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Forex Forum Archive for 09/22/2013

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Mtl JP 23:58 GMT September 22, 2013

nh // well Ben did enjoy, despite all the failures that FED's meddling in the marketplace is causing, credibility. Now players are forced into self-examination. Bullard claimed that the market was playing the FED rather than data. I can not help but read that Bullard was mocking players that they had only themselves to blame. That to me at least, was an impressively cavalier statement about FED<->market relationship. It remains to be seen if the surprise the FED sprung on players was a turning point.

Melbourne Qindex 23:56 GMT September 22, 2013
AUD/USD : Weekly Cycle Analysis
Entry: Target: Stop:

AUD/USD : The market is under pressure when it is rejected from the critical point at 0.9430. The downward trending movement will continue when the market is trading below the barrier at 0.9331 // 0.9337.

EUR/AUD : The market is positive when it is trading above the barrier at 1.4336 // 1.4383.

GBP/AUD : The market is stable when it is above the critical point at 1.6979. Speculative buying interest will increase when GBP/AUD is able to trade above 1.7034 // 1.7057.

CHF/AUD : The market is trading above a critical supporting barrier at 1.1460 // 1.1477 and a critical resistant point of 1.1750.

AUD/JPY : The market is testing a supporting range of 93.117 // 93.489.

AUD/CAD : The market is under pressure when it is rejected from the barrier at 0.9733 // 0.9774. Speculative selling pressure will increase when the market is trading below the critical barrier at 0.9690 // 0.9674.

Quantum Index Analysis

Livingston nh 23:24 GMT September 22, 2013

JP -" WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- Watching Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke communicate with the markets this week has been like watching figure skating in the Olympics: You're not sure how it happened, but you know something went wrong when the Fed chief, like those petite teenagers on skates, ended up sliding along the ice on his backside."

Now we find out if there really are such things as Bond Vigilantes -- The Fed speakers wasted no time trying to put the toothpaste back in the tube after Ben's post game analysis floundered -- there was obvious concern in the FOMC about 3% yield on the 10 yr (caused by Ben's lack of communication skills) -- Ben and his Merry Men having led us into the Swamp discovered that the exit will be a bit more difficult than we were led to believe // Never let'em see ya sweat BUT confusion reigns and perhaps panic -- if there are Bond Vigilantes now is the time to push the Fed

Oh, and this isn't the first time Ben has had to scramble --that quote is the lead from an article in 2006 (The Bartiromo Gaffe) LINK

Mtl JP 22:45 GMT September 22, 2013

that merkel induced open gap is poof already

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 21:46 GMT September 22, 2013

TD thanks for catching my error.

Belgrade TD 21:24 GMT September 22, 2013

"EURUSD gaps higher early 1.3355 on German election results." ...
obviously unintentional typo - more likely 1,355 ... on my platform is 1.3547 ... different data feed ...

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 20:15 GMT September 22, 2013

EURUSD gaps higher early 1.3555 on German election results.

Saar KaL 19:02 GMT September 22, 2013
KaL's Trend and Level

another week
OK so I got EurGBP to be great sell
GBPJPY is a great Buy for a while
EURJPY Long below 132 maybe good
AUDJPY and CadJPY still Bullish

Gold Longs below 1300
Silver around 21 Long is good

NDX Bullish below 3200

Happy to Long Cable Below

anyways The biggest IMO GBPJPY Long
something big will happen...163 is easy

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 19:01 GMT September 22, 2013

September 22. 2013 ( UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, September 23. Updated: Trading Events Calendar


GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 17:24 GMT September 22, 2013

German Chancellor Angela Merkel's conservatives are on course to win a historic absolute majority in Sunday's election, according to a projection based on exit polls and some results from broadcaster ARD

The projection put Merkel's conservatives on 42.5 percent, a whisker over the combined total for the left parties who together scored 41.6 percent. The last time a German party won an absolute majority was in 1957 with conservative leader Konrad Adenauer. The projection showed Merkel's Free Democrat (FDP) allies and the anti-euro Alternative for Germany (AfD) just failing to clear the 5 percent threshold needed to enter the Bundestag lower house.

- Reuters

london red 17:18 GMT September 22, 2013

still a coalition, but the less heads at the table the better, so very good result for merkel. its going to make law passing that bit easier.

