Cambridge Joe 21:33 GMT May 13, 2013
USDMXN
Reply
*IF* USDMXN remains above 12.1335 for the next 2.25 hours, then we should see a decent sell-off take place. IMO.GL
Good night !
GVI Forex Inner Circle 21:13 GMT May 13, 2013
Calendar
Reply
May 13, 2013 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, May 14.
Updated: Trading Events Calendar
HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: DE- ZEW Survey, EZ- Industrial Production.
Cambridge Joe 20:53 GMT May 13, 2013
AUD/CAD
minoe = minor
Cambridge Joe 20:52 GMT May 13, 2013
AUD/CAD
Hi ib. I have eurjpy as over bought by quite a bit as well as usdjpy. Curiously they both have minoe buys on them at the mo, but that seems unsupported to me.... I think that gravity will start to show itself !
Paris ib 20:39 GMT May 13, 2013
AUD/CAD
Hi Joe, it's a weird market at the moment. Softer AUD, been a long time coming and OK with that. USD/JPY.... lot's of press, lots of jawboning and no reason to be bullish unless the Japanese decide to send their money abroad en masse. Will they? I think it unlikely. Euro lots of issues bubbling under the surface..... but the sell off on all major bond markets is interesting (OK main markets U.S., Japan) what does that mean? Somehow I don't think it's a positive sign for world growth. So keep bearish AUD continues and what else?
dc CB 20:36 GMT May 13, 2013
POMO
Reply
today was the on NO POMO day of this week...this week is also Options Expiry.
Tue, May 14, 2013 Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases 05/15/2020 - 02/15/2023 $2.75 - $3.50 billion
Wed, May 15, 2013 Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases 08/15/2023 - 02/15/2031 $0.75 - $1.00 billion
Thu, May 16, 2013 Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases 02/15/2036 - 05/15/2043 $1.25 - $1.75 billion
Fri, May 17, 2013 Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases 02/28/2018 - 02/15/2019 $4.75 - $5.75 billion
GVI Forex Inner Circle 20:35 GMT May 13, 2013
German ZEW Survey Tuesday. Busy calendar week
Reply
- HIGH
IMPACT ITEMS: DE- ZEW Survey, EZ- Industrial Production.
- Tuesday sees the closely
followed
German ZEW Survey, which can provides an inkling on how the IFO
Survey will show in about a week.
- Surprisingly, the markets took
the Fed signal that it is setting the stage for an exit from
Quantitative Ease in stride Monday. The purpose of the signal was to
desensitize markets to the actual announcement when it comes. Opinions
are all over the map on when the Fed will exit..
- An end to QE will adversely
impact bond prices, weigh on equities, and give
the USD a boost. Price moves in all these markets will appear virtually
instantaneously when they hit. Bond prices fell generally on Monday.
- U.S. March Advance Retail
Sales data Monday were yet another stronger than expected report.
- Swiss March retail sales were a
considerably weaker than expected -0.9% yy.
- Key data on Wednesday will be
U.K. employment data and EZ GDP readings. The U.S. will see several
releases with Industrial Production data likely the most significant.
Thursday sees EZ and U.S. CPI data and U.S. Housing Starts. Weekly
Jobless Claims are always closely followed. Friday caps off a busy week
with Canadian CPI data and the University of Michigan
Survey.
20d
avg
|
10-yr
|
Equities
|
EURUSD
1.3067
|
JGB
0.77% +11bp
|
Asia:Mixed
|
USDJPY
98.97
|
Bund
1.37% +7bp
|
Europe
Mixed
|
EURJPY
129.34
|
U.S.1.92%
+1bp
|
U.S.:Mixed
|
GVI Forex Blog 20:34 GMT May 13, 2013
Reply
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: DE- ZEW Survey, EZ- Industrial Production.
Tuesday sees the closely followed German ZEW Survey, which can provides an inkling on how the IFO Survey will show in about a week.
German ZEW Survey Tuesday. Busy calendar week
GVI Forex Blog 20:34 GMT May 13, 2013
Reply
Brief outlook (apologies but traveling): The NZD/USD break below 0.8260 points to 0.8160 next. Any AUD/USD corrective bounce today should be capped by 1.0000. Regarding AUD/NZD, we are awaiting a corrective bounce to at least 1.2150 to complete before the trend decline can resume to below 1.1900.
Forex - Westpac Morning Report
Cambridge Joe 20:29 GMT May 13, 2013
AUD/CAD
ib most that I have suggests softer USDJPY .... IMO !
