HK RF@ 23:37 GMT October 2, 2011
The Texan who made millions on the credit crunch… and is set to multiply his fortune by 700 times
Reply
Kyle Bass founded hedge fund after Wall Street stint
Gambled against sub-prime mortgage bond market
He has now started to bet against European countries
Set to increase money by 650 times from Greece bet
Investor Kyle Bass has already made millions from the credit crunch and he is set to increase his money by almost 650 times from a Greek default.
He founded hedge fund Hayman Capital in Dallas, Texas, in 2006 in his late 30s after saving $10million from selling bonds for Wall Street firms.
He made millions gambling against the sub-prime mortgage bond market - and now he’s betting on the collapse of whole countries in Europe.
He believes Greece, Portugal, Ireland, Switzerland, Italy and Spain are the countries least likely to be able to pay off their debts.
He bought Greek default insurance for 11 basis points - meaning insuring $1m of bonds would cost $1,100 dollars a year.
A Greek default would make it pay down its debt by around 70 per cent, meaning every $1,100 bet would net him an astonishing $700,000, Mr Bass said.
Mr Bass, who lives in a 40,000 sq ft house, has also bought 20 million nickels for $1million. He said the metal inside each coin is worth 6.8 cents.
‘It may not be the end of the world,’ Mr Bass added. ‘But a lot of people are going to lose a lot of money. Our goal is not to be one of them.
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2044363/Kyle-Bass-Meet-Texan-investor-millions-credit-crunch.html#ixzz1ZfdyTUZf
Syd 23:26 GMT October 2, 2011
Almost 5,000 SAM-7 missiles missing in Libya
Reply
BENGHAZI, Libya (AFP) - Almost 7,000 SAM-7 anti-aircraft missiles from ousted Libyan strongman Muammer Gaddafi’s arsenal have gone missing, a military official of the country’s new leadership said on Saturday. “Gaddafi’s Libya bought about 20,000 SAM-7 missiles, Soviet- or Bulgarian-manufactured,”
General Mohammed Adia, in charge of armaments at the defence ministry, said at a symbolic ceremony to disable some of the stockpile.
HK RF@ 22:49 GMT October 2, 2011
Greece on course to miss deficit target
Reply
Greece's deficit is forecast to hit 8.5% of GDP this year – missing the 7.6% target set by the EU and IMF
http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2011/oct/02/greece-to-miss-deficit-target
dc CB 22:42 GMT October 2, 2011
Protectionism beckons as leaders push world into Depression
The world savings rate has surpassed its modern-era high of 24pc. This is the killer in the global system. It is why we are at imminent risk of tipping into a second, deeper leg of intractable depression.
_____________________________________________________
The way I look at it --- this is a direct result of the Zero Rate interest policy. If rates of return were allowed to go back to normal....and "saved" capital was paid a decent rate of return....people would spend as their capital would be "working " for them. The fact that savings makes NO return and worse a negative....forces ZERO Spending.
Syd 22:37 GMT October 2, 2011
Australian Dollar Triangle Pattern A Possibility
Reply
Market analysts at censored suggest the Australian dollar may be forming a triangle pattern against the greenback, which would indicate a tighter range before a break to a new low.
Syd 22:18 GMT October 2, 2011
Cut rates or we cut staff, retailers warn RBA
Reply
Major retailers will be forced to lay off staff and bring forward their Christmas sales unless the Reserve Bank of Australia cuts official interest rates tomorrow, according to the Australian Retailers Association.
links
la la 21:34 GMT October 2, 2011
EUR
Res starts around 1.3360
London SFH 21:20 GMT October 2, 2011
cable
Reply
sold at 1.5560 looking for sub 1,50 00 in coming days this week
Cambridge Joe 21:16 GMT October 2, 2011
EUR
lala.... if you flick to the 1 min chart... put the cursor to the mkt close, it will show you the close price and from that you will see the drop.
la la 21:04 GMT October 2, 2011
EUR
What was the Friday low that forms the gap?
