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Forex Forum Archive for 03/29/2010

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bluff a 21:58 GMT March 29, 2010
Inverse
Reply   
Buy EURJPY
Entry: <125 Target: 130+ Stop:

Inverse head and shoulders nearing completion on dailys. Watch for strong break of 125.

Syd 21:43 GMT March 29, 2010
DJ AUD/USD Should Be Bought On Dips - BNZ
Reply   
AUD/USD is enjoying firm support in wake of article by newspaper columnist and noted RBA watcher Terry McCrann stating rates will go higher next week, meaning pair should be bought on any weakness, says Bank of New Zealand strategist Danica Hampton. "It's a good-news story for the AUD." Says afterglow of RBA Stevens TV interview in which he delivered hawkish comments is also boosting pair. Expects buyers on any dip to 0.9130; latest 0.9175


Stevens never had any doubts about banks' solvency LINK
China gold demand to 'double in a decade' LINK
Property boom a risk for investors: RBA chief LINK

GVI Forex Blog 21:33 GMT March 29, 2010 Reply   
Greek bond issue: lukewarm receipt Dale: BoE QE kept lid on yields PBoC shifts policymakers EUR and GBP higher German CPI creeping up

Forex Market Commentary and Analysis (29 March 2010)

Dallas MDG 21:31 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD
Reply   
Zeus-You're short, right?

GVI Forex Blog 21:22 GMT March 29, 2010 Reply   
The Canadian dollar firmed against the U.S. dollar on Monday as concerns about debt problems in the euro zone eased, undercutting the greenback's safe-haven luster and helping to boost investor

Forex News - CANADA FX DEBT-Canadian dollar firms on Greece optimism

Syd 21:12 GMT March 29, 2010
China PBOC Advisor Plays Down Need For Rate Hike
Reply   
BEIJING (MNI) - China needs to take issues such as consumer price inflation and inflows of speculative "hot money" into account before deciding whether or not to raise benchmark interest rates, a senior government economist and central bank advisor said in comments published Monday.
Xia Bin, an economist with the Development Research Center and newly-installed member of the Monetary Policy Committee under the People's Bank of China, said that a rate hike won't be needed if the growth of the consumer pricestrails off after the release of the March inflation report.

CHICAGO (MNI) - Ray Stone, principal of Stone & McCarthy Research Associates Monday said urgency for the Federal Reserve to hike the discount rate has decreased recently due to a decline in borrowing.
In a research note on March 18, Stone wrote, "If I am correct the Federal Reserve Board should have a closed door meeting today where they will review petitions to increase or maintain the existing discount rate."


GVI Forex Blog 20:27 GMT March 29, 2010 Reply   
20:00 GMT- Mar 29 (global-view.com) Trade was fairly cautious on Monday it what may be shaping up to be a holiday-constrained week. It seemed that orders related to quarter-end might have been dominating activity.

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- Range Day

Syd 20:24 GMT March 29, 2010
$/yen, confirmation of major bottom ?
Reply   
$/yen, confirmation of major bottom ?
LINK

GVI Forex john 19:48 GMT March 29, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support


The Daily Forex View

Range Day

20:00 GMT- Mar 29 (global-view.com)  Trade was fairly cautious on Monday it what may be shaping up to be a holiday-constrained week. It seemed that orders related to quarter-end might have been dominating activity...

MORE...

USA ZEUS 19:47 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

Final entry @ 1.3481 all in

GVI Forex Blog 19:26 GMT March 29, 2010 Reply   
US equities gained moderately, US consumer spending data meeting consensus, and some ongoing relief a solution had been reached for Greece, likely contributing factors.

Forex Research - Morning Report

HK [email protected] 19:10 GMT March 29, 2010
AUS/USD
Reply   
Daily RSI has bounced above 50 and that is a simple point to consider.
Looks like early Pacific robber traders are set to get stops at around few hours from now at [0.9180,0.9185].



USA ZEUS 19:09 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

USA ZEUS 19:08 GMT March 29, 2010

1.3470.6 rounded up.
thx

USA ZEUS 19:08 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

Added 1.3471

NYC ted 19:03 GMT March 29, 2010
Scalp

Well that did not work! left in a stop while I stepped out. Should have given it a little more space.

tokyo rana 18:55 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

Sell EURJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

USA ZEUS,tellme please eurjpy is rejected from125 or not yet or still early to say anthing?eurjpy lower than todays open...happy trade..best regards

USA ZEUS 18:51 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

Let's get EUR/USD called into the 1.3440-50 range to end the day real messy like.

GVI Forex Blog 18:36 GMT March 29, 2010 Reply   

Euro steady; market braces for Greece bond issue

GVI Forex Blog 18:35 GMT March 29, 2010 Reply   

Equity Markets Higher in Limited Action

tokyo rana 18:35 GMT March 29, 2010
gbpjpy long orders canceled
Reply   
Sell GBPJPY
Entry: Target: 128 Stop: open

gbpjpy long orders canceled bcoz this week 1st move up side...so remain on shorts gbpjpy target 128....usdjpy long oders have 91.375 but still not confident maybe usdjpy take long long time go up or even not up......any view welcome...happy trade,best regards

USA ZEUS 18:20 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

thanks Rana. Lets call it lucky! ;-)
Best to you

Lahore FM 18:17 GMT March 29, 2010
Trade Ideas

Rana,i knew the sentiment behind your kind post.it was not lost on me.good trades!

USA ZEUS 18:15 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

Short 1.3466

USA ZEUS 18:09 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

Ahoy! and thanks Sir Purkson. Just one of those patient sniper scalper days instead of the smooth as butter flow sessions.

