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Forex Forum Archive for 09/05/2013

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Mtl JP 23:30 GMT September 5, 2013
Strong U.S. data. ECB and BOE keep policies steady as expected

re "Neither offered any new future rate guidance"

with net result players feeling playful towards Mario “ready to act” Draghi to see if they can find his red line for higher rates across the board who "said today the monetary stance for the euro area will remain accommodative for as long as necessary, with the benchmark interest rate “at present or lower levels for an extended period of time."

Mtl JP 22:26 GMT September 5, 2013
Strong U.S. data. ECB and BOE keep policies steady as expected

I would argue that, relative to NFP for example, none of the other scheduled data releases qualify for HIGH IMPACT potential. Maybe Medium Impact.
-
Looks like the natives are restless and on the move:
Currency Trade Reaches $5.3 Trillion a Day Amid Yen Turnover bbrg

the reasons for that appear as varied as opinions.

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 22:25 GMT September 5, 2013
Calendar
Reply   


September 5. 2013 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, September 6. Updated: Trading Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: DE/GB- Trade, GB- Output, CA/US Employment

  • Far East: JP- Leading Indicators.
  • Europe: CH- CPI, DE- Trade, GB- Trade, Mfg/Ind Output.
  • North America: CA- Employment. Ivey PMI, US- Employment, COT Report.


  • Direct links to primary data sources


GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 20:23 GMT September 5, 2013
Strong U.S. data. ECB and BOE keep policies steady as expected
Reply   

  • HIGH IMPACT ITEMS:  DE/GB- Trade, GB- Output, CA/US Employment

  • The ADP Private Jobs estimate came in as expected and showed a gain of 176K for August. This outcome reinforces street estimates for a gain of 180K in the month. Keep in mind that the ADP Private Jobs estimate can be very unreliable. In addition to the ADP Private Employment report,  the latest Service PMI data and Weekly Jobless data reinforced the view that the U.S. economy has been improving.

  • Looking at forex and fixed income markets, it is clear that traders have set up for a strong U.S. August employment report on Friday. Thus the RISK is now on the USD downside.

  • The BOJ kept policy steady as widely expected, but revised up its economic assessment. USDJPY has popped briefly above the major psychological 100 line.

  • The  Bank of England and European Central Bank both kept their monetary policies steady, as widely expected. Neither offered any new future rate guidance.

  • The Syrian situation continues to fester as the U.S, continues to debate military measures.  Republican and Democrat leadership  have endorsed action.

  •  Friday is another Jewish holiday,  which could limit dealer participation. On Saturday Australia holds national elections.

  • For additional key items and more detail (dates, times, data estimates), be sure to reference our Economic Calendar and see the  FOREX FORUM  for latest key data and charts as they are released.
20d avg
10-yr
Equities
EURUSD 1.3299
JGB 0.77% -1bp
Asia Close Mixed
USDJPY 98.11
Bund 1.97% +3bp
Europe Higher
EURJPY 130.47
U.S. 2.98% +8bp
North America: Higher

GVI Forex Blog 20:22 GMT September 5, 2013 Reply   
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: DE/GB- Trade, GB- Output, CA/US Employment The ADP Private Jobs estimate came in as expected and showed a gain of 176K for August. This outcome reinforces street estimates for a gain of 180K in the month. Keep in mind that the ADP Private Jobs estimate can be very unreliable. In addition to the ADP Private Employment report, the latest Service PMI data and Weekly Jobless data reinforced the view that the U.S. economy has been improving.

Strong U.S. data. ECB and BOE keep policies steady as expected

Beirut Lebanon 20:10 GMT September 5, 2013
USDJPY
Reply   
Buy USDJPY
Entry: 100.15 Target: 101.15 Stop: 99.5

Goodluck

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 19:52 GMT September 5, 2013
Chart Points


UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 19:39 GMT September 5, 2013
Chart Points
Reply   
Pre-Closing Trading Points...
many more chart points
About Moving Averages
About Bollinger Bands


dc CB 19:33 GMT September 5, 2013
Fixed Income



in desperate need of a Big Red Candle

dc CB 18:47 GMT September 5, 2013
Fixed Income



with a boffo NFP number tom the 5ver could go to 2%

so far up 14+% on the week.

tokyo ginko 18:20 GMT September 5, 2013
usd/jpy position trade

slowly inching up...