GVI Forex john 19:47 GMT October 2, 2011
Westpac NZ Outlook
Reply
Market outlook
AUD/USD and NZD/USD outlook next 24 hours: The Australian holiday today will reduce liquidity for AUD and NZD. AUD is close to major support at 0.9620 and a break points next to 0.9540.
NZD should continue lower to the 0.7500 area although its performance on Friday warns against shorting here.
GVI Forex john 19:41 GMT October 2, 2011
USD Bollinger Bands
Reply
EURUSD USDJPY USDCHF GBPUSD USDCAD AUDUSD
20d SD 0.0218 0.39 0.0322 0.0210 0.0209 0.0323
3 StdD 1.4355 78.01 0.9781 1.6357 1.0674 1.1135
2 StdD 1.4137 77.62 0.9459 1.6147 1.0465 1.0811
1 StdD 1.3919 77.24 0.9137 1.5938 1.0256 1.0488
20day 1.3701 76.85 0.8815 1.5728 1.0047 1.0165
1 StdD 1.3484 76.46 0.8494 1.5519 0.9837 0.9841
2 StdD 1.3266 76.08 0.8172 1.5309 0.9628 0.9518
3 StdD 1.3048 75.69 0.7850 1.5100 0.9419 0.9194
GVI Forex john 19:39 GMT October 2, 2011
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets
- As la la noted, the EURUSD is gapipng lower on the opening. Lets see if it lasts.
- Note Holidays Monday in Australia and China.
GVI Forex john 19:36 GMT October 2, 2011
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets
Reply
-
Key
Items- JP- Tankan Survey, EZ/GB Mfg PMI. US- PMI..
-
With quarter-end adjustments
out of the way, expect fund managers to quickly get positions into
place for the final push of the calendar year.
-
Immediately
out of the box, the closely followed quarterly Japanese Tankan
Survey will be released. It provides a useful look into the Japanese
economy. Australia is closed.
-
China
will be closed all week for their Golden Days holidays.
-
Many
key manufacturing PMI surveys (EZ, UK, U.S. and others) are slated
for Monday as well.
-
We feel the focus will remain on Greece. The government
is expected to runs out of cash on October 15. However, the German FinMin said Germany will withhold
approval of the next EUR 8bln tranche of funds until October 13 in
order to pressure Athens to make reforms.
-
It is
our opinion is that Greece has been systematically under- estimating
its future cash needs and figures it will deal with each future tranche as it comes. Germany knows this and wants to keep the pressure on them to cut expenses.
GVI Forex Blog 19:36 GMT October 2, 2011
Reply
Key Items- JP- Tankan Survey, EZ/GB Mfg PMI. US- PMI..
With quarter-end adjustments out of the way, expect fund managers to quickly get positions into place for the final push of the calendar year.
Immediately out of the box, the closely followed quarterly Japanese Tankan Survey will be released. It provides a useful look into the Japanese economy. Australia is closed.
Forex Trade Talk 00:00 GMT 3 October 2011
Lahore FM 19:31 GMT October 2, 2011
EUR
you might say la la!
Jay had already pointed out this possibility in a GVI Pro post of his!
la la 19:26 GMT October 2, 2011
EUR
A gap open?
Lahore FM 19:09 GMT October 2, 2011
EUR
la la its trading 1.3340.
la la 19:07 GMT October 2, 2011
EUR
Reply
ANY. EURUSD PRICES YET? AUSSIE HOLIDAY.
Boston eFX 19:06 GMT October 2, 2011
Investors Remain Skeptical About Euro -CFTC
Reply
(Dow Jones via eFXnews) Investors aren't convinced by the euro's recent signs of life.
Even as the euro was rallying off of its lows, speculative investors increased their bets against the common currency this week, according to a report from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
Speculative traders, who try to profit off of changes in exchange rates, still held .....
