Syd 23:10 GMT May 1, 2012
Bill Gross Warns of Another U.S. Downgrade
Reply
In a live interview on CNBC's Street Signs, Pimco's Bill Gross explains why he thinks the U.S. will "ultimately" deserve another credit rating downgrade if it doesn't take action
link
Swan Valley Trout 23:03 GMT May 1, 2012
USD/JPY
It looks like a nice Wolfe Wave and Demark pattern confirming the Butterfly. Hope I didn't leave anyone out e.g. Murrey et al. ;-))
Cheers
Swan Valley Trout 22:58 GMT May 1, 2012
USD/JPY
Reply
USD/JPY has decent odds of trading back above 82 on the leg up after the butterfly buy.
Cheers!
GVI Forex john bland 21:36 GMT May 1, 2012
Calendar
Reply
May 1, 2012 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, May 2.
Updated: Trading Events Calendar:
- Far East: CN- HSBC PMI.
- Europe: CH- Retail Sales, DE- Employment. EZ- Mfg PMI, unemployment.
- North America: US- Weekly Mortgages, ADP, Factory Orders, Weekly Crude.
Swan Valley Trout 20:48 GMT May 1, 2012
" Trade Ideas "
Lahore FM 20:43 GMT May 1, 2012
FM- your words are golden (err anti-golden in this case)
Agree with your very strong points. Your trading results will be even stronger!
Keep on keeping on- Cheers!
Lahore FM 20:43 GMT May 1, 2012
" Trade Ideas "
weak gold or strong usd or both is how its likely to shape up...technical picture that produced move from 815 to 2000 now argues for a bear move of similar strength..can;t say what will be happening on economic front.
an ecb easing can be a good start for a trigger mainly....
GVI Forex john bland 20:33 GMT May 1, 2012
Forex Trading- Whats Moving Markets
-
Key
Items: CN- HSBC PMI, DE- Employment, EZ- final PMI, US- DP Private
Jobs, Factory Orders, Weekly Crude..
-
Many markets
were closed for May Day observations Tuesday.
-
The RBA
surprised the markets with a larger than expected 50bp cut its target interest rate
to 3.75%. The cut was an indication that recent rate hikes had been
overdone. The AUDUSD traded sharply weaker.
-
U.K. Manufacturing PMI
data were a weaker than expected 50.5 vs. a downwardly revised 51.9
in March. EZ weakness is being felt in the U.K.
-
In the U.S.,
the Mfg PMI was a much stronger than expected 54.8 vs. 53.0
expected. The U.S.10-yr is 1.95%, +2bp. The EURUSD is steady, the key 20-day average is
1.3155. Most European bourses were closed. The FTSE is higher The 10-yr bund is 1.66%,
0 bp.
-
Key Asian
bourses closed mixed. The 10-yr JGB ended at 0.90%, 0bp..The
USDJPY is up. The key
USDJPY 20-day average is 81.12.
Your thoughts, comments questions, additions, etc, needed and greatly appreciated!
GVI Forex Blog 20:30 GMT May 1, 2012
Reply
AUD and NZD Outlooks: The main event to watch today is the China manufacturing PMI (HSBC version). NZ’s monthly commodity prices are dated but may be watched given the RBNZ’s attention to the commodity-NZD divergence.
Forex - Westpac Morning Report
GVI Forex Blog 20:27 GMT May 1, 2012
Reply
Key Items: CN- HSBC PMI, DE- Employment, EZ- final PMI, US- DP Private Jobs, Factory Orders, Weekly Crude..
Many markets were closed for May Day observations Tuesday.
Forex Trading Talk 00:00 GMT 2 May 2012
Syd 19:53 GMT May 1, 2012
There's More And More Evidence That Spain Is The New Greece
Reply
Nearly one Spaniard in four is unemployed, according to data released on Friday, as the country’s economic and financial predicament prompted a government minister to talk of a “crisis of enormous proportions”.The data from the National Statistics Institute showed 367,000 people lost their jobs in the first three months of the year.
Link
GVI Forex john bland 19:45 GMT May 1, 2012
FX Database
Reply
UPDATED. Global-View Free
FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel
spreadsheet format.
GVI Forex john bland 19:30 GMT May 1, 2012
Forex Trading- Whats Moving Markets
-- ADP Jobs --
The ADP Private Jobs Survey is due Wednesday at 13:15 GMT. These data recently have been improving as a forecaster of the Private Jobs sub-component of the Non-Farm Payrolls report due Friday. Street estimates are for a gain of +178K vs. +209K in March. Worth watching.
Maribor BS 19:07 GMT May 1, 2012
gold
hmk - thank you. It was long journey to approach I have now and still there are improvements to be made.
GVI Forex Blog 18:57 GMT May 1, 2012
Reply
18:55 GMT (Global-View.com) May 2- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is closing Tuesday in North America at .5139, +0.00% from its Monday close (-4.48% vs. end-2010).
Global-View D.O.G. Index May 1, 2012 U.S. Close
GVI Forex john bland 18:55 GMT May 1, 2012
Global-View D.O.G. Index
Reply
18:55 GMT (Global-View.com) May 2- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is
closing Tuesday in North America at .5139, +0.00% from its Monday close (-4.48% vs. end-2010).
As for its key subcomponents, the USD forex purchasing power index is .7725, +0.23% (-0.74% vs. end-2010). The forex
index is value is calculated against the top six trading currencies.
Against gold, the USD purchasing power index is worth .1731, +0.04% (-14.66% end-2010).
