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Forex Forum Archive for 01/06/2012

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GVI Forex john 21:10 GMT January 6, 2012
Global-View.com Forex Heat Maps
Reply   

Be Sure to Refresh Forum Manually to Update Heat Map.


Boston eFX 20:52 GMT January 6, 2012
FOCUS: Echoes Of 2011 In January's Euro Slide
Reply   
(Dow Jones via eFXnews) It is hard to see a way forward in the euro-area debt crisis, and the currency is falling fast, suggesting investors are betting against it in swelling numbers.

But joining the euro-flogging party could be a mistake.

The common currency has tumbled almost 2% against the dollar since the first European trading day of the year, leaving it at its weakest point since September 2010.

That is already a chunky move, and it could be that investors .....

FOCUS: Echoes Of 2011 In January's Euro Slide (full story)

GVI Forex john 20:50 GMT January 6, 2012
FX Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

Mtl JP 20:39 GMT January 6, 2012
Contingency Planning

19:39 // euro break-up... BUT piece says "euro dissolution"

is break-up one and the same as dissolution : it seems to me not, so more confused than enlightened.

tia for views

JERUSALEM KB 20:29 GMT January 6, 2012
Forex Trading Plan



usdx
Entry: Target: 82.64-84.30 Stop:

heading to 82.64-84.30

philadelphia caba 20:23 GMT January 6, 2012
Contingency Planning

If whole world selling euro now, who's buying than???

GVI Forex Blog 20:22 GMT January 6, 2012 Reply   
20:25 GMT (Global-View.com) January 6- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is ending Friday in North America at .5267, +0.26% from its Thursday close (-2.10% vs. end-2010).

Global-View D.O.G. Index January 6, 2011 U.S. Close

GVI Forex john 20:21 GMT January 6, 2012
Global-View D.O.G. Index
Reply   
20:25 GMT (Global-View.com) January 6- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is ending Friday in North America at .5267, +0.26% from its Thursday close (-2.10% vs. end-2010).

As for its key subcomponents, the USD forex purchasing power index is .7883, +0.24% (+1.30% vs. end-2010). The forex index is value is calculated against the top six trading currencies.

Against gold, the USD purchasing power index is worth .1781, +0.30% (-12.21% ytd).

Against crude, it is at 0.4392, +0.32% (-9.95% end-2010). The D.O.G. Index base is 1.00. It is measured against levels from the start of 1999, as of the initial launch of the euro (currency).

D.O.G. Homepage

GVI Forex Jay 19:39 GMT January 6, 2012
Contingency Planning
Reply   
* Most big FX banks seen handling post-euro break-up trade
* HSBC looks at how to trade any new currencies
* ICAP CEO: EBS can turn on new FX pairs 'overnight'

Behind the scenes, FX industry prepares for euro break-up

nyc ws 19:02 GMT January 6, 2012
EURUSD Neutral.

Rafe, the low today was 1.2697

Ind! Rafe... 18:42 GMT January 6, 2012
EURUSD Neutral.
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EURUSD look for violent breakouts.

We have 1.3428,1.3066,1.2702

Find midpoints and use those levels.

EURUSD has become an Anaconda atm until we have a clean break.

I am neutral with a slight downside bias. I would be selling rallies if seen.

msa nsm 18:25 GMT January 6, 2012
great calls
Reply   
Wow! Great calls this week Kaal and quindex, all in target, thanks for sharing

Open 18:10 GMT January 6, 2012 Reply   

Morgan Stanley Head of FX on the Dllr Outlook (vid)

Minneapolis DRS2 17:49 GMT January 6, 2012
Comments
Reply   
Some random musings for a Friday:

1. I can't help but laugh regarding the Euro comments. For most of last year the Euro was propped up on EVERY SINGLE DIP. It was BTFD ALL THE WAY. So for the Euro to drop a little bit now? censored, it should drop a lot more IMHO.

2. Do you live off your trading income? I offer my congratulations if you do. In a short while, I will prepare a tax return that is totally free of "traditional" income (i.e. from a regular job). I'm not nearly part of the 1% yet, but I hope to be there someday.

3. Are you enjoying the winter weather? The temperature up here right now in Minneapolis is 44...at the beginning of January! The average temperature for this time of year is 30 degrees colder. Do yourself a favor and enjoy this crazy winter weather while it lasts.

4. As the USD gets stronger, consider buying some more PMs. I find myself window shopping at Apmex and Kitco, looking for nice and shiny deals.

5. Trading advice: Keep on selling EUR/USD, but be prepared for a short squeeze. I'm selling with rather tight stops, just in case.

Lahore FM 17:46 GMT January 6, 2012
Strange Dollar Patterns Draw Focus In FX Market

Cambridge Joe 17:16 GMT January 6, 2012

very well said indeed...cheers dear Joe!

USA ZEUS 17:25 GMT January 6, 2012
Strange Dollar Patterns Draw Focus In FX Market

Cambridge Joe 17:16 GMT January 6, 2012


Hi Joe. Thanks for the kind remarks friend. I wish not to seem hostile or combative. I am thankful to those who have chosen to mock and attack my trades of the past. One of my best tools over the years has been to reflect back on trades, especially inflection points of the market and determine how hostile others have been to opposing trades.

As my mentor Ed Seykota has been quoted so often saying- "Win or lose, everybody gets what they want out of the market. Some people seem to like to lose, so they win by losing money."

