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Forex Forum Archive for 02/1/2011

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Syd 23:59 GMT February 1, 2011
AUD/CAD Remains A Sell On Rebounds - BNP
Reply   
The AUD/CAD is still a sell on rebounds, says BNP in a strategy report. The house says the CAD should continue to outperform the commodity block given its strong links to the U.S. recovery, while the AUD should start to become vulnerable given slowing import demand from China. BNP says the AUD/CAD's recent break higher will present attractive levels for selling after the China Lunar New Year holidays. BNP says it continues to expect the AUD to come under pressure as tightening in China leads to a slowing of import demand. The house adds, China is undoubtedly concerned about policy being too easy, with the PBOC having clarified lending rate hikes will be used if seen as appropriate.

philadelphia caba 23:59 GMT February 1, 2011
sell aud/usd

got stopped out at 1.0120. usd/jpy long's s/l at 80.00 firm now.

to dr unken katt 23:44 GMT February 1, 2011
If you can't beat them...

yea , im watchin g/y which is up for short

kl fs 23:43 GMT February 1, 2011
Tech Talk

as mentioned before once 81.80 gone, we are in for a challenge of 79 before heading to 75 usdjpy

Syd 23:36 GMT February 1, 2011
Wall Street Warned About a New Kind of Jihad
Reply   
Wall Street firms received briefings from US security officials about a potential threat after the publication of the most recent issue of Inspire Magazine ran a cover story advocating jihadists target banks and other institutional wealth centers.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/41370683/

Syd 23:27 GMT February 1, 2011
IMF raises spectre of civil wars as global inequalities worsen
Reply   
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned that "dangerous" imbalances have emerged that threaten to derail global recovery and stoke tensions that may ultimately set off civil wars in deeply unequal countries.
In a veiled warning to China and other countries holding down their currencies for commercial advantage, the IMF chief said "exchange-rate adjustment should not be resisted". Nor should capital controls be imposed to stop the inflow of funds.
Mr Strauss-Kahn also hinted that parts of Asia are exceeding the safe speed limit for growth and needed to "tighten" further before inflation gets out of control. "There are risks of overheating, and even a hard landing," he said.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/globalbusiness/8296987/IMF-raises-spectre-of-civil-wars-as-global-inequalities-worsen.html

HK [email protected] 23:17 GMT February 1, 2011
Now he may have enough time
Reply   
Mubarak and family have now enough time to conceal much of their ill gotten wealth estimated at 20B$.

Same like Arafat the thief, whose wife sits well on the wealth he left her.

Byzantine democracies, nothing to do about it!!!

But the economy in Egypt will suffer from now on, until a stable situation will emerge.

As a result, expect factories to shut down, tourists to avoid Egypt and no more foreign investment coming in.

On top of all other Arabic countries may turn unstable too.

So the FX trend may go on at least for this week.

GL/GT

Gen dk 23:12 GMT February 1, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GVI Forex john 23:11 GMT February 1, 2011


WHAT'S THE BUZZ?
Entry: Target: Stop:

Wed: CN- Lunar New Year holidays. Europe: EZ- PPI. North America: US- Weekly Mortgage Stats, ADP Jobs, Wkly Energy.

  • Mubarak announces he will step down in September. Awaiting street reaction.

  • It is still unclear where events are headed in the broader region. 

  • EZ, CH, U.K., and U.S. PMI data out and strong. USD lower vs. Europe.

  • Chinese mfg PMI data remained relatively weak. Lunar Year starts Wednesday.

  • RBA kept policy steady and took a less hawkish future policy posture than expected.

  • U.S. sees ADP private jobs data Wednesday. Data saw a big January miss. 



London SMS 22:58 GMT February 1, 2011
If you can't beat them...

Took profit here. Is it just me or does anyone have the feeling that GBP is running out of steam?
-----------
tp @ 1.6140 for half. Moved sl to entry.
----------
Buy GBPUSD
Entry: 1.61 Target: 1.63 Stop: 1.6050

Lahore FM 22:39 GMT February 1, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Sell Crude
Entry: 92.42 Target: Stop: 92.42 for 1/2

02/01/2011 09:03:08 FM Lahore 9

Sell Crude
Entry: 92.42 Target: Stop: 92.60 for half.



--
sl to entry.88 looks possible now.

Syd 22:27 GMT February 1, 2011
Yasi, CATEGORY 5
Reply   
MORE LIFE THREATENING THAN ANY EXPERIENCED DURING RECENT GENERATIONS.
http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQ65002.shtml
http://www.bom.gov.au/products/national_radar_sat.loop.shtml

Israel dil 22:15 GMT February 1, 2011
Markets like risk, here is some more
Reply   
Buy WHAT'S THE BUZZ?
Entry: Target: Stop:


Feb 1 (Reuters) - Japan needs to urgently address its fiscal problems, International Monetary Fund Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn said on Tuesday. Strauss-Kahn, who was speaking at an event organized by the Singapore central bank, said he does not expect the problems in Egypt and Tunisia will have an impact globally beyond the oil markets.

GVI Forex Blog 22:04 GMT February 1, 2011 Reply   
The euro hit a 2-1/2-month high on Tuesday, driven above $1.38 by solid global manufacturing data, though analysts said risk appetite could fade if worries resurface about Europe's ability to manage its debt crisis.

FOREX NEWS - Euro gains vs dollar on data, renewed risk appetite

GVI Forex john 21:36 GMT February 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

GVI CHART POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Trading Resources...



GVI Forex john 21:30 GMT February 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

USD PIVOT POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Pivots	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD
Res 3	1.4031	82.73	0.9543	1.6347	1.0088	1.0375
Res 2	1.3934	82.43	0.9499	1.6252	1.0050	1.0263
Res 1	1.3882	81.91	0.9425	1.6201	0.9976	1.0188

Pivot	1.3785	81.61	0.9381	1.6106	0.9938	1.0076

Sup 1	1.3733	81.09	0.9307	1.6055	0.9864	1.0001
Sup 2	1.3636	80.79	0.9263	1.5960	0.9826	0.9889
Sup 3	1.3584	80.27	0.9189	1.5909	0.9752	0.9814

GVI Forex john 21:28 GMT February 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

USD MOVING AVERAGES
Entry: Target: Stop:

Latest	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD
Last	1.3831	81.38	0.9350	1.6150	0.9902	1.0113
High	1.3836	82.14	0.9456	1.6157	1.0012	1.0151
Low	1.3687	81.32	0.9338	1.6011	0.9900	0.9964
Change	0.0138	-0.65	-0.0083	0.0134	-0.0113	0.0143

MVA	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD
5 day	1.3711	82.14	0.9418	1.5971	0.9963	0.9980
10 day	1.3643	82.31	0.9481	1.5956	0.9961	0.9960
20 day	1.3398	82.63	0.9572	1.5829	0.9936	0.9952
50 day	1.3296	82.95	0.9642	1.5686	1.0021	0.9938
100 day	1.3508	82.77	0.9713	1.5785	1.0101	0.9868
200 day	1.3081	85.64	1.0252	1.5461	1.0249	0.9340

TREND	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD
BIAS	Up	Down	Down	Up	Up	Up

Syd 21:16 GMT February 1, 2011
'We Are On Every Street'
Reply   
What the Future May Hold for Egypt's Muslim Brotherhood
The Muslim Brotherhood has been Egypt's largest opposition group for years. Now, with the regime of President Hosni Mubarak wobbling, the organization could find its way into power -- and is doing its best to look legitimate.

http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,742940,00.html#ref=nlint

Israel dil 21:13 GMT February 1, 2011
Egypt 01-FEB-2011

in short, it will be very bloody in Egypt the coming times, many people who oppose the agenda of MUBARAK and SULEIMAN will lose their lives. the only question, will we know about it or not.

very tough guy PRESIDENT MUBARAK.