Against crude, it is at 0.4197, -1.29% (-13.94% end-2010). The D.O.G. Index base is 1.00. It is measured against levels
from the start of 1999, as of the initial launch of the euro (currency).
D.O.G. Homepage
Cambridge Joe 18:50 GMT May 1, 2012
sensing a theme ?
Reply
OT. This may be of interest ! :-))
http://youtu.be/pjkLf_X88WM
london hmk 18:38 GMT May 1, 2012
gold
Maribor BS 18:03 GMT May 1, 20 excellent, following your posts since one month looking the very best
Swan Valley Trout 18:30 GMT May 1, 2012
Veyron
Calgary mika 17:09 GMT May 1, 2012
Not sure if it is safe to answer that here.
However, the two tone deep red metallic & ebony metallic combination looks sick up close (and from afar)
GLGT!
Cheers!
JERUSALEM KB 18:04 GMT May 1, 2012
Forex Trading Plan
Lahore FM 17:05 GMT May 1, 2012 - My Profile
Forex Trading Plan: Reply
well played KB!!
==========
thanks FM
Maribor BS 18:03 GMT May 1, 2012
gold
Gold: for bears would wait for ~1665 to sell, for bulls 1658 and 1655 to buy. No trend expected for now.
hk ab 17:58 GMT May 1, 2012
aud/jpy
Reply
silly bank indicator showing mild bearish on aud/jpy.
short 1 more 82.90 before bed. see you all tomorrow.
hk ab 17:56 GMT May 1, 2012
gold
Reply
FM, it looks like no man land now under 1660....
Lahore FM 17:39 GMT May 1, 2012
gold
what are you talking Ami?
cheers Bro Rana!
Chennai AMI 17:36 GMT May 1, 2012
gold
Is this a long call?
the trend is bullish for gold and it may touch 1678 before it go down?
tokyo rana 17:35 GMT May 1, 2012
" Trade Ideas "
Lahore FM 17:22 dear brother,joining u sold oil gold s&p with same stops.......happy trade
Lahore FM 17:31 GMT May 1, 2012
gold
Ami around 1630 for part.
tokyo ra 17:25 GMT May 1, 2012
Forex Trading Plan
Sell S&P
Entry: 1405/1415added Target: open.... Stop: later
fasten ur seat belts now dji taken last high now very likely free fall...happy trade
Chennai AMI 17:25 GMT May 1, 2012
gold
FM: What is your target.
Lahore FM 17:22 GMT May 1, 2012
" Trade Ideas "
Sell Crude
Entry: 106.21 Target: 103.80 for half Stop: 106.85
sold
Lahore FM 17:21 GMT May 1, 2012
gold
thanx DC CB,lovely to see you about...we have seen moves at all hours ..all i need is a safe stop and some profit whenever it may come!
dc CB 17:11 GMT May 1, 2012
gold
floor at COMEX closes on the half hour. then it's all Globex until 8:30AM ET
Calgary mika 17:09 GMT May 1, 2012
Veyron
Reply
Trout is it true you have a Veyron, if so what color is it?
Lahore FM 17:04 GMT May 1, 2012
gold
let us see how stable..perhaps those who sold thousands of contract inside two mins earlier will sell again!
JERUSALEM KB 17:03 GMT May 1, 2012
Forex Trading Plan
Buy Crude
Entry: 103.9 Target: OPEN Stop: 104.20
Buy Crude
Entry: Target: Stop:
Buy Crude
Entry: 104.7 Target: 106.20-109.05 Stop: 103.50
Buy Crude
Entry: 104.7 Target: 106.20-109.05 Stop: 103.50
a buy stop at place
===================
all i need is a daily close above 105.03 and a 1hr close above 104.70 will push the price through 105 to challenge a close above it.
======================================
STILL HOLDING LONG FROM 104.70 AND 103.90 FOR OPEN TARGET WITH SAME OLD STOP AT 103.50 HOPE TO SEE A RESS. BREAKOUT
===========
out of one position from 104.70 with 170pips+ holding the one from 103.9 for open objective with protected stop
hk ab 16:22 GMT May 1, 2012
yen
Reply
Kwun, another worry is Raden's target of dlr/jpy at 80.89.......
Lahore FM 16:20 GMT May 1, 2012
" Trade Ideas "
Sell Gold
Entry: 1663.25 Target: Stop: 1667
sold
eu pat 16:07 GMT May 1, 2012
results
BS, can be, that this week will be potential higs...if French and then Greek vote...but if will be no suprise of votes move can continue due expecting cheap money...
Maribor BS 15:48 GMT May 1, 2012
results
Reply
Looking at trading results of one trading competition, traders made extraordinary gains today. Personaly had few very good day in my real account. In my experience, good days are followed by DOUBLE bad days, so I am thinking to lower my exposure in next days as to keep gains.
SP500 may these days reach quite important sell level in ~1418 area despite not being supported there in my view. I am wondering what will journalists invent as reason if things go south - on such nice, sunny May days.
Sell in May and go away?
GVI Forex 15:44 GMT May 1, 2012
Global Markets News
Reply
US equity indices are gaining ground on the first day of trading in the month of May, with the S&P500 hitting one-month highs. The April ISM Manufacturing index slightly topped expectations, rising to its highest level since last
TradeTheNews.com US Market Update
GVI Forex john bland 15:42 GMT May 1, 2012
Calendar
Reply
May 1, 2012 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, May 2.
