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Forex Forum Archive for 01/20/2012

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Boston eFX 23:12 GMT January 20, 2012
Goldman Sachs: Euro Could See $1.20 Before Hitting $1.44 Year-End
Reply   
(Dow Jones via eFXnews) Seeing substantial downside risk for the euro, Goldman Sachs says the common currency could hit $1.20 during 2012, "although much depends on key issues such as the Greek PSI and the forthcoming euro-area summit.

For year-end, the bank ......

Goldman Sachs: Euro Could See $1.20 Before Hitting $1.44 Year-End (full story)

dc CB 21:12 GMT January 20, 2012
COT



USD futures

dc CB 21:09 GMT January 20, 2012
COT
Reply   


Eur Futures

USA ZEUS 20:49 GMT January 20, 2012
GBP/USD

Added SOB swing shots @ 1.5567 for now. Hold over the weekend and enjoy later.

Cheers!

USA ZEUS 20:47 GMT January 20, 2012
GBP/USD

Added SOB swing shots @ 1.5565

Cheers!

GVI Forex john 20:46 GMT January 20, 2012
FX Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

Israel Dil 20:45 GMT January 20, 2012
eur/chf

jp

Greek haircut as done deal when markets will open sunday evening. Do you still consider sub 1.26 to happen before 1.3101 ?

Mtl JP 20:37 GMT January 20, 2012
eur/chf

sounds like Hildebrand is inviting sharks for a little feeding

USA ZEUS 20:36 GMT January 20, 2012
GBP/USD

Added some SOB's @ 1.5555

GVI Forex john 20:34 GMT January 20, 2012
Global-View.com Forex Heat Maps
Reply   

Be Sure to Refresh Forum Manually to Update Heat Map.


Israel Dil 20:29 GMT January 20, 2012
eur/chf

Buy EURCHF
Entry: Target: 1.3333 Stop: 1.1860

ZURICH -(Dow Jones)- The Swiss National Bank will defend the 1.20 Swiss francs per euro floor for as long as it deems necessary and the resignation of president Philipp Hildebrand earlier this month won't affect the direction of monetary policy, the Swiss central bank's interim head Thomas Jordan said in a newspaper interview published Friday.

USA ZEUS 20:26 GMT January 20, 2012
GBP/USD

Short SOB afresh @ 1.5553 but this is for a swing/scalp so...

Cheers

Israel Dil 20:10 GMT January 20, 2012
eur/chf

Buy EURCHF
Entry: Target: Stop:

70% Greek haircut will make euro to bounce some, also versus the Swiss franc. Morgan Stanley said euro crisis is done for 2012, so euro will fly higher.

philadelphia caba 19:59 GMT January 20, 2012
eur/chf

JP, agree.
Except 1.1950..I think we won't even see below 1.2050. Too dangerous and more expensive for SNB it might get below the peg. Shitload of stops there...

But what do I know...
I'm long (big one) at 1.2075.
gl/gt

GVI Forex john 19:37 GMT January 20, 2012
GBP/USD

For the record:

SOB = Sell on Blips

BOD = Buy on Dips



USA ZEUS 19:21 GMT January 20, 2012
GBP/USD

Take SOB gains at your leisure to stuff your wallet fat!
Cheers!

GVI Forex Blog 19:20 GMT January 20, 2012 Reply   
19:30 GMT (Global-View.com) January 20- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is ending Friday in North America at .5221, +0.20% from its Thursday close (-2.95% vs. end-2010).

Global-View D.O.G. Index January 20, 2011 U.S. Close

Open 19:18 GMT January 20, 2012 Reply   

Nouriel Roubini, Ian Bremmer on Economy, Risks (vid)

GVI Forex john 19:17 GMT January 20, 2012
Global-View D.O.G. Index
Reply   
19:30 GMT (Global-View.com) January 20- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is ending Friday in North America at .5221, +0.20% from its Thursday close (-2.95% vs. end-2010).

As for its key subcomponents, the USD forex purchasing power index is .7782, +0.02% (+0.01% vs. end-2010). The forex index is value is calculated against the top six trading currencies.

Against gold, the USD purchasing power index is worth .1731, -0.50% (-14.67% ytd).

Against crude, it is at 0.4518, +1.68% (-7.36% end-2010). The D.O.G. Index base is 1.00. It is measured against levels from the start of 1999, as of the initial launch of the euro (currency).

D.O.G. Homepage

USA ZEUS 19:15 GMT January 20, 2012
GBP/USD

Think of it as a legal bank heist or robbing the ATM machine.
Take it after the bid softens a few pips.
Hit & Run!

Boston eFX 19:14 GMT January 20, 2012
Euro Seen Stronger On ECB Shift - Citi
Reply   
(Dow Jones via eFXnews) The euro will be stronger if the ECB compromises on its principles and succeeds in convincing investors that the sovereign risk is limited to the periphery, Citi says.

A reduction in tail risk of the euro-zone crisis in the long term will lead to a stronger euro, it adds.

"Ultimately, if what investors ....

Euro Seen Stronger On ECB Shift - Citi (full story)

USA ZEUS 19:10 GMT January 20, 2012
GBP/USD

It isn't a for sure but 99.999999999999% chance to make $ plowing into the SOB.
Cheers!

USA ZEUS 19:08 GMT January 20, 2012
GBP/USD

That was one add. Sorry for the duplicate. Not sure how that printed.

