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Forex Forum Archive for 04/1/2011

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


GVI Forex Blog 23:49 GMT April 1, 2011 Reply   
The addition of more than 200,000 U.S. jobs wasn't enough to boost the dollar against the euro on Friday, and the greenback may have more losses in store as markets brace for a euro zone interest rate hike next week.

Forex News - FOREX-Dollar may struggle as ECB, Fed policies diverge

GVI Forex Jay 23:47 GMT April 1, 2011
The G7 Turns On Itself: BOK Sells Its Share Of Japan Rescue Dollars, Sends Greenback Plunging

CB, thanks for that post. My head did a 360 spin around when I saw what you wrote. Explains a lot.

dc CB 21:40 GMT April 1, 2011
The G7 Turns On Itself: BOK Sells Its Share Of Japan Rescue Dollars, Sends Greenback Plunging
Reply   
USD getting spanked today is Bank of Korea selling $7Bn USD it bought during the coordinated USDJPY intervention, and buying GBP and EUR with it. I can understand why they would get rid of the USD, but why buy GBP and EUR with it???? Either way, goes to show how useful it is to do an intervention, they drop the reserves 2 weeks after... we'll be back to square 1 in no time if everybody follows suit!

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/g7-turns-itself-bok-sells-its-share-japan-rescue-dollars-sends-greenback-plunging

Tokyo Rana 20:19 GMT April 1, 2011
broker

GVI Forex Jay 19:21 Dear Sir,thanx for reply...i sent you mail....thanx in advance...happy weekend,

Belgrade TD 20:05 GMT April 1, 2011
Sell EUR
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1,4222 Target: ~1,415/1,405/1,39 Stop: ~1,43

same as my last sell ... possible with nice R/R ... and significant risk on up-side ... but am willing to try again ... just before the bell ... nice weekend everyone :)

JERUSALEM KB 20:03 GMT April 1, 2011
this month performance

thanks jmr , i hope to have a profitable result next month too

GVI Forex john 19:51 GMT April 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

FX DATABASE
Entry: Target: Stop:


UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

Norfolk jmr 19:47 GMT April 1, 2011
this month performance

KB, amazing results for the month. Thanks for your post at GV.

JERUSALEM KB 19:41 GMT April 1, 2011
this month performance
Reply   
this month performance is 1460pips+ please check archive for confirmation

Paris ib 19:35 GMT April 1, 2011
A better class of food fight !

Agricultural establishments?

Cambridge Joe 19:33 GMT April 1, 2011
A better class of food fight !
Reply   
Just back from the pub and endebted to ib and sfh for a ... well... more of an hor-dourves tiff than a food fight...

No-one has mentioned Agricultural establishments of any kind and no-one has predicted eurusd 1.97777... !

So, a calm and peaceful weekend to all !

Good night !

GVI Forex Jay 19:21 GMT April 1, 2011
broker

Rana, doi you need help with a broker? If so contact me.

Tokyo Rana 19:09 GMT April 1, 2011
next stop ithink 139.35key point
Reply   
Sell GBPJPY
Entry: 139.35if seen pending Target: open Stop: 100pips

yesterday stoped long but still hold in demo....after 139.35 iwill buy dip around 134/135 for 142/146.....gbpjpy next 139.35 ithink....eurusd will go higher too....happy weekend

Tokyo Rana 19:06 GMT April 1, 2011
AUD/USD

Hillegom Purk 17:43 dear friend,ithink this pair and jpy pairs go more higher....but im short some,happy weekend,

Tokyo Rana 19:03 GMT April 1, 2011
broker

Belgrade TD 16:52 hello,dear friend,how are you?thanx wat do u think about censored?which broker do u use?
happy weekend

http://www.global-view.com/forex-brokers/

Paris ib 19:02 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD upmoves...

Took advantage of new flat line to take a long position EUR/USD.

Thanks for the advice. I actually live in the south of France.

London SFH 19:01 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD upmoves...

You are getting on my nerves-go and enjot the city of lights.freat city Paris-lived there for four years

Paris ib 18:58 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD upmoves...

"there are opportonities to take out 2-3 big figures in either direction..."

And with opportonities like that.........

London SFH 18:42 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD upmoves...

Oh-we must have reached a top-good weekend

Paris ib 18:38 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD upmoves...

Mate if you don't like sarcasm then don't use it. Just closed. Have a nice weekend.

Paris ib 18:37 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD upmoves...

Mate if you don't like sarcasm then don't use it. Just closed. Have a nice weekend.

London SFH 18:36 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD upmoves...

no need for sarcasm--i just answerered you because you demanded it-hope you are long euro...have a good weekend

GVI Forex Jay 18:35 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD upmoves...

US yields have moved lower and explains some of the dollar weakness.

Paris ib 18:35 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD upmoves...

Thanks. But seriously I do this just to keep myself amused when I'm tied to the machine. Hope it helped at any rate.

nyc ws 18:32 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD upmoves...

ib, you were like a sportscaster but called a good game today. keep it up.

Paris ib 18:31 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD upmoves...

No kidding. Did you miss the USD/JPY rally ? Which is not USD weakness. But I take your point: the market can move in either direction. I'll remember that next time. Thanks for the tip.

London SFH 18:29 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD upmoves...

ib-obviously the last 4/5 hours have shown a weaker dollar across the board -will that continue? Probably very short term-but there are opportonities to take out 2-3 big figures in either direction....

Paris ib 18:27 GMT April 1, 2011
Outside week up in EUR/USD
Reply   
Odds on today's close confirms the outside week up in EUR/USD. In my experience this is a very good longer termish bullish signal.

Paris ib 18:24 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD upmoves...

And your view?

Paris ib 18:14 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD upmoves...

I already told you, I think it's bullish for the EUR/USD. Constructive or whatever you want to call it. I think this goes higher. Probably about now.

Paris ib 18:14 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD upmoves...

I already told you, I think it's bullish for the EUR/USD. Constructive or whatever you want to call it. I think this goes higher. Probably about now.

London SFH 18:13 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD upmoves...

yeah, well..you start

Paris ib 18:08 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD upmoves...

Thanks for the positive feedback.

I'd be interested to hear your view on how the market is trading and what it means.

London SFH 18:00 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD upmoves...


yhanks for the commentary ib-most of us here are able to watch the moves...

Paris ib 17:56 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD upmoves...
Reply   
EUR/USD upmoves are followed by very little in the way of retrace. Buying interest is seeing, pushing it higher, then a very small retrace... flatline trading and then more buying. Bullish overall. We're right in the middle of another flat line right now.

Paris ib 17:47 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD where are the stops?

Like I said I don't think this is just a short squeeze there is a lot of outright Euro buying going on, on the crosses as you have pointed out, but also on the straight and that outright buying and accumulation of Euros, more than anything else, is pushing this higher IMVHO. All the negative publicity and the supposed Euro crisis and all the rest of it just hasn't diminished the demand. More buyers than sellers means you go higher. Don't know about tonight. But it is interesting that 1.4220 has been the highest close so far this year. Looks like we are going to see a higher close tonight or next week at any rate.

