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Forex Forum Archive for 05/23/2010

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Syd 23:57 GMT May 23, 2010
AUD/USD To Track Higher Over Week -RBS
Reply   
AUD/USD recovers early losses in thin trading, dipping as low as 0.8273. Greg Gibbs, FX strategist at RBS, says pair looked oversold through the opening hours of trading, noting, in the absence of any fresh bad news from Europe over the weekend, there was little justification for any new weakness. "At least they (European policy makers) have not shot themselves in the other foot," says Gibbs. Expects pair will track toward 0.8500 resistance this week, rather than 0.8000 support, saying a lot of positions have been squared. Pair last at 0.8296.

Syd 23:52 GMT May 23, 2010
DJ: USD Long Positioning Nearing Record Levels - UBS
Reply   
AUD longs had already been heavily cut prior to last week's sharp drop, like other commodity currencies, so of greater note are long positions in USD, says UBS FX Strategist Gareth Berry. "The USD continued to attract speculative demand: At +157,000 contracts, long USD positioning is now approaching record levels, and is higher than at any time since November 2005." Says EUR bounce last week was likely mainly short covering.

tokyo rana 22:28 GMT May 23, 2010
jpy

ihope you reload....
today ithink stocks positive open like nikkei etc....
ithink after 1hour again start going...
wat is high ur broker 131.25?
happy trade,

Syd 22:23 GMT May 23, 2010
Caution Could Beget AUD/JPY Bounce - Strategist
Reply   
After tumultuous week that saw AUD freefall against nearly all crosses, caution is trader's mantra today. "We've already seen people move to the sidelines this morning. And you may see currencies trading sideways because of that caution," says senior Sydney-based FX strategist. "Risk appetite has already taken a massive hit, will be harder to get hurt much from here." Trader says AUD/JPY has most potential to bounce back in any sentiment reversal as that cross got hit most. AUD/JPY recently at 75.02, up from last week's low of 71.945. AUD/EUR, AUD/GBP also on trader's mind as bounce-back candidates.

lkwd jj 22:17 GMT May 23, 2010
jpy

out at 13065 looking to reload...

GVI Forex john 21:42 GMT May 23, 2010
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Happy Monday to those in for the new week. I feel like we are awaiting something, but I'm not sure what specifically. Much of the Continent is closed today but London and the U.S. are open. U.S. existing home sales later are the top U.S housing figure.

GVI Forex john 20:58 GMT May 23, 2010
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tokyo rana 20:35 GMT May 23, 2010
jpy
Reply   
Dear JJ,
how are you?
gap is upside,
not much big gap....
high 131.252 low 130.450 right now 130.6/9.......
happy trade,

Amman wfakhoury 19:07 GMT May 23, 2010
eurusd and gbpusd
Reply   
Cairo Hesham 18:24 GMT May 23, 2010
======
mostly eurusd 12460 will be seen
gbpusd 14406 will be seen.

Cairo Hesham 18:24 GMT May 23, 2010
how to make trading signals

To Wfakhoury: Do u suggest up or down movement for the eur/usd and gbp/usd?

Amman wfakhoury 16:12 GMT May 23, 2010
how to make trading signals
Reply   
This is how to make trading signal from the profitmaker alert
-----
Amman wfakhoury 15:32 GMT May 23, 2010
EURUSD profitmaker alert 12455: Reply
If breaks 12545 and keeps below it then 12460 will be seen
if keeps above 12560 then 12750 will be seen
------------
eurusd sell @ 12545 tp 12460 sl 12575.
eurusd Buy @ 12555 tp 12750 sl 12525.

USA ZEUS 15:42 GMT May 23, 2010
EURUSD profitmaker alert 12455

If up then up, else down is down.
So simple even a caveman can do it.

Amman wfakhoury 15:32 GMT May 23, 2010
EURUSD profitmaker alert 12455
Reply   
If breaks 12545 and keeps below it then 12460 will be seen
if keeps above 12560 then 12750 will be seen.