Cheers!

Cambridge Joe 17:16 GMT January 6, 2012
Strange Dollar Patterns Draw Focus In FX Market

USA ZEUS 16:58

No wonder 95% of traders feed 5%, or in the Occupy world, the 1%ers. LOL

Dear Zeus I am not 'anti-USD' nor pro- anything else.

Many times our perspective on the market has been very similar, indeed, after a heads up from you some months ago, we were able to chart a southward pattern for the e/$ extending across a few days..... so far so good.

Where I get a little disquieted is when you seem to give expression to a competitive, even hostile tone.... for the life of me I cannot see why you do it.

Your trade calls of late have been superb, you must be making money hand over fist.

All I'm saying is please be magnanimous in victory... to deride those who had a different view only detracts from your evident skills.

It also clutters the forum with play-ground squabbles which have no place here.

Enjoy the spoils..... for when to 99% get tired of being ridden, robbed and milked...... we all need to watch out.


USA ZEUS 17:14 GMT January 6, 2012
Strange Dollar Patterns Draw Focus In FX Market

People sneered and jeered at every US political and economic setback yet defended the Euro debacle into the dirt.

USA ZEUS 17:08 GMT January 6, 2012
Strange Dollar Patterns Draw Focus In FX Market

nyc s 16:59 GMT January 6, 2012

There is no "ego bubble" here friend. I only care about the bottom line. My point is that there has been a Super Pac supporting the anti-USD here to disinform and misdirect innocent folks. The trading has been very straight forward on the charts with exception for those who's paradigm was to fight reality.

Cheers!

USA ZEUS 17:07 GMT January 6, 2012
Strange Dollar Patterns Draw Focus In FX Market

nyc s 16:59 GMT January 6, 2012

There is no "ego bubble" here friend. I only care aboutthe bottom line. My point is that there has been a Super Pac supporting the anti-USD here to disinform and misdirect innocent folks. The tradig has been very straight forward on the charts with exception for those who's paradigm was to fight reality.

Cheers!

nyc s 16:59 GMT January 6, 2012
Strange Dollar Patterns Draw Focus In FX Market

ZEUS that is like living in your ego bubble (no offense intended). It has been frustrating at times but look at the COT report. You were not alone.

USA ZEUS 16:58 GMT January 6, 2012
Strange Dollar Patterns Draw Focus In FX Market

The pro Euro tone here has always been the "trend is your friend" mantra and that has always been an anti USD drum beat. Anything to the contrary has been met with ire and rage- trust me. And now......
The market is not a democracy. In fact just the opposite. Opinion and position by majority has always left the average trader with the average result. No wonder 95% of traders feed 5%, or in the Occupy world, the 1%ers. LOL

Cheers!

philadelphia caba 16:56 GMT January 6, 2012
Strange Dollar Patterns Draw Focus In FX Market

'Euro is a failed experiment' sounds now like 'collapsing dollar' few months ago...

USA ZEUS 16:53 GMT January 6, 2012
Strange Dollar Patterns Draw Focus In FX Market

nyc s 16:50 GMT January 6, 2012

I have yet to see with any real visibility when and where the market turned bearish until 1.2777ZEUS printed on the 1.30 fallout. Suddenly people are talking head and shoulders pattern confirmations etc yet this comes some 1300 pips or so late in the game.

Cheers!

USA ZEUS 16:51 GMT January 6, 2012
Global-View.com Forex Heat Maps

Why is the tone here persistently a "rough day for the Euro" and not a "great day for the USD"? It is after all, the most actively traded currency on the planet and yet the tone is rarely about its great black swan comeback, just that the "other" currencies are weaker Hmpf......

nyc s 16:50 GMT January 6, 2012
Strange Dollar Patterns Draw Focus In FX Market

ZEUS. The market has been frustrated by the whippy price action but has been bearish on the eur/usd for some time.

Saar KaL 16:49 GMT January 6, 2012
EURUSD to 115 In April
Reply   
for april?
ANyone getting that?

GVI Forex john 16:47 GMT January 6, 2012
Global-View.com Forex Heat Maps

Heat Map- be sure to manually refresh the forum to update heat map (technical limitation).

- Another rough day for the EURO.

- USD mostly higher on the day.

GVI Forex Jay 16:46 GMT January 6, 2012
Global Markets News

JP, the idea is to ring fence the banks but ECB does not want to be a lender of last resort to the sovereigns, where there is still contagion risk as can be seen by the levels they are being forced to borrow (e.g. Italy 10 yr 7+%).

USA ZEUS 16:43 GMT January 6, 2012
Strange Dollar Patterns Draw Focus In FX Market

It's nice to see the market realize that the Euro is a failed experiment and that the USD is still THE overwhelming global reserve currency, something that I have been attacked against with an ardent and vile tone in the past.

And now to suddenly see so many so-called pros and self appointed experts talk of USD strength and shift as if they knew it all along yet were calling for Euro buy on dips for the last baker's dozen figure slide ... LOL

Cheers!

Mtl JP 16:41 GMT January 6, 2012
Global Markets News

Jay 16:21 do you think that market is starting to push away the idea that EU sovereign debt credibility issues pose contagion risk - i.e. are ring-fenced and isolated to europe now ?

GVI Forex john 16:39 GMT January 6, 2012
Global-View.com Forex Heat Maps
Reply   

Be Sure to Refresh Forum Manually to Update Heat Map.


