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Forex Forum Archive for 01/11/2012

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philadelphia caba 23:18 GMT January 11, 2012
CHF for ever

Thanks DS, always appreciate your view and comments. But,..how important are ski resorts for swiss economy??

BERN DS 23:11 GMT January 11, 2012
CHF for ever
Reply   
philadelphia caba 18:43 GMT January 11, 2012
eur/chf: Reply
Swiss FinMin: Swiss Are Suffering Massively From The Strong Franc


This is a suffering on a VERY HIGH LEVEL ... don t forget that ! People here are doing pretty well ... New record sales last 3 weeks in all major ski resorts... this is interesting.... market here adjust quicker to FX rates than else where... EURO is about to fall big time- as well against CHF... it will take a little time imho... have all fun...

USA ZEUS 22:40 GMT January 11, 2012
This Is The Most Worrisome Chart Since The Summit

Paris ib 20:08 GMT October 27, 2011
"...U.S. data releases were again 'disappointing', U.S. government bonds got sold off across the curve and you guys are still bleating on about 'trouble in Europe'. And, what's more, still scrabbling around for reasons to sell the EURO. Why? Is this some kind of cultural prejudice at work here? We are going into a potential USD meltdown and everyone on this forum is ignoring the evidence and going with the propaganda (which I admit is overwhelming if you care to listen)."
_______________________________________________________

Hope all is well in Paris, ib.

MLT PA 22:32 GMT January 11, 2012
FOCUS: Vultures Circle Euro As Currency's Status Shifts
Reply   
LONDON (Dow Jones)--Canny foreign-exchange investors are increasingly tempted to borrow euros to fund bets in higher-yielding currencies, even though it is a lot cheaper to borrow dollars.

The combination of low European Central Bank interest rates that are likely to fall further, and growing confidence that the euro is set for a big slide this year, lines the currency up as a good bet to sell in search of juicier bets elsewhere. In the market's parlance, that makes it a funding currency, equivalent to nailing a "for sale" sign on its fence.

It is an unusual role for the common currency, and one normally grabbed by the dollar and yen. While low, ECB interest rates at 1% are still four times higher than, say, the U.S. Federal Reserve's, so when investors feel broadly confident the euro usually rises as traders are drawn to its higher returns. Now, though, a poor outlook for the currency's value and quirks in the interbank borrowing market mean typical trading patterns are being turned on their head.

"Investors are looking at lower euro-zone interest rates and expectations that the euro will remain weak or weaken and that's an ideal framework to basically use the euro as a funding currency," said Steven Saywell, head of currency strategy at BNP Paribas. He said his bank's clients are increasingly looking at the market in this way.

Saywell isn't alone. Morgan Stanley this week recommended investors buy the Australian and Canadian dollars, funded by the euro, stressing that the euro's market role is shifting. It is now the ideal currency to sell in search of what is known as carry, or returns from higher interest rates, in other currencies.

Investors seem to be taking notice. Based on trades reported to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission at least, the scale of speculators' bets against the euro stands at a record high.

The flip side is that the euro is prone to abrupt short-term rallies because of the possibility of some of these bets being reversed. Volatility in the currency is also a deterrent to some would-be euro sellers. But rallies are exactly what some long-term investors are looking for as a cue to sell this new funding currency.

"It is definitely something I would put on if we got a setback. I like this trade, being short of the euro, both from a fundamental perspective and because of the carry aspects," said Munich-based Thomas Kressin, who heads foreign-exchange operations in Europe for PIMCO, one of the world's biggest bond fund management firms.

Central bank interest rates are only part of the picture. The cost of swapping euros into dollars in the forward foreign-exchange market is so skewed by chronic euro-zone worries that it makes up for the fact benchmark borrowing costs in the euro zone are higher than in the U.S., Kressin said.

"The forwards do not reflect the interest rate differential any more but rather the relative supply and demand of euros and dollars, and that makes the euro a much more attractive funding currency," said Kressin.

In normal circumstances it would be pricier to buy euros in exchange for dollars in, say, three months' time on the forward market than to do it now on the spot market, simply because the ECB's interest rates are higher than the Federal Reserves.

But current conditions aren't normal, which is why the euro-zone banking system is being propped up unlimited ECB funding and global central banks resorted late last year to freeing up the supply of cheap dollars through regular auctions to offset a drop in dollar lending by U.S. money funds to European institutions.

The three-month euro-dollar basis swap, which is a function of spot and forward foreign-exchange prices and prevailing interest rates as well as a bellwether for dollar funding stress, has improved to minus 86 basis points from as low as minus 165 basis points in late November, when worries about "another Lehman" filled the air.

But that figure remains deep in the red when, if all were well, it would be closer to zero. For market participants seeking a funding currency, that, combined with the euro's weak outlook and slowing euro-zone economy, makes for an increasingly tantalizing combination.

Source: WSJ

USA ZEUS 22:21 GMT January 11, 2012
Ridgefield ZEUS 19:43 GMT July 25, 2011
Reid sounds not too positive.: Reply
Let's let Mitt Romney be the new Captain America as he rides in like a knight in shining armor to strike down Reid and Pelosi and remind this great nation afresh what leadership and business mindedness is about.
Capitalism is still the best path to prosperity.

USA Zeus 05:30 GMT November 8, 2006 Reply
"...the last thing this country needs is to turn purple as a bunch of puppets run the country. Pelosi is a political opportunist.
What we need is some strong leadership from somewhere. Don't see that anywhere in sight until someone like a Mitt Romney is elected in '08."
_____________________________________________________
Turning purple proved fatal. Perhaps the market is already sensing the great Mitt Romney rescue is coming in focus.
Capitalism!
GLGT!

USA ZEUS 22:14 GMT January 11, 2012
USD
Reply   
Most market chatter is about how currencies are declining against the USD but few are taking note that it is the USD showing great strength with a a strong trend higher as seen in the USD index.
The mighty buck is in play!

