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Forex Forum Archive for 09/1/2011

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Syd 23:50 GMT September 1, 2011
Schäuble wants new EU treaty!
Reply   
In response to the euro debt crisis will finance Wolfgang Schäuble (CDU), far-reaching EU reforms and so obviously a new EU treaty.

Schäuble's advance also means that the 17 euro countries want from the other ten EU states without € (including UK) massive deposit

Open 23:49 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   

UBS: Watch Hours Worked Data In US Jobs Report

Syd 23:44 GMT September 1, 2011
El-Erian Sees ECB Cutting Rates
Reply   
The European Central Bank will probably cut interest rates as the chance of a recession in the euro zone has risen to 50 percent, Mohamed El-Erian, chief executive officer of Pacific Investment Management Co., said in an interview.

troubles that began in a small part of the economy with questions about Greece’s finances in 2009 are spreading elsewhere.

Syd 23:27 GMT September 1, 2011
gillard
Reply   
Mtl JP 23:20 GMT its all about getting rid of the Witch !!

Mtl JP 23:20 GMT September 1, 2011
Labor MPs urge Prime Minister Julia Gillard to consider quitting

but SYD... according to Julia, she is the best one for the job. and she says she is not going anywhere.
Just look at that aud !

Syd 23:19 GMT September 1, 2011
Greek Budget Expert Fired For Standin Up To Europe, Telling Truth About Country's Insolvency
Reply   
Yesterday we made an amusing contrast between the lies of European insolvent state annexator general Olli Rehn who said that "Greece’s debt is on a “durable declining path” and new projections will show that the second rescue program reduces net liabilities,

The truth hurts

Syd 23:06 GMT September 1, 2011
Labor MP Anthony Albanese attacked by anti-carbon tax protesters
Reply   
FEDERALl Transport Minister Anthony Albanese has been grabbed and abused by anti-carbon tax protesters who marched to his inner Sydney electorate office calling him a "loser" and a "maggot".

Getting nasty !!

Syd 22:34 GMT September 1, 2011
Labor MPs urge Prime Minister Julia Gillard to consider quitting
Reply   
SENIOR Government figures believe Prime Minister Julia Gillard has "lost her authority" and have urged her to weigh whether it is in Labor's best interests for her to remain leader.

GILLARD IS LIKE A TICKING TIMEBOMB

Syd 22:23 GMT September 1, 2011
Greece red-faced after leaked debt warning
Reply   
Greece red-faced after leaked debt warning
The Greek finance ministry was on the defensive on Thursday after a new budget watchdog let slip that the country's massive debt was "out of control"
http://news.ph.msn.com/business/article.aspx?cp-documentid=5222044

Open 22:19 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   

2011 Could Be Deja Vu For ECB, Euro -Citi

Melbourne Qindex 22:16 GMT September 1, 2011
EUR/USD : Current Comments
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : As shown in the monthly cycle directional indicator the market is consolidating within 1.4222 and 1.4356.


Monthly Cycle Directional Indicator : [1.3103] - [1.3326] - [1.3346] - 1.4214 - 1.4222 - 1.4356 - 1.4584 - 1.4620 - 1.4628 - 1.4691 - 1.4938 - 1.5044


Qindex.com


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZEGYpXE5B4

EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts

Syd 22:09 GMT September 1, 2011
Greek budget official resigns after bungled debt warning
Reply   
The head of a Greek budget watchdog resigned on Thursday after a furore over a report warning that the country's massive debt was "out of control" just as officials held critical talks with creditors.

The restaurant sector has described the measure as ruinous and some operators have threatened to withhold the tax to avoid closing down altogether

GVI Forex john 22:07 GMT September 1, 2011
USD Bollinger Bands
Reply   

Bollinger EURUSD USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD
20d Sdev 0.0104	  0.63	0.0252	0.0112	0.0054	0.0143
3 Std Dev 1.4674 78.78	0.8587	1.6694	1.0002	1.0902
2 Std Dev 1.4570 78.15	0.8336	1.6582	0.9948	1.0759
1 Std Dev 1.4466 77.52	0.8084	1.6470	0.9894	1.0617
						
20day Avg 1.4361 76.89	0.7832	1.6357	0.9840	1.0474
						
1 Std Dev 1.4257 76.26	0.7580	1.6245	0.9785	1.0332
2 Std Dev 1.4153 75.64	0.7328	1.6133	0.9731	1.0189
3 Std Dev 1.4049 75.01	0.7076	1.6020	0.9677	1.0046

GVI Forex Blog 22:04 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   
AUD/USD and NZD/USD outlook next 24 hours: NZ and Australia are devoid of data today. Ahead of the all important US non farm payrolls expect quiet trading conditions. NZD will likely be pinned between 0.8480 and 0.8530 on the day. AUD will find buyers just below 1.07 and sellers into 1.0760. Westpac’s August non-farm payrolls forecast of 20k is well below the current consensus expectation of 70k (revised down from 95k). This is, in part, due to our belief that the July outcome benefited from a number of one-offs and the near stall growth conditions in recent months.