Jeddah Abb 14:57 GMT May 23, 2010
..
Reply   
GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

Gbp/jpy i see for this pair ,it may go near 129.02 or below to 128.48 and than going up to near 135 if can go above 1.3260.

Melbourne Qindex 13:45 GMT May 23, 2010
GBP/JPY : Critical Resistance 132.55
Reply   
Sell GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/JPY : Critical Resistance 132.55



The market is going to consolidate within the weekly cycle pivot centers at 126.73 - 130.57 - 132.04 during early period of this week. Sell on rallies is the preferred trading strategy.



GBP/JPY : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/gbp-yen.html

Hillegom Purk 13:30 GMT May 23, 2010
anyone

lotsa upset people around here.
Rana San, you are doing fne on your own. Every advice will grow into a disaster at this point. the beast is at bottom points (126ish) and breaks are 200 points below this 126.
Sudden rallies maybe followed by upset people ...
Cheers.

hk 13:28 GMT May 23, 2010
anyone

Perhaps, only YEN 80 x GBP 1.25 = GBP/YEN 100 only in 2010

Amman wfakhoury 13:18 GMT May 23, 2010
gbpjpy profitmaker alert
Reply   
all these from the profitmaker desk

in weak uptrend
trend change area 130.30-20 , if break level 130.30 then 134.80 wii be seen if breaks 130.20 then 128.40
level 129.00 will be touched.
level 131.10 will be touched.
mostly 129.00 will be touched then rise , if breaks 130.30 then
134.80 .

tokyo rana 12:59 GMT May 23, 2010
anyone
Reply   
please anyone advice tellme im wrong about Volatility resistance etc points which i made....
my point is wrong about Volatility ?
happy trade,








http://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/gbpjpy-outlook/gbp%10jpy-weekly-outlook-20100522113793/

tokyo rana 12:42 GMT May 23, 2010
GBP/JPY RAW TECH.

Dear RF,
i think if gbpjpy break 118 than ithink it will get to 90 but it will take time not in one day my point is that.....
ithink gbpjpy we will see around 90yen level in 1 to 2years time....
usdjpy 75/70 but not happen in oneday......
good luck.....

tokyo rana 12:34 GMT May 23, 2010
GBP/JPY RAW TECH.

Dear RF,
i think ur great trader you made many many nice calls...donot beupset....ok?
i m not saying ur call was bad imention audjpy was more volatile audjpy 16% gbpjpy 10%....
if you say usdjpy safe than ithink this pair will drop more hard when break 88....
usdjpy worse decline since 1999......
no pair is safe.....
now all markeet is volatile not only gbpjpy......
gbpjpy ithink very normal so far nothing special we seen yet....do you agree or not?
special was audjpy cadjpy chfjpy....
maybe you not much follow gbpjpy...
i follow gbpjpy for 1year....
happy trade,

HK [email protected] 12:21 GMT May 23, 2010
GBP/JPY RAW TECH.

Rana

I suggest you to check how many posts later I was pointing to a lower AUD/JPY targets, so I changed my opinion about this pair, but you remember the one you like to remember.

About GBP/Jpy, for this volatile pair, I don't dare say what direction will it go, but for days to come I tend to project it to reach 122.0, 123.0.
Which I may not be possibly right too.

tokyo rana 12:02 GMT May 23, 2010
Long

Dear singapore pmc,
thank you very much again for your kind compliment....
wat do you mean what are your takes for a long run stake?
good luck.......
happy trade,

singapore pmc 11:07 GMT May 23, 2010

tokyo rana 11:49 GMT May 23, 2010
GBP/JPY RAW TECH.

as i said im new trader ican be wrong....
but i believe that wat ever i wrote.....and iwill do that...
idonot change my view wat ever peoples saying....
trade with ur mind and charts.....
happy trade,

tokyo rana 11:47 GMT May 23, 2010
Long

Dear friend,
what happen to monthly can you tellme?
still 6days to go this month may and gbpjpy can travel 200 to 500pips perday..
idid not understand ur post really...
happy trade,
regards,

Saar KaL 11:37 GMT May 23, 2010

tokyo rana 11:40 GMT May 23, 2010
GBP/JPY RAW TECH.

