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Forex Forum Archive for 08/12/2010

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Syd 23:53 GMT August 12, 2010
Mining tax ‘drives investment away’
Reply   
Australia Labor Keeps Stimulus Lever At Ready - Report
Australia’s reputation as a safe investment zone dived during the ferocious debate over the resource rent tax, according to an international survey by a right-wing Canadian think tank
AFR
Australia Labor Keeps Stimulus Lever At Ready
Australia's Treasurer Wayne Swan says his ruling Labor government, if it wins a second term Aug. 21, would be prepared to intervene in the economy again to sustain growth in the event of a serious new global economic slowdown, the Australian Financial Review reported Friday. "If (international) events were to take a turn for the worse we have got a track record of responding appropriately and in a timely manner," Swan told the paper. AFR


GVI Forex Blog 23:53 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   

S&P 500 Finishes Lower; Chart Indicates Test of 1065.25 Likely

GVI Forex Blog 23:50 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   

Dollar/Yen in Position to Post Weekly Closing Price Reversal Bottom

Syd 23:46 GMT August 12, 2010
ECB Buys Irish Debt To Calm Nerves
Reply   
The European Central Bank has bought short-dated Irish government bonds over the past 24 hours in a bid to calm rising market volatility stemming from concerns on the credit-worthiness of Irish banks, two people familiar with the matter said. These events suggest the government will continue to have to bail out banks, pressuring public finances and denting the outlook for Irish government bonds. WSJ

NZ REINZ House Data Confirms Sector Subdued - ASB
New Zealand REINZ housing figures confirms market activity remained subdued in July, says ASB Economist Jane Turner; "The ongoing weakness in the housing market will be of little surprise to the RBNZ

ECB Warning, Data Add to Recovery Concerns
LONDON—A fresh warning from the European Central Bank and an unexpected fall in euro-zone industry output in June contributed to concerns that Europe's economic recovery was losing momentum.link
US bank bail-out 'helped foreign banks' link
Greek economy shrinks, jobless rate jumps link
Spanish Crisis Threatens Second Front as Catalonia Rates Rise
“If investors focused more on the problems in the regions, they would be less optimistic on Spain’s central government debt, and see that the rally in July was a bit overdone,” said Olaf Penninga, who helps manage 140 billion euros ($182 billion) at Rotterdam-based Robeco Group, and sold Spanish bonds last year. “If the central government has to help the regions it would aggravate an already bad situation.” Any deterioration in the regions’ credit quality, coupled with one of the highest private debt loads in the euro area, could undo Zapatero’s efforts and push up Spain’s own borrowing costs, Penninga said.

“This crisis can come back to haunt Spain again,” he said.

Auckland peat 23:42 GMT August 12, 2010
euraud position update

ok thanks FM, reducing position by closing half at +76

Auckland peat 23:38 GMT August 12, 2010
jpy

just closed a USD/JPY long @ 86.05 from the hammer candle at 84.94 36 hours ago.

Belgrade TD 23:38 GMT August 12, 2010
USD/JPY



looks like nice sell entry ... IF ... will see ...

HK [email protected] 23:33 GMT August 12, 2010
USD/JPY

Yen looks to me like capped at 86.40/45. a break above will give a strong move upward.

Lahore FM 23:29 GMT August 12, 2010
USD/JPY

nzd retail figs and usdjpy rise post the news has started a weak rally.it shud fail.very limited enthusiasm thus far despite the oversold levels.

Belgrade TD 23:20 GMT August 12, 2010
USD/JPY

Belgrade TD 04:27 GMT July 30, 2010
long here at 86,4 ... stop ~ 85 ... targeting 88/93 area
///
add another 2 longs at 85,10 - avg. 85,53 ... stop lover at ~84,50 ...
Belgrade TD 12:19 GMT August 10, 2010
closed 2/3 (86,40 and 85,10, avg. ~85,75) at 86,15 with nice +
for rest (85,10) stop at BE, target 88+ ...
///
stop moved to BE (85,10) ... just in case (BOJ Minutes) ...

GVI Forex Jay 23:15 GMT August 12, 2010
USD/JPY
Reply   
Reason for bounce just now in usd/jpy:

Thursday, August 12, 2010 6:50:07 PM
US Dollar vs Japanese Yen (JP) Japan PM Kan, BOJ may meet next week to consider response measures to Yen rise - Asahi press (TTN)

Lahore FM 22:45 GMT August 12, 2010
Trade Ideas

removed.

Lahore FM 22:44 GMT August 12, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy EURNZD
Entry: 1.8140 lon order Target: Stop:

placed.stops after fill.

Gen dk 22:39 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Lahore FM 22:23 GMT August 12, 2010
euraud position update

peat dear,i would give it another day,friday the 13th,before deciding if the break is clean.

Auckland peat 22:14 GMT August 12, 2010
euraud position update

really looks to me like Eur/Aud has broken out of its coil on the downside and that last rise up to 1.4420 was merely 'back to test' that breakout. holding short positions.

Auckland peat 22:08 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/THB chart

you can chart Eur/Thb at infomine.com
eg
http://www.infomine.com/investment/charts.aspx?mv=1&f=f&r=2y&x=xeur.bthb#chart

GVI Forex Blog 21:50 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   
EUR and GBP test key support No sign of BoJ actual intervention Major U.S. data out tomorrow Is the U.S. the new Japan?

Forex Market Commentary and Analysis (12 August 2010)

Lahore FM 21:46 GMT August 12, 2010
gbp/usd

abb,keep sharing mate!

today i did not feel like posting.

jerusalem kb 21:19 GMT August 12, 2010
euraud position update
Reply   
EURAUD
Entry: Target: Stop:

1st long closed with 100pips loss
2nd long hit BE after collecting 60pips profit.
break of 1.4280 will target 1.3140

GVI Forex Blog 21:10 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   
The Canadian dollar ended its two-day slide against the U.S. currency on Thursday, reclaiming some of the ground it had lost because of growing doubts about the outlook for the global economy.

Forex News - CANADA FX DEBT-C$ snaps 2-day slide, bonds decline

Jeddah Abb 20:35 GMT August 12, 2010
gbp/usd
Reply   
Jeddah Abb 01:46 GMT August 11, 2010
Trade Ideas: Reply
Dear Lahore FM, do you expect a target near 1.556 ?
thanks

Lahore FM, also 1.556 is the low of today in my platform
but i close my sell yesterday at at 1.5722..

Belgrade TD 20:33 GMT August 12, 2010
positions
Reply   
~scalp or short term ...
long EUR/USD 1,2825
long AUD/USD 0,8959
///
target ~ 50-100p ... stop ~ will see ...

GVI Forex Blog 20:26 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   
US equities fell further at the open, catching up with Cisco's weak revenue guidance and noting a weak reading from the US jobless claims report

Forex Research - Morning Report (Westpac)

GVI Forex Blog 20:18 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   
20:00 GMT (Global-View.com) Aug 12, 2010 The focus of forex trading Thursday was neither risk on or risk off. Dealers are still trying to pick up the pieces following the Fed downgrade of the U.S. economy on Tuesday and word yesterday that a couple of Irish banks had required some funding assistance. The U.S. once again saw a disappointing

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- Consolidation

tokyo rana 20:15 GMT August 12, 2010
jpy

Sell OTHER
Entry: 61nzdjpy Target: open Stop: 60pips

sold already....today swap points so high in jpy pairs 5 to 10 times it means short buy jpy.....chfjpy no swap points....happy day,

GVI Forex john 20:07 GMT August 12, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

LATEST PIVOT POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Pivots	EUR/USD	USD/JPY	USD/CHF	GBP/USD	USD/CAD
Res 3	1.3063	87.38	1.0737	1.5826	1.0545
Res 2	1.2997	86.71	1.0677	1.5771	1.0520
Res 1	1.2913	86.29	1.0587	1.5673	1.0472
					
Pivot	1.2847	85.62	1.0527	1.5618	1.0447
					
Sup 1	1.2763	85.20	1.0437	1.5520	1.0399
Sup 2	1.2697	84.53	1.0377	1.5465	1.0374
Sup 3	1.2613	84.11	1.0287	1.5367	1.0326

Pivots	EUR/GBP	EUR/JPY	EUR/CHF	AUD/USD
Res 3	0.8327	112.63	1.3811	0.9095
Res 2	0.8297	111.77	1.3739	0.9051
Res 1	0.8265	110.96	1.3604	0.9003		
				
Pivot	0.8235	110.10	1.3532	0.8959

Sup 1	0.8203	109.29	1.3397	0.8911
Sup 2	0.8173	108.43	1.3325	0.8867
Sup 3	0.8141	107.62	1.3190	0.8819

tokyo rana 20:00 GMT August 12, 2010
jpy
Reply   
Sell USDJPY
Entry: later Target: open Stop: later

today short all jpy pairs...buy only chfjpy.....happy day,

Mtl JP 19:34 GMT August 12, 2010
GOLD

let it dip; the lower the better should be the opportunity to accumulate:

China Plans to Help Bullion Producers Expand Overseas, Central Bank Says - bbrg

music... ... "China “will place heavy emphasis on supporting large-scale gold producers in their development and overseas expansion plans,” the central bank said in the statement."...

