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Forex Forum Archive for 01/19/2011

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Syd 23:27 GMT January 19, 2011
Germany Should Ready for Greek Default, Feld Tells Handelsblatt
Reply   
Germany Should Ready for Greek Default, Feld Tells Handelsblatt
Germany Should Ready for Greek Default, Feld Tells Handelsblatt

US trader Hetco drives up oil price
An American trading group reportedly building up a "huge" physical position in North Sea oil has driven London Brent prices above $98 a barrel. The reports suggested that Hetco's purchases were the basis of a trading play and the trading house now has 30pc of the Forties oil being loaded next month and 25pc of Brent cargoes. Brent crude's premium over West Texas Intermediate oil has been increasing to abnormal levels since August last year, as US inventories of both oil and gas remain at high levels.
US trader Hetco drives up oil price


U.S. stocks were headed for their steepest one-day drop in nearly two months, as weak earnings from big banks sent investors rushing for safer assets.
LINK
Reversal Pattern on the FTSE100?
LINK

Brazil raises rates by 50bps
The benchmark rate has been raised to 11.25% in a unanimous decision.

Commodities Due for a Correction?
A look at the drop in copper and whether commodities are bound to drop, with Dennis Gartman, The Gartman Letter.LINK

Britain faces £1bn of EU fines
British taxpayers face paying up to £1 billion in fines imposed by the European Union, auditors have revealed.
LINK

Business Bullet: UK jobs, Retailers, Stress tests, BA
International Monetary Fund confirms country stress tests including the UK and British Airways faces the prospect of further cabin crew strike action.
LINK

dc CB 23:05 GMT January 19, 2011
POMO
Reply   
Ponzi. today's POMO.....

Blatant Treasury Churn At The Fed: Entire POMO Consists Of Just Auctioned Off 3 Year As FRBNY Launches "Flip That Bond" Program.

And while we have been complaining about this for months, today just takes the cake. Below we present the entire list of permitted issues to be monetized by Frosty-Sack. Note that there were 29 CUSIP eligible for buybacks. What happened - the Primary Dealers flipped virtually the entire operation in the form of the just auctioned off 3 Year PQ7! This is half the entire Primary Dealer allocation in the bond auction that was completed on January 11 (whose technical original issue date was yesterday)

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/blatant-treasury-churn-fed-entire-pomo-consists-just-auctioned-3-year-frbny-launches-flip-bo

GVI Forex john 22:45 GMT January 19, 2011


WHAT'S THE BUZZ?
Entry: Target: Stop:

Calendar: CN- GDP, Industrial Output, CPI, Retail Sales, CH- ZEW Sentiment, GB- CBI Trends 

  • Trade in EUR in the early days of the new year remains  volatile and dangerous.

  • As predicted, the EURUSD only improves on bad European News. 

  • Germany stirred the pot Wednesday after concerns re Greek debt.

  • Japanese officials warn on JPY strength, but this is not a speculative move?

  • Instability in U.S. treasuries bears watching. FI trade Wednesday subdued.



jerusalem kb 22:42 GMT January 19, 2011
audusd

HIT 1ST TARGET WITH 80PIPS+ AND THE BUY ORDER WAS 70PIPS+ TOTAL IS 150PIPS+

GVI Forex john 22:27 GMT January 19, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

FX DATABASE
Entry: Target: Stop:

Trading Resources...



GVI Forex john 22:24 GMT January 19, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

USD PIVOT POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Pivots	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD	NZDUSD
Res 3	1.3715	83.38	0.9751	1.6123	1.0060	1.0169	0.7851
Res 2	1.3626	83.03	0.9701	1.6080	1.0012	1.0123	0.7818
Res 1	1.3546	82.55	0.9624	1.6033	0.9984	1.0057	0.7751

Pivot	1.3457	82.20	0.9574	1.5990	0.9936	1.0011	0.7718

Sup 1	1.3377	81.72	0.9497	1.5943	0.9908	0.9945	0.7651
Sup 2	1.3288	81.37	0.9447	1.5900	0.9860	0.9899	0.7618
Sup 3	1.3208	80.89	0.9370	1.5853	0.9832	0.9833	0.7551

jerusalem kb 22:23 GMT January 19, 2011
audusd

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 1.0050 Target: 0.9975-0.9925 Stop: 1.0105
sold and sl will be lowered later
---------------------------------------------------------
sl now t 1.0040 and 1st target at 0.9930 (changed targets)

GVI Forex john 22:21 GMT January 19, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

USD MOVING AVERAGES
Entry: Target: Stop:

Latest	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD	NZDUSD
Last	1.3465	82.06	0.9548	1.5986	0.9955	0.9992	0.7683
High	1.3538	82.69	0.9650	1.6037	0.9965	1.0076	0.7786
Low	1.3369	81.86	0.9523	1.5947	0.9889	0.9964	0.7686
Change	0.0083	-0.56	-0.0090	0.0030	0.0032	0.0009	-0.0023

MVA	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD	NZDUSD
5 day	1.3372	82.63	0.9625	1.5905	0.9907	0.9952	0.7692
10 day	1.3185	82.84	0.9652	1.5751	0.9910	0.9944	0.7650
20 day	1.3210	82.47	0.9563	1.5612	0.9953	1.0026	0.7645
50 day	1.3275	83.11	0.9721	1.5685	1.0059	0.9914	0.7589
100 day	1.3435	82.93	0.9770	1.5739	1.0137	0.9804	0.7535
200 day	1.3071	86.13	1.0306	1.5435	1.0254	0.9309	0.7295

TREND	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD	NZDUSD
BIAS	Up	Up	Up	Up	Down	Down	Up

Rexburg Stubbs 22:16 GMT January 19, 2011
Short Eurusd

I'm to say sell the news. All good news about the bad news for eur failure is already known. Give up now and get whipped hard. EUR to the USD to fall down hard. Perhaps a flash crash would do it.

jerusalem kb 22:13 GMT January 19, 2011
nzdusd

cancled :-(

philadelphia caba 21:57 GMT January 19, 2011
chf

thanks Jay, did overlook it on GVI

GVI Forex Blog 21:54 GMT January 19, 2011 Reply   
The euro hit an eight-week high above $1.35 on Wednesday, boosted by increased confidence in Europe's ability to defuse its debt crisis, and could extend gains if it holds ground above important technical levels.

FOREX NEWS - Euro hits 8-week high, debt fears fade a bit

jerusalem kb 21:26 GMT January 19, 2011
GOLD
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: 1366 Target: 1360-1348 Stop: 1372

PLACED A SELL STOP

jerusalem kb 21:23 GMT January 19, 2011
AUDNZD
Reply   
Buy AUDNZD
Entry: 1.3010 Target: 1.3090-1.3206 Stop: 1.2930

placed a buy stop

jerusalem kb 21:19 GMT January 19, 2011
nzdusd
Reply   
Sell OTHER
Entry: 0.7725 Target: 0.7665-0.7585 Stop: 0.7785

placed a sell pending order

tokyo rana 20:41 GMT January 19, 2011
jpy
Reply   
Buy AUDUSD
Entry: 0.999 Target: open Stop: later

bought again...........happy day,

Gen dk 20:31 GMT January 19, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Israel dil 20:23 GMT January 19, 2011
days low

thank you. wise!

Hillegom Purk 20:21 GMT January 19, 2011
days low

yes

Israel dil 20:19 GMT January 19, 2011
days low

Purk, did you use (are you using) only European and US sessions to calculate the price action patterns?

TIA

Lahore FM 20:12 GMT January 19, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Buy USDCHF
Entry: 0.9556 Target: Stop: 0.9515

long afresh for 0.99.

GVI Forex Jay 20:08 GMT January 19, 2011
chf

Caba, the news came out earlier when the SNB made no definitive move on eur/chf and used the opportunity to emphasize its independence.

