2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 January February March April May June July August September October November December 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
Forex Forum Archive for 11/04/2013
Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.
hk ab 22:30 GMT November 4, 2013
gold
Reply
too busy.
Quick msg: Extreme Weak XAG and Crude not good for XAU.
GL for those shorts, GL.
Paris ib 21:45 GMT November 4, 2013
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data
Whooaaaa nh... 24% of GDP? Nice one. Still the market is fixated on the taper issue, totally fixated. Other issues may eventually get noticed but probably not this week.
Livingston nh 21:30 GMT November 4, 2013
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data
IB - the Fed controls the TAPER - ONLY // a BIG deal but Health Care is about to expand to 24% of GDP - this increase exceeds the US debt / GDP increase that the elites/experts have worried about
The Good News is its locally provided - the Bad News is absent growth other parts of GDP will be lower
The debt limit/budget shenangins pale in comparison - those two are mere "so what? who cares?" issues
HK RF@ 21:05 GMT November 4, 2013
USD/CAD
Almost hit at 1.04250(1.04240) my suggested target for Y.day.
(HK RF@ 14:42 GMT 11/04/2013)
It may move back below 1.0400, but regarding the O.S. situation, it is a trade for those who like to play with fire:)
Paris ib 20:15 GMT November 4, 2013
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data
Fabulous, that's even worse. I count five press conferences: January, April, June, September and December. What a complete farce this is though. Taper, no taper, if so how much and when.... all data dependent and dependent on data that hasn't got a hope of being met in the short term and yet here we are all hanging off every little nuance.
dc CB 20:13 GMT November 4, 2013
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data
GVI Forex john 19:08 GMT
It's always worth taking a look at the POMO schedule for the week. Note that this week has money coming in almost every day, large today and vely vely large on Fri.
also note the chart posted.
This "Bull" market has plenty to go percentagewise and timewise...esp with the 85Bil/mo added. POMO Sched for Nov
GVI Forex john 20:08 GMT November 4, 2013
Eurozone Final PMI mfg data mixed. Active week in store
Reply
Spot
|
20d
avg
|
10-yr
|
Equities
|
EURUSD
1.3510
|
1.3642
|
U.S.
2.59% -2bp
|
North
America:Mixed
|
EURJPY
133.26
|
133.74
|
Bund
1.69% 0bp
|
DE:
DAX: Higher
|
GBPUSD
1.5962
|
1.6065
|
GILT
2.64% -2bp
|
GB:
FTSE: higher
|
| USDJPY
98.63 |
98.03
|
JGB
0.60% 0bp |
Asia
Close Lower
|
HIGH
IMPACT ITEMS: AU- RBA Decision, GB- Service PMI, EZ- PPI, US-
Service PMI
- The
tone of the USD has decisively improved now that the EURUSD is
traded below
its 20-day moving average (1.3645). Its psychological tipping point is
1.3500 Based on
the data we have been seeing recently, we feel the odds of a Fed
tapering in
December are small. The next probable opportunity for a Fed tapering
would be the March 2014 Fed meeting.
- Revisions to Eurozone October flash PMI reports have been
modest today. The data suggest the performance of the EZ economy
remains sluggish. See the FOREX FORUM
for latest key data and charts as they are released.
- Thiursday features a European Central Bank
meeting. It is logical to assume that the EURUSD will be under pressure
ahead of the meeting. We see no reason to cut the refi rate as its
impact would only be mildly psychological. Somehow I think the
preference at the ECB might be for "extraordinary actions" of some
type. The ECB faces a real dilemma with the Southern tier of Europe
virtually in a depression. Germany has started to slow as well..
- The data schedule for the week sees a number of PMI
releases. Furthermore, the Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of England
and
European Central Bank will announce policy decisions. Another
major event will be the release of
October U.S. Employment data on Friday. Canadian October Employment
data are due for release on that session as well.
- For additional key items and more detail (dates, times,
data estimates), be sure to reference our Economic
Calendar . See the FOREX FORUM
for latest key data and charts as they are released.
GVI Forex john 20:07 GMT November 4, 2013
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data
More importantly, many feel the Fed will only make major decisions at meetings when there is a press conference. There are only four such meetings per year.
GVI Forex Blog 20:04 GMT November 4, 2013
Reply
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: AU- RBA Decision, GB- Service PMI, EZ- PPI, US- Service PMI
The tone of the USD has decisively improved now that the EURUSD is traded below its 20-day moving average (1.3645). Its psychological tipping point is 1.3500 Based on the data we have been seeing recently, we feel the odds of a Fed tapering in December are small. The next probable opportunity for a Fed tapering would be the March 2014 Fed meeting.
