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Forex Forum Archive for 02/20/2010

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Toronto MDunleavy 20:06 GMT February 20, 2010
Sell UsdCad

Entry: 1.04 Target: 1.02 Stop: 1.05

The main support 1.0410 stood strong against continuous attempts from the pair to bearishly reverse, where it rebounded and completed forming the bullish technical pattern that comes inline with the bullish pattern, shown yesterday, where the pair achieved more bullish movement. We expect an overall bullish direction over an intraday direction, which will start with the breach of the mentioned neckline to head towards main targets that start 1.0565 then 1.0650. It is vital that 1.0410 areas remain intact, which are vital factors in achieving the awaited bullish direction.
The trading range for today is among the key support at 1.0350 and the key resistance at 1.0650.
The general trend is to the downside as far as 1.1870 remains intact with targets at 1.0000.
[Written by]

sofia kaprikorn 19:33 GMT February 20, 2010
Gartman rules

Dennis Gartman: Never average a loser!

dc CB 19:23 GMT February 20, 2010
Fed's move

Fed Changes Terms In Front of OpEx Again

dc CB 19:04 GMT February 20, 2010

that's because Alan Greenspan practically worshiped at the feet of Ayn him she wrote gospel.

Tonbridge AL 17:12 GMT February 20, 2010
Click on the link then click on the Friday link in the new page
Approx 7 mins
Approx 4 mins

GOT PK 16:44 GMT February 20, 2010

that was my drift...

sofia kaprikorn 16:18 GMT February 20, 2010
PK - i read it this summer - it's amazing how a book written 50 years ago is like a story board of what we live right now..

sofia kaprikorn 14:46 GMT February 20, 2010

interesting info - insiders sure would know it time ago..
the only thing we can use is the moves in the market to tell us what sharks are after

now that aid is 'old news' we get a relief rally to 1.42?

GVI Forex Jay 14:12 GMT February 20, 2010

London Jay (no relation to me), thanks for that post. It illustrates how Global-View ideally works as a clearinghouse of information for the global markets. We encourages others to step up and do the same, whether it be information, a rumor, flow, trading idea or question.

Here is the article with details:

UPDATE 2-Up to 25 bln euros in aid mulled for Greece-magazine

Mtl JP 13:53 GMT February 20, 2010
Friday Night US BAnkruptcies - $ 1.1billion loss

Feb. 19 (Bloomberg) -- The delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four unit residential properties fell to a seasonally adjusted rate of 9.47 percent of all loans outstanding as of the end of the fourth quarter of 2009, down 17 basis points from the third quarter, and up 159 basis points from one year ago, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s National Delinquency Survey.
Feb. 19 Bloomberg -- “A record number of Americans were in danger of losing their homes in the fourth quarter… Loans in foreclosure rose to 4.58% of all mortgages, while those more than 90 days overdue… climbed to 5.09%...”
Feb. 18 Bloomberg -- “U.S. states must contend with a more than $1 trillion gap between what they have saved and what they have promised to retired workers for pension and health-care benefits, the Pew Center on the States said… States have saved $2.35 trillion of the $3.35 trillion owed to workers as of mid-2008… The Washington-based group expects the deficit to grow…”
Feb. 20 (Bloomberg) -- Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke will probably assure Congress that the central bank is mindful of the lack of job growth in the U.S. and an increase in the benchmark interest rate isn’t imminent after the Fed’s decision to raise the cost of direct loans to banks.
This week Ben tested market water. He is playing the market for perception that rates and liquidity are FED controllable two separate and independent issues.

Current score:
Fed 1, Market 0.

London Jay 13:06 GMT February 20, 2010
this might help EURO.
The countries using the euro currency will together provide aid worth between 20 billion and 25 billion euros for Greece, according to Germany's Finance Ministry, a magazine reported on Saturday.

Mtl JP 10:59 GMT February 20, 2010
GVI Forex Blog 01:32 - Canadian CPI came in at 1.9%. BoC line in the sand is 2%.

Market is pricing in an earlier rate hike than what BoC is "promising".

PAR 08:33 GMT February 20, 2010
Friday Night US BAnkruptcies - $ 1.1billion loss

Feb. 20 (Bloomberg) -- OneWest Bank, created out of the wreckage of IndyMac Bancorp, purchased a lender in Southern California as four banks were closed by regulators, sending the number of U.S. failures to 185 since 2007.

