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Forex Forum Archive for 03/1/2011

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


GVI Forex Jay 23:35 GMT March 1, 2011
Yellow Jersey Forex Forecast Contest -- Round 2


REMINDER!

Time to post your forecast for Friday's EUR/USD close. The earlier you submit the forecast the better chance you have in case of a tie. Remember, you can change your forecast at any time until Thursday's 17:00 GMT deadline.


Submit your forecast

Syd 23:15 GMT March 1, 2011
Irish mortgage arrears hit new highsEnda Kenny's in-tray is full of horrors. First up, on Monday, we
Reply   
Irish mortgage arrears hit new highsEnda Kenny's in-tray is full of horrors. First up, on Monday, were keenly awaited mortgage arrears figures which showed 10% of homeowners are now struggling
LINK
Iran stamps out pro-democracy protests with teargas and violence as unrest gains momentum throughout Middle East
LINK

London SMS 23:15 GMT March 1, 2011
Square
Reply   
Cut Aus Dlr @ 35 for -15pips
Cut Gold @ 1434 -$4

GVI Forex john 23:10 GMT March 1, 2011
Market Chatter

MARKET CHATTER
Entry: Target: Stop:

  • Bernanke testimony surprised no one. QE2 to continue. Dovish posture.

  • Bank of Canada policy statement less hawkish than feared. Rates were held steady.

  • RBA kept policy steady as expected. Non-hawkish statement.

  • Chatter ECB will heighten its vigilance on inflation Thursday. No rate hike is expected.

  • Slew of PMI reports Tuesday. Many use it as a surrogate early GDP reading.

  • On balance Europe (EZ, CH, GB) remains very strong. Chinese data soft. Solid U.S. data.

  • EURUSD trading strong. EUR up on its crosses. EZ February flash HICP estimate +2.4% vs +2.3% in January.

  • Oil worries persist. Real focus is on Saudi Arabia and Iran. Bahrain pivotal.

  • Japanese fiscal yearend, expected to see USDJPY selling until mid-March.



Syd 22:38 GMT March 1, 2011
Bahrain Central Bank To Keep Dlr Peg; Wary Of Forex Risk
Reply   
Bahrain won't change its policy of pegging the dinar to the U.S. dollar for the foreseeable future and is wary of adopting greater exposure to foreign exchange, central bank governor Rasheed Al Maraj said Tuesday, as he reiterated that unrest gripping the island kingdom hasn't affected the fundamentals of its economy.

"We will not drop the dollar peg in the foreseeable future... all our transactions are in dollars and we've always expressed our preference even before (the) EU crisis made the dollar more attractive," the central bank chief told Dow Jones Newswires in an interview.

http://www.zawya.com/story.cfm/sidZW20110301000166

Minneapolis ZEUS 22:35 GMT March 1, 2011
SILVER

prague mark 22:23 GMT March 1, 2011

Hi Mark. I do plan to yes but not sure when. Will only be on pullbacks however. The core longs are still in tact. Those are in JM, Engelhard and RCM bars, ASE' monster boxes, Maples, Kookaburra, Philharmonikers and bags and bags of 90% pre '65. That won't change for at least another $100+ increase/ oz
Any thoughts?

GLGT!

Syd 22:24 GMT March 1, 2011
El-Erian on Mideast Tensions
Reply   
Mohamed El-Erian, PIMCO CEO & co-CIO, shares his thoughts on the Middle East unrest and its impact on global markets.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1824602897&play=1

VP COHEN Sells 5,000 Of GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC

prague mark 22:23 GMT March 1, 2011
SILVER

Zeus,
do u plan to reload silver longs? if so, what level might be ok per your vision? TIA

Lahore FM 22:22 GMT March 1, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.6262 Target: 1.5800 Stop: 1.6290

sold now.

Minneapolis ZEUS 22:05 GMT March 1, 2011
Stox

Europe Odin 21:42 GMT March 1, 2011

Odin- That's why I think USD will strengthen. The obvious idea from the media is USD weakening. However, the tide seems to be shifting as markets are beginning to behave differently than in the past several weeks. Can be 100% wrong of course. Let's see...

HK [email protected] 22:00 GMT March 1, 2011
Any idea which company will have the right to manufacture this test?
Reply   
UK scientists develop first reliable prostate cancer test

SCIENTISTS in the UK unveiled the first reliable test for diagnosing early prostate cancer, Sky News reported today.

The urine test is so accurate that it could be used to screen all older men for the disease.

Prostate cancer is the most common male cancer, killing more than 10,000 men in the UK every year.

Scientists at the University of Surrey, in southeastern England, identified a protein called EN-2, which is only produced by prostate cancer cells. Studies showed that a test for the protein detects 60-70 per cent of cancers, and the false positive rate - men who are wrongly diagnosed with cancer - is just four per cent.

On both counts, the new test is vastly superior to the existing PSA blood test, which detects fewer than 40 per cent of cancers and has a false positive rate of over 50 per cent.

Europe Odin 21:42 GMT March 1, 2011
Stox

Zeus - USD set to weaken further this week.

GVI Forex Blog 21:37 GMT March 1, 2011 Reply   
The U.S. dollar recovered from a 3-1/2-month low against a basket of other major currencies on Tuesday as the euro again failed to breach resistance at its 2011 high.

FOREX NEWS - US dollar recovers as euro momentum falters

Minneapolis ZEUS 21:34 GMT March 1, 2011
Stox

And a good sign that things are reversing.
Look for USD to gain strength into liquidations.

dc CB 21:31 GMT March 1, 2011
Stox

stox have NOT gone up

dc CB 21:30 GMT March 1, 2011
Stox
Reply   


this is the first "first day" in 7 months that stox have gone up.

Benny goes before the House tomorrow and will face questions from Ron Paul.

GVI Forex Blog 21:29 GMT March 1, 2011 Reply   
When it comes to doing battle with inflation, Ben Bernanke is no Charlie Sheen…no “bring it” in today’s testimony when warned by a number of Senators about the mounting inflation risks from rising commodity prices

Ben Bernanke is no Charlie Sheen…did not quite "Bring it" on Inflation

GVI Forex john 21:27 GMT March 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

Pivots	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD
Res 3	1.3923	82.70	0.9372	1.6388	0.9845	1.0261
Res 2	1.3888	82.47	0.9346	1.6359	0.9799	1.0231
Res 1	1.3830	82.18	0.9321	1.6308	0.9772	1.0182

Pivot	1.3795	81.95	0.9295	1.6279	0.9726	1.0152

Sup 1	1.3737	81.66	0.9270	1.6228	0.9699	1.0103
Sup 2	1.3702	81.43	0.9244	1.6199	0.9653	1.0073
Sup 3	1.3644	81.14	0.9219	1.6148	0.9626	1.0024

Minneapolis ZEUS 21:23 GMT March 1, 2011
SILVER

More gains taken @ 34.68

GVI Forex Blog 21:23 GMT March 1, 2011 Reply   
AUD/USD and NZD/USD outlook next 24 hours: AUD is testing 1.0150 support and looks vulnerable to a break lower. Similarly, NZD's upward correction since 24 February appears complete and the current test of 0.7495 minor support should eventually open a decline to 0.7350.

Forex - Morning Report (Westpac)

Syd 21:19 GMT March 1, 2011
Saudi Arabia's Billion Dollar Question
Reply   
Can Oil Money Buy Political Stability?
The slightest uncertainty about the stability of Saudi Arabia, one of the world's biggest oil producers, is enough to make the markets nervous. Now analysts and politicians around the world are waiting anxiously to see if the wave of unrest in the Arab world will spread to the kingdom.
LINK

Saudi Arabia is sending some 30 tanks for Bahrain which were sighted late Monday along the King Fahd causeway linking the two countries, witnesses say, Press TV reported.
LINK

Minneapolis ZEUS 21:18 GMT March 1, 2011
SILVER

Vancouver T 21:13 GMT March 1, 2011

Hi T.

System says to take gains so have been scaling after buying several months ago and adding on dips. Thanks for the chart!

GLGT!

