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Forex Forum Archive for 05/14/2013

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


dc CB 23:53 GMT May 14, 2013
BULLS SEIZE THE TAPE AGAIN
Reply   
Either there is a spectacular economic recovery in the future or we’ve entered a new level of overbought conditions. Is there something in between? We’ll see, but I don’t know.

CNBC trotted out its most reliable bull with David Tepper, founder and CIO of Appaloosa Management, who’s armed with a reputation to spark rallies. He obliged by reinforcing his previous themes but added a forecast of a great industrial and manufacturing renaissance in the U.S. and that the U.S budget deficit will be wiped out soon. This is based on what exactly? The bullish cheerleader sums it all up below:

Dave's ETF Rpt

JERUSALEM kb 22:23 GMT May 14, 2013
Trading the sup & ress. levels

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3020 Target: 1.2770-1.2250 Stop: 1.3020

sl now at b/e

jkt abel 21:50 GMT May 14, 2013
audusd

Time for some payback and bounce imho! Buy level for euro 1.2920, gbpusd 1.5210, audusd 0.9880, good luck!! Imminent up!

GVI Forex Blog 21:14 GMT May 14, 2013 Reply   
Event risk today: Australia has vehicle sales and wage costs, and there’s a large batch of data from the US tonight as well as Eurozone GDP.

Forex - Westpac Morning Report

GVI Forex Inner Circle 20:50 GMT May 14, 2013
Calendar
Reply   


May 14, 2013 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, May 15. Updated: Trading Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: GB- BOE Inflation Report, Employment, EZ- GDP, US- PPI, Empire PMI, Industrial Production, NAHB.

  • Far East: JP- Tertiary Activity Index.
  • Europe: GB- Employment, BOE Inflation Report. EZ- GDP.
  • North America: US- Weekly Mortgages, PPI, Empire PMI, TIC Data, Industrial Production, NAHB, EIA Crude.


  • Direct links to primary data sources


GVI Forex Inner Circle 20:46 GMT May 14, 2013
German ZEW disappoints. Active calendar Friday
Reply   

  • HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: GB- BOE Inflation Report, Employment, EZ- GDP, US- PPI, Empire PMI, Industrial Production, NAHB
  •  Key data on Wednesday will be U.K. employment data, the latest  BOE Inflation Report and EZ GDP readings. The U.S. will see several releases with Industrial Production data likely the most significant.
  • The May German ZEW Survey, was weaker than expected, but about flat on the month.
  • Markets are still adjusting to the Fed signal that it is preparing for an exit from Quantitative Ease. This marked a key shift from the signal sent after the May 1 FOMC meeting just two weeks ago. At that time the Fed policy guidance was equivocal.  
  • The purpose of the new signal was to desensitize markets to the actual announcement when it comes. Expectations for an eventual end to QE has weighed on bond prices.
  • Thursday sees EZ and U.S. CPI data and U.S. Housing Starts. Weekly Jobless Claims are always closely followed. Friday caps off a busy week with Canadian CPI data and the University of Michigan Survey.  
20d avg
10-yr
Equities
EURUSD 1.3054
JGB 0.85% +8bp
Asia:Lower
USDJPY 99.22
Bund 1.36% -1bp
Europe Higher
EURJPY 129.53
U.S.1.92%  0bp
U.S.:Higher

GVI Forex Blog 20:46 GMT May 14, 2013 Reply   
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: GB- BOE Minutes, Employment, EZ- GDP, US- PPI, Empire PMI, Industrial Production, NAHB Key data on Wednesday will be U.K. employment data, the latest BOE Meetring Minutes and EZ GDP readings. The U.S. will see several releases with Industrial Production data likely the most significant.

German ZEW disappoints. Active calendar Friday

GVI Forex Inner Circle 20:39 GMT May 14, 2013
United States
Reply   

-- ALERT --
(Estimates and Previous data for EIA Survey)
Crude Oil: +1.100 vs. +0.0 exp vs. n/a prev.
Gasoline: -0.480 vs. -1.000 vs. n/a prev.
Distillates: +1.920 vs. +0.500 exp vs. +n/a prev.
Cap/Util: 87.6% vs. 87.0% exp. vs. +n/a prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Inner Circle 20:39 GMT May 14, 2013
United States
Reply   
..

