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Forex Forum Archive for 03/09/2010

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Lahore FM 23:55 GMT March 9, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy USDCAD
Entry: 1.0279 Target: 1.0490 Stop: 1.0220

03/09/2010 14:32:34 FM Lahore 15

Buy USDCAD
Entry: 1.0279 Target: Stop: later today
long now.
--
stop placed 1.0220

HK [email protected] 23:42 GMT March 9, 2010
AUS/USD
Reply   
It is obvious that Aus/USD is targeting 0.92, less obvious is that 91.75 may serve as a hidden pivot.

A break of 91.75 is essential for reaching a longer term target of 94.10, so expect some resistance at that price level.

Syd 23:35 GMT March 9, 2010
An index of consumer sentiment in Australia rose 0.2% in March from February.
Reply   
The index rose to 117.3 points in March in seasonally adjusted terms from 117.0 points in February, compilers Westpac Banking Corp. and the Melbourne Institute said in a statement Wednesday. In annual terms, the consumer sentiment index rose a seasonally adjusted 37.1% in March. In trend terms, the index fell 0.8% in March from February, for a 33.1% annual increase. March's increase comes despite the Reserve Bank of Australia lifting the cash rate target a total of 100 basis points since October to 4.0%, including a 25 basis point increase earlier this month.

HK c 23:29 GMT March 9, 2010
EURAUD
Reply   
Sell EURAUD
Entry: 1.4910 Target: 1.4805 Stop: 1.4935

Hoping for a correction for entry.

Syd 23:20 GMT March 9, 2010
Aussie Jobs Growth To Underpin Retail - Access
Reply   
Surge in Australian jobs growth in recent times likely to underpin retail sales in coming year, says Access Economics in latest retail forecast; now expects inflation-adjusted real retail sales will grow 2.6% in year ending June 30, 2.7% in FY11, 3.8% in FY12, vs relatively subdued December forecasts for growth of just 2.1%, 1.4%, 2.7%, respectively. Still, Access warns rising interest rates--with more likely on way--will act as slight damper, stopping retail sales from being "spectacular". And, like many policymakers, economists, Canberra-based think tank expects two-tier economy ahead, with retail sales growth likely to stem from resourch-rich regions like Western Australia, Queensland, not from commercial centers like Sydney, where vast mortgage belt likely again to feel pinch of rising rates

jeursalem KB 23:11 GMT March 9, 2010
BUY GBPCHF
Reply   
Buy GBPCHF
Entry: 1.6115 Target: 1.6210 Stop: 1.6060

BOUGHT & 2nd target 1.6290

Lahore FM 23:04 GMT March 9, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell Crude
Entry: 81.27 Target: Stop: 81.95

sold april

Syd 23:00 GMT March 9, 2010
RBA's Lowe: IMF Inflation Target Proposals Not Sensible
Reply   
Big Win For BHP Coal, Iron Ore Next?
BHP has just settled its first ever quarterly coal contract with the Japanese, a move that cannot be underestimated in its importance and which may have similar ramifications for iron ore.
The NAB Monthly Business Survey and Economic Outlook for February showed gains in both business confidence and conditions, though the bank's growth forecasts remain unchanged. fnarena.com

Syd 22:52 GMT March 9, 2010
RBA's Lowe: Australian Business Confident But Cautious
Reply   

RBA's Lowe: Australian Business Spending Plans Remain Below Average, Excluding Miners
RBA's Lowe: Australian Businesses Getting Better Access To Credit
RBA's Lowe: Australian Labor Market Is Strong
RBA's Lowe: China Efforts To Withdraw Stimulus Encouraging
RBA's Lowe: Expects Further Steps By China To Damp Economy
RBA's Lowe: Australian Businesses Getting Better Access To Credit
RBA's Lowe: Australian Business Spending Plans Remain Below Average, Excluding Miners
RBA's Lowe: Signs Lending To Commercial Property Picking Up





Syd 22:46 GMT March 9, 2010
DJ RBA's Lowe: Expects Further Significant Increases In Resources Exports
Reply   
SYDNEY (Dow Jones)--The outlook for Australia's economy remains favorable with inflation remaining within target, but flexibility in both macroeconomic policy and the economy will be key to offset any risks that lie ahead, a senior Australian central banker said Wednesday.
The remarks by Philip Lowe, Assistant Governor Economic at the Reserve Bank of Australia, reiterate a view among policy makers that Australia's economic upswing will need careful management to ensure inflation doesn't gather pace as the supply side creaks under the strain of limited capacity.
"We will need to keep a strong focus on improving the supply side of the economy so that demand can grow solidly without putting upward pressure on inflation," Lowe said.
In the speech, Lowe again repeated the central bank's positive outlook for the economy, but identified the three most pressing challenges as the need to expand the supply side, tackle the housing shortage and keep inflation low.
Lowe stamped on suggestions by the International Monetary Fund that inflation targets should be revised higher, saying it would undermine years of practice.
"As history has taught us, inflation distorts decision-making in the economy, discourages saving, and increases uncertainty about the future. None of this is helpful for expanding the supply side of the economy, and ultimately higher inflation means higher nominal interest rates," he said.

Syd 22:37 GMT March 9, 2010
aud
Reply   
Bubble warnings as investors move back to property LINK
Dollar opens higher as sentiment improves
AUD/USD: Trading the Change in Australian Employment LINK

Lahore FM 22:34 GMT March 9, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy EURGBP
Entry: 0.9072 Target: 0.9150 and above Stop: your choice of risk

ripe for rise.

GVI Forex Blog 22:12 GMT March 9, 2010 Reply   
The yen gained broadly on Tuesday amid Japanese repatriation flows, while the euro declined on concerns that peripheral euro zone economies could face debt problems similar to those of Greece.

