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Forex Forum Archive for 01/07/2011

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Chicago tt 21:58 GMT January 7, 2011
EUR/USD

This was an awful close for the eurusd at the low for the week. It looks to be headed to 1.2800 imo

GVI Forex john 21:50 GMT January 7, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

Global-View Chart Gallery updated. A wide selection of updated forex, interest rate and equity charts.

Global-View Market Tracker updated. Twice daily survey and technical studies of a broad range of related markets.

Cambridge Joe 21:40 GMT January 7, 2011
pub...
Reply   
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-12127327

Cambridge Joe 21:40 GMT January 7, 2011
gap up...?

SFH// Yes... was just back from the pub and forgot the time... Dohhh !

Check this out.... censored MP gets jail for fraud.
Should be shot.

London SFH 21:10 GMT January 7, 2011
gap up...?

hope so.. hope you make it and can pay for your pub lunch///

Cambridge Joe 21:02 GMT January 7, 2011
gap up...?
Reply   
let's hope it gaps up when the mkt opens then !

Cambridge Joe 21:00 GMT January 7, 2011
venture...
Reply   
Just venturing a smal long usdcad.
I see it north 20... 30 pips...
maybe..

GVI Forex john 20:51 GMT January 7, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

GVI Forex Blog 20:41 GMT January 7, 2011 Reply   
The euro hit its lowest level against the dollar in nearly four months on Friday on worries about use of euro zone peripheral country bonds as collateral and a drop in the U.S. unemployment rate.

FOREX NEWS - Euro succumbs to euro zone stress, U.S jobs data

GVI Forex Blog 20:21 GMT January 7, 2011 Reply   
U.S. jobs growth remains marginal U.S. unemployment falls Bernanke talks up deficit reduction One week into 2011: EUR the biggest loser

Forex Market Commentary and Analysis (7 January 2011)

to dr unken katt 19:58 GMT January 7, 2011
GBP/CHF



dayly stochs are done so it should retrace back to 4800 if the double top holds
obviously youre right , there s long signal on dayl y

Israel dil 19:43 GMT January 7, 2011
GBP/CHF

to dr unken katt 19:30 GMT January 7, 2011

I agree with your disagreement when the daily chart concerned. but I am feeling not so confident from looking at weekly and monthly charts, the squeeze up can go even 500-600 pips from here, bit beyond my budget. I got no FED, ECB or even bank of Israel to bail me if something will go wrong :-)

tokyo rana 19:38 GMT January 7, 2011
GBP/CHF

Israel dil 19:23 dear friend,ithink gbpchf cud go to 1.56 markeet is expeting gbp rate hike thats why gbp strong this week....donot play on only charts....happy day,

to dr unken katt 19:30 GMT January 7, 2011
GBP/CHF



i disagree , its at the fibo level[dily]
on hour there s the double top , good short play

to dr unken katt 19:28 GMT January 7, 2011
GBP/CHF

i disagree , its an exellent short opport , daily at the fibo , onhourly u hav the double top

Israel dil 19:23 GMT January 7, 2011
GBP/CHF

GBP/CHF trade I took proved as bad timing. looking to exit the trade with minimal loss of pips. oops trade :-)

dc CB 19:10 GMT January 7, 2011
What's the buzz?

don't you just love stuff like this. not responsible?

US Bancorp: CNBC highlights US Bankcorp statement regarding lawsuit; co says that the judgement has no financial impact on it.
As a trustee, USB has no responsibility for the terms of the underlying mortgage or the procedure for which they are transferred.

GVI Forex john 18:29 GMT January 7, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

January 7 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, January 10:

  • Far East: Japan- Holiday, Australia- Retail Sales, China- Trade.
  • Europe: Switzerland- Retail Sales.
  • North America: No key data expected.
Updated: Trading Events Calendar


Mtl JP 18:24 GMT January 7, 2011
Ben vs. Trichet

dil 17:48 euro has good odds to see 1.26-1.25

GVI Forex john 18:23 GMT January 7, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

UPDATED Global-View Trading Events Calendar. Scheduled market-moving items.
Be sure to refresh forum after news to update Countdown Clock.

Lahore FM 18:20 GMT January 7, 2011
Trade Ideas

nzdusd and audusd just came down for a 2nd oppurtunity to get long.shud be heading higher soon.

dc CB 18:16 GMT January 7, 2011
What's the buzz?

GVI Forex john 17:48 GMT January 7, 2011
What's the buzz? : Reply
CB trying to figure out the ruling.

suggest that you open the ZH link to the ruling and read it.

The banks did not hold the mortgage when they initiated the forclosures. The papers they submitted to the court show that they were assigned the mortgages months after the property was sold.

to dr unken katt 18:16 GMT January 7, 2011
EUR/USD

gold should reverse 1st ,
the level to watch is 1360

Caribbean! Rafe... 18:08 GMT January 7, 2011
EUR/USD

the bounce target target should be 13073, just waiting for euro to finish it's movement then I can run a projection on it but the final figure won't be too far away from this level.

to dr unken katt 18:02 GMT January 7, 2011
.

exept this mornin , i was lured into the trap , euro was the lagger
now im short g/y and euro tp is the line on the map 2850 approx

to dr unken katt 18:00 GMT January 7, 2011
.

i only play the short side of euro

Tokyo Rana 17:58 GMT January 7, 2011
.

nyc s 17:53 GMT dear friend,still very hard to tell which is real bearish euro or usd over all both mixed.....happy trade,

nyc s 17:53 GMT January 7, 2011
.

katt I can't figure out if you are bearish or bullish eur

to dr unken katt 17:53 GMT January 7, 2011
EUR/USD



like this?

