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Forex Forum Archive for 09/17/2013

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


dc CB 23:48 GMT September 17, 2013
United States

As CNN reported moments ago, the US government has seized an iconic midtown Manhattan skyscraper, one where none other than Ivan Boesky plotted his insider trading schemes in the 1980s, that prosecutors claim is secretly owned and controlled by the Iranian government. The skyscraper in question is 650 Fifth Avenue, also known as the Piaget building.

"Preet Bharara, the U.S. attorney in Manhattan, said Tuesday that the seizure and sale of the property would be the government's largest-ever terrorism-related forfeiture."

US Government Confiscates Midtown Manhattan Skyscraper, One Time Ivan Boesky HQ, From Iran

tokyo ginko 23:37 GMT September 17, 2013
United States

yes, today is LTD, remember to r/o

Beckenham SFH 22:43 GMT September 17, 2013
United States

Oil is under pressure- i am short wti at 10588 and FWIW remain short till below 100..this week IMHO

Phila caba 21:58 GMT September 17, 2013
Join Now!

still MT4 only?

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 21:38 GMT September 17, 2013
Calendar
Reply   


September 17. 2013 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednessday, September 18. Updated: Trading Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: GB- BOE Minutes, US- Housing Starts/Permits. Fed Decision



dc CB 21:10 GMT September 17, 2013
United States



showing her the "ropes"
WmBanzai7

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 20:38 GMT September 17, 2013
United States
Reply   

-- ALERT --
(Estimates and Previous data for EIA Survey)
Crude Oil: -0.250 vs. -1.000 exp vs. -0.219 prev.
Gasoline: -0.600 vs. +0.500 exp vs. +1.660 prev.
Distillates: -200 vs. +1.000 exp vs. +2.590 prev.
Cap/Util: vs. n/a exp vs. 91.70% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 20:22 GMT September 17, 2013
Fed taper decision due. German ZEW data strong
Reply   

  • HIGH IMPACT ITEMS:  GB- BOE Minutes, US- Housing Starts/Permits. Fed Decision

  • There was a press report late Monday that administration insiders were saying that Janet Yellen is now the leading candidate to replace Bernanke in January. This  report had the smell of a trial balloon to us.   A good way to test the waters  about a possible appointment can be to let a name out and see what the reaction is. Yellen should be a uncontroversial nominee.

  • The immediate major focus is the Fed policy decision  tomorrow. Markets are already set up for the central bank to announce a reduction in its asset purchase program. From a trading perspective, the big surprise would be no reduction in debt purchases. The street expects  the Fed to  taper cautiously with a cut its monthly $85bln in asset purchases of $10-15 bln  One scenario we propose is that Bernanke could announce a flexible taper target.

  • U.K.inflation data were mixed. The latest German ZEW survey was stronger than forecast. See the  FOREX FORUM  for latest key data and charts as they are released. .

  • Wednesday sees U.S. Housing starts, then Existing Home Sales will be released on Thursday. Thursday also features U.K. CPI data. On Friday Canadian CPI data are released. On Sunday Germany will hold what looks to be closely contested national elections.

  • For additional key items and more detail (dates, times, data estimates), be sure to reference our Economic Calendar . See the  FOREX FORUM  for latest key data and charts as they are released.
20d avg
10-yr
Equities
EURUSD 1.3283
JGB 0.72% -1bp
Asia Close Lower
USDJPY 98.95
Bund 1.97% +4bp
Europe Lower
EURJPY 131.44
U.S. 2.84% 0 bp
North America: Higher

GVI Forex Blog 20:21 GMT September 17, 2013 Reply   
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: GB- BOE Minutes, US- Housing Starts/Permits. Fed Decision There was a press report late Monday that administration insiders were saying that Janet Yellen is now the leading candidate to replace Bernanke in January. This report had the smell of a trial balloon to us. A good way to test the waters about a possible appointment can be to let a name out and see what the reaction is. Yellen should be a uncontroversial nominee.

Fed taper decision due. German ZEW data strong

Amman wfakhoury 19:57 GMT September 17, 2013
EURUSD 100 pips move
Reply   
prague mark 15:09 GMT September 17, 2013
Gold 1321: Reply
Amman wfakhoury
Do you see eur/usd > 1.34xx today? TIA
-------------------------------------
Consolidates between 13343 and 13362 ....breaking this area
100 pips move is coming.
Mostly we are heading up unless price breaks down 13343 and keeps below it.