Paris ib 20:09 GMT May 13, 2013
AUD/CAD
If the USD rally can be tied to rising U.S. yields where does that leave the JPY ?? Japanese bond yields are shooting higher... so either: Japanese bond yields rise as improving economic activity promotes a shift into equities or we are having a sell off. Does that mean it's time to buy JPY ??
Japanese bond yields
GVI Forex Inner Circle 19:49 GMT May 13, 2013
Chart Points
Reply
UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close
data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.
ed kw 19:42 GMT May 13, 2013
AUD/CAD
The Dollar had gained ground against most of its major counterparts after Treasury 10-year yields had risen to their highest level in nearly seven weeks. The rise comes ahead of a speech on monetary policy, by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Charles Plosser, on Tuesday.
The Australian Dollar was earlier expected to weaken and continue with its longest losing streak in almost a year. The expectation comes ahead of Treasurer Wayne Swan's likely pronouncement on Tuesday, that he projects a fifth and sixth year of budget deficits.
ed kw 19:31 GMT May 13, 2013
AUD/CAD
AUD/USD - Aussie slumps ahead of budget deficits and plenty more...
JERUSALEM kb 19:16 GMT May 13, 2013
Trading the sup & ress. levels
Buy USDJPY
Entry: 102.18 Target: 102.7-103.10 Stop: 102
buy stop with 20pips trail stop
last long hit sl with 15pips-
Cambridge Joe 19:11 GMT May 13, 2013
AUD/CAD
Toronto EDP 17:36
AUDCAD has paid ne heed whatsoever to some big buy signals in this setup.... just barged through them without a backward glance.
However, the rate of decline has slowed and has been buying for the last couple of hours. It looks like it might soften again in about an hour from here.... soo, tentative long from early Asia might serve well.... sorry I can't be more specific at this time.
ed kw 19:09 GMT May 13, 2013
AUD/CAD
asians want to compete with yen for xports
ed kw 19:02 GMT May 13, 2013
AUD/CAD
ed kw 22:22 GMT April 27, 2013
more steam: Reply
steam usd/cad is big fight over growth how is faster cot can be wrong again ca had a good print will us print weak, boom
ed kw 18:58 GMT May 13, 2013
AUD/CAD
aud will be week until get a new gov. and copper for chin_a is bad and ca has so so growth strength /to much cash on the sidelines looking for a home, look at gold to
Mtl JP 18:11 GMT May 13, 2013
AUD/CAD
IF you think usd is on verge of a rally cad should weaken.
there is a fair gap between the speeds of audcad and cadyen and cad against the europeans where the move has been a small fraction vs the asian crosses
Cambridge Joe 17:37 GMT May 13, 2013
USDJPY
Reply
**IF** USDJPY takes 102.07 **AND** remains above 101.76 until appr. 03:30 GMT.... it will sell nicely IMO. GL.
Note please. This represents a high probability trade IF the conditions are met. Of course, I have no way of knowing if they will be or not. If they are met, then, it will sell. IMO.
Cable long scalp, so far so good.... a bit slow for my liking... but there it is.
GBPNZD due downstairs thru Asia IMO.
Toronto EDP 17:36 GMT May 13, 2013
AUD/CAD
Reply
Anyone have any forecast/thoughts on short term opportunities for the AUD/CAD pair ? Recent drop appears to have been particularly severe in spite of the favorable interest rate of the Aussie.
Porto Cubriclas 17:15 GMT May 13, 2013
" Trade Ideas "
Lahore FM 17:20 GMT April 17, 2013
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3187 Target: 1.20's lower
FM dear friend what do you think is the probability till the end of 2013 of eurusd going lower 1.22/1.23? High, medium or low probability?
Paris ib 16:38 GMT May 13, 2013
Fed
CB.... can't help but wonder what our little friends got planned. The Treasury market just showed us where real demand for paper is without Ben Bernanke standing by to hoover up the paper: nowhere. No-one wants the stuff without Benny's backstop. The way I look at it there are two possibilities: 1) our little friends are happy to see the U.S. Treasury market take a dive (though I can't for the life of me figure out why unless it's an excuse for cutting all the entitlement and social spending there is - not the military stuff of course - so I guess you can look forward to a few more false flag operations to keep the 'tensions' high and justify ongoing high military expenditure) or 2) this was an experiment to gauge market reaction as they work out how to deal with 'tapering' of FED purchases. It's gonna be an interesting week. JGBs got caned too.... which is interesting if you are USD/JPY bull.