Hillegom Purk 20:01 GMT January 19, 2011
days low
Reply   
Please note that in e/u todays low was 13435ish and yesterday 13283. Too much difference for my taste. Result: small range in comp. with last weeks. We shall see if we can reach 13383ish in the morning.
If not, pattern will stay being 100 pip up from close.

GVI Forex Blog 19:58 GMT January 19, 2011 Reply   
AUD/USD and NZD/USD outlook next 24 hours: AUD's corrective rally appears to have energy, a break above 1.0020 resistance targeting 1.0080 next. Overseas markets have belatedly picked up on the impending GST-related spike in NZ inflation, to be published this morning.

Forex - Morning Report (Westpac)

to dr unken katt 19:34 GMT January 19, 2011
Short Eurusd

Euro May Remain Supported As Easing Debt Concerns Gives Rise to Yield Expectations
Wednesday, January 19, 2011 ⌚11:21 AM
Another successful bond auction from Portugal has the Euro extending its weeklong rally as easing concerns over the credit crisis turns the focus to interest rate expectations. Inflation above the ECB’s 2.0% target has policy makers on alert as they expect upside risks to continue in the short-term

Singapore SGFXTrader 19:05 GMT January 19, 2011
Short Eurusd

Screw the market......Audusd and Eurusd refuse to go down.

Is supported by the invisible hands!

philadelphia caba 19:00 GMT January 19, 2011
chf
Reply   
any news out?

Hamburg cc 18:56 GMT January 19, 2011
STOCKS
Reply   
Russel 2000 dived pretty hard today. The Russel stocks cannot be an option game, n'est pas? With them many negative divergencies, has the time finally come...? What do you think?
Thank you for your input.

Israel dil 18:33 GMT January 19, 2011
Short Eurusd

Singapore SGFXTrader 17:08 GMT January 19, 2011

I think you will not lose money with that trade anymore if you will place stop a pip below your entry :-)

the EUR/USD traded today 600 pips above the price of exactly one week ago. if you asked one week ago: "what will hit first, 1.28 or 1.35?" try asking today: "what will hit first, 1.37 or 1.2555?"

Israel dil 18:15 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/USD: is it the time for direction change?

I think Portugal is about to hammer the EURO. maybe I am wrong.

jerusalem kb 18:04 GMT January 19, 2011
sell cadjpy

hit final target with 84pips+

Cairo Hesham 17:59 GMT January 19, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

To FM: Please check ur email please. I am waiting to ur response

Paris ib 17:49 GMT January 19, 2011
USD/JPY to test 80.00

OK.... forgot can I correct that...

all h.ll will break loose on financial markets when the USD/JPY breaks through 80.00 and a test of that level is coming up. IMVHO.

Paris ib 17:47 GMT January 19, 2011
USD/JPY to test 80.00
Reply   
When it does, and I think this time it breaks through to the downside, then all censored will loose on financial markets. It's been moving lower and lower steadily.....

Lahore FM 17:42 GMT January 19, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

most pairs now correctly aligned for a move in favour of usd..usdjpy is the last doubtful one.let us see if it can move higher too.

Singapore SGFXTrader 17:08 GMT January 19, 2011
Short Eurusd
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.34955 Target: 1.3400 Stop:

Shorted signal seen for Eurusd.

Possible to drop to 1.34000 or 1.33770.

Eurusd has lose steam and top might have been formed.
Might be retreating to form the "N" on the hourly chart.

Feel free to contribute your views please.

Cheers

Belgrade TD 17:07 GMT January 19, 2011
Technical alert
Reply   


My "Artificial intelligent make money while I sleep" system says this (see chart) ... ok j/k but it is a reliable signal system for different time frames ... 1h/4h/Daily

London SMS 17:00 GMT January 19, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Another good call FM. Had an order there all day to sell @ 111 and missed out by a pip. Still long USDCHF @ .9650 and have left order for nearly a week to buy @ 95.50!! Left order to buy DOW @ 10750 untouched. Hardly written a trade all week.
---------
FM
eurjpy looking vulnerable for drop to 108.80

Rexburg Stubbs 16:59 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/USD: is it the time for direction change?



I'm to say that this is what I did in the hedge account for eur positioning-

Singapore SGFXTrader 16:44 GMT January 19, 2011
Short Audusd
Reply   
Sell AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

"Shorted signal" seen for Audusd.

4 descending 1-hr candle. Now we are at the 4th candle.

If Audusd break virtual support level of 1.0181, then it will head down to below parity and possibly 50 - 150pips downtrend from there and re-test 0.98x level.

Rexburg Stubbs 16:39 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/USD: is it the time for direction change?

I'm to say that at times there is also a hedge at work to offset known position risk areas just like today when I was long 45,000 ounces of silver for the pop higher then dumped and loaded adders on eur/usd shorts

Rexburg Stubbs 16:36 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/USD: is it the time for direction change?

nyc s 16:32 GMT January 19, 2011

I'm to say both but unconventional is the process. I can lose on the idea without any strain or stress because I trade probability and need many trades for probabilities to make the big gainers in the account, just like a casino can win or lose any single hand or roll of the dice, but they always win when the game is played long enough.
I am the casino.

nyc s 16:32 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/USD: is it the time for direction change?

Stubbs it sounds like you are basing it more on a fundamental than a technical view??

Rexburg Stubbs 16:30 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/USD: is it the time for direction change?

Indeed. Indeed. I'm to say sub 1.28 is my target and the market likes to find balance there regularly over last several years.

Paris ib 16:27 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/USD: is it the time for direction change?

Whatever. You need buyers and sellers to make a market. Let's just say that at 1.3488 you are a seller and I'm a buyer, both looking for a longer term move. So what's your target? I've given you mine.

GVI Forex Blog 16:26 GMT January 19, 2011 Reply   
The Swiss Franc was the center of attention in New York session FX trading after the Swiss government announced a press conference to discuss the currency.

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update

GVI Forex Blog 16:25 GMT January 19, 2011 Reply   
GBP/USD (a daily chart of which is shown) as of Wednesday (1/19/2011) has continued its consistently and dramatically bullish stance that has been in place since the beginning of the year.

GBP/USD Attempts Move Above 1.6000

Rexburg Stubbs 16:25 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/USD: is it the time for direction change?

We know UK economy is struggling. I think Greece, Portugal and others are as well. Nobody said it was a good thing to have man made problems. It's a good thing to avoid causing more.

Lahore FM 16:22 GMT January 19, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

eurjpy looking vulnerable for drop to 108.80

Rexburg Stubbs 16:22 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/USD: is it the time for direction change?

There is no fighting the market because the sell off has nothing to do with 20/20 views bro. You cannot say that the market continues higher because you saw yesterday's bar chart thingy.
Keep cool. We're playing for the big move here. It's called positioning and it is what we successful traders do.

Losers look at what already happened and either pretend they did something when they didn't, or fantasize about what their candle pattern predicts for the future. Have good luck with your ideas. I'm to have good luck with mine.

Paris ib 16:20 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/USD: is it the time for direction change?

The UK economy is in a shambles, the government deficit is sky high, inflation has started to kick in and so, in the middle of this massive crisis involving huge cut backs in govt services, the British might be forced to hike interest rates. Fiscal policy tightenng and monetary policy tightening as well.... and that's good?

GVI Forex john 16:19 GMT January 19, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

January 19 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, January 20:

  • Far East: NZ- CPI, CN- GDP,Industrial Output, CPI, Retail Sales.
  • Europe: CH- ZEW Sentiment, GB- CBI Trends.
  • North America: CA- Leading Indicators. U.S.- Weekly Jobless, Existing Homes Sales, Philly Fed Survey, Leading Indicators, Natural Gas, Crude Oil, 10-yr Tips auction.
Updated: Trading Events Calendar

Rexburg Stubbs 16:17 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/USD: is it the time for direction change?

China's temporary parking of currency in EUR instead of USD to send a signal while the American and Chinese bobble heads do their exchanges of bows and shakes will end in disappointment for the rah rah cheerleaders of a failed unified Euro currency. The British knew it would fail and even though they have their own issues to deal with, look more brilliant by the hour for keeping their distance from such a disastrous failure.

