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Forex Forum Archive for 04/1/2012

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Dillon AL 23:59 GMT April 1, 2012

USDJPY outlook:

UsdJpy video

GVI Forex john bland 23:50 GMT April 1, 2012
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

-- ALERT --
Japan Tankan Survey 1Q012
Big Mfg -4 vs. -1 exp. vs. -4 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

HK T 23:41 GMT April 1, 2012
a Bull Trap

Entry: Target: Stop:

a Bull Trap; 1.3385 is Key Resistance.

Dillon AL 23:30 GMT April 1, 2012

Weekly setup videos for the EUR/USD and GBP/USD

To access the videos Click here

Comments good or bad welcomed. Do you like the format ??would you like something changed? added? deleted??

I have been doing these weekly videos for a while and only a few people have commented. I am not looking for some pat on the back I am looking for constructive input for improvement or change . I do this for you guys to try to help but without input from you I have to guess what you want

GVI Forex john bland 23:30 GMT April 1, 2012
Forex Trading- Whats Moving Markets

-- ALERT --
Australia PMI March 2012
49.5 vs. n/a exp. vs. 51.3 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 23:20 GMT April 1, 2012 Reply   
The safe-haven yen eased on Monday, while commodity currencies like the Australian dollar jumped after surprisingly strong Chinese factory activity data eased fears about a hard landing in the world's second biggest economy.

FOREX NEWS - Yen slips, Aussie jumps as China data cheers

Syd 22:51 GMT April 1, 2012
RBA set to keep rates steady tomorrow: Poll
A Reuters poll of 18 economists expects the RBA to keep rates on hold at 4.25% at their meeting tomorrow. The weekend PMI data out of China will have strengthened the ‘no-rate-cut’ case.

Forex Signals 22:51 GMT April 1, 2012 Reply   

Max McKegg's Special Update

Lahore FM 22:33 GMT April 1, 2012
" Trade Ideas "

Sell usdx
Entry: Target: Stop:

its sell usd all over charts.

sold usd and bought gbp 1.5920.takke profit 1.6820.

bought audusd 1.0444 .sl 1.0340.take profit 1.10

GVI Forex john bland 22:27 GMT April 1, 2012 Forex Heat Maps
Reply Forex Heat Map

Forex Trading Tools Index

Refresh Forum MANUALLY to update table

dc CB 22:24 GMT April 1, 2012
Got To Play To Win

Futures "predict" Mr and Mrs Pop are going to say....what with the 1% CD in that bank......Buy Me Some STOX

KL KL 22:17 GMT April 1, 2012
Aung San Suu Kyi 'Wins Landslide' In Burma

...Good on her but this is just one step of many Sham steps the Burma Junta wants the world to believe..... In reality had Burma been rich in oil, ...a different story like Libya....just like Syria....

UN is useless and promoting SHAM human dignity..

fyi out of the 660+ odd Parlimentary seats only 46 are allowed to be contested....and Aung San Suu Kyi party won 45/46..... It is a people slap in the face for Burma Junta like North Korea but people want junta Out now and the world can only watch.....much like the Shenanigans of Wall Street Printing Money to save the elite of Banks and Investment arm that greese the Political elite.......maintain the status quo until Revolution takes rant for the week...

Preparing to Sell again on a bullish start to the week....first up short Dow again 13257.....thank you Sham China "doctored" PMI......

Sydney ACC 21:59 GMT April 1, 2012
Weekend: Australian Dollar Leads Commodity Rally on 12-month Chinese Manufacturing Record

The HSBC index, which tends to reflect trends in the export sector more strongly than the official index, has remained below 50 for five straight months and recorded its lowest average reading in three years in the first quarter.

Lahore FM 21:46 GMT April 1, 2012
" Trade Ideas "

Entry: 1.2298 Target: Stop:

Lahore FM 16:26:57 GMT - 03/05/2012

Entry: 1.2298 Target: Stop: 1.2260 for half
Lahore FM 18:15:03 GMT - 03/02/2012

Entry: 1.2298 Target: Stop: 1.2220
long again.earlier stopped for a hundred pips minus...
Dil you were right about it being too early

closed half at 1.2401 raised on rest of the long.

out of half long 1.2298 at 1.2792 now for 492 + in all.