Forex - Morning Report (Westpac)

GVI Forex john 21:08 GMT September 1, 2011
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets
Reply   

  • Key Items- EZ- PPI.  US- Monthly Employment.

  • Thursday has seen a slew of data. The first day of the month usually sees many PMI releases. On balance, data mostly weakened from previous releases, but some were not as soft as forecast. Even the Chinese PMI data were gloomy. In general they are pointing to a global recession.

  • Its pretty clear following poor German and EZ PMI manufacturing data that both the EZ and Germany are rapidly slowing. The data suggest that the stubborn monetary policy tightening of the ECB has been a blunder and will have to be reversed in short order.

  • The EURUSD finally showed some signs of weakness  after a number of body blows over the past two days. Official U.S. opposition to the ATT-T-Mobile $40bln merger hurt yesterday as have the PMI data releases today. 

  • Later in the session, disturbing budget deficit forecasts from Greece were released. The government blamed a slowing economy for revenue shortfalls.  

  • The Wednesday August ADP Private employment statistics were softer than expected and tended to point to a sub-100K NFP number for Friday. Many have been dropping their job forecasts for Friday morning, The latest Obama jobs program is due next Thursday at eight PM Eastern U.S. time. 

Cambridge Joe 20:38 GMT September 1, 2011
SP500
Reply   
Looking for a whiff of uplift to the Snp around 21:00... 22:00
but it'll probably bounce from around 1196.

Waiting for a clean shot.

GVI Forex john 20:38 GMT September 1, 2011
USD Pivot Points
Reply   

Pivots	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD
Res 3	1.4516	77.76	0.8207	1.6371	0.9853	1.0891
Res 2	1.4449	77.50	0.8147	1.6314	0.9825	1.0827
Res 1	1.4359	77.16	0.8044	1.6244	0.9790	1.0786

Pivot	1.4292	76.90	0.7984	1.6187	0.9762	1.0722

Sup 1	1.4202	76.56	0.7881	1.6117	0.9727	1.0681
Sup 2	1.4135	76.30	0.7821	1.6060	0.9699	1.0617
Sup 3	1.4045	75.96	0.7718	1.5990	0.9664	1.0576

GVI Forex Blog 20:36 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   
Key Items- EZ- PPI. US- Monthly Employment. Thursday has seen a slew of data. The first day of the month usually sees many PMI releases. On balance, data mostly weakened from previous releases, but some were not as soft as forecast. Even the Chinese PMI data were gloomy. In general they are pointing to a global recession.

Forex Trade Talk 00:00 GMT 2 September 2011

GVI Forex john 20:31 GMT September 1, 2011
USD Moving Averages
Reply   

9/1/2011

20:00

GMT

 

 

 

 

Latest

EURUSD

USDJPY

USDCHF

GBPUSD

USDCAD

AUDUSD

Last

1.4270

76.82

0.7942

1.6174

0.9756

1.0744

High

1.4381

77.24

0.8086

1.6257

0.9796

1.0764

Low

1.4224

76.64

0.7923

1.6130

0.9733

1.0659

Change

-0.0109

0.26

-0.0116

-0.0072

-0.0027

0.0046

MVA

EURUSD

USDJPY

USDCHF

GBPUSD

USDCAD

AUDUSD

5 day

1.4424

76.71

0.8085

1.6298

0.9783

1.0677

10 day

1.4412

76.80

0.7998

1.6361

0.9831

1.0564

20 day

1.4361

76.89

0.7832

1.6357

0.9840

1.0474

50 day

1.4316

78.34

0.8039

1.6232

0.9699

1.0632

100 day

1.4361

79.70

0.8343

1.6289

0.9689

1.0649

200 day

1.3998

81.22

0.8899

1.6115

0.9791

1.0353

TREND

EURUSD

USDJPY

USDCHF

GBPUSD

USDCAD

AUDUSD

BIAS

Up

Down

Up

Down

Down

Up

 

Open 20:28 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   

Goldman Cuts Aug Payroll View

Cambridge Joe 20:18 GMT September 1, 2011
BUY BUY BUY !!!
Reply   
Can't get enough of that Commercial property !

http://uk.news.yahoo.com/rapid-rise-property-values-cause-worry-fund-134731785.html

Must be right.... it's from Reuters.

GVI Forex john 19:48 GMT September 1, 2011
Global-View D.O.G. Iindex
Reply   
19:55 GMT (Global-View.com) September 2- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is closing in North America at .4978, +0.03% from its Wednesday close (-7.48% ytd).

As for its key subcomponents, the USD forex purchasing power index is .7235, -0.09% (-7.03% ytd). The forex index is value is calculated against the top six trading currencies.

Against gold, the USD purchasing power index is currently worth .1578, -0.09% (-2.32% ytd).

Against crude, it is at 0.5010, -0.15% (+2.73% ytd). The D.O.G. Index base is 1.00. It is set against levels from the start of 1999, as of the initial launch of the euro (currency).