Cheers!

USA ZEUS 22:09 GMT January 11, 2012
EUR/USD

Thank you FM. Best to you as always!

GVI Forex john 21:52 GMT January 11, 2012
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets
Reply   

  • Key Items  GB- Ind/Mfg Output, BOE, EZ- I/P. ECB, US- Weekly Jobless, Retail Sales, 30-yr. 

  • A key focus this week is the ECB meeting on Thursday. No policy changes are expected, however some sort of additional ECB easing might be needed sometime soon.

  • The EURUSD turned south on Wednesday based on rumors (denied) of an imminent French debt downgrade. Recently the S&P has made these announcements late on Friday. 

  • USD sentiment fundamentally improved following the most recent U.S. employment data. The markets are pricing in a U.S. economic recovery. 

  • Mitt Romney solidly won the Republican Presidential primary in New Hampshire. The candidate field should now start to contract as the writing is starting to appear on the wall. 

  • Debt issues persist in Europe. The proposed bond deal for Greece seems to be reaching a conclusion. Another focus is Italian debt.

GVI Forex Blog 21:48 GMT January 11, 2012 Reply   
Key Items GB- Ind/Mfg Output, BOE, EZ- I/P. ECB, US- Weekly Jobless, Retail Sales, 30-yr. A key focus this week is the ECB meeting on Thursday. No policy changes are expected, however some sort of additional ECB easing might be needed sometime soon.

Forex Trade Talk 00:00 GMT 12 January 2012

GVI Forex Blog 21:46 GMT January 11, 2012 Reply   
The euro plummeted to its lowest in 16 months against the dollar on Wednesday, weighed down by persistent talk of an imminent cut to France's triple-A rating and a warning from Fitch about a collapse of the single currency if the European Central Bank does not step up its bond purchases.

Forex News - Euro drops to 16-month low as ECB, auctions loom

Melbourne Qindex 21:05 GMT January 11, 2012
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2797

Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : The bias is on the downside when the market closed below 1.2727 in the New York session. It is likely that the market will tackle the supporting strength of the barrier at 1.2622 // 1.2664 in the the Asian session. Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market downward trending momentum is strong enough to penetrate through the barrier at 1.2658 // 1.2646.


Qindex.com


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZEGYpXE5B4


==============================================


Melbourne Qindex 21:48 GMT January 10, 2012
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2797 : Reply
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : The bias is on the downside when it is rejected from the barrier at 1.2797 // 1.2822. Market makers are in action. The odds are good that the downside trending momentum is strong enough to penetrate through the barrier at 1.2622 // 1.2664. The short term downside targeting range is 1.2502 // 1.2511.


Qindex.com


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZEGYpXE5B4

EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts

GVI Forex john 20:53 GMT January 11, 2012
USD Moving Averages
Reply   

1/11/2012

20:00

GMT

 

 

 

 

 

Latest

EURUSD

USDJPY

USDCHF

GBPUSD

USDCAD

AUDUSD

NZDUSD

Last

1.2705

76.86

0.9541

1.5327

1.0189

1.0313

0.7972

High

1.2789

77.04

0.9566

1.5490

1.0210

1.0329

0.7974

Low

1.2661

76.78

0.9478

1.5308

1.0136

1.0258

0.7921

Change

-0.0069

0.06

0.0052

-0.0152

0.0027

0.0008

0.0038

MVA

EURUSD

USDJPY

USDCHF

GBPUSD

USDCAD

AUDUSD

NZDUSD

5 day

1.2750

76.94

0.9522

1.5435

1.0208

1.0268

0.7878

10 day

1.2857

76.95

0.9453

1.5488

1.0187

1.0267

0.7843

20 day

1.2944

77.45

0.9409

1.5538

1.0227

1.0164

0.7755

50 day

1.3252

77.51

0.9264

1.5650

1.0235

1.0131

0.7718

100 day

1.3532

77.17

0.9016

1.5742

1.0157

1.0185

0.7884

200 day

1.3947

78.65

0.8708

1.6016

0.9917

1.0413

0.8031

TREND

EURUSD

USDJPY

USDCHF

GBPUSD

USDCAD

AUDUSD

NZDUSD

BIAS

Down

Down

Up

Down

Down

Up

Up

 

GVI Forex john 20:46 GMT January 11, 2012
FX Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

GVI Forex john 20:31 GMT January 11, 2012
Global-View.com Forex Heat Maps
Reply   

Be Sure to Refresh Forum Manually to Update Heat Map.


GVI Forex Blog 20:26 GMT January 11, 2012 Reply   
20:30 GMT (Global-View.com) January 11- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is ending Wednesday in North America at .5260, +0.42% from its Tuesday close (-2.24% vs. end-2010).

Global-View D.O.G. Index January 11, 2012 U.S. Close

Syd 20:23 GMT January 11, 2012
VIX Still Has 40% Upside As Europe Will Start Making Headlines Again
Reply   
The world markets are all moving based on what the headlines have been saying. For the last month, headlines have been pretty silent in regards to the European debt crisis. This has caused the U.S. stock market to rally quite a decent amount, especially financials, which have seen a strong upside in just the past two weeks. While the headlines have slowed, it does not mean Europe is back on track. All they have done is push back the situation ... again. Investors have been jumping back into the market as they believe stability is back.

link

GVI Forex john 20:22 GMT January 11, 2012
Global-View D.O.G. Index
Reply   
20:30 GMT (Global-View.com) January 11- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is ending Wednesday in North America at .5260, +0.42% from its Tuesday close (-2.24% vs. end-2010).

As for its key subcomponents, the USD forex purchasing power index is .7876, +0.39% (+1.21% vs. end-2010). The forex index is value is calculated against the top six trading currencies.