Updated: Trading Events Calendar:
- Far East: CN- HSBC PMI.
- Europe: CH- Retail Sales, DE- Employment. EZ- Mfg PMI, unemployment.
- North America: US- Weekly Mortgages, ADP, Factory Orders, Weekly Crude.
Central Kwun 15:39 GMT May 1, 2012
aud/jpy
ab, maybe you are right, if your case is true, then Gold will drop too? see some support on 1660
dc CB 15:38 GMT May 1, 2012
*GREENSPAN SAYS EQUITY STIMULUS IS HELPING TO DRIVE ECONOMY
*GREENSPAN SAYS EQUITY STIMULUS IS UNDERESTIMATED
*GREENSPAN SAYS EQUITY IS COLLATERAL OF FINANCIAL SYSTEM
*GREENSPAN SAYS THERE IS A `HUGE FISCAL CLIFF'
*GREENSPAN SAYS `INTEREST RATES ARE LOW BEFORE THEY GO UP'
*GREENSPAN SAYS STOCKS ARE `CHEAP'
GREENSPAN SAYS GLOBAL SAVINGS PUSHED DOWN LONG TERM RATES
GREENSPAN SAYS HOUSING BOOM WASN'T AN AMERICAN PHENOMENON
GREENSPAN SAYS LOWERING RATES IN 2003 WAS RIGHT THING
GREENSPAN SAYS LOW FED RATES DIDN'T FUEL HOUSING BOOM
hk ab 15:38 GMT May 1, 2012
aud/jpy
Reply
needs more effort on dlr/jpy.......
singapore td 15:36 GMT May 1, 2012
buy cable
moved stop loss to entry on cable long, let's go higher!
matsudo rana 15:28 GMT May 1, 2012
aud/jpy
hk ab 15:21 iwill 84plus and 1.045/055
matsudo rana 15:25 GMT May 1, 2012
jpy
Reply
Buy USDCAD
Entry: 984 Target: open Stop: 977
bought more than 50% down from yesterdays high...will wait for aud to rise then short...happy trade
hk ab 15:21 GMT May 1, 2012
aud/jpy
Sell AUDJPY
Entry: 82.97 Target: 82.00 Stop: 83.13
showing commitment.
hk ab 15:19 GMT May 1, 2012
aud/jpy
Kwun, DOWJ can make a low later to setup for the key reversal for the month.......
look how difficult it breaks 83........
don't think of any chance higher than 83.30 at the moment.
GVI Forex Blog 15:17 GMT May 1, 2012
Reply
As we move from year 3 into year 4 of the Great Recession, history is showing a tremendous capacity to not just rhyme but repeat. Amnesia is everywhere; It is as if there was never any post-depression effort in the US (deepened the GD) to contain government spending and move preemptively against inflation, or similarly in Japan in the late 90’s.
It's Unemployment Moron (FXA)
Central Kwun 15:15 GMT May 1, 2012
aud/jpy
you should not short AUD/JPY at that level, pretty low actually. Indeed, even RBA cut 50bps, AUD still stay firm at 1.03 above, so the only reason is USD too weak. Good Luck
manila tom 15:12 GMT May 1, 2012
Analysis.
easy guys, we are still on Tuesday, not Friday
no need to fight, let the trades do the talking
Lahore FM 15:08 GMT May 1, 2012
" Trade Ideas "
Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:
Lahore FM 10:18:30 GMT - 04/30/2012
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3254 Target: Stop: 1.3282
--
stopped here too for minus 28 pips..quite unfortunate as sl was lowered and its day high too.
Lahore FM 15:07 GMT May 1, 2012
" Trade Ideas "
Sell S&P
Entry: Target: Stop:
Lahore FM 23:46:46 GMT - 04/30/2012
Sell S&P
Entry: 1395.00 june Target: 1350 Stop: 1406
sold!
--
stopped for minus ten points.
Swan Valley Trout 15:04 GMT May 1, 2012
Analysis.
Maribor BS 14:58 GMT May 1, 2012
Agree. I don't believe in any analysis tool either because everything works and nothing works, all at the same time.
IMHO results are driven by the techniques applied to the tools and the money management.
Best to you!
GLGT!
singapore td 15:04 GMT May 1, 2012
buy cable
maybe we have seen the low for cable for today! should recover from here
hk ab 15:01 GMT May 1, 2012
aud/jpy
Kwun, I am more afraid of dlr/jpy breaking 80.30 more than dowj up.......fwiw
hk ab 15:00 GMT May 1, 2012
a/j
Reply
oh no, bangster reads the post here.....
Central Kwun 14:59 GMT May 1, 2012
aud/jpy
ab, you Sell AUDJPY Entry: 82.90 Target: 82 Stop: 83.05? you will lose on this trade probably because DJI is up
Maribor BS 14:58 GMT May 1, 2012
Analysis.
hehe, is it luck or is it odds? Well, particular case is luck...
I do not believe in Fibonacci, Gann, Gartley, head and shoulders, butterlies and other...could not test these statisticaly. But, one MUST have rigid framework to help him make decisions.
hk ab 14:58 GMT May 1, 2012
aud/jpy
add 1 more at the same lvl 82.90.
dc CB 14:58 GMT May 1, 2012
Dow
Reply
made new high for the year.
hk ab 14:55 GMT May 1, 2012
aud/jpy
Reply
move stop to 83.13 (bid)
in case my bangster cheats again.
eu pat 14:54 GMT May 1, 2012
sentiment
Reply
ok, dont forget about risk on ...thats pity thet I missed my long gbp/ jpy...I prepare this position a few hours...one more to Raden: your advise about strong level was excellent...aussie is still lazy, but start to give us some fruits
happy trade to all
singapore td 14:53 GMT May 1, 2012
buy cable
bought cable 1.6213, stop under today's low, target 1.65-1.66
singapore td 14:51 GMT May 1, 2012
buy cable
Reply
time to buy cable above 1.62
UK Great White 14:45 GMT May 1, 2012
Analysis.
