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Forex Forum Archive for 08/05/2010

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


GVI Forex Blog 21:49 GMT August 5, 2010 Reply   
July non-farm payrolls expected to remain -ve ECB and BoE on hold Fed easing closer to more easing or asset buys? SNB's FX war chest drops

Forex Market Commentary and Analysis (5 August 2010)

Chicago sc 21:42 GMT August 5, 2010
USDJPY
Reply   
Buy USDJPY
Entry: 85.83 Target: 86.50 Stop: 85.45

Running USD/JPY long. Using a 15 pip running stop.

GVI Forex john 20:57 GMT August 5, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Note: exact same pivot in USDJPY (85.99) today (Thursday as on Wednesday.

GVI Forex john 20:51 GMT August 5, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

LATEST PIVOT POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

additional pairs....

Pivots	EUR/GBP	EUR/JPY	EUR/CHF	AUD/USD
Res 3	0.8374	114.89	1.3987	0.9230
Res 2	0.8349	114.42	1.3934	0.9202
Res 1	0.8323	113.72	1.3861	0.9174
								
Pivot	0.8298	113.25	1.3808	0.9146
								
Sup 1	0.8272	112.55	1.3735	0.9118
Sup 2	0.8247	112.08	1.3682	0.9090
Sup 3	0.8221	111.38	1.3609	0.9062

GVI Forex Blog 20:46 GMT August 5, 2010 Reply   

The Federal Reserve and Quantitative Easing

GVI Forex john 20:31 GMT August 5, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

LATEST PIVOT POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Pivots	EUR/USD	USD/JPY	USD/CHF	GBP/USD	USD/CAD
Res 3	1.3349	87.04	1.0661	1.6040	1.0281
Res 2	1.3291	86.76	1.0601	1.5985	1.0234
Res 1	1.3235	86.27	1.0531	1.5933	1.0201
					
Pivot	1.3177	85.99	1.0471	1.5878	1.0154
					
Sup 1	1.3121	85.50	1.0401	1.5826	1.0121
Sup 2	1.3063	85.22	1.0341	1.5771	1.0074
Sup 3	1.3007	84.73	1.0271	1.5719	1.0041

GVI Forex john 20:28 GMT August 5, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

GVI CHART POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

FOREX TRADING TOOLS

FX Rates:

Chart Point Tables:

By Base:

CHF

FX Database

Classic Format

USD

JPY

AUD

GVI Charts

Risk Trades

EUR

GBP

CAD



GVI Forex Blog 20:27 GMT August 5, 2010 Reply   

Euro Holds Steady to Better after Trichet’s Positive Spin

GVI Forex Blog 20:21 GMT August 5, 2010 Reply   
20:00 GMT- Aug 5 (global-view.com) There were no major surprises from the ECB and BOE policy announcements on Thursday. Both kept key benchmark interest rates steady, as expected. Details of the BOE policy deliberations will not be known for another two weeks or so. The tone of the ECB post-meeting press conference seemed to focus on a future exit from an eventual policy easing.

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- July Jobs Awaited

GVI Forex Blog 20:05 GMT August 5, 2010 Reply   
The dollar edged lower versus the euro on Thursday, as investors avoided building large positions a day ahead of a U.S. payrolls report that markets hope will offer fresh insight on the state of the economy.

FOREX NEWS - Dollar edges lower vs euro ahead of U.S. payrolls

FW CS 19:29 GMT August 5, 2010
Food scare...wheat

Mighty Zeus
I think its a tossup whether grains or silver will go up more.

GVI Forex Blog 19:25 GMT August 5, 2010 Reply   
EUR/USD (a 4-hour chart of which is shown) as of Thursday (8/05/2010) has consolidated in a sideways trading range pattern since reaching a 3-month high at 1.3260 on Tuesday.

EUR/USD Consolidates Within Uptrend Before NFP

HK [email protected] 19:22 GMT August 5, 2010
GOLD a small possible reminder.
Reply   
Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPS) is a group of current and former officials of the United States Intelligence Community, including some from the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the U.S. State Department's Intelligence Bureau, and the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA)

August 2010 Memo

On August 3, 2010, VIPS publicly released another "MEMORANDUM FOR: The President" warning the administration that their analysis suggests that Israel is likely to unilaterally attack Iran "as early as this month." This memorandum was also signed by the VIPS Steering Group including Ray Close, Philip Giraldi, Larry Johnson, W. Patrick Lang, Raymond McGovern, Coleen Rowley, and Ann Wright.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Veteran_Intelligence_Professionals_for_Sanity

GVI Forex john 18:18 GMT August 5, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

DAILY FOREX VIEW
Entry: Target: Stop:


The Daily Forex View

July Jobs Awaited

20:00 GMT- Aug 5 (global-view.com) There were no major surprises from the ECB and BOE policy announcements on Thursday. Both kept 

MORE



GVI Forex john 17:11 GMT August 5, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

DATA
Entry: Target: Stop:

U.S. Employment Report Preview -- Friday @ 12:30 GMT

"...It is a key week for US data, culminating with the publication of July payrolls report. The reversal of temporary hiring related to Census 2010 is expected to result in the second successive month of falling payrolls in July.

We look for a decline of 55,000, coming on the back of a fall of 125,000 in June. However, particular interest will be paid to the change in private payrolls, which we expect to be +120,000 – the highest for two months but still well below April (241,000). The unemployment rate is forecast to edge up 0.1% to 9.6% in July, while average earnings growth is likely to have remained subdued..."

Source: Lloyds Weekly blog posted every Monday on Global-view



Hong Kong Qindex 16:32 GMT August 5, 2010
USD/CAD : Critical Point 1.0071
Reply   
USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/CAD : Critical Point 1.0071



A critical supporting barrier is located at 1.0071 // 1.0076. A resistant barrier has been established at 1.012 // 1.0219.