Paris ib 16:13 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/USD: is it the time for direction change?

You're right it's probably not a EURO rally per se, just a USD sell off against everything: the JPY, the EURO, GOLD. But still the EUR/USD is UP not DOWN. Don't fight the market.

Rexburg Stubbs 16:10 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/USD: is it the time for direction change?

Well I'm to say that there in no religion in blabbing about the survival or destruction of the failed experiment, even if the denial of failure seems such. 2-3 day rallies did not mean much to LTCM nor Bernie Madoff investors in the end, just the same as Enron shareholders and Zimbabwe debt holders.
Besides, has the eur really rallied last few sessions? I see it doing nothing noteworthy against the JPY and gold is up in euros, so what?

A loosely assembled conglomerate of different cultures, debts, agendas and egos cannot survive in a so called "unified" currency. If the egos are divided on how to handle a mini crisis then what happens when there is a major crisis? Buy and hold eur strategy will be as effective as BTFD tech wreck strategy of 2000. It may benefit millions to believe and hope that the suits take action in their best interest but I'm to say anything man made can just as easily be man destroyed. Gold is money. Eur is a failed fiat fantasy experiment that attempted to bring relevance and scale to numerous countries "acting" as one in order to compete on the global stage. And this is sadly why it cannot and will not be looked upon as the global reserve currency.

GVI Forex Blog 16:00 GMT January 19, 2011 Reply   
Greece denies debt restructuring talks Hu and Obama talk economics Other Swiss officials talk down intervention BIS's Caruana: Spain will not need bailout

Forex Market Commentary and Analysis (19 January 2011)

Paris ib 15:50 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/USD: is it the time for direction change?

Well FWIW there has been all this blab about the Euro being doomed on this board for the past few days (what is it a religion?) but you wouldn't have made any money selling Eur/Usd over the last week or so unless you were pretty fast on your feet. We are higher now and corrections are being bought quite aggressively so I think the trend (for now and for a few big figures) is UP. Fight it if you like but if you do take your profits whenever you see them.... because the bigger money to be made IMO is to the upside. For now and with a target of 1.4

Rexburg Stubbs 15:45 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/USD: is it the time for direction change?

Paris ib 15:35 GMT January 19, 2011

Appetite for Destruction

Hong Kong Qindex 15:39 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/CAD : Current Comments
Reply   
EURCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/CAD : The market is under pressure when it is rejected from the barrier at 1.3403 // 1.3434.


Qindex.com

Hong Kong Qindex 15:37 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/CHF : Current Comments
Reply   
EURCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/CHF : The market is challenging the resistant barrier at 1.2939 // 1.2949.


Qindex.com

Hong Kong Qindex 15:35 GMT January 19, 2011
AUD/USD : Current Comments
Reply   
AUD/USD : A resistant barrier is expected at 1.0112// 1.0286.


Qindex.com

Paris ib 15:35 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/USD: is it the time for direction change?

Is there new news out of Portugal or is it just the same stuff?

Cairo Hesham 15:20 GMT January 19, 2011
usdcad

To KB: Thank u so much

Hong Kong Qindex 15:18 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/USD : Current Comments
Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : The following is still valid :



Hong Kong Qindex 09:53 GMT January 16, 2011
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.3865 : Reply
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.3865


The current expected trading trading range from the monthly cycle charts is 1.3076 - 1.3865. As shown in the monthly cycle frequency chart the energy gap is big between 1.3076 and 1.3865. Greater energy is required to overcome the projected resistant point at 1.3865. Anyway the market momentum is strong when it is above the weekly cycle pivot center at 1.3428. The neutral range is 1.2875 - 1.3456. A projected barrier is located at 1.3557 // 1.3580.


EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/euro.html

jerusalem kb 15:16 GMT January 19, 2011
usdcad



hello Hesham , welcome back.
regarding usdcad holding above 0.8890 and break of 0.9980 may target 1.075-1.0145 otherwise we are are in downtrend.
but:
H4 Macd is above zero line rsi above 50 and there is a ress. breakout so it is highly possible that usdcad to go up

London HC 15:06 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/USD: is it the time for direction change?

Germany is currently calling the shots and the deeper the crisis the more leverage it can exert.

Rexburg Stubbs 15:04 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/USD: is it the time for direction change?

I'm to say that many are clinging onto hopes that a unified euro currency experiment works. However, IMO hopes and dreams cannot overcome egos and agendas that are not aligned. I'm afraid it will be a terrible failure.

Belgrade TD 15:01 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/USD: is it the time for direction change?

If the rest of Europe accept German leadership and their decisive word, the euro has a chance to dominate ... If not, well, then Europe will be just an economic union like before and the euro goes into oblivion ... maybe even next month we have a hint about it ... for my part - I think everyone (world) corresponds to a strong euro, a famous "war currencies" ... and Europe has no central bank to fight ... So the Euro in Feb probably around 1.3-1.5 until spring and after that we'll see ... just my opinion ...

Rexburg Stubbs 14:53 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/USD: is it the time for direction change?

I'm to say that a 6-7 figure drop in quite neatly possible for a top drawer trade.

Rexburg Stubbs 14:52 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/USD: is it the time for direction change?

Offloading some of 45,000 ounces in silver and adding shorts to Eur/USA.

Cairo Hesham 14:52 GMT January 19, 2011
usdcad

any view for longer term of usd/cad?

to dr unken katt 14:51 GMT January 19, 2011
What's the buzz?

yea its economic model developed by robert mugabe
everyone there is a bilioneare

Europe Theorist 14:49 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/USD: is it the time for direction change?

EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Israel dil ....

EURUSD today just follow the DOW.. easy money

Rexburg Stubbs 14:48 GMT January 19, 2011
What's the buzz?

Belgrade TD 14:44 GMT January 19, 2011

I'm to say the best job for last two years has been to work at The Goldman Sachs- take fresh trillions of treasury issuance, mark it up then sell to the Ben Bernank. Free US Treasury arbitrage at its finest.

Israel dil 14:47 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/USD: is it the time for direction change?

come on fellow traders, share your views and ideas per EUR/USD into 28/feb/2011. Really appreciate your help.

jerusalem kb 14:46 GMT January 19, 2011
usdcad
Reply   
Buy USDCAD
Entry: 0.9940 Target: 1.000-open Stop: 0.9890

buy stop at place

Belgrade TD 14:44 GMT January 19, 2011
What's the buzz?

off topic ... but the best job in the past two years was the production of paper for printing bank notes ... especially in the USA ... but now we know what to do for next crisis ... lol

jerusalem kb 14:43 GMT January 19, 2011
audusd

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 1.0050 Target: 0.9975-0.9925 Stop: 1.0105

sold and sl will be lowered later

Richland QC Mailman 14:43 GMT January 19, 2011
What's the buzz?

HI ks. Your outlook may be valid on the decisive break of 9300. But for now, we are seeing some good technical rebound and should 1.0066 gives way, a new bullish wave would already be in place.

jerusalem kb 14:41 GMT January 19, 2011
audusd

closed all with 80pips

philadelphia caba 14:40 GMT January 19, 2011
What's the buzz?

just wondering where your fair value come from..?

jerusalem kb 14:33 GMT January 19, 2011
sell cadjpy

hit 1st target holding for the 2nd target

to dr unken katt 14:32 GMT January 19, 2011
What's the buzz?

potash

kl fs 14:31 GMT January 19, 2011
What's the buzz?

Mailman, the fair value for usdchf is around 0.82-0.85, my bet is we will see it within the next 12 months, even allowing for downside overshooting to 0.7x handle

Rexburg Stubbs 14:31 GMT January 19, 2011
What's the buzz?

Belgrade TD 14:25 GMT January 19, 2011

I'm to agree fully with that scary outlook. Someone was warning us of this a while back. Told us to stock up on long term food supplies etc. Food will become a great currency yet again it seems.

