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Forex Forum Archive for 02/1/2013

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Maribor BS 22:19 GMT February 1, 2013
USDJPY

USDJPY reached today possible barrier on monthly charts at ~92,94 for this month. It could(but may not) take some rest; sensible support may be in 85 area.

Sydney ACC 22:13 GMT February 1, 2013
A Modest Proposal for More Fed Buying. A Lot More

What is the cost to the US economy by retaining imperial measurements. Converting to metric could be construed as an investment for the future. There are only three countries that haven't converted Burma, Liberia and USA. What great company.

I was educated using imperial measurements and grew up using pounds shillings and pence. I arrived in Australia a few weeks after the introduction of decimal currency and guess what experienced no problems adapting at all. Australia converted to metric weights and measures about 40 years ago. It was mostly accomplished over a period of five years.

What better time to convert. Converting road signs etc can use the unemployed and channel government expense into industrial production.

Mtl JP 21:54 GMT February 1, 2013
EUR/USD : Current Comments

Qindex 21:19 - noted with great interest

dc CB 21:46 GMT February 1, 2013
A Modest Proposal for More Fed Buying. A Lot More

PS

cmmt from ZH

" it shows that the idiotic trillion dollar coin, Sheila Bair's farcical suggestion to let every American borrow $10 million from the Fed at zero rates, or even our suggestion from a year ago that the government build a Death Star, may appear as sheer genius in comparison to what else the Fed may be considering, and implement, before all this is said and done."

Hong Kong Qindex 21:19 GMT February 1, 2013
EUR/USD : Current Comments

Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : Pullback is Imminent


Resistant points are expected at 1.3716 - 1.3736 - 1.3779.


Qindex.com

EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts

Hong Kong Qindex 21:15 GMT February 1, 2013
EUR/USD : Current Comments

Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : Pullback in Imminent


Resistant points are expected at 1.3716 - 1.3736 - 1.3779.


Qindex.com

EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts

dc CB 21:13 GMT February 1, 2013
A Modest Proposal for More Fed Buying. A Lot More



John

no more nuts that most who buy this line....for another year

oh and by the way....Just wait til Monday...and depending on who wins the SuperBowl...money will go into or leave Stox. Which was does that SuperBowl Indicator work...NFL...wins....XXXX happens?

not much difference.

Dow Closes Above 14,000 After Boost From Jobs Data

GVI Forex Free FX Database 21:09 GMT February 1, 2013
Chart Points
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

GVI Forex john bland 20:58 GMT February 1, 2013
Commitment of Traders Report

AUD, CAD, Gold, Oil

More COT Charts

GVI Forex john bland 20:57 GMT February 1, 2013
Commitment of Traders Report

EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP

More COT charts

GVI Forex john bland 20:52 GMT February 1, 2013
Commitment of Traders Report

COT Report EUR Positions. In the week ending on Tuesday, EURUSD Longs up amd shorts up small. Market net long EUR.





COT Report NET EUR Positions. In the week ending on Tuesday,





COT Report JPY Positions. In the week ended Tuesday, JPY shorts up sharoly and longs increased. Market heavily short JPY.





COT Report NET JPY Positions. In the week ended Tuesday.



Hong Kong Qindex 20:52 GMT February 1, 2013
EUR/JPY : Critical Point 127.182
Reply   
Sell EURJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/JPY : Critical Point 127.182


Qindex.com

EUR/JPY : Monthly Cycle Charts

GVI Forex john bland 20:50 GMT February 1, 2013
Commitment of Traders Report
Reply   
COT Report Gold Positions through Tuesday. Gold longs are down, Shorts are up. Net still heavily long gold.






COT Report NET Gold Positions through Tuesday.

HK [email protected] 20:45 GMT February 1, 2013
usd/jpy
Reply   
.
MKt. closing on week high not a good sign for yen longs who are fleeing the market B4 the close.

GVI Forex john bland 20:23 GMT February 1, 2013
A Modest Proposal for More Fed Buying. A Lot More

Is this guy nuts? How can he be trusted to run a bank? The Fed would have to print USD on a massive scale to purchase all those bonds. There ain't no such thing as a free lunch!

dc CB 19:49 GMT February 1, 2013
A Modest Proposal for More Fed Buying. A Lot More
Reply   
Earning an extra 3 percent on another $30 trillion in bonds would allow the Fed to return an additional $900 billion to the Treasury—thus wiping out most of our federal deficit while avoiding actually having to do anything about current government spending.

David Kemper
Chairman and CEO of Commerce Bancshares
February 01, 2013

Why not expand the Fed balance sheet exponentially, from its current $3 trillion to $33 trillion?

HK [email protected] 19:40 GMT February 1, 2013
FWIW
Reply   
.
Can't take it more than a number, but the weekly RSI was never that high for the last 18 years, currently at 87.20 .

GVI Forex Blog 19:32 GMT February 1, 2013 Reply   
February 1, 2013 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, February 4. Updated: Trading Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: EZ- PPI, US- Facctory Orders.

GVI Forex Data Outlook for 4 February 2013

GVI Forex john bland 19:30 GMT February 1, 2013
Calendar
Reply   


February 1, 2013 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, February 4. Updated: Trading Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: EZ- PPI, US- Facctory Orders.

  • Far East: JA- No Major Data.
  • Europe: EZ- PPI.
  • North America: US- Factory Orders.


dc CB 19:15 GMT February 1, 2013
Fill er Up

Also, as the price of gas rises, people drive less...they eliminate joy driving. As a consequence, local taxes collected...states tax gasoline to fund road/highway projects...fall. So Governors have to ask legislatures to Increase the gas tax in order to fund highway/bridge repair.....happening right now in Maryland and Va.

dc CB 19:09 GMT February 1, 2013
Fill er Up

Food and Fuel are not in the Core.

Supermarket chains and Gas companies, like Shell and Exxon have teamed up to offer "Cents per gal off" rewards for spending on grocery items. Spend $100 and get 10 cents off per gal at participating stations. $200 spent gets 20 cents off...$300...30....that's the limit.

I also beg to differ, it is a tax, but non consider it as such. All these oil companies received subsidies, and as prices rise the call will be for more subsides and less regulation so the companies can "work to make the US independent". The tax, in the case of higher pump prices, just goes directly to the company...they don't lose the "skim off the top" that the government tax collector takes for the pass thru service. Drill baby, Drill.

Mtl JP 18:55 GMT February 1, 2013
Fill er Up

CB 0 is not raising taxes. Speculants are. Oil and gasoline are rising on all the good economic recovery news: energy producers get paid first seeing as they are at the bottom of the economic feeding chain.

Never mind that higher fuel prices fuel price inflation (if not expectations yet) and go counter to Ben's efforts.

dc CB 18:53 GMT February 1, 2013
January's Currency Story: JPY -- a DISCUSSION thread

Until Friday, 1959 was also the last time the Nikkei 225 stock index rallied for 12 straight weeks, driven by the quickening pace of Japan’s postwar economic boom. Now the index has repeated that feat. The Japanese business media have been quick to jump on the historical tidbit, trumpeting the Nikkei’s best weekly run in 54 years. The rally in 1959 actually lasted 17 weeks.