Hillegom Purk 17:43 GMT April 1, 2011
AUD/USD
Reply   
Evening. Ozmond is going to enter a new zone soon: 1,04+.
Pattern, first to 1,0460+ back to 1,0400.
Under 1,0023 this changes, but it seems to me that we do not go under the 0,99 anymore for a while.
As always: lets see, and NO DAYTRADE.
Have a nice weekend. What a wonderful week. IBSSA.

GVI Forex Jay 17:42 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD where are the stops?

ib, as I noted on GVI Forex:

It seems the market is having trouble absorbing the offset euro buying from eur/jpy and eur/chf. It is more of that than outright eur/usd buying that is squeezing the shorts hard. Highest close this year has been 1.4220.

Paris ib 17:36 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD where are the stops?

I think it's more than shorts now, I think we are triggering buy orders from the guys who had been waiting for lower levels to get in for the long term. Still this is Friday, April 1st... so a lot of this has just gotta be clearing out stuff that has been lying around. We have cleared a lot out of the market now. It was a pretty big trading range for the day. What's left will be fundamental longer term trends. Don't know if we can close at or above 1.4250 (which we need to confirm the outside week up) but it still doesn't look that the EUR/USD uptrend is over. Personally, as long as we don't get hit by something big, looking to see 1.4800 printed on the EUR/USD into the Summer. I don't think the U.S. economy is out of the woods and I don't think there is any real chance of hiking or anything like it. The end of QEII is not enough in my opinion to give the USD a boost.

Gen dk 17:32 GMT April 1, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Mtl JP 17:22 GMT April 1, 2011
First Look: Fed Lending Release

as bancruptcy expert Donald would get my vote for the presidency of the FED. I think Ben "QE2 is not printing money" Bernanke is actually doing a pretty sh!tty job of it, turning the press too slowly (on the way to Zimbabwia).
-
ps/ any idea what constitutes printing money in Ben's world ?

Gen dk 17:14 GMT April 1, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

dc CB 17:10 GMT April 1, 2011
First Look: Fed Lending Release

JP
forgot: Donald Trump for pres 2012...he's the on expert on bankruptcy in the field....he's been there so many times and he's still makin' deals.

Mtl JP 17:10 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD where are the stops?

ib first layer of stops probably around 1.4233

ten pips away to find out - worth a shot.

Hillegom Purk 17:08 GMT April 1, 2011
e/u shorties
Reply   
SHORT 14221 1

dc CB 17:04 GMT April 1, 2011
First Look: Fed Lending Release

JP 16:51
it dosen't matter...stox up, bonds flat - actually the 30 futures are currently up, more JOBS....why dwell on the past...no one will ever call them on it...except for maybe Ron Paul or his son, or that other kook from Vermont. Bernie Sanders.
All the news outlets are chirping.........all is good.
April Fools

Belgrade TD 16:52 GMT April 1, 2011
broker

hi Rana, check this
http://www.global-view.com/forex-brokers/

Mtl JP 16:51 GMT April 1, 2011
First Look: Fed Lending Release

CB 16:45 - not sure what the whinning is about.. google can scan books at a phenomenal rate; now that they have been stopped by a judge from continuing they probably have extra capacity available to scan and ocr.. can' t bloomie cut a service deal with them ?

Tokyo Rana 16:50 GMT April 1, 2011
broker
Reply   
anyone advice me please which is best broker fx company out side japan?one of my pakistani friend want open account.....ihave no idea...thanx in advance...

Belgrade TD 16:47 GMT April 1, 2011
for John & Jay
Reply   
just for site info: temporary error in the left column, on the top advert ...
script type='text/censored' censored='http://ad1.emediate.dk/EAS_tag.1.0.js'>
... nothing important :)

dc CB 16:45 GMT April 1, 2011
First Look: Fed Lending Release
Reply   
"The Fed allegedly released the data that was the center of a long FOIA lawsuit fight yesterday. I could easily make the argument that they did so in a fashion that was intended to frustrate a rational examination by handing everything over in PDFs without an index or in any sort of machine-digestible form. There were also quite a few things missing that I would have expected to see included.

What you're getting here is my "first look" - a look that should be much more detailed but isn't, simply because of the intentional attempt to keep people from easily analyzing the material. More analysis will come over time, and many are looking at the information and trying to import it into something that is easily manipulated and examined (such as Excel); for now, this will have to do...............

Dexia, a large conglomerate and foreign entity, hit the window several times. We've known that our Federal Reserve propped up foreign companies. Now we have the amounts of that "propping up", and they're popping - eye-popping, that is.

There are other deeply troubling facts in this release. Among them are the fact that The Fed apparently accepted more than $100 billion in defaulted bonds and stocks as "collateral."

http://www.market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=183412

GVI Forex Blog 16:45 GMT April 1, 2011 Reply   
There is a growing consensus in the market that all asset inflation, commodity price rise and speculation is due to Fed QE2. Maybe the lousy spring in the northeast too.

EM Currency Reserves Main Culprit for Inflation Impulse, Risk Asset rally, Not Fed QE2

Belgrade TD 16:37 GMT April 1, 2011
just scalping

Belgrade TD 16:13 GMT April 1, 2011
sold eur/usd at 1,204 for ~1,417 or 1,415 ... tight stop
///
correction - sold at 1,4204*
... anyway closed with minor + ... enough for today ... nice weekend everyone :)

London SFH 16:16 GMT April 1, 2011
Gold
Reply   

Entry: 1425 Target: 1350 Stop: 1444

Think we are heading aggressively lower..

Paris ib 16:15 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD where are the stops?

Hindsight trading is always easy.

Mtl JP 16:14 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD where are the stops?

the only easy trade .... was yesterday

Belgrade TD 16:13 GMT April 1, 2011
just scalping
Reply   
sold eur/usd at 1,204 for ~1,417 or 1,415 ... tight stop

Paris ib 16:10 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD where are the stops?

Well I'm out. Pity if we don't get a strong technical signal out of all of this. Looks like all we did is play hunt the stops.

Paris ib 15:57 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD where are the stops?

Thank you. I just don't think on a day like today that we can leave this undefined. One way or the other we confirm a trend. So I think odds on we have a close above last week's high. We'll see.

GVI Forex Blog 15:57 GMT April 1, 2011 Reply   
The strong US employment report helped fuel the dollar's move higher against the major pairs. Continued hawkish Fed comments pointing in the direction of tighter policy also gave the greenback a lift, particularly in the JPY and CHF pairs.

