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Forex Forum Archive for 10/1/2012

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London chippie 23:54 GMT October 1, 2012
Achtung !!

and joe ..you cracking me up mate ... <1.21..haha ..really!!!

London chippie 23:48 GMT October 1, 2012
data



ed ......

ed kw 22:09 GMT October 1, 2012
data
Reply   
Market released a slew of data out of Europe today for the new week, month, and quarter, and needless to say, the sentiment has been positive. Here’s why:

(EU) EURO ZONE SEPT FINAL PMI MANUFACTURING: 46.1 V 46.0E
(EU) EURO ZONE AUG UNEMPLOYMENT RATE: 11.4% V 11.5%E (fresh record high)
(DE) GERMANY SEPT FINAL PMI MANUFACTURING: 47.4 V 47.3E
(FR) FRANCE SEPT FINAL PMI MANUFACTURING: 42.7 V 42.6E (41 month low)
(IT) ITALY SEPT PMI MANUFACTURING: 45.7 V 44.0E
(ES) SPAIN SEPT MANUFACTURING PMI: 44.6 V 44.2E (highest since Feb 2012)
(GR) GREECE SEPT MANUFACTURING PMI: 42.2 V 42.1 PRIOR
(UK) SEPT PMI MANUFACTURING: 48.4 V 49.9E

All in all, my EURUSD forecast is to buy on dips, as this is the quarter where traders attempt to recover their losses throughout the year, and with the blessing of fundamentals, we could see EURUSD making an upward breakout to the 1.3500 levels.

GVI Forex Blog 21:56 GMT October 1, 2012 Reply   
AUD and NZD Outlook: Today’s local highlight is the RBA meeting, with a minority of economists expecting a 25bp cut to 3.25%. The market is priced for a 15bp easing so a reaction regardless of decision is likely. The GlobalDairyTrade auction will be watched for a possible fifth consecutive gain in milk prices. Spain’s PM Rajoy meets EU’s Rehn – bailout discussion?

Forex - Westpac Morning Report

ed kw 21:54 GMT October 1, 2012
Achtung !!

On Saturday, a closely-followed report by bank HSBC (HBC) said that new export orders declined last month at their sharpest rate in three-and-a-half years due to weaker international demand.
The fate of manufacturing in China is considered a barometer of the global economy because of the country's role as a powerhouse exporter.

Cambridge Joe 21:42 GMT October 1, 2012
Achtung !!

Thanks chippie.... i might give it a shot for the h*ll of it... !

I don't usually venture near the dailies... and the only thing on my chart which is set to 'normal' is the time..... I reckon whatever buying of euro might take place, it will be a different ball game at or around the 8th. Start looking for <1.21XX IMO GL.

Sleep calling now !

London chippie 21:33 GMT October 1, 2012
Achtung !!

Joe trust me .. we going up to the daily bolly bands on this one on the euro .... 1.3180 .... buy now ... its no biggy ... im loaded ..actually ...sh***ing myself a bit ..haha ! But im pretty certain ... look back at my archives .... i provided a chart way back ...got the levels a bit wrong .... idea dont change (gecko confimed today).. we hopefully ending the 'b' wave ..not confirmed yet ...but buy!

Cambridge Joe 21:17 GMT October 1, 2012
Achtung !!

Yah ! pretty gut dankeshun !

ATM I have e/$ softer at least short term..... bigger picture... i don't have any really clear impression.... yet !

London chippie 21:01 GMT October 1, 2012
Achtung !!

haha ! love that ... yawoll ...haha! alles gut ! Joe howzit china .... ohhh im cooking tonight ... but euro still looks like a definite positive

GVI Forex john bland 20:39 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading- What's Moving Markets Now

  • Key Items: AU- RBA, EZ PPI, US- API data.
  • PMI data were mixed as usual, but mostly continue to paint a gloomy picture about the global economy. The U.S. Mfg PMI was better than expected but we are not as certain about the data as a predictor of the economy.  
  • The closely followed Quarterly Bank of Japan Tankan Survey was broadly weaker early in the session.  
  • This i central bank week. Tuesday sees the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). policy decision. Its was toss-up on whether or not they ease, however a very weak PMI report has the potential to tip the scale. 
  • The Bank of England (BOE) and European Central Bank (ECB) announce their latest policy decisions on Thursday. Both are in a Quantitative Easing (QE) posture, but are currently in a position of waiting to assess the impact of actions taken in the recent past. 
  • The the BOJ meets on Friday. It is also has moved into a more aggressive QE mode. 
  • This is employment week for the U.S. with non-farm payrolls due on Friday. We now have a specific Fed monthly target for a sustained monthly increase in jobs of 200K per month. Early street estimates are for a September gain of 116,000 jobs after 103,000 in August.
  • The key EURUSD 20-day average is 1.2883. The 10-yr bund is 1.48%, +4 bp  Key European bourses ended higher. The U.S.10-yr is 1.63%, -1 bp. U.S. shares are higher. 
  • Key Asian bourses ended mixed to higher. The 10-yr JGB was 0.77%, -1 bp. The key USDJPY 20-day average is 78.11. EURJPY 20-day average is 100.63. A risk of  forex intervention at any time persists.

