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Forex Forum Archive for 01/20/2011

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HK [email protected] 23:52 GMT January 20, 2011
USD/JPY
Reply   
Two failures to appreciate below 81.70 are casting doubt about the strength of the Yen.
Now moving in the range [81.70,83.50] will need a breakout to get an idea about it's direction.
Inability to break above 83.50 may give short term traders an opportunity to short usd/jpy back to 81.70 with a stop somewhere above 83.50

Syd 23:25 GMT January 20, 2011
China, commodities hold the key for Australia
Reply   
SYDNEY (MarketWatch) — Recent massive flooding in Queensland has resulted in near-term growth downgrades for Australia, highlighting the country’s sometimes fraught relationship with commodity prices and underscoring a key area of concern for investors. Equity strategists at Bank of America Merrill Lynch said “when we think about what could go wrong in 2011, the one development that would have the most profound impact on Australia is a major decline in terms of trade.” That would most likely be caused by demand drying up due to a sharper-than-expected slowdown in Chinese investment if China overtightens monetary policy in response to rising concerns about inflation, the strategists said.
Stocks skidded in Australia on Thursday, with the main share market ending with a 1.1% loss after China reported fourth-quarter growth of 9.8% and a 4.6% inflation reading for December, raising the prospect of more tightening from China. See story on Thursday’s Chinese data.
Fallout from a collapse in the terms of trade from a policy-induced Chinese slowdown would be severe, they said, “given the huge dependence Australia has developed [on] high commodity prices.”
The strategists conducted a stress test which assumed a 30% drop in commodity prices which they said could result in as much as a 4% drop for Australian GDP, a 23% contraction for investment, 3 percentage points added to the unemployment rate, and 9 percentage points to the government-debt-to-GDP ratio.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/china-commodities-hold-the-key-for-australia-2011-01-20

Syd 23:14 GMT January 20, 2011
Commodities Due for a Correction?
Reply   
A look at the drop in copper and whether commodities are bound to drop, with Dennis Gartman, The Gartman Letter.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232/?video=1752565429&play=1

GVI Forex john 23:07 GMT January 20, 2011


WHAT'S THE BUZZ?
Entry: Target: Stop:

Calendar: Europe: DE- Ifo Survey GB- Retail Sales

  • Interesting Day with early weakness in bund prices spilling over into U.S. treasuries.

  • Better than expected U.S. weekly jobless data fueled a further sell-off in U.S. treasuries.

  • Recent data tend to support the notion that the U.S.  and global economies are recovering.

  • USD mainly gains only on bad European News. 

  • Chinese data today assures additional tightening. Bad for commodity currencies (AUD, CAD, NZD).

  • Key German Ifo data due early Friday. No key U.S. data are slated

 



Syd 23:06 GMT January 20, 2011
SocGen crafts strategy for China hard-landing
Reply   
Société Générale fears China has lost control over its red-hot economy and risks lurching from boom to bust over the next year, with major ramifications for the rest of the world.
The French bank has told clients to hedge against the danger of a blow-off spike in Chinese growth over coming months that will push commodity prices much higher, followed by a sudden reversal as China slams on the brakes.
In a report entitled The Dragon which played with fire, the bank's global team said China had carried out its own version of "quantitative easing", cranking up credit by 20 trillion (£1.9 trillion) or 50pc of GDP over the past two years. It has waited too long to drain excess stimulus."Policy makers are already behind the curve. According to our Taylor Rule analysis, the tightening needed is about 250 basis points," said the report, by Alain Bokobza, Glenn Maguire and Wei Yao.
"Policy makers are already behind the curve. According to our Taylor Rule analysis, the tightening needed is about 250 basis points
The bear case: Why top investors are betting against China
As well as the most impressive growth story in global markets, China is also the biggest paradox.
While the official data continues to paint a picture of an economic powerhouse, some of the most respected financial brains in the world are doing everything they can to “short China”. LINK

Lahore FM 23:01 GMT January 20, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

next good trade after eurcad oil and usdchf is probably eurjpy and gbpy longs.i have already dipped legs in the trade earlier today and will enter again and post when it lookes riper.

GVI Forex Blog 23:01 GMT January 20, 2011 Reply   
The dollar rose on Thursday as better-than-expected housing and employment data suggested the U.S. economy was improving, though hopes Europe was getting a handle on its debt crisis limited euro selling.

FOREX NEWS - Encouraging U.S. data boosts dollar

Syd 22:36 GMT January 20, 2011
No talks on Greek debt restructuring -EU Commission
Reply   
Jan 20 (Reuters) - There are no talks on restructuring Greek debt, the European Commission said on Thursday, in response to reports that Germany was preparing a contingency plan in case Athens were to restructure its debt.
"This is nonsense," Commission spokesman Amadeu Altafaj told a regular news briefing, when asked if there were talks on Greek debt restructuring.
The German government has also denied that any preparations for a restructuring were taking place.
"I share the German denial enthusiastically," Altafaj said.
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSBRU01126320110120

Head of the German Ifo Institute Sinn says Greece can’t pay its debts and that it should reach a deal with creditor banks about a debt restructuring. A euro zone restructuring of Greek debts is not the right thing to do, Sinn says.

Savings of Chinese bank customers are financing the boom
How does the Chinese economy work and how has it managed to grow by 10pc each year for the last 20 years?
Chinese bank customers, in short, get a rotten deal. It is their savings, which only earn minimal interest - that are financing China’s boom.
Chill reminder: China's strong economic growth is built on the saving of hard working citizens getting very little return.

Syd 21:35 GMT January 20, 2011
China leader warns US on Tibet, Taiwan
Reply   
"Otherwise our relations will suffer constant trouble or even tension," he warned.
China poses no military threats to other countries: Hu
LINK


Fitch: Euro Area Sovereign Profiles To Stay Under Pressure
LONDON (MNI) - Euro area sovereign profiles will remain under pressure due to fragile confidence over the sustainability of public finances, Fitch Ratings said in a report published Tuesday and it warned of more states seeking EU and IMF support.

DUBLIN—Ireland is facing a wave of emigration on a scale unseen since the 1980s, as young people desperate for work turn their backs on an economy ravaged by debt crises, high unemployment and tough austerity measuresLINK

US Rep To Introduce China Currency Bill As Early As Monday
A top U.S. House Democrat is planning to introduce as early as Monday legislation targeting China's management of its currency, according to aides. Rep. Sander Levin of Michigan, the top Democrat on the influential House Ways and Means Committee, plans to introduce a bill that replicates a measure passed with wide bipartisan support by the House last September. The bill would allow countervailing duties to be assessed against countries that undervalue their currency. dowjones

DJ Commodities Slump On Fears Of Slowdown In China
Commodity prices slumped on concerns that surging growth in China will push government officials to redouble efforts to slow the country's economy.

Negative Correlation Between Dollar, S&P Breaking Down -Nomura
The dollar's negative correlation with the S&P 500 is breaking down early in 2011 after being in place for about two years, says Jens Nordvig of Nomura Securities. Nordvig says the breakdown in the negative correlation, where one goes up while the other drops, could be starting because of improving dollar fundamentals like valuation, cyclical outlook and trade performance. If the correlation is indeed breaking down, Nordvig suggests it might be time to go long on the dollar against other G10 currencies in the coming months.