1.3340 & 1.6325/45 will be seen respectively on eur/usd and Cable.
Maribor BS 14:45 GMT May 1, 2012
gold
Gold downslide stopped...expect breakout of this range(1662,5) soon - as EUR moving up again, gold may too & down target not archived.
Enjoy!
Swan Valley Trout 14:44 GMT May 1, 2012
Analysis.
Maribor BS 14:38 GMT May 1, 2012
It's always luck. The nonexistent future is always unknowable.
The last thing we need are more fortune tellers. On Wall Street you'll find more than anywhere else on the planet.
So, like a casino, the best I can do is play the odds and take many bets.
Cheers!
Swan Valley Trout 14:39 GMT May 1, 2012
Analysis.
My plan is to keep on winning using winning money management strategies.
I generally don't have targets. They are not needed. Best to let the profits run and run and run until the market signals time to lock.
Stops are always maintained when the pattern breaks as stated before. If the butterfly broke I would exit with small R:R loss. Instead the butterfly has proven itself yet again. No need to argue otherwise, even if you've broken out with a serious case of the crabs.
Fly Fly butterfly!
Cheers!
Maribor BS 14:38 GMT May 1, 2012
Analysis.
Trout, despite excelent levels when opening positions, you had some luck with getting out of GBP.. :-)
Good trades!
hk ab 14:38 GMT May 1, 2012
gold
Sell AUDJPY
Entry: 82.90 Target: 82 Stop: 83.05(bid)
easy trade.
UK Great White 14:35 GMT May 1, 2012
Analysis.
Thank you!
Unlike you I have a plan a trade it. How many times have we seen you go all in once, twice, thrice, and when the market moves against you .. you repeat the process. You can't name a target or stop - for you have no plan and get too emotional. You're too happy on tiny moves. :)
dc CB 14:33 GMT May 1, 2012
gold
3 raids...all recovered. all about the same 20 to 30K contracts
hk ab 14:32 GMT May 1, 2012
gold
sell aud/jpy 82.90....
be prepared to add.
Swan Valley Trout 14:28 GMT May 1, 2012
Analysis.
"We've seen it before and it will keep happening ad aeternum; too many traders prefer to be right rather than make money - these traders are known as The Dinosaurs with egos bigger than life. They are too slow to react and feel the discomfort when things are not going as planned. Yet still the disease of being right is far too strong and before they know it they're out of the game. And some will return and then repeat the whole process all over again....
Only losers without a plan double and triple up. Those who trade on hope wake up to the ugly reality of a decimated account."
________________________________________________
Well said.
Cheers!
hk ab 14:28 GMT May 1, 2012
gold
Reply
CB, seems the crooks still want to strangle all the gold bugs.... but look, they seem to have difficulty at 1660 now......
btw, anyone has view on yen at the moment?
Maribor BS 14:26 GMT May 1, 2012
USDJPY, EURJPY
Reply
USDJPY and EURJPY reached their up targets and are now in sell mode; there is probably some time left for upside pressure to diminish, so- wait a bit and sell upticks. AUDJPY has room to rise, expected sell level is ~83,4.
Swan Valley Trout 14:23 GMT May 1, 2012
GBP/USD Butterfly
eu pat 14:21 GMT May 1, 2012
Luckily the hand was tipped early, benefitting USD pairs.
Cheers!
israel te 14:23 GMT May 1, 2012
GBP/USD Butterfly
thanks,
waiting to hit on the 1.3210 on eurusd for the option.
UK Great White 14:23 GMT May 1, 2012
Analysis.
Reply
Maintain longs on eur/usd and Cable and these moves presenting more opportunity to buy.
aud/usd: short from 1.0465 reversed to long at 1.0335, will add 1.0270.
usd/jpy and eur/jpy: unchanged since yesterday.
Swan Valley Trout 14:22 GMT May 1, 2012
GBP/USD Butterfly
Thank you too AMI.
Perhaps the macro picture is now in play.
Cheers!
eu pat 14:21 GMT May 1, 2012
GBP/USD Butterfly
for me was impressive bullish USD index...
Swan Valley Trout 14:21 GMT May 1, 2012
GBP/USD Butterfly
Thaks FM and te. Much appreciated.
Best to you!
tokyo rana 14:16 GMT May 1, 2012
jp
Reply
euraud and gbpaud shorts going very well today
Lahore FM 14:15 GMT May 1, 2012
GBP/USD Butterfly
Swan Valley Trout 13:24 GMT May 1, 2012
GBP/USD Butterfly: Reply
Add at 1.6239
--
well played over and again!
Lahore FM 14:15 GMT May 1, 2012
GBP/USD Butterfly
well played te..market moved just as you saw it!
Maribor BS 14:13 GMT May 1, 2012
gold
Gold behaving wonderfully-up test failed and if volatility on short term charts does not decrease significantly, expected (first) target is 1655(orherwise take your profit). AUD is holding well and EURAUD plummeted as expected.
