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Forex Forum Archive for 08/08/2010

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Syd 23:44 GMT August 8, 2010
Fear of a Jolt in Thin August Markets
Reply   
Typically, the stock market does just fine in August, but every now and then, the month's evil twin shows up. Given how nervous investors have become about the risk of deflation or renewed recession, they are beginning to worry about which version of August they will get this year.
"You think, 'Europe is on vacation, Congress is out of session, what can happen?' I guess history tells you that's when there is a little more bandwidth for other things to take place," says Jeffrey Kleintop, chief market strategist at LPL Financial in Boston.August is unusual. The Dow actually has risen in 12 of the past 20 Augusts, including each of the past four years—even the disastrous 2008. It shows an average decline for the month because, in the years when it has fallen, the declines have been big enough to outweigh the smaller gains of the up years. It is the size of the declines that make some investors uneasy.
LINK

Syd 23:11 GMT August 8, 2010
UK Public Sector Job Cut Expectations Increase Sharply-Survey
Reply   
U.K. public sector redundancy expectations for the coming three months have increased sharply although private sector plans for job creation are currently offsetting that development, a balance which is not expected to continue into 2011, a survey shows Monday.

Mtl JP 22:56 GMT August 8, 2010
usd trend is bearish long term!

always that peski thingie of timimg... or is it perhaps Q of "net neutrality" (no matter who you are -- a corporation selling a new widget, a senator making a political argument or just a Minnesotan sharing a funny cat video -- you have equal access: hahaha)

Some See the Hand of China in Recent Yen, Euro Rallies - wsj

After a big surge through the first five months of the year, the dollar has slumped against the euro and yen, with many traders pointing to softer U.S. economic growth and stabilization in Europe as the catalyst.

In currency markets, the buzz among traders is that there is another factor at work, too: China.

In recent months, traders believe, China has stepped up its buying of yen- and euro-based investments. This is likely because it is trying to diversify its $2.5 trillion of currency reserves away from holdings of U.S. Treasurys, some analysts say. .../..

fwiw.

Syd 22:53 GMT August 8, 2010
China Risks `Sacrificing' Growth as Energy Curbs Slow Factory Production
Reply   
China’s industrial output growth may have weakened in July as the government shuttered energy- intensive factories, highlighting how environmental goals risk damping growth just as export orders soften. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-08-08/china-risks-sacrificing-growth-as-energy-curbs-slow-factory-production.html

Syd 22:38 GMT August 8, 2010
Australia's Labor Regains Narrow Lead Over Opposition -
Reply   
Australia's Labor Regains Narrow Lead Over Opposition -
Australia's ruling Labor party holds a small lead over the opposition Liberal-National coalition as the nation heads towards an Aug. 21 election, according to the latest Newspoll survey published in the Australian newspaper Monday

GVI Forex john 22:25 GMT August 8, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Pivots	EUR/GBP	EUR/JPY	EUR/CHF	AUD/USD
Res 3	0.8393	115.05	1.3941	0.9312
Res 2	0.8366	114.39	1.3894	0.9266
Res 1	0.8343	113.92	1.3840	0.9227
								
Pivot	0.8316	113.26	1.3793	0.9181
								
Sup 1	0.8293	112.79	1.3739	0.9142
Sup 2	0.8266	112.13	1.3692	0.9096
Sup 3	0.8243	111.66	1.3638	0.9057

GVI Forex john 22:24 GMT August 8, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Pivots	EUR/USD	USD/JPY	USD/CHF	GBP/USD	USD/CAD
Res 3	1.3536	87.25	1.0652	1.6189	1.0497
Res 2	1.3435	86.73	1.0580	1.6095	1.0402
Res 1	1.3361	86.06	1.0478	1.6028	1.0337
					
Pivot	1.3260	85.54	1.0406	1.5934	1.0242
					
Sup 1	1.3186	84.87	1.0304	1.5867	1.0177
Sup 2	1.3085	84.35	1.0232	1.5773	1.0082
Sup 3	1.3011	83.68	1.0130	1.5706	1.0017

GVI Forex john 22:23 GMT August 8, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

FOREX TRADING TOOLS

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Lahore FM 22:20 GMT August 8, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy EURGBP
Entry: Target: Stop:

will likely correct toward 0.8500 over coming week/s.

GVI Forex Blog 21:43 GMT August 8, 2010 Reply   
US jobs data disappoints. Risk appetite was severely dented upon the release of the weak July US payrolls data, the major risky asset classes all falling during immediately afterwards

Forex Research - Morning Report (Westpac)

Syd 20:20 GMT August 8, 2010
U.S. Economy Improving, More Stimulus Isn't the Answer, Rubin, O'Neill Say
Reply   
U.S. Economy Improving, More Stimulus Isn't the Answer, Rubin, O'Neill Say
link
China Risks `Sacrificing' Growth as Energy Curbs Slow Factory Production
link
West's recovery mission encounters hitch as harness slips off Chinese dragon
link
Retail Sales in U.S. Probably Climbed as Incentives Propelled Auto Demand
link