D.O.G. Homepage

Mtl JP 19:47 GMT September 1, 2011
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

re EURUSD has not been paying attention

and IF euro were paying attention, and the Greek did go titsup with his sovereign debt, would the market react
positively or
negatively
towards the euro ?

something tells me 1.50 is not 100% off the radar.
tia for views

GVI Forex john 19:46 GMT September 1, 2011
FX Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

Open 19:37 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   

QE3 Good for Gold? (Video)

GVI Forex 19:35 GMT September 1, 2011
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

Thursday, September 01, 2011 2:51:23 PM
(EU) PIMCO's El-Erian: Expects ECB to cut rates as risk of European recession increases; a worsening European economy could cause a global economic recession
- Sees risk of contraction in the euro zone at 50%, risk of US recession between 33% and 50%

TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex john 19:05 GMT September 1, 2011
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

- Headlines have been coming out this afternoon (NY time) about the Greek budget deficit forecasts worsening. Greece is blaming it on the recession. One has to wonder how its bankers (Europe) are going to react to this worsening situation. So far the EURUSD has not been paying attention.

London SFH 18:59 GMT September 1, 2011
NFP
Reply   
Guess this is more or less it till the number tomorrow-gone a bit long of DJI at 11540 for 50 ticks if seen fwiw-,,,

Open 17:55 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   

Currency Traders Paring 'Stale' Long-Euro Positions

GVI Forex john 17:43 GMT September 1, 2011
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

U.S. 10-yr note last was 2.15%, -9bp on the day. That is a large move and indicates dealers have already set up for a weak jobs number tomorrow.

Fx Trading Discussion 17:26 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   

EURUSD Trading Plan

hk ooozmeeh 17:16 GMT September 1, 2011
Calendar

SOCGEN lowers NFP forecast from 67K to 9K (from zerohhedge)

Open 17:12 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   

Euroview: Non-Stick Euro May Be No More (Vid)

Mtl JP 17:01 GMT September 1, 2011
Calendar

can we expect increased calls from FED howlers to tie funds rate to unemployment ?
what can be drawn about estimating market (not)starting to price in another QE?

Fx Trading Discussion 17:01 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   

EURUSD Trading Plan

GVI Forex john 16:35 GMT September 1, 2011
Calendar

We have updated our calendar for the latest street consensus forecasts for NFP tomorrow. +75K is the new figure compared with +105K earlier. Private payrolls are now estimated at 105K.

The latest GS NFP estimate is for +25K vs. +50K previously.

Bottom-line, the direction of revisions is for a lower figure. Look for so-called "whisper numbers" to be revised lower. I have already heard chatter about a negative print. Expect the markets to be set up for a negative outcome.

GVI Forex Blog 16:20 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   
September 1 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, September 2:

GVI Forex- Data Outlook for September 2, 2011

Open 16:20 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   

BOJ WATCH: Policy Board To Discuss Steps Vs Strong Yen

GVI Forex john 16:18 GMT September 1, 2011
Calendar
Reply   


September 1 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, September 2:
Updated: Trading Events Calendar

  • Far East: No major data.
  • Europe: EZ- PPI.
  • North America: U.S.- Employment.


Gen dk 16:10 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Forex Broker News 15:50 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   

ECN vs. a Market Maker

Tokyo Rana 15:50 GMT September 1, 2011
Why is AUDUSD or AUDJPY so strong?

and i mention 1.1/1.2 when audusd was around 0.99/1.03 last month...stilll hold small long

Tokyo Rana 15:48 GMT September 1, 2011
Why is AUDUSD or AUDJPY so strong?

Sell
Entry: Target: Stop:

audusd heading to 1.1 and 1.2...if im not wrong 1.2 all time high so it is eying 1.2 in few months time....iwill short 1.1 and keep adding target around 0.70/0.90 2000/4000pips fall next time...happy trade

la la 15:42 GMT September 1, 2011
Why is AUDUSD or AUDJPY so strong?

Singapore FX that is a good question and one being asked by others who keep trying to short it. Some say it is a link with China and the usdcny. It may also be that there are few places to place money if you do not want to be in dollars or euro and you get a yield with the A$

GVI Forex Blog 15:13 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   
The greenback is consolidating earlier gains seen in the wake of the weaker global PMI data readings. Note that the dollar index hit a two-week high as risk appetite faded. EUR/USD was hovering around the 1.43 area as rumors continued that the ECB was again buying Italian and Spanish bonds.

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update

Singapore FX 14:45 GMT September 1, 2011
Why is AUDUSD or AUDJPY so strong?
Reply   
Sell AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Dear brothers/sisters,

Can someone enlighten me:

1) Why is AUDUSD so strong since last friday?
2) Is AUDUSD supported by AUDJPY's forever upward move?

Eurusd, Gbpusd and Nzdusd have been dropping for hundreds of pips but Audusd is well supported and has been appreciating from Monday till today this week.

Any news about AUDUSD or am i lacking any information?

Thanks in advance

BLR virgoan 14:36 GMT September 1, 2011
Intraday trade
Reply   
Buy DJIA with an intraday target of 11730. Happy trading!

GVI Forex Jay 14:34 GMT September 1, 2011
ALERT- U.S. Mfg PMI

The employment component fell and this may be weighing on risk.