“The expectations pinned on Prime Minister Abe’s drive to tackle deflation and the strong yen are the driving force pushing stocks toward this postwar record,” the Nikkei newspaper said.

Nikkei’s Best Weekly Run in 54 Years

JERUSALEM KB 18:45 GMT February 1, 2013
Trading the sup & ress. levels



OTHER
Entry: audchf Target: Stop:

want to see a retest of this broken support

JERUSALEM KB 18:42 GMT February 1, 2013
Trading the sup & ress. levels



OTHER
Entry: Target: Stop:

don`t miss hammering AUDCHF to 0.9060-0.8845 if we have a weekly close below0.9425

dc CB 18:37 GMT February 1, 2013
Fill er Up
Reply   
record highs for the first week of February as per AAA, hitting an all time high of $3.465 for this day and just surpassing last year's price of $3.455; and based on where wholesale prices are (given the lag), we could be seeing $4.00 gas at the pump in the next few weeks.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

"I will not raise taxes on the middle class" ....the O. 2013

On This Day In History, Gas Prices Have Never Been Higher

dc CB 18:20 GMT February 1, 2013
Week Ahead



:)

GVI Forex 18:09 GMT February 1, 2013
Week Ahead
Reply   
• Positive risk sentiment continues as economic data turn higher

• ECB meets amid resurgent euro. Will Draghi talk the currency down?

• MPC to keep policy unchanged, but Mark Carney will be watched for a longer-term steer


ECONOMIC DATA ANALYSIS - CENTRAL BANKERS TO TAKE CENTRE STAGE

dc CB 18:00 GMT February 1, 2013
gold

Today was first notice day for February delivery in gold, and as usual, we had a waterfall raid in gold to $1655. The cartel MO has long been to raid gold and silver on options expiration as well as first notice day, to help prevent longs from standing for delivery.

While the the cartel raid was successful based on the paper futures price, it was an epic fail based on physical gold delivery requests, as a monumental 1.391 million ounces, or 43.26 tonnes of gold stood for delivery today on first notice day

43 Tonnes of Gold Stand for February Delivery on 1st Notice Day

dc CB 17:44 GMT February 1, 2013
POMO

Next week around $10.5bil will hit the risk markets, JUST from the Fed's Treasury buys...another near equal amount from the MBS buying....Mon thru Friday

short month... 28days = Mo Money per trading day. to get to $85bln in 20 trading days.

POMO Sched - Just Treasuries

Mtl JP 17:42 GMT February 1, 2013
Benefits of Affluence
Reply   
No-money-down mortgages are back
Some affluent buyers are getting the keys to their new home without putting a penny down.

..."Some banks are using this product to lure in clients, such as BOK Financial’s offer, which is available to new physicians."...

Personally I d like to know that a "young physician" "has been lured into such product" before I let him/her with a scalpel slice into me.

dc CB 17:31 GMT February 1, 2013
Good IF

I wonder how the annual Yen Repat -- Feb/March, will play out this year.

dc CB 17:29 GMT February 1, 2013
United States



Baltimore Ravens (american football) in the Super Bowl in New Orleans this sunday....fans from this region drving down...in SUVs?

HK [email protected] 17:28 GMT February 1, 2013
Good IF
Reply   
.
If Jpy was just sold against other currencies, but seems it is being sold against everything which may rise against the yen.
Possibly in the multi-trillion derivative Mkts lot of that kind of action.
When things will turn sour, and the Algos will go banana, then some will smile less.
The selfish Japanese are in a hurry to have their way, just to find later, that they may have caused a huge world crisis, the worse since the last great depression.
So by that time, they will have to look for buyers for their products, which not many of them may be around.

dc CB 17:26 GMT February 1, 2013
United States



pulled back from the edge.

Next 10Y auction is Wed Feb 13...2.5% on too much Good News???

GVI Forex 17:10 GMT February 1, 2013
Global Msrkets News
Reply   
The DJIA popped above 14,000 briefly for the first time since October 2007 this morning. This is chiefly a psychological development although analysts point out that this is where markets capped gains back in the fall of 2007. The market has only closed above 14,000 nine times.

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update: Investor Accentuate the Positive in a Mixed January Jobs Report

HK [email protected] 17:05 GMT February 1, 2013
January's Currency Story: JPY -- a DISCUSSION thread

.
JPY is clearly a funding currency for fueling stock Mkts around the world. So likely short will rise this week.

The Q. is if correction in those Mkts. will come,, will the BOJ come to the rescue of the Shorts on the jpy and be able to keep the yen low.
Any idea?

JERUSALEM KB 17:03 GMT February 1, 2013
Trading the sup & ress. levels



AUDNZD
Entry: Target: Stop:

downtrend

JERUSALEM KB 16:58 GMT February 1, 2013
Trading the sup & ress. levels



AUDNZD
Entry: Target: Stop:

jerusalem kb 20:00:51 GMT - 01/23/2013

AUDNZD
Entry: Target: Stop:

there is a support breakout on monthly and price go up to retest broken support and form a sell signal below trend line , every thing looks good for downtrend but should wait for daily support breakout

ed kw 16:56 GMT February 1, 2013
January's Currency Story: JPY -- a DISCUSSION thread

swiss shorts were added last week u/c

GVI Forex john bland 16:51 GMT February 1, 2013
January's Currency Story: JPY -- a DISCUSSION thread

For the convenience of forum users, we have set up two pages so you can reference our weekly charts all week. Access via the Navigation Bar

COT Charts

JERUSALEM KB 16:49 GMT February 1, 2013
Trading the sup & ress. levels


Entry: 124.22 Target: Stop: 125

JERUSALEM KB 11:05:47 GMT - 02/01/2013

Buy EURJPY
Entry: 124.22 Target: 130 Stop: 124.70
Buy EURJPY
Entry: 124.22 Target: 125.92-130 Stop: 123.70
correction : target is 125.92 and 130 as short term target too.
==========
HIT FIRST TARGET WITH 170PIPS+ HOLDING REST

GVI Forex john bland 16:48 GMT February 1, 2013
January's Currency Story: JPY -- a DISCUSSION thread

I will be closely watching the Commitment of traders report later today to see if JPY shorts were reduced again for the seventh straight week. I have to admit that I am a little skeptical of the data. I find it a little hard to believe that JPY shorts have not gradually been building.

JERUSALEM KB 16:47 GMT February 1, 2013
Trading the sup & ress. levels

Buy GBPJPY
Entry: 144.30 Target: 150.80 Stop: 145.20

JERUSALEM KB 11:08:11 GMT - 02/01/2013

Buy GBPJPY
Entry: 144.30 Target: 150.80 Stop: 144.80
JERUSALEM KB 18:23:45 GMT - 01/31/2013

Buy GBPJPY
Entry: 144.30 Target: 146-150.80 Stop: 143.80
JERUSALEM KB 10:03:09 GMT - 01/31/2013

Buy GBPJPY
Entry: 144.30 Target: 146-150.80 Stop: 143.30
buy stop
========
closed 1/3 with 70pips+ and sl 143.80
===========
HIT 2ND target with 170pips+ and now holding 1/3 for 150

hk ab 16:42 GMT February 1, 2013
January's Currency Story: JPY -- a DISCUSSION thread

I kind of agree Laowen's view on eur/jpy.....

short at daily chart channel top.
If the pair doesn't make a key-reversal or inverted hammer, then, run and exit with your profit at hands at day close.

buying against channel bottom looks limbo to me now.

