Forex Forum Archive for 12/1/2013

Mtl JP 23:51 GMT December 1, 2013
"I am most worried about the boom in the U.S. stock market. Also because our economy is still weak a

not a Q of who is right but who will prevail :-)
-
but remember her potentially slimy excuse to screw players: "traditional measures�

HK RF@ 23:36 GMT December 1, 2013
"I am most worried about the boom in the U.S. stock market. Also because our economy is still weak a



But Janet has no Nobel prize:)

So who is right?

Mtl JP 23:25 GMT December 1, 2013
"I am most worried about the boom in the U.S. stock market. Also because our economy is still weak a

maybe , but he is not in charge of the printer like Janet "more qualified than any of her predecessors.. . .. an imaginative and technically adept economist possessed of a brilliant and precise mind" Yellen who claims that "if you look at traditional measures,� such as price-earnings ratios, �you would not see stock prices in territory that suggests bubble-like conditions�
-----------
Bottom Line: keep buying any dips in bonds
(usual caveats apply)

HK RF@ 23:12 GMT December 1, 2013
"I am most worried about the boom in the U.S. stock market. Also because our economy is still weak a
Reply   



Nobel Prize economist warns of U.S. stock market bubble

LINK

GVI Forex john 22:49 GMT December 1, 2013
Australia PMI



AU PMI back below 50 (economic contraction)...

GVI Forex john 22:40 GMT December 1, 2013
Australia PMI

Poor Australian PMI. AUD weaker.

GVI Forex john 22:38 GMT December 1, 2013
Australia PMI
Reply   

GVI Forex john 21:12 GMT December 1, 2013
Chart Points -- Trading Points
Reply   
many more chart points
About Moving Averages
About Bollinger Bands

ed kw 21:09 GMT December 1, 2013
confused

xagjpy has helped to day trade eur/jpy it is trend down but protected
it can fall or hold

ed kw 21:01 GMT December 1, 2013
confused

130 traded for long time ,poss in 6 mounts jpy can start its nuclear power plants that's when jpy will strengthen

ed kw 20:56 GMT December 1, 2013
confused

2004 has chop zone 140 to 143 see if 140 holds first

ed kw 20:49 GMT December 1, 2013
confused

confused
ed kw 20:39 GMT 12/01/2013
2006 jpy pairs you can see

resistance 140 in past it will retrace hear or go strate up

Chennai AMI 20:44 GMT December 1, 2013
confused

Hi ed: your view on eur/jpy please

ed kw 20:39 GMT December 1, 2013
confused

2006 jpy pairs you can see

ed kw 20:35 GMT December 1, 2013
Fixed Income Snapshot

use 2009 gold charts,retracements, for gbp,eur,usd you can see strength and speed

jkt-aye 20:34 GMT December 1, 2013
confused
Reply   


someone send me this

ed kw 20:21 GMT December 1, 2013
Fixed Income Snapshot

charts at 2006 for jpy,gbp,eur,usd,xau/retrenchments are all still balanced so the bund is wrong

ed kw 20:11 GMT December 1, 2013
Fixed Income Snapshot

eur/usd most fear us gov,and they are right for now

ed kw 20:07 GMT December 1, 2013
Fixed Income Snapshot

dax up bund down,eur QE is to replace us QE

Mtl JP 19:42 GMT December 1, 2013
Fixed Income Snapshot

john 13:49 - can you, on the other hand, think of reason(s) why it might not be ?

GVI Forex 19:27 GMT December 1, 2013
AUD and NZD
Reply   
Markets remained quiet on the unofficial US holiday. News from the Eurozone included higher inflation and lower unemployment than expected, but German retail sales disappointed. In ratings news, Standard & Poor's downgraded the Netherlands from AAA to AA+, and upgraded Spain's BBB- outlook from negative to stable. The S&P500 closed down 0.1% but earlier made a fresh record high.

