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Forex Forum Archive for 01/22/2012

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GVI Forex Blog 23:33 GMT January 22, 2012 Reply   
The euro started the week in Asia with a negative tone as investors turned wary after Athens and its creditors failed to agree on a debt swap deal that is vital to avert a chaotic default for Greece.

FOREX NEWS - Euro wobbles on Greek setback; subdued in holiday trade

JERUSALEM KB 22:40 GMT January 22, 2012
Forex Trading Plan

Sell
Entry: 1.2936 Target: 1.2735 Stop: 1.2965

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.2936 Target: 1.2685 Stop: 1.3005
Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.2936 Target: 1.24001.1880 Stop: 1.3065
---------
sl lowered and change target:
SL LOWERED AND CHANGED TARGET AGAIN

GVI Forex Blog 22:08 GMT January 22, 2012 Reply   
AUD/USD and NZD/USD outlook next 24 hours: Australian PPI for Q4 today will warm the markets for Wednesday’s important CPI release. AUD’s break above 1.0450 on Friday maintains the positive momentum since mid-December and suggests an upward bias today with minor resistance at 1.0500. NZD similarly remains inside a five-week old ascending channel, minor resistance at 0.8080.

Forex - Morning Report (Westpac)

Boston eFX 21:59 GMT January 22, 2012
Can Big Oil Repeat Its Big Year?
Reply   
(Dow Jones via eFXnews) Even today, $1.67 trillion is a lot of money. That is the amount wiped off the combined market capitalization of the top 50 energy companies between the end of 2007 and the end of 2011. Breaking it down offers big clues on Big Oil's prospects for 2012.

Every year, PFC Energy, a Washington, D.C.-based consultancy, ranks the top 50 listed energy companies in the world by market value. The latest, due Monday, has a surprise. The biggest.....

Can Big Oil Repeat Its Big Year? (full story)

dc CB 21:47 GMT January 22, 2012
Irish Journalist Leaves ECB Official Speechless

Don't taz me bro!!!!

dc CB 21:34 GMT January 22, 2012
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

call me a cynic but
recall the thwacking that bond/note futures took last couple of days.

Timmay needs to sell $99bln this week in 2,5,7's. (The O needs to raise the debt limit too)

Ya think we needs a bit-o-fear to get those yeilds down to the "record" levels of the past several auctions.

Ya think Greece isn't a pawn and there's no central bank coordination...

Syd 21:17 GMT January 22, 2012
Irish Journalist Leaves ECB Official Speechless
Reply   
http://www.businessinsider.com/video-irish-journalist-leaves-ecb-official-speechless-2012-1

GVI Forex john 21:09 GMT January 22, 2012
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

-- Market-Moving News --
€ opening lower as we indicated it might earlier as the Greek debt negotiations drag on. We have no idea yet what will happen before talks end and advise caution. Does anyone have any insights?

GVI Forex john 21:01 GMT January 22, 2012
Global-View.com Forex Heat Maps
Reply   

Be Sure to Refresh Forum Manually to Update Heat Map.


dc CB 20:18 GMT January 22, 2012
The Ho n orabl e Ju d g e Rako ff v . Co rpor a t e Ame rica,
Reply   
Jed S. Rakoff is driving regulators nuts by refusing to rubber-stamp the kind of deals that have long defined Securities and Exchange Commission justice — boilerplate settlements in which companies use shareholders’ money to pay fines while they neither admit nor deny doing anything wrong.

wapo

Boston eFX 19:50 GMT January 22, 2012
IMF, Germany Push For Lower Yield In Greek Debt Deal - Sources
Reply   
(Dow Jones via eFXnews) The International Monetary Fund and Germany are pushing Greece's private creditors to accept lower yields on the new bonds Athens will issue after a planned debt restructuring, people familiar with the talks said, potentially delaying a new emergency loan that Athens needs to avoid bankruptcy.

The people said the IMF argues that a near.....