Israel dil 17:48 GMT January 7, 2011
Ben vs. Trichet

hi JP

cable 1.5200 = eur/usd 1.26 ?

GVI Forex john 17:48 GMT January 7, 2011
What's the buzz?

CB trying to figure out the ruling. I assume it means that no one has the standing to foreclose on the property? Pretty frightening with so many borrowers upside down on their mortgages. Too many will see this as a way to make a windfall. What a mess!

Mtl JP 17:38 GMT January 7, 2011
Ben vs. Trichet

dil 17:33 - no voice heard about Trichet
have a look at euro (chart) lately ?
-
USD is UP prettywell accross the board. Except against the CAD.
Market is currently in buying N/America theme.

Caribbean! Rafe... 17:38 GMT January 7, 2011
EUR/USD
Reply   
Next trade coming up is a EUR/USD Long.

Israel dil 17:33 GMT January 7, 2011
Ben vs. Trichet
Reply   
* Trichet Says ECB No Substitute for Government Irresponsibility

* The European Central Bank's bond buying programme is ongoing, ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet said on Friday, adding that he had no new message on the plan.

* Jean-Claude Trichet has called on eurozone leaders to step up their efforts to combat the region’s debt crisis, including slashing government deficits even more.

no voice heard about Trichet quotes, from the other hand Ben's transparency and straight answers gets hammered. but most important is Trichet pointing out that ECB has actually zero power. so, is there any better than SNB for now?

Cambridge Joe 17:26 GMT January 7, 2011
I'm in...

Rana// thanks !

I already covered entry @ 5017.
I may get bounced out..... but I ain't gettin burned again....
I only expect 20...30.... or so from any trade....
but once I'm risk free.... I can let it run.

Have a good weekend one and all.

dc CB 17:26 GMT January 7, 2011
What's the buzz?

*BANKS LOSE PIVOTAL FORECLOSURE CASE IN MASSACHUSETTS HIGH COURT
*MASSACHUSETTS TOP COURT DECIDES CLOSELY WATCHED IBANEZ CASE
*MASSACHUSETTS DECISION MAY AFFECT FORECLOSURE-CRISIS CASES

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/some-very-bad-news-sweep-fraudclosure-under-rub-brigade

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/presenting-full-ibanez-supreme-court-ruling

to dr unken katt 17:20 GMT January 7, 2011
.
Reply   
g/y looks contained at this level
it looks sell accord to the 4hr map

Tokyo Rana 17:19 GMT January 7, 2011
I'm in...

Cambridge Joe 17:15 dear friend,if me than iwill short gbpchf from 1.50 and on every 300pips...stop above 1.57 according to 4h long term 1.30.....happy trade,

dc CB 17:18 GMT January 7, 2011
What's the buzz?

it's more likely that there will be an another attempt to pass a law that retroactively makes what the banks have done legal, using MERS as an electronic transfer agent rather than tranfering each mortgage that is put into a security thru the required process --- which means going to the land transfer office in the county where the property is located, paying a transfer fee...etc......

They tried this already before the elections, and O did a "pocket veto", so it's still there in some form or another.

One thing is, with the states in dire straits now, collecting all those "fees" from the banks that were never paid because they circumvented the legal paper work, would help stressed state budgets.

I could go on .... Google MERS and you'll see that it's a legal nightmare created by the banks. This thing in one form or another will eventually go to the Supreme Court.

Cambridge Joe 17:15 GMT January 7, 2011
I'm in...
Reply   
SMS & Dil // thanks for the lead on GBPCHF short.
Now at long last my indicators are in agreement.

Thanks.

Mtl JP 17:02 GMT January 7, 2011
What's the buzz?

(mortgage) putback: putback is a forced repurchase of a security. typically because buyer claims misrepresentation / fraud.
-
something that Ben and a two-three hundered more billion in QE should be able to paper over ?

GVI Forex john 16:58 GMT January 7, 2011
What's the buzz?

- Looks like someone had some wood to chop in EURUSD all day. Probably unrelated to the data. In fact the data played into their hands.
- Pretty clear someone was on top above the 1.3000 line.
- No one reported significant upside stops in the EURUSD upside over the N.Y. morning on GVI.
- Someone cited the 200-day average (GV= 1.3061) as being a watershed for many. We have not gotten close to it yet.

Singapore SGFXTrader 16:54 GMT January 7, 2011
Euro has touch 1.2915, possibly on her way up to 1.30x level =p

GVI Forex Jay 16:54 GMT January 7, 2011
What's the buzz?

Euro popped up on this:

Friday, January 07, 2011 11:47:30 AM
(PO) Swiss National Bank (SNB) clarifies earlier reports, notes that no official decision has been made to not buy Portugal debt; states it has not bought Portugal bonds for 12 months - US financial press
- Notes that Portugal debt was never repo collateral for the SNB, no official decision has been made of late exclude Portugal's debt. (Trade the News)

GVI Forex Blog 16:52 GMT January 7, 2011 Reply   
FX trading was pretty choppy post payrolls data, with the greenback running a mixed tone against the major pairs. Overall dealers feel the theme is dominated by a weaker euro

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update

dc CB 16:34 GMT January 7, 2011
What's the buzz?

POMO - Fed purchased $7.199 bln of 2013/2014 maturities through Permanent Open Market Operations as dealers looked to put back $24.196 bln..

Also - Banks lose one at a state Supreme Court level. Two foreclosures were ruled invalid because the banks could not prove they owned the mortgages.

