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Forex Forum Archive for 08/25/2010

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Syd 23:59 GMT August 25, 2010
China Inflation Data Second-Guessed as Housing Prices Rise
Reply   
Lydia Wang, a 28-year-old marketing manager in Shanghai, gripes that the shoes and clothing she normally buys are at least 50 percent pricier than in 2009. Wu Sengyun, a 54-year-old retiree in the coastal city of Ningbo, Zhejiang, says prices of fruit and fish are up more than 20 percent in the past year.

Willy Lin has cut back on free drumsticks in the canteen of his Jiangxi clothing factory as meat and vegetables grow dear. “The workers suffer,” he says. “Everybody is crying.”
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-08-25/china-s-official-inflation-data-mask-surge-in-food-prices-medical-costs.html

Syd 23:48 GMT August 25, 2010
The Most Punishing of All Market Months (October? Think Again)
Reply   
The Most Punishing of All Market Months (October? Think Again)More than 100 years of data show that the worst month for stocks is September

Raghuram Rajan: On the Economy Bonus Interview Raghuram Rajan accurately warned central bankers in 2005 of a potential financial crisis if banks lost confidence in each other. Now the International Monetary Fund’s former chief economist says the Federal Reserve should consider raising rates, even as almost 10 percent of the U.S. workforce remains unemployed.LINK

Roubini Says Q3 Growth in U.S. to Be `Well Below' 1%
Nouriel Roubini, the New York University economist who predicted the global financial crisis, said U.S. growth will be “well below” 1 percent in the third quarter and put the odds of a renewed recession at 40 percent.LINK - -Should the Fed raise rates? Absolutely!

Richland QC Mailman 23:31 GMT August 25, 2010
GBP/USD - Rejected by 1.5480
Reply   
Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.5477 Target: open Stop: 1.5508

Our first salvo of the day - SHORT.

Tallinn viies 23:05 GMT August 25, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
yesterdats low and high were higher than day before. positive sign, 1,2790 target today. previous day low should hold today. even 1,2640 good support right now.

tokyo Mush 22:34 GMT August 25, 2010
GBPUSD
Reply   
Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.5480 Target: 1.53 Stop: 1.551

Happy trades gl

Tallinn viies 22:22 GMT August 25, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
I agree with idea that euro will touch parity next year. current year range already defined. Also I think for month of august range allready in place.
Im just wondering when commodity sector will blow off?
there is ca 300 bio dollars under management in the end of july and every month ca 5 billion new money comes in...
contago should start impact (hurt) things much more when market direction is down.
oil stocks in US today hit 27 year high....
demand is anemic. growing somthing like 2-3% yoy and last year was the first negative in 10 years I guess,....
will see how long this bubble will last

Syd 21:45 GMT August 25, 2010
Talking Numbers: Dollar's Next Move
Reply   
Is the US dollar getting set to rally?
Walter Zimmermann,
chief technical analyst United-ICAP, shares his insight.

Talking Numbers: Dollar's Next Move

Chicago st 21:33 GMT August 25, 2010
USDJPY
Reply   
Buy USDJPY
Entry: 84.60 Target: 84.95 Stop: 84.22

Roughly using G-V pivot points.

Lahore FM 21:31 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy AUDUSD
Entry: 0.8794 Target: Stop: 0.8790 for 1/2

08/25/2010 12:58:06 FM Lahore 14

Buy AUDUSD
Entry: 0.8794 Target: Stop: 0.8720
long again after breaking even on earlier long.
--
half closed now at 0.8848,stops raised.

GVI Forex Blog 21:25 GMT August 25, 2010 Reply   
Global economic panic No Japanese intervention...yet EUR ekes out a gain How large can central banks' balance sheets become?

Forex Market Commentary and Analysis (25 August 2010)

Syd 21:23 GMT August 25, 2010
Morgan Stanley Says Government Defaults Inevitable
Reply   
Investors face defaults on government bonds given the burden of aging populations and the difficulty of increasing tax revenue, according to a Morgan Stanley executive director. Morgan Stanley Says Government Defaults Inevitable

Riccardo Ronco, technical analyst at Aviate Global, joined CNBC for a technical look at the marketsTechnical Outlook

S&P 500 ‘Heading to Downside’
“I’m afraid we’re gearing up already today for some kind of dynamic to the downside, even if the last two days were already negative,” Chris Zwermann, global strategist at Zwermann Financial told CNBC while looking at the S&P 500 chart.LINK

DJ NZD/USD trading weaker, earlier hit low of 0.6948, as investors sell off NZD, says Westpac currency strategist Imre Speizer; "Why are they belting the Kiwi more than others? I suspect it's just the run of weaker data and a growing feeling that the Reserve Bank might not hike any more." Pair last 0.6986 vs 0.7023 late yesterday. Says any upward moves likely to be capped at 0.7020. On downside, "next target is going to be 0.6800 but it's going to take more than a day to get there." Tips initial support at 0.6950. Adds no data expected to move currency around, likely to track movements in U.S. equities; "U.S. equities did have a rebound in the last few hours, so the Kiwi has come up a bit on that but not a lot."

Illinois Teachers' Retirement System Enters The Death Spiral: AIG Wannabe's Go-For-Broke Strategy Fails As Pension Fund Begins Liquidations
The folks at Zero Hedge highlight developments with the Illinois Teachers Retirement System, and, given the state of state pensions, it seems like something worth paying attention to. The fund, badly underfunded and performing poorly, was betting on rallying stocks and plunging Treasurys. But that hasn't happened, and it's been forced to begin selling assets to pay benefits. But that's not the worst of it: the fund was trying to make up the losses by using, ready for it? Derivatives. "The only thing missing is for Goldman to raise its overnight variation margin requirements and it's game over, as we get a brand new AIG on our hands."LINK

tokyo rana 21:17 GMT August 25, 2010
gbpjpy

anis agadir 20:55 GMT August 25, 2010
dear friendd,look like today jpy pairs drop hard...very high swap points big news today big moves today come...and very low weekly closes this week and more drops...just becareful use tight stops short or long....happy trade,

agadir anis 20:59 GMT August 25, 2010
gbpjpy

whoops, EURAUD to sell off more rapidly than GBPAUD so EURGBP will tank.

anis agadir 20:55 GMT August 25, 2010
gbpjpy

I expect EURAUD to selloff at current levels more rapidly than EURGBP HENCE eurgbp will see a big selloff. USDCHF is more likely to turn north at current level which also translates into a smash down of chfjpy.