IMF, Germany Push For Lower Yield In Greek Debt Deal - Sources (full story)

Syd 19:36 GMT January 22, 2012
Don't Relax -- the Debt Crisis Is Just Getting Started
Reply   
http://www.thestreet.com/story/11379284/1/dont-relax--the-debt-crisis-is-just-getting-started.html

GVI Forex john 19:23 GMT January 22, 2012
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

  • Key Items  AU- PPI,  CA- Leading Indicator. 

  • EUR short-covering ran out of steam on Friday, but the Thursday correction took a lot of the EURUSD downward momentum out of the market.

  • Greek sovereign debt negotiations may or may not be nearing an accord. Monday is the current target date.

  • Chinese markets are closed all week for the Lunar New Year. 

  • The South Carolina presidential primary saw a decisive victory by Newt Gingrich. This will extend the primary season.

  • End of fiscal year Japanese life insurance investment adjustment activity coming into focus? 

JERUSALEM KB 19:19 GMT January 22, 2012
Forex Trading Plan

early quotes
eurusd 1.2888
gbpusd 1.5556
audusd 1.0458
.......

JERUSALEM KB 19:15 GMT January 22, 2012
Forex Trading Plan



AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

audusd weekly ress. breakout .
want to see a retest of both weekly and daily ress to go long against 1.0355 targeting 1.0751

JERUSALEM KB 19:09 GMT January 22, 2012
Forex Trading Plan



Buy AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

audusd daily ress. breakout

Israel Dil 19:02 GMT January 22, 2012
euro

the official details of the Greek default are important for the future default/haircut cases of Portugal, Ireland, Spain, Italy and France. without such official details the market will not have default "counting formula" for future cases, that will follow.

Israel Dil 18:54 GMT January 22, 2012
euro
Reply   
as the Greek official haircut/default is delayed it is advisable to see the risk to the downside currently for few more weeks.

GVI Forex Blog 18:54 GMT January 22, 2012 Reply   
Key Items AU- PPI, CA- Leading Indicator.. EUR short-covering ran out of steam on Friday, but the Thursday correction took a lot of the EURUSD downward momentum out of the market. Greek sovereign debt negotiations may or may not be nearing an accord. Monday is the current target date.

Forex Trade Talk 00:00 GMT 23 January 2012

dc CB 18:07 GMT January 22, 2012
Sunday Comics
Reply   
SOPA/PIPA

NYT

dc CB 18:02 GMT January 22, 2012
Wild and Wonderful Wednesday
Reply   
Fed Signals Another $1T Of QE

Stocks rise sharply. Oil, copper, gold see largest one-day rise in two years

TIPs spreads widen to 2.5%
++++++++++++++++++++++
Fed Forecasts End of QE

Global stocks in broad retreat.

Next move is to tighten?
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Fed Forecasts End of QE

Global stocks in broad retreat.

Next move is to tighten?

Will the Fed Bring Clarity or Confusion? By Bruce Krasting

GVI Forex john 17:40 GMT January 22, 2012
USD Bollinger Bands
Reply   

Bollinger

EURUSD

USDJPY

USDCHF

GBPUSD

USDCAD

AUDUSD

NZDUSD

20d SD

0.0128

0.44

0.0076

0.0110

0.0042

0.0102

0.0117

3 StdD

1.3249

78.39

0.9663

1.5800

1.0306

1.0593

0.8228

2 StdD

1.3120

77.95

0.9588

1.5690

1.0264

1.0490

0.8111

1 StdD

1.2992

77.51

0.9512

1.5580

1.0222

1.0388

0.7993

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

20day

1.2864

77.06

0.9436

1.5470

1.0179

1.0285

0.7876

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1 StdD

1.2735

76.62

0.9360

1.5360

1.0137

1.0183

0.7759

2 StdD

1.2607

76.18

0.9284

1.5251

1.0095

1.0080

0.7642

3 StdD

1.2479

75.73

0.9209

1.5141

1.0052

0.9978

0.7524

 

dc CB 16:51 GMT January 22, 2012
Did the Feds Just Kill the Cloud Storage Model?
Reply   
Megaupload Type Shutdowns and Patriot Act Are Killing Cloud Storage
The government’s takedown of the 800 pound gorilla online storage site Megaupload may have killed the cloud storage model.
Many innocent users have had their data taken away from them.