Sydney ACC 21:39 GMT April 1, 2012
Weekend: Australian Dollar Leads Commodity Rally on 12-month Chinese Manufacturing Record

Why the disparity between the Official and the HSBC PMI's? There is such a huge gap.

dc CB 21:34 GMT April 1, 2012
Forex Trading- Whats Moving Markets

Friday the US Employment Monthly Report will be released.

It's another year of of Holiday Mind F^&ks...Aka Good Friday/Easter market closings.

US stocks and Bonds officially closed.

CME Futures: Stox Index Closes 45 mins after release
Bonds and Curren futures close 1 Hour after that.

Rest of the world Off for the Pope's Celebration of his power.

matsudo rana 21:31 GMT April 1, 2012

Entry: 83 Target: Stop: later

sold...happy trade

matsudo matsudo 21:29 GMT April 1, 2012
Entry: Target: Stop:

closed and audusd long too...happy trade

Syd 20:41 GMT April 1, 2012
Weekend: Australian Dollar Leads Commodity Rally on 12-month Chinese Manufacturing Record
Weekend Developments

•Chinese official manufacturing PMI (MAR) reported at 53.1, expected 50.8, previous 51.0
•Chinese official PMI at highest point since March 2011 report of 53.4
•European leads support additional IMF backing of bailout fund
The Australian and New Zealand dollars are leading commodity currencies higher in early trading on hopes that a robust Chinese economy will preserve the demand of raw materials from those two countries. Investors are returning to those higher yielding currencies as more good data from China and the United States may show that the world economy may be on the first legs to a sustained recovery. With additional Asian data out later this week, including Japanese industrial BoJ-Tankan surveys and the RBA’s rate announcement, the scope for further easing from the RBA and RBNZ may be limited

Cambridge Joe 19:55 GMT April 1, 2012
Aung San Suu Kyi 'Wins Landslide' In Burma
Aung San Suu Kyi 'Wins Landslide' In Burma

Sky News – 1 hour 10 minutes ago

The National League for Democracy (NLD) party says the former political prisoner had led it to a landslide election victory.
If true, this would set the stage for Ms Suu Kyi to take public office for the first time and head a small opposition wing in the military-dominated parliament.

GVI Forex john bland 19:38 GMT April 1, 2012
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

China keeping us guessing on release times. Final HSBC PMI shows an economic contraction.

GVI Forex john bland 19:27 GMT April 1, 2012
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

-- ALERT Earlier --
China flash HSBC PMI March 2012
HSBC: 48.3 vs. n/a exp. vs. 49.6 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland 19:17 GMT April 1, 2012
Forex Trading- Whats Moving Markets

  • Key Items: CN- PMIs, JP- Tankan, Europe- EZ/UK/CH- PMIs. US- PMI.

  • Sunday saw the release of a much stronger than expected (53.1) official Chinese PMI for March. Early Monday sees the broader HSBC PMI.

  • Early Monday also sees the closely-followed quarterly Tankan Survey.

  • The latest German real retail sales data out today fell well short of expectations. German data remain mixed, but the economy is not falling out of bed

  • European finance ministers meeting in Copenhagen on Friday agreed to boost the euro-zone firewall to over EUR800 bln. The move marks another U-turn on the part of the Merkel administration, which recently dropped its opposition to increasing the fund. Commentators warn that even the new firewall may still be too small.

  • The EURUSD has been in a fairly steady climb for over two weeks now. We showed channel support at about 1.3275 today . 

  • The U.S.10-yr is opening at 2.18%, +2bps and the German bund is 1.81%. 0 bp. Bond markets are a barometer of market confidence.

Your thoughts, comments questions, additions, etc, needed and appreciated!

GVI Forex Blog 19:15 GMT April 1, 2012 Reply   
Key Items: CN- PMIs, JP- Tankan, Europe- EZ/UK/CH- PMIs. US- PMI. Sunday saw the release of a much stronger than expected (53.1) official Chinese PMI for March. Early Monday sees the broader HSBC PMI. Early Monday also sees the closely-followed quarterly Tankan Survey.

Forex Trading Talk 00:00 GMT 2 April 2012

GVI Forex john bland 18:54 GMT April 1, 2012

April 1 ( UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, April 2. Updated: Trading Events Calendar:

  • Far East: CN- HSBC PMI, JP- Tankan Survey.
  • Europe: CH- PMI, EZ- Mfg PMI, Unemployment. GB- Mfg PMI.
  • North America: US- Construction, Mfg PMI.

