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Forex Forum Archive for 08/13/2010

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Syd 23:06 GMT August 13, 2010
IMM-Speculators increase net short dollar position-CFTC
Reply   
NEW YORK, Aug 13 (Reuters) - Currency speculators increased
net short dollar positions in the latest week, data from the
Commodity Futures Trading Commission showed on Friday. The value of the dollar's net short position was $17.82
billion in the week ended Aug. 10, up from a net short position
of $15.5 billion in the previous week, according to CFTC and
Reuters data.They increased long positions on the yen, Canadian dollarand Australian dollar. Meanwhile, they cut short positions onthe euro and went long on sterling.

http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN1321546920100813

New Zealand Dollar at Risk of Declines as S&P 500 Turns Lower

The New Zealand Dollar fell sharply against its resurgent US namesake amidst a sharp correction in financial market risk sentiment, and the threat of a positioning unwind leaves the NZDUSD at risk of further short-term pullbacks. We recently wrote that overextended speculative NZD long positions left the pair in danger of losses, and the most recent turn lower in FX Options risk reversals suggests that such a move may very well be underway. A relatively empty week of economic event risk means that the NZD will likely trade off of broader financial market moves, and it will be critical to monitor the trajectory of the US S&P 500 and other key risk barometers.
LINK
Euro Traders will Turn to Financial Troubles with the Bull Spell Broken
LINK

GVI Forex Blog 21:42 GMT August 13, 2010 Reply   
Hoenig ramps up Fed criticism EUR continues lower Japanese up yen rhetoric SNB realizes major H1 loss

Forex Market Commentary and Analysis (13 August 2010)

tokyo rana 21:21 GMT August 13, 2010
eurusd!
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.27575 Target: open Stop: later think

iwill add on every 1000pips drop next maybe or maybe use stops have to think...how dirty markeet last week friday 1.3333 this friday 1.27515 and no bounce at all....but i start to like this pair...look like big drop in jpy pairs and eurusd etc which i donot want...lets see next week...happy weekend to all,

tokyo rana 21:13 GMT August 13, 2010
usd/jpy

aruba tino 20:30 GMT August 13, 2010
dear friend,i hold my positions and i always keep position since i start forex...wat do you mean?which jpy pair u think bullish did u look at audjpy nzdjpy eurjpy daily candle today?how can only usdjpy go up?can u explain me?and for ur kind info forex start australia session...idonot want to be rich and never desire to be rich im simple person...im from middle class family and its fine...

GVI Forex Blog 21:04 GMT August 13, 2010 Reply   

U.S. Equities Trading Flat to Better into Close

GVI Forex Blog 21:03 GMT August 13, 2010 Reply   

Dollar/Yen in Position to Post Weekly Reversal Bottom

aruba tino 20:30 GMT August 13, 2010
usd/jpy

rana, you choose time after time to take the painful side of the banana. enough.

Trade to make money and only so you will get really rich.

GVI Forex Blog 20:16 GMT August 13, 2010 Reply   
18:00 GMT (Global-View.com) Aug 13, 2010 Friday was another strange session. The USD continued to press higher despite data. Early on, German 2Q10 was a stronger than expected 2.2% q/q. German quarterly GDP data is not annualized as is the case for the U.S. The strong German data are being explained away by some as one/off and not being sustainable, The

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- Curious Trade

Syd 20:01 GMT August 13, 2010
Greek Premium to Bunds Jumps to 800 Basis Points for First Time Since June
Reply   
Greek Premium to Bunds Jumps to 800 Basis Points for First Time Since June
The yield premium investors demand to hold Greek 10-year bonds instead of benchmark German debt of similar maturity rose to 800 basis points for the first time since June 28.
The extra yield increased to 805 basis points as of 10:54 a.m. in London. LINK

Syd 19:56 GMT August 13, 2010
CAD Under Pressure Ahead Of US Data
Reply   
CAD is under pressure vs USD Fri a.m. as markets turn cautious ahead of U.S. data. With only second-tier domestic data on the calendar, the Canadian currency is likely to sway on external factors, particularly July U.S. CPI and retail sales. A disappointment in either report could spark a selloff in the growth-sensitive CAD. "From a risk perspective, we've had a few horrible days and the market saw is quite jittery and quite sensitive to disappointment," said Matthew Strauss, at RBC Capital Markets in Toronto.

The long term US dollar bull has returned and there are opportunites to play the move through the Euro and Australian DollarLINK

Syd 19:49 GMT August 13, 2010
USD
Reply   
Kansas City Federal Reserve President Thomas Hoenig Friday said that it will take time for the U.S economy to right itself, and so maintaining an accommodative monetary policy is necessary at this time but that the central bank should set a date for when the tightening cycle will begin. He emphasized that monetary policy cannot solve every problem faced by the United States, and trying to use it as a cure-all, risks a repeat of the cycle of severe recession and unemployment in a few short years by keeping rates too low for too long.
Market News

GVI Forex john 19:45 GMT August 13, 2010

Reply   
DATA
Entry: Target: Stop:

GVI Index: History of long futures positions (weekly change). Range 0 to 100. A reading of 50 means longs and shorts are equal.

Commitment of Traders Report...






















hillegom purk 19:34 GMT August 13, 2010
usd/jpy

Rana San. I am rather good at taking, thinning and adding, the rest is sh... but that is rather good, so i will manage.
Cheers!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

tokyo rana 19:29 GMT August 13, 2010
usd/jpy

hillegom purk 19:26 GMT August 13, 2010
dear friend,as you likes do just use tight stops...happy weekend,

hillegom purk 19:26 GMT August 13, 2010
usd/jpy

Well Rana San, even better and i trust you will make lotsa money!!!!!!!!. I will take anything below 86 and 85, and i welcome your levels to long.
Have a nice weekend and i wish that you live long and do the good thing!
Cheers

tokyo rana 19:19 GMT August 13, 2010
usd/jpy

hillegom purk 19:08 GMT August 13, 2010
dear friend,honestly it will not make even 90..max i see 87/88 in case in case rise even honestly idonot think make 87..please forgive me 80/75/70/65 looks very very nice right now...if you donot trust me its ok...next summer 2011 maybe little up...untill march lets short...happy day,

hillegom purk 19:08 GMT August 13, 2010
usd/jpy

we aint seen nothing yet for this nice pair, other than the fact that we can take more and more positions before it goes to the before mentioned levels ending at 100.00000000000
Have a nice weekend all, the average is now 86,34 closed out a bundle, keeping a few.
Chirp...

GVI Forex Blog 18:10 GMT August 13, 2010 Reply   
EUR/USD (a daily chart of which is shown) as of Friday (8/13/2010) has just reached down to touch a key uptrend support line extending from the very beginning of the currency pair’s

EUR/USD Technical Overview and Outlook

Jeddah Abb 17:49 GMT August 13, 2010
eur/chf

thank you and good week end

Lahore FM 17:40 GMT August 13, 2010
eur/chf

Abb,a return to 1.3660 /1.3720 window is likely start to mid week next week.over all still greatly depressed.might fail to go higher above these two levels and start a new low in coming weeks thereafter.