Against gold, the USD purchasing power index is worth .1755, -0.56% (-13.49% ytd).

Against crude, it is at 0.4419, +1.38% (-9.38% end-2010). The D.O.G. Index base is 1.00. It is measured against levels from the start of 1999, as of the initial launch of the euro (currency).

D.O.G. Homepage

Mtl JP 20:22 GMT January 11, 2012
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

bla bla yak yak... don't forget one thing about these FED smoke spouters: they will never miss a paycheque and therefore never miss a meal.
-
here is what the experts at the US FED project:

Economic Projections of Federal Reserve Board Members and Federal Reserve Bank Presidents, November 2011 (.pdf)

on jan 23, theoretically we - market players - will be informed what the FED collective thinks should be the rate of cost of money (not to be confused with accessibility to it) that will help achieve their plan, namely:

- GDP growth between 2.4% - 2.7%,
- unemployment rate between 5.2% - 6% and
- inflation between 1.7% - 2%

over the "longer run".
-
Helping the FED: H.R. 2835: Joint Select Committee on Job Creation Act of 2011

To establish a joint select committee of Congress to report findings and propose legislation to restore the Nation’s workforce to full employment over the period of fiscal years 2012 and 2013, and to provide for expedited consideration of such legislation by both the House of Representatives and the Senate

JERUSALEM KB 20:12 GMT January 11, 2012
Forex Trading Plan



have a look on this ea results

Boston eFX 20:08 GMT January 11, 2012
MONEY TALKS: The ECB's Impossible Balancing Act
Reply   
(Dow Jones via eFXnews) The European Central Bank's desire to save the euro, whatever the cost, will ultimately destroy the single currency if, as seems likely, politicians fudge the tightening of fiscal rules.

Is this too extreme a view? Possibly. But there are at least two reasons to be worried.

First, the ECB.....

MONEY TALKS: The ECB's Impossible Balancing Act (full story)

NY JM 19:50 GMT January 11, 2012
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

Plosser is a hawk. Most of the talk of late from Fed officials has been dovish.

Trading Systems 19:45 GMT January 11, 2012 Reply   

Track FM's Robots

Philadelphia C. Barkley 19:39 GMT January 11, 2012
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

ROCHESTER, New York - Wed Jan 11, 2012 1:00pm EST

(Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates before the middle of 2013, despite the central bank's repeated forecasts that it expected to keep rates ultra low until at least then, a top official said on Wednesday.

Fed may need to raise rates before mid-2013: Plosser

GVI Forex News 19:30 GMT January 11, 2012
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

-- Market-Moving News --

Wednesday, January 11, 2012 2:00:23 PM

*(US) FED'S BEIGE BOOK: ECONOMY GREW AT MODEST TO MODERATE PACE; CONSUMER PICKED UP IN SOME REGIONS; SAW SLIGHT RISE IN BUSINESS LOAN DEMAND

Beige Book

GVI Forex Blog 19:19 GMT January 11, 2012 Reply   
AUD/USD and NZD/USD outlook next 24 hours: here’s a full event calendar for markets today. The US Beige book of economic conditions will be released shortly and China’s inflation reading is this afternoon. Most important will be tonight’s ECB meeting, no new stimulus expected but the possibility of market-disappointing comments. Italian and Spanish bond auctions will be watched. AUD remains capped by 1.0385 resistance and is biased to test 1.0200 today. NZD is testing 0.7965 minor resistance but a move beyond 0.8000 today is unlikely.

Forex - Morning Report (Westpac)

Boston eFX 19:09 GMT January 11, 2012
SNB Insider Favored For Top Policy Job
Reply   
(Dow Jones via eFXnews) The replacement for Swiss National Bank head Philipp Hildebrand is likely to be from the German-speaking part of the country and may even feature the first woman ever to sit on the central bank's governing board, according to analysts.

Speculation on the successor to Hildebrand, who resigned as central bank head Monday after the controversy over currency dealings by his wife last year, is in full swing as the government and SNB Council weigh their options for appointments to the three-person board.

Among the names bandied about is that of Beatrice Weder di Mauro, a Swiss ....

SNB Insider Favored For Top Policy Job (full story)

philadelphia caba 18:43 GMT January 11, 2012
eur/chf

Swiss FinMin: Swiss Are Suffering Massively From The Strong Franc

Zurich EG 18:36 GMT January 11, 2012
eur/chf

With a replacement SNB chief likely to take months, the current board will keep the floor at 1.20

Los Angeles BDH 18:01 GMT January 11, 2012
greetings for 2012
Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Lahore FM

Many thanks for your guidance last year and my wish for a bright 2012. i'm still using my 5/20 moving average crossover
on the 30 min screen, plus a buffer of 20 pips...bernie

Hillegom Purk 18:00 GMT January 11, 2012
Range jan 2012 e/u
Reply   
Today 12661-12790. We had new low today, nice. As long as we see 126-127 these days we will go lower.
And still it was a day where both sides could have made some pips.Could would should is back.

Lahore FM 17:29 GMT January 11, 2012
EUR/USD

relevant and timely..thanx!

Open 17:21 GMT January 11, 2012 Reply   

BarCap: Gold Have Much Higher to Go? (video)

USA ZEUS 17:07 GMT January 11, 2012
EUR/USD

The market needs to stay above 1.2684 if there is any hope of the often called for and pending rally by others here albeit at lower levels in perpetuity. Eventually they'll get a rally of small retracement and dance in the streets wildly.
Otherwise, another attack on the low and the floor could very well be pulled out afresh.


Cheers!

GVI Forex john 17:05 GMT January 11, 2012
Global-View.com Forex Heat Maps
Reply   

Be Sure to Refresh Forum Manually to Update Heat Map.