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update

ny ws 15:53 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD where are the stops?

ib excellent, I like your style

Gen dk 15:52 GMT April 1, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

JERUSALEM KB 15:52 GMT April 1, 2011
buy EURCHF

thanks hesham ,you did not enter the forum since long time , hope every thing is ok

Gen dk 15:50 GMT April 1, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

JERUSALEM KB 15:50 GMT April 1, 2011
gold

delete this order

Cairo Hesham 15:49 GMT April 1, 2011
buy EURCHF

To KB: good trade ya basha

JERUSALEM KB 15:47 GMT April 1, 2011
buy EURCHF

Entry: 1.2900 Target: 1.3065-1.3205 Stop: 1.2780
------------------------------------------------
closed 1/3 with 68pips
----------------------
now sl to entry another 1/3 to be closed at 1.3065 rest at 1.3205 if seen.------
---------------------------------------------------------------
we did not see the major move yet so:
Break of 1.3038 may target 1.3105 then 1.3205 and may be HIGHER as long as 1.2880 hold
------------------------------------------------------------
closed all with 250pips

Paris ib 15:46 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD where are the stops?

We need to close above 50 to confirm outside week up....

We got some stops...

nyc ws 15:44 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD where are the stops?

Paris ib. You have a good feel on pulse of market today. I do think 1.42 will be difficult but tempting if stops are there.

Paris ib 15:37 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD where are the stops?

Nobody has access to that kind of information, you gotta take an educated guess. Even the guys with big order books have to take educated guesses, they only know what they have on their order books, they can't know what anyone else has.... looks like we are testing here. I'd guess some above today's highs, some above the figure.

nyc ws 15:34 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD where are the stops?

ib, I think large stops are not close but I do not have access to that infoirmation.

Paris ib 15:29 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD where are the stops?
Reply   
Market still looks short. Question is where are the stops???

Gen dk 15:26 GMT April 1, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GVI Forex john 15:25 GMT April 1, 2011
GVI Forex Trading Support

CALENDAR
Entry: Target: Stop:



April 1 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS (high-impact item) for Monday, April 4:

  • Far East: CN- Holiday.
  • Europe: EZ- PPI.
  • North America- US- No major data.
Updated: Trading Events Calendar

GVI Forex Blog 15:25 GMT April 1, 2011 Reply   
After fears about the consequences of Japan’s catastrophe had subsided slightly last week, the movement out of yen into higher-yielding “risk on” currencies has strengthened further in the last few days. Commodity currencies such as AUD, CAD, NZD, NOK, ZAR and BRL saw the highest demand; but the euro, the Swedish krona and emerging Europe currencies like the forint, the zloty and the Turkish lira also rose by 3% and more against the yen.

FX Briefing - Euro firms on interest rate hike expectations

Belgrade TD 15:24 GMT April 1, 2011
Sell EUR

stop triggered at 1,418 (+37) for last 1/4 ... done

Paris ib 15:24 GMT April 1, 2011
Is the market short EUR/USD

Think talk of early tightening is premature. Construction numbers were terrible. To get an outside week up we would need to close higher than last week. What are the odds of that I wonder?

How do you reckon the market is sitting right now?? Just plain squeezed out or are there stronger fundamentals at work here?

dc CB 15:20 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter

"With all the rhetoric about the "self sustaining" recovery, some may forget that back in early 2010 we went through exactly the same song and dance. As we pointed out recently, comparing speeches by James Bullard showed absolutely no difference from the end of March 2011 and 2010. And keep in mind that in early 2010 we had precisely the same "jump" in economic data as we are supposedly experiencing now.......

So basically when the market expected a much stronger response by the Fed a year ago, what we got instead was... QE2 5 short months later. "

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/inflation-expectations-2010-and-2011-compare-and-contrast

Tokyo Rana 15:19 GMT April 1, 2011
long term
Reply   
Sell AUDUSD
Entry: 1.0385 Target: 1000/3000pips Stop: open

sold some....long term....next add 1.10.....happy day,

London Mick 15:17 GMT April 1, 2011
Is the market short EUR/USD

ib anything is possible on an employment Friday -- euro remains in heavy demand on its crosses....

Paris ib 15:12 GMT April 1, 2011
Is the market short EUR/USD

Is a test of today's high possible here ??

Paris ib 15:07 GMT April 1, 2011
Is the market short EUR/USD
Reply   
Is the market short EUR/USD and if so where are the stops?

Who has to talk from here on in? Any more FED people talking??

dc CB 14:58 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter



New recovery high for the only index that matters to the "press".

Also for those who sold the Long bond on the unemploment report are now underwater. The Feds will we/won't we chops up some more.

Gen dk 14:55 GMT April 1, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Paris ib 14:54 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD
Reply   
Back to where we started before the release of Payrolls.

Gen dk 14:49 GMT April 1, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Gen dk 14:39 GMT April 1, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Paris ib 14:25 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter

Great link. Stocks don't seem to be buying into the tightening scenario AT ALL !! Very choppy market.

Mtl JP 14:15 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter

fwiw here is another point of view on the caliber of personel in Washington:
Bernanke Meets His Inept Match In Bill Dudley - realclearmarkets
-
These geniuses are going to insult people until one day Twitter / facebook goes viral with their idiot mocking message and... we get a nice social dislocation

GVI Forex Blog 14:11 GMT April 1, 2011 Reply   

Improved Non-Farm Payrolls Driving U.S. Dollar Higher

GVI Forex Jay 14:10 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter

How about this level: eur/usd bounced off daily trendline (1.4060) - click on subject (above) to see initial post

GVI Forex john 14:10 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter



ECONOMIC DATA CHART
Entry: Target: Stop:

Last PMI of the day (U.S.) dead on estimates and a touch softer but at a very high level for this series...

Belgrade TD 14:04 GMT April 1, 2011
Sell EUR

GVI Forex Jay 13:59:22 GMT - 04/01/2011

thanks Jay :)

GVI Forex Jay 14:02 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter

Dudley - stays dovish

Now is not the time for the Fed to reverse course and tighten policy

GVI Forex john 14:00 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter

-- ALERT --
U.S. March mfg PMI
61.2 vs. 61.2 exp. vs. 61.4 prev

U.S. February Construction
-1.4% vs. 0.0% exp. vs. 0.7% prev





TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Jay 13:59 GMT April 1, 2011
Sell EUR

TD, nice trade and timely presented.

Belgrade TD 13:56 GMT April 1, 2011
Sell EUR

Belgrade TD 11:49 GMT March 31, 2011
Entry: 1,4217 Target: 1,405/1,39 Stop: ~+1,4320
///
Belgrade TD 12:01 GMT April 1, 2011
1/4 out at 1,4155 (+62) ... reducing some risk ...
///
another 2/4 out near first target at 1,4066 (+151) ... new stop at 1,4180 ... for rest 1/4

UK PLC 13:52 GMT April 1, 2011
usd/yen
Reply   
Sell USDJPY
Entry: 8472 Target: 8135 Stop: 8518

usd/jpy

HK [email protected] 13:51 GMT April 1, 2011
USD/JPY 85.60 next
Reply   
.