GVI Forex Inner Circle 19:48 GMT May 14, 2013
Chart Points


UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

GVI Forex Inner Circle 19:47 GMT May 14, 2013
Chart Points
Reply   
Preliminary Closing Trading Points...
many more chart points
About Moving Averages
About Bollinger Bands


london red 19:43 GMT May 14, 2013
cable
Reply   
has touched fibo at 15220 and that has caused a rebound, but 15280 should cap since inflation report tomorrow, closer by, the 55 day sma can be expected to hamper now that cable broke below it. below 15200 floodgates may open but think not ahead of BoE inflation report, although employment number earlier can start the ball rolling if worse than the -3000 (off claims) expected. looking towards the inflation report, risk is of a toning down of future inflation expectations. if this is seen, market will look at possibility of further qe given carney entrance in july. one can argue data has been encouraging of late, but lower inflation expectations will cause a kneejerk selloff nevertheless. sell first, ask questions later, thats how the market operates. 15020/00 may be a good time to ask them if seen.

Israel Dil 19:14 GMT May 14, 2013
EURO - sell sell sell

Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop: 1.3150

Stop level adjusted and some pips converted into booked profits

buying USD remains the theme for now, timing is the to personal style and preference. Make money

Dil

Dillon AL 19:10 GMT May 14, 2013
Forex Trading Theme for the Week



Weekly setup videos for the EUR/USD and GBP/USD
The Cable vid also looks at Gbp/Jpy and Usd/Jpy
Sometimes it is worth while just pausing in the heat of battle to see what was said this past weekend and measure to see how its unfolding during the week

To access the videos Click here

Want More then Click here

Amman wfakhoury 19:05 GMT May 14, 2013
GBPUSD 15270
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 16:14 GMT May 13, 2013
GBPUSD 1.5270: Reply
1.5270 confirmed .. will be reached
----------
reached today.

Amman wfakhoury 19:04 GMT May 14, 2013
EURJPY 132.45
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 15:06 GMT May 13, 2013
EURJPY 132.45: Reply
132.45 confirmed , will be reached within 24-36 hours.

--------------
132.45 reached within 24-36 hours.

Jeddah Abb 18:23 GMT May 14, 2013
Aud/Nzd
Reply   
hope this aud/nzd go above 1.2085 to 1.217 finaly to 1.224....

SaR KaL 18:13 GMT May 14, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

cable will make a show this week
avg
1.5487 1.5376
expecting 1.59 next 2 weeks

SaR KaL 18:09 GMT May 14, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

GBPAUD
I thought was southbound early this week
Now i think wants 1.6 in a month
Longs
1.5505 1.5378
average this week

Longs
1.5457 1.5282
1.5481 1.5258
1.5506 1.5234
1.5530 1.5210

SaR KaL 18:02 GMT May 14, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

Boston
Why Not?LOL
avg gbpjpy this week
157.6996 155.6190

Lahore FM 17:44 GMT May 14, 2013
" Trade Ideas "

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3158 Target: Stop: 1.3035 bid for half

Lahore FM 10:59:59 GMT - 05/10/2013

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3158 Target: Stop: 1.3080 for half
Lahore FM 12:37:33 GMT - 05/08/2013

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3158 Target: Stop: 1.3225 bid
sold now.
--
sl further lower to 1.3080 for half portion short 1.3158.
--
sl down at 1.3035 bid now for 1.3158 half short.

slight possibility that it might get hit.if so will sell around 1.3080.

Lahore FM 17:41 GMT May 14, 2013
" Trade Ideas "

any ticks to 95.60 a sell.i will sell there if seen.

Boston BR 17:41 GMT May 14, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

Kal, you seem to be trying to climb Niagara Falls

Lahore FM 17:40 GMT May 14, 2013
" Trade Ideas "

eurusd is heading that way Cubriclas!

crude about to plummet!!

SaR KaL 17:35 GMT May 14, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

yeeeeeeeeeee haaaaaaaaaa
NZDUSD Longs
0.8319 0.8178
0.8335 0.8162
0.8351 0.8146

Boston RS 17:25 GMT May 14, 2013
USD religion
Reply   
We saw one USD bear find new USD religion (Viies) and wonder when the rest of the crowd here will join in?????

Paris ib 17:12 GMT May 14, 2013
Happy Tuesday

In all stock markets ?