Richland QC Mailman 14:30 GMT January 19, 2011
What's the buzz?

Thanks TD for that point of view too. Oil has been traditionally a good investment option indeed.

Richland QC Mailman 14:28 GMT January 19, 2011
What's the buzz?

Thanks Dee. Would probably research more about it...

Returning to the world of forex, let us take a look at USD/CHF and EUR/CHF... Do we see some fundamental shift or purely technical bounce, especially USD/CHF (see weekly chart) which shows a technical reversal. For as long as 9300 holds, then we could be looking at very juicy gains towards 1.0066 then 1.0530... Should this be the case, who would be willing to invest now in USD/CHF and let their monies stay there?

Any supporting or dissenting insights?

Belgrade TD 14:25 GMT January 19, 2011
What's the buzz?

when we look at all these great instability in the atmosphere and the effects of climate change ... then for me it all has to do with food ... but probably not in 6 months ... the only other thing that can give a nice profit is oil, as usual ... well, my point of view

Mau Dee 14:15 GMT January 19, 2011
What's the buzz?


Seriously speaking, some of the sovereign debt look good. Yield to call close to 10%. Wont be proper to name them here but i have it them for my funds.

HK Kevin 14:13 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/USD
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Just sold again at 1.3510 a in ago. Stop to be placed later but should be at 1.3591.

Richland QC Mailman 14:11 GMT January 19, 2011
What's the buzz?

HI folks. Good Asian evening. Aside from forex, and perhaps gold, which financial instrument is worth investing right now with lucrative returns after 6 months to a year?

Your thoughts very much appreciated.

Lahore FM 14:10 GMT January 19, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Buy USDCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

usdchf is still good for a long 0.9550/60 holds downside.

GVI Forex john 14:06 GMT January 19, 2011
What's the buzz?

JP- No doubt. but housing is still a major part of the economy.

Belgrade TD 14:00 GMT January 19, 2011
Europe's lost generation?

Rexburg Stubbs 13:53 GMT January 19, 2011
hm, could be discussed widely on this topic ... nothing is so black and white ... but ok, we should stop here because this is a forum devoted to trade and exchanges ... we still need to invent some "money making when we sleep" machine ... lol

Mtl JP 13:57 GMT January 19, 2011
What's the buzz?

john 13:50 at risk of sounding like Hu about the dollar, "improving employment depends on housing" is a "product of the past". House mortgage indebtedness is an albatross around individual's necks.

Tokyo Rana 13:54 GMT January 19, 2011
jpy

Singapore SGFXTrader 13:48 dear friend,lets wait another 200/600pips for short usd$ pairs...iwill post when i start buy usd$ tomorrow go for holiday but ihave pending orders audusd 1.02/1.05 eurusd 1.3777 gbpusd 1.63...happy day,

Rexburg Stubbs 13:53 GMT January 19, 2011
Europe's lost generation?

Belgrade TD 13:45 GMT January 19, 2011

With exception of the colonies, we can only go back to 1776 for US inventions. Perhaps it has more to do with the chosen way of life than anything else. Capitalism is the best path to prosperity, something that even the communist Chinese, with billions of people and hundreds of years of history have recently learned from the hip hop beer guzzling US. Perhaps the $4,500 per capita GDP will double again someday.

GVI Forex john 13:50 GMT January 19, 2011
What's the buzz?

- Demographically, U.S. new home production remains exceptionally depressed. All these metrics (below) should be running at twice the current levels. The upside is that excess supply is being run off and pent up demand is developing. . Chicken and egg question is housing demand depends on improving employment and improving employment depends on housing.

Singapore SGFXTrader 13:48 GMT January 19, 2011
jpy

Rana friend, Eurusd is very very very bullish and tired.

When will she take some rest and drink some water?

Audusd is insane, supposed to go down instead of up!
Part of the country is underwarer and the damages expected to be > 15 billion!

Rexburg Stubbs 13:47 GMT January 19, 2011
Europe's lost generation?

Belgrade TD 13:25 GMT January 19, 2011
Europe's lost generation?: Reply
All the above (auto, tv ... etc) was invented in the last century ... with money invested in the inventors .

Not true. Example- Philo Farnsworth invented the television. He was a good old Idaho farm boy who was inspired to invent the television while attending Rigby high school after noticing the alignment of rows of potatoes. Rigby is a 10 minute drive from Rexburg.

GVI Forex Blog 13:46 GMT January 19, 2011 Reply   

CME Opening Commentary

Belgrade TD 13:45 GMT January 19, 2011
Europe's lost generation?

Rexburg Stubbs 13:37 GMT January 19, 2011
haha, OK in the last few centuries ... but it is not about invention, but the origin of money ... and children are not more intelligent or more educated if they have a phone ...

GVI Forex john 13:43 GMT January 19, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support



ECONOMIC DATA CHART
Entry: Target: Stop:

Looks like weather with permits up and starts level. New homes sales come out later in the month...

Tokyo Rana 13:42 GMT January 19, 2011
jpy

Singapore SGFXTrader 13:39 dear friend,bad luck.....still long eurusd audusd....in demo long gbpusd...happy day,

Singapore SGFXTrader 13:39 GMT January 19, 2011
jpy

Rana friend, u are right. US dollar is terrible with terrible results, tanking all the way till 31st Dec 2011.

Today i just shorted the market and is regretting my decision.
Still holding on to my shorts and wondering if USD will win some pips back and Eur, Aud perform a profit-taking correction.

Rexburg Stubbs 13:38 GMT January 19, 2011
Europe's lost generation?

HK REVDAX 13:31 GMT January 19, 2011

Yes the vast GDP/person is $4,500

Rexburg Stubbs 13:37 GMT January 19, 2011
Europe's lost generation?

Belgrade TD 13:25 GMT January 19, 2011

Before 1890--
Cotton Gin, Suspension bridge, swivel chair, bifocals, Burr truss, milling machine, threshing machine, combine harvester, steam shovel, circuit breaker, baseball, escalator, vacuum cleaner, motorcycle, dental drill, phonograph, solar cell, ac electric motor etc etc etc

GVI Forex john 13:32 GMT January 19, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

-- ALERT --

December
Housing Starts: 529K
Permits: 635K



HK REVDAX 13:31 GMT January 19, 2011
Europe's lost generation?

Stubbs//your Rexburg Stubbs 13:24 //

Then again I am to suggest you are generalizing without specfic frames installed before hand.

China is vast. While the coastal cities are very 'developed', the interior still very agrarian. You don't need to worry that the city kids don't have iphones.

Toronto EDP 13:28 GMT January 19, 2011
Europe's lost generation?

Hard to believe ! .....and should be worrisome.

http://www.safeshare.tv/v/fJuNgBkloFE

Rexburg Stubbs 13:28 GMT January 19, 2011
Europe's lost generation?

HK REVDAX 13:26 GMT January 19, 2011

I'm to say in the US there is no ethnic divide. Many smart asians are at MIT just like Iowa corn fed kids. Why aspire to go to hip hop beer guzzler USA MIT anyway?

HK REVDAX 13:26 GMT January 19, 2011
Europe's lost generation?

Stubbs//I am to suggest you should place a time frame and people frame into your questions.

In terms of the past 30 years since the mkt economy in China was restored, the amount of innovation in China in comparison with what it had done prior to the reform has been tremendous but in comparison with what the US has done in the same time period has been less than desired.

Then go into the ethnic components of the inventors in the US. Just go to MIT and you will run into no shortage of Chinese faces...

The conclusion is: the US system is more prone to innovation than the Chinese system. Never mind what China has done. It invented gun powder when the Europeans were living in the forests....

Be specific, like trading FX when you B.T.F.D...

Belgrade TD 13:25 GMT January 19, 2011
Europe's lost generation?

All the above (auto, tv ... etc) was invented in the last century ... with money invested in the inventors ... and the money was coming from the exploitation ... and Education today is no longer the real thing ... Today, it is practical training for a job ... for somebody else ...

nyc s 13:25 GMT January 19, 2011
Europe's lost generation?

