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Forex Forum Archive for 09/19/2013

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Tallinn viies 23:00 GMT September 19, 2013
eurusd
Reply   
talks somebody protects DNT leg at 1,3600 with expairy on 1-st of oct. as it is not big one (payout 2 MUSD) and time to go enough it will be taken sooner rather than later.

1,3630 possible today by my pictures.

left buy order to 1,3465.

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 22:01 GMT September 19, 2013
Calendar
Reply   


September 19. 2013 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, September 20. Updated: Trading Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: EZ- Consumer Sentiment CA- CPI



dc CB 21:46 GMT September 19, 2013
glory alle-loo-yeah



WSJ:

Only three of the five commissioners who run the Securities and Exchange Commission were able to take part in the agency’s vote on its landmark enforcement action against J.P. Morgan Chase & Co over the firm’s ‘London Whale” trading blunders, according to a person close to the agency.

SEC Republican commissioner Daniel Gallagher and Chairman Mary Jo White both recused themselves from the vote because of potential conflicts of interest arising from their previous employment, the person said.

Before joining the SEC, Mr. Gallagher was a partner at Wilmer Cutler Pickering Hale and Dorr LLP, a law firm representing J.P.Morgan in this case.

Ms. White – and the SEC co-chief of enforcement Andrew Ceresney – both recused themselves from the Whale case because J.P.Morgan is a client of their previous law-firm employer, Debevoise & Plimpton LLP, according to people familiar with the agency.

SEC Head Recused Herself From JPM "Whale" Vote Due To Conflict Of Interest

jerusalem kb 20:31 GMT September 19, 2013
Pipshunter



Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

h4 chart right below broken support trend line and new ress. trend line break of 1375 may target 1407/1426 as long as 1343 holds.

jerusalem kb 20:26 GMT September 19, 2013
Pipshunter



Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

gold now right below both broken trend line turned into support and middle bollinger band too.
it is highly possible this ress. to be broken as long as we are trading above 1343.

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 20:26 GMT September 19, 2013
Solid U.S. Data. Weak UK Retail Sales.
Reply   

  • HIGH IMPACT ITEMS:  EZ- Consumer Sentiment. CA- CPI

  • Key U.K. Retail Sales data for August were considerably weaker than expected and have seen the GBP decline. This was the first set of data from the U.K. See the  FOREX FORUM  for latest key data and charts as they are released.

  • U.S, data over the day Thursday were better than expected, especiallty Existing Homes Sales and Weekly Jobless Claims, There were however issues with both data sets.  See the  FOREX FORUM  for latest key data and charts as they are released.
  •  Financial markets remain befuddled by the Fed  decision not to start to reduce its asset purchases on Wednesday. That day  was thought to be an ideal opportunity to act. The decision raised questions about Fed economic confidence..

  • Press reports suggest Janet Yellen is the likely  candidate for Bernanke's job. The nomination could come as early as next week barring  an unexpected developments. She should be a safe appointment.

  • On Friday Canadian CPI data are released. On Sunday Germany will hold what looks to be closely contested national elections.

  • For additional key items and more detail (dates, times, data estimates), be sure to reference our Economic Calendar . See the  FOREX FORUM  for latest key data and charts as they are released.
20d avg
10-yr
Equities
EURUSD 1.3300
JGB 0.68% -3bp
Asia Close Higher
USDJPY 98.99
Bund 1.93% -7bp
Europe  Higher
EURJPY 131.65
U.S. 2.75% +4 bp
North America: Mixed

GVI Forex Blog 20:24 GMT September 19, 2013
Solid U.S. Data. Weak UK Retail Sales.
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: EZ- Consumer Sentiment. CA- CPI Key U.K. Retail Sales data for August were considerably weaker than expected and have seen the GBP decline. This was the first set of data from the U.K. See the FOREX FORUM for latest key data and charts as they are released.

Solid U.S. Data. Weak UK Retail Sales.

mtl JP 19:54 GMT September 19, 2013
glory alle-loo-yeah
Reply   
Canada leads World Bank corruption list
..."Canada leads on the World Bank's running list of people and companies barred from receiving financing under its fraud and corruption policy ... The United States ranked second on the list by number of people and firms" .../..