Israel Dil 16:30 GMT January 11, 2012
eur



as long day low is not violated by more than 10 pips and the sentiment remains heavily of crash expected, then short squeeze may get life into it. looks like really no one sees short squeeze to happen anymore at the current levels.


MM

Boston eFX 16:11 GMT January 11, 2012
USD/CHF Seems To Be Ignoring The Charts - Commerzbank
Reply   
(Dow Jones via eFXnews) USD/CHF seems to be ignoring the charts, says Commerzbank analyst Karen Jones.

Despite a key day reversal and diverging RSI, both negative signals, the spot is holding up well and remains intraday bid while it trades above 0.9450.

Jones's topside targets are .....

USD/CHF Seems To Be Ignoring The Charts - Commerzbank (full story)

Lahore FM 16:10 GMT January 11, 2012
" Trade Ideas "

FS this is all i am willing to give it..its more than a doll above day high so far and what we are doing is cementing the ceiling.

kl fs 16:04 GMT January 11, 2012
" Trade Ideas "

FM, maybe better to move the stop above 1653

GVI Forex Blog 15:56 GMT January 11, 2012 Reply   
January 11 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, January 12. Updated: Trading Events Calendar:

GVI Forex- Data Outlook for January 12, 2012

GVI Forex john 15:53 GMT January 11, 2012
Calendar
Reply   


January 11 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, January 12. Updated: Trading Events Calendar:

  • Far East: JA- Current Account.
  • Europe: GB- Ind/Mfg Output, BOE. EZ- Ind Prod, ECB..
  • North America: US- Weekly Jobless, Retail Sales, Business Inventories, Natural Gas, 30-yr.


  • Lahore FM 15:49 GMT January 11, 2012
    " Trade Ideas "

    Sell Gold
    Entry: 1643.20 Target: Stop: 1649

    added short gold 1643.20

    Israel Dil 15:49 GMT January 11, 2012
    Mafia now "Italy's No.1 bank" as crisis bites: report

    Italian mafia must run the country, that's the only way ALL will pay taxes :-)

    MLT PA 15:44 GMT January 11, 2012
    Mafia now "Italy's No.1 bank" as crisis bites: report
    Reply   
    (Reuters) - Organized crime has tightened its grip on the Italian economy during the economic crisis, making the Mafia the country's biggest "bank" and squeezing the life out of thousands of small firms, according to a report on Tuesday.

    Mafia now "Italy's No.1 bank" as crisis bites: report

    Israel Dil 15:43 GMT January 11, 2012
    eur/chf

    caba

    they will come in around 1.2 as the working Swiss cannot stand move down at the current time of the year.

    MM

    philadelphia caba 15:40 GMT January 11, 2012
    eur/chf

    Dil,
    my concern is that if there will be no SNB bid or activity at/around 1.2 peg, we might see repeat of August 2011 price action.

    GVI Forex john 15:31 GMT January 11, 2012
    ALERT- U.S. Weekly IEA Energy Data
    Reply   

    -- ALERT --
    U.S. Weekly Energy Inventories (mln)
    Crude Oil: +5.000 vs. +0.200 exp. vs. +2.200 prev.
    Gasoline: +3.600 vs. +2.200 exp. vs. +2.500 prev.
    Distillates:+3.980 vs. +0.145 exp. vs -3.200 prev.
    Cap/Util: 85.6% vs. 85.30% exp. vs. 85.00% prev.


    TTN: Live News Special Offer

    Boston eFX 15:30 GMT January 11, 2012
    Italy's Social Democrat Leader Wants Out Of EU, Euro
    Reply   
    (Dow Jones via eFXnews)The leader of Italy's Social Democrat party said Wednesday the country should leave the European Union and abandon the euro.

    "We don't think we're still really a part of Europe" as Rome has little influence in the organization, Renato d'Andria told Dow Jones Newswires in an interview. "So .....

    Italy's Social Democrat Leader Wants Out Of EU, Euro (full story)

    Israel Dil 15:30 GMT January 11, 2012
    eur

    buying eurusd dips the coming 30 minutes with the idea that day low will be in place/set during that period.

    MM

    Israel Dil 15:22 GMT January 11, 2012
    eur/chf

    that there is no catch (trap).


    MM

    Israel Dil 15:21 GMT January 11, 2012
    eur/chf

    caba

    with the tempo of the price action I would ask you to consider weekly/monthly close instead of daily. With well announced bottom it's a kind of impossible that the is no catch.

    BOJ, TONIGHT?

    philadelphia caba 15:14 GMT January 11, 2012
    eur/chf

    bias is BOD towards 1.2000

    nyc s 15:12 GMT January 11, 2012
    eur
    Reply   
    1.2665 being defended?????;;;;

    philadelphia caba 15:09 GMT January 11, 2012
    eur/chf

    yes, IF will close below 1.2000

    Boston eFX 15:07 GMT January 11, 2012
    Morgan Stanley: USD To Stay Strong For Yr; EUR/USD At 1.2 In 4Q12
    Reply   
    (Dow Jones via eFXnews) Investor pessimism in the face of the continuing euro-zone crisis will lend strength to the USD throughout this year, which will peak in 4Q12 with the EUR/USD at 1.2000, says Morgan Stanley's Global Research Team.

    While the possibility of .....

    Morgan Stanley: USD To Stay Strong For Yr; EUR/USD At 1.2 In 4Q12 (full story)

    GVI Forex Jay 15:07 GMT January 11, 2012
    Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

    Reaction (or lack of reaction ) to news tells you more than the news itself.

    nyc s 15:05 GMT January 11, 2012
    eur/chf

    Cabs are you giving up on long Eurchf?

    London Mick 15:04 GMT January 11, 2012
    Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

    It is a matter of timing when S&P drops the hammer on France,

    philadelphia caba 15:00 GMT January 11, 2012
    eur/chf
    Reply   
    reported big stops below 1.2100...