London SMS 21:08 GMT February 1, 2011
What's the buzz?

The only part of Africa not currently mortgaged to China is North Africa. China has ruthlessly supressed any form of religious fundementalism and could even teach Russia a lesson or two I don't doubt. But I am sure they are viewing all this and salivating over the opportunties that will arise from the power vacuum across the entire lattice of N.Africa and now the M.E.. These revolts have been initiated by the educated middle classes not 'the great unwashed'. All it took was organised and continuous demonstrations and internet connection for the first week. Simples.
The royal houses must be preparing for the worst and could well see it manifested - time to put on the bicycle clips chaps.

Israel dil 21:05 GMT February 1, 2011
Egypt 01-FEB-2011

must read: WILL NOT RUN FOR PRESIDENCY

Israel dil 21:04 GMT February 1, 2011
Egypt 01-FEB-2011

MUBARAK shown USA how business is really done in the ME.

SEPTEMBER 2011 will bring elections to Egypt, until then is MUBARAK and only MUBARAK. then MUBARAK will run for presidency.

until the elections happen, MUBARAK gang has enough time that only the people they want will be alive to run for presidency.

GVI Forex john 21:00 GMT February 1, 2011
What's the buzz?

Mubarak.. Smooth transfer of power...to serve remainder of term...widen number of eligible candidates...change Presidential terms...

HK [email protected] 19:52 GMT February 1, 2011
GBP/USD CONSERVATIVE View
Reply   
It is more probable to see GBP Ret. from about 1.6250, but per my suggestion(no need to post again) a breach of that level means the ~1.64 target.

1.64 was in the charts long ago target, and now finer tuning suggest it again as possible.

Later fine tuning(a big ???) may suggests 1.6600(about) too.

USDX on daily, may not be supported above Nov/10/2010 at 75.60 and that level roughly corresponds to GBP at 1.6400.
Looks too simple?

Hillegom Purk 19:50 GMT February 1, 2011
Ozmond

Closed the 15 at 17. sure i will get beter entries tomorrow.

GVI Forex john 19:46 GMT February 1, 2011


Mubarak Statement Shortly...

to dr unken katt 19:36 GMT February 1, 2011
.euro

g/y
H&S , doji candle , perfect short scenario

nyc s 19:32 GMT February 1, 2011
.euro

Katt what currency is that last chart?

to dr unken katt 19:21 GMT February 1, 2011
.euro



/

GVI Forex Blog 19:17 GMT February 1, 2011 Reply   
AUD/USD and NZD/USD outlook next 24 hours: AUD/USD and NZD/USD outlook next 24 hours: AUD's break above 1.0000 is significant, that level now switching to support for the next day at least. The 1.0250 area is a major obstacle above. If NZD sustains its channel break today, the new trading range will be 0.7800-0.8000.

Forex - Morning Report (Westpac)

to dr unken katt 19:16 GMT February 1, 2011
.euro



n

Israel dil 19:15 GMT February 1, 2011
What's the buzz?

sure JP, he must discovered that trading oil pays better than US embassy staff (ok, the ambassador) at the UN :-)

GVI Forex Blog 19:13 GMT February 1, 2011 Reply   
EUR and GBP test key resistance Are Mideast tensions cooling? Many U.K. data released SNB's Jordan verbally intervenes again

Forex Market Commentary and Analysis (1 February 2011)

Mtl JP 19:12 GMT February 1, 2011
What's the buzz?

dil and then I ll be indebted to neocon Bolton for $120++/bbl crude

Israel dil 19:06 GMT February 1, 2011
What's the buzz?

Bolton: If Mubarak falls in Egypt, Israel should bomb Iran

http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2011/02/bolton-israel-bomb-iran-mubarak-falls/

to dr unken katt 19:01 GMT February 1, 2011
.euro
Reply   


90% that euro is done

R2 coincides with the red resist line

8hr studies ready to turn around , macd and stochs
at max

Hillegom Purk 19:00 GMT February 1, 2011
Ozmond

Closed out the 35 at 24. Will wait for higher prices tomorrow.
if 10115 prints i will close.

Israel dil 18:53 GMT February 1, 2011
What's the buzz?

John, in Egypt there is factory of Nissan and Toyota will start manufacturing in 2012 too. due the relative stability during the last 30 years money starts to flow into Egypt. if they have economical death wish, then they go ahead with the riots and so on. I think MB will take the time to learn how it works and then they will take Egypt really down.

Richland QC Mailman 18:49 GMT February 1, 2011
What's the buzz?

Following political chaos in Egypt and brewing political tensions now in Jordan, shouldn't the market be risk averse and going to safe traditional havens like the USD, the swissie and gold? Question: Why is the reverse happening?

----------------------------------------------------------

SINGAPORE — The world economy has begun improving but is beset by problems such as high unemployment and rising prices which could fuel crippling trade protectionism and violent social unrest, the head of the International Monetary Fund warned on Tuesday.

"The pre-crisis pattern of global imbalances is re-emerging," Dominique Strauss-Kahn said in a speech in Singapore.

"Growth in economies with large external deficits, like the US, is still being driven by domestic demand. And growth in economies with large external surpluses, like China and Germany,
is still being powered by exports," he said.

"As tensions between countries increase, we could see rising protectionism — of trade and of finance. And as tensions within countries increase, we could see rising social and political
instability within nations — even war."

GVI Forex john 18:48 GMT February 1, 2011
What's the buzz?

- So far no reaction to the headline.
It may be because:
1) the markets do not trust the news source.
2) they are still worried about what comes next.
3) its already priced in.
4) a combination of the above.

Any thoughts?

Israel dil 18:47 GMT February 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

with the market's state of mind today, the market may use "positive" news out Egypt for remarkable rally.

Mtl JP 18:47 GMT February 1, 2011
What's the buzz?

john IF Egypt-investing players start to return to Egypt what will they be selling: Gold, Euro and/or US t-bills ?

GVI Forex john 18:41 GMT February 1, 2011
What's the buzz?

- Seems to us that EURUSD could gain on hopes of a peaceful resolution of the Egyptian political crisis?

GVI Forex john 18:33 GMT February 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

AL ARABIYA: MUBARAK WILL NOT RUN FOR PRESIDENT AGAIN

GVI Forex Jay 18:33 GMT February 1, 2011
Tech Talk

Purk, rather than looking to outguess the market, I prefer to look at levels and indicators others are watching, which makes it easier to anticipate a reaction if a level holds or is broken. Like today when 1.3786 was firmly taken out.

GVI Forex Jay 18:30 GMT February 1, 2011
Tech Talk

1.3950= 76.4% of 1.4282-1.2875

1.38 sets the tone going forwards. 1.40 is next pivotal big figure.

Hillegom Purk 18:24 GMT February 1, 2011
Tech Talk

I hate tech talk, what does it mean any road?