HK Kevin 16:39 GMT January 6, 2012
Global Markets News

From my observation, EUR and US stock has decoupled since the launch of LTRO by ECB last month. But I am a bit suprised AUD also move with US stock in the same direction today.

GVI Forex 16:37 GMT January 6, 2012
Week Ahead
Reply   
• Global risk sentiment boosted by global PMIs and US employment gains.

• Euro crisis still dominant theme. Neither Merkel-Sarkozy nor ECB to alter landscape.

• MPC to delay extending QE until next month’s meeting.

ECONOMIC DATA ANALYSIS - DIRECTION FOR 2012?

GVI Forex Jay 16:21 GMT January 6, 2012
Global Markets News
Reply   
The better US employment data helped the greenback extend its continuing advance against the major European pairs. EUR/USD fell to fresh 16-month lows below 1.2730 while the EUR/JPY cross traded below 98 for the first time since 2001. Dealers were keenly aware of the recent break in market trends regarding the dollar: typically throughout 2011 the dollar was sold on any return of risk appetite, however this correlation appears to be breaking down in the first days of 2012.


TradeTheNews.com US Market Update

GVI Forex Blog 15:59 GMT January 6, 2012 Reply   
January 6 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, January 9. Updated: Trading Events Calendar:

GVI Forex- Data Outlook for January 9, 2012

Boston eFX 15:57 GMT January 6, 2012
Strange Dollar Patterns Draw Focus In FX Market
Reply   
Unusual moves in the dollar this week serve as further evidence for some observers that a shift in currency-market dynamics is afoot.

Normally, good economic news from the U.S. pushes the buck lower, as it encourages investors to put dollars in riskier overseas assets. In particular, the euro tends to rise against the dollar when U.S. data offer a pleasant surprise.

Friday, though, as nonfarm payrolls data showed that the U.S. economy added 200,000 jobs in December--well above the 155,000 expected by economists--the euro fell.

This could all be a sign that .....

Strange Dollar Patterns Draw Focus In FX Market (full story)

GVI Forex john 15:55 GMT January 6, 2012
Calendar
Reply   


January 6 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, January 9. Updated: Trading Events Calendar:

  • Far East: CN- Trade.
  • Europe: CH- Unemployment. DE- Trade, Industrial Output.
  • North America: No Major Data.


  • Mtl JP 15:51 GMT January 6, 2012
    euro and eurjpy

    market is always right

    UK Malc 15:41 GMT January 6, 2012
    euro and eurjpy

    Even the mighty Zeus thought the market was ready for some consolidation. No one is infallible.

    Mtl JP 15:40 GMT January 6, 2012
    euro and eurjpy



    positioned AND sitting it out
    just hoping not be the target

    PAR 15:40 GMT January 6, 2012
    euro and eurjpy

    I am planning to call the wives of Shirakawa and Draghi over the weekend to get a better feeling on the markets.
    Maybe ask the wife of Hildebrand some advise on EURCHF .
    Have a nice weekend and a profitable week.

    nyc s 15:32 GMT January 6, 2012
    euro and eurjpy

    Nice moves today, quiet here. Is everyone positioned or sitting it out?

    singapore td 14:57 GMT January 6, 2012
    euro and eurjpy
    Reply   
    euro 1.27 and eurjpy 98....going going GONE?

    GVI Forex john 14:54 GMT January 6, 2012
    Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

    All I can guess is that the equity algos have kicked in with the EURUSD weakening. Otherwise it makes no sense to sell stocks after the jobs data. Today EURUSD is trading rationally. Equities make no sense to me. There is no way the Fed will react anytime soon to the incipient recovery in the U.S. It has a very long way to go.

    One additional point, the data today has been supported by a number of improving items in recent months. It does not stand alone.

    hk ab 14:52 GMT January 6, 2012
    gold
    Reply   
    he libgo chart is rising now....

    PAR 14:52 GMT January 6, 2012
    AAA-BBB-CCC
    Reply   
    Some European sovereign downgrades expected today or over the weekend by the all important rating agencies ?

    HK [email protected] 14:49 GMT January 6, 2012
    A great future tool for Wall Street crooks
    Reply   
    Cut-and-splice time cloak makes events disappear

    Cloaking devices are one of the inventions of science fiction that have made a few tentative steps towards the real world in recent years. Now, researchers have moved the concept into the fourth dimension, creating a setup that hides a specific point in time from being perceived by observers. But if you want to make an event disappear, you have to act fast: right now, we can only hide a few picoseconds worth of time. The cloaking devices we've made all work based on a similar principle: light that enters the device is bent in such a way that when it exits, its location and direction make it appear that the device itself, and anything within it, were not present. In other words, while within the device, light travels as if it were present. It's just that, once it exits the other side, there's no evidence that anything unusual has taken place. The same general idea governs the action of a temporal cloaking device. Read the comments on this post

    http://www.physnews.com/physics-news/cluster206394846/

    hk ab 14:49 GMT January 6, 2012
    eur
    Reply   
    buy some eur at 1.2720.....

    singapore td 14:46 GMT January 6, 2012
    sell eurjpy
    Reply   
    eurjpy once again leading the way
    Qindex's 97 level will come to fruition in just minutes or hours away, well done Qindex, top analysis as usual!

    manila tom 14:41 GMT January 6, 2012
    sell usdjpy

    for the trade plan to be working, usdjpy really cannot cross above 77.68
    looking for a close under 77 today to be comfortable with short position next week

    HK [email protected] 14:36 GMT January 6, 2012
    EUR
    Reply   
    EUR/USD has given already a signal for a target 1.2150 drop, where ~1.2600 may be even achieved tonight.