SaR KaL 17:03 GMT May 14, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

USDCHF shorts
0.9628 0.9520
0.9644 0.9505
0.9659 0.9490
0.9674 0.9475

adding

PAR 16:58 GMT May 14, 2013
Happy Tuesday
Reply   
Every Tuesday in 2013 stocks have closed higher .TGIT

PAR 16:41 GMT May 14, 2013
Alert

Before we know GREECE is AAA.

dc CB 16:26 GMT May 14, 2013
Nasdaq-100 Breaks 3000, First Time Since 2000



another Bullish cover

Tallinn viies 16:25 GMT May 14, 2013
eurusd
Reply   
I have been euro bull for quite some time' and to be honest only january worked well enough. next 3 month just plain surviving.
after second daily close under 200 day ma I decided to turn bearish, sold euros at 1,2995. with stop at 1,3045. target 1,2750

GVI Forex Inner Circle 16:19 GMT May 14, 2013
Fixed Income

Major bond market prices ending mixed. Peripheral prices weaker.

GVI Forex 16:15 GMT May 14, 2013
Alert
Reply   

-- ALERT --
EURUSD popped up on this
Fitch upgrades Greece one notch to B-, outlook stable


SaR KaL 15:19 GMT May 14, 2013
Nasdaq-100 Breaks 3000, First Time Since 2000

DC
qqq Buying
73.2836 72.5782

73.4420 72.4215
73.6005 72.2656
73.7590 72.1103
73.9175 71.9556

2 weeks wants 76 I think

dc CB 15:07 GMT May 14, 2013
Nasdaq-100 Breaks 3000, First Time Since 2000
Reply   
Up 195% from the Q1 2009 lows, the Nasdaq-100 has now broken back above the magical 3000 level. A level first seen in Nov 1999 (back then it took 4 more weeks to hit 4000).

ZH

SaR KaL 15:04 GMT May 14, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

I think Yo can Short USDJPY for the day
102.4265 101.1933

102.7185 100.9056
103.0105 100.6195
103.3026 100.3350
103.5946 100.0522

JERUSALEM kb 14:45 GMT May 14, 2013
Trading the sup & ress. levels

Buy USDJPY
Entry: 102.1i Target: 102.7-103.10 Stop: 102

buy stop warming up.

jkt acce 14:43 GMT May 14, 2013
audusd
Reply   
0.98 handle is a bit too much this week imho, will buy there for a bounce even as high as 1.0150

GVI Forex Inner Circle 14:41 GMT May 14, 2013
Japan

Pimco's Gross: Never have investors reached so high in price for so low a return. Never have investors stooped so low for so much risk

kl fs 14:27 GMT May 14, 2013
buy gbpusd
Reply   
buy cable!! 1.5236, stop below 1.5170 will do, take profit during Asian session tomorrow if not stopped out

SaR KaL 14:17 GMT May 14, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

USDCHF Shorts
0.9613 0.9536

0.9628 0.9521
0.9643 0.9506
0.9659 0.9490
0.9674 0.9475

SaR KaL 14:13 GMT May 14, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

eurjpy longs
133.1210 131.0848

133.5960 130.6187
134.0710 130.1560
134.5460 129.6965
135.0210 129.2402


gbpchf longs
1.4704 1.4590

1.4726 1.4568
1.4748 1.4546
1.4770 1.4524
1.4792 1.4503

Amsterdam Purk 14:09 GMT May 14, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

I have 0,92 as the low somewhere in aud. Overshoot might throw it to 0,88.

SaR KaL 14:07 GMT May 14, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

nzdjpy
Longs
84.6195 83.3394

84.9052 83.0589
85.1910 82.7803
85.4768 82.5035
85.7626 82.2286

cadchf Lomgs are good
0.9512 0.9432

0.9527 0.9417
0.9543 0.9401
0.9558 0.9386
0.9574 0.9371

GVI Forex Blog 14:04 GMT May 14, 2013 Reply   
May 14, 2013 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, May 16. Updated: Trading Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: GB- BOE Minutes, Employment, EZ- GDP, US- PPI, Empire PMI, Industrial Production, NAHB.

GVI Forex Data Outlook for 15 May 2013

SaR KaL 14:04 GMT May 14, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

AUDJPY
Longs
102.0072 100.6176

102.3268 100.3033
102.6465 99.9909
102.9662 99.6804
103.2859 99.3719

GVI Forex Inner Circle 14:02 GMT May 14, 2013
Calendar
Reply   


May 14, 2013 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, May 16. Updated: Trading Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: GB- BOE Minutes, Employment, EZ- GDP, US- PPI, Empire PMI, Industrial Production, NAHB.