Hillegom Purk 18:22 GMT February 1, 2011
Tech Talk

Yes, e/u: end of the days range might be 13863 or 13894.
Lets see what it is going to be. If Richard left, than 13835 is the high and we will see the first two tomorrow.
On the other hand i have a little gap below the 137-13644...

ldn ct 18:19 GMT February 1, 2011
Tech Talk

Any eurusd and usdjpy targets?

Hillegom Purk 18:18 GMT February 1, 2011
EUR/USD day trading

Ah oops, yes the soccer, err well err, BECAUSE WE S*UCK?
We always forget that a game is 90 minutes Dil.
I do not need cheers for my trading, it just is what it is, looking for pips.

Israel dil 18:14 GMT February 1, 2011
EUR/USD day trading

Purk, if Dutch people are winners like you then how is it possible you never been world champions in soccer?

about the trading, you get full respect, well done.

GVI Forex Jay 18:09 GMT February 1, 2011
Tech Talk

R2 = 1.3836 (high so far 1.3835)

FX Chart Points

Gen dk 18:06 GMT February 1, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

London SMS 18:05 GMT February 1, 2011
Bght some more

Sold 1/4 @ 1342. Left order to sell another 1/4 @ 1347.
Sold 1/4 silver @ 28.50. Left order to sell another 1/4 @ 28.80
-----------
Buy Gold
Entry: 1328 Target: 1400 Stop: 1305

Bght more gold to add to my long @ 1337. Also bght silver at $28 to add to my long @ 28.25. I may be lucky with copper breaking through 450!

London SMS 18:01 GMT February 1, 2011
If you can't beat them...

tp @ 1.6140 for half. Moved sl to entry.
----------
Buy GBPUSD
Entry: 1.61 Target: 1.63 Stop: 1.6050

nyc bankall 17:53 GMT February 1, 2011
eur/$ & aud/$


Entry: 1.3785 Target: 1.3868 Stop: 1.3725

eur/$: short 1.3705 stop loss 1.3795 hit.
Currently long 1.3785 stop 1.3725 first target 1.3868 then 1.3909 ... will look to take partial profits around the 1st target. Possible contra 1.3909/40.

Hillegom Purk 17:52 GMT February 1, 2011
EUR/USD day trading

wont happen dil, it is a day like any other. e/u will ralley and i will short, and cut, and short and cut and take pips.
Yawn.....

Israel dil 17:49 GMT February 1, 2011
EUR/USD day trading

Purk, maybe better stop posting here about being short as otherwise we may find EUR/USD @ 1.43 still today :-)

Hillegom Purk 17:42 GMT February 1, 2011
EUR/USD day trading


Entry: short e/u Target: Stop:

Short e/u at 13830. Prepaired to add at 13840/50/60/70
maybe one at 80....

Ind! Rafe... 17:41 GMT February 1, 2011
EUR/USD day trading

EURUSD : - On the way to 13862 as mentioned previously but this may not be the highest high yet, as it may go higher but will post more details later on in the week.

gl gt

Israel dil 17:39 GMT February 1, 2011
EUR/USD day trading

I was wrong about eur/usd

Israel dil 17:38 GMT February 1, 2011
Egypt 01-FEB-2011

I was wrong

Gen dk 17:37 GMT February 1, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Israel dil 17:34 GMT February 1, 2011
Egypt 01-FEB-2011

reports in Israeli media that riots in Syria started.

Israel dil 17:31 GMT February 1, 2011
EUR/USD day trading

1.3790 area is the targeted exit for some, if it's profit without target then it's also good :-)

Gen dk 17:26 GMT February 1, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Minneapolis DRS2 17:26 GMT February 1, 2011
EUR/USD day trading

Be careful about shorting EUR/USD right now. It's gone into a parabolic move, and could shoot up quite a bit more.

Of course, if you can short at the top end of the parabola...

Lahore FM 17:22 GMT February 1, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

SMS gbpjpy will turn long too during later part of this month...not sooner i guess.some wideways trading i guess.

London SMS 17:20 GMT February 1, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

I think it may well prove to be deal of the month FM! I'm small long cable but will run it. Moved stop up to entry anyway. In this market I don't want to be long dollars and I want to short GBP. The € seems bid to old boots so go with the flow until the next EZ disaster. What is your view on GBP Yen please? tia and gl/gt.

Israel dil 17:17 GMT February 1, 2011
EUR/USD day trading

that makes shorts with 1.381x the best deal of day, if I am not wrong about the 1.3830 :-)

Sh itt 17:14 GMT February 1, 2011
jpy

And QE4,5,6,7,8....

Israel dil 17:13 GMT February 1, 2011
EUR/USD day trading

no change in view, 1.3830 will not happen today :-)

Lahore FM 17:00 GMT February 1, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Buy EURGBP
Entry: 0.8557 Target: 0.8750/0.8900 Stop: 0.8490

Trade Of The Month

long now.

dc CB 16:42 GMT February 1, 2011
Small Potatoes



Nightmare in Liberty St. Part 4

GVI Forex Blog 16:41 GMT February 1, 2011 Reply   
Another round of relatively strong US earnings reports and the robust January ISM manufacturing data are sending US equities higher. The S&P has climbed back above 1300 while copper futures have hit fresh all time highs above $4.50.

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update

dc CB 16:37 GMT February 1, 2011
Small Potatoes
Reply   
Permanent Open Market Operations: The Fed purchased $1.74 bln of 2013-2040 TIPS through Permanent Open Market Operations as dealers looked to put back $4.04 bln.

Tomorrow's POMO takes place in 2021-2027 maturities with the Fed looking to purchase $1.5-$2.5 bln worth.

GVI Forex john 16:14 GMT February 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

UPDATED Global-View IMM (CME) Futures Swap Points. G-V Forex Spot to Futures Calculator (and back).

to dr unken katt 16:12 GMT February 1, 2011
Ozmond



you count on this line?

to dr unken katt 16:09 GMT February 1, 2011
Ozmond

sooner the ocean runs out of shrimp

tokyo rana 16:07 GMT February 1, 2011
jpy

look like q3 coming next...

tokyo rana 16:04 GMT February 1, 2011
jpy

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 1.023pending Target: open Stop: later

leaving some orders....happy trade,

Amsterdam purk 15:59 GMT February 1, 2011
Ozmond
Reply   
Short aud/usd at 10115 and adding every 20
1/2/4/6 ready.

GVI Forex john 15:57 GMT February 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

CALENDAR
Entry: Target: Stop:

February 1 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, February 2:

  • Far East: CN- Week-long Lunar New Year holiday begins.
  • Europe: EZ- PPI.
  • North America: US- Weekly Mortgage Statistics, ADP Jobs, Weekly Energy Statistics.
Updated: Trading Events Calendar

nyc ws 15:55 GMT February 1, 2011
eur

If you were bullish on the dollar you couldn't ask for anything more than the PMI data the past two days and look where it is trading.

sh hl 15:47 GMT February 1, 2011
eur
Reply   
more than 400 mio euro to go at 1.3780, this offer was there since last week.