Cambridge Joe 16:35 GMT May 13, 2013
Cable
Cable ; trade-able lnog scalp about 12 mins out from here ! IMO. GL.
Amman wfakhoury 16:28 GMT May 13, 2013
GBPUSD 15270
Reply
Correction
=========
pls read 15270 iso 15370..by mistake.
GVI Forex Inner Circle 16:26 GMT May 13, 2013
Fixed Income
Prices in prime fixed income markets now mostly lower. Prices mostly lower in periphery.
hyderabad Krishna 16:25 GMT May 13, 2013
GBPUSD 15370
amman:
thanks... any time specifications...
hyderabad Krishna 16:18 GMT May 13, 2013
GBPUSD 1.5370
amman:
gbpusd 1.5270 or 1.5370 confirmed....
Amman wfakhoury 16:14 GMT May 13, 2013
GBPUSD 1.5370
Reply
1.5370 confirmed .. will be reached
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 16:03 GMT May 13, 2013
to gold operators
Reply
dont too lazy to draw your chart !!!
no money no game and no game no money. LOL
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:55 GMT May 13, 2013
shocking move
Reply
ready as the opposite of it.
Indonesia-Solo Raden Mas 15:49 GMT May 13, 2013
gold
Reply
wait sell new when break 1425 or sell new when up move. I wait at 1438 for sell my profit tgt is at 1382.
I look will down.
Raden Mas
Cambridge Joe 15:44 GMT May 13, 2013
Cable
#########
Cambridge Joe 20:22 GMT May 9, 2013
Cable: Reply
The may be a floor under Cable..... but if there is... I can't see it. All IMO. GL
############
Around 17:00 GMT WEDNESDAY looks firmer IMO. Still tricky.
Belgium JS 15:41 GMT May 13, 2013
buy cable
Well, 1.5310 gone now.
NY JM 15:36 GMT May 13, 2013
buy cable
This is from the Lloyds Bank Technical Strategy: Weekly Scorecard (not my opinion, just the messenger)
Both EUR/USD and EUR/GBP remain supported on medium-term charts and should in time rally towards 1.3580 and 0.86 – 0.88. In the short-term however there is very little direction
within the ranges of the last few weeks.
There are increasing signs however that GBP/USD is forming a medium-term uptrend, following its 1.4832 low in March. Support around 1.5310 is now likely to hold for a break
above 1.5606. This is still well within the long-term range however, with resistance higher at 1.6090 – 1.6180. We still keep an eye on Brent where support between $100 - $101 may put the USD under some fresh pressure.
NY JM 15:30 GMT May 13, 2013
buy cable
Oversold assumes it is specs pushing gbpusd lower but price action suggests it is flow, not spec driven, Just IMHO
manila tom 15:27 GMT May 13, 2013
buy cable
Reply
Bought 1.5311, stop under 1.5280, oversold short term looking for a quick bounce
GVI Forex Blog 15:12 GMT May 13, 2013
Reply
May 13, 2013 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, May 14. Updated: Trading Events Calendar
HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: DE- ZEW Survey, EZ- Industrial Production.
GVI Forex Data Outlook for 14 May 2013
Amman wfakhoury 15:06 GMT May 13, 2013
EURJPY 132.45
Reply
132.45 confirmed , will be reached within 24-36 hours.
GVI Forex Inner Circle 15:01 GMT May 13, 2013
Calendar
Reply
May 13, 2013 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, May 14.
Updated: Trading Events Calendar
HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: DE- ZEW Survey, EZ- Industrial Production.
PAR 14:47 GMT May 13, 2013
United States
Be carefull , BLOOMBERG is watching you .
Cambridge Joe 14:46 GMT May 13, 2013
GBPNZD
Reply
GBPNZD softer from here plus into Asia plus IMO. GL
kl fs 14:16 GMT May 13, 2013
buy audusd
that's given we can stay above 0.9950 on closing basis
kl fs 14:13 GMT May 13, 2013
buy audusd
Reply
a good and sizeable rebound maybe in store for audusd in the next 24-48 hours IMHO
GVI Forex Inner Circle 13:45 GMT May 13, 2013
United States
HEADS-UP: Business Inventories Data Due shortly.
Details at top of the page
(Manually refresh forum to update
EURUSD= 1.2978
GBPUSD= 1.5346
USDJPY= 101.75
Direct links to primary data sources
Singapore SGFXTrader 13:22 GMT May 13, 2013
Trading the AUDUSD range
AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:
Closed Audusd position at 0.99852.
Locked in the pips.
