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Forex Forum Archive for 01/27/2011

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GVI Forex john 23:53 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

Retail Sales very weak. USDJPY turns lower following BOJ Minutes citing commodity price pressures..

GVI Forex john 23:50 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

-- ALERT --

Japan December:
Retail Sales
y/y -2.0% vs. +0.5% est. +1.3% previous



TTN: Special Offer- News on Your Screen

GVI Forex john 23:40 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

USDJPY slightly higher on the data. Retail Sales up next in 10 mins...

GVI Forex john 23:38 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support



ECONOMIC DATA CHART
Entry: Target: Stop:

CHART: Japanese prices still in deflation..

Syd 23:36 GMT January 27, 2011
Economy's growth prospects dim
Reply   
A survey of expected economic activity slowed in November, suggesting the pace of the nation's growth was already moderating before the widespread flooding now affecting much of Queensland and elsewhere.
The slower growth, though, may have an upside for borrowers, with official rates unlikely to budge until the second half of the year, Westpac said
The November figure does not include the impact from the floods in December and this month in Queensland, Western Australia, Victoria and other regions.


Thousands escape paying flood levy
THOUSANDS of people, including high-income earners whose homes were not flooded, have a ready-made loophole to avoid paying the Federal Government's new flood levy.
http://www.couriermail.com.au/news/thousands-escape-paying-flood-levy/story-e6freon6-1225995781522

Mr Abbott said the Coalition will oppose "this unnecessary new flood tax".

$8bn coal hit wipes year's growth in Queensland
Lost coal production in Queensland will cost up to $8 billion by July according to miners, drowning a full year of state economic growth in the flood disaster.http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/nation/bn-coal-hit-wipes-years-growth-in-queensland/story-e6frg6nf-1225995744581

China rate hike worries before Lunar New Year
Food Prices Rising Sharply Prior to Lunar New Year
A new wave of surging domestic food prices is hitting China prior to the Lunar New Year. Soaring prices have sparked consumers’ discontent while authorities attributed them to last year’s price increases in agricultural products and spiraling labor costs.

Egg Prices At Three Year High
The Daily Economic News reported on Jan. 18 that the price of a half kilo of eggs rose to 4.95 yuan (US$0.75) on the sixteenth, hitting a record high since 2008

http://www.theepochtimes.com/n2/content/view/50070/

GVI Forex john 23:34 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

Unemployment fell, but house hold spending was very weak. CPI contraction slowing. Mixed data.

GVI Forex john 23:32 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

ALERT
Entry: Target: Stop:

-- ALERT --

Japan December:
All Household Spending
m/m -3.3% vs. -0.6% est. +1.0% previous
y/y -3.3% vs. -0.7% est. vs. -0.4% previous

CPI December:
Core: -0.4 y/y vs. -0.5% est. vs. -0.5% previous
Headline :0.0% y/y vs. -0.10% est. vs. +0.10% previous

Unemployment Rate:
4.9% vs. 5.10% est. 5.10% previous


TTN: Special Offer- News on Your Screen


London SMS 23:21 GMT January 27, 2011
Cairo
Reply   
BBC Newsnight "tomorrow's march will dwarf anything you've seen" said a rather unkempt and no doubt unwashed student. Various big name opponents, some flying in, will also be present.

GVI Forex john 23:20 GMT January 27, 2011


WHAT'S THE BUZZ?
Entry: Target: Stop:

CALENDAR: Far East: JP- Household Spending, CPI, Unemployment, Retail Sales. Europe: EZ- M3 Money Supply, CH- KOF indicator. North America: US- 4Q10 GDP, University of Michigan Survey

  • Usual active Japanese month-end calendar early. 

  • Quiet data calendar shaping up for U.S. Friday.

  • Looks like its been EUR funding demand might be behind EUR strength.

  • EUR remains a primary focus. Thursday saw hawkish statements by ECB Member Bini Smaghi. 

  • We are still using EURUSD 1.3700 as a pivotal level. Actual pivot point =1.3711. 

  • Fed QE2 is a USD devaluation strategy.

  • Crude ending weak. Last $85.33 (WTI/Brent spread trade).

Syd 22:58 GMT January 27, 2011
Charts Favor AUD/USD Downside - MIG Bank
Reply   
The latest bearish candle pattern reversal in AUD/USD continues to mount downside pressure on the rate, says MIG Bank's Howard Friend. While capped below the mid-January high of 1.0077, he sees risk toward the recent 0.9804 low with a break here targeting the December low of 0.9537.

Australian government announced a tax levy to help cover flood repairs. The one-time tax hike coupled with the expected 0.5% reduction in GDP growth because of the floods has traders reducing expectations for interest-rate hikes in Australia, said, Sacha Tihanyi of Scotia Bank. With fewer rate hikes now predicted for 2011, it makes the Australian dollar a less attractive investment.

PBOC Adviser: Below Or Close To 5% Annual Yuan Appreciation "Desirable"
PBOC Adviser: "Wouldn't Be Very Bad Policy" To Consider 1Q Rate Rise

Global monetary imbalances could still cause another disaster for the world economy if they aren't addressed, French President Nicolas Sarkozy warned Thursday.
In an address to the World Economic Forum, Sarkozy said that monetary imbalances "have risen five-fold in recent years...and could bring down the whole house of cards."
Sarkozy also warned against the continued accumulation of massive foreign exchange reserves on the one side and "vast" amounts of sovereign debt on the other.
www.weforum.org



nyc bankall 22:41 GMT January 27, 2011
eur/$ & aud/$

eur/$ 1st target 1.3755 traded now for 1.3786 then 1.3805/18
Stop raised to 1.3626

aud/$ struggling to break above 1.0010
Stop remains at 0.9830

Syd 22:16 GMT January 27, 2011
Pimco's Mather: Japan Faces Risks Of More Credit Rating Cuts
Reply   
In an interview with Dow Jones Newswires, Scott Mather, head of global bond portfolio management at Newport Beach, Calif.-based Pimco, said that Japan is "getting closer to some sort of a crisis point" as every day goes by, as the aging society adds to the fiscal challenges of a government already burdened with a ratio of debt to gross domestic product of about 200%, exceeded only by Zimbabwe.



jerusalem kb 22:16 GMT January 27, 2011
usdjpy
Reply   
Buy USDJPY
Entry: 83.30 Target: 83.90-open Stop: 82.70

buy stop for usdjpy

philadelphia caba 22:00 GMT January 27, 2011
moody's
Reply   
who's gonna assign negative outlook to moody's ???

GVI Forex Blog 21:47 GMT January 27, 2011 Reply   
The yen fell to two-month lows against the euro and two-week troughs versus the U.S. dollar on Thursday, with further losses likely, after Standard & Poor's slashed Japan's long-term debt rating

FOREX NEWS - Yen sinks as Japan downgrade weighs; may fall more

GVI Forex john 21:40 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

GVI CHART POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Trading Resources...



GVI Forex john 21:34 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

USD PIVOT POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Pivots	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD
Res 3	1.3906	84.53	0.9585	1.6093	1.0028	1.0112
Res 2	1.3832	83.87	0.9533	1.6042	1.0007	1.0057
Res 1	1.3785	83.36	0.9494	1.5984	0.9969	0.9989

Pivot	1.3711	82.70	0.9442	1.5933	0.9948	0.9934

Sup 1	1.3664	82.19	0.9403	1.5875	0.9910	0.9866
Sup 2	1.3590	81.53	0.9351	1.5824	0.9889	0.9811
Sup 3	1.3543	81.02	0.9312	1.5766	0.9851	0.9743

GVI Forex john 21:31 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

USD MOVING AVERAGES
Entry: Target: Stop:

Latest	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD
Last	1.3737	82.86	0.9455	1.5927	0.9932	0.9922
High	1.3759	83.20	0.9481	1.5990	0.9985	1.0001
Low	1.3638	82.03	0.9390	1.5881	0.9926	0.9878
Change	0.0047	0.55	0.0022	0.0032	-0.0019	-0.0052

MVA	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD
5 day	1.3673	82.50	0.9477	1.5928	0.9949	0.9947
10 day	1.3535	82.59	0.9554	1.5924	0.9936	0.9941
20 day	1.3343	82.60	0.9570	1.5761	0.9933	0.9973
50 day	1.3280	83.04	0.9674	1.5676	1.0033	0.9926
100 day	1.3486	82.84	0.9732	1.5770	1.0110	0.9850
200 day	1.3075	85.82	1.0273	1.5451	1.0251	0.9328

TREND	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD
BIAS	Up	Down	Down	Up	Up	Down

GVI Forex john 21:23 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

Global-View Chart Gallery updated. A wide selection of updated forex, interest rate and equity charts.

Global-View Market Tracker updated. Twice daily survey and technical studies of a broad range of related markets.

GVI Forex john 21:00 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

Syd 20:46 GMT January 27, 2011
Economists have estimated the cost of the flood clean up from $10B up to perhaps twice that amount.
Reply   
"Julia Gillard’s not-so-great but not-so-big new tax announced today is an attempted con job, another piece of political spin. To put the economic significance of the $1.8 billion that will be raised by the "one-off" levy in perspective, it represents less than 0.5 per cent of the government’s $362 billion of budgeted spending for this year."

This levy, a new income tax, for 12 months only would tax those whose earning are over $50,000 by an extra 1/2%. Those big earners of over 100,000 would have to pay 1% more. Exempted from this reconstruction tax are those affected by the flood.

It is perplexing that PM Gillard proposes a controversial tax that produces such a small percentage of the clean up funds required. She has also proposed cuts in the carbon abatement expenditures that will inflame the passion of the environmental zealots in the Green Party, whose support she needs to maintain her majority. This story has the possibility of becoming a real donnybrook and needs to be closely monitored.
Australian Business Spectator, Stephen Bartholomeusz

GVI Forex john 20:39 GMT January 27, 2011
What's the buzz?

- Now that we have distanced EURUSD from 1.3700. Its tone has improved as expected.
- We have been hearing chatter for several days about EUR cash funding requirements for banks and supply, even though the cost of money is cheap, not readily available,
- We wonder if its this shortage of EUR supply is what keeps seeing the unit pop higher?
- On the other hand, the Fed is providing lots of USD supply (QE2).

A slow day for data Friday will make it easier to focus on the price action (technicals). Also it may provide a more clear picture of the true supply.demand equation.

Any thoughts ??

hk ooozmeeh 20:31 GMT January 27, 2011
GOLD



A Box of Gold..LOL

hk ooozmeeh 20:16 GMT January 27, 2011
GOLD
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1313 Target: Stop: 1280

buy Gold again 1313 stop loss all placed below 1287 trendline support, gt

Cambridge Joe 20:15 GMT January 27, 2011
2nd time lucky?