GVI Forex Blog 19:20 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   

U.S. Dollar Extending Winning Streak versus Aussie and Kiwi

RIYADH RUH-DMM-RUH 19:04 GMT August 12, 2010
Crude...
Reply   
Buy Crude
Entry: Target: Stop:

I Buy the Crude @ 75.38
Crude will rise until 81.54 and then 85.28

GVI Forex Blog 18:46 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   
EUR/CHF (a 4-hour chart of which is shown) as of Thursday (8/12/2010) has broken down swiftly below a parallel uptrend channel extending from the late June low.

EUR/CHF Breaks Down Channel

HK [email protected] 18:34 GMT August 12, 2010
GOLD
Reply   
Begins to look heavy.

HK [email protected] 18:26 GMT August 12, 2010
Any one here
Reply   
May suspect a price recoil from 1.2777 to 1.2990 ?

Maybe 1.2777 has to be challenged one more time.

GVI Forex john 18:26 GMT August 12, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



jerusalem kb 18:06 GMT August 12, 2010
cad crosses

CORRECTION
eurnzd same but to the DOWNSIDE not upside

Jeddah Abb 18:05 GMT August 12, 2010
cad crosses

thank you for your reply

jerusalem kb 18:03 GMT August 12, 2010
cad crosses

Jeddah Abb , regarding euraud , it is highly possible if it breaks 1.3280 it will go to 1.3140 in the other side if it breaks 1.3440 it may target 1.4583 otherwise it will continue its sideway trading.
eurnzd same but the upside is more possible.
audnzd expect high volatility
ONLY PREDECTION

GVI Forex john 18:01 GMT August 12, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support


The Daily Forex View

Consolidation

20:00 GMT (Global-View.com) Aug 12, 2010  The focus of forex trading Thursday was neither risk on or risk off. Dealers are still trying to pick up the pieces following 

MORE



hillegom purk 17:54 GMT August 12, 2010
usd/jpy

Hillegom Purk 14:30 GMT August 5, 2010
usd/jpy : Reply
usd/jpy is about to start its journey to mountains 88-89-90-91-92...
_______________________________________
still valid. adding, closing some, adding, closing, thinning.
average is now 85,90.

Jeddah Abb 17:49 GMT August 12, 2010
cad crosses

jerusalem kb 17:35 GMT August 12, 2010
what expect for eur/nzd and eur/aud do you think it will break the range ..
thanks.

GVI Forex Jay 17:46 GMT August 12, 2010
fx- stox

jj, looks more like crosses impacting euro, such as eur/gbp coming off higher (which had earlier helped boost eur/usd and pressure gbp/usd lower although gbp/chf was more of a wegiht on gbp/usd).

lkwd jj 17:39 GMT August 12, 2010
fx- stox

euro falling 30 pips since last post with mkt trying to stay afloat, but slipping.

jerusalem kb 17:35 GMT August 12, 2010
cad crosses

good bye h , sure i will

Cairo Hesham 17:31 GMT August 12, 2010
cad crosses

I am away. Good luck 4 all

Belgrade Knez 17:25 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/THB chart


Thank you.

Already got it from Balgrade TD.

YVR MAXXIM 17:18 GMT August 12, 2010
picoté, meaning 'marked with points'.

Sell GBPUSD
Entry: THUNDER Target: Stop: STRUCK

GBP/USD 1 S 08/11/10, 21:30:57 @1.5670
GBP/USD 1 S 08/11/10, 21:38:29 @1.5680
GBP/USD 2 S 08/11/10, 22:38:28 @1.5690
GBP/USD 3 S 08/11/10, 22:47:33 @1.5700

Mtl JP 17:18 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/THB chart

try the first one on top of the list in gv's Broker Directory

Cairo Hesham 17:18 GMT August 12, 2010
cad crosses

yes, my dear friend. Are you from Israel Arab?

jerusalem kb 17:16 GMT August 12, 2010
cad crosses

thanks ya H hope you are doing good

Belgrade Knez 17:10 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/THB chart


Excellent.

Hvala mnogo TD.

Belgrade TD 17:07 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/THB chart



looking for this :)

Belgrade Knez 16:58 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/THB chart
Reply   

I am still looking for a help who can recommend broker that can offer EUR/THB chart.

I don't need for trading just for information purpose only, but would need broker chart to be able to draw some trend lines.

Thank you.

Cairo Hesham 16:56 GMT August 12, 2010
cad crosses

To KB: Good trades
Allah akram

YVR MAXXIM 16:46 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/USD 1.27ZEUS

GBPUSD
Entry: Target: 1.57-1.56-1.55 Stop:

http://www.google.ca/search?hl=en&rls=com.microsoft%3Aen-ca%3AIE-SearchBox&q=golden+showers+perse+ideen+zeus&btnG=Search&aq=f&
aqi=&aql=&oq=&gs_rfai=

douglas IOM cookie 16:35 GMT August 12, 2010
reversal
Reply   
USDCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

It has reversed @ same level on 10th tuesday 1.0463 area low for that day

Belgrade TD 16:29 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/USD 1.27ZEUS

Zeus, you have to start forging your lucky coin ... in subscription 2 for me ... just in case :)))

tokyo rana 16:26 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/USD 1.27ZEUS

Hilton Head Island ZEUS 16:22 GMT August 12, 2010
dear friend,what is ur view on eurusd long term and short term?as eurusd is ur main pair...happy trade,

Montréal Taro 16:25 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/USD 1.27ZEUS

luck is very often in place when Zeus is making a call!!

Hilton Head Island ZEUS 16:22 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/USD 1.27ZEUS

NZ OT 16:14 GMT August 12, 2010

Glad to hear it OT. Always helps when luck is on our side ;-)

Best to you!

NZ OT 16:14 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/USD 1.27ZEUS

That swing trade worked for me. Thanks Zeus.

Hilton Head Island ZEUS 15:55 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/USD 1.27ZEUS

London GB 15:39 GMT August 12, 2010

Just the same old algo indicators and charts as usual. have spoken of them several times. Unfortunately, the concepts seem to draw a lot of angst and criticisms here when getting into the details. I thought that is what you originally meant, so suggested to take it offline. Otherwise, just the same old routine.

Cheers!

Saar KaL 15:53 GMT August 12, 2010
cad crosses

GBPCAD this dive is the start of a 2-3 months dive
to 1.45
gl

jerusalem kb 15:49 GMT August 12, 2010
cad crosses
Reply   
may be gbpcad heading to 1.6110
eucad heading to 1.3265
cadchf to 1.0210
going to have my breakfast now and will see if i can find a short ride or not.
ramadan karim

Saar KaL 15:48 GMT August 12, 2010
Today I am doing this

More shorts sp500 here

lkwd jj 15:46 GMT August 12, 2010
fx- stox

so when euro can go positive on the day , stox will turn . thanks friend.

GVI Forex Blog 15:44 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   
Aug 12 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: The Far East will see no major data Friday. In Europe, Eurozone trade and revised GDP data are due. In North America, U.S. retail sales, CPI , the University of Michigan Survey and Business Inventories are slated.

GVI Forex- Data Outlook for Aug 13, 2010

Saar KaL 15:40 GMT August 12, 2010
eurusd shorts added
Reply   
added more eurusd shorts here
cable in about 30 to 56 pips will add more

GVI Forex john 15:40 GMT August 12, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

 

Aug 12 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: The Far East will see no major data Friday. In Europe, Eurozone trade and revised GDP data are due. In North America, U.S. retail sales, CPI , the University of Michigan Survey and Business Inventories are slated.

 

 

 

FRIDAY

 

 

9:00

EZ

Trade EURb Jun

-0.3

-3.4

9:00

EZ

GDP qq 2Qr

0.70%

0.20%

9:00

EZ

GDP yy 2Qr

1.50%

0.60%

12:30

US

Retail Sls Jul

0.50%

-0.50%

12:30

US

R/S x-auto Jul

0.40%

-0.10%

12:30

US

core CPI Jul

0.30%

-0.10%

12:30

US

CPI mm Jul

0.20%

0.20%

13:55

US

U Mich Sent Augp

69.4

67.8

14:00

US

Bus Inv Jun

0.30%

0.10%

 

 


London GB 15:39 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/USD 1.27ZEUS

I meant it as a general question as I am sure others would have liked to see what you were basing the swing trade call on or was it just your 1.2777 level that did it.