Singapore SGFXTrader 09:58 GMT May 13, 2013
Trading the AUDUSD range : Reply
Buy AUDUSD
Entry: 0.99626 Target: 40 pips Stop: 0.994
NY JM 13:16 GMT May 13, 2013
-
Red, not sure where you got 1.2940 from as support but it was the post-ata low. Nice one.
GVI Forex Inner Circle 12:39 GMT May 13, 2013
United States
U.S. Advance Retail Sales. Volatile series but data were better than expected.
london red 12:15 GMT May 13, 2013
-
Reply
Using other data as a guide risk is retial sales may surprise to upside and this may cause euro to test support at 12953 and 12940.
While a softer number may give yen legs to retrace back to under 101 where it would probably be worth a buy with a 102 target.
GVI Forex Inner Circle 10:00 GMT May 13, 2013
Fixed Income
Japanese 10-yr JGB Interest rates sharp upward mpve in recent days. Technical difficulties reported in JGB futures earlier.
GVI Forex Inner Circle 09:58 GMT May 13, 2013
Fixed Income
United States Interest rates. Waiting for U.S. trade. Substantial move higher in rates since prior to April jobs data. Psychological 2.00% line back in sight.
Singapore SGFXTrader 09:58 GMT May 13, 2013
Trading the AUDUSD range
Buy AUDUSD
Entry: 0.99626 Target: 40 pips Stop: 0.994
Attempt to make some quick pips. Collecting pips today.
Singapore SGFXTrader 09:56 GMT May 13, 2013
Trading the Eurusd Range
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:
Close the Eurusd position at 1.2971. Don't want to over stretch the trading time frame and expose to un-necessary risk.
Singapore SGFXTrader 07:39 GMT May 13, 2013
Trading the Eurusd Range : Reply
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.2964 Target: 1.30 Stop: 1.2944
GVI Forex Inner Circle 09:34 GMT May 13, 2013
ed preparing markets for QE exit. Busy calendar week
Reply
- HIGH
IMPACT ITEMS: US- Retail Sales
- When the Fed is going to act
has
been left vague, but clearly it is setting the stage for an exit from
Quantitative Ease. The purpose of the late Friday WSJ article story
appears to have been to start
well in advance
desensitized to the actual announcement whenever it comes.
- An end to QE would adversely
impact bond prices, then weigh on equities, and then give
the USD a boost. Price moves in all these markets will appear virtually
instantaneously when they hit, but the logic at least will be
sequential.
- Swiss March retail sales were a
considerably weaker than expected -0.9% yy.
- The G8 apparently did not put
much pressure on Japan to halt its efforts to stimulate economic growth
vs. QE and a weaker currency.
- One key development recently
has been the persistent improvement in U.S. data, although monthly
employment figures have tended to lag.
- Today sees the release of
key
U.S.retail sales data.
- Tuesday sees the closely
followed
German ZEW Survey, which often provides an inkling on how the IFO
Survey will show in about a week's time. Key data on Wednesday will be
U.K. employment data and EZ GDP readings. The U.S. will see several
releases with Industrial Production data likely the most significant.
Thursday sees EZ and U.S. CPI data and U.S. Housing Starts. Weekly
Jobless Claims are always closely followed. Friday caps off a busy week
with Canadian CPI data and the University of Michigan
Survey.
20d
avg
|
10-yr
|
Equities
|
EURUSD
1.3070
|
JGB
0.77% +11bp
|
Asia:Mixed
|
USDJPY
98.75
|
Bund
1.37% +7bp
|
Europe
Lower
|
EURJPY
129.08
|
U.S.1.90%
-1bp
|
U.S.:Lower
|
GVI Forex Blog 09:33 GMT May 13, 2013
Reply
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: US- Retail Sales
When the Fed is going to act has been left vague, but clearly it is setting the stage for an exit from Quantitative Ease. The purpose of the late Friday WSJ article story appears to have been to start well in advance desensitized
Fed preparing markets for QE exit. Busy calendar week
GVI Forex Inner Circle 08:53 GMT May 13, 2013
Fixed Income
Reply
Prices in prime fixed income markets mixed to sharply lower. Await U.S, Markets. Prices mostly lower in periphery.
Sydney ACC 08:12 GMT May 13, 2013
Trading the AUDUSD range
Quite incredible.
My screen shows AUD/USD bid prices at your trading times:
Low 0.99730
High 1.00074
Singapore SGFXTrader 07:40 GMT May 13, 2013
Trading the AUDUSD range
I dont use any model. I looked at charts and dont want to stretch the trading time frame too much. Want a quick job.