    Abnormal activity in gold may result in a breach of 1630 Res.

    HK Li 14:32 GMT January 6, 2012
    eur
    Reply   
    Any idea for a sell level?

    PAR 14:32 GMT January 6, 2012
    data

    Germany cannot leave the EURO because DM would become much too strong. Greece cannot leave the EURO because Greek Drachma would be worthless.

    Only country which could leave the Euro and survive with a reasonable exchange rate and offer a better alternative for the GBP could be Italy.

    Maybe Draghi is working to become the president of the Bank of Italy so that he can return to his beloved Italy .

    nyc s 14:17 GMT January 6, 2012
    data

    Will 1.28 become a memory?

    Red are you saying Germany will eventually leave the euro?

    london red 14:07 GMT January 6, 2012
    data
    Reply   
    one would think that the more often we get better data from the States then the less likely further QE, which can only be dollar positive. As for the euro, there is a huge payday to be had by causing its downfall (of course never any mention of this officially by any body involved in the industry) and I suggest the market will not let go of this one unless the ECB completely removes risk and buy all outstanding bonds. This is unlikely to occur and put simply will at some stage lead to the Germans deciding that selling X mercs vws and bmws at a vastly lowered exchange rate and coughing up for the euro, is simply not worth the bother, thus following end of days for euro as it is today. Better in the end to pay a higher fx rate and be done with the baggage.

    dc CB 14:07 GMT January 6, 2012
    Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets



    Timmay's 2.0

    manila tom 14:00 GMT January 6, 2012
    sell usdjpy

    sold usdjpy 77.25, stop above 77.68 former support now turned resistance

    Ina JHZ 13:58 GMT January 6, 2012
    gold

    any thoughts??

    Ina JHZ 13:56 GMT January 6, 2012
    gold
    Reply   
    commodities stil not giving up to the king usd .. interesting

    Tartu kuues 13:52 GMT January 6, 2012
    EURUSD

    Looks like change of focus.
    It was quite long period that good US figures was good for risk and USD loose as safe haven.

    According to todays reaction it seems that market are focusing on interest rate again!

    Any thoughts?

    philadelphia caba 13:52 GMT January 6, 2012
    New Paradigm

    Agreed. Numbers are joke nowadays..and O. will need something.

    manila tom 13:52 GMT January 6, 2012
    sell usdjpy
    Reply   
    sell usdjpy to hedge sell euro?

    PAR 13:51 GMT January 6, 2012
    New Paradigm

    Partly weather related and revisions will come afters Obama's reelection.

    PAR 13:46 GMT January 6, 2012
    New Paradigm

    An Italian at the ECB managed to turn the Euro in a funding currency in just three months. Mario Draghi interest rate cuts destroying all ECB credibility.
    ECB starts to ressemble MF Global .

    Bernanke should think about raising rates with Us economy firing on all cilinders.

    singapore td 13:45 GMT January 6, 2012
    New Paradigm

    what change? nothing has changed except the manipulated data
    dont worry next month it will be revised for everybody to see LOL

    GVI Forex john 13:43 GMT January 6, 2012
    Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

    futures:
    DJ +41
    SP +5

    So today we buy USD on a good number? Algos are changing?
    Looks like stox don't know what to do..

    Ideas??

    GVI Forex john 13:37 GMT January 6, 2012
    ALERT- U.S. Employment

    Better than expected data...

    Monthly jobs U.S.


    Click on chart for more than 10-yr history

    sofia kaprikorn 13:36 GMT January 6, 2012
    New Paradigm
    Reply   
    Seems we are in the time of general change

    US Unemployment is falling and the USD is about to get stronger on foreign demand for US assets - watching for confirmation of this trend-changing scenario.

    PAR 13:34 GMT January 6, 2012
    Us Elections

    Obama has turned the US economy around. Champagne at the White House .

    Tartu kuues 13:33 GMT January 6, 2012
    EURUSD
    Reply   
    NFP up...risk on...EUR up???

    GVI Forex john 13:31 GMT January 6, 2012
    ALERT- U.S. Employment
    Reply   

    -- ALERT --
    U.S. Employment December 2011
    NFP Jobs:+200K vs. +150K exp. vs. 100Kr prev.
    Private Empl: +212k vs. +160K exp. vs. +120Kr prev.
    Rate: 8.5% vs. 8.7% exp. vs. 8.7%r prev.
    Avg earnings +0.2% vs. 0.20% exp. vs. 0.00%r prev.
    Avg workweek 34.4 hrs vs. 34.3 exp. vs. 34.3 prev.


    TTN: Live News Special Offer

    Mtl JP 13:15 GMT January 6, 2012
    Us Elections

    stocks are up on McCain's prediction that 'Obama Will Turn This Country Around'

    dc CB 13:10 GMT January 6, 2012
    Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

    just a thought on the BLS "numbers"

    Treas has $66bln in notes and bonds to sell next week. The always to be revised "number" can't be that good. Command and Control won't want the Bond market to go into any kind of Tailspin...watching the10Y 2% Tiny Tim wish line.