Eurozone Final PMI mfg data mixed. Active week in store
Paris ib 19:58 GMT November 4, 2013
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data
It seems to me John that the market has been absolutely hypnotized by the Taper Issue. The data no longer matters per se. All that matters is how the data is perceived to impact the FED's decision to taper (or not) and when and by how much. The focus has narrowed to a pin censored. It's almost silly. So much for 'transparency' and 'communication'. All we get to do is second guess the FED and all they do is hint and tease. I don't see how we can get out of this until we have some real clarity and possible some action. What have we got? A FOMC in December and then when? March? Good grief.
GVI Forex john 19:08 GMT November 4, 2013
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data
I have no good explanation for why forex trading has been so slow today. I understand that volume in equity trading is exceptionally slow as well. All I know is that this usually does not last for long. This is shaping up to be an active week on the data front with the pressure mounting on the ECB to do something about the weak European economy on Thursday. Many are looking for a lousy U.S. employment reading on Friday.
GVI Forex john 16:28 GMT November 4, 2013
Fixed Income Snapshot
Late in European trading hours, prices in prime fixed income markets are mixed to higher. Global equities are now mixed. Peripheral bond prices are lower.
GVI Forex Blog 15:54 GMT November 4, 2013
Reply
November 4. 2013 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, Novemeber 5. Updated: Trading Events Calendar
HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: AU- RBA Decision, GB- Service PMI, EZ- PPI, US- Service PMI
Far East: AU- PBA Decision
GVI Forex Data Outlook for November 5, 2013
GVI Forex john 15:52 GMT November 4, 2013
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data
Reply
November 4. 2013 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, Novemeber 5.
Updated: Trading Events Calendar
HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: AU- RBA Decision, GB- Service PMI, EZ- PPI, US- Service PMI
- Far East: AU- PBA Decision
- Europe: CH- CPI. GB- Service PMI, EZ- PPI.
- North America: US- Service PMI, API.
GVI Forex john 14:49 GMT November 4, 2013
Factory Orders
August and September data due to be released (due to shutdown).
HK RF@ 14:48 GMT November 4, 2013
HE SAID...Let's see
Reply
Uncle Sam�s Image May Have Taken a Hit But Corporate America Is Stronger Than Ever: Smith HE SAID
GVI Forex john 14:43 GMT November 4, 2013
Looking Ahead
be the most likely outcome of its meeting. The PMI Service report on Tuesday could impact its thinking. The quarterly BOE inflation report is on November 13. We should hear a lot about their current thinking on that day. The BOE has now been locked into a pattern where they only make major policy decisions on the months when there is an inflation report.
This pattern may be developing now at the Fed. Many assume the Fed can only make major policy decisions on dates where there is a press conference scheduled. We don't think that was their intention, but...
HK RF@ 14:42 GMT November 4, 2013
USD/CAD
Reply
Likely heading to 1.04250 Res.
GVI Forex john 14:27 GMT November 4, 2013
Looking Ahead
Reply
Thursday features a European Central Bank meeting. It is logical to assume that the EURUSD will be under pressure ahead of the meeting. We see no reason to cut the refi rate as its impact would only be mildly psychological. Somehow I think the preference at the ECB might be for "extraordinary actions" of some type. The ECB faces a real dilemma with the Southern tier of Europe virtually in a depression. Germany has started to slow as well..
ottawa ottawa 13:30 GMT November 4, 2013
Eur/Usd short
too bad you closed all short positions...1.3387 will be breached.
hk ab 13:03 GMT November 4, 2013
gold
Reply
LOL many must be wondering why gold dropped to 1306 and bounce to 1322 now.....
close half of long from 1307 at 1321. keep rest with some trail stop.........
Days of wonder....
HK RF@ 12:42 GMT November 4, 2013
USD/CAD may hit the low of the day.
The only fundamental I see at the moment pressurizing the USD/CAD is the almost equal bulls/bears ratio in the cot report, otherwise no obvious one.
But for the time USD/CAD is a bit O.S.
One needs Eur to rise, or any data, to add to the downtrend of the pair.
Brock Thor 11:09 GMT November 4, 2013
Eur/Usd short
Reply
Closed all positions.
Eur/Usd took profit 195 pips.
HK RF@ 11:02 GMT November 4, 2013
EUR
Reply
Heavily O.B. by Specs, so price rise could be a very big problem this time.
GVI Forex john 09:43 GMT November 4, 2013
Eurozone Final PMI mfg data mixed. Active week in store
Reply
Spot
|
20d
avg
|
10-yr
|
Equities
|
EURUSD
1.3507
|
1.3645
|
U.S.