Haifa ac 07:33 GMT May 13, 2013 - My Profile
Trading the AUDUSD range : Reply
That is wonderful
You aimed at 40 pips and decided to get out with 32 pips
what model told you to get out?!
Haifa ac 07:33 GMT May 13, 2013
Trading the AUDUSD range
That is wonderful
You aimed at 40 pips and decided to get out with 32 pips
what model told you to get out?!
Singapore SGFXTrader 07:21 GMT May 13, 2013
Trading the AUDUSD range
Close position at 1.0006.
Locked in the pips.
Singapore SGFXTrader 04:58 GMT May 13, 2013
Trading the AUDUSD range : Reply
Buy AUDUSD
Entry: 0.9974 Target: 40pips Stop: 0.9950
Singapore SGFXTrader 04:58 GMT May 13, 2013
Trading the AUDUSD range
Reply
Buy AUDUSD
Entry: 0.9974 Target: 40pips Stop: 0.9950
Targetting quick pips
Hong Kong AceTrader 01:33 GMT May 13, 2013
Market Review - Yen tumbles to 4-1/2 year low vs usd : May 13, 2013
Reply
Market Review - 11/05/2013 00:11GMT
Yen tumbles to 4-1/2 year low vs usd
The Japanese yen tumbled to a fresh 4-1/2 year low due to dollar's broad-based strength together with a government report which showed Japanese investors purchased more foreign assets.
The greenback resumed its recent rally against the yen and rose in Asian session as data overnight showed Japanese investors were buying more foreign bonds. Price continued its steady gain in European session and eventually climbed to a fresh 4-1/2 year high at 101.98 in New York morning, however, price pared intra-day gains and retreated to 101.50 at New York midday before stabilising.
A Ministry of Finance report showed investors bought a net 309.9 billion yen ($3.1 billion) of foreign bonds in the five days through May 3, and 204.4 billion yen the previous week.
The single currency traded sideways in Asia and fell below previous day's low at 1.3010 to 1.2978 in European morning. Despite a brief rebound to 1.3016 at New York open, renewed dollar strength pushed price lower and euro dropped to a 1-month low at 1.2935 in New York morning. However, the pair pared intra-day losses and recovered to 1.2994 in New York afternoon before stabilising.
The British pound also traded sideways in Asia before falling to 1.5410 in New York morning. Cable staged a rebound in tandem with euro to 1.5416, however, price met renewed selling interest and tumbled to an intra-day low at 1.5314 in New York afternoon. Later, the pair rebounded to 1.5357 in New York afternoon.
In other news, German FinMin Wolfgang Schaeuble said 'important to remember G20 countries have promised not to improve competitiveness by manipulating currencies; Japan has promised to take cautious approach on currency rates issue; G7 will discuss foreign exchange rates.' BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said 'fx rates are determined by market; BOJ is not targeting Fx rates in guiding monetary policy; will tell G7 that BOJ's monetary easing in April was for domestic purposes; G7 likely to discuss market moves in general in context of debate on global economy; JGB market has been volatile since BOJ's April easing but gradually stabilizing;
On the data front, U.K. March Non-EU goods trade deficit came in narrower-than-expected at 3.47 bln stg vs forecast of -4.10 bln stg.
Data to be released next week:
Australia home loans, NAB business conditions, business confidence, China industrial production, retail sales, Swiss retail sales, U.S. retail sales and business inventories on Monday.
Japan domestic CGPI, machine tool orders, Germany WPI, CPI, HICP, ZEW current conditions, economic sentiment, U.K. house prices, Italy CPI, HICP, EU industrial production, ZEW economic sentiment, U.S. import price index, export price index and redbook retail sales on Tuesday.
Japan tertiary index, consumer confidence, France GDP, HICP, CPI, Germany GDP, Italy GDP,EU GDP, UK claimant count, ILO unemployment rate, U.S. empire state manufacturing, PPI, industrial production, capacity utilisation and NAHB housing market index on Wednesday.
New Zealand business PMI, Japan GDP, industrial production, capacity utilisation, Italy trade balance, EU CPI, trade balance, U.S. CPI, jobless claims, housing starts, building permits and Philadelphia fed survey on Thursday.
New Zealand consumer confidence, Japan machinery orders, China conference board, Canada CPI, U.S. U. of Michigan consumer confidence and leading indicators on Friday.
perth wtr 01:00 GMT May 13, 2013
corzined cyprused
Cb, will you buy those for your spouse?
many more chart points
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