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Forex Forum Archive for 08/09/2010

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Syd 23:13 GMT August 9, 2010
Currency Watch
Reply   
The Fed's decision on interest rates could have a big impact on the dollar, so what should you be watching for? Nick Bennenbroek, of Wells Fargo, and Mike Moran, of Standard Chartered Bank, share their insights.LINK

Syd 22:51 GMT August 9, 2010
DJ MARKET TALK: Not As Much Cash On Sidelines As Some Think
Reply   
About that whole "cash on the sidelines" argument, John Hussman says it's nonsense. "Analysts are pointing to an apparent pile of corporate 'cash on the sidelines' as if these holdings of debt securities somehow make new corporate spending more likely," writes Hussman. To be sure, if a company has a bunch of marketable securities on its balance sheet, it's obviously free to sell them in order to increase capex. But "the issue is that somebody else has to buy those securities," Hussman says. "At the end of the day, there is no less 'cash on the sidelines' after that change of ownership than there was before." DJ

FED Unlkely to Announce QE Plans in August FED Unlkely to Announce QE Plans in August

Default Not a Solution for Greece: IMF

Syd 22:15 GMT August 9, 2010
China at High Tide
Reply   
"I think that in the second half of this year, yes we could have 9%- 11% growth, but China is at high tide,” Gordon Chang, author of The Coming Collapse of China, told CNBC after a Chinese government economist report claims China is on track to grow up to 11% this yearChina at High Tide

FOMC Poses Key Event Risk For NZD/USD-Westpac
FOMC, early tomorrow morning NZD time, poses significant event risk for NZD/USD given speculation Fed may announce some form of additional monetary easing. Until then, previous day's ranges remain largely intact, says Westpac Bank. Pair last 0.7289. Tips a range of 0.7250-0.7320, says break below "raising the odds a larger reversal has begun."

Potential USD Bearish Sentiment Extreme LINK

Don't Expect Much Change From Fed This Week
Speculation swirling that the Fed this week could announce additional measures to boost the economic recovery. But University of Oregon economics professor Tim Duy isn't so sure. "My baseline expectation is that the FOMC statement acknowledges the weakness in recent data, but leaves the current policy stance intact," he says, noting its "very unlikely" the Fed will move to expand its balance sheet. "Uncertainty about the effectiveness of additional easing argues against more action, especially given relatively quiescent financial markets and positive, albeit lackluster, growth."

GVI Forex john 21:56 GMT August 9, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Bank of Japan Policy Decision. Time uncertain.

With Rates Virtually at Zero. No Rate Changes are seen. Keep an eye on their economic assessment


Often a major event for forex and other financial markets. After all, forex price swings boil down to money flows. Through their money market activities, Central Banks set the “cost of money” (interest rates). Most target a short-term interest rate. Virtually all central banks, explicitly (or implicitly) target inflation in the medium term, so many traders track price trends closely as an indicator of policy. Central Bank watchers also usually dig deep into central bank policy statements for clues about future policy decisions.

Auckland peat 21:24 GMT August 9, 2010
AUD/USD

Re the Aussie H+Sh
I meant to type 25 pips (not 35) so I'm sorry about that. my 25 profit got hit while I slept. But to be honest it looks like its forming a bear flag again so maybe there will be more south from

GVI Forex Blog 20:54 GMT August 9, 2010 Reply   
The Canadian dollar was a touch higher against its U.S. counterpart on Monday, supported by firm equity and oil prices, but was seen remaining in a tight range as investors awaited the U.S. Federal

Forex News - CANADA FX DEBT-C$ edges higher as markets await Fed

GVI Forex Blog 20:43 GMT August 9, 2010 Reply   
In the absence of any material market news, US equities looked ahead to tomorrow's US central bank meeting where there is some speculation the Fed may announce some form additional monetary easing

Forex Research - Morning Report (Westpac)

GVI Forex john 20:37 GMT August 9, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

GVI CHART POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

other pivots...

Pivots	EUR/GBP	EUR/JPY	EUR/CHF	AUD/USD
Res 3	0.8381	114.60	1.4039	0.9245
Res 2	0.8359	114.29	1.3960	0.9225
Res 1	0.8336	113.91	1.3914	0.9194
								
Pivot	0.8314	113.60	1.3835	0.9174
								
Sup 1	0.8291	113.22	1.3789	0.9143
Sup 2	0.8269	112.91	1.3710	0.9123
Sup 3	0.8246	112.53	1.3664	0.9092

GVI Forex john 20:35 GMT August 9, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

GVI CHART POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Pivots	EUR/USD	USD/JPY	USD/CHF	GBP/USD	USD/CAD
Res 3	1.3371	86.75	1.0675	1.6070	1.0336
Res 2	1.3339	86.35	1.0586	1.6034	1.0317
Res 1	1.3281	86.10	1.0537	1.5968	1.0293
					
Pivot	1.3249	85.70	1.0448	1.5932	1.0274
					
Sup 1	1.3191	85.45	1.0399	1.5866	1.0250
Sup 2	1.3159	85.05	1.0310	1.5830	1.0231
Sup 3	1.3101	84.80	1.0261	1.5764	1.0207

GVI Forex john 20:31 GMT August 9, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

GVI CHART POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

FOREX TRADING TOOLS

FX Rates:

Chart Point Tables:

By Base:

CHF

FX Database

Classic Format

USD

JPY

AUD

GVI Charts

Risk Trades

EUR

GBP

CAD



Belgrade TD 20:31 GMT August 9, 2010
whereto



cape town DT 20:14 GMT August 9, 2010
I also keep my long USD/CAD position and you can see from chart it is uncertain ... we need break on the top of the box/channel ... safest position is to wait until the price break through 1.04 ... etc...

cape town DT 20:14 GMT August 9, 2010
whereto
Reply   
Buy USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Anyone know which direction this will go after waking up from it's sleep?