Proposed market watchdog to protect Canadian investors

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 19:41 GMT September 19, 2013
Calendar
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 19:30 GMT September 19, 2013
Chart Points
Reply   
Pre-Closing Trading Points...
many more chart points
About Moving Averages
About Bollinger Bands


dc CB 18:11 GMT September 19, 2013
Global Markets News


EARTHQUAKE REPORTED TO HAVE HIT AT 02:25:09 JAPAN TIME: JMA
JAPAN EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE 5.8, AGENCY SAYS
JAPAN EARTHQUAKE LEVEL 5+ ON JAPANESE SCALE OF 7 IN FUKUSHIMA
NO TSUNAMI ALERT FROM JMA AFTER THE QUAKE

JERUSALEM kb 17:51 GMT September 19, 2013
Pipshunter

Central Kwun 15:56:20 GMT - 09/19/2013
kb, any view on gold?
------
I am out now give me 1hr to check charts on mt4

dc CB 17:19 GMT September 19, 2013
What's it really all about Alfie?

In some respects, 1988 has the feel of an alien, distant era. There was no such thing as the World Wide Web then. The Soviet Union was still around; the Berlin Wall still standing. Americans elected a Republican president who would raise taxes to help tame the budget deficit.

On Tuesday, however, the Census Bureau reminded me how for most Americans 1988 still looks a lot like yesterday: last year, the typical household made $51,017, roughly the same as the typical household made a quarter of a century ago.

The statistic is staggering — hardly what one would expect from one of the richest and most technologically advanced nations on the planet.

America’s Sinking Middle Class

Paris ib 17:17 GMT September 19, 2013
What's it really all about Alfie?

Masters of their destiny....

Glasnost

Paris ib 17:04 GMT September 19, 2013
What's it really all about Alfie?

The FED's glasnost moment. Glasnost went well. Not.

Paris ib 16:54 GMT September 19, 2013
What's it really all about Alfie?

I don't see the FED's credibility strengthened by this non move. They look weak and confused.

london red 16:45 GMT September 19, 2013
euro
Reply   
expect support at 13480 and 13450. below there risk to 13360 region as viies suggested earlier.

dc CB 16:45 GMT September 19, 2013
What's it really all about Alfie?

This much has been determined yesterday -- The Fed could not handle a 2.8% 10 year Treasury rate.

Nor could it handle any further increases.

But consideration of the impact of this policy on the common man, along with the destruction of purchasing power and outright theft from the people who produce the services (and few goods remaining) in this nation was damned -- exactly as has been the case for the last three decades.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

See Also
Druckenmiller: Fed robbing poor to pay rich

http://www.cnbc.com/id/101046937

Ben Bernanke's Folly

Saar KaL 16:31 GMT September 19, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

EURUSD
Might Close
1.3576 1.3484

USDJPY
100.4183 99.5433

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 16:15 GMT September 19, 2013
Fixed Income

Prices in prime fixed income markets have backed off their highs after the spiking higheron the Fed no taper decision. Peripherals prices are mixed.


Paris ib 16:09 GMT September 19, 2013
Global Markets News

Which explains why the market reacted in such an unremarkable manner to the announcement.

GVI Forex 16:02 GMT September 19, 2013
Global Markets News
Reply   
For sharp observers, the Fed's decision to hold pat on QE is pretty unremarkable. When keeping in mind that Chairman Bernanke and all other Fed officials have reiterated for three months that any decision to taper would be primarily data-driven

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update: Taper on Hold For Now

Central Kwun 15:56 GMT September 19, 2013
Pipshunter

kb, any view on gold?

tokyo ginko 15:35 GMT September 19, 2013
snp

long at 1723

tokyo ginko 15:30 GMT September 19, 2013
snp

p-t cover @ 1725...will short again later...GT all!

JERUSALEM kb 15:21 GMT September 19, 2013
Pipshunter

my ladt calls on gold hit sl with 160oips-

London Misha 15:16 GMT September 19, 2013
Reuters?
Reply   
Anyone hearing about any problems with Reuters?

GVI Forex Blog 15:10 GMT September 19, 2013 Reply   
September 19. 2013 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, September 20. Updated: Trading Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: EZ- Consumer Sentiment CA- CPI

GVI Forex Data Outlook for September 20, 2013

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 15:08 GMT September 19, 2013
Calendar
Reply   


September 19. 2013 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, September 20. Updated: Trading Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: EZ- Consumer Sentiment CA- CPI



HK [email protected] 14:33 GMT September 19, 2013
If this is true, then it is: BYE BYE gold
Reply   


Newly discovered Fujian mine could produce 250,000 tonnes of gold
Staff Reporter 2013-09-18 12:31 (GMT+8)

Major gold reserves have been discovered in southeast China's Fujian province, according to local news website Taihainet.