Chinese Appear Ambivalent About Country's Stature .
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB100014240527487039215045760937405
29925826.html

GVI Forex john 21:34 GMT January 20, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

GVI CHART POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Trading Resources...



Mtl JP 21:31 GMT January 20, 2011
Insurers say no to Brisbane

john 20:18 - that is one outrageous proposition you have made to force rational risk assessors cover irrational people moving into flood plain zones.
-
Here in Quebec for example the gov't covers peoples edgefront property damage when floods wash them out. It is absolutely outrageous to me, a taxpayer, to see that I am covering risk for which I have NO possibility of benefit. If I ever tried, for example, to have a picnic on these riverfronter's property after I pull up in a canoe, I will get chased off and be lucky not to get charge with tresspass EVEN THOUGH the first 12 feet from rivers edge is public land.

Dubai SAS 21:21 GMT January 20, 2011
Short Aussie
Reply   
Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 9920 Target: Open Stop: 9970

Working Order for the next 8 hours ....

GVI Forex john 21:21 GMT January 20, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

USD PIVOT POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Pivots	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD	NZDUSD
Res 3	1.3654	84.54	0.9890	1.6162	1.0099	1.0150	0.7825
Res 2	1.3588	83.83	0.9788	1.6085	1.0064	1.0079	0.7758
Res 1	1.3529	83.41	0.9733	1.5994	1.0020	0.9975	0.7668

Pivot	1.3463	82.70	0.9631	1.5917	0.9985	0.9904	0.7601

Sup 1	1.3404	82.28	0.9576	1.5826	0.9941	0.9800	0.7511
Sup 2	1.3338	81.57	0.9474	1.5749	0.9906	0.9729	0.7444
Sup 3	1.3279	81.15	0.9419	1.5658	0.9862	0.9625	0.7354

philadelphia caba 21:17 GMT January 20, 2011
eurchf charts

thanks kb for charts posted. looking for scalp with target at 1.3 and maybe towards 1.2950 only.

GVI Forex john 21:16 GMT January 20, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

USD MOVING AVERAGES
Entry: Target: Stop:

Latest	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD	NZDUSD
Last	1.3470	82.99	0.9678	1.5902	0.9975	0.9871	0.7578
High	1.3522	83.12	0.9686	1.6009	1.0030	1.0008	0.7691
Low	1.3397	81.99	0.9529	1.5841	0.9951	0.9833	0.7534
Change	0.0005	0.93	0.0130	-0.0084	0.0020	-0.0121	-0.0105

MVA	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD	NZDUSD
5 day	1.3396	82.67	0.9631	1.5919	0.9922	0.9934	0.7671
10 day	1.3231	82.81	0.9655	1.5794	0.9911	0.9938	0.7651
20 day	1.3227	82.47	0.9566	1.5635	0.9949	1.0017	0.7649
50 day	1.3270	83.13	0.9719	1.5680	1.0057	0.9914	0.7586
100 day	1.3441	82.92	0.9765	1.5744	1.0131	0.9811	0.7539
200 day	1.3070	86.08	1.0302	1.5438	1.0253	0.9312	0.7297

TREND	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD	NZDUSD
BIAS	Up	Up	Up	Up	Down	Down	Up

Dubai SAS 21:12 GMT January 20, 2011
Short Euros
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3480 Target: Stop: 1.3530 bid

Sold ...

Cambridge Joe 20:58 GMT January 20, 2011
USDJPY
Reply   
USDJPY looking short to me....
see how you feel.

Syd 20:27 GMT January 20, 2011
Insurance Mafia
Reply   
GVI Forex john and Joe,
When you ring about an insurance claim, you have to be very careful how you word your claim as they have a special language (terms) you should avoid using or they will throw it out e.g. the word flood storm water , run off they have a list in front of them, you get interrogated over the phone , so unless you familiar with the terms they are going to use (they try and trip you up) you automatically eliminate yourself through honesty.

jerusalem kb 20:24 GMT January 20, 2011
eurchf charts

1hr chart confirm this trade setup

jerusalem kb 20:23 GMT January 20, 2011
eurchf charts



Buy EURCHF
Entry: 1.300 Target: 1.3110 Stop: 1.2910

1hr chrt conform this trade setup

jerusalem kb 20:21 GMT January 20, 2011
eurchf charts
Reply   


EURCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

we have a ress. breakout followed by breaking of 100fib level

GVI Forex john 20:18 GMT January 20, 2011
Insurers say no to Brisbane

Syd- polices are the same here in the States. It would be a lot easier if governments would make flood coverage mandatory by insurance companies in all policies. Here it is separate as well.

Cambridge Joe 20:18 GMT January 20, 2011
Insurers say no to Brisbane

Syd// so therefore it must mean Insurance stock is a 'BUY'....
inhuman bastards.

Syd 20:13 GMT January 20, 2011
Insurers say no to Brisbane
Reply   
INSURERS have determined to take a hard line on stricken policyholders in Brisbane, leaving tens of thousands of flood victims uncovered and facing financial ruin.

http://www.smh.com.au/environment/weather/insurers-say-no-to-brisbane-20110120-19y3m.html

GVI Forex Blog 19:54 GMT January 20, 2011 Reply   
AUD/USD and NZD/USD outlook next 24 hours: The mixed blessing of strong Chinese growth, and the accompanying expectation of more policy tightening, means that the NZD and AUD seesaw is likely to continue.

Forex - Morning Report (Westpac)

Lahore FM 19:45 GMT January 20, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

raised sl to 1.3505

philadelphia caba 19:32 GMT January 20, 2011
short eur/chf
Reply   
Sell EURCHF
Entry: 1.3035 Target: Stop:

scalp, will set s/l befor ny close. may keep it thru tomorrow.

jerusalem kb 19:28 GMT January 20, 2011
audusd and nzdusd
Reply   
AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

audusd now ress. at 0.9925 and in case of going short stop should be place at 0.9990.
NZDUSD now ress. at 0.7625 and sl at 0.7685

dc CB 19:27 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?



30Y yield tiptoed above its Dec high.

catalyst for the afternoon sell off ...the 10Y TIPS auction.

Yield was 1.17% against expectations of 1.11%. Coverage was 2.37x compared to 2.91x last.

GVI Forex john 19:20 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

Another very bad day in fixed income land. The U.S. 10-yr note was last 3.455% +12 bps. For the uninitiated, that is a large single day move. I'm guessing the USD does not like tis price weakness. That's the way I think also, but am never sure how traders will interpret news these days. Life used to be simpler but not easier.

Rexburg Stubbs 19:18 GMT January 20, 2011
Stubbs and zeus

I'm to say that that all the attention is making Mr Stubbs shy. I'm not to want Paparazzo here by first time handle troll spoofs.
Silver longs as hedge are working beautifully.

nyc bankall 19:14 GMT January 20, 2011
Stubbs and zeus

"I'm to say" zeus using stubbs words twice here.

USA ZEUS 12:42 GMT January 17, 2011
SELL EURUSD : Reply
London Mick-
Hello friend from across the pond. I'm to say stop at 2011 highs. I do not believe in target price. Maybe it goes to 1.27 maybe 0.7 but that is for the market to determine. I'm to say that the big money is made by letting profits run and run. 1.3307 shot for late party goers is a sell stop idea b'cause bid needs to now trigger that on the way down to be validated.