Sanibel IG 21:16 GMT March 1, 2011
Hello...congrats..good forum with good views...
mho..euro in uptrend since first week Jan..with 1 correction..and then resumption
of trend..weekly 5 sma narrowing gap on 21 sma signals return to trend up..
imposing tops in place, but euro gearing for push up above 3853....dials winding..
then some data provides another 70/90 pip dip and then further rally into march
crosses e/y e/swiss looking north..usd can't get much on swiss...
will post my upcoming trades all variables fwiw
gl and thanks for all the good info

GVI Forex john 21:16 GMT March 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

USD MOVING AVERAGES
Entry: Target: Stop:

Latest	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD
Last	1.3771	81.90	0.9295	1.6258	0.9744	1.0133
High	1.3854	82.23	0.9321	1.6329	0.9754	1.0201
Low	1.3761	81.71	0.9270	1.6249	0.9681	1.0122
Change	-0.0030	0.15	0.0007	-0.0002	0.0027	-0.0049

MVA	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD
5 day	1.3773	81.95	0.9291	1.6192	0.9793	1.0121
10 day	1.3705	82.56	0.9385	1.6181	0.9825	1.0096
20 day	1.3656	82.59	0.9490	1.6138	0.9866	1.0088
50 day	1.3468	82.50	0.9518	1.5880	0.9922	1.0039
100 day	1.3522	82.55	0.9653	1.5857	1.0029	0.9954
200 day	1.3177	84.67	1.0082	1.5596	1.0202	0.9466

TREND	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD
BIAS	Up	Down	Down	Up	Down	Up

Vancouver T 21:13 GMT March 1, 2011
SILVER

don't know 13th floor March moves his tail!

Minneapolis ZEUS 21:12 GMT March 1, 2011
Wonderful Wednesday

Ldn JPS 21:10 GMT March 1, 2011
Seems as though I've had quite a few others since then but apparently your idea is quite stale. Heheheheeeeeeeee

Happy Day!

Ldn JPS 21:10 GMT March 1, 2011
Wonderful Wednesday

Minneapolis ZEUS 20:25 GMT - that's cause its he same stale idea you've had since September 2010 when eur/usd was @ 1.2800. hehehe!

hk ooozmeeh 21:10 GMT March 1, 2011
GOLD

TP set at 1445 gt to all

hk ooozmeeh 21:08 GMT March 1, 2011
GOLD

hk ooozmeeh 07:19 GMT February 24, 2011
GOLD: Reply
hk ooozmeeh 15:35 GMT February 23, 2011
GOLD: Reply
hk ooozmeeh 07:40 GMT February 3, 2011
Gold : Reply
bought gold again at 1328, all sl at 1285
hk ooozmeeh 07:12 GMT February 3, 2011
Gold : Reply
done @ 1329 long gold, gt
hk ooozmeeh 07:00 GMT February 3, 2011
Gold : Reply
buy gold 1329 below is a pending order
hk ooozmeeh 06:58 GMT February 3, 2011
Gold : Reply
Buy Gold
Entry: 1329 Target: Stop:

buy gold @ 1329....
hk ooozmeeh 20:16 GMT January 27, 2011
GOLD : Reply
Buy Gold
Entry: 1313 Target: Stop: 1280

buy Gold again 1313 stop loss all placed below 1287 trendline support, gt
hk ooozmeeh 16:36 GMT January 27, 2011
gold : Reply
Buy Gold
Entry: 1318.50 Target: Stop:

long gold 1318.50
hk ooozmeeh 15:39 GMT January 26, 2011
GOLD : Reply
hk ooozmeeh 10:47 GMT January 25, 2011
GOLD : Reply
Buy Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

gold @ 1323 level ...will start to accumulate longterm gold "longs" from here until 1300 level...good trades to all

----
accumulating long gold @ 1325 (pending order..) gt
hk ooozmeeh 10:47 GMT January 25, 2011
GOLD : Reply
Buy Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

**************************
"Pending" take profit @ 1417 50% of total longs, trailing profit stops for all longs remains @ 1387...good trades to all

----------------------------
DONE last night ...remaining 50% open with trailing stop profit remain at 1387 GL/GT

++++++++++++++++++++++
REMAINING 50% ADJUSTED TRAILING STOP PROFIT TO 1426 GL/GT

Vancouver T 20:58 GMT March 1, 2011
SILVER



@what level is the significant high stored, don't know!

GVI Forex john 20:54 GMT March 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

Vancouver T 20:47 GMT March 1, 2011
SILVER

TECH TALK
Entry: Target: Stop:

Minneapolis ZEUS 20:44 GMT March 1, 2011
SILVER: fwiworth Knaak schatkist vol!

Minneapolis ZEUS 20:44 GMT March 1, 2011
SILVER

More gains taken at $34.60

Happy Day!

Minneapolis ZEUS 20:25 GMT March 1, 2011
Wonderful Wednesday

NT has been saying for days now to fight the EUR/USD to the moon trend. But with 1.3777 having been touched for days on end and sitting on the edge of a cliff, I have no idea why people believe it will climb.

Happy Day!

Minneapolis ZEUS 20:05 GMT March 1, 2011
Wonderful Wednesday
Reply   
Looking forward to then continued themes tomorrow.

Happy Day!

GVI Forex john 19:55 GMT March 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

AUD/USD and NZD/USD outlook next 24 hours:

AUD
is testing 1.0150 support and looks vulnerable to a break lower.

Similarly, NZD's upward correction since 24 February appears complete and the current test of 0.7495 minor support should eventually open a decline to 0.7350.

Gen dk 19:45 GMT March 1, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

JERUSALEM KB 19:15 GMT March 1, 2011
buy usdcad
Reply   
Buy USDCAD
Entry: 0.9760 Target: 0.9795-0.9865 Stop: 0.9725

buy stop for small correction

GVI Forex Blog 19:10 GMT March 1, 2011 Reply   
EUR/USD (a daily chart of which is shown) as of Monday (3/01/2011) has stalled just under key resistance in the 1.3860 price region, which is the level of the significant high reached in early

EUR/USD Bumps Up Against Resistance

Ind! Rafe... 19:10 GMT March 1, 2011
Tech Talk

UK PLC 18:29 GMT March 1, 2011

very funny ..lol but i take it that it's 72 days to look back on to determine the yo yo range?

Hillegom Purk 19:10 GMT March 1, 2011
Tech Talk

aud/usd is at days low. Lets see if we can get any lower, or that this is the buying opp that one of the contributers here uses. If so, 1,0229 is on still, hehehehehehehe Percy..

London SFH 19:06 GMT March 1, 2011
Tech Talk

ok.no probs

Hillegom Purk 18:58 GMT March 1, 2011
Tech Talk

Sorry S, useless here in Clogland.

London SFH 18:48 GMT March 1, 2011
Tech Talk

yep-thats the only draw back-almost giving it away tho

Hillegom Purk 18:46 GMT March 1, 2011
Tech Talk

Right hand drive i guess?

London SFH 18:45 GMT March 1, 2011
Tech Talk

I mean I have one to sell-

London SFH 18:45 GMT March 1, 2011
Tech Talk

I mean I have one to sell-

Hillegom Purk 18:44 GMT March 1, 2011
Tech Talk

Hi S. What do you mean by one to go?

UK PLC 18:43 GMT March 1, 2011
Tech Talk

No...PLC= Purk Lesson Complete.

London SFH 18:39 GMT March 1, 2011
Tech Talk

Hey Purk- are you still interested in cars? I have one to go...

Hillegom Purk 18:36 GMT March 1, 2011
Tech Talk

PLC = Percy Leaves the (parrot) Cage?

UK PLC 18:29 GMT March 1, 2011
Tech Talk

Raf, i have the answer. It takes 72 days to arrive at the Yo Yo market conclusion. The process comprises of 68 hours of eating magic cookies and smoking magic cigarettes at the Amsterdam coffee shops, 3.58 hours of visitng the Amsterdam supermarkets and the other 2 minutes is the time is takes to post on the forum about the Yo Yo market. The Dutch like Purky have got everything covered........

London SMS 18:18 GMT March 1, 2011
Order to sell left.
Reply   

Entry: 1430 Target: Stop:

Only 2 lots but there might be a pull back....one hopes. gl/gt

Gen dk 18:09 GMT March 1, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Hillegom Purk 17:26 GMT March 1, 2011
Tech Talk

Rafe, i do not have a clear answer on that, the first post was this one:

Hillegom Lappy 4 Purk 15:53 GMT February 16, 2011
EUR/USD: Reply
Yo Yo market..... if it continues today than tomorrow 200+ range in e/u.
---------------------
Guess it only has to be a tight range and all...

HK [email protected] 17:24 GMT March 1, 2011
Risk aversions in all directions!!!
Reply   
Gold, oil, CHF, Yen, Dow down.

