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Forex Forum Archive for 01/14/2011

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Syd 21:55 GMT January 14, 2011
People's Bank of China hit the brakes
Reply   
Today the People's Bank of China hit the brakes on their economy a little harder, raising the reserve requirement of lenders by another half percentage point. This is the second increase since Christmas, but only one of today's changes. Starting Friday, they will impose a sellers stamp to be affixed to the sale of residential properties. For Market Watch in Hong Kong, V. Phani Kumar reports:

"The measures announced Thursday include a wider imposition of stamp duties on property sales, increasing the rate of the stamp duty and a reduction in the amount of credit available to those who aren’t first-time buyers. .....Specifically, a seller’s stamp duty on residential properties purchased on or after Friday will rise to 16% if the property is sold within a year (from up to 3% currently), 12% if sold in two years (from up to 2% at present), 8% if sold within three years (from up to 1%), and 4% if sold within four years (Currently, no stamp duty is applicable on properties sold after three years).

At the same time, the loan-to-value limit on housing loans granted by lenders to individuals who already have one more outstanding loans will be cut to 60% from 70% at present. For non-institutional buyers, the loan-to-value limit is reduced to 50%."

The Chinese real estate boom is not new, but efforts to contain the rate of inflation and deflate the bubble are. There was an interesting note by a Shanghai based research firm Hurun Research Institute who said that the expansion of the Chinese economy last year created 6.1% more Chinese millionaires. This brings the total to 875,000, they claim. We wonder how many are millionaires, because of inflated real estate valuations.

Will the Chinese be able to engineer a soft landing, after the lengthy expansion, and the new millionaires will be able to bank their real estate profits? This seems unlikely. Often mob psychology takes strange twists, and markets go too high, and then too low.
ActionForex

GVI Forex john 21:29 GMT January 14, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

GVI CHART POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Trading Resources...



tokyo rana 21:08 GMT January 14, 2011
Good week Good trade Good Pips!

Singapore SGFXTrader 21:01 dear friend,yeah right....ithink problem is for audusd is euraud and many other but iwill short on new high other wise not bcoz audusd so expensive to short so better wait for eurusd top for short rather than audusd its quick keep in mind eur fall in 3month 1000/3000pips euro zone stress test spain auction no good numbers in long term eur is very bearish.......look monthly still no big fall signal but u can make some pips....gbpusd short 1.60/1.63 or gbpjpy 132/135....ihave pending orders for gu and gj....happy day,

dc CB 21:07 GMT January 14, 2011
Stox



SPX close on high

Paris ib 21:04 GMT January 14, 2011
Outside week up

Seems to me outside week up confirmed in Eur/Aud, not confirmed in Eur/Usd. Unless something happens dramatically from now till trading stops altogether for the weekend.

Singapore SGFXTrader 21:01 GMT January 14, 2011
Good week Good trade Good Pips!

Hi friend,

I see some temporary support for Eurusd at 1.33140-1.33240 region.

For time being, i am still bullish on Eurusd. Will still long on dip.

For Audusd, because of the flood in queensland, brisbane, etc, I am quite bearish and will short anytime when it is above parity.

Gbpusd seems to be quite resilient this week. Potential to move up next week?

Overall, i am using 1-hr candle to trade.

Paris ib 21:01 GMT January 14, 2011
Outside week up

It's only January!!

GVI Forex Jay 20:58 GMT January 14, 2011
Outside week up

Today is the highest close for the year FWIW

Paris ib 20:54 GMT January 14, 2011
Outside week up

Yeah but that's not the high for the week. Normally it would have to close on the high, but what's the tolerence?

GVI Forex Jay 20:53 GMT January 14, 2011
Outside week up

Close would have to be above 1.3433 for eur/usd

tokyo rana 20:50 GMT January 14, 2011
Good week Good trade Good Pips!

Singapore SGFXTrader 20:43 dear friend,my pick is same buy eurusd audusd dips short usdjpy rallys....or gbp on short on good levels.....u can send email from here Global-View Membership Directory search by name.....happy day

Paris ib 20:46 GMT January 14, 2011
Outside week up
Reply   
Technically what close do we need to confirm outside weeks up in Eur/Usd and Eur/Aud.... ?

How many pips tolerence?

dc CB 20:45 GMT January 14, 2011
Gold-Silver and the CFTC
Reply   
longish guest post on ZeroHedge:

Submitted by Chris Martenson
JP Morgan Wins: CFTC Position Limits Do Not Apply (To Them)
Speaking of changing the rules...

Gold and silver are now down hard over the past two days and the reason may have something to do with the fact that the CFTC utterly caved to JPM in their long-awaited decision on position limits in a 4-1 vote.

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/guest-post-jp-morgan-wins-cftc-position-limits-do-not-apply-them


Singapore SGFXTrader 20:43 GMT January 14, 2011
Good week Good trade Good Pips!

Hi Rana friend,

Yes i do have skype but not sure if Jay allow us share skype contact in forum?

Or we can email Jay and exchange contact thru him.

Bro, what is your take for next week market?

EurUSD?
AudUSD?

Cheers to u again =)

Paris ib 20:43 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

In France they used to chop off heads. In China they revolted.... this foreign war business, I'm not sure it's the tradition everywhere. Here in France the guillotine is more traditional.

Lahore FM 20:42 GMT January 14, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Buy EURCAD
Entry: 1.3226 Target: 1/2 goes at 1.3325 Stop: 1.3120

long now

to dr unken katt 20:39 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

when populus is unhappy then its time to put blame on someone else and declare war , the post war period is usually
economically ok

it alwayz worked in da past

tokyo rana 20:34 GMT January 14, 2011
Good week Good trade Good Pips!

Singapore SGFXTrader 20:28 dear friend,thanx for kind post...nice trade on audusd...iwent short audusd 1.0013 but closed early....do u have skype?happy weekend,

Paris ib 20:34 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

Not 'with'.... 'for'.

Sarkozy

He's not the most popular president France ever had, that's for sure. So you never know maybe they DO have some unrest planned. You're getting better levels to short the Euro....

GVI Forex Blog 20:32 GMT January 14, 2011 Reply   
The euro headed for its best week in over 1-1/2 years on Friday and could extend gains next week after successful securities auctions by indebted euro zone members calmed fears of a credit crisis in the region.

FOREX NEWS - Euro set for best week since mid-2009; gains ahead

Israel dil 20:29 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

funny, the president of France works with CIA and Mossad. maybe because in France they have so many:

* DGSE: General Directorate for External Security - Direction générale de la sécurité extérieure. It is the military external intelligence agency, which succeeded to the Service de Documentation Extérieure et de Contre-Espionnage (SDECE) in 1982 (itself preceded by the Direction Générale des Études et Recherches (DGER), dependent of the BCRA.
* DCRI:Central Directorate of Interior Intelligence - Direction centrale du renseignement intérieur. Founded in 2008 by the merger of the RG and the DST, it is tasked with counter-espionage, counter-terrorism and the surveillance of potential threats on French territory.
* DRM: Directorate of Military Intelligence - Direction du renseignement militaire. It was created by Socialist Interior Minister Pierre Joxe in 1992, after the Gulf War, to centralize military intelligence information.
* DPSD: Directorate for Defense Protection and Security - Direction de la protection et de la sécurite de la défense. It is a military intelligence agency, charged of counter-espionage, struggle against the Mafia, etc. It worked with the DST.
* BRGE: Intelligence and Electronic Warfare Brigade - Brigade de renseignement et de guerre électronique.
* SCSSI: Central Service for Information System Security - Service central de la sécurité des systèmes d'informations.
* DCPJ: Judicial Police - Direction centrale de la police judiciaire.
* CNCIS: National Commission for the Control of Security Interceptions - Commission nationale de contrôle des interceptions de sécurité.