Jeddah Abb 17:34 GMT August 13, 2010
eur/chf
Reply   
EURCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

Lahore Fm ,Bern DS ...or any other forum member, your view for Eur/chf for coming days is very apreciated
thanks

Hong Kong Qindex 17:04 GMT August 13, 2010
DJIA : Critical Support 9548
Reply   
DJIA : Critical Support 9548



As shown in the monthly cycle charts the market can easily move between 10003 - 10505. The bias is on the downside when the market is below 10413. Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market downward trending momentum is strong enough to penetrate through 10003. A critical supporting point is located at 9548.



DJIA : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/djia.html



tokyo rana 17:02 GMT August 13, 2010
Next Targets

Ath. L.K. 16:40 GMT August 13, 2010
dear friend,eurusd and usdjpy 4h chart is not matching ur targets..but possible ur right,happy day,

GVI Forex john 16:51 GMT August 13, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support


The Daily Forex View

Curious Trade

18:00 GMT (Global-View.com) Aug 13, 2010  Friday was another strange session. The USD continued to press higher despite data. Early on, German 2Q10 was a stronger than expected 2.2% q/q. German quarterly GDP data is not annualized as is the case for the U.S.  

MORE



Ath. L.K. 16:40 GMT August 13, 2010
Next Targets
Reply   
Next targets for early next week:
EUR/USD 1.2515
USD/JPY 88.00
USD/CHF 1.0750
GBP/USD 1.5380

Happy weekend!!!

Gen dk 16:36 GMT August 13, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Frisco ZEUS 16:15 GMT August 13, 2010
1.2777Zeus came!

Frisco ZEUS 14:58 GMT August 13, 2010

1.2777ZEUS...Lucky coin toss?!!!!

Happy Day amigos!

Frisco ZEUS 16:12 GMT August 13, 2010
usd/jpy

HK [email protected] 15:56 GMT August 13, 2010

When I say Frisco, I mean BIG, as in TEXAS SIZE.

When you think of the good ole days with a Tommy gun and cigar, you can witness it today with Obama and Chicago style shakedowns i.e. GM bondholders lawlessly mowed down in the streets to protect the "owned" unions or BP with the summary execution $20 billion "PAY NOW or lose the shop" demand.
otherwise-

Happy Day!

Tonbridge AL 16:05 GMT August 13, 2010
Videos
Reply   
Click here to see the Euro and Cable Weekly Setup Videos

Lahore FM 16:03 GMT August 13, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy USDCAD
Entry: 1.0367 Target: 1.0500 Stop: raised sl to 1.0350

08/13/2010 07:23:44 FM Lahore 7

Buy USDCAD
Entry: 1.0367 Target: Stop: 1.0330
bought.
--
sl amended and target made.

tokyo rana 16:02 GMT August 13, 2010
jpy!

perfect position eurusd start going up usdjpy start going down again not bad idea..happy day,

tokyo rana 16:01 GMT August 13, 2010
jpy!

remember that last friday eurusd made 3/4 months high 1.333 and usdjpy made 15years low 86.04 usdjpy just went 30pips below last fridays low and eurusd even did not touch fridays high again...ithink risk reward no problem trading any time as long ur ready for do some thing....i hope this help..happy day,

HK [email protected] 15:56 GMT August 13, 2010
usd/jpy

Frisco ZEUS 15:05 GMT August 13, 2010

When you say or write FRISCO, do you have at least a cigar in your mouth and Tomi gun on hand?

Nice to remember those ole' gangster movies.

tokyo rana 15:41 GMT August 13, 2010
jpy!

look like eurusd not bottom yet and usdjpy not topped yet but max another 30 to 80pips if go...happy day,

tokyo rana 15:38 GMT August 13, 2010
jpy!

Boston RS 15:34 GMT August 13, 2010
dear friend,not so heavy donot worry...im sorry to make u worry...just tellme wat is ur view on this trade?stops 100 to 150pips....im very silly shorting usd against euro and jpy..and short gbp eur against jpy...later maybe short jpy too...happy day,

Boston RS 15:34 GMT August 13, 2010
jpy!

Rana to be honest I cannot figure out what you are doing and no idea why you would put anything on heavy ahead of a weekend. gl

tokyo rana 15:29 GMT August 13, 2010
jpy!

Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.27575 Target: open Stop: 150pips

cannot wait just bought heavly...happy day,

tokyo rana 15:24 GMT August 13, 2010
jpy!

Boston RS 15:22 GMT August 13, 2010
dear friend,wat do you mean?ihave stops 100pips eurusd and usdjpy both are swing trades,eurjpy gbpjpy intraday,happy day,

Boston RS 15:22 GMT August 13, 2010
jpy!

Either the BoJ was sniffing around or more likely someone was caught short at the end of the week.

tokyo rana 15:20 GMT August 13, 2010
jpy!

Sell GBPJPY
Entry: 134.575 Target: open Stop: open

small short iwill add incase any rise also hold eurjpy short from 110.775...eurusd long entry at 1.2733 now..happy day,

GVI Forex Blog 15:08 GMT August 13, 2010 Reply   
Aug 13 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: The Far East will see Japanese GDP early Monday. In Europe, Eurozone CPI (HICP) data are due. In North America, the Empire PMI, Monthly TIC flows and the NAHB index are slated.

GVI Forex- Data Outlook for Aug 16, 2010

GVI Forex Blog 15:06 GMT August 13, 2010 Reply   
US equity indices are flat this morning despite a dose of moderately better economic data. The preliminary August University of Michigan confidence data met expectations and showed a slight gain over the final July number.

Forex Blog - US Market Update (Trade the News)

GVI Forex john 15:06 GMT August 13, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

 

Aug 13 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: The Far East will see Japanese GDP early Monday. In Europe, Eurozone CPI (HICP) data are due. In North America, the Empire PMI, Monthly TIC flows and the NAHB index are slated.

 

 

 

SUNDAY

 

 

23:50

JA

GDP pa 2Q10r

2.30%

5.00%

 

 

MONDAY

 

 

9:00

EZ

HICP x-f&e yy Jul

1.00%

0.90%

9:00

EZ

HICP yy Jul

1.70%

1.40%

12:30

US

Empire PMI Aug

5

5.1

14:00

US

TIC data Jun

n/a

n/a

14:00

US

NAHB Index Aug

15

14

 

 


Frisco ZEUS 15:05 GMT August 13, 2010
usd/jpy

This Mr Purkson seems inspired and enlightened.
Something to pay attention to IMVHO

Happy Day!

london jpy 15:01 GMT August 13, 2010
jpy!

Is there any boj rumours?

Frisco ZEUS 14:58 GMT August 13, 2010
1.2777Zeus came!

Perhaps can now accumulate for a scalp towards 1.2777ZEUS

tokyo rana 14:55 GMT August 13, 2010
jpy!