GVI Forex john 20:38 GMT August 25, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

LATEST PIVOT POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Pivots	Gold	Oil	S&P
Res 3	1255.21	75.31	1084
Res 2	1247.97	74.02	1071
Res 1	1244.09	73.37	1065
			
Pivot	1236.85	72.08	1052
			
Sup 1	1232.97	71.43	1046
Sup 2	1225.73	70.14	1033
Sup 3	1221.85	69.49	1027

GVI Forex john 20:29 GMT August 25, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

LATEST PIVOT POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Pivots	EUR/USD	USD/JPY	USD/CHF	GBP/USD	USD/CAD
Res 3	1.2834	85.80	1.0416	1.5561	1.0740
Res 2	1.2780	85.32	1.0373	1.5515	1.0703
Res 1	1.2716	85.05	1.0337	1.5481	1.0648
			
Pivot	1.2662	84.57	1.0294	1.5435	1.0611

Sup 1	1.2598	84.30	1.0258	1.5401	1.0556
Sup 2	1.2544	83.82	1.0215	1.5355	1.0519
Sup 3	1.2480	83.55	1.0179	1.5321	1.0464

Pivots	EUR/GBP	EUR/JPY	EUR/CHF	AUD/USD

Res 3	0.8288	109.25	1.3205	0.9017
Res 2	0.8263	108.45	1.3145	0.8956
Res 1	0.8227	107.85	1.3093	0.8894
Pivot	0.8202	107.05	1.3033	0.8833

Sup 1	0.8166	106.45	1.2981	0.8771
Sup 2	0.8141	105.65	1.2921	0.8710
Sup 3	0.8105	105.05	1.2869	0.8648

GVI Forex john 20:28 GMT August 25, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



tokyo rana 20:09 GMT August 25, 2010
cadjpy
Reply   
Sell OTHER
Entry: 80cadjpy Target: maybe 70 Stop:

small short cadjpy...happy trade,

tokyo rana 20:02 GMT August 25, 2010
gbpjpy

Sell GBPJPY
Entry: 130.85 Target: 125/120.3maybe Stop: 131.10

happy trade,

tokyo rana 19:58 GMT August 25, 2010
eurjpy
Reply   
Sell EURJPY
Entry: 107.35 Target: not sure Stop: 109.35

sold....happy trade,

GVI Forex Blog 19:53 GMT August 25, 2010 Reply   
20:00 GMT (Global-View.com) Aug 25, 2010 Wednesday saw more poor data out of the U.S. Advance Durable Goods Orders and New Homes Sales released over the day were both weaker than expected. The markets are back working the correlation trades, so weak economic data weighed on stocks and weak stocks were a weight on the EURUSD.

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- More Bad U.S. Data

hillegom purk 19:21 GMT August 25, 2010
usd/jpy update

Patience nyc S, Patience, something what i do not seem to have, but it is getting better and better. I have some patience left in usd/jpy.

nyc s 19:15 GMT August 25, 2010
usd/jpy update

Purk Good trading and looks like 85 will trade in Tokyo (imho). I wanted to post this when usdjpy was trading at 69-71 (now at 80-82)

jerusalem kb 19:04 GMT August 25, 2010
sell usdcad
Reply   
Sell USDCAD
Entry: 1.0605 Target: 1.0525 Stop: 1.0685

sold based on ress. level at 1.0673

GVI Forex john 18:33 GMT August 25, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support


The Daily Forex View

More Bad U.S. Data

20:00 GMT (Global-View.com) Aug 25, 2010  Wednesday saw more poor data out of the U.S.  Advance Durable Goods Orders and New Homes Sales released 

MORE



hillegom purk 17:58 GMT August 25, 2010
usd/jpy update

Amsterdam Purk 08:08 GMT August 24, 2010
usd/jpy update: Reply
What a great day to play with longs usd/jpy and add, and Tally ho. I am longing here at 84,38. 4 times and keeping one and playing with the others.
Cheap trick: surrender...
__________________________________________
Closing out 3 of these, was ok to wait... the other one is at b/e. New average is now oops: 85,24...

Gen dk 17:53 GMT August 25, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

PAR 17:12 GMT August 25, 2010
Silver

Hearing the FED may buy silver to stimulate the Us housing market and add liquidity after it bought all available treasuries.
Guess Spain did something similar in the past when using a Gold & Silver standard. Lol.

BERN DS 17:11 GMT August 25, 2010
ZEUS
Reply   
Zeus , I believe you.... i think SILVER will be 1 to 1 with DOW JONES... we are speaking about the physical stuff.... I just do not know, if they will meet at 100 at 1000 or at 10000 or may be at 100000. but you are right nobody can see that... I have seen it myself last night here on that forum , when I have written about SILVER.... good work man !

Savannah ZEUS 17:08 GMT August 25, 2010
Silver

Nobody believes me as usual.
Guess the outcome will be the same.
Some things never change...

HK kevin 17:05 GMT August 25, 2010
gbpjpy

HK kevin 16:41 GMT August 25, 2010
gbpjpy : Reply
Agree, USD/JPY needs to revisit 93.70 again.
Sorry for the big mistake, should be "83.70"

YVR MAXXIM 17:03 GMT August 25, 2010
Can anyone help?

Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.5425 Target: [email protected] Stop: 1.5409

Markets - Price Advances Gmbh-Intuitive!

tokyo rana 16:44 GMT August 25, 2010
gbpjpy

HK kevin 16:41 GMT August 25, 2010
dear friend,right now impossible 80/70/60 looks very good....happy trade,

HK kevin 16:41 GMT August 25, 2010
gbpjpy

Agree, USD/JPY needs to revisit 93.70 again.

HK kevin 16:36 GMT August 25, 2010
GBP/CHF

HK kevin 13:18 GMT August 25, 2010
GBP/CHF: Reply
It seems the yearly low 1.5833 provide some support and bounce from here several times in the 4-hr chart. Just try some long at 1.5865, stop at 1.5801.
Lack of momentum for GBP/CHF to break above 1.5920. Closed earlier at 1.5892

tokyo rana 16:06 GMT August 25, 2010
gbpjpy
Reply   
Sell GBPJPY
Entry: 130.85 Target: open Stop: later

going to short some...happy trade,

tokyo rana 15:54 GMT August 25, 2010
usdjpy
Reply   
Dear John,at last usdjpy 85 taken as i said many times....BOJ does not care abouted as expected....happy trade,

London M 15:51 GMT August 25, 2010
Can anyone help?

big thanks, John!

I usually check the release dates with Forexfactory calender. When I checked GDP revised release date last month, it showed it as 25th August (today) so that I was so confused to find out that nothing was released this morning :(

In fact, UK ONS delayed Q1 revised GDP release date for nearly 2 weeks so that I thought it was delayed again.

thanks again, John!

Richland QC Mailman 15:48 GMT August 25, 2010
Can anyone help?

Hi Theorist. If you base the 80/90 pip in some prior trading range, that will be fine. But with cable, we cannot predict and always expect that range will hold true. How many time I have used the daily average range in my past trades only to be burned.

GVI Forex Blog 15:47 GMT August 25, 2010 Reply   
The US durable goods data is fueling concerns over the strength of the global economic recovery as one of the few remaining bright spots in the US showed signs of cooling. The greenback was mixed during the New York session

Forex Blog - US Market Update (Trade the News)

GVI Forex john 15:42 GMT August 25, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

CALENDAR ITEM PREVIEW
Entry: Target: Stop:

Thursday data previews by Lloyds TSB fom Global-View Blog

Thursday
EZ M3 @ 8:00 GMT
Euro M3 money supply data will incorporate the latest figure on bank lending to the private sector. Significantly, the pace of contraction in loans extended to non-financial corporations has now started to ease.

Weekly Jobless Claims @ 12:30 GMT
The sluggish recovery in the labour market is hindering any uplift in confidence and spending. While we expect initial jobless claims to fall by 25k after last week’s shock rise to 500k – the worst since November 2009 – the number of lay-offs by firms has clearly trended up in recent months and will weigh on household spending over the coming quarters. The weak labour market is also likely to coincide with continued weakness in existing and new home sales.