Syd 19:20 GMT August 8, 2010
RBA's changed interest
Reply   
Financial markets have been displaying broadly the same symptoms of ''risk aversion'' that they did during the financial crisis of 2007-09, although with nothing like the intensity as during that period. Once again, the issue prompting the heightened sense of ''risk aversion'' is debt - except this time the focus is government, rather than private debt.
http://www.smh.com.au/business/rbas-changed-interest-20100615-ydfe.html

KL FS 17:04 GMT August 8, 2010
USD/JPY : Critical Point 84.04

agree very much with Qindex, selling usdjpy will prove very profitable in the end
let's attack the 84.04 level, stop above 86.80

West Van Bing 16:05 GMT August 8, 2010
gbpusd is testing 15945

awsome, keep long GBP and EUR, USD is finished

Amman wfakhoury 14:03 GMT August 8, 2010
eurusd medterm
Reply   
Most experts expect eurusd is heading twd 13370 on monday.
then to 13500. while I am syaing it is heading twd 13220 and if breaks 13200 down then 13100 will be seen.

Richland QC Mailman 13:52 GMT August 8, 2010
gbpusd medterm

Ok folks. Following is our trading plan for Monday for GBP/usd.

Sell at first attempt at R1 1.6025/30, stop @ 1.6050. Condition: Price does not touch first the CP @1.5935 before it goes to 1.6025. It should reach R1 first, thereby breaking the high to necessitate a SELL before falling.

Alternative trade: Buy at CP @1.5935 stop at 1.5912.

Will reveal trades for USD/CAD and aussie tomorrow.


Amman wfakhoury 13:46 GMT August 8, 2010
gbpusd medterm
Reply   
gbpusd is heading twd 15880.
breaking level 15870-60 and keeping below it means 15760
will be seen.

GVI Forex Blog 12:46 GMT August 8, 2010 Reply   
Here are some key forex support and resistance levels for the upcoming trading week.

Key Forex Technical Trading Levels

Saar KaL 11:00 GMT August 8, 2010
Useless politicians
Reply   
http://www.censored/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=2918580#post2918580

So what is a fair wage?...Check this out

This Based on the Poisson distribution (the universe of numbers).
It is mathematically proven more then 200 years ago.


(Income in natural way, not politicians)

No one can be 12 times as strong as the weakest.
No one can be 12 times as smart as the dumbest.
No one should make 12 times as the poorest.

This will make the wage reforms a thing of yesterday.
(Just Excel sheet and well thought of method)

tokyo rana 10:04 GMT August 8, 2010
usd trend is bearish long term!

Vienna GD 07:57 GMT August 8, 2010
dear friend,donot worry iwill go with tight stops...happy weekend,

Syd 08:12 GMT August 8, 2010
HIGH-PROFILE miner Andrew Forrest
Reply   

The Fortescue Metals Group chief accused Prime Minister Julia Gillard, her predecessor Kevin Rudd and Federal Treasurer Wayne Swan of telling lies to Australian voters under the "badge of the Commonwealth."

His salvo, delivered during a brief visit to Melbourne, was clearly aimed at undermining the Government's latest move in resurrecting Mr Rudd's political credentials and handing him a frontline role in the past two weeks of campaigning before polling day.

Mr Forrest said the tax was introduced by Mr Rudd and supported by a "cheer squad of Julia Gillard and Wayne Swan".

"The fact that they are bringing the old team back which was responsible for the worst economic policy that Australia has seen in its entire history does concern me," Mr Forrest told BusinessDaily.

"When I heard the Treasury secretary say that you could increase this tax from 40 per cent to 90 per cent without affecting mining investment, I knew that I was dealing with la-la land," Mr Forrest said.

He argued that then prime minister Rudd and Treasurer Wayne Swan had planned to nationalise the mines by stealth, "dressing up the plan in a huge big mining tax which was predicated on all of Australia's mining industries being greedy multinationals that don't tell the truth and don't pay much tax.

Asked what the resource rent liabilities would be for his company, Mr Forrest said that because the new tax proposal was agreed to in secret it was hard to model.

However, it was now believed that once all charges are levied, the tax could come in at 50 per cent.

"It means I can't excel at what I am doing and Fortescue will get clobbered by a discriminatory unfair tax."
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/business/andrew-forrest/story-e6frfh4f-1225902300748

Vienna GD 07:57 GMT August 8, 2010
usd trend is bearish long term!

tokyo rana 17:08 ... Rana be careful with betting on much more dollar decline here! I'm definitely not in that boat; Indices and Eurusd are topping out right now or very soon - and latest into 3rd week of August - to go down into early December - and to reverse again into April 2011.

Hong Kong Qindex 03:41 GMT August 8, 2010
USD/JPY : Critical Point 84.04

Sell USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/JPY : Basically the market is working on the supporting ranges at 82.21 - 85.04 - 86.47. Sell on rallies is still the preferred trading strategy.

Hong Kong Qindex 03:03 GMT August 8, 2010
EUR/USD : Critical Resistance 1.3548
Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : Critical Resistance 1.3548


As shown in the front page of my website, the normal range for this week is 1.3205 - 1.3543. A supporting barrier is expected at 1.3205 // 1.3222 and a resistant barrier is located at 1.3374 // 1.3392. Basically once the market can anchor itself within the supporting range of 1.3132 - 1.3324, it can move ahead towards the resistant range at 1.3500 // 1.3548.



EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/euro.html

 




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