Rana- you are simply amazing. Maybe the beat ever at FX trading. I'm to say win or lose, impression will not change.

Lol & Good to the trades

Toronto EDP 19:14 GMT January 20, 2011
Stubbs and zeus

If it IS ZEUS then why the ridiculous/stilted use of English in "I'm to say" over and over again. I would have thought that he was above that sort of thing.

canmore cyclops 19:10 GMT January 20, 2011
Stubbs and zeus

Yes I remember that now as well, thank you

nyc bankall 19:02 GMT January 20, 2011
Stubbs and zeus

Yeah, I too noticed the similarity between the two some time ago. Before Zeus, he was known as Las Vegas Jon :)

Southport UK DM 18:58 GMT January 20, 2011
Silver
Reply   
longs at the moment just for scalping - silver in down bias for now, targetting 26.56, with possibility of extension to 24.77.

If 24.77 level seen, a medium term buy to target 36 area in 3-4 months.

London SFH 18:52 GMT January 20, 2011
Stubbs and zeus

Dr Jekyll syndrome

Rexburg Stubbs 18:46 GMT January 20, 2011
Stubbs and zeus

I'm to say sorry to disappoint. Stubbs is Stubbs.

canmore cyclops 18:38 GMT January 20, 2011
Stubbs and zeus
Reply   
Does anyone notice the tone and content of Stubbs and zeus are remarkably the same. and that stubbs accidentally used the zeus handle a couple of days ago. Just wondering

Rexburg Stubbs 18:33 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

I'm to say silver spot long at 27.45 is a bargain hedge IMVHO

Rexburg Stubbs 18:21 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

Appetite For Destruction

GVI Forex john 18:13 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?



- EURUSD finding a floor?
- Commodity Currencies (AUD,CAD, NZD) all hit following strong Chinese data very early today. More policy tightening has been priced in.
- U.S. equities generally down, Gold and Silver are weak. Crude oil also down despite repeated talk recently about prices above $100 later this year.
- U.S. treasuries are weak.
- Worrisome NZ inflation report much earlier today (see chart). Higher rates next week?

Southport UK DM 18:08 GMT January 20, 2011
EUR/$ Support
Reply   


Trying to post a chart - I hope I have done it correctly.

Eur/$ support this week can be seen on a 30min chart using the support area of 144/169 ema.

Bias remains long while 30 min support holds.

to dr unken katt 18:02 GMT January 20, 2011
Tech Talk

g/swissy 4hr stox hav came back to 80 range , good sell

Rexburg Stubbs 17:37 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

I'm to say that one day the market will be stunned when The Ben Bernank pulls the plug on POMO just like that guy did to the runway lights in the movie Airplane...just to send a signal and see if anyone remembers who sits in the control tower.

GVI Forex Blog 17:37 GMT January 20, 2011 Reply   
Volatile day for EUR GBP and CHF off large Chinese data outperform; more tightening ahead New European Systemic Risk Board convenes

Forex Market Commentary and Analysis (20 January 2011)

Hillegom Purk 17:37 GMT January 20, 2011
days low

Hillegom Purk 20:01 GMT January 19, 2011
days low: Reply
Please note that in e/u todays low was 13435ish and yesterday 13283. Too much difference for my taste. Result: small range in comp. with last weeks. We shall see if we can reach 13383ish in the morning.
If not, pattern will stay being 100 pip up from close.
_________________________________________
Well it was 13395 on my platty, so i consider the matter as closed. We can look forward to 135+ again.
Under 13321 and i will change that.

Rexburg Stubbs 17:24 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

I'm to say that one day Maria Barteloni says "eur at multi month high!" the next in subdued tone- "USD is somewhat higher on the heels of commodity price declines".

I'm to say commodity prices are declining because USD demand is strong as portfolios liquidate back into the safety net.

GVI Forex Jay 17:20 GMT January 20, 2011
Tech Talk



I have been noting the past few days the 100 hour mva as important for the eur/uisd but hard to post the chart in the heat of battle so posting it now.

jerusalem kb 17:16 GMT January 20, 2011
gbpcad

correction.
2nd target is 1.5710

jerusalem kb 17:12 GMT January 20, 2011
gbpcad
Reply   
Sell GBPCAD
Entry: 1.5920 Target: 1.5820-1.5550 Stop: 1.6

strong sell signal is formed on h4 chart hope for a retest to trigger my order

Lahore FM 17:11 GMT January 20, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3459 Target: Stop: 1.3495

sold.

Belgrade TD 16:59 GMT January 20, 2011
positions

Belgrade TD 15:31 GMT January 20, 2011
long gold at 1344,3 ... small one ... just scalping for 5-10$ ... IF :)
///
out at 1348,5

Paris ib 16:57 GMT January 20, 2011
Beginning of stock correction?
Reply   
Stocks have had a good run, a correction looks likely and may have already begun.... implications for currencies? One... commodities are likely to take a hit and that should ensure commodity currencies take hit. AUD confirmed that today. EUR/AUD went higher today, confirming signal given by outside week up last week.

Weaker stock should also see bond markets supported, though that didn't happen in the states today. If bonds come to be back in vogue that could make things interesting. Peripherals anyone?

GVI Forex Blog 16:51 GMT January 20, 2011 Reply   
If Adam Smith were alive today one might expect a very different treatise on capitalism and how the visible hand of governments is increasingly crowding out the invisible hand of markets.

The Visible Hand (FXA)

Rexburg Stubbs 16:50 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

HK REVDAX 16:43 GMT January 20, 2011

I'm to say that if you know it will go bankrupt then why would you buy the dips like an Enron? I'm to say that many will go hooves up holding on to the eur failed fantasy.

GVI Forex Blog 16:46 GMT January 20, 2011 Reply   
The greenback gained during the New York session as commodities headed lower on BRIC-related rate hike concerns. Cross-related flows benefited the euro

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update

HK REVDAX 16:43 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

Stubbs//yes, euro is a man-made failure. but before it goes bankrupt, many here may go bankrupt first shorting it.

THE MKT CAN DO ANYTHING AND IT WILL DO ANYTHING!

GOOD NIGHT...OOOOOOOOOOZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ

Rexburg Stubbs 16:41 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

I'm to say that the Maria Bartiloni's are about to say that eur was a BTFD because the price wiggled higher so now they feel comfortable calling out the idea after they did not do anything.

Rexburg Stubbs 16:33 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

....But eur is a STFR because it is anothr man made total failure.

Rexburg Stubbs 16:30 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

Rev- I'm to say physical gold is always a buy on dip or rally because it is neither here not there but simply is

GVI Forex john 16:29 GMT January 20, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

CALENDAR
Entry: Target: Stop:

January 20 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, January 21:

  • Far East: No major data.
  • Europe: DE- Ifo Survey GB- Retail Sales.
  • North America: CA- Retail Sales.
Updated: Trading Events Calendar

Rexburg Stubbs 16:29 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

I'm to say sorry for the many typos. The Hip Hop EUR is distracting from the keyboard soliloquy attempts .

HK REVDAX 16:26 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

Stubbs//i would say that BTFD of gold with a stop at today's low might yield some money for some cheap wine tomorrow.