FOREX NEWS-Yen rises broadly; Europe's debt woes hurt euro

GVI Forex Blog 22:11 GMT March 9, 2010 Reply   
The Canadian dollar rallied to turn slightly higher versus the U.S. dollar on Tuesday afternoon as the price of oil pared earlier losses and North American equity markets offered a mixed performance

Forex Market News - CANADA FX DEBT-C$ turns higher but locked in range

Lahore FM 22:04 GMT March 9, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy GBPJPY
Entry: 134.96 Target: 136.00.higher Stop: 133.80

bought as looking steady.

Chicago sc 22:04 GMT March 9, 2010
USDJPY

Tricky because we are fighting fiscal yearend repatriations to Japan.

Lahore FM 22:01 GMT March 9, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy USDJPY
Entry: 89.95 Target: 91.20.later Stop: 89.50

long here.

Mtl JP 21:47 GMT March 9, 2010
USDJPY

pray tell how tricky . tia.

Chicago sc 21:44 GMT March 9, 2010
USDJPY

Buy USDJPY
Entry: 89.25 Target: 91.00 Stop: 88.70

Hoping for another dip overnight to recent lows. I see USDJPY much higher after the turn of the month. In the meantime this is a tricky trade.

GVI Forex Blog 20:05 GMT March 9, 2010 Reply   
The GBP/USD broke below a short-term rising channel support, which you can see in the 4H chart. A swing projection in the 4H chart matches the 200% expanded swing projection of a larger scale move.

FXTimes: Daily Technical Update GBP/USD Another Bearish Swing?

GVI Forex Blog 20:00 GMT March 9, 2010 Reply   
We saw the GBP/JPY end last week with a bullish attempt, within a declining channel. This is a counter-trend rally, and a trading approach is to stalk the rally until it has completed the correction.

FXTimes: Daily Technical Update Stalking GBP/JPY

GVI Forex Blog 19:52 GMT March 9, 2010 Reply   
21:00 GMT- Mar 9 (global-view.com) With little to trade on in the early part of this week in the way of U.S. economic news, the focus has turned elsewhere...

Daily GVI Forex Forex View--Partial Risk On

nyc ws 19:50 GMT March 9, 2010
equities equities equities

ditto ditto ditto -- dj +31 points now

GVI Forex john 19:49 GMT March 9, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support


The Daily Forex View

Partial Risk On 21:00 GMT- Mar 9 (global-view.com) With little to trade on in the early part of this week in the way of U.S. economic news, the focus has turned elsewhere...

MORE...

NYC ET 19:35 GMT March 9, 2010
equities equities equities
Reply   
If you are looking for answers today's forex price movements look at US equities.

GVI Forex Jay 19:10 GMT March 9, 2010
EUR/CAD
Reply   


Pretty clear as well.

GVI Forex Jay 19:09 GMT March 9, 2010
EUR/AUD
Reply   


Check out this trend

Chicago sc 18:39 GMT March 9, 2010
USDJPY

So far I left a couple of pips on the table. That doesn't surprise me. What surprises me is that the pair seems contained here.

Chicago sc 18:17 GMT March 9, 2010
USDJPY

Got out with 6 pips. Was expecting a faster run through the figure.

jeursalem KB 18:14 GMT March 9, 2010
SHORT TERM TARGET
Reply   
Sell USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

short term targets 1.0210/1.0180/1.0120/1.0085 AS LONG AS 1.0298 AND 1.0320 HOLD break of 1.0205 will add more support or this view

Hong Kong Qindex 17:53 GMT March 9, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Sell USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/CAD : As shown in my webpage, the long term references for position traders, the short term downside targeting point is 0.9732 and the long term downside targeting range is 0.8956 - 0.9020.



USD/CAD : Monthly Cycle Charts
http;//www.qindex.com/cad.html

Hong Kong Qindex 17:39 GMT March 9, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Sell USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/CAD : The market is going to tackle the supporting barriers at 1.0215 - 1.0244 - 1.0249.

Chicago sc 17:34 GMT March 9, 2010
USDJPY
Reply   
Buy USDJPY
Entry: 89.90 Target: 90.35 Stop: 89.80

Quick scalp. Close stop.

GVI Forex futures 17:14 GMT March 9, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

FWIW- COT weekly snapshot will be based on data as of today.

Juffair KaL 17:13 GMT March 9, 2010
For Tokyo - rana

not messing with the trend
eurjpy
ok wanna make that possible 124
not messing with it
5day sma
high and low
3/9/2010 121.51 123.91 118.61
3/10/2010 121.27 123.67 118.36
3/11/2010 121.01 123.39 118.11
3/13/2010 120.73 123.13 117.87

tokyo rana 17:11 GMT March 9, 2010
For Tokyo - rana

hi,how are you?
thanx for message...
what do you mean?idonot understand
im sorry for poor english......hahaha
do you speak japanese or urdu?haha....
today uks gdp will lift gbpjpy to 137.300 to139.210 cluster resistance this is my thinking from there short for target 124.600 ...
on daily chart gbpjpy remain bearish black wave..
im not much experianced or pro of forex...
bestregards

Hong Kong Qindex 17:03 GMT March 9, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Sell USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/CAD : The next downside targeting range is 1.0135 - 1.0182.

Hong Kong Qindex 17:01 GMT March 9, 2010
QIndex Trading System

USD/CAD : As shown in the monthly cycle charts the critical level is located at 1.0275 - 1.0346. The bias is on the downside when the market is trading below 1.0301.



USD/CAD : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/cad.html

London Esoterica 17:01 GMT March 9, 2010
For Tokyo - rana
Reply   
GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

Good session all round.. ideas for Tokyo open given expected data

Hong Kong Qindex 16:58 GMT March 9, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Sell USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/CAD : As shown in the monthly cycle charts the critical level is located at 1.0301 - 1.0346. The odds are in favor of maintaining a short position when the market is trading below the critical level at 1.0301 - 1.0346.