Stubbs are you still in for a lower eurusd?

Rexburg Stubbs 13:24 GMT January 19, 2011
Europe's lost generation?

HK REVDAX 13:08 GMT January 19, 2011

I'm to say that I've never met anyone who aspired to teach English in China. One must truly be on the bottom rung to go where the per capita GDP is $4,500, which is not enough to cover the annual expense of most US teenage iphone and droid txt msgs

Rexburg Stubbs 13:18 GMT January 19, 2011
Europe's lost generation?

HK REVDAX 12:49 GMT January 19, 2011

I'm to say how many of today's inventions were developed by China? Now, I did not say counterfeit cheaply assembled products using slave labor. Could it be the hip hop beer drinking crowd that invented the automobile, television, supersonic aircraft, computer, router, transistor, integrated circuit,communications satellite, snowboarding, light-emitting diode, digital camera, polio vaccine or telephone etc etc etc for example?

Mtl JP 13:14 GMT January 19, 2011
What's the buzz?

john 13:02 - WHAT'S THE BUZZ?

with respect to The USD trading weaker again. Needs bad news from EZ to rally. & Instability in U.S. treasuries bears watching.
-
odds of yield curve inverting ?

Livingston nh 13:12 GMT January 19, 2011
FED QE2

kaprikorn - schedule of Fed purchases LINK
and wkly Fed balance sheet LINK

Dc cb has been tracking Perm open market ops so he probably has add'l info

HK REVDAX 13:10 GMT January 19, 2011
Europe's lost generation?

Purk//If you were referring to the population of 'oral' English teachers in China, yes, they are very pathetic! Come take a look yourself. But then again, they are not all USA kids. Many are Europeans acting as native speakers of English.

HK REVDAX 13:08 GMT January 19, 2011
Europe's lost generation?

Stubbs//I am to say that you are right on! The US economy is an economy of two tales. In the high tech sector, there is shortage of skilled hands that need to be recruited from all over the world. And then there is the labor sector or the low-tech sector. But the children of a flower generation with degrees in global studies, political science, camera and tv, etc. are rooming around in the streets looking for careers. Having so much despise for labor work back home, many of them end up being 'oral English' teachers in some less developed countries. Actually they teach nothing! How could they teach anything when they are not versed in phonetics. They are hired predominantly for the promotional value of their non-Asian appearance....

Cambridge Joe 13:08 GMT January 19, 2011
EURCAD
Reply   
EURCAD sold entry 3376
sl 3393

Amsterdam purk 13:04 GMT January 19, 2011
Europe's lost generation?

Yes you did, read your lines, it says so. Very intelligent indeed.

GVI Forex john 13:02 GMT January 19, 2011


WHAT'S THE BUZZ?
Entry: Target: Stop:

Calendar: U.S. Housing Starts/Permits, API Energy CA- BOC MPR, NZ CPI 

  • The USD trading  weaker again. Needs bad news from EZ to rally.

  • .Trade in EUR in the early days of the new year volatile and dangerous.

  • Japanese officials warn on JPY strength, but this is not a speculative move?

  • Solid U.K. .employment and CPI/RPI data keep pressure on BOE to tighten. 

  • Bank of Canada. Monetary Policy Report due. 

  • Chinese Premier Hu meeting with Obama in Washington, Forex to be discussed.

  • Instability in U.S. treasuries bears watching.



Rexburg Stubbs 12:58 GMT January 19, 2011
Europe's lost generation?

HK REVDAX 11:59 GMT January 19, 2011

I'm to say that you are our Siberia. Send the cup--o-rice/day losers to your schools to interact and learn useless skills while the best, most innovative companies on the planet keep the highly intelligent, most innovative minds on the planet in the US, the same place where teenage billionaires develop websites.

GVI Forex john 12:58 GMT January 19, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

Wondering if the December housing data will be adversely impacted by the unseasonal poor weather that month in much of the U.S.

GVI Forex john 12:54 GMT January 19, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

EVENT @ 13:30 GMT
New Home Starts/Permits
IMPACT = MODERATE


New Home Sales record sales of U.S. newly constructed residences. The U.S. Census Bureau publishes New Home Sales statistics monthly.


Tokyo Rana 12:54 GMT January 19, 2011
jpy
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.3447 Target: open Stop: later

look how is going eurusd gbpusd and audusd....still long nice pips....

Chennai Dselva 12:51 GMT January 19, 2011
jpy

Hi ,I am a new trader(8 months). I find this forum is very usefull for new-bees.Pl advise me.

HK REVDAX 12:49 GMT January 19, 2011
Europe's lost generation?

Purk//Did i say the entire US students are operating that way? Very intelligent reply!

Amsterdam purk 12:46 GMT January 19, 2011
Europe's lost generation?

You must be an intelligent man mr Revdax to say such about the entire students in the USA, very intelligent indeed....

Cambridge Joe 12:45 GMT January 19, 2011
EURCAD
Reply   
In my humble opinion, for what it's worth, EURCAD... and the great march South, it has taken it's first few faltering steps..

Having said that, I did just nick +10 from a small rally in 17 minutes !

jerusalem kb 12:33 GMT January 19, 2011
audusd

sl now at 1.000

GVI Forex Blog 12:32 GMT January 19, 2011 Reply   
It is hard to fight the tape as the eur/usd continues its recovery, testing 1.35+ for the first time since Nov 23 although euro strength is a head scratcher. This saw a key 1.3498 resistance briefly broken but

Tech Talk - EURUSD Tests 1.35

GVI Forex Jay 12:24 GMT January 19, 2011
Trade the News
Reply   
We are pleased to announce that we are making available the Trade the News newswire at an affordable price. This is a great product and one we have been using for years as a key source of real-time news. Click on the link below for more information and to request a trial:

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GVI Forex Jay 12:17 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/CHF
Reply   
From Trade the News: (eur/chf pops towards 1.30)

Wednesday, January 19, 2011 7:11:02 AM
Euro vs Swiss Franc Swiss govt to hold a press conference in Bern to discuss the currency
**Earlier today dealers did note that the Swiss cabinet to discuss the strong CHF at its regular meeting today (refer to our 3:16 Et headline)

***Reminder: On Jan 16th: Swiss Fin Min Widmer-Schlumpf commented in the Sonntags Zeitung newspaper that there was no reason now for the Swiss central bank (SNB) to try to fight the strong CHF currency. She also dismissed the idea of tying the CHF to the euro. On Jan 15th Swiss government, business, bank and trade union representatives held a crisis meetng and agreed that moves to counter the CHF currency strength should be left to the central bank (SNB) despite the risks posed to the Swiss economy.

London Misha 12:12 GMT January 19, 2011
Observations
Reply   
EURUSD - Possible Bullish Harami/Two Day Reversal Up on Daily Chart.
GBPUSD - Possible Bearish Shooting Star or Advance Block formation on Daily Chart.
USDCHF - Possible Bullish Doji/Hammer on Daily Chart.
EURGBP - Bullish Harami on Daily Chart. Dead Cross of the Short MA down through the Long MA.
EURJPY - Possible Bullish Harami/Two Day Reversal Up on Daily Chart.
USDCAD - Key Reversal Up on Daily Chart.
AUDUSD - Two White Soldiers on Daily C

GVI Forex Jay 12:10 GMT January 19, 2011
Tech Talk

12:10 GMT (Global-View.com) January 19 - It is hard to fight the tape as the eur/usd continues its recovery, testing 1.35+ for the first time since Nov 23 although euro strength is a head scratcher. This saw a key 1.3498 resistance briefly broken but the tepid 1.35+ test (high 1.3508) and quick retreat suggest some offers lying in wait after stops were taken out. This sets the stage for Wednesday’s session where the 100 day mva (1.3428) will be a focus on the downside (especially on the close) while 1.35 is clearly pivotal on top. Tuesday's 1.3465 high needs to become support to keep a sharp focus on 1.35+.