GVI Forex Blog 20:12 GMT August 9, 2010 Reply   

Slow News Day Leaves Stocks Rangebound but Higher

GVI Forex Blog 20:12 GMT August 9, 2010 Reply   

Dollar Stronger Ahead of Tuesday’s Fed Meeting

YVR MAXXIM 19:57 GMT August 9, 2010
picoté, meaning 'marked with points'.
Reply   
GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

The Cable closed the week at a six-month high. For the time being, the 1.6000 mark will provide a good support owing to the fact that the path to further gains is currently barred by option barriers. Our expected trading range for the week ahead is 1.5600-1.6100.

Belgrade TD 19:09 GMT August 9, 2010
positions

Belgrade TD 14:29 GMT August 3, 2010
... sell GBP/USD ~ 1,5935 ... and latter another sell at 1,5995
///
close first sell from 1,5935 at 1,5895 with +
for rest (1,5995 sell) stop at 1,5970 ... target 1,5850/40

Gen dk 18:31 GMT August 9, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GVI Forex john 18:03 GMT August 9, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support


The Daily Forex View

Fed Decision Tuesday 

20:00 GMT- Aug 9 (global-view.com) There has been a fair amount of discussion Monday on GVI Forex about what the Fed will decide Tuesday and 

MORE



hk ooozmeeh 17:52 GMT August 9, 2010
USDJPY
Reply   
hk ooozmeeh 17:19 GMT August 6, 2010
Long USDJPY : Reply


Buy USDJPY
Entry: USDJPY Target: Stop:

Pending Order..BUY @ 85.37
-------------

took profit now @ 85.80

Saar KaL 17:41 GMT August 9, 2010
Longs
Reply   
Now will buy EURUSD

1.3219
to 1.3166

tgt 1.3301

Buys on GBPUSD till 1.5830
TGT 1.5945

till asian session

GBPCHF short at MKT till next day


tokyo rana 17:31 GMT August 9, 2010
Long USDJPY

Dubai SAS 16:36 GMT August 9, 2010
dear friend,nice trading....congratulations to all who ever long usdjpy...happy tradde,

Lahore FM 17:30 GMT August 9, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 0.9200 Target: Stop: 0.9235 bid for 1/2

08/09/2010 08:25:04 FM Lahore 7

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 0,9200 Target: Stop:
sold.stops later.
--
half closed 0.9161 now.stops placed for remainder.

Lahore FM 17:18 GMT August 9, 2010
Long USDJPY

good contra SAS!

jerusalem kb 17:07 GMT August 9, 2010
buy eurusd

closed with 22-pips

GVI Forex Blog 16:58 GMT August 9, 2010 Reply   
GBP/USD (a 4-hour chart of which is shown) as of Monday (8/09/2010) has consolidated under key 1.60 psychological resistance, thus far unable to breakout out above the 6-month high established on

GBP/USD Poised Under 1.60

Hong Kong Qindex 16:48 GMT August 9, 2010
GBP/USD : Critical Point 1.6085
Reply   
GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/USD : Critical Point 1.6085


The normal trading range for this week is 1.5758 - 1.6209. A projected resistant level is positioning at 1.6066 // 1.6085. A supporting barrier is expected at 1.5527 //1.5589.


GBP/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/gbp.html

Dubai SAS 16:36 GMT August 9, 2010
Long USDJPY

Dubai SAS 08:57 GMT August 9, 2010
Long USDJPY : Reply
Dubai SAS 15:10 GMT August 6, 2010
Long USDJPY : Reply
Buy USDJPY
Entry: 85.10 Target: 86.75 Stop: 84.50

Long now ...

Covered half of this @ 85.60 stops fof the rest @ 84.90

Covered the other half @ 85.85 for + 75

Hong Kong Qindex 16:26 GMT August 9, 2010
AUD/USD : Critical Point at 0.9219
Reply   
AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

AUD/USD : Critical Point at 0.9219


The market is under pressure when is below the barrier at 0.9200 // 0.9219. A supporting barrier is positioning at 0.9024 // 0.9029. The normal trading range for this week is 0.8933 - 0.9678.


AUD/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/aud.html

Basel RN 15:36 GMT August 9, 2010
gbpusd and eurusd

Thanks Amman

Amman wfakhoury 15:31 GMT August 9, 2010
gbpusd and eurusd
Reply   
Basel RN 15:26 GMT August 9, 2010
all postions closed: Reply
Enjoy!
What's about the calls on gbp_usd 158.80 and
158.70/60 to 157.60 from this morning, still valid?
Thanx

----
yes eurusd is heading twd 13220 as I said yestrday.
and also gbpusd is heading twd 15880 but it is testing 15960
the coming hour .
gl & gt

Basel RN 15:26 GMT August 9, 2010
all postions closed

Enjoy!
What's about the calls on gbp_usd 158.80 and
158.70/60 to 157.60 from this morning, still valid?
Thanx

Amman wfakhoury 15:15 GMT August 9, 2010
all postions closed
Reply   
..i will be off till friday.

Amman wfakhoury 15:11 GMT August 9, 2010
gbpusd is testing 15951
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 14:37 GMT August 9, 2010
gbpusd is testing 15951: Reply
sell any where exit 15951.

------------------
15951 tested

GVI Forex Blog 15:07 GMT August 9, 2010 Reply   
With earnings season winding down and no major economic data on the docket trading has been relatively subdued this morning. Equity markets are bobbing around just above the flatline, while volume is well below average.

Forex Blog - US Market Update (Trade the News)

GVI Forex Blog 14:45 GMT August 9, 2010 Reply   
Aug 9 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: The Far East will see the BOJ decision at an unspecified time. In Europe, the U.K. trade balance is due. German trade data are always a highlight.