Hillegom Purk 17:32 GMT September 5, 2013
Dil
Reply   
Israel Dil 13:30 GMT August 27, 2013
United States: Reply
does all that information matters?
silver at $24.50
gold at $1420
euro will be much lower
EUR/AUD will tank soon
oil will not find tanks to tank
__________________________________________

For those who still think that this man is someone who is not able to make big bucks, i will remember this forum again and again for this post. eur/aud tanked indeed for example. like 600 pips...
Great day for freedom...

london red 16:14 GMT September 5, 2013
Calendar

JP, think most certainly the latter ie. your second option no.2. and that only goes as far as liquid investments. the rest stays and will stay as its the only place to make the above average gains longer term.

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 15:50 GMT September 5, 2013
Fixed Income

Judging from USD values and the Fixed Income table, the markets are all set up for a blockbuster jobs number tomorrow??

That makes it clear on which side the risk lies!

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 15:48 GMT September 5, 2013
Fixed Income

Prices in prime fixed income markets are sharply weaker later in Europe as markets set up for a strong U.S. jobs reporton Friday. Peripherials prices are

much lower.


Mtl JP 15:41 GMT September 5, 2013
Calendar

with emerging markets currently collapsing into the toilet, can it be said :
- 1) that there is no global growth / recovery?
- 2) most - if not all - of the euro money has been now pulled out of the EMs?

GVI Forex Blog 15:12 GMT September 5, 2013 Reply   
September 5. 2013 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, September 6. Updated: Trading Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: DE/GB- Trade, GB- Output, CA/US Employment

GVI Forex Data Outlook for September 6, 2013

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 15:11 GMT September 5, 2013
Calendar
Reply   


September 5. 2013 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, September 6. Updated: Trading Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: DE/GB- Trade, GB- Output, CA/US Employment

  • Far East: JP- Leading Indicators.
  • Europe: DE- Trade, GB- Trade, Mfg/Ind Output.
  • North America: CA- Employment. Ivey PMI, US- Employment, COT Report.


  • Direct links to primary data sources


hk ab 15:09 GMT September 5, 2013
e/j
Reply   
after gold failure, someone's e/j call 131.83 is giving the omen to newbies again.....

God bless newbies....

ed kw 15:04 GMT September 5, 2013
United States

RED
services ism due. if follows manf/good call i went flat xauaud loong tks

Mtl JP 15:02 GMT September 5, 2013
United Kingdom

yesty gbp opened at 1.5540 (some have it 1.5560)

Will IT last?

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 15:00 GMT September 5, 2013
United States

-- ALERT --
Crude Oil: -1.84 vs. -0.500 exp vs. +2.960 prev.
Gasoline: -1.83 vs. -0.500 exp vs. -0.587 prev.
Distillates:+550 vs. +0.500 exp vs. -0.316 prev.
Cap/Util: 91.7% vs. n/a exp vs. 91.20% prev.


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Mtl JP 14:48 GMT September 5, 2013
Bernanke's Punch Bowl

ya, as logical as 3 StdD 1.3098 off the 20dma . could still overshoot by 30-50 pips though

london red 14:39 GMT September 5, 2013
Bernanke's Punch Bowl

13085 would be a logical place for a bounce

PAR 14:37 GMT September 5, 2013
Bernanke's Punch Bowl
Reply   
If you cannot stop drinking while you are already very drunk you are addicted .

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 14:31 GMT September 5, 2013
United States

Keep in mind, this is not my forecast. Its just what one pairing of data shows. Take it with a grain of salt.

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 14:30 GMT September 5, 2013
United States

-- ALERT --
Natural Gas (bcf)
+58 vs. +60 exp vs. +65 prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

london red 14:25 GMT September 5, 2013
United States

other data has suggested sluggish growth in employment but the facts are we are due a number a few standard dvs. away from consensus. looking at recent data, one would suggest it would be to the positive side.

PAR 14:23 GMT September 5, 2013
United States

Indeed . the more people retire the lower the unemployment rate gets. See Japan where soon everybody will be retired .

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 14:21 GMT September 5, 2013
United States



Services Employment PMI vs. NFP. I would not go by this forecast but the Services employment PMI is suggesting a strong NFP number (+350K?).

PAR 14:20 GMT September 5, 2013
Bernanje's recession obsession
Reply   
Why does depression obsessed Bernanke stays so negative about the US economy while all Us economic news is fantastic. Bernankes thinking is so unAmerican . Americans are known to be optimistic. Lets hope the next Fed chairman is a little bit more optimistic.