Cheers

tokyo rana 18:09 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

USA ZEUS,again well done...your so great or lucky idonot know...your every shot so perfect eurusd going up...happy trade..good luck

USA ZEUS 18:08 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

Out at 1.3462. Pips are tight.

tokyo rana 18:05 GMT March 29, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

Lahore FM brother,iwas just telling you im happy you with me...im not pro of fx...your pro so im short early with out any signal.....im emotional trader...just sell high buy low...happy trade.good luck always..best regards

Hillegom Purk 18:03 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

Zeus, my guess is that you have the day of. Otherwise i can not explain those laser precisin taken trades. Nothing ever changes does it? Fine work there. Wonder if HE is watching?
Pips in the bag.

Los Angles T 17:44 GMT March 29, 2010
USD/JPY Buy now
Reply   
Buy USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

Go long on USD/JPY now!
Target 92.70, SL open!

Lahore FM 17:41 GMT March 29, 2010
Trade Ideas

Rana,i know you did,i go by my own system.

happy trades!see you around the target!

tokyo rana 17:34 GMT March 29, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

Lahore FM brother,isold around 93.00 same target..happy trade..best regards

GVI Forex Blog 17:30 GMT March 29, 2010 Reply   
The AUD/USD started to decline last week, but was supported above 0.90. The weekly post mentioned that a break below 0.90 would be a significant bearish signal. The stochastic was also showing...

FXTimes: Daily Technical Update AUD/USD Rallies after Completing Correction to 0.90

GVI Forex Blog 17:26 GMT March 29, 2010 Reply   
I have been stalking GBP/JPY as it rallied last week and to start this week to pare 100% of the previous downswing that suggested a bearish outlook in the short-intermediate term.

FXTimes: Daiy Technical Update GBP/JPY: Stalking Bullish Attempt

Lahore FM 17:25 GMT March 29, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell USDJPY
Entry: 92.57 Target: 90.30 Stop: 92.90

sold now.

USA ZEUS 17:18 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

The volatility near the low (previous short exit level) is wide enough that there should be plenty of chop for scalpers. Let's see...

tokyo rana 17:18 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:


EURUSD: Looking to test intra-day low of 1.3422. Below 1.3405 increases downside risks back to 1.3300 happy trade

jerusalem KB 17:16 GMT March 29, 2010
buy gbpchf
Reply   
Buy GBPCHF
Entry: 1.5940 Target: 1.6040/1.6100 Stop: 1.5800

targeting middle BB in daily chart

tokyo rana 17:13 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

USA ZEUS,seems testing daily low...happy trade..best regards

USA ZEUS 17:07 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

Thx rana.

Schnittzzled some longs @ 1.3441 for a scalp

PAR 16:58 GMT March 29, 2010
GREECE
Reply   
Greece gets euro5 billion on bonds after rescue plan
(AP) – 21 minutes ago

ATHENS, Greece — Greece has raised euro5 billion ($6.74 billion) with a seven-year syndicated bond issue, in a crucial first borrowing test after the eurozone unveiled a rescue last week to help Athens cope with its acute debt crisis.

A statement Monday from the government's Public Debt Management Agency said the bonds were sold at a coupon yield of 5.9 percent. Greece needs to borrow some euro54 billion ($72 billion) this year, and must refinance some euro20 billion in April and May.

GVI Forex john 16:51 GMT March 29, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

OPINION: Looks like we have seen short covering over the day in the EUR has vs. the USD and on its crosses. Today saw a new Greek debt issuance that was greeted lukewarmly by most observers. Most traders are still uncertain if Greece and the Eurozone have extricated themselves from this mess. If this is the case, then you have to wonder where the EUR goes once recent short-covering has run its course? Its important to keep in mind that Europe is not unhappy with a weakening currency with inflation not a pressing issue.

The EURCHF cross still has not found a definiate floor, but SNB tactics might have changed? EURGBP is trading roughly with the EURUSD. The end of this week and the beginning of next is a near-universal holiday period in much of Europe.

tokyo rana 16:49 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

Sell EURJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

USA ZEUS,well done......eurjpy also started going down again...ihope strong resistance @125..happy trade...best regards

USA ZEUS 16:42 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

Easy money is tight. All out @ 1.3437

GVI Forex john 16:35 GMT March 29, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

OPINION: The JPY is still steady vs. the USD and thus is lower vs. Europe. The government has been placing political pressure on the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to do more to combat deflation. The government expects the central bank to do more to spur economic growth. One strategy for stimulating growth and encouraging price increases is a weaker currency policy, and FinMin Kan has been making noises in that direction. End of fiscal year repatriation should ends Wednesday (fiscal year-end).

NYC ted 16:33 GMT March 29, 2010
Scalp
Reply   
Buy USDJPY
Entry: 92.61 Target: 92.90 Stop: 92.48

have to do something here. Low leverage trade.

Tallinn viies 16:10 GMT March 29, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
eurusd moves today a bit of suprise to most market participants. short squeeze in wellington may suprise many rookies but this is not coming as a suprise to people who have been longer in markets. sunday night moves always been there and will be there.
suprise is that euro is still over 1,3410 what NYC closing level. would have been expecting stop hunt and then back to close the cap and move down again.

If euro close today over 1,3420 then I expect more people will come and start to cover their shorts....
it may turn intresting then if to think there will be month end window dressing,

Tallinn viies 15:59 GMT March 29, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
do not follow other crosses usually but this jumbed to may face today... eurjpy inverse head and shoulders. close over 125.30 will be bullish sign and will reverse the downtrend with first target at 130.

Varna GV 15:51 GMT March 29, 2010
DOW
Reply   
Qindex,sir are the levels for Dow are acctual?

GVI Forex Blog 15:49 GMT March 29, 2010 Reply   
Price action on GBP/USD, a daily chart of which is shown, made a pronounced bounce late last week off key long-term support just below the important 1.4800 level.