USD/CAD : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/cad.html

Juffair KaL 16:47 GMT March 9, 2010
Sell Commodity Currencies

i think nzdusd
south faster
expected 5day sma
high and low (Expected)

3/9/2010 0.6933 0.7041 0.6809
3/10/2010 0.6926 0.7034 0.6800
3/11/2010 0.6918 0.7022 0.6793
3/13/2010 0.6908 0.7008 0.6785
3/14/2010 0.6896 0.6992 0.6777
3/16/2010 0.6882 0.6974 0.6765
3/17/2010 0.6867 0.6955 0.6750
3/18/2010 0.6851 0.6937 0.6736
3/20/2010 0.6836 0.6926 0.6722

Juffair KaL 16:38 GMT March 9, 2010
Sell Commodity Currencies

5 day sma expected

3/9/2010 0.9068
3/10/2010 0.9066
3/11/2010 0.9063
today and next day high (Resonable)

0.9150
0.9146
so i guess i am with you

3/13/2010 0.9056

GVI Forex Blog 16:36 GMT March 9, 2010 Reply   
The NY morning was characterized by the dollar retracing earlier price action but remained firmer compared to Tokyo opening levels.

Forex Blog - US Market Update (Trade the News)

GVI Forex Blog 16:34 GMT March 9, 2010 Reply   
Mar 9 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: Wednesday sees two key Japanese releases with Corporate Goods (wholesale prices) and machinery orders slated. Europe will see German trade and U.K. Manufacturing and industrial output figures. In North America, U.S. wholesale inventories and weekly energy surveys will be released.

GVI Forex- Data Outlook for March 10, 2010

GVI Forex john 16:32 GMT March 9, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Mar 9 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: Wednesday sees two key Japanese releases with Corporate Goods (wholesale prices) and machinery orders slated. Europe will see German trade and U.K. Manufacturing and industrial output figures. In North America, U.S. wholesale inventories and weekly energy surveys will be released.

23:50

JA

Jan Mach Ords

n/a

20.10%

23:50

JA

Feb CGPI mm

0.10%

0.30%

23:50

JA

Feb CGPI yy

-1.50%

-2.10%

 

 

WEDNESDAY

 

 

7:00

DE

Jan Trade EURb

16.0

16.7

9:30

UK

Jan Ind Out mm

0.30%

0.50%

9:30

UK

Jan Ind Out yy

-0.80%

-3.60%

9:30

UK

Jan Mfg Out mm

0.30%

0.90%

9:30

UK

Jan Mfg Out yy

1.40%

-1.90%

12:00

US

WK Mortgage Stats

n/a

n/a

15:00

US

Jan Whsl Inv

-0.30%

-0.80%

15:30

US

EIA Crude mn

1.9

4.1

15:30

US

EIA Gasoline mn

0.3

0.7

15:30

US

EIA Distillate mn

-0.9

-0.9

15:30

US

EIA Cap Util

81.90%

81.90%

18:00

US

TRY 10-yr

n/a

n/a

 

GVI Forex Blog 16:14 GMT March 9, 2010 Reply   
Price action on USD/CHF, a daily chart of which is shown, has consolidated in a tight, slightly bearish consolidation right underneath a key long-term downtrend resistance line extending from the 2008

Chart of the Day - 3/09/2010 – USD/CHF

HK Kevin 16:02 GMT March 9, 2010
Sell Commodity Currencies
Reply   
Sell AUD 0.9160, stop 0.9221
Sell AUD/JPY 82.00, stop 82.69
Just enter the 2nd trade.

Hong Kong Qindex 15:48 GMT March 9, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Sell USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/CAD : Critical Resistance 1.0515



The bias is on the downside when the market is trading below 10515. The current expected trading range is 1.0118 and 1.0515. The mid-point reference between 1.0118 and 1.0515 is 1.0317. In the mean the market is consolidating within 1.0166 and 1.0340. The mid-point reference of 1.0166 and 1.0340 is 1.0253.



USD/CAD : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/cad.html

Hong Kong JC 15:46 GMT March 9, 2010
AUD
Reply   
what happen to AUD? any news come out? ignore the fall of gold?

tokyo rana 15:43 GMT March 9, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell USDJPY
Entry: 90 Target: 87 Stop: 90.700

usd ithink lose grounds today against yen gbp and eur....

tokyo rana 15:40 GMT March 9, 2010
Trade Ideas

donot worry gbpjpy ithink will not go under 133.800 untill wensday or thursday but it will go down later this week from 137 to 139 one more test up side gbpjpy waiting for my shorts with out my short not go down hahaha.....
best regards

tokyo rana 15:37 GMT March 9, 2010
For Tokyo Rana

thanx alot.....
yeah yesterday was great short...
but it was action forex prediction gbpjpy will limited by 136.700 i used that yesterday and iwas confident that rise of friday was just for time being and will come down donot like chase strong rallys better short strong rallys....
regards,

Lahore FM 15:32 GMT March 9, 2010
Trade Ideas

rana i must add that there is greater risk of 133.90 break and that's the way i am positioned.

London Esoterica 15:29 GMT March 9, 2010
For Tokyo Rana
Reply   
GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

Tokyo - rana..
you get trophy from me your call GBPJPY short 137.300 yesterday 08/03 was bang on the buck.... drinks all round. :::))))

tokyo rana 15:28 GMT March 9, 2010
Trade Ideas

i have same view my stop loss 133.700...
same view good...
best regards,

Lahore FM 15:26 GMT March 9, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

above 133.80/90 can go back to recent highs rana,,that's the view.

tokyo rana 15:24 GMT March 9, 2010
Trade Ideas

i only trade gbpjpy always no other pair yet try.
you?
im long targeting 137 to 139...
regards,

London HC 15:22 GMT March 9, 2010
Trade Ideas

Do you trade gbpjpy Rana? I hadn't noticed.

tokyo rana 15:21 GMT March 9, 2010
Trade Ideas

hello,how are you brother?
lahore what is your view gbpjpy?
bestregards

Lahore FM 15:18 GMT March 9, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell OTHER
Entry: 10557 Target: Stop: 10630

sold june dow 10557,stops 10630

Belgrade AS 15:13 GMT March 9, 2010
wish i was SNB

Geneva ej ,some Nobel prize winner(Joseph...something) suggested to ECB to intervene against big u.s. banks and their huge anti-eur bets(scare them off,you know?)....i would suggest SNB to start hurting speculators...next time market will cool-out 100 pips ahead of SNB's "line in the sand",right?