Massachusetts Supreme Court upheld a ruling against WFC and USB on their mortgage practices, specifically with regard to how the banks transferred mortgages into securitizations. The negative read-through comes from the idea that such a ruling may guide other rulings. This could invalidate some forclosures and increase mortgage putbacks to the banks that originated the mortgages.

Tokyo Rana 16:32 GMT January 7, 2011
Impact of NFP

kl fs 16:12 GMT dear friend,yes jpy short cud kill u...eurjpy break below as expected...long is best another 1/3months lets see now wat will say boj.....now focus on other central banks and usa yearly housing data and retail sale yearly prev retail sale 345billion...donot take it easy....happy day

Houston et 16:16 GMT January 7, 2011
Cable

Set to short Cable at 1.5590 if seen today

GVI Forex Blog 16:14 GMT January 7, 2011 Reply   
EUR/USD (a daily chart of which is shown) as of Friday (1/07/2011) on the heels of the Non-Farm Payrolls report dropped to a low of 1.2934, establishing a new 3-month low

EUR/USD Bearish First Week of 2011

kl fs 16:12 GMT January 7, 2011
Impact of NFP

yes Rana, jpy is the king! sell all jpy pairs especially usdjpy till end of January

GVI Forex Blog 16:10 GMT January 7, 2011 Reply   
The euro began the first week of 2011 on a stronger footing again. Reports of Chinese interest in eurozone peripheral bonds, upbeat economic data and thin trading presumably helped to lift EUR-USD to 1.34. During the course of the week, however, the euro began to tumble and had slipped below 1.30 by the end of the week.

FX Briefing - Euro: A weak start to the New Year

Houston et 16:10 GMT January 7, 2011
Cable
Reply   
Outside Day in an Inside Week!

Caribbean! Rafe... 16:10 GMT January 7, 2011
Impact of NFP

Euro has to attack 12900 lvl first before any upside movements, then again 12900 can fail to hold then we would target sub 127 lvl.

Israel dil 16:10 GMT January 7, 2011
GBP/CHF

Sell GBPCHF
Entry: 1.5 avg Target: open Stop: 1.5075

sold more at 1.5020 and lowered stops to 1.5075

Singapore SGFXTrader 16:09 GMT January 7, 2011
Impact of NFP

Hero of the DAY : Eur, the ultimate tanker!

Tokyo Rana 16:04 GMT January 7, 2011
Impact of NFP

Singapore SGFXTrader 16:02 dear friend,it was clear like crystal imention this point this week about adp usdjpy will say hello to 79 usdjpy is not long usdjpy is short...happy day

Cambridge Joe 16:04 GMT January 7, 2011
will it or won't it ?
Reply   
London SMS 14:36

I am TRYING to 'watch this drop'..... but it won't.
Should I put a note in my diary ?? LOL ! :)

GVI Forex Jay 16:02 GMT January 7, 2011
Impact of NFP

Offsets from weak euro crosses continue to place a cap on the eur/usd upside. Under other circumstances it would be trading higher but other factors are in play weighing on the euro.

Singapore SGFXTrader 16:02 GMT January 7, 2011
Impact of NFP

ADP unemployment figures a fluke, US Non-farm payroll a joke, Bernanke a fairy-tale story teller and EURUSD a jelly-faggot!

to dr unken katt 15:57 GMT January 7, 2011
Impact of NFP

dont forget to add dear friend

Tokyo Rana 15:55 GMT January 7, 2011
Impact of NFP

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:54 donot worry it willl take time when everyone short eurusd then it will be around 1.35/1.40...happy day,

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:54 GMT January 7, 2011
Impact of NFP

Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Haha, so confident that Eurusd will break 1.30?

Eurusd has been capped under 1.30 like a mushroom!

SmurF!

Eurusd, please sing this song "I want to break free, i want to breakkkkkkkk freeeeeeeee!"

Tokyo Rana 15:53 GMT January 7, 2011
jpy..................

short usdjpy another 30pips pluus...short usdjpy like a money making machine....happy day

Houston et 15:45 GMT January 7, 2011
Impact of NFP

Once London is out, we may actually see a rise towards 1.3050 even 1.3080. Let's see!

London ex 15:41 GMT January 7, 2011
Impact of NFP

Interesting how EURUSD has been capped around the 1.3000 area. Key will be if it continues to hold solidly through the London close. I would be uncomfortable to be short here.

Caribbean! Rafe... 15:37 GMT January 7, 2011
What's the buzz?

Mtl JP 15:13 GMT January 7, 2011

He may just be in collusion with spider man... lol

GVI Forex john 15:37 GMT January 7, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

UPDATED Global-View IMM (CME) Futures Swap Points. G-V Forex Spot to Futures Calculator (and back).

Mtl JP 15:13 GMT January 7, 2011
What's the buzz?

Bernanke .. looking pretty wise at the moment
as a teller of fairy tale story built on magic

London SMS 14:36 GMT January 7, 2011
order triggered.
Reply   
Sell GBPCHF
Entry: 1.50 Target: 1.44 Stop: 1.5180

Watch this drop.

lkwd jj 14:35 GMT January 7, 2011
silver
Reply   
broke 2960 on downside but found support near 50 ma . bounced to 29. intraday spikes can also hurt.

GVI Forex john 14:31 GMT January 7, 2011
What's the buzz?

- What a start to the day!
- Bottom-line, setting market expectations aside, the employment report was disappointing. Jobs growth still remains slow.
- Analysts still seem to be touting a one month explosion at some point in the future.
- QE2 is alive and well. A future iteration is still possible if things don;t start to improve substantially.
- Bernanke Testimony shortly. He is looking pretty wise at the moment.
- EURUSD weak PLUS EUR is weak on its crosses.
- Commodity Currencies (AUD, CAD. NZD) are stronger.