Europe Theorist 15:39 GMT August 25, 2010
Can anyone help?

GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:


Mailman.. would it be safe to say that reversal levels for the GBPUSD are 80/90 pips from the session high ? as this is what i have been playing with...

Belgrade TD 15:39 GMT August 25, 2010
EUR/USD

Mtl JP 15:30 GMT August 25, 2010
... in this business only results are counted not efforts ... but monkey suit, well this is one of the possibilities ...

London Shaun 15:38 GMT August 25, 2010
Buy Oct Crude

tp for half @ 71.65 and moved stop up to b/e for a freebie

GVI Forex john 15:34 GMT August 25, 2010
Can anyone help?

UK GDP Friday at 08:30 GMT

see Global-view Calendar. Also on homepage.

Richland QC Mailman 15:34 GMT August 25, 2010
Aussie - Ripe for a Bounce?

Closed above 8800 for some scalped profits. Sleepy now. Could be our last trade.

GVI Forex Blog 15:31 GMT August 25, 2010 Reply   
Aug 25 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: The Far East will see no major data. In Europe, EZ money supply is closely followed by many members of the ECB. In North America, weekly jobless claims are always a highlight. Natural Gas inventories will be watched following the break of the $4.00 price level.

GVI Forex- Data Outlook for Aug 26, 2010

Mtl JP 15:30 GMT August 25, 2010
EUR/USD

TD 15:27 alternately you could consider to stop thinking, put on a monkey suit and just ape his trades without argument

GVI Forex john 15:29 GMT August 25, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

Aug 25 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS: The Far East will see no major data. In Europe, EZ money supply is closely followed by many members of the ECB. In North America, weekly jobless claims are always a highlight. Natural Gas inventories will be watched following the break of the $4.00 price level. A 7-yr note auction is slated.

 

 

THURSDAY

 

 

8:00

EZ

M3 3mo-avg Jul

0.50%

0.00%

8:00

EZ

Apr M3 yy

0.30%

0.20%

12:30

US

WKInit Claims k

491

500

12:30

US

WKConClaims m

4.5

4.478

14:30

US

Nat Gas bcf

36.5

37

17:00

TRY

TRY 7-yr

n/a

n/a


Belgrade TD 15:27 GMT August 25, 2010
EUR/USD

... you should see the results of my brother ... with $10,000 single account, one lot trade and proper MM and RM = 2800 pips for the past two weeks with five major pairs ... 3m scalping chart ... considering to give up the trading and give him money ... :)))

London M 15:26 GMT August 25, 2010
Can anyone help?
Reply   
Hello.
I just wonder if anyone can help me about the date of UK Revised GDP (Q2) .

I thought it would be released today but I could not find the figure.

does anyone have the date of the release? Tia

lkwd jj 15:24 GMT August 25, 2010
crude
Reply   
chart points hit the low on the nose with s1 at 70.77. wow! if only i wouldve seen it earlier would not enter shorts on break ov yesterdays lows with target of 70 and below.

Boston JG 15:23 GMT August 25, 2010
dont forget the VIX
Reply   
days ago I've taken heed to positive MACD divergence in the VIX, and now it's climbed over 28. In my experience I change my trading style significantly, ie: smaller position sizes, take smaller chunks of profits, etc..whatever your adjustment maybe, take heed, or get your seasickness pills ready. happy trade

Mtl JP 15:20 GMT August 25, 2010
EUR/USD

EDP it' s a life of Forex Sisyphus: "The struggle itself...is enough to fill a man's heart. One must imagine Sisyphus happy."

Richland QC Mailman 15:19 GMT August 25, 2010
EUR/USD

Thanks for your comments folks. Just getting your insights/views about it.

Savannah ZEUS 15:16 GMT August 25, 2010
EUR/USD

Not only can you succeed in trading but you can make more money than most can only fantasize about.

Live the dream!

Toronto EDP 15:15 GMT August 25, 2010
EUR/USD

Richland QC Mailman 14:39 GMT August 25, 2010

While 200% in one week is not a frequent occurence it's definitely possible. The hard part can be hanging on to it afterwards ! Sudden success in the market can lead to over confidence, over trading and lost profits !

Savannah ZEUS 15:14 GMT August 25, 2010
EUR/USD

Countless times I was told that the odds of making money in trading is slim etc blah blah blah.

I can personally say that the odds can not only be beaten but that they have been.

Happy Day!

Savannah ZEUS 15:12 GMT August 25, 2010
EUR/USD

I am one to believe that anything is possible.

Mtl JP 15:09 GMT August 25, 2010
EUR/USD

Mailman 14:39 is that how you calculate before you be in posession of all the money in the world, compounded ? I dare say you would overheat Ben's, PBoC's and BoJ's printers

GVI Forex Blog 15:07 GMT August 25, 2010 Reply   
GBP/USD (a daily chart of which is shown) as of Wednesday (8/25/2010) has hesitated after approaching key 1.5350 region support on the heels of almost three weeks of bearish price action

GBP/USD Bearishness Hesitates Above Support

Richland QC Mailman 15:05 GMT August 25, 2010
Aussie - Ripe for a Bounce?
Reply   
Buy AUDUSD
Entry: 8786 Target: open Stop: 8765

Fired new longs.

Saar KaL 14:59 GMT August 25, 2010
EUR/USD

anywhere near 1.2600
i will long

Richland QC Mailman 14:55 GMT August 25, 2010
EUR/USD

Just exploring possibilities mighty Zeus. It is classified information at least. hihihi

Savannah ZEUS 14:48 GMT August 25, 2010
EUR/USD

Richland QC Mailman 14:39 GMT August 25, 2010

Sure if gearing and risk are of no concern. Is that what you have done? A hang time around the globe slam dunk?

Belgrade TD 14:39 GMT August 25, 2010
Crude oil

08/16/2010 00:26:23 Belgrade TD 1
... long term ...
///
bought another at 70.89

Richland QC Mailman 14:39 GMT August 25, 2010
EUR/USD

Hi Zeus. Is it possible to have one's account increase by 200% after one week of trading?

makassar alimin 14:37 GMT August 25, 2010
AUD

thanks Mailman, you were the source of the inspiration! Cheers mate, great trades as usual!

London Shaun 14:37 GMT August 25, 2010
Buy Oct Crude
Reply   
Buy Crude
Entry: 71 Target: 73.50 Stop: 70.40

Doubled up on 71.50 long. moved stop down to 70.40

Savannah ZEUS 14:35 GMT August 25, 2010
EUR/USD

PAR- How many are needed? Original inventor has already fully liquidated.

Richland QC Mailman 14:34 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

Hi there. contra-trade in a sense that price has nicely bounced of 1.2610/15 S1 broke congestion at 1.2650 to rally past 1.2660 CP on the back of a weaker than expected housing data. So in that perspective, the trend at that moment was for the euro bulls.

Belgrade TD 14:33 GMT August 25, 2010
eco data

@ Crude inventories 4.1M build vs. consensus of 300K build. Gasoline inventories 2.2M build versus consensus of 450K draw. Distillates 1.7M build versus consensus of 1.0M build.

nyc s 14:31 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

Mailman. Why is that a contra trade? Daily trend is down.

