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Forex Forum Archive for 01/08/2011

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dc CB 22:41 GMT January 8, 2011
Debt default fears will spread to US and Japan, warns Citigroup's Willem Buiter

Earlier in the week, 2 similar mail bombs were addressed to the Governor of Maryland in Annapolis.

"A package addressed to Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano ignited in a District postal facility Friday......

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/01/07/AR2011010706535.html



Tonbridge AL 22:32 GMT January 8, 2011
Videos
Reply   
Weekly setup videos for the EUR/USD and GBP/USD for the week ahead
Click here to access the videos

Syd 22:30 GMT January 8, 2011
Debt default fears will spread to US and Japan, warns Citigroup's Willem Buiter
Reply   
Citigroup's Willem Buiter
Fears about the finances of eurozone nations will spread around the world to engulf the US and Japan, former Bank of England policy maker Willem Buiter has warned.
LINK

Arizona Rep. Giffords Shot in Tucson .
LINK

Germany, France Concerned About Portugal, Talk Bailout Option -Report
The German and French governments worry that Portugal could soon lose access to capital markets and should apply for aid from the European Union's new bailout facility, Germany's Der Spiegel magazine reports on its website Saturday.

LINK

TEHRAN (AFP)--Atomic chief Ali Akbar Salehi declared in a report Saturday that Iran is now capable of making its own nuclear fuel plates and rods, technology the West says the Islamic republic doesn't possess.

Cambridge Joe 21:50 GMT January 8, 2011
Crystal Balls..!

Please note.... this is just my impression of where it is going.... Not where it has been.

Crystal balls at the ready !

Cambridge Joe 21:26 GMT January 8, 2011
Crystal Balls..!
Reply   
Just trying something here.

I have EURUSD as Lower in every time frame.
USDJPY + 25 in immediate and up generally.
GBPUSD down 40 then lower.
USDCHF up and up. IF it gets past 9710 it will sky.
USDCAD up 40 and up, perhaps for a few days.
AUSUSD down around 30 then substantial up, perhaps for 4 ...5 days.
IMHO.

General theme speaks of USD strong with the exception of AUS.
Make of it what you will, I'm only experimenting.
I look forward to seeing if it turns out to be anything more than moonshine !

hillegom purk 20:39 GMT January 8, 2011
to VIX or not to VIX.

Oily Boily is back!

Monaco Oil man 18:28 GMT January 8, 2011
to VIX or not to VIX.
Reply   


Year 2010, seen as VIX.

GVI Forex john 18:25 GMT January 8, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

Looking at the pivot points below, the 1.2950 pivit in EURUSD psychologically looks about right. Furthermore, resistance 1 at 1.2994, which is basically 1.3000, looks about right as well.

My focus is more on the topside than the bottom.

GVI Forex john 18:19 GMT January 8, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

USD PIVOT POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Pivots	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD	NZDUSD
Res 3	1.3107	84.32	0.9785	1.5787	1.0080	1.0087	0.7734
Res 2	1.3063	84.00	0.9737	1.5683	1.0041	1.0041	0.7686
Res 1	1.2994	83.51	0.9703	1.5619	0.9976	1.0002	0.7651

Pivot	1.2950	83.19	0.9655	1.5515	0.9937	0.9956	0.7603

Sup 1	1.2881	82.70	0.9621	1.5451	0.9872	0.9917	0.7568
Sup 2	1.2837	82.38	0.9573	1.5347	0.9833	0.9871	0.7520
Sup 3	1.2768	81.89	0.9539	1.5283	0.9768	0.9832	0.7485

Monaco Oil man 17:57 GMT January 8, 2011
EURUSD~>1.26~>1.18->1

Hello Gecko,


We're back to the famous Queen's Olympic summersault.

Still a big hat off to the 2.XX dive you posted about, awhile ago -)


Cheers.

Hong Kong Qindex 16:57 GMT January 8, 2011
EUR/USD : Critical Support 1.2830
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : Critical Support 1.2830


EUR/USD : The bias is on the downside when the market is below the barrier at 1.3014 // 1.3031. A critical supporting point is located at 1.2830.