Hilton Head Island ZEUS 15:34 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/USD 1.27ZEUS

London GB 15:26 GMT August 12, 2010

My sincerest apologies. Did not mean to offend you in any way.
I aim to please. Hence, in order to better clarify and satisfy your request, please allow me to ask-
What exactly are you asking for everyone to "see"?

Happy Day!

nyc ws 15:29 GMT August 12, 2010
fx- stox

fx has been trying to lead

lkwd jj 15:28 GMT August 12, 2010
fx- stox
Reply   
trying to determin which is horse and which is cart now.

London GB 15:26 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/USD 1.27ZEUS

Zeus, my question was for all of us to see what you were looking at for that swing trade and no interest in emailing you on it.

GVI Forex Blog 15:23 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   
In currency trading safe haven flows have benefited the Swiss Franc and gold plays during the New York session, as spot gold tests above $1,215/oz and EUR/CHF probes below 1.35

Forex Blog - US Market Update (Trade the News)

Hilton Head Island ZEUS 15:21 GMT August 12, 2010
Zeus contact
Reply   
London GB 12:38 GMT August 12, 2010

Please feel free to contact anytime via e-mail from directory.

Cheers!

Rexburg Stubbs 15:17 GMT August 12, 2010
USE HUMAN INTUITION NOT MACHINE ALGO.

I'm to say that now you are talking on point. Human intuition vs algos...there is not one that is better than the other by default i.e flash crash or Barings bank, SoGen rouge traders etc.

Use what works for the trader with proper discipline and risk mgt.
That is all.
HK [email protected] 15:04 GMT August 12, 2010

GVI Forex Blog 15:16 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   
GBP/USD (a 4-hour chart of which is shown) as of Thursday (8/12/2010) has continued this week’s precipitous drop from 1.6000

GBP/USD Drops to Key Support

HK [email protected] 15:16 GMT August 12, 2010
Today I am doing this

Based on daily indicators it makes sense, so interesting to see how things will be looking on the ground.

GL/GT

lkwd jj 15:13 GMT August 12, 2010
how do you like that
Reply   
Zeus virus swindles thousands of UK banking customers headlines in uk paper. ( i am not making this up).

jerusalem kb 15:12 GMT August 12, 2010
sell gbpchf

closed 150pips+

Saar KaL 15:10 GMT August 12, 2010
Today I am doing this

Gold
I shorted Just now

Saar KaL 15:09 GMT August 12, 2010
Today I am doing this

Kevin
Good Job...a friend just longed too around same level

Guys got this gold


Gold Sell 1,213.60 1,187.42

GVI Forex Blog 15:07 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   
I can’t help but sense that the housing calamity, the key to the financial crisis and economic Great Recession, is widely seen by markets, the general public and press as behind us. The bottom is in. Just like stocks put in a bottom in the spring of 2009.

Household Exposure to Housing-Related Debt, Falling Home Prices Big (FXA)

HK [email protected] 15:04 GMT August 12, 2010
USE HUMAN INTUITION NOT MACHINE ALGO.

Rexburg Stubbs 14:51 GMT August 12, 2010

One of the great Algos is that of Wfak, which I don't understand why he likes to share with others even for a fee.

If I had one of that kind I will not.

Other great Algos are those automated ones which may destroy a bank by triggering or being triggered by a S/L sending the Dow 1000 points down in a matter of seconds, thus leading for a wide investigation by the Bourse.



HK kevin 14:55 GMT August 12, 2010
Today I am doing this

Saar KaL 14:44 GMT, just in long USD/CHF at 1.0509. stop at 1.0469

Rexburg Stubbs 14:51 GMT August 12, 2010
USE HUMAN INTUITION NOT MACHINE ALGO.

I'm to say that again, you are very very wrong indeed.

While you think and think the algo can act.
But you miss the point.
One is not by default better than the other for trading.
Two traders can think all they want and still conclude to take opposite actions for the same information. Meanwhile, two algos can make split second outcomes in opposite of each other just the same. There is one difference however. Algos don't have feelings so they don't have to justify their losses or wrong "thinking"

I happen to know some great traders that think then use discretion to trade. I also know some black box algos that would cause one's mind to stir when they see how profitable they are.

On the other hand, there are even more traders who "think" then act wrong or use wrong algos to trade with. These en mass are those collective group of 95%.

In the end it boils down to discipline, risk mgt, and least of all, entry/exit signals

HK [email protected] 14:21 GMT August 12, 2010

Saar KaL 14:44 GMT August 12, 2010
Today I am doing this

I guess there are buys IMO

Kevin
I am maintaining a small position
for each Sell and Buy
and adding with daily levels


EURUSD Hold 1.3178 1.2790
GBPUSD Sell 1.5859 1.5564
USDCHF Buy 1.0659 1.0474
USDJPY Buy 85.74 84.49
GBPJPY Hold 135.43 132.42
NZDUSD Buy 0.7250 0.7088
GBPAUD Hold 1.7566 1.7277
GBPNZD Sell 2.2086 2.1692
SP500 Hold 1,121.91 1,074.25
GBPCHF Sell 1.6683 1.6474
AUDUSD Sell 0.9141 0.8902
USDCAD Sell 1.0525 1.0300
EURJPY Buy 112.51 108.84
OIL Hold 80.44 76.28
GBPCAD Sell 1.6480 1.6202

HK [email protected] 14:36 GMT August 12, 2010
GOLD
Reply   
The only surprise which gold may deliver is a sudden drop below 1210. That may be a little unpleasant for the longs.
So it is now a 50/50 game to 1220 or drop below 1210.

Gen dk 14:35 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

HK kevin 14:26 GMT August 12, 2010
Today I am doing this

Saar KaL 13:52 GMT, exactly what I am thinking. Wanna know why USD/CHF still at today's low even USD/JPY ia making a nice rebound .

HK [email protected] 14:21 GMT August 12, 2010
USE HUMAN INTUITION NOT MACHINE ALGO.

Rexburg Stubbs 13:56 GMT August 12, 2010

What I said about cable is that it should hold for a time above a certain level so that it will not go down. Sothis didnt happen.
S/l should be in place anyway.

No machine thinks like a human being, though it may explore many more possibilities than us, like a Chess Algo. which can defeat champions(sometimes because of mistakes).

Machines are only for aid, and from time to time people buy them and after few trades they loose their money.

Sometimes you may get a piece of info which you may seem more or less important but the Algo. will fail to estimate it or read it.
Whatever you place in a program is the past, and machines do not think, much less they don't think about their thinking.

Our brains are still unknown to us, but luckily even an idiot can program these fascinating biological machines, which no Algo. works similarly.

Hilton Head Island ZEUS 14:12 GMT August 12, 2010
Swing trade idea
Reply   
Ah just checking in and see that lucky swing trade.

Happy Day!

Rexburg Stubbs 13:56 GMT August 12, 2010
USE HUMAN INTUITION NOT MACHINE ALGO.

I'm to say that you are very wrong.
One style or system is not by default better than the rest.
You can train algos to make decisions using all information that discretion mind can think looking back to "see" into the future.

Your mind does not know the future so it interprets what is already known in the past (to the millisecond) to guesstimate idea for future. Just like you called for higher cable on the head FAKe but really some algos correctly sold into that. Of course you did say that if it was not going to go up then it could go down, like all analyst would say in order to never be wrong.

The key is to find what works best for the trader then to have discipline to use it with proper risk mgt stuff.
HK [email protected] 13:46 GMT August 12, 2010

Saar KaL 13:52 GMT August 12, 2010
Today I am doing this

Thanks Kevin
what do you think of Long USDCHF Today?
and GBPNZD
TIA

Saar KaL 13:51 GMT August 12, 2010
USE HUMAN INTUITION NOT MACHINE ALGO.

I don't know...Did the weekly data
Seems like a sell all year
to 700

I think that 1230
is a bad point to go further north

HK kevin 13:46 GMT August 12, 2010
Today I am doing this

Kal, very good call on this pair
GBPCHF Sell 1.6683 1.6474

HK [email protected] 13:46 GMT August 12, 2010
USE HUMAN INTUITION NOT MACHINE ALGO.
Reply   
......................................................................................
Saar KaL 10:40 GMT August 12, 2010
GOLD: Reply
will buy below
1120
till 1008
tgt 1223
.....................................................................................

It is better to develop some sensitivity to the market rather than running automated programs.