Cambridge Joe 20:33 GMT October 1, 2012
Achtung !!

Perhaps better luck this time !

Gold.... Kwun..... if you have tears... prepare to shed them now !

Gold takes a decided turn south around 04:00 04:30 GMT

** IF ** Gold stays above 67 until 04:00GMT, then the bottom will drop out. IMO GL

Lahore FM 20:28 GMT October 1, 2012
" Trade Ideas "

Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

1.2760 and lower likely in a day or two imho!

GVI Forex Free FX Database 19:52 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading- What's Moving Markets Now

Preliminary Closing Trading Points...
many more chart points
About Moving Averages
About Bollinger Bands


Refresh Forum Manually to Update Table.


Cambridge Joe 18:54 GMT October 1, 2012
Achtung !!

Sorry chaps... looks like I wasted your time...... maybe it's fail & bail.

Still..... 10 trades... 2 loss, 2 zero 6 positive..... can't win 'em all.

Cambridge Joe 18:32 GMT October 1, 2012
Achtung !!

Yeah... well..... maybe a little delay then.... but it's what I'm looking for...

Cambridge Joe 18:23 GMT October 1, 2012
Achtung !!
Reply   
I'm getting l;ong scalp Cable 18:32 GMT and same for e/$ approx 18:45. IMO. GL

to dk 17:27 GMT October 1, 2012
gold
Reply   
1790 is a very important level for gold , 3 tops on weekly , if it can go through then there will be a lot of short coverin
which will driv e the price back to like 1900-2000

HCMC MJS 16:43 GMT October 1, 2012
live feed
Reply   
bloomberg always good for streams


http://www.bloomberg.com/live-stream/

Belgrade TD 16:40 GMT October 1, 2012
ben speech

*

FED

LA Tony 16:38 GMT October 1, 2012
ben speech

*DJ Bernanke: Expect Economy To Continue To Expand
*DJ Bernanke: Expect Inflation To Remain Low For Foreseeable Future
*DJ Bernanke: Economy Has Not Been Growing Enough To Help Jobs Figure
*DJ Bernanke: Monetary Policy Not A Cure-All, But Can Help
*DJ Bernanke: Expect To Keep Rates Low Even After Economy Strengthens
*DJ Bernanke: Fiscal Policy Should Not Endanger Economic Recovery
*DJ Bernanke: Important To Keep Politics Out Of Monetary Policy

hk ab 16:37 GMT October 1, 2012
ben speech
Reply   
does anyone have a link?

GVI Forex Blog 16:29 GMT October 1, 2012 Reply   
16:25 GMT (Global-View.com) October 1- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is ending in Europe Monday at .5238, -0.24% from its Friday close (-0.54% vs. end-2011).

Global-View .com D.O.G. Index October 1, 2012 Late

Mtl JP 16:27 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading- What's Moving Markets Now

Bernanke blather has odds of moving market as most majors current price-action approximately in middle of day's Pivot Sup - Res range

GVI Forex john bland 16:27 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading- What's Moving Markets Now

16:25 GMT (Global-View.com) October 1- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is ending in Europe Monday at .5238, -0.24% from its Friday close (-0.54% vs. end-2011).

As for its key subcomponents, the USD forex purchasing power index is .7784, -0.22% (-0.23% vs. end-2011). The forex index is value is calculated against the top six trading currencies.

Against gold, the USD purchasing power index is worth .1620, +0.39% (-11.92% end-2011).

Against crude, it is at .4836, +0.21% (+7.16% vs. end-2011). The D.O.G. Index base is 1.00. It is measured against levels from the start of 1999, as of the initial launch of the euro (currency).

D.O.G. Homepage

LA Tony 16:20 GMT October 1, 2012
gold

Gold 1,778 still a buy level.

hk ab 16:14 GMT October 1, 2012
gold
Reply   
Kwun, did you take profit?

Mtl JP 16:12 GMT October 1, 2012
Iranian Real in FREE FALL

it would appear then that world peace/war is thus only tradeable through proxy commodity items.

Those in Iran holding US dollars are making out like bandits and lined up to buy more Porches in 1011 then anywhere else in M/E before the German stopped selling them there.

There is a lesson from money printers for currency players: winners are those who seize opportunities to make quick money on currency plays
losers watch their wealth and savings evaporate almost overnight.

Talking of money printers:
at bottom of the hour Ben " transparent" Bernanke of the US FED is giving a speech About the Fed and Policy in Indianapolis followed by Q&A.

He is likely going to peddle his QEternity's "benefits" to the economy (en economy mired in recession, near collapse and at systemic risk 11 years after what was supposed to be a cakewalk war in Afganistan according to PhD in political theory and war proponent Ken Adleman) to 2,000 eager for transparency members of the Economic Club of Indiana - something the politicians call "the only act in town". Ben probably got the message that the politicians have no intentions of cutting back on their fiscal front of the equation.

HCMC MJS 16:02 GMT October 1, 2012
looking for days lows
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

this is textbook topping action. No follow through. Stops above days highs.