Chart of the Day - 3/29/2010 – GBP/USD

USA ZEUS 15:41 GMT March 29, 2010
Commodity Bubble
Reply   
For a year now many have been prophetically announcing that commodities are overvalued and that they will fall.

Just like Prechter in the early 80's calling for a market crash, the commodity pundits will be correct, after missing it all.

USA ZEUS 15:35 GMT March 29, 2010
BAC
Reply   
Bank of America is going to finally take a run at $20 before backing off again then plowing into the $30+ territory. That is where retirement becomes an option.

USA ZEUS 15:33 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

Something tells me 1.3377 is coming.

GVI Forex Blog 15:21 GMT March 29, 2010 Reply   
Mar 29 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: The Far East will see more of the usual month-end flood of data from Japan. In Europe,

GVI Forex- Data Outlook for March 30, 2010

GVI Forex Blog 15:21 GMT March 29, 2010 Reply   
EUR/USD was off its best level as the NY morning commenced, with the Greek debt auction haunting sentiment. Greece's PDMA debt agency confirmed that that the initial pricing for the benchmark 7-year bond was in the neighborhood of 310bps over mid-swaps.

Forez Blog - US Market Update

GVI Forex john 15:19 GMT March 29, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Mar 29 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: The Far East will see more of the usual month-end flood of data from Japan. In Europe, the U.K. will see revisions to 4Q09 GDP. In North America, Canadian PPI data are due. The U.S. will see the Case-Shiller index and the weekly API data.

23:30

JA

Feb Hhld Spend yy

1.50%

1.70%

23:30

JA

Feb Unemploy

4.90%

4.90%

23:50

JA

Febp Ind Out

-0.50%

2.50%

 

 

TUESDAY

 

 

8:30

UK

4Qf GDP qq

0.30%

0.30%

8:30

UK

4Qf GDP yy

-3.30%

-3.30%

12:30

CA

Feb PPI mm

0.00%

0.30%

12:30

CA

Feb PPI yy

n/a

-0.30%

14:00

US

Jan Case-Shil 20

0.00%

-0.20%

14:00

US

Mar CB Confidence

50

46

bucharest vicx 15:19 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

thkx man i am flated :P

USA ZEUS 15:11 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

All in final short 1.3478

San Diego LC 15:11 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

50 period MA on the 4 hr chart comes in right at 1.35 on my charts, and the 200 MA on the hourly comes in at 1.3490. Both been tested and held twice in the last 24-36 hours.

USA ZEUS 15:08 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

vicx probably right on this one.

USA ZEUS 15:02 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

Short again 1.3472. Have to be a sloppy trader. Many things in the periphery atm.

USA ZEUS 14:57 GMT March 29, 2010
Pound

Taro- Think that along with a two-way street we are in for more USD strengthening bias. At least that's what my fortune cookie said.

tokyo rana 14:56 GMT March 29, 2010
Pound

GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

one more thought maybe move between 1.48 to 1.50 for while bfore bigest decline to 1.35 to 1.43...happy trade...best regards

bucharest vicx 14:54 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

zeus i think it will touch 80 today at least :P

USA ZEUS 14:52 GMT March 29, 2010
Pound

Taro- me thinks we are in for a two-way street here.

USA ZEUS 14:50 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

Ok now dn

Added 1.3465

Amman wfakhoury 14:49 GMT March 29, 2010
gbpusd
Reply   
Taro
-------
Amman wfakhoury 08:31 GMT March 29, 2010
gbpusd Profitmaker alerts: Reply
gbpusd
=====
14970-60 is the trend change levels
keeping above this area means 1.5037 will be seen first then
1.5200.
breaking this area down means 14800 will be seen.

------------
Mostly will see 15037 first unless price breaks 14960

tokyo rana 14:47 GMT March 29, 2010
Pound

GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Montréal Taro.ithink no body have idea so far about gbp pound...no confirmation...up and down both 50/50.....break of 1.5050 bring 1.54..happy trade..best regards

Montréal Taro 14:44 GMT March 29, 2010
Pound
Reply   
FM, Zeux, Wfakhoury

Where is pound heading today, your thoughts, pls ?

TIA

GVI Forex Blog 14:42 GMT March 29, 2010 Reply   
The fact that the late-week reversal wasn’t able to allow the pair to close higher on the week could indicate that the bears are still in control...

EURUSD: Tip-toeing a very narrow line of support

London HC 14:41 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

It feels like a market where if you trade, you wind up trading with yourself. Light interest or calm before next storm?????

USA ZEUS 14:36 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

Ok now up before dn.

bucharest vicx 14:33 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

zus i think it will rise one more time! above 50 area

GVI Forex Blog 14:33 GMT March 29, 2010 Reply   

Firm Euro Helping to Boost Demand for Higher Risk Assets

GVI Forex Blog 14:31 GMT March 29, 2010 Reply   

Renewed Demand for Risk Pressures Dollar

USA ZEUS 14:31 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

now lower

tokyo rana 14:29 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

USA ZEUS,yes i already said eurjpy also seems ready for go down....agree with you...on friday i said eurusd go up when was around 1.33....happy trade...best regards

USA ZEUS 14:29 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

But first it will go a bit higher.