GVI Forex- Data Outlook for Aug 10, 2010

GVI Forex john 14:43 GMT August 9, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

 

Aug 9 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: The Far East will see the BOJ decision at an unspecified time. In Europe, the U.K. trade balance is due. German trade data are always a highlight.  In North America, wholesale inventories are due early and the latest API data are release late. The latest Fed decision is awaited as well.

 

4:30

JA

BOJ (0.10%)

unch

unch

8:30

UK

Trade GBP b Jun

-4.02

-8.06

12:30

US

Productivity 2Q

0.40%

2.80%

14:00

US

Whsl Inv Jun

0.60%

0.50%

18:15

Fed

Fed Rates

unch

unch

20:30

US

API Energy

n/a

n/a

 

 


manila tom 14:41 GMT August 9, 2010
sell audusd
Reply   
looks like audusd is about to make a big u-turn here, looking for sub 0.85 by end of sep

Amman wfakhoury 14:37 GMT August 9, 2010
gbpusd is testing 15951
Reply   
sell any where exit 15951.

Belgrade TD 14:32 GMT August 9, 2010
intaday more/less
Reply   


just as orientation ...

GVI Forex Blog 14:22 GMT August 9, 2010 Reply   

Stocks and Gold Likely to Battle for Control of Investment Dollars

Amman wfakhoury 14:17 GMT August 9, 2010
eurchf 40 pips
Reply   
Zurich EG 14:04 GMT August 9, 2010
eurchf buy for 20 pips: Reply
AmFak good call on direction

-----
thks..what about the 20 pips in sell direction ..wasnot good ?

jerusalem kb 14:12 GMT August 9, 2010
buy eurusd
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.3248 Target: 1.3439 Stop: 1.3190

bought

Zurich EG 14:04 GMT August 9, 2010
eurchf buy for 20 pips

AmFak good call on direction

GVI Forex Blog 14:00 GMT August 9, 2010 Reply   
Fed to reinvest proceeds in market? BoE to signal lower growth and higher inflation EUR orbiting $1.33 Chinese industrial output to slow further? BoJ likely on hold

Forex Market Commentary and Analysis (9 August 2010)

Lahore FM 13:59 GMT August 9, 2010
Trade Ideas

Cheers peat!

gd'nite!

Auckland peat 13:54 GMT August 9, 2010
Trade Ideas

Lahore FM 13:48 GMT August 9, 2010
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3280
half out at 1.3241 now.

nice one FM
I clipped this ticket too
g'nite. late here

Lahore FM 13:50 GMT August 9, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.5983 Target: Stop: 1.6020

08/06/2010 14:11:22 FM Lahore 16

Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.5983 Target: Stop: 1.6020
sold.

earlier short half stopped for an even trade.
--
half clsoed 1.5938 now.stops stay.

Lahore FM 13:48 GMT August 9, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3280 Target: Stop: 1.3335 bid

08/06/2010 13:39:32 FM Lahore 16

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3280 Target: Stop: 1.3335 bid
sold.
--
half out at 1.3241 now.

Amman wfakhoury 13:29 GMT August 9, 2010
eurchf buy for 20 pips
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 13:18 GMT August 9, 2010
eurchf buy for 20 pips: Reply
it is now 13794

=======
price 13818.

Amman wfakhoury 13:18 GMT August 9, 2010
eurchf buy for 20 pips
Reply   
it is now 13794

Auckland peat 13:06 GMT August 9, 2010
AUD/USD
Reply   
Sell AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

little h+sh over last 6 hrs for Ozzie
break of 9180 is signal for 35 pips.

jerusalem kb 13:06 GMT August 9, 2010
buy euraud

Buy EURAUD
Entry: 1.4600 Target: 1.4960/1.5200 Stop: 1.4510

also placed a buy stop above 1.4583 ress.

jerusalem kb 13:03 GMT August 9, 2010
buy euraud
Reply   
Buy EURAUD
Entry: 1.4415 Target: 1.4583 Stop: 1.4300

bought

GVI Forex john 12:58 GMT August 9, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

GVI CHART POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Note below that major USD spots are very close to pivots based on Fiday range and close. Suggests wait and see posture by traders.

Cairo Hesham 12:52 GMT August 9, 2010
wait and see

It is a very boring day in forex market so far!

carib/fl ignore 12:52 GMT August 9, 2010
priced in for more downgrade, thus weak $, euro rally

nyc ws 12:49 GMT August 9, 2010
wait and see
Reply   
Wait and see day before the fomc tomorrow.

GVI Forex Blog 12:48 GMT August 9, 2010 Reply   
The Nonfarm Productivity measures the annualized change in the average productivity level of US workers when producing goods and services, excluding the farming sector

Forexpros Daily Analysis - 09/08/2010

GVI Forex john 12:38 GMT August 9, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Pivots	EUR/USD	USD/JPY	USD/CHF	GBP/USD	USD/CAD
Res 3	1.3536	87.25	1.0652	1.6189	1.0497
Res 2	1.3435	86.73	1.0580	1.6095	1.0402
Res 1	1.3361	86.06	1.0478	1.6028	1.0337
					
Pivot	1.3260	85.54	1.0406	1.5934	1.0242
					
Sup 1	1.3186	84.87	1.0304	1.5867	1.0177
Sup 2	1.3085	84.35	1.0232	1.5773	1.0082
Sup 3	1.3011	83.68	1.0130	1.5706	1.0017

carib/fl ignore 12:36 GMT August 9, 2010
euroses
Reply   
Buy
Entry: Target: Stop:

euro resist 1.3210 holds for 1.3350 1st tp

GVI Forex john 12:32 GMT August 9, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Pivots	EUR/GBP	EUR/JPY	EUR/CHF	AUD/USD
Res 3	0.8393	115.05	1.3941	0.9312
Res 2	0.8366	114.39	1.3894	0.9266
Res 1	0.8343	113.92	1.3840	0.9227
								
Pivot	0.8316	113.26	1.3793	0.9181
								
Sup 1	0.8293	112.79	1.3739	0.9142
Sup 2	0.8266	112.13	1.3692	0.9096
Sup 3	0.8243	111.66	1.3638	0.9057

GVI Forex john 12:30 GMT August 9, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

FOREX TRADING TOOLS

FX Rates:

Chart Point Tables:

By Base:

CHF

FX Database

Classic Format

USD

JPY

AUD

GVI Charts

Risk Trades

EUR

GBP

CAD



GVI Forex Jay 12:30 GMT August 9, 2010
profitmaker

Amman, this is not a place for you to market your service but we will allow a discussion on the Open Forum if you want to continue it. Otherwise, please keep discussion on the Forex Forum market oriented.