Dear Friend,
i donot see 132 strong res and play any key roll...132 is nothing....
from 132/134 for time being little drop intraday possible like 200 to500 pips idonot see any low from that area...
break of 130 was false break for sure 100%....
im looking between 135/140 res....

here is strong res 137/140 is key area for next drop.......
we saw in many many sessions 139 was key area as a support and res...
135/140 make sence for short....
please look charts wat ever world crisis...
look chart daily weekly monthly yearly for last 10 to 30years...

good luck with analysis time will ttell....


happy trade,

Saar KaL 11:25 GMT May 23, 2010

Saar KaL 11:37 GMT May 23, 2010
Long

Rana
Look at the monthly
it's not up to japan to stop pairs going anywhere?
especially politicians
they give excuses for what has happened
History simply repeats..heheeh
GL

Saar KaL 11:33 GMT May 23, 2010
GBP/JPY RAW TECH.

euraud
got use to selling?..ha?
Look at the monthly......da pair heading to to 2?
You bet

tokyo rana 11:31 GMT May 23, 2010
Long

Dear Friend,
idot not say bcoz of japan govt donot stay below 130 long time....i do say bcoz gbpjpy still not stablized below 135 very well basicly yet...... so how can we short below 130?
gbpjpy when ever dip below 136/135 it was heavly bought and we saw strong rebounds...
only few day stayed below 135 yet we can count on hand how many day stay 10 to 20days only...
so below 130 long make sence iknow over all is strong down trend is resuming....
and for gbpjpy travel 1500 to 2000pips in 1week to 4weeks not a big case if we look charts we see that...
it will take some time to stablize between 135to 125 than we offcourse short but not yet...
shorting 135/125 time will come so lets wait....
iam long and idonot care wat ever peoples says...
charts telling everything....
happy trade,

singapore pmc 11:07 GMT May 23, 2010
happy trade,

Saar KaL 11:25 GMT May 23, 2010
GBP/JPY RAW TECH.

i agree
it's north for this week
till 132
but it's only for little time
126 on way after that
and 110 to 115 is seems to where wants to stabilse
due manily from the usd jpy drop
althought IMO USDCAD and USDCHF are buys
but not the usdjpy
tgt 85
gl

singapore pmc 11:07 GMT May 23, 2010
Long

Buy GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

hi rana,
of course i know. gbp/jpy is a high risk but high return pair. haha. i do believe in ur predictions though, i think you're 80%-90% right most of the time.

i do think that this pair won't stay below 130 for long. since censored government doesn't want yen to be too strong.

anyway, what are your takes for a long run stake ?

tokyo rana 10:40 GMT May 23, 2010
GBP/JPY RAW TECH.

my plan is that tokyo rana 10:38 GMT May 23, 2010

lets see wat will be happen next.......
good luck all....
happy trade,

tokyo rana 10:38 GMT May 23, 2010
GBP/JPY RAW TECH.

London Mick,
i was shorting gbpjpy above 146/140/135 for ur info......and iwas only shorting....
i closed my shorts 131/133 area.....
im long 133 and 129 avg 132.26 im still long target kind of open but maybe target 139.5..........
iwill short 135/140 for target 121/115 or maybe 110next......
iwill be not greedy iwill target 120.5....
happy trade,

London Mick 10:32 GMT May 23, 2010
GBP/JPY RAW TECH.

Rana You have been talking about being long gbpjpy since above 135. Are you still long and tlaking your book?

NYT 10:19 GMT May 23, 2010
Greece
Reply   

How Will Greece Get Off the Dole?

tokyo rana 10:13 GMT May 23, 2010
GBP/JPY RAW TECH.