And stops are not effective as HF knew most position and run stops they can see.

GVI Forex john bland 16:35 GMT February 1, 2013
January's Currency Story: JPY -- a DISCUSSION thread

This thread remains alive. So far the general thrust of the posts have been dead on, although intra-day volatility has picked up greatly.

When I have to widen my stops, I am always careful to reduce my leverage.

Any thoughts on the EURJPY or USDJPY at current levels?

kl fs 16:20 GMT February 1, 2013
buy eurjpy

Well done all eur bulls and jpy sellers. Congrats on those many pips. It has been very rewarding and well deserved

hyderabad krishna 16:13 GMT February 1, 2013
gold
Reply   
FM: your view on gold please

London Misha 16:12 GMT February 1, 2013
GBP weakness!
Reply   
Hearing part of GBP weakness attributed to alleged Daily Mail website article of possible plot to oust Chancellor Osborne after May local elections!

Amman wfakhoury 15:52 GMT February 1, 2013
EURJPY 126.24
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 09:39 GMT February 1, 2013
eurjpy 126.24: Reply
126.24 confirmed


126.24 reached and became consolidation

Beijing Laowen 15:45 GMT February 1, 2013
usdjpy

Buying e/j and u/j along their hourly ema21 with 50 pips s/l has been my non-brainer trading tactics these days, which works nicely. However, atm, I feel a bit sensitive because the market is too one-sided. holding partial e/j and u/j longs with s/l well above their entries.

jkt abel 15:32 GMT February 1, 2013
usdjpy
Reply   
comrades, usdjpy will climb above 93 on the last hour, monday a gap up to above 95, sounds good? ;)

kl fs 15:29 GMT February 1, 2013
buy eurjpy

laowen, usdjpy close strong, 95 next week and 100 further

Beijing Laowen 15:24 GMT February 1, 2013
buy eurjpy

Yes td, easy above 126 from below 125. easy 100+ pips.

singapore td 15:22 GMT February 1, 2013
buy eurjpy

that's it, easy close above 126 for eurjpy, see you all next week

kl fs 15:19 GMT February 1, 2013
buy eurjpy

HFs will help 95 usdjpy come true next week

kl fs 15:17 GMT February 1, 2013
buy eurjpy

rana, twice your elevator is broken today, still counting on 'made in japan'? better get made in china instead, cheaper

singapore td 15:15 GMT February 1, 2013
mkt

just set buy eurjpy and forget it ab, will go up

GVI Forex john bland 15:12 GMT February 1, 2013
United States



U.S./Eurozone PMIs. All three PMI measures pointed sharply upward.

hk ab 15:12 GMT February 1, 2013
mkt
Reply   
hard to deal under this circum.

but eur/jpy needs to watch.

singapore td 15:11 GMT February 1, 2013
buy eurjpy

byebye jpy, nice quick dip as promised

GVI Forex john bland 15:07 GMT February 1, 2013
United States



University of Michigan Sentiment. Final reading revised up sharply. January University of Michigan and Conference Board surveys diverging slightly.

hk ab 15:06 GMT February 1, 2013
mkt
Reply   
maybe fund man just hit s/l on both sides by momentum......

eur under 1.36 was brief and funny.

almost hit FM s/l too.

singapore td 15:06 GMT February 1, 2013
buy eurjpy

eurjpy 130 next

bali sja 15:03 GMT February 1, 2013
buy eurjpy

here we go!! usdjpy back above 92, just buy jpy pairs will close strong!!

Central Kwun 15:02 GMT February 1, 2013
gold

Buy Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

why bought that early? now 1663

HK [email protected] 15:02 GMT February 1, 2013
gold and e.
Reply   
.
Gold as regular is a fuss.
Euro maybe preparing for an unbelie. dip.

hk ab 15:02 GMT February 1, 2013
gold
Reply   
stopped 1663

GVI Forex john bland 15:01 GMT February 1, 2013
United States

-- ALERT --
Construction Spending December 2012
(pre-data EURUSD= 1.3600)
+0.90% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.10% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer



GVI Forex john bland 15:00 GMT February 1, 2013
United States

-- ALERT --
U.S. Manufacturing PMI January 2013
(pre-data EURUSD=1.3600)
53.1 vs. 50.5 exp. vs. 50.7 prev.
Mfg PMI Employment
54.0 vs. n/a exp. vs. 51.9 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

bali sja 15:00 GMT February 1, 2013
buy euro

ashraf said NFP is good enough to open 1.37 and 1.38

hk ab 14:59 GMT February 1, 2013
gold
Reply   
Kwun, your stop lures!

bought small now 1670

hk ab 14:56 GMT February 1, 2013
gold
Reply   
buy back 1674.

hyderabad krishna 14:56 GMT February 1, 2013
gold

ab: your target for gold sell...

GVI Forex john bland 14:55 GMT February 1, 2013
United States

-- ALERT --
University of Michigan Sentiment Index
(pre-data EURUSD= 1.3600)
January 2013 final
73.8 vs. 71.3 exp. vs. 71.3 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

hk ab 14:49 GMT February 1, 2013
gold
Reply   
"sell" some at 1677.3

Hong Kong Qindex 14:48 GMT February 1, 2013
EUR/USD : Current Comments

Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Hong Kong Qindex 03:11 GMT February 1, 2013 - My Profile
EUR/USD : Current Comments : Reply
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : The market is under pressure when it is rejected from the barrier at 1.3604 // 1.3634.


Qindex.com

EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts

tokyo rana 14:47 GMT February 1, 2013
jpy

Sell GBPCHF
Entry: 1.46sold on break of 1.47 Target: open Stop: 146now

75% closed.......happy trade

bali sja 14:44 GMT February 1, 2013
buy eurjpy

looks like eurjpy has finished correction? hopefully we go higher now

jkt abel 14:40 GMT February 1, 2013
jpy

eurjpy 124.70 held and euro also help 1.36, time to go upppp

singapore td 14:38 GMT February 1, 2013
jpy

eurjpy will snap back up later and close above 126, still early

jkt abel 14:36 GMT February 1, 2013
buy euro
Reply   
buy euro 1.3603, stop 1.3567 for this one

hk ab 14:36 GMT February 1, 2013
gold
Reply   
looks like we have fuel now for 1700!

eur/jpy and gold inverse relationship in works!

tokyo rana 14:33 GMT February 1, 2013
jpy

Sell USDJPY
Entry: 92.15 Target: 50/70next Stop: 93.15

singapore td 14:29 i remeber my friend april may 2010 you shorting jpy markeet was at level and jpy rally intraday 1200pips....gbpjpy 140/146 usdjpy 90/94...and you was saying same thing like today your saying.....happy trade

bali sja 14:32 GMT February 1, 2013
buy eurjpy
Reply   
bought 125.03, stop 124.67, good r/r