HK Kevin 16:24 GMT January 20, 2011
EUR/USD

HK Kevin 13:52 GMT January 20, 2011
EUR/USD: Reply
EUR/USD critical support for maintaining its bulish trend is 1.3383.
CLosed the 2nd half of short EUR from 1.3510 here at 1.3429

Rexburg Stubbs 16:23 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

Rev-

I'm to say that with such confidence you should simply BTFD.
Otherwise, if conventional tactics aren't enough, there is always the nuclear mutually assured destruction in the maddening race to the bottom. Besides how will all the 50 Cent wannabe's roaming around the planet by that shiny new dreamy BMW 318? hihihi

HK REVDAX 16:18 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

Stubbs//The only position I am carrying is short $/CAD about an hour ago. But the way I see euro is this: a low close today would deliver a shoot up tomorrow and all that navy bombardment would not stop its rise.

Rexburg Stubbs 16:15 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

HK REVDAX 16:13 GMT January 20, 2011

I'm to say then sit back, turn your hat sideways, loosen your belt so your pants sag and guzzle some beer or rice dream sake and BTFD mate.

HK REVDAX 16:13 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

Stubbs//I don't understand all that hip hop sensation in shorting euro. The fact of the matter is euro is being locked into a motionless state.

Rexburg Stubbs 16:02 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:55 GMT January 20, 2011

I'm to say 10-4 and Roger that Delta unit. The great beast has been awakened. Will "lay down a blanket" when the beast has taken the bait.

London SMS 16:00 GMT January 20, 2011
Dollar turn around or just...?
Reply   
Buy USDCHF
Entry: 96.80 Target: 1.000 Stop:

TP for 1/2 of long @ 96 average. Moved stop up to 96.50, Target now parity for the free ride.
------------
London SMS 17:00 GMT January 19, 2011
Still long USDCHF @ .9650 and have left order for nearly a week to buy @ 95.50!!

Lahore FM 15:58 GMT January 20, 2011
target for USD/CHF

fh2nyc,its 0.99 or higher for usdchf.

nyc fh2nyc 15:55 GMT January 20, 2011
target for USD/CHF
Reply   
Buy USDCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

FM, what's your target here? TIA

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:55 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

Rexburg Stubbs 15:37 GMT January 20, 2011

Bro, please call for USS Missouri to increase their firing power and cruise missile attacks on the coast!

We need to break down the firewall completely @ 1.34

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:47 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Commander just gave new target.

Capture the Eurusd flag at 1.3360 for a start!

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:41 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Just call for airstrike at Eurusd 1.34.

Commander-in-chief just gave orders to go full attack!

Airborne troopers jumping in at 0100hrs (singapore time - GMT + 8)

Lahore FM 15:38 GMT January 20, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Sell Crude
Entry: 91.47 Target: below 88.70 Stop: 92.20 for 1/2

01/17/2011 09:40:34 FM Lahore 53

Sell Crude
Entry: 91.47 Target: Stop: 92.20 for 1/2
01/17/2011 00:28:10 FM Lahore 8

Sell Crude
Entry: 91.47 Target: Stop: 92.20
sold feb crude for something below 88.70.
--
closed half at 90.98 now.
--
closed remainder now at 88.33 for 3 + dolls and few cents in all.

Rexburg Stubbs 15:37 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:32 GMT January 20, 2011

I'm to say that the USS Missouri must be back in action to soften the beach- Fire!

GVI Forex Jay 15:33 GMT January 20, 2011
Trade the News
Reply   
Trade the News will be raising the price of its newswire to $75 per month as of tomorrow. If you take a trial today you will be able to lock in the $50 monthly cost if you choose to subscribe. This is not a come on. It is a bargain at that price. We were just notified of the price increase. Click on the link below to take a trial:

Trade the News

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:32 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Artillery shells please bombard Eurusd. I need to break the last defense [email protected]

After 1.34 firewall is demolished, all censored break lose!

Gen dk 15:32 GMT January 20, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Belgrade TD 15:31 GMT January 20, 2011
positions
Reply   
long gold at 1344,3 ... small one ... just scalping for 5-10$ ... IF :)

Rexburg Stubbs 15:31 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

I'm to say Maria B is about to have something to report.
Liquidation teams are moving in like S.W.A.T.

Rexburg Stubbs 15:21 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

I'm to say that even that kid, Maria Bartiloni can call the market after it happens and the news is stale.

Chicago sc 15:21 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

Stubbs- Its been a difficult couple of weeks, but you are right that the charts are just history. This has been proved in spades this year.

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:19 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

Can u believe it?

My trading size today = 33 standard lots, shorting eurusd and audusd.

OMG, WTF!

Rexburg Stubbs 15:15 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

I'm to say that people won't comment until after the charts already moved. Lack of commitment here is quite telling of the street.

jerusalem kb 15:13 GMT January 20, 2011
audusd

good luck

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:12 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

Bro, we are on our own. Market is against us.

One of the key US results is a flop =(

May the force be with us on the shorting wagon!

GVI Forex john 15:11 GMT January 20, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support



ECONOMIC DATA CHART
Entry: Target: Stop:

Pending homes Sales great predictor of Existing Homes sales again. Existing homes sales is the top housing statistic...

HK REVDAX 15:09 GMT January 20, 2011
audusd

kb//if gold continued to slide...no short of $/CAD...but there is no guarantee it would... and i happen to detect a turning point either later today or tomorrow. so a tight stop of 50 pips would not hurt trying for a small position...

Rexburg Stubbs 15:09 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

I'm to say that without a USD slaughter after the horrible US econ data then it must be buy (USD) the news, right?!

Gen dk 15:09 GMT January 20, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

jerusalem kb 15:07 GMT January 20, 2011
GOLD



Sell Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

is it just the beginning , daily close may confirm the validity of this nice chart

Mtl JP 15:04 GMT January 20, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

missing decimal almost gave me a heartattack

Rexburg Stubbs 15:03 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

Haifa ac 14:58 GMT January 20, 2011

Profit taking = profit giving.

Takes two to tango in a zero sum game

GVI Forex john 15:02 GMT January 20, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

ALERT
Entry: Target: Stop:

-- ALERT --

U.S. Philly Fed Jan 19.3 vs. 20.4 exp

Existing Homes Sales Dec 5.28mln vs. 4.90mln exp

LEI +1.0% vs. +0.6% exp.


jerusalem kb 15:01 GMT January 20, 2011
usdcad



Crude
Entry: Target: Stop:

i was waiting for this since 2 weeks but i don`t want to over trade. :-(

kl fs 14:58 GMT January 20, 2011
usdcad

any usd rally will not last long, the fundamental problem with the dollar will not be solved in short time

Haifa ac 14:58 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

Chicago sc 14:43 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz? : Reply
Heavy volume in S&P futures early. Liquidating markets?//

Liquidation?
occurs after a prolonged decline when Last of the brave longs is bailing out mostly on margin calls
Market is at 2 year high
At most you can call it some Profit taking


jerusalem kb 14:53 GMT January 20, 2011
audusd

REVDAX good luck but first have a look on gold and oil and see if usd cad is good for short or not

Rexburg Stubbs 14:52 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

I'm to say put your putter back in it's bag and get the Sasquatch ready. Tee-time in 8 mins.

Chicago sc 14:43 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

Heavy volume in S&P futures early. Liquidating markets?

London Mick 14:36 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

eurusd is being held up by firmer euro crosses

Rexburg Stubbs 14:33 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

I'm to say that it is beginning to smell like the portfolio liquidation risk mgt teams are moving towards the trading desks. One-way, all-asset long, Ben Bernank trades getting strained.

