIS declined to comment. The BIS has acted on behalf of the Swiss National Bank in the past to weaken the franc. The SNB was not immediately available for comment.

Data to be released next week include Australia house price index, Germany retail sales, manufacturing PMI , EU manufacturing PMI, U.K. manufacturing PMI, U.S. PCE core, PCE index, PCE index, personal income, personal income, personal spending, construction spending, ISM manufacturing Swiss PMI on Monday, Australia RBA rate decision, U.K. PMI construction, EU PPI, U.S. pending home sales on Tuesday, Australia trade balance, Germany retail sales, Germany services PMI, U.K. services PMI, EU retail sales, U.S. ADP employment, U.S. ISM non-manufacturing on Wednesday, New Zealand employment change, Australia retail sales, Swiss trade balance, Germany factory orders, Germany factory orders, EU ECB rate decision, U.S. jobless claims, durable goods, factory orders, Canada building permits, Ivey PMI on Thursday, Japan leading indicators, U.K. PPI input on Friday.

www.acetraderfx.com

 




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