Chennai AMI 14:12 GMT May 1, 2012
GBP/USD Butterfly
Great one!!!!!
when is reversal ?
Chennai AMI 14:06 GMT May 1, 2012
Gold
Reply
comment on gold please
matsudo rana 14:01 GMT May 1, 2012
stop losess
look at dji and jpn 225
eu pat 13:58 GMT May 1, 2012
stop losess
Reply
now are going eur and gbp in tandem...but see USA data in 3minutes
israel te 13:54 GMT May 1, 2012
GBP/USD Butterfly
i saw that, but cad is looking good to drop back down to 0.97-098 area in the next few sessions, got to take a chance on it.
got an option on gbp so this is a partial hedge.
thanks for the warinng though.....!
FL Ricky 13:47 GMT May 1, 2012
GBP/USD Butterfly
Trout your add at 1.6239 would that be equal to, greater or smaller than the 1.6237? Tia.
Lahore FM 13:44 GMT May 1, 2012
GBP/USD Butterfly
te gbpcad has taken turn on weeklies so may nto be such a bright short.have a look yourself!
Maribor BS 13:44 GMT May 1, 2012
GBP/USD Butterfly
My first sell level is @1,6248; EURGBP looks down, which may happen because of GBP strengh too.
israel te 13:23 GMT May 1, 2012
GBP/USD Butterfly
i got out @ 1.6210 on all amount
and want short GBPCAD instead @ 1.6040
looking to test 1.58 area (GBPCAD)
Swan Valley Trout 13:12 GMT May 1, 2012
USD Bullish
Reply
USD Index remains bullish on the H4 chart.
Happy Trade!
Maribor BS 13:12 GMT May 1, 2012
gold
Gold waiting to refuel with shorters to kick them off on ~1675 level or even 1682. If they survive enduring, they may be able to take some food out of the table @1653 and ~1625 levels. In case ~1675 is not reached shortly, mean up test failed and 1652 and lower is in the cards before up and down again. EUR is overbought against GBP and AUD and would expect it fall with gold in that case.
Good trading...
Swan Valley Trout 13:11 GMT May 1, 2012
GBP/USD Butterfly
Reply
GBP/USD looks to be kept bearish, this time from a butterfly at 1.6233. Kep on SOB
Cheers!
eu pat 12:53 GMT May 1, 2012
market
Reply
now important is whether eur/usd will continue to make paintful short squeeze. next important levels 1,3275 and 3295 still holding...I can only guess, how many big players folowed world situation bleed from 1.26+...there are a new "clients" for squeeza as well from level 1,30 after correction...cable has done at this matter enough, but eur not yet( there is the mainly amount)... market is immoral and want to do max pain...I consider short squeeze in my trade a long time and try to writte some alerts for bears when we are at low levels...but we all know, that in the future buyers at high levels (for example of equites) wil get margin calls...
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 12:23 GMT May 1, 2012
gold
Reply
1666.79 have been broken.
gold ...lets go !!
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 12:16 GMT May 1, 2012
aud/usd
Reply
I changed my stop to 1.0274 than before 1.0308. If real aud/usd move up I will change stop loss again back yo 1.0308 when I look is safe to place that stop at 1.0308.
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 12:11 GMT May 1, 2012
gbp/usd chart forcast
Reply
Seem gbp/usd will test 1.6302 to build consolidating range for hourly chart ( tend to make bull trap). If it work well thats indicate strong bearish trend will come.
Raden Mas
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 12:01 GMT May 1, 2012
Adelaide DB
Reply
Adelaide DB
Thanks for your comment. let me say I beg your pardon. I can not explain about my confirmator indicator that I named "my police confirmator". Once again I must say sorry.
My best regards
Raden Mas
dc CB 11:58 GMT May 1, 2012
$1.24 Billion Targeted Gold Slam Down Makes The Mainstream Press
Reply
To wit: "The CME Group Inc.’s Comex division recorded an unusually large transaction of 7,500 gold futures during one minute of trading at 8:31 a.m. EDT. The sale took out blocks of bids as large as 84 contracts in one fell swoop and cut prices down to $1,648.80 a troy ounce. The overall transaction was worth more than $1.24 billion
“No one who has the account size and the money to trade thousands of gold contracts would do it in one transaction, that’s just stupid,” said one trader. The collateral required to purchase 7,500 contracts is about $75.9 million in cash that the trader would have deposited with his broker.
Sorry Citi, but it was not a gold finger:
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 11:56 GMT May 1, 2012
aud/usd
not too worry my dear friend. sweet fruit will come soon.
you are walking on green light at the present. I hope it will work well.
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 11:55 GMT May 1, 2012
aud/usd
not too worry my friend. sweet fruit will come soon. you rae walking on the green light now. I hope will work well.
eu pat 11:44 GMT May 1, 2012
aud/usd
mainly is identified the sentiment...than we can trade quite safety....last days I have posted here calls for risk on trades....its still working ( with some corrections for buy a dips of course)...today was expecting corrections due RBA( it was expected) and wrong AUS and UK PMI...chinesse was good....AUD is trying to give us the first signal that buy position can give us some fruits...but still very unstable, needs more risk on
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 11:39 GMT May 1, 2012
aud/usd
Reply
Okay..okay...okay
I decided buy again aud/usd to get 1.0396 stop be placed at 1.0308 again. get position at 1.0328. still walk on green light.
Adelaide DB 11:25 GMT May 1, 2012
gbp/jpy
G'Day Raden Mas, impressive your equity growth is. Mine seems to go the other way. If I may be so bold, what is your comfirmator indicator that you use?