Blore RKG 14:27 GMT January 7, 2011
.euro

Jay, unconfirmed but hearing the same name that was buying cable last few days behind bids. Once he is out of the way.. things can change.

to dr unken katt 14:25 GMT January 7, 2011
.euro
Reply   
2850 is ideal level for long

GVI Forex Jay 14:25 GMT January 7, 2011
.euro

I posted this on GVI Forex

GVI Forex Jay 14:12 GMT January 7, 2011
NFP: Reply
It looks like GBP (firmer) is being used to hedge short eur/usd positions.


Singapore SGFXTrader 14:23 GMT January 7, 2011
.euro

Hi,

Euro is worth buying at current level. High upside provided the force hammering eur will stop for the time being...till next week

tokyo rana 14:20 GMT January 7, 2011
jpy..................

again short usdjpy 30pips hiher and long audusd 15pips lower....happy day

nyc ws 14:19 GMT January 7, 2011
.euro

Singapore. Why did you go long after sounding bearish?

Lahore FM 14:19 GMT January 7, 2011
Trade Ideas

Revdax 0.7670 nzdusd and 1.0070 audusd for near term.

Mtl JP 14:18 GMT January 7, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

john 14:04 only coz Ron Paul will not be doing any of the asking

HK REVDAX 14:14 GMT January 7, 2011
Trade Ideas

FM//Any near term targets for nzd and aud? Tks

Singapore SGFXTrader 14:13 GMT January 7, 2011
.euro

Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Hi,

EurUSD seems to have strong resistance at 1.30 level now.
Quite weak since asian hours.

I am going long now.
Target 100-150 pips.

to dr unken katt 14:09 GMT January 7, 2011
.euro
Reply   
added euro longo at the bottom , kind of heavy
in comparison with da cable . initial target the PP at 60

GVI Forex john 14:04 GMT January 7, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

Bernanke should have no trouble defending QE2.

tokyo rana 14:03 GMT January 7, 2011
jpy..................

Cambridge Joe 14:00 dear friend,thanx for post.....this was good...happy day.

Mtl JP 14:02 GMT January 7, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

john - Ben will be presewnting his Economic Outlook report to Senate Banking Committee. Something of which his past visions and predictions have consistently been widely off the mark.
It is expected he ll be taking questions.

Cambridge Joe 14:00 GMT January 7, 2011
jpy..................

Good for you Rana !
Pleased to hear it.
I'm on the sidelines right now... never seen anything like it...
scared !

London ex 13:59 GMT January 7, 2011
Impact of NFP

Looking back to Wednesday, the ADP private jobs forecast, which was ridiculous, was the cause of all the hype. The number released was in line with the original forecasts. Remember in the future that U.S. jobs data mostly have been coming in short of estimates.

Honestly, the subsequent price action in EURUSD is very suspect to me.

tokyo rana 13:57 GMT January 7, 2011
jpy..................

usdjpy 50plus...audusd 30pips plus..all closed....happy day

Caribbean! Rafe... 13:56 GMT January 7, 2011
GBP/JPY
Reply   
I placed an order earlier in the day to long GBP/JPY from 12840 and it missed by 4 pips before spiking up to 12900.

The day is not yet done... it will retest my level, for target 12990.

jkt-aye 13:49 GMT January 7, 2011
NFP

a glass of milkshake is better than this, imo

GVI Forex john 13:47 GMT January 7, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

Don't forget Bernanke testifies in just over a half-hour.

sofia kaprikorn 13:46 GMT January 7, 2011
NFP
Reply   
haha imagine Barclays FX with their > 500k NFP projection circulating after the ADP was released - who they are trying to lie...

Lahore FM 13:45 GMT January 7, 2011
Trade Ideas

nzdusd to benefit as much as audusd.its also technically ripe for a rise.

GVI Forex john 13:42 GMT January 7, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

After revisions data more or less in line with expectations...

Monthly jobs U.S.


Click on chart for more than 10-yr history

Lahore FM 13:41 GMT January 7, 2011
Trade Ideas

audusd best suited to short usd in view of headline being weak.

gbpusd is a buy too while above 1.5460/70

Israel dil 13:41 GMT January 7, 2011
GBP/CHF
Reply   
Sell GBPCHF
Entry: 1.4980 Target: open Stop: 1.5130

let's see what's going to develop from here :-)

getting long CHF also in other pairs, crosses.

tokyo rana 13:40 GMT January 7, 2011
jpy..................

thats why i short usd$ today...

Israel dil 13:37 GMT January 7, 2011
CHF
Reply   
good time to buy CHF, isn't it?

Cambridge Joe 13:36 GMT January 7, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

WOW !!
How could you know that ??

GVI Forex john 13:35 GMT January 7, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

Upward revision in October data +210 K vs +172K also.

to dr unken katt 13:32 GMT January 7, 2011
.euro
Reply   
exellent news ,

GVI Forex john 13:31 GMT January 7, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

ALERT
Entry: Target: Stop:

-- ALERT --

December U.S.
Employment: +103K (Nov rev +71K)
Unemployment rate:9.4%



Cambridge Joe 13:30 GMT January 7, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

Mailman// looking forward to it..... as long as it surges 30+ in any direction...... it's all good to me !

Richland QC Mailman 13:28 GMT January 7, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

Brace yourselves for another epic see-saw, whipsawing market happening in a minute!

Cambridge Joe 13:26 GMT January 7, 2011
may be too soon....

