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Forex Forum Archive for 03/02/2010

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Syd 23:54 GMT March 2, 2010
DJ Australian 4Q GDP To Signal Solid Growth Upswing
Reply   
Economists made few changes to 4Q GDP forecasts Wednesday with all partial growth components now reported. Median forecast remains unchanged from Friday's survey with 0.9% GDP growth in 4Q expected in the 0030 GMT data. On year, economists forecast 2.3% growth, slightly down from a 2.4% forecast previously. Strong business investment, profits and construction likely to underpin growth through the quarter. Likely to support RBA's forecast that economy is strong and growth will return to historical average rates of growth in 2010. Also shows economy able to expand even as rates rise and fiscal stimulus is withdrawn.

GVI Forex Blog 22:50 GMT March 2, 2010 Reply   
Back in 2005, the term “sub-prime mortgages” was confined to conversations inside the real estate investment community. In just a few short years, the term became the “shot heard ‘round the world” as sub-prime debt infected the entire global financial community.

“Beware of Greeks bearing gifts.” - Some gift!

sofia kaprikorn 22:44 GMT March 2, 2010
QIndex Trading System

sorry Dr. Qindex,
may I ask kindly for your view on USD/CAD?

my take is it is downtrending with scope of 1.02 but it might surprise with 1.04 pullback? TIA!

Syd 22:42 GMT March 2, 2010
Charts: Australian Dollar Heading Higher?
Reply   
The Australian dollar could rise further against the US dollar, Nicole Elliott from Mizuho Corporate Bank told CNBC Tuesday. Elliott also takes a technical look at the euro.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=
1429380473&play=1

GVI Forex Blog 22:42 GMT March 2, 2010 Reply   
Canada's currency jumped against the U.S. dollar on Tuesday after the Bank of Canada left interest rates unchanged, but it finished off the six-week high it hit earlier in the day, while short-term bonds held lower.

Forex Market News - CANADA FX DEBT-C$ rises for third day, short bonds fall

GVI Forex Blog 22:27 GMT March 2, 2010 Reply   
Greece and Germany nearing a deal? Hoenig defends Fed's independence GBP off further

Forex Market Commentary and Analysis (2 March 2010)

GVI Forex Jay 21:53 GMT March 2, 2010
euro



Note the 100 4 hour mva, except for a brief blip has traded below it since mid January. Currently comes in at 1.3621

Other indicator is 20 day mva at 1.3645

Last Friday's high 1.3683

Last week's high 1.3691

Wednesday's daily pivot 1.3555

GVI Forex Jay 21:44 GMT March 2, 2010
euro
Reply   
I posted this on GVI Forex and posting it here to see if we can get some further discussion:

GVI Forex Jay 20:35 GMT March 2, 2010
euro:
Market starting to unfold along the risk lines I suggested over the weekend. Once again, eur/usd tested sub-1.35 and failed to close below it. There are a few issues arguing in favor of a correction or at least consolidation:

1) Heavily oversold
2) Failure to close below 1.35
3) Risk of an outside week key reversal if 1.3683 is firmly broken
3) Greek showdown week - while there will likely remain concerns, a decent bond issue could at least ease some of those concerns (relief rally?)
4) Weak GBP has shifted some of the focus from the euro and a firmer eur/gbp has provided some offset eur/usd support.
5) ECB meeting - talk today that it could present exit strategy despite internal EZ strains.

On the other side:
1) This has been a market of sharp moves but false starts and betting on follow through has not worked. Given oversold market, will need technical confirmation for a more serious correction to unfold.
2) Greek backstop support plan should be somewhat discounted as it was leaked over the weekend
'3) Greek labor reaction to even more austerity has to be watched as doubts will linger over resolve to fully implement them

Balancing these two out, correction or at a minimum consolidation still seems the greater risk IMHO

This article in our blog covers the euro/Greek situation further/
FOREX NEWS-Euro rebounds on Greek hopes; Canada dollar rises

GVI Forex Blog 21:35 GMT March 2, 2010 Reply   
The euro rebounded from a 9-1/2-month low against the dollar on Tuesday as investors awaited new plans to address Greece's debt crisis and held out hope for some form of help from the European Union.

FOREX NEWS-Euro rebounds on Greek hopes; Canada dollar rises

Gen dk 20:29 GMT March 2, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GVI Forex Blog 20:15 GMT March 2, 2010 Reply   
Towards the end of last week, the USD/CAD was originally showing showing some bullish signals, that is until Friday. Friday’s price action was bearish, and invalidated the bullish assessment…

FXTimes: Daily Technical Update USD/CAD How I Missed the Bearish Signals

GVI Forex Blog 20:14 GMT March 2, 2010 Reply   
The AUD/USD was supported just above the 61.8% retracement near at the 0.877 area, and is on its way to 0.92, which would complete a bearish Gartley…

FXTimes: Daily Technical Update AUD/USD Monitoring Rally to 0.92

GVI Forex Blog 19:32 GMT March 2, 2010 Reply   
Risk-supportive European news dominated the evening sessions. The EU said it expects Greece will announce further deficit-reduction measures worth EUR4.8b, and UK plans to cut the budget deficit by GBP82b over 4 years were reported.

Forex Research - Morning Report

GVI Forex Blog 19:31 GMT March 2, 2010 Reply   
21:00 GMT- Mar 2 (global-view.com) We have been looking over various forecasts for U.S. non-farm payrolls due early Friday in the U.S. Originally some forecasts had looked for a flat to positive figure.