London chippie 15:52 GMT October 1, 2012
subject
Reply   
well thats it for me sports lovers ... time to get hammered ... check up later

Dresden PR 15:35 GMT October 1, 2012
Iranian Real in FREE FALL

TY for bringing this information to us.

London chippie 15:22 GMT October 1, 2012
eur



van Gecko ... well lets hope 1.28 this morn was it !:) ...hope to see your posts here more often ... GL and GT... PS 8hr graph

GVI Forex Blog 15:16 GMT October 1, 2012 Reply   
October 1, 2012 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, October 2. Updated: Trading Events Calendar

GVI Forex Data Outlook for 2 October 2012

GVI Forex john bland 15:14 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading- What's Moving Markets Now



October 1, 2012 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, October 2. Updated: Trading Events Calendar

  • Far East: CN- Holiday, AU- RBA.
  • Europe: EZ- PPI.
  • North America: US- API Energy.


Haifa ac 15:12 GMT October 1, 2012
Iranian Real in FREE FALL

Mtl JP
it is not about trading the rial (you cannot trade it because the official rate is 12600)

it is more about WORLD PEACE

Iran currency tumbles 17% to new low

TEHRAN — Iran's currency plummeted around 17 percent in trading on Monday, according to media and an online exchange website, severely adding to strains on the Islamic republic's sanctions-hit economy.

The currency, the rial, weakened to 34,500 to the dollar by the end of the day's trading, according to the Mesghal.com website, a drop of 16.6 percent compared to the previous day's rate of 29,600.

The Mehr news agency said the rial fell 18 percent to 35,000.

The rial has lost more than 80 percent of its value compared with the end of last year, when it was worth 13,000 to the dollar.

http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/art...

van Gecko 15:06 GMT October 1, 2012
Euro Quantitative "Easy Range ~ ~ Easy Slide"

London chippie 14:32 GMT.. Euro starting October with a bang..
looks like lotsa Quantitative BOD bulls waiting for that dip to 1.28 :)
gl



Belgrade TD 14:58 GMT October 1, 2012
Daily TA trade

Sell S&P
Entry: ~1448 Target: ~1420/- Stop: ~1460/D-close

with cascading targets ...

London chippie 14:54 GMT October 1, 2012
eur

euro coming up again soon .....

HCMC MJS 14:52 GMT October 1, 2012
CXAU
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

If we close at the days low it's a swing short back to 1700 imo

tokyo rana 14:45 GMT October 1, 2012
gold

closed some @ 1774....rest will keep if rise then short again...

HCMC MJS 14:45 GMT October 1, 2012
the anemic volatility has to end someday
Reply   
maybe today?

tokyo rana 14:43 GMT October 1, 2012
gold

like i said if it fails it will drop hard...luckly i sold again 1786...it was not easy to post every trade i made many trade short side...nice pips...happy trade

hk ab 14:41 GMT October 1, 2012
eur
Reply   
close eur long.

hk ab 14:41 GMT October 1, 2012
gold
Reply   
what happens?

Mtl JP 14:32 GMT October 1, 2012
Iranian Real in FREE FALL

who here can trade the Iranian ?
need an actionable practical para-metered trade idea
tia

London chippie 14:32 GMT October 1, 2012
Euro Quantitative "Easy Range ~ ~ Easy Slide"

Thanks van Gecko .... kinda hoping for it to bounce off upper daily bolly bands .... fits in with my "b" wave ... good to see you still around!

hk ab 14:25 GMT October 1, 2012
gold
Reply   
last time when gold made a high at 1786-7 and my shorts were all stopped at 1783.....

I hope that this doesn't repeat this time.

Haifa ac 14:23 GMT October 1, 2012
Iranian Real in FREE FALL

Another 2000 real drop in last few hours

The currency, the rial, weakened to 34,500 to the dollar
http://www.nowlebanon.com/NewsArticleDetails.aspx?ID=441935

this is 4000 drop in one day.

this kind of crash cannot end calmly.

van Gecko 14:23 GMT October 1, 2012
Euro Quantitative "Easy Range ~ ~ Easy Slide"



Good odds for Trend Continuation after testing 1.28 to start the month..
Side to up bias 1.2850~1.3150.. above, it's 1.33~1.34.. Sub 1.28 will have to wait a bit longer..


London chippie 14:23 GMT October 1, 2012
e/$

might be ready for retracement ... already done 130 pips today ??

London chippie 14:20 GMT October 1, 2012
e/$

yep 1hr

to dk 14:19 GMT October 1, 2012
e/$

which timeframe? 1hr ?

switch to 30 min ,its behind

Belgrade TD 14:17 GMT October 1, 2012
Daily TA trade

Belgrade TD 16:11 GMT September 26, 2012
Buy CHFJPY
Entry: ~82.7 Target: ~85 Stop: ~82/D-close
///
1/3 out ~83.4 ... same S/T for rest

London chippie 14:16 GMT October 1, 2012
e/$

200ma in the way

to dk 14:08 GMT October 1, 2012
e/$

the hurdle 2930 has been breached

tokyo rana 14:07 GMT October 1, 2012
gold

closed 1784.5

GVI Forex john bland 14:05 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading- What's Moving Markets Now



U.S. ISM Mfg PMI. Data an upside surprise...