London Shaun 14:31 GMT August 25, 2010
chf & jpy

EURCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

tp @ 1.2975 for the lot i sold @ 13.50 and moved sl to 1.3050 for my 1.31 and 1.30 possies

GVI Forex Blog 14:28 GMT August 25, 2010 Reply   
We absolutely believe the Fed should raise interest rates. Why? Because it will help to unlock the interbank lending market.

Should the Fed raise rates? Absolutely!

PAR 14:28 GMT August 25, 2010
EUR/USD

Tomorrow s initial jobless claims already coming into focus . The next Hindenburg Omen .

prague OP 14:24 GMT August 25, 2010
chf & jpy

Buy EURCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

Strange - someone is really pushing this pair down - such shrp movement - strange - but it seems to be going higher - if it goes above 1.30.80 - there will be a gigantic short coverong and no intervention will be necessary- my humble opinion

Belgrade TD 14:23 GMT August 25, 2010
EUR/USD
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: ~1.266 Target: ++ Stop: latter

long here

Richland QC Mailman 14:20 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

Closed shorts from 1.2668 @ 1.2655. Purely scalping mode for this contra-trade.

Saar KaL 14:16 GMT August 25, 2010
till lunch NY
Reply   
2-3 hrs
tese still valid
Short USDCAD

EURUSD 1.2750 1.2580
USDJPY .8470 .8360
CABLE 1.5480 1.5350
USDCHF 1.0370 1.0180
AUDUSD 0.8864 0.8799
EURCHF 1.3076 1.2931

USDCAD 1.0643 1.0581
NZDUSD 0.7079 0.6982
EURJPY 107.2818 105.8486
GBPJPY 130.4864 129.0813

GBPCAD 1.6421 1.6279
GBPNZD 2.2036 2.1851
GBPAUD 1.7535 1.7379
OIL 72.1868 70.6457
DJI 10082.3088 9977.8909
Gold 1247.1417 1227.6363
EURGBP 0.8233 0.8184
sp500 1055.7700 1043.3154
FTSE 5192.8224 5049.6612
NDX 1788.5862 1749.7587

GVI Forex john 14:15 GMT August 25, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

CALENDAR ITEM PREVIEW
Entry: Target: Stop:

Data @ 14:30 GMT
EIA- The Department of Energy (DOE survey)


EIA Survey comes out Wednesday morning. The DOE survey is more closely watched and generally seen as more accurate than the API data on Tuesday.

prague op 14:15 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy EURCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

Any comments on eur-chf. Personally, it hink it will go to 1.34+ soon - with or without intervention - (probably none)

Belgrade TD 14:12 GMT August 25, 2010
eur/jpy
Reply   
Buy EURJPY
Entry: 106.9 Target: ++ Stop: latter

long here

GVI Forex john 14:11 GMT August 25, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



ECONOMIC DATA CHART
Entry: Target: Stop:

More poor housing data (new homes sales new data point)

London Shaun 14:10 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

Agree with you both Mailman and FM. If it reaches 1.27 again I will sell again but if it closes above 1.2700 I will cut all my short Euro possies and wait to come back in later.

lkwd jj 14:09 GMT August 25, 2010
cable
Reply   
interesting how its respecting 1.5460 level pointed out by Al on w/e video. has broken through on downside and cant rally above.

Richland QC Mailman 14:06 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

All of a sudden... Covered my longs on the break of 1.2660 again. Looking to short. This market is CRa_y.

London Shaun 14:04 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

Agreed with FM that is. Still holding short EurDlr. Sold EurCHF at 1.30 adding to short from 1.3250.

Richland QC Mailman 14:04 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

FM, 1.2760 close will be extra convincing that it is back with a vengeance. Above 1.2725 close will attract more buyers next day.

London Shaun 14:03 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy Crude
Entry: 71.50 Target: 73 Stop: 70.80

Agreed, Will buy more @ 7100 if seen but keep tight stop @70.80/40 nevertheless

Belgrade TD 14:02 GMT August 25, 2010
eco data
Reply   
worse ~about -20%

Lahore FM 14:01 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

eurusd 1.2760 close today would be good for euro bulls

Lahore FM 14:00 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy Crude
Entry: 71.54 Target: Stop: 70.40

bought october crude.

London Chris 13:59 GMT August 25, 2010
chf & jpy

Now that would be something --- SNB and BoJ come in at the same time in an assault on risk aversion.

jerusalem ML 13:57 GMT August 25, 2010
Gold begins downfall.
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: Target: sub 1160 Stop:

Hi all

My bet for SEPT
sell Gold towards 1150 , with tgt of 1090 by October.

Deflation is key-word and gold will start to suffer , september could be the month for that

sell above 1235

g/l

Richland QC Mailman 13:56 GMT August 25, 2010
EUR/USD

Yup Zeus. Moment of truth if 1.2725 will still be there after the data.

Savannah ZEUS 13:55 GMT August 25, 2010
EUR/USD

Savannah ZEUS 12:25 GMT August 25, 2010
EUR/USD:
Flipped a coin and it said perhaps EUR/USD is staging for a rally.
_______________________________________________________

Lucky traders to take gains at their leisure.

Happy Day!

Mtl JP 13:53 GMT August 25, 2010
chf & jpy

john can u muse some how central banks use the not so public (US DOLLAR-CHF SWAP AGREEMENT DATED AS OF MAY 10, 2010) agreements in addressing liquidity / crisis issues.

Is theirs not an effective scheme, one of very low cost to them ?



Belgrade TD 13:46 GMT August 25, 2010
USD/CAD

08/25/2010 01:22:02 Belgrade TD 1
Entry: 1,0595 Target: 1,0525/- Stop: latter
///
sold new at ~1.064 ... Sorry for this delayed post. Could not enter GV website ...

Mtl JP 13:34 GMT August 25, 2010
this takeaway "Economists are estimating new home sales in July to be 330,000. Any data that is weaker than expected will weigh on market sentiment. This means that the prevailing asset allocation strategy will continue with investors shedding risky assets in favor of the protection of the Treasury markets." sub 330 should have nega-effect on usdyen

GVI Forex Blog 13:26 GMT August 25, 2010 Reply   

U.S. Stock Traders Keying On New Home Sales

GVI Forex Blog 13:26 GMT August 25, 2010 Reply   

Euro Spikes on Durable Goods Data

GVI Forex john 13:23 GMT August 25, 2010
chf & jpy

Could be, but the SNB has proved that FX intervention can be very expensive. In the olden days they used to bury the cost but they can't any longer.

Porto Cubriclas 13:20 GMT August 25, 2010
chf & jpy
Reply   
SNB and BOJ interventions coming soon?
GT & GL

HK kevin 13:18 GMT August 25, 2010
GBP/CHF
Reply   
It seems the yearly low 1.5833 provide some support and bounce from here several times in the 4-hr chart. Just try some long at 1.5865, stop at 1.5801.
Hope the USD/JPY long marchers have taken their profit near 84.40 and 84.60

Zurich EG 13:18 GMT August 25, 2010
eurchf
Reply   
Below 1.30 and sovereign concerns on the rise.

GVI Forex Jay 13:14 GMT August 25, 2010
Forex Intervention - Does it Work?
Reply   
I wrote this article and posted it in our blog:

Forex Intervention - Does it Work? Part II

Richland QC Mailman 13:07 GMT August 25, 2010
Euro bouncing off S1
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.2635 Target: open Stop: B/E

Hi folks. Could not enter this website. Technical problems. Sorry for this delayed post.