Juffair KaL 15:10 GMT March 9, 2010
sma 5 days

usdjpy a sell

3/9/2010 89.4700
3/10/2010 89.4167
3/11/2010 89.3636
3/13/2010 89.3145

gbpjpy...let him have guys
3/9/2010 133.8111
3/10/2010 133.3766
3/11/2010 132.9531
3/13/2010 132.5435

eurjpy
3/9/2010 121.5068
3/10/2010 121.2653
3/11/2010 121.0067
3/13/2010 120.7258

maybe use 20 period 3 hrs bolinger band with 2 sigma
with all these guys

gbpchf
3/9/2010 1.6097
3/10/2010 1.6073
3/11/2010 1.6052
3/13/2010 1.6036
nice short

LA BV 15:08 GMT March 9, 2010
usdjpy

Taking some breakfast money on my 89.75 long. Closed it just now at 89.90

Juffair KaL 15:03 GMT March 9, 2010
sma 5 days
Reply   
sma 5 days forecast

if above and trend is down
then short it
till then end of the week

usdcad special case
about to change direction...but not now
in a few days maybe

cable
3/9/2010 1.4954
3/10/2010 1.4914
3/11/2010 1.4875
3/13/2010 1.4837


eurusd
3/9/2010 1.3579
3/10/2010 1.3560
3/11/2010 1.3539
3/13/2010 1.3515

usdcad
3/9/2010 1.0270
3/10/2010 1.0265
3/11/2010 1.0263
3/13/2010 1.0265

Geneva ej 14:58 GMT March 9, 2010
wish i was SNB

AS= suggests SNB should change tactics. They have become too predictable. Also indicates how weak the EUR is on this cross with everyone long.

SG PT 14:57 GMT March 9, 2010
More Problems On Way For Euro
Reply   
The euro will still slide, even without Greece, says Nicholas Hastings. The debt problems of Spain and Portugal still remain a threat to the currency's stability and the deteriorating outlook for the euro-zone economy will also take its toll.

Belgrade AS 14:50 GMT March 9, 2010
wish i was SNB
Reply   
9 Mar 15:46:59 EURCHF SSI once again reaching absurd levels at 13 traders long per 1 short. Honestly wondering what the draw is here. Pair isn't moving.
----------------------------------
hihi...something from my news stream

Juffair KaL 14:47 GMT March 9, 2010
mostly short now
Reply   
adding
audnzd long
eurgbp Long
usdchf Long


short nzdusd
short gbpaud
short eurjpy
short gbpjpy
short usdmxn
short gold
short ^dji
short usdcad

heheh
lets see
short gbpchf

GVI Forex Jay 14:46 GMT March 9, 2010
Levels Recap
Reply   
As posted on GVI Forex

GVI Forex Jay 14:34 GMT March 9, 2010
Levels recap:: Reply
Levels recap:

- GBP/USD paused above 1.4930 61.8% retrace level cited earlier (low 1.4938)

- EUR/USD paused above 1.3529 post-NFP low (low 1.3536)

- USD/JPY - paused above 89.51 50% retrace level cited earlier (low 89.61)

-------------------------------------------------------

GVI Forex Jay 11:48 GMT March 9, 2010
EUR/USD: Reply
1.3529 was the post-NFP low and thus a key support. Assume stops are below it? So much for the EUR/JPY 125 scenario. Too bad as it was a near perfect setup.

With all that said, price action is still well within existing ranges. Note EUR/USD 1.35855 = 50% of the 1.3435-1.3736 range

--------------------------------------------------------

GVI Forex Jay 10:27 GMT March 9, 2010
FIBOS: Reply
GBP/USD 1.4930 = 61.,8% of 1.4784-1.5166 (vs 1.4938 = today's low)

USD/JPY 89.51 = 50% of 88.33-90.68 (vs. 89.61 = today's low)

tokyo rana 14:45 GMT March 9, 2010
any view?
Reply   
Buy GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

any view about gbpusd and gbpjpy?
im long still hold ithink gbpjpy will test again 137 to139 from there come down to 124.700...
over all gbpjpy bearish....
best regards,

Lahore FM 14:32 GMT March 9, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy USDCAD
Entry: 1.0279 Target: Stop: later today

long now.

GVI Forex Blog 14:31 GMT March 9, 2010 Reply   
Swiss has broken the Resistance near the region of 1.0745-61 mentioned...

FX Thoughts for the day : 09-Mar-2010 - 1430 GMT

Wall Street 14:26 GMT March 9, 2010
EURUSD
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Neutrality @ 1.3562. Volatility back to a more "normal" +/-40 pips. Buying around 1.3520 level. Selling around 1.3600.

sofia kaprikorn 14:25 GMT March 9, 2010
ST CAD strength test

sofia kaprikorn 09:04 GMT March 9, 2010
ST CAD strength test : Reply
03/08/2010 18:39:52 kaprikorn sofia 4
I'm taking back the USD/CAD long at 1.0276 with a 1.0262 stop
-----
added 1/3 at 1.0289 / avg. 1.0280
___________________________
stopped out at 1.0275.

can't believe this... every time around I enter and try holding a trend trade it just reverses straight back...
then every time I TP on a position it runs a 100 more..
after 2-3 years of littering this forum with my waste and reading all the 'must read' books I still suck big time - what - do I try making all the things in the opposite way as they are written? or maybe I try doing the exactly opposite of what I think to do - must be the only thing left reasonable.