    GVI Forex john 13:10 GMT January 6, 2012
    Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

    Equity vs. EURUSD correlation was working famously until it EURUSD just fell off the table.

    PAR 13:09 GMT January 6, 2012
    Us Elections
    Reply   
    Strong Us economic numbers are helping president Obama's chances for reelection .

    GVI Forex john 13:07 GMT January 6, 2012
    Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

    DAX +29

    futures:
    DJ +31
    SP +4

    Fx Trading Discussion 13:03 GMT January 6, 2012 Reply   

    End-of-Year Contest Results

    Mtl JP 13:01 GMT January 6, 2012
    MF Global

    CB 12:35 that sounds like a joke is being prepared ... on market players

    London Misha 12:51 GMT January 6, 2012
    Observations
    Reply   
    EURUSD - Long Black Marubozo after a Bearish Harami & nearly a Key Reversal Down on Daily Chart.
    USDJPY - Long White Marubozo on Daily Chart.
    GBPUSD - Follow on down after Tweezer Top on Daily Chart!
    USDCHF - Follow on up after Bullish Engulfing Pattern on Daily Chart.
    EURGBP - Continued follow on down from a Bearish Doji on Daily Chart.
    EURJPY - Continued follow on down from Bearish Engulfing Pattern on Daily Chart!
    USDCAD - Follow on up from small Bullish Harami on Daily Chart.
    AUDUSD - Long Black Marubozo follows on from a Bearish Hanging Man on Daily Chart. Market still rejects Long MA resistance.

    GVI Forex john 12:45 GMT January 6, 2012
    Swiss CPI
    Reply   


    Earlier: Swiss deflation?

    Boston eFX 12:35 GMT January 6, 2012
    EUR Becoming Funding Currency -Morgan Stanley
    Reply   
    (Dow Jones via eFXnews) EUR is becoming a funding currency says Morgan Stanley, noting sovereign bond redemptions, the outlook for ECB policy, weak European economic data and banks absorbing ECB liquidity are all weighing on EUR.

    MS says positive US data surprises are not .....

    EUR Becoming Funding Currency -Morgan Stanley

    dc CB 12:35 GMT January 6, 2012
    MF Global

    MF Global Inquiry Turns to Its Primary Regulator

    Federal authorities investigating the collapse of MF Global have expanded their inquiry to include the actions of the CME Group, the operator of the main exchange where the commodities brokerage firm conducted business, according to people briefed on the matter.
    In particular, the commission is reviewing whether CME’s efforts to verify the safety of customer money were sufficient, the people said.

    CME, for its part, has said that MF Global may have intentionally produced inaccurate documents related to customer accounts.
    As the owner of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, the Chicago Board of Trade and the New York Mercantile Exchange, the CME Group is a major force in commodities and futures. It is the dominant United States exchange operator for billions of dollars in trades, affecting food prices and Wall Street profits. A censure of any kind would be a powerful, if merely symbolic, critique of the behemoth.

    d3#albook.nytimes.com

    dc CB 12:31 GMT January 6, 2012
    MF Global
    Reply   
    just out. And they should know :)))))

    CME Group downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan

    GVI Forex john 12:05 GMT January 6, 2012
    ALERT- Canada Employment



    Data mixed to in line with estimates...

    Boston eFX 12:02 GMT January 6, 2012
    RBCCM Remains Downbeat On CHF, But Positive On JPY
    Reply   
    (Dow Jones via eFXnews) RBC Capital Markets remains downbeat on CHF, but positive on JPY, and would use any bounces in EUR/USD as an opportunity to sell CHF/JPY.

    It first suggested short CHF/JPY trades back in early November, and notes ......

    RBCCM Remains Downbeat On CHF, But Positive On JPY (full story)

    GVI Forex john 12:00 GMT January 6, 2012
    ALERT- Canada Employment
    Reply   

    -- ALERT --
    Canada: Employment December 2011
    Jobs:17.5 K vs. 20.0K exp. vs. -18.6K prev.
    Rate:7.5% vs. 7.40% exp. vs. 7.40% prev.

    F/T Jobs: -25.5K vs. n/a exp. vs. 34.6K prev.
    P/T Jobs: 43.1K vs. n/a exp. vs. 53.3K prev.



    TTN: Live News Special Offer

    Mtl JP 11:59 GMT January 6, 2012
    Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

    so what is the trade john ?????

    GVI Forex john 11:52 GMT January 6, 2012
    Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

    Canadian December employment data due at the top of the hour. Many who have looked have seen little correlation between monthly U.S. and Canadian data, although one might have thought otherwise.

    GVI Forex 11:50 GMT January 6, 2012
    Forex News
    Reply   
    The euro hit 16-month lows against the dollar and sterling on Friday and traded close to an
    11-year trough versus the yen, with growing unease about funding pressures in the euro zone pointing to further declines.


    FOREX NEWS - Euro hits 16-mth low vs dollar, more falls likely

    Boston eFX 11:39 GMT January 6, 2012
    BTMUFJ Sees More JPY Intervention Dangers
    Reply   
    (Dow Jones via eFXnews) BTMUFJ sees more JPY intervention dangers if declines in EUR/JPY accelerate further, which would up the pressure on the BOJ/MOF to try and curb JPY strength.

    "We have no doubt in the government's resolve to stem excessive yen strength," the Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi-UFJ says, noting, though that ....