Singapore SGFXTrader 20:28 GMT January 14, 2011
Good week Good trade Good Pips!
Reply   
Hi fellow forumers,

wish u a good weekend.

This is a fantastic week. Caught the Long run for Eurusd from 1.2890 to 1.33x

Shorted Audusd when above parity and close all trades today.

2 Std lot of 500+ pips is my keep for this week!

Cheers to Rana & Jay =)

Cambridge Joe 20:27 GMT January 14, 2011
Jello
Reply   
GBPUSD 1 st target 5702... maybe make it to 5622

GBPJPY 1 st target 3132.(easy IMHO)... maybe make 2971

Have a good weekend !

Cambridge Joe 20:24 GMT January 14, 2011
Forex trading anyone.... ?

Katt//
I been traveling most of the day...
I didn't see you call to short... but you were right again my friend !

to dr unken katt 20:23 GMT January 14, 2011
Forex trading anyone.... ?

that name is already taken

thanx for supportin my shorts they r sill on the waistline
but lets hope they ll fall on the ground

Paris ib 20:22 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

No idea, they can't park inside lots of buildings here were built before the advent of cars so they have no parking. Makes for lots of fun.

Keep an eye on that Israeli analyst. Me, I thought they were gonna go for Italy next. I wasn't figuring on France. But then the Figaro reported ages ago that Sarkozy was a Cia 'asset' (some say with affiliations with Mossad), so you never know. I don't care that the reality is not reported. I am interested in what the next 'story' is. You gotta know what is being planned in the shadows. And where the next beat up story is headed.

Cambridge Joe 20:19 GMT January 14, 2011
Forex trading anyone.... ?
Reply   
Cable sl @ 5990

GBPJPY sl @ 3196

Katt// name for new currecy could be the 'jello' LOL !

Israel dil 20:18 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

Mau suits also ok as long Louis Vuitton logo is on. look at China.

to dr unken katt 20:16 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

what would they burn if all people parked their cars inside ?

Cambridge Joe 20:13 GMT January 14, 2011
Cable
Reply   
Sold Cable
Entry 5874.
It too has an appointment South from here.

Paris ib 20:11 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

Mao suits, total conformity and no choices all round.

Paris ib 20:10 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

The Greek auctions were getting massively over-subscribed when that clown, the Greek PM, started to wave his arms around. Rates were around 5% on 10 year bonds at the time, which yeah was way higher than in other countries in Europe, but reflected high debt and deficit levels. So it was justified. And it wasn't the ECB buying it was European investors. That's the facts.

to dr unken katt 20:10 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

what would happen to us dude?
and this forum?

Paris ib 20:07 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

Just what we need: one global currency, one central bank and centrally planned economies with the likes of who in charge? I don't even want to imagine.... Brussels to the power of a billion. Lovely.

GVI Forex Jay 20:06 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

It is not the bid-cover or the ECB buying in the background to make the auctions go okay but the rate that is being paid to get the funds.

Cambridge Joe 20:06 GMT January 14, 2011
gbpjpy short
Reply   
Just placed a GBPJPY short for over the WE and beyond.

entry 3174 stop maybe 50

This Mother is going south IMHO !

to dr unken katt 20:05 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

i believe you wheb tey start talkin about the 1 global currency
i ve name for it
how about Globello

Paris ib 20:03 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

Take a view, short the Euro, that's your business. Doesn't bother me. The Euro crisis was orchestrated from the first day in my opinion, right from the time from this clown in Greece talking unsustainability after every single Greek Government bond auction was over-subscribed by miles (so what was unsustainable?). It doesn't surprise in the slightest that an Israeli analyst caught the crisis..... quite the contrary. Given it was a planned operation.

to dr unken katt 20:02 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

euro still short on weekly and monhly daily sort of mixed with stochs at max 80%plus

Paris ib 19:59 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

Social unrest? This is France. Just for fun on New Year's Eve they generally burn in the order of 1200 cars. Everyone seems to think that's just fine (go figure). Normal even. I have no idea how that is perceived elsewhere. I nearly crashed the car the first time I heard these guys talking about this peculiar French hobby on the radio, like they were discussing football scores or something. Anyway.....

Israel dil 19:56 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

Israeli analyst caught the PIIGS bond crisis well on time. now they say France is about to be the problem and their showcase represents reasons from daily France. exactly as they did with Greece, Portugal & Spain

Paris ib 19:55 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

Well I don't know what stories you are hearing. Europe for the most part has a pretty comprehensive social security network. Which doesn't mean that if you are poor you aren't poor it just means you probably aren't homeless or using soup kitchens. You got to be careful about stories. Growth rate differentials, which you mentioned, make it pretty clear that austerity programmes are biting on the periphery (Ireland probably being the most extreme because of household debt levels and the busting of the housing bubble, which was extreme) but the story is not the same in other periphery countries, although growth has been impacted. I'm not hear to preach the gospel or anything but you have to be aware that there are certain parties who want this story to run and run and run. That doesn't mean they are interested in giving an accurate picture of what is happening. And it doesn't mean you will make money if you listen to the 'stories'. ;-)

Tokyo Rana 19:54 GMT January 14, 2011
eurlong
Reply   
Sell USDJPY
Entry: 83.05sold Target: open Stop: 83.55

eurusd long still maybe soon minus...audusd out for 30pips...happy weekend and pips all imade nice pips,good luck all euro bulls and bear....euro still mixed.........

Israel dil 19:52 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

social unrest? may spread fast from the south into immigrant populated places, can't you see social unrest starting in France during next few weeks?

dc CB 19:50 GMT January 14, 2011
Stox

SIMON JOHNSON: Now US Taxpayers Are Subsidizing Goldman's Investment In Facebook--This Madness Must End!

Although most Americans may think that the financial crisis and Wall Street bailouts are now just an embarrassing and regrettable moment in the country's history, this is far from the case, MIT Sloan School of Management professor Simon Johnson says.
Video embed of interview

http://www.businessinsider.com/simon-johnson-now-us-taxpayers-are-subsidizing-goldmans-investment-in-facebook-this-madness-must-end-2011-1#ixzz1B2atiKFX

GVI Forex Jay 19:49 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

ib, This is not what I hear about the peripherals forced into austerity. It is a case of the have and have nots.

Paris ib 19:46 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

You gonna trade on stories about Marseille? Well good luck with that.

Paris ib 19:44 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

I'm not 'so' bullish I just think the Euro crisis has been done to death. The economic data is positive. Growth, and let's not just look at GDP which doesn't tell you a whole lot IMVHO, in Europe is coming back. What is holding it back? In some places, lo and behold, why the extreme 'austerity' packages imposed because of this 'crisis' is having a negative impact. And in those cases what are our Euro tecnocrat 'friends' doing? Why flying in to countries to encourage these places to accept Euro 'help' in exchange for control of their economies. PLEASE. Otherwise low interest rates, strong export performance, good business investment numbers and very high business confidence are seeing growth return. I'll try to get you a list of the data.

Israel dil 19:42 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

is it already safe to walk the street during the evening in Marseille? we hear here very negative stories about Europe as criminality is on the rise because of the economic depression.

GVI Forex Jay 19:37 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

ib, what makes you so bullish? Using growth differentials, everything else aside, US has it over Europe right now.

