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Forex Forum Archive for 03/15/2010

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Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


tokyo rana 23:50 GMT March 15, 2010
short more136....any view?
Reply   
Sell GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

short more136....any view?
best regards

Syd 23:48 GMT March 15, 2010
The Yomiuri Shimbun
Reply   
JAPAN PRESS: Signs are growing that the BOJ will further expand monetary easing measures to help stem domestic deflation, citing unnamed financial sources, the report said the central bank will consider boosting the scale of fund supplies for its new type of open market operations – introduced in December – beyond the current cap of Y10 trillion, when its Policy Board meets Tuesday and Wednesday.
There are indications the meeting will study the feasibility of
extending the current three-month period of the liquidity-bolstering loan facility, the report said.


Global growth to support metal, mineral prices, says Rio Tinto link

Gold gains on alternative currency bet
LINK

HK Q 23:26 GMT March 15, 2010
EUR/USD forecast

1.3640-1.3735

sofia kaprikorn 23:24 GMT March 15, 2010
trendline support

being on the right side of trade is more emotionally rewarding instead of fighting the prevailing trend.

Singapore YC 23:02 GMT March 15, 2010
EUR/USD forecast

1.3635-1.3705

tokyo rana 22:56 GMT March 15, 2010
EUR/USD forecast

Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

last forecast for week...
todays forecast until nyc open 1.36999 to 1.35388...
best regards

Lahore FM 22:51 GMT March 15, 2010
EUR/USD forecast

mine is

1.3576/1.3680

tokyo rana 22:48 GMT March 15, 2010
EUR/USD forecast

my forecast 1.36990 to 1.33000...best regards

GVI Forex Jay 22:41 GMT March 15, 2010
EUR/USD forecast
Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Here is an exercise I think might be useful:

Please post your forecast for the EUR/USD range from now to tomorrow's NY open (11:00 GMT).

My forecast 1.3648-1.3725

GVI Forex Jay 22:41 GMT March 15, 2010
EUR/USD forecast
Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Here is an exercise I think might be useful:

Please post your forecast for the EUR/USD range from now to tomorrow's NY open (11:00 GMT).

My forecast 1.3648-1.3725

jeursalem KB 22:19 GMT March 15, 2010
BUY EURO

closed long with 15pips+

HK c 21:44 GMT March 15, 2010
EURAUD


Entry: Target: 1.4800 Stop: 1.5000 new

Holding onto my position trade short in EURAUD from early Monday. Dropping stop to 1.5000 entry level t/p still 1.4800

GVI Forex Blog 21:13 GMT March 15, 2010 Reply   
The Canadian dollar tipped lower against the U.S. currency on Monday as easing oil prices and lower stock markets caused investors to pause for the first time after an 11-day stretch of gains.

Forex Market News - CANADA FX DEBT-C$ ends 11-day run higher, bonds firm

GVI Forex Blog 20:52 GMT March 15, 2010 Reply   
The euro fell against the dollar on Monday, weighed down by a lack of concrete progress on a financial aid package for debt-strapped Greece.

FOREX NEWS-Euro falls vs dollar on persistent Greek worries

USA ZEUS 20:45 GMT March 15, 2010
EUR/USD

Take gains and run for the hills!

Mtl JP 20:44 GMT March 15, 2010
long closed

Taro fwiw ±4.5

Los Angeles Bernie 20:33 GMT March 15, 2010
Montreal Taro
Reply   
I trade from the beginning of the European market through the first two hours of the US.

I target 50 pips.

If a SAR occurs when i am positive 15 pips or less i let it go---and reverse at minus 50.

If the market high to low for the period turns out to be reasonable, this method is usually positive.

However, i hve no good rationale for exit. I look at the MA on the one hour screen, a cross of the 5 by the 8---but this is not much better than a guess.

there is a 5 cross of the 8 i like for the Eur/USD---on the 30 minute screen--named for "Bunny Girl" the English trader who used that screen name.

effectiveness is now about 65 % for me.

I require a 20 pip buffer in either direction before entering a trade in the direction of the cross. i look for 25 pips but often take 20 when it is on the table.

i am a small time day trader just looking to stay alive.

tokyo rana 20:33 GMT March 15, 2010
long closed

Taro wats your position?you also trade in gbpjpy?

Montréal Taro 20:26 GMT March 15, 2010
long closed

ok, done, Jay should pass my email to you...

tokyo rana 20:21 GMT March 15, 2010
long closed

why not sure...thats cool...

Montréal Taro 20:20 GMT March 15, 2010
long closed

ok, I see. 20 pips is better than nothing, you're right on that, it seemms a little risky to me...

Is it okay if I ask Jay for your email ?

tokyo rana 20:19 GMT March 15, 2010
EUR and GBP JPY

Taro your asking my trade size?
yes it in millions of gbpjpy...
8lot mean?

best regards

tokyo rana 20:16 GMT March 15, 2010
long closed

thanx for kind message.......
i know 20pips nothing...
but something is better than nothing...
gbpjpy just moving in 30pips right now hours chart 136.2resistance ...what can do?
if 100pips movethan good...
ijust gbpjpy...you plz ask to markeet why they move in 30pips?
haha....best regards,

Montréal Taro 20:13 GMT March 15, 2010
EUR and GBP JPY

first question was for Los Angeles Bernie...

Dallas MDG 20:10 GMT March 15, 2010
EURJPY

This is when I used to daytrade it. I have increased my stop, but haven't really found an appropriate one.

Montréal Taro 20:10 GMT March 15, 2010
long closed

rana, what is your spread on gbp/yen ? it seems to me that a 20 pips target is not much rewarded considering the spread, unless you have a lot better spread than mine (8)

tokyo rana 20:09 GMT March 15, 2010
EUR and GBP JPY

Taro you asking me?