SUITS YOU SIR !!!

Glad gold came to your rescue... !

I'm just retesting this mornings activity to see if I can understand it any better in hind-sight.

A mere +40 on the day... but MUCH better than yesterday... at least it was + !!!

London SMS 20:13 GMT January 27, 2011
2nd time lucky?

Sorry - stop sell order @ 1.5850

London SMS 20:12 GMT January 27, 2011
2nd time lucky?

lol - thanks Joe. I was short earlier but got stopped out at the very top of the day! Have also placed a stop sell order @ 1.5860. Just grateful I was heavily short gold short gold - just took some back but think it'll test 1300 this week. Want to buy silver @ $25.5 if poss.

Cambridge Joe 20:01 GMT January 27, 2011
2nd time lucky?

SMS// I have cable as immediate south...
In my terms that might only be good for +20...
But then... that is what I do... collect 10's and 20's here and there !
Still... I'm also wrong...... now and again also.

GLGT.

London SMS 19:55 GMT January 27, 2011
2nd time lucky?
Reply   
Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.5925 Target: 1.5750 Stop: 1.61

Shorted cable here

to dr unken katt 19:40 GMT January 27, 2011
Stubbs

The Euro has rallied steadily during the last two weeks, to reach levels right below the 61.8 retracement of the November-January downtrend, at 1.3739, where, according to Karen Jones, technical analyst at Commerzbank, some profit-taking is expected.

Fibonacci retreacement level at 1.3739 and the Nov 22 high at 1.3789 are likely to trigger a correction to 1.3500/1.3346, says Jones: "EUR/USD is approaching the 61.8% retracement resistance at 1.3739, (of the move down from November to January). This together with 1.3789, the 22nd November high is likely to provoke some profit-taking. We would allow for the possibility of a slide back to 1.3500/1.3346 (the December high and 20 day ma).

On the upside, above 1.3789, the pair will extend to 1.3978/1.4000, according to Jones: "The market is upside corrective above 1.3346 and above 1.3789 will see an extension to 1.3978/1.4000. This latter level is the 78.6% retracement of the move down from the November peak."

GVI Forex Blog 19:38 GMT January 27, 2011 Reply   
AUD/USD and NZD/USD outlook next 24 hours: AUD/USD remains trapped in a broader 0.98 and 1.00 range and will meet sellers again today above parity. With no domestic data out today, focus for the AUD will be on any more flood-related announcements from Swan. NZD/USD looks to be approaching resistance at 0.78.

Forex - Morning Report

Ind! Rafe... 19:32 GMT January 27, 2011
Stubbs

Hillegom Purk 19:24 GMT January 27, 2011.

okay thanks.

Hillegom Purk 19:24 GMT January 27, 2011
Stubbs

Rafe: i will when it occurs.

Bern Ds 19:24 GMT January 27, 2011
Eurchf
Reply   
Looks like that One is now Ready for some action, all Elements are lined up for a good down Move here... Sold at 12980, Stops 3/4 pct, Target.12600/12375. Gl

GVI Forex Jay 19:18 GMT January 27, 2011
Tech Talk

After the first week of the year when the eur/usd closed lower each day, it has closed higher in 13 out of the past 14 days (including today).

Ind! Rafe... 19:14 GMT January 27, 2011
Stubbs

Hillegom Purk 19:06 GMT January 27, 2011

post examples.

Saar KaL 19:10 GMT January 27, 2011
gbpjpy
Reply   
watch out longing gbpjpy on dips

Ind! Rafe... 19:09 GMT January 27, 2011
Haywire.
Reply   
I am going haywire in this condition because every short while I get a different result, it's like a compass with magnets on all sides of it trying to find north. Normally it is very very stable.

Now I have 13756 {13776} 13796 top out levels for the dailies with a 13587 {13607} 13627 low.

On the weeklies I have 13783 {13863} 13943, with lows of 13413 {13493}, 13573.

Hillegom Purk 19:06 GMT January 27, 2011
Stubbs

Rafe, no i wait those pips and more to countertrade on that day. Some of you may know that every day i wait that the range ends, than i short or long. On the days that the range is breaking out i calculate the low or the high with the missing pips of the days before. Also i look at the the time.
Capice?
I do not have samples because i do not write them down.

HK [email protected] 18:58 GMT January 27, 2011
Better think shorting Euro at
Reply   
[1.3850,1.3900] range(if seen)

Ind! Rafe... 18:57 GMT January 27, 2011
Stubbs

Hillegom Purk 18:40 GMT January 27, 2011

So you'd be adding 70-40 pips to the days range to make up for the missing part of it?

Saar KaL 18:43 GMT January 27, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level



DJI starting longer term drop
12,050 area should be it
till below 10,500

Israel dil 18:43 GMT January 27, 2011
Stubbs

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.2749 Target: 1.2748 Stop: Rafe will tell

Ind! Rafe... 18:26 GMT January 27, 2011

thanks for tip you the kindest man, I left sell order at 12749 and t/p at 12748. do you mind also to suggest me a stop level for this trade?

thanks again for your kindness.

GVI Forex Jay 18:43 GMT January 27, 2011
What's the buzz?

1.37 has printed 3 days in a row but if it closes here would be the first close above it

to dr unken katt 18:41 GMT January 27, 2011
Stubbs



127 is noffin it ll go lower

in order to finish this wave we r in which has started

at 14250 i d say 12300 the red circle

the weekly MACD sell is still valid , this upmove has been coused by the stochastcs which are about to reverse

now ,

thats my interpretation , we r still in the same wave structure

auf wiedersehen

Hillegom Purk 18:40 GMT January 27, 2011
Stubbs

Rafe. Lets say normal average range in a few weeks is like 150. And in a day or 5 the range is between 80-110, the missing pips in the range of those days will be added in the next day's range. Simple thought but i gives me a clue where the range of that particular day stops so that i do my counter thingy...

Saar KaL 18:40 GMT January 27, 2011
gold

longer term pos
tgt 1484

Ind! Rafe... 18:34 GMT January 27, 2011
Stubbs

Purk// What do you mean by, "I always say, the pips not range in a week will be added by the next break of the range.".

jerusalem kb 18:31 GMT January 27, 2011
gold



weekly trend line on board

Hillegom Purk 18:31 GMT January 27, 2011
Stubbs

Well Rafe, it is not far in front of us that e/u will short. When i do not know but is is not far away.
Dil, the market can move very quickly. So just see how it behaves now. It can not break through really up, and neither down. That means it is trapped and strapped. Even for a thursday the range was not much. I always say, the pips not range in a week will be added by the next break of the range.
Hows that eh?

Ind! Rafe... 18:26 GMT January 27, 2011
Stubbs

Israel dil 18:24 GMT January 27, 2011

When the market breaches 12749.

Israel dil 18:24 GMT January 27, 2011
Stubbs

Ind! Rafe... 18:23 GMT January 27, 2011

when?

Ind! Rafe... 18:23 GMT January 27, 2011
Stubbs

Hillegom Purk 17:51 GMT January 27, 2011

12748 level is very possible.

Saar KaL 18:17 GMT January 27, 2011
Gold
Reply   


1310 area a Buy

Israel dil 18:03 GMT January 27, 2011
LePad LePhone
Reply   

Lenovo Takes on Apple With `Extreme Focus'

does not look like a joke, but still very funny :-)

GVI Forex Jay 17:54 GMT January 27, 2011
Stubbs

Purk, to be clear we did not ask Stubbs to leave the forum and only to cool the rhetoric and volume of posts so his trades do the talking. They are talking nicely today.

Hillegom Purk 17:51 GMT January 27, 2011
Stubbs
Reply   
Stubbs. I saw that you are leaving this forum. I think that i am one of the few that see good in your posts behind all those words. I think that i understand what you are saying all off the time. And i sense persistance in many (many..., more than Del boy) of your posts. I think that people do not like your posts because of some mind barriers given to them by the mind maffia. Thanks for all of the laughs you gave us, and i will laugh my b's of if it hits 127 somewhat...
Cheers, have a good one!

Chicago tt 17:49 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR/USD

High was 1.3710 --- use this level as the game changer

London SMS 17:45 GMT January 27, 2011
Sold Gold

Thanks LC. Much appreciated.

jerusalem kb 17:44 GMT January 27, 2011
sell audcad

closed half with 60pips+

San Diego LC 17:43 GMT January 27, 2011
Sold Gold



forgot to attach the chart -- here it is

San Diego LC 17:42 GMT January 27, 2011
Sold Gold

Just fyi, I show the 150 day MA at around 1307. Gold hasn't traded below that MA in a little over 2 years -- early Jan 2009.

Chicago tt 17:39 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR/USD

A move back above 1.3708-12 would give it a lift.

Hong Kong Qindex 17:38 GMT January 27, 2011
Chf-Gold : Current Comments
Reply   
Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

Chf-Gold (1250.6) : The market is under pressure when it is below the weekly cycle pivot center at 1255.1. It is likely that the market will tackle the supporting barriers at 1199.0 // 1238.4.


Qindex.com

London SMS 17:37 GMT January 27, 2011
Sold Gold
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: 1321 Target: 1300 Stop: 1333

Thanks for the feedback Dr Q. Fear not, I'll only blame myself is it goes to 1400! gl/gt to all

Israel dil 17:17 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR/USD

DOW looks very serious with plans to close above 12K today. that may mean for EUR/USD to close above 1.37

going to reduce exposure to USD bullish positions at least until European opening tomorrow. it looks that financial markets and reality entered major disconnect. trading the higher highs and higher lows is still a valid mantra, good enough for me for the next 15 hours :-)

jerusalem kb 17:12 GMT January 27, 2011
eurchf
Reply   
Sell EURCHF
Entry: 1.2965 Target: 1.2915-open Stop: 1.3005

sold

Hong Kong Qindex 17:06 GMT January 27, 2011
Eur-Gold : Current Comments

GVI Forex john 17:00 GMT : Thank you for your kind words.

jerusalem kb 17:03 GMT January 27, 2011
gold
Reply   
Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

no sign of buying gold and if it goes up it will be luck so waiting for a buy signal above 1282 for only a retest of 1307 is a perfect one if happened.

GVI Forex Blog 17:03 GMT January 27, 2011 Reply   
EUR and GBP fade during North American dealing Japan's credit rating reduced further SNB's Hildebrand talks up Europe at Davos Will EFSF buy government bonds?

Forex Market Commentary and Analysis (27 January 2011)

nyc ws 17:00 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR/USD

Have we seen the top for now? One characteristic of this trend is not to overstay your welcome when contra trading. Trading this pair would change should it close below 1.3636.