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 19:38 GMT September 17, 2013
Chart Points


UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 19:22 GMT September 17, 2013
Chart Points
Reply   
Pre-Closing Trading Points...
many more chart points
About Moving Averages
About Bollinger Bands


Saar KaL 18:16 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

Gold shorts
from 1318 to 1334
tgt 1280 to 1260

Mtl JP 16:30 GMT September 17, 2013
civil charges
Reply   
Twenty-two investment firms will collectively pay more than $14.4-million (U.S.) in sanctions to settle civil charges in connection with a broad crackdown by federal regulators into illegal short-selling practices, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission said on Tuesday. ../.
-
Bottom Line:
life for these charters is way too safe n way too comfortable

Mtl JP 16:15 GMT September 17, 2013
WHY?

HK [email protected] 12:07 becoz the usd is a reserve ccy. Lew can't officially diss something that he wants folks to hold, cherish n admire

Paris ib 16:01 GMT September 17, 2013
United States


"Taking into account transactions in both foreign and U.S. securities, the net foreign purchases of long-term securities were $31.1 billion. After including adjustments, such as estimates of unrecorded principal payments to foreigners on U.S. asset-backed securities, the overall net foreign acquisition of long-term securities is estimated to have been $14.4 billion in July."

Clearly an improvement from the 80 billion plus outflow seen in June, but 14.4 billion as an inflow is still very weak from an historical point of view.

TIC data for July

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 15:51 GMT September 17, 2013
Fixed Income

Prices in prime fixed income markets are turning weak late in Europe ahead of the Fed decision Wednesday. Peripherals prices are higher.


GVI Forex 15:31 GMT September 17, 2013
Global Markets News
Reply   
The subdued August US inflation report shows that price gains remain very moderate, giving the Fed even more cover to maintain low rates even as it looks to begin withdrawing QE purchases.

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update: FOMC Meets in Washington, DC

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:24 GMT September 17, 2013
Gold 1321

WFak, please post gold updates in the Gold Forum TIA

prague mark 15:09 GMT September 17, 2013
Gold 1321

Amman wfakhoury

Do you see eur/usd > 1.34xx today? TIA

Amman wfakhoury 15:07 GMT September 17, 2013
Gold 1321
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 07:18 GMT September 17, 2013
Gold 1321: Reply
Central Kwun 07:00 GMT September 17, 2013
GOLD 1316.40: Reply
wfakhoury, you are bullish on gold?


-----------------1321 reached ..next 1326 unless breaks down 1313.80

-----------------------
1313.80 reached as 1321 reached but 1 hr closed below it

GVI Forex Blog 15:05 GMT September 17, 2013 Reply   
September 17. 2013 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednessday, September 18. Updated: Trading Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: GB- BOE Minutes, US- Housing Starts/Permits. Fed Decision

GVI Forex Data Outlook for September 18, 2013

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 15:03 GMT September 17, 2013
Calendar
Reply   


September 17. 2013 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednessday, September 18. Updated: Trading Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: GB- BOE Minutes, US- Housing Starts/Permits. Fed Decision



Chicago Guido 14:49 GMT September 17, 2013
Join Now!

Trading Family/Inner Circle. It sounds like our kind of family....without the horses heads in your bed.

Kaunas DP 14:48 GMT September 17, 2013
rumors
Reply   
prague mark 13:28 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level: Reply
Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

rumors of heavy EURUSD stops above 1.3387. will be taken out for sure, so 1.3426 confirmed.


/////

should this be correct, we will se 1.3387 in less then 2h from now... IMHO

to dk 14:43 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level



A/Y tp of 95

Saar KaL 14:36 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

usdchf SHORTS
0.9277 0.9255
0.9282 0.9247
0.9287 0.9240
0.9292 0.9232
0.9297 0.9225
0.9302 0.9217
for a couple of days
will start buying thurday...below 0.9220
for 0.943 tgt

Saar KaL 14:28 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

USDCAD
stay short till at least 1.0220
next day

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:11 GMT September 17, 2013
Join Now!
Reply   
jay meisler


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GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 14:01 GMT September 17, 2013
United States

Down slightly before downward revision of August data. Neutral?

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 14:00 GMT September 17, 2013
United States

-- ALERT --

SEPTEMBER 2013 NAHB Index
58 vs. 59 exp. vs. 59 (r 58) prev.