Chicago sc 14:31 GMT January 20, 2011
EURUSD
Reply   
Now what after the day-trading EURUSD longs have been blown out?

Gen dk 14:30 GMT January 20, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

HK REVDAX 14:29 GMT January 20, 2011
audusd

Just shorted $/CAD with a tight stop. Looks if as i am lonely at the top (if it were a top at all)...

jerusalem kb 14:27 GMT January 20, 2011
audusd

thanks jay

jerusalem kb 14:26 GMT January 20, 2011
usdcad

going to hit 1.0075 and higher

GVI Forex Jay 14:24 GMT January 20, 2011
audusd

kb, nice trading and well presented

jerusalem kb 14:23 GMT January 20, 2011
audusd

hit targets with 130pips+

jerusalem kb 14:22 GMT January 20, 2011
GOLD

hit targets with 180pips+

Lahore FM 14:18 GMT January 20, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Revdax dear,1.0010 last bound on 4 hour charts above this daily resistance is 100 pips higher at 1.0110.guess we might reach the first importnat daily resistance level during current rally.the market mood is also leaning toward liquidation of nzd audua dn cad so it might help.

HK REVDAX 14:14 GMT January 20, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

FM//Please comment on $/CAD? Tks

Singapore SGFXTrader 14:11 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 0.98850 Target: 0.98003 Stop: 0.9920

Shorting signal seen for Audusd.

4 1-hr bearish candle. Now, we are at the 5th candle.

Please note that Audusd has corrected sharply since above parity.

Immediate target is 0.98003

HK Kevin 14:10 GMT January 20, 2011
EUR/USD

HK REVDAX 14:00 GMT, I never trade gold on intraday. Near 1300 is a great buy to holding for months.

Lahore FM 14:10 GMT January 20, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 1.0051 Target: Stop: 0.9980 for 1/3rd

01/20/2011 00:14:38 FM Lahore 4

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 1.00511 Target: Stop: .0051 for 2/3rds
01/19/2011 08:13:19 FM Lahore 17

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 1.0051 Target: Stop: 1.0110 for two
sold more 1.0051.sl for two at 1.0110.
--
closed a 1/3rd of 1.0051 short audusd.also clsoed lower entry for a small profit.lowered sl to entry level for 2/3rds short.
--
clsoed another 1/3rd from 1.0051 short audusd now at 0.9880.lowered sl for last 1/3rd portion to 0.9980.

Singapore SGFXTrader 14:07 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.34451 Target: 1.3360 Stop: 1.35

Shorting signal seen for Eurusd.

Two 1-hr candle seen. Now, we are looking at the 3rd candle.

Eurusd will retrace to 1.3360 to form a "M" first before heading down to 1.32750.

Lahore FM 14:06 GMT January 20, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Buy EURCAD
Entry: 1.3127 Target: Stop: 1.3127 for 2/3rds

01/19/2011 08:10:59 FM Lahore 20

Buy EURCAD
Entry: 1.3127 Target: 1.3560 Stop: sl to 1.3127 for remainder long
raised sl for eurcad remainder long to entry.

--
clsosed remainder 2/3rds now at 1.3448 for 311 + in all.

Lahore FM 14:05 GMT January 20, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Buy USDCHF
Entry: 0.9556 Target: Stop: 0.9515

01/19/2011 20:12:09 FM Lahore 3

Buy USDCHF
Entry: 0.9556 Target: Stop: 0.9515
long afresh for 0.99.
--
clsoed 1/3rd at 0.9616.sl raised to 0.9540 for remainder 2/3rds.

Rexburg Stubbs 14:03 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

nyc s 13:59 GMT January 20, 2011

I'm to say that I'm not to argue either. You are my friend- at least that much is clear! Thank you for the constructive tone and conversation.
This market is to break hard when it does. Very confused portfolio guys out there atm. I'm to say if (IF) the flash hits 1.3377 you might see rapid deterioration lower. That looks like a MOB (Make or break) on the Stubbs Screen.

HK REVDAX 14:00 GMT January 20, 2011
EUR/USD

Kevin//Where do you think will gold bottom today? tks

nyc s 13:59 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

Stubbs I am not arguing with the direction but the cheerleading will not bring it there any sooner. I respect someone who backs it up with real money so no argument from me on this either.

Rexburg Stubbs 13:57 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

I'm to say that my trades maybe work, maybe not work- but unlike the Ben Bernank ("We will not monetize debt") at least you know up front the real honest viewpoint.

Rexburg Stubbs 13:54 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

nyc s 13:50 GMT January 20, 2011

I'm to say that it is better to put the money where the mouth is. If I'm not to do what I say then I must be dis-informing like an investment banker.

I'm to ask- Which is most preferred, truth or traditional bankster BS?

HK REVDAX 13:52 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

s//There is nothing wrong with Stubbs' style. This is the land of the free....

HK Kevin 13:52 GMT January 20, 2011
EUR/USD
Reply   
EUR/USD critical support for maintaining its bulish trend is 1.3383.

nyc s 13:50 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

Stubbs what I like about you is you do not talk your book (not!) but do you have to repeat it so often. We all know your position and view.

Rexburg Stubbs 13:49 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

BUZZ UP- I'm to say that there is rumor of a eur style flash crash on the horizon.

GVI Forex john 13:49 GMT January 20, 2011
What's the buzz?

- Much chatter that bund prices fell first.
- USD up on higher treasury yields.

kl fs 13:48 GMT January 20, 2011
Tech Talk

yes revdax, what a chance to reload some gold and short usd positions later on

Hong Kong Qindex 13:46 GMT January 20, 2011
Gold : Current Comments

Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

Gold : The next targeting barrier is 1334.9 // 1343.9 (1333.4 - 1334.9 // 1343.9 - 1349.3 - 1349.3 ).


Qindex.com

GVI Forex john 13:43 GMT January 20, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

ECONOMIC DATA CHART
Entry: Target: Stop:

Looks like initial jobless claims moving to a lower range.


Click on chart for seven-year history

HK REVDAX 13:41 GMT January 20, 2011
Tech Talk

Kevin//I think the moment gold finishes its plummeting, $/CAD may crash with it. But it will be much later on in today's session.

London SMS 13:40 GMT January 20, 2011
Buy Gold

stopped out @ 1350 alas. - $6.5.

HK Kevin 13:39 GMT January 20, 2011
Tech Talk

Revdax, I also entered short EUR/GBP today at 0.8450.

HK Kevin 13:35 GMT January 20, 2011
Tech Talk

HK REVDAX 13:25 GMT, not looking at USD/CAD, jusr concentrate on my short EUR and AUD. But weak EUR always implies strong CAD, that means short USD/CAD

GVI Forex Jay 13:33 GMT January 20, 2011
Tech Talk

EUR/USD performing as suggested, break of 1.3480 seeing 1.3450 tested, holding so far. Below 1.3450 would expose the 1.3418 day low. Above 1.3450 puts focus on 1.3480-00.