London SMS 17:18 GMT March 1, 2011
Saudi/Bahraini issue looks like the next hot item.

Day of rage set for March 11th in Riyadh

HK [email protected] 16:57 GMT March 1, 2011
Funny argument: Tanks returning from celebrations
Reply   
Bahrain's Government Says No Saudi Tanks In Country
Tuesday, Mar 01, 2011

MANAMA, Bahrain (Dow Jones)--Bahrain's government Tuesday denied rumors that Saudi Arabian tanks had crossed into the island kingdom.

"There are no Saudi Arabian tanks in Bahrain," Bahrain's information ministry said in a statement, adding that tanks identified in news reports as crossing the border Monday evening were Bahraini tanks returning from Kuwait, where they had taken part in national day celebrations.

"Tanks identified on Monday evening were Bahraini tanks returning from Kuwait National Day celebrations, where military from several Allied countries participated in an event commemorating Kuwait's liberation in 1991," the statement said.

-By Joe Parkinson, Dow Jones Newswires, +90 53061 30065, [email protected]

Hk [email protected] 16:47 GMT March 1, 2011
USD/JPY
Reply   
Yen was knocked off from ~82.20. Res area

Breaking below 82.0 possibly opening later the way to try 81.40 support.

Ind! Rafe... 16:39 GMT March 1, 2011
Tech Talk

Hillegom Purk 18:50 GMT February 28, 2011

purk// thanks for the answer but how many days do you analyze in order to determine if we are in a yo yo market or not?

tia.

Gen dk 16:27 GMT March 1, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

London SMS 16:21 GMT March 1, 2011
Bght again

Sold 1 lot @ 1.0180. Still long 3 lots @ average of 1.0150. Moved sl upto 1.0115
---------
London SMS 15:14 GMT March 1, 2011
Entry: 1.0157 Target: open Stop: 1.0080
Bght 3 lots here

Left an order last night to buy @ 1.0165 and just sold 1/2 here @ 1.0190.

Richmond Hills 16:07 GMT March 1, 2011
EUR1.3x77
Reply   
GBP breaks 1.6275 key resistance and will bring EUR to break 1.3860 as well. Don't know why people still believe EUR will test 1.x777 in a short period. Don't short EUR.

Fukuoka Rana 16:03 GMT March 1, 2011
jpy

today just stop hunting going on.....

GVI Forex Blog 16:01 GMT March 1, 2011 Reply   
March 1 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS (high-impact item) for Wednesday, March 2:

GVI Forex- Data Outlook for March 1, 2011

GVI Forex john 15:57 GMT March 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

CALENDAR
Entry: Target: Stop:

March 1 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS (high-impact item) for Wednesday, March 2:

  • Far East: AU- GDP.
  • Europe: EZ- PPI.
  • North America: US- Weekly Mortgages, ADP Jobs, Bernanke, Weekly Energy, Beige Book. CA- PPI.
Updated: Trading Events Calendar

Quito Valdez 15:55 GMT March 1, 2011
EUR/GBP triangle

sorry for double post...mouse bounce.

Quito Valdez 15:54 GMT March 1, 2011
EUR/GBP triangle
Reply   


Being that GBP/USD resistance broke today announcing Sterling's strength again, plus the Russian wording theoretically to slow EUR, EUR/GBP may breakout south of triangle formation..see chart.

GVI Forex Jay 15:53 GMT March 1, 2011
Market Chatter

This may have been behind what appears to have been yet another interest rate related euro spike:

Tuesday, March 01, 2011 10:46:23 AM
(EU) ECB could seek to adjust policy if second round effects of commodity prices start to appear - financial press citing sources
- ECB members appear to be at odds over risks to medium term price stability

- Reminder: Earlier we heard chatter about a think tank report that states that ECB will be warning of heightened inflation risks (Trade the News)

London SMS 15:48 GMT March 1, 2011
o/night orders

Squared my short Dow @ 12,200. + 50 on 2 lots
Sure it will break 12000 but gotta focus elsewhere as I'm not a chart player.

Gen dk 15:33 GMT March 1, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GVI Forex john 15:24 GMT March 1, 2011
Market Chatter

More details-

- Another trigger for EUR weakness has been a widening of the intervention band in the Russian rouble (RUB) to 5 roubles. It is expected that by widening the band the central bank will have to intervene less to contain the price of their currency (selling roubles buying USD or EUR). When they intervened buying USD, the central bank was converting them to EUR (at least partially).

This would imply less demand for EURUSD if the plan works.

jerusalem kb 15:23 GMT March 1, 2011
sell eurusd
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

entry will be 1hr close below 1.3770 stop(is now forming)i think 1.3820 50pips and will be updated when the position opens

GVI Forex Jay 15:19 GMT March 1, 2011
Market Chatter

This was posted on GVI Forex and may be why the euro dipped a short while ago.

Russia widens RUB band, allows RUB to appreciate and announces reduced size of interventions....


Note when the Russian CB intervenes buying USD, it then turns around and sells part of it to buy EUR to adjust its reserve basket. Less intervention means less buying of euros.

Low just now was 1.3795, suggests 1.38 remains the bias setter.

jerusalem kb 15:18 GMT March 1, 2011
buy eurusd

delete this order and i will look for a short entry with target below 1.3670

prague mark 15:18 GMT March 1, 2011
Market Chatter

nyc ws 14:19 GMT March 1, 2011

what time is bernanke chat?

HK [email protected] 15:15 GMT March 1, 2011
For the time

Yes for the Euro I mean the HI, but meanwhile it has dropped. It looks that Euro will need more time for range trading where 1.3880 will be the next target.
If tonight that will be a surprise.

London SMS 15:14 GMT March 1, 2011
Bght again
Reply   

Entry: 1.0157 Target: open Stop: 1.0080

Bght 3 lots here

GVI Forex john 15:12 GMT March 1, 2011
Market Chatter

MARKET CHATTER
Entry: Target: Stop:

- USD getting a lift from stronger than expected PMI data. Curiously, yield on 10-yr notes are off their highs of the day.
- EURUSD sharply weaker.

GVI Forex john 15:09 GMT March 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support



ECONOMIC DATA CHART
Entry: Target: Stop:

U.S. mfg PMI better than expected and continues to run above E-Z if that is meaningful?

London Mick 15:08 GMT March 1, 2011
For the time

Kevin, do you mean the high?

HK Kevin 15:06 GMT March 1, 2011
For the time

HK [email protected] 14:58 GMT, have we seen today's low of EUR?

GVI Forex john 15:04 GMT March 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

-- ALERT --

U.S. mfg PMI
61.4 vs. 60.0 est 60.8 prev



TTN: Live News Special Offer

HK [email protected] 14:58 GMT March 1, 2011
For the time
Reply   
Euro may not break this time above today HI, and USD/JPY may not break below today low.

Not for the time.

If not any of the two, it will be a surprise

Fukuoka Rana 14:52 GMT March 1, 2011
jpy

NY JD 14:51 dear friend,yes its me....

GVI Forex Jay 14:52 GMT March 1, 2011
jpy

JD, that is the same Rana

NY JD 14:51 GMT March 1, 2011
jpy

Yes I was looking search members
The only person show was a person call Rana, from Tokyo.
That you ???

GVI Forex john 14:20 GMT March 1, 2011
Market Chatter



FWIW- Bank of Canada core CPI target is the red bar. They are shooting for 2.0%.

Saar KaL 14:19 GMT March 1, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level

Long Cable and EURUSD here
adding with dips

nyc ws 14:19 GMT March 1, 2011
Market Chatter

Dollar should trade softer into bernanke

NY JD 14:17 GMT March 1, 2011
jpy

Ohh wow Rana
I mean you are a great person who wants help.
My girlfriend and me we said thank you :)
Yes sure how I can get your Skype or email ???
What you would like I to do??

Fukuoka Rana 14:14 GMT March 1, 2011
jpy

NY JD 14:11 dear friend, u can get my skype and email...look in the members area to contact me by email

GVI Forex john 14:14 GMT March 1, 2011
Market Chatter

MARKET CHATTER
Entry: Target: Stop:

CAD weaker following BOC decision...

Key dovish statement conclusion

"...Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered."

NY JD 14:14 GMT March 1, 2011
jpy

Yeah you are right I'm sorry for about that Jay.
You was right....!!!
Have a great day:)

GVI Forex Jay 14:12 GMT March 1, 2011
jpy

JD, we have started a message board for just this purpose, a place where you can discuss anything. It is better suited than the forex forum, which is like a virtual global trading room for market flow and trade ideas.