USA ZEUS 19:07 GMT January 20, 2012
GBP/USD

Added SOB @ 1.5545

USA ZEUS 19:05 GMT January 20, 2012
GBP/USD
Reply   
Short the bank desk pump-and-dump operation @ 1.5544

KL KL 19:00 GMT January 20, 2012
ninja trading entry
Reply   
top of the morning here...

quiet ninja SOB attack on Audusd 1.0471 and gold 1665.6...keep adding above....to battle!!

dc CB 18:43 GMT January 20, 2012
Insight: Top Justice officials connected to mortgage banks

JP
what I don't understand is why this is coming out NOW. Why not a couple of years ago, like after the Financial Inquiry Hearings, when recommendations for prosecution were sent to Justice and then not a peep was heard about any of it. A simple CV search is all it takes a journalism intern could do that....why now?. Election year crappolla, no doubt. Who's a bigger friend of Big Money....Romney or Obama. Bread and Circus

Dubai SAS 18:40 GMT January 20, 2012
Sell Silver
Reply   
Sell OTHER
Entry: 31.88 Target: Open Stop: 32.90

Sold now ....

Mtl JP 18:34 GMT January 20, 2012
Insight: Top Justice officials connected to mortgage banks

dc CB yet, despite the system being run by mendatious cowards it is not, they would like to have you believe, anywhere near a systemic collapse.

dc CB 18:22 GMT January 20, 2012
Insight: Top Justice officials connected to mortgage banks
Reply   
Fri Jan 20, 2012 9:31am EST
(Reuters) - U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder and Lanny Breuer, head of the Justice Department's criminal division, were partners for years at a Washington law firm that represented a Who's Who of big banks and other companies at the center of alleged foreclosure fraud, a Reuters inquiry shows.

The firm, Covington & Burling, is one of Washington's biggest white shoe law firms.

Reuters reported in December that under Holder and Breuer, the Justice Department hasn't brought any criminal cases against big banks or other companies involved in mortgage servicing, even though copious evidence has surfaced of apparent criminal violations in foreclosure cases.

The evidence, including records from federal and state courts and local clerks' offices around the country, shows widespread forgery, perjury, obstruction of justice, and illegal foreclosures on the homes of thousands of active-duty military personnel.

Holder has resisted calls for a criminal investigation since October 2010, when evidence of widespread "robo-signing" first surfaced. That involved mortgage servicer employees falsely signing and swearing to massive numbers of affidavit

Mtl JP 17:55 GMT January 20, 2012
eur/chf

caba 17:37 and the trade is:____
-
I know that Jay is not a champion promoter of relying on central bank as catalyst for a trade, but for some mysterious reason I think SNB is probably a decent odds long eurchf 1.20 play unless 1.1950ish seriously breaks down.

see it differently ?

philadelphia caba 17:37 GMT January 20, 2012
eur/chf
Reply   
SNB’s Jordan: No alternative to EUR/CHF pe

No change in monetary policy with Hildebrand departure
Central bank independence is decisive
Political curbs on SNB “dangerous

dc CB 17:29 GMT January 20, 2012
The Stock Ramp Is Just More Deja Vu "Insanity" Warns Morgan Stanley
Reply   
From Morgan Stanley: "Most investors I speak with concur with the view that growth is likely to be below trend for the next several years thanks to deleveraging and a more stringent regulatory environment.

However, there is quite a bit of excitement over the probability of QE3 being implemented at some point during 2Q. Exhibit 5 shows just how excited stock investors seem to be getting over this prospect, especially in relation to their fixed income peers. But, this is almost always the case when animal spirits get going.

The last time I pointed out such a divergence (October of last year), the SPX had a swift 10% correction over the proceeding 3 weeks.

“Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again expecting a different outcome.”

GVI Forex john 17:03 GMT January 20, 2012
Global-View.com Forex Heat Maps


Be Sure to Refresh Forum Manually to Update Heat Map.


Boston eFX 17:02 GMT January 20, 2012
3-Month EUR/USD Basis Swap At Minus 76 BPs, Highest Since Aug 10
Reply   
(Dow Jones via eFXnews) The cost of accessing dollars in the money market fell to its lowest level in more than five months Friday, in a further sign that measures taken by the European Central Bank and other global central banks to alleviate interbank tensions were bearing fruit.

The widely watched three-month euro-dollar basis swap was ....

3-Month EUR/USD Basis Swap At Minus 76 BPs, Highest Since Aug 10 (full story)

dc CB 16:54 GMT January 20, 2012
Comex gold
Reply   
last friday, starting at 10AM EST there was a high volume raid on the Comex...over 18K contracts traded in 30mins...dropping feb gold to 1625.

Today at the same time 10AM, there was a Buying move 14K+ contracts in 30 mins.... moving to a new high for the day. So far the positive bias is holding but volume is tailing off rapidly.

Minneapolis DRS2 16:42 GMT January 20, 2012
EUR/USD Tactics (short term)
Reply   
In the short term (next few hours today and Sunday), short EUR/USD as long as it stays below the 20-hour SMA (currently 1.2942).

If it bounces above the 20-hour SMA and stays above it, then close the short and go long instead.

GVI Forex Blog 16:41 GMT January 20, 2012 Reply   
US equity markets are cautious this morning, struggling to overcome headwinds that include some flawed quarterly reports. The Nasdaq is in the red, weighed down by results from Google, while IBM's positive result is helping the DJIA overcome GE's issues. There were no surprises in the December existing home sales report as the gradual positive trend continues.