Lahore FM 13:05 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy GBPUSD
Entry: 1.5409 Target: Stop: 1.5380 for 1/2

08/24/2010 21:08:40 FM Lahore 17

Buy GBPUSD
Entry: 1.5409 Target: Stop: 1.5350
long now.
--
closed half at 1.5448,stops raised.

GVI Forex john 13:05 GMT August 25, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

CALENDAR ITEM PREVIEW
Entry: Target: Stop:

Data @ 14:00 GMT
New Home Sales, Starts/Permits


New Home Sales record sales of U.S. newly constructed residences. The U.S. Census Bureau publishes New Home Sales statistics monthly

IMPACT: New homes sales is viewed as a second tier housing figure but is a part of the larger picture.

Singapore Stanleyho 13:01 GMT August 25, 2010
Close for Lunch

Kal,

Your call for Pound verus Aussie and Kiwi is simple impressive. Keep up with the good work!

GVI Forex john 12:59 GMT August 25, 2010
Internet Communications Issue
Reply   
We are experiencing slowness getting into and out of the internet hub where are servers are located. We expect this issue to be resolved soon.

Lahore FM 12:58 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy AUDUSD
Entry: 0.8794 Target: Stop: 0.8720

long again after breaking even on earlier long.

Savannah ZEUS 12:36 GMT August 25, 2010
EUR/USD

Guess so.

Happy Day!

Savannah ZEUS 12:36 GMT August 25, 2010
EUR/USD

Guess so.

Happy Day!

Singapore fs 12:33 GMT August 25, 2010 Reply   
Wow,yen is moving fast now

Savannah ZEUS 12:25 GMT August 25, 2010
EUR/USD
Reply   
Flipped a coin and it said perhaps EUR/USD is staging for a rally.

Richland QC Mailman 12:19 GMT August 25, 2010
AUD

Great Trade Alimin. Congrats!

Anyway, gbp/usd - one of the worst moves I have ever seen. Euro and Aussie has moved well but gbp - directionless!

GVI Forex john 12:00 GMT August 25, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

CALENDAR ITEM PREVIEW
Entry: Target: Stop:

Data @ 12:30 GMT

Advance Durable Goods/Factory Orders


Durable good new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for immediate and future delivery. The advance report is an early estimate of durable goods orders. Two weeks later, more complete and revised data are available in the Factory Orders report. Department of Commerce; BEA.


makassar alimin 11:54 GMT August 25, 2010
AUD
Reply   
closed at 0.8802 and reverse with stop 50 below

makassar alimin 12:36 GMT August 23, 2010
AUD: Reply
agree Mailman, looks like a surprise in the making
tried some aud short too 0.8955, stop 0.9033
maybe a better play would be short euro as clearly it is the weaker against usd

GVI Forex Blog 11:51 GMT August 25, 2010 Reply   
Now we face a situation where the market is trying to force the Bank of Japan (BOJ) on orders from the Ministry of Finance (MOF) to intervene by pushing the JPY higher and USDJPY lower to levels not seen in 15 years.

Forex Intervention – Does It Work? Part II

GVI Forex john 11:27 GMT August 25, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

EURUSD back trading with S&P futures. Easier S&P futures since about 8:00 GMT leading EURUSD lower. N.Y. trading robots switched back on?

PAR 11:23 GMT August 25, 2010
PAR --- GREECE proposal

Greek Moussaka in combination with Irish whisky . Moody s not going to like that one . .

GVI Forex Blog 11:22 GMT August 25, 2010 Reply   
The Euro broke the support we specified in yesterday’s report 1.2630, dropping modestly to 1.2586, and stopping clearly before meeting our target at 1.2550.

Forexpros Daily Analysis - 25/08/2010

BERN DS 11:19 GMT August 25, 2010
PAR --- GREECE proposal
Reply   
Or PAR , they need to program an IPHONE Application and selling Moussaka to the world !

PAR 11:16 GMT August 25, 2010
eurusd

Greece needs to start selling islands and other assets to pay for their debts .

tallinn viies 11:16 GMT August 25, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
covered my short euro at 1,2632.
plan to go long near between 1,2575-1,2625. will see how things develop.
buy order stands at 1,2577 if not touched then will buy at market if close enough.
gl

tallinn viies 11:09 GMT August 25, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
Greece bond mkt getting hit here, people talking about the fact that they want to raise cash for the bills expiring in october and speculating they will default on that...

London Misha 10:56 GMT August 25, 2010
Observations
Reply   
EURUSD - Potential Bullish Ladder Bottom. Market closed just over the 50% Fib of the Jun - Aug move.
USDJPY - Potential for Bullish Three Stars in the South formation.
GBPUSD - First close under the Long MA!
USDCHF - Big Key Reversal Down on the Daily Chart!
EURGBP - Follow on from Bullish Hammer on the Daily Chart.
EURJPY - Potential for Bullish Three Stars in the South formation.
USDCAD - Golden Cross of the Short MA over the Medium MA. However, potential for a Bearish Advance Block on the Daily Chart.
AUDUSD - Opening Black Marubozo on the Daily Chart. 4th Close under the Long MA.

PAR 10:54 GMT August 25, 2010
BOJ
Reply   
BOJ is like a (sake drinking and meeting ) barking dog . Usually they dont bite but is it worth the risk.

Especially with the yen and the Japanese budget deficit near alltime high. ( Kind of Hindenburg Omen )

A dog bite can cause rabies and that can be fatal.

GVI Forex john 10:50 GMT August 25, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

LATEST PIVOT POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Pivots	EUR/USD	USD/JPY	USD/CHF	GBP/USD	USD/CAD
Res 3	1.2863	86.63	1.0572	1.5644	1.0814
Res 2	1.2791	85.92	1.0512	1.5579	1.0738
Res 1	1.2732	85.04	1.0408	1.5504	1.0668
					
Pivot	1.2660	84.33	1.0348	1.5439	1.0592
					
Sup 1	1.2601	83.45	1.0244	1.5364	1.0522
Sup 2	1.2529	82.74	1.0184	1.5299	1.0446
Sup 3	1.2470	81.86	1.0080	1.5224	1.0376


Pivots	EUR/GBP	EUR/JPY	EUR/CHF	AUD/USD
Res 3	0.8308	110.28	1.3278	0.9010
Res 2	0.8264	109.07	1.3229	0.8959
Res 1	0.8237	107.87	1.3145	0.8900

Pivot	0.8193	106.66	1.3096	0.8849

Sup 1	0.8166	105.46	1.3012	0.8790
Sup 2	0.8122	104.25	1.2963	0.8739
Sup 3	0.8095	103.05	1.2879	0.8680

GVI Forex john 10:48 GMT August 25, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support

GVI CHART POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:



GVI Forex Blog 10:43 GMT August 25, 2010 Reply   
The yen pulled back from 15-year highs against the dollar and a nine-year peak versus the euro on Wednesday on speculation Japanese authorities may take active steps to stem the currency's rise.

FOREX NEWS - Yen dips on Japan move talk; exchange level key

GVI Forex Blog 10:38 GMT August 25, 2010 Reply   
The session saw a reprieve from recent trends aided by a better German IFO series. EUR/USD tested 1.2725 in the aftermath of IFO but the level continued to act as fierce resistance in recent sessions and proved to be the case once again.