Israel dil 15:47 GMT February 1, 2011
EUR/USD day trading
Reply   

Entry: Target: Stop: 1.3830

using 1.3830 as a price that will not happen today. trading the short side for the rest of today. let's see

tokyo rana 15:44 GMT February 1, 2011
jpy
Reply   
Buy AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

long from 0.988 another closed @ 1.01 220pips plus.....happy day,

London SMS 15:40 GMT February 1, 2011
Bght some more
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1328 Target: 1400 Stop: 1305

Bght more gold to add to my long @ 1328. Also bght silver at $28 to add to my long @ 28.25. I may be lucky with copper breaking through 450!

dc CB 15:39 GMT February 1, 2011
What's the buzz?

FWIW
Rumors swirling that Mubarak to leave immediately
Tue, Feb 01 2011, 15:33 GMT - Forex Live
By: Jamie Coleman

Not sure if there is any validity to the rumor, but if true...I would be very carefully holding "risk"... There is no way to convince me that an autocracy can transition to democracy peacefully in a region where democracy is rare. Should it come to pass, I would head to the sidelines and let the dust settle...

to dr unken katt 15:20 GMT February 1, 2011
What's the buzz?

cable didnt blink

dc CB 15:20 GMT February 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support



Prices....ISM

Israel dil 15:19 GMT February 1, 2011
What's the buzz?

crash it when most wait it will rise.

to dr unken katt 15:17 GMT February 1, 2011
What's the buzz?

whats the real force behind the euro sentiment?

Saar KaL 15:14 GMT February 1, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level

AUDJPY short
TGT < 81.6

GVI Forex john 15:09 GMT February 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support



WHAT'S THE BUZZ?
Entry: Target: Stop:

Strong headline PMI...

Israel dil 15:06 GMT February 1, 2011
What's the buzz?

interesting ISM, US FED may increase rates earlier than the ECB.

GVI Forex john 15:00 GMT February 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

-- ALERT --


January U.S. MFG PMI
60.8 vs. 57.7 est. 58.5 previous
Dec Construction Spending
-2.5% vs. 0.1% est. 0.4% previous




TTN: Special Offer- News on Your Screen

GVI Forex Blog 14:37 GMT February 1, 2011 Reply   

Sentiment Shift to Risk Pressuring Dollar

lkwd jj 14:35 GMT February 1, 2011
Quote of the day

whos that from ?

Israel dil 14:10 GMT February 1, 2011
DJI & 12'000 line
Reply   
if DOW settles above the 12K then USD will keep the down trend.

if DOW get rejected from the 12K then we have monthly double tops in stocks and currencies too.

???

GVI Forex john 14:09 GMT February 1, 2011
What's the buzz?

- As usual, watching EUR crosses today. At the moment the EUR is mostly weaker, even though the EURUSD is up. Slight warning sign on the EUR even though the USD is broadly weaker.

GVI Forex Blog 14:03 GMT February 1, 2011 Reply   
Euro has found its sweet spot…Egypt looks like a wrap (with a little imagination), CDS for periphery crew is down sharply (see attached file), more reports EFSF will be expanded to include EZ bond purchases (Brady option, debt maturity extension still in press for Greece solution), ECB is likely to beat the inflation drum more Thursday and nearly every piece of German data unequivocally strong

Forex - EUR Longs All Good (FXA)

Saar KaL 13:51 GMT February 1, 2011
Egypt 01-FEB-2011

Politicians are ISO 2000
QA...Useless things
ISO says
1)see how you do things
2) Write it down
3) Follow what ever you wrote down

My Q is;
What if you been doing wrong all the time?...LOL

Politicians come to office ( Like ISO DUDE to your company)
lets see...what is happening?
Lets write it down....and Keep doing it

these guys have no Human Concept, no Right Concept...
we need visionary people
as if right should be worked for
Free Will...is by birth...not by these guys

Saar KaL 13:43 GMT February 1, 2011
Egypt 01-FEB-2011

dil/
as much as try to give politicians some credit, Integrity or a trace of worth....been 12 years
the worst people on earth are the politicians
since the days of ferrous and the Maya Dudes.
Same ding dong forver

dc CB 13:40 GMT February 1, 2011
Quote of the day
Reply   
"We believe it is important for investors to remember that USD is not the world’s reserve currency because of the power of the dollar or strength of the US economy. It is the world’s reserve currency because most every commodity in the world is priced in dollars."

Lahore FM 13:31 GMT February 1, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Buy USDCHF
Entry: 0.9425 Target: Stop: none now but will place later

long now.

dc CB 13:29 GMT February 1, 2011
Yields
Reply   


problem for Ben

Israel dil 13:28 GMT February 1, 2011
Egypt 01-FEB-2011


David Lubin of Citigroup put the situation in Egypt into words, I think he did it very well: "as outcome from the current situation, the chances for bad outcome to happen is much higher than the chance for good outcome to happen"

Israel dil 13:16 GMT February 1, 2011
Egypt 01-FEB-2011

AMMAN, Jordan (AP) — Jordan's Royal Palace says the king has sacked his government in the wake of street protests and has asked an ex-army general to form a new Cabinet.

King Abdullah's move comes after thousands of Jordanians took to the streets — inspired by the regime ouster in Tunisia and the turmoil in Egypt — and called for the resignation of Prime Minister Samir Rifai who is blamed for a rise in fuel and food prices and slowed political reforms.

The Royal Palace says Rifai's Cabinet resigned on Tuesday.

Abdullah also nominated Marouf al-Bakhit as his prime minister-designate. No other details were immediately available.

GVI Forex Jay 13:07 GMT February 1, 2011
US weakened superpower Image

RF, as noted yesterday, please take political comments to the Political Forum unless it impacts the fx market.

HK [email protected] 13:06 GMT February 1, 2011
US weakened superpower Image
Reply   
The behavior of Obama and his administration in the matter of the Egypt-revolution, and the double backlash Mubarak-Netanyahoo, has shown that the US is loosing it's influence in the zone.

Generally Obama weakens the US in the eyes of the world and that means USD will keep on loosing not only in value, but in status too.

HK [email protected] 12:51 GMT February 1, 2011
Egypt 01-FEB-2011

HOT fellows in Egypt.

No internet >>>no Porno.

This revolution is really contradictory and non-productive to the underlying spirit of the male Internet users :}

Israel dil 12:47 GMT February 1, 2011
Egypt 01-FEB-2011




interesting chart from Egypt :-)

Saar KaL 12:45 GMT February 1, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level

Long till US Open still In For Cable

1.6050 area

IMO The High for today
is around 1.6189 to 1.6212
for next days Low around 1.5900

GVI Forex john 12:36 GMT February 1, 2011


WHAT'S THE BUZZ?
Entry: Target: Stop:

CALENDAR: North America: US- Manufacturing PMI, Construction Spending, API Energy

  • Lots to focus on today with EZ, CH and U.K. PMI data out and strong. USD lower vs. Europe.

  • U.S. manufacturing PMI data due later today. . 

  • Egyptian politics still unsettled. Be wary of the next headline. Million man march today. Events coming to a head?

  • It is still unclear where events are headed in the broader region. 

  • Political events often don't have the trading staying power of economic trends.

  • Chinese mfg PMI data remained relatively weak. 

  • RBA kept policy steady and took a less hawkish future policy posture than expected. 