Sell USDJPY
Entry: 86.255 Target: open Stop: 100pips

finaly sold........happy day,

tokyo rana 14:53 GMT August 13, 2010
1.2777Zeus came!

Frisco ZEUS 14:50 GMT August 13, 2010
agree friend...next maybe also 1.27777/1.37777Zeus....lets see...happy day,

Frisco ZEUS 14:50 GMT August 13, 2010
1.2777Zeus came!

EUR/USD 1.2777ZEUS will come again.

Cheers!

hillegom purk 14:48 GMT August 13, 2010
usd/jpy

range only 60- on the thing. Looks like a small swing. Only long side i will play.
Going to get more German Wurst!

tokyo rana 14:47 GMT August 13, 2010
jpy!
Reply   
Sell USDJPY
Entry: 86.25 Target: open Stop: 87.25

iwill short usd against jpy and euro....eurusd buy 1.27055 ihave entries here...ithink this news bring down
USD Fed's Thomas Hoenig Speaks in Lincoln, Nebraska...ithink jpy still rise....happy trade,

hillegom purk 14:43 GMT August 13, 2010
usd/jpy

Closed the last 85,65 at 86,04..
New average at 86,26.
I will keep on adding and thinning and adding and whatever it takes to make pips on this thing.

nyc ws 14:42 GMT August 13, 2010
Que Pasa?

Nada. No news, stocks are steady, euro got slammed against everything but seemed eurchf led. Thin friday move.

GVI Forex Blog 14:40 GMT August 13, 2010 Reply   
Currency markets can be moody. Immediately after the release of the weak US labour market report last Friday, EUR-USD rose by 1.5 cents to over 1.33. But after the Open Market Committee decided that, given the disappointing economic recovery, the proceeds from maturing agency bonds and mortgage-backed securities held by the Fed should be used to purchase additional Treasury bonds, the euro began to lose ground. On Thursday, EUR-USD dropped below 1.28, and was around this level towards the end of the week. USD-JPY fell to a 15-year low of 84.73 initially, but then recovered to just under 86.

FX Briefing - Growth fears weigh on euro (BHF Bank)

GVI Forex Blog 14:37 GMT August 13, 2010 Reply   
AUD/USD (a 4-hour chart of which is shown) as of Friday (8/13/2010) morning has formed what could potentially be an inverted flag pattern

AUD/USD Potential Flag Pattern

LA LA 14:32 GMT August 13, 2010
Que Pasa?
Reply   
Any news? Que pasa to el euro????

GVI Forex Blog 14:21 GMT August 13, 2010 Reply   

Stocks Trading Lower Ahead of Key U.S. Economic Reports

GVI Forex Blog 14:19 GMT August 13, 2010 Reply   

Euro Rallies on Upbeat German Economic News; Will Japan Intervene?

Belgrade TD 14:02 GMT August 13, 2010
S&P 500 (/ES)

08/13/2010 12:23:59 Belgrade TD 1
bought small at ~1075 ... intraday US session ... stop & target latter
///
closed at 1082 with $7+ ... looking for another long on lower price

Dubai SAS 14:01 GMT August 13, 2010
Buy AUDCAD
Reply   
Buy AUDCAD
Entry: 0.9315 Target: Open Stop: 0.9200

Long Now ...

tokyo rana 13:40 GMT August 13, 2010
Hello

Enugu cossy 13:22 GMT August 13, 2010
for cadjpy look at usdjpy direction is almost same weekly range 85/81 long term going down intraday maybe nice short..but u can short or long bcoz range is 81/85 price can come same level in few days...400pips range long term short 84/85 good target 1500/2000pips but need time if u can wait jan 2010 sometimes now consiliadation 400pips...happy day,

hillegom purk 13:37 GMT August 13, 2010
Hello

SO, now you have 2 opinions, it is yours to pick...

tokyo rana 13:35 GMT August 13, 2010
Hello

Enugu cossy 13:22 GMT August 13, 2010
ithink eurusd is buy between 1.269/1278 nice support here maybe go for another high stop loss at ur will...happy day

Mtl JP 13:29 GMT August 13, 2010
Hello

cossy euro is probably heading towards 1.30x level.
stoploss against 1.2775

I defer cadyen

hillegom purk 13:27 GMT August 13, 2010
Hello

Thanks to you too!

Enugu cossy 13:22 GMT August 13, 2010
Hello
Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

hello, please i think i need an assistance of anyone who can tell me more about the EURO/USD pair and the CAD/JPY.It's really giving me a hard time to figure out. I'll be glad to hear from you thanks

London Beatrice 13:15 GMT August 13, 2010
Led Zepplin

Have a good vuvuzuela waxing weekend ,,,and remember Tino,,,,,its more fun to be the waxor rather than the waxee......

aruba tino 12:58 GMT August 13, 2010
Led Zepplin

1.2680 and then look further. Good weekend

Lahore FM 12:55 GMT August 13, 2010
Trade Ideas

NZ OT 10:40 GMT August 13, 2010

Auckland peat 10:55 GMT August 13, 2010

thanx gentlemen.cheers!

GVI Forex john 12:47 GMT August 13, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



ECONOMIC DATA CHART
Entry: Target: Stop:

Advance retail sales nothing to write home about...

GVI Forex john 12:46 GMT August 13, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



ECONOMIC DATA CHART
Entry: Target: Stop:

CPI in line...

Saar KaL 12:46 GMT August 13, 2010
wont trade for a few days

Oh Man
Eating Lentils w/ No Rice
Is Like having a Cigar with no Light
added short EURUSD
hehehe

Spotforex NY 12:44 GMT August 13, 2010
Led Zepplin

My HMS Titantic indicator just registered that same sinking feeling

Lahore FM 12:44 GMT August 13, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 0.9020 Target: Stop: 0.9030 FOR 1/2

08/13/2010 07:24:27 FM Lahore 4

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 0.9020 Target: Stop: 0.9080
sold.
--
closed half at 0.8973 now stops lowered.

dc CB 12:37 GMT August 13, 2010
Led Zepplin
Reply   
Easily the most feared technical pattern in all of chartism (for the bullishly inclined) is the dreaded Hindenburg Omen

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/hindenburg-omen-here

Saar KaL 12:30 GMT August 13, 2010
wont trade for a few days

Long Small Nikki
will stay a while

GVI Forex john 12:29 GMT August 13, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

S&P futures leading EURUSD correlation trades are on.

Saar KaL 12:27 GMT August 13, 2010
wont trade for a few days

Hip Hop Maybe?

tokyo rana 12:25 GMT August 13, 2010
1.2777Zeus came!

anyone short or long eurjpy gbpjpy or eurusd?happy day,

Frisco ZEUS 12:25 GMT August 13, 2010
1.2777Zeus came!

Roger that! Core shorts offloaded and bounty claimed.

Happy Day!