  • Far East: JP- Tertiary Activity Index.
  • Europe: GB- Employment, BOE Minutes. EZ- GDP.
  • North America: US- Weekly Mortgages, PPI, Empire PMI, TIC Data, Industrial Production, NAHB, EIA Crude.


  • Direct links to primary data sources


SaR KaL 13:53 GMT May 14, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

Long CADJPY
101.4223 100.0405

101.7368 99.7312
102.0513 99.4238
102.3658 99.1183
102.6804 98.8147

SaR KaL 13:49 GMT May 14, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

AUDUSD
average this week 1.0049 0.9976
Still Down trends IMO
for .98ish
will short next day
I need it above 1.0046
to short

if want to long
0.9986 0.9914

1.0002 0.9899
1.0017 0.9884
1.0032 0.9869
1.0047 0.9854

SaR KaL 13:46 GMT May 14, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

USDJPY
boring for another week
102.1188 100.8908
not much I think

Cambridge Joe 13:46 GMT May 14, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

LY. It is just my opinion that usd is going to lose value against other currencies over the next 24 hours, particularly from Asia open.

Again, it is only my opinion and events will tell in hind-sight.

Where is M ?

SaR KaL 13:41 GMT May 14, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

LY Joe Said That..I did not
Ask him

SaR KaL 13:38 GMT May 14, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

eurcad will short
1.3166 1.3061

1.3186 1.3040
1.3206 1.3020
1.3227 1.3000
1.3247 1.2980

EURGBP Shorts
0.8514 0.8447

0.8529 0.8433
0.8543 0.8418
0.8558 0.8403
0.8573 0.8389

M LY 13:34 GMT May 14, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Sorry, what do you mean by US dollar bulls are headed for a clipping?

SaR KaL 13:31 GMT May 14, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

Thanks Joe
Cable Longs are good too IMO
1.5351 1.5241

1.5373 1.5220
1.5395 1.5199
1.5416 1.5177
1.5438 1.5156
easy 1.57ish in a couple of weeks

Cambridge Joe 13:11 GMT May 14, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

SaR KaL 12:51

Agree with you KaL, in fact, looks to me like USD Bulls are heading for a clipping over the next 24 and gathering impetus around Asia open. IMO.

SaR KaL 13:10 GMT May 14, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

IMO Good Trades for a wekk
is
eurgbp shorts
usdcad shorts
and gbpjpy longs

eurusd slow Bulls
from 1.2950ish to 1.3060ish

Paris ib 12:57 GMT May 14, 2013
Japan

It's only Tuesday. Give it time. Though I don' think it's that easy. If bonds go, stocks won't be far behind and that should support bonds (for a time). So we are unlikely to see bonds sell off in a straight line.

SaR KaL 12:56 GMT May 14, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

gold longs
1,441.1358 1,419.8633

1,447.6253 1,413.4982
1,454.1149 1,407.1899
1,460.6044 1,400.9377
1,467.0940 1,394.7408

heading to 1550 in 3 weeks but slow

GVI Forex Inner Circle 12:54 GMT May 14, 2013
Japan

Sooner or later there will be a major sell-off bonds. I thought we would have seen more of a sell-off on Monday.

SaR KaL 12:51 GMT May 14, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

USDCAD wants .98 in a couple of weeks
I shorted here
and adding with day trade levels
1.0143 1.0067
1.0154 1.0056
1.0166 1.0045
1.0177 1.0034

Paris ib 12:49 GMT May 14, 2013
Japan

Hi John, yes I know. The entire world assumed that QE in Japan would bring down JGB yields significantly and see a huge exodus of Japanese capital from local markets. I think that whole premise was largely wishful thinking. Yields aren't down and the Japanese have repatriated funds on a massive scale over the past 5 weeks, given the improved exchange rate that can hardly be a surprise. The exodus or hoped for exodus seems to be way over rated. The Japanese stock market has outperformed foreign markets and if there is a shift it is more likely to have been out of Japanese bonds and into Japanese stocks. In the longer term for global markets what happens on the U.S. Treasury market is likely to be key. Are we at the start of a significant sell off there?