GVI Forex john bland 14:01 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading- What's Moving Markets Now

-- ALERT --
Construction Spending August 2012
-0.6% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. -0.40%rev prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland 14:00 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading- What's Moving Markets Now

-- ALERT --
U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI September 2012
51.5 vs. 50.0 exp. vs. 49.6 prev.

Mfg PMI Employment
54.7 vs. 51.6 exp. vs. 52.0 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

tokyo rana 13:59 GMT October 1, 2012
gold

Sell Gold
Entry: 1789.5 Target: open Stop: later

sold again..

London chippie 13:59 GMT October 1, 2012
e/$
Reply   


possible ?

HK [email protected] 13:49 GMT October 1, 2012
RUMORS ONLY FOR THE TIME.
Reply   
Rumors running on the net that the Russians are totally evacuating their naval base in Tartus Syria.

If that is true, some instability in the region may ensue.

London chippie 13:45 GMT October 1, 2012
e/$
Reply   
still room for 1.2950/60

hk ab 13:30 GMT October 1, 2012
gold
Reply   
jesus.... bangster day.

HK [email protected] 13:22 GMT October 1, 2012
Iranian Real in FREE FALL

Another drop of 100%(and fast), and war may be averted.

The Iranian leadership will look for a compromise, or face a revolution.

tokyo rana 13:18 GMT October 1, 2012
eur

closed @ 1787 now will short again 1790 if seen...

hk ab 13:14 GMT October 1, 2012
eur
Reply   
eur has a 5 pips profit stop and let it run now.

but will close 1.2945 for half if seen.

HK [email protected] 13:13 GMT October 1, 2012
gold

.

Just to mention, the chart was prepared this weekend.

HK [email protected] 13:11 GMT October 1, 2012
gold
Reply   


Gold may be capped by 1808/9 for today.

Simple chart, one trendline Res.

So Simple:)

hk ab 13:11 GMT October 1, 2012
gold
Reply   
thanks! anyway, my short was stopped.

GL to you rana.

GVI Forex john bland 13:07 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading- What's Moving Markets Now



U.S. final Mfg PMI...revised down from flash data.

Belgrade TD 13:05 GMT October 1, 2012
eur

hk ab 12:54 GMT October 1, 2012

GOLD & COT

hk ab 13:03 GMT October 1, 2012
gold
Reply   
I could only see the speech by uncle Ben may help your short later....

tokyo rana 13:02 GMT October 1, 2012
gold

added 1790..

hk ab 13:00 GMT October 1, 2012
gold

rana, the move we just witnessed... I have a good memory of it and it could spell what I just mentioned.....

GVI Forex john bland 12:58 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading- What's Moving Markets Now

-- ALERT --
U.S. Markit (not ISM) final Manufacturing PMI
September 2012
51.1 vs. 51.5 (flash) exp. vs. 51.5 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

tokyo rana 12:58 GMT October 1, 2012
gold

yes anything possible but if fail to break higher it will fall hard too...lets see...happy trade

hk ab 12:56 GMT October 1, 2012
gold

rana, I am afraid that we see 18xx prints in the coming days.

hk ab 12:54 GMT October 1, 2012
eur

does anyone have gold COT report?

tokyo rana 12:53 GMT October 1, 2012
gold

Sell Gold
Entry: 1785.5 Target: open Stop: later

luckly i closed gold short @ 1765 75% after saw FM post....now short again......happy trade

hk ab 12:53 GMT October 1, 2012
eur
Reply   
set TP limit at 1.2945 for 2/3

hk ab 12:51 GMT October 1, 2012
gold

can they succeed to fight with bangsters later when US come in?

hk ab 12:48 GMT October 1, 2012
gold
Reply   
impressive 1 hr move....

hk ab 12:40 GMT October 1, 2012
gold

ok, stop hit at 78, GL for all.

hk ab 12:36 GMT October 1, 2012
gold
Reply   
ok, 1776. s/l nearby.

GVI Forex john bland 12:34 GMT October 1, 2012
Free News Worth listening to
Reply   

-- FREE! LIVE FX SQUAWK BOX --


TALKING-FOREX Click FX SQUAWK on Navigation Bar. Click SPEAKER Icon at top right of squawk page for live audio. M-F 5:30-20:30 GMT.



hk ab 12:31 GMT October 1, 2012
eur
Reply   
btw, bought some euro here 1.2888...
gold upmove may spell some eur upmove late.r

hk ab 12:27 GMT October 1, 2012
gold
Reply   
ok, 1 more limit 1776 then stop nearby.

hk ab 12:25 GMT October 1, 2012
gold
Reply   
add 1772, stop nearby.

