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Forex Forum Archive for 03/21/2010

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Hong Kong Qindex 23:54 GMT March 21, 2010
GBP/JPY : Current Comments
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/JPY : The current expected trading range is 134.58 - 136.84. In the mean time it is trapped within 135.54 - 136.05.

GBP/JPY : Monthly Cycle Charts

GVI Forex Blog 23:44 GMT March 21, 2010 Reply   
Lower US equities set the tone for currencies and commodities on Friday night. The negative sentiment couldn't be pinned on any one event, Greece again in the mix, and India's central bank unexpectedly (one month before their scheduled meeting) raised both their policy rates 25bp, prompted by inflation concerns.

Forex Research - Morning Report

Syd 23:40 GMT March 21, 2010
DJ Australia's Company Executives Confident In 2010 Outlook - Survey
Australia's corporate executives are growing ever more confident in their outlook for 2010, although an air of caution remains as the recovery in some sectors will likely be faster than others, according to an industry survey released Monday. Demand is expected to be especially strong in the manufacturing and services sectors, leaving construction to lag the recovery, the Australia Industry Group/Deloitte annual survey of over 500 chief executives conducted in early December found.
Broken down, manufacturers are looking for a 5.6% increase in the nominal value of sales in 2010 to about A$415 billion, with export sales expected to rise 4.1% to A$96 billion.

AUD/USD perks up on news Arrow Energy Ltd (AOE.AU) agreed to sell bulk of Australian assets to Royal Dutch Shell PLC (RDSB) and PetroChina Co. (PTR) for A$3.44 billion. One trader at an Australian bank says deal anticipated, but amount of cash set to move through FX markets was enough to give the pair some renewed buoyancy. Since confirmation of the deal was announced, AUD/USD up from around 0.9134 to 0.9148 now.

Hong Kong Qindex 23:08 GMT March 21, 2010
USD/CAD : Monthly Cycle Charts
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/CAD : the market is stable when it is able to trade above the range 1.0162 - 1.0200.

USD/CAD : Monthly Cycle Charts

ottawa mjw 22:45 GMT March 21, 2010
usd/ short term
us health care bill + or - for USD ? I"am not so sure , opening bell should help tell the story.

GVI Forex john 21:51 GMT March 21, 2010
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Syd 21:46 GMT March 21, 2010
DJ MARKET TALK: AUD/USD To Start Week Facing Headwinds - NAB
Reversal in investor risk-appetite and commodity prices means AUD starts a new week with headwinds, says John Kyriakopoulos, head of FX strategy at NAB. Says some very good news on global growth and/or announcement of a Greek financial bailout package needed for stock market to rebound to fresh highs this week. Says some cushion for AUD/USD will be provided by it being "cheap" relative to short-term model's fair value estimate of 0.9510. On the outlook for official interest rates as a driver of the AUD, NAB continues to see a 45% chance of an April 6 rate hike. Currently, the market prices just under a 40% chance of such as move. Adds retail sales for February (out March 31) will need to deliver another booming increase and the Greek debt crisis not escalate to trigger a rate hike next month.

Syd 21:25 GMT March 21, 2010
OECD Chief Says Greece Should Turn To IMF For Help
ATHENS (AFP)--The head of the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development encouraged Greece in an interview published Sunday to seek International Monetary Fund financing as it battles a debt crisis, an issue that has split Europe

"You should remember that the IMF constitutes a solution, an alternative solution, but legal in any event because you are a member of the Fund," Angel Gurria said in the Greek daily, To Vima.

"I do not understand why this solution meets with such reactions, tell me why you ignore the IMF," he said.

IMF intervention for debt-ridden Greece has split the eurozone, with Germany and the Netherlands among those open to IMF involvement but France maintaining the issue is internal to the 16-nation bloc.

The IMF has never rescued a eurozone member and a Greek bailout would be seen by some as a humiliation.