UK PLC 13:49 GMT April 1, 2011
euro/jpy
Reply   
Sell EURJPY
Entry: 119.17 Target: 11566 Stop: 11963

euro/jpy

Lahore FM 13:30 GMT April 1, 2011
CHF

thanx LC your remarks are quite heartening!!

San Diego LC 13:27 GMT April 1, 2011
CHF

FM - your calls and updates are always appreciated. Thanks for your generosity in sharing your skills with all.

Lahore FM 13:24 GMT April 1, 2011
CHF

GVI Forex Jay 13:12 GMT April 1, 2011

thanx Jay!

---
gentlemen sorry for inundating the forum.moves needed updates on closes and sl amends.

Lahore FM 13:22 GMT April 1, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Buy USDJPY
Entry: 80.94 Target: Stop: 83.20 for last 1/3rd

Lahore FM 13:23:31 GMT - 03/29/2011

Buy USDJPY
Entry: 80.94 Target: Stop: 81.35 for 2/3rds
Lahore FM 05:51:19 GMT - 03/28/2011

Buy USDJPY
Entry: 80.94 Target: Stop: 80.94 for 2/3rds
--

sl raised to 81.35 for two thirds long from 80.94.
--
clsoed 2nd 1/3rd at 84.26 now and raised sl on last 1/3rd to 83.20.

this trade also goes to show that a small stop of 30 pips can land a good trade on large tp side

ldn ct 13:18 GMT April 1, 2011
usdjpy
Reply   
Buy USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

Buy into dips while above 83.60. Preference is below 84 than above

Lahore FM 13:18 GMT April 1, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Buy OTHER
Entry: 82.54 cadjpy Target: 95.00 Stop: 85.20 for last 1/3rd

Lahore FM 13:26:07 GMT - 03/29/2011

Buy OTHER
Entry: 82.54 Target: 95.00 Stop: 83.20 for two thirds
Lahore FM 22:25:43 GMT - 03/23/2011

Buy OTHER
Entry: 82.54 cadjpy Target: 95.00 Stop: none for now
long here too.
--
closed 1/3rd now at 84.30 and placed sl for two thirds at 83.20
--

closed 2md 1/3rd now at 87.28 for 474+ so far.

Lahore FM 13:15 GMT April 1, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Buy USDCHF
Entry: 0.9158 Target: Stop: 0.9190 for half

Lahore FM 16:46:48 GMT - 03/31/2011

Buy USDCHF
Entry: 0.9158 Target: Stop: warch your own risk
long here off four hour charts.think correction lower from recenbt highs near 0.9270 is over and we go much higher next upleg.


this makes a furrther eurusd rise a bit suspect.we will know before week is out.

--
sl for half remainder long 0.9158 now at 0.9190

Lahore FM 13:13 GMT April 1, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Buy USDCAD
Entry: 0.9701 Target: Stop: 0.9680

Lahore FM 16:48:09 GMT - 03/31/2011

Buy USDCAD
Entry: 0.9701 Target: Stop: 0.9680 for two
added long.holding one small long from earlier at 0.9758.
--
stopepd on two.minus 78 for small long and minus 20 for second long.

GVI Forex Jay 13:12 GMT April 1, 2011
CHF
Reply   
Buy EURCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

Bern DS, it took a few days but eur/chf finally performing as suggested. See details

EURCHF Thread

Also, FM, nice call in USD/CHF

London Mick 13:08 GMT April 1, 2011
euro

Why trade euro outright when all the trends are in the crosses. This is where real money is flowing.

Lahore FM 13:08 GMT April 1, 2011
-- Trade Ideas --

Sell Gold
Entry: 1434.30 Target: Stop: 1430.00 for half

Lahore FM 12:56:44 GMT - 03/31/2011

Sell Gold
Entry: 1434.30 Target: Stop: 1444
sold again

last short gave 6 usd profit cumulative.
--
closed half now 1420.60.lowered sl on rest of it.

to dr unken katt 13:05 GMT April 1, 2011
euro
Reply   


..

London ex 13:04 GMT April 1, 2011
GBPUSD

never shorted GBPUSD chickened out earlier..

I have been thinking since yesterday you have to be long EURUSD into the ECB next week. Problem is the USDJPY flows are screwing up the EURUSD trade.

Maybe they are presenting an opportunity?

Would love some feed back !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

GVI Forex john 12:48 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter

- Top of the hour another Hawk Fisher to speak.
- Hawks have been speaking with a fairly uniform message, pushing for an earlier Fed tightening.
- Their comments have been EURUSD negative.

GVI Forex john 12:44 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter

ECONOMIC DATA CHART
Entry: Target: Stop:


Click on chart for more than 10-yr history

GVI Forex john 12:36 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter

MARKET CHATTER
Entry: Target: Stop:

- Employment data a little better than expected but close (relatively) to forecasts.
- Average hourly earnings fell -0.1% bodes poorly for slackness in the labor market.
- EURUSD dips

GVI Forex john 12:32 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter

ALERT
Entry: Target: Stop:

-- ALERT --
U.S. March Jobs
NFP: 216K vs. 192K exp. vs. 194Kr prev
Private Jobs: 230K vs. 224K exp. vs. 240Kr prev
Rate:8.8% vs. 8.9% exp. vs. 8.9% prev




TTN: Live News Special Offer

UK PLC 12:30 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter

Just shifting the the 1% side of the boat earlier.....

GVI Forex Blog 12:29 GMT April 1, 2011 Reply   
Dllar-Swiss is continuing to trade above the 21-DMA (currently at 0.9175) which is very significant to be watched.

FX Thoughts for the day : 01-Apr-2011 - 1227 GMT

Gen dk 12:22 GMT April 1, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

London Mick 12:22 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter

PLC you seem to be alone in your usdjpy view.

HK [email protected] 12:17 GMT April 1, 2011
USD/JPY
Reply   
Resulting from the present calamities in Japan, as I mentioned before, it is possible repatriation will be delayed until more accurate assessment of the situation.

It is even possible that funds may be diverted to other countries to safer investment location.

So Yen maybe heading for some fall in the coming weeks, which make it all better for Japan.


UK PLC 12:14 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter

Breached level is still relevant after nfp but for now 10397-10418 is ok for the trip back to 9744 again....

philadelphia caba 12:09 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter

ok, and update for aud/usd after your level was breached?

HK [email protected] 12:02 GMT April 1, 2011
Dr. Michio Kaku says three raging meltdowns under way at Fukushima
Reply   

Better watch scientist opinion than that of politician liars.

http://naturalnews.tv/v.asp?v=604AB3FA803FF3647DF6E34EC5E8C8A0

Three raging meltdowns are underway. Direct quote from Dr. Kaku:

"If it goes to a full-scale evacuation of all personnel, it means that firefighters are no longer putting water onto the cores. That's the only thing preventing a full-scale meltdown at three reactor sites. Once they evacuate, then we past the point of no return. Meltdowns are inevitable at three reactor sites, leading to a tragedy far beyond that of Chernobyl, creating permanent dead zones in Japan."
////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////


Belgrade TD 12:01 GMT April 1, 2011
Sell EUR

Belgrade TD 11:49 GMT March 31, 2011
Entry: 1,4217 Target: 1,405/1,39 Stop: ~+1,4320
///
1/4 out at 1,4155 (+62) ... reducing some risk ...