NZ Morning Thoughts - FX & IR

GVI Forex john 18:18 GMT December 1, 2013
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data
Reply   


December 1, 2013 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, November 2. Updated: Trading Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: CN- PMI's, FR/DE/EZ PMIs, GB- PMIs. US- PMI's

• Far East: CN- PMI's.
• Europe: FR/DE/ EZ PMIs, GB- PMIs.
• North America: US- PMI's, Construction Spending, COT Report.

GVI Forex john 17:07 GMT December 1, 2013
China NBS PMI



China NBS PMI steady

GVI Forex john 16:45 GMT December 1, 2013
China NBS PMI
Reply   

GVI Forex john 14:24 GMT December 1, 2013
Active Global Calendar. Friday U.S. November Jobs highlight
Reply   

Spot	20d avg	10-yr	Equities
EURUSD 1.3585	1.3495	U.S. 2.74% -1bp	North America:Lower
EURJPY 139.19	134.48	Bund 1.69%  -4bp	DE: DAX: Higher
GBPUSD 1.6364	1.60	GILT 2.77% 0bp	GB: FTSE: Higher
USDJPY  102.40	99.63	JGB 0.61% 0bp	Asia Close Mixed

HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: CN- PMI's, FR/DE/EZ PMIs, GB- PMIs. US- PMI'

• There is little doubt that the U.K recently has been the best performer as its recovery seems to be solidly in place. The U.S. is showing signs of improvement, although we have serious doubts about the sustainability of the housing rebound. There is no doubt that the global economy is counting on the apparent recoveries in the U.S.and U.K., so we are in data-driven markets.


• The Fed remains uncomfortable with its current asset purchase program. Most members of the board do not like its ballooning balance sheet and would like to "taper" its bond purchases as soon as possible. This is not because they want to tighten monetary policy. It is due fears of the possible long term consequences of holding too much government debt. Markets are therefore highly sensitive to any economic release that might move forward the date when they can start to cut back.


• The Fed has gone to great pains to distinguish between monetary policy and a tapering of asset purchases. So it is likely that at some time soon long term interest rates could start to move higher while short term rates do not move. We have already elaborated here at length why technical factors could postpone a tapering until March 2014. We feel Fed tapering would be a USD positive.


• The week ahead sees an exceptionally active data calendar. PMI data will start to be released on Monday and continue all week. Central Bank policy decisions are due from the Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of England, Bank of England and European Central Bank. The end of the week then sees key employment data from the United States and Canada.


• See the FOREX FORUM  for latest key data and charts as they are released.. For additional key items and more detail (dates, times, data estimates), be sure to reference our Economic Calendar . See the  FOREX FORUM  for latest key data and charts as they are released.

GVI Forex Blog 14:23 GMT December 1, 2013 Reply   
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: CN- PMI's, FR/DE/EZ PMIs, GB- PMIs. US- PMI' There is little doubt that the U.K recently has been the best performer as its recovery seems to be solidly in place. The U.S. is showing signs of improvement, although we have serious doubts about the sustainability of the housing rebound. There is no doubt that the global economy is counting on the apparent recoveries in the U.S.and U.K., so we are in data-driven markets.

Active Global Calendar. Friday U.S. November Jobs highlight

HK RF@ 14:09 GMT December 1, 2013
Obama the rabbit.
Reply   



US carriers urged to comply with China air zone rules

LINK.

GVI Forex john 13:55 GMT December 1, 2013
Fixed Income Snapshot

Selected 10-yr yield Comparisons. In forex, its all about rates. Note yields in EZ, CH and JP aredrifting lower while they are drifting higher elsewhere.

GVI Forex john 13:49 GMT December 1, 2013
Fixed Income Snapshot

Contrast the steady to rising U.S. 10 yr with the easing German 10-yr This ShOULD be EURUSD constructive.

GVI Forex john 13:42 GMT December 1, 2013
Fixed Income Snapshot
Reply   
United States Interest rates. It could pay to monitor 10-yr yields heading into U.S. employment data on Friday...