Sydney ACC 12:42 GMT May 14, 2013
buy audusd

For the last five years the world has bought Aussie to the extent in excess of 80% of Australian government bonds are held by foreigners.
It's possible the decline we are witnessing is similar to what we experienced 15-20 years ago. The charts in such circumstances are worth little.

GVI Forex john 12:42 GMT May 14, 2013
Japan

IB- we were wondering if JGB holders were starting to move out of JGBs in pursuit of higher yields abroad. If so that could weigh on the JPY.

There is no doubt that the expected wind down of QE in the U.S. will impact almost every bond market around the globe.

Paris ib 12:36 GMT May 14, 2013
Japan

I guess the question is: is the selling in U.S. Treasuries related to the sell off in JGBs ? Japan would certainly now have a much better exchange rate at which to repatriate funds held in U.S. Treasuries if they have funding issues. In addition, if there is some kind of tit for tat war going on between Japan and China on financial markets then a sharp sell off in U.S. Treasuries would be felt by China, the largest holder of U.S. debt, after Japan. Oh what a tangled web.

GVI Forex Inner Circle 12:31 GMT May 14, 2013
United States

-- ALERT --
U.S. Import Prices April 2013
-0.5% vs. -0.40% exp. vs. -0.50% (r.-0.2) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

Paris ib 12:29 GMT May 14, 2013
Japan

First observation: this is what the Japanese appear to have been worried about and the real reason they announced QE. Unfortunately their announcement (I don't know if they have actually kicked off purchases yet) doesn't seem to have had the desired effect. There also seems to be a geo-political element to this. During a recent dispute with China over islands the Chinese recently threatened to sell their JGB holdings and send the Japanese Government into a debt spiral. I have heard nothing more on that count, just the public threat. What is interesting though is: a) the idea that the Japanese would send money abroad because of sharply lower local bond yields now looks like a joke and b) the Japanese are the second largest holders of U.S. Treasuries, so if the Japanese government does get into trouble on funding one would think that repatriation would be on the agenda.

perth wtr 12:16 GMT May 14, 2013
buy audusd
Reply   
Looking for a close above 0.9950, divergence on 4hr chart, dont like pushing it too much from sell side

GVI Forex Inner Circle 12:13 GMT May 14, 2013
United States
Reply   


HEADS-UP: Data Due shortly.
Details at top of the page
(Manually refresh forum to update
EURUSD= 1.2970
GBPUSD= 1.5290
USDJPY= 101.60

Direct links to primary data sources

ed kw 12:12 GMT May 14, 2013
audusd

Joe did call the top at 1.055 and i called the bodum in gbp/aud at 1.46//but track nzd/usd and aud/nzd for you aud/usd short and usd is king fish so the fed can bust all your trades in a flash

Cambridge Joe 11:58 GMT May 14, 2013
audusd

Yes guys, I make you right ! Looks like this aususd long scalp will fail..... it happens, of course.

Still, ATM, the rest of the planet appear to be disregarding the trend as well.... just for the minute ! :-)

Cape May JB 11:46 GMT May 14, 2013
audusd

Very common for traders to look to buy something "cheap" and fight the trend rather than to accept it and go with it.

Amsterdam Purk 11:45 GMT May 14, 2013
audusd

Yes agree, and i am dutch... we buy what might look like cheap.... some of us..

London Chris 11:38 GMT May 14, 2013
audusd

Maybe it is just trader mentality to buy what looks cheap even thoiugh trend says it might get cheaper.

Cape May JB 11:28 GMT May 14, 2013
audusd

Chris- good point. Chart looks pretty grim.

GVI Forex 11:26 GMT May 14, 2013
Forex News
Reply   
* Euro falls against dollar and yen after German ZEW

* Dollar index hovers near 5-week high

* Yen selling curbed by sharp rise in Japan bond yields


FOREX NEWS - Euro's gains fizzle out as dollar resumes upward trek

London Chris 11:21 GMT May 14, 2013
audusd

I tune in each day seems all I see are buy calls in the AUD. Is anyone going with this trend?