European Market Update: German IFO beats expectations but sovereign woes ebb enthusiasm (Trade the News)

Saar KaL 10:21 GMT August 25, 2010
eurusd

Par/
Did Hitler have any good reason?
Very simple...The irish politicans...Like any other want to keep the problem going...not to stop it
if they stop it...then they have no meaning

PAR 10:18 GMT August 25, 2010
eurusd

As if Ireland and Greece are not problems enough Europe is discussing with Iceland to join the Euro. Why work and pay taxes ?

Saar KaL 10:13 GMT August 25, 2010
eurusd

Par/
You see Justice is always a step behind the crime
while crime is there because of injustice.
all politicians have a youth story....it's their way of getting back.
ask Hitler and Opera..same BS

Saar KaL 10:07 GMT August 25, 2010
eurusd

Par/
Bail Out is new method for politicians to rip you off
spend all on BS...then ask for a rescue
The next is Green Peace Goverment
Method....GL

Copenhagan CG 10:06 GMT August 25, 2010
stg/yen
Reply   
U.K. J.B. 16:59 GMT August 2, 2010
stg/yen: Reply
Just going through some chart levels. Nice double top on the dailies re stg/yen supports a short @137.62

UK/JB i value your analysis very much and your wonderful calls. I followed the above trade amazing did not go any higher do you think stg/yen is good place to buy back now. Appreciate any views you have , thank you

PAR 10:03 GMT August 25, 2010
eurusd

Ireland was never a strong economy ,it just benefitted a lot from European subsidies.

GVI Forex john 10:00 GMT August 25, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support



ECONOMIC DATA CHART
Entry: Target: Stop:

Earlier: German IFO. Better than forecast. Note general trends in components.

Gen dk 10:00 GMT August 25, 2010 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Richland QC Mailman 09:57 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

Lol purk. Let us prepare now for 1.5380 Cable OPENING.

Saar KaL 09:56 GMT August 25, 2010
eurusd

I hate to say that it's the politicians that caused the problems (Their Job in Greece, UK, USA and China...etc)
The Mkt does it's thing to Balance

PAR 09:51 GMT August 25, 2010
eurusd

US Hindenburg Omen preventing Euro from rising. Euro mini states like Ireland and Greece face continuing problems while core Europe is doing well . Buying EURO on strong IFO looks like not such a good idea before weak US data.

Saar KaL 09:46 GMT August 25, 2010
Close for Lunch

In summary

Short EURCHF too


EURUSD 1.2750 1.2580
USDJPY 84.70 83.60
CABLE 1.5480 1.5350
USDCHF 1.0370 1.0180
AUDUSD 0.8864 0.8799
EURCHF 1.3076 1.2931

USDCAD 1.0643 1.0581
NZDUSD 0.7079 0.6982
EURJPY 107.2818 105.8486
GBPJPY 130.4864 129.0813

GBPCAD 1.6421 1.6279
GBPNZD 2.2036 2.1851
GBPAUD 1.7535 1.7379
OIL 72.1868 70.6457
DJI 10082.3088 9977.8909
Gold 1247.1417 1227.6363
EURGBP 0.8233 0.8184
sp500 1055.7700 1043.3154
FTSE 5192.8224 5049.6612
NDX 1788.5862 1749.7587

GVI Forex john 09:42 GMT August 25, 2010
GVI Forex Trading Support


The Daily Forex View

JPY Still the Focus

10:00 GMT (Global-View.com) Aug 25, 2010  One has to wonder if the poor U.S. housing data yesterday were a game changer for the markets. Bottom line, the data were exceptionally weak in relative and absolute terms. Also all attempts to explain the data away had a hollow ring to them.

MORE



orlando TFG 09:37 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

I just shorted the gbp/usd #15413 where should I place my limit at and stop ? and thanks for the input for a newbee

Amsterdam Purk 09:35 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

And i do not mean his pants...

Amsterdam Purk 09:33 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

Yes Mailman, i bet UK-JB is laughing his b´s off with his shorts aud-usd at 9135 or in that area. Not to mention his shorts cable.

Dubai ANZ 09:31 GMT August 25, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
eurusd

Saar KaL 09:31 GMT August 25, 2010
Close for Lunch

almost forget longs today
almost everything wants to south

Richland QC Mailman 09:27 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

Thanks again FM. We learn from each other. We learn from very good traders here as well. One of the memorable experiences was when almost 5-6 traders have joined forces to short the aussie 9060/70, including us of course and resulted in good gains.

Meanwhile, this upward movement of gbp and euro are no more than opportunities to SHORT for as long as the Daily trend (using the daily chart) continues. For GBP, 1.5390 (horizontal support, several dips and price reacted) needs to OPEN later. I believe it is just delaying the move, market looking for a reason before it hammers it.

Saar KaL 09:19 GMT August 25, 2010
Close for Lunch

more red for the dji

generally for 9500

9 hrs close

OIL 72.1868 70.6457
DJI 10082.3088 9977.8909
Gold 1247.1417 1227.6363
EURGBP 0.8233 0.8184
sp500 1055.7700 1043.3154

Lahore FM 09:18 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

Mailman,its a pleasure to see through your hawkeyes.

not only on one occasion it was reading your post that i saw a trade idea.

cheers!

douglas IOM cookie 09:12 GMT August 25, 2010
resistance
Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

1.2730 mondays high and yesterdays rebuond may act as minor res but still buying on dips

Richland QC Mailman 09:08 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

Thanks FM. But you are still the MAN good friend.

great trades to you, as always.

Lahore FM 09:04 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

good trading Mailman,you are our forum stalwart!

Lahore FM 09:03 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

Medallion yes it is a good chance for eurusd to do lots more on upside.

Richland QC Mailman 09:00 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

Hit and Run. Closed the euro shorts as 1.2680 could not be broken at the moment.

Richland QC Mailman 08:57 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

Got some shorts ahead of 1.2710. Let us see if the market is just playing the range 1.2610 - 1.2725. The bounce is the 2nd one off the 50% fibo @ around 1.2600. Hmmm, this is getting to be more interesting than we all thought.

Surabaya Medallion 08:40 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Dear Lahore FM

Do you think there is a good chance for EUR/USD to push upside through 1.272x area today into at least 1.2750-60 area? Thanks.

Saar KaL 08:24 GMT August 25, 2010
Close for Lunch

GBPCHF 1.5941 1.5734
placed short at 1.5934

Europe Theorist 08:23 GMT August 25, 2010
Close for Lunch


Long USDJPY / EURJPY / AUDUSD

Short USDCAD / USDCHF

Saar KaL 08:22 GMT August 25, 2010
Close for Lunch

GBPCAD 1.6421 1.6279
GBPNZD 2.2036 2.1851
GBPAUD 1.7535 1.7379


Long GBPNZD and GBPAUD here

tallinn viies 08:22 GMT August 25, 2010
eurusd
Reply   
sold euros at 1,2718. stop at 1,2768
target 1,2620

Saar KaL 08:16 GMT August 25, 2010
Close for Lunch

short cable
eurjpy
gbpjpy
and usdjpy

here


Long USDCAD

douglas IOM cookie 08:16 GMT August 25, 2010
trend
Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

1.2730 area pos resistance high of 22rd friday may consolidate here holiday trades best to buy dips

Richland QC Mailman 08:03 GMT August 25, 2010
Close for Lunch

Good I have closed all gbp, euro and aussie shorts before this onslaught!