Gen dk 14:23 GMT March 9, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GVI Forex Blog 14:19 GMT March 9, 2010 Reply   
Maybe this is simply a gesture to help restore sentiment and confidence in the monetary system. Here is Italy’s President, Giorgio Napolitano, commenting on the whole situation...

European Mother Funders

GVI Forex Blog 14:19 GMT March 9, 2010 Reply   

Stocks under Pressure as Investors Shed Risky Assets

GVI Forex Jay 14:14 GMT March 9, 2010
ST CAD strength test

As, the pro side is our GVI Forex service. Contact me if you want details EMAIL

Belgrade AS 14:13 GMT March 9, 2010
ST CAD strength test

what's a "pro side"?

Lahore FM 14:01 GMT March 9, 2010
ST CAD strength test

Beach i posted this on pro side earlier today,quite relevant!


Lahore FM 09:55 GMT March 9, 2010
audcad: Reply
AUSTRALIA: The Australian dollar is being overtaken by the Canadian
dollar among commodity currencies as the safety of Canada's banking
system and ties with the US economy spur investors to buy the loonie,
The Sydney Morning Herald reports. Options show demand for the right to
sell the so-called Aussie and buy the Canadian dollar reached the
highest last month in almost a year. A measure of traders' expectations
for price fluctuations indicates the loonie is the most secure bet
relative to the Australian dollar since July as the global recovery
shows signs of wavering, the report says.

sofia kaprikorn 14:01 GMT March 9, 2010
ST CAD strength test

*7:20 IMM open.

yes - again I ran a bit further as with this bottoming pattern and tighter daily ranges I expected a strong direction push and the price is very nervously grinding higher with these pullbacks that don't look quite constructive..

don't wanna say I 'should have' done this as it is irrelevant now.. but yes it was a better way of trade management - just as I leveraged this position I wanted to make up for the poor trading yesterday when I got bogged into a 40 pip range 24-hour session and this puts emotional pressure..

NYC JM 13:52 GMT March 9, 2010
ST CAD strength test

How about taking partial profits and then a b/e stop or a stop equivalent to the profit you booked. Either way it is a free trade, the former approach guarantees a profit, the latter guarantees b/e and more leeway with a wider stop.

Daytona Beach Beach 13:51 GMT March 9, 2010
ST CAD strength test

Buy AUDCAD
Entry: .94 Target: .98 Stop: .91

AUD should attract monery with their increased rates. CAD rates stay low. Any thoughts?

sofia kaprikorn 13:50 GMT March 9, 2010
ST CAD strength test

tnx JM - just checked CME page and you are correct - 07:00 - 14:00.

.. then it reverts to the original problem when in a position how to define the exit point - I have my stop now near entry 1.0280 but hate to see a 40 pip profit evaporate as I saw it a few times with eur and gbp trades. but it seems there is no exact definition to this so I will hold for target with a B/E stop while I see the rationale for the trade (USD up and CL down) still exist.

NYC JM 13:38 GMT March 9, 2010
ST CAD strength test

Kaprikorn. People can trade 24 hours via Globex so I don't think the opening is a big deal. Also, IMM futures open at 07:20 Central Time. I was told that algos are turned on when US markets open and perhaps this is the bigger factor once US markets begin trading for the day.

sofia kaprikorn 13:34 GMT March 9, 2010
ST CAD strength test

just interesting if someone with broker/floor trading background can share his insight - when IMM opens at 8:15 is it that we see some fading of the prevalent trend before they reverse and push it further?

interesting because as I watch the Hourly chart in USD/CAD we have been trending then we have this selling against the hourly trend and once it's done it just reverts back to the original trend..

it looks to me like they try to shake off the weak hands and get some more on the wrong side and then reverse and go on to new highs.. very interesting stuff once emotions are taken aside.. not that I can manage it but there is and improvement..

GVI Forex futures 13:09 GMT March 9, 2010
EURUSD
Reply   
Total Open Interest in the EURO Futures contract ended at 182,129 Monday down 21,114 contracts. Given the quiet markets, its a good guess that traders were liquidating positions with the March contract approaching its maturity.

Lahore FM 12:36 GMT March 9, 2010
Trade Ideas


Entry: Target: partial close Stop:

03/08/2010 21:04:47 FM Lahore 4

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3627 Target: Stop: 1.3655 bid
sold now for 1.3100.

--
half out now at 1.3562,stops to entry.

LDN rf 12:22 GMT March 9, 2010
Order in EURJPY
Reply   
Sell EURJPY
Entry: 121.95 Target: 121.30 Stop: 122.25

First trade in this room.

Belgrade AS 12:10 GMT March 9, 2010
EURUSD
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1,3550 Target: Stop:

eurusd has a big "R" @ 1,3550...."independent" rating agencies can brake all the rules they want in favor of the "home team"(big u.s. banks).ACBs and ECB will just keep buying it back!(gbpusd and audusd,also)
all we gotta do is adjust our strategies so we dont become intraday 10-20 pip casulties!...over and over

Gen dk 12:08 GMT March 9, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Belgrade AS 11:36 GMT March 9, 2010
CDS - USTs

Hi Kap!don't know much about USTs..except that gold has 60% correlation with them(usd/risk correlation is arond 40% nowdays!!!!)...so,if you really believe in what you're saying(about USTs)then ,my suggestion is-start selling off your xau/usd....
GOLD:looking at daily it's ready for a free-fall to [email protected],turn around long without "booking" your profits from your shorts(whatever you make shorting-put behind your 1075 longs!)[email protected] take 1/2 out and enjoy a free ride to 1300-1500(depending on the size of political chaos our leaders manage to make in days to come)
something like that....
cheers

GVI Forex Blog 11:18 GMT March 9, 2010 Reply   
Traders anticipate the publication of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

Forexpros Daily Analysis - 09/03/2010

PAR 11:15 GMT March 9, 2010
Papandreou

In Papandreou s opininion the speculators created the Greek debt of 140 % to GDP , the speculators falsified the Greek books and the speculators are responsible for the bad weather. Why is he wasting Obama s time with so much non sense . Next week he will go to Japan to blame the speculators for the Japanese debt to GDP ratio of over 200 % .
Papandreou please go home .