Montréal Taro 20:07 GMT March 15, 2010
EUR and GBP JPY

Bernie

Can you elaborate more on that strategy ? Do you start at a certain time, you are using a stop and reserve, how do you determine your target, which currency, only eur and gbp/yen ? ?

A friend of mine use something like this for a while...

Neuville JD 20:07 GMT March 15, 2010
long euro/usd, out of usd/chf
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.3670 Target: 1.3795 Stop: 1.3610

1.3660 is a strong support IMO

Lahore FM 20:04 GMT March 15, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell OTHER
Entry: 10636 Target: Stop: 10665

03/15/2010 15:22:30 FM Lahore 2
03/15/2010 13:53:15 FM Lahore 2

Sell OTHER
Entry: 10631 Target: Stop: 10665
sold june dow with a stop.target open.
--
half outed now at 10574,stops to 10642 for remainder half,target open.
--
made 44 points on this with remainder stopped at 10642mshort now once more now at 10636 with 10665 stop.target open

tokyo rana 20:04 GMT March 15, 2010
long closed
Reply   
Sell GBPJPY
Entry: 136.202 Target: 136.000 Stop: open

iwas long @135.988 closed @36.202............
now short 136.202 target 136.000....................
any view?
best regards

NYC JM 19:55 GMT March 15, 2010
EURJPY

It is hard to "position" trade with a 35 pips stop.

Dallas MDG 19:52 GMT March 15, 2010
EURJPY

NYC, I agree with you completely and only trade it when it appoaches the figure or a bollinger band with a 35 pip stop.

NYC JM 19:52 GMT March 15, 2010
EURJPY

MDG, I find the volatility in this pair makes it difficult to trade without a wide stop and why I only trade it selectively. Too often you have the right idea only to see even a large stop get triggered and then see the pair reverse direction once again, leaving you empty and frustrated. I would be interested in what you or others consider an acceptable stop trading eur/jpy.

Los Angeles Bernie 19:44 GMT March 15, 2010
EUR and GBP JPY
Reply   
DALLAS---

in sheer frustration with Eur/JPY and GBP/JPY i give myself a 20 pip buffer to determine a SELL or BUY entry. Last night the first 20 pips were up so i entered the trade as a BUY. Alas, the BUY turned into a 50 pip loss (my maximum Stop).

I SOLD at 124.41 and exited near the bottom for 100 pips---net 50 after deducting the loss.

Using this crude method, the GBP/JPY was good for 150.

GVI Forex Blog 19:31 GMT March 15, 2010 Reply   
20:00 GMT- Mar 15 (global-view.com) We sensed early today that the markets were headed in a new direction today and such proved to be the case...

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- Turn of Sentiment

Dallas MDG 19:30 GMT March 15, 2010
EURJPY

I too am short right now from 124.00. I am trying to switch from a daytrader to a position trader and am having trouble adjusting. Thanks for your comments.

GVI Forex Blog 19:28 GMT March 15, 2010 Reply   
A more downbeat session last night, on lingering caution. There was no specific event to ascribe the mood to, rather continued concerns around possible tightening by China, as well as the possible regulatory tightening of US bank trading activity

Forex Research - Morning Report

GVI Forex john 19:27 GMT March 15, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support


The Daily Forex View

Turn of Sentiment

20:00 GMT- Mar 15 (global-view.com) We sensed early today that the markets were headed in a new direction today and such proved to be the case... 

MORE...

Belgrade AS 19:17 GMT March 15, 2010
EURJPY

EURJPY is a sell from 127,00 in my view.
right now it's too much "in the middle of the nowhere" to be played in a right way(left-right is not my style!)

GVI Forex Jay 19:16 GMT March 15, 2010
EURJPY

MDG. Good to see you post and we appreciate the input. We tried to setup threads for specialized topics, including one for eur/jpy that I started, but found our members prefer to stay on the forex forum.

My suggestion to you (and others) is if you sit back and only watch, then you have to take what members post on out forums. If you take a more active role and post on a topic that you are interested in, such as eur/jpy, you will create discussions and a flow that will hopefully help in your trading.

tokyo rana 19:00 GMT March 15, 2010
EURJPY

ilike this pair very much....but this pairs forecast unclear...im thinking about short tomorrow...as rejected from125.200...i need more conffirmation..short around 123target around 100yen...best regards,

Dallas MDG 18:56 GMT March 15, 2010
EURJPY

I trade this pair very actively myself and never see anyone posting about it. It can get pretty discouraging. Hopefully, members will start posting thir insights.

GVI Forex Blog 18:46 GMT March 15, 2010 Reply   
I will start with the Weekly. The previous week was a bearish signal after a few weeks of showing spinning-top-type of candlesticks.

FXTimes: Daily Technical Update USD/CHF Rounded Top and Bearish Outlook

tokyo rana 18:32 GMT March 15, 2010
GBPJPY

i think yen is not weak....who said yen in weak?
monitary policy wat isthis ?idonot know my dear.you mean bankof japan?
if dollar is ok stong than ithink jappan govt have no problem and BOJ...
im just now long for aust japan session gbpjpy...
ithink gbpjpy lowest level already we seen...whatdo you think?
best regards

Belgrade AS 18:26 GMT March 15, 2010
GBPJPY
Reply   


Rana,first you tell me why JPY is weak at present moment.
then,give me an answer regarding loose/tight monetary policy prospects(in Japan) in the near future.
anyway,this is what i have for gbpjpy.
from 139,00 i start selling...with small units!

GVI Forex Blog 18:26 GMT March 15, 2010 Reply   
Looking at the weekly, first note the break above resistance that was at 1.029. The Aussie has outperformed the Kiwi, although both are strong currencies in the global sense.