USD/CAD : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/cad.html

GVI Forex john 16:02 GMT August 5, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

LATEST PIVOT POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Pivots	EUR/USD	USD/JPY	USD/CHF	GBP/USD	USD/CAD
Res 3	1.3392	87.39	1.0485	1.6091	1.0320
Res 2	1.3326	87.03	1.0449	1.6029	1.0296
Res 1	1.3278	86.42	1.0419	1.5986	1.0267
					
Pivot	1.3212	86.06	1.0383	1.5924	1.0243
					
Sup 1	1.3164	85.45	1.0353	1.5881	1.0214
Sup 2	1.3098	85.09	1.0317	1.5819	1.0190
Sup 3	1.3050	84.48	1.0287	1.5776	1.0161

GVI Forex john 15:42 GMT August 5, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

GVI CHART POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

FOREX TRADING TOOLS

FX Rates:

Chart Point Tables:

By Base:

CHF

FX Database

Classic Format

USD

JPY

AUD

GVI Charts

Risk Trades

EUR

GBP

CAD



Hillegom Purk 15:37 GMT August 5, 2010
usd/jpy

good thanks, i will buy them from you.

tokyo rana 15:36 GMT August 5, 2010
usd/jpy

im going to close usdjpy longs this is very high risk business...

RUH-DMM DMM-RUH 15:30 GMT August 5, 2010
long eurcad now!!!
Reply   
Buy EURCAD
Entry: 1.3331 Target: 1.3831 Stop: 1.3285

...

tokyo rana 15:25 GMT August 5, 2010
usd/jpy

tokyo tommy 15:20 GMT August 5, 2010
at the moment chances so little but yes we can say possible...happy day,

GVI Forex Blog 15:25 GMT August 5, 2010 Reply   
Aug 5 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: The Far East will see the Reserve Bank of Australia policy statement and Japanese leading indicators. In Europe, Swiss employment data are due along with U.K. industrial Output data. German Industrial output is awaited as well. due. In North America, Canadian and U.S. employment data are due along with the Ivey PMI.

GVI Forex- Data Outlook for Aug 6, 2010

GVI Forex john 15:22 GMT August 5, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

DATA
Entry: Target: Stop:

 

Aug 5 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: The Far East will see the Reserve Bank of Australia policy statement and Japanese leading indicators. In Europe, Swiss employment data are due along with U.K. industrial Output data.  German Industrial output is awaited as well. due.  In North America,  Canadian and U.S. employment data are due along with the Ivey PMI.

 

 

 

FRIDAY

 

 

00:30

AU

RBA Policy Statement

n/a

n/a

5:00

JA

Lead Ind Jun

n/a

-3.00%

5:45

CH

Unemploy Jul

3.90%

3.90%

8:30

UK

Core PPI yy Jul

4.50%

4.80%

8:30

UK

Ind Out mm Jun

0.20%

0.70%

8:30

UK

Ind Out yy Jun

2.00%

2.60%

8:30

UK

Mfg Out mm Jun

0.40%

0.30%

8:30

UK

Mfg Out yy Jun

4.00%

4.30%

10:00

DE

Ind Output Jun

0.70%

2.60%

11:00

CA

Jobs k Jul

15

93.2

11:00

CA

Rate Jul

7.90%

7.90%

11:00

US

Jobs k Jul

-60

-125

12:30

US

Rate Jul

9.60%

9.50%

12:30

CA

Ivey PMI Jul

55

58.9

 

 


tokyo tommy 15:20 GMT August 5, 2010
usd/jpy

Buy USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

i agree usd/jpy back to 86.10 around tonite

GVI Forex Blog 15:16 GMT August 5, 2010 Reply   
USD/CAD (a daily chart of which is shown) as of Thursday (8/05/2010) morning, after having broken down below the large triangle early in the week, has followed through on its bearish momentum

USD/CAD Breaks Down Further Off Triangle

Hong Kong Qindex 15:09 GMT August 5, 2010
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.3261

EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market is below 1.3132.

sao 15:06 GMT August 5, 2010
short eurusd gbpusd, long usdjpy
Reply   
1.3153
1.5840
0.8590

the best hays of euro, cable and yen are over for the next weeks.

tokyo rana 15:04 GMT August 5, 2010
usd/jpy

jpy pairs looks to me very bearish i doubt usdjpy make 86.10..

Hong Kong Qindex 14:46 GMT August 5, 2010
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.3261

Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : It is likely that we have seen the daily high already around 1.3235.

Hillegom Purk 14:46 GMT August 5, 2010
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.3261

high voltage, high seen already.

Hong Kong Qindex 14:45 GMT August 5, 2010
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.3261

Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : It is likely that we have seen the daily low already around 1.3235.

Hillegom Purk 14:45 GMT August 5, 2010
aud/usd

no patience: 9147-9130 done

Hillegom Purk 14:43 GMT August 5, 2010
Food scare...wheat

yes toss coins on rallies...

London Shaun 14:40 GMT August 5, 2010
Food scare...wheat

So maintain current strategy then?

Hillegom Purk 14:38 GMT August 5, 2010
Food scare...wheat

toss a coin?

London Shaun 14:34 GMT August 5, 2010
Food scare...wheat

Coincidentally it is exactly what I'm saying on the other side of this site. Just need to get something straight though. Whilst millions are starving, governments falling, national guards shooting looters from here to Cairo - should I be long or short cable?

tokyo rana 14:33 GMT August 5, 2010
usd/jpy

Hillegom Purk 14:30 GMT August 5, 2010
dear friend,im just targeting 86.3/6 max 87.00 than short heavly...happy day,

Hillegom Purk 14:30 GMT August 5, 2010
usd/jpy

usd/jpy is about to start its journey to mountains 88-89-90-91-92...

tokyo tommy 14:28 GMT August 5, 2010
usd/jpy
Reply   
Buy USDJPY
Entry: 85.90 Target: 86.20 Stop: 85.50

back to 86.20-30

Hillegom Purk 14:26 GMT August 5, 2010
aud/usd

9146 stop hit on b/e, now 9147 in and waiting for more....