GVI Forex john bland 12:22 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading- What's Moving Markets Now

On the Calendar today

Bernanke on the monetary policy at 16:30 GMT. No idea what he might have to say that's new?

hk ab 12:21 GMT October 1, 2012
gold
Reply   
short again 1770.5

genova robbi 11:29 GMT October 1, 2012
KaL's Trend and Level

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.28940 Target: 1.286 Stop:

ok but i have a pivot so i'll target at 1.286

London chippie 11:27 GMT October 1, 2012
KaL's Trend and Level

seems 4hr 20ma holding euro downside for now ... got my stops on entry way down ....

Ibadan Emmn 11:16 GMT October 1, 2012
KaL's Trend and Level

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.28880 Target: 1.28702 Stop:

Sell EUR/USD is going move fast and you can earn your loss here because is going to move 100pips now

J Abb 10:57 GMT October 1, 2012
..

EURGBP
Entry: Target: Stop:

and eur/gbp to go higher...now eur/jpy100.55..eur/gbp0.9788

J Abb 10:49 GMT October 1, 2012
..
Reply   
EURJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

eur/jpy still have chance to make new high

hk ab 10:46 GMT October 1, 2012
gold
Reply   
update: take profit 1/4 more at 1767.....

GVI Forex john 10:31 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading- What's Moving Markets Now

EURUSD CORRELATION TRADE WORKING WELL

DAX +85
futures:
DJ +65
SP +6

wti trading in line with spot as well. We will have to see if equities can hold.

Sydney ACC 10:25 GMT October 1, 2012
Iranian Real in FREE FALL

Iran’s Fars News Agency admitted on Sunday that its report, “Gallup Poll: Rural Whites Prefer Ahmadinejad To Obama,” was copied entirely from The Onion, a satirical American publication the editors in Tehran mistook for a news source.

An editor at the Iranian agency, which is close to the powerful Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps, said in the long, somewhat grudging apology: “The news item was extracted from the satirical magazine, The Onion, by mistake and it was taken down” from the agency’s English-language Web site within two hours.

http://thelede.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/09/30/iranian-news-agency-claims-onion-report-it-ran-by-mistake-is-essentially-true/

Haifa ac 10:16 GMT October 1, 2012
Iranian Real in FREE FALL

The Red Line.

hk ab 10:11 GMT October 1, 2012
Iranian Real in FREE FALL

ac, what initiated that?

Haifa ac 10:06 GMT October 1, 2012
Iranian Real in FREE FALL
Reply   
was 29600 yesterday
is 32000 now (9%) decline in one day

this is a major crisis. Cannot go on too long
prepare for some major upheaval in IRAN
wonder how it will affect other currencies

SaaR KaL 10:02 GMT October 1, 2012
KaL's Trend and Level

placed eurusd shorts from here to 1.2960
every 20 pips or so
tgt 1.2765

SaaR KaL 10:02 GMT October 1, 2012
KaL's Trend and Level

placed eurusd shorts from here to 1.2960
every 20 pips or so
tgt 1.2765

GVI Forex 10:00 GMT October 1, 2012
Global Markets News
Reply   
Currencies:
- EUR/GBP hit fresh session highs of £0.7975 after weaker UK manufacturing PMI and lower than expected consumer credit and mortgage approvals

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: Peripheral Euro Zone PMIs show improvement in Sept

GVI Forex john bland 09:47 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading- What's Moving Markets Now

  • Key Items: US- mfg PMIs, Construction Spending.
  • PMI data released today have been mixed as usual, but mostly continue to paint a gloomy picture about the global economy. It is interesting that the PMIs of strong currencies (CHF & AUD) have been the hardest hit.  
  • The closely followed Quarterly Bank of Japan Tankan Survey was broadly weaker early in the session.  
  • The first week of the month is also central bank week. It will see the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Its a toss-up on whether or not they ease. The Bank of England (BOE) and European Central Bank (ECB) announce their latest policy decisions on Thursday. Both are in a Quantitative Easing (QE) posture, but are currently in a position of waiting to assess the impact of actions taken in the recent past. Then the BOJ meets on Friday. It is also has moved into a more aggressive QE mode. 
  • This is employment week for the U.S. with non-farm payrolls due on Friday. We now have a specific Fed monthly target for a sustained monthly increase in jobs of 200K per month. Early street estimates are for a September gain of 116,000 jobs after 103,000 in August.
  • The key EURUSD 20-day average is 1.2868. The 10-yr bund is 1.47%, +3 bp  Key European bourses are higher. The U.S.10-yr is 1.63%, -1 bp. U.S. shares were lower. 
  • Key Asian bourses ended mixed to higher. The 10-yr JGB was 0.77%, -1 bp. The key USDJPY 20-day average is 78.12. EURJPY 20-day average is 100.54. A risk of  forex intervention at any time persists.

SaaR KaL 09:45 GMT October 1, 2012
KaL's Trend and Level

short eurjpy here

hk ab 09:34 GMT October 1, 2012
gold
Reply   
ninja ab close half for $1 just now.

London chippie 09:29 GMT October 1, 2012
EURO

seems euro got its brothers to help out , e/a e/j and e/c all looking positive....e/chf not really playing along ...