Livingston nh 14:18 GMT September 5, 2013
United States

tomorrow the Unemployment rate (Ben's mandate) may be the surprise rather than NFP - a modest rise in employment level and big reduction in labor force could push rate to 7.1 --- baby boomer retirements grow faster over the next few years (also anecdotal that gov employees opting out early rather than risk cuts)

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 14:09 GMT September 5, 2013
United States



ISM Services PMI. stronger than expected.

Mtl JP 14:05 GMT September 5, 2013
United States

14:00 / it sounds differently when called non manufacturing vs services PMI - think Invisible Manufacturing :-)

london red 14:03 GMT September 5, 2013
United States

ism strong overall with a good emp component, cements sept taper, just nfp in way. not sure euro close below key supports today but further forays below there look likely.

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 14:01 GMT September 5, 2013
United States

-- ALERT --
July 2013 U.S. Factory Orders
-2.40% vs. -3.50% exp. vs. +1.50% (-1.60%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 14:00 GMT September 5, 2013
United States

-- ALERT --
August 2013 U.S. Services PMI
58.6 vs. 55.0 exp. vs. 56.0 prev.
Employment sub-component
57.0 vs. n/a exp. vs. 53.2 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

london red 13:46 GMT September 5, 2013
United States

might be wise to cover short term euro longs as shortly us services ism due. if follows manf. then a meet/beat is in the offing. employment index is going to be closely watched.

london red 13:43 GMT September 5, 2013
United States

the euro often acts as a risk on/off currency, this needs to be added to the mix as in times of expanding growth it will be favoured at the expense of the dollar. eurchf is a more stable variety but in essence the same.

Mtl JP 13:38 GMT September 5, 2013
United States

john -- Inner Circle 13:11 you could consider either or both:

- the directional divergence of relative monetary policy between the ECB (staying scared) vs the FED (raving optimism)
- yield spreads

players probably do.

london red 13:30 GMT September 5, 2013
United States

not seeing too many off the ball nfp predictions, most v close to 175k. will need a couple of standard devs. away from there to illicit a large reaction, although a consensus print would have to confirm taper and so one would assume dollar strength vs euro. will need to look like closing below 200 day tomorrow otherwise we could well get a rally irrespective. euro should have a range of 150 points tomorrow.

Sakarya 13:22 GMT September 5, 2013
Hi

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: Hii Target: Stop:

Thanks so much [email protected]

HK [email protected] 13:19 GMT September 5, 2013
Hi



I think longer term chances are for 0.9500.

Tonight possibly will be capped by 0.9190, which may be reached this week.

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 13:11 GMT September 5, 2013
United States

Is it safe to assume that the markets are setting up for a strong U.S. jobs figure tomorrow? I am looking for the reason for EURUSD weakness.

Sakarya 13:09 GMT September 5, 2013
Hi
Reply   
Sell AUDUSD
Entry: Hiii Target: Stop:

HK [email protected] Any opinnion please again AUDUSD?

genova phile500 13:07 GMT September 5, 2013
EURJPY 131.85

why? risky!

london red 12:57 GMT September 5, 2013
United States

lets see the reaction now on the 1 month low and at key support. draghi needs to stay dovish as data improves to keep on top of rates, take note boe :)

Mtl JP 12:56 GMT September 5, 2013
United States

mario's tongue lashing not only the euro but the gbp as well

Mtl JP 12:46 GMT September 5, 2013
United States

euro chart points
50 day 1.3196
200 day 1.3145
100 day 1.3137 <= last support

Amman wfakhoury 12:43 GMT September 5, 2013
EURJPY 131.85
Reply   
131.85 will be reach again ..buy and buy again now 131.50
act fast.

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 12:39 GMT September 5, 2013
United States

U.S. Weekly jobless claims match recent lows.




Click on chart for ten-year history

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 12:33 GMT September 5, 2013
United States

U.S. Weekly Jobless

-- ALERT --
U.S. Weekly Jobless
Initial Claims (000)
323K vs. 330K exp. vs. 331K (r.332K) prev.
Continued Claims (mln)
2.951 vs. 2.984 exp. vs. 2.989 (r. 2.994 ) prev.