GVI Forex john 17:00 GMT January 27, 2011
Eur-Gold : Current Comments

Dr Q

Thanks. You are the Grand Master!

John

Lahore FM 16:57 GMT January 27, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3742 Target: Stop: 1.3742 for two thirds

closed a third 1.3685 now and moves sl to entry on rest 2/3rds.

Lahore FM 16:52 GMT January 27, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3742 Target: Stop: 1.3764 offer

01/27/2011 13:50:14 FM Lahore 8

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3742 Target: Stop: 1.3775 bid
--
lowered sl.
01/26/2011 08:43:04 FM Lahore 10

Hong Kong Qindex 16:50 GMT January 27, 2011
Eur-Gold : Current Comments

Hi John,


Gold is going to test the critical support of 1300.6 // 1313.0. Buy gold around 1300.6 // 1313.0 is okay with a stop below 1300. Eur-Gold is in a bad shape for the remaining period of this month. EUR/USD will get support from Eur-Gold later this week.


Albert

Israel dil 16:44 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR/USD

stop now 1.3723

Saar KaL 16:41 GMT January 27, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level



USDJPY shorts
placed a few orders
for 82.2 tgt

Hong Kong Qindex 16:38 GMT January 27, 2011
Eur-Gold : Current Comments

Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

Eur-Gold : It is now 964.3. It is likely that the market will head for [954.8].


Hong Kong Qindex 14:07 GMT January 27, 2011
Eur-Gold : Current Comments : Reply
Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

Eur-Gold (972'0) : Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market is trading below [969.2]


Monthly Cycle Reference / Normal Lower Limits : 895.3 - [911.3] - 932.8 - 939.2 - 945.9 - 954.8 - [954.8] - 962.4 - 962.8 - [969.2] - 1002.0 - 1005.1


Eur-Gold : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/eur-gold.html

hk ooozmeeh 16:36 GMT January 27, 2011
gold
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1318.50 Target: Stop:

long gold 1318.50

GVI Forex john 16:32 GMT January 27, 2011
What's the buzz?

WHAT'S THE BUZZ?
Entry: Target: Stop:

Spot gold last $1318.90, -24.51.

GVI Forex john 16:30 GMT January 27, 2011
What's the buzz?

WHAT'S THE BUZZ?
Entry: Target: Stop:

- Mixed patterns EUR off its highs vs. USD but mostly in positive territory on its major crosses.
- Commodities weak. Crude last $86.36, -1.33 (WTI/Brent spread?). We quote WTI. Gold making new lows for the move. Silver down. Natural Gas modestly easier.
- Commodity Currencies (AUD, CAD and NZD) mixed. Big move down in AUD .9905, -75.
- Equities easier. Fixed Income markets weaker as dealer set up for the 7-yr auction later.


Bottom-line USD trying to recover. Use EURUSD 1.3700 as psychologically pivotal.

nyc s 16:30 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR/USD

It looks like Stubbs didn't stub his toe this time with the 1.37 nosebleed call.

London SMS 16:20 GMT January 27, 2011
1290?
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

Having just cut my long @ 1345 at 1330 I'm thinking of going short. Aware of yesterday's $20 bounce from here though. Anyone have thoughts they'd like to share?

Saar KaL 16:20 GMT January 27, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level

small Long cable

Lahore FM 16:19 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR/CHF

fs for usdchf 0.9570 is crossing of the rubicon.if above it won't come down and if below then there is still chance that it can go near, down to today's low roughly.

Israel dil 16:19 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR/USD

stop now at 1.3738

GVI Forex Blog 16:17 GMT January 27, 2011 Reply   
The euro remains firm as ECB member make hawkish comments and demand for the single currency from sovereign buyers remains robust. ECB members Bini Smaghi and Gonzalez-Paramo expressed concerns over the impact of imported inflation.

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update

Mtl JP 16:13 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

john 15:30 - the NAR is lead by a clueless sunny BUT self-proclaimed accountable - read sue-able - fool:

"Even though there was some risk, the ratings agencies fooled the market and the investors into thinking housing was rock solid," says Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors (NAR). "It was the speed and the scope of the losses that nobody expected."

"I think we are very near to the end of the housing downturn," Yun said.

Whatever I say, I take full responsibility for everything I do,” Yun said moments before addressing more than 200 people at the Orange County Association of Realtors headquarters in Laguna Hills.
--
I can not make it much more easier for you IF you bought a (now underwater) house on his advice.

GVI Forex john 16:13 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

CALENDAR
Entry: Target: Stop:

January 27 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, January 28:

  • Far East: JP- Household Spending, CPI, Unemployment, Retail Sales.
  • Europe: EZ- M3 Money Supply, CH- KOF indicator.
  • North America: US- 4Q10 GDP, University of Michigan Survey.
Updated: Trading Events Calendar

kl fs 16:12 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR/CHF

usdchf will be shot down 24 hours from now

HK Kevin 16:09 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR/CHF

HK Kevin 15:45 GMT January 26, 2011
EUR/CHF: Reply
Just hit the bottom of a EUR/CHF long position at 1.2892, stop below yesterday's low.
My Long EUR/CHF and USD/CHF look ready to fly.


kl fs 16:08 GMT January 27, 2011
sell usdjpy
Reply   
usdjpy is approaching that 83.40 level again, another reload can be established

to dr unken katt 16:02 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

Vatican city to Switzerland? thats new

Israel dil 16:00 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

forget it [email protected], even the Chinese will not let it happen since they newly invested billions in Israeli companies. Iran is a treat for Israel as the Vatican city to Switzerland.

Saar KaL 16:00 GMT January 27, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level



I agree cable is funny
see chart

GVI Forex Jay 15:58 GMT January 27, 2011
US-EUR 2 yr chart correlation
Reply   
The 2 yr US-EUR interest rate chart is worth a look along with the eur/usd correlation. John posts it in his Daily Forex View. See the link below (click on the chart to enlarge):

Daily Forex View

Hk [email protected] 15:55 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

Israel dil 15:41 GMT January 27, 2011

Stinky; But more safe far away from Iranian missiles.
you never know.

Saar KaL 15:55 GMT January 27, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level



EURCAD
1.3710 short till next day

KL TSA 15:55 GMT January 27, 2011
GBP/USD CONSERVATIVE short term TRADER

HK RF

Are you going to claim gains soon?

Saar KaL 15:44 GMT January 27, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level



Roger dat Sing
will remove da curse

anyways this is another Pair
GBPJPY Chart Forecast
TIME is NY Using hourly
shorting and adding

Fukuoka Rana 15:43 GMT January 27, 2011
jpy
Reply   
Buy AUDUSD
Entry: 0.95/0.98 Target: open Stop: later

pending orders.....also audjpy short....happy day,

Ind! Rafe... 15:41 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR

nyc ws 14:42 GMT January 27, 2011

WS// More like squeezing a bar of soap with soapy hands hoping for an upward thrust but the opposite happens.

Israel dil 15:41 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

John, when you read daily newspapers in Israel you can see it is full with ads offering to purchase real estate in USA. smells stinky even if a Rabbi declared it kosher :-)

fukuoka Rana 15:41 GMT January 27, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Sell GBPJPY
Entry: 133/139 Target: open Stop: later

Lahore FM 15:34 dear brother,nice trade as always im losing 100pips this week in eurusd.......happy trade,
Rexburg Stubbs 15:24 dear friend,come on donot leave us please....keep ur good work...happy trade,

im leaving orders for short all jpy pairs today japan down grade is really crazy strange non pro.......happy day to all,

GVI Forex Jay 15:40 GMT January 27, 2011
Tech Talk

EUR/USD R2 = 1.3761 vs. 1.3757 high

See FX Chart Points

Lahore FM 15:39 GMT January 27, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

no fs,no shorting.more to come.chfjpy long trade from last month is still running now nearing 90 target.let us see as chf can see a setback so might close out that one.

Lahore FM 15:38 GMT January 27, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

140 and 120 are gbpjpy and eurjpy targets for current run at the least.will relaod when possible.

kl fs 15:37 GMT January 27, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

FM, would you reverse to go short eurjpy now?

Lahore FM 15:34 GMT January 27, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

01/23/2011 23:10:21 FM Lahore 41
three weak links that will likely dent any run on usd are usdchf usdcad and usdjpy for this week

cad selling on crosses still not a bad idea.

eurjpy long gbpjpy long also can make a stack of pips.
--
closed now eurjpy and gbjpy longs from earlier in the week and gbpjpy longs for a 2nd time this week.

Israel dil 15:31 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

also LEH integrity was not questioned.

Israel dil 15:30 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

by the way, it is just announced that all soccer matches in Egypt canceled for the coming weekend. then it is much more than local unrest.

GVI Forex john 15:30 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

FWIW- I have never heard anyone question the integrity of the data from NAR.

Israel dil 15:26 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

many thanks JP, judging from recent years even the second hand auto dealers association is more reliable than the NAR.

Rexburg Stubbs 15:24 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR

Ok dear friends I make peace and leave forever.
Carry on with your great successes.

Mtl JP 15:20 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

dil - NAR = National Association of Realtors
Trade organization for real estate agents.
-
These types are known for their optimism.
The quantity of quality real-estate agents can probably fit on your hand for every 100.
The non-integrity of real-estate agents data and hanki-panki with "sold" is well-document, although not as equally well publicized.
Their numbers include short sales / foreclosures.
Their numbers do not show absence of buyers.
so take it fwiw
--
The issue of (not) getting (sufficient) finance is just one potential 2x4 in between "intent to purchase" and closing.

Saar KaL 15:17 GMT January 27, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level

Stubbs
amazing Kids...yes been looking
Thanks
1.375ish eurusd a great dive for next asian entry
at 1.364

GBPJPY from 132.7ish
to 130

Singapore SGFXTrader 15:16 GMT January 27, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level

Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Hi Kal,

I am also short Eurusd but can u please reserve your comments until the market do the talking.

Everytime when u post eurusd tanking, the market will act in opposite direction, really some kinda JINX.

If you got time, please visit http://www.clearjinx.com

GVI Forex john 15:11 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support



ECONOMIC DATA CHART
Entry: Target: Stop:

Not sure if Existing Homes Sales have gotten ahead of the pending data...

Rexburg Stubbs 15:11 GMT January 27, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level

Thank you KaL (I think). Thought I saw a sharing compliment.
Must be seeing things. Agree with the EUR target. That's a fair assessment IMVHO.

to dr unken katt 15:10 GMT January 27, 2011
What's the buzz?

all u need is to buy 2 homes in detroit 1000$ a piece in order to make up the stats

Saar KaL 15:05 GMT January 27, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level

EURUSD heading to 1.3640 again

GVI Forex john 15:02 GMT January 27, 2011
What's the buzz?