London Sceptic 12:28 GMT August 9, 2010
profitmaker

Do you have a real time track record so we can see how your system actually performs with a live account. From what I have seen here is you paper trade your signals.

Amman wfakhoury 12:26 GMT August 9, 2010
profitmaker
Reply   
London Sceptic 12:23 GMT August 9, 2010
=====
I do both.trading and profitmaker creator.

tokyo rana 12:24 GMT August 9, 2010
profitmaker 160 pips daily

Saar KaL 12:22 GMT August 9, 2010
dear friend,where are you from?happy trade,

London Sceptic 12:23 GMT August 9, 2010
profitmaker

Amman, If your system is so good and a sure thing why do you sell subscriptions rather than raising money to trade or trading it for yourself.

Saar KaL 12:22 GMT August 9, 2010
profitmaker 160 pips daily

Grinder system = 500,000 USD/ Month
Kangous system = 75,000 USD / Month
Let me know please

Amman wfakhoury 12:19 GMT August 9, 2010
profitmaker
Reply   
arad trader 12:17 GMT August 9, 2010
=====
yes.

Saar KaL 12:18 GMT August 9, 2010
profitmaker 160 pips daily

My Bangali system (Grinder) saying short gbpJPY here

arad trader 12:17 GMT August 9, 2010
profitmaker

created by you?

GVI Forex Blog 12:14 GMT August 9, 2010 Reply   
Dollar-Swiss fell to touch a low of 1.0331 in the US session on Friday, but closed above 1.0350.

FX Thoughts for the day : 09-Aug-2010 - 1211 GMT

Amman wfakhoury 12:13 GMT August 9, 2010
profitmaker
Reply   
.

Saar KaL 12:10 GMT August 9, 2010
profitmaker 160 pips daily

I have 2 systems
One Kerela and other Bangali
which would you like?

Amman wfakhoury 12:09 GMT August 9, 2010
gbpusd is testing 15961
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 11:37 GMT August 9, 2010
gbpusd 15961: Reply
gbpusd is now 15944 and testing 15961
======
15961 tested.

arad trader 12:06 GMT August 9, 2010
profitmaker 160 pips daily

i am interested to buy a copy of your system.

Saar KaL 12:05 GMT August 9, 2010
NZDJPY

small Long Nzdusd till .7330
will short at tgt
Short Oil Here till 80.6

Saar KaL 11:58 GMT August 9, 2010
NZDJPY

I am here
Shorted it
NDX too from 1912.3 to 1923.4

Auckland peat 11:57 GMT August 9, 2010
NZDJPY

Sell S&P
Entry: Target: Stop:

yeh SP500 rising wedge needs to snap

where is Saar anyway?

Saar KaL 11:53 GMT August 9, 2010
NZDJPY

SP500
South for 2 days
from around here

1127.90
1103.30 wed

watch the news for negative stuff "After the drop"

Saar KaL 11:44 GMT August 9, 2010
NZDJPY

Cable this week is stablization week

1.5800 will change it mind north again
this 1.6000 is generally the drop area
for aug close between 1.5400 to 1.5150
It's finished

tokyo rana 11:41 GMT August 9, 2010
easy day

Attempt small shorts at 85.55, adding to 86.15; stop well above 87.00. First target 85.00/84.82, then more keeping in mind the record low was 79.75 in 1995

Amman wfakhoury 11:40 GMT August 9, 2010
profitmaker 160 pips daily
Reply   
new function added to profitmaker enables trader to make profit 40 pips x 4 pairs eurjpy gbpusd eurchf and eurusd.

Amman wfakhoury 11:37 GMT August 9, 2010
gbpusd 15961
Reply   
gbpusd is now 15944 and testing 15961.

Amman wfakhoury 11:36 GMT August 9, 2010
gbpusd 15950
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 10:18 GMT August 9, 2010
gbpusd testing 15950: Reply
will touch again this level within hour
=====
tested with some delay

Saar KaL 11:34 GMT August 9, 2010
NZDJPY
Reply   
NZDJPY...OK Need another day
for rallie
162.76 short till 1.618
i think that 1.6180 is the rallie point fro .6500 area

USDJPY will short one more time
from 85.72 to 86
I doubt will go lower then 84.6 Tues or Wed
Rallie till 92 IMO
GL

GVI Forex john 11:34 GMT August 9, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Fed Decision due Tuesday @ 18:15 GMT

Preview from Lloyds TSB Weekly on the GVI Blog


"Friday’s disappointing payrolls report has added to the excitement and uncertainty around this week’s FOMC interest rate decision. Recent leaks, added to comments from Fed officials, indicate a decent chance that the FOMC could decide to take further measures to support the economy on Tuesday. The most likely change appears to be the reinvestment of cash received from maturing holdings of mortgage backed securities (MBS) into additional MBS or Treasuries, but other options are also available.

On balance, we do not expect a change to policy at this meeting, as it appears too premature given signs that growth has sustained into the current quarter (both ISM surveys were above expectations in July and showed expansion), however we would not be surprised should it happen.