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Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 12:30 GMT September 5, 2013
United States


-- ALERT --
2Q13 final U.S. Productivity
+2.30% vs. +1.50% exp. vs. +0.90% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 12:29 GMT September 5, 2013
United States

So ADP data does not tell us much. Of course you cannot trust the data fully, but if it is correct, it suggests that jobs growth should remain sluggish.

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 12:19 GMT September 5, 2013
United States

ADP Private jobs in line with estimates...






Click on chart for more than 10-yr history


London Misha 12:16 GMT September 5, 2013
Observations
Reply   
EURUSD - Bullish Engulfing Pattern as market bounces up from a combo of Long & Medium MAs, 1.3149 Fib. Closes over combo Fib resistance 1.3184-86 but reverts back down today, all on Daily Chart.
USDJPY - 3rd White Soldier as market moves today over key 50% Fib of 2007-11 move at 99.84, all on Daily Chart.
GBPUSD - Bullish Marubozo after indecisive Spinning Top, Opening White Marubozo & neutral Doji each day. Tests 50% Fib resistance 2009-10 move at 1.5636, all on Daily Chart.
USDCHF - Bearish Harami as market retests Long MA support after 2nd close over but up today. Rises into a mess of Fib resistance on Daily Chart.
EURGBP - 2nd close below Long MA but forms a Bullish Hammer on Daily Chart as bounces up off 50% Fib at 0.8418 of 2011-12 move.
AUDUSD - 3rd White Soldier as closes over 38.2% Fib at 0.9141 of 2008-11 move & right on Upper Tine of recent Bearish SP, all on Daily Chart.
USDINR - Possible Double Top on Daily Chart with Opening Black Marubozo but also a possible Bullish Hammer.
USDZAR - Bearish Engulfing Pattern & almost a Key Reversal Down on Daily Chart!
USDBRL - Follow on to Key Reversal Down on Daily Chart but with a Bullish Doji as bounces up off Jun-to-date Uptrend!


GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 12:15 GMT September 5, 2013
United States

-- ALERT --
AUGUST 2013 -- U.S. ADP Private Employment
+176K vs. +180K exp. vs. +200K (r198) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

Mtl JP 12:13 GMT September 5, 2013
United States

sooo BoJ, ECB, BoE & Riksbank all stay pat
draghi holds his pressconf in 20 mins

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 11:59 GMT September 5, 2013
United States
Reply   


HEADS-UP: Data (top of forum)
EURUSD= 1.3205
GBPUSD= 1.5655
USDJPY= 99.93
AUDUSD= 0.9135
USDCAD= 1.0487

US 10-yr= 2.94%
DE 10-yr= 2.02%
GB 10-yr= 2.95%

(Manually refresh forum to update Calendar)

Direct links to primary data sources

ed kw 11:55 GMT September 5, 2013
United Kingdom

isn't gbp cot short so up to slaughter them

JERUSALEM kb 11:54 GMT September 5, 2013
Pipshunter

Buy Gold
Entry: 1385 Target: Stop: 1385

JERUSALEM KB 21:51:09 GMT - 09/04/2013

Buy Gold
Entry: 1385 Target: 1470-1520 Stop: 1372
-----'--------
sl to break even

ed kw 11:52 GMT September 5, 2013
United Kingdom

Will it last? gbp/jpy is strongest

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 11:45 GMT September 5, 2013
Eurozone
Reply   

-- ALERT --
European Central Bank (ECB)
Refi Rate unchanged to at 0.50%
Marginal Lending Rate unchanged at 1.25%
Deposit Rate steady at 0.00%


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Direct links to primary data sources

Saar KaL 11:35 GMT September 5, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

AUDNZD dive PI
9/5/2013 1.1708 1.1373
10/3/2013 1.1435 1.1108
at 93%

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 11:31 GMT September 5, 2013
United States
Reply   

-- ALERT --
August 2013 Challenger Planned Layoffs
50,462 vs. n/a exp. vs. 37,701 prev.


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london red 11:18 GMT September 5, 2013
United Kingdom

10 year gilts, at session lows, knocking on door of 3%. spread in favour of gbp vs us. that said, think selling 157/15750 ahead of nfp will be a good trade.

london red 11:16 GMT September 5, 2013
United Kingdom

there is a lack of harmony between members i think that much is clear, but the lack of a statement may also mean that one or some may have switched to a reduction in stimulus (i dont think rates comes into the question for anyone yet) given recent data. we shall see in the minutes in 2 weeks time.