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update

GVI Forex Blog 16:26 GMT January 20, 2012 Reply   
January 20 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, January 23. Updated: Trading Events Calendar:

GVI Forex- Data Outlook for January 23, 2012

GVI Forex john 16:24 GMT January 20, 2012
Calendar
Reply   


January 20 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, January 23. Updated: Trading Events Calendar:

  • Far East: CN- Lunar New Year (all week), AU- PPI.
  • Europe: No Major Data.
  • North America: CA- Leading indicator.


  • dc CB 16:07 GMT January 20, 2012
    SOPA Shelved
    Reply   
    House Judiciary Committee Chairman Lamar Smith (R-Texas) announced on Friday that he will postpone consideration of his Stop Online Piracy Act (SOPA) until there is wider agreement on the controversial legislation.

    Smith's announcement came just minutes after Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) announced he would shelve the Senate's version of the anti-piracy legislation, the Protect IP Act.

    But support for the bill collapsed after a massive Web protest on Wednesday.

    The Hill

    JERUSALEM KB 16:02 GMT January 20, 2012
    " Trade Ideas "

    FM,perfect call on oil , frankly i entered on your call too:-)

    JERUSALEM KB 15:59 GMT January 20, 2012
    Forex Trading Plan



    Sell EURUSD
    Entry: Target: Stop:

    retesting broken support on 1hr chart, holding first short for open target and 2nd short hit sl with -20pips.
    leaving it to next week.
    have a nice week end

    GVI Forex 15:51 GMT January 20, 2012
    Week Ahead
    Reply   
    • Greek PSI deal disappointment could derail fragile improvement in confidence.

    • US Q4 GDP to post upside surprise, Fed policy expected unchanged, but policy goals debated?

    • UK Q4 GDP to show start of renewed recession, MPC minutes to record votes for more QE.

    ECONOMIC DATA ANALYSIS - SPECTRE OF GREEK PSI ECLIPSES FED MEETING

    Boston eFX 15:48 GMT January 20, 2012
    FOREX FOCUS: Eastern Promises For Sterling
    Reply   
    (Dow Jones via eFXnews) The U.K.'s long flirtation with the East is about to pay off once again.

    Ever since Margaret Thatcher opened the economy to foreign investment back in the 1980's, Japanese and even Chinese money has periodically poured in.

    Banking, electronics and auto manufacturing have all benefited at one time or another since then.

    Now it looks as if .....

    FOREX FOCUS: Eastern Promises For Sterling (full story)

    JERUSALEM KB 15:31 GMT January 20, 2012
    Forex Trading Plan

    Sell Gold
    Entry: 1650 Target: 1634 Stop: 1659
    sold
    ==
    hit sl 90pips-

    GVI Forex john 15:10 GMT January 20, 2012
    ALERT- U.S. Existing Homes Sales



    Top U.S. housing statistic continues to improve. Amber light: purchases cancellation rate at 33%...

    Lahore FM 15:06 GMT January 20, 2012
    " Trade Ideas "

    Sell Crude
    Entry: 101.13 Target: 96 Stop: 100.60 for half

    Lahore FM 13:08:28 GMT - 01/20/2012

    Sell Crude
    Entry: 101.13 Target: Stop: 101.60 for half

    --
    sl lowered further to 100.60 for remainder half.96 target.

    Fx Trading Discussion 15:02 GMT January 20, 2012 Reply   

    EURUSD Trading Plan

    GVI Forex john 15:00 GMT January 20, 2012
    ALERT- U.S. Existing Homes Sales
    Reply   

    -- ALERT --
    U.S. Existing Homes Sales (000) December 2011
    4.61 vs. 4.60 exp. vs. 4.39r prev.


    TTN: Live News Special Offer

    Quito Valdez 14:37 GMT January 20, 2012
    What is SOPA

    SOPA is the work of irrational dogooders with the same screwed up thought patterns of gun control legislators who have got their boyscout meeting confused with meetings of congress.

    Have a great weekend all, am flat at the moment except for a few very small EUR/CHF longs that have gone south-neg on me since a couple weeks ago waiting for SNB to snap CHF back in place. SNB, do you need a chiropractor to help, LOL? I was playing the pattern with the loser EUR.

    Chuckster

    Mtl JP 14:36 GMT January 20, 2012
    Rates

    from a January 12, 2012 bbrg piece this wisdom from FED`s formula:

    ..."A monthly bill of about $1,430 covers a $300,000 loan at a 4 percent rate, versus $267,500 at 5 percent"...
    --
    IF it is only a straightline formula I want see rates to 10% +

    dc CB 14:18 GMT January 20, 2012
    Rates
    Reply   


    crossing 2%
    Timmmaaaaaayyyyyyy

    JERUSALEM KB 14:13 GMT January 20, 2012
    Forex Trading Plan

    Buy AUDCAD
    Entry: Target: Stop:

    JERUSALEM KB 18:28:36 GMT - 01/13/2012

    Buy
    Entry: 1.0445 Target: 1.0642 Stop: 1.0455

    JERUSALEM KB 20:34:13 GMT - 01/09/2012


    Entry: 1.0445 Target: 1.0564-1.0642 Stop: 1.0445
    Buy AUDCAD
    Entry: 1.0445 Target: 1.0642 Stop: 1.0380
    buy pending order
    =====================
    closed 1/2 with 85pips+ rest to B/E FOR 1.0642 AS PER DAILY CHART
    ===
    closed 2nd 1/2 at 1.0590 with 145pips+

    JERUSALEM KB 14:11 GMT January 20, 2012
    Forex Trading Plan

    Buy AUDJPY
    Entry: Target: Stop:

    Buy AUDJPY
    Entry: 79.85 Target: 80.75-81.20 Stop: 79.85
    Buy AUDJPY
    Entry: 79.85 Target: 80.75 Stop: 79.10
    buy stop
    =====
    sl to entry
    ===========
    out now at 80.70 with 85pips+

    Boston eFX 13:42 GMT January 20, 2012
    Morgan Stanley Says Markets Underestimate ECB
    Reply   
    (Dow Jones via eFXnews) European banks could next month take up to EUR400 billion worth of added funding from the European Central Banks' emergency borrowing facility, which could then lead to a reopening of funding markets, analysts from Morgan Stanley said in a report.