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- Setting Up For Jobs

GVI Forex john 19:27 GMT March 2, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support


The Daily Forex View

Setting Up For Jobs

21:00 GMT- Mar 2 (global-view.com) We have been looking over various forecasts for U.S. non-farm payrolls due early Friday in the U.S. Originally some forecasts had looked for a flat to positive figure. 

MORE...

GVI Forex Blog 19:00 GMT March 2, 2010 Reply   

Stocks Holding Gains but Rally is Slowing.

GVI Forex Blog 19:00 GMT March 2, 2010 Reply   

Dollar Mixed; Euro May Post Reversal Bottom

Chicago sc 18:56 GMT March 2, 2010
EURUSD
Reply   
Looks like a short squeeze in EURUSD heading into jobs data on Friday.

U.K. J.B. 18:06 GMT March 2, 2010
v a l u e

Sofia - apologize for late reply. Chinese New Year , m+a , repatriation etc keeping dolls/yen quiet. r/r for me being long for a break to 92 area 2oo ma then back to 95/100 we seem to have decent support high 88 handle. I notice your stops are very tight to be honest i would be stopped out nearly on every trade if i applied the same approach. We have a number of systems too back our strategy so would be nearly impossible to explain here. GL/GT.

Lahore FM 18:01 GMT March 2, 2010
Trade Ideas

Lahore FM 15:10 GMT March 2, 2010
Trade Ideas: Reply
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.3533 Target: Stop: 1.3505

added with stop
--
half out now at 1.3603.stops to entry on rest 1/2.

Lahore FM 16:58 GMT March 2, 2010
Trade Ideas

correction*

Lahore FM 13:39 GMT March 2, 2010
Trade Ideas: Reply
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.3575 Target: Stop: later today

long now.
--
this one from 1.3575 goes out 1.3571 and 1.3533 runs for me.

Lahore FM 16:57 GMT March 2, 2010
Trade Ideas

Lahore FM 15:10 GMT March 2, 2010
Trade Ideas: Reply
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.3533 Target: Stop: 1.3505

added with stop
--
this one out at 1.3571 now.lower 1.3533 runs for me.

GVI Forex Blog 16:32 GMT March 2, 2010 Reply   
Price action on USD/JPY, a daily chart of which is shown, has just formed a tight consolidation after having made a strong bearish run in late February. This occurs within the context of a continuing

Chart of the Day - 3/02/2010 – USD/JPY

GVI Forex Blog 16:26 GMT March 2, 2010 Reply   
Mar 2 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: On Wednesday, Australian, 4Q09 GDP data are due. In Europe, Eurozone and U.K. Service PMI figures are due. Eurozone retail Sales are expected. In North America,

GVI Forex- Data Outlook for March 3, 2010

Lahore FM 16:24 GMT March 2, 2010
Trade Ideas

02/25/2010 16:07:11 FM Lahore 31
Lahore FM 15:44 GMT February 25, 2010
Trade Ideas: Reply
Buy Gold
Entry: 1093.70 Target: open Stop: 1085.00

bought.
--
half out at 1099.65 for 6 usd.stops stay.
--
rest out now at 1133.10 for 39.50 usd in all.

PAR 16:18 GMT March 2, 2010
Greece - Everyday Greece
Reply   
Lets make " Greece, The Musical " and give them the royalties.


German foreign min: Greece aid talk inappropriate

Westerwelle expects Greece to do consolidation homework

* Says talk of aid makes markets nervous, not confident


BERLIN, March 2 (Reuters) - Germany's foreign minister said on Tuesday he regarded talk about financial aid for Greece as inappropriate for now, seeking to play down the prospect of Athens winning German help at a meeting on Friday.

Foreign Minister Guido Westerwelle's Free Democrats (FDP), the junior partner in Chancellor Angela Merkel's ruling coalition, have led resistance within Germany's centre-right government to giving Greece aid.

Merkel is due to meet Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou on Friday as confidence grows in financial markets that Athens might be nearing a deal with European Union governments to take more budget consolidation steps in return for some form of aid.

Westerwelle sought to play down the prospect of such a deal

http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSLDE6210RX20100302

GVI Forex john 16:17 GMT March 2, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Mar 2 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: On Wednesday, Australian, 4Q09 GDP data are due. In Europe, Eurozone and U.K. Service PMI figures are due. Eurozone retail Sales are expected. In North America, the February Private jobs Survey will be released early. The U.S. ISM Service PMI is due as well. Later, the weekly DOE energy data are due. Early afternoon will see the Fed Beige Book.

 

 

WEDNESDAY

 

 

0:30

AU

4Q GDP qq

0.90%

0.20%

0:30

AU

4Q GDP yy

2.40%

0.50%

8:58

EZ

Feb SVC PMI

52

52.5

8:58

UK

Feb SVC PMI

54.9

54.5

10:00

EZ

Dec Retail Sls mm

-0.40%

0.00%

10:00

EZ

Dec Retail Sls yy

-1.60%

-1.60%

12:15

US

Feb ADP Jobs k

-50

-22

15:00

US

Feb SVC PMI

51.1

50.5

15:30

US

EIA Crude mn

3

3

15:30

US

EIA Gasoline mn

-0.9

-0.9

15:30

US

EIA Distillate mn

-0.6

-0.6

15:30

US

EIA Cap Util

81.20%

81.20%

19:00

Fed

Beige Book

n/a

n/a

GVI Forex Blog 15:46 GMT March 2, 2010 Reply   
The first thing I thought when he uttered the P-word: “that must be big government’s worst nightmare.”