Syd 14:22 GMT August 5, 2010
Step Aside Roubini – FX Concepts’ John Taylor Is The New Dr. Doom: "2011 Will Be Worse Than 2008
Reply   
John Taylor, CIO of FX-Concepts, the world’s biggest FX fund, is now officially the new Dr. Doom. We we gladly pay $29.95 to watch him live on a CNBC octobox that features him, Liesman, Cramer, Pisani, Burnett, A. Joseph Cohen, David Bianco and the guy who said AIG was going to $1,000, with occasional eye-rolling from the Fast Money brigade.
http://www.neurosoftware.ro/finance/insurance/stock-market/step-aside-roubini-fx-concepts-john-taylor-is-the-new-dr-doom-2011-will-be-worse-than-2008/

Tybee Island ZEUS 14:15 GMT August 5, 2010
Food scare...wheat
Reply   

USA ZEUS 18:34 GMT April 21, 2010
World food supply is already on the brink. Wheat is <30 days globally whereas 40 years ago it was nearly 100 days. Efficiency and JIT(Just In Time) will spell doom for millions when the looming disruption happens and that won't be only for food...

USA ZEUS 17:27 GMT October 19, 2009
Food will once again become a major currency and bartering asset.

USA ZEUS 17:24 GMT October 19, 2009
Serious food inflation and shortages are coming; Civil unrest will follow.

USA ZEUS 21:36 GMT June 2, 2009
Should round all of that off with creating a solid LT food storage full of rice, legumes, wheat, canned foods etc. Food prices will go wildly higher.

Be prepared

Richland QC Mailman 14:08 GMT August 5, 2010
testing level

I agree. USD buying mode but NFP data can simply put the prices into mess. Looking for shorting opportunities tomorrow after better selling signals register.

For example, the steep diagonal TL from July 21 supporting gbp/usd is at risk of being breached.

tokyo rana 14:03 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy
Reply   
jpy pairs shorts closed,,long usdjpy for some pips..

tallinn viies 13:53 GMT August 5, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
Hear m/e was selling at 1,32 25/30 lvl

tallinn viies 13:53 GMT August 5, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
Hear m/e was selling at 1,32 25/30 lvl

Rexburg Stubbs 13:51 GMT August 5, 2010
testing level

I'm to say sell euros and pounds and aussie's and buy USD's.
The tide is turning my dear friends.

Belgrade TD 13:39 GMT August 5, 2010
SP500 (/ES)

Belgrade TD 15:44 GMT August 2, 2010
Small sell at 1120 ... stop above 1133+ ... target latter
///
regardless of the bad news I think stock will still go up, so closing this position at 1117 with small +

Hillegom Purk 13:30 GMT August 5, 2010
Eur/Usd

humble student of the market.

tokyo rana 13:29 GMT August 5, 2010
Eur/Usd

Hillegom Purk 13:28 GMT August 5, 2010
dear friend,your great trader...happy trade,

Hillegom Purk 13:28 GMT August 5, 2010
Eur/Usd

13232-13176 ready. Not bad for an amature.

Hillegom Purk 13:09 GMT August 5, 2010
testing level

those people do not exist, only peopl exist.

NYC SSH 13:08 GMT August 5, 2010
testing level
Reply   
we only request modesty from famous and greatest poeple.

Hillegom Purk 12:59 GMT August 5, 2010
Eur/Usd

ac dc http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-AfKGBXhMyw

me thinks ozmond is tired, i think eh?
9148-9136 closed, rest can go lower.

Hillegom Purk 12:57 GMT August 5, 2010
testing level

Mr. Wfak is taking modesty lessons.

NYC SSH 12:55 GMT August 5, 2010
testing level
Reply   
wfakhoury : we missed your very accurate testing levels.

Hillegom Purk 12:54 GMT August 5, 2010
Eur/Usd

13231-13210 ready. 13232 is at b/e.

Hillegom Purk 12:51 GMT August 5, 2010
aud/usd
Reply   
short 9148 and 9146, or 9146 and 9148. same policy.

Hillegom Purk 12:46 GMT August 5, 2010
Eur/Usd

xcuse me: Selecter. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w2L8Y-zY4Rw

Hillegom Purk 12:45 GMT August 5, 2010
Eur/Usd

Selector: missing words.

Hillegom Purk 12:43 GMT August 5, 2010
Eur/Usd

Short e/u: 1/12 13231. + 2/12 13232

GVI Forex john 12:41 GMT August 5, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

ECONOMIC DATA CHART
Entry: Target: Stop:

More poor data. Bad seasonal adjustment factors the excuse today...
Weekly jobs U.S.


Click on chart for seven-year history

Houston et 12:41 GMT August 5, 2010
Eur/Usd

Moving very technically .. Breaking higher now

tokyo rana 12:37 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy

usdjpy break of 85 bcoming more real...

GVI Forex Blog 12:34 GMT August 5, 2010 Reply   
Dollar-Swiss has come off from the high of 1.0554. Failure to sustain the break above 1.0500 has now increase the chances of revisiting 1.0400-0350 in the coming sessions.

FX Thoughts for the day : 05-Aug-2010 - 1232 GMT

tokyo rana 12:32 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy

thats why sold all jpy pairs...

London Mick 12:17 GMT August 5, 2010
euro
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.3170 Target: 1.3210 Stop: 1.3148

Range trade order.