- Pending Homes sales data another strong housing number, albeit off heavily depressed levels.

GVI Forex john 15:00 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

ALERT
Entry: Target: Stop:

-- ALERT --

U.S. December Pending Homes Sales (% m/m)
+2.0% vs. +1.0% est., +3.1%r previous



TTN: Special Offer- News on Your Screen

Israel dil 15:00 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

JP, do you mean it is more difficult to get the home finance done currently?

Mtl JP 14:58 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

a lot can happen between pending and before it becoames actual sale.
I would not trade the release.

GVI Forex john 14:57 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

Pending Homes sales tends to be a very good predictor of the most important U.S, Housing Statistic, Existing Homes sales. My guess is that this will become a more important number over time.

Saar KaL 14:56 GMT January 27, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level

Take lessons from this guy

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ilJm55q0dlc&NR=1

GVI Forex john 14:54 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

EVENT @ 15:00 GMT
IMPACT = HIGH ?
Pending Homes Sales


The Pending Homes sales index is produced monthly by the NAR. Pending Home Sales become Existing-Home Sales one-to-two months later.

The index derived from Pending Home Sales is used to predict Existing Home Sales, which is the most important U.S. housing statistic.

GVI Forex Jay 14:53 GMT January 27, 2011
GBP/USD CONSERVATIVE short term TRADER

Stubbs, I said I will not discuss it here or take up space with it. You know how to reach me.

Rexburg Stubbs 14:53 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR

nyc ws 14:42 GMT January 27, 2011

Today has a lower low, no?

London ex 14:45 GMT January 27, 2011
GBP/USD CONSERVATIVE short term TRADER

Thank you Jay for intervening.

IMO, the Itchy and Scratchy routine has become tiresome and is distracting us all from the job at hand, which has not been easy recently. But like all trades, with 20-20 hindsight I guess it should have been easy?

nyc ws 14:42 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR

What the market has been doing is making new highs then backing away before the next assault on the upside. You can trade both sides but the one that is coming back with higher highs and higher lows is the uptrend. When this changes the trend will change.

Israel dil 14:35 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR/USD
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3740 Target: --- Stop: 1.3840

first target 1.3570 then will look further.

GVI Forex Jay 14:32 GMT January 27, 2011
GBP/USD CONSERVATIVE short term TRADER



Stubbs. I explained you offline and do not have to discuss it here. Now I need you to listen to what I sent you in the email and take note of my request.

See above a weekly eur/usd chart so people can see what you are looking at but you have been fighting the trend since 1.33. We would all be better served if you make your call and let the trade do the talking rather than repeating it time and again.

HK [email protected] 14:22 GMT January 27, 2011
Itchy & Scratchy

I really run a dummy demo platform, but the profits are real(when they come)

Belgrade TD 14:22 GMT January 27, 2011
GBP/USD CONSERVATIVE short term TRADER

... thanks Jay :)

HK [email protected] 14:19 GMT January 27, 2011
I was clear
Reply   
The fact is that I have outraged people like you whom feel that my market opinion goes against theirs.

So seems my views were quit clear.

Rexburg Stubbs 14:18 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR

Keeping in mind that there is no maybe about the weekly trend and price being turned away at yet another lower high.

to dr unken katt 14:17 GMT January 27, 2011
Itchy & Scratchy

i think he s riding demolo platform which is ok but ...you know what i mean

GVI Forex Jay 14:16 GMT January 27, 2011
GBP/USD CONSERVATIVE short term TRADER

You are welcome to take this discussion offline but please stop taking up valuable space here when the market is active. I have deleted the last posts and will not permit this to continue. It is not fair to other mem bers unless one is interested in a reality show. Just let your P&L do the talking.

Rexburg Stubbs 14:16 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR

Meanwhile, there is no MAYBE about it. EUR has failed miserably to sustain anything n=meaningful above 1.37 these last few sessions. It will fall after such sucker traps.
Think pop and drop.

Tokyo JT 14:12 GMT January 27, 2011
Itchy & Scratchy

The best part of this forum... (0_+)

Cambridge Joe 14:09 GMT January 27, 2011
Itchy & Scratchy

Nice chart Bro.... I take your point.
(sStill laughing BTW !)

HK [email protected] 14:07 GMT January 27, 2011
GBP/USD CONSERVATIVE short term TRADER

exburg Stubbs 14:00 GMT January 27, 2011

You are more definite in your Bolshevik market propaganda.
This is not Communist Russia.
Those days are over.
We may really touch soon 1.60 soon and some may take profits at 1.6015

to dr unken katt 14:07 GMT January 27, 2011
Itchy & Scratchy



the momentum is gettin weaker , the rversal is close

Hong Kong Qindex 14:07 GMT January 27, 2011
Eur-Gold : Current Comments
Reply   
Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

Eur-Gold (972'0) : Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market is trading below [969.2]


Monthly Cycle Reference / Normal Lower Limits : 895.3 - [911.3] - 932.8 - 939.2 - 945.9 - 954.8 - [954.8] - 962.4 - 962.8 - [969.2] - 1002.0 - 1005.1


Eur-Gold : Monthly Cycle Charts
http://www.qindex.com/eur-gold.html

Rexburg Stubbs 14:07 GMT January 27, 2011
Europia

ldn jp 14:03 GMT January 27, 2011

Any idea where Greece is located? TIA

Cambridge Joe 14:04 GMT January 27, 2011
Itchy & Scratchy
Reply   
RF & STUBBS providing the entertainment like Itchy and Scratchy while Rana is on leave and therefore cannot be attacked by D runken Katt.

... makes me laugh !

ldn jp 14:03 GMT January 27, 2011
Europia
Reply   
Rexburg Stubbs 13:56 GMT January 27, 2011

Hmmmm last time I looked Tunisia and Egypt were in Africa not Europe. Geography lesson required methinks.....

Rexburg Stubbs 14:02 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR

Nice sucker trap headfake rallie blow-off

Dubai SAS 14:02 GMT January 27, 2011
Buy USD
Reply   
Buy USDCHF
Entry: 9432 Target: Open Stop: 9360

Long now ...

Rexburg Stubbs 14:00 GMT January 27, 2011
GBP/USD CONSERVATIVE short term TRADER

HK [email protected] 13:54 GMT January 27, 2011

Nice for you to decide to directly reply to my post. However, your rants are ridiculous. MAYBE? MAYBE you went long? Maybe not after your earlier post to sit and watch?

MAYBE is a nice way to later say "OK now we prepare to take profits because our MAYBE (non entry signal/price specific) idea would have worked. IF it did not work, then read read carefully, the post said MAYBE. You need to be much more clear otherwise it sounds like that Amman trader who could explain away any outcome.

Singapore SGFXTrader 14:00 GMT January 27, 2011
longe eur/usd

Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Faster ask Uncle Bernanke say some hawkish statements, otherwise we will just have to say good bye to USD.

It is a matter of time the various states in US declare bankrupt and people fall into poverty and MNCs go bust!

People in Europe will basically have to go back to their Middle age era!

GVI Forex john 13:57 GMT January 27, 2011
What's the buzz?

Lousy weekly jobless data, but a backlog of previous claims due to harsh weather came through. Bottom-line, it is hard to assess the data. For me I will be skeptical until the weekly figure can make a sustained break below 400K per week.

Durable Goods headline figures were weaker than expected but can be distorted by a few big ticket items. We understand the underlying data were not that bad.

On balance, there is nothing here to bail out the USD. Demand will have to come from elsewhere if it comes!

Rexburg Stubbs 13:56 GMT January 27, 2011
longe eur/usd

Singapore SGFXTrader 13:49 GMT January 27, 2011

I dunno about that. We don't watch people lining up in the streets battling riot cops to overthrow gov't here like we are seeing in europia.

HK [email protected] 13:54 GMT January 27, 2011
GBP/USD CONSERVATIVE short term TRADER

This was my response to your GBP Alert... meanwhile things are in direction.

Where your Alert was no clearer and has less fit to reality for the moment.

HK [email protected] 06:14 GMT January 27, 2011
**GBP ALERT**: Reply
GBP?????????????? Maybe soon to fall up above 1.60.

...........................................................................
BTW I expect Euro to reach tonight to 1.3780 more or less.
............................................................................

And just for you to remember:" Cowboys do not die in hospitals or oldman houses, but on their horses, which later bring their body to a saloon for a last drink".

Lahore FM 13:53 GMT January 27, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 0.9985 Target: Stop: 0.9985 for two thirds

01/26/2011 08:52:05 FM Lahore 7

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 0.9985 Target: Stop: 1.0030
earlier short 0.9991 was stopped for 2/3rds at entry and 1/3rd gave 75 + pips with partial close at 0.9916 yesterday.
--
closed a third now at 0.9927.sl lowered to entry for remainder.

Rexburg Stubbs 13:53 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR

The tiny rallie is a sucker trap. Don't fall for the headfake whip

London SMS 13:52 GMT January 27, 2011
Sold Cable

Stopped - 35
Added to short @ 1.5955. Moved stop to 1.5975
---------
Sold Cable : Reply
Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.5925 Target: 1.5750 Stop: 1.5970

Rexburg Stubbs 13:51 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR

Don't shoot the messenger. EUR positioning according to Soros, Davos

Lahore FM 13:50 GMT January 27, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3742 Target: Stop: 1.3775 bid

01/26/2011 08:43:04 FM Lahore 10

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3688 Target: 1.3380 Stop: 1.3715 bid
sold.
--
sold now at 1.3742 for lower levels.earlier stopped for minus 29.

Singapore SGFXTrader 13:49 GMT January 27, 2011
longe eur/usd

Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

USD results simply sulks!

US sulk too long. USD from bad -> worst.

Fundamentally Eur sulk too but USD is worst!

USD > Eur when it comes to "Champion in WEAK"

I think US economy and country is going to "CHUI" very very soon....More US people will become jobless....etc

GVI Forex john 13:49 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

ECONOMIC DATA CHART
Entry: Target: Stop:


Click on chart for seven-year history

Rexburg Stubbs 13:48 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR

EUR is topping out again. Prepare accordingly.

Lahore FM 13:48 GMT January 27, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --


Entry: 0.9438 Target: 0.99 Stop: 0.9380

01/26/2011 08:45:05 FM Lahore 8

Buy USDCHF
Entry: 0.9450 Target: 0.99 Stop: 0.9410
long here too.
--
stopped earlier for minus 40.long again now 0.9438 for 0.99.

prague mark 13:43 GMT January 27, 2011
longe eur/usd
Reply   
longed 1.3740 TP 1.4240 SL 1.3640

Rexburg Stubbs 13:40 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR

Bond markets to signal stronger USD coming.