UK PLC 11:58 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter

CORRECTION..8350-70 back to 8135 after nfp ...g/t to all... = 8427-8447 back to 8135 after nfp....

UK PLC 11:52 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter

Whatever the nfp figure is , market reaction would be to put a short term halt to the USD been used as a funding currency that has been fueling flows to high yielding currencies.....so a temporary ceiling to be build for carry trades....rather than trading euro/usd from today onwards the euro/yen , and aud/usd should offer better r./r after nfp release.. from major crosses usd/jpy is also good ..8350-70 back to 8135 after nfp ...g/t to all...

HK [email protected] 11:52 GMT April 1, 2011
The end of the Japanese Nuclear-Kmikaze approaches.
Reply   
Exclusive: WANTED: U.S. workers for crippled Japan nuke plant

By Scott DiSavino and David Sheppard - Reuters – Thu, 31 Mar, 2011 7:55 PM EDT

NEW YORK (Reuters) - As foreign assignments go this must be just about the most dangerous going.
A U.S. recruiter is hiring nuclear power workers in the United States to help Japan gain control of the stricken Fukushima Daiichi plant, which has been spewing radiation.
The qualifications: Skills gained in the nuclear industry, a passport, a family willing to let you go, willingness to work in a radioactive zone.
The rewards: Higher than normal pay and the challenge of solving a major crisis.
"About two weeks ago we told our managers to put together a wish list of anyone interested in going to Japan," said Joe Melanson, a recruiter at specialist nuclear industry staffing firm Bartlett Nuclear in Plymouth, Massachusetts, on Thursday.
So far, the firm has already signed up some workers who will be flying to Japan on Sunday.

"The pay will definitely be better than the average pay (for a nuclear technician) over here," Melanson said, but declined to specify exactly what the average salary would be. It is not clear how long they will be working in Japan, but Melanson estimated it would be at least a month.

http://ca.news.yahoo.com/exclusive-wanted-u-workers-crippled-japan-nuke-plant-20110331-165506-832.html

Mtl JP 11:44 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter

I posted this yesty, fwiw:

Since Ben's August 2010 jackson hole speech

official job numbers have gone like this:

Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Jan	Feb
-57	-24	210	93	152	63	192


GVI Forex john 11:37 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter

Some PERSONAL thoughts on the Jobs number posted earlier on GVI Forex

GVI Forex john 09:50 GMT April 1, 2011
Mng: Reply

Obviously I don't know what anybody knows about the employment data today, but I do know that the data are treated like a state secret and simply do not leak. It used to be that only the President and the Fed Chairman get the data the night before. That policy probably has not changed.

It is highly unlikely that Bernanke would have passed the data on to another Fed member. There would be no point in doing so. I have no opinions on the data today. To me they are a random event to react to and not to try to anticipate.

Nevertheless we have the markets talking about an above consensus outcome AGAIN. If nothing, they are consistent, and the regular above consensus forecasts have been consistently wrong for years now. Don't go to Las Vegas with this bunch!

JERUSALEM KB 11:05 GMT April 1, 2011
audnzd

it is hoovering around my enter and it turn side way may close it at break even if seen or may be now

JERUSALEM KB 10:56 GMT April 1, 2011
gold
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1441 Target: 1456-1486 Stop: 1427

buy a break of 1439.5

GVI Forex Jay 10:56 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter



TECH TALK
Entry: Target: Stop:

10:50 GMT (Global-View.com) April 1 - Roll the dice, time for the monthly US employment report. The focus of the market is on USD/JPY and JPY crosses (CHF weaker as well) as investment flows roll out of the US as a funding currency to other lower yielding currencies.

This has the EUR/USD caught in the middle of a tug-of-war, supported by cross offsets but so far not enough to establish above 1.42. This makes 1.41-1.42 sort of a no man’s land with key levels outside of it. Expect 1.4150 to set the bias today.

Below 1.41:
1.4060 = key daily trendline
1.4041 = 20 day mva
1.4019 = this week’s low

Above 1.42:
1.4233 = Thursday high
1.4249 = key March 22 high

Note 100 hour (green line) and 200 hour (yellow line) mvas are on 1.41+

USD/JPY key levels:
83.63 = 200 day mva (focus on close vs. this level)
83.98 = key Feb 16 and 2011 high
84.51 = key Dec 15 high
85.00 = pivotal big figure
85.68 = major monthly trendline

Supports start at .83.29 and .83.20

GVI Forex john 10:45 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter

USD PIVOT POINTS
Entry: Target: Stop:

Some possible trading points for today...

Pivots	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD
Res 3	1.4369	83.99	0.9272	1.6272	0.9767	1.0445
Res 2	1.4301	83.60	0.9234	1.6211	0.9748	1.0408
Res 1	1.4249	83.32	0.9198	1.6136	0.9720	1.0381

Pivot	1.4181	82.93	0.9160	1.6075	0.9701	1.0344

Sup 1	1.4129	82.65	0.9124	1.6000	0.9673	1.0317
Sup 2	1.4061	82.26	0.9086	1.5939	0.9654	1.0280
Sup 3	1.4009	81.98	0.9050	1.5864	0.9626	1.0253

GVI Forex Blog 10:29 GMT April 1, 2011 Reply   
The yen fell on Friday to a 10-month low against the euro and below its 200-day moving average versus the dollar, with the greenback likely to push higher if a key U.S. jobs report beats expectations.

FOREX NEWS - Yen pressured, may fall more on strong U.S. jobs

GVI Forex john 10:22 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter

MARKET CHATTER
Entry: Target: Stop:

  • U.S. employment data week. ADP data suggest a gain of about 200K.

  • Here we go again. Private estimates for a gain of up to +300K now bouncing around..

  • Appears markets are looking beyond the jobs data to ECB hike next week. 

  • EURUSD has eased o a "safer" level pre-data.

  • EZ flash HICP (CPI) +2.6%yy supportive of a rate hike next Thu.

  • EU sovereign debt crisis continues..

  • USDJPY bid. Fiscal yearend over. Nuclear reactor problems persist

  • Weaker than expected U.K. mfg PMI.



GVI Forex john 10:21 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter
Reply   
North America Market Chatter thread

Gen dk 10:11 GMT April 1, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

GVI Forex Blog 10:00 GMT April 1, 2011 Reply   
Overall the markets were quiet in terms of price action but speculation was simmering on the upcoming US payroll data with talks of an upside surprise likely in the release. The euphoria over the jobs number being cited to remarks Fed's Kochelakota overnight, who said

TradeTheNews.com European Market Update: Market ponders whether Fed's Kocherlakota leaked today's Non Farm Payrolls by suggesting 75bps tightening would be about normal

Tokyo Rana 09:53 GMT April 1, 2011
jpy
Reply   
Sell USDCHF
Entry: 0.9220 Target: 100/200pips Stop: 0.9245

sold little.......happy day,

TUTONG BRU 09:45 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD is in a range.
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: 1.4285 Stop:

EUR/USD is in a range..