I think you will gain more by starting or joining a thread and getting more personal attention.

NY JD 14:11 GMT March 1, 2011
jpy

@ Rana
Thanks or Arigatō
I'm worried because I mean I want be a full time trader and I want take my own financial live in my hand.....
And I can't be..... I reed books until litsen people here in NY but I'm not successful and yes I'm not take it easy tmake trades that true.....!!!! You know me :(
I don't take stops because the person who tell me about forex he told me if I use stop I will loose money....
But I'm now lost unrealized money in that trade I mean.....
Very tough =(
I'm using MACD and Simple Move Avarange 100
Thanks Rana for your help that mean a lot for me :)
Have a happy trade and if I can recover I will make trades 1 lot that all for now no more high leverange to still sure what I'm doing.

Quito Valdez 14:07 GMT March 1, 2011
EUR/CHF question
Reply   


Could EUR/CHF be pivoting to head north or sink to 1.22 which is about at triangle support??

Quito Valdez 14:04 GMT March 1, 2011
USD/CAD South Breakout?
Reply   


Triangle on dailies says USD/CAD broke out south. Commodity cncys are bullish, agrees with CAD this week.

NY JD 14:04 GMT March 1, 2011
jpy

@ Rana
Thanks or Arigatō
I'm worried because I mean I want be a full time trader and o don't want tak my own financial live in my hand.....
And I can't be..... I reed books until litsen people here in NY but I'm not successful and yes I'm not take it easy that true.....!!!!
I don't take stops because the person who tell me about forex he told me

Quito Valdez 14:02 GMT March 1, 2011
USD/JPY observation - chart
Reply   


USD/JPY returning north to triangle resistance?

Saar KaL 14:01 GMT March 1, 2011
jpy

NY
My Long term pos
AAPL AZO BIDU and UHAL

these are great too
CGNX
VPHM
AWK
QSFT
TEO
VAR
ICGE
PPG
SCD
GPC
INTL
APD
SHI
FDS
UGI
SVN

Fukuoka Rana 14:01 GMT March 1, 2011
jpy

Sell EURJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

NY JD 13:02 dear friend,where is my thinking long term this pair will go arounf 65/95yen but for that need time.......if u can wait im sure u can close....happy trade,

nyc ws 13:17 dear friend,i agree every one have to use own analysis this is best......but we can win with simeones call also lose.............. nothing is impossible anything possible bcoz markeet is just up or down there is no other way simply buy or sale so keep ur system simple is best...happy trade,

Quito Valdez 14:00 GMT March 1, 2011
Cable resistance broke - chart
Reply   


Dailies: Cable resistance broke today by about 30 pips - see chart.

GVI Forex john 14:00 GMT March 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

-- ALERT --

Bank of Canada
RATES UNCHANGED
as expected



TTN: Live News Special Offer

NY JD 13:58 GMT March 1, 2011
jpy

Ok~~~~!!!
Gratulations for be a sucsseful trader and you not need help.
I'm not that successful like you sorry..........
yes I'm stock right now that why I'm asking to Rana if I close my open position right now or keep it for not waste time.
You are all ways helpful as all ways.
Have a great day.

Saar KaL 13:57 GMT March 1, 2011
Ghadafi

The Cartels are very impressed the drugs output behavior...
they want Ghadafi Brain DNA for later research in Labs in Mexico
offering top bucks for small sample

vienna cla 13:53 GMT March 1, 2011
Ghadafi

loool

Fukuoka Rana 13:49 GMT March 1, 2011
jpy

Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

NY JD 13:0 dear friend, i use 33% charts 33%funda 33% my sence........just donot take big position im sure u will win donot worry take it easy....for trading need mental relax donot come under presure.......im almost win 95% win my trades idonot use stops mostly.... good luck......happy trade,

Saar KaL 13:45 GMT March 1, 2011
Ghadafi
Reply   
Anyone knows what type of drugs this dude takes?
"My People Love me"...
he might wanna take a little walk in BinGhazi Tourists area...
they might kiss the ground he walks on...yeah?

hk ooozmeeh 13:38 GMT March 1, 2011
Bght more

SMS sorry for using ur thread....ZEUS thanks, happy trades

Minneapolis ZEUS 13:24 GMT March 1, 2011
Bght more

hk ooozmeeh 13:05 GMT March 1, 2011

Nice chart oozmeeh and super congrats on the yellow jersey thingy.

Europe Theorists 13:21 GMT March 1, 2011
USDCAD OPINION
Reply   
USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

General opinions regarding this pair.

Do you think this is a repeat of the August 07 low of 0.9050 before any sign of recovery?

Where is the target low range over next 90 days given so little support and no incentives for holding long?

What primary factor on the horizon could trigger a rebound ?

Regards
GLGT

Minneapolis ZEUS 13:19 GMT March 1, 2011
SILVER

Gargantuan gains taken at 34.475

GVI Forex john 13:19 GMT March 1, 2011
Market Chatter

MARKET CHATTER
Entry: Target: Stop:

High-impact items today.
- The Bank of Canada policy decision at 14:00 GMT has the potential to be a market-mover for CAD. No rate changes are expected. The key focus will be on the tone of the BOC policy statement as it may provide clues as to the future course of interest rates.

- The tone of Bernanke testimony starting at 15:00 GMT has the potential to impact the USD as well. Many are looking to see what he has to say about the future course of QE2. Odds are policy is not going to be changed soon.

nyc ws 13:17 GMT March 1, 2011
jpy

JD, you will never be successful if you look to follow someone's advice blindly and do not do your own analysis. You also need to do a study of money management as it sounds like you are not trading with stops. I hope you are not over leveraging.

London SMS 13:15 GMT March 1, 2011
Bght more

Thanks ooozmeeh - a drop in the ocean compared with your gains. The move up from 1309 has been slow and steady so I don't expect a drop below 1400 but have left an order to buy @ 1414.5 for 3 lots.

hk ooozmeeh 13:12 GMT March 1, 2011
Bght more



kinda having second thought as its at the top of the 5-month range on a quadruple top...will hold on to the position til 1450.00 as stoploss is placed once it goes down inside "blue range"

hk ooozmeeh 13:05 GMT March 1, 2011
Bght more

SMS hats off my friend, im still holding on with the remaining 50% old longs, sl remain at 1387...good trades

NY JD 13:02 GMT March 1, 2011
jpy

GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

@Rana
Oyasuminasai.
Thanks fo your post I'm very great full you tell me that
I was try to said in my before post sorry!!!
what studies or tools you are use it for predict the trades ???
I dont know what is wrong with me .......
I have 1 trades was long term trades
1- EUR/JPY, short, 110.89
Im waiting.....!!!! To close that open position now!!!
What you think EUR/JPY will going down till hit 111.00 ?

Anata Wa Domo Arigatō

London SMS 12:59 GMT March 1, 2011
Bght more

Squared my gold @ 1422. Hoping for a small pull back to re-enter.
-------
London SMS 14:09 GMT February 28, 2011
Buy Gold
Entry: 1411.5 Target: open Stop: 1380

Bght 1 lot here adding to earlier long (1 lot) @ 1402.5

Amsterdam purk 12:50 GMT March 1, 2011
Tech Talk

Range is 70 now in e/u. So or 13885 or 13755 minus, because under this one it goes fast, and we have to see if Yo Yo market ends. No flows i see, Yoda.

GVI Forex Blog 12:30 GMT March 1, 2011 Reply   
Dollar-Swiss is ranged between 0.9290-0.9322 today.

FX Thoughts for the day : 01-Mar-2011 - 1228 GMT

Minneapolis ZEUS 12:22 GMT March 1, 2011
Tech Talk

EUR/USD is about to drop. The phony bid from the last several sessions (that took it nowhere) is about to end. A new phase in favor of heavy offers and railing through stops is prime to commence.
Would not be a surprise to see USD crescendo in strength as the week progresses.

Happy Day!

GVI Forex Jay 12:22 GMT March 1, 2011
News
Reply   
This came out a short while ago and may be dampening some of the risk on mood.

Tuesday, March 01, 2011 7:09:12 AM
(SR) Saudi Arabia stock market has fallen 7.3% on the session to a 20-month low; hearing news reports that Saudi Arabia has sent army units to Bahrain
- According to Russian news agency RIA Novosti, eyewitnesses reported seeing "15 tank carriers carrying two tanks each heading towards Bahrain" along the 25-km King Fahd causeway, which links the small island nation of Bahrain to Saudi Arabia.