Saar KaL 07:47 GMT August 25, 2010
Close for Lunch

AUDUSD 0.8864 0.8799
USDCAD 1.0643 1.0581
NZDUSD 0.7079 0.6982
EURJPY 107.2818 105.8486
GBPJPY 130.4864 129.0813

Pretoria SA EJ 07:23 GMT August 25, 2010
What am thinking today

I have been scalping on this pair from yesterday. 5 Pips at a time. Have huge losses to wipe out and it seems that at the moment this is the way. Happy trades

Dar es salaam FJ 07:19 GMT August 25, 2010
What am thinking today
Reply   
Sell GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

I will be in a side line or taking very small amount i will turn to be a scalper even though it favour to go down so i will be taking 5 to 10 pips down when it cross 1.5369 down i will add

Saar KaL 07:18 GMT August 25, 2010
Close for Lunch
Reply   
hhahah
Hi Guys
for us session
Prediction Intrevals of close

EURUSD 1.2750 1.2580

USDJPY .8470 .8360

CABLE 1.5480 1.5350

USDCHF 1.0370 1.0180

Syd 06:58 GMT August 25, 2010
Greens will control ALP, says Abbott
Reply   
TONY Abbott has warned that the Australian Greens would virtually control a minority Labor government.
"Any continuing Labor government that emerges from this election will effectively be a Labor-Greens alliance and I think that would be very bad for regional Australia," the Opposition Leader said in Canberra.

"It will mean an increased mining tax, it will mean very significant restrictions on what people can do on the ocean and it will almost certainly mean a carbon tax, which again would be bad for regional Australia."
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/greens-will-control-alp-says-abbott/story-fn59niix-1225909632587

Syd 06:51 GMT August 25, 2010
RBC Now Expects RBA To Fire Until 2011
Reply   
Senior economist Sui-Lin Ong says the risks are the pause will extend well in 2011. Protracted pause will heighten speculation over the direction of the next move. Says benign 2Q CPI led to change in forecast. Says RBC has long viewed the RBA as the canary in the global activity mineshaft; views lengthy pause in this current tightening cycle would likely reflect a setback to global (particularly Asian) growth with knock-on implications for Australia.

Australia's PM: Had Constructive Discussions With Independents
Australia's PM: Responded Positively To Independent Requests

Dubai ANZ 06:46 GMT August 25, 2010
buy
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.2665 Target: 1.2685&705 Stop: 1.2635

buy

PAR 06:34 GMT August 25, 2010
Low Interest Rates - What Sorcerers Apprentice Bernanke Overlooks
Reply   
Deflation: the Neutron Bomb of Balance Sheets

By RANDALL W. FORSYTH

Asset values and returns are decimated while pension liabilities are left standing.

LOW INTEREST RATES have made these the best of times for borrowers but the worst for savers and investors.

Blue-chip corporations never had it so good with the likes of Dow Jones Industrial Average members International Business Machines (IBM) able to issue new three-year notes at 1% and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) paying less than 3% for new 10-year debt.

But these historically low bond yields have a darker side: According to a new report from Fitch Ratings, ultra-low interest rates will exacerbate the underfunding of many U.S. corporations' pension plans.

Just as with American workers who have failed to save enough for retirement and have seen their assets lose value, companies also will have no choice but set aside more of their earnings. And just as that means belt-tightening for consumers, it means corporations have less to distribute to their shareholders.

The burden of funding traditional pension plans—known as defined-benefit plans—is why they have waned in Corporate America. More common are defined-contribution plans—such as the ubiquitous 401(k)s—that have supplanted DB plans in the private sector. As has been reported widely, DB plans remain the standard in the public sector, which are decimating budgets of many states and municipalities.

But, according to Fitch, the low-yield, deflationary environment is adding to the problems of underfunded corporate pension plans. Again, the problem is two-fold: The decline in the values of investments, such as traditional stocks and commercial real estate, has hurt the asset side. The rush into so-called alternative investments such as hedge funds right at their peaks didn't help. The flip side is that low interest rates increase the present value of future liabilities.

brisbane rr 06:13 GMT August 25, 2010
10y yields
Reply   
Hoboken BJ 00:53 GMT August 25, 2010
10y yields: Reply
Tonbridge AL 00:50 GMT August 25, 2010
10y yields: Reply
Belgrade TD 00:41 GMT August 25, 2010
10y yields: Reply

THANKYOU TO ALL!


Syd 05:51 GMT August 25, 2010
Windsor's third way: 'Another election'
Reply   
New England MP Tony Windsor rejected reports the independents would also be acting in a bloc during a press conference with fellow independents, Rob Oakeshott and Bob Katter, this afternoon.
"We're in a group trying to organise a process," he said.
"We could all head in different directions."
Mr Windsor said there was also another direction worth pointing out.
"If there's no goodwill displayed by both leaders ... if we can't see a future ... longevity in the parliament ... I won't support either of them.
"So there is a third option, and that's another poll."
AAP

Syd 05:24 GMT August 25, 2010
USD, EUR Tick Down Vs JPY On Fin Min's Comments
Reply   
USD/JPY down slightly by 15 sen to 84.23, EUR/JPY declines 30 sen to 106.53 as finance minister Noda repeats his recent comments after meeting with PM Kan, strengthening views Tokyo unlikely to take immediate steps to stem JPY's strength, says Nomura Securities senior trader Hiroshi Maeba. "His remarks were nothing new," mirrors recent comments. Adds Noda may have done well not to say "anything" especially since nothing of significance came out of meeting; says superficial comments disappoint yen bears, further embolden yen bulls. Another Tokyo bank dealer says Japan exporters sell pair on view pair unlikely to rise in short-term. Tips USD/JPY's downside at 83.50 vs last 84.27; EUR/JPY may fall to 105.50 vs 106.60

SINGAPORE, Aug 25 (Reuters) - Gold rose on Wednesday despite a slight drop in ETF holdings, with more poor data from the United States likely to spur buying by investors worried about the health of the global economy.
The euro's upside was limited after rating agency Standard & Poor downgraded Ireland to AA- and warned the outlook was still negative, fanning worries about euro zone sovereign debt and the banking system.

HONG KONG/SHANGHAI, Aug 25 (Reuters) - China's key stock index was down 1 percent by midday on Wednesday as a fall on Wall Street sparked selling in large caps such as PetroChina and ICBC, which are sensitive to macroeconomic conditions. Investors are concerned that persistent weakness in overseas markets will lead to a double dip or even deflation in major global economies, from the United States to Japan, that could spill over to China by hitting its exports.
Volume remained lacklustre on the Hong Kong stock exchange, suggesting investors are cautious about making big bets.

"Clients are pretty quiet today, but I have to say the mood isn't very bullish," said a Hong Kong-based trader. "We're seeing more and more share placements right after companies are reporting results. It looks as though they're coming in to raise capital while they can and that can't be an encouraging sign."

Kiev Nemo 05:12 GMT August 25, 2010
BOJ
Reply   
Buy USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

Hi all!
Do you all in longs? And you, Mrs. Rana?

TOKYO (Nikkei)--Prime Minister Naoto Kan discussed ways to curb the yen's recent surge Wednesday afternoon, in a meeting with Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshito Sengoku and Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda.