Boston eFX 14:34 GMT September 1, 2011
EUR/USD Downside Strike Gathers Interest
Reply   
(Dow Jones via eFXnews) There is selling interest in the European session for a 1.3850 downside strike, according to traders.

This traded in the four-week date in good size and has no doubt limited the reaction in the ATMF implied volatilities for the one-month period.

The dip below.....

EUR/USD Downside Strike Gathers Interest (Full Story)

tor dr unken katt 14:31 GMT September 1, 2011
ALERT- U.S. Mfg PMI

but still on the expansion side

GVI Forex john 14:30 GMT September 1, 2011
ALERT- U.S. Natural Gas
Reply   

-- ALERT --
U.S. Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)
55 vs. 69 exp. vs. 50 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Bensheim 14:20 GMT September 1, 2011
EUR/USD
Reply   
40 pips journey to psycological level. [1.4200]

LDN dt 14:18 GMT September 1, 2011
EUR/$
Reply   
Perversity of trading. It took a "good" ISM number to get people long before the EUR/$ could brak. Strange logic?

GVI Forex john 14:15 GMT September 1, 2011
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

The ISM data has certainly thrown the market a curve. Its strange how often things work out that way. Next high impact release is NFP tomorrow. Updated estimates are now for a gain of about +75K.

GVI Forex Jay 14:13 GMT September 1, 2011
Trade Talk - Forex Weathermap - EURUSD

Waethermap bias worked on the data with DOWN bias as long as it stays below 1.4325.

GVI Forex john 14:10 GMT September 1, 2011
ALERT- U.S. Mfg PMI



better than expected, but only a hair above contraction...

GVI Forex john 14:03 GMT September 1, 2011
ALERT- U.S. Mfg PMI

- Lousy PMI number, but much higher than feared.
- Perversely this is a EURUSD positive.

GVI Forex john 14:00 GMT September 1, 2011
ALERT- U.S. Mfg PMI
Reply   

-- ALERT --
U.S. Manufacturing PMI July 2011
50.6 vs. 48.5 exp. vs. 50.9 prev.

Construction Spending July 2011
-1.3% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.20% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Jay 13:52 GMT September 1, 2011
ISM

ISM PMI comes out at 14:00 GMT as per our calendar (see above for countdown clock)

GVI Forex john 13:52 GMT September 1, 2011
ISM

Bensheim just checked the two top sources for consensus forecasts and they are both still at 48.5. Just heard a whisper number of 44.0, but whisper #'s are notoriously innacurate. Market is already set up for a lousy figure. Compared to 50.9, 48.5 would be a big drop.

Bensheim 13:41 GMT September 1, 2011
ISM
Reply   
Any update forecast data of ISM. As from internet 50.9 is prev. and forecast (expectation) is 48.5 (which is old). Little lower then prev.

Open 13:37 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   

FOREX FOCUS: Euro Loses Position On Privileged Perch

GVI Forex john 13:24 GMT September 1, 2011
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

- Focus now on ISM PMI at the top of the hour.

GVI Forex john 13:21 GMT September 1, 2011
The euro will not fall below 1.4258

SA- nice call on that local bottom in EURUSD!

Boston eFX 13:11 GMT September 1, 2011
CHARTING EUROPE: EUR/JPY Downtrend On Course For 100
Reply   


(Dow Jones via eFXnews) A fresh wave of EUR weakness is threatening to test last year's low in EUR/JPY at 105.44, and the psychologically-important 100.00 level is also within range.

Ever since the April reaction high at 123.33 marked the peak of a false rally, created by concerted global central bank intervention designed to temporarily weaken the powerful Japanese currency, the EUR/JPY....

CHARTING EUROPE: EUR/JPY Downtrend On Course For 100 (Full Story)

nyc s 13:05 GMT September 1, 2011
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

dt yoiu are right. Many are away or not trading this week but this makes it hard to absorb flows when there is news and there is no shortage of news this week.

GVI Forex john 12:53 GMT September 1, 2011
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

Noting a number of USD 20-day moving averages being breached..

8:53	Last	chg	high	low	20-day
JPY=	77.01	43	77.24	76.64	77.00
CHF=	0.7974	-76	0.8086	0.7960	0.7818
GBP=	1.6215	-21	1.6257	1.6194	1.6362
EURUSD	1.4293	-73	1.4381	1.4261	1.4355

GVI Forex john 12:43 GMT September 1, 2011
ALERT- U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims

I'm not aware of anything special about 400K in weekly other than its psychological impact, but above 400K remains disappointing... Weekly jobs U.S.


Click on chart for seven-year history

GVI Forex Blog 12:31 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   
Dollar-Swiss broke below 0.800 as expected and recorded a low of 0.7960.

FX Thoughts for the day : 01-Sep-2011 - 1231 GMT

GVI Forex john 12:31 GMT September 1, 2011
ALERT- U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims
Reply   

-- ALERT --
U.S. Weekly Jobless
Initial Claims (000)
409 vs. 408 exp. vs. 421 prev.
Continued Claims (mln)
3.735 vs. 3.685 exp. vs. 3.753 prev

U.S. Productivity 2Q11
-0.70% vs. -0.50% exp. vs. -0.30% prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Gen dk 12:27 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Bensheim 12:20 GMT September 1, 2011
EUR/USD
Reply   
May change the wind to north, but psycological level is 1.4200.