Paris ib 19:32 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

And just to be clear.... I think the Eur/Usd reality is BULLISH. The economics are bullish (for now). The (in my opinion) orchestrated Euro crisis is the bearish element (potentially). So you have to watch the economics and the 'crisis' (in all its manifestations and potential manifestations) in order to decide which way to go. Right now I think the economics is winning. If the Berlusconi thing gets legs, and bearing in mind Trichet steps down in October (from memory) then that might be the period to get bearish. NOT NOW. I don't think we are done yet with this 'story'. But you have to know what to watch for. The ratings agencies have become a bit of a joke and, right now, the 'crisis' is sort of dead. Just keep an eye out for developments in your peripheral vision. For now go with the economics which are Eur/Usd positive.

Paris ib 19:04 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

The German housing market has been in the doldrums for decades and if anything is only now picking up since the Germans have started to keep some of their money at home. The French property market is pretty buoyant. Paris just made a record again in prices. There have been limited price falls, debt levels are low.... I have been looking around and there is nothing much on the market, prices are high and bargains, well.... I wish. So NO I would think the report is incorrect. Don't know about Holland.

I don't see it as a timebomb. I see it as a showdown between those who would push us down the road of more loss of sovereignty (via a Euro crisis) and those who are not having it. The crisis 'per se' is largely invented in terms of pure economics and the beat up in certain elements of the press is just absolutely shameful, not to say totally misleading. Europe has no external deficit (ie. Europe has all the money it needs in terms of savings), it funds its own Governments and the idea that there should be no differential between national Government bond yields is just rubbish. I don't actually BUY the story of the Euro crisis but I do monitor the implications of their being a 'story' at all.

dc CB 19:01 GMT January 14, 2011
Stox
Reply   


1300 just a chip shot away.

Tues Citi and Apple report, Wed Goldman.

Next hole is an easy par 3. 1325 POMO MOMO

Israel dil 18:52 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

IB, interesting read, thanks for that. I am also reading reports from Israeli stock companies active mainly in Europe, the time bomb is ticking in the reports. also mentioned that the richer Eurolands (Germany, Holland, & France) all currently has all time record number of new and privately owned homes standing for sell. is it additional reason to be bearish EURO?

dc CB 18:42 GMT January 14, 2011
A 2011 market outlook, with Mohamed El-Erian, Pimco CEO/co-CIO.

PIMCO, that tried and true client of Fed "expert network" Larry Meyer who just loves 'hinting' at what the Fed will be doing in the next 3-6 months in exchange for a modest retainer, has just released the December composition of its flagship Total Return Fund. Despite declining for a second month in a row, from $250 billion to $240.7 billion, the world's largest bond fund has once again increased its MBS holdings, this time from 43% to 45%. Keep in mind this was at 18% in July, and in the meantime Bill Gross has gone from $5 billion in net cash to $17 billion on margin.

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/further-qe3-composition-hints-pimco-raises-mbs-holdings-one-and-half-year-high

Syd 18:38 GMT January 14, 2011
A 2011 market outlook, with Mohamed El-Erian, Pimco CEO/co-CIO.
Reply   
A 2011 market outlook -Europe
http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232/?video=1743247495&play=1

Syd 18:36 GMT January 14, 2011
Irish Labour Party Calls For No Confidence Vote In Govt
Reply   
http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20110114-709603.html

Pimco CEO: Europe Failing To Address Issues; Investor Losses Needed-CNBC
.Europe's efforts to halt the flow of economic troubles through its borders will fail without addressing fundamental debt and growth issue, and the issue now poses a threat to the integrity of the euro zone and will require losses by investors, Pacific Investment Management Co. Chief Executive Mohamed El-Erian told CNBC Friday in an interview
http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20110114-707522.html

Managing Multi-Speed Markets
A 2011 market outlook, with Mohamed El-Erian, Pimco CEO/co-CIO.
Mohamed El-Erian

dc CB 18:33 GMT January 14, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

North America: U.S.- Holiday Canada- No major data due.

when we return in full on tues, isn't there a rate anncment by the BOC. Any thoughts

GVI Forex Blog 18:29 GMT January 14, 2011 Reply   
SNB to register record loss EUR higher for 5 days CPI higher in eurozone

Forex Market Commentary and Analysis (14 January 2011)

Gen dk 18:27 GMT January 14, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

to dr unken katt 18:21 GMT January 14, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

im waiting for takin short , this pair fundamentaly ia alwayz short , in the last year kind its been of sideway but still with the negative bias

to dr unken katt 18:16 GMT January 14, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --



kind of risky

Paris ib 18:15 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

One thing you should know is that public opinion everywhere has turned against giving the creeps in Brussels any more say so over anything at all. On the whole, and here I would exclude the foreign born Greek PM, if there was support for anything it would be a winding BACK power of Europe in order to allow national governments to pursue national policies. Letting Germans or Euro tecnocrats dictate terms is political dynamite and will be fiercely resisted. So see a Euro crisis in those terms. The bigger the crisis the bigger the possibility the creeps get more power. Certain elements here in Europe are working with that aim in mind, and I would say: so are certain Financial Tabloids, if their coverage is anything to go by. So a lot of this is a political battle. Economics has nothing to do with it.

jerusalem kb 18:14 GMT January 14, 2011
sell gold



Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

break of fibo 100level(1352) may target 1309

to dr unken katt 18:14 GMT January 14, 2011
,,
Reply   
i just heard some guy says there will be new monetary system in the world and gold will be important part of it

Lahore FM 18:09 GMT January 14, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Buy GBPJPY
Entry: 130.84 Target: Stop: 130.20 for 2/3rds

01/12/2011 21:21:18 FM Lahore 36

Buy GBPJPY
Entry: 130.84 Target: 138.00 Stop: 129.60
long here.
--
closed a third 131.67 now.sl raised. on 2/3rds.

Lahore FM 18:05 GMT January 14, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3395 Target: Stop: 1.3440 for half

01/14/2011 15:11:10 FM Lahore 2

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3395 Target: Stop: 1.3465
sold.
--
closed half 1.3350 now.sl lowered on rest.

GVI Forex Jay 18:05 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

One of the reasons we require a geographical location is so we can view someone's post in the context of where he/she is located. It is like nothing more insightful than hearing from the man on the street. For example, seeing your European perspective is a lot better than than seeing what the US news reports.

Paris ib 18:01 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

Thank u, hopefully I'll have more time in the future to join in. I note some idiot has been posting in my name again (in 2009).... what a joke. It's gonna be an interesting ride in 2011 that's for sure. Cheers.

GVI Forex Jay 17:58 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness

ib, good to see you and thanks for those keen insights.

Paris ib 17:53 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro bearishness
Reply   
Well what do we got? Debt auctions which went off well in Europe this week, bond spreads in the EuroZone have contracted, good economic stats coming out, the potential down the road of tighter monetary policy in the Eurozone courtesy of Monsieur Trichet and declared support from China and Japan.

All Eur/Usd positive.

On the other hand we have the lurking U.S. rating agencies, Berlusconi in political trouble in Italy (which is likely to get worse). Both elements have an 'orchestrated' feel to them. Note the Friday night downgrade in thin markets following a positive week for the Euro. And no-one ever thought Berlucsconi was a boy scout from the moment he first took office but a political crisis in Italy, the changing of the guard at the ECB and a little help from our friends at the Ratings Agencies could all be put to work to ratchet the 'Euro Crisis' up a notch.

There is a lot riding on this. Moi, I personally think that any Euro crisis (orchestrated or not) will be used by our friends in Brussels to gain more control over economic policy in Europe as a whole, so there are people there right at the heart of Europe who wouldn't mind a little extra crisis if it's gonna give them more power down the road (which it would). And the U.S. seems to think that the crisis could shift international monetary flows back into the U.S. Treasury (think they are dead wrong on that.... but in the U.S. they don't seem to have a Plan B).