Saar KaL 12:23 GMT February 1, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level

DJI short
Order TGT
11,992.0724 11,840.1801
12,001.2332 11,824.3142
12,010.3941 11,808.4484
12,019.5550 11,792.5825
Next buying to hold for a week >12,100

=============
SP 500

Short today


1,299.7427 1,280.9324
1,300.9773 1,278.9157
1,302.2119 1,276.8991
1,303.4465 1,274.8825



Buying Next day <1,277
for all week Tagt >1315

====
Gold selling till < 1,310

Major North till 1,420+

London SMS 12:21 GMT February 1, 2011
If you can't beat them...
Reply   
Buy GBPUSD
Entry: 1.61 Target: 1.63 Stop: 1.6050

Seems cable hs a way to go here. Tried shorting it all last week albeit withtight stops and got burnt. Trend is a friend etc so here's hoping. Onl6y small long. @ 1.61

HK [email protected] 12:19 GMT February 1, 2011
No one dares short gold now?
Reply   
Very interesting.

I suspect the next support is 1250, something similar was suggested by BC sometime ago.

Now it is clear: Middle east names didn't buy gold.

So it is worth just watching for buying opportunity in the next days(now flat)

London ex 12:10 GMT February 1, 2011
eurusd

Aside from intra-day swings (short-term overbought/oversold), it is hard to step in front of this EURUSD uptrend. Its apparent to me that for whatever reason a shortage of EUR. How long it lasts? Who knows? Egypt is just a temporary bump in the road providing buying opportunities.

GVI Forex Jay 12:10 GMT February 1, 2011
Tech Talk

12:00 GMT (Global-View.com) February 1 - I wrote this late yesterday on GVI Forex and it turned out to be a good prelude to today's moves: I was reading a RTRS recap (in our blog) and seems talk is still for eur/usd heading for 1.40. I have an open mind given the global political clouds but what seems clear is market is in a merry-go-round looking for anything but the dollar. As John points out, only euro negatives or event driven safe haven flows seem to boost the dollar, not US factors (e.g. data). Even the surge in the Chi PMI didn't see usd/jpy move up.

The dollar has fallen across-the-board today as pairs take turns in the lead. While the eur/usd 1.37 printed for the 6th day in a row it extended its high (1.3774) to expose key resistance at 1.3786 (Nov 22 high). Should this level be firmly broken, then only pivotal big figures (1.38, 1.40 and 1.42) stand in the way of major resistance at 1.4282. (Nov 4 high). Thus, 1.3786-1.3800 is the key area today and back below yesterday's 1.3759 high is needed to slow the risk but only sub-1.37 would shift the tone.

HK [email protected] 12:02 GMT February 1, 2011
Egypt 01-FEB-2011

Double slap to the face of Obama:
Netanyahoo and Mubarak made one hand against the US president.

kl fs 12:02 GMT February 1, 2011
DX to 76
Reply   
76 is coming next for DX this week and that is for a minimum!
usd is slaughtered across the board, even by anemic aud lately

Israel dil 11:49 GMT February 1, 2011
Egypt 01-FEB-2011

that scenario is what most the Western world wishes. but on the other hand some powers wishing to turn the largest Arab nation into Islamic regime.

HK [email protected] 11:45 GMT February 1, 2011
Egypt 01-FEB-2011

Israel allowed 800 Egyptian elite commandos into Sinai.
+Food shortage in the cities.

This revolution is soon over, where the the people will get some peanuts and favors from Mubarak party.

Then he will retire.

Israel dil 11:44 GMT February 1, 2011
Egypt 01-FEB-2011

GB, i do not think that the market changed it's agenda because the riots in Egypt. someone ran EURO shorts underwater and he did a great job. i think so

Israel dil 11:42 GMT February 1, 2011
Chinese Troops in Korea Make for Perplexing Situation
Reply   

Chinese armored vehicles can be used to suppress riots

is that real or someones imagination works extra hours?

London GB 11:39 GMT February 1, 2011
Egypt 01-FEB-2011

There have been repoorts of Mid East names buying euros the past few days and maybe the euro is viewed as a safe haven place to park funds from this region rather than the dollar?

Israel dil 11:37 GMT February 1, 2011
Egypt 01-FEB-2011
Reply   
ELBARADEI talking the way that problems get much bigger and not solved. this story going to last for sometime and all attention taken away from food (the issue) to democracy.

HK [email protected] 11:30 GMT February 1, 2011
Gold Goes lousy
Reply   
Just forgot to add, that it may contribute to the lousy behavior of gold.

GVI Forex Blog 11:28 GMT February 1, 2011 Reply   
The euro rallied to its highest against the dollar in more than two months on Tuesday, boosted by signs that increasing inflation pressures will prompt a much faster rise in euro zone than in U.S. interest rates.

FOREX NEWS - Euro hits 2-mth high vs dollar on rate view

HK [email protected] 11:24 GMT February 1, 2011
GOLD IS A SAFE HAVEN ALL TIME YOUR SAFETY DEPOSIT BOX IS SAFE
Reply   
SO when the Arabic states are not too safe anymore to keep the glittering heavy and bulky stuff???

If you are a wealthy Arab holding much physical gold, and would like to get your money to safer grounds(to the UK of course), then you sell it and convert it to cash and T/T it out.

Still keeping in my backhead:
1)
HK [email protected] 11:43 GMT January 18, 2011 
gBp/UsD: Reply   
GBP/USD likely to enter [1.6200,1.6300] range, a break above 1.6320, will need to compute a new upward target.
2)
HK [email protected] 09:29 GMT January 20, 2011 
GBP/USD: Reply   
My expectation for GBP/USD for the next few days is a challenge of about 1.6450.Target




tallinn viies 11:10 GMT February 1, 2011
eurusd
Reply   
Short day eur rates dropping as ECB MRO adds 47 bio eur to the system.

EUR shortrates found new levels - 1M eonia trading 0,785%-0,795% - 7 bp down from this morning.

HK [email protected] 11:08 GMT February 1, 2011
Maybe yes after all
Reply   
HK [email protected] 05:40 GMT February 1, 2011
GBP/USD likely heading to [1.6250,1.6300]: Reply

GVI Forex Blog 11:05 GMT February 1, 2011 Reply   
The USD was softer across the board as February trading commenced. Stronger PMI data reinforced the supportive euro tone in the session aided by Middle East and Far East names buying of euros.

TradeTheNews.com European Market Update: European PMI Manufacturing exceeds expectations; Risk On sentiment prevails!!!

philadelphia caba 10:51 GMT February 1, 2011
sell aud/usd

good morning, another big winter storm is heading our way...already tired of cold..anyway,
have 2 more entries on aud/usd short at 1.0040 and 1.0076, no stop till ny session. also aded usd/jpy long at 81.59 with previously stated s/l below 80.

London SMS 10:35 GMT February 1, 2011
Have we seen the bottom of gold?
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1337 Target: Stop:

Over the past few days Asia has consistently left us with a higher price than we left them with. It also seems we're getting higher lows and highs. Anyone have any thoughts. For the record I've already gone long @ 1337> tia and gl/gt

Saar KaL 10:34 GMT February 1, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level

EURUSD Till US Open

TGT ORDER
1.3806 1.3724
1.3813 1.3718
1.3820 1.3712
1.3827 1.3706

cable Longs at 1.6048
tgt new high

Gen dk 10:31 GMT February 1, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Saar KaL 10:22 GMT February 1, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level

Doing shorts AUDJPY
Order TGT
82.3596 81.8328
82.3961 81.7940
82.4326 81.7552
82.4691 81.7163

prague mark 10:14 GMT February 1, 2011
Sell EURUSD

Israel dil, its better to FIX 1.37777 so it will be 1000 pips from
Zeus FIX 1.27777...