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Direct links to primary data sources

Saar KaL 13:55 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

EURGBP
can stay short till oct folks

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 13:48 GMT September 17, 2013
United States

National Association of Home Builders Index due at the top of the hour. Consensus estimate is for unchanged, but some wonder if a slowdown in Housing could start to show up in these data. Keep in mind. homebuilders are always optimistic to the end.

Saar KaL 13:40 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

NDX
100 Point north...No problem by the end of Sept

Saar KaL 13:33 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

Mark
I agree
1.3430
is entry short for 1.313


===
if you want to get 3 time your money folks
its


KKD stock
this guy is going to 60 + in april next year
I am Buying
19.0176
18.8046
18.5916
18.3785
18.1655
17.9525

Mtl JP 13:31 GMT September 17, 2013
Dollar's new strength a headache for RBA

Joe - in the Canadian budget it says “This regime will be designed to ensure that in the unlikely event a systemically important bank depletes its capital, the bank can be recapitalized and returned to viability through the very rapid conversion of certain bank liabilities into regulatory capital”.

a(ny) deposit at a bank is, on the bank's books, a liability.

Do you trust people the kind of Carney's ilk ?
"Canadian institutions have substantial unsecured debt obligations in the wholesale market and as well as other classes of capital, and they have substantial capital as well, so once you stack all of that up, regardless of whether one would look to reach into it…it's hard to fathom why it would be necessary," said he

prague mark 13:28 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

rumors of heavy EURUSD stops above 1.3387. will be taken out for sure, so 1.3426 confirmed.

Saar KaL 13:21 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

Buying a stock called
DDD
US Mkt
at
50.5920
50.1809
49.7698
49.3588
48.9477
48.5366

for dec tgt
75

Mtl JP 13:10 GMT September 17, 2013
Dollar's new strength a headache for RBA

Treasury International Capital Data for July

9/17/2013

​WASHINGTON – The U.S. Department of the Treasury today released Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for July 2013. The next release, which will report on data for August 2013, is scheduled for October 16, 2013.

The sum total in July of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a monthly net TIC inflow of $56.7 billion. Of this, net foreign private inflows were $59.3 billion, and net foreign official inflows were negative $2.6 billion. .../..

Saar KaL 13:06 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

USDJPY
still not ok to Buy
I doubt will go below
98.4
tgt 102 in general

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 13:01 GMT September 17, 2013
United States

-- ALERT --
JULY 2013 U.S. TIC flows USD bln
Net Capital Flows:+56.78 vs. n/a vs. -19.0 prev.
Long-Term Flows: +31.1 vs. exp. vs. -66.9 prev.


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Direct links to primary data sources

Cambridge Joe 13:00 GMT September 17, 2013
Dollar's new strength a headache for RBA

Hi JP.

You have posted many times on the probable effects of recently passed G20 'Bail-in' legislation.

Do you see it affecting only the bank accounts of individuals, or do you think that they would plunder the bank accounts of Corporations as well ?

If no, then it would appear to be prudent to open an 'off-the-shelf' company for the purpose of having a bank account that the Vampires will not/ cannot sequestrate !

TIA for your thoughts !

J

Mtl JP 12:55 GMT September 17, 2013
Dollar's new strength a headache for RBA

at top of the hour:
Net Long‐term TIC for July cons.: ‐$15.0bn vs ‐$66.9bn prev

Saar KaL 12:55 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

AUDUSD
will cover some longs at 0.9408
keeping the rest till .96+

Saar KaL 12:48 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

EURUSD
adding more long for us session
1.3341
1.3335
1.3329
1.3323
1.3317
1.3310

Melbourne Qindex 12:45 GMT September 17, 2013
EUR/GBP : Critical Point 0.8356
Reply   
Buy EURGBP
Entry: Target: Stop:




EUR/GBP : Critical Point 0.8356


The market is stable when it is rejected from the critical point at 0.8356. EUR/GBP is going to retrace back to the barrier at 0.8458/0.8472.


Qindex.com

Quantum Index Analysis

Beckenham SFH 12:40 GMT September 17, 2013
Gold
Reply   

Entry: 1315 Target: 1327 Stop: 1309

Bought!

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 12:39 GMT September 17, 2013
WHY?

RF- Simple answer. Forex policy is established by the Treasury (Secretary LEW) and not the FED. The Fed Chairman is expected NOT to comment of the USD.

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 12:36 GMT September 17, 2013
United States



U.S. CPI and PCE Deflator. CPI within PCE target.