Belgrade TD 13:37 GMT January 27, 2011
news

@ U.S. stock futures fell after the release of several economic reports. The Chicago Fed National Activity Index had a reading of 0.03 versus the expected 0.11. Also, initial jobless claims were 454,000 versus the expected 405,000, while continuing claims were 3.99M versus the expected 3.87M. Durable Goods orders were down 1.3% versus an expected increase of 1.5%, and the core reading was up 2.4% versus an expected increase of 0.9%.

GVI Forex john 13:37 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

FYI Durable Goods data were reported wrong universally initially
-2.5% as we reported is correct.

Rexburg Stubbs 13:36 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR

Good USD econ data reports after headlines forced a trap.

Rexburg Stubbs 13:35 GMT January 27, 2011
GBP/USD CONSERVATIVE short term TRADER

HK [email protected] 13:13 GMT January 27, 2011

"MAYBE soon to fall up..." now is a soon to take profits? Perhaps all of your cowgirl/boy dreams can be more clear as to what you are actually doing instead of announcing "maybe...anything can happen" then later talk of taking profits. Makes it sound like you predict all ups and downs. Perhaps your are the mighty forex Titan. If you claim to be such, then be the star and post specific comments about trades instead of "Maybe" moon and star posts.

GVI Forex john 13:35 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

Durable Goods were delayed slightly. Initial Jobless a shocker. Big increase due to snow.

GVI Forex john 13:33 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

-- ALERT --

U.S. Weekly Jobless Data
Initial Claims 454K vs. 409K est, 403K previous
Continued Claims 3.991m vs. 3.88m est, 3.861 previous

Dec Durable Goods -2.5% vs. +1.5% est, -1.3% previous



TTN: Special Offer- News on Your Screen

Belgrade TD 13:32 GMT January 27, 2011
news
Reply   
Wk Jobless Calims Up 51000 to 454000
4wk MA up 15750 to 428750

Richland QC Mailman 13:19 GMT January 27, 2011
Broker Platform Technical Problems

HI SAS. Yeah, technical glitch. I already submitted proof that my balance was intact prior to the technical problems. Hope it will be resolved fast.

London SMS 13:18 GMT January 27, 2011
cairo live on bloombergat the mom
Reply   
Largest demo yet...

Richland QC Mailman 13:17 GMT January 27, 2011
Broker Platform Technical Problems

Hi Jay, I have already sent you a copy (confidential). Please check your mail. thanks.

GVI Forex Jay 13:14 GMT January 27, 2011
Tech Talk



Note the former EUR/USD daily trendline acting as a resistance. Click on chart to zoom in

Dubai SAS 13:13 GMT January 27, 2011
Broker Platform Technical Problems

Never heard of that mailman but its probably a technical glitch ... did you try generating a activity statement to investigate ?

HK [email protected] 13:13 GMT January 27, 2011
GBP/USD CONSERVATIVE short term TRADER

This was my response to your GBP Alert... meanwhile things are in direction.

Where your Alert was no clearer and has less fit to reality for the moment.

HK [email protected] 06:14 GMT January 27, 2011
**GBP ALERT**: Reply
GBP?????????????? Maybe soon to fall up above 1.60.

...........................................................................
BTW I expect Euro to reach tonight to 1.3780 more or less.
............................................................................

And just for you to remember:" Cowboys do not die in hospitals or oldman houses, but on their horses, which later bring their body to a saloon for a last drink".

to dr unken katt 13:11 GMT January 27, 2011
Broker Platform Technical Problems

http://www.heraldsun.com.au/lifestyle/the-other-side/florida-crooks-snort-ashes-of-dead/story-e6frfhk6-1225991451177

these guys could be responsible for it

GVI Forex Jay 13:08 GMT January 27, 2011
Tech Talk



Market is seeking the path of least resistance and this has seen a crack open on the eur/jpy upside (see daily chart - click on it to zoom in). Momentum is positive but faces key resistance at:

114.97
115.41
115.66

A break of 115.66 would open a void on the upside.

GVI Forex Jay 13:07 GMT January 27, 2011
Broker Platform Technical Problems

Mailman, send me info on the broker and what happened.

Richland QC Mailman 13:02 GMT January 27, 2011
Broker Platform Technical Problems
Reply   
Hi folks. Have you ever experienced with your brokers a situation like mine?

I had my balance $xxx sitting comfortably at my MT4 Platform with usd/chf long positions already closed. Suddenly, the platform malfunctioned and you cannot do anything but to wait. You checked on the website your account balance to be sure and still it showed the same amount of balance. After almost 2 hours, the platform finally was up. Lo and behold, your balance was reduced to practically zero!

Anyway, I already sent the incident report to the support group.

Rexburg Stubbs 12:59 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR

Bulls and bears both getting fed their re-reinforcement bias on EUR with higher high and lower low. Please let the battle begin.

Rexburg Stubbs 12:57 GMT January 27, 2011
GBP/USD CONSERVATIVE short term TRADER

Dear RF friend- It is always nice to post the ideas of taking profits but I did not see where you posted to buy with any clarity. I did see the hesitation and signal to wait. Can you please elaborate? I also recommend that if you are now deciding to be long to be sure and set your S/L tight.

HK [email protected] 09:39 GMT January 26, 2011
GBP/USD: Reply
Big players are signalling the smalls don't enter long GBP because they will take the meat from the table. Want to be safer wait for some time more for a clearer signal in exchange of some possible profit.

Belgrade TD 12:54 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR

BERLIN, Jan 27 (Reuters) - The German statistics office said it would release January inflation data at 1300 GMT on Thursday.

Rexburg Stubbs 12:47 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR

prague mark 12:44 GMT January 27, 2011

Yes dear friend, IF it closes up there. I also see the possibility that it closes in the 1.35xx or lower range as well. So far there has been nothing sustainable on the 1.37 handle. Time will be our fortune teller. GL buddy

GVI Forex john 12:45 GMT January 27, 2011


WHAT'S THE BUZZ?
Entry: Target: Stop:

CALENDAR: North America: US- Weekly Jobless Claims, Durable Goods, Pending Homes Sales, Natural Gas, 7-yr Auction

  • Busy data calendar shaping up for U.S.

  • USD did not like FOMC keep policy steady with no end in sight for QE2. 

  • Keep in mind QE2 is in part a USD devaluation scheme.

  • EUR remains a primary focus. Keep a keen eye on its crosses.

  • Today has seen hawkish statements by ECB Member Bini Smaghi. 

  • Inflation worries premature? Crude closing below the technically significant $88.00 line.



prague mark 12:44 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR

Stubbs, we shall see how this week closes... and in case we close >1.38... next week 1.4 test is VERY probable... IMHO

GVI Forex Blog 12:39 GMT January 27, 2011 Reply   
There is an old trading adage “to expect the unexpected” and this been the case today as the market was blindsided by S&P cutting Japan’s sovereign debt rating.

Tech Talk - Blindsided

HK [email protected] 12:39 GMT January 27, 2011
GBP/USD CONSERVATIVE short term TRADER
Reply   
May close for a gotosleep profit within [1.6015,1.6030]

GL/GT

Cambridge Joe 12:33 GMT January 27, 2011
Quick release button
Reply   
Not too bad this morning... +30 in 13 minutes on a eurusd short

Now closed early on another eurusd short ....

Why is it that when I close a position for a pittance, it seems to act a a quick release button for the mkt to fling itself in the direction I just closed from... ?

LOL ! Enough watching paint dry.... I'm off !

GVI Forex Blog 12:30 GMT January 27, 2011 Reply   
Dollar-Swiss failed to see a strong break below 0.9400 and has risen slightly from its low of 0.9390

FX Thoughts for the day : 27-Jan--2011 - 1229 GMT

Rexburg Stubbs 12:21 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR

Extending the commitment past the new lower low on dailie chart will be key for decrementing the rallie to be outside range. Remaining session should show EUR lower then lower again.

Syd 12:17 GMT January 27, 2011
EU Barnier: Need More Market Transparency To Limit Speculation
Reply   
EU Barnier: Market Speculation Causing Commodity Price Volatility
EU Barnier: Considering Parallel Liqidity Tests On Banks
S&P: Six Japanese Public Institutions Downgraded

China should gradually raise deposit rates further to counter inflationary pressures and "it wouldn't be a very bad policy" to consider a fresh interest rate rise in the current quarter because of likely seasonally high inflation, a Chinese central bank adviser said Thursday.

"Due to seasonal factors like the Chinese New Year holiday, I wouldn't be surprised if CPI goes up to 5% or even higher in the first quarter,"
Li Daokui, a prominent economist and an adviser to the People's Bank of China

Rexburg Stubbs 12:14 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR

Everyone getting very excited about a few unsustainable pips rallie on such news all over the place about how great the eur is to be. Such disappointing rallie is noted and will just be fish food for a swift dropout as it sweeps lower. Weekly chart is still trending down down down.

GVI Forex Jay 12:01 GMT January 27, 2011
Tech Talk



12:00 GMT (Global-View.com) January 27 - There is an old trading adage “to expect the unexpected” and this been the case today as the market was blindsided by S&P cutting Japan’s sovereign debt rating. This saw the jpy fall sharply, both vs. the dollar and on its crosses, usd/jpy spiking over 1 jpy higher to 83.21 but did not approach key resistance at 83.49-54. There was some chatter of Japanese exporters selling that helped cap the upside.

EUR/USD, meanwhile, looked set to consolidate after struggling earlier above 1.37 but has since spiked to a new high (1.3756). The catalyst was an inflation comment by ECB’s Bini Smaghi, which seemed innocuous to me but the way the market reacted is yet another confirmation that “it is not the news but the reaction to news that gives the clue.” In any case, eur/usd has extended its high to break 1.37445 (61.8% of 1.4282-1.2875). This has seen 1.3750+ trade, briefly so far, suggesting this level would need to be firmly broken to setup a test of the next key target at 1.3786 (Nov 22 high). Beyond 1.3786 it gets thin with pivotal big figures at 1.38, 1.40 and 1.42 standing in the way of the major level at 1.4282. On the downside, yesterday’s high at 1.3721 is pivotal support, risk is on 1.3786 while above it.

Note the 1 hour chart where the 100 hour mva I have been citing as a key indicator checking the downside at the low today.

GVI Forex Blog 11:58 GMT January 27, 2011 Reply   
The euro hit a two-month high against the dollar on Thursday after a euro zone policymaker expressed concern about inflationary pressures, further highlighting a policy divergence with the United States.