London Misha 14:31 GMT February 1, 2013
Observations
Reply   
EURUSD - Follow on to Key Reversal Up through 2012 high & Tweezer Top on Daily Chart.
USDJPY - Follow on to Bullish Engulfing Pattern on Daily Chart.
GBPUSD - 2nd White Soldier after Bullish Harami as market neared 50% Fib support @ 1.5636 on Daily Chart.
USDCHF - Break down through 2013 low on Daily Chart. Dead Cross Short MA down through Short/Medium MA.
EURGBP - Bearish Harami yesterday but today possible bigger Bullish Harami, all on Daily Chart.
USDCAD - Black Marubozo after combined 2nd Long Black Marubozo/Shooting Star on Daily Chart, 1st close under Long MA.
AUDUSD - Spinning Top after unusual Pipe Top/Closing & Opening Marubozos formation on Daily Chart.
USDZAR - Bearish Marubozo after Spinning Top on Daily Chart.
USDBRL - Possible Bullish Hammer on Daily Chart.


singapore td 14:29 GMT February 1, 2013
jpy

yes buy gold and buy jpy pairs, will go in tandem

Central Kwun 14:28 GMT February 1, 2013
jpy

Buy Gold
Entry: 1680 Target: Stop: 1670

follow you, buy gold now

tokyo rana 14:26 GMT February 1, 2013
jpy
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: Target: Stop: 1664now

tokyo rana 08:01 GMT February 1, 2013 - My Profile
extreme: Reply
Buy Gold
Entry: 1665 Target: open Stop: 1645

buy gold now for 1700/1900.....happy trade

Central Kwun 14:25 GMT February 1, 2013
gold

Buy Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

so you are buying gold instead, haha

singapore td 14:23 GMT February 1, 2013
buy usdjpy
Reply   
bought usdjpy as well 91.89, stop for this under 91.20

hk ab 14:23 GMT February 1, 2013
gold

Kwun, if I don't short the 1 tael position, the bangster will not push it up above 1680 now.

Central Kwun 14:21 GMT February 1, 2013
gold

Buy Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

hk ab 13:56 GMT February 1, 2013
gold: Reply
tight s/l 1676,

oops, why short gold? data is bad

hk abg 14:21 GMT February 1, 2013
gold
Reply   
1713 in cards.....

singapore td 14:21 GMT February 1, 2013
buy eurjpy

adding here 125.20 some hourly support

singapore td 14:19 GMT February 1, 2013
e/j

nothing to worry about, euro holds 1.3570 by close means upside is good

tokyo rana 14:17 GMT February 1, 2013
e/j

hk ab 14:15 yes my friend.....2 weeks later eurjpy below 110 maybe by next friday....

hk ab 14:15 GMT February 1, 2013
e/j
Reply   
Fri elevator express?

singapore td 14:14 GMT February 1, 2013
buy eurjpy
Reply   
reload eurjpy long 125.42, stop the same with Jerusalem KB's 124.70

GVI Forex john bland 14:03 GMT February 1, 2013
United States



U.S./Eurozone PMIs. Marikt mfg PMI revised down slightly from flash. Still much stronger than ISM PMI (traditional statistic) due later.

GVI Forex john bland 13:58 GMT February 1, 2013
United States

-- ALERT --
U.S. Markit (not ISM) final Manufacturing PMI December 2013
(pre-data EURUSD=1.3665)
55.8 vs. 56.1 (flash) exp. vs. 56.1 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

hk ab 13:56 GMT February 1, 2013
gold

tight s/l 1676,

hk ab 13:54 GMT February 1, 2013
gold
Reply   
small short 1672.

hk ab 13:53 GMT February 1, 2013
gold
Reply   
flag in 5 mins chart......

hk ab 13:45 GMT February 1, 2013
gold
Reply   
exit all longs. happy w/e

tokyo rana 13:40 GMT February 1, 2013
gold

Buy Gold
Entry: 1665 Target: Stop: 1660now

no problem today ibought 1665...happy trade

GVI Forex john bland 13:40 GMT February 1, 2013
United States

Monthly jobs U.S. Headline data a bit weaker than expected, but previus data revised higher...






Click on chart for more than 10-yr history




hk ab 13:37 GMT February 1, 2013
gold

RF, we need those HF exit their super fatty profit on e/j inorder to push up gold.......imvho.

1675 breaks mean 1713!

HK [email protected] 13:35 GMT February 1, 2013
gold

ab
That was a good one. See if it will last.

Lahore FM 13:34 GMT February 1, 2013
" Trade Ideas "

Buy Gold
Entry: 1665.95 Target: Stop: 1660 for half


Lahore FM 10:50:05 GMT - 02/01/2013

Buy Gold
Entry: 1665.95 Target: 1685 first Stop: 1655 non rigid
long here.
--
half closed at 1672.60 now.sl raised.

hk ab 13:34 GMT February 1, 2013
gold
Reply   
silly bank indicator NEVER misses!

Nabat 13:33 GMT February 1, 2013
Gold

Here we go ;)

GVI Forex john bland 13:32 GMT February 1, 2013
United States

-- ALERT --
U.S. Employment January 2013
Avg earnings +0.20% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.30% prev.
Avg workweek 34.4 hrs vs. 34.4 exp. vs. 34.4 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland 13:31 GMT February 1, 2013
United States

-- ALERT --
U.S. Employment January 2013
(pre-data EURUSD=1.3645)
NFP Jobs: +157 vs. +165K exp. vs. +196K prev. rev
Private Empl: +166 vs. +162K exp. vs. +202K prev. rev
Rate: 7.93% vs. 7.80% exp. vs. 7.80% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

HK [email protected] 13:22 GMT February 1, 2013
Gold

.
Possibly because of the cold weather people remained home, thus stop seeking jobs:)

manila tom 13:22 GMT February 1, 2013
Gold

So your logic the unemployed will buy gold?

Nabat 13:14 GMT February 1, 2013
Gold
Reply   
I dont know why i am feeling positive abt gold, taking into consideration that the unemployment rate will be higher to 8% to be released after 15 mins

HK [email protected] 13:08 GMT February 1, 2013
gold

ab

As you said "Banksters are hearing you":)

GVI Forex john bland 13:08 GMT February 1, 2013
United States
Reply   
Consensus forecast for payrolls 165K post ADP market expectations seem to be rising modestly. "Whisper numbers" are notoriously unreliable.

hk ab 13:02 GMT February 1, 2013
gold
Reply   
HF has plenty of bullets to shoot gold up to the moon now.....

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:45 GMT February 1, 2013
Forex News
Reply   
* Euro lifted by better-than-forecast euro zone PMI

* Euro hits 14-month high vs dollar

* Yen hits 2-1/2 year low versus euro, dollar

* Focus on U.S. payrolls data at 1330 GMT

FOREX-Euro shines on upbeat euro zone data, yen slides

manila tom 12:41 GMT February 1, 2013
euro
Reply   
euro's daily candle formation does not favour reversal, bulls should be comfortable today IMHO

jkt abel 12:22 GMT February 1, 2013
usdjpy

[email protected], jpy pairs may dip temporarily, but that will be quickly reversed to make a very strong close, at least that has been the play so far and it is working well for those big players, so why would they change that..

ed kw 12:17 GMT February 1, 2013
oil
Reply   
looking for brake out to top side if its bad look for usd/chf up side

hk ab 12:03 GMT February 1, 2013
gold

RF, almighty bangsters exit at 1) option expiry 2) when everyone is hyper....

both conditions are not met at the moment.

hk ab 12:02 GMT February 1, 2013
gold

my view is gold goes back to 1670.3 "consolidation" level before the true direction sets in......