OneWest Bank purchased La Jolla Bank’s $3.6 billion in assets, according to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., which was named receiver. Banks in Florida, Texas and Illinois also collapsed yesterday, for a total cost to the agency’s deposit- insurance fund of almost $1.1 billion, the FDIC said in
statements on its Web site.

Banks in Florida, Texas and Illinois also collapsed yesterday, for a total cost to the agency’s deposit- insurance fund of almost $1.1 billion, the FDIC said in statements on its Web site.

tokyo rana 05:32 GMT February 20, 2010
QIndex Trading System

hello,how are you?
this is still still valid?
im thinking sale cadjpy.

Juffair KaL 13:10 GMT February 17, 2010
in General: Reply
In general
doing these
now eurusd shorts

General Trend Pair Short Level Buy Level
Sell EURUSD_H 1.3774 1.3426
Sell USDJPY_H 91.4758 88.4988
Sell GBPUSD_H 1.5874 1.5460
Buy USDCHF_H 1.0916 1.0638
Sell EURCHF_H 1.4770 1.4539
Hold AUDUSD_H 0.9091 0.8700
Hold USDCAD_H 1.0643 1.0335
Sell NZDUSD_H 0.7125 0.6842
Buy EURGBP_H 0.8775 0.8586
Sell EURJPY_H 125.1639 119.6131
Sell GBPJPY_H 144.1844 137.8053
Sell CHFJPY_H 85.3515 81.6802
Sell GBPCHF_H 1.7099 1.6668
Sell EURAUD_H 1.5527 1.5059
Sell EURCAD_H 1.4423 1.4104
Sell AUDCAD_H 0.9468 0.9190
Sell AUDJPY_H 82.6289 77.4919
Sell CADJPY_H 88.0026 83.6301
Sell NZDJPY_H 64.7065 60.9895
Sell GBPAUD_H 1.7926 1.7312
Hold GBPNZD_H 2.2821 2.2061
Buy AUDNZD_H 1.2906 1.2573
Hold USDSEK_H 7.3979 7.0927
Buy USDDKK_H 5.5467 5.4008
Sell EURSEK_H 9.9704 9.7325
Sell EURNOK_H 8.1287 7.9710
Buy USDNOK_H 6.0323 5.8082
Buy USDMXN_H 13.1628 12.7210
Buy AUDCHF_H 0.9761 0.9410
Hold EURNZD_H 1.9756 1.9202
Buy USDZAR_H 7.8890 7.5347
Buy USDSGD_H 1.4224 1.4020
Buy USDHKD_H 7.7773 7.7671
Sell GBPSEK_H 11.5218 11.1774
Hold NOKJPY_H 16.1874 14.2738
Hold SEKJPY_H 12.9792 11.8870
Hold SGDJPY_H 66.5779 60.9750
Sell HKDJPY_H 11.7305 11.4247
Buy ZARJPY_H 11.9415 11.4051
Buy USDTRY_H 1.5401 1.4937

Hong Kong Qindex 03:34 GMT February 20, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/CAD : Critical Resistance 1.0429

As shown in the monthly cycle congested area the market has a tendency to trade within 0.9897 - 1.0650. The current expected trading range is 1.0240 - 1.0429. Sell on rallies is the preferred trading strategy.

USD/CAD : Monthly Cycle Charts

Hong Kong Qindex 03:30 GMT February 20, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/CHF : Monthly Cycle Charts

Hong Kong Qindex 03:01 GMT February 20, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/CHF : Critical Support 1.6521

Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market is below the weekly cycle matrix system at 1.6521 - 1.6610 - 1.6828. The next downside targeting point is 1.6400. The market has potential to go all the way down to 1.5949. As shown in the monthly cycle chart the current expected trading range is 1.6248 - 1.6972.

GBP/CHF : Monthly Cycle Charts

GVI Forex Blog 01:32 GMT February 20, 2010 Reply   
The Canadian dollar hit its highest level against the U.S. currency in nearly a month on Friday after U.S. inflation data showed prices rose less than expected, calming markets made jittery

Forex Market News - CANADA FX DEBT-C$ hits Feb high after U.S. data calms rate fears

GVI Forex Blog 01:30 GMT February 20, 2010 Reply   
The dollar climbed across the board on Friday, touching an eight-month high against a currency basket, a day after the Federal Reserve raised the interest rate it charges banks for emergency loans.

FOREX NEWS - Dollar climbs after Fed discount rate hike

dc CB 01:03 GMT February 20, 2010
front page on Fridays Wash Post

In D.C., more evidence that commercial real estate headed for foreclosure crisis


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