On balance this is a moment to sit and ponder. National governments in Europe will (mostly) fight this..... but lurking in the shadows other forces are at work. Arghhh, interesting times indeed.

Paris ib 17:32 GMT January 14, 2011
Fitch downgraded Greece
Reply   
For like the millionth time Greece has been downgraded again. Don't know if that had anything to do with the sharp correction we just saw in the EUR/USD........

Mtl JP 17:31 GMT January 14, 2011
What's the buzz?

john the clash ... is really between retail sales & consumer sentiment vs Ben's 3-4% growth for 2011 optimism.

to dr unken katt 17:31 GMT January 14, 2011
sell cadjpy

nexr week i think th e trend will reverse

philadelphia caba 17:12 GMT January 14, 2011
usd/cad long

ooops, switched target and stop

philadelphia caba 17:11 GMT January 14, 2011
usd/cad long
Reply   
Buy USDCAD
Entry: .9900 Target: .9875 Stop: 1.0000

may keep it over the weekend

to dr unken katt 17:04 GMT January 14, 2011
sell cadjpy



that i showed on this chart , weekly up for long term

jerusalem kb 16:42 GMT January 14, 2011
sell cadjpy

hit stop -40
usdjpy will go higher next week

GVI Forex Blog 16:33 GMT January 14, 2011 Reply   
The greenback moved lower during the New York morning in the wake of conflicting economic data. Downbeat December US retail sales and the preliminary Jan University of Michigan clashed with better US industrial production data,

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update

lkwd jj 16:31 GMT January 14, 2011
sell gold

waiting for a close to make decision , but with u.s. holiday on monday will make tue trigger day. good weekend to all.

GVI Forex john 16:30 GMT January 14, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

CALENDAR
Entry: Target: Stop:

January 14 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, January 17:

  • Far East: No major data due.
  • Europe: No major data due.
  • North America: U.S.- Holiday Canada- No major data due.
Updated: Trading Events Calendar

to dr unken katt 16:26 GMT January 14, 2011
eur/chf

watch the daily PP to break

jerusalem kb 16:23 GMT January 14, 2011
sell gold

gold going down and oil may follow but cad is strengthening !!

to dr unken katt 16:21 GMT January 14, 2011
sell gold

its already 1356 -30 bux . but euro steady , maybe it ll move later

philadelphia caba 16:19 GMT January 14, 2011
eur/chf
Reply   
Chuck, if r you around...will you try eur/chf short over the weekend again? pro, cons?

London SMS 16:19 GMT January 14, 2011
sell gold

Well I'm confused. Silver hasn't really dumped like I expected but gold has. But this is no real break of 1360...yet; so i'm thinking it has further to go once silver budges of 28.25/50

lkwd jj 16:17 GMT January 14, 2011
sell gold

jp short position getting better....

GVI Forex Blog 16:14 GMT January 14, 2011 Reply   
At the beginning of the week, EUR-USD fell briefly below 1.29 – its lowest level for several months – on fears that the impending Portuguese and Spanish bond auctions could lead to a further escalation of the sovereign debt crisis. But things are never as bad as they seem

FX Briefing - Euro picks up after ECB’s inflation warning

to dr unken katt 16:12 GMT January 14, 2011
sell gold

gold -28bux , below the crucial 1360 supp

dc CB 16:10 GMT January 14, 2011
What's the buzz?

The Fed purchased $7.31 bln of 2015/2016 maturities through Permanent Open Market Operations as dealers looked to put back $24.89 bln.

NYC ET 16:06 GMT January 14, 2011
TGIF
Reply   
First post for the new year. Stocks taking on a bid despite mixed US econ data, bond yeilds are lower on the day, gold is getting cremated and the forex market is trying to figure out what to do next with the euro.

Gen dk 16:02 GMT January 14, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Rexburg Stubbs 15:34 GMT January 14, 2011
sell gold

I'm to say that gold and copper are no more from the same flock than vultures and doves.

Gold is softer because the punchbowl has been refilled for monetary (very)temporary stability. Gold is the antithesis of CB'ers whereas King Copper is reflective of economic activity + hedge fund hedging. JP Morgue is stuck in a huge short silver position and went long copper to prepare for loss offsets. Bitchez

to dr unken katt 15:14 GMT January 14, 2011
sell gold

euro no more new tops?

to dr unken katt 15:12 GMT January 14, 2011
sell gold

so short the birds

lkwd jj 15:11 GMT January 14, 2011
sell gold

i find it hard to get excited on the short side of gold yet , as copper is still flirting with its highs. old saying "birds who fly together flock together".

Lahore FM 15:11 GMT January 14, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3395 Target: Stop: 1.3465

sold.

GVI Forex john 15:09 GMT January 14, 2011
What's the buzz?

- Data out today were about as expected, but were slightly shaded to the soft side.
- The University of Michigan Survey fell significantly shy of expectations while the CPI was a tad hotter than expected.
- Nothing in the data should be USD positive.

Comments Encouraged.

jerusalem kb 15:07 GMT January 14, 2011
sell cadjpy
Reply   
Sell OTHER
Entry: 82.30 Target: 81.70-81.10 Stop: 83.70

my loss decreased to -70 this month

jerusalem kb 15:02 GMT January 14, 2011
sell gold

Sell Gold
Entry: 1375 Target: 1365-1330 Stop: 1383
hit first target

GVI Forex john 15:02 GMT January 14, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

-- ALERT --
November
Business Inventories: +0.2% vs. 0.7% est

HK Kevin 14:58 GMT January 14, 2011
EUR/CHF

HK Kevin 13:53 GMT January 14, 2011
EUR/CHF : Reply
Sell EURCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:
Sold small positions for intraday trade here at 1.2928, stop at 1.2962, looking for mid 1.28.
Just closed the short EUR/CHF at 1.2866

HK Kevin 14:58 GMT January 14, 2011
EUR/CHF

HK Kevin 13:53 GMT January 14, 2011
EUR/CHF : Reply
Sell EURCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:
Sold small positions for intraday trade here at 1.2928, stop at 1.2962, looking for mid 1.28.
Just closed the short EUR/CHF at 1.2866

Belgrade TD 14:57 GMT January 14, 2011
positions

Belgrade TD 14:50 GMT January 14, 2011
positions: Reply
another small long gold 1362 ... scalp
///
out at 1364,3 ...

lkwd jj 14:57 GMT January 14, 2011
confused

one thing im puzzled in gold is the timing of this down leg. it started after ny pits were closed... maybe somebody had a jump on china rate increase?

GVI Forex john 14:56 GMT January 14, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

ALERT
Entry: Target: Stop:

-- ALERT --

January Preliminary
University Of Michigan Survey: 72.7 vs. 74.5 est


Belgrade TD 14:50 GMT January 14, 2011
positions

another small long gold 1362 ... scalp

to dr unken katt 14:42 GMT January 14, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --



i hav it like that

jkt-aye 14:40 GMT January 14, 2011
confused

Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

otw toward 1272 ?