The Free-Market System Couldn’t Care Less

Geneva ej 15:38 GMT March 2, 2010
EURCHF

Hearing SNB was intervening in EUR/CHF.

Geneva ej 15:32 GMT March 2, 2010
EURCHF

can't believe I got filled in my bid a short while ago. Best I could do to t/p was 1.4644.

Hong Kong Qindex 15:31 GMT March 2, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Sell GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/USD : The 5-day cycle matrix system indicates that the current expected trading range is 1.4667 - 1.4986. Barriers are located at 1.4788 and 1.4828.

GVI Forex Blog 15:25 GMT March 2, 2010 Reply   

Optimism Continues to Support Stock Market Rise.

nyc ws 15:23 GMT March 2, 2010
USD

Ping Pong match is a good description although I can think of some other words to describe the market like Search and Destroy

Juffair KaL 15:18 GMT March 2, 2010
Limit orders
Reply   
AUDCHF Longs
limit entry all lows

0.9771 0.9674
0.9778 0.9681
0.9787 0.9690
0.9798 0.9701
0.9811 0.9714
general tgt 1.02 in 2 months
============

usdcad shorts
Limit entry all highs
more flat..but..heading to 1.01 in 2 months
1.0475 1.0352
1.0475 1.0353
1.0476 1.0354
1.0476 1.0353
1.0474 1.0351
1.0467 1.0344

NYC ET 15:15 GMT March 2, 2010
correlation
Reply   
Seeing some forex - stock correlation in US session today

Varna GV 15:14 GMT March 2, 2010
USD
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Ping -pong game for Eur/Usd think the risk is remain on the down side!!!
Good luck for all!!

HK Kevin 15:14 GMT March 2, 2010
BOC

sofia kaprikorn 15:05 GMT, agree with you. 1.03-1.08 range is still valid for USD/CAD.

Lahore FM 15:10 GMT March 2, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.3533 Target: Stop: 1.3505

added with stop

sofia kaprikorn 15:09 GMT March 2, 2010
BOC

sofia kaprikorn 15:05 GMT March 2, 2010
long USD/CAD 1.0333 / stop 1.0303
----
added 1/2 at 1.0337 / avg. 1.0335

stops at 1.0322 and 1.0303

sofia kaprikorn 15:05 GMT March 2, 2010
BOC

dailies show a key reversal and 3 black crows but I'm playing here a mean regression trade on lower timeframe with scope at 1.0370/80...

btw the whole Weekly pattern for the last 5 months is like a Saucer bottom ..

long USD/CAD 1.0333 / stop 1.0303

sofia kaprikorn 14:42 GMT March 2, 2010
fade the rally

sofia kaprikorn 14:05 GMT March 2, 2010
short EUR/USD 1.3580 / stop 1.3606
___________________________
closed at 1.3551.

GVI Forex Jay 14:37 GMT March 2, 2010
BOC



As I posted on GVI Forex:

USD/CAD so far holding the bottom of its daily down channel (see chart). Key supports are at 1.0226 and 1.0207. Low has been around 1.0303.

Juffair KaL 14:34 GMT March 2, 2010
gold
Reply   
Buys
High lows forecast next 5 days
GLD
110.28 108.79
110.50 109.01
110.74 109.25
110.96 109.47

uso= oil

38.84 37.92
38.90 37.99
38.96 38.05
39.03 38.12
39.09 38.18

Richland QC Mailman 14:23 GMT March 2, 2010
BOC

"BOC more hawkish than before" says a trader in Toronto
explaining the dip in the pair to C$1.0310 area from pre-announcement levels around C$1.0360 with some tech analysts eyeing a target at C$1.0300 the Jan 20th low. Below there stops positioned sub C$1.0280 and in euro-Canada sub C$1.3980 may prove tempting targets. Dollar last at C$1.0315 euro-Cad at C$1.4010.

Belgrade AS 14:20 GMT March 2, 2010
BOC

i'm totally bullish(against 1.0200)...fired first long!will be buying dips in 1,02-1,03 zone(if any)
once risk goes off this pair will reach 1,0800 in 3-4 weeks

GVI Forex Jay 14:20 GMT March 2, 2010
BOC

CAD reaction is to BOC dropping language that inflation risks are tilting downwards.

Thanks to TTN (Trade the News) leading squawk box reporting of BOC with this part of the statement. If you don't subscribe to TTN, you should consider it. If interested, EMAIL me for a contact name.

London HC 14:07 GMT March 2, 2010
BOC
Reply   
A little more hawkish? Risk is for 1.0230-50

sofia kaprikorn 14:05 GMT March 2, 2010
fade the rally
Reply   
short EUR/USD 1.3580 / stop 1.3606

sofia kaprikorn 14:02 GMT March 2, 2010
buying range low

sofia kaprikorn 13:05 GMT March 2, 2010
buying range low: Reply
added 1/2 at 1.0357 / avg. 1.0354
______________
stopped out.