FOREX NEWS - Euro hits 2-month highs vs dlr, yen on ECB comments

London SFH 11:58 GMT January 27, 2011
Euro

JP -LOL

Belgrade TD 11:55 GMT January 27, 2011
Euro

London GB 11:50 GMT January 27, 2011

I expected the euro to rise during the Davos ... not this high growth, but anyway it is, at least for me, a good zone for sell ... just my point of view ... will sell another at 1,3790 IF seen ...

Mtl JP 11:52 GMT January 27, 2011
Euro

GVI Forex Jay 11:05 GMT January 13, 2011
Sell Euros : Reply
10:54 am FRANCE'S SARKOZY : EURO-DOLLAR EXCHANGE RATE STILL TOO HIGH (IB Times)

-
on the 13th eurdlr traded 1.3088-1.3382
Sarkozy defines "bozone"

London GB 11:50 GMT January 27, 2011
Euro

TD You sound bullish but you are positioned short?

Belgrade TD 11:45 GMT January 27, 2011
Euro

French President Nicolas Sarkozy warned investors who bet against the euro will get their fingers burned. ... lol

Dubai SAS 11:41 GMT January 27, 2011
Buy USD
Reply   
Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.5952 Target: Open Stop: Not yet

Sold small .... looking to add higher if seen

Ind! Rafe... 11:41 GMT January 27, 2011
EURUSD
Reply   
I have 13783 as a target if now then it's a final target of 13833.

I am gonna short from first level if it looks sustainable.

Belgrade TD 11:37 GMT January 27, 2011
Euro

whole idea about Davos is to support EU and the euro ... cause another serious crisis and EU would not survive ... means all economists and politicans except Soros are going to celebrate Euro ... after that ... well ... will see :)

Belgrade TD 11:30 GMT January 27, 2011
Euro

DAVOS, Switzerland, Jan 27 (Reuters) - Europe's response to the Greek and Irish crises and Spain's confidence-building measures should work says OECD chief Angel Gurria, adding that governments' focus must be growth now, not inflation later.

HK [email protected] 11:25 GMT January 27, 2011
news???

Potenially.................It was all in the charts.

Belgrade TD 11:17 GMT January 27, 2011
Euro

@ "It's all on the relatively hawkish comments from Bini Smaghi, in particular that they cannot ignore the rise in imported inflation," ...
Bini Smaghi said sharper rises in imported goods prices carried an inflationary threat. ... "Although he was referring not specifically to the euro zone but developed countries ... etc.

London SMS 11:17 GMT January 27, 2011
Sold Cable

Added to short @ 1.5955. Moved stop to 1.5975
---------
Sold Cable : Reply
Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.5925 Target: 1.5750 Stop: 1.5970

London SFH 11:12 GMT January 27, 2011
Euro
Reply   
Just read this

: All this response to Japan's ratings cut is starting to look like a "huge head fake"....EUR/USD 1.3748 prints as the Euro gains after the Bini-Smaghi comments on inflation. Offers to the barrier/expiry level at 1.3750 will continue to slow the ascent, but bulls look for an eventual move above the next layer of optionality. After dropping from 1.3729 to 1.3637 on the Japan breaking news, this pair has now printed that 1.3748 high for the day. The same for core Bunds which printed 123.79 post Japan to put in now a new 123.33 low. Traders had taken their eye off the ball via Japan when they still should have been trading a mkt that has turned from recently being focused on growth (divergent growth of course) to inflationary concerns. This reminder came from above mentioned ECB's Bini-Smaghi who says imported inflation can no longer be ignored, EZ must significantly contain costs or rising risk of "second round effects" of inflation will occur.

GVI Forex john 11:08 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

CBI survey was weak and no doubt is being blamed on the weather. The markets were set up for a poor figure and the GBP has rallied on short-covering.

The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) Distributive Trade Survey is an indicator of short-term trends in the U.K. retail and wholesale distribution sector.

Gen dk 11:03 GMT January 27, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GVI Forex Blog 11:00 GMT January 27, 2011 Reply   
S&P cut the sovereign rating of Japan by one notch to "AA-". It stated that the downgrade reflected the view that govt debt ratio would continue to increase and to reach its highest point in mid-2020s.

TradeTheNews.com European Market Update: S&P cuts Japan's sovereign rating a notch to "AA-"

GVI Forex john 11:00 GMT January 27, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

ALERT
Entry: Target: Stop:

-- ALERT --

U.K. January Distributive Trades Index
37 vs. 35 est., 56 prev



TTN: Special Offer- News on Your Screen


Tehran k.k 10:59 GMT January 27, 2011
news???

this latest EUR spike looks nothing more than a transparent Central bank rigging. they. give their cards away so easily. I wonder in whose interest it is to keep the EUR high

London ex 10:56 GMT January 27, 2011
news???

Thank you Jay!

Belgrade TD 10:55 GMT January 27, 2011
Sell Eur

add another sell on existing positions ... avg Sell 1,3640 ...

London SFH 10:52 GMT January 27, 2011
news???

I agree with that ex...I turned long last night in the hope ohf 1.4000...gl/gt

GVI Forex Jay 10:52 GMT January 27, 2011
news???

Euro spike was apparently triggered by comments from Bini Smaghi talking about the risks of inflation.

London ex 10:50 GMT January 27, 2011
news???

Recent price action suggests to me that this recent up-move in the EURUSD has not run its course. The persistence of this bid tone says that it is being supported by fundamental flows which do no reverse quickly.

Southport DM 10:47 GMT January 27, 2011
euro uptrend
Reply   


30 minute 144/169ema barrier has acted as support 6 times since 12 Jan and provided another BOD opportunity.

Immediate target for euro is channel top 1.3784 (rising) - with measured move target of SHS pattern at 1.3995.

London SMS 10:46 GMT January 27, 2011
Sold Cable
Reply   
Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.5925 Target: 1.5750 Stop: 1.5970

Sold here.

London ex 10:45 GMT January 27, 2011
news???

Still looking for an explanation for the sudden EURUSD spike. Anyone know what it was?

Richmond Hills 10:37 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR
Reply   
I'm to say EUR is in buy mode rather than sell mode. Follow those to say EUR is free fall will make you loss money...

ldn ct 10:34 GMT January 27, 2011
news???
Reply   
What's the news?

GVI Forex Blog 10:15 GMT January 27, 2011 Reply   
11:00 GMT (Global-View.com) January 27- It could hardly be a surprise to anyone who has been paying attention that S&P downgraded the Japanese sovereign debt rating to AA- from AA.

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- Japan Debt Downdrade

Tokyo 10:09 GMT January 27, 2011
Japan

Japan ratings cut story:

S&P cuts Japan sovereign debt rating, first time since 2002

NYC Trade the News 09:58 GMT January 27, 2011
DAVOS: Soros: Euro Crisis Could Lead To Disintegration Of EU


Thursday, January 27, 2011 4:49:10 AM
(EU) Investor George Soros: UK is in a more dire situation than Europe; Europe's divergence is a political threat - financial press interview
- Sees that the euro curreny will remain.
- Commodities boom is creating serious levels of inflation; boom to run couple of years. Trade the News

Syd 09:53 GMT January 27, 2011
DAVOS: Soros: Euro Crisis Could Lead To Disintegration Of EU
Reply   
The euro zone's fiscal crisis could eventually lead to the disintegration of the European Union, billionaire investor and philanthropist George Soros said Thursday in an interview with BBC Radio from Davos, Switzerland.
Soros said the agreements to provide help to Greece and Ireland are "flawed" because they do nothing to reduce the size of their debts. Irish voters want to see the debts of the nation's banks rescheduled, but Soros said that would damage banks in France and Germany, which own those bonds.


http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20110127-703513.html

Macau JJ 09:43 GMT January 27, 2011
**GBP ALERT**

Every fall is also a chance for you to buy no matter for GBP and EUR

Syd 09:39 GMT January 27, 2011
In Egypt, Protests Continue Despite Blocked Access to Communication Channels
Reply   
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KcMZQQPBcHo&feature=player_embedded

Syd 09:25 GMT January 27, 2011
Debt Crisis Spreading Outside Europe - SocGen
Reply   
The sovereign debt crisis is showing sings of spreading outside Europe after Standard & Poor's cut Japan's rating to AA- from AA Thursday morning. "This comes as part of wider concern particularly in Japan and the U.S. regarding the sustainability of large structural deficit," says Societe Generale. Bank says that with investors heavily short on USD, USD/JPY could see some good demand in the wake of the news. USD/JPY up 0.9% at Y82.84.

Syd 09:23 GMT January 27, 2011
Greens warn more levies on the cards
Reply   
CLIMATE change activists have taken the federal government to task for slashing green programs to free up cash for the flood recovery effort.
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/breaking-news/greens-warn-more-levies-on-the-cards/story-fn7ikbtj-1225995676896

sofia kaprikorn 09:22 GMT January 27, 2011
Short EUR/USD

hourly charts indicate this was just an over reaction to the Japan rating cut - EUR dip was bought out as was AUD..
that's a tricky part of trading - to hold or not to hold :-)

Syd 09:22 GMT January 27, 2011
Gillard's flood levy in political limbo
Reply   
There is no certainty the Federal Government will get its flood levy through Parliament, with independent MPs saying they will press for the introduction of a permanent natural emergency fund.Opposition Leader Tony Abbott has criticised the levy. He says many people who should not help foot the bill will end up paying, including clean-up volunteers and those who own businesses and did not qualify for assistance.Independent MP Bob Katter has a non-negotiable position. He says a natural disaster fund has to be established or the Government will not get his vote.Another independent, Tony Windsor, will also be arguing the case for a natural diaster fund when negotiating with the Government in the days ahead.

Saar KaL 09:03 GMT January 27, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level

AUDUSD Selling

1/27/11 4:00 AM 0.9475 0.9442
1/27/11 4:15 AM 0.9465 0.9442
1/27/11 4:30 AM 0.9455 0.9437
1/27/11 4:45 AM 0.9455 0.9441
1/27/11 5:00 AM 0.9448 0.9435
1/27/11 5:15 AM 0.9448 0.9431

Richland QC Mailman 08:57 GMT January 27, 2011
**GBP ALERT**

GBP simply could not die... Dips are just being bought.