FXTimes: Daily Technical Update AUD/NZD Elliott Wave Counts

tokyo rana 18:24 GMT March 15, 2010
long gbpjpy
Reply   
Buy GBPJPY
Entry: 135.988 Target: 136.5 to 140 Stop: open

long gbpjpy 135.988 target 136.500 to 140..................any view?
best regards,

Mtl JP 18:06 GMT March 15, 2010
Greece

fwiw.. from post by Syd 10:26 GMT March 14: "For there to be a bailout, there has to be a default," she (Christine Lagarde) said no such bailout plan would emerge if Greece does not default on its debt."

tokyo rana 18:01 GMT March 15, 2010
EUR/USD

AS cool...welcome back...what is your view about gbpjpy now?
140 possible?
best regards

Belgrade AS 17:57 GMT March 15, 2010
EUR/USD

just got back from my trip and i see eusrusd gave back today friday's "no sentiment/no appetite/no real reason" gains!..it was false after all!
another swing to the up-side and upper Bollinger band will be reached(unsustainable levels) only this time even the slowest oscilators(like mine) will crowl into overbought zone...AND THERE'S A "DEAD CROSS" OVER IT'S HEAD!!!...125 LEVEL IS NEXT! unless you own a specificly designed Soviet auto pilot for maximisation of profits during smallest retracements,i suggest you don't mess going long here...for a long while.
but you'll do it anyway,right?

PAR 17:52 GMT March 15, 2010
Greece
Reply   
As Greece problems are talk of the day everyday risks are increasing nobody want to go on holiday in Greece anymore .


Reuters) - The euro slid against the U.S. dollar on Monday, hampered by a lack of progress on a financial aid package for debt-strapped Greece.

Aside from Greece, concerns about further tightening by Chinese monetary authorities also spooked investors in riskier assets. Stocks eased on Wall Street and higher-yielding currencies like the Australian dollar fell broadly. That gave a boost to the safe-haven U.S. dollar.

Euro zone finance ministers are expected to agree on Monday to a way of providing Greece with financial aid to tackle its debts. France, however, warned against expecting any hard figures and said barriers to a deal remained.

While the market focused on the ministers' meeting in Brussels, analysts said anyone hoping for a quick resolution to the Greek debt issue would be disappointed.

USA ZEUS 17:26 GMT March 15, 2010
EURJPY

Yes. VERY actively.

NYC JM 17:23 GMT March 15, 2010
EURJPY

This is not my main pair but I watch it very closely for clues.

jeursalem KB 17:21 GMT March 15, 2010
BUY EURO

stop placed at 1.3610

Dallas MDG 17:20 GMT March 15, 2010
EURJPY
Reply   
EURJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

Does anyone on this board actively trade EURJPY?

USA ZEUS 17:19 GMT March 15, 2010
EUR/USD

The art of the deal-
buy low, sell high...

Neuville JD 17:15 GMT March 15, 2010
eurusd

It's a projection of resistance on weekly chart (5&10)that I consider as strong support since the week opened above. I believe eur/usd will finish the week in positive territory because of that but wait for other pairs vs dollar to saturate before buying.

Miami JN 17:04 GMT March 15, 2010
eurusd

Where did 1.3660 come in as a support? I can't find it on my chart except as a fibonacci level

Neuville JD 16:56 GMT March 15, 2010
eurusd

Hi,
In my opinion, 1.3660 was supposed to be a good support regarding last week action but since usd/chf is evolving and holding in the green with some upside room left, eur/usd is under pressure with 1.3520 as the next good support. Right now, I'll bet on 1.36 first.

sofia kaprikorn 16:56 GMT March 15, 2010
trendline support

HC. might sounded different to what I meant - looking at market dynamics with incomplete knowledge one should look for contrarian signs.

tokyo rana 16:54 GMT March 15, 2010
gbpjpy

no ithink he is saying long above 136..400....if price stay above 136.4 it will take to 140....
bcoz Kal qindax hk said 137.900 137.300 if rejected than selling presure inrreasethat time price was around 137.3 to 137.700...
best regards,

Mtl JP 16:53 GMT March 15, 2010
eurusd

49/51 in ever so slight favour of 1.37

Miami JN 16:51 GMT March 15, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
Does anyone care to put odds on 1.36 or 1.37 trading first?

Amman wfakhoury 16:45 GMT March 15, 2010
gbpjpy
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 15:11 GMT March 12, 2010
gbpjpy: Reply
Amman wfakhoury 11:21 GMT March 12, 2010
gbpjpy 140.00: Reply
gbpjpy is heading twd 140.00 if breaks 137.30 and keeps above it. 136.40 is the determination level to change level.

------------
it is in uptrend till 140.00 unless it breaks down 136.60

tokyo rana 16:45 GMT March 15, 2010
ithink i made good calls
Reply   
GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

idonot know someone was also eurusd heading to 1.41 many peoples make so confusing calles...
i said eurusd go down even im not fx pro but ithink i made much better calls for10days thursday buy call eur.....
idonot know why all do if break 11than 12 than 13 than 15...
see particular country ecnomic situation and see price ithink good way..
best regards,

tokyo rana 16:41 GMT March 15, 2010
gbpjpy

ofcourse you have good calls never mind....
human can make misstake...
best regards

Amman wfakhoury 16:38 GMT March 15, 2010
gbpjpy
Reply   
Amsterdam Sven 16:30 GMT March 15, 2010
-----
dont worry there are many to celibrate them.

tokyo rana 16:37 GMT March 15, 2010
gbpjpy 140.00

its ok...
you said above 136.4 can rise to 140.right?i get anything wrong?above 136.4 uptrend that was ur view....
i was fully ready for sale around 137 138...
any ways its over...
your calls ithink make money difficult confusing...
anyways best regards,

Amman wfakhoury 16:33 GMT March 15, 2010
gbpusd 14988
Reply   
gbpusd failed to rise from 15040 till 15120 , so will start going
to 14988 and may be more.