Kan is expected shortly to unveil measures to cope with the yen's rise against the dollar and other major currencies, as well as to stimulate an economy that appears to be losing steam, said a Democratic Party of Japan lawmaker who was at a separate meeting with Kan and junior DPJ Diet members earlier in the day.

"Investors' bearish sentiment on both the U.S. and euro zone economies is behind the current weakness of the dollar and the euro, which is putting upward pressure on the yen," Sengoku said at a news conference on Wednesday morning.

If speculators push the yen still higher, triggering a runaway surge, both the Japanese economy and the stability of the nation's financial markets will be seriously undermined, Sengoku said. "We will pay close attention to these possibilities."

At the meeting with lawmakers, Kan said: "I am giving top priority to compiling measures (to stimulate the economy and fight the yen's rise), but the currency market will be unmoved if they are implemented one by one." He added that he will formally unveil a package of these measures shortly, according to a source at the meeting.

The yen traded at around 84.30 to the dollar in Tokyo on early Wednesday afternoon.

Sydney ACC 04:57 GMT August 25, 2010
Funds, Banks Snapping Up Japanese Yen

On ABC News, Monday night, Phillip Lasker presented an interesting graph that plotted an inverted USD/JPY line against the margins for major Japanese electronics companies such as Sony, Toshiba etc.
What it illustrated, that rather than being adversely affected by an appreciating JPY, these companies benefitted through sourcing labour and parts from other countries in Asia.
While I can't comment personally it suggests that through diversifiction the impact of an appreciating JPY may not be as bad for some as previously believed.

GVI Forex Blog 04:36 GMT August 25, 2010 Reply   

Crude Oil Weakens Amid Demand Concerns

GVI Forex Blog 04:35 GMT August 25, 2010 Reply   

Pound Weakens; Investors Cite Worries over Austerity Measures

YVR MAXXIM 04:34 GMT August 25, 2010
FWIW cooking aq rice $ay$
Reply   
Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.5425 Target: Stop: add cinnamon

Richland QC Mailman

Hong Kong 04:34 GMT August 25, 2010
GBP/USD Intra-day signal by AceTrader
Reply   
GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

INTRA-DAY GBP/USD : 1.5435

Last Update At 25 Aug 2010 02:48 GMT

Despite cable's sharp retreat fm 1.5481 to 1.53
89 in NY, price has rebounded in tandem with euro
in Asia, suggesting further choppy trading abv yes-
terday's 1.5373 low wud continue, as long as 1.5450
/55 holds, downside bias remains.

Trade fm short side for 1.5390 1st n only abv
1.5481 wud abort daily bearishness on sterling.


Range Forecast
1.5410 / 1.5440

Resistance/Support
R: 1.5464/1.5481/1.5506
S: 1.5398/1.5373/1.5357

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Syd 04:29 GMT August 25, 2010
Funds, Banks Snapping Up Japanese Yen
Reply   
Market watchers say momentum traders such as CTA funds and prop trading desks buying up JPY - testing to see if Bank of Japan will be able to step in and intervene effectively. Tom Kaan of Louis Capital Markets in Hong Kong tips JPY rising to 80-81 level.

Australia's Bandt: Mining Tax Should Be Open For Discussion
Australian King-makers tending towards backing mining tax

Katter ready for payback
Independent MP Bob Katter, the kingmaker in the current election crunch made no secret of his disdain yesterday over Wide Bay MP and National Party leader Warren Truss, who he says “personally attacked me” during the election coverage on Saturday.Katter ready for payback

Syd 03:53 GMT August 25, 2010
Australia's Bandt: Had Good Discussions With PM Gillard
Reply   
Australia's Bandt: Mining Tax Should Be Open For Discussion
Australia's Bandt: Would Consider Formalising Deal With LaborDJ Australia's Independent Katter: Free Trade Hurting Australia Food Industry
Australia's Greens Bandt: Wants A Government To Last Full Term
Australia's Bandt: Wants A Price On Carbon Soon
Australia's Windsor: Final Agreement May Include Commitment On Parliament Longevity
Australia's Oakeshott: National Interest Has To Be At Centre Of Negotiations

Richland QC Mailman 03:02 GMT August 25, 2010
Time for the USD Revenge - Again

Ok folks. shorted gbp/usd 1.5438.

Richland QC Mailman 02:47 GMT August 25, 2010
Missing the Boat vs. Getting In Early
Reply   
A disciplined trader once said: "I would rather miss the boat than get in too early only to be sunk by the stormy seas."

Richland QC Mailman 02:19 GMT August 25, 2010
Aussie - Rejected by 8870 Again?
Reply   
Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 8860 Target: 8820/8700 Stop: 8890

New shorts taken.

Richland QC Mailman 02:09 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

Hi FM. Just want to share another view on the aussie. I personally remain bias on the pair for as long as 8870 resistance caps. I like to see 8690/8700 extending to 8500 perhaps before looking to establish some good longs.

Commenting beyond those levels will be very theoretical at this point.

Lahore FM 01:31 GMT August 25, 2010
Trade Ideas

Buy AUDUSD
Entry: 0.8824 Target: Stop: 0.8790 for 1/2

Lahore FM 21:05 GMT August 24, 2010
Trade Ideas: Reply
Buy AUDUSD
Entry: 0.8824 Target: 0.9200 Stop: 0.8760

long here.
--
closed half 0.8862,stops raised.

Belgrade TD 01:22 GMT August 25, 2010
USD/CAD
Reply   
Sell USDCAD
Entry: 1,0595 Target: 1,0525/- Stop: latter

sell here

Richland QC Mailman 01:18 GMT August 25, 2010
Time for the USD Revenge - Again

Preparing some slick missles @ Euro's 1.2660.

Belgrade TD 01:13 GMT August 25, 2010
Crude oil

08/16/2010 00:26:23 Belgrade TD 1
Entry: 75.34 Target: ++ Stop: latter
... buy at every $1 decline (IF) ... new long order triggered at ~74,4 ... add new long at ~ 73.60 ... etc.
///
new long order triggered at ~72,40 and 71,40 ... right now avg ~73,50 ... still in red ... if we drop below $70 will go flat ... long term ...

GVI Forex Jay 00:59 GMT August 25, 2010
BOJ Yen Intervention - Anytime Soon?

This was posted on Trade the News about 50 minutes ago:

Tuesday, August 24, 2010 8:10:48 PM
(JP) Japan Fin Min Noda: Watching forex moves closely and sees the recent moves as one-sided; Will take proper steps in the forex markets as needed
- Will maintain close communication with the BoJ in regards to how best to respond to forex moves.
- Will not comment on when he may hold a meeting with Treasury Sec Geithner.

Hoboken BJ 00:53 GMT August 25, 2010
10y yields

You probably need bloomberg or reuters to get those bond rates.

Tonbridge AL 00:50 GMT August 25, 2010
10y yields

rr check the help (open) forum

Belgrade TD 00:41 GMT August 25, 2010
10y yields

brisbane rr 00:14 GMT August 25, 2010
Have you tried the link http://sdw.ecb.europa.eu/ ... I'm not sure if there is anything you need, but is a good starting point ... GLGT

brisbane rr 00:14 GMT August 25, 2010
10y yields
Reply   
Can anyone advise me of a page reference where I can look up 10y government bond yields for Spain Greece Ireland Italy Portugal and France.
Any assistance will be much appreciated.

 




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