Syd 12:18 GMT September 1, 2011
Global manufacturing grinds to a halt
Reply   
The global manufacturing recovery appeared to have come to a grinding halt in August, www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/58f9df76-d
482-11e0-a42b-00144feab49a.html#axzz1WXrQuyz3

LDN dt 12:16 GMT September 1, 2011
EUR/$

Hearing about more stops at 1.4240.

LDN dt 12:13 GMT September 1, 2011
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

Im surprised at how much is going on in what trraditionaly could be a slow time of year.

Riyadh SA 12:13 GMT September 1, 2011
The euro will not fall below 1.4258
Reply   
Buy
Entry: Target: Stop:

Therefore I advise buying and without hesitation

GVI Forex john 12:08 GMT September 1, 2011
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

- Chatter activity in EUR money markets suggesting dealers are setting up for an ECB policy easing. See PMI comments below earlier today.

Syd 12:05 GMT September 1, 2011
Euro
Reply   
BERLIN -(Dow Jones)- Germany's government should only be allowed to agree to future euro-zone bailouts after parliament has approved them, according to a draft proposal from German coalition lawmakers seen by Dow Jones Newswires Thursday

If the German Bundestag doesn't approve, the German representative has to vote 'no,'" the draft says.

GVI Forex john 12:04 GMT September 1, 2011
USD Pivot Points

Repeat..

Pivots	EURUSD	USDJPY	USDCHF	GBPUSD	USDCAD	AUDUSD
Res 3	1.4555	77.22	0.8396	1.6403	0.9896	1.0800
Res 2	1.4512	77.03	0.8302	1.6368	0.9848	1.0760
Res 1	1.4445	76.79	0.8180	1.6307	0.9816	1.0729

Pivot	1.4402	76.60	0.8086	1.6272	0.9768	1.0689

Sup 1	1.4335	76.36	0.7964	1.6211	0.9736	1.0658
Sup 2	1.4292	76.17	0.7870	1.6176	0.9688	1.0618
Sup 3	1.4225	75.93	0.7748	1.6115	0.9656	1.0587

LDN dt 12:02 GMT September 1, 2011
EUR/$
Reply   
EUR/$ looks like its ready to give way. I figure there should be decent stop loss orders from 1.4260 to 1.4250. How far we can go beyond there is anybody's guess. We assume ACBs will be buyers on weaness again?

GVI Forex Blog 11:52 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   
The euro fell against the dollar and the Swiss franc on Thursday, and could extend losses if fresh evidence emerges that manufacturing output in the United States shrank after euro zone data showed the sector contracting, disappointing some investors.

FOREX NEWS - Euro drops on gloomy data, Swiss franc soars

Syd 11:28 GMT September 1, 2011
Slow credit growth could cut interest rates
Reply   
Official figures released yesterday reveal that growth in the level of home borrowing has slipped to its lowest level in more than 30 years as fearful investors opt to save rather than spend.

"The RBA is being overly optimistic about the consumer at the moment and we expect more downside surprises combined with falling home prices over the coming months will force the RBA to act," Mr Hanlan said.

GVI Forex john 11:27 GMT September 1, 2011
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

- Interesting data due today. Weekly Jobless are unrelated specifically to this Friday's payroll report, but provide a very useful broader picture. The key focus for a while has been on hopes the weekly data would make a sustained move below 400K.
- One simple metric is that productivity plus population growth gives real GDP.
- Later at 14:00 GMT, the August mfg PMI is expected to fall below the "50" expansion/contraction line. Consensus estimates are for a reading of 48.5, although we have been hearing of whispers for a weaker print. We always take such chatter with a grain of salt.

Bensheim 11:20 GMT September 1, 2011
EUR/USD
Reply   
I think that 1.4285/90 and 1.4260/50 is a "No Man Land". If cross downwards then may will hit 00, and on other hand if go up and cross the 85/00 then 1.4335/40.

Syd 11:12 GMT September 1, 2011
Retail sales boost unlikely to lead to recovery, economists say
Reply   
Economists said it was a reasonable figure all round, coming on the back of two-months of negative growth.However, consumer caution, financial market turmoil and emerging weakness in the jobs market made it unlikely that the rise would be sustained.

"(People are) spending money on experiences, they're not spending money so much in the shops," she said.

GVI Forex Jay 10:57 GMT September 1, 2011
Trade Talk - Forex Weathermap - EURUSD
Reply   


10:55 GMT (Global-View.com) Sept 1 - It is hard to tell how much of the euro fall has been exaggerated by thin end-of-summer liquidity. This may have to wait until the end of the week to see if eur/usd closes below 1.4325, which would produce an outside week key reversal.

In the meantime, it faces a key support area at 1.4265 (trendline/triangle bottom - see chart) and 1.4257 (Aug 19 low), suggests 1.4250 will also be important with little in the way of support below it until 1.4200 (psychological) and 1.4101.