The difference between a human and an Algo. machine is that we decide NOW based on the PAST and estimated FUTURE events, but whatever Algo. or machine you may use, is deciding based on the PAST only.

So when and if Gold will break above 1216.50(Kitco HI) you may get 1224, maybe tonight.

I hope I can buy with you from 1120 down to 1008 after I dispose my stuff.

GL/GT

I still think Gold is simply get M

Saar KaL 13:36 GMT August 12, 2010
Today I am doing this
Reply   
EURUSD Sell 1.3178 1.2790
GBPUSD Sell 1.5859 1.5564
USDCHF Buy 1.0659 1.0474
USDJPY Buy 85.74 84.49
GBPJPY Hold 135.43 132.42
NZDUSD Buy 0.7250 0.7088
GBPAUD Hold 1.7566 1.7277
GBPNZD Sell 2.2086 2.1692
SP500 Hold 1,121.91 1,074.25
GBPCHF Sell 1.6683 1.6474
AUDUSD Sell 0.9141 0.8902
USDCAD Sell 1.0525 1.0300
EURJPY Buy 112.51 108.84
OIL Hold 80.44 76.28

Rexburg Stubbs 13:05 GMT August 12, 2010
my sys

I'm to say that such returns are peenuts

Haifa ac 12:59 GMT August 12, 2010

jerusalem kb 13:00 GMT August 12, 2010
sell gbpchf

closed half with 75pips+ and sl to BE for target.
nzdchf and gbpchf both are crazy call (like)

nyc ws 13:00 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/USD 1.27ZEUS

both sides of 1.2777-1.2825 have held. Pretty good levels. Top side feels weaker to me but depends on stocks.

Haifa ac 12:59 GMT August 12, 2010
my sys

My typo. should be 110K made with 100k investement-- about 100% per annum return.

tokyo rana 12:56 GMT August 12, 2010
jpy

Attempt longs 1.2900; stop below 1.2780. First target 1.3025, then 1.3150. weekly Support 1.3050..1.2855..1.2730..1.2565. Resistance 1.3365..1.3420..1.3555..1.3700.this person is spot on always...happy day,

nyc s 12:54 GMT August 12, 2010
my sys

ac that is 1100%

Haifa ac 12:51 GMT August 12, 2010
my sys

Amman wfakhoury 12:25 GMT August 12, 2010
...investing 100k in trading
with my sys can make 5-10 k daily.//
hmmm...
let's see. 5 K a day is about 1100000 dollars a year (about 220 trading days)
that means you make over 100% a year.
That is about 5 times better than Warren Buffet!
You should be one of the richest men on earth rather soon!
Congratulations!

nyc ws 12:48 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/USD 1.27ZEUS

and someone seems to be bidding above 1.2777

nyc ws 12:44 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/USD 1.27ZEUS

fwiw eurusd ran into good seller at 1.2825

douglas IOM cookie 12:40 GMT August 12, 2010
comments
Reply   
USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

Referee has blown the whistle

GVI Forex john 12:38 GMT August 12, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

ECONOMIC DATA CHART
Entry: Target: Stop:

No light at the end of the tunnel in weekly jobless data...

Weekly jobs U.S.


Click on chart for seven-year history

London GB 12:38 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/USD 1.27ZEUS

Zeus can you explain your eurusd swing trade setup and what you are considering?

GVI Forex Jay 12:34 GMT August 12, 2010
my sys

This is not a forum to discuss the merits of someone's system. Let's keep it market oriented, especially at the height of the trading day. You can use the Open Forum to discuss this or any other matter, more leeway there.; TIA

Rexburg Stubbs 12:32 GMT August 12, 2010
my sys

I'm to say that there is no need to believe. He can't do it here so what make you think he can do it in account? Many these guys peddle shee shee as gold in the streets of Amman.

London Mick 12:27 GMT August 12, 2010

nyc 12:32 GMT August 12, 2010
data
Reply   
Lousy weekly job claims

London Mick 12:27 GMT August 12, 2010
my sys

Send me an audited track record and i will believe it.

Amman wfakhoury 12:25 GMT August 12, 2010
my sys
Reply   
London Mick 12:13 GMT August 12, 2010
===========
As you said before , if my sys very accurate why I did not
use it for trading and you are right...investing 100k in trading
with my sys can make 5-10 k daily.

Hilton Head Island ZEUS 12:16 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/USD 1.27ZEUS

Not marketing my system but it looks like EUR/USD is setting up nicely for a swing trade higher soon.

Cheers!

London Mick 12:13 GMT August 12, 2010
Marketing my sys

wfakhoury You could have fooled us as all you come across as hawking your system. If I take you at your word, then your posts are weclome as far as i am concerned.

Hilton Head Island ZEUS 12:12 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/USD 1.27ZEUS
Reply   
Ah yes hello folks.
As luck would have it am about to close out core short EUR/USD at this most interesting SUPER MAGNET level in EUR/USD.

Happy Day!

GVI Forex Blog 12:09 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   

U.S. Equity Markets Bracing for Reaction to Cisco News

GVI Forex Blog 12:08 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   

Japan Ramps Up “Verbal Intervention” Chatter

Amman wfakhoury 12:05 GMT August 12, 2010
Marketing my sys
Reply   
If anyone think Iam here to market my sys , sure he will
be wrong , I am only using this forum for my posts while there are too many others.
If Iam using this forum to market sys , then It is better to use
all the forums.

GVI Forex Jay 11:58 GMT August 12, 2010
Tech Talk
Reply   
I posted these levels on GVI Forex

EUR/USD:
1.2812 = 100 day mva - broken, marginally so far
1.2800 = pivotal big figure -- tested
1.2777 = 38.2% of 1.1878-1.3333 and a Zeus favorite
1.2733 = July 21 low and key support

On the upside 1.2833 has flipped between support and resistance, currently the latter and level that needs to be renewed (use 1.2830-35) to ease risk on 1.28 and below.

tokyo rana 11:55 GMT August 12, 2010
jpy
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.27777777 Target: Zeus Stop: FM jutt joke

just intraday trade,maybe buy intraday eurjpy and gbpjpy...happy trade,

Cairo Hesham 11:54 GMT August 12, 2010
stoploss

thank u for ur rapid response

Hong Kong Qindex 11:54 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/USD : Current Comments
Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Hong Kong Qindex 00:05 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2658 : Reply
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : The current expected trading range from the weekly cycle is 1.2762 - 1.2943 and the mid-point reference between 1.2762 - 1.2943 is 1.2853. The bias is on the downside. Sell on rallies is the preferred trading strategy.


Hong Kong Qindex 23:27 GMT August 11, 2010
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2658 : Reply
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2658



The next significant supporting level is 1.2658. The bias is on the downside when the market is able to consolidate within the weekly cycle normal lower limits at 1.2491 - 1.2637 - 1.2789.



EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/euro.html

Amman wfakhoury 11:52 GMT August 12, 2010
stoploss
Reply   
London Mick 11:44 GMT August 12, 2010
================
there is special indicator in my sys for medterm call of 100-150pips the stoploss is 20-30 pips.
for the 20 -25pips the stoploss is the same provided that
no 3 consecutive failed signals ..by which you can double
your next order and return the loss.

jerusalem kb 11:51 GMT August 12, 2010
nzdchf & audchf

closed nzdchf with 100pips profit , i like this call

Belgrade Knez 11:51 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/THB chart?
Reply   

Anyone can help and let me know, what broker can provide EUR/THB chart, please?

Thank you.

GVI Forex Blog 11:48 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   
As expected, the pair has come down in the Asian session and may see some more fall towards 1.0500 on a break below 1.0550 in the US session today.

FX Thoughts for the day : 12-Aug-2010 - 1145 GMT

London Mick 11:44 GMT August 12, 2010
20 pips signals

wfakhoury. You have to realize when you come on and say you are short at 1.5720 and target is 40 pips away from current spot, it raises questions. If you are adding a stop loss to your system then it would allow us to evaluate your system instead of asking questions.

Cairo Hesham 11:43 GMT August 12, 2010
20 pips signals

To Wfakhoury:for the 20 pips signal, what is ur stop loss?

Amman wfakhoury 11:37 GMT August 12, 2010
20 pips signals
Reply   
London Mick 11:27 GMT August 12, 2010
======
The 20 pips/hour signals are very difficult.and no more will be
given.the medterm signals are very easy specially when you give 100 pips stop loss.

GVI Forex john 11:28 GMT August 12, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

CALENDAR ITEM PREVIEW
Entry: Target: Stop:

Data @ 12:30 GMT
Weekly jobless data
initial claims seen at 465K vs. 479K


Weekly jobless data are the most current read on employment and also the economy.