2.61% -1bp
|
North
America:Higher
|
EURJPY
133.30
|
133.66
|
Bund
1.69% 0bp
|
DE:
DAX: Higher
|
GBPUSD
1.5949
|
1.6072
|
GILT
2.65% -1bp
|
GB:
FTSE: higher
|
| USDJPY
98.69 |
97.95
|
JGB
0.60% 0bp |
Asia
Close Lower
|
HIGH
IMPACT ITEMS: US- Factory Orders
- The
tone of the USD has decisively improved now that the EURUSD is
traded below
its 20-day moving average (1.3645). Its psychological tipping point is
1.3500 Based on
the data we have been seeing recently, we feel the odds of a Fed
tapering in
December are small. The next probable opportunity for a Fed tapering
would be the March 2014 Fed meeting.
- Revisions to Eurozone October flash PMI reports have been
modest today. The data suggest the performance of the EZ economy
remains sluggish. See the FOREX FORUM
for latest key data and charts as they are released.
- This week features a European Central Bank
meeting on Thursday. No rate changes are expected, but we must assume
their policy decision will be data-dependent. ECB President recently
has expressed concerns about the weakness of the Eurozone economy.
Furthermore, the recent strength of the EUR has not been helpful.
Additional unconventional easing measures are not out of the realm of
possible actions.
- The data schedule for the week sees a number of PMI
releases. Furthermore, the Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of England
and
European Central Bank will announce policy decisions. Another
major event will be the release of
October U.S. Employment data on Friday. Canadian October Employment
data are due for release on that session as well.
- For additional key items and more detail (dates, times,
data estimates), be sure to reference our Economic
Calendar . See the FOREX FORUM
for latest key data and charts as they are released.
GVI Forex Blog 09:43 GMT November 4, 2013
Reply
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: US- Factory Orders
The tone of the USD has decisively improved now that the EURUSD is traded below its 20-day moving average (1.3645). Its psychological tipping point is 1.3500 Based on the data we have been seeing recently, we feel the odds of a Fed tapering in December are small. The next probable opportunity for a Fed tapering would be the March 2014 Fed meeting.
Eurozone Final PMI mfg data mixed. Active week in store
GVI Forex john 09:14 GMT November 4, 2013
Fixed Income Snapshot
Reply
Early in European trading hours, prices in prime fixed income markets are mixed to steady. Global equities are now mixed to higher. Peripheral bond prices are mixed.
GVI Forex john 09:12 GMT November 4, 2013
Eurozone Final PMIs
EZ, GE and FR final Mfg PMI. Germany Revised up. France down from flash estimate....
GVI Forex john 09:10 GMT November 4, 2013
Eurozone Final PMIs
EZ final Mfg PMI. unrevised, basically flat
Hong Kong AceTrader 07:49 GMT November 4, 2013
AceTrader Nov 4: Daily Outlook on Asian Exotic USD/IDR
Reply
USD/IDR DAILY OUTLOOK - 11370
04 Nov 2013 05:44GMT
Usd's rebound fm Oct's low at 10935 suggests cor
rection fm Sep's 11660 high has formed a temporary
low there n retrace. to 11455, then 11520 is seen.
Trade fm long side with stop as indicated n only
below 11270 aborts n risks weakness to 11000.
STRATEGY : Long at 11330
POSITION : Long at 11330
OBJECTIVE : 11450
STOP-LOSS : 11330
RES : 11400/11455/11520
SUP : 11305/11270/11000
Stockholm Max 07:42 GMT November 4, 2013
Willie - Kind dollar dying?
Reply
Since over a decade calling for the Chinese to take over - since over a decade calling for the king dollar to die - this latest piece (http://news.goldseek.com/GoldenJackass/1383336180.php) contains some facts (JPM) which seem again to have some merits, even Rick Ackerman has a reference to this newsletter - but, honestly, is it really more than just another hype driven newsletter to get some more attention?
Sinclair, Willie, Turk and Sprott - hyped via KWN - the four golden musketeers - on completely lost ground?
Panicking with the threat of Gold moving down to below 1K - and King Dollar up to parity with EURUSD?
Or will they finally win - in 2016 when some cycles researchers (i.e. Armstrong) predict a major economic peak / crash? Jim Willie's latest
Saar KaL 07:27 GMT November 4, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level
another good short is audnzd
should south to 1.1 area
Saar KaL 07:12 GMT November 4, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level
If you do something today
I suggest you accumulate AUDUSD Shorts
tgt 0.90 to .8840
Singapore SGFXTrader 06:53 GMT November 4, 2013
EURUSD 100 pips and 300 pips move
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.3460 Target: 1.37 Stop: 1.34
I reckon Eurusd is in consolidation phase. Might see 1.37 in a week's time
Amman wfakhoury 05:16 GMT November 4, 2013
EURUSD 100 pips and 300 pips move
Reply
After hitting my target 13470 , is preparing for 100 pips move for daytraders and 300 pips for shortterm traders.