USA ZEUS 14:27 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

Looks like EUR/USD wants to push lower any moment.

jerusalem KB 14:24 GMT March 29, 2010
sell eurusd
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3455 Target: 1.3375 Stop: 1.3490

small short

tokyo rana 14:23 GMT March 29, 2010
No Comments

Sell GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

Amman wfakhoury,im sorry i was very wrong...very bad call...happy trade...best regards

London Shaun 14:21 GMT March 29, 2010
Crude over bght
Reply   
Sell Crude
Entry: 82.15 Target: 79.25 Stop: 82.55

RSI Showing at 80%

Amman wfakhoury 14:20 GMT March 29, 2010
No Comments
Reply   
tokyo rana 16:07 GMT March 28, 2010
gbpjpy Profitmaker short term chart: Reply
Buy GBPJPY
Entry: 135 to 136 Target: Stop:

Amman wfakhoury,gbpjpy will come to 136.700 to 134.700 mostly likely after that again go up....ithink straight up difficult....gbpjpy sell of around 138 to 138.500 and swing down.........happytrade...best regards

USA ZEUS 14:17 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

EUR/USD poised to rise before decline.

Amman wfakhoury 14:08 GMT March 29, 2010
Profitmaker chart test
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 15:00 GMT March 28, 2010
gbpjpy Profitmaker short term chart: Reply


in uptrend since 137.55 and heading twd 139.00 unless it breaks down 137.45 .
-------
price touched 139.00 and new chart issued.


USA ZEUS 14:01 GMT March 29, 2010
Heavy metal meltdown
Reply   
looking very ST for gold to back away from 1,110 and silver from 17.30

USA ZEUS 13:55 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

Short afresh @ 1.3453

tokyo rana 13:35 GMT March 29, 2010
Fundamental Forecast for Japanese Yen: Bullish

Sell USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

Dear Zeus,thanx alot.....but ithink yen easly can recover than other currencies...at the moment yen weak donot know why....happy trade...best regards

Melbourne Qindex 13:34 GMT March 29, 2010
USD/CHF : Current Comments
Reply   
Sell USDCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/CHF : The market is under pressure when it is trading below the weekly cycle pivot centers at 1.0656 - 1.0672 - 1.0693.

USA ZEUS 13:32 GMT March 29, 2010
Fundamental Forecast for Japanese Yen: Bullish

Dear rana- Never upset with you. Please carry on as always and please don't take any offense to my post- none intended for sure. Just adding mix to the potpourri of forum spice.

GLGT! :-)

tokyo rana 13:28 GMT March 29, 2010
Fundamental Forecast for Japanese Yen: Bullish

Sell EURJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

Cairo Hesham and Zues idonot know...dailyfx saying jpy Fundamental Forecast bullish...donot be upset with me...im not Analyst.............. ithink yen still weak...happy trade...best regards...

USA ZEUS 13:22 GMT March 29, 2010
Fundamental Forecast for Japanese Yen: Bullish

Just like technical analysis, currency fundamentals are bullish if you are long and bearish if you are short.

Liars never figure and figures never lie.

London ex 13:20 GMT March 29, 2010
Fundamental Forecast for Japanese Yen: Bullish

Respectfully, I would find it hard fundamentally to bullish the JPY at these levels. Japanese officials are making noise like they want it lower.

Cairo Hesham 13:18 GMT March 29, 2010
Fundamental Forecast for Japanese Yen: Bullish

To Rana: from where did u get this fundamental analysis?

USA ZEUS 13:18 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD

Always a pleasure making money in my sleep.
Just closed @ 1.3446 for +30.

Happy Day!

Wall Street 13:17 GMT March 29, 2010
EURUSD
Reply   
Neutrality now 1.3470

volatility range +/- 40 to 50 pips from neutrality. A bit rich today.

tokyo rana 13:08 GMT March 29, 2010
Fundamental Forecast for Japanese Yen: Bullish
Reply   
Buy OTHER
Entry: Target: Stop:

Fundamental Forecast for Japanese Yen: Bullish...happy trade...best regards

GVI Forex Blog 13:03 GMT March 29, 2010 Reply   

FX Thoughts for the day : 29-Mar-2010 - 1302 GMT

London ex 12:56 GMT March 29, 2010
$/yen
Reply   
Buy USDJPY
Entry: 92.10 Target: 93.50 Stop: 91.70

Still a one way trade, but i wont pay up to get in.

tokyo rana 12:56 GMT March 29, 2010
sale sale sale....
Reply   
Sell EURJPY
Entry: 125 Target: open Stop: open

hello to all..finaly euro break hourly candle....thanx God my yen is getting better...ihope gbpjpy also start going down...im short tomuch eurjpy usdjpy and gbpjpy...happy trade....best regards

Lahore FM 12:47 GMT March 29, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell S&P
Entry: 1165.00 Target: Stop: 1168.50

03/29/2010 01:53:32 FM Lahore 8

Sell S&P
Entry: 1165.00 Target: 1140.00 Stop: 1168.50
additional sell entered.
--
additional sell stopped for minus 3.50 points.

Lahore FM 12:42 GMT March 29, 2010
Trade Ideas

RF your post greatly appreciated.i raise sl to 0.9180 now.but this is about all i can give to it for now.

many thanx HK RF!

GVI Forex john 12:37 GMT March 29, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



Core PCE in line. No Fed implications...

GVI Forex john 11:59 GMT March 29, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

IMM swaps and spot to futures Calculator Swaps updated daily. Link above in Navigation Bar.

Melbourne Qindex 11:55 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD : Current Comments

EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : The weekly cycle matrix system indicates that the market is consolidating within 1.3419 - 1.3481. It is ready to challenge the upper trading range at 1.3546 - 1.3619 when the market is able to close above 1.3500 in the New York session.

GVI Forex john 11:53 GMT March 29, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Total Open Interest in the June EURO FX futures contract was 212,084 at the close on Friday, up 6,011 contracts. To us this was a surprising net increase. There must have been short-covering and new EURUSD longs.

It is our impression that this level of open interest is at a record level.