As PC World notes:
The MegaUpload seizure shows how personal files hosted on remote servers operated by a third party can easily be caught up in a government raid targeted at digital pirates.

Do You Cloud?

GVI Forex john 16:37 GMT January 22, 2012
USD Moving Averages
Reply   

1/20/2012

20:00

GMT

 

 

 

 

 

Latest

EURUSD

USDJPY

USDCHF

GBPUSD

USDCAD

AUDUSD

NZDUSD

Last

1.2928

76.94

0.9344

1.5554

1.0137

1.0479

0.8054

High

1.2986

77.30

0.9369

1.5556

1.0159

1.0486

0.8062

Low

1.2886

76.90

0.9303

1.5448

1.0103

1.0379

0.7990

Change

-0.0029

-0.22

0.0017

0.0069

0.0026

0.0067

0.0027

MVA

EURUSD

USDJPY

USDCHF

GBPUSD

USDCAD

AUDUSD

NZDUSD

5 day

1.2826

76.89

0.9421

1.5424

1.0138

1.0400

0.8018

10 day

1.2789

76.86

0.9459

1.5404

1.0169

1.0350

0.7974

20 day

1.2864

77.06

0.9436

1.5470

1.0179

1.0285

0.7876

50 day

1.3123

77.39

0.9330

1.5563

1.0238

1.0141

0.7732

100 day

1.3421

77.17

0.9114

1.5680

1.0182

1.0167

0.7852

200 day

1.3890

78.40

0.8723

1.5984

0.9936

1.0408

0.8036

TREND

EURUSD

USDJPY

USDCHF

GBPUSD

USDCAD

AUDUSD

NZDUSD

BIAS

Down

Down

Down

Down

Down

Up

Up

 

dc CB 16:03 GMT January 22, 2012
Wash Post Editorial
Reply   
and you thought it was a Liberal Eastern paper.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Whether it was democracy in action or spinelessness by cowed lawmakers, the campaign worked. House and Senate leaders said they would pull back the bills for further consideration. While a temporary breather may be helpful, lawmakers should not abandon the quest to curb the multibillion-dollar problem that is overseas online piracy.

Some opponents will fight any regulation of the Internet. This should not be acceptable. A free and viable Internet is essential to nurturing and sustaining the kinds of revolutionary innovations that have touched every aspect of modern life. But freedom and lawlessness are not synonymous. The Constitution does not protect the right to steal*, and that is true whether it is in a bricks-and-mortar store or online.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

All bankers and esp. Jon Corsine excepted.

Freedonm on the Internet

dc CB 15:47 GMT January 22, 2012
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

Newt

only a Republican could cheat on his wife with one of his aides, while leading the charge for the impeachment of a sitting president (for cheating on his wife with an intern), blame the Media for bringing it up, and then go on to win an election in a Bible Belt Evangelical state.

philadelphia caba 14:34 GMT January 22, 2012
Swiss econony minister sees franc weakening midterm: paper
Reply   
(Reuters) - Switzerland's economy minister Johann Schneider-Ammann expects the Swiss franc to weaken to about 1.40 francs per euro in the medium term, he told a Swiss newspaper on Sunday.

"My minimum expectation is that the Swiss National Bank keeps the lower boundary of 1.20 (francs per euro)," he told SonntagsZeitung. "In the midterm I expect purchasing parity to be reestablished. It lies at about 1.40 francs per euro."

The SNB set a cap at 1.20 francs per euro on September 6 to put a halt to the appreciation of the Swiss currency that threatened to tip the Alpine country into recession.