If 1706 doesn't hold this time, I think gold unbelievable outbreak is coming.....

HK [email protected] 12:01 GMT February 1, 2013
gold

.
hk ab 11:59 GMT

And if the almighty Banksters will short against all the enthusiastic buyers?
Not too pleasant:)

hk ab 11:59 GMT February 1, 2013
gold

RF, my silly bank indicator is saying otherwise and also FM is buying.
I guess the money exit from eur/jpy profit and goes into gold in "rush" this time.

HK [email protected] 11:57 GMT February 1, 2013
gold

hk ab 11:44 GMT

I prefer to ask you.

If for example gold will drop today to 1605, what do you think yen will do?

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:52 GMT February 1, 2013
MT4
Reply   

For those using MT4 as a trading platform, please contact me as I have a question to ask. Contact me by EMAIL or use [email protected]

TIA

PAR 11:52 GMT February 1, 2013
Another European Bank nationalised
Reply   
(Reuters) - The Netherlands nationalized bank and insurance group SNS Reaal (SR.AS) at a cost of 3.7 billion euros ($5 billion) on Friday to shore up confidence in the financial sector after a private investor-led rescue collapsed.

Another state rescue of a financial group will lead to a worsening in the Dutch budget deficit this year - which is already forecast to exceed European Union targets - and is likely to prompt a public outcry given the billions of euros of budget cuts and austerity measures in recent years.

It is also a sign of how many European banks, five years on from the height of the global financial crisis, are struggling to turn a corner amid weak economies and tougher regulations. French bank Credit Agricole (CAGR.PA) announced over $5 billion of charges on Friday, a day after Deutsche Bank (DBKGn.DE) also unveiled big writedowns.

HK [email protected] 11:49 GMT February 1, 2013
usdjpy

.
" hedge funds will help that course"

This can be very correct, but....

a) They are all vultures one after the neck of the other.
b) They are in intention of making money for themselves, not necessarily for hitchhikers.

hk ab 11:44 GMT February 1, 2013
gold
Reply   
If yen makes a vertical move, will gold be benefited or hurt? opinions welcome.

jkt abel 11:34 GMT February 1, 2013
usdjpy
Reply   
Japan mentioned already they want usdjpy to be 95 at least, hedge funds will help that course, should hold current level well for a strike at that level as early as possible

GVI Forex 11:33 GMT February 1, 2013
Global Markets News
Reply   
EUR/USD continued to move higher to new trend highs with dealers noting improvements in PMI Manufacturing data throughout most of Europe as the current catalyst.

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: Major European PMI Manufacturing data continues to show improvement; Euro hits new trend highs against major pairs

Montreal Hesham 11:24 GMT February 1, 2013
What do u expect for that pair?

Buy USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Is that the max. of day?

Montreal Hesham 11:24 GMT February 1, 2013
What do u expect for that pair?

Any view now at that price?

Is that max. of day?

bali sja 11:21 GMT February 1, 2013
usd
Reply   
if usdchf is any guide, looks like we are going back to sell-usd game
euro 1.40 may coincide with usdchf 0.86

bali sja 11:15 GMT February 1, 2013
buy eurjpy

stop btw is 125.17

bali sja 11:14 GMT February 1, 2013
buy eurjpy
Reply   
previous resistance becomes support, bought eurjpy 125.78 for NFP fun

JERUSALEM KB 11:12 GMT February 1, 2013
Trading the sup & ress. levels

you are welcome abel

jkt abel 11:11 GMT February 1, 2013
Trading the sup & ress. levels

thanks for the updates master KB
wonderful jpy trades! always feel confident trading in the same direction as yours

JERUSALEM KB 11:08 GMT February 1, 2013
Trading the sup & ress. levels

Buy GBPJPY
Entry: 144.30 Target: 150.80 Stop: 144.80

JERUSALEM KB 18:23:45 GMT - 01/31/2013

Buy GBPJPY
Entry: 144.30 Target: 146-150.80 Stop: 143.80
JERUSALEM KB 10:03:09 GMT - 01/31/2013

Buy GBPJPY
Entry: 144.30 Target: 146-150.80 Stop: 143.30
buy stop
========
closed 1/3 with 70pips+ and sl 143.80
===========
HIT 2ND target with 170pips+ and now holding 1/3 for 150

JERUSALEM KB 11:06 GMT February 1, 2013
Trading the sup & ress. levels

JERUSALEM KB 19:42:16 GMT - 01/31/2013

Sell AUDCAD
Entry: 1.0430 Target: 1.0370 Stop: 1.0455

Sell AUDCAD
Entry: 1.0430 Target: 1.0370 Stop: 1.0476
SELL STOP
=====
sl 1.0455
==
HIT TARGET

JERUSALEM KB 11:05 GMT February 1, 2013
Trading the sup & ress. levels

Buy EURJPY
Entry: 124.22 Target: 130 Stop: 124.70

Buy EURJPY
Entry: 124.22 Target: 125.92-130 Stop: 123.70
correction : target is 125.92 and 130 as short term target too.
==========
HIT FIRST TARGET WITH 170PIPS+ HOLDING REST

jkt abel 11:03 GMT February 1, 2013
Eurozone

all neutral to positive data from EU zone and others in general, euro has responded well to be above 1.36

Lahore FM 10:50 GMT February 1, 2013
" Trade Ideas "

Buy Gold
Entry: 1665.95 Target: 1685 first Stop: 1655 non rigid

long here.

GVI Forex john bland 10:38 GMT February 1, 2013
CURRENCY WARS: EURO continues its strong advance vs. the JPY and USD. EU officials cannot be pleased
Reply   

  • HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: US- Employment, University of Michigan
  • CURRENCY WARS: The EUR has continued  to work higher vs. the USD and JPY following a number of stronger than expected PMI readings from Europe. U.K. PMI data were a touch weaker than expected, but still (barely) at an expansion level. The EZ flash HICP (CPI) estimate of 2.0% yy for January brought the ECB back in line with its target for the first time since December 2010 .
  • Markets are waiting eagerly for the January U.S. employment figures. due on the N.Y. open. The ADP private employment data released on Wednesday suggest a decent NFP report.  Street estimates are for a gain of 155,000 in the month, although "whisper numbers" are for a slightly higher reading. Job growth levels continue to point to a tepid recovery.
  • Chinese PMI data (NBS and HSBC) were mixed today but still suggested that the economy is in expansion.
  • Australian PMI data released early in the day were especially weak. The Reserve Bank pf Australia (RBA) meets for the firs time in two months next Tuesday.
  • The key EURUSD 20-day moving average is 1.3323. the 10-yr bund is 1.71%, +3 bp.  European bourses are up. U.S. shares are higher. The U.S. 10-yr  is 2.00%,  +2bp.
  • Key Far East bourses were mixed to higher. The 10-yr JGB is 0.77%, +2bp.  The USDJPY 20-day average is 89.37. EURJPY 20-day average is 119.10.