GVI Forex john 12:08 GMT August 5, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

LATEST PIVOT POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Additional pairs...

Pivots	EUR/GBP	EUR/JPY	EUR/CHF	AUD/USD	GBP/JPY
Res 3	0.8334	114.95	1.4046	0.9289	139.09
Res 2	0.8321	114.34	1.3957	0.9236	138.21
Res 1	0.8300	113.94	1.3907	0.9202	137.63
					
Pivot	0.8287	113.33	1.3818	0.9149	136.75
						
Sup 1	0.8266	112.93	1.3768	0.9115	136.17
Sup 2	0.8253	112.32	1.3679	0.9062	135.29
Sup 3	0.8232	111.92	1.3629	0.9028	134.71


GVI Forex Jay 12:03 GMT August 5, 2010
Tech Talk

This level proved to be a good one (1.3222 has been the high - dead on). Click on Tech talk subject link to see the link to FX Chart Points

GVI Forex Jay 10:48 GMT August 5, 2010
Tech Talk: Reply
EUR/USD high at 1.3222 - held initial test

Note my post below and that S1 (as posted on FX Chart Points) is 1.3222

Click for FX Chart Points

GVI Forex john 11:58 GMT August 5, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

DATA
Entry: Target: Stop:

Data @ 12:30 GMT
Weekly jobless data
Initial claims seen 455K vs 457K


Weekly jobless data are the most current read on employment and also the economy.

Initial Jobless claims can be very volatile so many also watch the 4-week moving average to get a better handle on trends.

Continuing claims are used by economists to predict the unemployment rate. These data are not as consistent as they once were as statutory benefit rules have been changing. Changes in the rules can affect the number of individuals eligible for claims.

Updated and revised charts to follow after the report.


Gen dk 11:51 GMT August 5, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GVI Forex john 11:49 GMT August 5, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

ECB keeps policies unchanged.

GVI Forex john 11:38 GMT August 5, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

ECB Decision/Press Conference Preview

"With the EU bank ‘stress tests’ behind us, the focus this week returns to regular ECB monetary policy where we look for the main refinancing rate to remain on hold at 1%. And in all likelihood, despite the tests being generally well-received by financial markets, Jean-Claude Trichet will repeat that the ECB continues to be in a mode of ‘unlimited liquidity supply'..."


Source: Lloyds Weekly blog on Global-view

Belgrade TD 11:34 GMT August 5, 2010
USD/CHF

Belgrade TD 13:18 GMT July 30, 2010 - buy at 1,039,
... etc ... stop triggered at 1.046 ...
///
This is a classic example of poorly chosen stop level ... it does not matter whether the price go up or down, and that the profit made or loss, but even I can not find a reason to stop in the middle of nothing ... that's pure as the theme for reflection and analysis ... GLGT

GVI Forex Jay 11:21 GMT August 5, 2010
USDCAD



As posted earlier on GVI Forex

GVI Forex Jay 10:37 GMT August 5, 2010
Headlines and Discussion: Reply
USD/CAD is making a fresh run at parity with M&A rumors and firm oil prices helping to fuel the move. Charts show 1.0139 as a key support (currently below it) and would need to get back above it + 1.0164 (Wed low) to put 1.02 back on the radar. Charts show a minor double bottom at 1.0103-05 before a void to 1.0015 and key support in the .99-1.00 zone.

Note S2 = 1.0097 and S3 = 1.0029

HK [email protected] 11:14 GMT August 5, 2010
EUR/USD
Reply   
The risk in shorting(EUR/USD) is that a move to 1.3280 will not be a problem.
Pips hunters too must be a aware that Euro may still target 1.3400.

The shallow correction this morning+fair momentum show about the above said suggested target as possible.

Belgrade TD 11:13 GMT August 5, 2010
USD/CHF

Belgrade TD 13:18 GMT July 30, 2010 - buy at 1,039,
...
close 1/4 at 1.0507 (secure some profits) ... for rest stop at ~1,46 ...
...
close another 1/4 at 1.055 ... same stop for rest 2/4 ... targeting 1,08+
...
stop triggered at 1.046 :( ... overall nice gains ... looking for another long entry point

tokyo rana 11:10 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy

short all jpy pairs...

tokyo rana 11:05 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy

Sell GBPJPY
Entry: 137 Target: open Stop: 137.5

happy day,

tokyo rana 11:01 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy

gbpjpy longs closed...

GVI Forex john 11:01 GMT August 5, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

OTHER
Entry: Target: Stop:

BOE policy unchanged as expected.

Hong Kong Qindex 10:59 GMT August 5, 2010
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.3261

EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : It is better to assume a range trading of 1.3042 - 1.3270 for the time being.

GVI Forex Blog 10:54 GMT August 5, 2010 Reply   
The euro turned higher against the dollar on Thursday, lifted by a successful Spanish debt auction and positive comments about Greece's progress in reducing its deficit from the International Monetary Fund.

FOREX NEWS - Euro gains on Spain auction, German data

Cairo Hesham 10:51 GMT August 5, 2010
USDCAD

Thank u DS

Mtl JP 10:50 GMT August 5, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

john 10:02 - from your calendar:
UK BOE Rates (0.50%) unch unch
-
means there is only one way to trade the BoE release:
- IF they surprise the market pundits.

BERN DS 10:50 GMT August 5, 2010
USDCAD
Reply   
Our main target in USDCAD is between 1.0000-and 1.0100, where we would BUY MASSIVELY USDollars... stop on such is 9850 and targets 11500 plus next 3 month ! USDJPY , we would buy between 8500 and 8600 with stops 8470 (as everybody) for a target short term 9300 and long term 11200, USDCHF we would buy between 10350-10450 stops 10200, for 13500 next 12 month !