Gurria also played down an immediate role for an European Monetary Fund, which has been mooted to help out Greece, saying to the country that to establish this would "need a lot of time, which you do not have."

He added that "we know the conditions the IMF imposes for releasing funds, and these are measures that your government has already announced."

Greece has made it clear it faces the prospect of bankruptcy as it cannot meet its borrowing requirements at current rates while at the same time adhering to strict EU demands to slash its huge public deficit.

Investors focus on Australia after GFC success

Prosperity on rise as economy shows signs of recovery

tokyo rana 16:30 GMT March 21, 2010

Entry: Target: Stop:

ABHA FXS above 139 also big big dream know very gbp very very weak facing heavy selling presure..
idonot think so its gona happen seems impossible...above 139open door for 143....ithink price stay below 139.5 and resume down trend for 124.700 to for 127.800 around 134 to 135 target 138 regards

London Colin 16:25 GMT March 21, 2010
Profitmaker sys chart

Thanks you for the explanation. I have to study this in more detail.

ABHA FXS 15:56 GMT March 21, 2010

BUY LOWER AT 13375---13409

EXIT HIGHER AT 14067---14101

tokyo rana 15:48 GMT March 21, 2010
gbpjpy Profitmaker sys chart

Entry: Target: Stop:

amman ithink we will go one more time up atleast bfore go down target 133 or below...donot you think so?ithink go down from 138 or 139 again it iwill rise from 134 to 135 to 138 139....this is my view maybe im wrong...break 134 below not easy and soon.. im not agree with sale 136 this way cannot make high buy low..ithink 134 to 136 still buying area sale area above 138 to 139..any body else have view?best regards

ABHA FXS 15:17 GMT March 21, 2010
Entry: 1.4882 Target: 1.5479 Stop:



BUY AREA 14882

HAPPY TRADE............&&

Amman wfakhoury 13:34 GMT March 21, 2010
Profitmaker sys chart
How to creat signals
If the price within the downtrend area and you missed
enter at the break of trend change area :
Sell at any entry point if the entry line the blue one below
the exit line the red one.
tp ; at the traget or lower 133.00
stop loss : exit with profit or loss when the blue line cross
above red line.

Amman wfakhoury 13:23 GMT March 21, 2010
gbpjpy Profitmaker sys chart
London Colin 11:58 GMT March 21, 2010
How to creat trading signals on Profitmaker sys :
If price breaks trend change area to down
Sell at the lowest level of trend chang area 136.25 tp :the target or lower 133.00 stop loss : the highest level trend change area +20 pips.

Juffair KaL 12:48 GMT March 21, 2010
Guys...Last week was nothin
Expect 1.27 or less before a correction

London Colin 11:58 GMT March 21, 2010
gbpjpy short term Profitmaker sys chart

Amman. Could you create a hypothetical trading scenario using one of those charts with entry, exit profit), reversal, stop out. I think that would be helpful in understanding your system.

Mtl JP 11:17 GMT March 21, 2010
Ratings Agencies???

NYT... mono-education, group-think, conformity to parrot for sake of one' s career, reverence of supposedly iconicly bestowed leading thinkers... all little ingredients with great potential for new profit opportunities.

Good example from Krugman :

Taking On China

I say: lets go!!!! lets have some fun, with this nobel laureat.
(has the comitte ever asked for its award back ?)

NYT 11:00 GMT March 21, 2010
Ratings Agencies???
Moody’s and the Debt Threat

We were, briefly, chilled when the credit rating agencies — Moody’s, Standard and Poor’s, and Fitch — warned that they might have to downgrade the triple-A debt of the United States if it failed to bring its budget deficit under control. Then we remembered it was not too long ago that these agencies were tripping over one another to bestow triple-A ratings on many of the incomprehensible financial confections the banks crafted out of mounds of dicey mortgages.