GVI Forex Jay 14:32 GMT January 14, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

eur/chf R1 = 1.2946 vs. 1.2952 high so pretty close

See FX Chart Points

to dr unken katt 14:28 GMT January 14, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

swiss gow tried to talk down the swissy this morning
and it looks like its toping , stoped at fibo and R1

to dr unken katt 14:21 GMT January 14, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

too bad u closed ur e/swissy , its the most bullish pair

i missed it when it was bottoming

Lahore FM 14:17 GMT January 14, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

we have had tops in 1.34 on three different weeks.weekly clsoe above 1.35 to negate possible weekly topping out for 1.20's scenario.


last two days euro has recovered on its crosses and already lost some from that.a 2nd round of multi week selling would need pre-emptive move to fresh multi week highs and closing there.

to dr unken katt 14:15 GMT January 14, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

not bad for $ , expansion

GVI Forex john 14:15 GMT January 14, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

ALERT
Entry: Target: Stop:

-- ALERT --
December
Industrial Production: 0.8% vs. 0.5% est
Capacity Utilization: 76.0% vs. 75.6% est

to dr unken katt 14:12 GMT January 14, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

looks like euri is contained in the tunnel

to dr unken katt 14:09 GMT January 14, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

or the other way around

GVI Forex Blog 14:05 GMT January 14, 2011 Reply   

ECB Signals Hawkish Tone but Concerns Still Remain

London HC 14:03 GMT January 14, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

but not with the same push of the last few days.

London HC 13:57 GMT January 14, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

There is probably some eur buying against the gold selling.

HK Kevin 13:53 GMT January 14, 2011
EUR/CHF
Reply   
Sell EURCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

Sold small positions for intraday trade here at 1.2928, stop at 1.2962, looking for mid 1.28.

GVI Forex Blog 13:53 GMT January 14, 2011 Reply   
AUD/USD (a daily chart of which is shown) as of Friday (1/14/2011) has once again resumed its bearish positioning after having broken down below a key parallel uptrend channel

AUD/USD Drop After Parity Retrace

London SMS 13:52 GMT January 14, 2011
Break down imminent im told

Left order to tp on 1/2 @ 1360.5 and moved stop down 1370
Will prob sell again if 1357 broken
----------
Break down imminent im told : Reply
Sell Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

Added to gold short @ 1370

-----------
London SMS 23:40 GMT January 12, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --: Reply
Nice idea FM. Saw your post and just got lifted @ 1387. Left the same stop.

to dr unken katt 13:46 GMT January 14, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

gold -25 not bad

GVI Forex john 13:45 GMT January 14, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support



U.S. Retail Sales chart

GVI Forex john 13:44 GMT January 14, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support



U.S. CPI chart

to dr unken katt 13:38 GMT January 14, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

gold -22$

GVI Forex Jay 13:35 GMT January 14, 2011
Tech Talk

Post-data high so far 1.3384

GVI Forex john 13:32 GMT January 14, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

ALERT
Entry: Target: Stop:

-- ALERT --

CPI: 0.5% mm 1.5% yy
CPI Core: 0.1% mm 0.8% yy

Retail Sales: 0.6%
Retail Sales ex-autos: 0.5%



GVI Forex john 13:15 GMT January 14, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support



Earlier today. Recall Trichet warned about a short-term "hump" in prices was sanguine about the medium term..

GVI Forex Jay 12:51 GMT January 14, 2011
Tech Talk

eur/usd low was 1.3319, 1 pip above the 23.6% level posted below. Note yesterday's 1.3384 high is again acting as a resistance.

GVI Forex Blog 12:41 GMT January 14, 2011 Reply   
The euro fell back from one-month highs against the dollar and the Australian dollar dipped sharply on Friday after China raised banks' reserve requirements by a further 50 basis points.

FOREX NEWS - Euro pares gains, Aussie slides after China move

GVI Forex Blog 12:37 GMT January 14, 2011 Reply   
A friend of mine once wrote a television pilot entitled “I Gave at the Office” and this week could have been called “I Gave to the Market” as a week long liquidating market squeezed euro shorts.

Tech Talk - I Gave at the Office

GVI Forex john 12:32 GMT January 14, 2011
What's the buzz?

- U.S. data today could impact trade.
- Both Retail Sales and CPI data could impact prices. We will be watching the relative strength of retail sales more closely.
- EUR starting to sputter?

Any comments?

Madras Neo 12:30 GMT January 14, 2011
Testing times
Reply   
Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.5849 Target: 1.5741 Stop: 1.5899

Expecting an very strong news n reversal in trend over all till 1.5311 in the near term... hope for the best. Gl n Gt to all Cheers neo..

GVI Forex Blog 12:25 GMT January 14, 2011 Reply   
Dollar-Swiss tested and has bounced back once again from near its significant Support at 0.9600.

FX Thoughts for the day : 14-Jan--2011 - 1223 GMT

jkt-aye 12:23 GMT January 14, 2011
confused
Reply   
GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

jkt-aye 13:56 GMT January 6, 2011
cable in the crossroad, imo.
15720 before 15350 ?
--------------------
1.5880 act as barrier for closing below 1.5770 ?

Gen dk 12:06 GMT January 14, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GVI Forex Jay 12:00 GMT January 14, 2011
Tech Talk

12:00 GMT (Global-View.com) January 14 - A friend of mine once wrote a television pilot entitled “I Gave at the Office” and this week could have been called “I Gave to the Market” as a week long liquidating market squeezed euro shorts. Perhaps it was the time of the year where the market has thin pockets that contributed to this brutal start of the year whipsaw. Whatever the case, the price action has forced many to reassess what had looked like a clear path for 1.26 when the week started. With hindsight this is one of those weeks when the eur/usd low (or high as the case may be) was made early Monday and this often is a sign of a reversal move as the week winds on.

Technically eur/usd has traded an outside week with the overnight move above 1.3433 (high 1.3455) although it would need to close above this level to produce an outside week key reversal. Below 1.3433 cools the risk and unlike the rest of the week leaves little to go after on the upside unless a new high is made. Assuming 1.3455 stays in place, it would be the first time this week that a new high was not made during the US session.

On the downside, the sharp move up has left little in the way of key levels with one focus on yesterday’s 1.3384 high, which would need to become support to put the focus on 1.34+. On the downside:

1.3321 = intra-day low
1.3318 = 23.6% of 1.2875-1.3455
1.3307 = 50 day mva
1.3290 = daily trendline broken Thursday
1.3274 = daily pivot
1.3233 = 38.2%

Looking ahead, many will be glad this week is over and take a low profile ahead of a US 3 day holiday weekend to reassess and start afresh next week. As for the market, assuming euro buying has been driven by liquidations, keep an eye on euro crosses to see if the unwinding has finally run its course. On the downside, there should be some support on dips by those caught short and hoping for a move down to cover those positions but unlike the past few days, upticks will not bring in fresh buying unless 1.3455 is taken out. Only below the former trendline would put it back into its old trend.

GVI Forex john 11:52 GMT January 14, 2011


WHAT'S THE BUZZ?
Entry: Target: Stop:

HIGHLIGHTS: US- CPI, Retail Sales, Ind Production, Univ of Mich Survey

  • Active Calendar. Early close for some..

  • China tightens reserve requirement ratio. Hits Commodity Currencies.

  • EUR short-covering demand still around.

  • Mixed ECB readings to tighten in 2H11? Some saying yes. We wonder.

  • EURUSD and EUR cross tone much stronger on short-covering demand.

  • Starting to watch relative yields on 10-yr notes.



Lahore FM 11:50 GMT January 14, 2011
Break down imminent im told

SMS,good for you to keep it short.i flipped and then closed out the longs too.i might re enter later today..probably short gold.

Lahore FM 11:43 GMT January 14, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Revdax usdcad high so far is day's target too.a slow grind to around 0.9930/40 will probably see it push to 1.0000 next.

hyderabad hyd 11:41 GMT January 14, 2011
long in euro/usd
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.3366 Target: Stop:

long in euro/usd

GVI Forex john 11:37 GMT January 14, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

UPDATED Global-View IMM (CME) Futures Swap Points. G-V Forex Spot to Futures Calculator (and back).

prague mark 11:29 GMT January 14, 2011
for 2011?