The Fujian Geological Prospecting Bureau has verified the find in Dehua county after over a decade of research and investigation.

The mine is estimated to hold over 10 million tonnes of ores that may produce over 250,000 tonnes of gold. The discovery could also provide important clues for researchers to find other gold mines.

http://www.wantchinatimes.com/news-subclass-cnt.aspx?id=20130918000075&cid=1102

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 14:30 GMT September 19, 2013
United States

WEEKLY- US Natural Gas

-- ALERT --
Natural Gas (bcf)
+46 vs. +55 exp vs. +65 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Livingston nh 14:28 GMT September 19, 2013
United States

John - more useless stats - using your 10 yr chart and the mthly BLS civilian labor force numbers // 10 yrs ago the continuing claims as % of the labor force was 2.7% but today it is only 1.8% so it was 50% worse 10 years ago

singapore td 14:27 GMT September 19, 2013
eurusd

thanks viies for the heads up! looking forward for the killer move to 1.42 euro
gbp will be even bigger killer

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 14:12 GMT September 19, 2013
United States



Existing Homes is by far the most significant housing statistic. Data stronger. We always compare to lagged Pending homes sales. This time the two series are diverging..

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 14:04 GMT September 19, 2013
United States

-- ALERT --
August 2013 U.S. Existing Homes Sales (mln)
5.480 vs. 5.200 exp. vs. 5.390 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources


GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 14:02 GMT September 19, 2013
United States

-- ALERT --
SEPTEMBER 2013 U.S. Philly Fed Index
+22.3 vs. +10.0 exp. vs. +9.30 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 14:01 GMT September 19, 2013
United States



-- ALERT --
AUGUST 2013 U.S. Leading Indicators
+0.7% vs. +0.60% exp. vs. +0.60% (r +0.5%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:51 GMT September 19, 2013
Video Market Update
Reply   
jay meisler If you want access to our video updates on a daily basis, send me an EMAIL Video Market Update Trading during the current crisis (more like a circus than a crisis)

Tallinn viies 13:34 GMT September 19, 2013
eurusd
Reply   
euro is ready to take out 1,3711. most likely not in september. in october 95% sure. target before year end would be somewhere around 1,42sh which is around 1000 pips away from 200 day moving average.

we may see 1,3320 before major push higher but would not bet on that

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 13:25 GMT September 19, 2013
United States

HEADS-UP: Data (top of forum)
EURUSD= 1.3549
GBPUSD= 1.6090
USDJPY= 99.35
AUDUSD= 0.9493
USDCAD= 1.0210

US 10-yr= 2.70%
DE 10-yr= 1.91%
GB 10-yr= 2.88%

(Manually refresh forum to update Calendar)

Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 13:01 GMT September 19, 2013
United States

So the figures are useless.

Livingston nh 12:56 GMT September 19, 2013
United States

John - seems that as the "emergency" benefits (extended time) run off the continuing claims drop --- this shows up in the much discussed decline in the monthly participation rate (dropouts/discouraged) and is a big contributor to the decline in the unemployment RATE (the Fed's misguided goal) // so the decline in CLAIMS will not result in improved PAYROLL data unless discouraged folks start moving to the Dakotas, Wyoming and Montana for jobs

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 12:53 GMT September 19, 2013
United States

I did not see initially that computer backlogs in California and Nevada are still being worked through so take the last two week's jobless claims data with a grain of salt.

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 12:47 GMT September 19, 2013
United States

The question I have for nh if he is still around is whether these falling jobless claims will ever translate into rising payroll data?

tokyo ginko 12:47 GMT September 19, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

priceless

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 12:44 GMT September 19, 2013
United States

Weekly Jobless data much better than forecast. Upward revisions to previous data only minor.





Click on chart for ten-year history

Saar KaL 12:42 GMT September 19, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

You have to read this...Oh Man!!!

http://www.immihelp.com/newcomer/mentality-behavior-of-indians-in-usa.html

get to the bottom

mtl JP 12:35 GMT September 19, 2013
Weak UK Retail Sales. No taper still being digested

suggest to add FED Communication Incompetence to the HIGH RISK to the markets

and raise Q of market assessment of Yellen's "communications competence" safety/risk

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 12:35 GMT September 19, 2013
United States

Jobless claims considerably better than forecast. Only minor upward revision to previous week data, which was thought to be badly distorted.