Melbourne Qindex 11:48 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD : Current Comments

EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : As shown in the monthly cycle frequency chart the frequency number associated with 1.3204 and 1.3739 is more or less the same. This would suggest that the market can easily move between these two points. The mid-point reference between 1.3204 and 1.3739 is 1.3472.

GVI Forex john 11:38 GMT March 29, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Data @ 12:30 GMT
U.S. Core PCE price index


The Core PCE price index is defined as personal consumption expenditures (PCE) prices excluding food and energy.

IMPACT: Core PCE is said to be the preferred inflation measure of the Fed and therefore is a very significant release in that it can influence policy. It is thought the Fed targets core PCE loosely between 2.0% and 3.0%.

HK [email protected] 11:29 GMT March 29, 2010
Trade Ideas

Lahore FM 09:29 GMT March 29, 2010

I suspect that your stop is within the target of this AUS/USD upswing. Mean to say I suspect the stop will taken, but not to see it as an advice or criticism of your trade, but only as a possible tech. opinion.

Geneva ej 11:25 GMT March 29, 2010
EURCHF
Reply   
Buy EURCHF
Entry: 1.4310 Target: 1.4350 Stop: 1.4290

Finally back in this trade.

Mtl JP 11:01 GMT March 29, 2010
GBP profitmaker

Sukmidik 08:08 / quite to the contrary, I think YOU owe Amman wfakhoury a BIG THANK YOU.

GVI Forex Jay 11:00 GMT March 29, 2010
Pivotal Big Figure Day
Reply   
As posted on GVI Forex

GVI Forex Jay 10:32 GMT March 29, 2010
Pivotal big figure day: Reply
The following pivotal big figures have traded today and are important indicators going forwards;

eur/usd 1.35
eur/jpy 125
gbp/usd 1.50
eur/gbp 90
usd/cad 1.02

1.35 and 125 are most significant for the overall dollar tone

Importance of Big Figures in Forex Trading

The Importance of Big Figures in Forex Trading - Part II

GVI Forex Blog 10:42 GMT March 29, 2010 Reply   
Traders of the UK anticipate the publication of the GDP measurement.

Forexpros Daily Analysis - 29/03/2010

GVI Forex Blog 10:26 GMT March 29, 2010 Reply   
It is sometimes said that the first rule for Budgets should be: ‘do no harm’. Judging by the reaction of financial markets immediately after the 2010 Budget this maxim seems to have been observed, with fairly little movement in bonds, equities, cash or the currency. However, it is far too soon to say

Economics Weekly - A Budget that did no harm? Weekly economic data preview - Good Friday for US payrolls?

Melbourne Qindex 10:18 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD : Current Comments
Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : The monthly cycle directional indicator suggests that the market may reach the monthly cycle low around 1.3270.The odds are in favor of maintaining a long position when the market is above the weekly cycle pivot centers at 1.3212 - 1.3247 - 1.3396. The next upside targeting point for the remaining period of this month is 1.3658.


Monthly Cycle Directional Indicator : 1.2937 - [1.2954] - [1.3042] - 1.3212 - 1.3247 - 1.3270 - 1.3396 - 1.3597 - 1.3636 - 1.3711 - [1.3930] - 1.3967



EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/euro.html

GVI Forex Blog 10:06 GMT March 29, 2010 Reply   
10:00 GMT- Mar 29 (global-view.com) This is a partial week should be a for some markets, with several centers closed on Friday and Monday. The BLS has refused to give U.S. traders all a break, as they will release weekly employment data on Friday.

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- Calendar Dirruptions

GVI Forex Blog 10:03 GMT March 29, 2010 Reply   
The euro edged off highs on Monday after Greece launched a highly-anticipated sovereign bond issue, while investors flocked to riskier assets including the Australian and New Zealand dollars.

FOREX NEWS-Euro up but off highs as Greece launches bond

London Misha 10:01 GMT March 29, 2010
Observations
Reply   
EURUSD - Bullish Engulfing Pattern & possible Key Reversal Up - all on the Daily Chart.
USDJPY - 3rd close over the Long MA. A Bullish Engulfing Pattern on the Weekly Chart but a Bearish Harami on the Daily Chart.
GBPUSD - Bullish Harami on the Daily Chart. A Spinning Top on the Weekly Chart.
USDCHF - Bearish Tweezer Top on the Daily Chart. Possible Gravestone Doji on the Weekly Chart.
EURGBP - Possible Dragonfly Doji on the Weekly Chart.
USDCAD - Bullish Engulfing Pattern on the Daily Chart.
AUDUSD - Spinning Top on the Daily Chart.
NZDUSD - Slightly Bearish Harami on both Daily & Weekly Charts.

GVI Forex john 09:56 GMT March 29, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support
Reply   


The Daily Forex View

Calendar Disruptions

10:00 GMT- Mar 29 (global-view.com) This is a partial week should be a for some markets, with several centers closed on Friday and Monday. The BLS has refused to give U.S. traders all a break,

MORE...

GVI Forex Blog 09:52 GMT March 29, 2010 Reply   
Currencies/Fixed Income: March will likely go out like a lion as a busy calendar lurks ahead ahead with Friday's release of US payroll data. The dollar was softer across the European board on Monday with its weakness being blamed on stop-loss orders and receding Greek fears.

European Market Update: Greece to sell bonds in first debt offering since EU Summit

Lahore FM 09:30 GMT March 29, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy EURAUD
Entry: 1.4758 Target: open Stop: 1.4650

bought now 1.4758

Lahore FM 09:29 GMT March 29, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 0.9129 Target: open Stop: 0.9170

sold here.

tallinn viies 08:57 GMT March 29, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
week has started with huge stop hunt. so far high 1,3525/30. key level for bears seems to be last week high 1,3565/70.
I think everybody is trying to short euro over 1,35 and keeping stops over last week high.
move under 1,3415/20 will add more pressure and last week low will be targeted again.