Lloyds Weekly

tokyo rana 11:33 GMT August 9, 2010
easy day

Sell USDJPY
Entry: 85.30 Target: 82/79/75 Stop: 87.30

correction targets changed...happy day,

tokyo rana 11:32 GMT August 9, 2010
easy day

Sell USDJPY
Entry: 85.30 Target: 79/75 Stop: 87.30

Saar KaL 11:26 GMT August 9, 2010
dear friend,what is ur target for gbpjpy and eurjpy?im short too...wat do u think usdjpy?happy day,

Saar KaL 11:26 GMT August 9, 2010
easy day
Reply   
gbpjpy and eurjpy short
cable short till next day
1.5880 is where it's heading now

gbpchf shorts from 1.6620 to 1.6680
tgt 1.6500

Richland QC Mailman 11:23 GMT August 9, 2010
It is time for the USD to shine

Hi TP. Sorry, 85.60 rather.

New GBP/USD shorts below 15970 just taken.

Amman wfakhoury 11:21 GMT August 9, 2010
sell eurchf
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 09:46 GMT August 9, 2010
sell eurchf for 20 pips: Reply
now 13795 sell for 20 pips.
----20 pips taken

Dubai TP 11:20 GMT August 9, 2010
It is time for the USD to shine

Is that 85.60 or 89.60?

Richland QC Mailman 11:13 GMT August 9, 2010
It is time for the USD to shine

Buy USDJPY
Entry: 89.60 Target: open Stop: 89.30

Cannot resist the beauty of going long usd/yen 89.60 after 89.50 CP has held after repeated attempts by the bears to smash it.



London Mick 10:59 GMT August 9, 2010
It is time for the USD to shine

I am not commenting on the current calls for a turn as it could go either way but what I have seen right up to the US employment report on Friday and even afterwards.

London Mick 10:46 GMT August 9, 2010
It is time for the USD to shine

This forum seems to have been talking the dollar up for a week.

BERN DS 10:42 GMT August 9, 2010
It is time for the USD to shine

ZEUS:... like your turn-call... i have sent out to our subscribers this morning the turning call for GBPUSD and EURUSD... can be ugly, have to happen next 6 trading days... so may be , they will take out first this 16000 level... but you have to be short BIIIIIIIGGGG TIIIIMMMEE:... great call !

HK [email protected] 10:38 GMT August 9, 2010
North Korea 'fires artillery into Yellow Sea
Reply   
North Korea has fired shells into the Yellow Sea near its disputed maritime border with the South, South Korean media report.

It reportedly opened fire around 1730 local time (0830 GMT), directing shells into its own waters.

The firing came as Seoul was ending a huge naval exercise which had provoked warnings of retaliation from the North.

Auckland peat 10:35 GMT August 9, 2010
It is time for the USD to shine

ah ha Zeus yes I've built up my positions....now lets see if your Hilton Head Isle is leeward or windward

Amman wfakhoury 10:18 GMT August 9, 2010
gbpusd testing 15950
Reply   
will touch again thin level within hour

Hilton Head Island ZEUS 10:10 GMT August 9, 2010
It is time for the USD to shine
Reply   
Ah yes. Just checking in. It would seem that EUR/USD and GBP/USD have run their course and are gearing up for a big surge south.

Happy Day!

GVI Forex Blog 10:02 GMT August 9, 2010 Reply   
The USD entered the European morning on a defensive footing in the aftermath of last Friday's US payroll report but had yet to establish fresh multi-month lows from Friday's levels.

European Market Update: Markets await key central bank meetings set for Tuesday (Trade the News)

Syd 10:02 GMT August 9, 2010
China
Reply   

Chinese banks dominated headlines last week as stress-tests were performed by the China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC). The results showed 20% of all outstanding loans to state-owned companies were in trouble as of the end of June, according to an unidentified CBRC official. The official quoted in the Japanese business newspaper Nikkei said the loans failed to meet lending standards and could results in default, although “the risks are still manageable, and the loans are not seen as non-performing”. The report put the total amount of current loans to state-controlled firms at 7.7 trillion yuan meaning that 1.54 trillion yuan are in the ‘problem’ category.
Morgan Stanley - China Weekly

Richmond Hills 09:59 GMT August 9, 2010
bot cable

bingo, up is more favorable than down

Syd 09:55 GMT August 9, 2010
Forex spread betting: Sell NZD & AUS
Reply   
According to Delta the charts have shown a MACD Crossover, "signal: Sell @ 7322, Stop 7351, Initial target 7268," say Delta Index. New Zealand credit card spending data is due tomorrow and forex spread betting players should be warned this could throw the exchange rate off kilter.
The AUD was however not affected when official figures out of Australia showed a -3.9% slowdown in Australian home loans and a -3.6% fall in investment lending.

Auckland peat 09:48 GMT August 9, 2010
News

re trading the news?
the best forex trader I know spefically avoids trading during news

Amman wfakhoury 09:46 GMT August 9, 2010
sell eurchf for 20 pips
Reply   
now 13795 sell for 20 pips.

GVI Forex john 09:45 GMT August 9, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support


The Daily Forex View

Waiting for Fed 

10:00 GMT- Aug 9 (global-view.com)  The headline event early this week will be the Fed policy decision on Tuesday. Some sort of downgrade to the economic 

MORE



Gen dk 09:41 GMT August 9, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GVI Forex Blog 09:34 GMT August 9, 2010 Reply   
The dollar was on the defensive against major currencies on Monday, as disappointing U.S. jobs data on Friday highlighted a weakening U.S. economic outlook and added to speculation about further monetary easing.

FOREX NEWS - Dollar on defensive ahead of Fed meeting

GVI Forex Blog 09:31 GMT August 9, 2010 Reply   
Nine months into a cyclical recovery and the debate over UK monetary policy has become increasingly finely balanced. On the one hand, the pick-up in growth and the elevated level of inflation have strengthened the case for a preemptive rise in interest rates to start soon.