GVI Forex john bland 18:01 GMT April 1, 2012
USD Pivot Points
Latest Close Trading Points...
more chart points About Pivot Points

Refresh Forum MANUALLY to update table

GVI Forex john bland 17:21 GMT April 1, 2012
USD Moving Averages/Bollinger Bands
Latest Closing Trading Points...
many more chart points
About Moving Averages
About Bollinger Bands

Refresh Forum Manually to Update Table.

dc CB 16:51 GMT April 1, 2012
Got To Play To Win

As we have pointed out before, the ongoing market tension is so palpable it can be cut with a knife. As a reminder, institutional investors are now about as "all in" as they can be, spinning narratives about economic growth, housing bottom, and general improvement (despite all facts to the contrary), while waiting for one simple thing: to get retail investors buying again. Because unless the Fed or ECB pumps another trillion or so in new liquidity there is simply no new purchasing money.

Yet one group of investors has not been waiting to find out which way this temporary stalemate will end . That group is corporate insiders: the people who know the fundamental prospects of their companies better than anyone, and certainly better than the propaganda media or the always wrong Wall Street sell side analyst brigade. And as the chart demonstrates, insiders are now out and selling in record quantities.

Chart Of The Week: This Is Who Is Selling

Ind! Rafe... 15:46 GMT April 1, 2012
Entry: Target: Stop:

High Low
8275 8120
8263 8108

UK CH 15:07 GMT April 1, 2012

Chennai, where do you get that interpretation from? He said odds favor it going higher.

Chennai AMI 14:50 GMT April 1, 2012

U mean to say.... I should sell @ current level ?

ny jy 14:14 GMT April 1, 2012

It is a better than even bet to see above 83

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:01 GMT April 1, 2012
Thoughts From the Forex Trenches
For those who did not receive out email, see below for our monthly newsletter:

In the April issue

What is Holding Up the EURO?
Systems and Automated Trading
Fundamentals Talk: Bonds Awaken
Latest News From the Forex Industry

Click on the following link to access the newsletter

Thoughts From the Forex Trenches

Chennai AMI 12:00 GMT April 1, 2012
Any views on USD/JPY. Bought this on 82.6 of 2 lot.... still holding the position. how it'll go in coming sessions ? what should i do?

Haifa ac 10:34 GMT April 1, 2012
Weekend Trade Talk

The only one I know who became rich from Bollinger bands is John Bollinger.

Ind! Rafe... 06:12 GMT April 1, 2012
Entry: Target: Stop:


High Low
13480 13287
13456 13263

Boston eFX 04:05 GMT April 1, 2012
FOREX WEEK AHEAD: Euro Vulnerable To Possibly Dovish ECB
A resilient euro will be tested by the European Central Bank's policy decision next week, with any hints about about possible interest rate cuts likely to dent its recent advance.

When it renders its policy decision Wednesday, the ECB is ...

FOREX WEEK AHEAD: Euro Vulnerable To Possibly Dovish ECB (full story)

Boston eFX 03:05 GMT April 1, 2012
Speculators More Than Double Net Negative Yen Bets, To $10.2 Billion: CFTC
Speculative investors trading on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange more than doubled their net wagers against the yen as of March 27, government data showed Friday.

They held a net $10.2 billion in bets against the yen, or 67,622 contracts, marking ....

Speculators More Than Double Net Negative Yen Bets, To $10.2 Billion: CFTC (full story)

GVI Forex john bland 01:22 GMT April 1, 2012
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

Strange release time. Chinese Official PMI.Much stronger than forecast. AUD Positive?

GVI Forex john bland 01:05 GMT April 1, 2012
Trade Talk- Whats Moving Markets

-- Data --
China PMI March 2012
NBS: 53.1 vs. 50.5 exp. vs. 51.0 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Melbourne Qindex 00:20 GMT April 1, 2012
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.3548
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.3548

As shown in the monthly cycle directional indicator the market is likely to consolidate within 1.3140 - 1.3209 - 1.3399 - 1.3557. The weekly cycle pivot centres are positioning at 1.3140 - 1.3209 - 1.3557. A resistant barrier is expected at 1.3548 // 1.3557 and a supporting barrier is positioning at 1.3045 // 1.3087. The initial upper trading range is 1.3398 - 1.3508 and the lower trading range is 1.3045 - 1.3140. The initial trading range is likely to be 1.3318 - 1.3370.

EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts


Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
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A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
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Fri 31 Mar 2019
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AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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