Danny
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 11:13 GMT May 1, 2012
gbp/jpy
Reply
I decided buy gbp/jpy 129.41 for tgt 130.19 with stop loss 128.76
walk on green light.
eu pat 10:56 GMT May 1, 2012
gbp/jpy
Thanks my friend for confirmation. you have really a high percentage of your levels...but I have some block in my head...simply I enter positions only at levels where I suppose that can move start to change. I cannot enter position when move started before and take advantage of it...I have to take this block out, but its difficult...
GVI Forex Jay 10:51 GMT May 1, 2012
Forex Weathermap - EURUSD
Reply
10:30 GMT (Global-View.com) May 1 -
Jay Meisler's Daily Forex Weathermap - EURUSD (current rate 1.3250)
Sunnnier but still mixed skies for the EURUSD as it trades within 1.32-1.33 for the second day in a row. While within this range, 1.3250 will set the intra-day tone. This follows yesterday's break of a 6-day pattern aroiund 1.32, normally a bullish signal but focus is more on cross unwindings (e.g. EURAUD, EURGBP, etc), which are giving support, than outright moves vs. the USD.
Jay Meisler's Daily Forex Weathermap - EURUSD
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 10:51 GMT May 1, 2012
just my other input
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through it, I know in where I am walking till now. I hope my friends here do like that to get better performance in trade.
Raden Mas
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 10:46 GMT May 1, 2012
aud/usd
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I wait the next pattern after small stop at 1.0308 be hit.
matsudo rana 10:43 GMT May 1, 2012
a/j
hk ab 10:39 dear friend,no idea i have long orders 82.05 stop 81.85....happy trade,
hk ab 10:39 GMT May 1, 2012
a/j
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rana, I know you have exited your longs, what max jump do you expect for this pair? Thanks.
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 10:22 GMT May 1, 2012
gbp/jpy
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have get green light to catch 130.21
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 10:16 GMT May 1, 2012
gbp/usd
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I decided buy gbp/usd, get 1.6205 because my police confirmator have given green light., stop be placed at 1.6160
GVI Forex john bland 10:12 GMT May 1, 2012
Forex Trading- Whats Moving Markets
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-
Key
Items: US- Mfg PMI, API.
-
Several markets
are closed for May Day observations today. The RBA surprised the
markets with a larger than expected 50bp cut its target interest rate
to 3.75%. The cut was an indication that recent rate cuts had been
overdone. The AUDUSD is sharply weaker.
-
U.K. Manufacturing PMI
data were a weaker than expected 50.5 vs. a downwardly revised 51.9
level for March. EZ weakness is being felt in the U.K. In the U.S.,
Mfg PMI and weekly API data are due.
-
The U.S.10-yr
is 1.92%, -3bp.
-
The EURUSD
is higher, the key 20-day average is 1.3154. Most European bourses are
closed. The FTSE is higher The 10-yr bund is 1.66%, 0 bp.
-
Key Asian
bourses closed mixed. The 10-yr JGB ended at 0.90%, 0bp..The
USDJPY is barely changed. The key
USDJPY 20-day average is 81.25.
Your thoughts, comments questions, additions, etc, needed and greatly appreciated!
hk ab 10:10 GMT May 1, 2012
mkt
thanks very much.
Sydney ACC 10:03 GMT May 1, 2012
AUD Interest Rates
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The Bank of Queensland became the first bank to announce a reduction to its variable mortgage rate this evening saying it will lower its rate by 35 basis points to 7.11 per cent, from Friday, May 11.
GVI Forex john bland 10:00 GMT May 1, 2012
mkt
Most of EZ is closed. UK is open. Normal session in U.S. and Canada.
GVI Forex Blog 09:58 GMT May 1, 2012
Reply
Key Items: US- Mfg PMI, API.
Several markets are closed for May Day observations today. The RBA surprised the markets with a larger than expected 50bp cut its target interest rate to 3.75%. The cut was an indication that recent rate cuts had been overdone.
Forex Trading Talk 10:00 GMT 1 May 2012
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 09:52 GMT May 1, 2012
just my input.
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to my friends here that not yet use trade control instrument please use it like me. its very usefull to know the future performance behavior.
hk ab 09:50 GMT May 1, 2012
mkt
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Is today Europe holiday?
how about US session?
GVI Forex john bland 09:49 GMT May 1, 2012
Global-View D.O.G. Index
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09:40 GMT (Global-View.com) May 1- The Global-View.com D.O.G. (Dollar, Oil, Gold) investor purchasing power index is
opening Tuesday in North America at .5141, +0.03% from its Monday close (-4.45% vs. end-2010).
As for its key subcomponents, the USD forex purchasing power index is .7706, +0.01% (-0.95% vs. end-2010). The forex
index is value is calculated against the top six trading currencies.
Against gold, the USD purchasing power index is worth .1733, +0.13% (-14.58% end-2010).
Against crude, it is at 0.4253, +0.03% (-12.79% end-2010). The D.O.G. Index base is 1.00. It is measured against levels
from the start of 1999, as of the initial launch of the euro (currency).
D.O.G. Homepage
matsudo rana 09:35 GMT May 1, 2012
jpy
out from audjpy long 15pips gain....
Beirut Mohammad 09:25 GMT May 1, 2012
How wrong can you be ?
i bet you tickled a few sheep with your little fancy in your lifetime....