London SMS 11:28 GMT January 14, 2011
Break down imminent im told

Actually I was told the breakdown would be in silver and gold would follow

London SMS 11:28 GMT January 14, 2011
Break down imminent im told

Actually I was told the breakdown would be in silver and gold would follow

Hong Kong Qindex 11:24 GMT January 14, 2011
EUR/USD : Current Comments
Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : Don't under estimate the effect of Euro-Gold.

London Misha 11:23 GMT January 14, 2011
Observations
Reply   
EURUSD - Three White Soldiers & a 2nd close over the Long MA.
USDJPY - Two Black Crows on Daily Chart.
GBPUSD - Four White Soldiers on Daily Chart.
USDCHF - Key Reversal Down on Daily Chart.
EURGBP - Two White Soldiers on Daily Chart. At moment a rejected Dead Cross of the Short MA down through the Long MA.
EURJPY - Three White Soldiers on Daily Chart.
USDCAD - Bullish Harami with a possible Tweezer Bottom on teh Daily Chart.
AUDUSD - Doji on the Daily Chart!

London SMS 11:13 GMT January 14, 2011
Break down imminent im told
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

Added to gold short @ 1370
stopped on my short EurChf @1.29 -100pips ditto Eur Dlr - 100pips
-----------
London SMS 23:40 GMT January 12, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --: Reply
Nice idea FM. Saw your post and just got lifted @ 1387. Left the same stop.

GVI Forex Blog 11:06 GMT January 14, 2011 Reply   
The EUR/USD began the session hitting its best level for 2010 above 1.3450 in followed through buying after the 'hawkish' ECB comments on short-term inflation

TradeTheNews.com European Market Update: Risk appetite quelled for the time being after China PBoC raised Reserve Requirement for the seventh time in current cycle

GVI Forex john 11:04 GMT January 14, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

Global-View Chart Gallery updated. A wide selection of updated forex, interest rate and equity charts. Global-View Market Tracker updated. Twice daily survey and technical studies of a broad range of related markets.

GVI Forex Blog 10:52 GMT January 14, 2011 Reply   
11:00 GMT (Global-View.com) January 14- Its been an active session today in Far East and European markets. The BPoC today stirred the markets by tightening monetary policy again

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- EUR in Demand

Belgrade TD 10:51 GMT January 14, 2011
positions

Belgrade TD 10:19 GMT January 14, 2011
positions: Reply
long GOLD, small one ... 1367,20 ...
///
out at 1369... hit and run :)

Syd 10:48 GMT January 14, 2011
PBOC Adviser Xia: Still Room For More Rate Hikes
Reply   
PBOC Adviser Xia: Still Room For More Rate Hikes

HK REVDAX 10:44 GMT January 14, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Kevin//The rest of $/CAD out too... Just don't like the divergency in euro...

Tokyo Rana 10:41 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro/USA

Buy AUDUSD
Entry: 0.988 Target: open Stop: later

happy day,

HK REVDAX 10:39 GMT January 14, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Kevin//I went long $/CAD yesterday and some this morning. Most of the positions are closed but the rest is getting ready to be out at 1.000. By the way, I think gold is coming down sharply tonight HK time.

Tokyo Rana 10:37 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro/USA

Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.3375avg Target: 1.3533 Stop: 1.33

happy day

Syd 10:35 GMT January 14, 2011
China's Central Bank Raises Reserve Requirement Ratio by 50 Basis Points Effective Jan. 20
Reply   
China's Central Bank Raises Reserve Requirement Ratio by 50 Basis Points Effective Jan. 20

HK Kevin 10:29 GMT January 14, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

HK Kevin 14:40 GMT January 13, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --: Reply
HK REVDAX 01:12 GMT January 13, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --: Reply
FM//Please comment on $/CAD. tks
Hi Revdax, I also have tiny long USD/CAD from 0.9868 yesterday, expect to see 0.9960 today or tomorrow, s/l now below yesterday low.
Closed the long USD/CAD position at 0.9962

Ldn ADT 10:26 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro/USA

China rased reserve requirements by 50bps and that is pressuring the commodity currencies.

Singapore SGFXTrader 10:19 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro/USA

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 1.0051 Target: 150pips Stop:

Hi Rana friend,

remember to put stop loss for Eurusd.

I shorted above parity for AudUSD. Remember i ask u yesterday.

Now i am quite happy.

The EurUSD upswing, remember i also ask u and u tell me will go up 300-500pips.

This is a good week for us!

Cheers

Belgrade TD 10:19 GMT January 14, 2011
positions
Reply   
long GOLD, small one ... 1367,20 ...

London JK 10:08 GMT January 14, 2011
USD/JPY

Thanks FM - can be such a slow pair.

Gen dk 10:06 GMT January 14, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

HK REVDAX 09:46 GMT January 14, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

FM//What is your target for $/CAD today? tks

Tokyo Rana 09:20 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro/USA

Buy ...
Entry: 1.3395 Target: Stop:

short all out 55pips...now long again...happy day,

Lahore FM 09:13 GMT January 14, 2011
USD/JPY

JK,sl is at 82.20.it shud be turning higher unless it really wnats to go lower.

Tokyo Rana 08:52 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro/USA

short eurusd half out for 30pips plus....stop be...happy day,

Tokyo Rana 08:42 GMT January 14, 2011
USD/JPY

usd index falling like a rocket....

London JK 08:41 GMT January 14, 2011
USD/JPY
Reply   
Lahore FM
Are you holding yor long usd/jpy still? When do you see it turning around as you said this trade may be good for next week. Thanx

Tokyo Rana 08:34 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro/USA

Blore RKG 08:29 dear friend,many thanx my near targets almost seen 1.3333 and 1.3533....happy day,

Lahore FM 08:29 GMT January 14, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Buy GBPCAD
Entry: 1.5449 Target: Stop: 1.5420 for 1/2

closed remainder long 1.5449 now at 1.5741 for 292+ in all

Blore RKG 08:29 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro/USA

Brillilant job Rana - you stood out in this euro carnage!

Tokyo Rana 08:26 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro/USA


Entry: 1.345 Target: 100pips Stop: 100pips

sold....happy day,

Kaunas DP 08:24 GMT January 14, 2011
sell eur/usd
Reply   
shorted 1.3451; SL 1.3551; TP - open; last core pos for this month in case SL hit

Tokyo Rana 08:23 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro/USA

eurusd all out for 100pips plus long from 1.288 total 560pips plus this week....happy day,

Tokyo Rana 07:50 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro/USA

half out 60pips plus less than 2h....wat a day,

dc CB 07:43 GMT January 14, 2011
god Work

Investors in bank stocks are about to get a big cut of the profits again, Nelson D. Schwartz and Eric Dash report in The New York Times.

Financial analysts say the nation’s largest banks are ready to begin restoring their dividends in the first half of the year, after a three-year pause to repair their damaged balance sheets. The reversal could put billions of dollars in the pockets of pension funds and retirees who had viewed bank shares as dependable sources of income.

Clues to how big a payout is in store could come as early as Friday, when JPMorgan Chase announces its 2010 financial performance, the first of many earnings reports to come over the next week from the likes of Bank of America, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo.

http://censored.nytimes.com/2011/01/14/banks-are-poised-to-pay-dividends-after-3-year-gap/?censored=busln

HK REVDAX 07:06 GMT January 14, 2011
USD/CHF : Current Comments

I also subscribe to Stubbs's BTFD strategy, whereas I differ from him in that the time to BTFD is not today...