GVI Forex john 14:01 GMT March 2, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

BOC holds rates steady as expected.

sofia kaprikorn 13:59 GMT March 2, 2010
BOC
Reply   
with GDP annualized up to 5% I think yesterday I read that they hike to 4% so old news...
so fade the drop till now?

Juffair KaL 13:40 GMT March 2, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
eurusd shorts should be here unless wants to do something else...added
hehehe

Lahore FM 13:39 GMT March 2, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.3575 Target: Stop: later today

long now.

Lahore FM 13:35 GMT March 2, 2010
Trade Ideas

two longs eurusd stopped for minus 30 and plus 10 earlier.

Lahore FM 13:32 GMT March 2, 2010
Trade Ideas

03/01/2010 15:46:20 FM Lahore 7
02/25/2010 07:12:54 FM Lahore 30

Buy OTHER
Entry: 84.76 Target: earlier targets Stop: later
added 84.76 to earlier long cadjpy.i had suspected the possibility of a trip to mid 84 that's why the stops for first position were tentative only.
--
half out at 85.24,stops to 84.00.
--
rest out at 86.01 now for 125+ in all.

long remainder from under 84.00 plays on.

Juffair KaL 13:17 GMT March 2, 2010
NZDUSD
Reply   
NZDUSD
A sell mode
next 5 days
I placed limit order for all the highs

0.7043 0.6935
0.7035 0.6927
0.7027 0.6919
0.7019 0.6912
0.7012 0.6905

Wall Street 13:07 GMT March 2, 2010
EURUSD
Reply   
Neutrality in the EURUSD is currently 1.3530. Risk bands at the moment are running at +/- 40 to 50 pips. That is about at the limit of our current tolerance zone, but we believe tradeable.

sofia kaprikorn 13:05 GMT March 2, 2010
buying range low

added 1/2 at 1.0357 / avg. 1.0354

sofia kaprikorn 13:02 GMT March 2, 2010
buying range low
Reply   
long USD/CAD 1.0352 / SL 1.0336

Juffair KaL 13:00 GMT March 2, 2010
crash

eurgbp
I'l sell and add
0.9084 0.9000
0.9078 0.8994
0.9073 0.8989
0.9067 0.8983
0.9058 0.8974
0.9049 0.8965
0.9041 0.8958
0.9035 0.8952
0.9026 0.8943
0.9017 0.8933
0.9007 0.8924

Amsterdam Purk 13:00 GMT March 2, 2010
long shadown candle

Yessssssssss! now stop!

sofia kaprikorn 12:57 GMT March 2, 2010
long shadown candle

sofia kaprikorn 10:40 GMT March 2, 2010
long EUR/USD 1.3504 / Sl 1.3482
____________________________
closed at 1.3561

Juffair KaL 12:56 GMT March 2, 2010
EURCHF

good entry
10 days forecast

1.4650 1.4606
1.4639 1.4595
1.4629 1.4584
1.4618 1.4573
1.4608 1.4564
1.4599 1.4554
1.4590 1.4545
1.4580 1.4536
1.4570 1.4526
1.4561 1.4517
1.4553 1.4509

Geneva ej 12:46 GMT March 2, 2010
EURCHF
Reply   
Buy
Entry: 1.4625 Target: 1.4660 Stop: 1.4610

Feeling like Ground Hog day. If not filled today will probably leave this as an overnight order. Will check in again before I leave.

Juffair KaL 12:46 GMT March 2, 2010
crash

eurjpy 10 days
sell a good idea

121.44 119.84
121.23 119.64
121.05 119.46
120.87 119.28
120.71 119.12
120.54 118.95
120.41 118.83
120.31 118.72
120.18 118.60
120.05 118.47
119.92 118.34

GVI Forex john 12:41 GMT March 2, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Total Open Interest in the EURO FX futures contract ended at 202,046 on Monday, -745 contracts. Our best guess is that new LONGS from Friday were squeezed out yesterday. Other ideas welcomed. Looking ahead, keep in mind that the weekly Commitment of Traders Report is based on data as of Tuesday (today) each week.

Juffair KaL 12:28 GMT March 2, 2010
crash

euraud
10 days forecast
this guy is crashing
1.5105 1.4968
1.5084 1.4946
1.5061 1.4923
1.5035 1.4898
1.5006 1.4869
1.4973 1.4837
1.4943 1.4807
1.4916 1.4780
1.4885 1.4750
1.4857 1.4722
1.4827 1.4692

Juffair KaL 12:25 GMT March 2, 2010
crash

eurusud
5 days
forecast
Highs and low
1.3606 1.3476
1.3585 1.3456
1.3562 1.3433
1.3540 1.3412
1.3518 1.3389

you have work around it

GVI Forex Blog 12:20 GMT March 2, 2010 Reply   

FX Thoughts for the day : 02-Mar-2010 - 1218 GMT

ha noi 11:56 GMT March 2, 2010
dji
Reply   
Buy
Entry: Target: Stop:

i think dji go up 1050 today

Richland QC Mailman 11:56 GMT March 2, 2010
Short eur and gbp
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3545 Target: open Stop: 1.3565

Time to short this euroistic correction ahead of 1.3550.

Also shorted gbp ahead of 1.4990.