Hong Kong Qindex 10:48 GMT August 5, 2010
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.3261

EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : A barrier is located at 1.3228 // 1.3243.

GVI Forex Jay 10:48 GMT August 5, 2010
Tech Talk

EUR/USD high at 1.3222 - held initial test

Note my post below and that S1 (as posted on FX Chart Points) is 1.3222

Click for FX Chart Points

Cairo Hesham 10:47 GMT August 5, 2010
USD/CAD
Reply   
any one have a view about the usd/cad? What is down target?

Hong Kong Qindex 10:46 GMT August 5, 2010
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.3261

EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : A barrier is located at 1.3228.

Hong Kong Qindex 10:42 GMT August 5, 2010
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.3261
Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : The current expected trading range is 1.2982 - 1.3261.

GVI Forex Jay 10:41 GMT August 5, 2010
Tech Talk
Reply   


As posted on GVI Forex

GVI Forex Jay 10:27 GMT August 5, 2010
Tech Talk: Reply
Quite a turnaround after what looked like a nice setup for a correction. EUR/USD price action is still within this week's range (see levels below).

I posted these levels last night and eur/usd bounced off the 1 hour trendline (see chart) and paused above S1 (1.3115). The 1 hour down trendline has been broken and resistance is at 1.3222 (R1), 1.3230-33 (Wed intra-day resistance) ahead of 1.3240 and 1.3261 (Wed-Tues highs).

GVI Forex Jay 23:49 GMT August 4, 2010
Tech Talk: Reply
EUR/USD:

1.3222 = R1
1.3177 = daily pivot
1.3115 = S1

GVI Forex Jay 23:09 GMT August 4, 2010
Tech Talk: Reply
USD/CHF key resistance is at 1.0640

EUR/USD 100 hour mva (green line) checked the downside and is an indicator to watch. Currently at 1.3138

Otherwise, no obvious supports between 1.31-1.32 except for

1.3132 = Wed low
1.3125 = former retracement level
1.3110 = current 1 hour trendline
1.3106 (July 29 high).

On the upside, 1.3173 was a Wed resistance following the 1.3132 low. Otherwise, 1.3180-85 blocks a return to 1.32.

GVI Forex john 10:38 GMT August 5, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

OTHER
Entry: Target: Stop:

Decision @ 11:45 GMT. Press Conference @ 12:30 GMT
Central Bank Policy Decision
No rate Changes expected


Often a major event for forex and other financial markets. After all, forex price swings boil down to money flows. Through their money market activities, Central Banks set the “cost of money” (interest rates). Most target a short-term interest rate. Virtually all central banks, explicitly (or implicitly) target inflation in the medium term, so many traders track price trends closely as an indicator of policy. Central Bank watchers also usually dig deep into central bank policy statements for clues about future policy decisions.


ECB Press Conference @ 12:30 GMT
An important component of the ECB policy decision. Live Video broadcast.

Syd 10:31 GMT August 5, 2010
Greek finance ministry evacuated over bomb threat
Reply   
Greek finance ministry evacuated over bomb threat
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSATH00563020100805

GVI Forex Blog 10:27 GMT August 5, 2010 Reply   
The Unemployment Rate is a measure of the percentage of the total labor force that is unemployed but actively seeking employment and willing to work in the US.

Forexpros Daily Analysis - 05/08/2010

tokyo rana 10:18 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy

Buy GBPJPY
Entry: 136.8 Target: open Stop: 40pips

nzdjpy orders canceled now long gbpjpy...happy day,

Saar KaL 10:10 GMT August 5, 2010
EurUSD
Reply   
EURUSD Short here
till 1.3111

Will buy it at that low

tokyo rana 10:05 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy

Buy OTHER
Entry: 62.50nzdjpy Target: open Stop: 20pips

again try,

GVI Forex john 10:02 GMT August 5, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

OTHER
Entry: Target: Stop:

Decision @ 11:00 GMT
BOE Policy Decision
No rate changes Expected


Often a major event for forex and other financial markets. After all, forex price swings boil down to money flows. Through their money market activities, Central Banks set the “cost of money” (interest rates). Most target a short-term interest rate. Virtually all central banks, explicitly (or implicitly) target inflation in the medium term, so many traders track price trends closely as an indicator of policy. Central Bank watchers also usually dig deep into central bank policy statements for clues about future policy decisions.

GVI Forex Blog 09:57 GMT August 5, 2010 Reply   
European peripherals provided the foundation for rising risk appetite in the session with a decent Spanish and Hungarian auction results and the IMF/EU basically giving Greece the green light

European Market Update: IMF/EU review comments on Greece provides fuel for risk appetite sentiment (Trade the News)

GVI Forex john 09:56 GMT August 5, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

LATEST PIVOT POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Pivots	EUR/USD	USD/JPY	USD/CHF	GBP/USD	USD/CAD
Res 3	1.3392	87.39	1.0485	1.6091	1.0320
Res 2	1.3326	87.03	1.0449	1.6029	1.0296
Res 1	1.3278	86.42	1.0419	1.5986	1.0267
					
Pivot	1.3212	86.06	1.0383	1.5924	1.0243
					
Sup 1	1.3164	85.45	1.0353	1.5881	1.0214
Sup 2	1.3098	85.09	1.0317	1.5819	1.0190
Sup 3	1.3050	84.48	1.0287	1.5776	1.0161

GVI Forex john 09:54 GMT August 5, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

GVI CHART POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

FOREX TRADING TOOLS

FX Rates:

Chart Point Tables:

By Base:

CHF

FX Database

Classic Format

USD

JPY

AUD

GVI Charts

Risk Trades

EUR

GBP

CAD



Houston et 09:51 GMT August 5, 2010
Eur/Usd

Am set up to short the Euro at 1.3230/40 and more at 1.3280

GVI Forex Blog 09:44 GMT August 5, 2010 Reply   
10:00 GMT- Aug 5 (global-view.com) The focus early today in North American hours will be the BOE and ECB policy decisions. No rate change is expected from either central bank, but it is interesting that in both cases the focus in on a policy tightening down the road while both Japan and the U.S. are mulling a new round of quantitative ease.