GVI Forex john 13:31 GMT January 20, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

ALERT
Entry: Target: Stop:

-- ALERT --

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims
Initial Jobless 404 K vs 425 K Est
Continued 3.861 mn vs 3.985 mn Est

Canada December
Leading indicators +0.5% vs +0.3% Esy


HK REVDAX 13:30 GMT January 20, 2011
Buy Gold

SMS//At this level, I would also B.T.F.D on gold...lol

Rexburg Stubbs 13:27 GMT January 20, 2011
Tech Talk

HK Kevin 13:23 GMT January 20, 2011

I'm to say that being short eur is like being short sub prime CDS market in 2008. Everybody laughs at the idea until they are bleeding in the streets.

London SMS 13:27 GMT January 20, 2011
Buy Gold
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1356.5 Target: up? Stop:

Dipping my toe in the water. Everyone talking it down so just being contrary...i think. Seems oversold to me so if it does move up...well then.

HK REVDAX 13:25 GMT January 20, 2011
Tech Talk

Kevin//What is ur view on $/CAD? Tks

Israel dil 13:25 GMT January 20, 2011
NIS - New Israeli Shekel

BOI & Stanley Fischer made it very clear, when you want enjoy kosher currency then you must merry it first, and then forever :-)

HK Kevin 13:23 GMT January 20, 2011
Tech Talk

London GB 12:19 GMT January 20, 2011
Tech Talk: Reply
A better question is anyone short the euro?
I am the minority one. Still sitting on half short position from 1.3510 opened yesterday.

Gen dk 13:23 GMT January 20, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Israel dil 13:20 GMT January 20, 2011
NIS - New Israeli Shekel
Reply   

Bank of Israel drops bombshell on foreign-currency speculators

known for long time, BOI (Bank of Israel) was long USD/NIS. currency speculators kept on providing BOI floating losses, now BOI made their move. can the same happen in other places?

GVI Forex john 13:01 GMT January 20, 2011


WHAT'S THE BUZZ?
Entry: Target: Stop:

Calendar: CA- Leading indicators U.S.- Weekly Jobless, Existing Homes Sales, Philly Fed. LEI, Nat Gas, Crude Oil

  • Trade in EUR in the early days of the new year has remained volatile and dangerous

  • It seems as soon as a trend is established it peters out.

  • USD only improves on bad European News. 

  • Chinese data today assures additional tightening. Bad for commodity currencies (AUD, CAD, NZD).

  • Instability in U.S. treasuries bears watching. FI trade Wednesday was subdued.



GVI Forex Blog 13:01 GMT January 20, 2011 Reply   

Euro Approaching Retracement Zone; Major Decisions have to be Made

nyc ws 12:58 GMT January 20, 2011
Tech Talk

This market is mroe about euro crosses than eurusd. imo

Singapore SGFXTrader 12:26 GMT January 20, 2011
Tech Talk

Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Hi PW,

Yes i am long euro =) as long as euro is above 1.34, still in uptrend mode.

we are from the same country. exchange contact or instant messaging?

GVI Forex Blog 12:23 GMT January 20, 2011 Reply   
The euro edged up against the dollar on Thursday on sovereign demand to sell the U.S. currency as the month-end approaches, while investors hoped for progress on finding a sustainable way to ease the euro zone's debt crisis.

FOREX NEWS - Euro propped up by euro debt solution hopes

GVI Forex Blog 12:20 GMT January 20, 2011 Reply   
The price action over the first 3 weeks of the year is taking a toll with false starts and whipsaws becoming the norm as the forex market searches for an elusive common theme to trade on.

Tech Talk - Choppy Price Action Takes a Toll

London GB 12:19 GMT January 20, 2011
Tech Talk

A better question is anyone short the euro?

Singapore PW 12:17 GMT January 20, 2011
Tech Talk

Is anyone long euro?

GVI Forex Jay 12:12 GMT January 20, 2011
Tech Talk

12:10 GMT (Global-View.com) January 20 - The price action over the first 3 weeks of the year is taking a toll with false starts and whipsaws becoming the norm as the forex market searches for an elusive common theme to trade on. This has been the case again overnight as commodity currencies extend yesterday’s retreat while the eur/usd rebounded from an early sell-off, helped by some cross demand (e.g. eur/jpy, eur/aud, eur/cad) to test 1.35+ again. However, so far 1.35+ has again proved tough as this pair trades an inside day (range so far 1.3418-1.3513). Using intra-day levels, 1.3480 is local support, above it keeps focus on 1.35+, below it puts 1.3450 in play again. On the upside, 1.3513 blocks yesterday’s 1.3538 high.

makassar alimin 12:06 GMT January 20, 2011
jpy
Reply   
fwiw, going long usdjpy 82.22, stop later

Cambridge Joe 12:05 GMT January 20, 2011
usdcad

KB// welcome and keep up the good work !

My son keeps trying to get me to use fibo / S & R as he does.. to great effect, but I'm still hypnotised by the 1 min charts ! LOL !

jerusalem kb 12:02 GMT January 20, 2011
usdcad

thanks Joe

London Misha 12:02 GMT January 20, 2011
Observations
Reply   
EURUSD - Follow on from Bullish Harami/Two Day Bullish Reversal Up on Daily Chart.
GBPUSD - Possible Bearish Advance Block on Daily Chart.
EURGBP - Two White Soldiers on Daily Chart. Testing Long MA resistance.
EURJPY - Doji with a possible Tweezer Top on Daily Chart.
USDCAD - Follow on from Key Reversal Up on Daily Chart.
AUDUSD - Dojo, possibly a Bearish Shooting Star on Daily Chart.

HK REVDAX 12:00 GMT January 20, 2011
usdcad

I prefer to stay on the short side of $/CAD later on today.

GVI Forex Blog 12:00 GMT January 20, 2011 Reply   
Dollar-Swiss is continuing to trade lower below 0.9600.

FX Thoughts for the day : 20-Jan--2011 - 1159 GMT

Cambridge Joe 11:56 GMT January 20, 2011
usdcad

KB// very very nice !

@ the mo, my acc reads like something out of the Somme !

jerusalem kb 11:44 GMT January 20, 2011
usdcad



Buy USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

closed half with 50 pips and hold rest for 1.0070.

sofia kaprikorn 11:41 GMT January 20, 2011
FED QE2

Livingston nh
...


thank you Sir, for the information!

jerusalem kb 11:38 GMT January 20, 2011
eurusd

out with 46pips- not the time I MAY enter again later

ldn ct 11:35 GMT January 20, 2011
eurusd
Reply   
Too high to buy, too hard to sell?

GVI Forex john 11:10 GMT January 20, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

Global-View Chart Gallery updated. A wide selection of updated forex, interest rate and equity charts.

Global-View Market Tracker updated. Twice daily survey and technical studies of a broad range of related markets.

GVI Forex Blog 11:06 GMT January 20, 2011 Reply   
It would be a European session without a rumor of a potential sovereign downgrade looking. Today's de jour was on Portugal. Dealers noted that some attention was paid to such speculation following Moody's analyst comment that the Portugal's debt affordability was one of the main concerns in its rating review.

TradeTheNews.com European Market Update: BRIC monetary policy expectations curb risk appetite

GVI Forex john 11:03 GMT January 20, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

-- ALERT --

U.K. Industrial Trends -16 vs -2 exp

GVI Forex Blog 10:59 GMT January 20, 2011 Reply   
11:00 GMT (Global-View.com) January 20- The USD continues to display weakness mainly against the EUR. The EUR advance remains uneven as the ECB continues to move in the general direction

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- USD Still Soft

Macau JJ 10:59 GMT January 20, 2011
EUR

thank you, very hard to play

Gen dk 10:55 GMT January 20, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GVI Forex Blog 10:42 GMT January 20, 2011 Reply   
During this session, we will cover a simple set of rules that anyone can use for short and long term trading in the Forex market.