    BTMUFJ Sees More JPY Intervention Dangers (full story)

    GVI Forex Jay 11:26 GMT January 6, 2012
    Forex Weathermap - EURUSD
    Reply   
    11:20 GMT (Global-View.com) Jan 6 - Spin the wheel it is time for monthly NFP roulette. Never has a number with a such a wide margin of error and subject to large revisions had such an impact when the headline result misses the consensus forecast. This is the hand we are dealt.


    Forex Weathermap - EURUSD

    GVI Forex Blog 11:04 GMT January 6, 2012 Reply   
    The FX market consolidated its recent moves during the session but the greenback saw some late Asian firmness on rumors that North Korean suffered a nuclear incident at one of its facilities (South Korean, Japanese official both downplayed the chatter). The EUR/USD hovered around the 1.28 handle throughout the session. The ECB was again rumored to be again buying peripheral bonds via its SMP program with Italian and Spanish debt mentioned.

    TradeTheNews.com European Market Update: Hungary PM tries to calm market jitters over its central bank law and IMF discussions

    GVI Forex john 11:04 GMT January 6, 2012
    Global-View.com Forex Heat Maps
    Reply   

    Be Sure to Refresh Forum Manually to Update Heat Map.


    GVI Forex john 11:00 GMT January 6, 2012
    ALERT- German Industrial Orders
    Reply   

    -- ALERT --
    DE Industrial Orders November 2011
    -4.8% vs. -1.70% exp. vs. +5.00%r prev.


    TTN: Live News Special Offer

    mumbai 10:58 GMT January 6, 2012
    Stay long in S&P and commodities..?
    Reply   
    Whats your opinion on commodities and S&P? Just read the newsletter of mahendra sharma the famous finiancial astrologer and he is recommending to stay long in his weekly newslettter. He also given trade range for GOLD, SILVER, PLATINUM, PALLADIUM, GRAINS, CURRENCIES and other commodities as well. Last week newsletter was on the spot. let see how it works for this week.

    If you having any trading ideas or news, tips, or chart share here so i can compare with his newsletter and take my trading decisions.

    If you want to check his newleeter for reference you can check here (http://www.censored/latest-news.php?id=589).

    Israel Dil 10:58 GMT January 6, 2012
    JPY

    her Mongolian secret lover is working on that

    philadelphia caba 10:55 GMT January 6, 2012
    JPY

    Have you called Azumi's wife yet?

    GVI Forex john 10:50 GMT January 6, 2012
    Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets
    Reply   

    • Key Items US/CA- Employment. 

    • Thursday saw key employment data from the U.S.  The ADP monthly private jobs survey saw an unexpected surge in jobs of 325K in December vs. expectations for about 180K in the month. Even ADP reportedly raised some issues about the reliability of the data. 

    • Street estimates for Non-farm Payrolls have been raised to about 200K after the ADP data. 

    • Some markets in Europe today are thin or closed today due to the Epiphany Day holiday.

    • The tight EURUSD correlation to the S&P has been working on the downside, but it has broken down on equity moves to the upside.

    • Debt issues persist in Europe with Hungary and Spain in the headlines this week. We  have been indicating that S&P downgrades of France and others are widely expected in January. This will impact the ratings of the EFSF..

    Israel Dil 10:46 GMT January 6, 2012
    metals, oil and food commodities
    Reply   

    we are about to witness the strongest rally seen for at least a decade.

    MM

    Israel Dil 10:45 GMT January 6, 2012
    JPY
    Reply   

    JPY will trade at least 7% lower than its current value by the end of February.

    MM

    Israel Dil 10:44 GMT January 6, 2012
    EUR/USD
    Reply   

    Anyone to guess if this month's low will be with 1.27xx or 1.26xx handle?

    Israel Dil 10:42 GMT January 6, 2012
    GBP/USD
    Reply   
    month's low is in place or will be set surely before Tuesday's close.

    MM

    msa nsm 10:40 GMT January 6, 2012
    trading the news

    Mtl JP 09:55 GM: thanks gl

    GVI Forex Blog 10:36 GMT January 6, 2012 Reply   
    Key Items US/CA- Employment. Thursday saw key employment data from the U.S. The ADP monthly private jobs survey saw an unexpected surge in jobs of 325K in December vs. expectations for about 180K in the month. Even ADP reportedly raised some issues about the reliability of the data.

    Forex Trade Talk 11:00 GMT 6 January 2012

    GVI Forex Blog 10:33 GMT January 6, 2012 Reply   
    10:35 GMT (Global-View.com) January 6- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is opening Friday in North America at .5245, -0.16% from its Thursday close (-2.51% vs. end-2010).

    Global-View D.O.G. Index January 6, 2011 U.S. Open

    singapore td 10:32 GMT January 6, 2012
    sell usdjpy

    hourly 200 ema was too hot to handle for usdjpy

    GVI Forex john 10:32 GMT January 6, 2012
    Global-View D.O.G. Index
    Reply   
    10:35 GMT (Global-View.com) January 6- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is opening Friday in North America at .5245, -0.16% from its Thursday close (-2.51% vs. end-2010).

    As for its key subcomponents, the USD forex purchasing power index is .7853, -0.14% (+0.91% vs. end-2010). The forex index is value is calculated against the top six trading currencies.

    Against gold, the USD purchasing power index is worth .1776, +0.03% (-12.45% ytd).

    Against crude, it is at 0.4361, -0.40 (-10.59% end-2010). The D.O.G. Index base is 1.00. It is measured against levels from the start of 1999, as of the initial launch of the euro (currency).