Geneva ej 11:11 GMT March 9, 2010
EURCHF
Reply   
Buy EURCHF
Entry: 1.4615 Target: 1.4655 Stop: 1.4590

Need to enter this trade at a good level to have a decent chance at a worthwhile profit.

GVI Forex Blog 11:06 GMT March 9, 2010 Reply   
The yen gained broadly on Tuesday as equity markets fell, prompting a pullback in risk trades and a move into the low-yielding Japanese currency.

FOREX NEWS-Yen gains broadly as risk appetite fades

GVI Forex Blog 11:02 GMT March 9, 2010 Reply   
11:00 GMT- Mar 9 (global-view.com) With little to trade on in the early part of this this week in the way of U.S. economic news, the focus has turned elsewhere...

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- JPY in Demand

GVI Forex john 10:59 GMT March 9, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support


The Daily Forex View

JPY in Demand 

11:00 GMT- Mar 9 (global-view.com) With little to trade on in the early part of this this week in the way of U.S. economic news, the focus has turned elsewhere...

MORE...

Gen dk 10:58 GMT March 9, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GVI Forex Blog 10:56 GMT March 9, 2010 Reply   
Currencies: Comments by Fitch reopened some of the European peripherals concerns and brought back risk aversion into the market.

European Market Update: Risk Averison sentiment resurfaces; Fitch analysts cautious on Portugal despite recent austerity targets; UK Trade deficit widens in Jan

Syd 10:56 GMT March 9, 2010
Charting Yen, US Dollar
Reply   
http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1435673136&play=1

sofia kaprikorn 10:38 GMT March 9, 2010
CDS - USTs
Reply   
interesting today US is on top of CDS Sov Wideners according to CMA:
http://www.cmavision.com/market-data

at the same time FT runs a contrary opinion on Selling the USTs which is actually good giving an example of how bad a bet was in the 90's to short the JGBs - here is link:
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f53c0380-2ac6-11df-b7d7-00144feabdc0.html
....
now that recent correlations go out of the window I remain thinking if buying the USD is better on risk aversion than on good eco data or it's just yield related fund flows back to US on the FIFO rule after the GFC is slipping into series of local fin crises and the common beneficent is US..

views are welcome!

tokyo rana 10:29 GMT March 9, 2010
added more
Reply   
GBPJPY
Entry: 133.950 Target: 139.200 Stop: 133.700

long gbpjpy....
added some more...
best regards

sofia kaprikorn 10:24 GMT March 9, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Dr. Q,
May I pls ask for your projected barrier and congestion levels on USD/CAD?

I know it's up to my own trade mgmt but adding a quality quantitative view always helps..

London Misha 10:18 GMT March 9, 2010
Observations
Reply   
EURUSD - Doji, possible Gravestone Doji on the Daily Chart!
USDJPY - Bear Deliberation on the Daily Chart!
GBPUSD - Key Reversal Up on the Daily Chart!
USDCHF - Doji, possible Butterfly Doji on the Daily Chart!
EURJPY - Possible Bear Shooting Star on the Daily Chart!
USDCAD - Possible Bullish Tri-Star on the Daily Chart.
AUDUSD - Possible Bear Shooting Star on the Daily Chart!
NZDUSD - 1st close over the Long MA!

London ex 10:12 GMT March 9, 2010
$/yen
Reply   
Buy USDJPY
Entry: 89.20 Target: 91.50 Stop: 88.90

Lowered my bid from yesterday. Need selling to run its course.

Hong Kong Qindex 10:11 GMT March 9, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Buy EURGBP
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/GBP : The market is pulling towards 0.9135. Buy on dips is still the preferred trading strategy.

Belgrade AS 10:02 GMT March 9, 2010
Risk aversion day

9 Mar 10:57:18 FITCH: The UK's current fiscal consolidation plans are not enough to reach the 3% target and feels stronger adjustments need to be made.
-------------------------------------
...and again

Belgrade AS 09:44 GMT March 9, 2010
Risk aversion day

FITCH: Turns its gaze on the UK adding more pressure to Cable
---------------------------------
here they go again!...guess big u.s. banks need another serious aversion for their massive anti-eur and gbp bets....speaking of "independent"(fitch,moody,s^p...)

Juffair KaL 09:36 GMT March 9, 2010
gold
Reply   
gold is going on a sell mode
1117 should be ok to short

Sutherland Michael 09:36 GMT March 9, 2010
Risk aversion day
Reply   
Sell
Entry: Now Target: Open Stop:

FITCH issued warnings of a downgrade of both Spain and Portugal. The market is asking..who next?

In my humble opinion I suggest you sell everything but global reserve currency, the USD.

tokyo rana 09:25 GMT March 9, 2010
long
Reply   
Buy GBPJPY
Entry: 134.350 Target: 139.200 Stop: 133.700

any view comment welcome....
best regards

Hong Kong Qindex 09:17 GMT March 9, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Sell USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/JPY : the following is still valid :


03/08/2010 09:04:28 Qindex Hong Kong 5

Sell USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:
USD/JPY : The next downside targeting ranges are 89.42 - 89.74 - 90.15.