Initial Jobless claims can be very volatile so many also watch the 4-week moving average to get a better handle on trends.

Continuing claims are used by economists to predict the unemployment rate. These data are not as consistent as they once were as statutory benefit rules have been changing. Changes in the rules can affect the number of individuals eligible for claims.


London Mick 11:27 GMT August 12, 2010
gbpusd 15540

wfakhoury since when does a 20 pip trader send a 180 pip signal that no one has seen until after the fact. This is not an attack but irritating to see your post this way.

Amman wfakhoury 11:24 GMT August 12, 2010
gbpusd 15540
Reply   
Rexburg Stubbs 10:32 GMT August 12, 2010
======
Too many signals issued after Fomc data , and the last one
which we are in now is to sell from 15720 and tp 15540.

GVI Forex john 11:14 GMT August 12, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Re pivot points today, support and resistance levels each day are based on the previous day ranges, so they may be skewed out too far in some cases due to some wide ranges on Wednesday. In some cases, e.g. USD/JPY, they look reasonable.

HK [email protected] 11:09 GMT August 12, 2010
GOLD
Reply   
Saar KaL 10:40 GMT August 12, 2010

Maybe the within next two days you can get gold at 1225

GVI Forex john 11:06 GMT August 12, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

LATEST PIVOT POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Pivots	EUR/USD	USD/JPY	USD/CHF	GBP/USD	USD/CAD
Res 3	1.3421	86.37	1.0765	1.6058	1.0686
Res 2	1.3305	85.93	1.0684	1.5962	1.0580
Res 1	1.3095	85.63	1.0631	1.5822	1.0515
					
Pivot	1.2979	85.19	1.0550	1.5726	1.0409
					
Sup 1	1.2769	84.89	1.0497	1.5586	1.0344
Sup 2	1.2653	84.45	1.0416	1.5490	1.0238
Sup 3	1.2443	84.15	1.0363	1.5350	1.0173



Pivots	EUR/GBP	EUR/JPY	EUR/CHF	AUD/USD
Res 3	0.8395	114.85	1.3996	0.9235
Res 2	0.8358	113.76	1.3910	0.9184
Res 1	0.8286	111.85	1.3770	0.9083
								
Pivot	0.8249	110.76	1.3684	0.9032
							
Sup 1	0.8177	108.85	1.3544	0.8931
Sup 2	0.8140	107.76	1.3458	0.8880
Sup 3	0.8068	105.85	1.3318	0.8779

GVI Forex john 11:05 GMT August 12, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

GVI CHART POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:



HK [email protected] 11:02 GMT August 12, 2010
GOLD
Reply   
If all Copper, Paladium,Platinum and oil all drop and gold goes up or stable...That means gold is being monetized(so I suspect).

GVI Forex john 10:45 GMT August 12, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



ECONOMIC DATA CHART
Entry: Target: Stop:

AUD down following weaker than expected Australian jobs report earlier. Specifically it was the up-tick in the unemployment rate and the break down in full-time vs. part-time jobs that was the issue

Saar KaL 10:40 GMT August 12, 2010
GOLD

will buy below
1120
till 1008
tgt 1223

GVI Forex Blog 10:33 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   
The euro fell on Thursday after weak Greek data reinforced concerns about weaker euro zone economies, while the yen pared losses versus the dollar as fears eased of immediate intervention by the Bank of Japan.

FOREX NEWS -Euro falls on Greek data; yen pares losses

Rexburg Stubbs 10:32 GMT August 12, 2010
gbpusd 140 pips

I'm to say that the better call that DID come BEFORE data and was really more like 2x 140 and can take super spicy profits from the real profit maker system now-

Rexburg Stubbs 18:25 GMT August 10, 2010
gbpusd 140 pips: Reply
I'm to say "don't be fooled by randomness"
USD is rising up up up very soooon.

Rexburg Stubbs 18:19 GMT August 10, 2010
gbpusd 140 pips: Reply
I'm to say 1.5843 was my 2nd and biggest sell short for Amman sized gains.

HK [email protected] 10:32 GMT August 12, 2010
GOLD

It is very clear that some deep pocket buyers were able to get the margin-call gold at relatively low fluctuations and increase their gold holdings.
Maybe people lost their faith in the QE-Bail-all-out American economy.
Looks like Gold is "fools safe haven"(like me hehe) in a belief it will save them at the end of the day.
Russia, US, Europe and China are not in good shape, some feeling the world is not in stable condition.
Gold looks like the straw to hold, so not to be drowned

Vienna GD 10:32 GMT August 12, 2010
GOLD

Gold ... wait with buying until 3rd week of August around OE.
Thereafter full in - after September sprint a pullback into 2nd week of October. DYOD

Dubai SAS 10:26 GMT August 12, 2010
Sell USDCAD

Dubai SAS 15:29 GMT August 11, 2010
Sell USDCAD : Reply
Sell USDCAD
Entry: 1.0470 Target: Open Stop: 1.0520

Sold ....

Out of this @ 1.0462 for +8 ... not working out as planned

Gen dk 10:20 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

NYC RR 10:16 GMT August 12, 2010
GOLD

Gold's behaviour is confusing. My theory: the market is not completely convinced about deflation/inflation.. If the deflation thinking takes hold, gold will come off sharply. Bear in mind that yesterday's fall in the stock markets is to some just a correction to the bull trend. A lot of investment banks are still looking for higher stocks at end 2010, the mean forecast is 1150 for the S&P, so I heard yesterday.

Saar KaL 10:15 GMT August 12, 2010
Holly Mallony ----> $$$$$
Reply   
Mannnnnnnnnnnnnn
Lots of $$$$$$$$$$$$$
gbpnzd
playing a crash soon to 2.08
from 2.20 area
It's making a few more checks before da dive
maybe another few 2.20 to 2.18
before the real thing comes in

HK [email protected] 10:06 GMT August 12, 2010
GOLD
Reply   
Any explanation to Gold last movement?

That stuff suppose to drop with the Euro and Stock mkts.

Syd 10:04 GMT August 12, 2010
Australian Markets Vulnerable To Hung Parliament Risk
Reply   

Australia's close election campaign is raising the prospect of the country's first hung Parliament since 1940, a scenario that could drive market volatility in asset classes ranging from mining company stocks to the Australian dollar.
If the Aug. 21 election produces a hung Parliament--where neither side wins a clear majority in the key lower house--the balance of power would reside with a few non-party lawmakers, who could leave the government with little room for maneuver on policy.
A hung Parliament would introduce uncertainty on four crucial issues: a proposed mining tax, a planned new national broadband network, carbon pricing and plans by the opposition Liberal Party to implement an emergency budget.
"This outcome is not on the radar of markets and would be a negative for the Australian dollar, equities and bond yields," said Paul Brennan, Citigroup's managing director for research and analysis.
A swing of 1.5% in the lower house, or 12 seats, from Prime Minister Julia Gillard's ruling Labor party to the conservative Liberal-National opposition led by Tony Abbott would create a hung Parliament. Any result that left the largest party with less than clear control of either house would fuel a round of deal broking. That would include the Green Party, which is likely to hold the balance of power in the upper house, or Senate, and whose demands could include a tougher mining tax and a carbon-pricing scheme.
Another disruptive scenario involves Labor hanging on to the lower house but depending on Green support to steer legislation through the upper house, possibly in return for a timetable to introduce a stringent carbon-pricing mechanism and a more punitive mining tax.
The voting results' impact differs by asset class. If there's a hung Parliament or an otherwise inconclusive result, "the Australian dollar would be the main casualty," CommSec Chief Economist Craig James said.
Markets won't welcome an outcome that doesn't give any party a clear victory, RBS Currency Strategist Greg Gibbs said. "A close election result with a few independents controlling the balance will create fear of policy inaction," he said. DJ

Hong Kong Qindex 09:59 GMT August 12, 2010
Hang Seng Index : Critical Point 20395
Reply   
Hang Seng Index : Critical Point 20395


The bias is on the downside when the market is closing below the barrier at 21300 //21316. Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market downward trending momentum is strong enough to penetrate through the barrier at 20395 // 20543. As shown in the monthly cycle charts the expected trading range is 20176 - 21639.



Hang Seng Index : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/hsi.html

GVI Forex Blog 09:59 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   
The JPY currency remained the focus in the session as chatter circulated that the BOJ was 'checking rates' as a possible precursor to currency intervention. The rumor helped to propel the USD/JPY to

European Market Update: JPY currency off session lows after Japan MOF and BOJ walk the standard G7 line on currencies (Trade the News)

NYC RR 09:56 GMT August 12, 2010
Yen supported?