Daily Forex WeatherMap - by Jay Meisler
Sept 1, 2011 EURUSD (Current rate: 1.4280)
Bias: DOWN while below 1.4325 but contained unless 1.4250-65 is firmly taken out. Expected range: Hard call 1.4220-1.4340

www.global-view.com Forex Forum

Syd 10:54 GMT September 1, 2011
Ripe for a Greek crisis reignition
Reply   
Market fears were reinforced by comments made by Greek finance minister, Evangelos Venizelos. In a radio interview overnight, he predicted the next few weeks would be “crucial” for the bailout, and predicted it would undergo

“a delicate evolution” between now and October 15, according to a report in the French newspaper, Le Monde.

GVI Forex john 10:50 GMT September 1, 2011
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets
Reply   

  • Key Items- U.S. Mfg PMI, Weekly Jobs.

  • Today has already seen a slew of data releases. We like to see the various PMIs because they are more or less comparable to each other and provide rough relative comparisons and a global snapshot of growth. On balance, before the U.S. data are released it looks like the global economy is in a contractionary phase. Even the Chinese PMI data were gloomy. 

  • Its pretty clear following poor German and EZ PMI manufacturing data that both the EZ and Germany are rapidly slowing. The data suggest that the stubborn monetary policy tightening of the ECB has been a blunder and will have to be reversed in short order.

  • The EURUSD has finally shown some signs of weakness today after a number of body blows in the past two days. Official U.S. opposition to the ATT-T-Mobile $40bln merger hurt yesterday as have the PMI data releases today.

  • August ADP Private employment statistics yesterday were in line with expectations and tend to point to a NFP number Friday of sub-100K.. The latest Obama jobs program is due shortly after Labor Day. 

Syd 10:42 GMT September 1, 2011
Would Asia cope if the West collapses?
Reply   
The risk of further decline in Europe and the US is growing while Asia is growing and attracting investment. Robert Subbaraman, Nomura's chief economist for Asia ex-Japan, tells the FT's Robert Cookson what he thinks would happen if the worst case scenario comes to pass. (5m 39sec)

FT's Robert Cookson

Open 10:38 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   

Investors May Test SNB's Resolve - UBS

Bensheim 10:28 GMT September 1, 2011
EUR/USD
Reply   
Good day to all.

I think if EUR cross the 60 to 50 then have a chance to hit 00.

GVI Forex Blog 10:15 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   
The European morning began with concerns that the growth risks remained evident coupled with lingering euro-area debt crisis still simmering. The session saw a plethora of PMI Manufacturing data released with mostly disappointing results. European equity markets were broadly lower amid manufacturing weakness, while European banking stocks in particular were struggling. Several of the key European countries saw their respective PMI move below the pivotal growth/contraction level of 50

TradeTheNews.com European Market Update: Weaker PMI Manufacturing data weighing on risk appetite; Continental European banking stocks in particular struggling

Boston eFX 10:14 GMT September 1, 2011
GBP May Rise If SNB, BOJ Curb CHF, JPY -BarCap
Reply   
(Dow Jones via eFXnews) If Swiss and Japanese currency authorities succeed in taming the soaring CHF and JPY, the GBP could gain as the unit whose rise would be least apt to provoke similar government action, Masafumi Yamamoto and Bill Diviney, currency strategists at Barclays Capital, say in a research report.

"Our analysis suggests to us that GBP is....

GBP May Rise If SNB, BOJ Curb CHF, JPY -BarCap (Full Story)

Syd 10:02 GMT September 1, 2011
china
Reply   
insider.thomson reuters.

LINK

GVI Forex Blog 09:56 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   
09:55 GMT (Global-View.com) September 1- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is opening in North America at .4990, +0.27% from its Wednesday close (-7.25% ytd).

Global-View D.O.G. Index September 1, 2011 U.S. Open

Melbourne Qindex 09:55 GMT September 1, 2011
Gold : Current Comments
Reply   
Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

Gold : The market is going to consolidate within 1792.5 - 1891.2


Qindex.com


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZEGYpXE5B4

Gold : Monthly Cycle Charts

GVI Forex john 09:54 GMT September 1, 2011
Global-View D.O.G. Iindex
Reply   
09:55 GMT (Global-View.com) September 1- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is opening in North America at .4990, +0.27% from its Wednesday close (-7.25% ytd).

As for its key subcomponents, the USD forex purchasing power index is .7245, +0.23% (-7.08% ytd). The forex index is value is calculated against the top six trading currencies.

Against gold, the USD purchasing power index is currently worth .1584, +0.38% (-21.95% ytd).

Against crude, it is at 0.5038, +0.41% (+3.30% ytd). The D.O.G. Index base is 1.00. It is set against levels from the start of 1999, as of the initial launch of the euro (currency).