Forexpros Daily Analysis - 20/01/2011

London Mick 10:25 GMT January 20, 2011
EUR

There is no news that I have seen and more questions than answers at this time.

HK [email protected] 10:16 GMT January 20, 2011
EUR/USD
Reply   
My expectation for EUR/USD for the next few days is a challenge of about 1.3900.Target

Gen dk 10:06 GMT January 20, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Macau JJ 09:55 GMT January 20, 2011
EUR
Reply   
any news on EUR? Suddenly reserve after hit 1.342

Can PM 09:43 GMT January 20, 2011
Portugal
Reply   
Talk is circulating that Portugal sovereign debt may be downgraded
today , anyone heard this ????????

Syd 09:43 GMT January 20, 2011
fx
Reply   
BHP warns of more disruptions to coal output
LINK
Strong China economic growth of 10.3pc spooks markets
China said its economy grew 10.3pc in 2010, marking the fastest annual pace since the onset of the global crisis but concerns about persistent inflation sent Asian markets tumbling
telegraph

HK [email protected] 09:29 GMT January 20, 2011
GBP/USD
Reply   
My expectation for GBP/USD for the next few days is a challenge of about 1.6450.Target

HK REVDAX 08:40 GMT January 20, 2011
B.T.F.D. of gold
Reply   
Stubbs//What do u think?

Saar KaL 08:34 GMT January 20, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level

NZDUSD
Year End Minimum at 0.886
Mid 2012 Minimum at 1.098
any looking long term?...Why Like this?

Saar KaL 08:24 GMT January 20, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level

year end estimates for audusd Minimum 1.27
I wonder what's going on Guys?
why would people wanna get ride USD in ASIA?...funny!!!

Saar KaL 08:20 GMT January 20, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level

DJI Next Year going no where But south

Very Bullish Gold for next year
and USDCHF from .90

OIL is a mess from 96 to 100
50% drop is expected

AUDUSD seems healthy north

usdjpy still bearish

HK REVDAX 07:59 GMT January 20, 2011
fx

Syd 06:24 GMT//"Throw good money after bad.." i wonder if this is true also of the purchase of US government bonds too.

Syd 07:23 GMT January 20, 2011
FX
Reply   
AUD/USD's sharp fall from 1.0075 suggests that rebound from 0.9803 has finished after hitting 100% projection at 1.0072. Intraday bias is cautiously on the downside for 0.9803 support first. Break of 0.9803 will indicate that fall from 1.0254 has resumed. Also, this will affirm the case of medium term reversal and will target 0.9536 support for confirmation. On the upside, above 1.0075 will flip bias back to the upside for a test on 1.0254 high instead.
Action Fx

*Australia’s failure to implement coherent climate and energy policies represents a significant sovereign risk.
businessspectator

GVI Forex Blog 06:53 GMT January 20, 2011 Reply   
Equities slide on weak results from US tech; 3-year high in China GDP restores tightening concerns

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update:

Hong Kong 06:33 GMT January 20, 2011
EUR/USD Intra-day signal by AceTrader
Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

INTRA-DAY EUR/USD OUTLOOK

Last Update At 20 Jan 2011 04:25 GMT

Rate : 1.3460

Despite extending y'day's decline fm a 2-month
high of 1.3539 to 1.3427 in Asian morning, subse-
quent choppy trading abv there suggests a minor low
is in place n expect consolidation until European
opening b4 aforesaid fall resumes twd 1.3396.

Sell on further recovery for 1.3435 n only abv
1.3500/10 wud defer intra-day bearishness on euro.

Range Forecast
1.3440 / 1.3475

Resistance/Support
R: 1.3475/1.3508/1.3539
S: 1.3427/1.3396/1.3356

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Syd 06:24 GMT January 20, 2011
fx
Reply   
Chinese politicians have scored headlines in the European press by promising to invest in the debt of peripheral countries such as Portugal and Spain, the actual amounts invested to date are relatively small.
What’s more, it’s clear that some senior Chinese officials have misgivings about increasing Chinese exposure to the bonds of debt-laden eurozone countries. In a strongly worded opinion piece published in today’s Financial Times, Yu Yongding, a former member of the monetary policy committee of the Chinese central bank, argues that China “must urgently seek clarification as to whether its holdings of euro periphery debt will be part of any restructuring".

“Until such clarification is provided, or the eurozone comes up with a permanent resolution mechanism, China should give no commitment to support the eurozone through direct government bond purchases – this risks simply throwing good money after bad.”
www.businessspectator.com.au


Syd 06:07 GMT January 20, 2011
Belgium's debt bomb is ticking
Reply   
Belgium is famous for its waffles, chocolates and beers. But it seems that the country is no longer content with just culinary recognition. Belgians are now chasing a veritable world record: they want to be the country with the longest post-election negotiations. On the website Le Record du Monde they are counting the days they still have to wait before they reach this milestone. Pity, though, that by the time Belgium wins the title it may collapse financially, break up politically and cause the next round of the Euro crisis.
Belgium's woes haven't escaped the attention of financial markets, with the second spike on Belgium debt in two months coming just last week at the prospect of the country becoming the "next Greece or Ireland".

The Belgians know that their situation is dire. But they would not be Belgians, practical and good-humoured as they are, if they did not know how to cope with their difficult fate. The Le Record du Monde website concludes with a number of useful links for frustrated Belgians. One of them takes them straight to the Australian Department of Immigration & Citizenship.

Should the Belgians follow this advice, we can only hope they will bring their chocolates and beer along.


http://www.businessspectator.com.au

Hong Kong Qindex 06:06 GMT January 20, 2011
Gold : Current Comments
Reply   
Gold : The market is going to challenge the barrier at 1359.9 // 1363.2.


Qindex.com

Syd 04:49 GMT January 20, 2011
House prices dip to 2002 levels
Reply   
House prices dip to 2002 levels Average house prices are down to levels last seen in 2002 after a 38pc fall from the peak, the latest survey revealed today.
LINK
Brazil has raised interest rates sharply, following China, India and host of countries across the emerging world in acting to curb inflation and counter the flood of dollar liquidity from the US.
LINK

Syd 04:34 GMT January 20, 2011
Greens demand general election before end of March
Reply   
Greens demand general election before end of March
http://www.independent.ie/national-news/greens-demand-general-election-before-end-of-march-2502981.html

The Peak Oil Crisis: It’s Not Adding Up!
China’s implied demand for oil in December was up 19% at a record 9.6 million bpd. These figures give truth to the GDP figures which continue to show strong economic growth.
The Agency's director recently said that OPEC must continue to be alarmed that the recent ascent to near $100 oil is more than just a cold winter as speculators. We all should be alarmed too.
http://www.fcnp.com/commentary/national/8287-the-peak-oil-crisis-its-not-adding-up.html

Syd 04:08 GMT January 20, 2011
China Govt: Face Relatively Big Pressures For Consumer Prices To Rise
Reply   
China Govt: Face Relatively Big Pressures For Consumer Prices To Rise
Chinese inflation expected to pick up during Lunar New Year
CHINA'S GDP jumped nearly 10 per cent in the fourth quarter despite tightening measures by Beijing, and inflation declined in December.