Amsterdam Sven 16:30 GMT March 15, 2010
gbpjpy 140.00

Amman wfakhoury 16:25 GMT March 15, 2010

Why you always find ways to wiggle out of bad calls and celebrate the lucky ones?

Amman wfakhoury 16:25 GMT March 15, 2010
gbpjpy 140.00
Reply   
Rana
It seems that you are reading what you want from my call , as I said unless it breaks 136.60.
pls read well next time.

Neuville JD 16:22 GMT March 15, 2010
usd/chf
Reply   
Buy USDCHF
Entry: 1.0625 Target: 1.0673 Stop: 1.0570

still has some room on the upside with a 4 h chart open above the average.

tokyo rana 16:18 GMT March 15, 2010
gbpusd 14988

again gbpusd will rise?are you sure?best regards

Richland QC Mailman 16:15 GMT March 15, 2010
gbpusd 14988

1.5000/1.4990 very good r/r for longs as it is also 61.8% fibo. 1.5030 defense strength slowly being eroded...

PAR 16:08 GMT March 15, 2010
Greece
Reply   
European union leaders planning to introduce some repos 105 to help Greece. Operation will be audited by Deloitte & Touche. Possible savings up to $50 billion . Lol.

Richland QC Mailman 16:06 GMT March 15, 2010
EUR/USD

Will join the mighty Zeus should price gets to 1.3620/25.

Closed gbp longs earlier for minimal gains.

tokyo rana 16:05 GMT March 15, 2010
gbpusd 14988

GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

my dear thanx for kind info,
but you also said gbpjpy up trend...its heading to 140..tellme still 140 possible?

USA ZEUS 16:03 GMT March 15, 2010
EUR/USD

Added final load @ 1.3640

USA ZEUS 16:02 GMT March 15, 2010
EUR/USD

Added a big load long @ 1.3644 for a swing/scalp

Neuville JD 15:59 GMT March 15, 2010
out of euro
Reply   
out of long eur/usd

Amman wfakhoury 15:58 GMT March 15, 2010
gbpusd 14988
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 11:05 GMT March 12, 2010
gbpusd 15300: Reply

-------------
breaking level 15180 and keeping above it means 15300 will be seen.
breaking down 15160 and touching again 14988 means going more down still possible.
mostly we are going down .unless 15180 broken.
-----
so here we are , as i said the price has not the required momentum to climb till 15300 , it broke again 15180 then we are going to touch 14988.

Gen dk 15:43 GMT March 15, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GVI Forex Blog 15:40 GMT March 15, 2010 Reply   
U.S. TICS flows rough Chinese - U.S. tensions mounting MPC's Barker sends GBP lower Greek problems contained?

Forex Market Commentary and Analysis (15 March 2010)

Richland QC Mailman 15:40 GMT March 15, 2010

Entry: 1.5030 Target: 1.5050/60 Stop: 1.5015

Fired fresh longs.

tokyo rana 15:37 GMT March 15, 2010
gbpjpy
Reply   
Sell GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

gbpjpystop going down?
any view?
bestregards,

GVI Forex Blog 15:33 GMT March 15, 2010 Reply   
Bearish price action on GBP/USD, a daily chart of which is shown, as of Monday (3/15/2010) morning New York session, has erased much of the gains that the pair made late last week.

Chart of the Day - 3/15/2010 – GBP/USD

London T euro/uds correct 15:31 GMT March 15, 2010
euro/usd

sorry sold at 1.3652, can you explain why market did change direction at that exact time? you were saying metatrader4doesn't trade against you, what did it do now JAY

GVI Forex Jay 15:29 GMT March 15, 2010
euro/usd

London T, ask that question on the Learning Forum and I will answer there.

Neuville JD 15:28 GMT March 15, 2010
long euro/usd, out of usd/chf
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.3660 Target: 1.3795 Stop: 1.3580

out of long usd/chf.
long eur/usd 1.3660

LA BV 15:28 GMT March 15, 2010
usdjpy

Long triggered at 90.40. Took 1/2 at 90.52 and stop a b/e for balance.

London T 15:26 GMT March 15, 2010
euro/usd
Reply   
3.16 pm GMT,Sell euro/usd @ 1.3752, market reverse direction. you were saying that metatrader4 doesn't trade against you, can you explain why reverse direction at that exact time?

GVI Forex Blog 15:25 GMT March 15, 2010 Reply   
US equities traded off in the premarket this morning on follow-through weakness from both Asia and Europe.

Forex Blog - US Market Update (Trade the News)

GVI Forex Blog 15:23 GMT March 15, 2010 Reply   
Mar 15 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: Tuesday will see the release of the German ZEW economic survey. It is not seen as being as accurate as the IFO survey due next week. Eurozone CPI (HICP) is due as well. In North America

GVI Forex- Data Outlook for March 16, 2010

Lahore FM 15:22 GMT March 15, 2010
Trade Ideas

03/15/2010 13:53:15 FM Lahore 2

Sell OTHER
Entry: 10631 Target: Stop: 10665
sold june dow with a stop.target open.
--
half outed now at 10574,stops to 10642 for remainder half,target open.

tokyo rana 15:21 GMT March 15, 2010
lets see
Reply   
GBPJPY
Entry: 136.200 Target: lets see Stop: lets see

lets see............any view?best regards,

GVI Forex john 15:19 GMT March 15, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Mar 15 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: Tuesday will see the release of the German ZEW economic survey. It is not seen as being as accurate as the IFO survey due next week. Eurozone CPI (HICP) is due as well. In North America, the U.S. releases housing Starts and permits along with Import prices. Canadian manufacturing sales are due as well. Later the Fed will announce its latest policy decision. Late in the day the weekly API energy inventory data are slated.