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- ECB, BOE and Weekly Jobs

GVI Forex john 09:37 GMT August 5, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

DAILY FOREX VIEW
Entry: Target: Stop:


The Daily Forex View

ECB, BOE and Weekly Jobs

10:00 GMT- Aug 5 (global-view.com) The focus early today in North American hours will be the BOE and ECB policy decisions. No rate change is expected 

MORE



tokyo rana 09:29 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy

Sell AUDJPY
Entry: 79 Target: open Stop: 50pips

on rise will add.

London Shaun 09:27 GMT August 5, 2010
Adding to short
Reply   
Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.5895 Target: 1.5820 Stop: 1.5970

Jobbing last couple of days from 15910 - 60, now 1.5900 - 1.5850. Expect to see 1.5750 this week but may have to wait until end of play tomorrow.

tokyo rana 09:26 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy

nzdjpy also closed,

tokyo rana 09:25 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy

gbpjpy long closed at 137

Houston et 09:10 GMT August 5, 2010
Eur/Usd
Reply   
Should be able to reach 1.3220. And with some help from Trichet could perhaps test recent high at 1.3261

Dubai SAS 08:59 GMT August 5, 2010
Sell Gold

Dubai SAS 08:11 GMT August 4, 2010
Sell Gold : Reply
Sell Gold
Entry: 1197.00 Target: Open Stop: 1205.00

Sold ...

out of this @ breakeven ...

Montréal Taro 08:52 GMT August 5, 2010
gbpusd 150-200 move

thank you RN!

tokyo rana 08:52 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy

now long gbpjpy and nzdjpy,

tokyo rana 08:44 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy

Buy GBPJPY
Entry: 136.70 Target: open Stop: 40pips

again trying very risky trade,usdjpy shorts closed,

Basel RN 08:44 GMT August 5, 2010
gbpusd 150-200 move

wfakhory is off till next Monday, he suggested to put the sl
at 158.95 and it was triggered.

Gen dk 08:39 GMT August 5, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Montréal Taro 08:35 GMT August 5, 2010
gbpusd 150-200 move

wfakhoury
Do you have update on your latest calls on GBPUSD and EURYEN ?

TIA

hong kong fxbb 08:16 GMT August 5, 2010
gbpusd view?
Reply   
do u think it will go up?

tokyo rana 08:14 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy

Sell USDJPY
Entry: 86..28 Target: open Stop: 30pips

gbpjpy longs clossed for time being...happy day,

Pretoria SA EJ 07:19 GMT August 5, 2010
Sell Eur/USD

Ok I am in. Lets see where this goes !! Happy trade

Pretoria SA EJ 06:59 GMT August 5, 2010
Sell Eur/USD
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3136 Target: 1.3088 Stop: 1.3152

Placing orders

tokyo rana 06:52 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy

ithink gbpjpy going to fly..but ican be wrong...

Hong Kong Qindex 06:50 GMT August 5, 2010
AUD/USD : Critical Point 0.9180
Reply   
AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

AUD/USD : Critical Point 0.9180



The market is under pressure when it is below the barrier at 0.9151 // 0.9186. The market can easily retrace back to 0.9052.



AUD/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/aud.html

tokyo rana 06:45 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy

Pretoria SA EJ 06:40 GMT August 5, 2010
thanx...it was just luck....happy day,

tokyo rana 06:42 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy

Buy GBPJPY
Entry: 136.565 Target: open Stop: 30pips

long now..happy day,

Pretoria SA EJ 06:40 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy

Limit hit - Good trade - Profits gladly banked. Thanks Rana you are a star - Happy trade

HK [email protected] 06:40 GMT August 5, 2010
GBP/USD
Reply   
Longer term target @ 19-Jan-2010 Hi which is 1.6450.
That will take time.

Hong Kong 06:37 GMT August 5, 2010
EUR/USD Intra-day signal by AceTrader
Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Forex signal: Trade fm short side with stop as indicated, abv
wud risk stronger gain to 1.3200/02 b4 down.

INTRADAY TRADING SIGNAL BY ACETRADER.COM: EUR/USD
EUR/USD: 1.3160

Late Update At 05 Aug 2010 06:17 GMT

Despite nr term sideways trading after y'day's
strg retreat to 1.3131, as long as 1.3183 (previous
sup, now res) holds, downside bias remains for ano-
ther corrective fall fm this week's high of 1.3262
to said sup, below wud extend to 1.3110 later.


Trade fm short side with stop as indicated, abv
wud risk stronger gain to 1.3200/02 b4 down.


Range Forecast
1.3140 / 1.3170


Resistance/Support
R: 1.3183/1.3212/1.3240
S: 1.3131/1.3107/1.3057

http://www.acetraderfx.com

tokyo rana 06:23 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy

Buy OTHER
Entry: 62.80nzdjpy Target: 63.30/50 Stop: 62.50

now long later reverse...gbpjpy shorts closed...happy trade,

tokyo rana 06:13 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy

Pretoria SA EJ 06:08 GMT August 5, 2010
im closing gbpjpy shorts...audjpy shorts more attractive...79.25/30 target open...happy day,

tokyo rana 06:09 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy

Sell
Entry: 79.28 Target: open Stop: 79.48

put some orders,

Pretoria SA EJ 06:08 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy

I am in with you on this one Rana - Good luck and happy trade.