On the upside:

1.3508 = Wed high
1.3579 = 50% of 1.4282-1.2875
1.3745 = 61.8%
1.3786 = key Nov 22 high
1.4282 = key Nov 4 high

Support is less significant while within 1.34-1.35:

1.3435 = minor intra-day
1.3428 = 100 day mva
1.3408 = 38.2% of 1.3247-1.3508 = this week's range)
1.3378 = 50%
1.3367 = intra-day low

Gen dk 12:01 GMT January 19, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Israel dil 12:00 GMT January 19, 2011
Europe's lost generation?

at least Italy has very alert and aware prime minister, he does his best to take (financial) care of few young females.

HK REVDAX 11:59 GMT January 19, 2011
Europe's lost generation?

dil//Utterly thousands of USA kids are being employed by the schools in China simply to 'interact' with the Chinese students for English learning purpose. The pay is not much but then again these USA kids are a bunch of Hip Hop dancers and beer drinkers with no skills to offer...

Cambridge Joe 11:58 GMT January 19, 2011
Europe's lost generation?

Recent news said that many children (boys mainly) arrive for secondary schooling.... and can't even read or write....

Some years ago, I went with my eldest son to look at Plymouth university....... they offered remedial reading lessons to those who might want....

It's all a bit like the sub-prime crisis.... rubbish packaged up as AAA when it's actually Sh*t.

GVI Forex Blog 11:57 GMT January 19, 2011 Reply   
Dollar-Swiss is continuing to trade below 0.9600 in a narrow range of 0.9570-600.

FX Thoughts for the day : 19-Jan--2011 - 1155 GMT

Israel dil 11:53 GMT January 19, 2011
Europe's lost generation?
Reply   
two weeks old article, but looks to remain an actual European problem for long time.

Link: Europe’s Young Grow Agitated Over Future Prospects

if they can't get a job, then how they will be able to pay the debt?

kaduna clement 11:52 GMT January 19, 2011
help
Reply   
please is there place i can get direct signal on buy/sell.
cos i've declearing losses lately

Cambridge Joe 11:43 GMT January 19, 2011
To keep an eye on...
Reply   
I'm seeing the possibility of EURCAD as strong south direction soon.

Just heads up to watch for now.

sofia kaprikorn 11:37 GMT January 19, 2011
FED QE2
Reply   
Hello,
May I please ask for advice where I could find info of how much of the 600 bln of QE2 are already spent and how to monitor the bond purchases?
TIA!

GVI Forex Blog 11:20 GMT January 19, 2011 Reply   
The USD entered the session on the defensive as the EUR/USD pair posted 9-week highs above the 1.35 handle and was led again by Asian sovereign demand. A possible leak in some of the key Chinese data aided the risk appetite theme.

TradeTheNews.com European Market Update: Germany said to consider letting EFSF finance Greek Debt Buy-Backs

GVI Forex john 11:07 GMT January 19, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

UPDATED Global-View IMM (CME) Futures Swap Points. G-V Forex Spot to Futures Calculator (and back).

Israel dil 11:06 GMT January 19, 2011
EUR/USD: is it the time for direction change?
Reply   
EUR/USD is very bullish and shows no sign to stop from being so bullish. that is the conclusion from the price action since 1.3080 clearly taken. I think that news and uncertainty out of Portugal going to change the trading sentiment.

2010 shown how the Greek news and uncertainty triggered the EUR/USD price action, 2011 is about to show how the same kind of news and uncertainty from Portugal going to act. does a call for 2010 lows test is too much or the current 2011 low is almost 10% above 2010 low (current price is almost 15% above 2010 low) to stay in place?

my two agurot (Israeli cents), kindly share your views and ideas for about EUR/USD for the time frame ends 28-FEB-2010.

Blore RKG 11:01 GMT January 19, 2011
gbp/usd
Reply   



The purist will scoff at the suggestion of any H&S formation here - but wont ignore the formation as it occurs at a top.

GVI Forex john 10:46 GMT January 19, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

Global-View Chart Gallery updated. A wide selection of updated forex, interest rate and equity charts.

Global-View Market Tracker updated. Twice daily survey and technical studies of a broad range of related markets.

GVI Forex Blog 10:43 GMT January 19, 2011 Reply   
11:00 GMT (Global-View.com) January 19- The USD has continued to display a soft tone early on Wednesday, as the markets continue to lack fresh negative news on the E-Z. It seems that the only thing that can help the U.S. currency these days is fresh bad news from Europe.

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- USD Soft

Tokyo Rana 10:40 GMT January 19, 2011
jpy

eurusd half out for 35pips....eurusd is real money making machine.....

GVI Forex Blog 10:18 GMT January 19, 2011 Reply   
The euro rose to its highest in eight weeks against the dollar on Wednesday on reported Asian sovereign buying, and as continued short-covering briefly pushed the common currency beyond a reported options barrier at $1.35.

FOREX NEWS - Euro rises briefly above $1.35 to 8-week high

Gen dk 10:06 GMT January 19, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Tokyo Rana 09:27 GMT January 19, 2011
jpy


Entry: 1.6005 Target: open Stop: 1.59

demo trade,

GVI Forex Blog 09:24 GMT January 19, 2011 Reply   
During this session, we will cover a simple set of rules that anyone can use for short and long term trading in the Forex market.

Forexpros Daily Analysis - 19/01/2011

Cairo Hesham 09:16 GMT January 19, 2011
Any view for the usd/cad?
Reply   
Buy USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

I want to know about 4 month length view. I know that our friend FM said that usd/cad can reach 1 if it is above 0.988. But what are the expectations for more than medium term? Can it go above 1 or 1 will be the maximum?. I am asking that because I need to buy some amount of CAD $ for personal purpose and I want to know the good time to buy or the highest possible value of usd/cad and its time. Any view?

Tokyo Rana 09:10 GMT January 19, 2011
jpy

Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.3447 Target: open Stop: later

sorry...

Tokyo Rana 09:10 GMT January 19, 2011
jpy
Reply   

Entry: 1.3447small one Target: open Stop: later

bought...............happy day,

http://www.exchange-forecast.com/censored/USDJPY40.gif

Macau JJ 09:04 GMT January 19, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

let's see

Macau JJ 09:04 GMT January 19, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

let's see

Macau JJ 09:04 GMT January 19, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

let's see

HK REVDAX 08:46 GMT January 19, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Gold is ready for a drop, imo. What are the currencies ready to drop with gold too?

Lahore FM 08:34 GMT January 19, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Revdax usdcad needs to hold above 0.9880 and we shall see 1.0000.

yes Purk resting is good and essential.

Amsterdam purk 08:26 GMT January 19, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Resting is good!

HK REVDAX 08:26 GMT January 19, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

FM//Kindly comment on $/CAD. Tks

Lahore FM 08:17 GMT January 19, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3456 Target: Stop: 1.3515

sold small.

this trip to 1.3505 was mentioned as a possibility some weeks ago.could not get the best entry clsoer to 1.35 as was resting.

Lahore FM 08:14 GMT January 19, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Buy USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

usdjpy long stopped 82.20 for minus 70.not sure if its good riddance or not.

might enter long at a later time.

Lahore FM 08:13 GMT January 19, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 1.0051 Target: Stop: 1.0110 for two

sold more 1.0051.sl for two at 1.0110.

Lahore FM 08:10 GMT January 19, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Buy EURCAD
Entry: 1.3127 Target: 1.3560 Stop: sl to 1.3127 for remainder long

raised sl for eurcad remainder long to entry.

Rexburg Stubbs 07:53 GMT January 19, 2011
Silver

I'm to say that I wanted 50,000 ounces long instead of only 45,000 but then I remembered not to be greedy.