Investors Remain Skeptical About Euro -CFTC
GVI Forex john 19:03 GMT October 2, 2011
USD Pivot Points
Reply
Pivots EURUSD USDJPY USDCHF GBPUSD USDCAD AUDUSD
Res 3 1.3744 78.07 0.9233 1.5796 1.0659 0.9911
Res 2 1.3673 77.63 0.9158 1.5730 1.0571 0.9859
Res 1 1.3534 77.35 0.9111 1.5661 1.0527 0.9769
Pivot 1.3463 76.91 0.9036 1.5595 1.0439 0.9717
Sup 1 1.3324 76.63 0.8989 1.5526 1.0395 0.9627
Sup 2 1.3253 76.19 0.8914 1.5460 1.0307 0.9575
Sup 3 1.3114 75.91 0.8867 1.5391 1.0263 0.9485
JERUSALEM KB 18:48 GMT October 2, 2011
Forex Trading Plan

Sell OTHER
Entry: Target: Stop:
dow jones
below 10387 may target 8843! i will not miss this trade .
Cambridge Joe 18:44 GMT October 2, 2011
Psst ! wanna buy some filthy cheap bank shares ?
Reply
http://www.thebusinessedition.com/european-govts-bail-out-dexia-bank-1498/
European Govts Bail Out Dexia Bank
October 2, 2008
By Kalyani Mookherji for TheBusinessEdition Edit Desk
Dexia will receive 6.4 billion euros or $9.2 billion from the governments of France, Belgium and Luxembourg in order to avoid a financial collapse. This will make Dexia the second Belgian bank within a week to get a government and shareholder bail out following the crisis in banking sector which has now spread from the US to European markets.
Dexia is a French-Belgian lender which mainly provided loans to local governments in Europe. But the recent market meltdown in US left it with huge losses and on Monday, Dexia closed almost 30% lower on the stock market. This led to emergency negotiations between the bank and a consortium of European government officials. The CEO of Dexia, Alex Miller resigned immediately after the closing of talks and clarified that asking for state help was the only viable option left with Dexia to help it stay afloat.
The tri-government bail out of Dexia comes only two days after another Belgian-Dutch bank Fortis was pulled back from the brink by a rescue package of 11.2 billion euros or $16.4 billion by the governments of Belgium, Netherlands and Luxembourg. The near-collapse of so many finance firms in Europe is being seen as the direct consequence of the US market meltdown in which several major investment banks of Wall Street either went bankrupt or required external help to survive.
GVI Forex john 18:24 GMT October 2, 2011
USD Moving Averages
Reply
9/30/2011
|
20:00
|
GMT
|
|
|
|
|
Latest
|
EURUSD
|
USDJPY
|
USDCHF
|
GBPUSD
|
USDCAD
|
AUDUSD
|
Last
|
1.3395
|
77.07
|
0.9063
|
1.5591
|
1.0482
|
0.9678
|
High
|
1.3602
|
77.19
|
0.9084
|
1.5665
|
1.0484
|
0.9808
|
Low
|
1.3392
|
76.47
|
0.8962
|
1.5530
|
1.0352
|
0.9666
|
Change
|
-0.0190
|
0.30
|
0.0089
|
-0.0011
|
0.0119
|
-0.0089
|
MVA
|
EURUSD
|
USDJPY
|
USDCHF
|
GBPUSD
|
USDCAD
|
AUDUSD
|
5 day
|
1.3524
|
76.70
|
0.9005
|
1.5591
|
1.0328
|
0.9789
|
10 day
|
1.3556
|
76.59
|
0.8983
|
1.5574
|
1.0208
|
0.9898
|
20 day
|
1.3701
|
76.85
|
0.8815
|
1.5728
|
1.0047
|
1.0165
|
50 day
|
1.4086
|
77.02
|
0.8233
|
1.6101
|
0.9871
|
1.0425
|
100 day
|
1.4194
|
78.74
|
0.8338
|
1.6145
|
0.9786
|
1.0535
|
200 day
|
1.4052
|
80.51
|
0.8795
|
1.6128
|
0.9783
|
1.0388
|
TREND
|
EURUSD
|
USDJPY
|
USDCHF
|
GBPUSD
|
USDCAD
|
AUDUSD
|
BIAS
|
Down
|
Down
|
Up
|
Down
|
Up
|
Down
|
JERUSALEM KB 17:47 GMT October 2, 2011
Forex Trading Plan

GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:
waiting for support breakout to go short
JERUSALEM KB 17:47 GMT October 2, 2011
Forex Trading Plan

GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:
h4 support breakout but should look for 1hr chart
JERUSALEM KB 17:40 GMT October 2, 2011
Forex Trading Plan

EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:
eurusd is highly possible to go as low as the green trend line(long term)
JERUSALEM KB 17:33 GMT October 2, 2011
Forex Trading Plan

USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:
it works stronger than expected and continuation after short consolation may target 1.1
JERUSALEM KB 17:31 GMT October 2, 2011
Forex Trading Plan

USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:
JERUSALEM KB 21:33:23 GMT - 09/21/2011
USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:
weekly close above 1.0026 will be a strong breakout for mention fib targets
JERUSALEM KB 17:23 GMT October 2, 2011
Forex Trading Plan

USDCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:
usdchf monthly chart find a bottom exactly at 423.6 fib and now may heading to 261.8 (long/loooong term) with short term target at 0.9650.