Source: Trade the News

HK REVDAX 12:17 GMT March 1, 2011
$/JY
Reply   
Anyone selling $JY?

GVI Forex Jay 12:12 GMT March 1, 2011
Tech Talk

Held initial test of 1.3813-18

GVI Forex Jay 12:06 GMT March 1, 2011
Yellow Jersey Forex Forecast Contest -- Round 2
Reply   

REMINDER!

Time to post your forecast for Friday's EUR/USD close. The earlier you submit the forecast the better chance you have in case of a tie. Remember, you can change your forecast at any time until Thursday's 17:00 GMT deadline.

Submit your forecast

GVI Forex Jay 12:00 GMT March 1, 2011
Tech Talk

12:00 GMT (Global-View.com) March 1 - The forex market continues to trade as if events in the Middle East do not exist and this has seen the month start off in a “risk on” mood with US stocks set to open on a firmer note. This has seen the euro and gbp trade higher out of firmer crosses, most notably vs. the jpy and chf, creating a mixed picture for the dollar. However, eur/usd, which has seen 1.38 print for the 4th day in a row, is so far having an inside day with the intra-day high at 1.3854 being 1 pip shy of yesterday’s 1.3855 high.

This sets the stage for a day where the focus will be on Bernanke’s testimony where he is expected to maintain his dovish stance. Thus the only surprise would be if he indicates any subtle shift in his rhetoric.

From a chart perspective, I take a more simplistic approach and look for the bias to figure out what is the strong side to trade. In this regard eur/usd is supported but needs to take out 1.3861 (key Feb 2 high) to open the door to a void of key levels on the upside. While below it, focus stays on 1.38 to set the bias as traders look for a break of the 4-day pattern around this level to signal the next directional move. Currently, intra-day support at 1.3813-18 protects a return to 1.38.

GVI Forex Blog 11:46 GMT March 1, 2011 Reply   
The dollar hit its lowest in three-and-a-half months versus a currency basket on Tuesday on the view U.S. monetary policy will remain loose, as the market awaited testimony by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke.

FOREX NEWS - Dollar index hits 3-1/2 mth low; Bernanke awaited

Gen dk 11:44 GMT March 1, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

London Misha 11:31 GMT March 1, 2011
Observations
Reply   
EURUSD - Almost a Key Reversal Up on Daily Chart. Market testing Feb highs.
USDJPY - Possible Bullish Matching Lows formation moving into possible Bullish Harami on Daily Chart.
GBPUSD - Big Bullish Engulfing pattern follows a Bullish Hammer on Daily Chart.
USDCHF - Spinning Top on Daily Chart.
EURGBP - 4th close over Long MA! 2 Black Crows follow a Bearish Daily Spike.
EURJPY - Possible Bullish Harami on Daily Chart. Still suspect Key Reversal Down & possible Double Top on Daily Chart.
USDCAD - 3rd Black Crow on Daily Chart.
AUDUSD - 3rd White Soldier on Daily Chart.

GVI Forex Blog 11:07 GMT March 1, 2011 Reply   
The sentiment in the FX markets continued to favor USD shorts amid a persistently high oil price and anticipation of hawkish ECB rhetoric later this week. The EU Commission GDP and inflation projections scratched the surface with its bump up in inflation forecasts across the region for 2011.

TradeTheNews.com European Market Update: EU raises GDP and inflation view for 2011

London ex 11:04 GMT March 1, 2011
Gold
Reply   
I gather gold is now at its highs for the year. Not sure what this implies for EURUSD in the current environment.

GVI Forex john 10:53 GMT March 1, 2011
Market Chatter

MARKET CHATTER
Entry: Target: Stop:

  • Bernanke testimony later awaited. Unlikely he signals policy change.

  • Bank of Canada policy decision awaited as well. Steady rates seen.

  • Active session so far. First of the month always sees a slew of PMI reports which are used by many as a surrogate early GDP reading.

  • On balance Europe (EZ, CH, GB) remains very strong. Chinese data soft. Solid U.S. data expected later.

  • EURUSD trading strong. EUR up on its crosses. EZ February flash HICP estimate +2.4% vs +2.3% in January.

  • Oil worries fading?. Real focus is on Saudi Arabia and Iran. Bahrain pivotal.

  • Japanese fiscal yearend, expected to see USDJPY selling until mid-March.

  • RBA kept policy steady as expected. Non-hawkish statement.



GVI Forex Blog 10:35 GMT March 1, 2011 Reply   
TUE: North America: CA- BOC. US- Bernanke, Mfg PMI, Construction Spending, API Energy

Daily Forex View: 1 Mar 11 North America-Europe

Gen dk 10:16 GMT March 1, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GVI Forex john 10:09 GMT March 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support



EZ flash estimate for Feb HICP 2.4% vs 2.3% in January...

GVI Forex john 10:04 GMT March 1, 2011
Market Chatter

MARKET CHATTER
Entry: Target: Stop:

- EZ data roughly in line. Flash Feb HICP estimate +2.4%, still above its " >2.0% " target.
- EU Commission forecasts German GDP at +2.4% vs. previous +2.2%.
- More constructive news for EUR.

GVI Forex john 10:00 GMT March 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

ALERT
Entry: Target: Stop:

-- ALERT --

February EZ flash HICP (CPI)
+2.4% vs. +2.4% est +2.3% prev
January EZ Unemployment
9.9% vs. 10.0% est 10.0%% prev






TTN: Live News Special Offer

Fukuoka Rana 09:58 GMT March 1, 2011
jpy

Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.63plus added avg 1.6267 Target: open Stop: later

look like lots of pips coming...............happy trade,

GVI Forex john 09:40 GMT March 1, 2011
Market Chatter

January U.K. PMI revised down to 61.5 from 62.0. February reading was 61.5. Strong levels. nevertheless. GBPUSD a touch softer.

GVI Forex john 09:36 GMT March 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support



UK mfg PMI flat at a high but downwardly revised level...

GVI Forex john 09:30 GMT March 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

ALERT
Entry: Target: Stop:

-- ALERT --
February U.K. Mfg PMI
61.5 vs. 61.0 est 61.5R prev




TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john 09:20 GMT March 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support



Early in the day Chinese PMI continued to disappoint...

GVI Forex john 09:17 GMT March 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support



Earlier Swiss remained exceptionally strong (above 60)...

GVI Forex john 09:13 GMT March 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support



EZ mfg PMI in line at a strong level...

Hong Kong 09:10 GMT March 1, 2011
EUR/CHF Intra-day signal by AceTrader
Reply   
EURCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

INTRADAY TRADING SIGNAL BY ACETRADER.COM: EUR/CHF

EUR/CHF : 1.2858

Last Update At 01 Mar 2011 08:41 GMT

Although euro's intra-day retreat fm 1.2877
suggests a minor top is made, as long as 1.2815/20
holds, consolidation with upside bias remains, how-
ever, break of said high needed to extend upmove fm
1.2706 to 1.2888 but 1.2896 shud hold b4 'down'.

Buy on dips with stop below 1.2803/05, break
wud confirm top is made n bring weakness to 1.2770.

Range Forecast
1.2845 / 1.2875

Resistance/Support
R: 1.2888/1.2896/1.2923
S: 1.2803/1.2750/1.2728

http://www.acetraderfx.com

HK [email protected] 09:08 GMT March 1, 2011
EUR/USD Next burst to 1.3860
Reply   
.

GVI Forex john 09:05 GMT March 1, 2011
Market Chatter

MARKET CHATTER
Entry: Target: Stop:

EZ final flash mfg PMI unchanged from flash reading and as expected. earlier German unemployment fell. EURUSD stronger. U.K. mfg PMI due at the bottom of the hour.

London SMS 09:04 GMT March 1, 2011
Asia sold it again!
Reply   
Buy AUDUSD
Entry: 1.0165 Target: open Stop:

I think this is the 8th day on the trot that Asia has sold AudDlr only for Europe to bid it up. Left an order last night to buy @ 1.0165 and just sold 1/2 here @ 1.0190. Give it a try.

Fukuoka Rana 09:03 GMT March 1, 2011
jpy
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.384added Target: open Stop: later

sold......happy trade,

GVI Forex john 08:58 GMT March 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

ALERT
Entry: Target: Stop:

-- ALERT --
February Final EZ PMI
59.0 vs. 59.0 est 59.0 prev



TTN: Live News Special Offer

SG PT 08:56 GMT March 1, 2011
EURUSD

EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Fundamental for EUR/USD...