London ex 09:23 GMT April 1, 2011
GBPUSD
Reply   
GBPUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Toying with a GBPUSD sale around current levels. I don't see any rally being sustained. All kinds of lows below 1.6000 (1.5977-1.5983) can be seen as support or as pregnant ground for an April Fools Day "stop hunt". I see it as the latter.

Any comment appreciated?

Other TRADING IDEAS?

GVI Forex Blog 09:00 GMT April 1, 2011 Reply   
U.S. employment data week. ADP data suggest a gain of about 200K. Here we go again. Private estimates for a gain of up to +300K now bouncing around.. Appears markets are looking beyond the jobs data to ECB hike next week.

Daily GVI Forex Forex View- 10:00 GMT- 1 Apr 11 North America-Europe

GVI Forex john 09:00 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter

ALERT
Entry: Target: Stop:

-- ALERT --
EZ Unemployment
9.9% vs. 9.9% exp. vs. 10.0% prev



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john 08:39 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter

- Much weaker than expected U.K. manufacturing PMI.
- GBPUSD falls sharply. Lets see if it rebounds?
- Major chart support below (to 1.5936) the 1.6000 line in range.

GVI Forex john 08:36 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter



U.K. manufacturing PMI much weaker than expected. Is it moving back in line with the services index?

GVI Forex john 08:30 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter

-- ALERT --
U.K. MFG PMI
57.1 vs. 60.6 exp. vs. 61.5 prev

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john 08:14 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter

- Modest downward revision to EZ flash PMI estimate 57.5 vs. 57.7 prev. Flash estimate is normally (but not always pretty close.
- Little reaction in EURUSD. Market waiting for U.S. jobs data.
- UK PMI up next. U.S. PMI mid-morning in the U.S.

GVI Forex john 08:03 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter



EZ final mfg PMI revised down slightly..

GVI Forex john 07:58 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter

-- ALERT -- EZ final MFG PMI
57.5 vs. 57.7 exp. vs. 57.7 prev

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john 07:53 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter



Chinese PMI...

GVI Forex john 07:45 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter



Swiss PMI easier but still at a high level overall (59.3)..

dxb 07:41 GMT April 1, 2011
EURUSD

hi, 14725 basis on what statistics u derive to this #

Syd 07:21 GMT April 1, 2011
Wellink says ECB should stop buying debt paper - report
Reply   
AMSTERDAM (Reuters) - The European Central Bank should stop its current policy of buying sovereign debt paper because the risks are becoming too big, ECB Governing Council member Nout Wellink was quoted on Friday as saying.

"We can simply continue to print more money. It is not good but it is possible. But we have to stop the current policy because the risks are becoming too big," Wellink was quoted as saying in Dutch financial daily Het Financieele Dagblad.
"We are buying paper from banks, from the private sector, and from governments. That is not what we are on earth for. If things turn bad the value decline is for our account," he was cited as saying.

www.xplosivestocks.com/Finance-News-Hot-Penny-Stocks/wellink-says-ecb-should-stop-buying-debt-paper-report.php

Syd 07:10 GMT April 1, 2011
Portugal Sets Vote as Crisis Deepens .
Reply   
LISBON—Portugal said Thursday it missed its 2010 budget-deficit goal and has been forced to revise previous-year figures, a blow to market confidence in the country's fiscal management. LINK

hk ooozmeeh 07:09 GMT April 1, 2011
gold

Buy Gold
Entry: 1435.70 Target: Stop:

buy gold again 1435.70

Ind! Rafe... 07:04 GMT April 1, 2011
EURUSD
Reply   
EURUSD : - Headed to 14725.

Hong Kong 06:44 GMT April 1, 2011
EUR/USD Intra-day signal by AceTrader
Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

INTRA-DAY EUR/USD OUTLOOK

Last Update At 01 Apr 2011 05:56 GMT

Rate : 1.4171


Despite euro's sideways move inside Asia after
y'day's retreat fm 1.4233 to 1.4154 (NY), as this
move signals correction fm Mon's 1.4021 has possi-
bly ended there, consolidation with downisde bias
remains, below 1.4149/54 confirms n yields 1.4116.
Sell on further recovery for 1.4155 1st n only
abv 1.4206/11 aborts, risks gain to 1.4223/33.


Range Forecast
1.4160 / 1.4190

Resistance/Support
R: 1.4206/1.4233/1.4249
S: 1.4149/1.4116/1.4075

http://www.acetraderfx.com

GVI Forex Blog 06:32 GMT April 1, 2011 Reply   
***Economic Data*** - (CH) CHINA MAR PMI MANUFACTURING: 53.4 V 54.0E (3-month high, 1st increase in 4 months) - (JP) JAPAN Q1 TANKAN LGE MANUFACTURERS INDEX: 6 V 5E; LARGE MFG OUTLOOK: 2 V 2E

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: China sets a date to hike rates? South Korea y/y CPI hits 28-month high; AUD/JPY makes a run to ¥86.70

Syd 06:30 GMT April 1, 2011
Juliar Gillard
Reply   
http://www.2gb.com/index2.php?option=com_newsmanager&task=view&id=8299

Syd 06:11 GMT April 1, 2011
AUSTRALIANS would face an $863 hike in annual household costs when a price is put on carbon pollutio
Reply   
AUSTRALIANS would face an $863 hike in annual household costs when a price is put on carbon pollution, new Treasury modelling predicts.
Advice to Treasurer Wayne Swan reveals a $30 a tonne carbon price would lift household costs by $16.60 a week, before any compensation is offered.
Treasury modelling released under Freedom of Information laws also warns against using carbon tax compensation as an instrument of tax reform, as suggested by climate change adviser Ross Garnaut.

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/climate/treasury-modelling-forecasts-the-cost-impact-of-putting-a-price-on-carbon/story-e6frg6xf-1226032093086



The rumored merger and acquisition flows according to some traders reason for recent strength of the Australian dollar , the orders will eventually dissipate, pulling the rug out from the Australian dollar says currency strategist Sue Trinh RBC Capital Markets in Hong Kong. "The Australian dollar is vulnerable once the (rumored) M&A inflow dries up at the end of this week, especially as speculative longs are likely near record highs," she said. Trinh expects a pull back to parity

Syd 05:58 GMT April 1, 2011
U.S. employers
Reply   
Economists in a Dow Jones Newswires survey expect the report to show U.S. employers added 195,000 new jobs in March, following 192,000 new hires in February. The unemployment rate is forecast to stay unchanged at 8.9%.