Economics Weekly - BoE Inflation Report: King to have the last word, not Sentence;

Syd 08:59 GMT August 9, 2010
Russia Needs Higher Oil Price To Sustain Growth
Reply   
Russia needs higher oil prices to sustain economic growth in 2H 2010, Danske Markets says. "Without a significant rise in the oil price, the trade balance won't be able to support GDP growth in 2H 2010, as imports are increasing rapidly," analysts say. "The Russian economy is losing steam and desperately needs new sources of growth." Notes the Russian trade balance surplus in 1H 2010 was $93.9Bln, up 78% year-on-year. Says that even though growth of the surplus slowed in Q2 from the previous quarter, it appears to have been the main GDP growth driver in Q2 along with consumption.

Dubai SAS 08:57 GMT August 9, 2010
Long USDJPY

Dubai SAS 15:10 GMT August 6, 2010
Long USDJPY : Reply
Buy USDJPY
Entry: 85.10 Target: 86.75 Stop: 84.50

Long now ...

Covered half of this @ 85.60 stops fof the rest @ 84.90

Dubai SAS 08:56 GMT August 9, 2010
Long USDJPY

Covered half @ 85.60 for +50 and stops moved upto 84.90 for half .. GL

Mullum gvm 08:53 GMT August 9, 2010
AUD

Long AUD : stop .91805

Mumbai RM 08:43 GMT August 9, 2010
bot cable

oops.. i meant bit 1.5938.. target 1.6010.. s/l 1.5898

Mumbai RM 08:39 GMT August 9, 2010
bot cable
Reply   
Buy GBPUSD
Entry: 1.5938 Target: 1.5898 Stop: 1.6010

went long cable at 1.5938

tokyo rana 08:38 GMT August 9, 2010
Crude oil

TORONTO RN 08:34 GMT August 9, 2010
dear friend,never trade crude oil or gold etc...i m only trade jpy yen pairs...im short jpy pairs still hold but going against me as often happen with me......happy trade,

TORONTO RN 08:34 GMT August 9, 2010
Crude oil
Reply   
Rana,
Do you still think crude oil should be sold at around 81.65? Appreciate your advise

Richland QC Mailman 08:33 GMT August 9, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sold aussies additional aussies also 9199. Shorted earlier 9180.

Before this shorted gbp below 1.5980, closed already after it bounced off CP of the day.

Mullum gvm 08:31 GMT August 9, 2010
AUD
Reply   
Buy AUDUSD
Entry: 0.9196 Target: 0.9220 Stop:

thoughts? TIA

Lahore FM 08:25 GMT August 9, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 0,9200 Target: Stop:

sold.stops later.

HK [email protected] 08:23 GMT August 9, 2010
One may buy silver for 18.75 Target
Reply   
GL/GT

Syd 08:06 GMT August 9, 2010
ECB May Need To Revive 6-Month Liquidity Facility
Reply   
Banks in peripheral euro zone countries remain reliant on ECB funding and the central bank may need to reintroduce 6-month and perhaps 12-month liquidity facilities, says Harvinder Sian at RBS. Spanish and Portuguese banks in particular have been borrowing heavily from the ECB in recent months. "We doubt that the stress test results will allow a notable turnaround in this reliance because outside of the very large banks, foreign funding of the periphery banking system is unlikely to reach 2009 levels, resulting in rollover risk," he says

Syd 07:56 GMT August 9, 2010
Russia Heat May Give Investors Cold Feet
Reply   
Severe heat, drought and wildfires are affecting the Russian economy and may hurt investor sentiment toward the country, UralSib Capital says. "While Russian equity and currency markets are driven primarily by external events, the prolonged heat wave, drought, and effect of the raging fires is undoubtedly having an influence on the economy, though the full effects are unlikely to become clear until the September data," strategist Chris Weafer says. "Meanwhile, investors will be increasingly concerned about the possible negative effects, and this will soon start to affect valuations in industries most at risk and the perception of country risk generally."

Richmond Hills 07:52 GMT August 9, 2010
Free forex signals

Agree, GBP is still bullish except below 1.55

PASADENA MK 07:22 GMT August 9, 2010
Free forex signals
Reply   
Buy GBPUSD
Entry: 1.5998 Target: 1.6127 Stop: 1.5958

Signal from 280pips.com

Lahore FM 07:21 GMT August 9, 2010
Trade Ideas


Entry: 1.0369 Target: Stop: 1.0340

08/06/2010 16:39:01 FM Lahore 4

Buy USDCHF
Entry: 1.0369 Target: Stop: 1.0340
long as final shot from the long side.
--
half closed 1.0411 now.

Hong Kong 07:05 GMT August 9, 2010
EUR/USD Intra-day signal by AceTrader
Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

INTRADAY TRADING SIGNAL BY ACETRADER.COM: EUR/USD
EUR/USD: 1.3297

Late Update At 09 Aug 2010 06:20 GMT

Nr term sideways trading is likely to continue
n as long as 1.3262/66 holds, a rebound is still
likely, however, breach of 1.3334 is needed to con-
firm recent upmove has once again resumed n extend
marginally to 1.3350 b4 correction.


Buy on dips for this move with stop as indicat
ed, break wud risk stronger pullback to 1.3210/15.

Range Forecast
1.3280 / 1.3310


Resistance/Support
R: 1.3300/1.3334/1.3379
S: 1.3262/1.3236/1.3157

http://www.acetraderfx.com

London 06:19 GMT August 9, 2010
News
Reply   
Im really new to forex and would like some advice how to trade duirng news time? What is the best way to analyse it and know when is a good time to trade?

GVI Forex Blog 05:54 GMT August 9, 2010 Reply   
The US Equities were up last week. The Dow (10653.56) was up 1.79% and the S&P (1121.64) was up 1.82%.