    "The market still underestimates the potential impact of the ECB's support for banks to reduce systemic risk and thereby bank and sovereign funding. At this stage, we think .....

    Morgan Stanley Says Markets Underestimate ECB (full story)

    London Misha 13:33 GMT January 20, 2012
    Observations

    HIHI Dubaidat - may I refer you to websites as a starter

    http://www.hotcandlestick.com/candles.htm

    http://thepatternsite.com/CandleVisual.html

    May I then suggest that you have a look at 'Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques' by Steve Nison & of course Thomas Bulkowski's 'Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns'.

    Hope this helps?

    London Misha 13:30 GMT January 20, 2012
    Observations

    HIHI Revdax, in short - we could be on for a Key Reversal Up on the Weekly Chart depending where we close tonight - ideally above 1.2720 area. In which case the scenario for a try higher to 1.3100 - 1.3400 area is reinforced. However, as I am cautious I think if this close does happen then we may likely go sideways to a little higher.

    Lahore FM 13:08 GMT January 20, 2012
    " Trade Ideas "

    Sell Crude
    Entry: 101.13 Target: Stop: 101.60 for half

    Lahore FM 22:41:05 GMT - 01/17/2012

    Sell Crude
    Entry: 101.13 Target: 96 Stop: 102.45
    sold march crude!
    --
    half out at 99.99.sl lowered on rest of it.

    Lahore FM 13:07 GMT January 20, 2012
    " Trade Ideas "

    Sell Gold
    Entry: 1657.05 Target: Stop: 1661 for half

    Lahore FM 21:03:33 GMT - 01/19/2012

    Sell Gold
    Entry: 1657.35 Target: Stop: 1665
    sold now.
    --
    closed half 1646.05.sl lowered on rest of it.

    dc CB 13:04 GMT January 20, 2012
    What is SOPA
    Reply   
    SOPA is nothing but an never-ending witch hunt proposal that would allow the shutting down of websites, including mine, Zero Hedge, Max Keiser, Town Hall, ML-Implode, Calculated Risk, Naked Capitalism, Patrick, the Big Picture, and other alternative news sites on the most flimsy of reasons without doing anything to curb online piracy.
    ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

    Global-View too?

    any site would be blocked that "is taking, or has taken deliberate actions to avoid confirming a high probability of the use of the U.S.-directed site to carry out acts that constitute a violation."

    Cambridge Joe 12:50 GMT January 20, 2012
    Observations

    REVDAX ! Long time no see. Glad to see you about.

    I was going to post an item about Hip Hop dancing for you.... but it was dire ! ;-))

    Hong Kong Qindex 12:44 GMT January 20, 2012
    USD/JPY : Critical Point 78.71

    Sell USDJPY
    Entry: Target: Stop:

    USD/JPY : Critical Point 77.09


    The bias is on the downside when the market is rejected from the barrier at 77.09 // 77.33.


    Qindex.com


    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZEGYpXE5B4

    USD/JPY : Monthly Cycle Charts

    Dubai Dubaidat 12:40 GMT January 20, 2012
    Observations

    Hello mate. Could you advise what each one means trend wise? Sorry newbie question.

    DD

    HK REVDAX 12:33 GMT January 20, 2012
    Observations

    Misa//please explain in layman terms what it means in Euro. tia

    dc CB 12:26 GMT January 20, 2012
    7 Charged as F.B.I. Closes a Top File-Sharing Site
    Reply   


    NEW YORK — In what the U.S. authorities have called one of the largest criminal copyright cases ever brought, the Justice Department and the Federal Bureau of Investigation have seized the Web site Megaupload and charged seven people connected with it with running an international enterprise based on Internet piracy.

    As part of the crackdown, about 20 search warrants were executed in the United States and in eight other countries, including New Zealand. About $50 million in assets were also seized, as well as a number of servers and 18 domain names that formed Megaupload’s network of file-sharing sites

    With Comment pic

    GVI Forex john 12:11 GMT January 20, 2012
    ALERT- Canada CPI



    Canadian inflation softer...

    GVI Forex john 12:05 GMT January 20, 2012
    ALERT- Canada CPI
    Reply   

    -- ALERT --
    Canada: Consumer Prices
    December 2011

    Bank of Canada Core
    mm: -0.5% vs. -0.10% exp. vs. +0.10% prev.
    yy: +1.9% vs. +2.10% exp. vs. +2.10% prev.

    Headline
    mm: -0.6% vs. -0.10% exp. vs. +0.10% prev.
    yy: +2.3% vs. +2.80% exp. vs. +2.90% prev.


    TTN: Live News Special Offer

    Boston eFX 11:58 GMT January 20, 2012
    US Dollar Likely To Regain Some Luster In 2012 - LGT Bank Executive
    Reply   
    (Dow Jones via eFXnews) The U.S. dollar is likely to emerge as a surprisingly lucrative yield play this year given the relative strength of the U.S. economic recovery, a key executive at Liechtenstein's LGT Bank in Asia said.