Amsterdam Purk 11:21 GMT May 14, 2013
audusd

basicly what is happening now, we just follow the footsteps of aud/usd a few years back. Somebody showed it to me many moons back. So money can be made all the way back to 90 and 85 LONG, as LONG as one takes the right steps and is very quick... why not take shorts eh? I do not like shorts in aud/usd. a few years back i did it the other way around, not now...
I will be happy to trade around, and at 98+ i will long some again

Cambridge Joe 10:55 GMT May 14, 2013
audusd

trying an AUDUSD long scalp ... abt 10 min frm here.

Brisbane Flip 10:52 GMT May 14, 2013
audusd

Mike Dumbo (Rudd's nickname for him the past 20 years) can take as much credit for that as he can for the weather. Commodity mining china boom will peak and unemployment will reflect the ex mining economy we live in now. That will be largely out of their hands as well. Bottom line is this was a once in lifetime opportunity and Union led Labor have pis.sed it up the wall. Instead of planning for the worst and hoping for the best the planned (spent) for the best.
It's like the three generation story. One (Keating) built it. Second (Costello) grew it. Third (Dumbo) lost it.

GVI Forex 10:43 GMT May 14, 2013
Global Markets News
Reply   
The EUR/USD hovered on both sides of the 1.30 handle in the session. It initially dipped to test 1.2985 after weaker-than-expected German ZEW survey but quickly recovered after Spain opened its 10- bond syndicate with orders surging to over €14B right away.

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: European Market takes heart that Spain 10-year syndicated order book surges to over €14B and offsets weaker-than-expected German ZEW survey

ed kw 10:27 GMT May 14, 2013
audusd

that new pair aud/chin_a was set up for the bad gov, to send their cash to future home

GVI Forex Inner Circle 10:19 GMT May 14, 2013
Chart Points





Day-Trading Chart Points (basis prior day ranges)


SYDNEY MIKE 10:12 GMT May 14, 2013
audusd

Can't complain, Australia unemployment rate (using same methods as previous governments) is under 6% all during the GFC.

When the liberals get into power, massive unneeded cuts = unemployment 8% and recession.

perth wtr 10:07 GMT May 14, 2013
audusd

Bunning Greeter, LOL that's a good one Flip

GVI Forex Inner Circle 10:05 GMT May 14, 2013
Japan
Reply   
Japanese 10-yr JGB Interest rates sharp upward move in recent days extended again on Tuesday. This is a massive rise that cannot be ignored. Any observations?

Brisbane Flip 10:01 GMT May 14, 2013
audusd

yeah its largely irrelevant and just outgoing legacy (history) management. Wayne Swann is handing down another budget he won't be implementing. Difference is this time is Liberal will have the job of implementing or changing it in 3 months.

He just confirms he has been out of his depth for 6 years and looks forward to his new position as a Bunning Greeter

london red 10:00 GMT May 14, 2013
audusd

Overall, real and nominal rates down slightly from last estimates hence fall in pair

GVI Forex Inner Circle 09:59 GMT May 14, 2013
German ZEW Survey mildly disappointing. Busy calendar week
Reply   

  • HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: US- No Major Data
  • Tuesday sees the closely followed German ZEW Survey, was weaker than expected in May, but about flat on the month.
  • The markets are still adjusting to the Fed signal that it is working towards an exit from Quantitative Ease. This was a shift from the signal sent after the May 1 FOMC meeting just two weeks ago. At that time the policy guidance was equivocal.  
  • The purpose of the latest signal was to desensitize markets to the actual announcement when it comes.
  • Expectations for an end to QE has adversely impacted bond prices.
  • Key data on Wednesday will be U.K. employment data and EZ GDP readings. The U.S. will see several releases with Industrial Production data likely the most significant. Thursday sees EZ and U.S. CPI data and U.S. Housing Starts. Weekly Jobless Claims are always closely followed. Friday caps off a busy week with Canadian CPI data and the University of Michigan Survey.  
20d avg
10-yr
Equities
EURUSD 1.3067
JGB 0.85% +8bp
Asia:Lower
USDJPY 98.97
Bund 1.36% -1bp
Europe Lower
EURJPY 129.34
U.S.1.92%  0bp
U.S.:Lower

GVI Forex Blog 09:57 GMT May 14, 2013 Reply   
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: US- No Major Data Tuesday sees the closely followed German ZEW Survey, was weaker than expected in May, but about flat on the month.

