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Forex Forum Archive for 01/21/2013

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GVI Forex 23:04 GMT January 21, 2013
Forex News
Reply   
* Yen off lows vs USD & euro

* Markets wait to see if BOJ will take bold action

* BOJ decision could be announced around 0300-0530 GMT

FOREX NEWS - Yen selloff fades before high-stakes BOJ decision

GVI Forex john bland 22:09 GMT January 21, 2013
Calendar
Reply   


January 21, 2013 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, January 22. Updated: Trading Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: JP- BOJ, DE- ZEW, CA- Retail Sales, US- Existing Homes Sales.

  • Far East: JP- BOJ, Lead indicator.
  • Europe: De- ZEW Survey, GB- CBI Dist Trades.
  • North America: CA- Retail Sales. US- Existing Homes Sales, Richmond Fed.


Cambridge Joe 22:05 GMT January 21, 2013
Couldn't find their arse with both hands.

Mtl JP

It was intended as a light hearted, general interest, slightly humorous item and was plainly not a trade related post.

John and Jay can rest easy knowing that they have the Patron Saint of GVI to gate-keep / quality control posts.

Keep up the good work !

Over and OUT !



Mtl JP 21:55 GMT January 21, 2013
Couldn't find their arse with both hands.

Joe 21:39 totally useless to any trading idea, that is for sure.
-
Better start to think how to play the Cad on the two-punch Wednesday:
- BoC rate setting and
- BoC's quarterly outlook for domestic and global economies
(current market sentiment is UP for US and Asian economies with the exception of Japan, Down for Eu)

Cambridge Joe 21:39 GMT January 21, 2013
Couldn't find their arse with both hands.
Reply   
Bank Of Canada Notes Use 'Wrong' Maple Leaf

The Bank of Canada blundered by using a Norwegian maple leaf instead of the country's native variety on its new banknotes, plant experts have claimed.
Atlantic Canada Conservation Data Centre botanist Sean Blaney highlighted the difference between the leaf on new $20, $50 and $100 notes and the North American sugar maple.
He said: "It's really hard to deny the image is of a Norway maple."
He said the Norway maple has more lobes - or sections - has a more pointed outline than the sugar maple and the lobe that rises in the centre is shorter than the sugar maple's.

############

How useless is that..... still in a job ... for sure !

http://uk.news.yahoo.com/bank-canada-notes-wrong-maple-leaf-092619848.html

Mtl JP 21:22 GMT January 21, 2013
Major BOJ policy decisions awaited. Busy calendar picks up on Tuesday

IF there will be a reaction (regardless of expressing disappointment or enthusiasm with BoJ) which pony do you expect to do the bigger bucking:
euryen or
dlryen ?

GVI Forex john bland 21:16 GMT January 21, 2013
Major BOJ policy decisions awaited. Busy calendar picks up on Tuesday
Reply   

  • HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: JP- BOJ, DE- ZEW, CA- Retail Sales, US- Existing Homes Sales
  • The Monday U.S. holiday saw subdued activity. USDJPY fell through the 90.00 line.  (90.25 high). EURUSD is about steady.
  • Speculation abounds about what the BOJ will announce tomorrow. Press reports suggest the central bank will raise its inflation target to 2.00% from 1.00% and increase its asset purchases by  JPY10 tln. Chatter about a more aggessive program has mounted, but usually the BOJ does not like to surprise the markets. There is a risk that traders could be disappointed by the outcome of the meeting.
  • BOJ Governor Shirakawa's term runs out in March and PM Abe has said he is klooking for a successor who will be strongly committed  to boosting  economic growth. 
  • The key EURUSD 20-day moving average is 1.3213. the 10-yr bund is 1.59%, 0 bp.  European bourses are mixed. U.S. shares are closed. The U.S. 10-yr  is 1.84%, 0bp.
  • Key Far East bourses were mixed. The 10-yr JGB is 0.74% -1bp. the USDJPY 20-day average is 87.52. EURJPY 20-day average is 115.66.

GVI Forex Blog 21:14 GMT January 21, 2013 Reply   
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: JP- BOJ, DE- ZEW, CA- Retail Sales, US- Existing Homes Sales The Monday U.S. holiday subdued activity. USDJPY fell through the 90.00 line. (90.25 high). EURUSD is about steady.

Major BOJ policy decisions awaited. Busy calendar picks up on Tuesday

GVI Forex Blog 19:47 GMT January 21, 2013 Reply   
AUD and NZD Outlooks: Market interest will be focussed on the Japanese central bank’s policy announcement (around midday Tokyo time), any failure to match heightened market expectations regarding fresh stimulus likely to boost the JPY and hurt the AUD and NZD.