HK [email protected] 12:34 GMT September 17, 2013
United States



Great numbers: NO inflation threats, all Q.E money has gone to the banks, people don't have what to spend..just enough.

QE may continue:)

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 12:31 GMT September 17, 2013
United States

-- ALERT --
AUGUST 2013 U.S. Consumer Price Index
Headline:
m/m: +0.10% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. 0.20% (r ) prev.
y/y: +1.50% vs. +1.60% exp. vs. +2.00% (r ) prev.
Core:
m/m:+0.1% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.20% (r ) prev.
y/y: +1.80% vs. +1.60% exp. vs. +2.00% (r ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

HK [email protected] 12:07 GMT September 17, 2013
WHY?
Reply   


Sometimes you hear officials from other countries like: Japan,NZ. or AUS. and others, declaring their currencies as overvalued, and that depreciation is needed.

Why can't one brave American from the FED stand and say:" Our currency is overvalued(let's say) by 20% and it has to depreciate so our economy may recover.???

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 12:03 GMT September 17, 2013
United States
Reply   

HEADS-UP: Data (top of forum)
EURUSD= 1.3353
GBPUSD= 1.5915
USDJPY= 99.16
AUDUSD= 0.9345
USDCAD= 1.0316

US 10-yr= 2.85%
DE 10-yr= 1.96%
GB 10-yr= 2.92%

(Manually refresh forum to update Calendar)

Direct links to primary data sources

London Misha 11:55 GMT September 17, 2013
Observations
Reply   
EURUSD - New high for Sep but possible Bearish Shooting Star after Indecisive Spinning Top on Daily Chart.
USDJPY - Breaks 50% Fib at 98.73 but bounces up off 38.2% Fib Jun-Jul move at 98.56 & closes above both in possible Bullish Hammer on Daily Chart.
GBPUSD - Follow on to Key Reversal Up on Daily Chart but with possible Bearish Shooting Star as hits resistance 61.8% Fib 2009-10 move at 1.5968!
USDCHF - Bullish Hammer follows 2nd indecisive Spinning Top after Key Reversal Down on Daily Chart.
EURGBP - Bullish Harami on Daily Chart.
AUDUSD - Golden Cross Short MA over Short/Medium MA on Daily Chart.
USDINR - Possible Bearish Midway Gap but market may today have formed a Bearish Island on Daily Chart.
USDZAR - Fails at 1st attempt to test key 50% Fib at 9.6758 on Daily Chart.
USDBRL - Open & Close Long White Marubozo as market rejects for the moment try lower on Daily Chart.



Saar KaL 10:36 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

AUDJPY cadjpy NDX
Very recommended long
for all sept

GVI Forex 10:21 GMT September 17, 2013
Global Markets News
Reply   
Euro climbed a bit higher after EU and German ZEW came in higher than expected with Germany's coming in a multi-year high.

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: Markets generally ignore UK CPI and German ZEW data, as Fed begins two day meeting

Saar KaL 10:15 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

GBPJPY
adding more Longs
157.4813
157.3769
157.2726
157.1682
157.0639

tgt

158.9

Saar KaL 10:12 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

GBPNZD Seems Bearish for the rest of the month
I see 1.9 to 1.88 coming

1.94 is a sell avg level
will start from 1.9492 today

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 10:09 GMT September 17, 2013
Germany

Now that the dust has settled, German 10-yr 1.96% +1bp (up 2bp since ZEW data) and EURUSD is higher.

Like it or not, we are all bond traders!

Saar KaL 09:57 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

gbpusd adding more
1.5883
1.5878
1.5872
1.5867

tgt
1.5970

Saar KaL 09:30 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

Longs GBPJPY here
added
should hit 158.3 soon

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 09:22 GMT September 17, 2013
German ZEW data firm. UK prices mixed. Yellen floated for Fed
Reply   

  • HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: US- CPI, NAHB Index

  • There was a press report late Monday that administration insiders were saying that Janet Yellen is now the leading candidate to replace Bernanke in January. This  report had the smell of a trial balloon to us.   A good way to test the waters  about a possible appointment can be to let a name out and see what the reaction is. We feel Yellen should be a non-controversial candidate.