PAR 08:45 GMT March 29, 2010
Us Debt
Reply   
Sell-off in US Treasuries raises sovereign debt fears
Investors are braced for a further sell-off in US Treasuries after dramatic moves last week raised fears that the surfeit of US government debt is starting to saturate bond markets.

The yield on 10-year Treasuries – the benchmark price of global capital – surged 30 basis points in just two days last week to over 3.9pc, the highest level since the Lehman crisis. Alan Greenspan, ex-head of the US Federal Reserve, said the abrupt move may be "the canary in the coal mine", a warning to Washington that it can no longer borrow with impunity. He said there is a "huge overhang of federal debt, which we have never seen before".

Amman wfakhoury 08:41 GMT March 29, 2010
Profitmaker test
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 14:31 GMT March 28, 2010
eurjpy Profitmaker short term chart: Reply


eurjpy in uptrend and heading twd 125.00 unless it breaks
123.70
=============
125.00 touched ..new chart issued.

BRIS 08:41 GMT March 29, 2010
SELl order AUDUSD
Reply   
AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

SELL order at 91.52 with stop set at 91.65 looking for 50 pips.

Amman wfakhoury 08:31 GMT March 29, 2010
gbpusd Profitmaker alerts
Reply   
gbpusd
=====
14970-60 is the trend change levels
keeping above this area means 1.5037 will be seen first then
1.5200.
breaking this area down means 14800 will be seen.

Neuville JD 08:28 GMT March 29, 2010
gaps

sunday open as well, thanx a lot.

Neuville JD 08:27 GMT March 29, 2010
gaps
Reply   
could someone tell me what's their daily open price for eur/usd, usd/chf, usd/cad and gbp/usd. I've got gaps. Do you?
Thanx

Amman Sukmidik 08:08 GMT March 29, 2010
GBP profitmaker
Reply   
Just couldnt resist to sling insults around, i was short on GBP an lost quite a bit and had to blame someone, and Wfakhoury
was the easyest to blame, because his calls are most of the time right.

Amman Sukmidik 08:02 GMT March 29, 2010
gbpusd profitmaker sys test

Fakheads Profitmaker penetrated by 20 juicy centimetres. ...

Amman wfakhoury 07:55 GMT March 29, 2010
gbpusd profitmaker sys test
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 06:58 GMT March 26, 2010
gbpusd profitmaker sys alert: Reply
14860-50 is the trend change level if breaks down 14750-700
will be seen if keep above 14860 then 15000 will be seen,

------------
15000 touched.

Hong Kong 07:36 GMT March 29, 2010
USD/JPY Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader
Reply   
INTRADAY TRADING SIGNAL BY ACETRADER.COM: USD/JPY


USD/JPY : 92.60

Last Update At 29 Mar 2010 06:53 GMT

Dlr's rebound fm 92.04 (NZ) to 92.79 on cross
selling in yen suggests pullback fm 92.96 has possi
bly ended there n consolidation with mild upside
bias wud be seen, however, abv 92.91/96 needed to
confirm recent upmove has resumed, 93.15/20 later.


Stand aside for now n sell on next rise for day
trade. Below 92.50 wud signal recovery over, 92.30.


Range Forecast
92.55 / 92.85

Resistance/Support
R: 92.90/92.96/93.22
S: 92.30/92.04/91.76

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Syd 07:36 GMT March 29, 2010
DJ Yields Could Drive USD Back Down
Reply   

The USD could be heading back down again. As Citigroup points out, the USD gained for most of last week as poor Treasury auction results drove yields higher. However, this move started to unwind on Friday. "The sharp steepening of the yield curve...suggests that the trade weighted index could face a short term correction," the bank says.

Canadian Dollar Parity Coming Sooner, Not Later The Canadian dollar may have spent all of last week sinking but it is still very much a buy. Parity against the U.S. dollar is still very much in its sights and will be hit sooner rather than later--especially as investor fears of a Greek debt default have somewhat been allayed. The likely rise in appetite for more risky currencies should play straight into the Canadian dollar's hands in coming days as the country prepares to confirm what has long been suspected -- that the Canadian economy continues to recover at a faster pace than the U.S. and that Canadian interest rates will doubtlessly start rising well before those of its southern neighbor. The good news should kick off on Wednesday with the first quarter gross domestic product estimate, which Governor Mark Carney has already admitted is running well ahead of Bank of Canada expectations.
Last week, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke failed to give any hint that the U.S. central bank is accelerating its rate hike agenda and merely repeated his promises to keep rates low for "an extended period" in his testimony to Congress. The Canadian currency could also get additional fuel if commodity prices extend their recent gains. Although there are fears that interest rate hikes in Asia, particularly in China, could halt the recent rise in commodity demand, there is little sign of those rate hikes emerging just yet.
Also, there is the simple fact that with the Canadian dollar already this high, heading for parity is just too tempting, whether it is warranted by fundamentals or not.
Nick Hastings

Time For Bargain Hunting In JPY
This week will bring the end of the Japanese fiscal year, with a likely reversal of flows back out of the JPY, as well as the latest BOJ Tankan Report, which could fail to paint a bright picture of the Japanese economy. "Any USD/JPY dips below 92-91.80 should represent, therefore, an opportunity for new bargain hunting," says UniCredit. The pair is now at 92.64.

Greece To Raise EUR5 Bln From Bond Sale This Week: Source

Amman wfakhoury 07:16 GMT March 29, 2010
eurusd Profitmaker Chart
Reply   


Eur/usd is heading up first till 13520 then if breaks 13530 then
13650 will be seen.
Breaking 13435 and keeping below it means we are heading twd 13280.