USDCAD... signs still too weak to be clear... I'm leaving it for now.

London SFH 13:26 GMT January 7, 2011
confused

Think it might ,but if so it will be short lived...gl/gt

HK REVDAX 13:17 GMT January 7, 2011
confused

I think gold is going to bounce a bit from here...views?

Cambridge Joe 13:15 GMT January 7, 2011
may be too soon....
Reply   
it may be too soon to long USDCAD.... but I'm seeing initial signs on the one minute chart of course....
Sorry to say I bailed at a res level for only +31, but that's not too bad for me.

GVI Forex john 13:09 GMT January 7, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

EVENT @ 13:30 GMT
IMPACT = HIGH
U.S. Nonfarm Payroll Employment

Non-Farm Payroll Employment is a monthly estimate of the number of payroll jobs at all nonfarm business establishments and government agencies. Information is also provided on the average number of hours worked per week and average hourly and weekly earnings.

The rate of unemployment is released along with this report.

Impact: Growth of employment and hours worked provide important information about the current and likely future pace of overall economic growth. Trends in average hourly earnings provide information about supply and demand conditions in labor markets, which may provide signals about the overall level of resource utilization in the economy.

London ex 13:05 GMT January 7, 2011
Impact of NFP

Sleeper item today could be a revision to the unexpectedly weak November data.

nyc ws 13:04 GMT January 7, 2011
Impact of NFP

Zandi was also optimistic down the road for jobs.

London ex 13:03 GMT January 7, 2011
Impact of NFP
Reply   
Mark Zandi said a while ago that a NFP reading BELOW +100K would be a major disappointment and that ABOVE +200K would be very constructive. That suggests to me 1.30-1.35 on a bad report and 1.25-1.30 on a good report. Otherwise 1.30 middle??

jkt-aye 12:53 GMT January 7, 2011
confused
Reply   
gold 1393 today ?

Dubai SAS 12:47 GMT January 7, 2011
Sell USDCAD

Mailman - yeah it was more like a lucky second chance on this trade .. could have taken the profit about a day and a half back .. covered half then with a stop @ 1.0015 which held today ... out of it now cause i expect USD weakness after the NFP and contagian spread towards CAD ... GL

GVI Forex Blog 12:44 GMT January 7, 2011 Reply   
The market has been trading on the US employment report and Non-Farm Payrolls since Wednesday’s surprise leap in jobs reported in the monthly ADP survey. This saw the dollar firm, led by a falling euro,

Forex - Technicals Ahead of US Jobs Report

Richland QC Mailman 12:37 GMT January 7, 2011
Sell USDCAD

Ah ok. As I see the charts, the pair seems to be behaving erratically. What a very great timing SAS!

GVI Forex Blog 12:34 GMT January 7, 2011 Reply   
Dollar-Swiss has been trading below 0.9650 since the Asian session today and we see chanc es of further dip towards 0.96-550 in the US session today.

FX Thoughts for the day : 07-Jan--2011 - 1223 GMT

Dubai SAS 12:34 GMT January 7, 2011
Sell USDCAD

Richland QC Mailman 12:32 GMT January 7, 2011

CAD Employment data out better then expected ... cheers !

Richland QC Mailman 12:32 GMT January 7, 2011
Sell USDCAD

Wow. Congrats! What happened to this pair when almost all the majors are almost stationary?

Dubai SAS 12:24 GMT January 7, 2011
Sell USDCAD

Dubai SAS 17:38 GMT January 4, 2011
Sell USDCAD : Reply
Entry: 1.0030 Target: Open Stop: 1.0115 Bid
Short now ....
Covered @ 9937 for +93

rest out @ 9931 for + 99

GVI Forex Jay 12:12 GMT January 7, 2011
Tech Talk



12:10 GMT (Global-View.com) - The market has been trading on the US employment report and Non-Farm Payrolls since Wednesday’s surprise leap in jobs reported in the monthly ADP survey. This saw the dollar firm, led by a falling euro, as forecasts for today’s Non-Farm Payrolls were marked higher. This sets the stage for today’s US employment report fireworks with a focus on the EUR/USD 1.30 level, which traded below it Friday for the second day in a row, As the daily chart shows (see below) there was severe technical damage inflicted yesterday:

EUR/USD daily chart )intra-day range so far 1.2960-1.3020):

- broke below 200 day mva (1.3084), trendline (1.3095 today) and key 1.3056 yesterday
- weak euro crosses gave the clue yesterday
- 1.30 clearly determines what comes next
- key support level is 1.2968, briefly broken overnight.
- firm break of 1.2968 would expose 1.2645, 1.2626 and key 1.2587
- above 1.3056 would be needed to slow the risk, above the former trendline and 200 day mva to neutralize
- This sets the stage for today’s NFP roulette at 13:30 GMT where there is risk on both sides on the headline. However, given technicals, logic suggests market should take any “buy the rumor, sell the fact” reaction, should one occur, as an opportunity to fade unless levels posted above are firmly renewed.

GVI Forex john 12:09 GMT January 7, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support



ECONOMIC DATA CHART
Entry: Target: Stop:

Canadian Jobs starting to improve again?

GVI Forex john 12:00 GMT January 7, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

DATA
Entry: Target: Stop:

-- ALERT --

December Canada
Employment: +22.0K
Unemployment rate:7.6%



London CD 11:56 GMT January 7, 2011
Canadian jobs
Reply   
Canadian jobs coming up next

GVI Forex john 11:44 GMT January 7, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

Trading Resources...



GVI Forex john 11:36 GMT January 7, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

USD PIVOT POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Some of these levels could be useful today?