USD/JPY : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/yen.html

sofia kaprikorn 09:04 GMT March 9, 2010
ST CAD strength test

03/08/2010 18:39:52 kaprikorn sofia 4
I'm taking back the USD/CAD long at 1.0276 with a 1.0262 stop
-----
added 1/3 at 1.0289 / avg. 1.0280

Juffair KaL 08:55 GMT March 9, 2010
mid april tgt

nzdusd
starting to dive folks
0.68 tgt

Juffair KaL 08:50 GMT March 9, 2010
ST CAD strength test

looking at the same
got the 5 day sma forecast
most likely will drop again for a few days

3/9/2010 1.0270
3/10/2010 1.0265
3/11/2010 1.0263
3/13/2010 1.0265

might buy in a week
lower then
1.0231

ABHA FXS 08:49 GMT March 9, 2010
GBPUSD
Reply   
Buy GBPUSD
Entry: 14995 Target: 15400 Stop: 14960

FXS

sofia kaprikorn 08:44 GMT March 9, 2010
ST CAD strength test

been an indecision Doji yesterday in all markets - today we have USD up, CL down which IMHO should push USD/CAD up above the 1.03 limit..
i'm leaving the stop at 1.0255 - and still wondering if I'm not pushing myself for that position to the correct..

Mtl JP 08:43 GMT March 9, 2010
Papandreou

The BEST economic advice Papandreou could deliver is to 100% default on Greek debt. The BEST thing Papandreou could do for Greece is to wean it off the curse of cheap money.

Juffair KaL 08:24 GMT March 9, 2010
mid april tgt
Reply   
around mid april tgt
eurjpy 114
gbpjpy 128

eurusd 1.29

usdjpy 88
usdchf 1.11
nzdjyp 59
^dji 10,000
gbpusd 1.44

PAR 08:09 GMT March 9, 2010
Papandreou
Reply   
If there is one person in the world who should abstain from giving economic advise it should be Papandreou. Still he thinks his mission is travelling the world - on Greek taxpayers expense - and talking to the media about the economy and the evil speculators. He should stay in Greece and try to solve his domestic problems . Not so funny ,but makes more sense than being a globetrotter.

Juffair KaL 08:04 GMT March 9, 2010
born loser

its a sell till mid april
go with the flow
gl

Mykonos Spiros 07:46 GMT March 9, 2010
born loser
Reply   
Sorry Wfak my name should actually be Spiral because i'm out of control. Dam dont know why i keep on losing.

Amman wfakhoury 07:44 GMT March 9, 2010
gbpusd 14900-14850
Reply   
Montréal Taro 07:39 GMT March 9, 2010
pound: Reply
Good morning wfakhoury, what about Pound ?
=======
Morning Taro , yes it is still valid , the price heading to
14900-14850 from 15120 as I said yesterday ,if kept below
15030 .breaking this level will change the trend to up.

tokyo ginko 07:42 GMT March 9, 2010
1 week target
Reply   
Buy USDJPY
Entry: 89.98 Target: 92.40 Stop: stops manual

GT all

Target 92.40/50 by next Monday. GT all

Montréal Taro 07:39 GMT March 9, 2010
pound
Reply   
Good morning wfakhoury, what about Pound ?

GL & GT

Montréal Taro 07:37 GMT March 9, 2010
gbpusd

Does this still apply ?

TIA

Amman wfakhoury 07:16 GMT March 9, 2010
gbpjpy
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 16:21 GMT March 8, 2010
gbpjpy: Reply
Amman wfakhoury 09:53 GMT March 8, 2010
gbpjpy: Reply
into consildation area 13740 -13640
so we are now heading till 13640.
breaking this area means 150-200 pips either up or down.
breaking means close of 1hr bar above or below the area
--------
price broke level 136.40 and heading to 135.00 -134.50

--------
here we are the price reached 134.60 level

GVI Forex Blog 03:50 GMT March 9, 2010 Reply   
The US Equities were mixed yesterday. The Dow (10552.52) closed...

Morning Briefing : 09-Mar-2010 - 0331 GMT

USA BAY 03:29 GMT March 9, 2010
QIndex Trading System

HONG KONG QINDEX

DR Q, Any updates on eur/gbp. tia

Syd 03:28 GMT March 9, 2010
NEW ZEALAND
Reply   
Economists are unanimous in predicting that the Reserve
Bank of New Zealand will leave its official cash rate (OCR) unchanged at 2.5% after its monetary policy meeting on Thursday

Syd 03:14 GMT March 9, 2010
China Govt Bonds Flat;Official Rate Hike Unlikely
Reply   
China government bonds flat as PBOC continues to keep yield on its benchmark 1-year bills unchanged in open market operation; move raises expectations official interest rate hike unlikely in near term, says Shenyin Wanguo Securities trader; notes investors now focusing on February CPI data (due Thursday). "If the February inflation growth is much higher than the one-year deposit rate of 2.25%, tightening concerns will resurface." Shanghai Stock Exchange government bond index at 123.90, unchanged from last close; likely to consolidate in narrow 123.85-123.95 band for rest of session.

Syd 02:51 GMT March 9, 2010
50% rate will make London the tax capital of the world
Reply   
London will become the most highly taxed financial centre in the world when the new 50 per cent income tax rate for those earning £150,000 or more comes into force next month.
Taxes will be higher than for financial workers living in the other key centres of New York, Paris, Frankfurt, Geneva, Zurich, Dubai and Hong Kong, KPMG calculated.
The findings will raise fears that Labour's levies are driving http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1256439/London-highly-taxed-finance-hub-world.html#ixzz0hdzHuQbH

Syd 02:33 GMT March 9, 2010
Intervention in Asian currencies leads to EUR, GBP and AUD demand
Reply   
Asian central banks across the region have been intervening in currency markets, buying USD and trying to stem the rise of their local currencies. Amounts vary from currency to currency but the overall amount is easily in excess of USD1 billion a day and probably a lot more than that. These USD are usually sold out pretty quickly as ACBs already have more than enough exposure to the USD. That is why we are seeing reports of the Asian Sovereign names buying EUR/USD, AUD/USD and GBP/USD on dips.