USA ZEUS 07:09 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/USD
Reply   
Not buying it.

Short EUR/USD 1.3476

Syd 06:48 GMT March 29, 2010
China Gold Demand Rising While Supply To Decline -WGC
Reply   
China's gold jewelry and investment demand could double in the next decade even as the country's mining output declines, according to a World Gold Council report Monday.
"Our analysis shows that if gold demand were to continue to increase so markedly, domestic supply would be unable to keep pace," said Eily Ong, investment research manager at the WGC and author of the report. "Whatever the outcome, China's outlook will almost certainly have implications for the global market."
If China were to approve gold exchange-traded funds, demand would increase even more sharply, said Albert Cheng, the council's Asia managing director.
"The doubled demand doesn't count demand from institutional investors," said Cheng, because "China doesn't have institutional investors in gold."
China's growing middle class is driving demand, said Juan Carlos Artigas, another investment research manager at the Gold Council. Roughly 80% of the Chinese gold demand is for jewelry. China was the only country to post an increase in jewelry demand last year, when consumption fell in other nations amid high gold prices and global economic weakness.
Furthermore, China's gold market is not yet "as mature" as in other countries since deregulation allowing gold to be bought freely did not occur until 2001, Artigas said. "Therefore, it has potential to grow."

China's per-capita annual purchases of gold jewelry are 0.26 grams, low compared with other gold-buying nations, Artigas said. If this were to eventually increase to be at par with other regions, such as India, Hong Kong or Saudi Arabia, jewelry-related purchases could increase by anywhere from 100 metric tons to a few thousand. Indian per-capita consumption is 0.34 grams a year.
The country's 2009 mine output of around 314 tons didn't match jewelry and investment demand of 423 tons, according to the WGC report.
China increased gold-mining output by 84% over the past decade to become the world's largest producer, but it only has 4% of known global reserves, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.
"This suggests China would exhaust its known gold reserves in about six years if they were mining at the same rate as they are mining now," Artigas said.
If the country simply returned to 2.2%, as in late 2002, this would mean incremental demand of 500 tons at current prices, Artigas said. "Even if they only increase [total holdings] by 10%, that is still an additional 100 tons of offtake," Artigas said. "China's central bank became a net buyer of gold last year rather than a net seller," Cheng said, noting that this reverses a net-selling trend seen in recent years.
WGC officials

Melbourne Qindex 06:46 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/CHF : Heading Towards 1.4252

EUR/CHF : The market is going to consolidate within the weekly cycle pivot centers at 1.4293 - 1.4303 - 1.4338. As shown in the section for long term references the monthly cycle projected series indicates that the current expected trading range is 1.4252 - 1.4320.

Melbourne Qindex 06:34 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR/CHF : Heading Towards 1.4252
Reply   
Sell EURCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/CHF : Weekly Cycle Analysis



The current expected trading range for this week is 1.4190 - 1.4397. The lower trading range is 1.4071 - 1.4233 and the upper trading range is 1.4259 - 1.4397. A projected resistant point is positioning at 1.4394. We may have seen the daily high in the Asian session. Sell on rallies is the preferred trading strategy. A weekly cycle point is matured on April 1 and the reference point is 1.4906.


EUR/CHF : Resistance at 1.4394



Downside Targeting Points = 1.4190 - 1.4233


Upside Targeting Points = 1.4354 - 1.4397



EUR/CHF : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/eur-chf.html

Neuville JD 06:34 GMT March 29, 2010
dollar
Reply   
hello,
my view for the week by looking at today's charts is that the dollar is going to take a slap with usd/cad usd/chf and eur/usd showing clear evidence of dollar weakness (according to me and my objective system...)
I'm short usd/chf at 1.0650 and will short more if 1.0685 reprints, TP at 1.0480, stop 1.0700, this is THE good trade IMO.
GL/GT

Syd 04:38 GMT March 29, 2010
Demand for Gold in China to Double Within Ten Years
Reply   
Chinese demand for gold is set to double in tonnage terms within just ten years according to the latest World Gold Council (WGC) analysis. Chinese gold consumption was worth more than US$14billion in 2009[1], which is equivalent to 11% of global gold demand. Launched today, Gold in the Year of the Tiger provides an outlook for all aspects of gold's supply and demand fundamentals in China.

http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/demand-for-gold-in-china-to-double-within-ten-years-89368572.html

GVI Forex Blog 03:44 GMT March 29, 2010 Reply   

Morning Briefing : 29-Mar-2010 - 0336 GMT

Lahore FM 03:43 GMT March 29, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy EURCHF
Entry: 1.4280 Target: 1.4500 Stop: 1.4230

03/26/2010 02:22:41 FM Lahore 12

Buy EURCHF
Entry: 1.4280 Target: 1.4500 Stop: 1.4230
long here.
--
closed part at 1.4349 now,stops to 1.4250 for remainder.

Syd 02:42 GMT March 29, 2010
3rd UPDATE: RBA's Stevens Justifies Rate Rises On National Television
Reply   
JP Morgan interest rate strategist Sally Auld said the governor deliberately chose commercial television to deliver a message warning against a housing boom. "The strong housing numbers are clearly worrying them, it just seems to be getting more and more momentum as each week goes on," Auld said.
She expects that likely robust retail sales and credit lending numbers due later this week will tip the balance towards a rate hike in April, with a possible follow up hike in May.
On the inflation target, Stevens dismissed a suggestion that the target is no longer relevant.
Maintaining a 2%-to-3% band to contain inflation remains a core priority for the Bank, Stevens said, citing the corrosive effect prices rises have on personal wealth.

Lahore FM 01:54 GMT March 29, 2010
Trade Ideas

that's june contract.