"The risk of a deindustrialization is still there at 1.20. Smaller and midsized companies cannot invest or replace staff," Schneider-Ammann said in the interview.

The franc has been trading in a range of 1.20-1.25 francs per euro since the SNB set its cap. It has gained ground towards the cap since central bank ex-Chairman Philipp Hildebrand stepped down in the wake of a scandal at the beginning of the month.

"The franc's strength has nothing to do with Mr Hildebrand's resignation. It is rather the downgrades by rating agencies that have led to uncertainty, pushing many towards the Swiss franc."

Schneider-Ammann stressed the SNB was independent and remained capable of acting despite the recent crisis.

Swiss industry representatives have repeatedly called for a shift in the euro-franc floor to 1.30 or even 1.40 but Hans Hess, president of industry lobby Swissmem, told SonntagsZeitung in a separate article this scenario was less likely at present.

"The risk of not being able to maintain an exchange rate of 1.30 francs per euro is much bigger than the risk of failing at 1.20," he said, adding that a shift would also mean acknowledging that the September move was not sufficient.

"That would harm the SNB's credibility in international markets that would certainly massively test this new floor."

Gerold Buehrer, head of business lobby economiesuisse who had called for a shift in the cap in the past, said: "The SNB has to defend the rate of 1.20 at all costs, a shift to 1.30 would be difficult given the unsolved euro zone debt crisis."

Only Swiss trade unions continue to plead for a shift in the franc cap, SonntagsZeitung reported.

GVI Forex john 14:22 GMT January 22, 2012
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

-- Market-Moving News --
The Greek debt bail out situation is not as close to a deal as we heard Friday afternoon. You never know in negotiations like this where the talks REALLY stand in a case like this because brinksmanship can be a negotiation strategy. A Greek default is not in the interest of official players or the banks. However, some private players might benefit from a triggering of Credit Default Swaps (CDS). No deal would be €/$ negative.

GVI Forex john 14:04 GMT January 22, 2012
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets
Reply   

-- Market-Moving News --
U.S. Republican Party sees a victory by Newt Gingrich (a strong Conservative) in South Carolina. The outcome has called into question expectations that Mitt Romney (Moderate Right) will win the right to oppose Obama for President in the fall. Most feel Romney would do better against Obama in the general election than Gingrich. Current polls suggest that race would be close. Re-election of Obama would generally be viewed by the financial markets as USD negative.

GVI Forex Jay 13:27 GMT January 22, 2012
Pip Trading

This is typical of fx trading - more intra-day volatility than net change.

For the first 3 weeks of the year, the average weekly range has been 332 pips while Friday's close was just -13 pips from the 2011 close. Range for the year-to-date has been 1.3076-1.2623 (453 pips).

Mtl JP 13:03 GMT January 22, 2012
Speculators' Bets Against Euro Hit New Record High -CFTC

wanna buy French sovereign debt ?

French workers at one hospital accumulate two million vacation days

or any sovereign debt for that matter ?

UK 12:16 GMT January 22, 2012
Greek PSI Talks
Reply   
Crucial talks over a debt deal between lenders and the Greek government were suspended over the weekend as the representative of bondholders flew out of Athens empty handed

Greek debt deal hits setback as talks suspended

Ind! Rafe... 06:12 GMT January 22, 2012
EURUSD Monthly.
Reply   
I have a monthly high low of 13543, 12163.... 13007 is critical and confirms 13239 which confirms 13543, on the downside 12699 confirms 12480 which confirms 12163...

Boston eFX 05:45 GMT January 22, 2012
Speculators' Bets Against Euro Hit New Record High -CFTC
Reply   
(Dow Jones via eFXnews) Currency traders increased to $25.5 billion their net bets that the euro will fall, with the net short position reaching a new record high as of Jan. 17, government data showed Friday.

It represents highest level of net bets that the euro will fall since at least 2007. It also marks....

Speculators' Bets Against Euro Hit New Record High -CFTC (full story)

 




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