don`t have a stop for this trade yet.
Hong Kong Qindex 15:35 GMT October 2, 2011
Nikkei-225 (8575) : Critical Point 8170
Reply
Nikkei-225 (8575) : Critical Point 8170
The market is under pressure when it is below the weekly cycle pivot centers at 8321 - 8509 - 8703. Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market downward trending momentum is strong enough to penetrate through the critical point at 8170.
Qindex
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZEGYpXE5B4
Nikkei-225 : Monthly Cycle Charts
GVI Forex john 15:14 GMT October 2, 2011
Five Day Trading Ranges
Reply
NEW Trading tool suggested by FF member, for range trading. Pip trading range for major pairs.
9/30/2011
|
Daily Ranges
|
5 days
|
USDJPY
|
USDCAD
|
AUDUSD
|
NZDUSD
|
|
9/26/2011
|
55
|
129
|
226
|
173
|
|
9/27/2011
|
60
|
141
|
213
|
195
|
|
9/28/2011
|
56
|
141
|
180
|
146
|
|
9/29/2011
|
64
|
148
|
181
|
185
|
|
9/30/2011
|
72
|
132
|
142
|
100
|
|
5-day avg
|
64
|
136
|
191
|
162
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5 days
|
EURUSD
|
EURJPY
|
EURCHF
|
EURGBP
|
|
9/26/2011
|
188
|
181
|
98
|
95
|
|
9/27/2011
|
191
|
208
|
60
|
44
|
|
9/28/2011
|
150
|
100
|
49
|
69
|
|
9/29/2011
|
160
|
159
|
38
|
52
|
|
9/30/2011
|
210
|
139
|
80
|
133
|
|
5-day avg
|
175
|
156
|
70
|
79
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5 days
|
USDCHF
|
GBPUSD
|
GBPJPY
|
CHFJPY
|
GBPCHF
|
9/26/2011
|
139
|
139
|
112
|
131
|
129
|
9/27/2011
|
134
|
180
|
190
|
160
|
76
|
9/28/2011
|
77
|
105
|
124
|
83
|
99
|
9/29/2011
|
105
|
174
|
203
|
131
|
78
|
9/30/2011
|
122
|
135
|
166
|
80
|
167
|
5-day avg
|
111
|
147
|
161
|
115
|
108
|
Santorini VA 15:11 GMT October 2, 2011
GREECE
Reply
Die Welt, German newspaper estimates that Germany has to pay to Greece around 115 billion euros for war compensation. Above this has also to pay for the compulsory loan occupied German forces took from Greek Govt plus the value of Gold stolen from national treasury. Here we go, give us the money and we hv no problem anymore.
Ind! Rafe... 14:42 GMT October 2, 2011
EURUSD Levels.
Reply
ER 1.3809 1.3242
R 1.3669 1.3709
S 1.3342 1.3382
Trend DOWN
NY 12:40 GMT October 2, 2011
China Delays 80% of Railway Construction: Report
Buy OTHER
Entry: Target: Stop:
The above article is a mis translation of the original chinese article:
http://www.21cbh.com/HTML/2011-10-1/3NMDY5XzM2OTc3NA.html
In the original chinese article,contrary to the above, the chinese government has not suspended new railway project approvals. There is a indeed slow down of rail projects unilaterally by the individual rail contractors but its not to do with safety but the ongoing credit tightening by the banks(that affect every chinese industry) and the railway ministry is negotiating with the banks for fresh funds.