Morning Briefing : 09-Aug-2010 - 0550 GMT

Syd 05:16 GMT August 9, 2010
Home loans sink to a nine-year low
Reply   
The number of home loans in Australia has fallen to a nine-year low, in the latest sign of emerging weakness in the nation's housing market.Total loans for owner-occupied homes dropped 3.9 per cent in June, reversing a revised 3 per cent increase in May, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics.The pace of new home-loan growth has slowed over the past year as higher interest rates raised costs, home-price growth stalled and the amount of cash available to first-home buyers through government grants shrank. June's fall was the tenth drop in the monthly gauge in the past 12 months.
Auction clearance rates - a key measure of the strength of the market - have weakened since the start of the year, and other indicators have also weakened. Building approvals, which give an indication of future growth, dropped by 3.3 per cent in June, the third straight month of falls.
Construction loans fell 5 per cent, loans for new homes dropped 4.5 per cent and loans for existing homes dropped 3.7 per cent, according to seasonally adjusted ABS data out today.
"Housing finance commitments are down more than 25 per cent since May 2009." smh



Syd 05:01 GMT August 9, 2010
Tourists Shun Greece, Try Turkey
Reply   
That is bad news for Greece, which is already facing declining growth and budget deficits. Tourism makes up about 15% of the country's gross domestic product, and many economists say this summer's tourist season will be critical for a weakened economy that is forecast to shrink around 4% this yearLINK
ROME—Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi's break with a key political ally could pave the way for early elections, his spokesman said Thursday.
"The prime minister warned everyone … to 'get ready' for possible elections," Paolo Bonaiuti said on Italian television.

Syd 04:56 GMT August 9, 2010
Everything's Fine With Greece, Just Ignore Some Facts
Reply   
Little wonder, given some of the facts the monitors chose to downplay. Regional and local governments and entities continue to spend money they don't have. Tax evasion by high earners continues, the authorities so far being unable to get their collection procedures in order, or to cope with threats of tax flight. High-income ship owners, who flaunted their wealth at their champagne-sodden semi-annual "Posidonia" bash, are prepared to suffer exile in the south of France if the government tries to force them to pay taxes bills. Or even endure the less agreeable climate of London.Then there are the banks. Their capital is declining and their bad loans rising, both trends that will accelerate as the economy contracts by a predicted 4% this year. And if the summer tourist season is as poor as many expect— television pictures of riots in Athens and terrorist threats are redirecting those seeking a bit of relaxation in the sun to Spain and Turkey—the projection of a 4% decline might prove to be an understatement: tourism has traditionally accounted for 15% of Greek GDP. Finally, the overall euro zone economic recovery, powered by Germany's exports, well might bypass Greece, which has little to sell increasingly affluent Germans.
If the German taxpayer wearies of financing the Greek bailout, default will become inevitable. Such weariness might set in if what Federico Sturzenegger and Jeromin Zettelmeyer (professor at the Universidad Torcuato di Tella in Buenos Aires, and Director for Policy Studies at the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, respectively) call "skeletons" are exhumed. In their comprehensive study, "Debt Defaults and Lessons From a Decade of Crises," the authors note that such skeletons—explicit debt that might not be on the government books, such as pension obligations or guarantees to specific constituencies—"have a habit of showing up in crisis times."
LINK

Syd 04:50 GMT August 9, 2010
China July Exports, Imports Growth Likely Sharply Slower
Reply   
China's exports growth likely slowed significantly in July, following a surge in exports in June ahead of the withdrawal of export tax rebates for some commodities on July 15, while imports growth likely weakened on moderating domestic demand and softening global commodity prices, economists said.
The weaker export growth will likely further discourage Beijing from allowing the yuan to rise quickly, as a stronger domestic currency will weigh on exporters, who are already suffering from higher labor costs amid an uncertain outlook due to the fragile global economic recovery and sovereign debt crisis in Europe, economists said.

HK [email protected] 02:34 GMT August 9, 2010
North Korea May Have Seized South Korean Fishing Boat Off Peninsula's East
Reply   
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-08-09/north-korea-seizes-south-korean-fishing-boat-off-peninsula-s-east-coast.html

North Korea May Have Seized South Korean Fishing Boat Off Peninsula's East
By Bomi Lim - Aug 9, 2010 9:47 AM GMT+0800

North Korea seized a South Korean fishing boat off the peninsula’s east coast, raising tensions after the communist country threatened “physical retaliation” for the South’s joint military drills with the U.S.

A North Korean patrol was towing the 41-ton Daeseung into the North’s territory yesterday, according to the last communication from the vessel, a South Korean Coast Guard official said yesterday by phone. Four South Koreans and three Chinese were aboard the boat, said the official, who couldn’t be named, in line with government policy.

South Korea hasn’t communicated with North Korean authorities on the seizure and officials are closely watching the situation, Unification Ministry spokeswoman Lee Jong Joo said today by telephone in Seoul.

The boat may have crossed the sea border into North Korean waters, Yonhap News reported yesterday, citing an unidentified South Korean coast guard official. The exact location of the boat at the time of the seizure can’t be verified, the coast guard official said.

“The crew and property of any fishing vessel detained by North Korea should be well-treated and we hope for their quick and safe return,” said Ben Chang, a spokesman for the U.S. National Security Council. “We support the Republic of Korea’s call for this matter to be resolved quickly in accordance with international law.”

Syd 02:02 GMT August 9, 2010
Aussie Housing Finance Drops Sharply In June
Reply   
Australian housing finance fell 3.9% in June from May, outstripping expected 2.0% fall. Data is further evidence that conditions in the housing sector have slowed sharply in recent months as higher interest rates take a toll on demand. Investor finance was down 3.6% by value in July. It further affirms the market's current view that the RBA will be sidelined for much of the coming 12 months. Also Monday, ANZ Job Ads survey data showed a 1.3% rise in July, affirming the picture of resilience in the country's job market. The Australian dollar was unaffected by either report.