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 11:08 GMT September 5, 2013
United Kingdom

Good Call: GBPUSD higher on the BOE on continued monetary stimulus to an already growing economy. Will it last?

london red 11:01 GMT September 5, 2013
United Kingdom

no statement would imply they are happy with how things sit, so cable may get squeezed

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 11:01 GMT September 5, 2013
United Kingdom

No BOE Statement. Says they will reinvest Gilt Proceeds.

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 11:00 GMT September 5, 2013
United Kingdom
Reply   

-- ALERT --
Bank of England
Policy Unchanged (repo rate 0.50%)
Asset Purchases unch at GBP 375 bln vs. GBP 375 bln


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

london red 10:57 GMT September 5, 2013
UK,US, EZ

they almost certainly will try to talk rates lower so initial move should be lower, but if they arent convincing or if there isnt anything new, we will probably recover and try higher. v much depends on whats said.

Mtl JP 10:42 GMT September 5, 2013
UK,US, EZ

odds are GBPUSD 1.5615 goes south

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 10:37 GMT September 5, 2013
UK,US, EZ
Reply   


HEADS-UP: Data-- See top of forum.
EURUSD= 1.3215
GBPUSD= 1.5615
USDJPY= 99.88
AUDUSD= 0.9149
USDCAD= 1.0482

US 10-yr= 2.93%
DE 10-yr= 2.00%
GB 10-yr= 2.93%

(Manually refresh forum to update Calendar)

Direct links to primary data sources

Mtl JP 10:11 GMT September 5, 2013
ECB and BOE decisions due. ADP private jobs key

Treasury 10-Year Notes Fall 3rd Day as Fed Sees Economic Growth - bbrg

(Reuters) - Russia and China warned on Thursday that the end of the U.S. Federal Reserve's bond-buying program could have a profound impact on the global economy and urged caution.

KABOOM !!! Fed’s Kocherlakota Says U.S. Economy Needs More Accommodation

- “The Committee is failing to provide sufficient stimulus to the economy,”
- “So far, we have not communicated effectively the Fed’s intentions"
- That uncertainty is contributing to some of the upward pressure on interest rates.”
=
Didn't the FED gang bubble recently about the market being on same page with the FED? Did FED Kocherlakota say they will be 2x / 3x the $85bn ? IF not, what ?

WHERE IS HILSYMAN with a new updated Fed-clarification piece ?

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 10:02 GMT September 5, 2013
Germany
Reply   

-- ALERT --
German Factory Orders July 2013
mm -2.70% vs. -1.00% exp. vs. +3.60% (r +5.0%) prev.
yy +2.00% vs. +2.70% exp. vs. +4.30% (r +5.6%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

Paris ib 09:53 GMT September 5, 2013
The Farce Continues
Reply   
"do you trust these guys?".... "what is the purpose, what is the end game?".... no answers are provided.

The U.S. admits use of white phosphorus in Iraq

Making the case for war

SAKARYA 09:46 GMT September 5, 2013
Hiiii
Reply   
Sell AUDUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

HK [email protected] Hii friend, I am so sorry, but how about AUDUSD today?what is your opinnion today...take care

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 09:13 GMT September 5, 2013
ECB and BOE decisions due. ADP private jobs key
Reply   

  • HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: DE- Factory Orders, GB- BOE, EZ- ECB, US- ADP Private Jobs, Weekly Jobs, Productivity, Service PMI

  • The BOJ kept policy steady as widely expected, but revised up its economic assessment. USDJPY has popped briefly above the major psychological 100 line.
  • Today sees policy decisions by the  Bank of England and European Central Bank. Both are expected to keep policies steady. All eyes are on future rate guidance.

  • The Syrian situation continues to fester as the U.S, continues to debate military measures.  Republican and Democrat leadership  have endorsed action.

  • A focus of activity will be the ADP Private Jobs estimate and what they imply for Non-Farm Payrolls on Friday.

  •  Friday sees  U.S. employment data. Thursday  and Friday are Jewish holidays which could limit dealer participation. On Saturday Australia holds national elections.

  • For additional key items and more detail (dates, times, data estimates), be sure to reference our Economic Calendar and see the  FOREX FORUM  for latest key data and charts as they are released.
20d avg
10-yr
Equities
EURUSD 1.3311
JGB 0.77% -1bp
Asia Close Mixed
USDJPY 97.95
Bund 1.97% +3bp
Europe Higher
EURJPY 130.11
U.S. 2.93% +3bp
North America: Mixed

GVI Forex Blog 09:12 GMT September 5, 2013 Reply   
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: DE- Factory Orders, GB- BOE, EZ- ECB, US- ADP Private Jobs, Weekly Jobs, Productivity, Service PMI The BOJ kept policy steady as widely expected, but revised up its economic assessment. USDJPY has popped briefly above the major psychological 100 line.