    D.O.G. Homepage

    singapore td 10:29 GMT January 6, 2012
    sell usdjpy
    Reply   
    lovely, usdjpy starts going down finally!
    minus for the day so far

    philadelphia caba 10:12 GMT January 6, 2012
    eur/chf long
    Reply   
    Buy EURCHF
    Entry: 1.2180 Target: 1.2425+ Stop: 1.2122

    there's more political pressure to rise the floor

    GVI Forex john 10:03 GMT January 6, 2012
    ALERT- EZ Data
    Reply   

    -- ALERT --
    EZ Consumer Sentiment November 2011
    -21.1 vs. -21.2 exp. vs. -20.7r prev.
    EZ Business Climate
    -0.31 vs. -0.50 exp. vs. -0.42r prev.
    EZ Economic Sentiment
    92.0 vs. 93.2 exp. vs. 92.8r prev.

    EZ Retail Sales November 2011
    mm: -0.8% vs. -0.20% exp. vs. -0.10% prev.
    yy: -2.5% vs. -0.80% exp. vs. -0.70% prev.

    EZ Unemployment November 2011
    10.3% vs. 10.30% exp. vs. 10.30% prev.


    TTN: Live News Special Offer

    Mtl JP 09:55 GMT January 6, 2012
    trading the news

    suggest that IF usdcad pops up on the release, fade it.
    for price points suggest refer to g-v chartpoints

    singapore sara 09:21 GMT January 6, 2012
    US Unemployment rate

    hi ! may be joke of the day. but something everyone must think too

    msa nsm 09:17 GMT January 6, 2012
    trading the news
    Reply   
    Buy USDCAD
    Entry: Target: Stop:

    With good cad results coming out as well as usd, how does one trade the news on usdcad, fundamentally speaking. Any help will be greatly appreciated

    PAR 09:09 GMT January 6, 2012
    US Unemployment rate

    Also spoke to the wife of Bernanke and she thinks the Euro is cheap at current levels and that she may need a lot of Euro's to buy a nice penthouse in Cannes. So buy Euro 's before someone realises that also America sooner or later will have to pay its debts or go on printing green dollar bills at supersonic speed.

    Melbourne Qindex 09:03 GMT January 6, 2012
    EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2797

    EURUSD
    Entry: Target: Stop:

    EUR/USD : It is likely that the market will vibrate around 1.2766
    and the current expected trading range is 1.2680 - 1.2852.


    Qindex.com


    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZEGYpXE5B4

    EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts

    Melbourne Qindex 08:54 GMT January 6, 2012
    EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2797

    EURUSD
    Entry: Target: Stop:

    EUR/USD : Market makers are covering their short positions. 1.2766 could be the weekly cycle low. Speculative buying interest will increase when the market is strong enough to overcome the resistant point at 1.2822.


    Qindex.com


    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZEGYpXE5B4

    EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts

    Mtl JP 08:54 GMT January 6, 2012
    US Unemployment rate

    PAR 08:44 and everybody will eat cake

    what is the trade ?

    PAR 08:44 GMT January 6, 2012
    US Unemployment rate
    Reply   
    As the private sector created 325.000 private jobs in the USA last month we should see US unemployment rate drop quiet sharply towards the 8 % .

    V M 08:21 GMT January 6, 2012
    Korea

    IE^partytalks

    V M 08:20 GMT January 6, 2012
    Korea

    Rumours light water nuclear reactor explosion in N Korea.s lee pon Electrictric blank it stoploss don't worry roots root they will call for hilFE! stemcell ie

    PAR 08:17 GMT January 6, 2012
    YEN
    Reply   
    Last night I called the wife of the president of the BOJ and she told me she thinks the Yen is too strong and that she needs some dollars to buy a vacation house in Palm Beach Florida where house prices are really cheap compared to Tokyo. Lol.

    singapore td 08:09 GMT January 6, 2012
    sell eurjpy
    Reply   
    eurjpy is struggling, looks like losing its footing soon
    97.xx should be seen later in NY, it will lead other jpy pairs down as well
    cheers

    msa nsm 07:48 GMT January 6, 2012
    Paper gold

    Dailies rsi hinting a convergence though and the whole setup stands nullified with a break of 38.2, i think

    msa nsm 07:45 GMT January 6, 2012
    Paper gold

    IMO expecting a drop to 23.6 level for the second small correction wave (b) then a bounce to 50.0 (c) for the third wave then finally a break out most probably downward then uptrend resumes, any insights will be highly appreciated. gl

    Lahore FM 07:43 GMT January 6, 2012
    " Trade Ideas "

    Buy OTHER
    Entry: Target: Stop:

    gbp likely to outperform rest of the currencies on 4 hour charts here.

    msa nsm 06:53 GMT January 6, 2012
    Paper gold

    My only weakness lies with setting the sl levels, i mostly get stopped out of good trades with poor levels i presume.

    msa nsm 06:51 GMT January 6, 2012
    Paper gold

    Thanks Kl, we're all on the same page but different trade setup i guess. In heavy short against the 38.2 level from november high, hoping for a second failure break due to hinted s&p weakness currently forming a second top. expecting dollar to continue gains in the coming weeks though intraday position.