Saar KaL 12:25 GMT August 13, 2010
wont trade for a few days
Reply   
Guys
I will not trade for a few days
Got this Poem to write Music to


Blues sound ok?
Major Market for it Guys
here it is

My nookie days are over,
My pilot light is out.
What used to be my sex appeal,
Is now my water spout.

Time was when, on its own accord,
From my trousers it would spring.
But now I've got a full time job,
To find the bloody thing.

It used to be embarrassing,
The way it would behave.
For every single morning,
It would stand and watch me shave.

Now as old age approaches,
It sure gives me the blues.
To see it hang its little head,
And watch me tie my shoes!!

Frisco ZEUS 12:25 GMT August 13, 2010
1.2777Zeus came!

Roger that! Core shorts offloaded and bounty claimed.

Happy Day!

GVI Forex john 12:24 GMT August 13, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



ECONOMIC DATA CHART
Entry: Target: Stop:

Earlier EZ 2Q10 GDP as expected.

Belgrade TD 12:23 GMT August 13, 2010
S&P 500 (/ES)
Reply   
bought small at ~1075 ... intraday US session ... stop & target latter

GVI Forex Blog 12:11 GMT August 13, 2010 Reply   
Dollar-Swiss honoured the Support at 1.0500-480 and came up in the European session today.

FX Thoughts for the day : 13-Aug-2010 - 1209 GMT

hillegom purk 11:43 GMT August 13, 2010
usd/jpy

closing 1 at 85,77, no patience, maybe the other, consider this thin thinning...

tokyo rana 11:39 GMT August 13, 2010
1.2777Zeus came!

and bouncing

tokyo rana 11:37 GMT August 13, 2010
1.2777Zeus came!
Reply   
congratulations again...happy day

GVI Forex john 11:35 GMT August 13, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Data @ 12:30 GMT

U.S. Retail Sales

Retail Sales are usually a broad measure of the retail sale of consumer durable and non-durables. It is used by analysts to gauge the strength of consumer consumption.

IMPACT: In most economies, the consumer sector is the largest sector of the economy. Central banks watch retail sales to measure the strength of the economy.


U.S. Consumer Price Index
The CPI is an index designed to measure the change in price of a fixed market basket of goods and services. The market basket of goods and services is representative of the purchases of a typical consumer. Most countries have an alternate measure of inflation where they exclude volatile items, such as food and energy, to arrive at a measure of underlying inflation. Colloquially, this is usually referred to as “core” inflation. Core inflation can be a useful analytical tool.

Many Central banks explicitly target inflation levels. An acceleration or deceleration of inflation may signal that a change in monetary policy might be appropriate.


GVI Forex john 11:15 GMT August 13, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

USDJPY pivot = 85.62 (close to current spot)
Resistance 1 = 86.21 (HOD 86.29)
Support 1 = 85.20 (85.00 Japan line in the sand)

GVI Forex john 11:11 GMT August 13, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Despite all the hoopla about German GDP today, the EURUSD is below its 1.2847 pivot. Keep an eye on that point as it will set the tone of the markets.

Support 1 = 1.2763
Resistance 1 = 1.2913 (HOD so far 1.2906).

Wide neutral range today.

GVI Forex john 11:00 GMT August 13, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

LATEST PIVOT POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Pivots	EUR/USD	USD/JPY	USD/CHF	GBP/USD	USD/CAD
Res 3	1.3063	87.38	1.0737	1.5826	1.0545
Res 2	1.2997	86.71	1.0677	1.5771	1.0520
Res 1	1.2913	86.29	1.0587	1.5673	1.0472
					
Pivot	1.2847	85.62	1.0527	1.5618	1.0447
					
Sup 1	1.2763	85.20	1.0437	1.5520	1.0399
Sup 2	1.2697	84.53	1.0377	1.5465	1.0374
Sup 3	1.2613	84.11	1.0287	1.5367	1.0326

Pivots	EUR/GBP	EUR/JPY	EUR/CHF	AUD/USD
Res 3	0.8327	112.63	1.3811	0.9095
Res 2	0.8297	111.77	1.3739	0.9051
Res 1	0.8265	110.96	1.3604	0.9003		
				
Pivot	0.8235	110.10	1.3532	0.8959

Sup 1	0.8203	109.29	1.3397	0.8911
Sup 2	0.8173	108.43	1.3325	0.8867
Sup 3	0.8141	107.62	1.3190	0.8819

GVI Forex john 10:58 GMT August 13, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



Auckland peat 10:55 GMT August 13, 2010
Trade Ideas

Seconding OT on that got both those myself.
thanks for that FM , quick pips are good pips.

NZ OT 10:40 GMT August 13, 2010
Trade Ideas

Great calls on AUDUSD and USDCAD. Timing was superb and I had no hesitation following you into the trades. Taken some profit and looks like more to come. Thanks FM!

Gen dk 10:38 GMT August 13, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

London Misha 10:35 GMT August 13, 2010
Observations
Reply   
EURUSD - Possible Bullish Doji on the Daily Chart.
USDJPY - Follow on from possible Bullish Hammer on the Daily Chart.
GBPUSD - Possible Bullish Intverted Hammer on the Daily Chart. Nearing Long MA support.
USDCHF - Bearish Harami on the Daily Chart. Nearing Long MA resistance.
EURGBP - Possible Bullish Tweezer Bottom on the Daily Chart.
EURJPY - Possible Bullish Tweezer Bottom on the Daily Chart.
USDCAD - Two Day Reversal Down on the Daily Chart.
AUDUSD - Possible Bullish Doji on the Daily Chart.

hillegom purk 10:18 GMT August 13, 2010
usd/jpy
Reply   
after thinning comes adding: 85,65 first. 2 positions. long.

Saar KaL 10:15 GMT August 13, 2010
doing this today

more here

Funny Nikki a Buy


Nikki Buy 9,245.31 9,044.83
DAX Hold 6,211.73 6,058.55
FTSE Hold 5,313.29 5,180.50
NDX Hold 1,846.03 1,805.31

hillegom purk 10:14 GMT August 13, 2010
Err euro just lost 80 pips, who writes these blogs?

GVI Forex Blog 10:10 GMT August 13, 2010 Reply   
The euro rallied in relief on Friday when data showed Germany's economy grew more than expected in the second quarter, but concerns about weaker economies on the euro zone periphery could weigh on any rebound.

FOREX NEWS - Euro rises on robust German GDP but wary

Gen dk 10:02 GMT August 13, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

YVR MAXXIM 10:00 GMT August 13, 2010
picoté, meaning 'marked with points'.



Sell GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Lines

GVI Forex Blog 09:51 GMT August 13, 2010 Reply   
Better German and French GDP data helped the EUR/USD to test above the 1.29 level during the early part of the session. However, some doubts persisted that such a positive pace could be maintained during the H2 part of the year as highlighted by comments from the German DIHK Chambers of Commerce.