ECB and BOE decisions due. ADP private jobs key

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 08:38 GMT September 5, 2013
Fixed Income
Reply   
Prices in prime fixed income markets are mostly weaker early in Europe. Markets appear to be setting up for a strong U.S. jobs report? Peripherals prices are mixed.


Paris ib 07:19 GMT September 5, 2013
Distraction and B.ullshit

KaL don't I know it ! ;-)

london red 07:17 GMT September 5, 2013
cable
Reply   
with no data to fix on, market is likely to look forward to boe meet and the expectation of dovish statements. thru 15600 selling should accelerate. so should stay soft in meet, but there will be risk of a rally if they once again make a mess of their statement.

Saar KaL 07:16 GMT September 5, 2013
Distraction and B.ullshit

IB
Nothing new
Been done since Henry da 8th and friends...Just evolved into Goverments

GVI Forex Blog 07:12 GMT September 5, 2013 Reply   
***Observations/Insights*** - US equity markets end trading day on the highs, undeterred by the upbeat Fed Beige Book noting moderate growth in most districts. - BOJ affirms annual monetary base incre

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: BOJ raises economic asessment on higher fixed investment and corporate profits; Australia trade falls into deficit - Source TradeTheNews.com

Paris ib 07:10 GMT September 5, 2013
Distraction and B.ullshit

[email protected] yes it is a farce. What we need to do is STOP believing the publicity about 'Truth, Justice and the American Way'. None of that is true. What we actually have is indefinite detention, stress positions, torture, rendition, illegal wars, the production and exporting of weapons of mass destruction, the training and funding of criminal gangs, war crimes and bankruptcy. It seems Putin is no longer going along with the established narrative. Which is just as well. Unfortunately, as with the Nazis, when it's clear it is over a regime such as this often resorts to even more senseless brutality and violence.

The U.S. at War

Saar KaL 07:06 GMT September 5, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

AUDUSD and USDCHF time to short

PAR 06:53 GMT September 5, 2013
Why Hollande wants attention to go to Syria instead of to the French economy
Reply   
French 2Q Jobless Rate 10.9% Vs 1Q 10.8%


By Gabriele Parussini


PARIS--France's jobless rate in the second quarter of this year rose to a level not seen since 1998, as the euro zone's second-largest economy struggles to create jobs, statistics showed on Thursday.

French unemployment increased to 10.9% in the second quarter from 10.8% in the first, national statistics bureau Insee said. Excluding France's overseas territories, the unemployment rate was unchanged at 10.7%.

Tackling unemployment is the main objective of French President Francois Hollande, who pledged to reduce unemployment by the end of the year.

Write to Gabriele Parussini at [email protected]

HK [email protected] 05:48 GMT September 5, 2013
Distraction and B.ullshit



ib

It's a farce that we need an Ex-K.G.B to become the voice of reason(back to the USSR).

Obama and his congress are probably now under trans, because of sniffing too much Gulf petro-dollars.

Paris ib 05:13 GMT September 5, 2013
Distraction and B.ullshit

Short term I think it is best to stand aside on USD/JPY until everything is clearer. We have tapering, the FOMC on the 17th and 18th, NFP, Syria and possible intervention (or not). Bank analysts everywhere are still encouraging USD/JPY longs and the Japanese are not fighting that. They openly want an exchange rate in the vicinity of 100 and now they have that. Specs are mega long, repatriation continues so we will get a retrace at some point. Actual capital flows do not support a higher USD/JPY, no matter what the American would like. Longer term I think it goes lower but probably not that much lower. I'm beginning to wonder if both USD/JPY and EUR/USD are worth trading. Both are starting to look very 'managed'.

Paris ib 05:03 GMT September 5, 2013
Distraction and B.ullshit

Oooops..... "atrocities".

Paris ib 05:01 GMT September 5, 2013
Distraction and B.ullshit

"We want to know who is responsible for those responsibilities"

Putin on Chemical Weapons

bali sja 04:47 GMT September 5, 2013
Direct to his face!!!