GVI Forex Blog 10:36 GMT February 1, 2013 Reply   
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: US- Employment, University of Michigan CURRENCY WARS: The EUR has continued to work higher vs. the USD and JPY following a number of stronger than expected PMI readings from Europe. U.K. PMI data were a touch weaker than expected, but still (barely) at an expansion level. The EZ flash HICP (CPI) estimate of 2.0% yy for January brought the ECB back in line with its target for the first time since December 2010 .

CURRENCY WARS: EURO continues its strong advance vs. the JPY and USD. EU officials cannot be pleased. January jobs data due on New York open

GVI Forex john bland 10:07 GMT February 1, 2013
Eurozone



EZ flash HICP (CPI). Finally back to the ECB target of "just below 2.0%".

GVI Forex john bland 10:00 GMT February 1, 2013
Eurozone

-- ALERT --
flash HICP (CPI) January 2013
(pre-data= 1.3663)
Headline
yy: +2.00% vs. +2.20% exp. vs. +2.20% prev.



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GVI Forex john bland 10:00 GMT February 1, 2013
Eurozone

-- ALERT --
EZ Unemployment January 2013
(pre-data= 1.3663)
11.70% vs. 11.90% exp. vs. +11.80% prev.


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jkt abel 09:51 GMT February 1, 2013
eur/jpy

at least data today show all good for stocks and so will be jpy pairs
next week or other times maybe different, but not today IMHO

Beijing Laowen 09:49 GMT February 1, 2013
eur/jpy

LOL. My scalp long on $CHF was stopped out with 19 pips loss. Only this one scalp for today, Friday, must refrain from doing one more.

Beijing Laowen 09:47 GMT February 1, 2013
eur/jpy

ab, thanks for the reminder. Yes, if an instrument is viewed too one-sidedly, then a counter action is more and more probable to take place at no time. cheers.

jkt abel 09:42 GMT February 1, 2013
euro
Reply   
euro 1.37-1.38 later looks promising :)

hk ab 09:41 GMT February 1, 2013
eur/jpy

mkt psyc. 101

If you find one product is full of passenger while another one is quite empty, you will SWITCH.

when e/j is too overload, players can exit and switch to another vehicle. For me, I think it's likely to be gold or a/j.......

GVI Forex john bland 09:41 GMT February 1, 2013
Switzerland



Swiss PMI stronger than expected and in expansion...

kl fs 09:39 GMT February 1, 2013
eur/jpy

i will be happy to cover the rest there Laowen if seen
like you, won't be tempted to scalp today, 132 is in the radar by end of march
let the usual top pickers do their job

Amman wfakhoury 09:39 GMT February 1, 2013
eurjpy 126.24
Reply   
126.24 confirmed

Beijing Laowen 09:36 GMT February 1, 2013
eur/jpy

fs, for me, e/j @ 127.90 area is visible today. Maybe it is an scalp level for short, but I will not.

hk ab 09:34 GMT February 1, 2013
gold
Reply   
start to feel that the balistic move is coming. But will wait patiently till silly bank gives a promising signal.

GVI Forex john bland 09:34 GMT February 1, 2013
United Kingdom



U.K. PMIs Manufacturing PMI a touch weaker than expected, but still in expansion.

kl fs 09:34 GMT February 1, 2013
eur/jpy

agree Laowen, bears are slaughtered these last few days
interesting...
sky is truly the limit now 126.70? 127.80? all is within reach

kl fs 09:31 GMT February 1, 2013
PMIs
Reply   
interesting PMI data release
so all is good then, everyone is back to happy days, most are in expansion zone, nothing to worry about, recession is over ;)

GVI Forex john bland 09:29 GMT February 1, 2013
United Kingdom
Reply   

-- ALERT --
GB Manufacturing PMI January 2013
50.8 vs. 51.0 exp. vs. 51.2 rev prev.



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Beijing Laowen 09:25 GMT February 1, 2013
eur/jpy

Even if we want to sell e/j, me thinks at least we should wait for a classic single day reversal pattern on the daily chart. Otherwise, buy it as a non-brainer alongside the hourly trend line.

GVI Forex john bland 09:24 GMT February 1, 2013
Switzerland
Reply   

-- Earlier Data --
Swiss PMI January 2013
52.5 vs. 50.4 exp. vs. 49.5 prev.


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Plovdiv Gotin 09:24 GMT February 1, 2013
Year Hi
Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

If 1.3658 hold = Year Hi.

Perth WTR 09:23 GMT February 1, 2013
eur/jpy

make sure they have qualified technicians and assemblers, and strict QC before deploying it, we do not want another disaster like the nuke power plant

tokyo rana 09:21 GMT February 1, 2013
eur/jpy

Perth WTR 09:17 yes they preparing new one donot worry....

GVI Forex john bland 09:21 GMT February 1, 2013
China



EARLIER: China PMIs were mixed but in expansion territory.

Perth WTR 09:19 GMT February 1, 2013
eurjpy
Reply   
next 126.65

Beijing Laowen 09:19 GMT February 1, 2013
eur/jpy

WTR, yes. USDCHF at this moment is also interesting,imho, intaday wise, it can be tried for a buy here with s/l 0.9055.

tokyo rana 09:19 GMT February 1, 2013
jpy

Sell EURJPY
Entry: add130 Target: open Stop: later

i made 55pips in gbpjpy short gbpjpy position was 10times bigger then eurjpy....eurjpy 1k and gbpjpy 10k so over all plus.....happy trade

GVI Forex john bland 09:18 GMT February 1, 2013
China

-- Earlier --
China PMI January 2013
NBS: 50.4 vs. 50.4 exp. vs. 50.6 prev.


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GVI Forex john bland 09:18 GMT February 1, 2013
China
Reply   

-- Earlier Data --
China PMI January 2013
HSBC (final): 52.3 vs. 52.0 exp. vs. 51.5 prev.


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Perth WTR 09:17 GMT February 1, 2013
eur/jpy

yes Laowen, path of least resistance is very clear for eurjpy ;)
rana's elevator is broken, cant blame the japanese for that, it may be made in japan but the assemblers are just not qualified ;)

tokyo rana 09:14 GMT February 1, 2013
jpy

yes holding very small one.....

Beijing Laowen 09:13 GMT February 1, 2013
jpy

rana, are you still short e/j?

Beijing Laowen 09:12 GMT February 1, 2013
eur/jpy

In this kind of strongly trendy e/j bull market, "close your eye and buy buy buy" could be the easiest and cleanest method. lol.

tokyo rana 09:12 GMT February 1, 2013
jpy
Reply   
Sell USDCHF
Entry: 0.9065 Target: open Stop: 0.9165

happy trade

GVI Forex john bland 09:11 GMT February 1, 2013
Eurozone



EZ final Mfg PMI. Revised higher from flash estimate...

Amman wfakhoury 09:05 GMT February 1, 2013
Gold
Reply   
ashraf laidi said on 23th Jan 13
Gold will rise 1740 then 1760 but not more than 1830.
But he did not say when ?

hk ab 08:59 GMT February 1, 2013
eur/jpy
Reply   
let's see what kind of historical accident could happen on this pair.....

Has it broken the record in weekly chart for the longest straight rise without a retracement yet?