Syd 05:51 GMT August 5, 2010
Trade surge hides weakness
Reply   
With forward orders dropping away, they expect the downturn, which has now been under way for three months, to continue.
And the divide between the mining industry and the rest of the economy is destined to get worse as new minerals projects suck resources from the non-mining sector of the economy.
The Australian Industry Group's latest survey of its members in the services sector -- covering industries such as retail, hospitality, entertainment, transport and communications -- shows a clear majority of firms are suffering falling sales.
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/markets/trade-surge-hides-weakness/story-e6frg926-1225901374086

tokyo rana 05:37 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy

Sell GBPJPY
Entry: 137 Target: 136.6 Stop: 137.25

sold

Syd 04:19 GMT August 5, 2010
Double dip recession fears as service sector growth stalls
Reply   
Double dip recession fears as service sector growth stalls
http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2010/aug/04/double-dip-recession-fears-economy

tokyo rana 04:13 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy

Buy GBPJPY
Entry: 136.66 Target: open Stop: 136

just a try,happy trade,

GVI Forex Blog 03:49 GMT August 5, 2010 Reply   
The US Equities gained yesterday on account of rise in the service sector index coupled with hints of better jobs data by the ADP.

Morning Briefing : 05-Aug-2010 - 0344 GMT

Syd 03:06 GMT August 5, 2010
China PBOC Drains Net CNY2 Bln From Money Market This Week
Reply   
US banks braced for slump in profits
US banks with Wall Street operations are bracing for a slump in trading profits this year after the third quarter got off to a poor start, with global economic uncertainty and Europe’s sovereign debt woes leading to a slowdown in market activity in July.FT.com
Andy Xie on China's Empty Apartmentslink

The People's Bank of China drained a net CNY2 billion (US$295.1 million) from the money market this week through its open-market operations, as part of efforts to head off long-term inflationary pressures.

tokyo rana 02:57 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy

longs closed with little gain.

tokyo rana 02:24 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy

Buy OTHER
Entry: 62.65 Target: 100pips Stop: 62.45

will short later...happy day,

tokyo rana 02:23 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy

Buy USDJPY
Entry: 86.10 Target: open Stop: 20pips

iwill short later....happy day,

HK [email protected] 02:17 GMT August 5, 2010
To many big players are interested in a weaker yen.
Reply   
After 86.35 was already breached 87.45 is more probable on background of what I suggested a while ago that corrections may be shallow.
On back ground of the S.Korea war games, any increase in tension with the north will dent any additional appreciation of Yen.

Syd 02:13 GMT August 5, 2010
Fear empty flats in China's property bubble
Reply   
We should fear China's quantity bubble. And we should be terrified by the potential for a massive amount of new, speculative inventory that could come on line this year and next.

Right now, tight credit is holding back the market, and supply is piling up on the developer side as inventory. The government's tightening squeezed buyers of second and third homes, and transaction volumes across the country collapsed. What I've learned from intermediaries is that most property demand now falls into restricted categories, i.e., speculative.
The bottom line is that China urgently needs a coherent property strategy. The massive overhang of empty flats should goad policy makers to act now. If the government eases rules for the property market before adopting a coherent policy, though, a crash could bring down the economy for an extended period.

One only needs to glance at modern-day price and quantity property bubbles around the world to understand the stark consequences. What's happening to the U.S. economy now is a prime example, and it should be lesson for us. Otherwise, China's economy will look like America's.


http://www.marketwatch.com/story/chinas-overhang-of-empty-apartments-2010-08-03?dist=beforebell

tokyo rana 01:50 GMT August 5, 2010
jpy
Reply   
Sell USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

ithink today maybe jpy will be strong bcoz again strange change in swap points.. but lets wait for europe session..happy trade,

Hong Kong Qindex 01:48 GMT August 5, 2010
USD/JPY : Current Comments

USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/JPY : Resistant Point 87.45



The market is now working on the barrier at 86.16 // 86.47. It is going to vibrate around 85.37 with an expected magnitude of 83.29 - 87.45.



USD/JPY : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/yen.html

Syd 01:46 GMT August 5, 2010
Huge USD/JPY Sell-Stops Below 85;Offers 86.80-87
Reply   
There's talk of huge USD/JPY sell-stops below 85.00 amounting to a few "yards" (or billions) USD; but yesterday's attempt to trigger those stops failed as very strong bids stand ahead of the stop-loss orders, prompting USD short-covering to this morning's high of 86.46, says Singapore-based dealer

GVI Forex Blog 01:45 GMT August 5, 2010 Reply   

Upbeat Economic Data Boosts U.S. Equity Markets

GVI Forex Blog 01:44 GMT August 5, 2010 Reply   

British Pound Consolidates after Weak Services Sector Report

tokyo rana 01:42 GMT August 5, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

GVI Forex john 20:50 GMT August 4, 2010
thanx for kind post..my ex is very short..and i can be wrong and im often wrong but my view un changed...lets see...best regards

Tokyo Mrs W 01:40 GMT August 5, 2010
Trade Ideas

I take half my profit at 86.23 and now have a FREE TRADE. Same stop.

Hong Kong Qindex 01:34 GMT August 5, 2010
Gold : Critical Point 1194.9

Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

Gold : Daily Cycle Analysis



Daily Cycle Projected Series (1195.6) : ... 1140.9 - 1147.7* - 1154.5 - 1157.9 // 1161.3* - 1164.7 - 1168.1 - 1171.5 - 1174.9* - 1178.3 - [1181.7] - 1185.1 - 1188.5* - 1191.9 - 1195.3 - 1198.7 - 1202.1* // 1205.5 - 1208.9 - 1215.7* - 1222.5 ...