Forex - Morning Report

GVI Forex Free FX Database 19:37 GMT January 21, 2013
Chart Points
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

Nabat 18:32 GMT January 21, 2013
gold
Reply   
Oh man , all check netdania , how one gold share being sold and bought repeatedly, that man is so lucky, been for half an hour doing so

jerusalem kb 15:55 GMT January 21, 2013
Trading the sup & ress. levels



GBPAUD
Entry: Target: Stop:

MJS HCMC 01:03:07 GMT - 01/21/2013
Good morning KB Jerusalem. Could you kindly provide a chart for your trade entry? Always appreciate your common sense approach and have profited greatly from some of your calls. GL/GT

kl fs 15:32 GMT January 21, 2013
Gold 1693.40

[email protected], you have been cheering gold bears for a few days, nothing happens yet...guess we all talk our books

HK [email protected] 15:24 GMT January 21, 2013
Gold 1693.40

.
Gold is tired, and trading gold looks like milling water.

$/Yen, the bears are trying all efforts to prevent a daily key reversal on the chart, which means they are doubtful if the BOJ announcement tomorrow is sufficient to weaken the yen more: Fear of Tech.

Central Kwun 14:06 GMT January 21, 2013
Gold 1693.40

Buy Gold
Entry: 1690.5 Target: Stop: 1680

still hold above 1686, little reaction. indeed, already set stop loss, so no worry, if hit, then long again

hk ab 14:04 GMT January 21, 2013
Gold 1693.40

Kwun, you like the news or not?

Central Kwun 13:56 GMT January 21, 2013
Gold 1693.40

Buy Gold
Entry: 1690.5 Target: Stop: 1680

Central Kwun 08:08 GMT January 21, 2013
Gold 1693.40 : Reply
Buy Gold
Entry: 1690.5 Target: Stop: 1680

Buy Now

india increase gold imported tax from 4 to 6%

hk ab 13:08 GMT January 21, 2013
gold
Reply   
lots of hrly doji.....maybe a spike to 1693.4 for wfakhoury.

HK [email protected] 12:43 GMT January 21, 2013
USD/JPY
Reply   
.
Threaten a daily key reversal, unless anyone will come the last moment to prop it.
So possibly it is a sell heavily before the close, if looks properly.

hk ab 12:36 GMT January 21, 2013
e/j
Reply   
real test should be @ 118.xx...... if you bought frmo 104-5 area, will you take profit?

hk ab 12:34 GMT January 21, 2013
gold
Reply   
wfakhoury target has a tendancy of being touched after a $10 fall or a flash dive after being touched briefly....

but if your margin is not that high, people who feel r/r doesn't matter, buy here isn't a problem.

dlrjpy, eur/jpy are funnier.....

US is close today.

GVI Forex john bland 11:32 GMT January 21, 2013
Historic BOJ Policy Decisions Tuesday. USDJPY 90 and higher risk?
Reply   

  • HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: US- HOLIDAY
  • The USDJPY has fallen below the 90.00 line as of this hour  (90.25 overnight high). EURUSD is about steady. Speculation abounds about what the BOJ will announce tomorrow. Press reports suggest the central bank will raise its inflation target to 2.00% from 1.00% and increase its asset purchase s by  JPY10 tln. Chatter about a more aggessive program has mounted, but usually the BOJ does not like to surprise the markets. There is a risk that traders will be disappointed by the outcome of the meeting.
  • 10-yr JGB (Japnese Government Bond) yields eased  modestly  to .74% -1bp.
  • BOJ Governor Shirakawa's term runs out in March and PM Abe has said he is klooking for a successor who will be strongly committed  to boosting  economic growth. 
  • The key EURUSD 20-day moving average is 1.3213. the 10-yr bund is 1.59%, +3 bp.  European bourses are mixed. U.S. shares are closed. The U.S. 10-yr  is 1.84%, 0bp.
  • Key Far East bourses were mixed. The 10-yr JGB is 0.74% -1bp. the USDJPY 20-day average is 87.52. EURJPY 20-day average is 115.66.

Port Louis YH 10:31 GMT January 21, 2013
Gold 1693.40

Kwun,
wfakhoury mentioned 1693.40, so I suppose that's his target ?

Your target is blank... but above you put same figure of 1693.40 as wfakhoury, no?

So what is your target?