Hong Kong 07:39 GMT January 19, 2011
Support, Resistance and Range Forecast - AceTrader
Reply   
INTRA-DAY USD/JPY:

Last Update At 19 Jan 2011 05:53 GMT

Range Forecast
82.15 / 82.35

Resistance/Support
R: 82.69 / 82.83 / 83.08
S: 82.13 / 81.99 / 81.88

-------------------------

INTRA-DAY EUR/USD:

Last Update At 19 Jan 2011 07:35 GMT

Range Forecast
1.3455 / 1.3485

Resistance/Support
R: 1.3508/1.3542/1.3580
S: 1.3420/1.3396/1.3342

--------------------------

INTRA-DAY USD/CHF:

Last Update At 19 Jan 2011 07:07 GMT

Range Forecast
0.9560 / 0.9595

Resistance/Support
R: 0.9605/0.9628/0.9656
S: 0.9551/0.9518/0.9470

---------------------------

INTRA-DAY GBP/USD:

Last Update At 19 Jan 2011 06:58 GMT

Range Forecast
1.6015 / 1.6055

Resistance/Support
R: 1.6037/1.6060/1.6095
S: 1.5991/1.5978/1.5933

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Rexburg Stubbs 07:38 GMT January 19, 2011
Silver

That's how we roll!

Cambridge Joe 07:35 GMT January 19, 2011
Taking a dip...
Reply   
I'm seeing possibility of USD taking a dip in the v near future.

Just time for me to take the dogs and get back in time...
See how it is then.

Syd 07:13 GMT January 19, 2011
Austerity battle threatens to become Catalan conflict
Reply   
Austerity battle threatens to become Catalan conflict
Spain's battle to reduce the public deficit is moving to the regional level.LINK

Rexburg Stubbs 07:07 GMT January 19, 2011
Silver

I'm to say 45,000 ounces long silver now.

Syd 06:55 GMT January 19, 2011
With Sterling, Beware of Quicksand
Reply   
Sterling should have a sign around its neck: “Beware of the Quicksand.” Sooner or later the currency is going to be sucked down.
http://blogs.wsj.com/source/2011/01/18/with-sterling-beware-of-the-quicksand/

Rexburg Stubbs 06:50 GMT January 19, 2011
Silver

I'm to say make that 40,000 oz long silver.

GVI Forex Blog 06:49 GMT January 19, 2011 Reply   
USD at multi-week lows vs EUR, GBP, AUD; China Dec CPI leaked at 4.6%, below expectations ***Economic Data*** - (AU) AUSTRALIA JAN WESTPAC CONSUMER CONFIDENCE M/M: -5.7% V 0.2%...

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update:

Syd 06:24 GMT January 19, 2011
China Needs Urgent Guidance on Euro Debt Risk, Yu Yongding Says
Reply   
China should urgently seek guidance on whether its holdings of “euro periphery debt” will be affected by any restructuring, said Yu Yongding, a former adviser to the Chinese central bank.China should give no commitment to support the eurozone through direct government bond purchases -- this simply risks throwing good money after bad,” Yu wrote in the Financial Times today. Yu said China may see “significantly lower” growth as the economy shifts away from dependence on exports and investment over the next four years.

The nation’s expansion may become more balanced and stable, he said, adding that the government needs to cool the economy, while avoiding a “hard landing.”

Yu said a stronger Chinese currency would help the U.S. and also aid China’s efforts to adjust its economy and contain inflation.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-01-19/china-needs-urgent-guidance-on-euro-debt-risk-yu-yongding-says.html

Rexburg Stubbs 06:08 GMT January 19, 2011
Silver

I'm to say that I'm holding 30,000 oz long.

Tokyo Rana 06:00 GMT January 19, 2011
Selling Oz

its more likely headiing for new top...

Blore RKG 05:52 GMT January 19, 2011
Selling Oz
Reply   
Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 1.0070 Target: 0.9950 Stop: 1.0105

too many overlaps in this leg up from 0.9852 so suspect an ending diagonal - may have some upside but a pullback is as much a possibility. Trying a short to see where i go wrong on this count...

Rexburg Stubbs 05:52 GMT January 19, 2011
Silver
Reply   
I'm to say that silver looks explosive

Syd 05:43 GMT January 19, 2011
Germany Won't Fancy The Pain Game
Reply   
EU agrees new bank stress tests
The sluggish approach could test the patience of investors, spooked by the euro zone debt crisis, who sold off peripheral euro zone bonds this month until the European Central Bank intervened to steady marketsLINK

Germany Won't Fancy The Pain Game
For peripheral Europe to avoid another more severe debt crisis down the line, one that would likely prove fatal to their euro membership, these countries need to be able to shake off the bulk of their debt burdens and at the same time be allowed to nurse their economies back to health.
But the only way this will happen is for core Europe, particularly Germany, to share substantially in the periphery's pain. The richer countries would have to forgive a hefty amount of peripheral Europe's debt or, alternatively make them equally large transfer payments. And at the same time, Germany would have to accept significantly higher than hitherto acceptable inflation rates in order to spare countries struggling with austerity from having to deflate their way to competitiveness. It's doubtful the fund is big enough for a large country like Spain to tap it, as currently projected. And if Belgium and Italy, which are overloaded with sovereign debt, follow suit there definitely won't be enough money in the kitty. But ultimately, even on easier terms, many of these countries will have to default on their debt. It's not something Germany will like -- large German banks are exposed to some 210 billion euros of peripheral European debt, the equivalent to about 13% of Germany's GDP. A default with a 50% recovery would be very, very painful for the German taxpayers backstopping German banks. The alternative of equally massive direct transfer payments from the core to the periphery is likely to be even less palatable to Germans, according to a recent paper by Otmar Issing, formerly the European Central Bank's chief economist. Nor is this the only price Germany would likely have to pay to rescue the euro. Wages have been deflating in the euro zone's periphery as these countries struggle to regain competitiveness now that they can't devalue. It would help if Germany were willing to allow domestic inflation, and with it domestic wages, to rise substantially. That, though, isn't happening. Germany's inflation rate is lower than those across much of peripheral Europe. Nor is it likely to happen in the future. Germans are allergic to inflation.
The message from Germany about doing anything more than backing a permanent fund is nein, nein and nein.

Tokyo Rana 04:57 GMT January 19, 2011
this was gbpusd not gbpjpy!

keep short usd$ still....ithink very bad numbers will come home sale....happy day,

Tokyo Rana 04:51 GMT January 19, 2011
this was gbpusd not gbpjpy!


Entry: 1.63pending Target: open Stop: later

also leaving some eurusd 1.3777and audusd 1.02/1.005 short orders.....tomorrow go leave for holidays so cannot take many positions.....happy trade,

Tokyo Rana 04:45 GMT January 19, 2011
this was gbpusd not gbpjpy!

out from gbpusd shorts look like usd$ weak more...eurusd audusd gbpusd will go more up...

Syd 04:32 GMT January 19, 2011
China
Reply   
China's inflation hit 4.6% in December, pushing the full-year 2010 consumer price index up 3.3%, while the national economy grew 10.3% last year, Phoenix TV reported on its website Wednesday, China's producer price index, a forward indicator for inflation, rose 5.9% last year, the report said.

The report cited unidentified central bank officials as saying the economic data had been leaked.

GVI Forex Blog 03:51 GMT January 19, 2011 Reply   
atch our Chief Currency Strategist Mr.Vikram Murarka on CNBC TV18 today at 1115 hrs (IST).

Morning Briefing : 19-Jan-2011 -0336 GMT

Rexburg Stubbs 03:36 GMT January 19, 2011
Eurozone tensions rise amid bail

I'm to say that they must be reading from the Global View.
Maybe that is why the metal markets are supply tight and demand strong.

Syd 03:34 GMT January 19, 2011
Eurozone tensions rise amid bail
Reply   
Eurozone tensions rise amid bailouts
José Sócrates reportedly begged for help last week as Portugal became the latest eurozone country tipped for a bailout. But the cynical response reveals rising tensions within the bloc
Merkel asked Strauss-Kahn about Sócrates' dilemma. The German-speaking IMF chief was dismissive. The Portuguese plea was pointless, he said, because Sócrates would not follow any advice he was given.
Publicly, Merkel and her finance minister, Wolfgang Schäuble, described Barroso's intervention as "unnecessary". Privately, the chancellor's office told Barroso to shut up, that the €440bn guaranteed by eurozone governments was none of his business since it was not his money.