Juffair KaL 11:54 GMT March 2, 2010
crash

^dji
a Buy 10280 anytime

IMO msn is the best stock in the usa
now around 2.2 Bucks
Heading to 6 buck in 2 mnth

Belgrade AS 11:50 GMT March 2, 2010
long shadown candle

10 and 20dayMAs have been capping both cable and eurusd for a whole month now...at the same time i think it's proper to think in terms of temporary consolidation in both pairs.
looks like next few days will be paradise for day traders and scalpers.

ha noi 11:45 GMT March 2, 2010
long gu
Reply   
Buy
Entry: Target: Stop:

long du st 50 pip tp 1.5050

London ex 11:42 GMT March 2, 2010
$/yen
Reply   
Buy
Entry: Target: Stop:

Probing for a level to trade against. Looking for an extreme at the moment. I still think Tokyo does not like this pair below 90.00.

Gen dk 11:21 GMT March 2, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GVI Forex Blog 11:13 GMT March 2, 2010 Reply   
Traders of the US anticipate the publication of the ADP National Employment Report tomorrow March 2

Forexpros Daily Analysis - 02/03/2010

Juffair KaL 11:04 GMT March 2, 2010
long shadown candle

will short at 1.3578 today
tgt 1.3390

GVI Forex Blog 10:59 GMT March 2, 2010 Reply   
Currencies: European peripheral concerns continue to be the critical issue for the direction of currencies. The EUR/USD posted fresh 9-month lows below 1.3450 following comment s that the Greek civil servants union ADEDY would stage a 24-hour strike in the middle of the month to protest against the new measures.

European Market Update: New Greece measures expected on Wednesday; Euro tested fresh nine-month lows as Greek unions continue to protest austerity measures

GVI Forex Blog 10:49 GMT March 2, 2010 Reply   
11:00 GMT- Mar 2 (global-view.com) There was more than the usual uncertainty on policy heading into the Reserve Bank of Australia decision to hike its benchmark rate by 25bps today to 4.00%...

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- Active Week In Store

GVI Forex john 10:46 GMT March 2, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support


The Daily Forex View

Active Week In Store

11:00 GMT- Mar 2 (global-view.com) There was more than the usual uncertainty on policy heading into the Reserve Bank of Australia decision to hike its benchmark rate by 25bps today to 4.00%...

MORE...

sofia kaprikorn 10:40 GMT March 2, 2010
long shadown candle
Reply   
long EUR/USD 1.3504 / Sl 1.3482

Gen dk 10:37 GMT March 2, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Juffair KaL 10:32 GMT March 2, 2010
crash
Reply   
eurcad
euraud
crashing for 2 months IMO

London Misha 10:18 GMT March 2, 2010
Observations
Reply   
USDJPY - Bullish matching on the Daily Chart.
GBPUSD - Target for the Feb Bear Flag has been achieved!
USDCHF - Possible Bullish Harami on the Daily Chart.
EURJPY - Bearish Harami on the Daily Chart.
NZDUSD - Doji on the Daily Chart but also the 2nd close over the Long MA!

Sutherland Michael 10:07 GMT March 2, 2010
USD

Varna, In my humble opinion I must disagree with your assessment, debts do not have to be paid back by the big players, only the consumer class.

The world economy is reverse socialist. They privatise the profits and socialise the losses.

Varna GV 10:02 GMT March 2, 2010
USD
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Michael, sir the LOSSES just not disappeared,this big big losses move from private banks and firms to FED,BAE,ECB , the crash of the markets can't be stop from anyone, we all must pay this losses, the time for this is coming!!!

PAR 09:58 GMT March 2, 2010
Greece
Reply   
Greek public sector union to strike March 16
Tue Mar 2, 2010 4:22am ESTATHENS, March 2 (Reuters) - Greece's biggest public sector union ADEDY called a 24-hour strike for March 16 to protest against new austerity measures expected from the government to tackle the country's debt crisis.


"We decided unanimously for a 24-hour strike on March 16," ADEDY's President Spyros Papaspyros said on Tuesday.

The strike will be the third protest ADEDY has staged this year against cost cutting plans needed to reduce the country's budget deficit and bring it back in line with EU rules.

ADEDY and its sister private sector union GSEE represent about 2.5 million workers, half of Greece's workforce. (Reporting by Renee Maltezou; editing by Paul

Sutherland Michael 09:53 GMT March 2, 2010
USD

The Euro is "Too big to fail"

100 billion dollar bailout for countries in Europe is nothing, really when you think of the money Wall street got.

World leaders want a growing world economy, for that they need faith in Europe and other markets. A Euro crash will kill off any optimism on the market and drive the world into a double dip recession. For this reason they will not allow Greece to default. Soon a plan will be announced to "solve" the problem.

That is in my humble opinion of course.

sofia kaprikorn 09:52 GMT March 2, 2010
USD/JPY -- double bottom

sofia kaprikorn 22:48 GMT March 1, 2010
USD/JPY -- double bottom: Reply
sofia kaprikorn 20:56 GMT March 1, 2010
now that my position that I bought at 89.18/41 is underwater I start asking myself questions:
........
I set the stop at 88.72 - if it survives I will add again at 89.54 - the break of the previous highs (89.50/47) will confirm a reversal..
_______________________________

closed the position at 88.93 for -33

Varna GV 09:48 GMT March 2, 2010
USD
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

This year Greeks needs more than 50 bil. of euro to make a normal payments, the markets, must give them the sum, but who will be so brave on this losing greek dance. How to give the money, when you know that the debtor have not to be able to return the mony back!!!