Syd 05:13 GMT April 1, 2011
1000 contaminated bodies left untouched in nuclear zone
Reply   
If the bodies were handed back to relatives without decontamination, cremating them could spread plumes containing radioactive substances, while burying them might contaminate the soil, the report said.

www.smh.com.au/environment/1000-contaminated-bodies-left-untouched-in-nuclear-zone-20110401-1cnw2.html

Syd 04:45 GMT April 1, 2011
Australian Manufacturing Rocked By Soaring Currency
Reply   
Australia's manufacturing sector contracted in March for the fourth time in five months, weighed down by the increasing cost of raw materials and the impact of a strong Australian dollar. Within Australia's A$1.3 trillion economy, tourism accounts for about 2.6% of gross domestic product, or A$26 billion of revenue, while education services is the country's largest service export-valued at close to A$20 billion a year.
Manufacturing contributes about 10% to the country's GDP and as recently as 2009 included about 9% of all people employed in Australia within its ranks. Within sectors, the decline in manufacturing was most pronounced in clothing and footwear, food and beverages, textiles and fabricated metals. After a lift in February, new orders fell again in March.


Syd 04:40 GMT April 1, 2011
PBOC Adviser: China Likely To Make Real Interest Rates Positive This Year - Report
Reply   
China will likely continue raising benchmark interest rates until real interest rates are positive, the state-run China Securities Journal reported Friday, citing People's Bank of China adviser Xia Bin. "As curbing inflation is still China's priority this year, it's better to raise interest rates as soon as possible to stabilize the market's expectations," the report cited Xia as saying. Xia said the country's benchmark deposit rate is too low compared with its inflation level, according to the report.

PBoC Professor Wang Yong said that China should consider doubling the size of reserve require ratio increases to 100bps


Australia Coal Mines Still Recovering From Queensland Flooding
Three-quarters of the coal mines in Australia's resource-rich Queensland state are still pumping out water after destructive flooding that cut annual production by an estimated 30 million metric tons, an industry body said Friday. The council in early March said it and independent consultants forecast coal production losses of at least A$5 billion this financial year.



HK [email protected] 04:37 GMT April 1, 2011
K.I.S-JPY-Repatriation
Reply   
It makes no sense to repatriate funds back to Japan, until the Fukushima issue will be resolved, as what may be fixed by repatriated money may get damaged again by another calamity.

Maybe funds repatriation should be held until the situation will become more clear.

That may raise a Q. about what values the yen will get in the near future.

GVI Forex Blog 04:28 GMT April 1, 2011 Reply   
The Dow (12,319.73, -0.25%) ran into some profit-taking yesterday,

Morning Briefing : 01-Apr-2011 -0336 GMT

HK [email protected] 04:25 GMT April 1, 2011
A possible futuristic contingency plan for Japan Apocalyptic event.
Reply   
All resourceful nations in the world must be prepared to take in the best of Japanese people and all possible useful equipment.

Scientists, engineers, technicians teachers skilled workers and all the children.....

Will be left on the islands the Yakuzza and other useless criminals to begin a new nation like the first UK exiled criminals to Australia.

Syd 04:23 GMT April 1, 2011
Ex RBA HSBC Australia's chief economist Paul Bloxham
Reply   
HSBC Australia's chief economist Paul Bloxham said the case for a 50-basis-point increase in the Reserve Bank's cash rate - currently 4.75 per cent - by the end of the year could be weakened by the dollar if the currency remains strong.“The big mover in the past couple of weeks is that there is probably more downside risk to rates,” said Mr Bloxham.
“If the exchange rate persists at a high level (the RBA) might not have to (lift rates by 50 basis points).”
The RBA board meets on Tuesday to consider interest rates. Market and analysts expect there will be no change.
Once the US Federal Reserve begins lifting its interest rate, the Aussie dollar's yield will fall in comparison to the greenback, making it less attractive to investors.
Overnight, Minneapolis Fed president Narayana Kocherlakota said it was “certainly possible" US Fed rates could rise by 50 basis points by the end of the year.




HK [email protected] 04:05 GMT April 1, 2011
What will happen after all the expert technicians volunteers resources will be spent?
Reply   
*Workers at the disaster-stricken Fukushima nuclear plant in Japan say they expect to die from radiation sickness as a result of their efforts to bring the reactors under control, the mother of one of the men tells Fox News.
The so-called Fukushima 50, the team of brave plant workers struggling to prevent a meltdown to four reactors critically damaged by the March 11 earthquake and tsunami, are being repeatedly exposed to dangerously high radioactive levels as they attempt to bring vital cooling systems back online.
(Fox News)
..............................................................................

*Crews 'facing 100-year battle' at Fukushima
http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2011/04/01/3179487.htm

A nuclear expert has warned that it might be 100 years before melting fuel rods can be safely removed from Japan's Fukushima nuclear plant.

The warning came as levels of radioactive iodine flushed into the sea near the plant spiked to a new high and the Wall Street Journal said it had obtained disaster response blueprints which said the plant's operators were woefully unprepared for the scale of the disaster.

Water is still being poured into the damaged reactors to cool melting fuel rods.

But one expert says the radiation leaks will be ongoing and it could take 50 to 100 years before the nuclear fuel rods have completely cooled and been removed.
///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

My Q. is....
What will happen after they will fall asick or die.
Can they find other expert volunteers who are willing to die?

Can one find that big number of suicidal volunteers for 50 or 100 years?

Prepare for the worst scenario!!!

This nuclear matter may explode by this or that way, spewing up all the 877 tons of active fuel and estimated 3400 tons of stored spent fuel, all about 4277 metric tons of radioactive goodies. Depends on the wind direction at that time. If the wind will turn inland most of Japan will turn uninhabitable.

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/amount-radioactive-fuel-fukushima-dwarfs-chernobyl

Syd 03:10 GMT April 1, 2011
Bob Brown warns Julia Gillard's attacks on Greens are 'divisive'
Reply   
Greens Leader Bob Brown today attacked a "poorly advised" Julia Gillard for her savage dismissal of his party and warned her comments could be "divisive" for the agreement supporting minority government
Trouble at mill lad !!

Syd 02:05 GMT April 1, 2011
Italy threatens forced repatriation on flood of North African migrants if European allies don't take
Reply   
In recent weeks more than 18,000 immigrants have arrived on the tiny rocky outcrop of Lampedusa, which is closer to north Africa than mainland Italy, pushing resources to the limit.
www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1371896/Italy-attacks-scandalous-refusal-European-nations-Lampedusas-migrants.html

Hong Kong 01:38 GMT April 1, 2011
Daily FX Market Outlook by AceTrader-1-4-2011
Reply   
Market Review - 31/03/2011 20:14 GMT

Euro pares gains after Fed's U.S. rate hike remarks

The single currency pared some of the intra-day gains after Minneapolis Fed President Narayana Kocherlakota, a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee, commented in Wall Street Journal that 'Fed could raise rates by end of 2011'.