GVI Forex Blog 10:12 GMT February 1, 2011 Reply   
11:00 GMT (Global-View.com) February 1- The first business day of the month is usually very active for data flows with the manufacturing PMI data from a number of countries for the previous

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- Egypt and PMIs

Israel dil 10:09 GMT February 1, 2011
Sell EURUSD

anything wrong with +/- 1.3775 as monthly high?

GVI Forex john 10:00 GMT February 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

ALERT
Entry: Target: Stop:

-- ALERT --

December EZ Unemployment
10.0% vs. 10.1% est. 10.0%r previous




TTN: Special Offer- News on Your Screen

Mumbai Pips 09:56 GMT February 1, 2011
Sell EURUSD
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3750 Target: 1.3670 Stop: 1.3780

EURUSD again testing the recent highs. EUR rates - USD rates spread is stable now. So, expect EURUSD to sell off against the recent highs.

Dubai SAS 09:56 GMT February 1, 2011
Buy USD

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 1.0060 Target: Open Stop: 1.0110

Sold ...

Dubai SAS 09:55 GMT February 1, 2011
Buy USD

Dubai SAS 13:41 GMT January 31, 2011
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3724 Target: Open Stop: 1.3750

Sold with a tight stop !

Stopped and resold @ 1.3752 .. stop 1.3805

Fukuoka rana 09:37 GMT February 1, 2011
jpy
Reply   
Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.6135 avg now 1.61 Target: open Stop: later

sold...........happy trade,

Saar KaL 09:36 GMT February 1, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level

Longing USDJPY

TGT Order
81.7579 81.3603
81.7838 81.3248
81.8096 81.2894
81.8354 81.2539
I think wants 82.2+ Next day

GVI Forex john 09:33 GMT February 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support



U.K. Mfg PMI strong and much more robust than expected...

Saar KaL 09:29 GMT February 1, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Thanks FM
I am shorting oil at
Order TGT
92.4731 91.0696
92.6431 90.9491
92.8130 90.8286
92.9830 90.7081

NZDUSD Shorts till US Open
0.7773 0.7726
0.7777 0.7722
0.7781 0.7718
0.7784 0.7714

GVI Forex john 09:28 GMT February 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

ALERT
Entry: Target: Stop:

-- ALERT --

January GB MFG PMI
62.0 vs. 57.9 est. 58.3 previous




TTN: Special Offer- News on Your Screen

GVI Forex john 09:18 GMT February 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support



Robust (above 60) Swiss PMI continues...

Lahore FM 09:17 GMT February 1, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Kal yes 88's possible.it has happened like that some days back too when i had a short from current highs.

let us see.there is minimal risk in what i hold now.

GVI Forex john 09:14 GMT February 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support



ECONOMIC DATA CHART
Entry: Target: Stop:

Strong EZ Mfg revised higher...

Saar KaL 09:12 GMT February 1, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

FM
You Got 88 as Target in 24 hrs?
Thanks

GVI Forex john 09:10 GMT February 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support



ECONOMIC DATA CHART
Entry: Target: Stop:

Earlier: Latest Chinese mfg PMI continues to slow...

Lahore FM 09:03 GMT February 1, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Sell Crude
Entry: 92.42 Target: Stop: 92.60 for half.

01/31/2011 19:16:45 FM Lahore 10

Sell Crude
Entry: 92.42* Target: Stop: 93.25*
sorry gentlemen i was looking at chart more clsoely while writing the post. sold clh1 at 92.42 with sl at 93.25.small size.
--
closed half of the small short now at 91.69.lowered sl too.

GVI Forex john 09:00 GMT February 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

-- ALERT --


January E-Z PMI
57.3 vs. 56.9 est. 56.9 flash




TTN: Special Offer- News on Your Screen

Saar KaL 08:58 GMT February 1, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level

audusd shorts
today

orders tgt
1.0063 1.0004
1.0068 1.0000
1.0073 0.9996
1.0078 0.9992

GVI Forex john 08:50 GMT February 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

-- ALERT --


Short While ago
January Swiss PMI
60.5 vs. 59.4 est. 59.6 previous
December Retail Sales
-0.4% vs. +2.5% vs. +2.5%




TTN: Special Offer- News on Your Screen

to dr unken katt 08:44 GMT February 1, 2011
Position trader

i dont think bolshevix had either pepsi or coke

Hk [email protected] 08:38 GMT February 1, 2011
Position trader

Response to Dr. Yunken Kat about the influence of the rally on the rates.

Cambridge Joe 08:32 GMT February 1, 2011
Position trader

RF// ? wouldn't that last post be more suited to the political forum ?

I cannot quite see how it's content might help anyone form an opinion re. trading.

Perhaps FXbellhead.com could help.

HK [email protected] 08:23 GMT February 1, 2011
Position trader

Egyptian rally sucks.

No trains, no phones,no food,no water,no toilets, no leadership.

Poor people don't really know what is going with them.

Obama has to supply sandwiches and Coke and Pepsi for that rally.



Fukuoka Rana 08:19 GMT February 1, 2011
jpy
Reply   
Buy AUDUSD
Entry: 0.988 Target: open Stop: later

long from 0.988 half out @ 1.0035 155pips plus....happy day,

to dr unken katt 08:05 GMT February 1, 2011
Position trader

not durin the egyptian rally

HK [email protected] 08:03 GMT February 1, 2011
Position trader
Reply   
Can say with some more confidence that 1.3900 will come true.

Minimum target(Eur/usd)>=1.3900

to dr unken katt 07:57 GMT February 1, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --



id short at the line 90 or so
pound swissy looks solid short on all frames

Lahore FM 07:46 GMT February 1, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Mark aud is on defensive on euruad too so it is perhaps a better choice to short audusd.

prague mark 07:43 GMT February 1, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Lahore FM 07:09 GMT February 1, 2011

do you think it is better to short AUD/USD as opposed to EUR/USD in case being pro-USD? TIA

Hong Kong 07:33 GMT February 1, 2011
GBP/USD Intra-day signal by AceTrader
Reply   
INTRA-DAY GBP/USD: 1.6066

Last Update At 01 Feb 2011 07:22 GMT

Although cable climbed marginally abv Asian morn
ing high of 1.6073 to 1.6080 at European opening,
lack of follow through buying suggests daily res at
1.6095 is likely to hold initially n bring retreat,
below 1.6038/00 wud yield retrace. to 1.6005/10.

Look to buy sterling on subsequent pullback twd
1.6010 or sell if price rises twd 1.6095/00.