GVI Forex Blog 09:26 GMT October 1, 2012 Reply   
09:15 GMT (Global-View.com) October 1- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is trading in Europe Monday at .5241, -0.18% from its Friday close (-0.48% vs. e

Global-View.com D.O.G. Index October 1, 2012 Early

GVI Forex john bland 09:24 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading- What's Moving Markets Now
Reply   
09:15 GMT (Global-View.com) October 1- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is trading in Europe Monday at .5241, -0.18% from its Friday close (-0.48% vs. end-2011).

As for its key subcomponents, the USD forex purchasing power index is .7780, +0.28% (-0.29% vs. end-2011). The forex index is value is calculated against the top six trading currencies.

Against gold, the USD purchasing power index is worth .1627, +0.01% (-11.56% end-2011).

Against crude, it is at .4853, +0.14% (+7.53% vs. end-2011). The D.O.G. Index base is 1.00. It is measured against levels from the start of 1999, as of the initial launch of the euro (currency).

D.O.G. Homepage

HK [email protected] 09:03 GMT October 1, 2012
EURO

Euro soon to blast through 1.2900!

GVI Forex 09:00 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading Theme for the Week

-- ALERT --
EZ Unemployment August 2012
11.40% vs. 11.30% exp. vs. +11.40% rev prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

USA Fxprofit 08:56 GMT October 1, 2012
AUDUSD sell
Reply   
Sell @ 10390 tp 10350 sl 10410

Tallinn viies 08:55 GMT October 1, 2012
eurusd
Reply   
as long as euro stays over 1,2820-30 (200day ma) on closing basis euro should considered as bullish market. first important upside target is last week high at 1,2990 and then after that of course last month high 1,3170/75. it is still possible to see 1,3470 before this year is over.
most important support is at last month low 1,2500/05. I think this is too far for current month to test. for today we have seen the lows. expect euro to test 1,2905/10 and then maybe later even up to 1,2945/50.

USA Fxprofit 08:53 GMT October 1, 2012
AUDUSD up to 10390
Reply   
Now its 10378 up to 10390

to dk 08:35 GMT October 1, 2012
e/$

夢のようです。

euro at PP

GVI Forex 08:32 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading Theme for the Week



U.K. Manufacturing PMI weaker...

GVI Forex 08:28 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading Theme for the Week

-- ALERT --
GB Manufacturing PMI September 2012
48.4 vs. 49.5 exp. vs. 49.5 prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland 08:18 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading Theme for the Week



Earlier China NBS PMI was stronger. Still sub-50...

HK [email protected] 08:17 GMT October 1, 2012
EURO
Reply   
The next challenge is the Res. at 1.2900, once passed through it, good chances for 1.3000 and above. It will take sometime if happens.

GVI Forex john bland 08:14 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading Theme for the Week

-- Earlier --
China PMI September 2012
NBS: 49.8 vs. n/a exp. vs. 49.2 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland 08:08 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading Theme for the Week



Swiss PMI September 2012 exceptionally weak...

GVI Forex ALERT 08:06 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading Theme for the Week

-- Earlier Data --
Swiss PMI September 2012
43.6 vs. n/a exp. vs. 46.7 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland 08:03 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading Theme for the Week



EZ final Mfg PMI minor revision higher from flash reading...

GVI Forex john bland 07:58 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading Theme for the Week

-- ALERT --
EZ- Final MFG PMI September 2012
46.1 vs. 46.0 (flash) exp. vs. 46.0



TTN: Live News Special Offer

USA Fxprofit 07:58 GMT October 1, 2012
eurusd sell
Reply   
eurusd has not the momentum to go up further.

HK [email protected] 07:55 GMT October 1, 2012
gold
Reply   
May be charging towards 1810 vicinity.

Central Kwun 07:53 GMT October 1, 2012
Gold

Buy Gold
Entry: 1765 Target: 1800 Stop: 1755

But actually any news? suddenly all assets up rapidly. nly know EUR stocks so more than 1 percent

HK [email protected] 07:52 GMT October 1, 2012
EURO
Reply   
From my prev. (HK [email protected] 00:42 GMT) Euro didn't touch 1.2750 before 1.2850, but went direct to 1.2850, so now a bullish trend was established likely to above 1.3100.

Gold may break above 1800.

USA Fxprofit 07:49 GMT October 1, 2012
eurusd sell
Reply   
sell @ 12870 tp 12835 sl 12900

to dk 07:47 GMT October 1, 2012
e/$

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The currency has been propelled to the vicinity of 1.2860, printing fresh session highs, after the manufacturing PMI in Spain rose to 44.6 in September, up from 44.0 in August. The print however came in lower than consensus, at 45.5

Next on tap will be the Italian, French, German and EMU manufacturing PMI results, followed by preliminary Italian unemployment rate (10.8% exp.).

to dk 07:44 GMT October 1, 2012
e/$

pp at 83 , but the trend line 2930 and colides with the R1

hk ab 07:44 GMT October 1, 2012
gold
Reply   
gap almost closed......