While one can't count on CBs to bail one out, one cannot defy them for too long either. All the countries are now competing on who's the most deflationary. In vie wof the economic slowdown, particularly in China, my vote for most overvalued currency goes to Aussie and most undervalued to the US $ followed by yen.

GVI Forex Blog 09:55 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   
10:00 GMT (Global-View.com) Aug 12, 2010 So far it is unclear if Thursday will pan out to be yet another risk off session. Dealers are still trying to pick up the pieces following the Fed downgrade of the U.S. economy on Tuesday and word yesterday that a couple of Irish banks had required some funding assistance.

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- Risk Off Day?

jerusalem kb 09:52 GMT August 12, 2010
sell gbpchf
Reply   
GBPCHF
Entry: 1.6467 Target: 1.6300 Stop: 1.6540

sold

GVI Forex john 09:49 GMT August 12, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

DAILY FOREX VIEW
Entry: Target: Stop:


The Daily Forex View

Risk Off Day?

10:00 GMT (Global-View.com) Aug 12, 2010 So far it is unclear if Thursday will pan out to be yet another risk off session. Dealers are still trying to pick up the 

MORE



GVI Forex Blog 09:34 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the changes in the price of goods and services

Forexpros Daily Analysis - 12/08/2010

Gen dk 09:32 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

London Misha 09:13 GMT August 12, 2010
Observations
Reply   
EURUSD - Long Black Marubozo on Daily Chart.
USDJPY - Possible Bullish Hammer on Daily Chart.
GBPUSD - Long Black Marubozo on Daily Chart.
USDCHF - Bullish Engulfing Pattern on the Daily Chart.
EURGBP - Long Black Marubozo on Daily Chart.
EURJPY - Long Black Marubozo on Daily Chart.
USDCAD - Long White Marubozo on the Daily Chart. First close over the Long MA.
AUDUSD - Long Black Marubozo on Daily Chart. Market closes on the Long MA!

douglas IOM cookie 09:07 GMT August 12, 2010
trading plan
Reply   
USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

I think its called a trading plan or setup helps when markets move not chaseing every move

tokyo rana 09:01 GMT August 12, 2010
Yen supported?

Lahore FM 08:57 GMT August 12, 2010
dear friend,thanx for kind post..i agree with you...was so confused recent day ...now trying to recover now...when i switch i start losing...happy day,

Lahore FM 08:57 GMT August 12, 2010
Yen supported?

for a short ones Rana which who =short ones which show

Rana,you must try one view and then position.if long term down then go short and keep it a while and not switch to long end of the day like the day trader.

i think i need not tell you this but you seem to keep forgetting which term,short med or long your positioning is based on.

tokyo rana 08:53 GMT August 12, 2010
Yen supported?

Lahore FM 08:48 GMT August 12, 2010
dear friend,thanx for kind post...down is more likely after that idonot know..long term going down...short mid term donot know...lets see ihave no idea...happy day,

Lahore FM 08:48 GMT August 12, 2010
Yen supported?

your input numbers must be for a short ones Rana which who divergence at 4 hour chart.for me even 30 minute charts macd is yet to show any meaningful divergence.

that's for tech talks.may it go your way i do not have any running ones here.

tokyo rana 08:47 GMT August 12, 2010
Yen supported?

but maybe 1st new low...happy day,

tokyo rana 08:45 GMT August 12, 2010
Yen supported?

Lahore FM 08:40 GMT August 12, 2010
dear friend,i agree yes it will come down but some up move possible bullish convergence condition in 4 hours MACD...happy day,

Lahore FM 08:44 GMT August 12, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 0.9200 Target: Stop: 0.9005

08/11/2010 22:12:45 FM Lahore 6


Entry: 0.9200 Target: Stop: lowered to 0.9005
08/09/2010 17:30:58 FM Lahore 46
--
short half stopped for 195+ in all.

reinstated slightly lower than the stop level.

Lahore FM 08:40 GMT August 12, 2010
Yen supported?

no comment on forex intervention,watching markets with great interest.

this is the usual rhetoric and off course usdjpy comes down after this.

Syd 08:27 GMT August 12, 2010
Worrying Trends in Global Labor Markets
Reply   
A worrying aspect of the global growth slowdown is that the recent improvement in labor markets is stalling worldwide, says BNP Paribas. "While this is most evident in the U.S. labour market, conditions seen recently in Canada, UK and even the Australian labour market report overnight, point to some worrying trends," the bank says.

Auckland peat 08:22 GMT August 12, 2010
positions

sorry TD - typo no excuse
you did a deal with me to sell Eur at 1.32
pls forward payment

;+)

Syd 08:20 GMT August 12, 2010
Japanese-style deflation more likely in Europe, rather than U.S.
Reply   
The emergence of a period of Japanese-style deflation is probably more likely to happen in the Euro Zone rather than in the U.S., given some of the common characteristics that the economies and populations of Japan and Western Europe share.
http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/
42233/20100810/japan-deflation-rates.htm

The ECB announced today that two European banks used up $430M in FX swap lines, underscoring the very real shortage of USD at banks and the consequent forthcoming demand for dollars. Meanwhile, Eurostat is forcing Germany to consider its holdings of Hypo RE & WestLB debt as sovereign. The implications, as per Maastricht Treaty constraints, could be enormous for Euro nations if this is a precedent.
http://uk.ibtimes.com/articles/20100812/forex-signals-eur-usd-bears-eat-risk-appetite-for-lunch.htm

Mysore Kiran Kumar 06:58 GMT August 12, 2010
Yen supported?
Reply   
As long as Japan Finance minister is talking, usd/jpy may remain higher. We need to see the market reaction after he shuts his mouth. I have kept loads of sell stop entries at 84.90 and 84.70 Will add shorts in yen crosses too if usd/jp falls.

Belgrade Knez 06:54 GMT August 12, 2010
positions


Belgrade TD

Day has just started, and you are off to sleep.?

:))

tokyo rana 06:53 GMT August 12, 2010
positions

Belgrade TD 06:50 GMT August 12, 2010
dear friend,all go down today maybe europe session maybe usa session..u can see swap point so high today..good night,happy day,

Belgrade TD 06:50 GMT August 12, 2010
positions

obvious that the AUD/JPY will not go down (not so soon), as it is obvious that I am sleepy (at least during typing) ... but we are people and people make mistakes:) ... so well, all in all, I closed the AUD/JPY with ~35p minus (in total) and SP500 at BE so that when they all gather it is some 50-70p gains in a few hours ... and now go to sleep ... GLGT to all :))

hk ooozmeeh 06:46 GMT August 12, 2010
JAPAN FIN MINISTER TO HOLD NEWS CONFERENCE 0830GMT
Reply   
JAPAN FIN MINISTER TO HOLD NEWS CONFERENCE 0830GMT

Saar KaL 06:46 GMT August 12, 2010
eurusd

short gbpjpy and eurjpy
GBPJPY tgt 132

Saar KaL 06:43 GMT August 12, 2010
eurusd

here comes 1.2656
cable heading to 1.5520

short now for both

tokyo rana 06:34 GMT August 12, 2010
Free fall in Yen Crosses

Mysore Kiran Kumar 02:59 GMT August 12, 2010
dear friend,agree with you...but i hope gbpjpy go to 138/140 before go down...happy day,

CALI MJ 06:30 GMT August 12, 2010
positions

Good job Belgrade Knez

Hong Kong 06:25 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/USD Intra-day signal by AceTrader
Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

INTRADAY TRADING SIGNAL BY ACETRADER.COM: EUR/USD
EUR/USD: 1.2911

Late Update At 12 Aug 2010 05:52 GMT

As euro has risen just ahead of European open-
ing after extending y'day's selloff to 1.2830 in
Australia, a firm breach of 1.2914 wud bring stron-
ger retracement of this week's decline to 1.2940/44
b4 prospect of a retreat later.


Exit prev. short as only a firm break of 1.2870
signals intra-day high is made n yields 1.2845/50.

Range Forecast
1.2885 / 1.2825


Resistance/Support
R: 1.2914/1.2948/1.3031
S: 1.2870/1.2830/1.2794

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Belgrade Knez 06:22 GMT August 12, 2010
positions


Belgrade TD

I presume is a typo, just want it to let you know that someone is paying attention. :)

Pozdrav.

Belgrade TD 06:15 GMT August 12, 2010
positions

Belgrade Knez 06:11 GMT August 12, 2010

haha, it's a typo ... it's 1.2872 :))) ... maybe It's time for sleep :)

Belgrade Knez 06:11 GMT August 12, 2010
positions


Belgrade TD

how can you long EU at 1.3272?