Syd 01:33 GMT August 9, 2010
Australian Jun Housing Finance Falls 3.9% Vs May
Reply   
The number of housing-finance approvals in Australia fell a seasonally adjusted 3.9% in June from May, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said Monday. Economists surveyed ahead of the announcement on average had expected a fall of 2.0% in June.

Hong Kong 01:31 GMT August 9, 2010
Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader-9-8-2010
Reply   
Market Review - 06/08/2010 21:55 GMT

Dollar falls broadly against most currencies on disappointing U.S. jobs data

Dollar tumbled against most of its counterparts on Friday as release of weak U.S. non-farm payrolls data added speculation that the Federal Reserve may need to take more stimulus measures at its next meeting on Tuesday to prevent the U.S. economy from going into a double-dip recession.

Although the greenback edged higher against the Japanese yen in Asia after Thursday's weakness to 85.71, renewed selling at 86.19 in European morning capped intra-day rise. The pair then tanked to a fresh 8-month low of 85.02 after the release of weaker-than-expected U.S. non-farm payrolls and later staged a minor recovery in NY afternoon.

U.S. non-farm payrolls in July fell 131k, more than market forecast of minus 65k. The drop in payrolls showed the rise in private-sector employment was not enough to make up for the government jobs lost, however, the unemployment rate stayed unchanged at 9.5%. U.S. 2-year Treasury note yield dropped below 0.5% for the first time ever, suggesting market is getting more pessimistic on U.S. economy. Market is speculating the Fed may consider taking steps (quantitative easing) to support the fragile U.S. economy at next Tuesday's FOMC meeting.

Earlier in Tokyo morning, the head of one of Japan's business lobbies said that 'the government should not intervene in the forex market despite a firmer yen, which weighs heavily on Japanese exporters' profitability.'

Although the single currency traded sideways in Asia on Friday and retreated from 1.3204 to an intra-day low of 1.3157 after the release of weaker-than-expected German industrial production data which fell by 0.6% in June versus the economists' forecast of 0.7% rise, the pair swiftly rallied above Tuesday's high of 1.3262 after the release of weak U.S.jobs data. The single currency eventually hit a fresh 3-month high of 1.3334 and then retreated on profit-taking.

The British pound also traded narrowly in tandem with euro in Asia and ratcheted higher to 1.5920 in European morning, sterling fell sharply to an intra-day low of 1.5840 after the release of disappointing U.K. economic data. However, cable then rallied after release of U.S. non-farm payrolls and hit a fresh 6-month high of 1.5999 in NY morning after triggering stops above 1.5925 and then 1.5968, sterling later retreated on profit-taking and weekend long liquidation.

U.K. industrial production came in at -0.5% m/m and 1.3% y/y (forecasts were 0.2% m/m and 2.0% y/y) whilst U.K. manufacturing production rose by 0.3% m/m and 4.1% y/y, against the economists' expectations of 0.3% m/m and 4.0% y/y.

U.S. and European equities fell on Friday due to weaker-than-expected U.S. non-farm payrolls. DJI once dropped by more than 150 points but later pared most of its intra-day losses and closed the day down by 21 points, or 0.2% at 10,654. FTSE-100, CAC-40 and DAX fell by 0.62%, 1.28% and 1.17% respectively.

In other news which came out in European morning, Standard & Poor's Ratings Services said that it withdrew its 'AAA' long-term and 'A-1+' short-term issuer credit rating on Swiss National Bank, dollar swiss briefly rebounded to 1.0509 on this news but later fell to a near 8-month low of 1.0332 in New York morning after the U.S. jobs report.

Earlier in Asia, the Reserve Bank of Australia released its Quarterly Monetary Policy Statement and said it stuck to its forecasts for domestic growth to accelerate to 4% over the next two years, driven by a boom in trade and mining investment, but still expected underlying inflation to stay within its target. However, RBA gave little guidance on the outlook on interest rates and said only that it thought the current setting of monetary policy was appropriate at this stage.

Economic data to be released next week include:

U.K. RICS house prices, Japan Trade balance (jpy), Current account, Economic watch DI, Germany Trade balance (euro), Current account Jun, Export, Import on Monday, Australia NAB business confidence, Japan BOJ rate decision, Machine tools orders, Germany WPI, CPI final, Germany HICP final, U.K. BRC retail sales, Trade balance (gbp), DCLG house prices, Canada Housing starts, New housing price index, U.S. Labour cost, Productivity, Wholesale inventories, Fed rate decision on Tuesday, Japan Domestic CGPI, Machine orders, Australia W'pac consumer confi., U.K. N'wide Consumer Confi., Claimant count, ILO unemployment rate, BoE's Quarterly Inflation, U.S. Trade balance (usd), Fed budget, Canada Trade balance (cad), Imports, Exports on Wednesday, Australia Employment change , Unemployment rate, Japan Capacity utilisation, Industrial prod'n, Consumer confidence, EU ECB Monthly Report, Industrial prod'n, U.S. Jobless claims, Export price index, Import price index on Thursday, Germany GDP, Swiss Combined PPI , EU GDP, U.S. CPI, CPI core M/M, Real earnings, Retail sales, Retail sales less auto, U.S. U. Michigan survey Prel., Business inventories on Friday.

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Syd 00:56 GMT August 9, 2010
Fed To Disappoint Those Looking For More QE - CBA
Reply   
Australian employment data Thursday likely to affirm strong picture of domestic economy (consensus +20,000 new jobs in July), but downside risk exists for AUD/USD over the week with Fed likely to disappoint calls for more quantitative easing, says Joe Capurso, FX strategist at CBA. Adds, expect a firmer USD over the week. CBA's long term forecast for AUD/USD is for a fall to 0.8200 reflecting an improvement in the US economy and higher US interest rates.

Syd 00:34 GMT August 9, 2010
Testing strength of banks should prices plummet
Reply   
China's banking regulator has ordered lenders to test the impact of a fall in house prices of up to 50% in key cities where prices have risen sharply, banking and regulatory sources said this week.
LINK

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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