"The markets don't trust the package. Some Americans give the euro only a few years," said a senior EU official. After challenging the Germans to react more quickly and decisively – and being told to keep quiet
http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2011/jan/18/eurozone-crisis-over-bailout-response

Tokyo Rana 03:33 GMT January 19, 2011
this was gbpusd not gbpjpy!
Reply   
Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.6015small Target: open Stop: later

happy day,

Rexburg Stubbs 03:33 GMT January 19, 2011
jpy

I'm to say Happy Day Rana!

Rexburg Stubbs 03:32 GMT January 19, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

I'm to say I joined you Mr FM at 82.22
Thanks a lot

Hong Kong 03:30 GMT January 19, 2011
AUD/USD Intra-day signal by AceTrader
Reply   
AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

INTRADAY TRADING SIGNAL BY ACETRADER.COM: AUD/USD

AUD/USD : 1.0038

Last Update At 19 Jan 2011 03:04 GMT

As aud has maintained a firm undertone after the
breach of last week's 1.0021 high, suggesting up-
side bias remains for rise fm 0.9803 low to extend
gain to 1.0060/65, however, loss of momentum shud
prevent sharp move beyond there is Asia.

Buy on minor pullback with stop as indicated,
below wud risk 0.9975/80 but 0.9963 shud hold.

Range Forecast
1.0015 / 1.0055

Resistance/Support
R: 1.0074/1.0084/1.0106
S: 1.0006/0.9963/0.9948

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Tokyo Rana 03:26 GMT January 19, 2011
audusd

Sell GBPJPY
Entry: 1.6015small Target: open Stop: later

Dear KB,thanx alot....eurusd all longs closed ....audusd small long hold....happy trade,

Syd 03:19 GMT January 19, 2011
North Korea
Reply   
SEOUL (AFP)--Seoul and Washington have started talks on extending the range of South Korea's missiles to help deter North Korea, news reports said Wednesday

Explosion At PetroChina Factory In Northeast China - Xinhua

OPEC denies lack of supply is to blame for $99 oil
The world is well supplied with oil, the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) insisted, as it took a swipe at warnings that the price per barrel nearing $100 could derail the global economic recovery.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/energy/oilandgas/8
267486/OPEC-denies-lack-of-supply-is-to-blame-for-99-oil.html

jerusalem kb 02:48 GMT January 19, 2011
audusd

thanks rana & Good luck to you too

Syd 02:42 GMT January 19, 2011
Shanghai To Levy Real-Estate Tax On New Homes Based On Area - Report
Reply   
The Shanghai municipal government will levy a real-estate tax on newly purchased residential properties based on the amount of space occupied by each member of the household, the China Securities Journal reported Wednesday, citing Shanghai Mayor Han Zheng.

HK REVDAX 02:26 GMT January 19, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

FM//Stop for eur/chf. Plse

tokyo rana 02:12 GMT January 19, 2011
audusd

im also long my target 1.02/1.05.....

Adelaide D 02:04 GMT January 19, 2011
RBA on a suicidal cause

AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Hey Mate, where did you find that info, couldn't find with google. Can you post a link please

danny

tokyo rana 01:55 GMT January 19, 2011
audusd

jerusalem kb 01:53 dear friend,good luck....happy day,

jerusalem kb 01:53 GMT January 19, 2011
audusd

sl same for safe trade to 1.0250

tokyo rana 01:51 GMT January 19, 2011
jpy

to dr unken katt 01:49 dear friendboth real and demo goingfine....happy day,

jerusalem kb 01:50 GMT January 19, 2011
audusd

Entry: 0.9973 Target: 1.0070/1.0250 Stop: 0.9920
-------------------------------------------------
closed 1/2 with 50pips+

to dr unken katt 01:49 GMT January 19, 2011
jpy

hav u switched to the live yet or u still ridin the demolo acc?

Gen dk 01:39 GMT January 19, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

tokyo rana 01:38 GMT January 19, 2011
jpy
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.3367 Target: open Stop: later

half out for 50pips plus...happy day,

Canberra Jgt 01:33 GMT January 19, 2011
RBA on a suicidal cause
Reply   
Despite every analyst predicting the demise of aud due to floods and negative consumer sentiment, the RBA fearing an inflation spiral (over the 3% comfort zone) due to wide fruit and vegetables shortages and a drop in exports..etc, have in the short term stepped in to support the value of the aud as a measure of protection against rising prices of crude and other essential ...short reprieve for the aud but long term demise in its value. So position trading the aud/usd is far better than short term day trading it....g/t

Hong Kong 01:12 GMT January 19, 2011
Daily FX Market Outlook by AceTrader-19-1-2011
Reply   
Market Review - 18/01/2011 21:23 GMT

Euro gains on optimism eurozone debt crisis would be tamed

The single currency rose to 1-month high against the dollar on Tuesday due to optimism the eurozone officials may announce new measures to contain the sovereign debt crisis.

Eurogroup's president Jean-Claude Juncker said eurozone's finance ministers had discussed a European Commission proposal to increase the EFSF from about 250 billion euros to 440 billion. Euro rose from intra-day low of 1.3254 in Asia and extended intra-day rally to 1.3430 after the release of much stronger-than-expected German ZEW economic sentiment which came in at 15.4 in January versus the consensus forecast of 6.8. Euro later climbed to 1-month high 1.3467 before retreating on profit-taking.

The dollar remained under pressure against the Japanese yen in Asia and European morning session due to broad-based weakness, the pair weakened to 82.33 at NY opening, however, price rebounded to 82.83 after the release of U.S. November net capital inflows data. The Total Net US Treasury Department international capital (TIC) Flows came in at 85.1 billion in November versus forecast of 40.0 billion while total net foreign buys of TIC came in at 61.7 billion versus forecast of 40.0 billion.

The British pound ratcheted higher in tandem with euro from 1.5878 in Asia and cable's intra-day rally picked up momentum after rising above Monday's high 1.5955. The British pound later surged to 1.6060 before retreating on profit-taking.

Traders bought the pound after release of stronger-than-expected Nationwide consumer confidence (Dec came in at 53 vs forecast of 44) and U.K. RICS house price showed a smaller-then-expected decrease. In addition, U.K. Dec CPI rose by 1.0% m/m and 3.7% y/y respectively, much stronger than economists' expectation of 0.7% m/m and 3.3% y/y rise, adding speculation that the Bank of England may need to increase interest rates soon.

Economic indicators to be released on Wednesday include:

EU current account, UK jobs data and US housing starts

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Syd 00:46 GMT January 19, 2011
Euro's Spanish Battle Needs Some Shock and Awe:
Reply   
dc CB 00:28 GMT :-))))

Euro's Spanish Battle Needs Some Shock and Awe:
The financial markets are neither pro- nor anti-euro. Yet, once they have evidence of a major inconsistency, they will press on until it is solved. In the case of the euro, the inconsistency is between its nature -- a currency without a state -- and its governance, impaired by a triple and self- defeating “No”: No fiscal union, no bailout, no sanctions.
LINK

dc CB 00:28 GMT January 19, 2011
Aud

they been listening to Randy Newman
"we'll save Austrailia, don't want to hurt no kangaroo"

Let's Drop the Big One.

Lahore FM 00:20 GMT January 19, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Buy EURCHF
Entry: Target: 1.3160 Stop:

eurchf set for higher levels as well.

Lahore FM 00:18 GMT January 19, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Buy USDJPY
Entry: Target: 84.10 Stop:

looking for 84.10 this week which will also bring mood shift on the pair.

Syd 00:02 GMT January 19, 2011
Aud
Reply   
dc CB 23:57 GMT the lift must be out of order at the moment :-))

 




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