Saar KaL 06:11 GMT August 12, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
if eurusd start south from here
it will be bad drop

Belgrade TD 06:00 GMT August 12, 2010
positions

08/12/2010 02:15:35 Belgrade TD 1
long EUR/USD 1.3272
long sp500 ~1082
sell AUD/JPY avg ~76.28
////
closed EUR/USD 1.2915 with ++
another sell AUD/JPY at 76.82 ... ~avg 76.46

Mysore Kiran Kumar 05:58 GMT August 12, 2010
Free fall in Yen Crosses

Every time usd/yen falls, you may find some BOJ official commenting on yen strength which may push this pair higher. What we see now could be for the same reason. I have plans to load shorts below 84.70. May go long on this pair only next week if charts support.

HK [email protected] 05:44 GMT August 12, 2010
To be accurate the key for EUR/USD is 1.2914.
Reply   
If that will be taken or not is the big Q.

tokyo rana 05:41 GMT August 12, 2010
positions

Sell AUDJPY
Entry: 76.54 Target: 75.54 Stop: 77.54

Belgrade TD 05:37 GMT August 12, 2010
dear friend,me to short audjpy eurjpy cadjpy nzdjpy now....
audjpy 76.545 eurjpy 110.05 nzdjpy 60.94 cadjpy 81.61...happy trade,

Belgrade TD 05:37 GMT August 12, 2010
positions

meanwhile another sell on AUD/JPY at 76.53 ...

GVI Forex Blog 04:59 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   

Global Recovery Fears Pressure U.S. Stock Indices

GVI Forex Blog 04:58 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   

Commodity-linked Currencies Fall Sharply Led by Australian Dollar

Belgrade TD 04:53 GMT August 12, 2010
positions

08/12/2010 02:15:35 Belgrade TD 1

let's see
long EUR/USD 1.3272
long EUR/JPY 109.56
long sp500 ~1082
and sell AUD/JPY at 76.02
////
so far EUR/JPY closed with plus ~40p ... looking for AUD/JPY pullback for good exit ...
still tight stop on rest ...

Syd 04:53 GMT August 12, 2010
NZD/USD Rangebound But May Fall To 0.7000-Westpac
Reply   
NZD/USD Rangebound But May Fall To 0.7000-Westpac
NZD/USD hovering around 0.7100-0.7130 mark after trending lower earlier in the day, says Westpac FX strategist Imre Speizer; "It has done a fair amount of selling over the last day or so, so it has just taken a breather." Says market lacking news to put further downward pressure on Kiwi. Pair last at 0.7121 vs 0.7129 early this morning. Still, thinks NZD/USD may fall to 0.7000 in long term, says downward trend evident; "It clearly made a turn last week." Says market now focusing on 2Q NZ retail sales data due out 1045 local time Friday.

Syd 04:45 GMT August 12, 2010
Yen
Reply   
Japan PM Tells Chief Cabinet Secretary FX Moves Are Rough, Reuters Cites Jiji

Hong Kong 04:43 GMT August 12, 2010
Supoort, Resistance and Range Forecast by AceTrader
Reply   
INTRA-DAY USD/JPY:

Last Update At 12 Aug 2010 04:22 GMT

Range Forecast
85.00 / 85.30


Resistance/Support
R: 85.46 / 85.63 / 85.94
S: 84.94 / 84.72 / 84.33

-------------------------------------------------

INTRA-DAY EUR/USD:

Last Update At 12 Aug 2010 04:26 GMT

Range Forecast
1.2860 / 1.2895


Resistance/Support
R: 1.2896/1.2914/1.2948
S: 1.2830/1.2794/1.2732

-------------------------------------------------

INTRA-DAY USD/CHF:

Last Update At 12 Aug 2010 04:29 GMT

Range Forecast
1.0550 / 1.0685


Resistance/Support
R: 1.0603/1.0630/1.0640
S: 1.0555/1.0516/1.0496

-------------------------------------------------


INTRA-DAY GBP/USD:

Last Update At 12 Aug 2010 02:38 GMT

Range Forecast
1.5650 / 1.5685


Resistance/Support
R: 1.5689/1.5710/1.5736
S: 1.5615/1.5597/1.5553

http://www.acetraderfx.com

singapore sara 03:48 GMT August 12, 2010
Free fall in Yen Crosses

MYSORE , kiran kumar, thanks for info.usd/jpy fall to 65 level? if that case , good luck nikkei 225 heading to free fall.

GVI Forex Blog 03:44 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   
The US Equities dived yesterday. The bad news from global central banks and a sudden surge of weak sentiments has led to this "corrective" fall which may not come to an immediate halt.

Morning Briefing : 12-Aug-2010 - 0342 GMT

Belgrade TD 03:01 GMT August 12, 2010
positions

Auckland peat 02:37 GMT August 12, 2010
deal Peat :) ... well, this is not a 'strong' position, just semi-scalping :) ... so anything between 20p~50p are nice profit as we waiting for EU session ...GLGT

Mysore Kiran Kumar 02:59 GMT August 12, 2010
Free fall in Yen Crosses

Sell GBPJPY
Entry: 133.30 Target: 123.30 Stop: 134.30

Sara, never trust federal banks. Market forces always try to move the currency pair in opposite direction of intervention. After intervening at 120+ BOJ intervened again near 100 and see where is Yen now. They may not intervene and let the pair fall to 65. When USD/JPY falls 2000 pips, crosses may fall 5000 pips.

Syd 02:44 GMT August 12, 2010
Slovakia: No Funds for Greece Bailout
Reply   
Slovakia’s parliament rejected the nation’s participation in a loan for Greece, ending the European Union’s unity in handling the sovereign-debt crisis. LINK

singapore sara 02:39 GMT August 12, 2010
Free fall in Yen Crosses

ok bro. like that can short all yen cross? I trap yen cross past few days, hope for BOJ action.

Auckland peat 02:37 GMT August 12, 2010
positions

TD, I'll sell you Eur at 1.3272

Syd 02:37 GMT August 12, 2010
Spanish Crisis Threatens Second Front as Catalonia Rates Rise
Reply   
Spanish Crisis Threatens Second Front as Catalonia Rates Rise
Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero may face a second front in his battle to contain Spain’s fiscal crisis as borrowing costs for the country’s regional governments climb.
Catalonia, which accounts for a fifth of Spanish gross domestic product, has been shut out of public bond markets since March and the extra yield it pays over national government debt has almost tripled this year. Galicia, in the northwest, has asked to freeze payments of debt it owes the central government and the Madrid region postponed a bond sale last month
LINK

Belgrade TD 02:21 GMT August 12, 2010
positions

sp500 long from ~1082
also sell AUD/JPY at 76.02 (just in case JPY free fall)

Belgrade TD 02:15 GMT August 12, 2010
positions
Reply   
let's see
long EUR/USD 1.3272
long EUR/JPY 109.56
long sp500
... tight stop, for next few hours or longer ...

Mysore Kiran Kumar 02:15 GMT August 12, 2010
Free fall in Yen Crosses
Reply   
Sell GBPJPY
Entry: 133.30 Target: 123.30 Stop: 134.30

We will know the YEN and YEN crosses levels in few hours from now. USD/JPY trend is strongly bearish. BOJ could try and keep it above 85. But I still remember how they intervened in 2001 when it was at 120+ and suddenly disappeared and let the pair fall to 100. If something like that can happen, it can happen today. We could see a free fall below 84.70 and one can hold YEN crosses for 500 to 1000 pips profits.

Syd 02:04 GMT August 12, 2010
Aussie Jobless Rise Reflect Rate Hikes - CommSec
Reply   
Rise in Australian unemployment rate in July to 5.3% vs 5.1% more likely due to excessive monetary policy tightening earlier in year, rather than revisions to underlying population assumptions in ABS's July labor force data report, says Craig James, chief economist at CommSec. Says employment a lagging indicator, this reflects weakness in retail, services sector as RBA hiked too aggressively between March-May. Expects RBA board meetings "likely to be dull affairs for the rest of the year."

Syd 01:55 GMT August 12, 2010
Aussie Unemployment Rates Rises; RBA Can Sit Pat
Reply   
Australian unemployment rate rises to 5.3% seasonally-adjusted in July compared with an expected rate of 5.1% (5.1% in June). Data sends AUD/USD into a spin dropping it from around 0.8965 down to a low around 0.8920. Recently at 0.8926. Surprise result may in part be due to revisions of underlying population statistics in the labor force data series, which economists had warned could throw up a surprise for markets. Weakness in full-time employment (down 4,200) nevertheless a worry and could represent a slowing in the job market.

jerusalem kb 01:43 GMT August 12, 2010
nzdchf & audchf

sl to BE & closed 1/3

Syd 01:38 GMT August 12, 2010
Australia Jul Unemployment Rate 5.3%; Consensus 5.1%
Reply   
Australia's unemployment rate rose to a higher-than-expected seasonally adjusted 5.3% in July from 5.1% in June. The number of employed rose 23,500, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said Thursday.