PAR 09:48 GMT March 2, 2010
European Tax Hikes
Reply   
Europe is set to become more federal under secret plans being drawn up in the capital of Brussels, according to Der Spiegel.

The German paper reports that an economic government for the Euro zone is being designed and will be implemented as part of a post-Greece overhaul of the continent's government.

The plan, developed by the German and French, is designed to sort out the problems of troubled states before they grow to large, and will target all Euro zone members and states which peg their currencies to the Euro, according to Der Spiegel.

Sutherland Michael 09:44 GMT March 2, 2010
Bouncy Bouncy
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.3447 Target: Open Stop: 1.3400

In my humble opinion get ready for a massive correction of the Euro to the upside. Euro oversold, yes, it has some debt problems but so does the U.S. The powers that be need a stable Euro and the U.S. wants a weaker dollar to keep gas prices down to help its economy.

Varna GV 09:26 GMT March 2, 2010
USD
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Sell Eur/usd, very good profit on a short side, will short stocks today and on 3 th of March there is a Venus 0 degree Uranus, think for April/May crash mode for stocks!!!
Good luck for all!!!

PAR 09:04 GMT March 2, 2010
Greece Perpetuum Problems
Reply   
If not resolved before summer not too many tourist will want to visit. Better go to IMF sponsored Turkey.

By Simon Kennedy and Jonathan Stearns

March 2 (Bloomberg) -- The European Union set the clock ticking on Greece’s attempts to cut the bloc’s largest budget deficit.

As Prime Minister George Papandreou prepares to meet Germany’s Angela Merkel on March 5, EU Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn yesterday said Greece must reveal new measures “in the coming days” to allay officials’ concerns that the current austerity plan falls short.

Merkel and other EU leaders want Greece to do more so they can justify any aid package to taxpayers and political opponents who say that Greece shouldn’t be bailed out after living beyond its means. Failure to satisfy Rehn’s demand before the Berlin talks may dash hopes of a German-led lifeline, spurring investors to reverse yesterday’s rally in Greek bonds.

http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-03-02/eu-sets-clock-ticking-on-greece-as-merkel-talks-near-update1-.html

sofia kaprikorn 09:03 GMT March 2, 2010
v a l u e
Reply   
U.K J.B

if you are around,

may I pls ask for your view on the USD/JPY and to the extent it is comfortable to unveil what method do you use to asses the relative value of a certain trade? tia!

Bahrain BAH1 08:56 GMT March 2, 2010
Trend
Reply   
Kajitsu to u Rana.

tokyo rana 08:51 GMT March 2, 2010
Trend

thank you very much....
good info.
regards,

Bahrain BAH1 08:47 GMT March 2, 2010
Trend
Reply   
Hi there......tokyo rana
North mean up
South mean down
GL

Montréal Taro 08:35 GMT March 2, 2010
GBPUSD
Reply   
Lahore FM and WFAKHOURY

What are your thought on pound for today ?

TIA

tokyo rana 08:32 GMT March 2, 2010
trend south
Reply   
any body tellme trend south mean?
trend north mean?
best regards

tokyo rana 08:30 GMT March 2, 2010
24 hrs

please tellme trend south mean?
regards,

Juffair KaL 08:27 GMT March 2, 2010
24 hrs
Reply   
The trend seems
south for
GBP/USD
GBP/JPY
GBP/CHF
GBP/CAD
GBP/NZD
GBP/AUD
GBP/SEK

north for
EUR/GBP

on a on going way

doing these for 6 to 24 hrs

Tel-Aviv Nemo 08:07 GMT March 2, 2010
CAD
Reply   
Buy USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Any news from Vancouver?? What happens with CAD?

PAR 08:03 GMT March 2, 2010
GM - IPO - Toyota Congress
Reply   

2010 GENEVA MOTOR SHOW
GM recalling 1.3M vehicles over steering problems
1:46 am U.S. ET, March 2
General Motors Co. is recalling 1.3 million compact cars in North America to address a power steering problem that has been linked to 14 crashes and one injury, the company said on Tuesday. U.S. safety regulators opened an investigation on Jan. 27 into approximately 905,000 Cobalt models in the United States after receiving more than 1,100 complaints of power steering failures.

Read more: http://www.autonews.com/#ixzz0h0KGiElj

Hong Kong 07:53 GMT March 2, 2010
EUR/USD Intraday trading signal by AceTrader
Reply   
INTRADAY TRADING SIGNAL BY ACETRADER.COM: EUR/USD
EUR/USD: 1.3538

Late Update At 02 Mar 2010 07:44 GMT

Current rebound after finding renweed buying at
1.3504 suggests the pullback fm 1.3580 has possibly
ended there, further choppy consolidation wud be
seen with upside bias n gain to 1.3565 is likely
but 1.3580 res shud remain intact.


Buy on dips with stop as indicated, break risks
stronger pullback to 1.3475/80 but 1.3451 wud hold.



Range Forecast
1.3515 / 1.3555


Resistance/Support
R: 1.3580/1.3627/1.3665
S: 1.3504/1.3496/1.3460

http://www.acetraderfx.com

PAR 07:40 GMT March 2, 2010
Greece - IMF - Otmar Issing
Reply   
Mar 2, 2010
Greece should go to IMF: Issing

BERLIN - GREECE should turn to the International Monetary Fund rather than other euro zone states for help in tackling its debt crisis, the former European Central Bank chief economist Otmar Issing said on Monday.