Qindex.com

GVI Forex john 16:49 GMT January 8, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

By way of contrast, the USDJPY spot and moving averages all the way out to the 100-day average are in a relatively narrow cluster. Only the 200-day average 86.56 is showing some movement. Clearly the JPY is gaining some ground on the EUR.

GVI Forex john 16:44 GMT January 8, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

You can see an interesting picture in the profile of the moving agerages below. Note in the various EURUSD readings that the 5-, 10- and 20-day moving averages cluster from about 1.3150 to 1.3200. the 50- and 100-day averages roughly are 1.3400. Lastly the one year (200-day) level is 1.3080.

so
1) 1.3150-1.3200
2) 1.3400
3) 1.3080

The spot rate (1.2924 close) has made a decisive move from the various clusters in the latest week.

GVI Forex john 16:29 GMT January 8, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

USD MOVING AVERAGES
Entry: Target: Stop:

Latest	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD	NZDUSD
Last	1.2924	83.03	0.9668	1.5556	0.9910	0.9964	0.7617
High	1.3020	83.67	0.9690	1.5578	1.0003	0.9994	0.7637
Low	1.2907	82.86	0.9608	1.5410	0.9899	0.9909	0.7554
Change	-0.0090	-0.26	0.0017	0.0087	-0.0053	0.0027	0.0048

MVA	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD	NZDUSD
5 day	1.3147	82.67	0.9560	1.5519	0.9952	1.0020	0.7632
10 day	1.3201	82.16	0.9483	1.5491	0.9970	1.0090	0.7660
20 day	1.3185	82.86	0.9551	1.5500	1.0035	1.0026	0.7548
50 day	1.3387	82.90	0.9730	1.5733	1.0081	0.9935	0.7617
100 day	1.3392	83.08	0.9819	1.5712	1.0190	0.9722	0.7486
200 day	1.3080	86.56	1.0346	1.5415	1.0259	0.9282	0.7272

TREND	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD	NZDUSD
BIAS	Down	Down	Up	Up	Down	Down	Up

Hong Kong Qindex 13:08 GMT January 8, 2011
Crude Oil : Critical Point 87.46
Reply   
Crude
Entry: Target: Stop:

Crude Oil : Critical Point 87.46


This week the market hit a low and a high at 88.03 and 91.55 respectively and it closed at 88.03. As shown in the monthly cycle charts a critical point is positioning at 87.46. The monthly cycle congested area indicates that the market has a tendency to trade within 77.64 and 88.86.


Crude Oil : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/crude-oil.html

GVI Forex Jay 12:59 GMT January 8, 2011
Tech Talk



EUR/USD daily chart (click on the chart once opened to zoom in)

Hong Kong Qindex 12:03 GMT January 8, 2011
USDX : Critical Point 82.21
Reply   
usdx
Entry: Target: Stop:

USDX : Critical Point 82.21


This week the market hit a low and a high at 79.11 and 81.46 respectively. It closed at 81.32 in the last session. As shown in the monthly cycle charts a critical point is positioning at 82.21. The monthly cycle congested area indicates that the market has a tendency to trade within 81.00 and 85.16.


USDX : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/usd.html

Syd 08:33 GMT January 8, 2011
Gillard's mining tax on its way, but battle still raging across several fronts
Reply   
the mining tax is likely to re-emerge as a central issue for the 320 resources companies eligible to start paying the levy on July 1 next year -- and for the Gillard government, which proclaimed, perhaps prematurely, a truce with the miners several months ago.