Pivots	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD	NZDUSD
Res 3	1.3295	83.99	0.9798	1.5648	1.0069	1.0069	0.7644
Res 2	1.3233	83.69	0.9752	1.5604	1.0031	1.0042	0.7624
Res 1	1.3123	83.49	0.9702	1.5537	0.9997	0.9989	0.7596

Pivot	1.3061	83.19	0.9656	1.5493	0.9959	0.9962	0.7576

Sup 1	1.2951	82.99	0.9606	1.5426	0.9925	0.9909	0.7548
Sup 2	1.2889	82.69	0.9560	1.5382	0.9887	0.9882	0.7528
Sup 3	1.2779	82.49	0.9510	1.5315	0.9853	0.9829	0.7500

GVI Forex john 11:35 GMT January 7, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

Event @ 12:00 GMT
IMPACT = HIGH
CANADA Employment Data / Unemployment Rate


Employment is a monthly estimate of the number of payroll jobs and government agencies. The rate of unemployment is released along with this report.

Impact: Growth of employment provides important information about the current and likely future pace of overall economic growth and future monetary policy. Most analysts prefer to watch the employment data rather than the unemployment rate, which is also impacted by changes to the labor force (denominator of the ratio).

Other statistics watched are the breakdown between full and part-time jobs and the labor participation rate.

GVI Forex Blog 11:22 GMT January 7, 2011 Reply   
The dollar rose to a four-month high versus the euro and a one-month high against a basket of currencies on Friday ahead of U.S. jobs data, although dollar bulls risked disappointment if it fell short of expectations.

FOREX NEWS - Euro hits 4-mth low, dlr prices in strong US jobs

Monaco Oil man 11:07 GMT January 7, 2011
Oil Man

Buying a few strategic billions wont hurt China when they have Trillions of "toxic" USD papers...

GVI Forex Blog 11:04 GMT January 7, 2011 Reply   
The USD continued to benefit from expectations of an upside' surprise in the Dec Nonfarm Payroll data (fueled by the ADP report earlier this week) and the lingering Euro-area debt concerns. The EUR/USD tested 1.2960 for fresh 3 month lows as the session commenced.

TradeTheNews.com European Market Update: Dealers putting Payroll whisper number north of 300K but some ponder whether the ADP result was 'false hope"

Cambridge Joe 11:04 GMT January 7, 2011
Five Flags of Victory...!

USDCAD short ..probably take the 20 now, cause it'll bounce a little.

Cambridge Joe 10:43 GMT January 7, 2011
Five Flags of Victory...!

USDCAD short covered entry @ 1.0000
taking a long time to move....

GVI Forex Blog 10:29 GMT January 7, 2011 Reply   
11:00 GMT (Global-View.com) January 7- all the markets today are waiting for the outcome of the December non-farm payrolls on the New York open. Following the stronger than expected ADP private employment report, the markets have become priced to perfection with the EURUSD breaking through the 1.300 level late Thursday.

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- Payrolls Critical

Cambridge Joe 10:11 GMT January 7, 2011
Five Flags of Victory...!
Reply   
Just taken a small short on USDCAD. for maybe 20 pips.

Please be assured that yesterday, the Five Flags of Victory gag was a joke ...!

Lighten up guys !

Mtl JP 09:58 GMT January 7, 2011
Oil Man

Oil man -re "China buying" ... beyond "pledges" to buy into the zombies I have not yet seen China actually buy anything. Need to see the beef and the fine print.

BERN DS 09:58 GMT January 7, 2011
love it
Reply   
Oil man... love your predictions... Oil to 180 (with comdolls flying),
Wheat to 600,
EURCHF to parity,

great stuff... volatility will be higher than usual. so position size has to be cut a little... thanks for sharing..

Monaco Oil man 09:43 GMT January 7, 2011
Oil Man

Thanks,


I like to come on year s end and start...This year will be probably one of the most interesting that we have yet seen..

With the deflation spiral keeping its march, China buying a foot (if not more) into Europe...Oil and Commodities (along FX ComDolls) keeping their marathon..At the same time, hunger will strike till july (and to my guess even way longer)...Will gold keep going while all this is happening? Probably though, gold with its nice yellow aspect cant be eaten & has no use in warfare...Meaning I see it cool down, while the rest keeps going to new high (and specs moving in other speculative positions)..

Oil to 180 (with comdolls flying),
Wheat to 600,
EURCHF to parity,

aye, happy new year , best wishes for 2011.

London SFH 09:40 GMT January 7, 2011
Gold : Critical Point 1347.4

Sentiment for actual physical demand varies all over the place with bulls stressing the idea of huge physical demand below $1400.00...bears refer to that notion as just "false hope". Below 1361.35 further reinforces a top in place and and could trigger losses through 1350.30/1329.45. A daily close above a H&S neckline (1385.00) defers.

Hong Kong Qindex 09:38 GMT January 7, 2011
Gold : Critical Point 1347.4
Reply   
Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

Gold : As shown in the monthly cycle charts the market is going to challenge the supporting strength of 1357.2. The monthly cycle directional indicator suggests that speculative selling pressure will increase when the market is trading below 1347.4.


Monthly Cycle Directional Indicator : [1347.4] - 1380.6 - 1396.9 - 1412.6 - 1422.5 - 1423.9* - 1448.5 - [1462.4] - 1463.7* - 1488.0 - [1556.8]* - 1587.7*


Qindex.com

BERN DS 09:21 GMT January 7, 2011
Oil Man
Reply   
Welcome back Oil man- nice seeing you here- you are most needed for your expert comments ! Thanks for all ...