German ZEW Survey mildly disappointing. Busy calendar week

perth wtr 09:53 GMT May 14, 2013
audusd

anyone with OZ budget info?

perth wtr 09:44 GMT May 14, 2013
audusd
Reply   
bought 0.9943, stop 50 below

GVI Forex Inner Circle 09:22 GMT May 14, 2013
Chart Points
Reply   


May 13 data corrected


UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

Cambridge Joe 09:21 GMT May 14, 2013
USDMXN
Reply   
USDMXN looking primed to short around 12:30 GMT.

Provided it remains above 12.1237 until then..... so it seems to me !

IMO.GL

GVI Forex Inner Circle 09:08 GMT May 14, 2013
Eurozone



German ZEW Survey weaker than forecast but about flat on the month...

GVI Forex Inner Circle 09:01 GMT May 14, 2013
Eurozone

-- ALERT --
DE ZEW Survey May 2013
Expectations: +36.4 vs. +40.0 exp. vs. +36.2 prev.
Conditions:+8.9 vs. +9.9 exp. vs. +9.2 prev.


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Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex Inner Circle 09:00 GMT May 14, 2013
Eurozone

-- ALERT --
EZ Industrial Output March 2013
mm: +1.00% % vs. -0.50% exp. vs. +0.40%(r. +0.3%)prev.
yy: -1.7% % vs. -2.10% exp. vs. -3.10% (r. -3.20%)prev.



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Direct links to primary data sources

Cambridge Joe 08:54 GMT May 14, 2013
GBPNZD

This is the way we roll ! :-))

Cambridge Joe 14:46 GMT May 13, 2013
GBPNZD: Reply
GBPNZD softer from here plus into Asia plus IMO. GL

#######

GBPNZD looking to firm. Up is up and ATM even down is up, although taking a slightly longer route !

IMO.GL

GVI Forex Inner Circle 08:46 GMT May 14, 2013
Eurozone
Reply   


HEADS-UP: Data Due shortly.
Details at top of the page
(Manually refresh forum to update
EURUSD= 1.3005
GBPUSD= 1.5305
USDJPY= 101.40

Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex Inner Circle 08:43 GMT May 14, 2013
Fixed Income
Reply   
Major bond market prices mixed to higher. JGB yields up sharply again. Peripheral prices weaker.


Cambridge Joe 07:36 GMT May 14, 2013
Cable
Reply   
Cable remains below 5356 for the next six hours ?

If so, look for some very notable firming around that time.

IMO. GL

Hong Kong AceTrader 06:42 GMT May 14, 2013
DAILY AUD/USD OUTLOOK : May 14, 2013
Reply   
DAILY AUD/USD OUTLOOK - 0.9989

14 May 2013 01:03GMT

Y'day's fall to a 10-1/2 month low at 0.9941 suggests decline fm 1.0625 (Sep 12') to retrace early rise fm 2012 low at 0.9581 wud extend twd 0.9922 after consolidation but near term loss of momentum wud limit weakness to 0.9900/05 n bring rebound.

Sell on recovery n only abv 1.0047 (prev. sup) signals temp. low made, risks gain to 1.0070/80.

STRATEGY : Sell at 1.0020

OBJECTIVE : 0.9935

STOP-LOSS : 1.0055

RES : 1.0030/1.0047/1.0116

SUP : 0.9941/0.9922/0.9887

jkt-aye 06:37 GMT May 14, 2013
Will It Works ?
Reply   


happy hunting

Singapore SGFXTrader 06:27 GMT May 14, 2013
Trading the AUDUSD Range
Reply   
Buy AUDUSD
Entry: 0.9979 Target: 1.001 Stop: 0.995

Longing for some quick pips

ed kw 06:24 GMT May 14, 2013
For today’s 1000 am New York cut

EUR/USD 1.2950, 1.2975, 1.3000, 1.3050

USD/JPY: 99.00, 100.35(L), 101.00, 101.50, 102.00

EUR/JPY: 131.00, 132.00

GBP/USD: 1.5350, 1.5375

AUD/USD: 0.9900, 0.9970, 1.0000, 1.0040, 1.0200(L)

AUD/NZD: 1.1980

jkt-aye 05:50 GMT May 14, 2013
Chart Points

dear GV, please correct the database as i found the same data for 10th and 13th. tia

GVI Forex Blog 03:50 GMT May 14, 2013 Reply   
The Equity markets after having seen such huge run up may go in to a phase of consolidation in the next few days.