Karachi 10:27 GMT January 21, 2013
Todays Technicals
Reply   
Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

21st January 2013 TECHNICALS

GOLD
Resistance Levels:
$ 1693.6 - $ 1700.3 - $ 1705.4
SUPPORT LEVELS:
$ 1681.8 - $ 1676.7 - $ 1670.0
STRATEGY:
Range Bound
Might trade in the range of $1682-$1698. Upside penetration might call for $1705, while a downward breakage might call for $1675.

Silver
Resistance Levels:
$ 32.15 - $ 32.38 - $ 32.62
SUPPORT LEVELS:
$ 31.68 - $ 31.44 - $ 31.21
STRATEGY:
Range Bound
Might trade in the range of $31.20-$32.20. Upside penetration might call for $32.70, while a downward breakage might call for $30.80.

Crude Oil
Resistance Levels:
$ 96.33 - $ 96.61 - $ 97.10
SUPPORT LEVELS:
$ 95.56 - $ 95.07 - $ 94.79
STRATEGY:
Sell on Strength
Sell below $ 95.60, using a stop loss of $95.80, targeting $94.00

Central Kwun 10:19 GMT January 21, 2013
Gold 1693.40

Buy Gold
Entry: 1690.5 Target: Stop: 1680

Port Louis YH 10:07 GMT January 21, 2013
Gold 1693.40 : Reply
Buy Gold
Entry: 1690 Target: 1693.40 Stop: 1680

Kwun,
I can't get it how you can trade successfully with a S/L which is 3 times your profit target?

Did i say my target is 1693.40?

Port Louis YH 10:07 GMT January 21, 2013
Gold 1693.40

Buy Gold
Entry: 1690 Target: 1693.40 Stop: 1680

Kwun,
I can't get it how you can trade successfully with a S/L which is 3 times your profit target?

Central Kwun 08:08 GMT January 21, 2013
Gold 1693.40

Buy Gold
Entry: 1690.5 Target: Stop: 1680

Buy Now

Amman wfakhoury 08:06 GMT January 21, 2013
Gold 1693.40
Reply   
1693.40 confirmed

GVI Forex Blog 06:53 GMT January 21, 2013 Reply   
***Economic Data*** - (JP) JAPAN DEC FINAL MACHINE TOOL ORDERS Y/Y: -27.5% V -27.5% PRELIM - (UK) UK JAN RIGHTMOVE HOUSE PRICES M/M: +0.2% V -3.3% PRIOR (first rise in three months); Y/Y: 2.4% V 1.4%

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: USD/JPY retreats below ¥89.50 on the eve of the BOJ decision as differences with the govt remain - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 06:36 GMT January 21, 2013 Reply   
Dollar-Swiss had a positive week as it strengthened along with the Euro thereby breaking

FX Thoughts for the day : 21-Jan-2013 -0634 GMT

GVI Forex Blog 03:36 GMT January 21, 2013 Reply   
Dow Jones (13649.70, +0.39%) has moved up further towards its 13700 resistance which will now be a crucial

Morning Briefing : 21-Jan-2013 -0333 GMT

hk ab 01:57 GMT January 21, 2013
dlr/jpy

It's like a rubber band.... US is having holiday today, fwiw. So Fed can't help in case of vigorous movement.

HK [email protected] 01:51 GMT January 21, 2013
dlr/jpy

.
hk ab 01:43 GMT

HK has no gold mines. If China didn't buy this gold, better you don't buy it.

Any gold remained in the vaults at this level? Hmmm suspicious to say the least.

No gold? hehe until the next shipment arrives.

HK [email protected] 01:45 GMT January 21, 2013
BOJ executives lured and enticed traders to sell yen.
Reply   
.
BOJ likely bought cheapy Yens, just to sell it later to the fleeing traders.

Nice profits from market operations, just by words power.

NY JM 01:44 GMT January 21, 2013
dlr/jpy

Are you basing it on a

- overcrowded trade
- BoJ disappointment or buy the rumor sell the fact reaction
- Tensions with China
- All of the above?

hk ab 01:43 GMT January 21, 2013
dlr/jpy

RF, btw, I heard that the Main branch of a bank in HK still have physical gold available, but I think it will soon run out its reserve soon.

hk ab 01:37 GMT January 21, 2013
dlr/jpy
Reply   
I still remember that 10 fig daily move 11 yrs ago... when I was still a novice trader........

Can history repeat?

Poor that I was not a trader in that famous daily drop of dlrjpy in 1998!

HK [email protected] 01:36 GMT January 21, 2013
USD/YEN
Reply   
.
I think a 700pips journey downward has begun.