Lahore FM 01:53 GMT March 29, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell S&P
Entry: 1165.00 Target: 1140.00 Stop: 1168.50

additional sell entered.

Melbourne Qindex 01:18 GMT March 29, 2010
USD/CAD : Heading Towards 1.0375
Reply   
USD/CAD : Weekly Cycle Analysis



The current expected trading range for this week is 1.0022 - 1.0453. The lower trading range is 0.9971 - 1.0162 and the upper trading range is 1.0224 - 1.0453. A projected resistant point is positioning at 1.0415. Buy on dips is the preferred trading strategy. A weekly cycle point is matured on April 1 and the reference point is 1.0498. Speculative buying interest will increase when the market is trading in the range of 1.0224 - 1.0309.


AUD/USD : Resistance at 1.0419



Downside Targeting Points = 1.0072 - 1.0094


Upside Targeting Points = 1.0340 - 1.0374



USD/CAD : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/cad.html

Lahore FM 01:01 GMT March 29, 2010
Trade Ideas


Entry: 1.0589 Target: Stop: 1.0520

Lahore FM 21:42 GMT March 28, 2010
Trade Ideas: Reply
Buy USDCHF
Entry: 1.0589 Target: 1.10/1.12 Stop: 1.0520

03/26/2010 14:26:47 FM Lahore 4

Buy USDCHF
Entry: 1.0651 Target: open Stop: 1,0590
added long.
--
stoped for minus 61 for 1.0651 long usdchf.

long once more now at 1.0589 with mentioned stop and targets.
--
half of 1.0589 long usdchf closed now at 1.0650 for 61 pips gain.stops to 1.0550 for remainder.

Hong Kong 00:50 GMT March 29, 2010
Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader
Reply   
Market Review - 27/03/2010 02:10GMT
Euro rises on endorsement of Greek aid plan by ECB's Trichet


The single currency rallied across the board on Friday after euro-zone leaders agreed on a financial aid package for Greece, however, uncertainties still remained over the country's ability to pay back debt in the future.

The euro initially edged higher versus the greenback after buying interest right at Thursday's New York low of 1.3267 lifted price in Australia. Traders bought euro just before Asian opening on comments by ECB's president Trichet at a late Thursday's news conference in Europe, he denied criticising the inclusion of IMF finance in any rescue package and said he was 'extraordinarily happy that the governments of the euro area found out a workable solution.' His remarks prompted U.S. hedge funds to buy the single currency and price rose steadily in Asia on active short-covering and short-term speculative buying, euro's intra-day upmove gathered momentum at European opening, price later surged above Thursday's high of 1.3388 and eventually hit an intra-day of 1.3426 in NY afternoon.

The British pound also rose in tandem with euro and reached a high of 1.4894 in Asian mid-day. Although renewed cross selling in sterling versus euro and Japanese yen caused price to slip back to 1.4811 early in European morning, renewed buying interest emerged and cable rallied to 1.4924 in NY morning before retreating after the release of slightly higher-than-expected University of Michigan consumer sentiment which came in at 73.6 versus market's forecast of 73.0.

Versus the Japanese yen, dollar traded sideways with a soft undertone in Asia and Europe following previous day's rally to an 11-week high of 92.96, however, price briefly rebounded in NY morning on news of the sinking of a S. Korean naval ship due to an explosion which occured in the stern of the vessel, the incident took place near a disputed maritime border with N. Korea in the Yellow Sea. Dollar climbed to 92.90 whilst eur/yen rose to 124.20 before retreating in NY afternoon session after no indication N. Korea was involved in this incident.

On the data front, the U.S. Q4 real GDP was revised lower to 5.6%, less than economists' forecast of 5.7%. Nevertheless, the inventories, exports, consumption and non-residential fixed investment surged and the gain was the best in six years since Q3 of 2003. Additionally, The University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index came in at 73.6 versus the 73.0. The Dow Jones Industrial Average index ended up 9 points, paring initial gains following the overnight news of an agreement by the EU leaders on rescue plan for Greece but incident over the sinking of a S. Korean naval ship hurt investors' sentiment.

Economic data to be released on next week include: Japan retail sales, Germany CPI, HICP, import price index, EU consumer confidence, business climate, economic sentiment, U.S. PCE index and personal income on Monday, Japan household spending, unemployment rate, industrial production, U.K. GDP, Canada PPI and U.S. consumer confidence on Tuesday, Japan manufacturing PMI, construction order, housing starts, U.K. gfk survey, Germany unemployment rate, E.U. HICP flash, unemployment, Swiss KOF indicator, U.S. ADP employment, Chicago PMI, durable goods, factory orders and Canada GDP on Wednesday, Japan capex, tankan big manufacturing, Swiss PMI, Germany manufacturing PMI, E.U. manufacturing PMI, U.K. manufacturing PMI, U.S. jobless claims and ISM manufacturing on Thursday, U.S. Non-farm payroll and unemployment rate on Friday.
http://www.acetraderfx.com

Syd 00:22 GMT March 29, 2010
RBA's Stevens warns against housing speculation
Reply   
The Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia Glenn Stevens said interest rates had been too low and could not remain at previous levels, supporting market expectations that more rate rises were due.Reiterating the RBA's recent hawkish tone, Mr Stevens also zeroed in on Australia's booming property market and warned people against speculating on rising house prices.
LINK

tokyo rana 00:17 GMT March 29, 2010
EUR

Sell EURJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

bucharest vicx,hello,how are you?my dear what do you want to know?happy trade...best regards

tokyo rana 00:09 GMT March 29, 2010
short short short
Reply   
Sell GBPJPY
Entry: 138.3 Target: 136 Stop: 138.5

short short short short eurjpy and gbpjpy..............happy trade......best regards

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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