European Market Update: Hong Kong GDP data offsets 'terrific' European growth statistics (Trade the News)

GVI Forex Blog 09:48 GMT August 13, 2010 Reply   
10:00 GMT (Global-View.com) Aug 13, 2010 German 2Q10 was a stronger than expected 2.2% q/q today. Keep in mind their quarterly GDP data is not annualized as is the case for the U.S. The strong German data are being explained away by some as not being sustainable, The strong German figures gave EZ GDP a lift.

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- Active Trade

GVI Forex john 09:43 GMT August 13, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support


The Daily Forex View

Active Trade

10:00 GMT (Global-View.com) Aug 13, 2010  German 2Q10 was a stronger than expected 2.2% q/q today. Keep in mind their quarterly GDP data is not annualized 

MORE



HK [email protected] 09:42 GMT August 13, 2010
German economy surges 2.2% in quarter
Reply   
German economy surges 2.2% in quarter
By Stanley Pignal, FT.com
August 13, 2010 -- Updated 0717 GMT (1517 HKT)

(FT) -- Germany on Friday reasserted itself as the economic growth engine of the eurozone, after gross domestic product expanded at a stellar 2.2 percent rate in the second quarter compared with the previous three months.

Buoyant exports, aided by a decline in the value of the euro, helped Europe's largest economy post its fastest expansion since reunification in 1991, equivalent to an annualised rate of more than 8 per cent.

France also exceeded market expectations, albeit more modestly, with a 0.6 per cent rise in GDP growth for the period. It doubled its estimate of first-quarter growth to 0.2 per cent.

"Superman is wearing black, red and gold this year, Germany's national colours," said Carsten Brzeski at ING, but warned: "At some stage he'll become Clark Kent again. The economy can't keep growing at this rate."

Germany's Federal Statistics Office also raised its estimate of seasonally-adjusted first-quarter growth to 0.5 per cent, up 0.3 percentage points.

GDP figures for most eurozone member states are expected later on Friday, with economists forecasting growth in the region of 0.7 per cent in the three months to the end of June.

In the same period, US growth slowed to 0.6 per cent quarter-on-quarter, and Britain's GDP expanded 1.1 per cent using Eurostat's methodology.

But a sanguine headline figure in the eurozone is likely to conceal deep cracks within the 16-member currency bloc.

In contrast to Germany, the region's so-called "peripheral" economies -- including Greece, Ireland, Spain and Portugal -- struggled notably in the second quarter, which was defined by soaring sovereign debt yields in the wake of the Greek bail-out.

Preliminary figures on Thursday showed Greek GDP falling 1.5 per cent in the second quarter, the seventh consecutive period of contraction. Italy grew at 0.4 per cent, but Spain is forecast to grow at perhaps half that rate.

The rest of the eurozone is not much brighter: Germany alone accounts for the bulk of the expected rise in growth across the entire eurozone.

Nevertheless, if the bloc's GDP growth meets market expectations, it will mark the first quarter since the start of the downturn that the bloc has grown at a rate much higher than 1.5 per cent a year -- its average since the single currency was founded in 1999.

That is also the point at which the bloc starts to create jobs, according to labour market experts. Unemployment in the eurozone has been stable at 10 per cent in the last few months but has yet to experience a meaningful decline.

The last two quarters have seen quarter-on-quarter growth well beneath that figure, partly because unusually harsh weather in Germany hampered economic activity.

But few expect the heady rate of growth during the second quarter to be carried through to the end of the year.

Gen dk 09:38 GMT August 13, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

tokyo rana 09:34 GMT August 13, 2010
stay swing

Saar KaL 09:31 GMT August 13, 2010
ithink eurusd buy 1.273/1.2780 still safe trade,idonot think dollar is bullish just up and down....happy day

Saar KaL 09:31 GMT August 13, 2010
stay swing
Reply   
expected avg Highs and lows for next week

staying Bullish usd is a good idea

eurusd 1.2744 1.2606

Cable 1.5274 1.5104

audusd 0.8813 0.8694

usdchf 1.0718 1.0603

tokyo rana 09:29 GMT August 13, 2010
jpy

this move iwas expecting..happy day

Gen dk 09:28 GMT August 13, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

HK [email protected] 09:20 GMT August 13, 2010
SWISS
Reply   
ZURICH, July 13 (Reuters) - Swiss producer and import prices
posted the first monthly drop in four months on Tuesday but
economists said the data was unlikely to prompt the Swiss
central bank to start selling francs for euros again.

The Swiss National Bank last month dropped its pledge to
intervene in foreign exchange markets, saying deflation risks
had disappeared for the time being.

However, figures published by the Federal Statistics Office
on Tuesday showed that while producer and import prices rose 0.9
percent in June from a year ago, they were 0.4 percent down from
the previous month.

"These numbers don't show deflation developments," Thomas
Herrmann, an economist at Credit Suisse, said.

"We think, given the relatively good economic recovery,
which is weakening but nevertheless continuing, that the SNB
wants to get away from its policy of foreign exchange
interventions."
....
Swissmem, the machine and electrical industry lobby, has
warned the stronger currency could hamper exports. But a Credit
Suisse study of small and medium-sized companies released on
Tuesday showed the prospects for exports should remain
favourable in the coming months.

Credit Suisse said foreign demand for Swiss products was at
a positive level not seen since mid-2008 and that 50 percent of
the small and medium-sized businesses questioned expected a rise
in exports in the third quarter.

(Reporting by Catherine Bosley, Editing by Lin Noueihed)

Syd 09:20 GMT August 13, 2010
Does German Growth Feed on PIGS Weakness?
Reply   
While German gross domestic product growth hit its highest level since re-unification, the rest of Europe is struggling to keep pace with the highly productive euro-zone engine.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/38687335

Can German Growth Continue?
Strong economic growth in Germany is unlikely to continue, Peter Toogood from Old Broad Street Research told CNBC Friday. "There's going to be a lot of noise for the next six months… most managers are reacting by doing very, very little," Toogood said.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video
=1565493567&play=1

Syd 09:14 GMT August 13, 2010
HK Govt: May Take More Measures To Contain Home Prices If Needed
Reply   
HK Government: Top Priority Is To Reduce Property Bubble Risks
HK Government: Outlook Of External Environment Turns More Uncertain

Saar KaL 09:12 GMT August 13, 2010
doing this today

GBPNZD...very fresh crash on way
it just doing Yoga now...for the big dive
Placed lots of short orders
around 2.2020
to 2.2089
I think this is it's last leg North
heading to 2.04 area
Lots of big ones guys

Saar KaL 09:06 GMT August 13, 2010
doing this today

Great...at least 2 agree...
fm too i think

HK [email protected] 09:04 GMT August 13, 2010
DATA
Reply   

EURO-ZONE GDP Q2 (QoQ) COMES IN AT 1.0% BEATING EXPECTATIONS FOR 0.7% AND SHOWING MARKED IMPROVEMENT FROM Q1'S 0.2% EXPANSION


Dar es salaam FJ 09:04 GMT August 13, 2010
Anybody has a comment

Sorry i mix up with Euro zone GDP

Namaimo James 09:01 GMT August 13, 2010
EUR/USD CHF

What up coming data are you referring to? THX

Lahore FM 08:47 GMT August 13, 2010
Anybody has a comment

there is no upcoming news directly for cable...at least for today i think.