This what happens with an overcrowded trade.

HK [email protected] 01:30 GMT January 21, 2013
WAR IS CONFIRMED.
Reply   
.
"I shall return"

Latest news: The coffin of Gen. Douglas MacArthur has been taken out from his grave.

How did he said that? "Old soldiers never die; they just fade away" :)

hk ab 01:25 GMT January 21, 2013
e/j
Reply   
we all know yen and hope that 110 will not be a too big surprise for many here.

hk ab 01:23 GMT January 21, 2013
Germany
Reply   
Is it having election now? why no one mentioned anything?

MJS HCMC 01:18 GMT January 21, 2013
5 New Reasons China And Japan May Go To War Over Disputed Islands

Well recieved theory. However I would like to consider just for a moment that repatriation and frozen assets would cause a liquidity crises and send the CB's into the metals once again. Inconspicuous inflation seems to not have the same effect on the price of gold as it did before, but lest we should not forget, Gold is by far a more implicit form of safety than the dollar going forward. The trend of the dollar is down, and Gold it is once in a century strong.

hk ab 01:17 GMT January 21, 2013
yen
Reply   
RF, war means Chinese pushes the dlr/jpy down.

hk ab 01:16 GMT January 21, 2013
gold
Reply   
LAst Thur, everyone was watching gold move and other pairs froze.

Today everyone is watching dlr/jpy moves and other pairs freeze.

HK [email protected] 01:12 GMT January 21, 2013
War is no less destructive than earthquake.
Reply   
.

Sounds like a paradox? Not!

Earthquake>>>Yen repatriation

War(same)>>> Yen repatriation.

War equals strong Yen:)

HK [email protected] 01:08 GMT January 21, 2013
5 New Reasons China And Japan May Go To War Over Disputed Islands

.
Liquidity shortage in case assets are frozen will force selling shares bonds and gold too.
If QE(US+japan) this time is not helping gold too much, how much more if China assets will be frozen by the US.

The US will not go to war, but will use debt as a weapon.

MJS HCMC 01:06 GMT January 21, 2013
Commitment of Traders Report

Thank you John. Would you say that COT readings of gold holding steady are neutral to bullish in the near term or would you expect a serious pullback before the COT of larger traders took on larger positions?

MJS HCMC 01:03 GMT January 21, 2013
Trading the sup & ress. levels

Good morning KB Jerusalem. Could you kindly provide a chart for your trade entry? Always appreciate your common sense approach and have profited greatly from some of your calls. GL/GT

MJS HCMC 01:00 GMT January 21, 2013
5 New Reasons China And Japan May Go To War Over Disputed Islands

Buy Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

Good morning to your incessant panic mongering thoughts. Why does every geo-political event in Asia lead you to assume the price of gold will collapse? Please, in your well established sense of speculative reasoning, help us humble traders understand how the supply of gold will become unleashed by the Chinese mobilizing troops on some tiny island off the coast of Japanese waters?

Sincerely,

The voice in your other head

HK [email protected] 00:49 GMT January 21, 2013
5 New Reasons China And Japan May Go To War Over Disputed Islands

.
China -Japan war?
Nonsense and fantasies of speculators.
There will be no war!
But China will keep on harassing the Japanese so they will not try to develop the area.

And suppose China will just land 50000 soldiers in a short time on those islands?

The best Japan can do is to protest it to the UN.

The US will freeze all Chinese assets and so other nations will join, the result of which is that gold will drop sharply few hundreds $, and the USD will become King of all currencies(no need anymore to pay China a penny, and solve the cliff problems:).

Mtl JP 00:45 GMT January 21, 2013
5 New Reasons China And Japan May Go To War Over Disputed Islands

Syd 21:59 bullets, bombs or trade barrier retaliation are all just various degrees of diplomacy

Syd 00:26 GMT January 21, 2013
- Source TradeTheNews.com
Reply   
(CN) China Foreign Ministry spokesman Qin Gang: "strongly dissatisfied with and resolutely opposes" comments made by US State Sec Clinton warning against unilateral actions on disputed Senkaku islands- Says: "We urge the US side to treat the issue of the Diaoyu islands with a responsible attitude." - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 00:14 GMT January 21, 2013
Forex News
Reply   
* Yen plumbs fresh 2-1/2 year low vs USD

* Markets position for aggressive action from BOJ this week

* Sterling weighed by weak UK retail sales data

FOREX NEWS - Yen sees no reprieve as BOJ meeting looms

 




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