Monaco Oil man 09:14 GMT January 7, 2011
Portugal Could Need Bailout Soon -Citi

Yes though buzying more CAD and KOR , NOK looks more interesting than selling the euro at this point?

Syd 09:12 GMT January 7, 2011
Portugal Could Need Bailout Soon -Citi
Reply   
Monaco Oil man 08:51 lets hope so :-))

Portugal is likely to access the European Financial Stability Facility soon and several sovereign debt restructurings are likely in the euro area zone in the next few years, says Willem Buiter of Citi. In the European debt crisis "we have only seen the opening and second act, with the rest of the plot still evolving," he says, adding that the risk of default is manifest in all of western Europe, but especially in the periphery of the euro area. Buiter says Ireland's financial support package has only bought time and the current size of the liquidity facilities looks insufficient to fund Spain completely for three years. Portugal/Germany Yield spread is 11 basis points wider at 411.9 bps.

Monaco Oil man 08:51 GMT January 7, 2011
hunger and wheat
Reply   
Syd 07:36 GMT January 7, 2011


Afternoon,


well wheat does look ready to topple out latest high around 450 this year before july.

tokyo rana 08:34 GMT January 7, 2011
No patience

Hamburg cc 08:15 dear friend,it is already tested....anyways im usdjpy 83.55....happy trade to you....

Hamburg cc 08:15 GMT January 7, 2011
No patience
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Can anyone imagine 1.29686 Nov. 30 low NOT being tested shortly?

tokyo rana 07:53 GMT January 7, 2011
jpy..................

Sell USDJPY
Entry: 84.44 if seen pending Target: 79.8 Stop: later

sorry orders changed but doubt usdjpy will go above 84.00....happy day

tokyo rana 07:50 GMT January 7, 2011
jpy..................

Sell AUDJPY
Entry: 83.90/84.30pending Target: open Stop: later

happy day...........

tokyo rana 07:49 GMT January 7, 2011
jpy..................

Sell CHFJPY
Entry: pending around 88 Target: open Stop: later

on this home page have good info.....
http://www.forecast-chart.com/forecast-gdp-rate.html

Syd 07:36 GMT January 7, 2011
Australia Floods Cause Months, Possibly Years, of Damage
Reply   
Australia's flood-stricken coal industry may face months of disruptions as reports emerge of key rail and road links being washed away, while some infrastructure may take years to repair, authorities said on Friday.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/40957143
Are Speculators Adding to World Hunger?

Are Speculators Adding to World Hunger?
http://www.cnbc.com/id/40958201

tokyo rana 07:27 GMT January 7, 2011
jpy..................

Sell USDJPY
Entry: 83.53 Target: 79.80 Stop: later

happy day,

tokyo rana 07:26 GMT January 7, 2011
jpy..................

Buy AUDUSD
Entry: 0.995 Target: open Stop: later

still hold............happy day,

tokyo rana 07:21 GMT January 7, 2011
jpy..................

Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.306avg Target: open Stop: later

but very small position now everyone scared to long euro and im long for 300/1000pips...happy day

tokyo rana 07:20 GMT January 7, 2011
jpy..................
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.298 Target: open Stop: later

bought.........next week buy jpy or usd$ against aud....audjpy short orders pending 83.9/84.3 or short between audusd 1.02/1.05.............................happy day,

jerusalem kb 06:55 GMT January 7, 2011
euraud

delete order

Kaunas DP 06:54 GMT January 7, 2011
buy eur/usd
Reply   
stopped yesterday at 1.3033, however still fishing with longs:

long 1.2993; SL 1.2943; TP open

tokyo rana 05:51 GMT January 7, 2011
Buy the YEN Break-out

is it anyone have usa wholesale data numbers?thanx in advance.....happy day,

GVI Forex Blog 05:01 GMT January 7, 2011 Reply   
The US equities closed lower after disappointing weekly jobless claims report released yesterday.

Morning Briefing : 07-Jan-2011 -0336 GMT

Richland QC Mailman 04:59 GMT January 7, 2011
Buy the YEN Break-out

Right. Could extend to 84.20/30 resistance area then retrace but I think it will eventually yield. This could be a very strong upmove. Let us see.

to dr unken katt 04:48 GMT January 7, 2011
Buy the YEN Break-out

loox like tp of 84 on 4hr

Richland QC Mailman 04:37 GMT January 7, 2011
Buy the YEN Break-out
Reply   
Buy USDJPY
Entry: 83.40 Target: open Stop: 83.20

Bought 2 lots on speculation this is already a valid break-out.

Yen fanatics out there, this could be it.

Syd 03:44 GMT January 7, 2011
Yuan to rise 5-6 percent in 2011: China central bank adviser
Reply   
Reuters) - The yuan is expected to rise between 5 and 6 percent this year against the U.S. dollar, Li Daokui, an adviser to China's central bank, was quoted as saying in a local newspaper.
In anticipation of that, some traders have speculated that China may lay the ground for currency talks by letting the yuan rise as much as 2 percent in the first quarter alone.
LINK

Hong Kong 02:46 GMT January 7, 2011
AUD/USD Intra-day signal by AceTrader
Reply   
AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

INTRADAY TRADING SIGNAL BY ACETRADER.COM: AUD/USD

AUD/USD : 0.9955

Last Update At 07 Jan 2011 02:28 GMT

Despite aud's resumption of recent decline fm
1.0275 top, subsequent recovery fm 0.9919 suggests
consolidation is seen for gain to 0.9955, however,
reckon upside shud be ltd to 0.9970 n yield re-test
of said sup, below wud extend to 0.9890 later.