    GVI Forex Alert 14:51 GMT January 11, 2012
    Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

    -- Market-Moving News --

    French Treasury says it is not aware of any imminent decision to downgrade france's credit rating. EURUSD firms briefly.

    hk ab 14:47 GMT January 11, 2012
    gold
    Reply   
    interesting gold candles formations.... GL.

    gold shorts look like boiled frogs now.

    GVI Forex Jay 14:42 GMT January 11, 2012
    update
    Reply   
    It was an attack on our server hub and had to wait for it to clear up. Our servers are working fine and apologies for the interruption but beyond our control.

    philadelphia caba 14:33 GMT January 11, 2012
    Forex News

    has France gotten the 12-hour warning from S&P that it will be downgraded…?

    Israel Dil 14:27 GMT January 11, 2012
    up!

    GV exactly as the markets, CHOPPY :-)

    Lahore FM 13:26 GMT January 11, 2012
    up!
    Reply   
    good to have global-view back!

    Israel Dil 13:26 GMT January 11, 2012
    Forex News

    I still have high 1.28's as must to happen this week. Strange?

    Israel Dil 12:49 GMT January 11, 2012
    Forex News

    what for news the euro needs to close today above yesterday's high?

    GVI Forex 12:35 GMT January 11, 2012
    Forex News
    Reply   
    The euro dropped to within sight of a 16-month low against the dollar on Wednesday after Fitch ratings agency said the European Central Bank should do more to resolve the region's debt crisis, prompting nervous investors to sell the single currency.

    FOREX NEWS - Euro falls vs dlr, Fitch comments spook tense market

    USA ZEUS 12:35 GMT January 11, 2012
    EUR/USD

    Today's price transitions are smooth as butter.
    Collecting pps is like catching fish at a fish farm.

    Cheers!

    Boston eFX 12:32 GMT January 11, 2012
    BarCap Sees Formidable USD/JPY Resistance
    Reply   
    (Dow Jones via eFXnews) Barclays Capital sees formidable USD/JPY resistance between 77.40 and 77.55, which is likely to cap any recovery.

    The bank expects......

    BarCap Sees Formidable USD/JPY Resistance (full story)

    MLT PA 12:26 GMT January 11, 2012
    News
    Reply   
    EU banks have sold €14.9B of unsecured debt in the first 10 days of January - more than then entirety of 2011 H2 - may be less than meets the eye. First, banks have to roll €800B in 2012 so the sales hardly make a dent. Second, it appears the issuance has been mostly limited to Scandinavian, Dutch, and U.K. banks.

    GVI Forex Blog 12:25 GMT January 11, 2012 Reply   
    Dollar-Swiss failed to sustain the break below 0.9500 seen during the day and it has bounced back sharply above 0.9500 once again.

    FX Thoughts for the day : 11-Jan-2012 - 1224 GMT

    USA ZEUS 12:21 GMT January 11, 2012
    EUR/USD

    More to come.

    Cheers!

    USA ZEUS 12:19 GMT January 11, 2012
    EUR/USD

    A quick +20. Not bad, not bad.

    GLGT!

    GVI Forex john 12:17 GMT January 11, 2012
    Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

    DAX -50

    furures
    DJ -40
    SP -5

    nearly perfect correlation trade with EUR today so far.

    USA ZEUS 12:08 GMT January 11, 2012
    EUR/USD

    1.2684 prints. Perhaps this is the new reaction point, eh?

    Manila JT 11:55 GMT January 11, 2012
    Observations



    Sell EURUSD
    Entry: <1.30 Target: 1.18 Stop: NONE

    EURUSD - Three blind mice (all with large long positions)

    USA ZEUS 11:54 GMT January 11, 2012
    BOD or SOB

    The SOB's keep trying the BOD and it aint workin'

    Melbourne Qindex 11:52 GMT January 11, 2012
    EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2797

    Sell EURUSD
    Entry: Target: Stop:

    Melbourne Qindex 21:48 GMT January 10, 2012 - My Profile
    EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2797 : Reply
    EURUSD
    Entry: Target: Stop:

    EUR/USD : The bias is on the downside when it is rejected from the barrier at 1.2797 // 1.2822. Market makers are in action. The odds are good that the downside trending momentum is strong enough to penetrate through the barrier at 1.2622 // 1.2664. The short term downside targeting range is 1.2502 // 1.2511.


    Qindex.com


    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZEGYpXE5B4

    EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts

    Israel Dil 11:49 GMT January 11, 2012
    US elections near
    Reply   

    it's not only fresh printed money for all


    Democratic Candidates

    GVI Forex Jay 11:49 GMT January 11, 2012
    BOD or SOB

    EURUSD
    Entry: Target: Stop:

    I posted this last night to test whether you would be interested ins eeing this added as a regular feature. For it to work, we need participation. Note my example, which is my view and that worked out overnight.

    We want to test a new feature and would like your feedback and participation. More than half the battle is to find the strong side to trade and this is a BOD (bid on dips) or SOB (sell on blips) bias + give a reason and/or level. You can have a different bias to what someone posts or can even have times when both work.

    This can be done for any currency and anyone can start a new BOD or SOB thread. The bias can change during the day based on news or price action. I think this could be a great addition. Add your bias when you come in and read this - it is a beta test


    Example

    SOB bias today while below 1,2800 or 1.2820. With the ECB and Italy and Spain auctions ahead, eurusd upside should be limited on Wednesday

    USA ZEUS 11:48 GMT January 11, 2012
    EUR/USD
    Reply   
    Nice +80 lock in on the expect-the-unexpected meltdown.
    1.2684 may be the critical thresh. If it gives way we could see a beatdown.

    Cheers!