Syd 07:04 GMT January 14, 2011
Australian Floods To Cut GDP By 1.1 Percentage Points - NAB
Reply   
Australian Floods To Cut GDP By 1.1 Percentage Points -

Hong Kong Qindex 07:00 GMT January 14, 2011
USD/CHF : Current Comments

USDCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD/CHF : Bias is on the upside when the market is trading above 0.9600.


Qindex.com

Syd 06:54 GMT January 14, 2011
god Work
Reply   
HK REVDAX 06:50 my view on these the Goldmans of this world is unprintable

HK REVDAX 06:50 GMT January 14, 2011
Gods Work

Syd 06:36 GMT//From an economist's point of view, whenever the wage demanded is higher than what the market can bear, there is unemployment. If the kids were willing to take up whatever is available at whatever wage level, there would be no employment. Unfortunately, in a open and liberal society, every father or mother wants his or her kids to go to college and become 'educated'. Once they become 'educated', they will demand a wage level higher than what the market can bear, and u have then unemployment.

By the way, do u think an 'acount executive' at Merill Lunch or MF Grable or Godlman, with his 'education' knows how to trade FX than the simple farmer's BTFD or STFT? He can't even clean the washroom better than the uneducated!

GVI Forex Blog 06:50 GMT January 14, 2011 Reply   
Asian Market Update: Yen hits 1-week high on USD as Treasuries extend gains; China stocks sink on hawkish PBoC rhetoric and overheating lending activity

Asian Market Update: Yen hits 1-week high on USD as Treasuries extend gains; China stocks sink on hawkish PBoC rhetoric and overheating lending activity

Tokyo Rana 06:49 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro/USA

Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.334 Target: open Stop: 100pips

Rexburg Stubbs 05:47 dear friend,ur very rich....im long eurusd 7.00million in my demo account.....in real accout 10000.....happy day,

HK Louis 06:47 GMT January 14, 2011
God

Time for you return to the Mao Forum and continue your intellectual masturbation there and dont clutter the Forex Forum with your crap.....

Syd 06:36 GMT January 14, 2011
Gods Work
Reply   
HK REVDAX 06:31 GMT this is the way the world is going , less jobs and more people , just wonder whats going to come along to solve it

HK REVDAX 06:31 GMT January 14, 2011
God

Syd 06:23 GMT//At least a degree in a specialized field like theology would have got u into the church establishment which enjoys government subsidy. On the other hand, a degree in global studies is a degree of general mixture which could have enabled them to clean the church after service. But these kids all want to have a 'career'... and they are finding it out here that there are currently 4 millions college graduates in China who are looking for jobs without getting 'what they want', and the only thing these flower kids from advanced countries are better than the local ones is their ability to speak English but not necessarily in writing.

HK REVDAX 06:24 GMT January 14, 2011
Gold ‘Overdue’ for Drop, Rice Will Gain, Rogers Says

Syd 05:12 GMT//I would not be surprised that at least the intermediate bull market in gold is over for now ...

Syd 06:23 GMT January 14, 2011
God
Reply   
HK REVDAX 06:19 on of the favourites I can remember when I was young to get into Uni degree in Divinity or Theology,

HK REVDAX 06:19 GMT January 14, 2011
US warns China on protectionist 'folly'

SYD 05:20 GMT//Yes, the link between RMB and USA has been bothersome at least intellectually to many but the freeing the link alone imo will not help solve the US domestic problems which are very structural in nature.

Just look at the generation of US and other advanced countries' flower children here in China. After borrowing heavy college loans back home, they graduated with some useless degrees such as global studies, and despising labor work back home, are flocking everywhere in Asia struggling to avoid being 'second rate' citizens back home. That attitude used to be very prevalent amongst the US automobile industry in that the world owes them a living...

Syd 06:17 GMT January 14, 2011
Gods Work
Reply   
HK REVDAX 06:09 GMT thats exactly right and when they recommend a trade , always have to think whats their motive , cos its not out of the kindness of their hearts ahahaha, they are normally in the shi.t and trying to get the market on side to bail them out .

Rexburg Stubbs 06:11 GMT January 14, 2011
Goldman Sachs Group Inc has disclosed details about another $5 billion in investment losses that occ

HK REVDAX 06:09 GMT January 14, 2011

I'm to say BTFD was spot on accurate. Full moon cycle commenced then it rallied. Bitchez

Rexburg Stubbs 06:09 GMT January 14, 2011
$/CHF

I'm to say that one can buy this USD.CHF and go enjoy a toddy because it will rise. Bitchez

HK REVDAX 06:09 GMT January 14, 2011
Goldman Sachs Group Inc has disclosed details about another $5 billion in investment losses that occ

Syd//That means with all the intelligence learned from the eMBA courses, the experts in large outfits such as Goldman
are no better with their lengthy analysis than those famous
B.T.F.D or S.T.F.T produced by our forum expert Stubbs..

HK REVDAX 06:04 GMT January 14, 2011
$/CHF
Reply   
Lahore FM//Hi, my friend. Do you have any recommendations related to $/CHF and its crosses? TIA

Syd 05:56 GMT January 14, 2011
Goldman Sachs Group Inc has disclosed details about another $5 billion in investment losses that occ
Reply   
Goldman Sachs Group Inc has disclosed details about another $5 billion in investment losses that occurred during the financial crisis of 2008 At the time, regulatory filings and executive comments from Goldman said the firm identified $8.5 billion in losses from investments of Goldman's own funds in debt and equity. Goldman's latest disclosure pegs the total losses at $13.5 billion.LINK

Syd 05:52 GMT January 14, 2011
fx
Reply   
The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) may need to raise benchmark interest rates, boost reserve requirements for lenders and allow faster yuan appreciation, as a result, according to economists from Standard Chartered Plc and Credit Agricole CIB.

There is talk around the markets that the China PBoC could raise interest rates again before the meeting between Obama & Hu
Analysts say tightening concerns were sparked by a state radio report Thursday that cited Zhou Wangjun, an official at the country's top economic planning agency, as saying China will consider announcing new policies to combat inflation if prices rise too quickly in the first quarter.

AUD/USD May Drop To 0.9752 Support-Credit Agricole
After starting the year on a weak note, the AUD could face additional pressure from pared expectations for RBA tightening measures and the prospect of lower export income as flooding causes mining disruptions, Credit Agricole says, adding the ongoing uncertainty about the extent of flooding damage will limit any AUD upside over the coming weeks. More downside may be ahead as the extent of flood damage becomes clearer, with the house not ruling out a drop to technical support around 0.9752 or possibly moving even lower to the 0.960-0.970 region

TOKYO (AFP)--U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates Friday said there had been signs of "a disconnect" between China's military and civilian leadership but stressed that President Hu Jintao is "in command and in charge".

Rexburg Stubbs 05:51 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro/USA

I'm to say that What I meant to say was that I added $1.8 mm @ 1.3344 (not 1.3334) to this grand opportunity.

"On your knees bitchez"

Rexburg Stubbs 05:47 GMT January 14, 2011
Euro/USA

I'm to say that I added $1.8 mm @ 1.3334 to this grand opportunity.