    "It's not a shout from the rooftop story, but from a relative perspective it's the best story around, and we don't see it getting a great deal worse unless we get a complete implosion in Europe," Simon Grose-Hodge, head of investment advisory for South Asia at LGT Bank in Singapore, told Dow Jones Newswires Thursday.

    The group, which is headed by Prince Max von und zu Liechtenstein, has CHF88.1 billion in assets under management, of which about 3% is held by the Liechtenstein royal family. The bank has traditionally held a conservative footing on its investment strategies and currently sees wealth preservation opportunities in U.S. assets, especially high-yield bonds, some of which have been yielding as much as 9%.

    "We think that kind of .....

    US Dollar Likely To Regain Some Luster In 2012 - LGT Bank Executive (full story)

    msa nsm 11:44 GMT January 20, 2012
    EURO
    Reply   
    on this beautiful day bears made money and bulls made money between the range 12900 and 12950. but now caution as we near close, market will shift scale especially being friday and along session cross. lovely weekend

    GVI Forex Jay 11:42 GMT January 20, 2012
    Forex Weathermap - EURUSD
    Reply   
    11:30 GMT (Global-View.com) Jan 20 – I doubt many see this as anything more than a short squeeze that would need to take out 1.30 to shake more positions from the tree. However, enough damage has been done to ease the extreme bearish sentiment that dominated the first half of the month.
    Forex Weathermap - EURUSD

    London Misha 11:37 GMT January 20, 2012
    Observations
    Reply   
    EURUSD - Four White Soldiers & first close over Downtrend, all on Daily Chart.
    USDJPY - Follow on from second consecutive Bullish Doji on Daily Chart.
    GBPUSD - Two White Soldiers on Daily Chart.
    USDCHF - Two Black Crows follow big Key Reversal Down on Daily Chart!
    EURGBP - Three White Soldiers on Daily Chart.
    EURJPY - Third White Soldier follows Bullish Hammer on Daily Chart.
    USDCAD - Bullish Doji on Daily Chart.
    AUDUSD - Second close over Long MA & over the top of the Ascending Triangle but also a Bearish Hanging Man - all on Daily Chart.

    GVI Forex john 11:34 GMT January 20, 2012
    Global-View.com Forex Heat Maps

    Be sure to manually refresh forum to update Heat Maps.

    Note EUR crosses are all in the red for the day. Yesterday they were all in the green. Currencies vs. the USD are mostly down. The EURUSD 20-day average as of the close yesterday was 1.2869.

    Boston eFX 11:21 GMT January 20, 2012
    JPMorgan: Unwinding Of EUR Shorts Likely To Continue
    Reply   
    Improved risk sentiment will likely continue supporting the EUR for the time being, says Junya Tanase, chief FX strategist at JP Morgan in Tokyo.

    "Unless negative news such as a breakdown in the Greek PSI talks make headlines, there is high possibility that ......

    JPMorgan: Unwinding Of EUR Shorts Likely To Continue (full story)

    GVI Forex john 11:20 GMT January 20, 2012
    Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

    DAX -33

    futures
    DJ -33
    SP -3.5

    Correlation working past several hours.

    GVI Forex john 11:13 GMT January 20, 2012
    Global-View.com Forex Heat Maps
    Reply   

    Be Sure to Refresh Forum Manually to Update Heat Map.


    dc CB 11:11 GMT January 20, 2012
    Print-Or-Panic, TrimTabs On The Market's Meltup
    Reply   
    David Santschi of TrimTabs asks the question, 'who is pumping up stock prices?' His answer is noteworthy as a large number of indicators suggest institutional investors are more optimistic than at any time since the 'waterfall' decline in the summer of 2011.

    w video

    GVI Forex Blog 11:09 GMT January 20, 2012 Reply   
    The euro retreated from a two-week high against the dollar on Friday as some investors took profits on a short-covering rally but cautious hopes Greece may be nearing a deal to avoid a chaotic debt default looked set to offer support.

    FOREX NEWS - Euro falls vs dlr on profit-taking; Greek talks eyed

    GVI Forex Blog 11:03 GMT January 20, 2012 Reply   
    The USD gained over the course of the European morning with some concerns over the looming EBA capital raising plan deadline. Cautious comments from German Finance Minister Schaeuble also weighed against the recent euphoria of the European debt auctions.

    TradeTheNews.com European Market Update: Euro encounters profit-taking following recent rally

    GVI Forex john 11:03 GMT January 20, 2012
    Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets
    Reply   

    • Key Items  US- Existing Homes CA- CPI. 

    • EUR short-covering gain momentum made Thursday running out of steam. Recent COT and anecdotal data have been supporting the view reflecting the view that market participants have been very short the common currency. 20-day moving average 1.2869.

    • End of fiscal year Japanese life insurance investment adjustment activity coming into focus? 

    • Greek sovereign debt negotiations appear to be nearing an accord. Monday is the current target day.

    • The January Chinese HSBC PMI was 48.8 vs3 48.7 in December.  Chinese markets are closed all of next week for Lunar New Year observances. 

    • Saturday sees the South Carolina presidential primary. A clear Romney victory would about ensure the Republican nomination. A loss would drag the process on further. 

    JERUSALEM KB 11:02 GMT January 20, 2012
    Forex Trading Plan

    Sell EURUSD
    Entry: 1.2915 Target: 1.2834 Stop: 1.2935

    sold

    Dubai SAS 10:57 GMT January 20, 2012
    Sell Euro

    Thanks ZUES - DITTO :-)

    GVI Forex john 10:42 GMT January 20, 2012
    ALERT- China flash HSBC PMI



    Virtually flat and still in contraction...