short 1 lot at 1771.2

Central Kwun 07:39 GMT October 1, 2012
Gold

Buy Gold
Entry: 1765 Target: 1800 Stop: 1755

rebound rebound rebound

London chippie 07:34 GMT October 1, 2012
e/$

Looking much betta ...1.2890 seems to be next step on the ladder

ed kw 07:21 GMT October 1, 2012
e/$

EUR/USD: Offers from 1.2850/60 possible buy stops through 1.2860 ahead of more offers 1.2890/00. Bids 1.2800/10 (1.2800 barrier)), sell stops below ahead of more bids 1.2785/95 and 1.2750/60, with more sell stops below.
GBP/USD: Bids 1.6100/10, sell stops down through 1.6080 and more through 1.6060. Offers 1.6160/70 and 1.6200/10
EUR/GBP: Bids 0.7940/45 and 0.7920/25 (trend line supp) ahead of tech support 0.7914- 55 day MA. Offers 0.7960/65, res at 0.7975/80 (38.2% retracement of July 22-Sept 14 rally 0.7977) and 0.8000/05 (50% of 5-14 Sept rise 0.8001)
USD/JPY: Bids from 77.85 down to 77.50 from importers (and probably semi official towards 77.50) sell stops below. Offers 78.00/10, buy stops through 78.20 and 78.35
EUR/JPY: Bids 99.50/60 large sell stops below and through 99.30 ahead of tech support 98.90/00 (98.95- 50% retracement of July-Sep rally) and 100 day MA at 98.85. Offers100.10/20, 100.40/50 and 100.75
AUD/JPY: Bids 80.40/50 tech supp 80.00/15 (Sept 6 low 80.11) sell stops below. Tech res now at 80.67 (100 day MA) Offers 80.80/90 and 81.10/20, larger at 81.30/50.
AUD/USD: Bids 1.0325/35 and 1.0300/10 ahead of tech supp 1.0290/95 (cloud base 1.0292) and fibo 76.4% retrac 1.0275. Offers from 1.0360/70 and 1.0400/10
EUR/AUD: Bids 1.2370/80, probable sell stops through 1.2350 ahead of more bids 1.2330/40. Tech lvl 200 day MA 1.2398. Offers 1.2415/25 likely buy stops just above ahead of offers 1.2450/60, larger up at 1.2490/00

to dk 07:07 GMT October 1, 2012
e/$

recommend the yen pairs , yen has no place to go but up on daily

London chippie 06:56 GMT October 1, 2012
e/$



dk

hk ab 06:55 GMT October 1, 2012
gold
Reply   
silly bank ultra-bearish gold signal.

to dk 06:46 GMT October 1, 2012
e/$

,,,

map euro

to dk 06:39 GMT October 1, 2012
e/$

not too shabby on 4 and 8 hrs

ed kw 06:13 GMT October 1, 2012
e/$

EUR/USD is down 0.14% at 1.2829 with the next support at 1.2824 (MA200d) ahead of 1.2815 (low Sep.12) and 1.2753 (low Sep.11).
On the upside, a breakout of 1.2969 (MA10d) would bring 1.2971 (high Sep.25) followed by 1.3059 (high Sep.20) and 1.3120 (high Sep.18).

London chippie 05:55 GMT October 1, 2012
e/$
Reply   
euro looking very bearish even on weeklies ... need a close above 1.2860 today but somehow thinking 1.2750 is on the cards

GVI Forex Blog 04:55 GMT October 1, 2012 Reply   
- (CN) CHINA SEPT HSBC MANUFACTURING PMI: 47.9 V 47.8 PRELIM V 47.6 PRIOR (11th month of contraction) >- (CN) CHINA SEPT MANUFACTURING PMI: 49.8 V 50.1E; First instance of two consecutive months i

markets sluggish on another contraction in China manufacturing PMI

dc CB 04:43 GMT October 1, 2012
Temp TAX Cut

We will leave it to the Oil Companies to tax you first.

We'll come in later. On top.

said sir Timmmmmay

dc CB 04:38 GMT October 1, 2012
Temp TAX Cut
Reply   


“This has to be a temporary tax cut,” said Timothy F. Geithner, the Treasury secretary, testifying before the Senate Budget Committee this year and voicing the view of many in the White House and on Capitol Hill. “I don’t see any reason to consider supporting its extension.”

dc CB 04:34 GMT October 1, 2012
OUCH yeh it's commin O or Rom get ready
Reply   
WASHINGTON — Regardless of who wins the presidential election in November or what compromises Congress strikes in the lame-duck session to keep the economy from automatic tax increases and spending cuts, 160 million American wage earners will probably see their tax bills jump after Jan. 1.

That is when the temporary payroll tax holiday ends. Its expiration means less income in families’ pocketbooks — the tax increase would be about $95 billion in 2013 alone — at a time when the economy is little better than it was when the White House reached a deal on the tax break last year.

Payroll Tax Cut Unlikely to Survive Into Next Year: Suckers!!!!