Hong Kong Melbourne 02:14 GMT March 9, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Sell GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/USD : The consolidating range is expected at 1.4904 - 1.5081. Sell on rallies is the preferred trading strategy.

Syd 02:12 GMT March 9, 2010
China SAFE: To Cautiously Consider Whether To Increase Gold Holdings
Reply   
China SAFE: To Use Market Dynamics To Eliminate Hot Money Inflows
US Tsy Market Important For China's FX Reserves
China SAFE: China Buys, Sells US Tsys On Daily Basis
China SAFE: Don't Want To Politicize China Buying, Selling US Tsys
China: Gold Reserves Unlikely Main Channel For FX Reserves Invest
China SAFE: Gold Reserves Not Offered Good Long-Term Returns
Holding US Tsys Can Be Mutually Beneficial For China, US

Hong Kong Melbourne 02:10 GMT March 9, 2010
QIndex Trading System

Sell GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/JPY : The market is going to consolidate within 134.35 - 135.25.

Sydney GE 02:08 GMT March 9, 2010
WSJ: Moody's:End Of UK Bank Bailout Could Impact Bank Bonds' Ratings

Market just used that as an excuse to take out some stops around 1.5000

Sydney GW 01:56 GMT March 9, 2010
WSJ: Moody's:End Of UK Bank Bailout Could Impact Bank Bonds' Ratings

Moodys said "could" not "would" but all this market does is react to whatever story came out last.

SF WM 01:40 GMT March 9, 2010
WSJ: Moody's:End Of UK Bank Bailout Could Impact Bank Bonds' Ratings

It's the UK's turn? Sounds like contagion.

Syd 01:30 GMT March 9, 2010
WSJ: Moody's:End Of UK Bank Bailout Could Impact Bank Bonds' Ratings
Reply   

Moody's:End Of Govt Program Could Trigger Downgrades Of Some UK Banks

Syd 00:56 GMT March 9, 2010
Aussie Job Ads Surge Dramatically In Feb Vs Jan
Reply   
Australian job market continues to surprise, with February job ads surging 19.1% on-month, according to ANZ survey. Jobs ads now just 2.3% below year-ago level. ANZ chief economist Warren Hogan notes part-time employment is now a record 30.2% of the workforce, meaning there is a lot of spare capacity to be absorbed as the economy recovers. Nevertheless, the downward trend for unemployment is clear and Hogan expects another 30,000 new jobs created in February, with official data due out Thursday. Broad sweep of job market data now adds up to more pressure on RBA to adjust interest rates higher over coming months.

Moscow Vasya 00:52 GMT March 9, 2010
Big Bang
Reply   
Guys - LHC is a threat. Was it not for money - gravity should have already been explaned. Everyone who know the technique and share my fears - do drawn CHF.

Syd 00:41 GMT March 9, 2010
DJ Aussie Business Owners Confidence Up Sharply -NAB
Reply   
Australian business owners are as confident as they've been in months, suggesting recent RBA rate hikes can't damp spending or growth too much in 2010. For February, NAB's business confidence index rose four points to +19 from January, while business conditions increased five points to +8. "The February survey results suggest that growth momentum in early 2010 is still substantial, albeit somewhat below the very strong demand conditions of late 2009," say NAB economists in a statement.

ANZ Australia Total Job Ads Rose 19.1% In Feb Vs Jan
Job advertisements in newspapers in Australia rose 13.1% in February from January, contributing to a 14.9% annual increase in seasonally adjusted terms. ANZ chief economist Warren Hogan said he expects unemployment to continue falling, but said there is still a lot of spare capacity in the labor market.

Hong Kong 00:38 GMT March 9, 2010
Daily Market outlook by AceTrader
Reply   
Market Review - 08/03/2010 21:36GMT

Sarkozy's comments help euro but gains are capped after Greece PM's comments

http://www.acetraderfx.com

The greenback has a mixed day on Monday against its major counterparts while euro was slightly up against the dollar on Monday on short covering as concerns about Greece's fiscal crisis eased.

The single currency extended Friday's rebound in Asia and rose to an intra-day high of 1.3705 at European opening on short covering due to French President Nicolas Sarkozy's comments over the weekend that there are plans to support Greece, if necessary. However, gains in the euro were limited after Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou warned that if the Greek crisis worsened it could lead to a new global financial meltdown. The single retreated sharply and eventually reached an intra-day low of 1.3605 in NY afternoon before stabilizing.

The cable rose in tandem with the euro in Asia and price reached an intra-day high of 1.5197 in European morning. However, sterling fell sharply from there and price nose-dived in NY morning after The New York Federal Reserve said it has begun a program to expand the number of firms for conducting reverse repurchase agreements when it is ready to drain hefty excess reserves from the U.S. banking system. The pound fell to an intra-day low of 1.5031 in NY mid-day before rebound.

On other news, Export-Import Bank of China Chairman Li Ruogu that 'talk of China stopping to support dollar is non-sense'. Market reaction to this news was somehow muted, although analysts said going forward the Chinese move should make Japanese authorities comfortable with allowing the yen strengthen a bit more.

Data to be released on Tueday include Japan Leading indicators, Swiss CPI, U.K. RICS house prices, Retail sales n Trade balance.

LA BV 00:34 GMT March 9, 2010
usdjpy
Reply   
Buy USDJPY
Entry: 89.75 Target: 91.00 Stop: 89.35

Lowering my overnight bid

GVI Forex Blog 00:11 GMT March 9, 2010 Reply   
Greece talks down aid needs Merkel and Sarkozy face political challenges BoJ to ease further?

Forex Market Commentary and Analysis (8 March 2010)

Gen dk 00:00 GMT March 9, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

 




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