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 16:18 GMT September 22, 2013

Election Results

Germany Elections Live

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 16:11 GMT September 22, 2013

Exit poll: CDU/CSU 42.5 per cent; SPD 26.5 per cent; Greens 8 per cent; FDP 4.5 per cent; Left 8.6 per cent; AfD 4.8 per cent. Stunning result for Merkel, just short of absolute majority, but with FDP out of Bundestag could be a grand coalition with CDU and SPD. AfD not so far from the 5 per cent to get seats. Very disappointing for Greens, and SPD were hoping for a bit more.

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 16:08 GMT September 22, 2013

Merkel 'in the lead in German poll'
Chancellor Angela Merkel's party leads the German election with an estimated 42% - exit poll suggests


phila caba 15:21 GMT September 22, 2013
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still just MT4 only?

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 14:44 GMT September 22, 2013
Chart Points
many more chart points
About Moving Averages
About Bollinger Bands

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 13:38 GMT September 22, 2013
German Election Sunday. Key flash PMI Monday

  • HIGH IMPACT ITEMS:  CN- HSBC flash PMI, EZ/DE/FR- Flash Mfg/SVC PMIs, US- Markit flash PMI

  • The Fed threw the markets a curve when it announced that it was not ready yet to start to "taper" its purchase of securities ($85bn/mo) which inject liquidity into the markets. In an era where the Fed touts its "transparency", this was a major blunder which could impact its effectiveness in the future.

  • Reportedly the Fed held its fire on tightening for three reasons. disappointment with recent sluggish economic data. the increase recently in bond yields,  andtalk that the Fed is not happy abouh the upcoming debt resolution battle.

  • Sunday sees national elections in Germany. Expectations are that Chancellor Merkel will be returned as Chancellor for a third term, but she is thought destined to  be the leader of a coalition which will have shifted to the left. Any other outcome would be a surprise.

  • The major feature of the week will be the slew of flash PMI data releases  Monday. On Tuesday, the closely-followed German IFO sentiment Survey will be released. This is typically a market-moving event. The U.S. calendar is relatively subdued. It features the Conference Board and University of Michigan Sentiment Surveys among other items.Friday.

  • Press reports suggest Janet Yellen is the likely  candidate for Bernanke's job. The nomination could come as early as next week barring  an unexpected developments. She should be a safe appointment.

  • For additional key items and more detail (dates, times, data estimates), be sure to reference our Economic Calendar . See the  FOREX FORUM  for latest key data and charts as they are released.
20d avg
EURUSD 1.3307
JGB 0.70% +2bp
Asia Close Mixed
USDJPY 99.03
Bund 1.95% +2bp
Europe  Mixed
EURJPY 131.77
U.S. 2.74% -2 bp
North America: Lower

GVI Forex Blog 13:36 GMT September 22, 2013 Reply   
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: CN- HSBC flash PMI, EZ/DE/FR- Flash Mfg/SVC PMIs, US- Markit flash PMI The Fed threw the markets a curve when it announced that it was not ready yet to start to "taper" its purchase of securities ($85bn/mo) which inject liquidity into the markets. In an era where the Fed touts its "transparency", this was a major blunder which could impact its effectiveness in the future.

German Election Sunday. Key flash PMI Monday

Mtl JP 13:14 GMT September 22, 2013

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 12:02

HOW is the german election tradeable ?

Mtl JP 12:32 GMT September 22, 2013

Bullard - who qualifies as "senior Fed official" to pundits - said the Fed's decision to sit tight "enhanced our credibility in the sense that it showed we really are paying attention to data and not on some automated program to cut QE (quantitative easing) to zero." - rtrs

and nevermind that "A Reuters poll of economists found that a majority of those surveyed felt the Fed failed to communicate clearly in the weeks before Wednesday's decision to stand pat."

GVI Forex john -- Inner Circle 12:02 GMT September 22, 2013
"The first GERMAN exit polls will be published at 6 p.m. (12 noon EDT)." That is 16:00 GMT

ICSForex Jay Meisler 10:25 GMT September 22, 2013
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prague viktor 03:56 GMT September 22, 2013
Forex Trading Theme for the Week

al thanks for this good work but do u think that all the problem in the EU were solved


prague viktor 03:52 GMT September 22, 2013

mybe she wil help him to got 1 way tickt up to the heaven


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