  • The immediate major focus is the Fed policy decision  tomorrow. Markets are already set up for the central bank to announce a reduction in its asset purchase program. From a trading perspective, the big surprise would be no reduction in debt purchases. The street expects  the Fed to  taper cautiously with a cut its monthly $85bln in asset purchases of $10-15 bln  One scenario we propose is that Bernanke could announce a flexible taper target.

  • U.K.inflation data were mixed. The latest German ZEW survey was stronger than forecast. See the  FOREX FORUM  for latest key data and charts as they are released. .

  • Wednesday sees U.S. Housing starts, then Existing Home Sales will be released on Thursday. Thursday also features U.K. CPI data. On Friday Canadian CPI data are released. On Sunday Germany will hold what looks to be closely contested national elections.

  • For additional key items and more detail (dates, times, data estimates), be sure to reference our Economic Calendar . See the  FOREX FORUM  for latest key data and charts as they are released.
20d avg
10-yr
Equities
EURUSD 1.3286
JGB 0.72% -1bp
Asia Close Lower
USDJPY 98.86
Bund 1.94% +1bp
Europe Lower
EURJPY 131.35
U.S. 2.84% -1 bp
North America: Lower

GVI Forex Blog 09:22 GMT September 17, 2013 Reply   
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: US- CPI, NAHB Index There was a press report late Monday that administration insiders were saying that Janet Yellen is now the leading candidate to replace Bernanke in January. This report had the smell of a trial balloon to us. A good way to test the waters about a possible appointment can be to let a name out and see what the reaction is. We feel Yellen should be a non-controversial candidate.

German ZEW data firm. UK prices mixed. Yellen floated for Fed

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 09:08 GMT September 17, 2013
Germany



German ZEW Survey. September data much stronger than expected.


Saar KaL 09:07 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

couple more long gbpusd here

Saar KaL 09:06 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

wow...Great Place
I knew a few from there here in Bahrain.
Mainly Musicians

ed kw 09:00 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

yes grow up fast working for oil or commodities recall 10 bucks us oil

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 09:00 GMT September 17, 2013
Germany
Reply   

-- ALERT --
SEPTEMBER 2013 DE ZEW Survey
Economic Expectations: +49.6 vs. +45.0 exp. vs. +42.0 prev.
Current Situation: +30.6 vs. +20.0 exp. vs. +18.3 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

Saar KaL 08:58 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

you live in Alberta?

ed kw 08:56 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

its in my back yard

Saar KaL 08:53 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

KW
I would not know anything to do with it.
News...is not a good thing in my life.

News papers, and Internet news.
Have not done that for 15 years.
I want to live Longer and healthier.

Saar KaL 08:50 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

Long GBPCAD
Short EURGBP
for few pips

ed kw 08:49 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

CAD/the spin off from the Alberta flood /5000 homes to repair and replace,showed up in last jobs report,

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 08:37 GMT September 17, 2013
United Kingdom



U.K. CPI & RPIX data mixed, but still above BOE target.

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 08:31 GMT September 17, 2013
United Kingdom
Reply   

-- ALERT --
AUGUST 2013 UK CPI/RPIX
CPI mm:+0.40% vs. 0.50% exp. vs. 0.00% prev.
CPI yy:+2.70% vs. +2.70% exp. vs. +2.80% prev.

RPIX yy: 3.30%% vs. +3.20% exp. vs. +3.20% prev.

UK Core Output PPI June 2013
yy: 1.00% vs. 1.10% exp. vs. +1.10% prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 08:26 GMT September 17, 2013
Fixed Income
Reply   
Early in Europe, prices in prime fixed income markets are mixed waiting for UK and German data. Prices in periphery are mixed.


Saar KaL 08:14 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

IMO Not a good idea to short gold today
wait till 1330 area

ed kw 08:01 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

BNN. oil if 102 givs out down trend to old range

Saar KaL 07:46 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

USDJPY Tgt to 102 to 103
Might take 3 weeks
still bullish from below 99.2 (General)

will long
99.6731 98.4408
99.8953 98.1211
100.1174 97.8014

Saar KaL 07:37 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

EURCAD
Short till next week tgt
1.34ish

1.3818 1.3718
1.3837 1.3700
1.3855 1.3681

HK [email protected] 07:36 GMT September 17, 2013
Gold1321



Mr. Wafq

Kal was able to call the attention for 1322, which came after.

Yet he is not a baloony like you.

Humility is not a characteristic you posses, that for every few small movement in prices you come out with a self Halleluya.

Your failure to call the 1322 coming is clear!!!