D.O.G. Homepage

Gen dk 09:51 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   
Trading Signals Updated: CLICK HERE for more Gen dk information

Open 09:46 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   

Sustained Japan FX Intervention Difficult -Daiwa

GVI Forex Blog 09:43 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   
Key Items- U.S. Mfg PMI, Weekly Jobs. Today has already seen a slew of data releases. We like to see the various PMIs because they are more or less comparable to each other and provide rough relative comparisons and a global snapshot of growth. On balance, before the U.S. data are released it looks like the global economy is in a contractionary phase. Even the Chinese PMI data were gloomy.

Forex Trade Talk 10:00 GMT 1 September 2011

hk 09:30 GMT September 1, 2011
EUR

1.4277 now important

London HC 09:22 GMT September 1, 2011
Spain
Reply   
Tepid Spanish auction hits euro

Frankfurt HH 09:19 GMT September 1, 2011
EUR

So much for that idea

Frankfurt HH 08:57 GMT September 1, 2011
EUR

1.4280 imay see return to 1.4325-30?

London Mick 08:47 GMT September 1, 2011
EUR
Reply   
Outside week

GVI Forex john 08:46 GMT September 1, 2011
PMI Charts
Reply   
Slew of PMI reports out today. Most paint a gloomy picture..
see NEWS FORUM for charts.

GVI Forex john 08:31 GMT September 1, 2011
ALERT- U.K. Mfg PMI

- UK mfg PMI in line with expectations. Previous data revised up.
- volatile response.
- 49.0 in contraction territory.

GVI Forex john 08:28 GMT September 1, 2011
ALERT- U.K. Mfg PMI
Reply   

-- ALERT --
GB Mfg PMI August 2011
49.0 vs. 48.8 exp. vs. 49.4r prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john 08:16 GMT September 1, 2011
ALERT- Swiss Data
Reply   

-- Earlier Data --
Swiss GDP 2Q11
mm:0.4% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +0.60%r prev.
yy: 2.3% vs. +2.30% exp. vs. +2.50%r prev.

Swiss Retail Sales July 2011
+1.9% vs. +2.40% exp. vs. +7.40% prev.

Swiss PMI August 2011
51.7 vs. 51.0 exp. vs. 53.5 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john 08:10 GMT September 1, 2011
ALERT- Australia Retail Sales
Reply   

-- EARLIER --
Australia Retail Sales July 2011
+0.5% vs. +0.3% exp. vs. -0.1% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Melbourne Qindex 08:10 GMT September 1, 2011
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.4289
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.4289


The market is able to pick up some support around the critical point at 1.4289.


Qindex.com


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZEGYpXE5B4

EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts

GVI Forex john 08:06 GMT September 1, 2011
ALERT- China NBS and HSBC PMIs
Reply   

-- EARLIER --

China PMIs August 2011
NBS: 50.9 vs. 51.0 exp. vs. 50.7 prev.
HSBC: 49.9 vs. 49.8 exp. vs. 48.9 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john 08:04 GMT September 1, 2011
ALERT- EZ Final PMI

- EZ mfg PMI weaker than flash estimate. German Mfg a short while ago was also weak 50.9 vs. 52.0 expected.
- EUR weaker.
- A reading below 50 implies an economic contraction.

GVI Forex john 08:00 GMT September 1, 2011
ALERT- EZ Final PMI
Reply   

-- ALERT --
EZ- Final MFG PMI August 2011
49.0 vs. 49.7 exp. vs. 49.7



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Syd 06:52 GMT September 1, 2011
China is Threatening to Legalize Repression
Reply   
A draft of the revised law, posted (in Chinese) Tuesday on the website of the National People’s Congress, confirms what many rights advocates had previously feared: That China plans to legalize the secret and illegal detentions that have previously been carried out in violation of existing law.

There’s no way to even question it. You’re not protected by anything,” Mr. Ai, wrote of his detention in a recent essay for Newsweek. “Why am I here? Your mind is very uncertain of time. You become like mad.”

Syd 06:47 GMT September 1, 2011
North Korea ghost town reflects deeper woes as it woos Chinese
Reply   
Reuters) - Long grass grows around the idle hotels, stores are covered in cobwebs and a big padlock hangs off the front of the bank at the deserted shopping center.

The Chinese delegation were taken on a three-hour trek in the craggy mountains, walking along a river of crystal clear water and ending at a stunning waterfall.

But Chinese companies may be wary of buying assets over concerns that this could cause a diplomatic rift with the South and impact their strong bilateral trade.

One Chinese operator traveling with the group, who asked not to be identified, told Reuters: "We are not willing to get involved."

GVI Forex Blog 05:30 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   
***Economic Data*** - (CH) CHINA AUG PMI MANUFACTURING: 50.9 V 51.0E (50.7 prior; 1st increase in 5-months) - (BR) BRAZIL CENTRAL BANK (COPOM) CUTS SELIC TARGET RATE BY 50BPS TO 12.00%; NOT EXPE

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: China PMI surprises to the upside, Aussie retail sales come in strong, Taiwan PMI contracts for the first time in over 2.5-years

Boston eFX 04:54 GMT September 1, 2011
Canadian Dollar May Fall To CHF0.7938 In Coming Days
Reply   
(Dow Jones via eFXnews) The Canadian dollar fell to a three-day low against the Swiss franc Wednesday as expectations declined that the Swiss central bank will intervene to rein in its strong currency. Technical charts suggest the......