    GVI Forex Jay 11:42 GMT January 11, 2012
    Forex Weat5hermap - EURUSD
    Reply   
    11:35 GNT (Global-View.com) Jan 11 - It is like everyone is looking at the same levels: 1.2856 (or 1.2858) on top, 1.2598 and 1.2587 (or thereabouts) on the downside. Same factors as well: Short eurusd positions, ECB meeting, Spain + Italy auctions and a general view that any rally would be short-covering and an opportunity to sell.

    Forex Weathermap - EURUSD

    Israel Dil 11:40 GMT January 11, 2012
    gold 11-01-2012

    mtl jp

    that means that they print money and pointing a gun to people's heads to take that money and then they take the money back as taxes and even say that economy grows.

    dreamland in full control :-)

    London Misha 11:39 GMT January 11, 2012
    Observations
    Reply   
    EURUSD - Doji on Daily Chart.
    USDJPY - Doji on Daily Chart.
    GBPUSD - Two White Soldiers on Daily Chart.
    USDCHF - Doji on Daily Chart.
    EURGBP - Bearish Harami on Daily Chart.
    EURJPY - Possible Bearish Advance Block on Daily Chart.
    USDCAD - Two Black Crows on Daily Chart.
    AUDUSD - Two White Soldiers on Daily Chart.

    Mtl JP 11:34 GMT January 11, 2012
    gold 11-01-2012

    Israel Dil 11:16 // Gov't collateral is YOU.

    Explained with more detail it means that interest on govt bonds is a reflection of market's perception of gov't ability to continue to extract current and future taxes from people under its heel.

    The Ability to Extract vs Interest Rate is an Inverse relationship.

    It is important to understand what Geithner and his gang mean when they talk about "full faith and credit of the United States government."

    Israel Dil 11:31 GMT January 11, 2012
    EUR/USD 11-01-2012
    Reply   

    long 1.2620-1.2660
    stop 50 pips (stop and reverse seems also to be a good idea)
    target above 1.29

    correction to take place or crash further, that's the cards on deck for now.


    MM

    GVI Forex Blog 11:25 GMT January 11, 2012 Reply   
    The GBP was softer following its wider Trade deficit data and was probing the 1.5420 area against the greenback as the NY morning ap[proached. Dealers did note that GBP/USD did have difficulty to close above 1.5490 yesterdayand this was a technical warning ahead of today's session

    TradeTheNews.com European Market Update: Germany moving closer to a technical recession

    msa nsm 11:25 GMT January 11, 2012
    Gold - Ninja Entry

    from my charts. close under res. 4h chart and just touched the 200ema and down, looking for 1613 first stop. IMO gl

    Israel Dil 11:16 GMT January 11, 2012
    gold 11-01-2012
    Reply   

    practically bankrupted banks are guaranteed by bankrupted states. but gold does not move.

    $1680 and above as weekly close needed to ignite reality but it still looks dreamland in full control. it's possible to count all the gold, there is no way to see an end to money printing, that's the facts.

    but gold does not move, yet. BOD


    MM

    MSA NSM 11:14 GMT January 11, 2012
    cad sell

    unlikely to be hit,low in place i think. missed by few pips

    08:24 GMT January 11, 2012
    cad sell : Reply
    Buy USDCAD
    Entry: 1.0133 Target: open Stop: 1.0103

    order in place.

    GVI Forex john 11:06 GMT January 11, 2012
    Global-View.com Forex Heat Maps
    Reply   

    Be Sure to Refresh Forum Manually to Update Heat Map.


    GVI Forex john 10:52 GMT January 11, 2012
    Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

    Added to today's calendar -- Fed Beige Book at 19:00 GMT.

    GVI Forex john 10:42 GMT January 11, 2012
    Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets
    Reply   

    • Key Items  US- EIA Energy, 10-yr. 

    • The EURUSD continues to trade mostly sideways after making new lows for the move (1.2664) Monday. The market needs to consolidate recent USD gains before the USD can advance further. 

    • USD sentiment improved after the latest U.S. employment data. The markets have priced in a U.S. economic recovery. 

    • Mitt Romney solidly won the Republican Presidential primary in New Hampshire. The candidate field should soon start to contract a bit. 

    • A key focus this week is the ECB meeting on Thursday. No policy changes are expected.

    • Debt issues persist in Europe. The proposed bond deal for Greece seems to be reaching a conclusion. Another focus is discussions over Italy.  We have been indicating that S&P downgrades of France and others are widely expected this month.. They will adversely impact the ratings of the EFSF.

    HK [email protected] 10:42 GMT January 11, 2012
    GOLD
    Reply   
    Buy Gold
    Entry: ~1638 If seen Target: ~1650 Stop: ~1634

    .

    GVI Forex Blog 10:39 GMT January 11, 2012 Reply   
    Key Items US- EIA Energy, 10-yr. The EURUSD continues to trade mostly sideways after making new lows for the move (1.2664) Monday. The market needs to consolidate recent USD gains before the USD can advance further.

    Forex Trade Talk 11:00 GMT 11 January 2011

    UK Mslc 10:30 GMT January 11, 2012
    euro

    GBP (weaker) leading...

    GVI Forex Blog 10:27 GMT January 11, 2012 Reply   
    10:35 GMT (Global-View.com) January 11- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is opening Wednesday in North America at .5237, -0.01% from its Tuesday close (-2.66% vs. end-2010).

    Global-View D.O.G. Index January 11, 2011 U.S. Open

    GVI Forex john 10:24 GMT January 11, 2012
    Global-View D.O.G. Index
    Reply   
    10:35 GMT (Global-View.com) January 11- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is opening Wednesday in North America at .5237, -0.01% from its Tuesday close (-2.66% vs. end-2010).

    As for its key subcomponents, the USD forex purchasing power index is .7850, +0.06% (+0.87% vs. end-2010). The forex index is value is calculated against the top six trading currencies.

    Against gold, the USD purchasing power index is worth .1753, -0.68% (-13.58% ytd).