Amman wfakhoury 07:26 GMT September 17, 2013
Gold1321
Reply   
Beckenham SFH 07:21 GMT September 17, 2013
Gold 1321: Reply
Amman-good call on Gold last night....have a good day...


--------------
Thks alot..long time did not see you.

Hong Kong AceTrader 07:26 GMT September 17, 2013
AceTrader Sept 17 : DAILY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK ON EUR/USD
Reply   


missed upload

Hong Kong AceTrader 07:23 GMT September 17, 2013
Sept 17 : DAILY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK ON EUR/USD
Reply   
DAILY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK ON EUR/USD

17 Sep 2013 04:01GMT

Trend Daily Chart
Sideways

Daily Indicators
Neutral

21 HR EMA
1.3341

55 HR EMA
1.3328

Trend Hourly Chart
Sideways

Hourly Indicators
Turning down

13 HR RSI
47

14 HR DMI
0

Daily Analysis
Consolidation b4 upmove resumes

Resistance
1.3453 - Aug 20 high
1.3410 - Aug 23 high
1.3385 - Y'day's high

Support
1.3325 - Sep 11 high
1.3298 - Y'day's low
1.3254 - Last Fri's low

. EUR/USD - 1.3335 ... The single currency jumped to 1.3382 in NZ after WSJ reported that former U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers withdrew his nomination for Chairman of the Federal Reserve, euro retreated briefly to 1.3340 b4 rising to 1.3385 but only to fall to 1.3330 near NY close.

. Looking at the hourly & daily charts, although euro's retreat fm y'day's
2-week high at 1.3385 suggests 1-2 days of consolidation wud be seen with initial downside bias, as early rally fm this month's low at 1.3105 signals the
correction fm Aug's 6-month high at 1.3453 has ended there, reckon pullback wud be ltd n as long as 1.3298 sup holds, bullishness remains for aforesaid upmove to resume n extend marginal gain twds 1.3410, however, as 'bearish divergences' wud appear on hourly oscillators on such move, suggesting key daily res at 1.3453 shud hold on 1st testing n yield retreat later.

. Today, buying euro on dips is still favoured in expectation of such rise. On the downside, only a breach of 1.3254 sup (last Fri's low) wud signal top is made n further 'gyration' inside 1.3105-1.3453 wud be seen with downside bias.

Beckenham SFH 07:21 GMT September 17, 2013
Gold 1321

Amman-good call on Gold last night....have a good day...

Saar KaL 07:21 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

GBPAUD
Now on the menu
for next week's 1.66 area

short from above 1.7050

tgt next 1.6950

Amman wfakhoury 07:18 GMT September 17, 2013
Gold 1321
Reply   
Central Kwun 07:00 GMT September 17, 2013
GOLD 1316.40: Reply
wfakhoury, you are bullish on gold?


-----------------1321 reached ..next 1326 unless breaks down 1313.80

Saar KaL 07:14 GMT September 17, 2013
Dollar's new strength a headache for RBA

Gold shorts
1,324.32 1,297.02
1,329.49 1,290.82
1,334.67 1,284.62
1,339.85 1,278.41

silver Short
22.12 21.38
22.27 21.21
22.42 21.04
22.57 20.86

Central Kwun 07:02 GMT September 17, 2013
GOLD 1316.40

Sell Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

1322?!!!

ed kw 07:02 GMT September 17, 2013
Aud

Syd, tks now i got xauaud pegged had to be a reason for audgold to hold its value

Central Kwun 07:00 GMT September 17, 2013
GOLD 1316.40

wfakhoury, you are bullish on gold?

Saar KaL 06:53 GMT September 17, 2013
Dollar's new strength a headache for RBA

I see that too for gold
But i think from next week and below
1290

I will short above 1322

Amman wfakhoury 06:51 GMT September 17, 2013
GOLD 1316.40
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 19:52 GMT September 16, 2013
GOLD 1316.40: Reply
1316.40 confirmed and will be reached ....if 1 hr bar closed
above1316.40 then 1321 will be reached too.
---------------------------------------
1316.40 reached..1hr bar did not close above 1316.40 yet

Syd 06:48 GMT September 17, 2013
Aud
Reply   
Mtl JP 06:04 GM the RBA have a problem

ed kw 06:20 GMT September 17, 2013
Dollar's new strength a headache for RBA

xauaud fear in this chart past resistance by 100 up now down 100 so up 100

Paris ib 06:20 GMT September 17, 2013
Dollar's new strength a headache for RBA

:-)