    KL KL 06:39 GMT January 6, 2012
    Paper gold

    msa nsm

    out 1/2 1626.50......45 seconds ago the rest locking in some profit ...so letting it run hopefully for another 200 pips?? maybe my stops gets taken..........and that is how I trade less than few minutes....sometimes...sometimes few hours and rarely days and weeks...gl gt to you...

    KL KL 06:25 GMT January 6, 2012
    Paper gold

    msa nsm

    I am in just 50 seconds ago again short 1628 the last trade i have already done and dusted.....in my time frame hours ago....LOL

    No stops at the moment will keep adding every $1-2 on my entry and will cover 1/2 when 100 pips seen and then lock in the rest with my dynamic stop profit .....this is quick hands days for ninja trading.....

    GVI Forex Blog 05:52 GMT January 6, 2012 Reply   
    - (CO) COLOMBIA DEC CPI M/M: 0.4% V 0.3%E; Y/Y: 3.7% V 3.6%E ***Markets Snapshot (as of 04:30GMT)*** - Nikkei225 -0.9% - S&P/ASX -0.7% - Kospi -1.6% - Taiwan Taiex -0.1% - Singapore St

    TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: Tense markets react to geopolitical events ahead of US Payrolls

    msa nsm 05:37 GMT January 6, 2012
    Paper gold

    Hi KL, sl please? GL

    singapore td 05:24 GMT January 6, 2012
    sell usdjpy
    Reply   
    usdjpy has done the top side, will not cross 77.30 and won't stay comfortably above 77.20
    time to go down!

    Honky g 05:21 GMT January 6, 2012
    Korea
    Reply   
    Risk getting hit... Asia lunch... due to headlines of rumours light water nuclear reactor explosion in N Korea.

    Boston eFX 05:08 GMT January 6, 2012
    'Risk-On' Redefined
    Reply   
    (Dow Jones via eFXnews) Traders and analysts have come up with the shorthand phrases "risk-on" and "risk-off" to describe the sometimes violent swings in prices associated with the financial crisis.

    But investment giant BlackRock" has delved into literature to come up with a more eloquent variant. "Goethe summed up the prevailing investor psychology well when he coined the phrase '....

    'Risk-On' Redefined (full story)

    KL KL 04:55 GMT January 6, 2012
    Hildebrand Tarnishes Swiss Brand

    Seems like any ill gotten gains that goes to charity = Righteousness...... Scum of the earth if you ask me.


    Worst are those who scam society and then make a show of donating to mentally challenged and handicapped......but this is the Media fault for encouraging these acts...They are all in bed for their own bowl of $$$$$$$$...trust no one!!...my rant for the day!!

    Boston eFX 02:58 GMT January 6, 2012
    Hildebrand Tarnishes Swiss Brand
    Reply   
    (Dow Jones via eFXnews) Philipp Hildebrand doesn't look like a man about to resign. The Swiss National Bank president Thursday robustly defended a controversial currency trade by his wife made before the bank installed a floor for the Swiss franc against the euro. He hopes that by donating CHF75,000 to charity and ordering new tougher rules he can draw a line under the affair. But.....

    Hildebrand Tarnishes Swiss Brand (ful story)

    KL KL 02:41 GMT January 6, 2012
    Paper gold

    just sold some paper gold 1625.....wow ..waited for long for this ...now lets see how it develops....keep adding above deal but will take the 100 pips first when seen...Armada account is launched!!

    Open 02:06 GMT January 6, 2012 Reply   

    EUR/USD Daily Asia Outlook 01/06

    Open 02:02 GMT January 6, 2012 Reply   

    GBP/USD Daily Asia Outlook 01/06

    Open 02:02 GMT January 6, 2012 Reply   

    USD/CAD Daily Asia Outlook 01/06

    Open 02:00 GMT January 6, 2012 Reply   

    USD/CHF Daily Asia Outlook 01/06

    USA ZEUS 00:47 GMT January 6, 2012
    eur

    Brock Thor 00:34 GMT January 6, 2012
    "hk ab 20:44 GMT January 5, 2012

    Thank you both very much for your kind remarks. I appreciate those who are positive and keep their comments top notch. Your examples of support are what keep me here and silences the incindiary trolls and hecklers out there!

    Best of 2012 to you!

    Brock Thor 00:34 GMT January 6, 2012
    eur

    EURUSD
    Entry: Target: Stop:

    ZEUS...I respectfully join ab in congradulating you on another fantastic call EURUSD 1.2777.
    Thanks for me + 200 pips... "top trade as usual".

    "hk ab 20:44 GMT January 5, 2012
    eur: Reply
    Zeus, again thanks for your hats-off call of 1.2777 bottom.

    Just like what you did with gold at 1560ish area. Great work! Top trade as usual. "


    manila tom 00:19 GMT January 6, 2012
    sell usdjpy
    Reply   
    time to go short usdjpy again big time, bounce should be capped now under 77.20, stop above 77.36, profit collection in London and NY IMHO

    Boston eFX 00:10 GMT January 6, 2012
    Mizuho: Euro Likely To Fall To $1.26 Within A Month
    Reply   
    (Dow Jones via eFXnews) The euro is seeing a slow move down and there is continuous acceptance that it is on a downward slope," says Fabian Eliasson at Mizuho.

    Still, the common currency is.....

    Mizuho: Euro Likely To Fall To $1.26 Within A Month (full story)

     




    Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

    GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
    AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

    Mon 27 May 2019
    AAGB/US- Holiday
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    A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
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    A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
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