 

 

TUESDAY

 

 

10:00

DE

Mar ZEW Cond

-52

-54.8

10:00

DE

Mar ZEW Sent

45.5

45.1

10:00

EZ

Feb HICP yy

0.90%

1.00%

12:30

CA

Jan Mfg Sales

n/a

1.60%

12:30

US

Feb Imp Prices

0.20%

1.40%

12:30

US

Feb House Starts k

580

591

12:30

US

Feb Bldg Permits k

610

621

18:15

US

Fed Rates

unch

unch

20:30

US

API Energy

n/a

n/a

USA ZEUS 15:18 GMT March 15, 2010
EUR/USD
Reply   
Long EUR/USD @ 1.3652 for a swing/scalp

NYC ET 15:15 GMT March 15, 2010
risk
Reply   
Weaker stocks, rising risk aversion coming via jpy crosses

Geneva ej 15:04 GMT March 15, 2010
EURCHF

So far SNB non-intervention strategy has been working. I doubt if it will work forever but the market will have to test them to bring them out again.

Syd 15:00 GMT March 15, 2010
Analyst Wyn Thin at BBH says Jan TIC data for the
Reply   
“China was a net seller of US assets for the sixth
straight month (-$7.3 bln total, -$5.9 bln USTs), Japan was a small net seller of US assets after two straight months of buying (-$1.8 bln total, -$340 mln of USTs), Brazil was a net buyer of US assets for the fifth straight month ($61 mln total, -$233 mln of USTs), India was a small net buyer of US assets after six straight months of selling ($184 mln total, $218 mln of USTs), and Russia was a net seller of US assets
for a second straight month (-$20 bln total, -$20 bln of USTs).” Jan data are inconclusive- “China (as well as many other countries) loaded up on the short end during the crisis” and now may be extending.

London HC 14:55 GMT March 15, 2010
trendline support

Kaprikorn. The market is not always a conspiracy.

sofia kaprikorn 14:53 GMT March 15, 2010
trendline support

sofia kaprikorn 08:02 GMT March 15, 2010
..........

sill holding the short AUD/USD position from 0.9155.
---------------

'they' are fiercely struggling to keep it above 0.9111 low as a close below signals Key Reversal and change in fortunes here along with China tightening and all those hardly squeezed New highs in S&P..

I've read in John Carter's book (Mastering the trade) that big institutionals like to bring it to new highs and then dump on the way back as little fish always likes to buy on pull back...

London Misha 14:43 GMT March 15, 2010
Observations

HIHI HvW,

Thank you for your comments.

I do indeed usually indicate my preference for what sort of potential (bearish, bullish or neutral). However, I am also mindful that I have no prerogative on teh truth & am willing to anyone else who can offer an alternative explanation - these are just my observations.

I can recommend a good book on Candlesticks though to be fair I do use other interpretations - it jeust seems that Candlesticks suit the time.

The book is Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques by Steve Nison.

Hope it helps!

All the best

Chicago sc 14:36 GMT March 15, 2010
EURUSD
Reply   
Trading weaker than I had expected today. I was thinking abut buying a dip, but wondering now if the 1.3600 line will re-assert a gravitational pull??

GVI Forex Jay 14:36 GMT March 15, 2010
Time Change
Reply   
Reminder: There is an extra hour overlap between the US and UK/Europe this week so market dynamic will be different than normal this week.

tokyo rana 14:29 GMT March 15, 2010
buy yen...
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

ithink all sale eurusd gbpusd will go down...
buy yen...
best regards

jeursalem KB 14:21 GMT March 15, 2010
BUY EURO
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

STOPPED with my 2nd half long from last week at 20pips + so total profit 75+
looking to re-enter soon from lower levels( 1.3660/1.36200

Zurich EG 14:06 GMT March 15, 2010
eur/chf

Porto trading short has worked best since the SNB abandoned protection of 1.50

GVI Forex Blog 14:02 GMT March 15, 2010 Reply   
How many times have you heard this little piece of inanity uttered: “Markets hate uncertainty.”?

Markets Misbehave. Certainty is fantasy!

Porto Cubriclas 13:54 GMT March 15, 2010
eur/chf

Shorting eur/chf is the worst position in Forex.
GT & GL

Lahore FM 13:53 GMT March 15, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell OTHER
Entry: 10631 Target: Stop: 10665

sold june dow with a stop.target open.

Johannesburg HvW 13:30 GMT March 15, 2010
Observations

Misha,

Thank you for your daily posts regarding the Candle formations of the different currencies. Would it be possible for you to just put your interpretation of the formation as you see it, after the identification? That way we can all learn more about candle formations and their meaning. TIA.

GVI Forex JM 13:29 GMT March 15, 2010
eur/chf

SNB will intervene if it feels market is short and vulnerable rather than giving a gift to the longs.

Geneva ej 13:25 GMT March 15, 2010
eur/chf

Agree that its unsafe to bet on the SNB in the near term. I look for a change in tactics.

GVI Forex Blog 13:20 GMT March 15, 2010 Reply   

Dollar Set to Rally on Lower Demand for Risky Assets

GVI Forex Blog 13:20 GMT March 15, 2010 Reply   

Dollar Rises as Demand for Risk Falls

GVI Forex john 13:18 GMT March 15, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

TIC data seen as weak. Industrial Production in line. So U.S. data so far today mixed. Some good, some bad and some in-between.