    Against crude, it is at 0.4367, +0.18% (-10.46% end-2010). The D.O.G. Index base is 1.00. It is measured against levels from the start of 1999, as of the initial launch of the euro (currency).

    D.O.G. Homepage

    manila tom 10:01 GMT January 11, 2012
    euro

    long already, stop under 1.2750 for now, in case we go lower then reload in 1.2450-1.25xx area

    GVI Forex john 09:56 GMT January 11, 2012
    ALERT- U.K. Trade
    Reply   

    -- Earlier --
    UK Trade December 2011 (GBP bln)
    Total: -8.644 vs. -8.30 exp. vs. -7.868r prev.
    Non-EU: -5.021 vs. -5.00 exp. vs. -4.556r prev.


    TTN: Live News Special Offer

    HK Li 09:55 GMT January 11, 2012
    euro

    Tom you long or waiting to get long?

    manila tom 09:47 GMT January 11, 2012
    euro

    HH, buy the euro against usd
    it has come down quite some distance, time for at least a multifigure bounce!

    FFT HH 09:41 GMT January 11, 2012
    euro

    This is the calm before the next storm bug which way?

    msa nsm 08:52 GMT January 11, 2012
    105.47 level
    Reply   
    Sell Crude
    Entry: Target: Stop:

    Crude is exceptionally quite, traders on the side line?

    manila tom 08:41 GMT January 11, 2012
    euro

    only stay under 1.2750 will need a lower level to accumulate

    manila tom 08:40 GMT January 11, 2012
    euro

    yes, expecting a big short squeeze soon
    euro will go up

    msa nsm 08:37 GMT January 11, 2012
    euro

    Hi do you think a break of 1.2860 (break to expose 1.2977)?

    msa nsm 08:24 GMT January 11, 2012
    cad sell
    Reply   
    Buy USDCAD
    Entry: 1.0133 Target: open Stop: 1.0103

    order in place.

    manila tom 08:22 GMT January 11, 2012
    Gold - Ninja Entry

    looks like euro will need to clear the deck a little bit more, 1.29 tonight!

    msa nsm 08:16 GMT January 11, 2012
    Gold - Ninja Entry

    and off flies euro to just one barrier on its way 1.2820 and we move to 1.2860. any insights? gl

    manila tom 08:15 GMT January 11, 2012
    euro
    Reply   
    i am not too bearish on euro, looks like this year anything under 1.30 is a good buy, 1.2450-1.25 is a very good deal if seen

    msa nsm 08:13 GMT January 11, 2012
    Gold - Ninja Entry

    and there we go, now or never. 76.4 level in picture finally.

    msa nsm 07:31 GMT January 11, 2012
    Gold - Ninja Entry

    usdcad already in oversold, really doesn't want to hit that level, mmmh,

    HK [email protected] 07:06 GMT January 11, 2012
    Gold may add another 3$ from here
    Reply   
    .

    msa nsm 06:51 GMT January 11, 2012
    Gold - Ninja Entry

    time for euro and loonie to make their move to confirm the fall

    GVI Forex Blog 06:48 GMT January 11, 2012 Reply   
    ***Economic Data*** - (JP) JAPAN DEC OFFICIAL RESERVE ASSETS: $1.3T V $1.3T PRIOR - (KR) SOUTH KOREA DEC UNEMPLOYMENT RATE: 3.1% V 3.2%E - (JP) JAPAN NOV PRELIMINARY LEADING INDEX CI: 92.9 V 9

    TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: Quiet session ahead of Bund auction; China assures its banks are well positioned

    msa nsm 06:44 GMT January 11, 2012
    Gold - Ninja Entry

    LOL!, that was sooner than expected :-)

    msa nsm 05:59 GMT January 11, 2012
    Gold - Ninja Entry

    have also been waiting patiently for wti @105.47, this level will surely reach for a nice fall, supported with the china issue surely its worth the risk. thanks for sharing that.

    msa nsm 05:53 GMT January 11, 2012
    Gold - Ninja Entry

    0.764 loonie = 1.0130-1.0140, once hit should have a sharp rally up initiating a gold sharp fall IMO. might take a while but will happen i believe. any comments highly appreciated. gl

    KL KL 05:53 GMT January 11, 2012
    Gold - Ninja Entry

    msa nsm

    1/2 cent, 1 cent 2 cent....all views are good....unlike some views you cannot make sense off....LOL

    yes I think anything possible now.....all leaders are back from nice TAX payer funded vacation and the Reality is still there ..... they were hoping it would all just go away....but the nightmare is about to start. China is about to shut down their factory in these 12 days and not many in the west know why......even pro traders.... so can start shorting US Crude today when their inventory draw increase and oil pops.......

    As long as gold under long term Bear trend line.....at these levels....its more comforting to short than long regardless of Iran or North Korea or Isreal.....then again may even give a nice false break and Wham.....back to 1500 reality and fear of under that......its still paper gold....and we need to make more of it to keep the SHAM alive.....

    Just shorted gold again 1638.5....looking for the 100 pips first then adjust the stops to safety......keep going higher to short cos I do not know when the music will change direction.....still up and can do swing trade too....

    Boston eFX 05:09 GMT January 11, 2012
    Gold A Solid Bet; $2100/Oz High Tipped - Sharps Pixley
    Reply   
    (Dow Jones via eFXnews) London bullion dealer Sharps Pixley believes gold remains a very solid bet, supported by, but not driven by good supply-demand factors.

    The house expects gold to average $1,765/oz in 2012; tips high and low at .....