Dar es salaam FJ 08:38 GMT August 13, 2010
Anybody has a comment
Reply   
GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

About the coming new on cable if you have any insight may you please share

HK [email protected] 08:31 GMT August 13, 2010
EUR/USD CHF
Reply   
Behaving as if the coming data is very bad.

Porto Cubriclas 08:17 GMT August 13, 2010
doing this today

Hello Kal!
We are very similar on EURUSD and AUDUSD targets.
GT & GL

Syd 07:58 GMT August 13, 2010
Peak Of Good News For AUD - UBS
Reply   
The AUD may have gained last week as Australia posted a record trade surplus on the back of strong coal and iron ore demand from China. But, says UBS, this may be the peak of the good news. "Buying coal and iron ore is not the same thing as using it, and there are signs that China's inventories of raw materials and finished goods alike are beginning to rise even as leading indicators point to weaker growth," the bank warns.

tokyo rana 07:56 GMT August 13, 2010
jpy

Sell USDJPY
Entry: 86.25 Target: open Stop: 87.25

i closed all positions plus minus zero...now planing to short usdjpy heavly....or buy eurusd 1.2733/1.2777...or short eurusd 1.29.35 or buy gbpjpy 132 or eurjpy 108......lets see...if nothing is come to my entries iwill be sideline....iwill do one of these trades,happy day

Syd 07:29 GMT August 13, 2010
Wildfires Near Russian Nuclear Center Grow In Size -Officials
Reply   
MOSCOW (AFP)--Wildfires raging close to Russia's main nuclear research center have grown in size and emergency services are working round the clock to contain the blaze, officials said on Friday.

Lahore FM 07:24 GMT August 13, 2010
Trade Ideas

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 0.9020 Target: Stop: 0.9080

sold.

Lahore FM 07:23 GMT August 13, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy USDCAD
Entry: 1.0367 Target: Stop: 1.0330

bought.

Syd 07:23 GMT August 13, 2010
AUD, NZD, CAD To Fall In Coming Weeks - CBA
Reply   
A play in forex markets to be long both commodity currencies, such as AUD, NZD, CAD, and long safe-havens, such as JPY and CHF, has to break soon, with commodity currencies likely to break lower, says Joseph Capurso, currency strategist with Commonwealth Bank of Australia. "Equity markets will soften and risk currencies will fall away, leaving the Aussie, Kiwi and CAD falling away for the next little while. But that doesn't mean I think the Aussie is doomed," says Capurso. AUD/USD recently at 0.9023, up from 0.8974 late yesterday, with Capurso tipping support at 0.8800 should decline begin.

BERN DS 07:18 GMT August 13, 2010
Thanks Rana
Reply   
Thanks Rana for good advice. will follow then long term.

NZ OT 07:13 GMT August 13, 2010
GBP/USD
Reply   
Did the cable just break out of the channel on the 1hr chart? Nikkei closed positive today. NZD/USD and AUD/USD both up, as is EUR/USD...

tokyo rana 07:09 GMT August 13, 2010
VERY STRANGE FEELING !

BERN DS 07:01 GMT August 13, 2010
dear friend,its very dirty markeet intraday...long term its clear...intraday cannot predict 200 pips up than 200pips or oposite...lets see...happy day,

BERN DS 07:01 GMT August 13, 2010
VERY STRANGE FEELING !
Reply   
Just seeing , that there is obviously a huge consensus out there... USDJPY lower... no intervention... even some Big american banks see it like that... good lord... FX cannot be that easy, can it `? my black swan intraday thinking tells me something...??? gl gt to all

HK [email protected] 06:48 GMT August 13, 2010
The HERD anthem for today is SELL USD/YEN
Reply   
Interesting to watch the results.

Saar KaL 06:19 GMT August 13, 2010
doing this today
Reply   

EURUSD Sell 1.2924 1.2755
GBPUSD Sell 1.5733 1.5485
USDCHF Buy 1.0626 1.0445
USDJPY Buy 86.34 84.90
GBPJPY Hold 135.02 132.53
NZDUSD Hold 0.7171 0.7030
GBPAUD Buy 1.7581 1.7269
GBPNZD Sell 2.2160 2.1761
SP500 Sell 1,090.68 1,072.24
GBPCHF Sell 1.6627 1.6266
AUDUSD Sell 0.9039 0.8884
USDCAD Hold 1.0543 1.0359
EURJPY Buy 110.90 109.13
OIL Hold 77.96 74.77
GBPCAD Sell 1.6439 1.6130
Gold Sell 1,223.78 1,195.52

Hong Kong 06:14 GMT August 13, 2010
EUR/USD Intra-day signal by AceTrader
Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

INTRADAY TRADING SIGNAL BY ACETRADER.COM: EUR/USD
EUR/USD: 1.2874

Late Update At 13 Aug 2010 05:50 GMT

Euro has risen again after a brief pullback fm
Asian morning high at 1.2868 to 1.2852, suggesting
nr term rise fm y'day's low at 1.2780 wud now head
to 1.2900, however, as this move is seen as retrace
ment of early fall fm 1.3334, res 1.2933 shud hold.

Raise long entry for this move with stop as indi
cated n only below 1.2821 confirms recovery over.

Range Forecast
1.2860 / 1.2890


Resistance/Support
R: 1.2900/1.2933/1.2954
S: 1.2852/1.2821/1.2780

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Syd 05:52 GMT August 13, 2010
Irish Banks Rattling Nerves Again
Reply   
LONDON—Less than a month after stress tests calmed concerns about the health of European banks, new problems in the Irish banking sector are making investors nervous once again. Earlier this week, Ireland received European Commission approval for an additional €10 billion ($13 billion) in capital for state-owned Anglo Irish Bank, on top of the €14.3 billion the government has already injected into the bank. On Wednesday, Bank of Ireland, 36%-owned by the government, reported a pretax first-half loss nearly twice as big as its loss a year earlier. LINK

Syd 05:49 GMT August 13, 2010
Japan's MOF Unlikely To Intervene In FX Mkts-Citi
Reply   
Japan's ministry of finance unlikely to intervene in FX markets, says Citigroup, even though government appears to have heightened vigilance on JPY strength. Notes 2 psychological hurdles - "First, they probably think that other industrialized counties, especially the U.S., are seeking weaker currencies in order to support their economies and prevent deflation and that the currency intervention might be problematic in this context." Also, MoF likely believes currency intervention is difficult when international community is pushing China to increase CNY flexibility.