Mysore 4xveda 13:17 GMT March 15, 2010
eur/chf

Don't expect SNB to intervene. They may not intervene at all. You can never trust Central Banks. Do not bet heavily on euro/chf or gbp/chf longs hoping that SNB may intervene.

Zurich EG 13:13 GMT March 15, 2010
eur/chf

We are all asking the same SNB question.

Porto Cubriclas 13:12 GMT March 15, 2010
eur/chf
Reply   
SNB is waiting the right time or the right price to make an intervention?
GT & GL

GVI Forex john 12:55 GMT March 15, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Strong Empire PMI has gotten the USD on a strong footing initially. Await TIC data then Ind Prod shortly. Active week for data.

GVI Forex john 12:48 GMT March 15, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization @ 13:15 GMT

Industrial Production is an index designed to measure changes in the level of output in the industrial sector of the economy. The index is grouped by both products (consumer goods, business equipment, intermediate goods, and materials) and industry (manufacturing, mining, and utilities). The data is produced by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

IMPACT: While the industrial sector of the economy represents only about 20 percent of GDP, because changes in GDP are heavily concentrated in the industrial sector changes in this index provide useful information on the current growth of GDP. The level of capacity utilization in the industrial sector provides information on the overall level of resource utilization in the economy which may in turn provide information on the likely future course of inflation.

London Misha 12:42 GMT March 15, 2010
Observations
Reply   
USDJPY - Big Outside Day Doji, possible Key Reversal Down on teh Daily Chart.
GBPUSD - Two White Soldiers on the Daily Chart.
USDCHF - Open & Close Black Marubozo on the Daily Chart.
EURGBP - Possible Bearish Seperating Lines on the Daily Chart.
USDCAD - Long Legged/possible Gravestone Doji on the Daily Chart.
AUDUSD - Doji, possibly a Gravestone Doji on the Daily Chart.
NZDUSD - Spinning Top on the Daily Chart.

GVI Forex Jay 12:42 GMT March 15, 2010
EUR/USD
Reply   


As posted on GVI Forex

GVI Forex Jay 11:23 GMT March 15, 2010
EUR/USD: Reply
Performing technically.

Held off first run at 1.3695 (former trendline). Bounce tests 1.3735-36 zone.

GVI Forex Jay 11:05 GMT March 15, 2010
EUR/USD: Reply
The failure below 1.38 and above EUR/JPY 125 has seen Friday's sentiment cool and EUR/USD back off. If it wasn't for a firmer EUR/GBP, EUR/USD would be even lower. Levels to watch are 1.3695 (key trendline broken Friday) and 1.3658 = 38.2% of 1.3435-1.3796 (1.36155 = 50%, 1.3573 = 61.8%). Note, 1.3658 is around the 100 hour mva and 200 hour mva is just below that level at 1.3650.

On the upside, 1.3725 was Friday's NY session low and 1.3736 was the other Friday breakout level, making 1.3725-36 a minor resistance area. Intra-day resistance above that area is at 1.3747/67/75.

GVI Forex john 12:39 GMT March 15, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Treasury TIC data @ 13:00 GMT

The Treasury International Capital (TIC) reporting system collects data for the United States on cross-border portfolio investment flows and positions between U.S. residents (including U.S.-based branches of firms headquartered in other countries) and foreign residents (including offshore branches of U.S. firms).

IMPACT: Traders sometimes use the TIC data as a measure of international demand for U.S. financial instruments. These data tend to be a bit old (two months) by the time they are released.

GVI Forex Blog 12:29 GMT March 15, 2010 Reply   
The euro slipped on Monday on concerns that any potential financial aid package for Greece would not be enough to ease overall sovereign debt concerns within the euro zone.

FOREX NEWS-Euro falls as market sees no Greek quick fix

GVI Forex Blog 12:25 GMT March 15, 2010 Reply   

FX Thoughts for the day : 15-Mar-2010 - 1223 GMT

GVI Forex john 12:11 GMT March 15, 2010
EURUSD Futures
Reply   
Open interest in the June Euro FX contract (front month) has now built to 144,022 contracts as of Friday +28,554 from Thursday. With March positions being rolled forward, its hard to tell much from daily open interest changes. the fog will lift this week.

ABHA fxs 12:00 GMT March 15, 2010
AUDUSD
Reply   
Buy AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

========
UPPERT TARGETING POINT 0.9237 - 0.9223
MID DAY POINT 0.9127 - 0.9155 - 0.9182
LOWER TARGETING POINT 0.9086 - 0.9072
---
DAY BUY LEVEL
0.9134
0.9121
0.9114
---
DAY TARGET
0.9175
0.9189
0.9196

HAPPY TRADE...

Wall Street 12:00 GMT March 15, 2010
EURUSD
Reply   
Neutrality is our short-term trading system now is 1.3725. The volatility range now is 20-25 pips, which implies a range trading session.

London ex 11:19 GMT March 15, 2010
USDJPY
Reply   
Buy
Entry: 90.60 Target: 91.00 Stop: 90.35

Playing it close to the vest and not going for a lot.

GVI Forex Blog 11:09 GMT March 15, 2010 Reply   
Recent UK economic data have painted a mixed picture, with the sharp fall in manufacturing production and exports in January contradicted by strong improvements in some of the business surveys – notably, the latest manufacturing and services sector PMIs. This week’s reports should hopefully bring a little more clarity,

Economics Weekly - UK budget deficit set to undershoot Chancellor’s forecast

GVI Forex Blog 11:03 GMT March 15, 2010 Reply   
Traders of the US await the publication of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision on short term interest rate.