GVI Forex john bland 08:59 GMT February 1, 2013
Eurozone
Reply   

-- ALERT --
EZ- Final MFG PMI January 2013
(pre-data EURUSD= 1.3640)
47.9 vs. 47.5 (flash) exp. vs. 47.5



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GVI Forex 08:56 GMT February 1, 2013
Germany
Reply   
GERMAN FINAL JAN MFG PMI 49.8; FLASH 48.8; DEC 46.0

Perth WTR 08:46 GMT February 1, 2013
eurjpy

euraud makes new highs, should be good for other eur pairs later, nfp is just an excuse to be used later, pathway is clear for euro

Perth WTR 08:08 GMT February 1, 2013
eurjpy

followed you td, try some eurjpy long 125.43

Karachi 08:07 GMT February 1, 2013
Todays Technicals



1st February 2013

GOLD
Resistance Levels:
$ 1678.1 - $ 1691.5 - $ 1701.4
SUPPORT LEVELS:
$ 1654.8 - $ 1644.9 - $ 1631.5
STRATEGY:
Neutral
Buy above $1652, using a stop loss of $1641, targeting $1674.

Sell below $1678, using a stop loss of $1685, targeting $1655.


Silver
Resistance Levels:
$ 32.02 - $ 32.58 - $ 33.03
SUPPORT LEVELS:
$ 31.01 - $ 30.56 - $ 30.00
STRATEGY:
Neutral
Buy above $31.00, using a stop loss of $30.60, targeting $31.70.
Sell below $31.60, using a stop loss of $32.20, targeting $30.90.

Crude Oil
Resistance Levels:
$ 98.02 - $ 98.63 - $ 99.22
SUPPORT LEVELS:
$ 96.82 - $ 96.23 - $ 95.62
STRATEGY:
Neutral
Buy above $96.90, using a stop loss of $96.40, targeting $97.80.
Sell below $97.80, using a stop loss of $98.20, targeting $96.90.

CURRENCIES:
AUD / USD
Resistance Levels:
$ 1.0459 - $ 1.0490 - $ 1.0530
SUPPORT LEVELS:
$ 1.0388 - $ 1.0348 - $ 1.0317
STRATEGY:
Neutral
Buy above $1.0365, using a stop loss of $1.0330, targeting $1.0410.
Sell below $1.0410, using a stop loss of $1.0440, targeting $1.0360.

GBP / USD :
Resistance Levels:
$ 1.5902 - $ 1.5938 - $ 1.6002
SUPPORT LEVELS:
$ 1.5802 - $ 1.5738 - $ 1.5702
STRATEGY:
Neutral
Buy above $1.5840, using a stop loss of $1.5800, targeting $1.5920.
Sell below $1.5900, using a stop loss of $1.5920, targeting $1.5850.


EURO / USD :
Resistance Levels:
$ 1.3637 - $ 1.3664 - $ 1.3713
SUPPORT LEVELS:
$ 1.3561 - $ 1.3512 - $ 1.3485
STRATEGY:
Neutral
Buy above $1.3550, using a stop loss of $1.3490, targeting $1.3650.
Sell below $1.3650, using a stop loss of $1.3690, targeting $1.3550.

singapore td 08:04 GMT February 1, 2013
eurjpy

bought small eurjpy 125.46, add 125.20, stop all 124.77

tokyo rana 08:01 GMT February 1, 2013
extreme

Buy Gold
Entry: 1665 Target: open Stop: 1645

buy gold now for 1700/1900.....happy trade

kl fs 07:52 GMT February 1, 2013
eurjpy

out of eurjpy long now 125.55, only left final 1/4 with stop just under 124.80, will see later if can get chance to relong again
out for a while, be back before NFP

tokyo rana 07:49 GMT February 1, 2013
extreme

look like elevators ready....japan took lots of time to prepare this elevators.....this is unique and special elevators....happy trade

GVI Forex Blog 07:32 GMT February 1, 2013 Reply   
***Economic Data*** - (CN) CHINA JAN MANUFACTURING PMI: 50.4 V 51.0E >- (CN) CHINA JAN HSBC FINAL MANUFACTURING PMI: 52.3 V 52.0E (two-year high) - (AU) AUSTRALIA Q4 PRODUCER PRICE INDEX (PPI) Q/Q: 0.

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: China official Manufacturing PMI disappoints while HSBC PMI surprises as analysts question the accuracy around Lunar New Year - Source TradeTheNews.com

singapore td 07:27 GMT February 1, 2013
usdjpy

tom, US will manipulate NFP data later as well, so count them HFs+BOJ+Fed

manila tom 07:22 GMT February 1, 2013
usdjpy
Reply   
HFs + BOJ in tandem, 100 shouldn't be too hard

manila tom 06:42 GMT February 1, 2013
audusd
Reply   
audusd seems to be supported here fwiw

jkt abel 06:16 GMT February 1, 2013
buy euro
Reply   
btw, Ashraf was recommending target 1.40 for euro

kl fs 06:07 GMT February 1, 2013
extreme

no elevators available unfortunately, stuck with the stairs

makassar alimin 05:46 GMT February 1, 2013
extreme
Reply   
up the stairs, down the elevator

bali sja 05:32 GMT February 1, 2013
euro
Reply   
testing water now until London bought euro 1.3624, adding 1.3608
stop 1.3578

manila tom 05:26 GMT February 1, 2013
eurjpy

btw, superb call yesterday kl,fs! hats off! you seem to be riding the trend really well, much better than top pickers around

manila tom 05:20 GMT February 1, 2013
audusd
Reply   
better play something else than overcrowded eur and jpy trades
bought audusd 1.0388, stop under 1.0330 for now

jkt abel 04:57 GMT February 1, 2013
EUR/USD Fallout

don't worry 1.37-1.38 later ;)

Sanibel Is. Fl. Sir Ignore 04:53 GMT February 1, 2013
EUR/USD Fallout

caught the very top of the spike??? no spread......... ....

kl fs 04:52 GMT February 1, 2013
euro
Reply   
we need draghi to come out again and send euro to 1.40 ;)

kl fs 04:45 GMT February 1, 2013
Yen

yes, let the profits run, this is just a game of managing profits now, cannot lose, only sky is the limit

USA ZEUS 04:44 GMT February 1, 2013
EUR/USD Fallout

Loaded short all in at 1.3632

NYC Global-Jew 04:41 GMT February 1, 2013
Yen
Reply   
Party is not over for euro/ yen buyers yet.not until 128....don't believe the BOJ mantra that there has been no intervention....THERE HAS.....this is not a guess but coming from first hand experience.
NYC Global-jew 00:16 GMT January 11, 2013
Yuan Vs Yen: Reply
As YUan swap lines of exchange increase between chinas major trading partners hence by passing the international use of Usd , this at the same time prevents any pressure on the Chinese govmt to step up revaluation of yuan against the usd and yen.While yuan swap lines increase the yuan stays weak and Japan is countering this trading disadvantage by the only way it knows: weakening yen via intervention and increasing its own swap lines...result:A weak usd/ jpy heading to 105 and a weakerEuropean/Yen following to 128.

jkt abel 04:38 GMT February 1, 2013
eurjpy

Laowen, even 125 is a good support intraday probably for some scalp ;)

Beijing Laowen 04:33 GMT February 1, 2013
eurjpy

fs, technically, there is also a 4-hour channel upper border around 125.30~60, and there will be its lower border in the coming days around 119.5~120.5. There we can re-buy.