Dear HK RF,
i just would like to remind you your recommendation was long audjpy when was 85 and that pair declineto 71.75 losses 16%.....
if we see gbpjpy from 140 to 126 it is losses 10%....

so how can you say gbpjpy is worse pair for trade?
idonot understand.....
good luck with ur Analysis.........
ithink gbpjpy still nice pair for trade,
happy trade,

tokyo rana 10:01 GMT May 23, 2010
GBP/JPY RAW TECH.

Dear HK RF,
hello,how are you?why is that?which pair do you recommend?
happy trade,


HK [email protected] 09:45 GMT May 23, 2010
GBP/JPY RAW TECH.: Reply
GBP/JPY, carries too many trading uncertainties, thus risks and potential big losses.

The result will be that after long time trading this pair, one may emerge with some serious mental problems, or even with a brain damage... Not recommended

GL/GT to all.

HK [email protected] 09:45 GMT May 23, 2010
GBP/JPY RAW TECH.

GBP/JPY, carries too many trading uncertainties, thus risks and potential big losses.

The result will be that after long time trading this pair, one may emerge with some serious mental problems, or even with a brain damage... Not recommended

GL/GT to all.

tokyo rana 08:51 GMT May 23, 2010
jpy
Reply   
Buy GBPJPY
Entry: below 130 Target: 135/140 Stop: 128

ithink below 130 long very very very safe i know in these markeet anything possible so thats why put stop 128/127 so its safe enough ......
bullish convergence condition in 4 hours MACD..........
idonot think gbpjpy will stay many days below 130 for sure....ithink we see soon strong rebound towards 140area....
short between seems very nice 135/140.......
patience is key............................
if you not listen to me its do wat you want...
short here and lose money....
happy trade,

Melbourne Qindex 07:17 GMT May 23, 2010
DJIA : Critical Support 9709
Reply   
DJIA : Critical Support 9709



As shown in the monthly cycle projected series the market is working on the barrier at 10115 // 10271*. Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market is rejected from the barrier at 10115 // 10271*. The market is under pressure when it is below the monthly cycle pivot centers at 10839 - 10939 - 11204. It is now consolidating within 9876 - 9996 - 10271. The monthly cycle normal lower limits are positioning at 8812 - 9153 - 9338.



DJIA : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/djia.html

HK [email protected] 06:27 GMT May 23, 2010
GBP/JPY RAW TECH.
Reply   


The attached chart is only a general raw guideline of what I think can be a strategy for the GBP/JPY pair.
Any trade should be refined by bringing indicators too into account.

What is clear to me is, that this pair should be avoided for the time on the hourly traded time frame.

And avoid taking long, until the effect of the short term rising wedge will cease.

tokyo rana 03:16 GMT May 23, 2010
Long

Dear Singapore pmc,
thank you very much i m very glad...
please becareful from my predictions and do small trade bcoz any one can be wrong in this markeet so difficult...
i learnt bcoz i trade everyday i am full time trader....
and i check many sites everyday and study hard...
actionforex and dailyfx help me alot....
gbpjpy very Volatile pair so just care...
happy trade,
best regards,

Melbourne Qindex 00:55 GMT May 23, 2010
S&P 500 : Critical Support 1011.4
Reply   
S&P 500 (1084.6) : Critical Support 1011.4



The weekly cycle pivot centers are located at 1061.5 - 1083.8 - 1096.0. Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market downward trending momentum is strong enough to penetrate through 1061.5. The last member of the monthly cycle directional indicator is 1011.4 which would serve as a critical point. It is likely that the market will challenge the supporting strength of the weekly cycle matrix system at 991.2 - 960.6 - 1025.9.



S&P 500 : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/sp500-future.html

Melbourne Qindex 00:09 GMT May 23, 2010
ASX 200 : Current Comments
Reply   
ASX 200 (4305.40) - Australia Stock Market



As shown in the monthly cycle charts the market is under pressure when it is below the congested area at 4488. The market is now testing the supporting strength of the monthly cycle normal lower limits at 4087 - 4179 - 4230. It is likely that the market will challenge the weekly cycle matrix system at 3570 - 3627 - 3853.



S&P / ASX 200 : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/axjo.html

 




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