Syd 01:31 GMT August 12, 2010
AUD
Reply   

Australia Participation Rate 65.5%; Consensus 65.2%
Australia Full-Time Employment -4200
Australia Jul Unemployment Rate 5.3%; Consensus 5.1%
Australia Jul Employment +23500; Consensus +20000

GVI Forex Blog 01:26 GMT August 12, 2010 Reply   
USD/CHF (a 4-hour chart of which is shown) as of early Thursday (8/12/2010) Asian session has stalled near the top of a parallel downtrend channel extending back to the early July swing high.

USD/CHF Top of Downtrend Channel

Syd 01:25 GMT August 12, 2010
Weak NZ Data Indicates Only 1 More Rate Hike - DB
Reply   
Deutsche Bank Chief Economist Darren Gibbs; "we think that developments over the past month have strengthened the case for slowing the rate of policy normalisation to the point where we now think that even one more 25 basis point hike on September 16 is a stretch." Adds locally, data flow has been discouraging relative to what has been expected; "the combination of local and offshore data has caused the market to reduce the probability of a 25 basis point hike at the September meeting to 56%, with only 28 basis points of tightening now priced for the remainder of the year." Says if RBNZ doesn't hike, unlikely to restart normalization cycle before end of year.

Hong Kong Qindex 01:21 GMT August 12, 2010
Shanghai Composite : Heading Towards 2458
Reply   
Shanghai Composite : Heading Towards 2458


The market is under pressure when it is below the weekly cycle pivot center at 2606. Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market is trading below the weekly cycle pivot center at 2532. As shown in the monthly cycle charts the current expected trading range is 2410 - 2640. The odds are good that the market will head for 2458 (see the section of long term references for position traders at the bottom of my webpage). The Shanghai Composite is a leading indicator for Hang Seng Index.



Shanghai Composite : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/ssec.html

HK [email protected] 01:12 GMT August 12, 2010
Gold
Reply   
An obvious fact about the last Mkt. move is that gold didn't fall that much with other currencies nor the oil price.
That suppose to happen at least from the fact that losers of the last move will have to liquidate gold to cover for other losses.

Or maybe not too many are gold-long this time, or some inflation expectations may result from the money bursting out of stock market which will weigh later on commodities.

Eur/usd: A major event if it can break above 1.2910 Res. which can bring some stability to the fast decline.

Syd 01:10 GMT August 12, 2010
Australian Inflationary Expectations Decline In August -Melbourne Institute
Reply   
Australian inflationary expectations declined for the fourth straight month in August, according to an industry survey published Thursday. Roughly three weeks after Australia's second-quarter consumer price index report came in below expectations, with a headline inflation rate of 0.6%, the Melbourne Institute Survey of Consumer Inflationary Expectations median expected inflation rate in August declined to 2.8% from 3.3% in July.

jerusalem kb 01:06 GMT August 12, 2010
buy euraud

EURAUD
Entry: Target: Stop:

moved sl to BE on the 2nd long position

Syd 01:05 GMT August 12, 2010
AUD/USD Likely Volatile As Election Race Close-RBS
Reply   
Potential negative for AUD/USD is that Aug. 21 election race coming into its final week next week is neck and neck and the balance of power could be held by a few independents, says Greg Gibbs, FX strategist RBS. Says has also been a negative race that offers little in way of a fresh vision or strong mandate. Adds, change of government to Liberal will involve several significant policy shifts, such as scrapping of mining tax, no plans for an emissions trading scheme, significant shift on broadband communication policy. Adds, while a mining tax scrapping may be viewed as potential positive for mining companies and boost for AUD, change of government creates significant uncertainty. Says a close election result with a few independents controlling the balance will create fear of policy inaction. AUD/USD now 0.8977.

Hong Kong 00:57 GMT August 12, 2010
Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader-12-8-2010
Reply   
Market Review - 11/08/2010 22:07 GMT

Euro tumbles on worries about global economic growth

The single currency tanked against dollar on Wednesday, as stock markets tumbled on worries about global economic recovery, prompting investors to buy safe-haven assets.

The single currency fell sharply from 1.3186 in Asia due to renewed cross selling in euro (eur/jpy tumbled from 112.61 to 109.61) after Tuesday's NY rally from 1.3074 to 1.3228 and tumbled to 1.2989 on renewed risk aversion due to the sharp fall in global stock markets. Later, although euro staged a minor recovery from there on short-covering after the release of U.S. trade deficit, euro extended its selloff on worries about global economy and steep losses in stocks spurred safe-haven demand for the greenback, eur/usd hit an intra-day low of 1.2860 in late NY trading session.

The global stock markets fell sharply on Wednesday and DJI fell by 265 points, or 2.49% to 10378. FTSE-100, CAC-40 and DAX sank by 2.44%, 2.74% and 2.10% respectively. Nikkei-225 also tumbled by 2.70%.

U.S. trade deficit in June rose to 49.90 billion, the highest since October 2008, versus the expectations of 42.00 billion deficit.

The greenback traded under pressure against the Japanese yen in Asia on risk aversion due to the selloff in Asian equities following the previous session's slump from 86.25 to 85.17 and dropped to 84.98 in European morning. Later, although dollar staged a minor recovery after Japanese Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda said he was watching foreign exchange moves extremely carefully but would not comment on possible intervention, the pair then fell briefly to a 15-year low of 84.72 due to the selloff in European and U.S. equities before recovering to 85.46 on short-covering.

Active cross buying in yen pressure the greenback, as aud/jpy and gbp/jpy sank from 78.04 to 76.45 and from 135.52 to 132.85.

Earlier in Asia, the greenback was also under pressured, as China's lower-than-expected industrial production sparked off massive wave of risk aversion activities.

In addition, The New York Federal Reserve said it would buy about 18 billion of Treasury debt in nine operations from August 17 through September 13. The Fed move was aimed at jump-starting a slowing economy and averting deflation.

Japanese Vice Banking Minister Kohei Otsuka said that 'forex rates are at critical juncture now and BOJ will need to act if forex moves have big impact on economy. Forex intervention from Tokyo would have little effect on currency markets and BOJ must work together to prevent rapid yen rise from deepening deflation.'

The British pound fell in Australia and dropped to 1.5770 in Asia on renewed dollar's strength elsewhere except versus the Japanese yen together with the weak U.K. consumer confidence. Later, the British pound fell further to 1.5667 after the release of BOE's quarterly inflation report and then weakened to an intra-day low of 1.5628 in NY morning before stabilising.

The Bank of England said in the report that British inflation would fall to well below its 2% target in two years, even if interest rates remained at their record low. The BOE noted that the prospects were 'highly uncertain' and it was ready to move policy in either direction.

On economic front, U.K. Nationwide consumer confidence in July fell to 56 versus the forecast of 61. U.K. claimant count came in at -3,800 versus the economists' forecast of -16,500, the smallest fall since January. U.K. ILO unemployment rate was 7.8% as widely expected.

Economic data to be released on Thursday include: Australia Employment change, Unemployment rate, Japan Capacity utilisation, Industrial prod'n, Consumer confidence, EU ECB Monthly Report, Industrial prod'n, U.S. Jobless claims, Export price index, Import price index.

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Syd 00:25 GMT August 12, 2010
Talking Numbers: Dollar Base in Place
Reply   
Time to get long in the Greenback, says Mary Ann Bartels, Banc of America Securities-Merrill Lynch.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video
=1564409423&play=1

Syd 00:22 GMT August 12, 2010
Dollar Rallies on China Data
Reply   
Weak economic data out of China is sending investors fleeing to the dollar. Alex Merk, of the Merk Hard Currency Fund, and Marc Chandler, of Brown Brothers Harriman, share their outlooks for the greenback.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video
=1564239391&play=1

Syd 00:14 GMT August 12, 2010
aud
Reply   
NYC RR 00:12 GMT Employment out today here , aud may get a bounce if strong , if flat will be sold into . 11.30 aest

NYC RR 00:12 GMT August 12, 2010
AUD/USD Pullback Looks Like Start Of Correction -NAB

Tks SYD and FF

Hong Kong Qindex 00:05 GMT August 12, 2010
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2658

EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : The current expected trading range from the weekly cycle is 1.2762 - 1.2943 and the mid-point reference between 1.2762 - 1.2943 is 1.2853. The bias is on the downside. Sell on rallies is the preferred trading strategy.

 




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