The yen may dip to a low of 82.83 against the dollar, believes Robert Rennie, currency strategist at Westpac Bank, Australia, adding that chances of intervention will be higher once that happens but the impact will be limited. He shares his views with CNBC's Kaori Enjoji and Martin Soong.
LINK

Syd 05:45 GMT August 13, 2010
AUD/USD Classical 08.13
Reply   

AUD/USD: A nasty market reversal on Wednesday has confirmed our bearish bias and should now open additional declines over the coming days and weeks back towards the 0.8400-0.8600 at a minimum before the possibility for a resumption of gains. The market has now traded back below the 200-Day SMA and we will look to see if we get a close below this longer-term SMA on Friday to help reinforce bearish outlook. Any intraday rallies should be very well capped ahead of 0.9050. It is also worth noting that latest bearish price action has set up a bearish reversal week. LINK

Hong Kong 04:39 GMT August 13, 2010
AUD/USD Intra-day signal by AceTrader
Reply   
AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

INTRADAY TRADING SIGNAL BY ACETRADER.COM :
AUD/USD: 0.9009

Last Update At 13 Aug 2010 04:13 GMT

Aussie's intra-day rally n breach of prev. res
at 0.9008 confirm a temp. low has been formed at
0.8915 y'day n upside bias is seen for a stronger
retrace. twd 0.9025/35, however, price shud falter
well below 0.9058 res n bring retreat later.


Buy on dips for st trade n thereafter sell for
day trade. Below 0.8960, recovery is over, 0.8915.

Range Forecast
0.8990 / 0.9020

Resistance/Support
R: 0.9058/0.9099/0.9141
S: 0.8960/0.8915/0.8906

http://www.acetraderfx.com

tokyo rana 04:07 GMT August 13, 2010
jpy

Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.2777/1.27333 Target: open Stop: 50pips

ihave orders here...happy day,

tokyo rana 03:52 GMT August 13, 2010
jpy
Reply   
Sell USDJPY
Entry: 86.15 Target: 85.50 Stop: 86.65

short all jpy pairs...and gbpusd eurusd....happy trade,

Hong Kong Qindex 03:49 GMT August 13, 2010
Gold : Current Comments
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

Gold : The bias is on the downside when the market is rejected from the barrier at 1214.7 // 1216.2.


Gold : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/gold.html

GVI Forex Blog 03:41 GMT August 13, 2010 Reply   
The US Equities fell for the third continuous session yesterday.

Morning Briefing : 13-Aug-2010 - 0337 GMT

Syd 03:36 GMT August 13, 2010
PBOC Adviser: China Should Allow Deposit Rate To Rise - Report
Reply   
People's Bank of China adviser Xia Bin said China should allow the country's deposit rate to rise so that real deposit rates can become positive, the overseas edition of the People's Daily reported Friday.
China's one-year deposit rate, at 2.25%, has been lower than the country's consumer price index since February. China's CPI rose 3.3% in July, its biggest increase so far this year.

China "should give a signal for positive interest rates. But to prevent the unnecessary negative effects on the market of a one-time rise in interest rates while economic growth is slowing, it would be better to ride the trend of market reforms for interest rates, and allow the deposit rate to float upward appropriately," Xia was cited as saying.
The government should continue its first-half macroeconomic policies into the second half, Xia said.
www.people.com.cn

YVR MAXXIM 02:50 GMT August 13, 2010
picoté, meaning 'marked with points'.

Sell GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Open Trades:

2010.08.13 04:01 sell 2 gbpusd 1.56100
2010.08.13 04:37 sell 3 gbpusd 1.56200

Karachi ANC 02:47 GMT August 13, 2010
USD/JPY Trade Signal
Reply   
Sell USDJPY
Entry: 86.15 Target: 84.45 Stop: 86.50

If STOP breached, look to BUY for (50-120) Pips. Good Luck. [Supermaster]

YVR MAXXIM 02:44 GMT August 13, 2010
picoté, meaning 'marked with points'.

Sell GBPUSD
Entry: RELOAD 1.5615-25 Target: 1.5500 Stop: 1.5640-50

2010.08.12 21:22 buy 1 gbpusd 1.55781 closed 1.56030
2010.08.12 23:05 buy 1 gbpusd 1.55680 closed 1.56030
2010.08.13 00:04 buy limit 2 gbpusd 1.55580 cancelled
2010.08.13 00:05 buy limit 3 gbpusd 1.55480 cancelled

Hong Kong 01:55 GMT August 13, 2010
Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader-13-8-2010
Reply   
Market Review - 12/08/2010 22:02 GMT

Dollar strengthens against yen as Japanese officials show concerns over yen's gain

Dollar rose versus the Japanese yen on Thursday, as Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan and other officials expressed concerns over yen's excessive gain.

Although the greenback fell initially to 84.94 against the Japanese yen in Asia, dollar rebounded and ratcheted higher on cross selling in yen especially versus euro together with rumour that the BOJ checked exchange rates with banks in the foreign exchange market, as the news reported that Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan said to his Chief Cabinet Secretary 'the yen's sudden gains are rough'. Later, although dollar retreated briefly from 85.80 after Japanese Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda's comments, the pair then rebounded from 85.18 and rose strongly to a session high of 85.99 in NY morning due to the intra-day recovery in U.S. equities (DJI closed the day down by 59 points or 0.57% at 10320) before stabilising.

Japanese Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda indicated excessive, disorderly forex moves would hurt economy and said he was in contact with Prime Minister on market moves and would deal appropriately with economic situation. He added that the Group of Seven financial leaders had no plans to hold a teleconference about currencies but officials in the finance ministry were sharing information with officials in other countries at the working level.

U.S. jobless claims increased unexpectedly to 484,000 last week, versus the economists' forecast of 465,000. The weak data reinforced the view of sluggish job growth which could threaten the economic recovery.

In other news, Japanese Vice Finance Minister Rintaro Tamaki (a top currency official at the ministry) said he had exchanged views with a BOJ official on the situation in the financial markets in Japan and overseas. Earlier, Sugimoto, the former Japanese Vice Finance Minister, said that Japan forex intervention was possible if yen moved disorderly, one-sided. He added 'it is uncertain if Japan can convince U.S. and Europe that current yen rise excessive and BOJ should think of ways to expand liquidity.'

The single currency edged higher on profit-taking in Asia after Wednesday's selloff from 1.3186 to 1.2830 in Australia and climbed to 1.2933 in Europe. However, renewed selling interest there pressured price again due to worries about European recovery, as figures showed that Greece's economy shrank more than expected in Q2, and euro extended decline from last week's 1.3334 high to 1.2780 at NY opening before staging a recovery to 1.2874.

Although the British pound fell to 1.5615 initially in Australia, cable rebounded on short-covering in Asia and rose to an intra-day high of 1.5714 in Europe. However, renewed selling interest emerged at there and cable weakened to 1.5562 on active cross selling in sterling (eur/gbp rebounded from 0.8204 to 0.8266) in NY before stabilising.

On data front, Eurozone industrial production came in at -0.1% m/m and 8.2% y/y in June, versus the economists' forecast of 0.7% m/m and 9.3% y/y respectively.