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 12:33 GMT September 19, 2013
United States

U.S. Weekly Jobless

-- ALERT --
U.S. Weekly Jobless
Initial Claims (000)
309Kvs. 330K exp. vs. 292K (r.294 K) prev.
Continued Claims (mln)
2.787 vs. 2.900 exp. vs. 2.871 (r. 2.815 ) prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 12:31 GMT September 19, 2013
United States

-- ALERT --
U.S. Current Account 2Q13 (USD bln)
-98.9 vs. -96.3 exp. vs. -106.1 (-104.8) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

Livingston nh 12:18 GMT September 19, 2013
Weak UK Retail Sales. No taper still being digested

Markets to Ben: fool me once shame on you; fool me twice ...?

And Ben tries to make the Congress a scapegoat -- see how that plays

Mtl JP 12:13 GMT September 19, 2013
Weak UK Retail Sales. No taper still being digested

explanations headline galore this am:
Fed stays the course on easy money, Hilsenrath - WSJ
Septaper surprise, Avent - The Economist
Monetary Policy in America: Taper Tiger - Greg Ip, The Economist

explains Hilsenrath the "reason to be patient about pulling back on bond buying or raising short-term rates"
Four Takeaways on the Fed’s Economic and Rate Projections
- 10/17 Fed brainiacs expect interest rates below 2% by Q416
- economic growth is revised lower
- unemployment on track
- inflation firming
--
I like the guess about "inflation firming" the best.

London Misha 12:09 GMT September 19, 2013
Observations
Reply   
EURUSD - 3rd White Soldier on Daily Chart. Golden Cross of Medium MA over Long MA & 1st close back over 50% Fib 2011-12 move (1.3492).
USDJPY - Long Black Marubozo after failed Bullish Hammer& Bearish Long Shadow Pattern on Daily Chart. Tests down & rejects Fibs at 96.73, 97.65 & 98.56.
GBPUSD - Long White Marubozo after lots of Bearish Shooting Star failures. Still follows Key Reversal Up on Daily Chart but runs into a mess of AP & SP resistance.
USDCHF - Long Black Marubozo after Bullish Hammer failure, 2nd Black Crow & Key Reversal Down on Daily Chart. Tests Neckline of 2011-to-date H+S Top.
EURGBP - Possible Bearish Engulfing Pattern on Daily Chart but bounces again up off 0.8352 low.
AUDUSD - 3rd Bullish White Soldier after Golden Cross of Short MA over Short/Medium MA on Daily Chart. 1st close over Middle Tine of 2011-12 SP.
USDINR - Either 2nd Midway Gap or final Exhaustion Gap on Daily Chart.
USDZAR - 3rd Black Crow on Daily Chart as nears 61.8% Fib support of May-Aug move (9.4802).
USDBRL - Long Black Marubozo after Bearish Harami, Bearish Matching & Long Black Marubozo on Daily Chart. 1st close below 50% Fib of 2013 (2.1978).



Livingston nh 12:07 GMT September 19, 2013
Weak UK Retail Sales. No taper still being digested

Yellen's appointment may have become more difficult -- watch for the politicians' comments once they have determined the direction of the wind -- Ben's reappointment was testy -- Pres Obama might use reaction to Ben's SOOPRIZE as a reason to look for someone other than Yellen

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 12:01 GMT September 19, 2013
United States
Reply   

HEADS-UP: Data (top of forum)
EURUSD= 1.3540
GBPUSD= 1.6075
USDJPY= 98.91
AUDUSD= 0.9452
USDCAD= 1.0210

US 10-yr= 2.70%
DE 10-yr= 1.91%
GB 10-yr= 2.86%

(Manually refresh forum to update Calendar)

Direct links to primary data sources

mtl JP 11:57 GMT September 19, 2013
Weak UK Retail Sales. No taper still being digested

john 11:46 / it is unlikely that any of the data releases qualify as HIGH RISK, not anywhere near the magnitude to what the FOMC "surprise" turned out to be for example.
-
re a safe appointment
safe... safe how, safe for who ?

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 11:45 GMT September 19, 2013
Weak UK Retail Sales. No taper still being digested
Reply   

  • HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: US- Current Account, Weekly Jobless. Philly Fed,  Existing Homes Sales  
  • Key U.K. Retail Sales data for August were considerably weaker than expected and have seen the GBP decline. This was the first set of data from the U.K. See the  FOREX FORUM  for latest key data and charts as they are released.