Amman wfakhoury 10:57 GMT March 21, 2010
gbpjpy short term Profitmaker sys chart

short term 4hr Profitmaker sys chart.
price shows we are heading to 133.00 unless it breaks 136.25-35 area

NYT 10:56 GMT March 21, 2010
IMF Warns
I.M.F. Warns Wealthiest Nations About Their Debt

The global economic crisis has left “deep scars” in the fiscal balances of the world’s advanced economies, which should begin to rein in spending next year as the recovery continues, the No.2 official at the International Monetary Fund said Sunday.

Amman wfakhoury 08:39 GMT March 21, 2010
EUR/USD 4hr Profitmaker chart

same as previous but time frame 4hr

Amman wfakhoury 08:26 GMT March 21, 2010
EUR/USD short term Profitmaker chart

The blue area shows the trend change area
The red area shows the downtrend area. till 13330
The green area shows the uptrend area till 13830.
when price breaks the trend change area the target will be
13330. This also confirmed by crossing Entry line and EXit line
the yellow line.
In this chart price heading twd 13330 unless breaks up the blue area.

Syd 07:46 GMT March 21, 2010
Official: China Will Keep Inflation Under Control -Xinhua
A senior economist said Saturday that China would be able to keep its consumer price index around 3% this year, despite relatively high inflation expectations, Xinhua news agency reported.

Yao Jingyuan, chief economist of the National Bureau of Statistics, said, "China's grain output totaled 1.02 trillion [kilograms] last year, representing the sixth straight year of good harvest, which serves as an important stabilizer for prices," according to the report.

Overcapacity would also prevent prices from rising sharply and quickly, Yao said in Beijing, according to Xinhua.

But he also warned of the possibility of a price rise as the country relied heavily on the international market for bulk commodities such as iron ores and oil, the report said. Sharp increases in the prices of these imports were likely to push up other prices, the report said.

China's experience in the past 30 years showed that the existence together of an overheated economy, a crop failure and a credit binge would result in serious inflation, Yao said, according to Xinhua.

"We should do everything possible to prevent the three factors from occurring together," Yao said, according to Xinhua.

China's CPI, a main gauge of inflation, rose 2.7% year on year in February. It ended nine months of decline in November last year, when it rose 0.6%, the report said.

Syd 07:45 GMT March 21, 2010
PBOC Adviser:Inflation Threat To China Not Big Concern Now-Report
The threat to China's economy from inflation is "not particularly big" at the moment and is of less concern than tackling asset-price bubbles, said Fan Gang, an adviser to the People's Bank of China, Bloomberg News reported Saturday. While inflation would be of concern further down the road, the near-term outlook isn't a top priority, Fan said at the China Development Forum in Beijing, the report said.

Syd 07:43 GMT March 21, 2010
DJ China Minister: Won't Turn Blind Eye If US Sets Trade Sanctions
China "won't turn a blind eye" if the U.S. imposes trade sanctions after Treasury issues its semi-annual currency report, Commerce Minister Chen Deming said Sunday, in unusually harsh remarks as the U.S. steps up pressure on the yuan exchange rate.

Chen also repeated Premier Wen Jiabao's remarks a week earlier that the yuan isn't undervalued, when asked about how Beijing would react if Treasury finds China to be a currency manipulator in the report due next month.

"If this is just an answer, we can talk about these issues," he said. But if this answer is accompanied later by trade sanctions and trade actions, I think we won't turn a blind eye," he said, in remarks published on the Web site of the People's Daily, the Communist Party mouthpiece.

Treasury must decide by Apr. 15 whether to label China a currency manipulator in its semi-annual report to Congress on the currency policies of its trading partners.

Such a designation wouldn't result in the imposition of any penalties on the offending country, but could worsen tense China-U.S. ties and goad Congress to take action.

Some lawmakers have already introduced legislation aimed at forcing the Obama administration to take action against China over its currency policy.

Chen added China may post a trade deficit in March.


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