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 09:13 GMT May 1, 2012
gbp/jpy and gbp/usd
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not to be hurry to decide buy. I still wait my police confirmator to action.
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 09:09 GMT May 1, 2012
gold will go to 1678?
yes, still hold, my stop have been changed to BEP. so now is no risk whatever will be.
eu pat 09:02 GMT May 1, 2012
gbp /jpy
It looks that I missed it... so I am too slowly ...
NZ OT 08:50 GMT May 1, 2012
How wrong can you be ?
Cambridge Joe 07:57 GMT May 1, 2012
Lol. I appreciate the humour injections! First the "Fact Hunt" joke (which tickled my fancy), now this - I'm sensing a theme...
Kaunas DP 08:48 GMT May 1, 2012
gbp/usd
Buy GBPUSD
Entry: 1.6195 Target: 1.6445 Stop: 1.61
long
IN SG 08:46 GMT May 1, 2012
gold will go to 1678?
Raden dear, Are you still holding your gold position from 1653 to touch 1678?
eu pat 08:45 GMT May 1, 2012
gbp /jpy
Reply
gbp/jpy...did I miss my plan buy position at 128.85 and your level 129.07 was correct or have I to wait?
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 08:37 GMT May 1, 2012
gbp/usd
Reply
get plus 96 pips from gbp/usd since sold 1.6291
wait my confirmator to decide buy or not after touched 1.6195
also wait eru/gbp touch 0.8212
Lahore FM 08:35 GMT May 1, 2012
chf
lolzzz ab you are a position hunter..you know the trade.suit yourself an entry where you feel comfortable!
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 08:34 GMT May 1, 2012
gbp/usd
Reply
1.6195 have done.
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 08:30 GMT May 1, 2012
gbp/usd
Reply
1.6195 almost be shown.
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 08:22 GMT May 1, 2012
gbpusd
AMI,
I beg your pardon. Chennai is in what country?. tq
t r 08:07 GMT May 1, 2012
yen
hk ab 07:42 dear friend,thanx for kind post...i hope u made pips in aud i was short 1.043/7 closed some 1.036/3.....happy trade
hk ab 08:06 GMT May 1, 2012
chf
Reply
FM, I am highly interested in that 2012 trade on chf.....
now it seems the chance opens up again.
but can we wait till .8999 seen.
tokyo rana 08:04 GMT May 1, 2012
aud/usd
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.327sold Target: open Stop: will add later
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 07:58 my friend nothing will go up all go down only jpy and fly short term u can buy....happy trade
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 07:58 GMT May 1, 2012
aud/usd
about aud/usd must be looked at 1.0386 maybe selling pressure come from there.
about gbp/jpy the key is 129.07. if be broken mean will go to 126.47/26, but if 129.07 not be broken mean will go to 130.02 and then down again from there.
Cambridge Joe 07:57 GMT May 1, 2012
How wrong can you be ?
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Foe all my hyperbole regarding the imminent crash / plummet of eurusd.... the facts speak for them selves.
The chart structure was screaming it, but.... the facts speak for themselves.
As an after thought. A test of true friendship. If you want to know who really IS your best friend, take your wife and your dog, put them both in the trunk / boot of your car.
Go for a drive, maybe around an hour or so.
Then, when you open the trunk / boot, see which one is most pleased to see you ! :-)
israel te 07:56 GMT May 1, 2012
GBP
thanks , for those in options:
selling a call on eurusd @ 1.33 for 1 week, buying 1.3220 put 1 week. zerocost.
Chennai AMI 07:52 GMT May 1, 2012
gbpusd
Where are you from CHennai ? your name ?
Maribor BS 07:52 GMT May 1, 2012
gold
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Large uncertainity where it will go(~1652 first lower target and 1672 upper target), but my guess downside power is easing(volatility is decreasing), so - observe a bit and buy with stop somewhere close below low(now 1661,65), target 1672.
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 07:49 GMT May 1, 2012
eur/usd be driven by eur/gbp now
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eur/gbp have broken 0.8168 mean welcome to 0.8209. up move this pairs will give energy for eur/usd to touch 1.3307-18 and then down.so if you have buy position please be hold, but if want to sell pls wait at my band.
chennai R 07:49 GMT May 1, 2012
gbpusd
Reply
Buy GBPUSD
Entry: 1.6210 Target: 1.6330 Stop: 1.617
buy
eu pat 07:46 GMT May 1, 2012
aud/usd
Hi Raden how are you?...I bought aud/usd as well before ( after closing short before RBA)...it s strong contrarian position and dangerous after RBA...0.25 points was counted by market before. part of another 0.25 probably was counted as well excepted in June.I still see carry trades...As I wrote on Friday: eur/ usd has not done enough strong short squeeze yet, gbp set up is still bullish (now at correction)...aud down , jpy wants s/losses..I have the waiting oder buy gbp /jpy at 12885
chennai R 07:46 GMT May 1, 2012
aud/usd
Buy AUDUSD
Entry: 1.03500 Target: 1.050 Stop: 1.0285
i would suggest you to modify your stop
hk ab 07:42 GMT May 1, 2012
yen
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btw, hats off to rana for all accurate view on yen pairs so far.
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 07:37 GMT May 1, 2012
GBP
Israel te ,
yes my friend. still hold sell gbp/usd. wait 1.6199 and 1.6110
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 07:34 GMT May 1, 2012
usd/jpy was enough 79.62
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Now usd/jpy is on the buying power area.79.60, 79.45, 79.35, 79.18.