Range Forecast
1.6045 / 1.6080

Resistance/Support
R: 1.6080/1.6095/1.6107
S: 1.6004/1.5991/1.5967

http://www.acetraderfx.com

to dr unken katt 07:26 GMT February 1, 2011
jpy

euro wants to try the high from last week

Lahore FM 07:09 GMT February 1, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 1.0028 Target: Stop: 1.0055

sold audusd.

earlier sell stopped fro minus 58.

to dr unken katt 07:06 GMT February 1, 2011
jpy

good work fukuyama

GVI Forex Blog 06:58 GMT February 1, 2011 Reply   
China Manuf PMI falls again as rising input prices bolster PBoC tightening case; RBA stands pat as expected, inflation in range

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update:

Syd 06:56 GMT February 1, 2011
Analyst: Skip the Rate Hike, Enjoy the Holiday
Reply   
China economic watchers have been waiting and wondering whether the People’s Bank of China would boost interest rates ahead of the Chinese Lunar New Year holiday, which kicks into full gear tomorrow (Feb. 3). Aside from the usual secrecy associated with central banks, the PBOC, unlike the U.S. Fed, doesn’t regularly schedule meetings where it makes interest rates calls the way the U.S. Fed. So analysts spend a lot of time guessing when the central bank might make an announcement.

http://blogs.wsj.com/chinarealtime/2011/02/01/analyst-skip-the-rate-hike-enjoy-the-holiday/

Fukuoka Rana 06:54 GMT February 1, 2011
jpy
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3735 Target: open Stop: later

sold...........happy day,

Israel dil 06:36 GMT February 1, 2011
Egypt Braced For 'March Of A Million'

let's hope that also a million will end the march

Hong Kong 06:26 GMT February 1, 2011
EUR/USD Intra-day signal by AceTrader
Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

INTRA-DAY EUR/USD OUTLOOK

Last Update At 01 Feb 2011 04:12 GMT

Rate : 1.3722

Although euro has maintained a firm bias due to
resumption of upmove in cable, suggesting pullback
fm y'day's 1.3740 high has ended at 1.3664 (NY),
only abv said res wud bring re-test of last week's
top at 1.3760 which is likely to hold initially.

Wud not advise chasing present move n look to
buy on dips twd 1.3690 (AUS) as 1.3664 wud hold.

Range Forecast
1.3700 / 1.3730

Resistance/Support
R: 1.3740/1.3760/1.3786
S: 1.3690/1.3664/1.3637

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Syd 06:04 GMT February 1, 2011
IMF Strauss-Kahn: Asia Faces Risks Of Overheating, Hard Landing
Reply   
SINGAPORE (Dow Jones)--Fast-growing Asian economies face a risk of overheating and may need to tighten monetary policy further, the head of the International Monetary Fund said Tuesday. Financial and structural reforms over the past decade have helped Asia weather the global economic crisis--the IMF expects growth to reach 8.5% in Asia ex-Japan this year, compared to just 2.5% in the developed world--but now "there are risks of overheating, and even a hard landing," Dominique Strauss-Kahn said in a speech at the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

Strauss-Kahn also sounded a warning about inflation, a growing concern for authorities across Asia. Rising energy prices reflect rapid growth in emerging economies, he said, while food inflation has "potentially devastating consequences for low-income countries."
Strauss-Kahn said job creation "must be a top priority," both in developed and developing nations. Otherwise, he warned, "we face the prospect of a 'lost generation' of young people, destined to suffer their whole lives from worse employment and social conditions."

Indeed, Strauss-Kahn said in a CNBC interview aired earlier in the day that youth unemployment in North Africa had been a "time bomb" that finally exploded in recent weeks, leading to massive anti-regime riots in Egypt and the ouster of Tunisia's president.

IMF Strauss-Kahn: Food Inflation Could Be "Devastating" For Poor Countries

HK [email protected] 05:57 GMT February 1, 2011
Egypt Braced For 'March Of A Million'

This is maybe the last bullet of the suffering masses may spend.
If Mubarak will pass that, he may continue to survive for a time(or until his next hospitalization abroad)

But if the Muslim Brotherhood will have their way, Egypt will go into the road of suffering of Iran.

They then will yearn to the days of dear Mubarak.

PARADOX: DICTATORS ARE BAD, BUT MOSTLY LATER MISSED BY THEIR PEOPLE(except their victims).

Syd 05:47 GMT February 1, 2011
Egypt Braced For 'March Of A Million'
Reply   
Egypt's anti-government protesters are hoping that one million people will rally on the streets of Cairo and Alexandria today
A coalition of opposition parties, including the Muslim Brotherhood, want to form a national unity government led by
LINK

Australia Central Bank Holds Rates, Shrugs Off Flood Concern
Cracks have started to appear in the outlook for Australia's A$1.3 trillion economy in recent weeks mainly due to the feared economic impact of the Queensland flooding and the affect of the strong currency and inflation on key industries like tourism and retail. Data released ahead of the RBA's rate decision showed business confidence fell to its lowest point in 20 months in December and manufacturing continued to contract in January. Most economists expect the impact of Queensland deluge to be seen in economic figures for months ahead.
Stevens on Tuesday dismissed fears that the cost of the flooding, which Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. estimates at about A$20 billion, could derail an economy that's being powered largely by China's insatiable demand for its resources like coal and iron ore.
"The Bank's preliminary assessment is that the net additional demand from rebuilding is unlikely to have a major impact on the medium-term outlook for inflation," said Stevens.
Leading economists agreed that the RBA will continue to hold rates until the second quarter when the rebuilding activity in Queensland could see a spike in inflation begin to filter into the wider economy.
"The Reserve Bank has reassured borrowers that it will look through the impact of the floods on activity and prices," said Craig James, chief economist at Commonwealth Securities. "In short the floods have no immediate implications for interest rate settings."

perth 05:44 GMT February 1, 2011
sell aud/usd

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 1.0003 Target: .9980 Stop: 1.0030

the RBA news sounds so neutral but it's going up... whats going on here?

HK [email protected] 05:40 GMT February 1, 2011
GBP/USD likely heading to [1.6250,1.6300]
Reply   
.

to dr unken katt 05:19 GMT February 1, 2011
sell aud/usd



looks like euro is contained under tis line 4 the time bein

Syd 04:37 GMT February 1, 2011
China's Housing Market Nears U.S., Japan Bubble Levels: Chart of the Day
Reply   
China’s property market may be heading into a bubble as the economy’s reliance on real estate reaches a level close to the housing peaks in the U.S. and Japan, according to Citigroup Inc. The CHART OF THE DAY shows investment in residential property accounted for 6.1 percent of China’s gross domestic product last year, the same level as the record in the U.S. in 2005 that was followed by the subprime crisis, said Shen Minggao, Citigroup’s China research head. It’s also about 2 percentage points away from Japan’s 1970s housing boom, he said. China’s property market is entering into a bubble stage,” Shen said in a phone interview. “It’s evident that property prices are no longer sustainable once the residential investments achieve above 8 percent of nominal GDP, and China may not be an exception.”
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-01-31/china-s-housing-market-nears-u-s-japan-bubble-levels-chart-of-the-day.html


China's Manufacturing Growth Maintains Pressure for Rate Rise
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-02-01/china-s-manufacturing-growth-maintains-pressure-for-interest-rate-increase.html

Hong Kong 04:02 GMT February 1, 2011
Support, Resistance and Range Forecast - AceTrader
Reply   
INTRA-DAY USD/JPY:

Last Update At 01 Feb 2011 02:30 GMT

Range Forecast
81.95 / 82.20

Resistance/Support
R: 82.26 / 82.47 / 82.57
S: 81.91 / 81.77 / 81.68

-------------------------

INTRA-DAY EUR/USD:

Last Update At 01 Feb 2011 02:31 GMT

Range Forecast
1.3700 / 1.3730

Resistance/Support
R: 1.3740/1.3760/1.3786
S: 1.3690/1.3664/1.3637

--------------------------

INTRA-DAY USD/CHF:

Last Update At 01 Feb 2011 02:36 GMT

Range Forecast
0.9415 / 0.9440

Resistance/Support
R: 0.9450/0.9482/0.9523
S: 0.9419/0.9389/0.9369

---------------------------

INTRA-DAY GBP/USD:

Last Update At 01 Feb 2011 03:40 GMT

Range Forecast
1.6020 / 1.6060

Resistance/Support
R: 1.6073/1.6095/1.6107
S: 1.6004/1.5991/1.5967

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Syd 04:01 GMT February 1, 2011
Mid-East contagion fears for Saudi oil fields
Reply   
Mid-East contagion fears for Saudi oil fields
Risk analysts and intelligence agencies fear that Egypt's uprising may set off escalating protests in the tense Shia region of Saudi Arabia, home to the world's richest oilfields.
"Yemen, Sudan, Jordan and Syria all look vulnerable. However, the greatest risk in terms of both probability and severity is in Saudi Arabia," said a report by risk consultants Exclusive Analysis.
Saudi King Abdullah is clearly alarmed by fast-moving events in Egypt and the Arab world. In a statement published by the Saudi press agency he said agitators had "infiltrated Egypt to destabilise its security and incite malicious sedition".
Exclusive Analysis said Egypt's revolt had gone beyond the point of no return as protesters plan a 1m stong rally on Tuesday, with president Hosni Mubarak likely to be ousted within 30 days. John Cochrane, the group's global risk strategist, said the regime has so far refrained from ordering the army to crush protesters knowing that many officers will refuse to obey. "If asked to use lethal force, it is questionable whether the army's cohesion will hold together," he said.

www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/ambroseevans_pritchard/8294187/Mid-East-contagion-fears-for-Saudi-oil-fields.html

Syd 03:56 GMT February 1, 2011
AUD Off Highs; RBA Less Hawkish Than Expected
Reply   
The AUD pares gains as the RBA statement was less hawkish than the markets expected, says a senior dealer at a major Japanese bank. "The first reaction was a buy because the RBA expressed concerns over rising prices. But the tone wasn't as strong as some had expected, so the selling followed soon afterward," he says.

GVI Forex Blog 03:49 GMT February 1, 2011 Reply   
Flip-flop on the Dow (11823.70), with the index going up yesterday, after having fallen on Friday.

Morning Briefing : 01-Feb-2011 -0336 GMT

Syd 03:39 GMT February 1, 2011
Australia's RBA: Inflation Over Year Ahead To Stay In 2.0%-3.0% Target Range
Reply   
RBA: In Setting Policy, To Look Through Effects Of These Short Term Events
RBA: Credit Growth, Asset Values Quite Subdued
*DJ RBA: Credit Growth, Asset Values Quite Subdued
RBA: Focus Of Monetary Policy To Remain On Medium Term Prospects
RBA: In Setting Policy, To Look Through Effects Of These Short Term Events
RBA: 2011 Employment Growth Likely At A Slower Pace Vs 2010

to dr unken katt 03:24 GMT February 1, 2011
sell aud/usd

its 1hr from now. isnt it?

philadelphia caba 03:04 GMT February 1, 2011
sell aud/usd
Reply   
Sell AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

sold at 1.0000, let's see what RBA will deliver

Syd 02:40 GMT February 1, 2011
Brazil and China trade tensions set to rise
Reply   
However, tensions have surfaced after China last year also emerged as one of the biggest sources of cheap imports into Brazil, helped by a surge in the value of the real, which is undermining the competitiveness of domestic industry.

This prompted Guido Mantega, finance minister, this year to call for a revaluation of the renminbi.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/41344893

Syd 01:56 GMT February 1, 2011
On its way: Tropical cyclone Yasi can be seen over the island of Vanuatu off the north eastern Austr
Reply   
Tropical cyclone Yasi is sweeping in from the Pacific and is expected to become as powerful as Hurricane Katrina, which devastated the United States in 2005.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1352331/Australia-cyclone-Danger-Queensland-flood-victims-storm-builds.html

Hong Kong 01:33 GMT February 1, 2011
Daily FX Market Outlook by AceTrader - Feb
Reply   
Market Review - 31/01/2011 20:04 GMT

Euro rises on higher-than-expected eurozone inflation data

Euro rose on Monday as higher-than-expected eurozone data fueled speculation that European Central Bank (ECB) may raise its interest rate quicker than the U.S. or other developed economies. In addition, the single currency was also underpinned by the tightened yield spreads between the 10-year eurozone peripheral countries' bonds n German bund on talk of growing support in the eurozone for giving Greece more time to pay back its European Union bailout to avoid default.

Despite extending Friday's decline to 1.3570 in Asian morning on Monday, the euro brushed aside the continued turmoil in Egypt n ratcheted higher, intra-day rise later accelerated after the release of higher-than-expected eurozone CPI, which came in at 2.4% vs previous reading of 2.2% Jan Y/Y, January figure was the highest in 2 years. Later, the single currency rallied to as high as 1.3740 in NY morning b4 retreating on profit-taking.

The British pound also extended Friday's selloff in Asian morning to 1.5821, however, cable then rallied strongly to 1.6050 (10 pips shy of Jan 18 high of 1.6060) on active short-covering as Guardian newspaper quoted Bank of England policymaker Martin Weale saying that he saw a compelling case for an increase in the bank rate. Weale joined hawk Andrew Sentance in calling for a rate hike at January's meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee. The British pound was also supported by cross-buying in sterling vs euro n yen as eur/gbp fell sharply fm 0.8619 to 0.8530 n gbp/jpy rallied fm 129.88 to 131.60.

Versus the Japanese yen, the dollar dropped below Friday's 81.98 low to of 81.77 in NZ trading on renewed cross-buying in yen, lack of follow-through selling swiftly prompted short-covering n the pair then recovered to 82.26 b4 retreating to 81.91 in NY again on dlr's broad-based weakness.

Data to be released on Tuesday:

Australia RBA rate decision, NAB business confidence and house price index, Switzerland retail sales and PMI, German Manufacturing PMI, unemployment rate and unemployment change, eurozone Manufacturing PMI and unemployment, UK Manufacturing PMI and Mortgage approval, and U.S. construction spending and ISM manufacturing.

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Syd 00:50 GMT February 1, 2011
Australian business confidence falls 9 points
Reply   
Australian business confidence falls 9 points
NAB business conditions +2 points to 6
Business confidence falls 9 points to -3

Syd 00:30 GMT February 1, 2011
China CPI Report May Add To Tightening Concern
Reply   
Investor concerns China could launch further tightening measures as soon as mid-February may rise after the state-run China Securities Journal cites unnamed analysts as saying the country's consumer price index may rise around 5% in January given higher food prices, up from December's 4.6% increase, and also above the government's full-year target of 4%. The newspaper also says domestic banks issued more than CNY1.2 trillion worth of new yuan loans in the first month of this year. The report comes after PBOC Governor Zhou Xiaochuan warned Sunday the central bank must be vigilant on inflation and may need to tighten reserve requirements further to address rapid capital inflows.

 




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