Forexpros Daily Analysis - 15/03/2010

Gen dk 10:49 GMT March 15, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Syd 10:45 GMT March 15, 2010
Currency Picks
Reply   
Jim Vrondas, manager, corporate business at OzForex touts the euro-yen as a good trade. He discusses this and other foreign currencies with CNBC's Oriel Morrison
http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1441190655&play=1

London 10:40 GMT March 15, 2010
CB Meetings
Reply   
GLOBAL MARKETS-Central bank, Brussels meetings prompt caution

LONDON, March 15 (Reuters) - Concerns about monetary tightening in China and caution ahead of U.S. and Japanese central bank policy meetings this week weighed on financial markets on Monday, weakening stocks.

tokyo rana 10:31 GMT March 15, 2010
Usd/Cad - Will it breach 1.0200?

GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

do you think gbpjpy will come to 137.5/9 today?
best regards,

GVI Forex Blog 10:28 GMT March 15, 2010 Reply   
Currencies: The GBP was softer in choppy in its price action as the country's debt and political situation continues to be debated .

European Market Update: Traders focus shifting from European peripherals towards key central bank meetings; GBP continues to reflect political and economic uncertainties

Richland QC Mailman 10:20 GMT March 15, 2010
Usd/Cad - Will it breach 1.0200?
Reply   
It will be an interesting event today or tomorrow should the pair breach the long-term support of 1.0200 which was taken out last Friday.

ABHA FXS 10:09 GMT March 15, 2010
GBPUSD
Reply   
Buy GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

========
UPPERT TARGETING POINT 1.5296 - 1.5277
MID DAY POINT 1.4988 - 1.5065 -1.5142
LOWER TARGETING POINT 1.4853 - 1.4834
---
DAY BUY LEVEL
1.4998
1.4940
1.4930
---
DAY TARGET
1.5200
1.5191
1.5133

HAPPY TRADE...

GVI Forex Blog 10:04 GMT March 15, 2010 Reply   
10:00 GMT- Mar 15 (global-view.com) Markets seem to be reorienting themselves to start the new week. Key events at the start of the period will be the FOMC decision Tuesday and then the BOJ meeting...

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- New Directions?

Richland QC Mailman 10:01 GMT March 15, 2010
Gbp on 50% fibo
Reply   
Time now to accumulate some gbp longs ahead of 1.5030... Done.

GVI Forex john 10:00 GMT March 15, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support
Reply   


The Daily Forex View

New Directions?

10:00 GMT- Mar 15 (global-view.com) Markets seem to be reorienting themselves to start the new week. Key events at the start of the period will be the FOMC decision Tuesday and then the BOJ meeting...

MORE...

Geneva ej 09:59 GMT March 15, 2010
EURCHF
Reply   
Buy EURCHF
Entry: 1.4500? Target: waiting Stop:

I still think this is a viable play, but we have to wait for a new definition (price) of EUR weakness against Swissy.

Neuville JD 09:43 GMT March 15, 2010
bet on dollar strengh
Reply   
Buy USDCHF
Entry: 1.0607 Target: 1.0675 Stop: 1.0555

monthly target on usd/chf at 1.0450 but indicators are oversold.
GL/GT

tokyo rana 09:28 GMT March 15, 2010
any view?

cool....
thanx for message...
ithink again up is almost impossible....
last friday high was ithink max...
break f 137.3 suggest now go down...could not stay above137 even oneday...
your view?
best regards,

tokyo rana 09:17 GMT March 15, 2010
any view?

tokyo is ok ithink...but im sick got chickenpox so in great pain.how are you?
lets short 137.5 to138..........
best regards,

tokyo rana 09:14 GMT March 15, 2010
any view?

Sell GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

thanx for kind message...
yes ilike too this pair short...
but some guys said its heading to 139 to 141 so waiting right price for short....
just tired bcoz so weak and start down around 138...
137.920 came today 0422pm but it was just for few mins so ithink will come up and iwill short...
best regards,

Juffair KaL 08:38 GMT March 15, 2010
Oh yeah...here it comes
Reply   
EURUSD Short
GBPUSD Short
USDCHF Long
AUDNZD Long
GBPJPY short
big correction comin up guys

Richland QC Mailman 08:38 GMT March 15, 2010
any view?

Hi rana. HOw is Tokyo doing? I seldom trade this pair (more comfortable with gbp/usd which i sold ahead of 1.5200 closed ahead of 1.5125 TL support).

By the looks of it, assuming gbp has more room to dip towards 1.5070 and yen falling to around 90.30/20, I think it has made a temporary top 137.90 and is moving towards 136.50 even 136. SELLING is the preferred strategy actually when the price was near 137.80/70.

Neuville JD 08:35 GMT March 15, 2010
any view?

Hi,
I would wait 135.30 before considering buying.
GL/GT

tokyo rana 08:13 GMT March 15, 2010
any view?
Reply   
Sell GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

any view about gbpjpy?
idonot understand what is want markket very tired...
best regards,

sofia kaprikorn 08:02 GMT March 15, 2010
trendline support

sofia kaprikorn 13:36 GMT March 11, 2010
trendline support : Reply
jobless data didn't push the USD selling and I didn't like how every tick in aud/usd was sold down...

taking back again the original short at 0.9155..
..........

sill holding the short AUD/USD position from 0.9155.

Neuville JD 07:15 GMT March 15, 2010
Reco
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3753 Target: 1.3660 Stop: 1.3810

Hi,
Short eur/usd around 1.3750.

Hong Kong 06:28 GMT March 15, 2010
AUD/USD Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader
Reply   
INTRADAY TRADING SIGNAL BY ACETRADER.COM :
AUD/USD: 0.9147

Last Update At 15 Mar 2010 06:14 G

As aud has continued to edge lower after early
resumption of recent upmove to 0.9209 (NZ/AUD), sug
gesting further weakness to 0.9111 is seen after
minor consolidation, however, steep decline below
there is not likely ahead of European opening.