"On your knees bitchez"

Syd 05:20 GMT January 14, 2011
US warns China on protectionist 'folly'
Reply   
US Commerce Secretary Gary Locke on Thursday warned China against repeating the protectionist "folly" Western countries pursued in the wake of World War II, as he urged Beijing to make meaningful trade reforms
http://www.smh.com.au/business/world-business/us-warns-china-on-protectionist-folly-20110114-19q3v.html

Syd 05:12 GMT January 14, 2011
Gold ‘Overdue’ for Drop, Rice Will Gain, Rogers Says
Reply   
Gold is “overdue for a rest” and probably will fall after a decade of gains that sent prices to a record, said Jim Rogers, the chairman of Rogers Holdings who predicted the start of the global commodities rally in 1999.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-01-13/
gold-overdue-for-drop-after-decade-of-gains
-rice-to-rally-rogers-says.html

GVI Forex Blog 05:00 GMT January 14, 2011 Reply   
The US markets closed lower after a disappointing jobless benefits report released last evening.

Morning Briefing : 14-Jan-2011 -0336 GMT

SF WM 02:03 GMT January 14, 2011
eurusd
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3378 Target: 1.3290 Stop: 1.3405

Resting order

dc CB 02:02 GMT January 14, 2011
POMO

in the morning JPM will report earnings. thru next friday the major TBTFs will report earnings. as most of the non-narcotisized world is well aware, POMO benefits no one but the aformentioned. If they blow-the-sox off with their numbers, how will the not-funded by-the-26yo-MBA-student-running the FBNY algo react. will they follow Max Kieser in his quest to tilt at the windmill that is the JP Morgue? :) game on in the coldest of january

dc CB 01:48 GMT January 14, 2011
OZ

have a good year, cheers

Hong Kong 01:32 GMT January 14, 2011
Daily FX Market Outlook by AceTrader-14-1-2011
Reply   
Market Review - 13/01/2011 21:53 GMT

Euro surges broadly on short-covering due to Trichet's hawkish comments

Euro rose sharply across the board on Thursday after head of ECB Trichet expressed concerns about inflation. Traders bought the single currency aggressively on short-covering following his hawkish comments.

Although the single currency staged a pullback to 1.3088 in European morning, euro then staged a spectacular rally on hawkish remarks by ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet at the ECB press conference after ECB kept benchmark interest rate unchanged at 1.00% as expected. Trichet said 'euro zone inflation was somewhat higher than expected in Dec., could temporarily increase further; risks to inflation outlook are still broadly balanced and risk could move to the upside.'

Trichet's comments triggered broad-based short-covering in euro, the single currency eventually climbed to 1.3383 versus the dollar. Cross-buying in euro also helped price as eur/jpy surged to 110.67 from 108.72, eur/chf rallied to 1.2885 from 1.2686 and eur/gbp rose to 0.8443 from 0.8314.

In other news, the much-awaited Spanish bond auction ended successfully as demand was strong with a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.6 vs previous 1.6 in Nov 2010, however, Spain had to pay 4.542% interest for its 5-year debt vs previous rate of 3.576%.

The greenback initially rose to 83.15 against the Japanese yen in Asia, however, the pair fell sharply to 82.55 in NY session before recovery. The greenback was pressured as U.S. initial jobless claims came in at 445,000, much higher than the forecast of 405,000 and the previous reading of 409,000.

Despite the British pound's initial dip to 1.5719, cable later rose sharply in tandem with euro and climbed to 1.5885 before retreating. On economic front, U.K. Nov manufacturing production came in at 0.6% vs forecast of 0.4%, Nov industrial production was weaker than expected, actual 0.4% vs forecast of 0.5% (British industrial output grew at its slowest annual pace since July). Later, BOE kept key interest rate unchanged at 0.50% and asset purchase target remained at 200 billion.

Economic indicators to be released on Friday include:

Japan Domestic CGPI, Germany CPI final and HICP final, Switzerland Combined PPI, UK PPI and CPI, and US retail sales, real earnings, industrial production, capacity utilisation and business inventories.

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Syd 01:28 GMT January 14, 2011
OZ
Reply   
dc CB 01:25 GMT Hi, yes it seems to be moving to Victoria now, we are coming into the rain season too. I am fine thnks

Syd 01:26 GMT January 14, 2011
Bernanke Says Higher Interest Rates Show Improved Economy
Reply   
“Interest rates are higher, but I think that’s mostly because the news is better,” Bernanke said today at a forum in Arlington, Virginia, hosted by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. “It’s responding to a stronger economy and better expectations. So I think that the policy has helped.”
LINK
Watch Gross Interview
Bill Gross, manager of the world's largest bond fund at Pacific Investment Management Co., discusses the debt sold today at auction by Portugal. Gross, who speaks with Margaret Brennan on Bloomberg Television's "InBusiness," also talks about the municipal bond market, Federal Reserve policy and investment strategy
LINK
Queensland Tourism Faces Ruin as Floods Engulf Australian StateLINK

US Gates: Concerned Over 'Disconnect' Between China Civilian, Military Leaders
TOKYO (AFP)--U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates Friday said there had been signs of "a disconnect" between China's military and civilian leadership but stressed that President Hu Jintao is "in command and in charge". When Gates met Hu and other top officials on Tuesday, Chinese state media published photos that were said to show the debut flight of the J-20, the country's first radar-evading combat aircraft.

Pimco's El-Erian Interview
Mohamed El-Erian, chief executive officer of Pacific Investment Management Co., speaks about Europe's financial crisis and banking industry.
http://www.bloomberg.com/video/65835772/

dc CB 01:25 GMT January 14, 2011
Over 350 evacuated in Victoria's floods

hi Syd.
so yesterday the US Accuweather service was showing torrents of rain to be moving thru into the middle of Aus....shifting over from the coast. From this post it seems that has happened.

Hope you are in the dryer parts

Syd 01:14 GMT January 14, 2011
Europe Failed to Clear 'Skepticism' on Debt Crisis, IMF Says
Reply   
Europe has yet to allay investor “skepticism” about the sustainability of the region’s debt, and any spread of the crisis would cloud global economic prospects, the International Monetary Fund’s number three official said
“At least for now it looks like the spillover from the European sovereign crisis to areas outside of the region will be limited,” Naoyuki Shinohara, deputy managing director at the IMF, said in an interview in Tokyo yesterday. “However, if the European sovereign debt problems were to become bigger, we need to keep in mind that that could bring about considerable downside risks.”

Shinohara also said China should allow the yuan, also known as the renminbi, to appreciate faster to rebalance its economy.
“We continue to view the renminbi as substantially below the level consistent with medium-term fundamentals,” Shinohara said. “However, the exchange rate should not be viewed in isolation and a broad range of policies will be needed if China is to successfully rebalance its economy,” he said, adding that too rapid an appreciation of the currency is undesirable.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-01-14/europe-failed-to-clear-skepticism-on-debt-crisis-imf-s-shinohara-says.html

Syd 01:02 GMT January 14, 2011
Over 350 evacuated in Victoria's floods
Reply   
Over 350 evacuated in Victoria's floods
The State Emergency Service (SES) has issued evacuation warnings for Halls Gap, Beaufort, Great Western, Charlton and Glenorchy.

http://news.smh.com.au/breaking-news-national/over-350-evacuated-in-victorias-floods-20110114-19q1p.html

dc CB 00:11 GMT January 14, 2011
Reform?

Murdock's money machine

Last spring, Dow Jones launched a new service called Lexicon, which sends real-time financial news to professional investors. This in itself is not surprising. The company behind The Wall Street Journal and Dow Jones Newswires made its name by publishing the kind of news that moves the stock market. But many of the professional investors subscribing to Lexicon aren’t human—they’re algorithms

Algorithms Take Control of Wall Street

* By Felix Salmon and Jon Stokes Email Author
* December 27, 2010 -
* 12:00 pm -
* Wired January 2011

http://www.wired.com/magazine/2010/12/ff_ai_flashtrading/all/

 




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