Saar KaL 08:53 GMT January 27, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level

eurusd
Might take another week before the big drop

NY Time
Ranges
Buying today

1/27/11 4:00 AM 1.3670 1.3593
1/27/11 4:15 AM 1.3673 1.3616
1/27/11 4:30 AM 1.3691 1.3642
1/27/11 4:45 AM 1.3704 1.3662
1/27/11 5:00 AM 1.3698 1.3662
1/27/11 5:15 AM 1.3710 1.3672

sofia kaprikorn 08:42 GMT January 27, 2011
Short EUR/USD

sofia kaprikorn 11:16 GMT January 26, 2011
Short EUR/USD : Reply
guess if tonight FOMC comes with hawkish language what happens to all USD Bears...

markets are driven by predators luring the little prey go the way where they could be most hurt and then...
...........................................

well there is no hint so far in the FED's language of a rate hike - the Q now is if these drops ahead of 1.37 in EUR and the Inside day in DX is a reversal opportunity or just a brief dash before the trend continuation..

as Gilmore wrote and it has been a noted correlation the rise of rates/UST selloff will boost the USD as the prevalent opinion is the US market will outperform the EU and EMs...

---
I'm short AUD/USD from 0.99 and long USD/CAD from 0.9977.

Israel dil 08:33 GMT January 27, 2011
USD/JPY

83 traded with 31/JAN/2011 value date

fukuoka Rana 08:30 GMT January 27, 2011
jpy
Reply   
Sell CHFJPY
Entry: 88 Target: open Stop: later

sold..........happy day,

Spotforex NY 08:25 GMT January 27, 2011
Japan

The cut was to AA- from AA (one notch)

Spotforex NY 08:23 GMT January 27, 2011
Japan
Reply   
From GVI

Spotforex NY 07:55 GMT January 27, 2011
Japan: Reply
S&P cut's Japan sovereign rating to AA- from AAA

Richland QC Mailman 07:53 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR/USD Intra-day signal by AceTrader

Any news why euro suddenly is down? Could be what the bears have been waiting for all month long...

Syd 07:17 GMT January 27, 2011
Australia Independent Katter Questions Flood Tax
Reply   
Australia Independent Katter Questions Flood Tax

GVI Forex Blog 07:13 GMT January 27, 2011 Reply   
RBNZ stands pat on rates and outlook, underpinning NZD; Australia PM estimates economic toll of flood at 0.5%, declares emergency tax

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: RBNZ stands pat on rates and outlook, underpinning NZD; Australia PM estimates economic toll of flood at 0.5%, declares emergency tax

Syd 06:54 GMT January 27, 2011
Here's something that may have been overlooked in all the current brouhaha over troubled eurozone pe
Reply   
The Flemish side wants increased political clout commensurate with their growing economic power compared to their Walloon brethren;
The royals want this over and done with (to keep Belgium and the throne intact), but the multitude of parties don't want to play along just yet;
The top vote-getting party, the New Flemish Alliance, may yet doggedly pursue its electoral pledge of independence;
And if Belgium does break up, who'll pay for previously issued Belgian sovereign debt?
http://ipezone.blogspot.com/2011/01/pigs-with-belgium-it-may-soon-be-pigs.html

Hong Kong 06:32 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR/USD Intra-day signal by AceTrader
Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

INTRA-DAY EUR/USD OUTLOOK

Last Update At 27 Jan 2011 04:19 GMT

Rate : 1.3703

Although euro's strg rebound fm post-FOMC low at
1.3640 suggests pullback fm y'day's 2-month high at
1.3723 has ended, as 1.3715 has capped upside, sug
gesting sideways trading is in store b4 prospect of
further gain, abv 1.3723 wud extend to 1.3735/40.

Raise long entry for 1.3715 1st n only breach of
1.3640 confirms intra-day top is formed.

Range Forecast
1.3680 / 1.3710

Resistance/Support
R: 1.3723/1.3739/1.3786
S: 1.3673/1.3640/1.3620

http://www.acetraderfx.com

HK [email protected] 06:30 GMT January 27, 2011
Middle-East Offers EUR/USD 1.3725; AUD/USD 1.0000



KL TSA 06:20 GMT January 27, 2011

You are "short something" (with those screwed Singaporeans), trying to save their neck while the LONG rope is being pulled higher.

Best regards to your Singaporean friends on the way to the gallows.

HK [email protected] 06:24 GMT January 27, 2011
No spoon feeding? Sorry
Reply   
There was a complainant that I don't post specific trades to the benefit of the speculators masses.

How about this one Y.day.

The next 8$ down are interesting for a buy, though gold may drop even below the recent 1322 low.

No reason why gold will not climb from here back to it's 1424 HI

Do I have to feed my posts with accurate buy/sell/stop-loss numbers.
So check the charts at that time. (One bought silver more or less at the same time and is making well) and so those who bought gold are making money.
A clue may worth money too, no need to feed direct to the mouth.

Syd 06:21 GMT January 27, 2011
Cairo’s Tiananmen Square moment?
Reply   
This is amateur footage from the clashes taking place in the Egyptian capital of Cairo
http://www.euronews.net/2011/01/25/from-tiananmen-square-to-cairo/

PBOC Zhou: Should Adjust Policy To Curb Inflation, Asset Bubbles In Timely Fashion - Report
PBOC Zhou: Current Monetary Policy Not Overly Tight - Report
PBOC Zhou: Aim To Keep Average Deposit Rates Above CPI In Medium Term - Report
PBOC Zhou: Can't Guarantee Real Interest Rates Positive At All Times - Report
PBOC Zhou: Also Take Into Account Economic Conditions In Setting Interest Rates - Report
PBOC Zhou: Switch To 'Prudent' Monetary Policy Is Normalization - Report
PBOC Zhou: Don't Rule Out Quantitative Or Price-Based Monetary Tools -Report
PBOC Zhou: Global Economic Recovery Still Faces Uncertainties - Report

KL TSA 06:20 GMT January 27, 2011
Middle-East Offers EUR/USD 1.3725; AUD/USD 1.0000

HK [email protected] 06:14 GMT January 27, 2011

Maybe its just you who is farting as usual

HK [email protected] 06:14 GMT January 27, 2011
**GBP ALERT**

GBP?????????????? Maybe soon to fall up above 1.60.

As I mentioned this morning, the Singaporean dealers only farting(as usual), no effect.

Syd 06:12 GMT January 27, 2011
Belgian mediator resigns – again
Reply   
The situation is having an effect on Belgium’s economy. The last time Vande Lanotte sought to quit, investors pushed up the premium for holding Belgian debt to near a record since the introduction of the euro in 1999.

http://www.euronews.net/2011/01/26/belgian-mediator-resigns-again/

Saar KaL 06:12 GMT January 27, 2011
**GBP ALERT**

gbpusd expected 1.48 longer term

Buying USDCHF and USDJPY Longer term
DJI is going to be a mess from around these prices
TGT < 10500

Saar KaL 05:55 GMT January 27, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level

selling eurusd for next 2-3 moths
tgt < 1.30

Buying Gold Long term
TGT 1,486

Syd 05:46 GMT January 27, 2011
New setback in Belgium's crisis as king's envoy resigns
Reply   
BRUSSELS (AFP) – King Albert II's mediator in the country's months-long political crisis threw in the towel Wednesday after failing to break a deadlock between Dutch and French-speaking leaders, a palace statement said.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20110126/wl_afp/belgiumpolitics_20110126182248

Rexburg Stubbs 05:45 GMT January 27, 2011
**GBP ALERT**

Indeed

to dr unken katt 04:55 GMT January 27, 2011
**GBP ALERT**

indeed, everything is about to fall

Rexburg Stubbs 04:40 GMT January 27, 2011
**GBP ALERT**
Reply   
gbp.usd is about to fall.
Short at 1.5915

Syd 04:38 GMT January 27, 2011
Gold investors pull back after blistering rally
Reply   
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/e147bb70-2977-11e0-bb9b-00144feab49a.html#axzz1CBSAapsL

Australia Independent Oakeshott Undecided On Flood Tax

GVI Forex Blog 04:36 GMT January 27, 2011 Reply   
The Dow notched a high of 12020.52 yesterday before closing at 11985.44.

Morning Briefing : 27-Jan-2011 -0336 GMT

Hong Kong 04:28 GMT January 27, 2011
Support, Resistance and Range Forecast - AceTrader
Reply   
INTRA-DAY USD/JPY:

Last Update At 27 Jan 2011 04:15 GMT

Range Forecast
82.10 / 82.28

Resistance/Support
R: 82.28 / 82.67 / 82.92
S: 81.97 / 81.85 / 81.68

-------------------------

INTRA-DAY EUR/USD:

Last Update At 27 Jan 2011 02:23 GMT

Range Forecast
1.3680 / 1.3710

Resistance/Support
R: 1.3723/1.3739/1.3786
S: 1.3673/1.3640/1.3620

--------------------------

INTRA-DAY USD/CHF:

Last Update At 27 Jan 2011 02:26 GMT

Range Forecast
0.9415 / 0.9445

Resistance/Support
R: 0.9470/0.9523/0.9560
S: 0.9400/0.9385/0.9360

---------------------------

INTRA-DAY GBP/USD:

Last Update At 27 Jan 2011 02:33 GMT

Range Forecast
1.5885 / 1.5920

Resistance/Support
R: 1.5938/1.5965/1.6018
S: 1.5879/1.5839/1.5769

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Syd 04:11 GMT January 27, 2011
Egypt’s Young Seize Role of Key Opposition to Mubarak
Reply   
For decades, Egypt’s authoritarian president, Hosni Mubarak, played a clever game with his political opponents.

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/27/world/middleeast/27opposition.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

KL TSA 03:57 GMT January 27, 2011
Middle-East Offers EUR/USD 1.3725; AUD/USD 1.0000

HK [email protected] 03:36 GMT January 27, 2011

You seem to be the smarty pants who has shi! to say about everything like a real wise a$$ but post nothing useful for trading.

What are your trades {without referencing posts where you predict extremes for anything and everything possible under the sun as you have done in the past.}?

HK [email protected] 03:36 GMT January 27, 2011
Middle-East Offers EUR/USD 1.3725; AUD/USD 1.0000

Beware of news coming out from Singapore dealers.
Or it is lies, or no market effect, sometimes the the reverse one expects will come out.

Per past experience.

Syd 03:11 GMT January 27, 2011
Irish government on brink of collapseThree TDs could torpedo Brian Cowen and Ireland's finance bill,
Reply   
The Irish government is teetering on the brink of collapse today as three independent TDs threaten to vote against the finance bill.

Three independents – Mattie McGrath, Michael Lowry and Jackie Healy-Rae – are now holding the Brian Cowen and Brian Lenihan's dying government to ransom with a new "wish list" of amendments to the bill. Their approach has been criticised as more evidence of "the country's reputation for insanity".

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/ireland-business-blog-with-lisa-ocarroll/2011/jan/26/ireland



The AUD/USD falls on the government's planned new flood levy, which will deter the RBA from further rate hikes, says Deutsche Bank FX Strategist John Horner. The AUD/USD is at 0.9947 from 1.002 before the announcement of an additional one-off tax to raise A$1.8 billion through a progressive levy on people earning over A$50,000 per year, which may damp consumer spending. "It has created a bit of negative sentiment for the currency given it is seen as something that reduces upward pressure on interest rates."