  • Financial markets remain shocked by the Fed  decision  not to start to reduce its asset purchases ($85 bln) at what seemed to be an ideal opportunity for such a move. The decision raised questions about the confidence of  the Fed in  the economy..

  • There are press reports  indicating the administration has settled on Janet Yellen as the top candidate for Bernanke's job. The nomination could come as early as next week barring  an unexpected development. We think she should be a safe appointment.

  • Existing Home Sales are due today. On Friday Canadian CPI data are released. On Sunday Germany will hold what looks to be closely contested national elections.

  • For additional key items and more detail (dates, times, data estimates), be sure to reference our Economic Calendar . See the  FOREX FORUM  for latest key data and charts as they are released.
20d avg
10-yr
Equities
EURUSD 1.3289
JGB 0.68% -3bp
Asia Close Higher
USDJPY 98.97
Bund 1.90% -10bp
Europe  Higher
EURJPY 131.53
U.S. 2.70% -1 bp
North America: Higher

GVI Forex Blog 11:45 GMT September 19, 2013 Reply   
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: US- Current Account, Weekly Jobless. Philly Fed, Existing Homes Sales Key U.K. Retail Sales data for August were considerably weaker than expected and have seen the GBP decline. This was the first set of data from the U.K. See the FOREX FORUM for latest key data and charts as they are released.

Weak UK Retail Sales. No taper still being digested

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 11:40 GMT September 19, 2013
Fixed Income
Reply   
Prices in prime fixed income markets are sharply higher after the surprise Fed no taper decision. Peripherals prices are higher.



GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:54 GMT September 19, 2013
UPDATE
Reply   

If you are experiencing any issues accessing our site, there is apparently an internet issue around our hub and have nothing to do with our servers, which are working fine. These issues generally clear up by themselves so please be patient as this is beyond our control.

Livingston nh 10:50 GMT September 19, 2013
Moving Targets
Reply   
Notes from yesterday --
All the pricing in since Ben's suggestion in May that QE might have an endpoint has been negated - he talks of "tightening" of financial conditions but what did he expect would happen; although he has insisted that tapering was not tghtening what did he expect would happen -- it is normalization and it will result in higher rates and distortions BUT it will not be easier in next month or next year //
Ben still is plagued by Bad Dreams of Great Depression monsters under his bed - premature tightening //
Taper "could" begin this year -- unemployment target/threshhold/NOT Trigger all moving around like the Begin Date uncertainty

Usually markets react and adjust after Fed announcement -- no adjustment yesterday so we'll see how long the sugar rush lasts today

AND only one dissent - so Pres Truman gets a roomful of one armed economists

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 10:45 GMT September 19, 2013
Internet Issues
Reply   
It appears the issue with Global-View is with the internet. Our servers are performing well. We appreciate your patience..

Saar KaL 10:31 GMT September 19, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

Last call for gold Shorts guys

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 09:31 GMT September 19, 2013
United Kingdom
Reply   

-- ALERT --
UK Retail Sales August 2013
Headline
mm: -0.90% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +1.10% prev.
yy: +2.10% vs. +3.00% exp. vs. +3.30% prev.

x-fuels
mm: -1.00% vs. 0.00% exp. vs. +1.10% (r +1.20%) prev.
yy: +2.30% vs. +3.30% exp. vs. +3.10% (r +3.20%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

Melbourne Qindex 09:00 GMT September 19, 2013
S&P 500 : Critical Point 1799.4
Reply   
S&P
Entry: Target: Stop:




S&P 500 (Future) : Critical Point 1799.4


The market is strong when S&P 500 is able to trade above the weekly cycle normal limits at 1685.3 - 1728.8. Speculative buying interest will increase if the market momentum is strong enough to overcome the critical resistant barrier at 1799.4 // 1803.8.