Daily Cycle Congested Area : 1111.7 - 1135.1 - 1158.4 - (1181.7 - 1205.0) - 1228.4 - 1251.7



Daily Cycle Matrix System



Normal Range : 1156.4 - 1222.5



Resistant Barrier : 1116.9 // 1219.9

Supporting Barrier : 1181.7 // 1188.2



Neutral Range : 1178.6 - 1205.7



(Buy at low and sell at high is the preferred trading strategy when the market is trading within the the neutral range. A stop and reverse order can also be considered).



Downside Targeting Points : 1162.6 - 1173.4


Upside Targeting Points : 1211.8 - 1226.9

Hong Kong Qindex 01:32 GMT August 5, 2010
Gold : Critical Point 1194.9
Reply   
Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

Gold : Critical Point 1194.9



As shown in the monthly cycle charts the market is now consolidating within the critical level at 1182.6 - 1205.7. The bias is on the downside when the market is below 1195.5.



Gold : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/gc.html

Hong Kong 00:59 GMT August 5, 2010
Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader
Reply   
Market Review - 04/08/2010 22:58 GMT

Dollar rebounds from a fresh eight-month low against yen on upbeat U.S. economic data

The greenback rebounded strongly from an 8-month low against the Japanese yen on Wednesday, as upbeat U.S. data prompted investors to unwind short positions in dollar.

Although the greenback fell below Tuesday's low of 85.67 against the Japanese yen in Asia to a fresh 8-month low of 85.32 on risk aversions after triggering stops at 85.50 and the pair traded narrowly in Europe, dollar rebounded strongly at NY opening after the release of better-than-expected U.S. employment and services data, which prompted investors to unwind short positions in the greenback, and the pair later hit an intra-day high of 86.39 before trading narrowly in NY afternoon.

U.S. ADP employment data in July came in at 42,000 versus the expectations of 40,000 and 13,000 in June. U.S. ISM non-manufacturing PMI in July came in at 54.3 versus the expectations of 53.0 and 53.8 in previous month.

In addition, Japanese Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda said current moves in yen are somewhat one-sided, apparently steeping up the administration's verbal warnings against yen's rise.

The single currency edged lower from Asian high of 1.3240 on profit-taking together with active cross selling in euro especially versus the Japanese yen (eur/jpy tumbled from the previous session's high of 114.14 to as low as 112.70) following Tuesday's rally to a 3-month high of 1.3262 and fell to 1.3183 after the release of weaker-than-expected German and EU services data. Later, although euro rebounded to 1.3233 ahead of NY opening after EU retail sales data, the single currency tumbled to an intra-day low of 1.3131 due to upbeat U.S. employment and services data before recovering.

German services PMI fell to 56.5 in July versus economists' forecast of 57.3. EU services PMI in July also came in lower-than-expected at 55.8 against the expectations of 56.0. EU retail sales in July came in at 0.0% m/m and 0.4% y/y, versus the economists' forecast of 0.1% m/m and 0.1% y/y respectively.

The British pound edged lower from Tuesday's near 6-month high of 1.5968 on profit-taking in Asia and then hit a low of 1.5892 after the release of much weaker-than-expected U.K. services PMI which fell to 53.1 versus the economists' forecast of 54.4. Later, although cable managed to rebound to 1.5961 in NY opening, sterling fell again in tandem with euro and dropped to an intra-day low of 1.5857 in NY before stabilising.

Economic data to be released on Thursday include: New Zealand Unemployment rate, Unemployment change, Germany Factory orders, U.K. BOE rate decision, BOE Asset Purchase Target, BoE Monetary Policy Decision, EU ECB rate decision , ECB's Press Conference, U.S. Jobless claims, Canada Building permits.

http://www.acetraderfx.com

HK [email protected] 00:49 GMT August 5, 2010
Corrections may be mild for this morning.
Reply   
Big drops etc. I doubt.

KL FS 00:40 GMT August 5, 2010
Trade Ideas

follow you FM, audusd is getting juicier and juicier for a big big drop

Syd 00:35 GMT August 5, 2010
Stocks in U.S. Pare Gains Amid Concern Over China's Stress-Test Scenario
Reply   
U.S. stocks pared gains amid concern that China’s banking regulators are bracing for home-price declines of as much as 60 percent.
Banks were instructed to include worst-case scenarios of prices dropping 50 percent to 60 percent in cities where they have risen excessively, the person said, declining to be identified because the regulator’s requirement hasn’t been publicly announced. Previous stress tests carried out in the past year assumed home-price declines of as much as 30 percent.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-08-04/stocks-in-u-s-lose-gains-amid-concern-over-china-s-stress-test-scenario.html

Tokyo Mrs W 00:16 GMT August 5, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell USDJPY
Entry: 86.43 Target: 85.80-00 Stop: 86.55

Selling at retracement level

38.2% of 88.11 - 85.33 is 86.39

Syd 00:16 GMT August 5, 2010
China's Real Estate Bubble Threatens to Burst
Reply   
Two years after the US subprime crisis, China is seeing its own real estate bubble as a result of massive state stimulus programs. Many economists are warning it could burst soon, with unpredictable results for the global economy.
'It's a Bubble'

Western exporting countries like Germany, which partly owe their gradual recovery from the global crisis to orders from China, are also reminded of the risks in East Asia. "You're starting to see that collapse in property and it's going to hit the banking system," Kenneth Rogoff, a Harvard professor and former chief economist at the International Monetary Fund, warned recently. "It's a bubble."
The imminent bubble is already affecting the rest of the world. The strong demand in China's voracious construction industry has also led to sharp rises in the prices of commodities like aluminum, iron and copper. Not surprisingly, a recent survey showed that more than two-thirds of all Chinese hope that the real estate bubble will burst soon. Many sense that China's brand of government-controlled capitalism is still a long way from being a market economy capable of self-regulation.
http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,709688,00.html

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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