    GVI Forex Blog 10:38 GMT January 20, 2012 Reply   
    Key Items US- Existing Homes CA- CPI. EUR short-covering gain momentum made Thursday running out of steam. Recent COT and anecdotal data have been supporting the view reflecting the view that market participants have been very short the common currency. 20-day moving average 1.2869.

    Forex Trade Talk 11:00 GMT 20 January 2012

    GVI Forex Blog 10:33 GMT January 20, 2012 Reply   
    10:35 GMT (Global-View.com) January 20- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is opening Friday in North America at .5231, +0.38% from its Thursday close (-2.77% vs. end-2010).

    Global-View D.O.G. Index January 20, 2011 U.S. Open

    GVI Forex john 10:31 GMT January 20, 2012
    Global-View D.O.G. Index
    Reply   
    10:35 GMT (Global-View.com) January 20- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is opening Friday in North America at .5231, +0.38% from its Thursday close (-2.77% vs. end-2010).

    As for its key subcomponents, the USD forex purchasing power index is .7800, +0.25% (+0.24% vs. end-2010). The forex index is value is calculated against the top six trading currencies.

    Against gold, the USD purchasing power index is worth .1749, +0.54% (-13.78% ytd).

    Against crude, it is at 0.4485, +0.95% (-8.03% end-2010). The D.O.G. Index base is 1.00. It is measured against levels from the start of 1999, as of the initial launch of the euro (currency).

    D.O.G. Homepage

    Hong Kong Qindex 10:17 GMT January 20, 2012
    USD/JPY : Critical Point 78.71
    Reply   
    USDJPY
    Entry: Target: Stop:

    USD/JPY : Critical Point 78.71


    The market is going to consolidate within 76.57 - 77.33 - 78.53.


    Qindex.com


    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZEGYpXE5B4


    USD/JPY : Monthly Cycle Charts

    Hong Kong Qindex 10:17 GMT January 20, 2012
    USD/JPY : Critical Point 78.71
    Reply   
    USDJPY
    Entry: Target: Stop:

    USD/JPY : Critical Point 78.71


    The market is going to consolidate within 76.57 - 77.33 - 78.53.


    Qindex.com


    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZEGYpXE5B4


    USD/JPY : Monthly Cycle Charts

    USA ZEUS 10:04 GMT January 20, 2012
    EUR/USD

    Covered final SOB for this stage at 1.2893. Remaining is set at B/E from the highest for a shot at something bigger i.e. 1.27777

    Cheers!

    Paris nick 10:03 GMT January 20, 2012
    EUR/USD

    Buy EURUSD
    Entry: 1.2895 Target: 1.3145 Stop: 1.2825


    intra session position

    GVI Forex john 09:56 GMT January 20, 2012
    ALERT- China flash HSBC PMI
    Reply   

    -- Earlier --
    China flash HSBC PMI January 2012
    HSBC: 48.8 vs. n/a exp. vs. 48.7 prev.


    TTN: Live News Special Offer

    USA ZEUS 09:55 GMT January 20, 2012
    Sell Euro

    Dubai SAS- Terrific Trades!
    Cheers!

    USA ZEUS 09:52 GMT January 20, 2012
    EUR/USD

    NZ OT 09:41 GMT January 20, 2012

    Thank you for the kind words OT. Glad that you had a great week.
    Best to you!

    JERUSALEM KB 09:49 GMT January 20, 2012
    Forex Trading Plan

    Sell EURUSD
    Entry: 1.2615 Target: 1.2400-1.1880 Stop: 1.2885

    weekly close below 1.2870 will push the price lower and i have a trade(weekly setup) in this case.
    this order will be at place in case of weekly close below 1.2870

    Dubai SAS 09:48 GMT January 20, 2012
    Sell Euro

    covered the short from 12945 @ 1.2896 for +49 .. GL

    JERUSALEM KB 09:44 GMT January 20, 2012
    Forex Trading Plan

    Sell EURUSD
    Entry: 1.2936 Target: 1.2685 Stop: 1.3005

    Sell EURUSD
    Entry: Target: Stop:
    Sell EURUSD
    Entry: 1.2936 Target: 1.24001.1880 Stop: 1.3065
    ---------
    sl lowered and change target

    NZ OT 09:41 GMT January 20, 2012
    EUR/USD

    Superb. Has been a good week. Ta Zeus. Have a good weekend.

    GVI Forex john 09:41 GMT January 20, 2012
    ALERT- U.K. Retail Sales

    - UK retail sales data mixed. Latest data were up but the prior month's data were revised down. Taking the two months together there was about no change.

    USA ZEUS 09:39 GMT January 20, 2012
    EUR/USD

    Covered some SOB E-Z's @ 1.2899

    GVI Forex john 09:32 GMT January 20, 2012
    ALERT- U.K. Retail Sales
    Reply   

    -- ALERT --
    UK Retail Sales December 2011
    Headline
    mm: +0.6% vs. +0.60% exp. vs. -0.50%r prev.
    yy: +2.6% vs. +2.40% exp. vs. +0.40%r prev.

    x-fuels
    mm: +0.6 vs. +0.70% exp. vs. -0.80%r prev.
    yy: +1.7% vs. +2.40% exp. vs. +0.00%r prev.