HK RF@ 02:57 GMT November 4, 2013
EUR
Reply
The risk to the upside is increasing.
Being able to hold the prices at current level for several hours more, may risk of a strong return to 1.3660.
Hong Kong AceTrader 02:13 GMT November 4, 2013
AceTrader Nov 4 :Dollar strengthens broadly on strong U.S. data
Reply
Market Review - 02/11/2013 01:41GMT
Dollar strengthens broadly on strong U.S. data
Dollar strengthened broadly against its major peer currencies on strong U.S. Markit PMI and ISM manufacturing data, which fuelled speculation that the Fed may start tapering stimulus sooner than expected.
U.S. ISM manufacturing in October came in at 56.4, stronger than the economists' forecast of 55.0. U.S. Markit PMI in October came in at 51.8, better than the expectation of 51.1.
The single currency met selling interest at 1.3590 in Asian trading and ratcheted lower in European session. Euro later tanked to a session low at 1.3478 (Reuters) in New York afternoon due to strong U.S. economic data.
Versus Japanese yen, the greenback initially fell to a session low at 97.80 in Asian trading but renewed buying interest there lifted price higher in European session due to the rebound of Nikkei futures. Dollar further rose above Thursday's top at 98.69 to session high at 98.86 in New York morning after the release of strong U.S. economic data before stabilizing.
The British pound met selling interest at 1.6046 in Australian morning and then tanked to 1.5953 in European session in part due to the release of weaker-than-expected U.K. manufacturing PMI in October which came in at 56.0, worse than the forecast of 56.4, previous reading was revised to 56.3. Cable later fell to an intra-day low of 1.5908 in New York afternoon due to dlr's broad-based strength on strong U.S. economic data.
In other news, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis's President James Bullard says 'any decision to scale bank bond buying will be data-dependent; likelihood of tapering will continue to rise as labor market continues to show cumulative improvement; would like to see inflation come back up toward target before tapering bond buying; inflation continues to run very low in the U.S. economy; will not speculate on a taper decision in December, says Fed should keep its options open at every meeting.'
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's Charles L. Plooser says 'could support setting a limit for bond-buying program; could announce a dollar size to QE3 that would halt it soon; "very high" hurdle for increasing rate of bond buying.'
Data to be released next week:
Australia retail sales, house price index, Italy manufacturing PMI, France manufacturing PMI, Germany manufacturing PMI, EU manufacturing PMI, Sentix investor confidence, U.K. construction PMI, U.S. factory orders, durable goods on Monday. Japan financial market is closed due to public holiday.
Australia RBA rate decision, China HSBC Markit service PMI, Swiss CPI, U.K. BRC retail sales, service PMI, EU PPI, Canada trade balance, exports, imports, U.S. Redbook retail sales, ISM non-manufacturing on Tuesday.
New Zealand unemployment rate, employment change, Australia trade balance, U.K. BRC shop price index, industrial production, manufacturing production, Italy service PMI, France service PMI, Germany service PMI, factory orders, EU service PMI, retail sales, Canada building permits, Ivey PMI, U.S. leading indicators on Wednesday.
Australia employment change, unemployment change, Japan leading indicators, U.K. Lloyds employment confidence, BOE rate decision, BOE asset purchase target, Germany industrial production, ECB rate decision, U.S. GDP, personal consumption, PCE core, jobless claims on Thursday.
China trade balance, export, import, Swiss unemployment rate, retail sales, U.K. trade balance, Germany current account, export, import, trade balance, France current account, trade balance, industrial production, manufacturing production, Canada housing starts, net change in unemployment, unemployment rate, U.S. personal income, personal consumption, PCE index, PCE core, non-farm payrolls, private payrolls, unemployment rate, average hourly earnings, University of Michigan consumer confidence on Friday.
jkt-aye 01:40 GMT November 4, 2013
Eur/Usd
is it going to 13540 then 13380 or straight away toward 13575/13640 ? have a nice pips.
|
|
|
Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts
GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
Global-View Affiliate Program
 We are starting an affiliate program to market some of our products.
Send me an email if you would be interested or if you know someone who would like to be an affiliate. Generous commissions payout for those accepted.
Put the word "affiliate" in the email subject line.
Contact us
Start trading with forex broker Markets Cube
|
|
pic
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
more chart points