Mtl JP 06:19 GMT September 17, 2013
Dollar's new strength a headache for RBA

me bad... bad to the bone, thks for the smackdown
see what July data brings


Paris ib 06:15 GMT September 17, 2013
Dollar's new strength a headache for RBA

Let's just say JP that it helps to READ the links you post BEFORE you post them. :-)

Saar KaL 06:14 GMT September 17, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

Long EURUSD (1.34) GPBUSD(1.600)
Long Audusd
Long NZDUSD

Short USDCAD (1.0270)


and adding

Mtl JP 06:11 GMT September 17, 2013
Dollar's new strength a headache for RBA

oh geez.. that was really bad scotch then
mea culpa really bad

Paris ib 06:07 GMT September 17, 2013
Dollar's new strength a headache for RBA

JP I'm not sure what to make of your post. The data you linked to is 2010 data!!??? Today we have the release of TIC for July 2013, which may be slightly more relevant. ;-)

Here is a relevant quote from the previous release:
"the net foreign purchases of long-term securities were negative $66.9 billion. After including adjustments..... the overall net foreign acquisition of long-term securities is estimated to have been negative $85.4 billion in June."

TIC June

Mtl JP 06:04 GMT September 17, 2013
Reserve Bank of Australia to slash interest rates by 50 basis points before Christmas to help lift s

Syd do you believe the "forward guidance" emanating from various corners of officialdom ?

GVI Forex Blog 06:04 GMT September 17, 2013 Reply   
- Reserve Bank of Australia September meeting minutes reiterated its neutral view, indicating that while "the Bank should again neither close off the possibility of reducing rates further nor signal a

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: RBA reiterates policy is appropriate, expresses more concerns over rising leverage in housing - Source TradeTheNews.com

Syd 06:02 GMT September 17, 2013
Reserve Bank of Australia to slash interest rates by 50 basis points before Christmas to help lift s
Reply   
PREMIER Investments chairman Solomon Lew has called on the Reserve Bank of Australia to slash interest rates by 50 basis points before Christmas to help lift sagging consumer confidence.

Announcing a 1.9 per cent increase in net profit to $75 million, excluding one-offs, at the retail group, Mr Lew said confidence was “fragile”.


He blamed the previous Labor government for its “inept” handling of the resources boom, and its failure to come to grips with the challenges faced by the non-resources sector, including the high dollar and the GST exemption on retail purchases of less than $1000 from foreign websites.

Mtl JP 05:55 GMT September 17, 2013
Dollar's new strength a headache for RBA

not a huge market mover :-(

thks for the health tip

dc CB 05:52 GMT September 17, 2013
Dollar's new strength a headache for RBA

JP
lay off the scotch

Mtl JP 05:38 GMT September 17, 2013
Dollar's new strength a headache for RBA

dc CB (and Paris ib) - for your viewing pleasure (angst?), recent TIC

TIC June
TIC May

TIC data mildly positive as in foreign official flows are no longer net negative but relatively small positive: 1st positive net foreign official inflow in 3 mths.. previous 2 mths were negative.


GVI Forex Blog 03:40 GMT September 17, 2013 Reply   
The Dow (15494.78, +0.77%) has risen well on Larry Summers exiting the race for Fed Chairmanship.

Morning Briefing : 17-Sep-2013 -0338 GMT

dc CB 02:54 GMT September 17, 2013
Dollar's new strength a headache for RBA

Syd
to pay fealty, and on a whim, this evening I purchased a $1 option on a $119 million pot.

If I were connected, my odds would be less than then they are currently "a lighting strike".

but then those who took Yellen have won big... n'est-ce pas

cheers

Syd 02:28 GMT September 17, 2013
Dollar's new strength a headache for RBA
Reply   
Former US Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers did the Reserve Bank of Australia no favours by pulling out of the race to take over at the Federal Reserve.
The Aussie dollar climbed to a three-month high of 93.94 US cents yesterday in Sydney as investors bet the withdrawal means the US central bank, which starts a two-day meeting today, will pare stimulus at a more gradual pace. The dollar was fetching 93.2 US cents this morning.
Three-year Australian sovereign yields fell six basis points to 2.85 per cent, unwinding most of the climb since the RBA left its key borrowing cost at a record low and said the currency may weaken.