    TTN: Live News Special Offer

    GVI Forex Blog 09:20 GMT January 20, 2012 Reply   
    CN) CHINA JAN HSBC FLASH MANUFACTURING PMI: 48.8 V 49.0 PRIOR (3rd consecutive contraction) - (AU) AUSTRALIA Q4 EXPORT PRICE INDEX Q/Q: -1.5% V -2.0%E (first decline since Q4 of 2010); IMPORT PRIC

    TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: Markets continue rally into week of

    Dubai SAS 09:04 GMT January 20, 2012
    Long USDCAD

    Dubai SAS 13:54 GMT January 19, 2012
    Long USDCAD : Reply
    Entry: 1.0174 Target: Open Stop: 1.0080
    Added one more at 1.0123 .. no stops for now
    Added another at 1.0075 stops for all 1.0015

    Closed the one from 1.0075 @ 1.0051 for + 76,
    closed the one from 1.0123 @ 1.0051 for + 28,

    Holding the 10174 with stop at 1.0015 .. GL

    USA ZEUS 09:02 GMT January 20, 2012
    EUR/USD

    Covered some SOB E-Z's @ 1.2920 as well.

    Dubai SAS 09:02 GMT January 20, 2012
    Sell Euro

    Dubai SAS 18:59 GMT January 19, 2012
    Sell EURUSD
    Entry: 1.2945 Target: Open Stop: 1.3050
    Short now .. order in place to sell one more at 1.2972 stops the same.

    closed the one from 1.2972 @ 1.2920 for +52 ... holding the other for now

    Los Angeles 09:00 GMT January 20, 2012
    INTERVIEW: Ex-Japan MOF Sakakibara: Japan Shouldn't Intervene In Euro/Yen Market

    Japan is not the sole country experiencing issues regarding economy. From what I read in an article, with financial emergencies hitting Americans fairly frequently, it seems there are a ton of people getting payday cash advances. Lucky for those individuals, payday loans do not actually trigger a “cycle of debt” that a lot of people suggest. As reported by a study done by Arkansas Tech University Professor Marc Anthony Fusaro, high interest rates make no impact on creating a “cycle of debt.” You can rest easy knowing that payday loans probably will not break you when you have a crisis and need on. To find out more about payday cash advances, go to: Payday Loan

    Olivia Wright

    USA ZEUS 08:58 GMT January 20, 2012
    EUR/USD

    Have some more E-Z locks to go and will keep some from the top at B/E for a shot at something much larger.

    Cheers!

    Leb Sheesh Kebab 08:55 GMT January 20, 2012
    EU news
    Reply   
    http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-news/article.aspx?storyid=6a76562d-4b07-48df-91fb-8fb553a8d1b2

    Hong Kong Qindex 08:54 GMT January 20, 2012
    EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2797

    Sell EURUSD
    Entry: Target: Stop:

    EUR/USD : Speculative selling pressure will increase again when the market is rejected from the barrier of 1.2887 // 1.2950.


    Qindex.com


    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZEGYpXE5B4

    EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts

    msa nsm 08:52 GMT January 20, 2012
    long term
    Reply   
    once 1.9400 prints, i'll be moving my sl to breakeven + 10pips, and closing 1/4. i'll be moving sl to 100 pips above with every 150 pip rise from 1.9400. won't be updating this trade so keep in mind money management. (that also happens to be my weakness, hehe)
    _________________________
    msa nsm 08:54 GMT January 14, 2012
    long term : Reply
    do remember to factor in your spreads in the sl if a double bottom is confirmed (might take a few or more days) but worth the patience.
    ___________________

    Buy OTHER
    Entry: 1.9196 Target: 2.0347 Stop: 1.9166

    gbpnzd:
    If a low is in place at said level, i'm waiting for double bottom to go long for 2.0347 final tp. total of over 1000 points. gl

    USA ZEUS 08:51 GMT January 20, 2012
    EUR/USD

    Covered some SOB's @ 1.2925 as well.

    Fabu Friday

    USA ZEUS 08:43 GMT January 20, 2012
    EUR/USD

    Covered some SOB's @ 1.2930 as well.

    USA ZEUS 08:40 GMT January 20, 2012
    EUR/USD

    Covered some SOB's @ 1.2938

    HONG KONG acetrader 08:30 GMT January 20, 2012
    INTRA-DAY FOREX FOCUS
    Reply   
    USDJPY
    Entry: Target: Stop:

    20 Jan 2012 07:46GMT...

    INTRA-DAY USD/JPY OUTLOOK - 77.25

    Dlr's current cross-inspired rebound suggests the pullback fm 77.32 has formed a temp. low earli- er at 77.05, caution is advised on our short n 77. 32/34 res needs to hold for prospect of another retreat later today. Trade fm short side with stop as indicated, break wud extend upmove to 77.50/56.

    ACETRADER

    Saar KaL 08:28 GMT January 20, 2012
    KaL's Trend and Level

    OK...so eurusd heading to 1.31
    IMO after that it's south

    Fx Trading Discussion 07:41 GMT January 20, 2012 Reply   

    USD/CHF Double Top Confirmed

    Trading Systems 07:10 GMT January 20, 2012 Reply   

    Commodity market update 20 jan 2012

    Syd 06:53 GMT January 20, 2012
    INTERVIEW: Ex-Japan MOF Sakakibara: Japan Shouldn't Intervene In Euro/Yen Market
    Reply   



    TOKYO (Dow Jones)--Europe's worsening economic picture suggests that the euro could fall further against the yen in the coming months, possibly as much as to near Y90, but Japan's government shouldn't try to fight the euro weakness through market intervention as the trend is too strong for such action to have any meaningful impact, a former top Japanese currency official said Friday.

    "There is nothing wrong with the euro's declines, as European economies are set to contract," amid the sovereign debt crisis in the Continent, Eisuke Sakakibara, former vice finance minister for international affairs, also known as "Mr. Yen."