Mr Issing, still a respected figure in central banking circles, also said he was worried about the cohesion of the euro zone due to the ongoing crisis.

'The IMF would be suitable because it is meant for this,' Mr Issing told Germany's ZDF television in an interview. 'The fund has long experience with granting aid and attaching conditions.' 'By turning to the IMF, you avoid resentment building up between Greece and other individual countries, such as Germany,' added Mr Issing, who has played a leading role in advising the German government on financial reform during the credit crisis.

Politicians in Germany, Europe's biggest economy, are reluctant to rescue Greece, partly because it has been hiding the true extent of its debts while Germans have undergone reforms to keep their budget deficit under control. Several European politicians, including German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble, have said they don't want the IMF to get involved.

http://www.straitstimes.com/BreakingNews/Money/Story/STISt
ory_496754.html

Hong Kong 06:41 GMT March 2, 2010
GBP/USD Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader
Reply   
INTRA-DAY GBP/USD: 1.4906


Last Update At 02 Mar 2010 04:20 GMT



Cable's intra-day weakness suggests caution on
our prospect of a rebound, abv 1.4945/50 wud signal
pullback fm 1.5016 (NY) has ended n yield another
bounce to 1.4970 but reckon 1.5016 wud remain
intact in Asia n bring further choppy trading.


Hold long with stop as indicated but below sup
at 1.4881 needed to extend weakness twd 1.4851.




Range Forecast
1.4900 / 1.4930


Resistance/Support
R: 1.4948/1.5000/1.5016
S: 1.4881/1.4851/1.4781

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Syd 05:09 GMT March 2, 2010
TD Securities Tips Aussie Rates At 5.25% Year-End
Reply   
RBA won't hike in April, but will likely push rates to 5.25% by year-end, says TD Securities Economist Roland Randall. "This tighten-and-pause scenario is consistent with past messages that a 'gradual adjustment' to more neutral cash rates is likely this year." Says barring a swoon in data, board will get busy hiking post-April. "We remain with our end-year target of 5.25% unless growth data materially disappoint in the next few months."
Expect Aussie Cash Rate At 5% By End Of Year-ICAP
Expect Aussie cash rate at 4.5% by mid-year and 5% by end of year after RBA raises rates to 4% today, says Adam Carr, senior economist with ICAP. Economist says biggest risk to Australian economy is inflation and central bank could even get to 5% well before year-end. "They are finally getting the picture," says Carr. "The risk isn't that we have a housing collapse, it's that we have a housing boom. We need policy to deal with these risks, not concerns about sovereign debt that doesn't affect us."

dc CB 05:08 GMT March 2, 2010
fx

think your little dispute could get this far?
guess again.
Not unless your are/were once A Lord of the Manor

Justices Hear Appeal

dc CB 04:53 GMT March 2, 2010
fx

I want the room 2 floors above where I see those guys.

love the moat.

MY HOTEL

dc CB 04:45 GMT March 2, 2010
fx

Booking my London tour as I post :)

Syd 04:12 GMT March 2, 2010
fx
Reply   
Aus. Rate hikeLINK

If speculators are on the money, the pound still has a long way to fall

RBA has to boost the cash rate by another 50 bps to get lending rates back to average, but its view growth is already close to trend means they may need to hike by even more, says UBS Chief Economist Scott Haslem. "We continue to target 4.75% for the cash rate end-year, with the next move from the RBA early in 2H 2010. The key risk to our view is a faster-than-expected recovery in private demand in early 2010, and ongoing drop in the unemployment rate, that leads the RBA to lift rates more rapidly in the near term."

GVI Forex Blog 03:54 GMT March 2, 2010 Reply   

Morning Briefing : 02-Mar-2010 - 0340 GMT

Syd 03:40 GMT March 2, 2010
RBA Hikes Rates 25 Bps To 4.00% As Expected
Reply   
RBA raised cash rate target further one quarter of a percentage point to 4.00% Tuesday as economy accelerates and labor market conditions tighten rapidly. Tightening, which was forecast by majority of economists, follows pause in February. Economists expect RBA to raise rates a number of times in 2010 as it normalizes rates, deals with economy reinvigorated by strong commodity demand from Asia. The hike keeps RBA well out in front of Group of 20 peers, most of which still have rates set close to zero and continue to face weak economies.

Sydney SH 03:32 GMT March 2, 2010
RBA

Looks that way by lack of reaction.

Syd 03:32 GMT March 2, 2010
RBA Governor: Global Economy Is Growing
Reply   
Australia's RBA Raises Cash Rate Target 25 BPs To 4.0%
RBA Governor: Interest Rates To Most Borrowers Lower Than Average

RBA Governor: Appropriate For Interest Rates To Be Closer To Average
RBA Governor: Interest Rates To Most Borrowers Lower Than Average

LOS ANGELES CPR 03:30 GMT March 2, 2010
RBA

Is the expectation rise of RBA rates already factored AUDUSD ?

GVI Forex Jay 03:27 GMT March 2, 2010
RBA

As posted by a GVI member:

The market has 65% chance of a hike priced in currently via the 30d interbank futures contract.. this is the best gauge....