The rail minstry of china can't have instructed suspension of new rail projects because the investigation of the wenzhou train crash is still on going.
Hong Kong Qindex 11:43 GMT October 2, 2011
Hang Seng Index : Critical Point 16288
Reply
Sell
Entry: Target: Stop:
Hang Seng Index (17592) : Critical Point 16288
The bias is on the downside when the market is below 18460. Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market is trading below the weekly cycle pivot center at 17049 - 17428 - 17751. The odds are good that the market will tackle the supporting barrier at 16288 // 16426.
Qindex.com
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZEGYpXE5B4
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZEGYpXE5B4
Hang Seng Index : Monthly Cycle Charts
Hong Kong Qindex 08:39 GMT October 2, 2011
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.3249
Reply
Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.3249
The odds are good that the market will tackle the critical point at 1.3249. As shown in the series of "Monthly Cycle Reference / Normal Lower Limits" (at the lower part of the webpage), the current expected trading range is 1.3045 - 1.3474.
Qindex.com
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZEGYpXE5B4
EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts
Syd 07:41 GMT October 2, 2011
China vows to keep interest rates tight
Reply
China will keep monetary conditions tight in its effort to rein in stubborn inflation, the country's central bank said on Friday, adding that containing domestic price pressures remains its priority.
Reuters
Syd 07:19 GMT October 2, 2011
Aust homes set for 50% crash - forecaster
Reply
The next global recession will make the GFC look like a picnic, with property prices to fall by almost half across Australia.
He says the crash in Australian property prices will be similar to what was seen in California, where values have dropped by about 40 per cent since the crisis began.
"Your whole country is like California," Mr Dent says.
In Sydney, the average house price is over nine times the average income, which is clearly unsustainable, Mr Dent argues.
this continues, it could lead to banks easing their lending standards, as was the case in the US before their property market crashed in 2008.
"I call it `the frog in water'," he says.
That backed up figures from RP Data and Rismark that showed home prices fell for a seventh consecutive month in July, and by 2.9 per cent in the 12 months to that month.
Dillon AL 04:46 GMT October 2, 2011
Videos
Weekly setup videos for the EUR/USD and GBP/USD
To access the videos Click here
HK RF@ 02:44 GMT October 2, 2011
They like to be sluts.
Reply
‘Slutwalk’ women march on New York after police tell them to ‘cover up’ to avoid rape.
Protesters dressed in their underwear have taken to the streets of New York today after it emerged the NYPD were warning women in Brooklyn to cover up in the face of sex attacks.
The latest ‘slutwalk’ protest comes a day after women in Park Slope were warned short skirts should not be worn and shorts that show too much leg have been deemed inappropriate.
On today’s march the protesters chanted ‘No means no – however we dress, wherever we go.’
http://investmentwatchblog.com/slutwalk-women-march-on-new-york-after-police-tell-them-to-cover-up-to-avoid-rape/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+Investmentwatch+%28InvestmentWatch%29
HK RF@ 01:56 GMT October 2, 2011
Very expensive S/L. But could be worse.
Reply
£54m divorce for Aga Khan...and he's got off lightly as it could have been £500m
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2044207/Aga-Khan-agrees-50m-divorce-settlement-wife-Inaara.html#ixzz1ZaKLe9c6
Conclusion: Money may make you rich and even happy, but not always make you smarter.
Better play it a playboy, less costly.
Syd 01:23 GMT October 2, 2011
At last: We get vote on Europe as MPs are forced to decide on referendum
Reply
A historic vote on growing demands for Britain to leave the European Union will be held in the Commons before Christmas.
MPs will debate whether the Government should give voters a chance to decide the issue once and for all in a referendum.
It will be the first time Parliament has held a major vote on seeking the public’s view since the 1975 referendum confirming the decision to join the Common Market.
link