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/gillards-mining-tax-on-its-way-but-battle-still-raging-across-several-fronts/story-e6frg8zx-1225983861433

Syd 08:18 GMT January 8, 2011
'Insolvent' Portugal will soon need bailout, warn Citigroup analysts
Reply   
'Insolvent' Portugal will soon need bailout, warn Citigroup analysts
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/news/insolvent-portugal-will-soon-need-bailout-warn-citigroup-analysts/story-e6frg90o-1225984119366

Hong Kong Qindex 07:01 GMT January 8, 2011
USD/CHF : Critical Point 0.9925
Reply   
USDCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/CHF : Critical Point 0.9925


As shown in the monthly cycle charts a critical point is positioning at 0.9925. The monthly cycle congested area indicates that the market has a tendency to trade within 0.9292 and 1.0186. The market is positive when it is above the weekly cycle pivot center at 0.9630. This week the market hit a low and a high at 0.9322 and 0.9707 respectively. It closed at 0.9668 in the New York session.


USD/CHF : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/chf.html

Hong Kong Qindex 06:42 GMT January 8, 2011
CHF/AUD : Critical Point 1.0132
Reply   
CHF/AUD : Critical Point 1.0132


The market hit a low and a high at 1.0324 and 1.0587 respectively and it closed around 1.0381. The market is under pressure when it is trading below the weekly cycle pivot center at 1.0268. As shown in the monthly cycle charts a critical point is positioning at 1.0132.


CHF/AUD : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/chf-aud.html

Hong Kong Qindex 06:15 GMT January 8, 2011
GBP/CHF : Critical Point 1.5187
Reply   
GBPCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBP/CHF : Critical Point 1.5187


As shown in the monthly cycle charts a critical point is positioning at 1.5187. The market hit a low and a high at 1.4400 and 1.5055 respectively. The bias is on the downside when it is below 1.4957.


GBP/ChF : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/gbp-chf.html

Hong Kong Qindex 05:49 GMT January 8, 2011
CHF/JPY : Critical Point 85.45
Reply   
CHFJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

CHF/JPY : Critical Point 85.45


This week the market hit a low and a high at 85.65 and 87.77 respectively. The market is likely to consolidate further within the weekly cycle pivot centers at 83.42 - 85.94 - 86.36. As shown in the monthly cycle charts a critical point is positioning at 85.45.


CHF/JPY : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/chf-yen.html

Hong Kong Qindex 05:31 GMT January 8, 2011
EUR/CHF : Critical Point 1.2400
Reply   
EURCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/CHF : Critical Point 1.2400


The market is under pressure when it is below the weekly cycle pivot center at 1.2648. The monthly cycle projected series indicates that the market is testing the supporting strength of the lower barrier at 1.2442 // 1.2527. This week EUR/CHF hit a low and a high at 1.2400 and 1.2725 respectively and it closed around 1.2495.


EUR/CHF : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/eur-chf.html

GVI Forex Blog 05:10 GMT January 8, 2011 Reply   
Here are the strongest and weakest major currencies for this past week (January 3-7, 2011), based upon relative percentage price change against each other

Currency Strength/Weakness Meter

Hong Kong Qindex 05:06 GMT January 8, 2011
CAD/CHF : Critical Point 0.9826
Reply   
CAD/CHF : Critical Point 0.9826


The bias is on the downside when the market is below the weekly cycle pivot center at 0.9783. This week the market hit a low and a high at 0.9333 and 0.9761 respectively and it closed around 0.9756. As shown in the monthly cycle charts a critical point is positioning at 0.9826.


CAD/CHF : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/cad-chf.html

prague viktor 04:40 GMT January 8, 2011
EURUSD~>1.26~>1.18->1

Buy usdx
Entry: Target: Stop:

wish u a very happy new year .thanks for ur helpfull advice , it looks like a great year for the usd

G/L G/T

van Gecko 02:16 GMT January 8, 2011
EURUSD~>1.26~>1.18->1

"2011 Merry Go South Race" underway:)
EURO southern express train had left the station, next stop 1.26.. EURGBP close behind targeting .80.. while her majesty GBP lagging behind fine tuning her sub 1.53 double reverse diving form..

"02:56 GMT December 8, 2010
EURO..EURGBP..GBP.. closing the year in fine SOB form.. EURGBP Weeklies below .83 could kick start the "2011 Merry Go South Race" for the Trio.. "




 




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