Syd 03:17 GMT March 2, 2010
DJ China: 2010 Credit Policy Should Help Price Stability
Reply   
China's current credit policy should help stabilize prices and manage inflation expectations this year as well as ensuring stable and fast economic growth, the country's banking regulator, Liu Mingkang, said Monday. Liu's comments suggest China will restrain credit growth in 2010 to curb inflation and asset bubbles but keep liquidity ample to support the economy, as Beijing gradually exits from its crisis-driven expansionary policies adopted in late 2008.

America's hidden debt bombsLINK

Richland QC Mailman 03:12 GMT March 2, 2010
RBA

Hi there. Good Asian morning. What is the bias for the pair if RBA raises rates? The last time they raise it, pair flew formidably... thanks.

Singapore RH 03:06 GMT March 2, 2010
RBA
Reply   
25 minutes until the RBA decides. Hold on to your caps.

tokyo ginko 01:59 GMT March 2, 2010
GBP/USD traded at 1.48
Reply   
wow...didn't see that shinkansen train coming..

Gen dk 01:52 GMT March 2, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

tokyo rana 01:41 GMT March 2, 2010
QIndex Trading System

My Dear,
How are you?
last night did not come gbpjpy to 129.5.....
What do you think about gbpjpy?
what will be lowest?124 129 130?and after that up possible like 138 to 144?
iwant know your thoughts....
regards,

Hong Kong Qindex 01:31 GMT March 2, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Sell GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/USD : The 5-day cycle chart indicates that 1.5074 is a resistant point. Bias is on the downside when it is trading below 1.4979. The odds are good that GBP/USD will challenge the supporting barriers at 1.4693 // 1.4788.

tokyo rana 01:31 GMT March 2, 2010
Need Advice GBP-USD

very nice advise,
ithink so do next trade.
win and lose part of this game.
regards,

san diego bobl 01:28 GMT March 2, 2010
Need Advice GBP-USD

In the first place you should always take a trade off when the reason you got in no longer exists. If you can bail with an $800 USD loss, consider yourself lucky. It's always best to move on from a bad trade..........hurts mentally more than financially. WE ALL TAKE LOSERS........IT'S A PART OF THIS BUSINESS. The key is to keep losers small and not hold them hoping it will change. Forget it........next trade.

Just imho

gl/gt

Hong Kong Qindex 01:20 GMT March 2, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Sell GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/USD : The followings are still valid :



03/01/2010 15:44:49 Qindex Hong Kong 2

Sell GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:
GBP/USD : The odds are in favor of taking a short position when the market is below 1.4960. The market is going to consolidate within the weekly cycle matrix system at 1.4656 - 1.4759 - 1.4960.


03/01/2010 12:33:49 Qindex Hong Kong 3

Sell
Entry: Target: Stop:
GBP/AUD : The market is under pressure when it is trading below the daily cycle normal lower limits at 1.6681 - 1.6706 - 1.6723. Basically the market is trying to work on the barrier at 1.6231 //1.6630. Sell on rallies is the preferred trading strategy.

Hong Kong 00:54 GMT March 2, 2010
Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader
Reply   
Market Review - 01/03/2010 22:56GMT

Sterling tumbles against dollar on political woes


The single currency declined against the U.S. dollar on Monday, led by a sharp sell-off in pound and lingering uncertainty over a bailout for Greece. The cable hit a 10-month low and was on track for its biggest one-day drop since October after news of potential political stability in the coming U.K. election.

The cable extended recent selloff in Asia on Monday. The pound tumbled against the dollar as much as 3% to intra-day low of 1.4781 in European mid-day, the lowest level since May 1 as polls showed Britain may have its first minority government since 1974, hampering efforts to reduce the nation’s debt. However, cable staged a strong rebound from there on the release of weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data. Despite the pullback, sterling still closed the day down over 1.3%.

The single currency fell as much as 1.3% against the dollar on Monday, the most since Feb. 17. Despite a brief rise to 1.3665 in European morning, the pair fell sharply from there as EU Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn said that Greece must deepen measures to reduce its budget deficit. The euro tumbled to 1.3460 in NY morning before staging a strong rebound on the release of weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data. Despite the recovery, the single currency still dropped over 0.5% for the day.

Data to be released on Tuesday include Japan Household spending, Unemployment rate, Australia Retail sales, RBA rate decision, Swiss GDP, Germany Import price index, U.K. PMI construction, EU HICP flash, PPI, Canada BOC rate decision on Tuesday.

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Syd 00:52 GMT March 2, 2010
0z
Reply   
Australian general government financial consumption expenditure rose 1.8% in chain volume terms in the fourth quarter of 2009 from the third quarter, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said Tuesday.Public gross fixed capital formation rose 10.2% in chain volume terms from the fourth quarter from the previous quarter, the ABS said. General government final consumption in current price terms rose 2.6% in the fourth quarter from the previous quarter. Total public gross fixed capital formation in current price terms rose 9.6% in the fourth quarter from the third. Government spending and investment make up around 25% of Australia's gross domestic product. Fourth quarter GDP data are due 0030 GMT Wednesday.

Syd 00:31 GMT March 2, 2010
OZ
Reply   
Australia Jan Private-Sector House Approvals +0.3% On Month
Australia Jan Residential Bldg Approvals +47.6% On Year
Australia Jan Adjusted Retail Sales +1.2%; Consensus +0.5% Australia Jan Residential Bldg Approvals -7.0% On Month

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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