Monthly Cycle Reference / Normal Upper Limits : 1685.3 - 1687.2 - 1728.8 - 1803.8 - [1810.9] - 1818.3 - 1822.3 - 1875.9 - [1902.8] - 1945.1 - [2040.2] - 2130.4


Qindex.com

S&P 500 : Monthly Cycle Charts

Saar KaL 08:49 GMT September 19, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

EURGBP will crash soon
.8455 is tops

Saar KaL 08:41 GMT September 19, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

Maybe eurjpy hits 1.36 soon

going out for a Beer anyone comin?
LOL
Cheers

Saar KaL 08:33 GMT September 19, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

Lots of people will loss money
on Gold Long
You will hear that soon
in the "News"

Hong Kong AceTrader 08:26 GMT September 19, 2013
Sept 19: DAILY EUR/USD OUTLOOK
Reply   
DAILY EUR/USD OUTLOOK - 1.3547
19 Sep 2013 08:06GMT

Y'day's rally abv 1.3453 (now sup) to as high as 1.3543 confirms erratic upmove fm Apr's low at 1.2745 has resumed n further gain to 1.3580 is likely, however, o/bot condition shud cap price at 1.3620 n yield a much-needed correction later.

Hold long with stop as indicated n only below 1.3453 wud risk stronger pullback to 1.3417.

STRATEGY : Hold long

POSITION : Long at 1.3510

OBJECTIVE : 1.3580

STOP-LOSS : 1.3500

RES : 1.3543/1.3580/1.3620

SUP : 1.3492/1.3453/1.3417

tokyo ginko 07:56 GMT September 19, 2013
snp
Reply   
short snp 1730 scalp trade

london red 07:53 GMT September 19, 2013
yen
Reply   
has just about recovered all post pomc losses, probably done enough for now. 99 should cap into data.

Saar KaL 07:51 GMT September 19, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

Gold heads back to 1265
hehehe

Saar KaL 07:31 GMT September 19, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

EURGBP shorts
USDJPY Longs
Cable still Bulish
Gold and silver shorts
USDCAD shorts

all in the menu

Sydney ACC 07:25 GMT September 19, 2013
HSBC Sydney Sees Tapering in Three Months

Next meeting is 29-30 October followed by December 17-18.

December would mean Fed has a further three NFP figures to work off.

Plausible.

GVI Forex Blog 07:16 GMT September 19, 2013 Reply   
FOMC/Bernanke push back on market expectations for the start of taper; See risks to economy further diminish but want more evidence of recovery; Dow Industrials and S&P500 close at record highs, Gold

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: Fed Taper delay sparks broad gains in equities and metals, sinks US dollar - Source TradeTheNews.com

ed kw 07:03 GMT September 19, 2013
HSBC Sydney Sees Tapering in Three Months

next meat is desember no change for xmas so of to the next meat/cheaper funding if keep bonds down so taper if a lot good econo numbers ap 6monts

HK [email protected] 07:02 GMT September 19, 2013
HSBC Sydney Sees Tapering in Three Months


Paul Bloxham Chief Economist HSBC Sydney sees Fed starting tapering in three months.
Bloxham is a former RBA economist.
.................................................................................
Did he also see B4 yesterday that the FED will not taper?

If not, all what he says is useless.

ed kw 06:58 GMT September 19, 2013
sell usd, wear diamonds

world GDP is at is lowest so feds all in censored world growth takes off to up side we can drop the fed// gbp is better so in time might work and the world grows to 'fund its self'

Sydney ACC 06:58 GMT September 19, 2013
HSBC Sydney Sees Tapering in Three Months
Reply   
Paul Bloxham Chief Economist HSBC Sydney sees Fed starting tapering in three months.
Bloxham is a former RBA economist.

manila tom 06:51 GMT September 19, 2013
sell usd, wear diamonds

Obama administration=usd toilet paper
now with Bernanke to be replaced likely by Yellen, same thing with usd for years to come

singapore td 06:31 GMT September 19, 2013
sell usd, wear diamonds

keeping till bankrupt...

Hong Kong AceTrader 06:19 GMT September 19, 2013
Sept 19: Daily Outlook on Asian Exotics USD/SGD
Reply   
DAILY USD/SGD OUTLOOK - 1.2443
19 Sep 2013 04:11GMT

Despite usd's rebound after selloff to 1.2423,
as this move signals the decline fm 1.2862 (Aug)
remains in force n yields re-test of said lvl.

Sell on recovery due to o/sold condition n only
abv 1.2536/40 suggests temp. low made, 1.2580/84.

STRATEGY : Sell at 1.2495

OBJECTIVE : 1.2435

STOP-LOSS : 1.2525

RES : 1.2464/1.2584/1.2610

SUP : 1.2464/1.2422/1.2407

Haifa ac 05:42 GMT September 19, 2013
sell usd, wear diamonds

"dont know what happen to those marrying buy usd trade that still dreaming to see euro under 1.25 and pound under 1.45 LOL"

A KEEPER!!