Canadian Dollar May Fall To CHF0.7938 In Coming Days (Full Story)

prague viktor 04:00 GMT September 1, 2011
buy usd
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

G.day!

for the next 24h it will be a good to sell the EURO

G/L G/T

GVI Forex Blog 03:51 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   
The US markets had closed higher yesterday. Dow (11613.53) was up 0.46% and the Nasdaq (2579.46) was up 0.13%.

Morning Briefing : 01-Sep-2011 -0340 GMT

Open 03:00 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   

Nymex Crude Biased Up N/T If $87.67 Support Holds

Syd 02:31 GMT September 1, 2011
Gillard must go, or the party will go broke
Reply   
The Prime Minister is facing firming resolve among Labor Party elders that she be given a Christmas deadline for turning the party’s fortunes around, or voluntarily make way for a successor…

link

jerusalem kb 02:10 GMT September 1, 2011
Forex Trading Plan

AUDJPY
Entry: 81.25 Target: open Stop: 81.70

Buy AUDJPY
Entry: 81.25 Target: 82.96-open Stop: 81.10

Buy AUDJPY
Entry: 81.25 Target: 82.96 Stop: 80.80
bought audjpy
=====
closed 1/3 with 60pips+
==============
closed another 1/3 with135pips+
holding rest for open target 85.05

Syd 02:03 GMT September 1, 2011
'The Government should resign'
Reply   
Neil Mitchell says the Gillard Government should resign.

He has only ever taken this position once before in more than 40 years in media.

He has only ever taken this position once before in more than 40 years in media.

Syd 01:59 GMT September 1, 2011
Labor backlash begins over the failure
Reply   
THE recriminations have begun over Labor's botched Malaysian Solution, with Immigration Minister Chris Bowen under pressure to resign over the failed policy.
Another colleague told The Australian Online: “What the f*** has happened? He got up and told us this was alright.”

link

Syd 01:54 GMT September 1, 2011
Brazil Labor Union Demands More Rate Cuts
Reply   
"Right medicine, wrong dosage," says Paulo Pereira da Silva, head of Forca Sindical, a Brazilian umbrella group for labor unions, after the Brazilian central bank cut its key rate in surprise move. "We believe there's more space for a more dramatic reduction in the Selic rate, principally because of the recent fiscal tightening announced recently by the government."

Open 01:35 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   

EUR/USD Daily Asia Outlook 09/01

Open 01:33 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   

USD/CHF Daily Asia Outlook 09/01

Syd 01:31 GMT September 1, 2011
aud
Reply   
AUSTRALIA RETAIL SALES 0.5% V 0.3%E

Open 01:31 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   

USD/CAD Daily Asia Outlook 09/01

Open 01:30 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   

GBP/USD Daily Asia Outlook 09/01

GVI Forex Blog 01:18 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   
The Swiss franc on Thursday held on to gains made the previous day after a top government official said Switzerland would have to live with a strong currency, while commodity currencies dipped after Brazil unexpectedly cut interest rates, citing worries about the global economy.

FOREX NEWS - Franc retains strength, Aussie dips after Brazil cuts rates

Syd 01:07 GMT September 1, 2011
Brazil Surprises With Interest Rate Cut, Cites Global Concerns
Reply   
The Brazilian Central Bank on Wednesday reversed course on interest rates, cutting the benchmark Selic rate in a surprise move because of a "substantial deterioration" in the global economy and the knock-on effect that will have on the local economy.

http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20110831-717213.html

Forex Signals 00:53 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   

Acetrader FX signals

Syd 00:30 GMT September 1, 2011
Julia Gillard will be finished as PM before her term is up.
Reply   
FORMER Labor power broker Graham Richardson believes Julia Gillard will be finished as PM before her term is up.
Mr Richardson said there was no way Ms Gillard could fix the problems with her leadership.

"There’s no way she can turn this around, you’ve got to say it gets worse for her every day, never gets better, just gets worse,” Mr Richardson told 3AW radio.

It’s damaging the psyche of too many Australians and over time that can damage the country because that will make people retreat more into themselves and spend less.”

Julia Gillard will be finished as PM before her term is up.

Open 00:24 GMT September 1, 2011 Reply   

AUD/USD Won't Push Much Beyond 1.1000 - NAB

Syd 00:19 GMT September 1, 2011
aud
Reply   
Merrill Lynch has cut its corporate earnings forecasts as the global economy slows, with 80,000 job losses expected in Australia before the end of the year as manufacturers and retailers adjust to slower growth and the stronger currency.

Boston eFX 00:03 GMT September 1, 2011
CHARTING MARKETS: Swissie Pulls The Dollar Down
Reply   
(Dow Jones via eFXnews) Don't try to kiss a freight train, traders say.

In this case, the locomotive is the irrepressible Swiss franc, which may be on track to resume its long-term uptrend against the dollar.

The market's fundamental spark was the.....

CHARTING MARKETS: Swissie Pulls The Dollar Down (Full Story)

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
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Mon 27 May 2019
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