Earlier, the single currency rose above previous resistance at 1.4148/49 and price then rallied to 1.4233 in European morning after the higher-than-expected eurozone March inflation data, however, the euro tanked to 1.4164 in New York morning on Reuters news that the European Central Bank would not announce plans for a new liquidity facility to help Irish banks. Later, although the single currency managed to recover in New York midday after the Irish bank stress test results were released as most of the details had leaked out earlier, the euro retreated again after U.S. interest rate hike comments from Fed's Narayana Kocherlakota.

Ireland said its four remaining banks require another 24 billion euros ($34.1 billion) to enable them to withstand potential losses from worsening economic situation. Ireland's central bank said under 'stress test' scenario, the banks would be required to maintain a minimum capital ratio of 6%. Allied Irish Banks, Bank of Ireland, Educational Building Society (EBS) and Irish Life and Permanent need 13.3, 5.2, 1.5 and 4 billion euros respectively.

Eurozone March inflation estimated at 2.6% y/y versus the expectation of 2.3% and much higher than the reading of 2.4% in February.

The European Commission, IMF and European Central Bank said in a joint statement that bank stress tests published are a major step toward restoring Ireland's banking system to health and can be comfortably funded under the country's IMF-EU bailout program.

The British pound fell against the dollar due to active cross-selling in sterling especially versus the single currency. Although cable extended erratic upmove from this Monday's low of 1.5937 to 1.6152 in European morning, selling interest there capped intra-day rise and price later tumbled to 1.6117 on aggressive cross-selling in sterling following remarks from Bank of England policy maker David Miles. The eur/gbp cross pair extended recent ascent to a five-month high of 0.8853.

In a speech to the Home Builders Federation, David Miles said requirements for larger mortgage deposits from first-time buyers were likely to lead to low transaction levels for several years. Monthly Mortgage approvals in Britain have hovered just below 50,000 since the financial crisis, compared to levels of 80,000-90,000 during the previous decade. Miles added BOE needs to recalibrate link between bank rate and mortgage rate.

Earlier, the British pound was supported by the slightly better-than-expected U.K. Gfk consumer confidence and the unexpectedly increase in U.K. house prices. The latest GfK NOP Consumer Confidence Index showed UK consumer confidence remained unchanged at -28 in March, however, the reading is still 13 points lower compared to the same month in 2010. U.K. Nationwide house prices rose 0.5% M/M in March and 0.1% Y/Y versus economists' forecast of -0.1% M/M and -0.7% Y/Y respectively.

Data to be released on Friday include:

Japan's Tankan big manufacturing and capex; Swiss retail sales and PMI; German manufacturing PMI; EU manufacturing PMI and unemployment rate; U.S. non-farm payrolls, private payrolls, unemployment rate, construction spending and ISM manufacturing.

http://www.acetraderfx.com

Syd 01:30 GMT April 1, 2011
AUD/USD Needs An RBA Rethink To Get A Lift - NAB
Reply   
National Australia Bank's fair value estimate for AUD/USD hasn't budged from around parity in recent days, and it continues to be cautious about expecting further significant gains in the absence of a ramping-up in RBA rate hike expectations or a bout of broad-based USD weakness. NAB's head of currency strategy John Kyriakopoulos says right now, the AUD/USD is 3.5% above fair value which is a bit of a warning sign. Adds news Thursday of slightly stronger-than-expected retail sales growth in February didn't push up RBA rate hike expectations. The Australia-US 2-year swap yield advantage has actually narrowed to 415 bps, a seven-month low, from 425 bps a week ago.

Syd 01:22 GMT April 1, 2011
The ‘grand bargain’ is just a start
Reply   
Europe will relapse
Those who lent so foolishly and those who borrowed so foolishly are implicated. , the biggest failing in the plan for a permanent European stability mechanism is that its resources – a total of €500 billion – would be insufficient to manage liquidity crises in larger countries. Moreover, as my colleague Wolfgang Münchau has also noted, even this depends on resources from countries that may themselves need to be rescued. Only in a crisis would it become clear whether the conditions for survival would be met. This crisis provides the test.
www.ft.com/cms/s/0/0364f530-5a4a-11e0-8367-00144feab49a.html#axzz1IEJ7owVe

Syd 00:50 GMT April 1, 2011
Rates, prices cap home building: HIA
Reply   
New home building will fall 15 per cent in 2011 as interest rates and poor affordability wipe out recent stimulus-driven gains, Australia's peak residential construction body says.
HIA wants the federal government to introduce further stimulus measures to boost new housing starts so they don't fall back to 2009 global financial crisis levels.Housing starts are forecast to fall by 15 per cent to a level of 143,430 in 2011, wiping out a majority of the short-lived, stimulus driven gains of last year," HIA chief economist Harley Dale

Syd 00:45 GMT April 1, 2011
Forex Forecasting for Q2
Reply   
As the first quarter draws to a close, Lee Wai Tuck, Currency Markets Strategist at Forecast, discusses the likelihood of more policy tightenings and its effect on the currency market.
www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1863925255&play=1

Syd 00:42 GMT April 1, 2011
Trim AUD/USD Bets As US Hawks Set To Fly - BNP
Reply   
The AUD/USD extends gains amid AUD/JPY buying but caution is warranted from here, after the AUD/USD marked yet another new post-float high of 1.0373 overnight, breaking a rumored option barrier at 1.0350, says BNP. It says risk in general remains bid, but the AUD continues to benefit from investment flows from Japan as investors flock to higher yields, backstopped by the BOJ. The house adds that with the Fed now actively debating an end to quantitative easing--and a subsequent withdrawal of liquidity--the recent USD selling may be coming to an end. Accordingly, BNP advises laying further AUD strength against the likes of JPY and CHF rather than the USD.

Syd 00:35 GMT April 1, 2011
Spain to miss deficit targets: central bank
Reply   
Spain, struggling to avoid a debt bailout, will miss key public deficit targets this year and next, the central bank warned Wednesday as it also pointed to slower-than-expected growth ahead.

http://www.cs.com.cn/english/media/201103/t20110331_2830264.html

Syd 00:10 GMT April 1, 2011
China Economist: Interest Rate Hikes Necessary To Rein In Excess Liquidity - Report
Reply   
China must rely on interest rates hikes to rein in excessive liquidity, as other administrative measures are ineffective, a prominent economist at a government think tank said in an article published in the China Securities Journal on Friday.
China's consumer price index in March is likely to rise above 5%, and early April appears to be another window for an interest rate hike, Liu Yuhui, a senior economist of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS) said in the newspaper article. He said that China's CPI could reach close to 6% from April to July, and then moderate to around 4% by the year end. The think tank makes policy suggestions, but doesn't necessarily influence the government's policy-making decisions.
http://www.cs.com.cn/english/

Tonights the night maybe !!

GVI Forex john 00:07 GMT April 1, 2011
Market Chatter



ECONOMIC DATA CHART
Entry: Target: Stop:

Weak Tankan survey, as expected. Note final data point is the respondent's ESTIMATE for June.

 




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