I dont want loose this ship. I decided to bought 79.73, stop 79.10 for target 80.93
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 07:26 GMT May 1, 2012
aud/usd
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stop 1.0330 be hit.
tried buy again 1.0320 for 1.0423
stop 1.0308.my police confirmator have given green light.
israel te 07:21 GMT May 1, 2012
GBP
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are we still all holding our shorts?
PMI to come in soon, any upward suprise and this pelican flies..
i am lowering SL on all amount to 1.6255
Sydney ACC 07:19 GMT May 1, 2012
aud
The Bank acknowledges that the trading banks will retain part of the cut - probably 10 to 15 bps. In addition the budget surplus is likely to have a drag on growth therefore the Bank has offset this contraction with a further easing of monetary policy.
hk ab 07:19 GMT May 1, 2012
yen
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strange to see that BOJ has no reaction at all to see yen drops quite fast from 84 to 79.......
hk ab 07:05 GMT May 1, 2012
aud
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wow, 50 bps.....
looks like RBA wants to push aud lower rather than controlling the inflation.......
Saar KaL 05:29 GMT May 1, 2012
KaL's Trend and Level
audusd
should start buying some with dips
might see 1.05
tokyo rana 05:15 GMT May 1, 2012
jpy
Reply
Buy AUDJPY
Entry: 82.30 Target: 50/100pips Stop: 82
50% audusd shorts closed.....going long audjpy and short gbpaud....happy trade
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 04:51 GMT May 1, 2012
eur/gbp
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be carefull with 0.8168. see my chart before.
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 04:43 GMT May 1, 2012
aud/usd
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tgt 1.0375I placed stop 1.0330 (bid).
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 04:40 GMT May 1, 2012
aud/usd
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1.3032 is enough.
buy now with stop 1.0330 (bid)
Aus Bazz 04:40 GMT May 1, 2012
RBA CUT
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Trouble is this cut will not be fully passed on to the sectors that need it the most by the major banks.......so cut not a huge aud negative.....
AUS bazz 03:48 GMT May 1, 2012
aud
4.30 gmt RBA
Sydney ACC 03:47 GMT May 1, 2012
aud
in approx 45 minutes 2:30 AEST - go to RBA.gov.au
hk ab 03:41 GMT May 1, 2012
aud
Reply
when is the annoucement?
Beijing Laowen 03:27 GMT May 1, 2012
aud/usd
Raden Mas my friend, you are very much respected by me because of your consistent and stand-alone point of view regarding the market. However, today my view is that dollar is in a mood of SOB against other majors while YEN is in a BOD mood against others.
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 02:59 GMT May 1, 2012
eur/gbp
Lahore FM.
lol...just my cute word. dont keep in your mind pls
Syd 01:22 GMT May 1, 2012
Officials Watch for Terrorists With Body Bombs on US-Bound Planes
Reply
Medical experts say there is plenty of room in the stomach area of the body for surgically implanted explosives. "The surgeon would open the abdominal cavity and literally implant the explosive device in amongst the internal organs," explained Dr. Mark Melrose, a New York emergency medicine specialist.
abc
Lahore FM 01:06 GMT May 1, 2012
eur/gbp
Raden dear another "police confirmator " post and i might be frightened off the forum!
something that will be a first in a decade!
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 01:00 GMT May 1, 2012
eur/gbp
Reply
still hold buy position 0.8150 for 0.8209. stop loss 0.8216. will cut reverse at 0.8209 area after get green light.
Raden Mas
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 00:45 GMT May 1, 2012
aud/usd
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wait 1.0359 for buy and 1.0484 for sell after get green light from my confirmator
Raden Mas
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 00:27 GMT May 1, 2012
eur/usd
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no position in eur/usd at the current.
I have plan to sell new at 1.3307
Lahore FM 00:24 GMT May 1, 2012
" Trade Ideas "
Sell Gold
Entry: 1679 Target: Stop: 1688
an earlier short order amended higher.
HK [email protected] 00:21 GMT May 1, 2012
gold will go to 1678?
If you see gold at 1678, likely it will cross above 1680.
1675 is a strong Res. to breach, so 1678 will not be that easy to see.
Indonesia Solo Raden Mas 00:17 GMT May 1, 2012
gold will go to 1678?
Reply
still hold my bought 1653 for 1678. will cut reverse there after get green light from my police confirmator.
Raden Mas
Sydney ACC 00:11 GMT May 1, 2012
AUDInterest Rates
This is going to be a close call. There's no doubt the Bank will cut - the question is 25 basis points or 50. The inflation figures indicate they could go 50. Employment says 25.
There's also little doubt manufacturing, retail, hospitality and education are finding it tough.
Money is pouring into the country. Last figures I saw the Australian Government had issued AUD 220 billion in bonds, AUD 180 billion of that was held by overseas parties. Commodity prices have fallen, AUD/USD less so and analysts are suggesting there will be further falls,
Looking at term deposit rates the banks and cerdit unions are fighting for every last cent. You can get 5.5% for 90 day term deposits whereas the cash rate is only 4.25%. While the market has bet the Bank will cut today the term deposit yield curve has remained stationary. I've got no doubt the banks will retain a margin its possible therefore somewhere between 10 to 15 basis points will filter through making it reasonable to go 50. Conversely except during the height of the GFC the Bank hasn't moved by 50 in over a decade, moving to that degree could spook the market.
My guess for what its worth is 25bps cut now and a clear indication of another in June.
more chart
points
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