    Gold A Solid Bet; $2100/Oz High Tipped - Sharps Pixley (full story)

    msa nsm 04:32 GMT January 11, 2012
    Gold - Ninja Entry

    Hi, just a cent view, IMO strongly believe that previous high will be hit, euro to 1.2860-70 and usdcad will get lower to 0.764 fib level, then we'll have a very nice fall for gold and euro. Anyway that's what I think and anticipate

    Ind! Rafe... 04:07 GMT January 11, 2012
    EURUSD
    Reply   
    Sell EURUSD
    Entry: Target: Stop:


    Target Entry Entry Target
    1.2906 1.2817 1.2728 1.2639


    KL KL 04:05 GMT January 11, 2012
    Gold - Ninja Entry

    singapore td

    Buy and Sell is the Best....that way both sides of paper gold lies can be traded....

    ok next lot in 1638.05 avg approx 1637.5.......making 100 pips is all I need on the daily/hourly basis.....

    Boston eFX 03:54 GMT January 11, 2012
    UBS Recommends Selling The AUD/USD On Rallies
    Reply   
    (Dow Jones via eFXnews) Investors should sell the AUD/USD on any rallies because the periodic easing in market worries is likely going to be temporary UBS FX Strategists say in a note.

    "We believe that ......

    UBS Recommends Selling The AUD/USD On Rallies (full story)

    singapore td 03:53 GMT January 11, 2012
    Gold - Ninja Entry

    buy gold, Soros wants you to believe gold is a bubble because he wants to get lots of cheap gold

    KL KL 03:32 GMT January 11, 2012
    Gold - Ninja Entry

    In short bigger portion gold 1637 this is it....as MJ would say..... Keep adding above every $1-2 above......fields of dream trade or nightmare coming.....

    Open 02:49 GMT January 11, 2012 Reply   

    EUR/USD Daily Asia Outlook 01/11

    Open 02:49 GMT January 11, 2012 Reply   

    GBP/USD Daily Asia Outlook 01/11

    Open 02:49 GMT January 11, 2012 Reply   

    USD/CAD Daily Asia Outlook 01/11

    Open 02:49 GMT January 11, 2012 Reply   

    USD/CHF Daily Asia Outlook 01/11

    Syd 02:28 GMT January 11, 2012
    uk
    Reply   
    dc CB 02:14 GMT hi, no didnt see many thanks for that, its only a matter of time before he gets what is coming to him imho

    Syd 02:16 GMT January 11, 2012
    China should use $2 trill FX reserves for overseas investment, says China Think-Tank
    Reply   
    DowJones

    China Think-Tank: China should use $2 trill FX reserves for overseas investment.

    dc CB 02:14 GMT January 11, 2012
    uk

    Joe, said this before
    Syd, maybe you did not see.
    great Tony Blair - retired, by Roman Polanski film

    The Ghost Writer
    http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1139328/

    dc CB 02:07 GMT January 11, 2012
    BOD or SOB

    I think you should recognize the originator of BOD, SOB.... Van Gecko
    and rename your thread appropriately

    Cheers

    dc CB 02:04 GMT January 11, 2012
    Fed Turns Over $77 Billion In Profits to the Treasury
    Reply   
    WASHINGTON — The Federal Reserve said on Tuesday that it contributed $76.9 billion in profits to the Treasury Department last year, slightly less than its record 2010 transfer but much more than in any other previous year.

    The Fed is required by law to turn over its profits to the Treasury each year, a highly lucrative byproduct of the central bank’s continuing campaign to stimulate economic growth

    NY Times

    dc CB 01:45 GMT January 11, 2012
    MF Global Holdings Trustee Urges Creditors' Priority
    Reply   
    (Reuters) - The bankruptcy trustee for MF Global Holdings Ltd said that entity's creditors deserve to rank higher in the pecking order for repayment on some claims than customers of its brokerage unit.

    In a filing late Monday with the bankruptcy court in Manhattan, trustee Louis Freeh said the holding company has "substantial intercompany claims" against the brokerage unit MF Global Inc, stemming from intercompany loans it made to that unit.

    Freeh said such loans are not customer assets, and that any recoveries tied to such loans belong to creditors of the parent company, and should not be diverted to customers of the brokerage unit.

    He said he is concerned an "inappropriate interpretation" of relevant statutes could prompt James Giddens, the trustee overseeing the broker-dealer unit, to deny creditors a right to recover from property that was never deposited by customers.

    NY Times

    Boston eFX 01:00 GMT January 11, 2012
    Bofa Merrill : Selling AUD/NZD Is The Way To Go
    Reply   
    (Dow Jones via eFXnews)With commodities turning higher and the Shanghai composite sparking into life the AUD/USD is turning heads but the pair needs to break 1.0416 to kick off a bull run, say Bank of America Merrill Lynch strategists. Instead, they recommend looking at the AUD/NZD.

    "From the perspective of the Antipodeans, selling AUD/NZD is the way to go." They target .....

    Bofa Merrill : Selling AUD/NZD Is The Way To Go (full story)

    Syd 00:42 GMT January 11, 2012
    Greek Crisis Has Pharmacists Pleading for Aspirin as Drug Supply Dries Up
    Reply   
    For patients and pharmacists in financially stricken Greece, even finding aspirin has turned into a headache.

    BLOOMS

    Syd 00:35 GMT January 11, 2012
    TradeTheNews.com According to Goldman Sachs
    Reply   

    According to Goldman Sachs, PBoC may start to cut key 1-year rates starting in H2 of 2012 - financial press

    TradeTheNews.com

    GVI Forex 00:12 GMT January 11, 2012
    Forex News
    Reply   
    The euro clung to modest gains on the greenback in Asia on Wednesday but floundered near a record low versus the Australian dollar in cautious trade a day ahead of the European Central Bank policy meeting and debt sales from Spain.

    FOREX NEWS - Euro steady vs USD, but cautious as risk events loom

    USA ZEUS 00:08 GMT January 11, 2012
    EUR/USD

    Dear FM- I am speechless. You are the kindest mentor and forex citizen on this forum. Your skills are legendary.
    May your successes continue to beget success!

     




    Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

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