Rexburg Stubbs 02:54 GMT January 27, 2011
EUR

Richmond Hills 23:42 GMT January 26, 2011

Answer: Same number of days EUR has failed to break up past 1.37 in any meaningful and sustainable way. You could have kept calling for it to go higher just the same but it hasn't really gone anywhere. It has gone nowhere, but we are now*here we can see that the offers are stacked and racked for a free fall. GL dear friend.

GVI Forex Blog 02:19 GMT January 27, 2011 Reply   
GBP up sharply on January MPC vote FOMC keeps policy unchanged EUR grinds higher PBOC: real estate out of control

Forex Market Commentary and Analysis (26 January 2011)

atlanta blahblah 02:14 GMT January 27, 2011
Middle-East Offers EUR/USD 1.3725; AUD/USD 1.0000

why would people in the middle east want to support the dollar against the euro and aud?

does dollar weakness drive oil prices up?
would higher oil prices reduce demand for oil?
could higher oil prices stall global recovery?
will higher oil prices slow growth in china?

i heard on bloomberg that some middle eastern countries are planning to increase production of oil in the near future. i dont know if that includes new refineries.

to dr unken katt 02:11 GMT January 27, 2011
China Ministry: Chinese Companies To Face Higher Input Inflation This Year

Global investors are bracing for the end of China’s relentless economic growth, with 45 percent saying they expect a financial crisis there within five years.

Syd 02:07 GMT January 27, 2011
China Ministry: Chinese Companies To Face Higher Input Inflation This Year
Reply   
China Industry Ministry: Chinese Companies' Operating Costs To Keep Rising
China Ministry: Energy, Raw Material Prices To Keep Rising In 2011
China Ministry: Chinese Companies To Face Higher Input Inflation This Year

Hong Kong 02:04 GMT January 27, 2011
USD/JPY Intra-day signal by AceTrader
Reply   
USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

INTRADAY TRADING SIGNAL BY ACETRADER.COM: USD/JPY

USD/JPY : 82.05

Last Update At 27 Jan 2011 00:59 GMT

Despite dlr's brief bounce to 82.61 after Fed's
FOMC meeting, subsequent strg retreat to 82.17 in
Aust. suggests consolidation with initial downside
bias is seen in Asia, however, as long as Tue's 81.
97 low holds, another bounce is likely.

Sell on recovery for 82.10 or buy if dlr drops
to 82.05 for 82.40 but 82.61/67 shud cap upside.

Range Forecast
82.05 / 82.25

Resistance/Support
R: 82.28 / 82.67 / 82.92
S: 81.97 / 81.85 / 81.68

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Syd 01:55 GMT January 27, 2011
Gillard
Reply   
Julia Gillard needs to be put on negative watch by Fitch & Moody's, she is dangerous to the economy

Syd 01:45 GMT January 27, 2011
Middle-East Offers EUR/USD 1.3725; AUD/USD 1.0000
Reply   
Middle-East parties are offering large amounts of the EUR/USD at 1.3725, and the AUD/USD at 1.0000, a Singapore dealer says.

Perhaps they are watching CNBC Asian Gillard talking ahahahah

Syd 01:28 GMT January 27, 2011
Australia Set To Unveil Tax Levy To Fund Floods Cleanup
Reply   
Even before details of the temporary flood levy are officially unveiled in a major policy speech due 0130 GMT, the plan drew fire from economists and lawmakers, with Tony Windsor, one of a handful of independent lawmakers keeping Gillard's minority Labor government in power warning: "Don't count on my vote" for the levy. Windsor is calling for a permanent National Natural Disaster Levy to fund future crises including floods, wild fires, hail storms or cyclones that periodically plague this vast continent. With a slender grip on power after last year's election left neither of Australia's two major political forces with enough seats to govern alone, Gillard's handling of the flood recovery will be pivotal for her minority Labor government.

"It is an incredible act of hypocrisy on the part of the government. It is placing the burden for the flood relief onto ordinary working class taxpayers at a time when the government is going to be cutting the corporate tax rate," said Australian National University political analyst Rick Kuhn, referring to plans to cut the company tax rate to 29% from 30% from July 1, 2013.

Devastating floods have washed out thousands of homes, roads and rail lines and killed at least 25 people across resource-rich Queensland state since December, disrupting exports and destroying agricultural crops. Australia is the world's largest exporter of coal used for steelmaking and the second largest supplier of coal for power plants. Separate floods spreading across Victoria state over the past two weeks have affected 60 towns in an area larger than Denmark.

The repair bill from the flooding has yet to be officially tallied. Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. estimates that the rebuilding cost for Queensland alone could be as high as A$20 billion, although the government's share of the bill could be more like A$5 billion.

Joe Hockey, shadow Treasurer for the main conservative Liberal-National opposition coalition, said a levy to fund the flood recovery effort is "too much" on top of an expected rise in food prices as a result of the damage to agricultural land.

"On top of the recent Labor party increases in the cigarette tax and also alcohol taxes and car taxes and given that electricity prices are rising, it is too much at this point in the economic cycle," Hockey said.

ANZ economists warned that any flood levy will act as "another constraint on household spending", reinforcing market expectations that the country's central bank will hold interest rates steady for some time.

Eminent economist and RBA board member Warwick McKibbin on Thursday panned the tax levy proposal as politically motivated, warning of unintended consequences.

Many Australians donated to relief funds as the floods swept through Queensland's south east in January. If the community begins to expect the government will impose a new tax, fewer people are likely to donate in the first instance in the future, he said. "It does create very bad incentives," McKibbin said.





Syd 01:16 GMT January 27, 2011
Measures to tame property market
Reply   
The State Council raised the minimum down payment for second-home buyers to 60 percent from the current 50 percent on Wednesday, and called on local governments to set price targets in the latest move to rein in property prices.
China should be cautious about the risk of a real estate bubble, World Bank Chief Economist and Senior Vice-President Justin Yifu Lin said on Tuesday.
http://en.ce.cn/Industries/Property/201101/27/t20110127_22175432.shtml

Hong Kong 00:57 GMT January 27, 2011
Daily FX Market Outlook by AceTrader-27-1-2011
Reply   
Market Review - 26/01/2011 23:38 GMT

Euro trades near fresh two-month high as Fed gives less upbeat U.S. outlook

The single currency climbed to a fresh 2-month high of 1.3723 against the dollar in European morning on Wednesday but then retreated on profit-taking. The stronger-than-expected U.S. new home sales data pressure price to 1.3643 in New York morning. Later, the pair traded in a volatile manner, rising to as high as 1.3708 after FOMC rate decision and then falling again to a session low of 1.3640, however, the Federal reserve later said in the statement that a high U.S. employment rate justified its $600 billion bond-buying program and eur/usd rebounded strongly to around 1.3700 level ahead of NY closing. FOMC kept Fed fund rate exceptionally low for an extended period in 0.00-0.25 percent range in January and said in the statement that economic recovery would continue but at rate 'insufficient to bring about a significant improvement' in labor market, and although commodity prices had risen, longer term inflation was expected to be stable and underlying inflation was trending down. Fed also said that growth in household spending picked up late last year but was still constrained by high unemployment.

The British pound rebounded from 1.5769 versus the dollar (just above Tuesday's low of 1.5750) in European session after the release of minutes from the January meeting of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee as it reported that two policymakers voted for an interest rate hike, cable later penetrated Asian high of 1.5839 and rallied to an intra-day high of 1.5938 after FOMC rate decision and the release of Fed's statement. The two Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee members, Martin Weale and Andrew Sentance, both voted for a quarter-point rate rise, and Adam Posen maintained his call to add 50 billion pounds to the 200 billion-pound bond purchase plan, while other six members of the MPC voted to keep the benchmark interest rate and the stimulus program unchanged. In sterling's cross pairs, eur/gbp retreated from a 2 1/2 month's high and dropped from 0.8673 to as low as 0.8596, whilst gbp/jpy rallied from a session low of 129.53 to 131.07.

The greenback's renewed firmness in New York lifted dollar against the Japanese yen and usd/jpy rose to a session high of 82.62 before easing. The greenback was supported by the stronger-than-expected U.S. new home sales as U.S. Commerce Department reported that sales of new single-family homes rose 17.5 percent to 329,000 in December, the biggest monthly jump since 1992 and five times faster than the consensus forecast of 3.5 percent. The gain showed that buyer were returning to the market after mid-2010 slump to take advantage of low mortgage rates and reduced price, and there was a gradual path in U.S. economy recovery.

Economic indicators to be released on Thursday includes:

Australia Westpac leading economic index, Japan trade balance, export and import, eurozone business climate, economic confidence and industrial sentiment, and US durable good orders, jobless claims and pending home sales.

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Syd 00:57 GMT January 27, 2011
The cost of our surplus obsession
Reply   
If Gillard’s proposed increase in the Medicare levy gets past the Lower House independents as well as the Senate, then spending power will be reduced at the worst possible time for the nation’s retailers. Warwick McKibbin is right: the economy will already be hit by the floods; raising taxes to pay for it will only exacerbate the impact.Business Spectator

Syd 00:27 GMT January 27, 2011
Australian Economic Vital Signs Slowed Before Floods
Reply   
Australia's economic vital signs were already slowing in November, before the rains and flooding that devastated large parts of Queensland state in December and January.
A leading index of the Australian economy released Thursday grew at an annualized rate of 3.5% in November, well down on the 4.4% pace recorded in October. Westpac said a number of headwinds emerged in November to cast a cloud over future growth in the economy, among them weaker company profits and slowing housing demand

The data provide further confirmation that economic growth was slowing in the latter months of 2010, and call into question a decision by the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise interest rates in November, which triggered even larger increases in mortgage interest rates by banks.
Westpac chief economist Bill Evans said the flood damage, which brought Queensland's coal production to a near standstill, will weaken the broader economy in early 2011, with some chance of a contraction.
Westpac Banking Corp. and Melbourne University's Institute of Applied Economic & Social Research.
Economy set to slow, rates to stay on hold
http://news.ninemsn.com.au/article.aspx?id=8202428

Syd 00:13 GMT January 27, 2011
352,000 households where no one has ever worked
Reply   
Workless UK: 500,000 adults have NEVER worked as jobless homes double under Labour
LINK
UK House Prices Fall For 7th Straight Month - Hometrack

Davos WEF 2011: George Soros says UK risks slipping back into recession
George Osborne’s austerity Budget will push the UK back into recession unless the Government eases up on spending cuts, billionaire investor George Soros has warned.
LINK

 




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