Melbourne Qindex 05:37 GMT September 19, 2013
EUR/GBP : Critical Point 0.8356




EUR/GBP : Critical Point 0.8356


EUR/GBP : The following is still valid :

==============================================


Melbourne Qindex 12:45 GMT September 17, 2013
EUR/GBP : Critical Point 0.8356 : Reply
Buy EURGBP
Entry: Target: Stop:


EUR/GBP : Critical Point 0.8356


The market is stable when it is rejected from the critical point at 0.8356. EUR/GBP is going to retrace back to the barrier at 0.8458/0.8472.

EUR/GBP : Monthly Cycle Charts

Melbourne Qindex 05:33 GMT September 19, 2013
EUR/JPY : Critical Point 134.575

Buy EURJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:





EUR/JPY : Critical Point 134.575


The following is still valid :


Melbourne Qindex 22:54 GMT September 14, 2013 - My Profile
EUR/JPY : Critical Point 134.575 : Reply
Buy EURJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/JPY : Critical Point 134.575

As shown in the front page of my website the weekly cycle significant levels suggested that the market is consolidating within 132.048 and 133.302. Speculative buying interest will increase when the market momentum is strong enough to overcome the critical resistant barrier at 134.575 // 134.597. The distribution profile of the monthly cycle probability chart indicates that the market has good potential to tackle 137.122.

EUR/JPY : Monthly Cycle Charts

singapore td 05:20 GMT September 19, 2013
sell usd, wear diamonds
Reply   
yawn, weeks after weeks, selling usd yielding the best
pound and euro has bottomed, embarking on new trend up
dont know what happen to those marrying buy usd trade that still dreaming to see euro under 1.25 and pound under 1.45 LOL
ciao....

Amman wfakhoury 05:03 GMT September 19, 2013
USDCHF
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 06:51 GMT September 10, 2013
USDCHF buy: Reply
ottawa hm 02:51 GMT September 10, 2013
" Trade Ideas " : Reply
Target 1.05 ???????
------------------------

I did not see any rise to this target ...
____________________
My alert to this signal

HK [email protected] 04:03 GMT September 19, 2013
Worth watching.
Reply   



http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=58ayjFKRQ2A

GVI Forex Blog 03:39 GMT September 19, 2013 Reply   
So, the Fed did not do the taper. The Dow (15676.94) has predictably closed sharply higher.

Morning Briefing : 19-Sep-2013 -0336 GMT

Hong Kong AceTrader 02:49 GMT September 19, 2013
Sept 19 : Dollar tumbles broadly after Fed holds off on tapering stimulus
Reply   
Market Review - 18/09/2013 22:05GMT

Dollar tumbles broadly after Fed holds off on tapering stimulus

The greenback tumbled broadly on Wednesday as the Federal Reserve left its key benchmark lending target, the fed funds rate, unchanged at 0.25% and kept its USD85 billion monthly asset-purchasing program in place.

The Fed said 'to keep buying $85 billion in bonds per month, split as $40 billion and $45 billion treasuries; downside risks to economic and labor market outlooks have diminished but tightening of financial conditions in recent months, if sustained, could slow pace of improvement; to keep Fed funds 0-0.25% as long as jobless rate above 6.5%, 1-2 year projected inflation no more than 2.5%, longer-term inflation expectations well anchored; asset purchases are not on a preset course and Fed decision about their pace remains contingent on its economic outlook, likely efficacy and costs; in judging whether to moderate the pace of asset purchases the committee will at coming meetings assess if data continues to support expected improvements in labor market and inflation; Fed vote in favor of policy was 9-1; George dissented from concern over potential imbalances and inflation; Raskin did not take part in meeting; recognizes inflation persistently below 2% could pose risks to economic performance, but anticipates inflation will move toward objective over medium term.'

Versus the Japanese yen, although the greenback rose briefly to 99.34 in Asia, price fell sharply to 98.79 in European morning on cross buying of yen versus other currencies due to the steep fall in Japan's Nikkei futures before recovering, however, renewed selling emerged at 99.10 and dollar later tumbled to as low as 97.79 in New York afternoon after Fed kept its monetary policy unchanged.

Although the single currency dropped from Asian high of 1.3364 to 1.3338 in New York morning, renewed buying in euro crosses lifted price above said resistance at New York midday and price later rallied to a fresh 7-month peak at 1.3543 after announcement of Fed's monetary policy and the Chairman Ben Bernanke's dovish tone comments before easing.