Sydney ACC 04:25 GMT October 1, 2012
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) had the power to revive the retail industry and save Australian


Most borrowers well ahead of repayments
26/09/2012

The Reserve Bank of Australia said many borrowers are ahead on their home loan repayments yesterday. Around 15 per cent of borrowers are ahead by two years or more, at least at major banks.

Of those borrowers who are ahead on their mortgage around 45 per cent are estimated to have a buffer of up to six months, 15 per cent have a buffer of between six months and a year, and more than 40 per cent have a buffer greater than one year’s repayments.

More than half of owner-occupiers are estimated to be ahead on their mortgage repayments, while less than 40 per cent of investors (who have tax reasons for minimising payments) are ahead.

Source: Banking Day

Syd 03:49 GMT October 1, 2012
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) had the power to revive the retail industry and save Australian
Reply   
Jobs will be lost and more Australian businesses will close unless the Reserve Bank cuts official interest rates on Tuesday, the head of a national retailers' group has warned

finance.ninemsn.com.au

GVI Forex Blog 03:38 GMT October 1, 2012 Reply   
The Dow Jones (13437.13, -0.36%) was flat to negative and holds on to its 21 EMA

Morning Briefing : 01-Oct-2012 -0335 GMT

GVI Forex 03:01 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex News
Reply   
The euro fell to a three-week low in early Asian trading on Monday, after an independent audit of Spain's banks failed to quell concerns about the country's progress towards a bailout needed to shore up its public finances.


FOREX NEWS - Euro slips to three-week low as Spain fears persist

dc CB 02:47 GMT October 1, 2012
The Gold Forum
Reply   
what's funny here is that to trade Gold futures in the US...for the retail trader it will cost upward of $9K per contract.

say Jay say John what about that this is a currency traders web

more like...$3K per

oh....just need the Chatter for the adverts...right?

to dk 02:42 GMT October 1, 2012
Gold

And if you've got a handlebar mustache, stay away, we've got enough of those already.

hk ab 02:24 GMT October 1, 2012
gold
Reply   
gosh.... this is called "precipitation"!

hanoi 01:58 GMT October 1, 2012
Gold

gold will 17833-17823

to dk 01:27 GMT October 1, 2012
Gold

its a good level , the shoulder on the left side , [1hr]

i mentioned on friday but wi ll it gain any interest from buyers

dc CB 01:23 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading Theme for the Week

12-21-2012

closer than you think. :)))))

http://www.walmart.com/ip/21677320#

Central Kwun 00:58 GMT October 1, 2012
Gold
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: 1765 Target: 1800 Stop: 1755

stop loss hit, censored, reeneter again

Lahore FM 00:58 GMT October 1, 2012
" Trade Ideas "

Sell Gold
Entry: 1777 Target: 1690 for half Stop: 1778 for half

closed half of the short at 1767 now.sl lowered on the remainder

dc CB 00:54 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading Theme for the Week

hb
see
dc CB 20:26 GMT September 30, 2012
BarronsCover

HK [email protected] 00:42 GMT October 1, 2012
EUR
Reply   
Just watch if 1.2750 will be touched before any rebound back to 1.2850, if no, then Eur will not be that weak for the near term.

dc CB 00:39 GMT October 1, 2012
Cyberattacks on 6 Banks Interrupt Access for Many
Reply   
Six major American banks were hit in a wave of computer attacks last week, by a group claiming Middle Eastern ties, that caused Internet blackouts and delays in online banking.

Frustrated customers of Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, U.S. Bank, Wells Fargo and PNC, who could not get access to their accounts or pay bills online, were upset because the banks had not explained clearly what was going on.

“It was probably the least impressive corporate presentation of bad news I’ve ever seen,” said Paul Downs, a small-business owner in Bridgeport, Pa. “This is extremely disconcerting.”

“A major bank has a problem and gives no indication of what’s happening, when it started or when it will stop,” he said. “That’s pretty freaky if it’s your own business’s money and you need to do things with it.”

NYTimes

hk ab 00:24 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading Theme for the Week

so, you expect Rom will give us a sell-off? CB

dc CB 00:21 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading Theme for the Week

don't know why but it was a great pix of Jim from 1962. One more time?

Deep Thoughts for the Week

If O is the chosen one, then an embrassesment of a Stox Sell Off is not in the cards thru the Debate....may go down a bit but no big shakes.



hk ab 00:12 GMT October 1, 2012
gold
Reply   
seems bangster full manipulation of the thin mkt again.....

1760? or 1750?

Let's see what Japanese do first.

hk ab 00:08 GMT October 1, 2012
a side note
Reply   
Hi everyone.

Today is a very remarkable day as a day I returned back to fx-mkt a year ago, to be more precise, the gold market.

I want to say the performance of my trading has been much improved because of some superb masters here and the excellent sources from CB.

Zeus, FM, KB, RF, DL and all others, thanks million for the wonderful levels you shared with us.

GVI Forex john bland 00:02 GMT October 1, 2012
Forex Trading Theme for the Week



BOJ Tankan Survey. Sentiment heading South?

Dillon AL 00:00 GMT October 1, 2012
Video

Weekly setup videos for the EUR/USD and GBP/USD

To access the videos Click here

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
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A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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