This pair should go up to 1.40 or 1.42 before it can come down.

Those who short this pair, I suggest you should consider tight stop.

IMO, very risk to short EUR/USD.

Amsterdam purk 07:57 GMT March 1, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level

Ah Percy... when 1,0229 will be breached, you will sing a song in Greek?

Richland QC Mailman 07:41 GMT March 1, 2011
EURUSD

Shorted mutliple units eur/usd on the break again of 1.3800. Target 1.3720 or lower.

Oxford Percy 07:36 GMT March 1, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level

Save your money there son. ....AUD/USD has reached the peak of this current medium term cycle and headed back to 9744 with short term target of 10037 within next 31 trading hours......10217-10229 is the medium term resistance and will not be breached. AUD downmove will also provide a leading indicator on future move of major crosses and commodities. This is only the beginning of a larger downmove.

Saar KaL 07:32 GMT March 1, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level

ZARJPY shorts
and USDMXN shorts looking good

Saar KaL 07:31 GMT March 1, 2011
KaL's Trend and Level

Long AUDUSD Here + with more dips

Hong Kong 07:29 GMT March 1, 2011
EUR/USD Intra-day signal by AceTrader
Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

INTRA-DAY EUR/USD OUTLOOK

Last Update At 01 Mar 2011 06:54 GMT

Rate : 1.3824

Although euro has retreated after the rebound fm
y'day's NY sup at 1.3781 to 1.3831, as renewed buy-
ing interest at 1.3800 lifted price, suggesting up-
side bias remains for another bounce to 1.3840, abv
wud encourage for re-test of 1.3857/62 res area.

Trade fm long side with stop initially below 1.37
81, break wud risk stronger pullback to 1.3760.

Range Forecast
1.3800 / 1.3831

Resistance/Support
R: 1.3857/1.3862/1.3900
S: 1.3781/1.3760/1.3712

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Lahore FM 07:14 GMT March 1, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Buy EURCHF
Entry: 1.2795 Target: Stop: 1.2755

02/28/2011 20:18:13 FM Lahore 2
closed usdchf long for even doubled up eurchf long.
--

closed doubled up eurchf longs and keeping only main entry now from 1.2795.sl raised for the long to 1.2755

GVI Forex Blog 06:46 GMT March 1, 2011 Reply   
TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: Stronger data out of Australia with target rate left unchanged; China Feb PMI Manufacturing hits 6-month low and CBRC declares lending growth has been too fast

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update

HK [email protected] 06:17 GMT March 1, 2011
USD/JPY
Reply   
Heading to 82.28. Only a drop below 82.0 can suggest a failure to the upside.

HK [email protected] 06:07 GMT March 1, 2011
USD/JPY
Reply   
.

The price action in USD/JPY looks more like an intervention, any thoughts?

Syd 06:02 GMT March 1, 2011
Oil price fear threatens 3pc decline for economy
Reply   
THE Irish economy will shrink more than 3pc this year if oil prices stick at $150 a barrel, while at least one country on the eurozone's periphery would be likely to default, Ernst & Young economist Marie Diron warns in a new report.

http://www.independent.ie/business/irish/oil-price-fear-threatens-3pc-decline-for-economy-2560095.html

Fukuoka Rana 05:23 GMT March 1, 2011
jpy

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 1.020 Target: open Stop: later

NY JD 04:56 dear friend,actualy iwant short this pair 1.02 like 1.025 long term but now have some positions so waiting for close other position....im short some chfjpy audusd eurusd gbpjpy gbpusd long usdjpy nzdjpy now iwant close all and want short only audusd....happy trade,

Fukuoka Rana 05:18 GMT March 1, 2011
jpy

Sell GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

NY JD 04:56 dear friend,idid not understand ur post well...ithink gbpjpy will face strong res 133.80 incase more rise than add more shorts 135.35...i took small position 20000gbpjpy with out stop so no problem at all.....happy trade,

NY JD 04:57 GMT March 1, 2011
jpy

GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

@Rana
Arigatō
Yes that will be great target 100/500
I will take that opportunity you are share it!!!!
Ps.
How you know the point exatly of selling in this trade can you share me this.
I want be a good trader but I'm a failure trader now
I shame myself....

Mykonos Spyros 04:47 GMT March 1, 2011
jpy

Come to Mykonos and we will teach you Greek.

Fukuoka Rana 04:45 GMT March 1, 2011
jpy

Sell GBPCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

NY JD 04:42 dear friend,thanx for post...target 100/500pips so its depend if i see any other than close this one.......target 132.60/126.60.................gpood luck..........happy trade,

NY JD 04:42 GMT March 1, 2011
jpy

GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

@ Rana
Sell GBP/JPY ...!!!
What you think could be the target ???

Arigatō

Ps.
My girlfriend is teach me some Japanese he he he.

Fukuoka Rana 04:28 GMT March 1, 2011
jpy
Reply   
Sell GBPJPY
Entry: 133.65 Target: open Stop: later

sold.................happy trade,

Syd 04:23 GMT March 1, 2011
RBA Leaves Cash Rate Steady Sending Benign Inflation Message
Reply   
The Reserve Bank of Australia signaled Tuesday it is likely to leave interest rates unchanged for months to come, sending a message that the inflation outlook for 2011 is largely benign.
The central bank left its cash rate target unchanged at 4.75% as expected, telling the markets that the high Australian dollar was helping to contain inflation, while the labor market wasn't fanning any wage-push price pressures.
"Inflation is consistent with the medium-term objective of monetary policy, having declined significantly from its peak in 2008," said RBA Governor Glenn Stevens in a statement.
"These moderate outcomes are being assisted by the high level of the exchange rate, the earlier decline in wages growth and strong competition in some key markets, which have worked to offset large rises in utilities prices," he added.

RBA's Plain Vanilla Outlook Signals Comfort - HSBC
The RBA's "plain vanilla" statement means that the central bank is quite relaxed with settings where they are right now, according to HSBC Chief Economist Paul Bloxham. "They are clearly comfortable with the current monetary policy setting," he says. He adds that the statement also lacks any forward looking aspect, further underscoring that rates are likely to remain on hold for now.

Syd 03:56 GMT March 1, 2011
fx
Reply   
Wonthaggi desalination plant could see $24 billion down the drain
LABOR has no regrets about its decision to sign the controversial desalination contract that could cost households up to $24 billion over the next 30 years.
LINK

"They love me, all my people with me, they love me all. They will die to protect me, my people," he said.
http://edition.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/africa/02/28/libya.protests/?hpt=Sbin

Given little change in the RBA's policy statement today from last month, Brian Redican, senior economist with Macquarie, says traders should expect the central bank to be on hold for a while. "There was nothing really new in the statement. We've seen a big move in oil prices, Middle East tensions and huge capex expectations locally and the RBA just let that all flow under the bridge," says Redican, noting that by ignoring outside factors in its statement, the RBA is signaling there is "no immediate tightening coming." RBA left rates unchanged at 4.75%

Protests in Oman Spread From Port City to Capital
Trucks were confiscated by protesters, who blocked access to Oman’s second biggest port in Sohar, north of Muscat, the capital.
www.nytimes.com/2011/03/01/world/middleeast/01oman.html

GVI Forex Blog 03:50 GMT March 1, 2011 Reply   
Good rally in the Dow (12226.34, +95.89) yesterday, albeit on low volumes.

Morning Briefing : 01-Mar-2011 -0348 GMT

NY JD 03:39 GMT March 1, 2011
sell eurjpy

EURJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

@ Baskall
thank for you honestly and help.
yeah seen a very strong trend.
that im now:
account value $ 8800, 4 lots, short , 110.89 eurjpy
so what u think ?
I realize the unrealized money or stay?
that why if i have leap of faith or doesnt.
I dont blame no one i know the risk when i become a to a trader.