Trade fm short side with stop now as indicated,
abv wud risk 0.9180/85 b4 'down'.


Range Forecast
0.9125 / 0.9165


Resistance/Support
R: 0.9209/0.9224/0.9255
S: 0.9111/0.9086/0.9056

http://www.acetraderfx.com

GVI Forex Blog 03:40 GMT March 15, 2010 Reply   

Morning Briefing : 15-Mar-2010 - 0338 GMT

SF WM 01:35 GMT March 15, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

My forecast

1.3720-90 until US comes in

Syd 01:31 GMT March 15, 2010
DJ Moodys: UK, US Debt Affordability Most Stretched
Reply   
The four large Aaa-rated countries--the U.K., the U.S., France and Germany--face "an increasingly delicate balancing act" as they consider spending cuts to reduce government debt, Moody's Investors Service said Monday in a review of these country's ability to retain their coveted top credit rating status.It repeated that there was no immediate risk of a downgrade of the big Aaa-rated countries, although the slight risk they could fail to get their finances under control, and thus be downgraded, has increased.
Moody's concluded that "on balance, we believe that the ratings of all large Aaa governments remain well positioned--although their 'distance-to-downgrade' has, in all cases, substantially diminished."All large Aaa governments "have the capacity to rise to the challenges they face," the rating agency said in its quarterly report on Aaa-rated sovereign issuers.

Hong 01:02 GMT March 15, 2010
Daily Market outlook by AceTrader
Reply   
Market Review - 13/03/2010 02:16GMT

Dollar falls broadly on Friday on long liquidation


The greenback and Japanese yen weakened across the board on Friday versus most of their major counterparts. In Asia, the single currency traded with a firm undertone following Thursday's strong rise. Traders later reacted to earlier news of President Obama had picked San Francisco's Fed President Janey Yellen as top contender for the post to succeed Donald Kohn as Fed vice chairman as Yellen is considered to be a strong advocate of continued loose monetary policy . Later in Europe, rumors came out on recommendation by the research department of a well respected US investment bank to long EUR/USD triggered a wave of euro buying, this action had triggered more stoploss buying in early European trading. The single currency picked up more upward momentum after the release of better-than-expected industrial production data from Eurozone. Industrial production rose 1.7% (-1.3% as forecasted) from December, which is the strongest rise since 1990. The euro rose to a 4-week high versus the dollar at 1.3796 in European morning before retreating on profit-taking.

The British pound initially traded sideways in Asia before rising strongly in tandem with the euro in European morning. The intra-day rally was supported by result of another opinion poll showing a 13% lead for the Tories. Cable eventually climbed to a 2-week high of 1.5218 in NY mid-day before stabilising.

Versus the yen, dollar went through a very volatile trading day. The pair traded with a soft undertone in Asia and European morning and fell to a low of 90.16 due to broad-based selloff in the greenback in European trading. However, price found support there and staged a strong rebound. The pair later surged above Thursday's high of 90.72 to a 3-week high of 91.09 in NY morning on renewed cross-selling in yen after U.S. retail sales came in much better-than-expected, rising to 0.3% vs. forecast of a decrease of 0.2%. However, the pair reversed once again on proft-taking and fell to around 90.30 in NY afternoon due to renewed broad-based weakness in the dollar.

Economic data to be released on next week include: Japan consumer confidence, Swiss PPI, E.U. employment change, US manufacturing index, industrial production, capacity utilization and housing market index on Monday, Australia RBA release minutes, U.K. DCLG house prices, EU HICP final, ZEW survey, U.S. Building permits, housing starts, import and FOMC rate announcement on Tuesday, Australia Westpac leading economic index, Japan BOJ rate decision , U.K. Claimant count, unemployment rate, average earning, E.U. labour cost, U.S. PPI and wholesales sales on Wednesday, Japan Leading indicators, Swiss trade balance, industrial production, ZEW index, EU Current account, trade balance, U.K. PSNCR, CBI industrial trend, US CPI, jobless claim, real earning, leading indicators, feb survey and Midwest manufacturing on Thursday, Germany PPI, Canada CPI and retail sales on Friday.
http://www.acetraderfx.com

Richland QC Mailman 00:38 GMT March 15, 2010
Double Top at 9195 & Possible Reversal Point

Ah ok sfx, thanks for the info. My charts here did not show it broke 9200. But I really like the technical picture for a reversal from that level.

Syd 00:38 GMT March 15, 2010
Reserve should nip rising house prices in the bud
Reply   
I have no idea whether the next rise in the official interest rate will come at the Reserve Bank board's meeting in three weeks or a month later. But if I were governor I wouldn't be dragging my feet.

According to Glenn Stevens's own public estimate, it will take only one or two more 0.25 percentage-point increases in the official rate to return the rates home-buyers and other borrowers actually pay to ''normal'' - that is, their long-term average.http://www.smh.com.au/business/reserve
-should-nip-rising-house-prices-in-the-bud-20100314-q64z.html

Singapore Sfx 00:28 GMT March 15, 2010
Double Top at 9195 & Possible Reversal Point

Not disagreeing with the trade, Mailman - but think you should know that the aud traded 0.9209 high on Reuters matching in the no fly zone earlier this mrng. - fwiw

Richland QC Mailman 00:23 GMT March 15, 2010
Double Top at 9195 & Possible Reversal Point
Reply   
Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 9170 Target: open Stop: 9195

Sold. Technical picture is leaning on reversal against 9200.

Syd 00:08 GMT March 15, 2010
Likely Fed Picks Back Low Rates
Reply   
LINK

Japan Frustrated by Firm Yen
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB100014240527487034571045751212428
16158792.html

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
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