Obama, Kerry, and the rest of the gangs are blatant liars and hypocrites

HK [email protected] 04:40 GMT September 5, 2013
Direct to his face!!!
Reply   



Russian President Vladimir Putin called US Secretary of State John Kerry a liar, claiming he had denied that al-Qaeda was fighting with the Syrian opposition in that country's civil war.

Speaking to his human rights council, Mr Putin recalled watching a congressional debate where Mr Kerry was asked about al-Qaeda. Mr Putin said he had denied that it was operating in Syria, even though he was aware of the al-Qaeda-linked Jabhat al-Nusra group.
Mr Putin said: "This was very unpleasant and surprising for me. We talk to them (the Americans) and we assume they are decent people, but he is lying and he knows that he is lying. This is sad."
It was unclear exactly what Mr Putin was referencing, but Mr Kerry was asked on Tuesday while testifying before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee if the Syrian opposition had become more infiltrated by al-Qaeda.
Mr Kerry responded that that was "basically incorrect" and that the opposition has "increasingly become more defined by its moderation."

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/russia/10287772/Vladimir-Putin-calls-John-Kerry-a-liar-over-al-Qaeda-in-Syria-claims.html

bali sja 03:50 GMT September 5, 2013
sell usd

usdcad back to testing parity IMO

bali sja 03:36 GMT September 5, 2013
sell usd
Reply   
Buy AUDUSD
Entry: 0.9164 Target: 0.94-0.95 Stop: 0.9017

mid term trade, buy audusd

GVI Forex Blog 03:30 GMT September 5, 2013 Reply   
Equities are up globally.

Morning Briefing : 05-Sep-2013 -0327 GMT

Hong Kong AceTrader 02:03 GMT September 5, 2013
Sept 5, 2013 : Euro rises on short-covering ahead of ECB rate decision
Reply   
Market Review - 04/09/2013 22:24GMT

Euro rises on short-covering ahead of ECB rate decision

The single currency strengthened against dollar on Wednesday as investors unwound their recent short positions ahead of the European Central Bank rate decision and the much-monitored press conference by ECB President Draghi for clues on any future policy move by the central bank.

Earlier in Asia, the single currency moved narrowly following a recovery from Tuesday's 6-week low at 1.3138, price dipped briefly to 1.3157 in European morning, however, renewed buying there lifted the pair to 1.3187 and cross buying of euro versus yen and Swiss franc pushed euro higher to 1.3218 in New York morning, price later traded narrowly before easing near the close.

Versus the Japanese yen, although the greenback rose from Asian low at 99.42 to 99.80 in European morning due partly to the rise in Japanese equities, failure to penetrate Tuesday's top at 99.86 prompted profit-taking and price dropped to a low at 99.32 in New York morning before staging a rebound on renewed cross selling of yen versus euro. The Bank of Japan will end its 2-day policy meeting around midday on Thursday.

The British pound traded narrowly in Asia and then rose strongly above Tuesday's top at 1.5605 to a high at 1.5632 in European morning after release of better-than-expected U.K. PMI service (60.5 versus the forecast of 59.0) before retreating to 1.5595 in New York morning, however, renewed buying interest due to intra-day rebound in eur/usd pushed the pound higher to 1.5648 before easing. The Bank of England also ends its 2-day policy meeting later today.

The Australian dollar rallied throughout Tuesday's Asian, European and New York sessions due to the upbeat Australian GDP and Chinese HSBC service PMI, which came in at 2.6% vs previous reading of 2.5% and 52.8 versus the previous 51.3 respectively. The pair eventually surged to a 2-week high of 0.9188 in New York morning before retreating on profit-taking.

On the data front, German Service PMI (final) in August came in at 52.8, stronger than the forecast of 52.4. Euro zone Service PMI (Final) in Aug came in at 50.7, worse than the forecast of 51.0. Euro zone GDP in Q2 came in at 0.3% Q/Q and -0.5% Y/Y, versus the expectation of 0.3% and -0.5% respectively. Euro zone Retail sales in July were at 0.1% and -1.3%, worse than the market expectations of 0.4% and -0.4%.

Data to be released on Thursday:

Australia trade balance, Japan rate decision, U.K. employment confidence, BOE rate decision, asset purchases, Germany factory orders, France unemployment rate, ECB rate decision, U.S. ADP employment, jobless claims, factory orders, ISM non-manufacturing, durable goods.

 




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