Syd 03:37 GMT March 1, 2011
PRESS RELEASE: Australia's RBA Keeps Cash Rate At 4.75%
Reply   
PRESS RELEASE: Australia's RBA Keeps Cash Rate At 4.75%

Syd 03:33 GMT March 1, 2011
Surging orders in the US raise capacity worries
Reply   
Surging orders in the US raise capacity worries
The US economy has already begun to hit capacity constraints in some industries as business orders reach the highest level since the start of the Reagan boom in the early 1980s.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/8353242/Surging-orders-in-the-US-raise-capacity-worries.html

Mtl JP 03:22 GMT March 1, 2011
Voices from the dungeon. Look who still talks

[email protected] madeoff is a proven expert: no reason to doubt his expertise

Syd 03:13 GMT March 1, 2011
HKMA Chan: Expect Sooner-Than-Expected Interest Rate Hikes
Reply   
Hong Kong Monetary Authority Chief Executive Norman Chan said Tuesday a new round of interest rate hikes could come sooner than expected, citing market expectations Europe will raise interest rates in the first quarter of next year due to rising concerns over inflation. Chan said inflationary pressure in Hong Kong will increase demand for property, but noted the Hong Kong government has pledged to increase land supply in coming years. He told lawmakers the government's property measures in November cooled short-term property transactions. He said he expects the property market to be eventually dominated by end-users and medium-to-long term investors. Hong Kong Financial Secretary John Tsang said Wednesday he expects the city's inflation to accelerate sharply to 4.5% this year, from 2.4% in 2010.




HK [email protected] 03:11 GMT March 1, 2011
Voices from the dungeon. Look who still talks
Reply   
Madoff, who is serving a 150-year prison sentence, also rubbished the financial reforms introduced by the US to prevent future corruption and claimed: "The whole government is a Ponzi scheme".

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financetopics/bernard-madoff/8353013/Bernard-Madoff-accuses-his-investors-of-greed.html

True or not true???



Va Raven 03:06 GMT March 1, 2011
EURUSD
Reply   
Truly respect the setting by london bankall 22:09 GMT February 28, 2011.




HK [email protected] 03:05 GMT March 1, 2011
GBP/USD 1.6400 target still valid.
Reply   
HK [email protected] 09:29 GMT January 20, 2011 
GBP/USD: Reply   
My expectation for GBP/USD for the next few days is a challenge of about 1.6450.Target
...............................................................................

Indeed it didn't happen in few days but the computed target is still there.

About Euro; If someone says he knows where it will go, just tell him that he doesn't know.
For me the picture is not that clear, though a 1.3900 hit should not be a surprise.

Mtl JP 02:58 GMT March 1, 2011
EUR/USD short barely took

DRS2 02:14 - "pricing policy" - i.e. interest rates - is one (key) variable issue within the EU. I see that as adaptable flexibility reflecting on each PIGS

Quito Valdez 02:51 GMT March 1, 2011
typical complacent sap
Reply   
Signing off, likely won't appear til next Sunday-Monday. Am watzing around the town's antique shops buying up Ecuadorian silver coinage (when we had real money before silver was abolished to inflate the cncy and make it fiat). Did you know that historically silver was about 1/16th the value of gold? Do the math, 1/16th of $1,400 is $87.50...about 275% higher than today's value. Had I not been eaten up with a chronic case of the dumb-arse I would have not stopped (15-24 years ago) when I mistakingly stopped a carreer of wholesale buying, selling and moving precious metals. Hindsight 20/20 of course, LOL. I told my dad to buy all the silver coins he could when the fake coinage came out in the mid sixties. He didn't listen. Nor did I to my own words. An ounce of 90% silver called a silver dollar was $1 in any bank and Las Vegas. I was a typical complacent sap. Now that almost all cncys are fiat, and can still buy silver, I'm on a buying spree and not on any platform either.

Minneapolis ZEUS 02:37 GMT March 1, 2011
USD/JPY

The fulcrumatic strange attractor balance of power is about to blow the cap off of USD/JPY

Quito Valdez 02:35 GMT March 1, 2011
EUR/USD short barely took

DRS2, I said what you said exactly years ago when the Euro was put into wallets. Country X has little resemblence to country Y in respect to thinking patterns (now known to be governed largely by language formed logic patterns in the brain), customs-philosophies inherent to that society and no others, the country's import-export ratio and what they import and export, the state of the economy itself in relation to the interest rate particularly suited to that country and not another country, the agricultural growing season and energy needs of each season (affects prices, inflation intra-yearly) ...and you can think of a whole list of dissimilarities between any given country X and country Y. These dissimilarities make a single currency with one single monetary policy completely insane for all countries are not clones of eachother. It's the same dumbness that tried communism, that's a oneness also but oops, humans ain't all the same but communism is founded on sameness of persons...which is impossible. Likewise a single currency is not going to work. The similar idea to the Euro called the Bancor is even more stupid than the Euro for it not only encompasses Europe but the whole globe, a soup of entirely different everything. It's like humanity's leaders don't get the most simple of points and try to dress a chimp in huma clothing and think he's now human just because he wears trousers and shoes. He's always a chimp. You can't likewise place Bancors or Euros in a wallet and call it "good for you" when it isn't. All this horse maneure about oneness, community, globalization (disguise word for one world everything) and single currencies etc. will likely collapse the globe better and more thoroughly rather than anything else including nuc war for once a country gives up its very soverienty called currency, it is then a slave of the oneness...starve or obey.

Minneapolis ZEUS 02:33 GMT March 1, 2011
EUR/USD short barely took

Quito Valdez 02:22 GMT March 1, 2011

Thanks Chuck. Well yes, we know what the intrinsic value that all fiat currencies in the history of the world have always ultimately become.
I don't think there is any way to form a universal fiat.

On the other hand, gold, silver, and sometimes copper are forms of money. Always have been, always will be.

Minneapolis ZEUS 02:27 GMT March 1, 2011
EUR/USD short barely took

When you have small countries like the PIGS turn into bacon, the EUR collusionists failed to find a solution and swiftly saw the great experiment selloff towards collapse. It was the US and others in the IMF that had to step in to prevent a full collapse. Amazing that there was no plan to handle small structural failures. The large looming failures will destroy this non sovereign fiat currency that represents various differences (and conflicts) in politics, economy and culture which are allowed to issue their own sovereign debt.
The great experiment has already failed to pass a minimal stress test.

Quito Valdez 02:22 GMT March 1, 2011
EUR/USD short barely took

I can see your point Zeus and love the phrase "no alternative fiat currency". All cncys are fiat hence the idea for the Bancor...global fiat. Actually it's more or less a global lockdown insofar as it's a one-ness that Bretton Woods could not do. And of course there would be no need for FX.

By the way, the almost guaranteed "short" right at or placed before (suck wind on spread but it wins anyway) Asian open each week is good also for USD/CAD. Today was one example in a chain of them, if you study the daily chart.

Anyone can look back thru history and find propensities for pairs to do such-and-such consistantly. It isn't rocket science. This and other things are what trading software does in part...finding propensities for X pair to do Y movement, when those parameters are met, the trading software places a position with TP and stop orders and likely it wins. In the big trading rooms you ain't hot unless you are a programmer and can tweek or generate trading software these days. The typical Wall Street geek is or had to start off as a programmer.

Minneapolis DRS2 02:16 GMT March 1, 2011
EUR/USD short barely took

Oops, let me correct myself...with the Euro, it's one MONETARY policy...which is closely intertwined with fiscal policy anyway.

Minneapolis DRS2 02:14 GMT March 1, 2011
EUR/USD short barely took

JP 00:36...The Euro is "not working" in the sense that the single exchange rate is strangling some of the countries in the Eurozone. In earlier times, those countries (e.g. PIGS) would adjust their own currencies up or down as needed to handle trade and their own fiscal conditions.

With the Euro, that is no longer possible...it's "one for all". One currency, one exchange rate...and one fiscal policy.

Right now, the Eurozone has a very stark choice...either bail out the countries in trouble (paid mostly by Germany)...or every country adopts the same fiscal policy (preferably close to German policy).

Or...get out of the Euro entirely, and go back to country-specific currency.

MLT PA 01:51 GMT March 1, 2011
EUR/USD short barely took

Minneapolis ZEUS 01:40 GMT March 1, 2011

I totally agree with you! The current EU leaders despise America. The liberals around the world need to be defeated once and for all. I hope the USA and USD are here to stay for a long, long time.

Good night all.

Minneapolis ZEUS 01:48 GMT March 1, 2011
EUR failure

Lahore FM 21:32 GMT February 28, 2011

Let's hope my dear friend. I sense that you are anticipating the same.

Cheers and GLGT as always to a legendary trader!