Weaker outlook for Queensland housing
January 20, 2011
Queensland has driven a 6.3 percent drop in Australia’s new residential building work done in the September quarter, falling 16.5 percent since the previous quarter.
http://www.qbr.com.au/news/articleid/71742.aspx

GVI Forex Blog 03:37 GMT January 20, 2011 Reply   
The Dow (11825.29, -12.64 or 0.1%) closed a little lower yesterday on weaker than expected Housing Starts and a fall in Goldman Sachs profit.

Morning Briefing : 20-Jan-2011 -0336 GMT

Hong Kong 03:30 GMT January 20, 2011
AUD/USD Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader
Reply   
AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

INTRADAY TRADING SIGNAL BY ACETRADER.COM: AUD/USD

AUD/USD : 0.9948

Last Update At 20 Jan 2011 02:54 GMT

Aussie's present breach of 0.9943 after meeting
renewed selling at 0.9980/81 suggests consolidation
with downside bias remains for the fall fm y'day's
1.0077 high to retrace upmove fm 0.9803 (Jan. 11)
to extend weakness twd 0.9916 b4 rebound.

Sell on recovery with stop as indicated, abv wud
defer n risk stronger retrace. to 1.0000/05.

Range Forecast
0.9935 / 0.9965

Resistance/Support
R: 1.0005/1.0021/1.0047
S: 0.9943/0.9923/0.9898

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Syd 02:59 GMT January 20, 2011
China Needs Tight Monetary Policy - ANZ
Reply   
China needs to use tight monetary policies to rein in rising inflation and effectively manage residents' inflation expectation, says ANZ economists Liu Ligang and Zhou Hao. "Apart from using the regular increases in banks' reserve requirements to absorb liquidity, the Chinese central bank also needs to target interest-rate policy as a key measure to address the country's negative interest rates." They note the country's extraordinary economic growth has brought about many side effects, and among these, rising inflation, potential asset bubbles and increasingly unbalanced economy, will present the greatest challenges to the government. They add faster yuan appreciation will to some extent help China ease imported inflation pressure, but it will unavoidably bring about massive capital inflows.

Syd 02:18 GMT January 20, 2011
China Tipped To Hike Rates 100 BPs In 2011 - Citi
Reply   
China is expected to raise its interest rates by one percentage point this year to tackle stubborn inflation, Citigroup economist Ken Peng says, and notes China's 4Q GDP, which is well above his expectation, will strengthen confidence about the nation's economic prospects. "Apparently, inflation is the biggest concern to China," he says, adding that "though December's CPI growth is slower than November's, we note the inflation has picked up its pace again since late last month." 4Q GDP rises 9.8% on year, faster than the 9.6% rise in 3Q, and also faster than expectations for a 9.2% rise according to a Dow Jones poll.

Syd 02:04 GMT January 20, 2011
china
Reply   
China Dec PPI Up 5.9% On Year; Market Expected Up 5.5%
China Dec CPI Up 4.6% On Year; Market Expected Up 4.7%
China 2010 GDP Up 10.3%; Market Expected Up 10.1%
China 4Q GDP Up 9.8% On Year; Market Expected Up 9.2%

Gen dk 01:33 GMT January 20, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Hong Kong 01:13 GMT January 20, 2011
Daily FX Market Outlook by AceTrader-20-1-2011
Reply   
Market Review - 19/01/2011 19:46 GMT

Euro touches 2-month high against the dollar on easing debt worries

The single currency climbed to an two-month high against the dollar on Wednesday on growing hopes that eurozone policymakers would prevent a debt crisis that had hurt Greece and Ireland from spreading. Euro was also supported as a report in a German newspaper showed that the Berlin government was considering a restructuring plan of Greek debt, allowing Greece to buy back its own debt using the eurozone crisis fund. During the day, euro retreated briefly from 1.3508 to 1.3435 in Europe before reported Asian sovereign buying emerged to push price higher to 1.3539 in New York session. The single currency also strengthened against other currencies as eur/gbp and eur/chf rose from 0.8378 to 0.8453 and from 1.2878 to 1.3000 respectively before retreating on profit-taking.

Volatile movements were seen in USD/CHF after Swiss government announced that they might extend some of the measures which were adopted during the financial crisis to ease the strain of the strong franc. Swiss Economy Minister Johann Schneider-Ammann said in a media conference that the government could extend additional funds for Switzerland's tourism industry which were provided as part of a package to boost the economy at the height of the financial crisis. The usd/chf rose from European morning low of 0.9568 and jumped to 0.9634 briefly in U.S. morning before falling to a two-week low of 0.9521 in late New York trading.

The greenback's broad-based weakness pushed usd lower versus the Japanese yen and the pair extended weakness to 81.85 in New York.

The British pound dropped from 1.6038 to as low as 1.5945 in early European trading before rebounding due to an unexpected drop in December's UK jobless claimant count (a decrease of 4.1K versus the forecast of a +1.5K and -1.2K in Nov), however, price failed to penetrate said European morning high and retreated again as analysts pointed to the risks of a soft labour market in the months ahead as the public sector starts shedding jobs. The British pound slipped below 1.6000 level versus the dollar in New York.

On economic front, U.S. housing industry continued to struggle more than a year into the U.S. economic recovery as housing starts touched the lowest level since October 2009 in December and reported a fall of 4.3 percent to a 529,000 annual rate compared the consensus forecast of -0.9 percent and 550,000 respectively, whilst a jump in December's building permits (635,000 versus the consensus forecast of 554,000 and 544,000 in previous month), a proxy for future construction, may reflect attempts to get approval before changes in building codes took effect at the beginning of this year.

Economic indicators to be released on Thursday include:

New Zealand CPI, Japan leading indicators, German PPI, Switzerland ZEW index, ECB's Monthly Report, EU consumer confidence, UK CBI orders, Canada leading indicators, US jobless claims, Existing home sales, leading indicators and Philadelphia Fed survey.

http://www.acetraderfx.com

jerusalem kb 00:57 GMT January 20, 2011
eurusd
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3445 Target: 1.3375-1.3310 Stop: 1.3490

sold

Syd 00:47 GMT January 20, 2011
Xie Says China Should Worry About Inflation, Not Growth
Reply   
Xie Interview on China

Jan. 19 (Bloomberg) -- Andy Xie, an independent economist, talks about the outlook for China's economy and monetary policy. China stocks rose, driving the benchmark index to its biggest gain in five week

http://www.bloomberg.com/video/66003308/

kl fs 00:36 GMT January 20, 2011
DX to 76
Reply   
slowly but looks like DX is heading to 76, that probably takes euro to 1.38-1.40

Lahore FM 00:14 GMT January 20, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 1.00511 Target: Stop: .0051 for 2/3rds

01/19/2011 08:13:19 FM Lahore 17

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 1.0051 Target: Stop: 1.0110 for two
sold more 1.0051.sl for two at 1.0110.
--
closed a 1/3rd of 1.0051 short audusd.also clsoed lower entry for a small profit.lowered sl to entry level for 2/3rds short.

Rexburg Stubbs 00:01 GMT January 20, 2011
Short Eurusd

I'm to say that the longs are about to drop to their knees as they get chewed alive in the black box stop shredder. Bitchez!

 




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