Fed's Bernanke said in news conference following a meeting of the central bank's policy-setting that 'jobless rate above acceptable levels; downside risks to growth have eased; job conditions far from what we would like to see but progress made; fiscal conditions slowing growth by a percentage point or more this year; contours of mid term economic outlook were close to June views; but data not yet confirming baseline outlook to warrant reduction in pace of purchases; upcoming fiscal debates involve risks to market; low Fed funds rate will be appropriate at least as long as jobless rate above 6.5%; Fed funds rate increases might not occur until jobless rate considerably below 6.5%; policymakers think that headwinds to economy will abate only slowing meaning patience needed; may need to keep Federal funds rate below neutral rate for some time.'

Cable traded narrowly above Tuesday's low at 1.5986 in Asia yesterday before ratcheting higher in European morning, the pair pierced through Monday's top at 1.5963 to 1.5980 in European morning after Bank of England minutes suggested policymakers were not too concerned about rising short term market rates. Later, cable posted another rally in New York afternoon on dollar's broad-based weakness after Fed rate decision and climbed to a fresh 8-month top at 1.6163.

BoE released its minutes which stated 'no member judged more stimulus appropriate at present, different views on need for future loosening; U.K. recovery increasingly taking hold, accompanied by upward move in sterling market interest rates; U.K. recovery at least as strong as forecast in August, Euro zone recovery stronger than expected; CPI slightly more likely to be below 2.5% in 18-24 months.'

On the data front, U.S. housing starts came in at 0.891M and 0.9% m/m, versus the forecast of 0.917M and 2.3% m/m. U.S. building permits came in at 0.918M and -3.8% m/m, versus the expectation of 0.950M and -0.4% m/m.

Data to be released on Thursday:

New Zealand GDP, Japan trade balance, import, export, all industry index, leading index, U.K. retail sales, CBI industrial trend, Canada wholesale sales, U.S. jobless claim, current account, Philadelphia Fed survey, existing homes sales, leading indicators. China will be close due to public holiday.

Melbourne Qindex 02:39 GMT September 19, 2013
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2797

XAU/AUD : I havn't updated yet

ed kw 01:58 GMT September 19, 2013
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2797

Qindex, xauaud you have the m ranges tki

Melbourne Qindex 01:46 GMT September 19, 2013
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2797

Gold : The mid-point reference of 1311.3* and 1402.8* is 1357.1.


Monthly Cycle Projected Series : ... 1174.1 - 1219.8* - 1265.6 - 1288.4 // 1311.3* - 1334.2 - 1357.1 - 1379.9 - 1402.8* - 1425.7 - [1448.6]* - 1471.4 - 1494.3* - 1517.2 - 1540.1 - 1562.9 - 1585.8* // 1608.7 - 1631.6 - 1677.3* - 1723.1 ...

HK [email protected] 01:40 GMT September 19, 2013
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2797



Dr. Q


Thank you.

Melbourne Qindex 01:10 GMT September 19, 2013
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2797




Gold : The distribution profile of the monthly cycle probability chart indicates that the market is pulling towards 1494.3. The short target is 1402.8 which is the mid-point reference of 1311.3 and 1494.3.


Qindex.com

Gold : Monthly Cycle Charts

dc CB 00:28 GMT September 19, 2013
What's it really all about Alfie?



wonder if the masses will make the connection.


funny but late in the Press Conf, Ben was asked about the increasing divide between the Rich and the Rest of Us.

He basically said that is a Phenomena/Trend that has been increasing for 30 years and that he didn't see how the Fed had anything to do with it.

He didn't seem aware that giving large amounts of Free Money to a few select while Paying 0 interest on the Small hard earned Savings of the the Many, could possibly cause this extreme divide.

HK [email protected] 00:18 GMT September 19, 2013
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2797



Dr. Q.

I saw you have updated your gold directional indicators.

So do you indeed expect gold to surge to 1400 within this uptrend?

tokyo ginko 00:13 GMT September 19, 2013
usd/jpy position trade

add usd/jpy 98.15

target maintain, GT!

Beckenham SFH 00:04 GMT September 19, 2013
Gold
Reply   
Big move in the Markets-but where is all this buying coming from? Doubt that its mainly new position taking-more like stops being trigged..gone short Gold at 1366

 




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