Vancouver T 01:47 GMT March 1, 2011
Gbp-Usd
Reply   


Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.6298 Target: whoknows Stop:

Hillegom Purk 18:57 GMT February 28, 2011
little what klein this little censored knows how to lay a brick freemasonry...fwiw

Minneapolis ZEUS 01:46 GMT March 1, 2011
Fabulous Friday

USA YV 20:02 GMT February 25, 2011
so ZEUS, which camp are you from re: Marathon buy; ACON or TPG?
_________________________________________________________

Thanks for asking but I probably ought not to say anything here. Never know who's watching....MIB's are everywhere these days.
GLGT!

Minneapolis ZEUS 01:43 GMT March 1, 2011
Almost guaranteed wins each week

Quito Valdez 01:00 GMT February 28, 2011

You rock Chuck. Thanks so much for sharing this and everything else that you do. You are one amazing "bean farmer".

Cheers!

Minneapolis ZEUS 01:40 GMT March 1, 2011
EUR/USD short barely took

arizona 01:00 GMT March 1, 2011

While the world despises the US for being the largest sovereign economy, they can only express such jealousy by choosing to hate the very reserve currency that they are forced to use for the very poignant reason that you eluded to- there is no alternative fiat currency.

london bankall 01:39 GMT March 1, 2011
sell eurjpy

NY JD 22:09 GMT - your short eurjpy at 109.13 is obviously positioned very badly. Although the 2 week price action has been messy, this pair is bullish. Some sellers are positioned at 114.76/87 with stops on a break above 115.26, next sales positioned 115.40/59 with tight stops 115.78 ... above here and the target is 119.71/74. On the downside buyers are positioned 111.18, 110.72 and 109.53. I don't know how leveraged your position stands, but a good sign will be if the rate holds below 114.25 and then hopefully (although one should never really on hope) you can slowly scale out of your losses. This is strictly my view ... meaning - do your own research.

Minneapolis ZEUS 01:36 GMT March 1, 2011
mystery chart

Up

Hong ] 01:20 GMT March 1, 2011
Daily FX Market Outlook by AceTrader-1-3-2011
Reply   
Market Review - 28/02/2011 19:49 GMT

Euro n cable rise on speculation Fed's Bernanke continues stimulative policy

The euro rose on Monday on speculation the Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke would iterate his supportive stance on the stimulative policy in his testimony at Senate on Tuesday n Wednesday. Despite the initial brief fall below last Friday's low of 1.3724 in Asian morning, buying interest at 1.3712 lifted euro up n the single currency eventually climbed to 1.3857 b4 retreating on active crossing selling especially vs sterling. Eur/gbp fell fm 0.8555 to 0.8480, eur/jpy dropped fm 113.35 to 112.80 while eur/chf declined fm 1.2861 to 1.2805.

The British pound rallied broadly on Monday as the market again speculated that the Bank of England will be pressured to raise interest rate earlier than the ECB n the Fed due to recent high oil prices. Cable rose fm Asian low of 1.6072 to 1.6152 in European morning n despite staging a brief pullback later, price then rallied abv last Wednesday's high of 1.6275 to as high as 1.6278 in NY afternoon b4 stabilising. Cross-buying in sterling versus euro n jpy also supported the pound as gbp/jpy rose sharply fm 131.31 to 133.32.

On the data front, eurozone final Jan. HICP came in lower-than-expected at 0.7% against a rise of 0.6% in the previous month, U.S. Personal income rose to 1.0% in Jan fm 0.4% in Dec. while Canada GDP in Dec. came out better-than-expected at 0.5% vs street forecast at 0.3% n the previous reading of 0.4%.

Irish election results over the weekend:
The Fine Gael beat the embattled Fianna Fail led by Brian Cowan, as expected, Enda Kenny's party had secured 70 seats of the 153 seats filled so far n is widely expected to form a coalition with the Labour party which had won 35 seats.

Data to be released on Tuesday includes:

Japan household spending, unemployment rate, Australia retail sales, current account, RBA rate decision, Swiss GDP n PMI, U.K. nationwide house price index, Germany unemployment rate n unemployment changes, eurozone manufacturing PMI, HICP flash data n unemployment rate, U.K. manufacturing n mortgage approval, Canada BoC rate decision, U.S. construction spending n ISM manufacturing.

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Tonbridge AL 01:14 GMT March 1, 2011
mystery chart

Broadly speaking I don't disagree - From the quarterly perspective it produces (giving a rounding and thick pencil required effect) .9700 and .9950 are the 2 levels to watch as being pivotal the latter is easy to interpret when and if we regain that level but the former is much more difficult to judge in terms of managing an entry and from my lowly perch almost impossible to enter

Mtl JP 01:04 GMT March 1, 2011
mystery chart

AL - LoL , quarterly paras are too rich for my trading pocket, but thanks just the same. I think a decent danger for a rally exists: maybe long 9660 w 30/50 sl for a 9860-9950+ ; market has to be getting lopsided in positionning

arizona 01:00 GMT March 1, 2011
EUR/USD short barely took

lousy currency: do you think if resources would be priced in any other currency it would allow to avoid global inflation? I dont think so. I think its a weak right now for a purpose. thats all. but again its imho.

GVI Forex Jay 00:50 GMT March 1, 2011
sell eurjpy

JD, it is hard to make a suggestion on a position 400 pips underwater and will not lecture about the importance of using stops.

You have to ask yourself if you had no position would you be selling eur/jpy at current levels.

Tonbridge AL 00:50 GMT March 1, 2011
mystery chart



JP I'll raise your monthly to a quarterly and the dotted pink lines are pivotal. Presumably the CB will determine the short term outcome

Syd 00:46 GMT March 1, 2011
New Zealand Fin Min: Quake Disaster Will Test the Government's Finances
Reply   
New Zealand Fin Min: Expectations For Economic Growth This Year Won't Be Met
New Zealand Fin Min: Already Some Indications Unemployment Is Rising
Australia's current account deficit widened to a seasonally adjusted A$7.30 billion in the fourth quarter of 2010 from the third quarter, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said Tuesday.
Australian retail sales rose a higher-than-expected 0.4% to a seasonally adjusted A$20.44 billion in January from A$20.37 billion in December and rose from A$20.08 billion a year earlier, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said Tuesday.

What next for Libya, a divided land riven by bloodshed?As Libya teeters on the brink of civil war Ian Black and Julian Borger examine the possible scenarios for the country
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/feb/28/libya-land-brink-civil-war

THE United States has urged Oman to show restraint and press ahead with reforms following deadly clashes in the normally placid Gulf sultanate.
"

Mtl JP 00:40 GMT March 1, 2011
mystery chart
Reply   


who wants to prognosticate its next price-action ?

Mtl JP 00:36 GMT March 1, 2011
EUR/USD short barely took

DRS2 00:00 - re "powers-that-be in Europe can't even make the Euro work" how, manifestly, is the euro NOT working ?

NY JD 00:29 GMT March 1, 2011
sell eurjpy

EURJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

To GVI @ Jay
I didnt stop because in the 1 day chart month bewteen december and january was low till 125.78 so that why i put in short but i was wrong.
is have a leap of faith go back till 110.00 or is not chance?

Welington Max McKegg 00:13 GMT March 1, 2011
EUR/USD - What Now ?
Reply   
From targeted support Yesterday the Euro has rallied nicely and whilst this now (easily) holds, there remains good Upside potential ahead in the EUR/USD. Today's FX Forecasts just sent to all my subscribers world-wide.

Minneapolis DRS2 00:00 GMT March 1, 2011
EUR/USD short barely took

Valdez...Although I agree with your general point that the USD is a lousy currency, I must question some of your rather alarmist assertions.

Which US states, for example, allow the use of private currency as legal tender? Even if there is a state that accepts private currency, they still have to accept the USD.

As for the Bancor, or SDRs? I'll believe it when I see it...it's been talked about for years. Any global currency would be a major blow to national soverignity and would be a major stepping stone to world government.

The powers-that-be in Europe can't even make the Euro work. If "they" can't handle Europe, they sure as censored won't handle the rest of the world.

"There is a plan to install a real true single cncy calledthe Bancor and the USA representative was not invited to that think tank."

Ya...Install a single currency and not even invite the US to the discussion? Ridiculous.

Let's face the situation for what it is...most currencies in the world are lousy. But you know what? They will still be used for a long time, as long as there is world trade.

Using individual country currencies for private deals between non-US countries? OK, I can see that...it happens all the time. But this idea of exiting the USD in favor of the global "anything-but-US" currency? A global, one-size-fits-all currency that is used by every country? I'm not convinced.

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
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A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
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