    "Europe's economic conditions are extremely bad. It is just natural for the euro to weaken. It would make no sense if you intervened (to push the euro higher versus the yen)."

    There is "a very high possibility" of the euro slipping below Y95 within six months, he said. "There is also a possibility of it temporarily overshooting to fall to near Y90."

    Sakakibara added: "Europe would oppose (Japanese intervention). There is no doubt about that. So an intervention would be ineffective. Interventions are ineffective unless they are coordinated."

    Rather than try to fight the euro's fall, the Japanese government should consider ways to take advantage of the yen's strength, such as making more efforts to promote the buying of European companies by Japanese firms, he said.


    msa nsm 06:43 GMT January 20, 2012
    EUR/USD

    hy thor, still in 1/4 left, another non stop train to 101, broke res decisively.
    ____________
    msa nsm 11:13:10 GMT - 01/19/2012
    Thor you finally made it ;))
    ---------------------------
    nsm ...I just got back on-line been out doing "domestic stuff".

    Yes it took a while glad I stayed in to 1.2902. I should have been on-line to bring up that take profit.(but good enough)

    My take profit kicked in Eur/Jpy also at 99.41.just saw your post about going to 101 at 04:10GMT.
    I'm thinking about jumping back in long.
    Are you still in long Eur/Jpy?

    GL

    John/Jay liken your BOD /SOB idea. Seems to it smoother for all to post trade ideas.

    Syd 06:19 GMT January 20, 2012
    Labour didn’t care who landed in Britain
    Reply   
    Sydney ACC 04:51 yes disgusting agree with you ,
    problem is GILLARD's letting the same happen here , a boat arriving every week with from god knows where and straight on the dole , some even asking "where is my house and money??" as they were told thats what is waiting for you ..

    Labour left our immigration system in a complete mess. Everyone could see that. Millions of people came through its open doors to the UK – sometimes in the backs of lorries, sometimes as students who never went home when their studies finished, sometimes as failed asylum seekers who were never asked to leave.

    link

    Ind! Rafe... 05:42 GMT January 20, 2012
    AUDUSD
    Reply   
    AUDUSD 1.0472 1.0422 1.0402 1.0352

    Sydney ACC 04:51 GMT January 20, 2012
    370,000 migrants on the dole

    And at the same time the UK Government refuses to pay pension increases to UK citizens residing abroad from the time they left the country.
    Where is the justice in the system.

    Boston eFX 04:46 GMT January 20, 2012
    Google's FX hedges make $25M for 4Q
    Reply   
    For a corporate currency-risk hedging program to work, it should neither make nor lose significant amounts of money. That's apparently what Google (GOOG) achieved in 4Q.

    The tech giant said it recognized $25M in international revenue as part of .....

    Google's FX hedges make $25M for 4Q (full story)

    Minneapolis DRS2 04:26 GMT January 20, 2012
    EUR/USD

    Ya, watch it blip higher after I closed one of my longs...heh.

    I'll reload after a 35-40 pip drop, provided it gets there.

    USA ZEUS 04:06 GMT January 20, 2012
    EUR/USD

    Watch EUR/USD blip higher now.

    Syd 03:41 GMT January 20, 2012
    370,000 migrants on the dole
    Reply   
    370,000 migrants on the dole
    More than 370,000 migrants who were admitted to Britain to work, study or go on holiday are now claiming out-of-work benefits, according to official figures compiled for the first time.

    The analysis found there were 371,000 foreign-born claimants for out-of-work benefits, out of a total 5.5 million recipients. Of these, 258,000 were from outside the European Economic Area.

    Open 02:18 GMT January 20, 2012 Reply   

    EUR/USD Daily Asia Outlook 01/20

    Open 02:18 GMT January 20, 2012 Reply   

    GBP/USD Daily Asia Outlook 01/20

    Open 02:18 GMT January 20, 2012 Reply   

    EUR/GBP Daily Asia Outlook 01/20

    Open 02:18 GMT January 20, 2012 Reply   

    USD/CHF Daily Asia Outlook 01/20

    Boston eFX 00:58 GMT January 20, 2012
    Asia Outlook: Stocks Likely Up; China HSBC PMI Eyed
    Reply   
    (Dow Jones via eFXnews) Regional stock markets are likely to rise after a favorable reading on weekly U.S. jobless claims and above-view earnings results from major banks led stocks on Wall Street to touch six-month highs Thursday.

    In FX markets the EUR is likely to remain supported against the USD after successful bond auctions in France and Spain pushed the single-currency to a two-week high against the greenback Thursday. Investors will likely focus on .....

    Asia Outlook: Stocks Likely Up; China HSBC PMI Eyed (full story)

    GVI Forex 00:54 GMT January 20, 2012
    Forex News
    Reply   
    The euro held near two-week highs against the dollar and yen in Asia on Friday, having extended its short-covering rally overnight after successful bond sales in Spain and France boosted risk sentiment.

    FOREX NEWS - Euro cheered by Spain's debt auction; China data next

    Indo jak 00:39 GMT January 20, 2012
    NZD/USD
    Reply   
    NZDUSD:Buy @ 0.8026 Tp 0.8130

    Indo jak 00:28 GMT January 20, 2012
    USDCAD
    Reply   
    USDCAD:Sell @ 1.0127 Tp 1.0047 Stop 1.0153

    USA ZEUS 00:06 GMT January 20, 2012
    EUR/USD

    USD/CAD moving higher
    Gold continuing lower, silver as well.

    GLGT!

     




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