kl fs 04:29 GMT February 1, 2013
eurjpy

haha yes Laowen, can feel a few scratching heads already
anyway, i think some prisoners around 120-122, so i guess that should be a very good support if any

Beijing Laowen 04:27 GMT February 1, 2013
eurjpy

cheers fs kl. Seems there's correction due for eurjpy, but better use it as a chance to load the longs again. lol.

kl fs 04:14 GMT February 1, 2013
eurjpy

cheers to those going long eurjpy :)

kl fs 07:10 GMT January 31, 2013
eurjpy: Reply
today's special, buy between 122.71-123.08 for 125.20-50 tomorrow

jkt abel 04:05 GMT February 1, 2013
sell usdchf
Reply   
bias towards weaker usdchf as well, it does not look good at all

BLR virgoan 03:48 GMT February 1, 2013
USD/JPY
Reply   
Selling this pair at cmp 91.85. Target 88. Stop-93

kl fs 03:42 GMT February 1, 2013
euro
Reply   
you are right abel, no rush there

jkt abel 03:31 GMT February 1, 2013
EUR/USD Fallout

i learn from the past that it is usually better to wait for 100-200 pips more before starting going with Zeus after the call because he has many ammunition to add later if it goes higher
maybe somewhere in 1.37-1.38 first

hk ab 03:28 GMT February 1, 2013
EUR/USD Fallout

Zeus, thanks for your top call again!

May I know your target for eur short this time? is it a s/t trade or a m/t trade?

USA ZEUS 03:26 GMT February 1, 2013
EUR/USD Fallout
Reply   
Short @ 1.3608 and feeling like EUR/USD was a three-legged stool that just had another leg kicked out from under it....timber!

Syd 03:24 GMT February 1, 2013
AUSTRALIA'S first woman prime minister has serious man trouble. Male voters
Reply   
AUSTRALIA'S first woman prime minister has serious man trouble. Male voters have turned on Julia Gillard with a vengeance since the start of the year, driving her dive in the polls.

link

Hong Kong Qindex 03:11 GMT February 1, 2013
EUR/USD : Current Comments

EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : The market is under pressure when it is rejected from the barrier at 1.3604 // 1.3634.


Qindex.com

EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts

Syd 03:01 GMT February 1, 2013
Julia Gillard now leads 'most unpopular Australian government in past 40 years
Reply   
Julia Gillard now leads 'most unpopular Australian government in past 40 years'
A year after prime minister ousted previous Labor leader Kevin Rudd, only one in four Australians say they would vote for her
One year after Australian prime minister Julia Gillard ousted Kevin Rudd to become the country's first female leader, she's in serious trouble herself.

The enthusiasm that greeted Gillard on a crisp June day last year has all but evaporated, with barely one in four (27%) Australians now prepared to vote for her, according to a new poll – the worst for any major federal political party in almost four decades.

The enthusiasm that greeted Gillard on a crisp June day last year has all but evaporated, with barely one in four (27%) Australians now prepared to vote for her, according to a new poll – the worst for any major federal political party in almost four decades.

jkt abel 02:57 GMT February 1, 2013
euro
Reply   
buy 1.3570-1.3605, stop under 1.3520 for 1.3773 later

kl fs 02:49 GMT February 1, 2013
aud

problem though is that it can remain an illogical and self-sustaining move longer than most will remain solvent

Syd 02:32 GMT February 1, 2013
aud
Reply   
Colo Chief1Oar 02:25 GMT good article thanks

dc CB 02:29 GMT February 1, 2013
POMO
Reply   
as we said back on January 9, now that the Fed is back to full scale unsterilized market injections in the form of good old POMO, anyone who wishes to challenge the Fed directly may want to reconsider doing so via stocks (buying precious metals on FRBNY, BOE and BIS-facilitated 8:00 am crashes is always encouraged).

Recall what we said on January 9: "it may not be a good idea to be short stocks on any of the [POMO] days listed below." Below is a chart of what happened next: it shows the stock market's performance and whether or not there was POMO on that day.

Shorting The Market On These POMO Days May Be Hazardous To Your Health

ed kw 02:28 GMT February 1, 2013
AUD Idx

ed kw 20:47 GMT January 28, 2013
Monday's Market: Reply
Carry trade strategy not dead but resting//usd/jpy holds 90.00 is a small step for carry trade that can give support up to 100.

Syd 02:26 GMT February 1, 2013
China manufacturing growth slows
Reply   
Updated - China’s economic recovery might have stumbled, with the first official survey of factories in 2013 showing that conditions unexpectedly worsened from the previous month.

LINK

Colo Chief1Oar 02:25 GMT February 1, 2013
AUD Idx
Reply   


Found and interesting article on the Yen carry trade, (link below). AUD Idx pairs chart included as well.


Best
Chief

Yen Carry Trade is Back, But with a Difference

kl fs 02:18 GMT February 1, 2013
EURO

adding to that, Abe is just another US puppet, good luck Japan

kl fs 02:17 GMT February 1, 2013
EURO

[email protected], Okinawa is currently orchestrated to be like East Timor, on the process of being independent backed by stealthy operation by US, if that happens Japan cannot kick US out of its soil anymore

HK [email protected] 02:05 GMT February 1, 2013
EURO

.
Militarization of Japan is a very costly matter, so they will not stop ignoring the world and keep the devaluation.

Just wait until they will assemble the first nuclear bombs, and kick out the american bases from Japan.

kl fs 01:43 GMT February 1, 2013
EURO

euro 1.41-1.42 should not be a surprise by April if this rampage is allowed to carry on, good luck ECB

Syd 01:10 GMT February 1, 2013
Deadly Blast Rocks Headquarters of Mexico Oil Company
Reply   
MEXICO CITY—An explosion rocked the headquarters of Mexico's state-owned oil company Petróleos Mexicanos, killing at least 14 people and injuring 80, government officials said.

LINK

kl fs 01:00 GMT February 1, 2013
EURO
Reply   
do they need such a strong eur now? Oopps renewed US-Japan relationship with the appointment of Abe is surely screwing them up. And they still expect to pressure China into stronger yuan? Come on, tell Japan to stop manipulating their currency first.

ed kw 00:58 GMT February 1, 2013
What do u expect for that pair?

chy up,

Montreal Hesham 00:41 GMT February 1, 2013
What do u expect for that pair?
Reply   
Buy USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Any view?

hk ab 00:20 GMT February 1, 2013
gold
Reply   
fs, I still prefer using the silly bank indicator for my final decision on direction.

It's negative at the moment fwiw.

kl fs 00:13 GMT February 1, 2013
gold

Ab, still keeping same mantra lower gold and higher jpy pairs?

Colo Chief1Oar 00:03 GMT February 1, 2013
JPY Bas
Reply   


JPY pairs declined after opening yesterday then rose steadily from European open to close the day +660 pips with help from a last minute buying surge as NY closed.

GBPJPY led gains +158 pips, CADJPY +102 and EURJPY +98. Remaining pairs all closed up but lower with USDJPY showing the least gain on the day +65 pips.

The pairs have since risen 90+ pips touching the high set in October of 2009 then falling back some.

Declining volumes coupled with first of the month flows are worth watching closely. Currently holding cautious long bias ahead of tomorrow's data.

Best
Chief

 




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