Morning Briefing : 14-May-2013 -0346 GMT

kl fs 02:55 GMT May 14, 2013
buy audusd

certainly looks like it...now 1st part done, let's see if we have enough momentum to propel it up later

kl fs 14:16 GMT May 13, 2013
buy audusd: Reply
that's given we can stay above 0.9950 on closing basis

kl fs 14:13 GMT May 13, 2013
buy audusd: Reply
a good and sizeable rebound maybe in store for audusd in the next 24-48 hours IMHO

Hong Kong AceTrader 02:42 GMT May 14, 2013
Dollar rises on better-than-expected retail sales : May 14, 2013
Reply   
Market Review - 13/05/2013 22:41GMT

Dollar rises on better-than-expected retail sales

The greenback rose against most of its major peers after a report showed U.S. retail sales unexpectedly increased in April, boosting optimism that the country's economy is recovering.

U.S. retail sales in April came in at 0.1% m/m, better than the market expectation of -0.3%.

Versus the Japanese yen, the greenback opened higher in New Zealand after G7 Finance Ministers accepted the yen's recent weakness at their meeting over the weekend and price rose to a fresh 4-1/2 year high at 102.15 ahead of Asian open. Dollar pared intra-day gains and retreated to 101.52 in early European morning before trading sideways, however, price rose to 102.05 at New York open after data showed U.S. retail sales unexpectedly increased.

The single currency opened lower in New Zealand and continued to trade sideways through Australia and Asian morning. Euro edged higher to 1.2992 in early European morning before briefly retreating to 1.2952, however, price rebounded to 1.2996 ahead of New York open.

Despite falling briefly but sharply to an intra-day low at 1.2941 on dollar's strength after the release of better-than-expected U.S. retail sales, price pared intra-day losses and rose to session high at 1.3000 before easing in New York afternoon.

Earlier in European morning, the single currency was pressured due to the comments from ECB's poilicymaker Visco (Bank of Italy governor) as he said 'If the economy needs further help, ECB may cut deposit rate to negative territory; personally think cutting deposit rate would be effective; there may be unintended consequences to negative deposit rates, but we know how to work on that.'

The British pound traded in a narrow range in Asia and edged higher to 1.5381 in early European morning before trading sideways. Despite marginal rise to session high at 1.5385 ahead of New York open, cable tumbled to an intra-day low at 1.5275 New York morning due to dollar's broad-based strength and active cross-selling of sterling vs euro (eur/gbp rallied from 0.8435 to 0.8493).

In other news, Greek PM Samaras said 'quarterly visits from EU/IMF inspectors to Athens to end, next visit to Greece to occur in October.' EU's Commissioner Olli Rehn said 'sees board agreement in G-7 on growth, jobs; and says 'credible medium-term fiscal consolidation plans needed; gradual fiscal consolidation must continue in EU; central banks have used board, diverse range of tools; speculation about "currency wars" is unfounded.'

On the data front, Swiss retail sales in March came in at -0.9% y/y, weaker than the expectation of 0.8%, prior reading is revised to 2.3% from 2.4%.

Data to be released on Tuesday:

Japan domestic CGPI, machine tool orders, Germany WPI, CPI, HICP, ZEW current conditions, economic sentiment, U.K. house prices, Italy CPI, HICP, EU industrial production, ZEW economic sentiment, U.S. import price index, export price index and redbook retail sales.

Porto Cubriclas 01:51 GMT May 14, 2013
oversold
Reply   
Buy AUDCAD
Entry: 1.0083 Target: 1.0164 Stop: 1.0040

Little rebound?

Toronto EDP 01:38 GMT May 14, 2013
EURUSD
Reply   
....also looking for 1.3073 on EUR/USD

Toronto EDP 01:35 GMT May 14, 2013
AUD/CAD

Re: AUD/CAD

Thanks guys, much appreciated. Looks like a tough call but personally looking for 1.01800 as a runup.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 00:53 GMT May 14, 2013
Wazzup

I posted this on GVI Forex and the Inner Circle earlier

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 23:54:41 GMT - 05/13/2013
Market feels like it wants to correct - anyone see it differently

LV ZW 00:43 GMT May 14, 2013
Wazzup

Stop city........

Miami ML 00:40 GMT May 14, 2013
Wazzup
Reply   
Is there any news out?

Porto Cubriclas 00:37 GMT May 14, 2013
where?
Reply   
where is everibody?

 




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