aud

HK [email protected] 02:27 GMT September 17, 2013
Asia S. Mkts.
Reply   



Not very impressed by last night Dow rally.
All artificially staged by Ben's friends.
S.Mkts in Asia look very dull: Money is leaving to the sidelines.

dc CB 02:20 GMT September 17, 2013
Yellen



not much more needs to be said. except

OH YEH Summers was a "good" Secy of the Treasury...

did somebody say that?

dc CB 02:07 GMT September 17, 2013
Yellen

A handful of panic-stricken top officials, led by treasury secretary Hank Paulson and Fed chairman Ben Bernanke, proclaimed that the financial system had been stricken by a deadly “contagion” that had come out of nowhere and threatened a chain reaction of financial failures that would end in cataclysm.

David Stockman On 2008: "Hank Paulson's Folly: AIG Was Safe Enough to Fail" Part 1

Hong Kong AceTrader 01:57 GMT September 17, 2013
Sept 17: Dollar drops broadly as Summers withdrew from the race for Fed chief
Reply   
Market Review - 16/09/2013 22:17GMT

Dollar drops broadly as Summers withdrew from the race for Fed chief

The greenback weakened against other currencies on Monday as former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers, who was perceived by market as relatively hawkish, announced on Sunday to withdraw from the nomination to succeed Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke.

The single currency rose shortly after New Zealand open and climbed to 1.3382 in Australia on dollar's broad-based weakness when the news came that Lawrence Summers, a former top aide to President Barack Obama and Treasury Secretary under President Bill Clinton, withdrew from nomination to succeed Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke on Sunday.

Euro then traded narrowly in Asia and dropped to 1.3340 in Europe on cross selling of euro versus yen but dollar's decline after release of weaker-than-expected U.S. Empire State manufacturing index pushed the pair to a fresh 2-week top at 1.3385 in New York morning before retreating to 1.3330 on profit-taking.

U.S.'s Empire state manufacturing (Sep) came in at 6.29, weaker than the forecast of 9.00.

Versus the Japanese yen, the greenback opened lower and tanked to 98.45 in New Zealand on dollar's weakness as former Treasury Secretary Summers withdrew from the race to be next Fed chief. Later, despite cross-induced recovery to 99.11 in Asia, the pair ratcheted lower to 98.70 in Europe and fell further to 98.65 in New York morning due to the weaker-than-expected U.S. Empire State manufacturing index before staging another bounce to 99.18 near New York close.

The British pound rose strongly to 1.5951 in New Zealand due to dollar's broad-based weakness and edged higher to 1.5958 in Asian morning. Later, despite subsequent retreat to 1.5916 in European session, renewed buying interest pushed the pair to a fresh near 8-month top at 1.5963 in New York morning before profit-taking pressured price to 1.5895 near New York close.

In other news, ECB's Praet said 'euro zone recovery is still fragile; sees euro zone inflation moderate to mid-term; monetary policy aims at remaining accommodative.' ECB's Mersch said 'we see very tentative green shoots for Europe economy, need to manage with great care; there are positive signs we see on horizon for world economic recovery; there is no consideration of interest hike by ECB anywhere in near future.' ECB's Draghi says 'Euro zone economy remains fragile, unemployment far too high; given subdued inflation outlook, expect key interest rates to remain at current or lower levels for extended period of time; Euro zone recovery "fragile".'

On the data front, EU CPI came in at 0.1% m/m and 1.3% y/y and CPI core was 1.1% y/y, same as the expectations. U.S. industrial production in August came in at 0.4%, versus the forecast of 0.4%. U.S.'s capacity utilisation was 77.8%, versus the expectation of 77.9%.

Data to be released on Tuesday:

Australia RBA September minutes, EU current account, economic sentiment, trade balance, U.K. PPI, RPI, CPI, ONS house price, Germany economic sentiment, current condition, U.S. CPI, retail sales, Net LT TIC flows, NAHB housing market index.

dc CB 00:43 GMT September 17, 2013
Yellen



JP
Ben...not a chance he'll stick around.

fwiw: re my Off-the-Cuff last night Robert Rubin (major player at Citi)

Who was the top recipient of those $$$

#10 According to an official government report, the Federal Reserve made 16.1 trillion dollars in secret loans to the big banks during the last financial crisis. The following is a list of loan recipients that was taken directly from page 131 of the report...

Citigroup - $2.513 trillion

25 Fast Facts About The Federal Reserve

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
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Mon 27 May 2019
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