Economic data to be released on Friday include: New Zealand Retail sales, Germany GDP, Swiss Combined PPI, EU GDP, Trade balance (euro), U.S. CPI , CPI core, Real earnings, Retail sales, Retail sales less auto, U. Michigan survey Prel., Business inventories.

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Belgrade TD 01:55 GMT August 13, 2010
USD/JPY

on the basis of "if you can not go up, then go down" - I'm flat at ~ 86,05 for 85.10 long ... until we break ~ 86.3+

Syd 01:52 GMT August 13, 2010
Euro
Reply   
LONDON—The cost of insuring European corporate and sovereign debt against default rose again Thursday as fears about global growth and rising government...
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142405274870440780457542494
2214823022.html

Sydney 01:44 GMT August 13, 2010
fx

hung parliament ?

ALP $ 1.34
Coalition $ 3.22

betting market this am.

Belgrade TD 01:40 GMT August 13, 2010
It is all over the market feeling of USD strength.

The dollar is not yet ready for a "strong correction" (up or down) ... AUD/USD is stationed at ~ 0.9, ... EUR in anticipation of the Friday report ... BOJ intervention threatened, others are not ready for support, $/YEN is limited to the top ~ 86.30 ... BOJ does not have the power as before but without the support others CB, I assume that the market will try another 85 levels. If you can not go up - than go down :) ... CHF something stronger ... USD/CAD revolves around 1,04 level ... interesting:) ... well, sometimes it is necessary to pause and just observe :) ... by the way it's Friday 13th so ... :)))

HK [email protected] 01:26 GMT August 13, 2010
It is all over the market feeling of USD strength.
Reply   
Hard to say what one may bet against it.

Syd 01:23 GMT August 13, 2010
fx
Reply   
New Worries About Europe’s Recovery
Gloom is overtaking financial markets’ view of the euro zone again–just at the moment when the region prepares to announce what will be the strongest growth figures in two years.
The trouble is, in the market’s mind, the European recovery is already history.
http://blogs.wsj.com/source/2010/08/12/new-worries-about-europes-recovery/

Kan Push to Pare World's Biggest Debt May Falter as Japan Slows
Kan Push to Pare World's Biggest Debt May Falter as Japan Slows
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-08-12/kan-s-push-to-pare-world-s-biggest-debt-may-falter-as-japan-growth-slows.html

Syd 01:14 GMT August 13, 2010
aud
Reply   
Strong AUD/USD option-related offers stand at 0.9000, says Singapore-based dealer.

Syd 00:54 GMT August 13, 2010
Australian 2Q Small, Medium Sized-Business Conditions Decline -NAB
Reply   
SYDNEY Business conditions for small to medium-sized business in Australia fell broadly in the second quarter, according to an industry survey released Friday.
For the second quarter, National Australia Bank's small to medium-sized business conditions index fell four points to a reading of one, marking the lowest reading since June 2009. In the past two quarters, the index has fallen a total of 12 points.
Hedge Funds Crowd Into U.S. Bonds The move may be driven by two trends. Heightened sovereign-debt concerns may be creating more trading opportunities in the Treasury market. Hedge funds also may be responding to demands on the $1.8 trillion industry by institutional investorsLINK


Syd 00:49 GMT August 13, 2010
fx
Reply   
AUD is hanging out for any sign of a hung Australian parliament, which could hurt sentiment, says TD Securities Senior Strategist Annette Beacher.
Risk of Japan intervening to weaken JPY is still low given other G7 members will be unlikely to support such a move, says UBS FX Strategist Brian Kim.
BOJ Minutes: Many: Must Watch Impact Of Europe Sovereign Debt Woes On Global Econ
BOJ Minutes: Many: International Financial Markets Remain Unstable
BOJ Minutes: One: See Bigger Downside Risks In Latter Half Of This Year

Auckland peat 00:45 GMT August 13, 2010
USD/JPY

NZ retail figures will be boosted in these next months by consumers getting in items before increase in GST (VAT) on October 1 from 12.5 to 15%

Belgrade TD 00:27 GMT August 13, 2010
positions

Belgrade TD 20:33 GMT August 12, 2010
~scalp or short term ... long EUR/USD 1,2825 ... long AUD/USD 0,8959 ...
///
weak and pointless ... closed both .. insignificant + ...

Syd 00:20 GMT August 13, 2010
RBA's Next Move In The Lap Of The Gods -Macquarie
Reply   
Conventional wisdom assumes RBA's next move will be to tighten policy but given wider uncertainty again embracing global outlook, higher powers will dictate next move for policy, says Macquarie Strategist Rory Robertson. "Almost everyone assumes that the RBA's next move on rates will be another hike, but--with the developed world still looking rather shaky--that's absolutely in the lap of the gods." Expects cash rate on hold at 4.50% into 2011.

Syd 00:18 GMT August 13, 2010
Charting the Markets Equities / Euro Dlr/ Dlr DX.
Reply   
Robin Griffiths from Cazenove Capital takes a techincal look at the markets with CNBC's Guy Johnson.
LINK

Belgrade TD 00:13 GMT August 13, 2010
info & news
Reply   
@ The U.S. dollar had edged higher overnight after disappointing U.S. jobless claims data and a third day of losses on Wall Street <.SPX> kept risk off the menu.
The euro was hovering at $1.2840 Friday, after oscillating between $1.2780 and $1.2933 overnight. Traders felt it could hold in a $1.2762/1.2897 area for now with a risk of a short-squeeze into euro zone growth data due later.
Euro zone GDP is likely to show growth rose 0.7 pct in the second quarter, from the first, with Germany up a strong 1.3 percent. That would be a marked contrast to the United States where growth slowed sharply in the second quarter.
Data from the U.S. includes retail sales, consumer confidence and consumer prices (CPI) and markets fear disappointment.
Matthew Strauss, senior fixed income and currency strategist at RBC Capital Markets, cautioned that the CPI report could be more market-moving this time.
"With deflation talks dominating economic discussions and comparisons with Japan's lost decade now a common past-time, CPI data pose a major risk to USD tonight, maybe even more so than retail sales," he said. "It is difficult to see how a soft reading would not negatively impact the dollar."
The dollar index <.DXY> was off 0.1 percent on Friday at 82.557, after rising 0.4 percent on Thursday. It remains well short of the July 21 peak of 83.451, with support seen around 82.109 and 81.96.
Analysts at BNY Mellon noted that their iFlow FX tracker of money flows showed the Swiss franc and Japanese yen were in demand. While the U.S. dollar did get a fillip following the Fed meeting, it looked like being short-lived.
"We are now seeing a renewal of outflows from the greenback as investors digest the fact that it is the US economic numbers that have especially disappointed of late, while global growth may not necessarily be derailed going into next year," they wrote in a note to clients.
There was also some divergence in flows among major currencies with the euro being net sold, but buying interest in the Australian, New Zealand and Canadian dollars and in sterling.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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