Sell on further pullback with stop as indicated,
abv wud risk stronger gain to 0.9996/00.

Range Forecast
0.9925 / 0.9955

Resistance/Support
R: 0.9950/0.9996/1.0022
S: 0.9919/0.9890/0.9830

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Syd 01:26 GMT January 7, 2011
Terror threat to London stations and airports
Reply   
Train stations across London have been put on high alert amid fears of a terrorist attack on transport hubs.
LNK

GVI Forex Blog 01:22 GMT January 7, 2011 Reply   
US Dollar vs Chinese Yuan (CH) PBoC sets yuan mid point at 6.6341 v 6.6265 prior close - Prior setting 6.6322

US Dollar vs Chinese Yuan (CH) PBoC sets yuan mid point

Hong Kong 01:00 GMT January 7, 2011
Daily FX Market Outlook by AceTrader-7-1-2011
Reply   
Market Review - 06/01/2011 21:36 GMT

Euro falls below $1.30 level to a 5-week low against dollar

The single currency tumbled to a five-week low against the dollar on Thursday as the recent release of upbeat U.S. economic data painted a rosier picture of the US economy while worries over the European sovereign debt crisis continued to pressure euro. Traders would pay attention to the release of U.S. non-farm payroll data due out on Friday following the strong ADP jobs data released earlier this week.

The single currency remained under pressure after meeting renewed selling at 1.3170 in Asian morning on lingering concerns over European sovereign debt crises. Price eventually edged lower and once fell below 1.3000 level and reached 1.2997 in NY before recovery.

In other news, the Daily Telegraph reported that the European Commission would discuss a plan to spread the cost of bank failures to senior bond holders. Bloomberg also reported that the EU might give regulators power to block new products and limit trading risks at banks deemed too big to fail.

The spreads between peripheral eurozone government bond yields and German debt widened on Thursday as driven by gains in Portuguese yields following Portugal's debt agency said it would issue a total of between 750 million euros and 1.25 billion euros in two bond maturities at an auction on Jan 12.

The greenback traded narrowly against the Japanese yen after marginal rise above Wednesday's high of 83.38 to 83.40 at Tokyo opening. The greenback retreated from there and then edged lower to 82.88 but the pair managed to rebound and spent the rest of the day inside the range of 82.88-83.40 as traders waited for the release of US non-farm payroll data on Friday.

The British pound initially edged higher in Asia but cable fell immediately after the release of a surprise sharp fall in December U.K. PMI Services index, which actually came in at 49.7 vs forecast of 52.8. The index dropped below the 50.0 mark to a 20-month low, analysts attributed this sharp drop to the severe wintry conditions which hit the U.K. last month. Sterling declined from London morning high of 1.5564 after the data and eventually fell to 1.5450 in NY.

Economic indicators to be released on Friday include:

Swiss Unemployment rate, Germany trade data and Industrial production, EU GDP, US non-farm payrolls and jobs data.

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Syd 00:38 GMT January 7, 2011
China to Let Yuan Rise 5% in 2011, Says Official Newspaper
Reply   
China will let the yuan rise about 5 percent against the dollar in 2011 as it needs a stronger currency to combat inflation and avert asset bubbles
http://www.cnbc.com/id/40920574

GVI Forex Jay 00:36 GMT January 7, 2011
Tech Talk

Note the bounce off major support at 1.2968. This was the key level before the test and now even more significant.

5 minute line broken. Started at 16:00 GMT so about 7 1/2 hours acted as a guide.

Market now digs in for the US jobs report.

Syd 00:34 GMT January 7, 2011
Germany Closes More Than 4,700 Farms After Dioxin Scare -Ministry
Reply   
AUD Should Underperform Peers Near-Term - MS
The AUD will likely underperform its commodity peers in the near term, especially given the risk of more China tightening, and shorting the AUD/CAD is one way to express that view, says Morgan Stanley Strategist Emma Lawson. The longer term outlook is less clear, given that the rebuild effort after Queensland's floods will offset the initial disruption to GDP; but she says the risk to the AUD outlook is to the downside. She adds ultimately, inflation expectations will be key. "If the market is concerned about the RBA's ability to manage higher inflation and lower domestic economic growth, then the AUD will face negative pressure which reflects these risks."
PRESS RELEASE: Floods Add Pressure to Queensland's Fiscal Position - Fitch ratings agency will review Queensland’s credit rating in the light of the current floods which will hamper the vital mining industry for months
CHINA'S MOST AUDACIOUS RIP-OFF YET: The Beijing Version Of Dubai's Burj Khalifa
http://www.businessinsider.com/china-copies-burj-khalifa-2011-1
The Market Is Seeing Right Through Chinese Promises To Keep Investing In Spain
www.businessinsider.com/the-market-is-seeing-right-through-chinese-promises-to-keep-investing-in-spain-2011-1#ixzz1AIqIAtVK
Wall Street Wonders if Goldman Will Double-cross
http://www.cnbc.com/id/40949180

SF WM 00:33 GMT January 7, 2011
eur 1.3 busted....

Too choppy for my liking. Wait until the data tomorrow.

jerusalem kb 00:27 GMT January 7, 2011
GOLD
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: 1360 Target: 1330-open Stop: 1382

placed a sell stop

tokyo ginko 00:07 GMT January 7, 2011
eur 1.3 busted....

oh and AUD/CAD position too

tokyo ginko 00:05 GMT January 7, 2011
eur 1.3 busted....

hi Zeus, good morning from Tokyo.

Currently hold no EUR/USD position, only long USD/CAD and USD/JPY. (medium term position).

see u at 1.277777!

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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